ABM Industries Inc (ABM) 2016 Q3 法說會逐字稿

完整原文

使用警語:中文譯文來源為 Google 翻譯,僅供參考,實際內容請以英文原文為主

  • Operator

  • Good day, ladies and gentlemen. Welcome to the ABM Industries' third-quarter fiscal year 2016 conference call.

  • (Operator Instructions)

  • As a reminder this conference call is being recorded. I would now like to turn the conference over to Susie Choi, Head of Investor Relations. Ma'am, you may begin.

  • Susie Choi - Head of IR

  • Thank you all for joining us this morning. With us today are Scott Salmirs, our President and Chief Executive Officer, and Anthony Scaglione, Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer.

  • We issued our press release yesterday afternoon, announcing our third-quarter FY16 financial results. A copy of this release and the accompanying slide presentation can be found on our corporate website.

  • Before we begin, I would like to remind you that our conference call today contains predictions, estimates, and other forward looking statements. Our use of the words estimate, expect and similar expressions are intended to identify these statements. These statements represent our current judgment of what the future holds. While we believe them to be reasonable, these statements are subject to risks and uncertainties, that could cause our actual results to differ materially. These factors are described in our slides that accompanies our presentation.

  • During the course of this call, certain non-GAAP financial information will be presented. A reconciliation of those numbers to GAAP financial measures is available at the end of the presentation and on the Company's website under the investor tab. I would now like to turn the call over to Scott.

  • Scott Salmirs - President and CEO

  • Thanks, Susie. Good morning, and I want to thank everyone for joining today's call. Hopefully, you had a chance to review our third-quarter results for fiscal year 16.

  • Before I get started, I want to take a moment to express my tremendous pride in our organization, as we have completed another quarter of successfully managing the delicate balance between transforming and executing on our day-to-day business. I am so pleased with our quarterly performance, which would not have been possible, without the focus and diligence of our entire Company, so thank you, team.

  • As you know, our 2020 Vision transformation is predicated on a phased approach. The major focus of phase one was organizational design and the development of our industry groups, and the shared services support model. We are now into phase two. Last quarter, I shared with you that phase two was focused on building a practice around our newly-formed center of excellence, and transitioning accounts into their specific industry groups.

  • I want to provide you a few updates on phase two. In the third quarter, we initiated several work streams at our center of excellence, which will underscore our long-term approach to facility services. As part of that process, we are now identifying and codifying best practices, or what we call bright spots across our organization, which will allow us to develop standard operating procedures for four key areas.

  • They are labor management, account management, employee development, and safety and risk. This will greatly help our industry groups, as they will have standardized tools to manage their business, and the advantage of being more efficient through a consistent approach. There is nothing more foundational to our 2020 Vision than consistency across the platform. We believe that approaching the market in a standardized way across the country, with the best of ABM's thinking, will be a key driver of our acceleration over the coming years.

  • From an account transition standpoint, we are on track with the process of moving accounts from onsite into our industry groups. As of today, we are well into the development of our specific account transition plans, and we remain on target to complete this process by the first quarter of fiscal 17.

  • While this process is progressing smoothly, transitioning accounts can be challenging, and we are monitoring closely to ensure that our clients remained satisfied, and we minimize any bumps in the road. So far, I am really encouraged by what I see, and the client feedback has been good.

  • I have said over and over again on these calls that our employees will drive the success of our transformation. We have been tracking the change management process internally, and we are seeing that the organizational changes are taking hold, as well as a greater understanding throughout the Company as to why our 2020 Vision will benefit our clients, employees, and our shareholders.

  • For us, it's all about clear communication to our stakeholders. That has been the main focus and the main factor for our success to date.

  • Now, before I get into our operational results for the quarter, I want to take a minute to discuss our full-year guidance outlook, which we increased to $1.70 to $1.75. Similar to last quarter, we continue to benefit from the timing of investments in open positions created through our 2020 Vision organizational design process. We also benefited from timing of investments in IT systems, as well as slightly higher than anticipated 2020 Vision savings, which was primarily due to tighter expense management and the impact of certain discrete tax items.

  • With respect to timing, we anticipate this benefit will dissipate over the next several quarters, but it's difficult to determine exactly when these expenses will be incurred. This is a dynamic process. Organizational transformation takes time, and doesn't necessarily run in a straight line, underscored by what we are saying about the timing of investments.

  • While we had a solid quarter, we are not measuring the success of our 2020 Vision on a quarterly basis. We encourage you to think of the transformation in the same way, as I know many of you already do. Our goal is to remain focused on delivering sustainable, profitable growth, in accordance with our 2020 Vision plan, and we will continue to look at ways to maximize value.

  • Okay. On to our third-quarter segment performance. Execution remains consistent, and we generally saw revenues at higher operating margins this quarter, due to a better contract mix and additional tag work.

  • In our janitorial segment, we saw the expansion of business with some great customers within the business and industry group. Through a formal RFP process, we expanded our relationship with JPMorgan Chase and are now providing janitorial services to the entire commercial, retail, and data center portfolio throughout the Northeast.

