高塔半導體 (TSEM) 2021 Q3 法說會逐字稿

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    21/11/08
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  • Operator

  • Ladies and gentlemen, thank you for standing by. Welcome to the Tower Semiconductor Third Quarter 2021 Results Conference Call. (Operator Instructions) As a reminder, this conference is being recorded November 8, 2021. Joining us today are Mr. Russell Ellwanger, Tower's CEO; and Mr. Oren Shirazi, CFO.

  • I would now like to turn the conference over to Ms. Noit Levy, Senior Vice President of Investor Relations and Corporate Communications. Ms. Levy, please go ahead.

  • Noit Levy-Karoubi - SVP of IR & Corporate Communications

  • Thank you, and welcome to Tower Semiconductor Financial Results Conference Call for the Third Quarter of 2021. Before we begin, I would like to remind you that some statements made during this call may be forward looking and are subject to uncertainties and risk factors that could cause actual results to be different from those currently expected. These uncertainties and risk factors are fully disclosed in our Forms 20-F, F-4, F-3 and 6-K filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission as well as filings with the Israeli Securities Authority. They are also available on our website. Tower assumes no obligation to update any such forward-looking statements.

  • Please note that the third quarter of 2021 financial results have been prepared in accordance with U.S. GAAP. The financial tables and data in today's earning release and in this earnings call also include certain adjusted financial information that may be considered non-GAAP financial measures under Regulation G and related reporting requirement as established with the Securities and Exchange Commission. The financial tables include a full explanation of these measures and the reconciliation of these non-GAAP measures to the GAAP financial measures.

  • Now I'd like to turn the call to our CEO, Mr. Russell Ellwanger. Russell, please go ahead.

  • Russell C. Ellwanger - CEO & Director

  • Thank you, Noit. Welcome, everyone. Thank you for joining our call. Our revenue for the third quarter of the year was $387 million, a sequential revenue record for Tower, which represented 25% quarterly year-over-year total and 40% year-over-year organic growth. In the order of revenue dollars, the technology that drove the 40% organic growth was, firstly, RF CMOS at about 75%, predominantly driven by RFSOI. Second was sensors at about 65% Q3 versus Q3 '20 with industrial sensors as the major contributor. The third significant contributor was power IC at about 50% year-over-year organic increase.

  • We guide the fourth quarter of the year to continue to grow to a mid-range guidance of $410 million, representing quarterly year-over-year 19% total growth and 26% organic growth which, according to mid-range guidance, will yield an annual revenue of $1.506 billion for 2021, which would be a 19% total and 28% organic full year growth against the $1.266 billion for 2020.

  • Looking into our specific businesses. During the third quarter, our RF mobile business was 26% of our revenues and is expected to continue to grow in the fourth quarter and into 2022. Growth is driven by market share increases, accelerated by increased RF content in 5G handsets. As 5G requires the most advanced technology which we provide a higher value, this change in mix drives increases in margins. Demand is very strong in both 200 millimeter and 300 millimeter, providing returns on capacity investments to date and giving confidence on the return for our present and planned investments.

  • The RF infrastructure business, serving telecom and datacom end markets with our industry-leading silicon germanium and silicon photonics technology, was about 13% of our corporate revenues. During Q3, we witnessed the first significant revenue ramp of our silicon photonics flows. This is the highest margin we serve and we expect it to be a meaningful contribution to our bottom line in 2022.

  • This quarter, we announced next-generation silicon photonics process flow, which will include lasers and potentially other [35] components fully integrated into our high-volume silicon process. This can more than double our revenue potential in this market with the laser being the most valuable single component in an optical communication system.

  • Last week, we announced a partnership with Anello Photonics to productize a new low-loss waveguide technology, both through Anello's own products, which include precision gyroscopes using silicon photonics to replace optical fiber coils as well as in a new foundry offering for a wide scope of applications in automotive LiDAR, biosensing and quantum computing.

  • Our power IC business was 16% of our total revenues, with strength in automotive, industrial and consumer segments. We continue our strong position in automotive battery management area, additionally having now signed a long-term capacity agreement with a market leader. Automotive battery management is expected to significantly outpace the overall power IC market due to the worldwide push for electrification of the vehicle.

