新思科技 (SNPS) 2002 Q2 法說會逐字稿

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  • Moderator

  • Ladies and

  • gentlemen, thank you for standing by and

  • welcome to the Synopsys conference call,

  • regarding its second quarter fiscal year

  • 2002 earnings and its merger with

  • Avanti! Corporation.

  • At this time, all participants are in a

  • listen only mode. Later we will conduct

  • a question and answer session and

  • instructions will be given at that time.

  • If you should require assistance during

  • the call, please press 0, followed by

  • star P today's call is scheduled to last

  • one hour, five minutes prior to the end

  • of the call, I will alert the conference

  • of the time remaining.

  • As a reminder, today's conference is

  • being recorded. During the course of

  • this conference call, Synopsys may make

  • predictions estimates and other

  • forward-looking statements regarding the

  • company. While these statements

  • represent the best judgment current

  • judgment about the company's future

  • performance, the company's actual

  • performance is subject to significant

  • results and uncertainty that could cause

  • actual results to differ materially from

  • those that may be projected. In

  • addition to any risks that's may be

  • highlighted during this conference call,

  • important factors that could cause the

  • company's actual results to differ

  • materially from those that may be

  • projected in this conference call are

  • described in the most recent 10K 10 Q F

  • 3 F 4 and 8K reports of Synopsys and

  • Avanti!. On file with the Security and

  • Exchange Commission. At this time, I

  • would like to turn the conference over

  • to chairman and chief executive officer,

  • Aart de Geus, pleased go ahead, sir.

  • Good

  • afternoon, this is Aart de Geus, I have

  • with me Brad Henske, our CFO. I'm

  • pleased to report this morning the

  • shareholders of Synopsys and Avanti!

  • overwhelmingly approved the merger of

  • these two companies. We appreciate the

  • vet of confidence from our shareholders

  • and believe they will be recognized the

  • mergeger brings together the two

  • companies with the best technology in

  • EDA innovative passionate people and

  • deep customer relationships.

  • As we announced earlier today the agents

  • waiting period has expired. On today's

  • call I would like to explain our vision

  • of Synopsis 3, the name we are using to

  • describe the post merger Synopsys. I

  • will intermingle pertinent Q2 results as

  • we cover the different topics.

  • Our vision has sharpened up considerably

  • over the last 6 since months we

  • announced the merger as we have gotten

  • know Avanti!'s people and products.

  • During that time the two companies have

  • individually made excellent progress as

  • well. Most notably, both physical come

  • power and Astro the anchor point

  • products of our future continue their

  • penetration into top accounts and grew

  • more robust as point tools. We're

  • excited finally to start executing

  • together.

  • Following strong enthusiasm at the

  • announcement of the merger customers

  • have been very vocal about their support

  • and their expectations. Their messages

  • have been loud and clear. First, they

  • want greater integration among our

  • products between front end and back-end

  • tools, between design and signal

  • integrity tools, between analog and

  • digital simulation tools and between

  • timing analysis and everything else.

  • Second, they want us to continue to

  • offer best in class solutions that are

  • open and easily connectible to third

  • party tools as well as to their own

  • in-house technology.

  • And of course, they want road maps to

  • both the tools and their integration and

  • they want them now.

  • They understand the power of the

  • combined company's technologies and they

  • want to make design flow decisions and

  • choose their partners right away.

  • We are committed to making initiate road

  • maps available within 30 days of the

  • close.

  • For the purpose of sharing our vision,

  • it is useful to go back to basics.

  • IC design can be interviewed as two

  • fundamental task sets, design creation

  • and design verification. The design

  • creation flow implements the design from

  • a high level description invariable HTL

  • all the way down to the minute detail of

  • the layout point. The objective of

  • design creation flow is to optimize the

  • final results for speed, area and power,

  • all within the market window, of course.

  • In contrast, the design verification

  • flow is much and more aimed at checking

  • for absolute accuracy. This applies

  • from high level descriptions in which

  • functionality is checked all the way

  • down to the physical domain, where every

  • detail of the chip is rigorously

  • verified and signed off.

  • Although the benefits of Avanti! merger

  • have been highly touted in the design

  • creation flow, Avanti! actually adds

  • enterprise value to the verification

  • flow as well.

  • Let's talk about design creation. Top

  • to bottom the principle tasks are floor

  • planning, synthesis, placement, routing

  • extraction, signal integrity, and timing

  • analysis. Against this list be, the

  • combined company instantly has a broad

  • portfolio of best in class point tools.

  • This is great news. We will continue to

  • invest in point tools. They will not

  • only build our own flows, but will also

  • ton play a central role in customer's

  • flows that may use pieces from Cadence,

  • mentor, Magna or others.

  • Focusing only on point tools, though,

  • would completely miss the point of the

  • Synopsys Avanti! merger. The real point

  • is to deliver a next generation design

  • flow for .03 and .09-micron. Such a

  • flow requires a great deal of tool

  • integration.

  • To understand why the combination of

  • Synopsys and Avanti! is so powerful, let

  • me take you back about three years fo a

  • time when we predicted three successes

  • evolutions in the design creation flow

  • First, below point 25 micron the delays

  • on a chip move increasingly from gates

  • to the interconnect. For any high

  • performance designs, this trend requires

  • that synthesis and placement merge.

  • Synopsys let the solution to this trend

  • by introducing physical compiler.

  • Second, below .18-micron, previously

  • negligible physical phenomenon, such as

  • [cross talk] begin messing up signals in

  • unexpected and sometimes disastrous

  • ways. This trend requires that routing

  • and signal integrity verification merge.

  • Avanti! addresses this challenge with

  • Astro, which succeeds the Apollo

  • project, product.

  • Third, below .13-micron, chip complexity

  • is enormous. This trend requires an

  • entity great design flow book ended by

  • floor planning and a rock solid physical

  • database. And [signoff] is

  • state-of-the-art timing verification.

  • The reason the new Synopsys is so

  • exciteing to our customers is that the

  • merger greatly accelerates our momentum

  • in all three of these trends. Starting

  • with the first trend of integrated sin

  • think is the cities and placement we

  • have made great progress. Physical

  • compiler had a record quarter for orders

  • and revenue.

  • In Q2 there were 131st time purchases,

  • 20 repeat customers. To date, we count

  • I68 customers for our physical synthesis

  • product. Although we can no longer

  • measure the take off count precisely, we

  • estimate there are well over 800

  • [tape-outs] using physical compiler.

  • Physical compiler is critical to many

  • customers today. Let me give you just

  • one in-depth example.

  • Texas instruments recently used PC to

  • tape-out multiple versions of their next

  • generation flagship digital signal

  • processor chip, the TMS 320C64X, a big

  • name. It's 600-megahertz .13-micron

  • 64 million transistor device. This

  • platform enables full convergence of

  • video, voice, and data on all broadband

  • networks for TI large based station

  • systems market. These next generation

  • Eves which TI is shipping today not only

  • mark a performance milestone but also

  • become the platform for most of TI's

  • future ESP products. TI was able to

  • achieve timing closure and save two

  • months in design cycle time.

  • As this example shows, TI is making the

  • highest performance designs on our

  • physical compiler.

  • By the way, the layout of these devices

  • were done using the Avanti! router.

  • For flows requiring less performance

  • than physical compiler, design compiler

  • remains the industry workhorse. Just

  • last quarter, we issued a new release of

  • design compiler with impressive stats.

  • Up to two weekss faster flow times 16%

  • higher circuit speed and 14% smaller

  • area, not to mention a number of

  • enhancements aimed at ease of use.

  • A higher version of design compiler and

  • DC Ultra had record bookings in Q2. Our

  • thinking has evolved on how design

  • compiler and physical compiler play

  • together. We're finding that it is very

  • common for customers to buy a PC license

  • as an addition to their design flow

  • rather than unplug their DC licenses all

  • together. In many cases they use DC

  • quote on top of PC. DC helps them

  • design small portions of a larger block

  • then they feed those portions to PC to

  • finalize and place the entire block.

  • When used in this way our estimate is

  • that customers use 3 to 4 DCs to feed

  • one physical compiler

  • l this is called the technical

  • optimization and a cost opposition for

  • the customer.