  • We also announced a contract expansion with Commonwealth Partners for multiple services, including janitorial and engineering. And we continue to serve the best sports venues in the world, including extending our contract with USC at the LA Coliseum, home to both the USC Trojans and the newly relocated LA Rams. We also won a contract with the Prudential Center in New Jersey.

  • And for the UK business and industry group, we recently announced expanded work with Realm Limited, a destination London designer outlet in Wembley. The additional services included energy, HVAC mechanical and electrical.

  • Our overall performance for the building and energy solutions segment was mixed. This segment is comprised of our ABES business, government, and healthcare. Let me share with you where we performed well, and where we are having some challenges.

  • As with previous quarters this year, our ABES technical service business exhibited robust growth, driven by a strong backlog in bookings. We expect this performance to continue throughout the remainder of the year; although the year-over-year comparison for the fourth quarter will feel a bit muted because of their extraordinary performance last year. Westway, which is our recent acquisition in technical services area in the UK, contributed positively to both revenue and profits this quarter, continuing their trend.

  • Although our government service business is small from a scale perspective, given the size of our organization, we should note that it has continued to track below our expectations, due to a handful of unsuccessful bid opportunities throughout the year. This negatively impacted the building and energy solutions segment this quarter, from both a revenue and profitability standpoint.

  • And finally, our Air Serv business in our other segment demonstrated another stellar quarter of revenue growth, driven largely by an increased scope of work within current contracts. I would point out that the enthusiasm around our aviation industry group is palpable. There is no other firm that could influence the traveler experience like ABM, and that is resonating with our clients.

  • Overall, this was a good quarter. We're pleased with our results and the progress we have made on our 2020 Vision journey. Looking towards the end of the fiscal year, we are encouraged that 2020 Vision continues to permeate our entire organization and culture, and that will keep us intently focused. As we stand up our industry groups in the new structure, we are gaining greater visibility into profitability by industry and account. This will help us better define our business plans and drive decision-making heading into 2017.

  • While it is too early to share specifics, we're confident that as we enter the new year, we will have successfully established the foundation upon which we build our 2020 Vision. So with that, I will now hand the call over to Anthony to go into further details on our financial performance.

  • Anthony Scaglione - EVP and CFO

  • Thank you Scott, and good morning, everyone. I would like to reiterate Scott's sentiment and recognize all of the teams who have focused and delivered results throughout the year, while working through our 2020 Vision. We are executing according to plan, and slightly exceeding some of the targets we originally set out to achieve.

  • I will now review our results for the third quarter, that are described in today's earnings presentation, which I will refer to periodically, and provide a discussion of our revised guidance. I will be referring to results from continuing operations, which exclude the sale of our security business.

  • Revenues for the quarter were up 3.8% versus last year, driven by organic growth of 2.2%, and approximately $19 million of revenues from acquisitions, which are reflected in our building and energy solutions segment.

  • On a GAAP basis, our income from continuing operations was $32.9 million, or $0.58 per diluted share. Please note, GAAP income from the quarter reflected the favorable impact of tax credits related to uncertain tax positions, in years in which the statute of limitations have expired. This tax benefit more than offset prior-year insurance related increases and other GAAP items, which impacted the quarter.

  • On an adjusted basis, income from continuing operations for the quarter was $30.6 million, or $0.54 per diluted share. Several factors favorably impacted the quarter. Revenue contribution, including higher tag revenue and the higher margin ABES business model, helped drive the quarter. Additionally, the quarter also benefited from 2020 Vision savings, timing, certain discrete tax items, and one less working day.

  • I would like to take a moment to address insurance. During the third quarter, we completed our full-year actuarial evaluation. As I mentioned on previous calls, we continue to make significant changes to our risk management and safety programs, which included the consolidation of the risk and safety function, and the hiring of a new group leader. As a result, I am pleased to report that in a short time, we are seeing some modest improvement in the cost of current year insurance programs.

  • Having said that, we do not anticipate changing our current rates until we see some more evidence of long-term meaningful improvement. However, we continue to deal with adverse developments related to claims reported in the prior periods, albeit decreasingly. And we feel that with the changes we have made, the degree of volatility related to prior-year development is expected to decrease.

  • Moving on to EBITDA, we ended the quarter with adjusted EBITDA of $61.1 million, and adjusted EBITDA margin of 4.7%, compared to 3.9% last year. Adjusted EBITDA and margin benefited from better contract mix in janitorial, and higher technical services revenue, benefits from 2020 savings, and one less working day, which helped offset the impact of legal and bad debt reserves in the quarter.

  • Before I discuss our segment results for the quarter, I would like to discuss several items that impacted the quarter. As I alluded to earlier, the results for the quarter were positively impacted by one less working day, primarily in janitorial. Additionally, similar to last quarter, we continue to experience greater in-year savings related to open investments, which have not yet occurred. The breadth and depth of these investments varies, and given the transitional nature of this year, it is difficult to pinpoint when these investments will occur exactly.