  • Beyond this market, we are gaining overall market share through technology leadership in what is the largest portion of the overall analog market. Our power discrete was 16% of our revenues. Like power ICs, growth is broad-based, but led by automotive applications. As discussed last quarter, we anticipate the power discrete business to level off, while we focus our CapEx expansion on other higher-margin segments.

  • Our imaging business represented more than 15% of our revenues. We continue to see very strong demand in the industrial and machine vision market as well as the medical and dental x-ray markets. Our customers in these areas are highly interested in securing capacity for the coming years, seeing long-term market demand. Regarding display, we continue in a substantial partnership for the development of backplane micro OLEDs, mainly for the VR display market, a very fast-growing market.

  • The automotive portion of our business represented 12% of our corporate revenues this past quarter, supported by most all of our technology flows. We have been a dependable supplier to the automotive market for many years with our industry-leading offerings in imaging and sensing, wireless and wireline communications, mixed signal and power management. We are not only continuing to invest in new capacity and technology road maps, but are also enabling innovative technologies, such as solid-state LiDARs based on our silicon photonics open platform.

  • We recently partnered with the University of Southern California to announce a breakthrough development in LiDAR IC technology designed for advanced driver assistance system and, ultimately, self-driving cars. And as stated, we recently signed a long-term capacity agreement with a market leader in battery management solutions, ensuring a growing position serving this megatrend of vehicle electrification.

  • Moving to utilization. The following are the third quarter foundry layers, all numbers give an 8-inch equivalents. As well, there is a full table of all numbers in our Q3 financial highlights presentation that will be available on our website at the end of this call. For 150 millimeter, 455,000 layers were processed, up 55% as compared to Q3 2020, and up slightly from the previous quarter. For 200 millimeter, 6,197,000 layers were processed, up 28% as compared to Q3 2020, and up 5% as compared to the previous quarter. For 300 millimeter, 1,539,000 layers were processed, up 57% year-over-year, and up 10% as compared to the previous quarter.

  • We will now give more color on the revenue and margin impacts of our capacity growth, including the impact of investments in certain capability tools to enable a richer shipment volume mix. As stated, the Q4 2021 mid-range guidance represents a 26% year-over-year organic growth. We've created this growth through 3 vectors: firstly, 50% of this is pure capacity increase; secondly, 25% of the revenue increase is from a richer mix, meaning higher value, higher ASP shipment mix; thirdly, 25% is by ASP increases of existing products, which customers participated in predominantly to secure a longer-term committed capacity. All of the above contributes to strong increases in top line revenues and margins, targeting to be above 15% net profit margin in 2022.

  • In 2021, our organic growth resulted -- or will result in a Q4 2021 annualized organic revenue of $1.27 billion, slightly more than the 2020 total revenue. This $1.27 billion of revenue excludes the circa $400 million of Panasonic now Nuvoton and San Antonio Maxim long-term contracts that were part of the 2020 revenue. Including those long-term contracts, we end 2021 with mid-range fourth quarter revenue guidance, representing a $1.64 billion annualized revenue.

  • Longer term, our CapEx initiatives, which will experience full ramp in 2023 and with the addition of the initial 2023 revenue ramp of the Agrate factory should allow greater than 30% organic growth on top of the present 26% organic growth guided for the fourth quarter of 2021. From that point, revenue and margins should continue to increase as the Agrate fab continues to ramp through to 2026. Such capacity increases are fully spoken for by customers.

  • With that, I'd like to turn the call to our CFO, Mr. Shirazi. Oren, please.

  • Oren Shirazi - CFO & Senior VP of Finance

  • Hi, everyone. We released our quarterly results today presenting an additional record revenue, reflecting 25% year-over-year total revenue increase for the third quarter of 2021 or 40% organic increase and resulting in significant increases in our gross operating and net profit margins as well as in cash flow from operating activities. The revenue and margins increases are driven by the significant customer demand we continue to see in mostly all of our fabs.

  • We are executing the $250 million capacity and capability CapEx expansion plans in our existing fabs, as announced in previous quarters, and the ramp up of the Agrate 12-inch factory being established in Italy. I will start my review by analyzing the P&L highlights, and then discuss our balance sheet and cash flow financial statement.