  • Overall we're still in the early stages

  • of the upgrade cycle from DC to PC, and

  • we see the two co-existing for many

  • years. One aspect of our upgrade

  • strategy has been to enhance the power

  • of PC for use at the [ITL] level which

  • will promote more rapid replacements of

  • DC with PC. In any event, there is no

  • doubt PC and DC will be key products for

  • us in the foreseeable future and we

  • expect the combined revenue from both to

  • grow.

  • The second trend in merging is bringing

  • together of routing and signal integrity

  • solutions. Astro, the new backhand

  • system from Avanti! is just starting to

  • catch on to meet this need. Billed as a

  • replacement for Apollo, Astro's benefits

  • include parallel routing capabilities,

  • 3 X faster run time than Apollo and an

  • array of signal integrity prevention and

  • repair features targeted at .03 and

  • .09 design. So what about Astro's route

  • compiler, you might ask?

  • Route compiler is an excellent piece of

  • routing technology and has progressed

  • remarkably in the past six months. We

  • have decided to focus first on

  • integrating physical compiler and Apollo

  • Astro. We have some important customers

  • who are using route compiler and we are

  • working closely with them to determine

  • how best to continue to meet their

  • needs. Some of you have also asked

  • about PC and Apollo Astro in terms of

  • placement. The two technologies are

  • complementary. In most cases, physical

  • compiler will be used for the placement

  • of high performance, timing critical

  • blocks and Apollo Astro will be used for

  • the rest of the chip placement routing

  • and assembly.

  • Customer acceptance of Astro is growing

  • rapidly. Last quarter, new license

  • bookings for Astro were equal to the new

  • license bookings for Apollo. To date,

  • Astro has already been licensed by

  • 63 customers, including 6 of the

  • 10 largest semi-conductor companies.

  • After your combined synthesis and

  • placement on the one hand and routing

  • and signal integrity on the other, the

  • next logical step is to combine both

  • sets of tools into a single

  • well-connected flow. That is by far the

  • number 1 wish of our customers. It's

  • what makes PC plus Astro an immediate

  • winner. We have made the integration of

  • these tools our top priority and expect

  • to deliver initial results to customers

  • in a matter of months.

  • Now, let's move to trend 3 from below

  • .13-micron. As you may recall, this

  • trend required and integrated design

  • flow book end by floor planning and a

  • rock solid physical database and signed

  • off with state-of-the-art timing

  • verification.

  • Over and above what we're doing with PC

  • and Astro, our immediate first step is

  • to integrate prime time with the milky

  • way database. Not surprisingly, this

  • has been the second most frequent asked

  • request from our customers.

  • Customers realize that the Milky Way

  • database brings together much of the

  • detailed information that ultimately

  • determines delays on a chip. During the

  • entire design process those delays have

  • to be verified buy sign-off timing

  • verifier over and over again. As you

  • can see, timing really is the backbone

  • of modern design.

  • A number of years ago, we also

  • recognized the impact of signal

  • integrity on timing. For that reason,

  • we have continued to improve prime time,

  • and recently added signal integrity

  • analysis capabilities to it. Since

  • then, it has continued to gain

  • acceptance as the most trusted static

  • timing analysis tool in the industry.

  • In Q2, prime time SI, where the SI

  • stands for signal integrity, had its

  • highest orders to date. We're still

  • thein the early stages of the upgrade

  • cycle, but by the end of the fiscal year

  • we estimate the SI option will Actuate

  • for over 10% of PrimeTime's over

  • bookings. Our customers request to

  • connect PrimeTime to Milky Way makes a

  • lot of sense. In Milky Way we have a

  • state-of-the-art very robust database.

  • In PrimeTime and PrimeTime SI, we have

  • the leading timing verification tool,

  • connecting the two brings the leading

  • advantages to our customers design tool

  • by establishing a consistent way of

  • verifying timing throughout the process.

  • Now that I've covered the database and

  • timing verification, let me spend a

  • minute on floor planning. Although most

  • customers prefer to design their chips

  • flat, for design over 5 million figs or

  • more a high graphical approach which

  • breaks the design up into smaller

  • components is critical. For these

  • designs floor planning tools have begun

  • to attract customer's attention. We

  • believe that about quarter of today's

  • designs would benefit from the use of a

  • floor planner. Current solutions still

  • work for large designs that don't push

  • the performance limits of the silly can.

  • But they choke on the demands of high

  • density, high-speed chips.

  • To meet this challenge we have been

  • retooling our floor, planner a project

  • most of you know as Hidden Dragon. This

  • product will be targeted as designs that

  • push the limits of timing congestion and

  • area. Stay tuned for more on this topic

  • at any design automation conference next

  • week.

  • Through the merger we will also acquire

  • Avanti!'s Jupiter which has a sizable

  • customer base. Jupiter will continue to

  • be sold into design floors that use

  • design power at the front end while the

  • Hidden Dragon product will be sold at

  • the high end on into design flows that

  • used physical compiler and as an upgrade

  • to Jupiter.

  • The summary of these three trends is

  • veryle. The core of the design creation

  • flow rests on four pillars, physical

  • compiler, Astro, PrimeTime, and Milky

  • Way. Each one of these is best in

  • class. Around this set of pillars,

  • Synopsys can sell additional

  • technologies. Our leadership in tests

  • and our number 1 position in extraction

  • complement this flow perfectly, in

  • addition Avanti!'s OPC, optical

  • proximity connection, adds the final

  • touch to the layout prior to making the

  • actual fabrication.

  • Moving forward we will approve product

  • integration to our leading edge

  • customers within months. We believe

  • there is no company so well-positioned

  • as Synopsys to deliver such a completes

  • high performance design flow with so

  • little risk to the customer.

  • Our product rollout approach will be the

  • same as it has been for the last 15

  • years. Deliver revolutionary technology

  • in an evolutionary manner. Existing

  • customers will see their design power in

  • Apollo investments migrate seamlessly

  • into the physical compiler Astro flow.

  • Potential customers are already

  • comparing the benefits of our solution

  • to others, with renewed interest.

  • As a result, we believe that Synopsys

  • will capture significant market share in

  • the quarters to come.

  • I have talked a lot about design

  • creation. Let's now move to design

  • verification.

  • Here I would like to highlight two

  • areas. First, our increased opportunity

  • in analog and mixed signals and second

  • the major announcement yesterday on our

  • move into smart verification.

  • Let me start with our increased

  • opportunity in analog and mixed signals.

  • This is an area in which both Synopsys

  • and Avanti! were each contenders but the

  • combination of the two makes us a major

  • force. With complex chips considerable

  • attention has been focused on the growth

  • and importance of analog design. What

  • is not well understood is that analog

  • design consists mostly of small discreet

  • components on a chip that will be

  • predominantly digital. So while the

  • design of the analog is certainly tricky

  • it is equally important to verify the

  • analog part of a design efficiently in

  • the context of the chip as a whole.

  • This combinational scenario is referred

  • to as mixed signal verification.

  • the market for analog mixed signal

  • verification tools is over 200 million.

  • It's a sizable opportunity and one that

  • we are only now fully able to address.

  • In practice, designers need very

  • detailed simulation of the transistor

  • level for the analog blocks. The gold

  • standard for comprehensive circuit

  • simulation today is called spice level

  • simulation. But designers also need

  • something called fast spice simulation

  • for transistor circuits that are very

  • large but can be verified with a bit

  • less accuracy. With fast spice you run

  • simulation 100 times faster, but you

  • give up some accuracy.

  • Last, but not least, designers need

  • [inaudible] simulation for the digital

  • portions. Following the same trends as

  • highlighted in design creation, ideally

  • one would like to have all these

  • simulators interact seamlessly with one

  • another. This is another area, where

  • the combination of Synopsys and Avanti!

  • is very powerful. We absolutely have a

  • set of best in class verification tools.

  • H-Spice from Avanti! is the market

  • cheerleader at the spice level.

  • [Nansyns] from Synopsys and [Starsyn]

  • from Avanti! make up the lion's share of

  • the fast spice market. And VCS is the

  • most advanced gate in RTL simulator on

  • the market today.

  • In addition, Avanti!'s Taurus TCAD or

  • technology computer-aided design family

  • of products is a leader in this market.

  • These tools feed the key library data to

  • all these simulators, what makes our

  • simulation position so strong is all

  • these simulation tools are doing very

  • good business.