  • Now turning to our segment results for the quarter, which were impacted by many of the items I just described. Please turn to page 4 of today's earnings presentation. As mentioned earlier, one less working day in janitorial and 2020 savings positively contributed to segment operating results.

  • For janitorial, revenues increased 2% versus last year, and operating margins were 6.3%. Margins benefited from additional TAG revenue and a good mix of revenue from new and expanded business which offset an increase in legal expenses during the quarter. Facility services revenues decreased 0.8% or $1.1 million due to certain contract losses, which were partially offset by new and expanded business. Operating margins were 5.4% versus 4.1% last year, benefiting from TAG revenue and lower legal expenses.

  • Parking generated a 3.5% increase in revenues versus last year. Operating margins declined slightly to 4.6% versus 4.8% last year, attributable to higher costs associated with new locations, which we are working to normalize through labor management and slightly higher legal expenses.

  • Building and energy solutions revenues increased $18.7 million or 12.5% versus last year, driven by $19.3 million of revenue related to our Westway acquisition, and higher ABES or technical services revenue. Similar to last quarter, strength in ABES is offset by our government business, which continued to experience challenges. Having said that, and as we have been saying all year, ABES was a back half story in 2015, and therefore, comparisons are tougher in the second half of this year, and we expect Q4 to be relatively flat year over year.

  • Operating margins for the overall segment however increased due to higher contribution of technical services revenue, but also benefited from a larger degree of open positions in ABES, which we expect to normalize next year. Finally, revenues for our other segment or Air Serv increased by $10.5 million, or 9.3%, driven by continued strength in our cabin cleaning service in the US.

  • Operating margins increased 70 basis points to 4.7% versus last year, primarily due to lower amortization expense. And as Scott referenced, we continue to see nice growth opportunities in aviation.

  • Turning to liquidity. We ended the quarter with total debt including standby letters of credit of $357 million, and our total debt to pro forma adjusted EBITDA was roughly 1.8 times. During the quarter, we repurchased approximately 300,000 shares of common stock, for roughly $10 million. As of July 31, 2016, there was approximately $157 million of remaining under our $200 million share repurchase program. And finally, the Board has approved ABM's 202nd consecutive dividend of $0.165 per share payable on November 7, 2016, to stockholders of record on October 6, 2016.

  • Now, I would turn to our adjusted guidance outlook. As Scott discussed earlier on the call, we continue to benefit from higher savings related to people, processes and systems, that have not yet occurred. Tax-related benefits and higher than expected 2020 savings.

  • Accordingly, we are raising our full-year fiscal 2016 adjusted guidance outlook to a range of $1.70 to $1.75 per share, compared to our previous guidance range of $1.55 to $1.65 per share.

  • Operator, we are now ready for questions.

  • Operator

  • (Operator Instructions)

  • Andy Wittmann, Robert W. Baird.

  • Andy Wittmann - Analyst

  • Great. I wanted to start with questions to clarify some things on the quarter, probably directed at Anthony. Anthony, just given there was a bunch of tax items in the quarter, it looks like most of which were excluded from adjusted EPS, but some were not, can you just verify that my calculations that $0.06, there was a $0.06 benefit from the tax items that was not excluded, that was included in adjusted EPS, but the majority of these tax items were excluded? Can you just talk about that in a little bit more detail, so we are all on the same page?

  • Anthony Scaglione - EVP and CFO

  • Sure, Andy. You're absolutely right, roughly $0.06 is included in our adjusted EPS, and that relates predominantly to an early adoption of an accounting standard related to stock-based compensation. The majority of the other discretes, the largest being the passage of position that we had mentioned earlier at the end of last year is in IIC, and that was roughly $0.32.

  • Andy Wittmann - Analyst

  • Got it. And the $0.06 one that was included, it sounds like this is a new accounting standard that you have adopted. So is it fair to think that this is now part of the earnings stream going forward? In other words, this is not really necessarily a one-time item, that this could occur next year as well?

  • Anthony Scaglione - EVP and CFO

  • Yes, absolutely. So it's not a one-time item, but it's hard to quantify whether it will be positive or negative. It's really dependent on the existing grants and the share price, that's a variable, but it is part of our normal operations, and we'll be providing guidance at year end related to what we expect that impact to be for next fiscal year.

  • Andy Wittmann - Analyst

  • Okay. Just continuing down this thread a little bit, the self-insurance adjustment was excluded of $19.5 million. That's a bigger number than we've been seeing recently, and obviously, like you mentioned in your script, have taken some actions to account for your self-insurance things more conservatively, I guess. $19.5 million is a pretty big number. Was that all prior period, and is that why it was excluded? Was there any in-period adjustments in the quarter?

  • Anthony Scaglione - EVP and CFO

  • No. Again, we break it up into two buckets, consistent with prior years, prior periods. So it was all prior year, the adjustment that you're referring to. In the current year, as I mentioned in my prepared remarks, we are seeing some good indications that some of the initiatives that we started late last year are starting to provide some benefits, and we are, as you know, we are accruing at a much higher rate year-over-year.