  • Revenue for the third quarter of 2021 was $387 million, $76 million higher year-over-year, reflecting a 25% total revenue increase and 40% organic increase. Organic revenues are defined as total revenue, excluding revenue from Nuvoton in our Japan fab and revenue for Maxim in our San Antonio fab.

  • Gross and operating profit for the third quarter were $85 million and $44 million, respectively. This gross profit is 60% higher year-over-year and 16% higher quarter-over-quarter. And this operating profit is 131% higher year-over-year and 30% higher quarter-over-quarter.

  • Net profit for this quarter was $39 million or $0.36 basic and diluted earnings per share. And adjusted net profit was $45 million, resulting in adjusted basic and diluted earnings per share of $0.42 and $0.41, respectively, as reconciled in today's press release tables. This net profit is 157% higher year-over-year and 27% higher quarter-over-quarter.

  • Comparing to the second quarter of 2021, the $25 million higher revenue in the past quarter resulted in $12 million higher gross profit, reflecting 47% incremental gross profit margin, $8 million higher net profit, reflecting 33% incremental net profit margin and $14 million higher EBITDA, reflecting 58% incremental EBITDA margin.

  • Moving to our cash flow report and forecast. During this past quarter, we achieved a record cash flow from operations at a level of $107 million. We invested $88 million in fixed assets, mainly for manufacturing equipment, and we repaid $29 million of our debt, mainly a principal payment towards bond Series G issued in 2016.

  • As we announced in our February 2021 and August 2021 quarterly financial press releases, this year, we ordered a significant amount of equipment tools to increase our capacity and capabilities in our existing 12-inch and 8-inch fabs in order to satisfy our customer demand. These equipment tools were mainly directed to fab 2 in Israel, fabs 3 and 9 in the U.S. as well as fabs 5 and 7 in Japan. The total amount of such approved and issued purchase orders was $250 million as announced, which are payable between mid-2021 and the end of 2022. In addition, we forecast that we will make CapEx payments for equipment tools for the newly built 12-inch Agrate factory in an amount of $160 million in 2022 and an additional $240 million in 2023.

  • Looking at the balance sheet. We demonstrated, again, a strong and stable financial position. Few points to note. Shareholders' equity reached a record of $1.56 billion as of the end of the quarter. Current assets ratio, defined as current assets divided by short-term liability, strong at a value of 3.8x. Deferred revenue and customers’ advance balances under current liabilities and long-term liabilities in the balance sheet have increased by $19 million and $35 million as compared to the end of Q2 '21 and the end of Q4 '20, respectively, and are expected to continue to increase, reflecting enhanced receipts from customers that have asked to secure more capacity and fund manufacturing equipment cost to grow their business potential and address their increasing demand.

  • And now I would like to turn the call back to the operator. Operator?

  • Operator

  • (Operator Instructions) The first question is from Raji Gill of Needham & Company.

  • Rajvindra S. Gill - Senior Analyst

  • Congrats on the strong momentum this year and the execution. Russell, I had a question on your comment about given the capacity that you're putting in place, plus the capacity that will come from Agrate in Italy, you had mentioned a 30% organic increase in revenue on top of the 26% in Q4 of this year. Wondering if you could elaborate a little bit further on how you're getting to that number? Any idea in terms of the time line, the cadence of that revenue growth and how we should think about it maybe across product line because that's a pretty strong kind of long-term potential organic growth rate that you're indicating to folks?

  • Russell C. Ellwanger - CEO & Director

  • Thank you for the comment. And I think we'd agree that it's a very strong target to be giving forecast, if you will. Specifically related it to the fourth quarter of 2023, we have a good amount of CapEx that has been ordered. Some of that will still be ordered, that will be coming fully online within 2023, even at the 200-millimeter levels.

  • So to give really a huge amount of color on the ramp, I don't wish to do that at this point. We will give our guidances for 2022 as we get into 2022. But what I wanted to point out is that the growth avenues of the company remain very, very strong, looking forward. And that even from this 2023, where I'm talking about a 30% organic, I said above 30% organic actually, that is only the start of a ramp at Agrate itself.