  • [Nanosyn] for example has an exceptional

  • Q2 reflect recent accuracy improvements

  • for transistor simulation and new links

  • to VCS. We saw strong renewals and new

  • sales especially in Asia Pacific. In

  • addition, [Nanosyn] recently displayed

  • [NAPA] in two top semi-conductor houses.

  • Integrating these tools with one another

  • is not only feasible but has already

  • begun. The connects between Nan no sand

  • VCS has turned out to be a major

  • positive for our customers, it is only a

  • matter of months before we will

  • integrate H-Spice in a similar fashion.

  • VCS as you know is a powerful anchor

  • point in high performance design.

  • The topic of VCF brings me to

  • yesterday's announcement while much of

  • the attention of Synopsys in the past

  • has been focused on the merger we have

  • quietly been putting the final touches

  • on the bold new approach to verification

  • which we call smart verification.

  • Personal verification in a particular

  • simulation has increasingly come to be

  • interviewed as a commodity business.

  • Not anymore, smart verification changes

  • the game although we call it VCS 7.0, we

  • have transformed VCS from a point tool

  • to a whole new verification platform.

  • It brings an integrated solution to high

  • level verification for the first time.

  • At the center of the platform is an

  • improved VCS simulator. As you are

  • aware, VCS is the platform of choice for

  • verifying large multi-million gauge

  • chips. The Lenix version has been

  • especially successful in large round the

  • clock computer farms. During Q2, major

  • VC customers included ANV, Broadcom,

  • [inaudible] [redback] and Teradyne. I'm

  • pleased to announce that also in Q2

  • microelectronics endorsed VCS for a

  • sign-off. With smart verification, we

  • have now revved up the core simulation

  • engines under the hood so to speak W a

  • host of powerful capabilities previously

  • available only as independent point

  • tools.

  • These include [Veralite] a subset of the

  • open Vera language, which produces

  • significant improvements in verification

  • productivity . Built-in support for

  • open [inaudible] assertions which helps

  • designers easily capture their design

  • specifics and use simulation to verify

  • to those specifics. Advanced code

  • coverage capabilities that provide

  • feedback to increase designer's

  • confidence about their verification

  • quality.

  • And [inaudible] cycle C support, which

  • enables up to 10X performance

  • improvement over HTL simulation for

  • [inaudible] RTL design.

  • Users see this new platform both as a

  • major technology step forward and as a

  • significant price performance

  • improvement since it reduces the number

  • of these point tools that they must buy.

  • As many of you know, I could talk to you

  • forever about technology. In fact,

  • looking at my watch, I nearly have. In

  • the end, however, technology is no good

  • if your customers aren't using it or if

  • you don't trust, or if they don't trust

  • you with their most complex chips. That

  • is why it was so gratifying for us to be

  • selected in April by Texas instruments

  • to receive their supplier excellence

  • award for 2001. We are the first EDA

  • company to receive this award since they

  • established it in 1983.

  • TI gives it annually to the top one-half

  • percent of their suppliers. In giving

  • us the award TI said that our

  • relationship Has the proved vital to

  • enhancing their ability to bring

  • advanced products to market with minimum

  • risk.

  • As far as I'm concerned this this type

  • of relationship we want to have with all

  • our customers.

  • In closing, let me say that the merger

  • is more than just the acquisition of a

  • technology powerhouse. We are also

  • bringing together two teams of people

  • with a passion for technology in the

  • service of customers and their designs.

  • Some of the people with this passion

  • include Paul Lo, former president of

  • Avanti! who is joining our executive

  • staff as a senior vice-president.

  • In addition, a majority of Avanti!'s key

  • managers will join us. Leading

  • technologists from both companies are

  • already fully engaged to bring our

  • product strategies together as rapidly

  • as possible.

  • Our field forces will be consolidated

  • within weeks and visiting customers with

  • road maps in 30 days.

  • There is no question in our mind that a

  • number of very talend and motivated

  • people are joining our team note

  • talented.

  • Now customers are eager to see us

  • deliver on the promise of the meger.

  • This is something they have asked for

  • and we will satisfy their wishes quickry

  • and comprehensively. The merger

  • accelerates our strategy and leased us

  • leapfrogs us into the next league. The

  • race is on and we've hit the ground now

  • running.

  • Let me now turn it over to Brad Henske

  • our CFO who will give you a brief view

  • from our financial perspective.

  • Brad Henske - CFO

  • !!! Thanks,

  • Aart. I'd like to start with a brief

  • review of our perspective from the

  • quarter talk about the Avanti!

  • acquisition, now six months after

  • signing, and then describe our

  • perspective for future and guidance I

  • will then open the call to Q and A.

  • In a tough environment for 2002 was a

  • good quarter for Synopsys. Our revenues

  • came in at the middle of our guidance

  • range, expenses at the bottom, and

  • earnings per will good share was 39

  • cents, above the top of our target

  • range.

  • The semi-conductor environment continues

  • unchanged from last quarter. Shipments

  • continue to be flat although the

  • beginnings of somewhat modest uptic in

  • March and April. Almost no one expects

  • much incremental down side from here, at

  • the same time, few will profess to have

  • a confident few of the timing and

  • magnitude of the upturn. The volatility

  • of decision-making and timing on tool

  • purchases within our customers

  • continues.

  • In this environment, customers are

  • focusing on the critical needs and

  • consolidating their purchases with the

  • design partners they think will help

  • them be the most successful over the

  • next few years. We value being chosen

  • as such a critical partner expect to

  • become more so thin fureture. So

  • despite a tough environment continuing

  • we had a good quarter.

  • Let me now turn to the results. Total

  • revenue for the quarter, as I said, was

  • 185.6 million. Total software revenue

  • including maintenance, drew 21% versus

  • the same quarter last year, while total

  • revenue grew 14% driven by lower

  • performance of our consulting and

  • training businesses.

  • Rateable life [inaudible] continues to

  • grow. It was 67.6 million for the

  • quarter or 40% of software revenue.

  • While our consulting and training

  • businesses continue to be under

  • considerable pressure, consistent with

  • what is reported, revenue and order

  • showed a modest uptic in the quarter

  • over Q1.

  • For the quarter, 79% of our software

  • product bookings were subscription

  • licenses. The average [audible]

  • bookings in Q2 02 was 3.2 years,

  • consistent with our target. We booked

  • only 21% of our software orders, and

  • licenses where the revenue was

  • recognized in the quarter, at the low

  • end of our target range for the quarter

  • and by far the lowest of any of the EDA

  • companies.

  • Services revenue totalled 65.8 million

  • download sequentially year-over-year

  • driven by the natural conversion of all

  • maintenance streams to TSLs and lower

  • levels of maintenance renewals as

  • customers continue to try and cut

  • corners by trying to get by temporarily

  • without support.

  • Overall growth margin was 81.5% revenue,

  • up 1.5% compared to prior quarter,

  • largely attributable to head count

  • reductions in our consulting group .

  • Our aggregate EGB operating expenses,

  • including cost of goods were

  • 161.8 million which was at the lower end

  • of our guidance.

  • Operating earnings were 23.9 million, up

  • 23.2 million from the same quarter a

  • year ago. Operating margin was 13%, as

  • we said before, we expect to exit the

  • year around 30%.

  • Other income was 11.2, million inclusive

  • of the termination fee from [Icode], net

  • of its expenses and two write-downs in

  • our venture portfolio. Earnings before

  • goodwill amounted to 39 cents per share,

  • above our guidance and up 63% from the

  • same quarter last year. Diluted share

  • account was 64.9 million. Cash and

  • short-term investments continued to be

  • strong with our Q2 balance ending at

  • 532 million, up $93 million from the

  • prior quarter.

  • Accounts receivable totalled 152 million

  • for the quarter. DSO was 74 days.

  • Deferred revenue at the end of the

  • quarter was 397 million up 54% from the

  • same quarter a year ago and up 6% from

  • last quarter.

  • During the quarter we repurchased no

  • shares, as restricted throughout almost

  • all of the quarter in anticipation of

  • closing our acquisition of Avanti!. We

  • will resume the program this quarter.

  • Head count totalled 3056 employees for

  • the quarter, down 177 from the prior

  • quarter reflecting our work force

  • reduction undertaken early this quarter.

  • Let me now move to our view of where we

  • are today as we are about to close the

  • Avanti! acquisition versus what we

  • expected in December. It is almost all

  • positive news. We are closing on time.