  • So we are charging the business what we feel like is the right long term appropriate rate. But that being said, we are seeing some benefits, but it's too early for us to move away from the higher accrual rate. So ultimately, we feel like the current charge to the business is the appropriate charge, and we are still dealing with the prior period adverse development.

  • Scott Salmirs - President and CEO

  • What I would say, Andy, too, just to chime in on that, I think what we are enthusiastic about is, there is stuff that we can control this year, because we have a good amount of control on what happens in the year, and the culture is changing and really being fortified internally around the safety programs. We're seeing a decrease of frequencies across the board. So much of this, for the long term, is about a cultural shift, and it's really taking hold here. So again, enthusiastic about where we are, and where we're headed.

  • Andy Wittmann - Analyst

  • Great. I wanted to do one more question, going down that angle here before going back into the queue. And this is just around the margins, obviously it was very good, led by growth in the core janitorial segment.

  • Scott, I get the timing of the reinvestment happened, but given that you hit this 4.7% level, it's a quarterly number, and there's seasonality, but we are starting to bump up against some of the long term goals that you talked about in your analyst day, when you talked about adding 100 basis points. Can you talk about your comfort level about going beyond the 100 basis points, that you committed to, given the early successes that you have had?

  • And maybe the addendum to that question would be, as you make some of these reinvestments, from the open positions that you haven't filled yet, is there potential to move into 2017, that margins don't see any further expansion, or even go the other way? I'm just trying to gauge the magnitude of the reinvestments that still need to be made.

  • Scott Salmirs - President and CEO

  • I think it's still early on in our 2020 Vision program, right? We did get 30 basis points of benefit this quarter from having one less day, but these reinvestments are so important, Andy, because they're going to be the foundation for the future. We set up our organizational design, and it's pretty -- I would say it's a quicker route to take cost out than it is to build cost in, because you're building a new structure.

  • One thing I would point out is we are developing a new talent organization, that's going to be focused on how we onboard the right people, how we do development training for people in the field, how we do performance management. And that's a group right now, we just hired the head of that group, literally over the last couple of weeks. So there's two people in the group, that could be as many as 10 people.

  • So I don't want to trade away short-term by not filling those positions. So those are going to be again fundamental to the long-term success of ABM, and were' going to make those investments. It's hard to predict the timing, but so it's early on in this.

  • Anthony Scaglione - EVP and CFO

  • And I think, Andy, from what we projected as the 100 basis points, we broke it out into components. We said the org design was going to be roughly 40 to 50 basis points. We said procurement is going to be roughly 10 to 15 basis points, and then the rest is going to come from account planning and the vertical acceleration. I think what we're seeing is on the org design, we are trending at the upper end of our original 40 to 50, and maybe slightly exceeding that. So I think it points to, we're headed in the right direction, but it's too early to tell whether the 100 basis points becomes 110 or more, or whether the 100 basis point is on track. But we are trending a little bit higher on the org design.

  • Andy Wittmann - Analyst

  • Okay, thanks.

  • Operator

  • Sean Egan, KeyBanc Capital Markets.

  • Sean Egan - Analyst

  • Great, thank you. I was just hoping you could help put some clarity around the swing in operating cash flow, or cash from operations. Was there a large swing in working capital? If you could bridge that gap, that would be real helpful.

  • Anthony Scaglione - EVP and CFO

  • This is Anthony. We look at our cash flow on an annual basis, and there's always going to be timing elements. If you look at it from a year-to-date perspective, with the increase in severance payments, the increase in costs related to 2020 Vision, we are right on track with where we were last year. So I wouldn't take this quarter as an indication of anything fundamentally changed in our cash flow outlook. It's just a matter of timing. I would look at it on an annual trailing 12.

  • Sean Egan - Analyst

  • Got it, thanks for that. And then secondly, within the janitorial operating margin, I know you quantified 30 basis points due to one less workday. Is there any way that you can at least either quantify or help us understand the order of magnitude of the other impacts that you noted, such as the more beneficial mix, and how your TAG works?

  • Anthony Scaglione - EVP and CFO

  • It's hard to go down to that level of granularity, but what I can tell you is that TAG continues to be a focus in the organization. I think, back to Scott's point, culturally, the organization is starting to embrace the margin story, and TAG is one of the easiest drivers for that margin story, specifically in janitorial, and to a lesser extent in our facility services business. So it continues to be a great story from a TAG perspective, and it continues to be a focus area for the firm.

  • Scott Salmirs - President and CEO

  • I think when you think about TAG revenue, you can think that it has a margin profile, that's 2X our base contracts. So as the margin story resonates in the firm, you will see that there will be a focus towards TAG, just because it's high value capture for the team. So it all comes down to contract mix and blend and market segmentation, and again, we have the right trajectory into the higher margin.

  • Sean Egan - Analyst

  • Great, thanks. And then staying on that same point, the contract mix benefit. Are those contracts that you are actively exiting, or are you waiting for contracts to come up for renewal and roll off, and you were just choosing not to renew your lower margin items?