  • So the prospects are very good. Where I mentioned previously of different areas where we're growing, you could assume that those should remain. We see a lot of strengths, as stated, in present ramping of silicon photonics. I had stated that we see that -- we would believe that that will be a significant contributor to margins next year as the present price per layer of SiPho exceeds all else that we make and for very good reasons. It's a platform that enables a lot, that takes a lot of capability to make. So it adds tremendous value to our customers. That will continue to grow. We're investing specific for silicon photonics growth and that will certainly not taper off in 2022. It will expand in 2022 and 2023.

  • I stated that our RFSOI has benefited substantially from the content increases of 5G, but also for market share increases and that -- we see that growth continuing into 2022. That's certainly an engine that we continue to put fuel into both as far as growing capacity and as far as being very aggressive in figures of merit to ensure that we have the best figures of merit in the world.

  • I mentioned the sensor area to where we have very strong demand in industrial, stating customers are very involved in ensuring they have long-term demand there. But in addition, mentioned display, which is not something that has been a substantial revenue stream for the company in the past, but something that we expect will become a very substantial revenue stream in the future, beginning most likely end of '23 and growing very, very strong in '24 and '25.

  • Silicon germanium has been a big business for us, continues to be a big business. At the present, if you noticed, I didn't mention silicon germanium as one of the growth drivers for our Q3 40% organic growth, and indeed, it wasn't. Silicon germanium had very big growth in 2020 year for the benefit of the build of infrastructure for 5G and that infrastructure build that was done in 2020 is what's enabling all of the growth that we have within the high-end mobile platforms right now.

  • The infrastructure demand is down slightly or maybe even slightly more than slightly, but the data center demand is up. So SiGe, although it's growing, is growing not great at this moment from Q2 to Q3 and Q4, but it is staying stable, as we go forward into 400 gigabit per second, 800 gig per second in data center. The complexity of the laser drivers and the TIAs goes up substantially. So we would assume that that will mean a larger die and more wafers for those applications, and hence, the growth will still be driven in data center due to the complexity of the parts that will be needed, but as well, that takes into account the silicon photonics, which is one of the big areas at SiGe -- or that for SiPho will be used for within the data center.

  • So I think that that gives a summary of some of the areas of growth. One of the other underpinning areas that I'd mentioned is that of power management, having signed a long-term agreement with a leader in battery management, but having multiple platforms that really have market differentiation. And looking forward to our increases in capacity to enable that market to take off for us as well. So hopefully, that's enough color. I think it was a fairly detailed answer.

  • Rajvindra S. Gill - Senior Analyst

  • Yes. I appreciate all the great insight. Russell, just wondering if you take kind of a bigger picture view. Given the capacity constraints that you're seeing in the market, are you noticing any kind of fundamental changes in customer behavior? It would appear to be that the foundries, particularly high-performance analog foundries, like yourself, would have a lot of leverage, bargaining power in a capacity constrained environment, and hence, pricing power.

  • So just wondering if the position of your company in this capacity constrained environment is growing, given the importance of semiconductors for all these kind of growth markets? And you mentioned that the long-term supply agreement with this leading auto battery management supplier. Are you seeing more long-term supply agreements across certain customers? Is that a trend that you think is going to last given this capacity constrained environment?

  • Russell C. Ellwanger - CEO & Director

  • So the answer to the first part of the question, very, very candidly, I believe that we've enjoyed very strong customer relationships for multiple years being with -- or based upon the fact that our advanced road maps are predominantly aligned with customer needs and customer prequalification in choosing the customers that we partner with for every next-generation technology node.

  • Certainly, there's, I would believe, across the board, in a capacity constrained environment, more willingness of customers to invest in order to ensure capacity and that only makes sense if there's an abundance of capacity with low utilizations, obviously, no one needs to invest, not the manufacturer, not the customer to grow capacity. When capacity is severely constrained, which is in the market right now, then customers are more than willing to participate to ensure that they have capacity corridor for the present and the future.

  • So I think that, that's eye-opening in that way that customers are -- not eye-opening necessarily, but customers are more willing to participate, but that is just the sign of the times, right? It's not that that’s -- I think it's just the fact of the cycles that you're in. And when capacity gets constrained, when utilization is very high, customers are more willing and there's more of a necessity to secure capacity. So that was, I think, the first part of your question. What is the second part?