  • The business did better than we expected

  • over the period for both orders and

  • revenue. We will be able to recognize

  • the bulk of Avanti!s pre-acquisition

  • deferred revenue and backlog in terms of

  • business going forward. We are getting

  • one hundred million dollars more cash

  • than we expected. A number of assets we

  • which adescribe no value including

  • investments aser labs in the venture

  • fund which are material future cash

  • flow. Pricing is held and attrition has

  • been low across the company.

  • On the negative side the cost of

  • facilities closes will be higher as the

  • real estate market has deteriorated in

  • silicone valley and across the world.

  • Also, we will inherited a complicated

  • tax situation which we'll have to

  • integrate into our tax planning going

  • forward.

  • Finally, I'd like to describe our

  • expectations for the future what the

  • transaction means for the commission and

  • reported results of our business. As I

  • mentioned earlier visibility continues

  • to be full poor in the semi-conductor

  • industry. Most estimates expect it will

  • grow in the mid teens next year not

  • reach its previous revenue high pointed

  • of 2000. The estimates R and D spending

  • will grow in the mid single digits we

  • don't necessarily have any unique

  • forecasting ability this is consistent

  • with our current view.

  • With these assumptions as a starting

  • point we expect the revenue for physical

  • 2003 will be approximately 1.3 billion,

  • 15% growth over the full 2002 year

  • combined companies. We expects expenses

  • of approximately 920 million, we expect

  • earnings will be $3.25 per share. We

  • will continue to reported earnings on a

  • proforma basis before certain costs and

  • charges, these will include the

  • amortization of goodwill and

  • specifically identified intangibles,

  • transition officer related to the avanty

  • acquisition and integration expenses.

  • Despite closeing the transaction in the

  • middle of the quarter with partial

  • quarter impact we have reasonable good

  • visibility in Q3 we expects revenues

  • between 230 and 240 million.

  • Total expenses of 189 to 193 million.

  • Other income expense to 12 to

  • 14 million, including approximately

  • 10 million investment sale gains.

  • Investment gains will be somewhat more

  • volatile going forward since the number

  • of Avanti! investments which we require

  • mark to mark on a quarterly basis.

  • Our outstanding shares of 75 to

  • 78 million. A proforma tax rate of

  • 34 1/2 percent proforma earnings of

  • 43, say 48 to 53 cents per share. For

  • the full physical 2002, we expect

  • revenue between 905 and 925 million,

  • total expenses of 720 to 735 million,

  • other INE of 38 to 40 million, including

  • approximately 22 million investment sale

  • gains, outstanding shares of 75 to

  • 78 million, a proforma tax rate of

  • 32 1/2%, which will continue to 2003,

  • and proforma earnings of $2 to $2.10 a

  • share.

  • Judging from the number of questions

  • that we've received, considerable

  • efforts on the part of investors and

  • analysts is going into modeling our

  • business.

  • With that we'd like fo help with some

  • additional guidance and assumptions. On

  • license mix Avanti! license mix is

  • included 40 to 50% perpetuals with

  • remainder booked subscription licenses.

  • We will drive this toward Synopsys

  • stand-alone license mix of 20 to 25% per

  • perpetuals.

  • For the remainder of 2002, we expect a

  • combined mix of approximately 25 to 30%

  • perpetuals. For 2003, approximately

  • 22 to 27% perpetual licenses. This

  • remains the lowest mix of licenses with

  • revenues in the quarter booked of any

  • major competitor in our industry. We

  • expect the duration of subsriptions will

  • be roughly between 3 and 3 1/4 years,

  • and like the impact of the original

  • change in Synopsys license mix, the

  • impact of moving the license mix of

  • Avanti! to be similar to Synopsys,

  • reduce reported revenue by about

  • $50 million in the remainder of 2002 and

  • about 60 million in 2003, versus the two

  • companies stand-alone rate of course to

  • the difference will go into backlog.

  • l as we announced previously the FCC is

  • concerned concurred with us with respect

  • to how we will recognize the revenue

  • from Avanti!'s pre-acquisition deferred

  • revenue and backlog. We will be able to

  • recognize approximately 70 to 80 % of

  • aggregate at closing. The impact of

  • this accounting haircut will be do

  • reduce reported revenue by approximately

  • 45 million dollars to the remainder of

  • 2002 and $15 million in 2003 again

  • versus the stand-alone rate of the two

  • companies.

  • In 2003 we expect our reported revenue

  • will be made up of approximately 15 to

  • 20% product, 50 to 55% subscription, and

  • 30 to 35% services revenue.

  • We expect integration expenses one time

  • charges in Q3 will be slightly more than

  • $100 million including $95 million for

  • our litigation insurance policy and

  • approximately 5 million for various

  • integration activities there will be

  • additional integration expenses in Q4

  • and 2003 in addition merger costs of

  • approximately 70 million for facilities

  • closure, 15 million for severance and

  • personnel related charges 27 1/2 million

  • for professional fees and 5.6 million

  • for other deal related expenses willing

  • be included in the the total purchase

  • price of Avanti!.

  • Our share count, as I mentioned the

  • average share count in Q3 will be

  • approximately 75 to 78 million. For Q4

  • in 2003 take into account the full

  • period fully diluted outstanding shares

  • will be approximately 80 to 84 million,

  • including over the 14.8 million shares

  • issues for the acquisition.

  • So in summary we're off and running very

  • excited about our future as a combined

  • company. Thank you for your attention

  • we are now open for questions.

  • Moderator

  • Thank you. Ladies

  • and gentlemen, if you wish to ask a

  • question, please press the one on your

  • touch-tone phone. You will hear a tone

  • indicating you've been places in queue

  • and you may remove yourself from queue

  • at any time by pressing the # key. If

  • you are using a speaker phone please

  • pick up your handset before pressing the

  • numbers and your first question comes

  • from the line of Jessica [Coracklas] of

  • Goldman Sachs.

  • Analyst

  • Hi everyone, I think

  • probably what the biggest question I

  • have is what-actually was the guidance.

  • I think people would have expected the

  • aincreasing to have been a little bit

  • better than what you're guideing to, can

  • you talk a little bit more about what

  • assumptions are there I guess what level

  • of orders growth you're expecting for

  • the combined company for this year and

  • for next year?

  • That would be helpful,, thank you .

  • Sure. So

  • let me take those in reverse order. As

  • I said, I think we expect our R and D

  • spending among our customers to grow in

  • the mid to high single digits next year

  • it's clearly in the single digits this

  • year. I believe that in 2003 we will do

  • modestly better than that given we're

  • now close to half of the industry our

  • business is our major competitive

  • business is going to be driven where

  • R and D spending goes with our customers.

  • In terms of assumptions more suspension

  • thing you're looking for?

  • Analyst

  • Well, it's just more

  • again I'm just looking at my numbers and

  • for example the for the July quarter it

  • just seems like I'm not exactly sure

  • where the disconnect is between my

  • numbers and frankly your numbers and the

  • guidance you have for next quarter for

  • the July quarter I'm just trying to see

  • where the disconnect is, if it's in the

  • base Synopsys business where you are

  • becoming a little more conservative or

  • if maybe it's related to the

  • subscription late for this quarter of

  • what you think it is or is it related to

  • the Avanti! business in maybe thinking

  • there might be some sale disruption,

  • there again I'm just trying to figure

  • out what the disconnect is between my

  • model and your model, Brad, that's all.

  • It's hard

  • to compare without looking at both of

  • them but I suspect at least in Q3 the

  • biggest impact is going to be what

  • happens to deferred what we talked about

  • and the change in the license mix. Our

  • view of orders for the quarter, both for

  • our business and to the extent we had

  • one for the Avanti! business is not

  • changed.

  • Analyst

  • Do you think it will

  • be immediate in terms of variable to

  • switch over to the Avanti! models on the

  • subscription side just to be clear?

  • Yes.

  • Analyst

  • All right. Great.

  • Thanks.

  • Moderator

  • Thank you. Your

  • next question comes from the line of Rog

  • [inaudible] from Fullen and company.

  • Analyst

  • Yeah. Thanks.

  • Aart, I wonder if you can step back from

  • some of the detail you talked about in

  • terms of products and just cut your

  • business into segments and size those

  • for us?

  • Roughly, even and talk about what you

  • think relative growth is in each of the

  • major segments. You talked for example

  • about physical compiler and design

  • compiler growing together, growing, into

  • next year. How much of growth that

  • you're expecting comes for example from

  • that segment?