  • Scott Salmirs - President and CEO

  • That's going to be part of our account management process that we are initiating in our center of excellence. So as we start standing up these industry groups and look at business by vertical, we will start creating detailed account plans for the future. And there are some that will end up tailing off.

  • There are some that we'll actually put a plan together, to say -- it's not the kind of thing where something is not performing at the right level so you just send a cancellation notice, you actually put a plan together to accelerate margin. And if you can't do that, that's when you make those tougher decisions. But for us, if we have lower performing accounts that we can't put together a robust acceleration plan around, you will see us exiting those accounts.

  • Anthony Scaglione - EVP and CFO

  • It will typically, we're going to look at it from a renewal cycle. So this is a very dynamic piece of our business, and as those accounts come up for renewal, to Scott's point, either we're going to be able to put a plan in place to bring the margin up through TAG or through other operational levers, or we're going to bid the account at an appropriate margin, and if we lose it, then we're okay with that.

  • Sean Egan - Analyst

  • Got it. Understood. Thanks so much.

  • Operator

  • Jeff Kessler, Imperial Capital.

  • Jeff Kessler - Analyst

  • Just following up a little bit on that, in some of these -- I know that you are trying to go to these contracts, particularly in the government area, with one voice. In those contracts, particularly in the facilities services area, where you have bid and you haven't won, is there a way to start constructing the contract in the way you are going to serve that contract so that you can either start making final decisions with regard to, are we going to stop even bidding on these contracts, or are we going to reinvent the way that we come to this, so we can still provide the value proposition that the customer is demanding, and still be cheap enough, in a sense, to win that contract?

  • Scott Salmirs - President and CEO

  • I think it's a combination actually of everything you said. What we will be doing is, I can give you a good example of something that happened this quarter. We were pursuing a very large contract with JPMorgan Chase and JLL, who is their managing agent, and it was for the commercial cleaning portfolio in the Northeast. While price was very important to JPMorgan and JLL, workplace was as important to them, quality of sustainability, quality of our training, of safety, and we had as much conversation with them on that as we did on price. And we ended up winning the entire portfolio, as I mentioned in my script. We won the entire portfolio of business.

  • At the same time, we had a similar size opportunity with another institution which wouldn't be appropriate for me to name, but it was a similar opportunity, almost exact in scale and size, and their key driver was price alone. And all the conversations were around price. And they wanted to work with us, because they liked our organization and had a good history, but it was only a price conversation. And we just couldn't get there.

  • We didn't see a trajectory to raise margins over time, we just said to ourselves, we're going to end up not making our client happy, and we weren't going to achieve our goals, and we actually passed on that opportunity. It was something very new culturally for ABM to walk away from a large-scale revenue opportunity, because it didn't have the right margin profile, and it ultimately wasn't going to satisfy the client. So I can tell you both of those assignments culminated at the same time at the firm, and there was as much excitement internally for us not pursuing that low margin price opportunity, as there was for us winning this large-scale high profile account.

  • Jeff Kessler - Analyst

  • I am sure there are probably some salespeople who were not all that happy about passing up that type of opportunity, but if you are paying them, if their compensation is based on the capability of mixing businesses, then that changes the culture, and it obviously alleviates that somewhat. So I guess my question to you is, my question to you, to what extent can you bring the full bearing of the various services you offer to these contract discussions now, and win? Are there increasing amounts of these types of contract discussions that are out there, where they do care about the workplace and sustainability, and not just about price? Has this really changed, or is this you forcing the issue to talk about these other things?

  • Scott Salmirs - President and CEO

  • I think it's mostly, in that case, it's us forcing the issue, in the example that I gave you. But for us, it's going to be about our approach to market, and as I said, in our center of excellence, we have this account management work stream. So what that's going to mean is that when we look at an assignment, especially a larger assignment, what we are going to be saying is okay, on this base assignment, what's the margin profile today, and where can it go?

  • But more importantly, what are the services that we can tie in from an IFS standpoint, right? Integrated facilities standpoint. What are the services that we can leverage? And if you think about our education vertical. We have been, and this is a really important point, prior to 2020 Vision, we had four different regions of the firm, each with about $60 million in education in a $1 billion portfolio that they were managing. So it didn't really grab the attention that it should have.

  • Now, we have a $250 million education vertical, that we are looking at holistically in terms of IFS, and how we can bring the resources of ABM to bear, match that with our ABES technical services group that does a significant amount of business in education, and never really married it up with ABM internally. So now you have a head of ABM education for facility services, partnering with an education person in our ABES technical services group, that does a 35% gross margin, and they are figuring out how to pull through the ABES technical services into education.

  • So in the future, when ABM looks at an account and potentially an education account, we're going to say, well we can capture the janitorial award here at a 7% EBITDA margin, but we're looking at their facilities, and we are seeing that the equipment, the mechanical equipment is aged, there is a great opportunity here to pull through our ABES technical services business. So if we can execute, we're going to be able to pull that in and move the whole account up to maybe a 13% blend. That's the kinds of conversations that are starting to happen at ABM, that never happened before. And that's where the excitement is.