  • Rajvindra S. Gill - Senior Analyst

  • No, I was just saying, I think you might have answered it already. But we're seeing, across the industry, this phenomenon where chip companies are entering into longer-term supply agreements with their end customers. And then, in turn, the chip companies are entering into longer-term supply agreements with their foundry partners. And I was just wondering if this is something that, as you said, is the sign of the times, or is this something more permanent?

  • Russell C. Ellwanger - CEO & Director

  • I believe it will become more permanent. It's been catalyzed maybe because of the present, which there are many reasons why it happened. But I believe that it's a model that really makes sense. And our customers really wish to partner into -- they know that our success is the key to their success and vice versa.

  • So it takes, sometimes, a few moves that are a little bit drastic, which was the market, especially up and through now of this year as far as capacity constraints from certain suppliers that makes everyone think, we have to address this maybe differently to ensure that, in the long term, we have business continuity. And I think that that's good. Extremes put people more into a moderate median than if they were never an extreme.

  • Rajvindra S. Gill - Senior Analyst

  • Appreciate that. And for my -- just my last question, Oren, on the CapEx. So the Agrate fab will start to -- you'll start to ramp that in calendar '22 and then continue it going forward. How do we think about the CapEx impact? Because, I think, when you announced the partnership with STMicro, which is a very interesting partnership, I believe the CapEx discussion was still to be determined. You kind of mentioned the potential capacity output that the fab would create. But wondering how to think about the CapEx trend line going forward?

  • Oren Shirazi - CFO & Senior VP of Finance

  • Yes. So we said, like you mentioned, in the onset that we expect to share the capacity space to approximate 1/3 of the space that will be built there which is in early stages. I mean the building is, I believe, already fully built and ready for tool install and tools are starting to roll in as we speak. And we really said, like you mentioned, that we will give more color on the amount of investments at least for the foreseeable future until the end of the year.

  • And this is what I gave in my prepared remarks that we will -- we expect to invest in that factory. This year, it will be nothing because only tools were ordered, but still no payments would needed to be made because usually payments are made after tool arrival with some payment terms. But next year should be $160 million '22 and in year 2023 should be additional $240 million, so total of $400 million in the coming 2 years towards the capacity that we want to have there.

  • Operator

  • The next question is from Lisa Thompson of Zacks Investment Research.

  • Lisa R. Thompson - Senior Technology Analyst

  • So looking at all the moving parts in demand and pricing ability, where do you think 2023 you're going to be getting like your highest gross margins? Can you just kind of order which product lines?

  • Russell C. Ellwanger - CEO & Director

  • As stated, silicon photonics, we had our first substantial revenue quarter in Q3. We see growth in that area throughout 2022, continued growth in '23. And SiPho is the highest price per layer of what we serve. So from that, I would expect, will remain our highest gross margin and might even go higher depending on some other activities that we might be doing there. So I think SiPho will be the highest. SiGe stays very high. Our stitch field sensors is very high margin. So I think that those would remain in those same areas.

  • Lisa R. Thompson - Senior Technology Analyst

  • And then after that, what will be the next in line?

  • Russell C. Ellwanger - CEO & Director

  • We have very good margins in some areas of power management, in particular specialty flows for battery management for the electric vehicle. So that has very good margins. Overall, the imaging margins are very strong, even non-stitch field imaging margins are very strong. And the high-end RFSOI is also very good. The point with RFSOI is that you have really very, very good prices per layer.

  • You have [extensive] substrates. So if you calculate the gross margin of a sold wafer, it's artificially lowered because the 300-millimeter or 200-millimeter RFSOI substrate is disproportionately high cost. But the outside of starting material, the contributing margin of the layers is very good.

  • Lisa R. Thompson - Senior Technology Analyst

  • Okay. Good. That's helpful. And since you just said you've already got -- sold out the Italian fab. What is actually going to be made there? And who is it going to be sold to?

  • Russell C. Ellwanger - CEO & Director

  • I said the capacity has spoken for.

  • Lisa R. Thompson - Senior Technology Analyst

  • Right.

  • Russell C. Ellwanger - CEO & Director

  • We've stated that our first flows that we're bringing out there is RFSOI. And then the second flow that we're bringing up there is display -- stitch field display.

  • Lisa R. Thompson - Senior Technology Analyst

  • And is that going to also European customers?