  • You've done that historically for

  • Synopsys as a stand-alone, can you talk

  • a little bit about the combined company

  • and where you see growth coming from?

  • Rog, as

  • you're asking this question I see a

  • whole bunch of people making faces at

  • the table here because yesterday we

  • debated for like an hour the fact that

  • we wanted to move away from these

  • segments because the problem is becoming

  • more and more integrated. So the very

  • direction we're seeing the market go is

  • towards having a central flow that's

  • made up both on front end tools and

  • back-end tools.

  • At the same time, I can sympathize with

  • some of the need of understanding a

  • little bit so what's hot and what's not,

  • where are the areas that we see good

  • moves forward.

  • So let me fall back a little bit on the

  • older cuts of on one hand having some of

  • the design creation that is very much

  • the front end. There, I think we are

  • very much in the middle of the growth

  • rate that the rest of our company has.

  • It's very much the company is a growth

  • rate.

  • For the site of Synopsys that was very

  • much towards the design integrity side,

  • which some people would have called in

  • the past, the epic tools there also,

  • some timing there, there, we have seen

  • remarkably strong growth, so we call

  • that a year-and-a-half or so ago that

  • was an area, that was lagging the

  • company, now, I think it is a little bit

  • ahead.

  • The area that is the verification,

  • meaning the simulation, and the system

  • side, is relatively solid, but not

  • outstanding growth. The picture I'm

  • trying to paint here is all in all a

  • fairly balanced picture. This is just

  • before we're now starting to scramble

  • this all up, and move toward much more

  • integrated flow.

  • Into this picture of course comes

  • Avanti!, Avanti! has had reasonably very

  • strong quarters, as customers are

  • starting to look at their technology

  • with renewed interest, and as they are

  • rolling out Astro. And so I think Astro

  • has just come out of sort of the alpha

  • beta phases and now is really a product

  • to go to the market with heavy duty

  • In that sense the timing is perfect.

  • Analyst

  • As it relates to the

  • Avanti! business, can you give any more

  • detail, in terms of the portion of

  • Avanti!'s business, for example, that

  • comes from routing products relative to

  • some of their verification products and

  • other products, and Aart, is it your

  • view that there's any fundamental reason

  • that physical design products either

  • offered by Avanti! or others in the

  • industry, are growing at a higher rate

  • than products that have classic lie been

  • designed do be in the logic design

  • space, is there any reason for that

  • that?

  • Is that in fact true?

  • You know,

  • Avanti! has never had much of a product

  • split. And so I'm still a little bit

  • uncomfortable giving a lot of detail

  • partially because off the top of my

  • head, I wouldn't be able to cite that.

  • I think it is fair to say the routing

  • portion of the business is probably

  • about half of the company. And but

  • routing cannot be split from placement,

  • which cannot be split from the database,

  • which really cannot quite be split from

  • a number of the extraction tools.

  • They're very connected. And Avanti! has

  • done extremely well in doing that.

  • l I think that the, the back-end tools

  • have done well recently, partially,

  • because it is just unvoidble that you

  • need to have them, and because they have

  • been all in all quite capable of holding

  • their price at a high level

  • l and so as we now move forward we will

  • integrate more and more into that base,

  • and I think overall, that will help the

  • whole company hold price quite well.

  • Analyst

  • Let me make sure I

  • understood your answer. Is it your view

  • that industry growth in product centered

  • in the physical design state is somewhat

  • higher than products in the logic on the

  • logic side?

  • Actually, it is

  • not my view, but I think these things

  • come a little bit in waves. You have

  • two or three-quarters where there's a

  • little bit more emphasis on the

  • back-end, there's two or three-quarters

  • where there's more emphasis on the front

  • end. The reality is you neneed a

  • complete flow and the competition on the

  • back-end has been fairly low. There

  • have been very few players, and so I

  • think that is why the back-end has been

  • able to hold price very, very well. But

  • in general, I'm fundamentally not a

  • believe that one segment will grow over

  • time more than another. I think they

  • are very much on par.

  • Analyst

  • Okay. Brad, I'll

  • hang up after this last question. Can

  • you talk briefly about what you need to

  • do, in terms of sales force integration,

  • what's going on there?

  • sure. It's pretty

  • simple. You need to figure out who the

  • resulting sales groups are, who the

  • account teams will be and then get them

  • aligns with their accounts with quotas.

  • We will be done on Monday.

  • Analyst

  • All right. Thank

  • you.

  • Moderator

  • Your next question

  • comes from the line of David [Raiser]

  • with Morgan Stanley.

  • Analyst

  • Just a question I

  • guess for Brad. It's just sort of a

  • follow-up to Jessica just to get some

  • clarification. Brad, could you just

  • give us some idea of what, from a

  • revenue and EPS standpoint the

  • stand-alone business, what in your

  • forecast for E 2 and 03 the stand-alone

  • business is contributing just so we can

  • get an idea here what Avanti! is

  • contributing versus a stand-alone

  • business so we can get an idea both from

  • a revenue and EPS standpoint really

  • what's implicit in your guidance.

  • David,

  • unfortunately, I can't, because given

  • how close the businesses are and how

  • rapidly we're going to integrate them,

  • all of the transactions with the

  • customers will be common. The cost

  • structure within a month or two will be

  • almost completely common. We did not

  • even, as part of our own planning

  • attempt to try and break out a separate

  • quote Synopsys and separate Avanti!.

  • Analyst

  • If we're just

  • trying, I mean, is it possible you can

  • just give us even from an earnings

  • perspective. There were expectations

  • set even for this year, as to, you know

  • A bar for revenue growth in the

  • stand-alone business, and a bar of those

  • $2 in earnings for the stand-alone

  • business. And before we move on, I

  • think it would just help if we can get

  • some aappreciation of how is-what is

  • that stand-alone number now improvement

  • in the guidance?

  • Has that stand-alone number change

  • for '02 or '03 O is this something we

  • can view as being generally consistent

  • in the modifications to the numbers are

  • largely just Avanti! being followed in?

  • so, for '02, we

  • didn't do a plan. I think it's

  • consistent with what we had put out of

  • $2 before. For '03, we had not given

  • any guidance so there's nothing fo be

  • consistent with

  • Analyst

  • You would say the

  • stand-alone business is still roughly

  • $2, there's really been no modification

  • there, roughly the revenue bar that was

  • sets for Synopsys, whatever people have

  • been looking for in a stand-alone basis

  • is roughly unchanged as well, and the

  • incremental changes here are basically

  • just Avanti! being followed in to

  • roughly you know, where people had gone

  • following the January quarter?

  • Brad Henske - CFO

  • yeah. I think a

  • better way to say it is that the outlook

  • for our existing business has not

  • changed. There's obviously a lot of

  • moving parts with integration and all

  • the things that are going on with

  • deferred license yeah, the underlying

  • business is $2.

  • Analyst

  • One other thing,

  • just on '03, you had stated that your,

  • you know, your bookings guidance really

  • hadn't changed for '02 and '03, either

  • for Avanti! or Synopsys. I don't

  • believe you had really given I believe

  • you had spoken to growth in bookings in

  • 02 I guess that's single digit boxings

  • in 02 for stand-alone business. Can you

  • give us some appreciation of what it is

  • now for the combined entity

  • pore '02 and '03.

  • for the combined

  • entity I think in the same place

  • in '0 the 2. As I said in '03 the

  • expectations for our customers are

  • indeed spending up in the high single

  • digits.

  • Analyst

  • You would expect the

  • book goes to track that.

  • yeah, I think we'll

  • do little boat ter 03 in the market as a

  • whole we get paid out of R and D spending

  • as do our competitors, therefore none of

  • us diverge wildly from that number in

  • any given year.

  • Analyst

  • Great. Thanks a

  • lot.

  • Moderator

  • Okay. Your next

  • question comes there the line of Gregg

  • [Wagenhoffer] from [GSSC].

  • Analyst

  • You look at route

  • compiler versus Apollo Astro. You

  • talked about you got a lot of questions

  • on this. What caliber-it seems to me

  • like you're segmenting the marketed with

  • route compiler, physical compiler maybe

  • higher end flocks higher end design you

  • know DCNC then Apollo Astro kind of the

  • mid range what's the customer reaction

  • to that?