  • Jeff Kessler - Analyst

  • Okay, great. One more question, and that's on parking. Everybody -- people are beginning to talk about driverless Ubers, but I am actually thinking about the technical capabilities that you may be required to produce for the end-user, going forward, in terms of bringing more technology for managing ID, managing safety, and things like that, to parking. Is that something that is going to impinge on parking margins for a while as you invest, or is this something where the folks that are out there already realize that they are going to have to pay more to get more technology into parking facilities?

  • Scott Salmirs - President and CEO

  • What I would say is, I think that for us presents an opportunity. We have a person and a team in our center of excellence just working on parking innovation, and where the market is going, what are the latest trends. And if you think about firms in the parking space, there's very few that have our scale, that have our balance sheet, to terms of investment in technology and innovation. So I think for us, we look at change in the parking industry as a key way for us to accelerate, because when we are dealing with a small local company in a particular market, that doesn't have the ability to invest in innovation and technology, we think that's going to be a great opportunity for us in the future.

  • Anthony Scaglione - EVP and CFO

  • Parking, from an experience standpoint, what we're trying to do for the individual parking, if you look at our parking business and you map it, the majority of the parking business is going to be mapped to our aviation industry group or vertical, a good portion that's going to mapped to our healthcare group or vertical. And then there's going to be a component that's going to be in B&I.

  • So when you look at those three segments and what we call the patient or passenger experience, we are working on the integration of parking as an end-to-end solution, so that when someone parks their car at an airport, we then can shuttle them to the front gate, we can do the wheelchair, we can do the baggage handling, we are cleaning the terminal. So it's an integrated story, versus historically being run as a service line, which really was purely a price-driven model.

  • Scott Salmirs - President and CEO

  • I think if you think about the future of ABM, going forward, there's going to be less conversation about janitorial or parking, because if you were to ask me in 2017 when you ask me a question about parking, I am probably going to say, which industry group are you talking about, aviation, healthcare, business and industry. It's going to be less of a holistic business, and more focused practice area as part of an experience in that industry group.

  • Jeff Kessler - Analyst

  • Okay, great. Thank you very much.

  • Operator

  • George Tong, Piper Jaffray.

  • George Tong - Analyst

  • Scott, can you discuss whether you expect any of the recent pressures in janitorial organic revenue growth to repeat over the next year, and what potential drivers you see for janitorial revenue growth, the acceleration?

  • Scott Salmirs - President and CEO

  • Sure. It's funny. I hadn't thought about janitorial growth and pressures in the same sentence right now, because we are pleased with our organic growth. We're having 2.2% organic growth, and our growth is seasonal. So it happens around this time anyway.

  • So to be 2% organic growth, for us, wasn't a pressure story, it was a positive story. Because you have to remember the backdrop of everything we are doing is around organizational transformation. So you have this huge dynamic in the firm, where people are changing jobs, they are shifting clients around, and focusing on keeping the transformation together. So to do that, and then to grow the business organically, is a home run, and last time this year, when we were looking forward to where we would be now, we have put some pretty aggressive targets in place, and the fact that we are meeting them and growing, we're pretty excited.

  • And we think that trajectory is going to continue. We don't see any reason to think that it's going to slow down. And again, especially as we start moving into this industry group format, and people in these industry groups are focusing on end to end -- the story, when we talk about janitorial, we're going to be talking about it by segment. So we are encouraged.

  • George Tong - Analyst

  • Got it. That's helpful. Can you elaborate on the pacing of phase two cost savings that you expect in FY17, and what specific steps you have to take to achieve those savings?

  • Anthony Scaglione - EVP and CFO

  • Sure. The majority of the savings at the end of Q4 should be at a run rate as we outlined initially. So the organizational and procurement savings should be a full run rate by the end of FY17, which should be a dollar-for-dollar point-for-point contribution throughout the year. As it relates to the account planning and vertical acceleration, as we initially indicated, that's a second-half FY17 story.

  • But overall, we're going to end the year at roughly 4.1%, 4.2% EBITDA margins, and we should end next fiscal year at 4.7% roughly EBITDA margin. So we are well on our way with what we outlined as part of 2020, slightly ahead on the org, too early to tell on the other components, but based on the work we are doing in phase two, the account planning, labor management, and some of the COE, what's coming out of the COE, we're feeling pretty confident that we're on the right trajectory.

  • Scott Salmirs - President and CEO

  • And I want to reiterate what we said earlier, is not necessarily a quarter-by-quarter story, it's a trailing 12 month story. Because again, these transformations can be bumpy, in terms of timing of investments and when you deploy. But in terms of where we are heading, and I guess I will always come back to the culture and the organization. We're really encouraged.

  • George Tong - Analyst

  • Got it, that's helpful. And then lastly, Anthony, can you discuss how much of your guidance increase for the full year is due to deferral of investments, and how much is due to higher 2020 Vision savings?

  • Anthony Scaglione - EVP and CFO

  • Sure. Let me break out all the components to our guidance beat.