  • Has there been, how have the

  • conversations gone on as far as having

  • dual platforms?

  • Well, the

  • customers actually sympathize with there

  • at greatly because they all see their

  • designs are different, have different

  • retirements. The different customers,

  • those that have been steady Apollo

  • customers that are now moving to Astro

  • or route compiler, for them, anything

  • that's a lot better is of immediate

  • interest. Then obviously, the people

  • that have done good work with route

  • compiler that are very interested in us

  • looking at that technology and

  • preserving it in some form, and then

  • there are the customers that have

  • already started to move to Astro, that

  • see there's an immediate natural

  • migration path from Apollo to Astro.

  • Astro holds great promise. This not a

  • new phenomenon for us. We have

  • emergenciers in the past have situations

  • where we had multiple strong

  • technologies, and the lesson that we've

  • learned out of these mergers is don't

  • cut off what you do too early and for

  • sure, never put the customer in any

  • situation of risk. And so that is

  • exactly the plan that we are following,

  • while at the same time, stating, very

  • clearly, that our main emphasis is PC

  • plus Astro. That is the reason one of

  • the key reason We*s merged with Avanti!.

  • So we're going to go there as rapidly as

  • possible. But the route compiler

  • technology is quite valuable and we will

  • find a good way of integrating it in our

  • future releases.

  • Analyst

  • Then you talked

  • about solid or I guess record quarters

  • on the order size. Physical compiler

  • and the DC family as well. Any

  • competitive lens you can talk about

  • either physics or in general?

  • Well, in

  • general, when we have the opportunity to

  • compete directly on technology

  • benchmarks, we do extremely well,

  • because that typically means that the

  • customer is truly interested in having a

  • solution that's technology-wise

  • superior, and there we have no fear. So

  • we go head to head. So I think the

  • reason PC is doing so well is fundmently

  • it executes on its promise. So you may

  • have noticed it is as much new accounts

  • as well as renewals by the way what was

  • not mentioned we also have a number of

  • customers that tend to remix into PC

  • from their installed basis. So overall,

  • that train is running really well I

  • would say.

  • Analyst

  • Then, lastly, have

  • you guys looked at or have you tried to

  • break out the synthesis product orders,

  • as far as new seats versus renewals or

  • remixing of old seats?

  • I don't think

  • that we did that recently. I think in

  • general, you know, obviously, we have a

  • very good coverage of the market and so

  • there's a very steady stream of

  • renewals.

  • We still surprisingly enough do find new

  • seats and I'm always surprised to

  • discover that there's still some

  • companies that 13 years later are still

  • looking at a synthesis. Maybe more

  • important is the gradual move from

  • design compiler to what we call design

  • compiler ultra, so that is really a

  • strategy, whereby once somebody has used

  • synthesis well invariably they have some

  • additional needs and we can essentially

  • upgrade them.

  • Analyst

  • Great. Thanks.

  • Moderator

  • And your next

  • question comes from the line of Garitt

  • [Majanean] with RBC Capital Market.

  • Analyst

  • Thanks. A couple of

  • questions for you. With strong bookings

  • growth sequentially and routeble

  • bookings coming in in the expected rank

  • can you explain why the routeble revenue

  • was up only about a million dollars from

  • quarter to quarter?

  • because the impact

  • of bookings on a quarter on revenue in

  • that quarter is largely a function of

  • when they are booked in the quarter. Q2

  • is not a quarter that had particular

  • good linearity. Most of what we booked

  • in the quarter did not get booked until

  • close to the end and therefore had

  • relatively little impact on revenue in

  • the quarter. Differently the growth in

  • rateable revenue from Q1 to Q2 is mostly

  • driven by the orders in Q1

  • Analyst

  • Gotcha gotcha, okay.

  • Understand. I guess one of the things

  • I'm curious about also in terms of

  • semi-conductor bookings overall it

  • appears as to the according to recent

  • SEA data they are on the rise, one of

  • the things I'm curious about is what

  • will it take for customers to buy the

  • technology they have had on hold?

  • Is it better pick upin bookings on

  • customer side enough for them to start

  • looking at ordering some of the stuff

  • they've had to delay or does it really

  • take them to see their revenue picking

  • up?

  • well, I think, you

  • know, from their perspective bookings

  • are obviously the leading indicator

  • unless there's a segment where they're

  • particularly worried about

  • cancellations. Bookings picking unwill

  • clearly drive them to start thinking

  • about their expenses. The thing you

  • have to remember, and you know, it's

  • perhaps if you look at where we are peek

  • to trough, we're still in a spot that.

  • [] peak

  • More than 40% below the peak so an

  • upturn of 4 or five points is certainly

  • better than a downturn but we're a long

  • way from where they were a

  • year-and-a-half ago. Therefore, I think

  • you see relatively few customers, in

  • fact probably no customers have turned

  • on the expense spigot full blast.

  • Analyst

  • Okay. So they're

  • shooting at a certainly level as well as

  • the growth data that's important.

  • yeah.

  • Analyst

  • Lastly with respect

  • to civil litigation with Cadence, can

  • you give us a sense what the next steps

  • are there also give us a sense where you

  • think it is regarding trying to resolve

  • the case out of court?

  • so the next step or

  • the current step, which is actually not

  • different than we were six months ago,

  • is the question on trade secrets has

  • been referred to the California Supreme

  • Court who's picked it up. The lawyers

  • in the brief is is from both sides have

  • actually occurred. The lawyers tell me

  • that some outcome will come interbetween

  • three and 18 months, when they get

  • around it to, it's wholly unpredictable.

  • I think that's where it sits at least

  • for the near future. Until that

  • resolves nothing else will start.

  • Analyst

  • Okay. So there

  • couldn't be any side kind of activity to

  • try to resolve that in court that goes

  • on in parallel.

  • the rest of the

  • cases is stayed.

  • Analyst

  • Great. Thank you.

  • Moderator

  • And your next

  • question comes from the line of Alex

  • [inaudible] with [inaudible] Webber.

  • Analyst

  • Hello. Thank you

  • very much. I had a question that gets

  • to trying to size market penetration

  • with physical compiler and Astro and

  • then some of the opportunity that's

  • coming up with the combined tool that

  • you've mentioned will be coming up in a

  • couple of months here. Should we think

  • of the opportunity as really rolling in

  • as an upgrade to the 80 or 800, I'm

  • sorry licenses already sold for physical

  • compiler or is that just the tip of the

  • iceberg and really it's matter of

  • upgrading the 63 Astro customers to a

  • number something like 168, and then

  • rolling out across 800?

  • I think you

  • have upgrades on both sides. I think

  • what is what is exciting is that the

  • term "upgrade" is actually a good one.

  • I like that term because first and

  • foremost it says to the customer a low

  • risk transition, upgrade also implies

  • more money or new money coming towards

  • us. That is true both on the front end

  • with many more PCs possible in the

  • existing front end design environment.

  • And it's just as much true in the back

  • wend Astro being just at the very

  • beginning of completely replacing Apollo

  • over some period of time.

  • In addition to that, what is exciting is

  • that the combination of the two, I

  • think, is a flow that will be of very

  • high interest to people that in the

  • past, may have been hesitant to commit

  • to Avanti! in some form or another and

  • now suddenly we see some very, very

  • powerful tools be connected very well.

  • So in that sense, we do see that there's

  • a big opportunity, essentially opening

  • up immediately for us, and it's us to

  • executing them.

  • Analyst

  • Is one of the

  • primarily drivers of this or the appeal

  • of this combined tool set, is it going

  • to be particularly useful is deep set

  • micron the .13 and below or is it across

  • all design flows?

  • It is useful on

  • all design flows. Invariably, it's the

  • people that drive the leading edge that

  • move first. And more Joeffer, they

  • become sort of the test market for

  • everybody else watching. So the people

  • that are designing today in .13 have

  • already reported, for example that Astro

  • is one of the only products that is

  • doing well at executing on all the

  • intricacs you need at .13 and .09 which

  • is the next node after that. So your

  • comment is sort of to the point, which

  • is the people at the leading edge are

  • the first ones moving.

  • Analyst

  • Okay. And I know

  • this is a rather subjective question,

  • but what's your assess. Of what

  • percentage of the market is now moving

  • at the leading edge..

  • Well,

  • invariably, I would say it is about 25%

  • that is at the leading edge, as in using

  • the most recent production silicone. So

  • that would be today .13-micron. There

  • are a few, isolated cases of people

  • started to design .09 but the libraries

  • of technology for .09 are not really

  • there it's more pilot lines or pilot

  • project. Then there's still a large

  • contingent of people that design for

  • .18. So.

  • The other comment to that is the leading

  • edge people are also the ones that spend

  • the most money. So even if you look at

  • point-25% being at the leading edge,

  • they probably spend 50 or 60% of the

  • money.

  • Analyst

  • I see. You

  • mentioned .09. Will that create another

  • as dramatic an opportunity for tool

  • upgrades for you to roll out to your

  • customers, or is this a less significant

  • product cycle for the semi-conductor

  • manufacturers.

  • Actually it is

  • a a very significant product cycle you

  • can see or gauge how significant it is

  • by reading recent announcements major

  • companies before were very independent

  • for example FT, Philips and Motorola are

  • actually lining up to develop

  • .09 technology together because it's

  • very expensive to do, it's very

  • difficult to do. From our perspective,

  • that's a great opportunity because much

  • of the technology that on our side in

  • design integrity we have been

  • developing, much of the technology that

  • Avanti! has been integrating and

  • connecting Astro to is precisely aimed

  • at the problems you encounter at .09,

  • and signal integrity is sort of the main

  • theme there.

  • the other observation I would have is as

  • you go to these much smaller geometrs

  • what used to be nicely behaving digital

  • circuits become increasingly really

  • mixed signal type circuits and that is

  • one of the reasons why we think that our

  • spice and fast spice products Nan no san

  • and H-Spice and the modeling around that

  • will doingr do very well especially at

  • those small gee om tris.

  • Analyst

  • How is it going to

  • work between [Nanosyn] and [Starsyn]?

  • Are those going to held into one product

  • or market separately?

  • Undoubtedly

  • over time they will be held into one

  • product, right now they each have lair

  • own constituency of users, users send

  • tend to like certain features than

  • others, we will probably do follow a

  • similar path we did a few years ago when

  • we had two timing verifiers we supported

  • both for a long period of time to make

  • sure the customer would have no risks

  • and then gradually merged them into a

  • sting single better product. So again

  • good technology but introduced at low

  • risk for the customer.

  • Analyst

  • Okay. A final

  • question, if I may, as we enter the back

  • half of this year and we have some very

  • impressive growth followed into this

  • model, would you please characterize

  • what's really driving the growth?

  • Is it is it average selling price

  • increases as we move into the new tool

  • sets?

  • Is it you know, three year renewals

  • really starting to kick in from the

  • period we have '98 '99 or is it some raw

  • seasonality that's really benefitting?

  • What's the ranking of those?

  • Okay. In

  • general we have some seasonality against

  • our fiscal year, really what is driving

  • things is the fact technology keeps

  • moving. You know, in our industry and

  • certainly Synopsys has always invested

  • well in excess of 20% in R and D, there's

  • a reason for that. We continually crank

  • out new technology. Our customers buy

  • this because that's the only way they

  • can be competitive.

  • In addition one of the reasons you see

  • very good reported growth almost two

  • years ago we moved to a rateable revenue

  • model that was a big step at that time

  • and we now see the fruits of that which

  • is we have a very big backlog that

  • cranks off regularly renewals and new

  • business. And so all of these together,

  • thick, make for a very good outlook for

  • 2003.

  • Analyst

  • Okay. Thank you

  • very much.

  • Moderator

  • And your next

  • question comes from the line of Jennifer

  • Jordan with as well as Fargo securities.

  • Analyst

  • Moderator

  • And Ms. Jordan

  • your line is open, please go ahead.

  • Analyst

  • Good afternoon

  • gentlemen and thank you congratulations

  • on what seems to be a pretty tough

  • environment out there in getting the job

  • done.

  • I want to go back one more time and kind

  • of revisit the numbers for Avanti!,

  • looking at it in a different way, Brad.

  • When I look at my model for Avanti!,

  • what I saw was about almost 500 million

  • in revenue for expected for fiscal for

  • their calendar year '03. And you had

  • said basically that you expected a

  • deferred revenue about 70 to 80 percent

  • of that to flow through.

  • So to my mind, that suggests maybe in

  • the period of your fiscal year '03 about

  • 360 million or so and I guess the

  • question comes down to Avanti! had

  • extremely good operating leverage,

  • almost 45% leverage and if you had to

  • look at it in terms of what your

  • leverage would have been on those new

  • revenues, how do you see that?

  • let's see operating

  • leverage on new revenues. To be honest

  • I haven't broken it out. As I said, we

  • expect the combined companies to move

  • through the end of this year, or to exit

  • around 30%.

  • Analyst

  • Okay.

  • we'll move slightly

  • above that for next year. I haven't

  • looked at what the marginal leverage

  • kind of revenue to the tune of Avanti!

  • is next year. I obviously the very

  • margin the leverage on marginal is on

  • a%. Eliminate right. Right. Right.

  • At the very margin. What I was thinking

  • for I looked at it said well if 45 if

  • they actually got the 45% margin you

  • could just add that in, we'd get a a

  • number that's those a 300, $3.65 number

  • on your number on what you had before.

  • If I assume that for instance the R and D

  • E suspensory lated to Avanti! has to go

  • up a little bit because you're working

  • on the integration, then your number

  • that's intera. Be of 325 starts to make

  • more sense to me.

  • Brad Henske - CFO

  • so the way we

  • plotted through expenses is pretty

  • simle. We started with the run rate of

  • the two companies as they are today.

  • You know, as we said before we will take

  • about $50 million out of the operating

  • costs in short order in the next few

  • months. And then we've assumed that we

  • will have about 10% growth in that for

  • next year. Now, there's actually a much

  • more detailed plan below that but that's

  • the gist of it because we do expect the

  • business will grow the opportunities

  • will grow and we'll invest particularly

  • in the field and R and D and new things.

  • Analyst

  • Okay. I think that

  • covers it for me. Thank you.

  • Moderator

  • Do you have a

  • question from the line of Lucas Bianchi

  • with Robertson Stevens point.

  • [] you have

  • Analyst

  • Hi. I was wondering

  • what your strategy was going to be with

  • regards to pricing going forward and how

  • you're going to price the Avanti!

  • products, kind of related to that, is

  • customers of Apollo going to get Astro

  • on you know, a maintenance fee?

  • Brad Henske - CFO

  • Let me

  • answer those in reverse order they don't

  • get Astro for maintenance on Apollo.

  • Secondly from a pricing strategy, in the

  • very short-term we're essentially

  • bringing Avanti!'s pricing across in

  • tact, and then we will, over time, as we

  • sort through product marketing

  • strategies in all the groups, which

  • remember given the strictures of how

  • much integration work you can do before

  • a merger actually closes we really just

  • started on. Over time those will get

  • adjusted as we think appropriate.

  • Analyst

  • How do you think

  • appropriate just from what you know now?

  • In our

  • industry, prices as a general matter

  • tend to grow 3 to 5% a year. You know,

  • I would expect that whatever adjustments

  • we make on average would be consistent

  • with that trend.

  • Analyst

  • Okay. Then the it

  • seems to me that the switch in license

  • type at Avanti! books was higher than

  • 50% just from the reported figures, and

  • that doesn't really mesh with what you

  • said. How-what's the discrepancy there

  • I guess.

  • When you

  • say higher than 50%, which way do you

  • mean?

  • Analyst

  • Eliminate that

  • they're radical revenue was more like in

  • the 70% regone.

  • the Reeve new is

  • higher, it tends to be at least as being

  • historically Avanti! much more noisy

  • quarter to quarter so it will be higher

  • last quarter but their average over the

  • last year has been 40 to 50% anyplace

  • Analyst

  • Okay. I think

  • that's it. Thanks a lot.

  • Moderator

  • And your next

  • question comes from the line of daily

  • howker with Merrill Lynch.

  • Analyst

  • Thanks, Brad, a few

  • questions. First on your last

  • conference call for Q1 you had mentioned

  • your cumulative subscriptions bookings

  • for the 6 quarters through Q1 were soak

  • in excess of 800 million can you provide

  • us with an updated booking for the

  • quarters with the model change.

  • Also respect to targeted expense

  • reduction is that $50 million reduction

  • in expense run rate inclusive of the

  • $35 million expense reduction you talked

  • about in the last call or is it over an

  • above that a couple follow understand.