  • We had roughly from 2020, if you think about it, we had roughly $6 million in the first half, first two quarters. We recognized approximately $7 million in Q3, and we expect roughly $9 million more in Q4, which gets us to the $22 million upper end of the range. And as I mentioned earlier, we've outlined 40 to 50 basis points roughly for org and we are heading towards the higher end of that range.

  • On timing, we recognized roughly $0.05 in the first half. It's really hard to pinpoint timing, just given the dynamic nature of when we're going to make investments and how, but roughly $0.04 to $0.06 in the second half, so overall $0.09 to $0.11 on a full year basis is related to timing. And the rest is the tax, which is $0.06.

  • Operator

  • Michael Gallo, CL King.

  • Michael Gallo - Analyst

  • Just two questions. I want to drill a little bit on the savings. As you have gone through the process, I was wondering if you're just realizing the savings faster than expected, or if you are going through the process, you're just finding more low-hanging fruit and more opportunities and things that you really hadn't thought about before when you put the savings together, or are you pretty much finding what you thought you would find?

  • Anthony Scaglione - EVP and CFO

  • I think overall from the org, when you outline the process, you have an estimate of what you expect to save for the org. There are some things that we didn't necessarily factor one for one. One being the share-based compensation expense associated with individuals, that may have been impacted through their redesign.

  • So that's, I would say, a new finding, but we are also benefiting from just overall lower T&E with those individuals that are no longer with the organization. Those are things that are going to ebb and flow over time, but overall from an organization standpoint, we are a little bit higher than what we expected and outlined, and it was a very robust process, a long term process. It was not just a percentage across the board. We are designing to the organization of the future, and that's why some of the investments we haven't made are critical.

  • And then on the procurement side, early phases, we've hired a head of procurement. He has put in place policies and practices. His next phase is really going to be on the compliance of those policies and practices, so it's a sustainable savings going forward. And we are well on our way, on the run rate that we've outlined on that front. And on the other, outlined for 2020, currently in process, and we expect that to begin to accelerate in 2017.

  • Michael Gallo - Analyst

  • Okay great. And then, second question I have is for Scott. I think you touched on earlier, that's the education vertical. I was wondering if you could speak, Scott, to what you think the opportunity for the education vertical is for ABM, as you look at a few years. I know you had a couple wins in the last quarter or so.

  • But it seems relative to your other industries, that you are tremendously under-indexed in that vertical, relative to where you should be. So have you started to frame around how big you should be in education? How long it might take you to get there, and with some focus, whether you already see early traction, at least with it getting more attention within the organization? Thanks.

  • Scott Salmirs - President and CEO

  • So I think it's too early on for us to sketch out where we can be three or four years from now, but I can tell you, just the fact, if you think about it, that we are focusing as one unit and one enterprise going after the market, with some basic standard operating procedures that we never have, is just going to be huge for us. And then pulling through our ABES technical services, we hired a gentleman named Dave Carpenter who was formerly of Aramark, where he ran their education business and the healthcare business, really, really tremendously experienced gentleman, and understands what is possible. He is encouraged. He came on board with us because he sees what the future can be in education, what the trajectory can be.

  • But it's less of probably a 2017 story than a 2018 story, as we start pulling the groups together. I could just give you one example with Department of Education in New York City here. It was a $20 million account that was already on our radar, because it wasn't performing well, and we were trying to put together an action plan as to how you can raise margin. We didn't think it was going to pan out, and fortunately for us from a timing standpoint, they made the decision to go in-house. So it was fortuitous event. So even before we could take action, to start cleaning up and getting our focus right on education, we had this forced event, which was again, fortuitous.

  • Again, when we look at year-over-year comparisons, it will look like the education vertical is shrinking, but the quality of the education vertical is going to be stronger. So, I am really enthusiastic about what this could be. We are a $250 million vertical in a sea of some larger competitors that all have a billion in front of their number. $1 billion, $2 billion in that market. So I think we have great trajectory, and the right team to go after it.

  • Michael Gallo - Analyst

  • Thanks very much.

  • Operator

  • Marc Riddick, Sidoti & Company.

  • Marc Riddick - Analyst

  • I wanted to go back over a little bit with the TAG revenue, and wondered if you could spend a little time talking about that, because the idea that there is a greater focus in that opportunity and twice the margins, that's great, but I was wondering if you can also shed a little light on maybe some of the areas, specific areas where you're having success in that transformation, and what you maybe are most excited about or might have greatest lakes going forward with TAG? And then I have a couple of follow ups.

  • Scott Salmirs - President and CEO

  • Sure. And I want to frame out what TAG revenue is and how you should think about it. TAG revenue is not passive, right? It is something that you go after. It is something that you're soliciting. So picture an office building, where we have a project manager there who is interacting with the client who would happen to be the building manager. And this is where you're going around and creatively looking for ways to hopefully add value to the building, but also help us create revenue and margin story. So you maybe, so there's different -- there's levers to pull but you had to actively go after it.

  • That's the buzz that's happening in the organization now. We have our portfolio managers talking to our project managers in the field, and having them have these really deep conversations with the clients about how we can add to that TAG revenue. So it's not something that just happens because the economy is good or what have you, you have to solicit it. And so we're seeing that happen, and I think that's the key driver, because our managers know that there is a much higher margin capture in that area. So that's been the key driver of this, it's been us actively pursuing TAG revenue.

  • Marc Riddick - Analyst

  • Okay, great. And wanted to touch also as far as some leadership spots. I wanted to get a sense of where you were as far as key hires, are there any open spots of the leadership areas that still need to be filled, or do you have those seats already filled going forward?

  • Scott Salmirs - President and CEO

  • When you look at the industry group itself, I think for the most part, we have our senior management in place. We are looking to build our sales infrastructure. We have a good one now, but that's going to be an area that you're going to see some build.

  • And then on the support services side, I mentioned some HR hires, we are also putting together a shared service center in Houston that's going to be the center of all of our financial transactions. So we have some work to do in terms of hiring on the support side, as well, but I think in terms of our client-facing portfolio management and project managers, I think we're probably 90% of the way there.

  • Marc Riddick - Analyst

  • Okay, excellent. Thank you very much.

  • Operator

  • Andy Wittmann, Robert W. Baird.

  • Andy Wittmann - Analyst

  • Great. So Scott, now that the phase one is done and the org chart is in place, just talked about that, now that the dust is settling, is there more fine-tuning that can happen there? An opportunity as you move through phase two, to refine that and find more?

  • Scott Salmirs - President and CEO

  • Yes. Well, I think so. And I think it's going to come in that center of excellence that I'm talking about earlier in my script. In terms of labor, let's take labor management.

  • We are a labor company. At the end of the day, we have 100,000 workers in there, that are performing their tasks out in the field. And right now, our approach has been pretty siloed. There are things that we do in Chicago, that we are not doing in New York. Things we do in New York, we're not doing in LA, and vice versa. And we haven't codified best practices, and I believe that when we go through this consistent excellence, center of excellence process that we have going on right now, in labor management, and account management, in our approach to how we're going to manage a client account, I think there is just great promise over the long term.

  • We have brought some people into the organization that worked at other companies that put together standard operating procedures, and actually went through a program of what we're doing now, of again codifying best practices. And they have talked to us about the trajectory they have seen internally. As you know, we've been working with Boston Consulting Group that does this across hundreds and hundreds of organizations in the service business.

  • So I think we are enthusiastic about what this can lead to in the long term, but it's just hard, Andy, right now to say what this can do next quarter or even the next six months. It's more about what is this going to be able to do for us in the coming years. It's a great, great story.

  • Andy Wittmann - Analyst

  • What about the level of disruption? Can you give us maybe a more detailed sense about where you are in terms of reassigning those, the account managers from service oriented to vertical end market oriented? It sounds like things are so far on track, but it also seems like there's another few months of this to go. I guess I'm just trying to get a sense of the potential risk or lack thereof risk, as those accounts get transitioned.

  • Scott Salmirs - President and CEO

  • I think we got through the biggest hurdle in terms of people knowing they have a seat at the organization. We've done the exits already. So all the tension that was built up in the organization prior to us making those announcements two or three months ago has been alleviated, because people know they have a role, they know they have a seat, and so that anxiety is past.

  • So now it's all about transitioning accounts, and we are probably 75% through the process at least, in terms of transitioning accounts. In terms of actually putting together actual plans for each account, we are even farther ahead. So I can tell you, and this is probably more anecdotal, but I can only think of probably even less than a handful of accounts where our team has come back and said, we're not exactly ready yet because it may be more than the client is ready to handle, because we just put this one person on the account. To take them off right now is not great timing. But I am telling you, less than a handful.

  • So for the most part, our clients have been really receptive. They know us well. And I said this before, this is not the first time we have transitioned managers from one account to another. We always did that on a regular basis too, to refresh accounts. So it's not like someone has been on an account as a project manager for seven years, and now all of a sudden we're taking them off and there's this dramatic shift.

  • So I will always say that there is caution, I will always say that there is risk, but I think so much of it, Andy, has been mitigated by the fact that people know that they have a seat, and they are working productively. And frankly, in an organization that is accelerating, right? If you think about what's happening here with our results, what's happening with our stock price. It's a great atmosphere at the firm here, and to know that you are part of this has been palpable.

  • Andy Wittmann - Analyst

  • All right. Thanks a lot.

  • Operator

  • Thank you. I would now like to turn the call back over to the Company for closing remarks.

  • Scott Salmirs - President and CEO

  • I just want to thank everybody for joining in. I hope everyone had a good summer. We are off to the fall, and good things ahead. And we will keep you posted on phase two and everything we get accomplished over the next few months until our next call.

  • So thanks for the time, and for sticking with us. We're excited about where we are going. Thank you.

  • Operator

  • Ladies and gentlemen, this concludes today's conference. Thank you for your participation, and have a wonderful day.