  • Brad Henske - CFO

  • The second

  • one either and above the first one is

  • we're now above 480 million. As we

  • talked about we're not going to get

  • bookings quart ter to quarter.

  • [] 480-million

  • the number we gave before was the

  • cumulative bookings, I don't have that

  • updated in front of me.

  • Analyst

  • Okay. Might that be

  • available at some point?

  • Brad Henske - CFO

  • Not

  • precisely.

  • Analyst

  • Okay. If we can go

  • back do the integration issue, first on

  • the sales side, is there going to be a

  • net reduction in combined sales

  • capacity, that is, do you expect some

  • reduction of sales in the field on

  • either the Synopsys or Avanti! side and

  • on the product side a question for Aart

  • regarding product integration or product

  • road map. To the extent that you will

  • have the dual routers, might it make

  • some sense at some point, for instance,

  • to bundle up a route compiler with PC,

  • call it something like PC ultra, the way

  • you now have DC ultra for instance,

  • perhaps in that way lessen the apparent

  • overlap?

  • So to the

  • first question first due we have almost

  • 100% common customers, the number of

  • sales people in the field ultimately

  • will be less than the sum of the two

  • today. That as you look at application

  • consultants who are the technical

  • support.

  • [] this is.

  • It looks a lot closer to the sum of the

  • two. Aart Aart

  • Regarding

  • the router, I think the way to look at

  • all of this is primarily as a basket of

  • fantastic technology and so the

  • technologies can be used in many

  • different ways. We have not committed

  • to any additional products beyond the

  • ones that we've announced so far. I

  • think on this call we want to emphasize

  • strongly something very simple, which is

  • PC Astro is the pathway of choice that

  • we're focusing on right now. I think

  • the whole discussion on route compiler

  • is primary lay technology discussion at

  • this point in time the type of things

  • you're suggesting are certainly being

  • bantered around.

  • Analyst

  • The one thing we're

  • not planning to sell route compiler to

  • new customers beyond the ones we're

  • working with today.

  • [] that was.

  • now

  • Analyst

  • Brad you talked at

  • some point post merger trying to do some

  • kind of contracts consolidation or

  • rationalization, that is for contracts

  • with common customers. Can you talk

  • about that and how active do you see

  • that being where you can consolidate

  • contracts even perhaps intercontract

  • area?

  • Brad Henske - CFO

  • I think,

  • the thing that drives that ultimately

  • is, you know, the customers today have

  • all got a contract with us, say contract

  • with Avanti!., I think as a general

  • matter, either the coming close to

  • expiration of either of them, or the

  • customers desire to get, you know, some

  • meaningful new internal churning of

  • technology on either side will drive the

  • whole thing to be redone as one

  • integrated contract just by its nature,

  • you know, they view it as one

  • relationship now. So that will play out

  • over the coming months.

  • Analyst

  • Is that something

  • that we, is implicitly taken into

  • account in your photographs forecaster?

  • Brad Henske - CFO

  • It is.

  • Analyst

  • It is. Okay. Thank

  • you.

  • Brad Henske - CFO

  • Moderator

  • And your next

  • question comes from the line of just

  • maycy with Needham and company.

  • Analyst

  • Thanks a lot. Just

  • a couple quick questions. First of all

  • you mentioned your customers R and D, you

  • see that growing in the mid to high

  • single digits, I was wondering, are your

  • assumptions that the percentage that

  • they spend on EDA tools is going to

  • remain about flat with this year?

  • So I think

  • firstly, in terms of review of how R and D

  • spending is going, to some extent that's

  • the composite of what forecasters are

  • out there. I will tell you that we nor

  • anybody else I have found hat got great

  • visibility on what they think's going to

  • happen next year. That having been

  • said, I think we expect to your second

  • point that EDA as a proportion of the

  • R and D spending tends to fluctuate around

  • our suspicion over the next few years it

  • will inch modestly higher, the denam

  • mics a not going to change radically.

  • It doesn't change that fast.

  • Analyst

  • Just a couple of how

  • keeping things. On the 100 million

  • charge for next quarter, maybe you

  • mentioned this but how much of that will

  • actually be cash?

  • about all of it

  • actually, so the Vass bulk of that is

  • the insurance company which we will

  • write a check for.

  • Analyst

  • Could you tell me

  • what the capex and depreciation were for

  • this quarter?

  • yeah. Hang on.

  • [] Vass bulk

  • Go to the

  • next one, I'll find the number for you

  • in a second.

  • Analyst

  • One last question

  • after that. Would it be possible to

  • comment at all on what you're planning

  • to do with the library business of

  • Avanti!?

  • No at this

  • point in time we don't want to comment

  • about that because we lav some

  • contractual agreements with Aart an,

  • we're looking what to do in this

  • situation and once we have resolved

  • those then we will comment about it.

  • depreciation was 14,

  • capex was about 9.

  • Analyst

  • Okay. Good. Thanks

  • a lot.

  • Moderator

  • A question from

  • the line of ar Lin chin dough with

  • Lehman Brothers.

  • Analyst

  • Thank you. The

  • question about the otherincome, you

  • know, in terms of the gain that you're

  • talking about the $10 million for 30

  • quarter and the 22 for the fiscal year,

  • shouldn't that be considered sort of

  • non-continuing operations and therefore

  • for EPS are you recommending analysts

  • exclude that?

  • If you could shed a little color on

  • that?

  • his store Rickly

  • most people have included onincome

  • before goodwill but it is what it is so

  • I would say you can treat it in the way

  • you think most appropriate.

  • [] historically

  • Analyst

  • Thanks.

  • [] income

  • Moderator

  • Our final question

  • comes from the line of Tim Klein with

  • piper Jeffrey.

  • Analyst

  • Yeah, just I want to

  • go back to just clarify a little bit,

  • since it sounds like you guys are not

  • changing your view on the core Synopsys

  • business I know obviously everything's

  • going to get increasingly intertwined at

  • this pointist it's a flex shun point

  • help us delineiate a bit. If you look

  • at assume we're basically add adding to

  • Avanti! model 2 the current Synopsys

  • model, can you help us understand, Brad,

  • for you look at the run rate for last

  • quarter from Avanti!, obviously you take

  • that run rate with current estimates

  • we're getting something who less than

  • that in our guidance, can you

  • characterize as a percentage rough

  • percentage contribution what that what

  • makes up that delta, how much of that is

  • not having the backlog come through, how

  • much of that is transitions to a

  • routeble, more of a routeble ex-and how

  • much of it is maybe other?

  • so the transition to

  • routeble is about 50 million. The

  • backlog is about 45 million, both those

  • pretax. After tax, with the shares

  • outstanding for the quarter that's about

  • a dollar per share for the remainer of

  • the year.

  • Analyst

  • Okay. Then the

  • other question I had, was on just some

  • clarification, in terms of the product

  • sets that you're bringing foggy, you

  • know, there are some products it sounds

  • like in simulation space and others,

  • where you have sort of comparable

  • offerings, it sounds like you have some

  • sort of different strategies, can you

  • give us sort of review quickly where you

  • have comparable solutions and how you're

  • going to rationalize keeping both

  • solutions or maybe de-emphasizing one or

  • the other?

  • It's very

  • simple. We have actually very few areas

  • like that in the verification sized. In

  • many cases it's is being rationized as

  • we speak in a matter of two orb three

  • days this will be mostly done we'll be

  • at the design information conference

  • tomorrow not tomorrow next week, it

  • field like tomorrow note so this will

  • move very very quickly. Some of the

  • products will be held in parallel, some

  • will move quickly forced one or the

  • other.

  • [] towards

  • In no case will the customer being held

  • in a state of not knowing, because

  • within a month we will have road maps on

  • that.

  • Analyst

  • Okay opinion great.

  • Thank you very much.

  • At this point

  • in time this concludes the earnings

  • release call and the call regarding the

  • Synopsys Avanti! merger. We appreciate

  • the time you spent with us, all the more

  • this is clearly a moment where Synopsys

  • is taking a turn into its next phase and

  • we think that this will reshape the EDA

  • industry positively so for us and so we

  • appreciate all your support in the last

  • few years and look forwardture

  • supportinging for ward. Thank you very

  • much.

  • Moderator

  • Ladies and

  • gentlemen, this conference will be

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