  • Russell C. Ellwanger - CEO & Director

  • We've not stated who it's going to. But I don't know that we've ever broken down as far as geography is to where the customers are. But the answer would be no.

  • Operator

  • The next question is from Richard Shannon of Craig-Hallum.

  • Richard Cutts Shannon - Senior Research Analyst

  • I got a couple of kind of questions, kind of weaving into the same general topic here. Starting with your comments, this is also in the press release about achieving 15% net margins for this year. And you talked about an organic growth number. I'm wondering maybe if you can help us kind of lead this down to the total revenues here and the gross margins, and therefore, fall through that are built into that assumption?

  • And maybe if you can peripherally also talk about kind of the pricing dynamic that builds into that well, if you can talk about how much prices are going up or anything to kind of lead into those numbers. That’d be a great start, and I'll probably follow up on that.

  • Russell C. Ellwanger - CEO & Director

  • No. So specifically we'll not give a guidance on revenue for 2022. So I think that was one of the things that you were asking for. But outside of that, the price increases you can get out of my statement of the breakdown of the organic growth for the fourth quarter. So I said that that organic growth, that was 26%, which would be somewhere about $65 million a quarter then. So of that, I said 50% was pure capacity, about 25% was a richer mix and about 25% was ASP. So just doing the arithmetic, that would mean 6%, 6.5% increase in ASP.

  • Richard Cutts Shannon - Senior Research Analyst

  • Okay. That's helpful. Maybe I'll ask the question slightly different way in the manner we spoke about in the last call, which talk about the incremental gross margin fall through for next year. Oren, you've talked about 50% to 55% as a range. From various comments I've heard so far, it might suggest that that should be meaningfully higher, certainly pricing new flows like silicon photonics, et cetera. How should we think about that, Oren?

  • Oren Shirazi - CFO & Senior VP of Finance

  • No, no, I believe the 50%, 55% is still valid and obviously, you can also look at this, what you asked in this way that -- I mean, previous year or previous quarter of our net profit margin was about 7% to 8%. This quarter was 10-point-something. If we are adding 50% incremental growth in operating margin, to the net margin, you may assume depends which geography it is, but between 35% to 42% incremental net profit margin. So obviously, from a baseline of 10%, when we will add the incremental 50% that has a fall through of incremental 35%, 40% after-tax. Obviously, it will be the way to achieve Russell's target to be above 15% next year.

  • Yes, SiPho, of course, SiPho is higher than 50%, 55% incremental growth, but there is also other aspects which are lower. SiPho -- next year, I mean, '22 is not -- I mean, it's big numbers, indefinite growth compared to previous year, but still it's not something which is that dramatic in volumes as compared to the total, which causes the blended everything to be above this 55% range. So all in all, if you add up 50%, 55% to incremental baseline, for any incremental revenue that you assume, you should reach the ability to cross the 15% net profit margin that Russell stated.

  • Richard Cutts Shannon - Senior Research Analyst

  • Okay. Perfect, that's very helpful, Oren. To follow on one of your comments here in the silicon photonics, some good detail on the call here. Russell, maybe if you can talk about like how does the customer profile build up in the application of those customers are ramping for next year? If you can give us some color there, that would be a great help.

  • Russell C. Ellwanger - CEO & Director

  • So we have customers for SiPho that are involved in LiDAR. So this is a pure solid-state phased array instead of having a movable part for the laser. That's one area of the SiPho. I mentioned specifically with the press release with Anello that this is silicon photonics' driven [gyro meter], replacing optical fiber coil.

  • And the bulk of the SiPho though is really -- it's to go into data center, it's to achieve a 400, 800 gigabit per second capability. And the first and foremost customer that we had press released with was Inphi as far as them being a SiPho customer. And certainly their presence and abilities within having a very high data rate capabilities, it's known. They were acquired by Marvell. So those are, right now, the 3 major areas that we're involved in.

  • Richard Cutts Shannon - Senior Research Analyst

  • Okay. That's helpful detail, Russell. My last quick question, following up another one regarding the Agrate fab. In a prior question, you had answered with a couple of areas of focus here. I'm not sure if those were the -- intended to be the biggest ones in the first couple of years out of the gate or the earliest ones, but maybe if you can give us some more color on other areas, which you're continuing to focus on that capacity?

  • Russell C. Ellwanger - CEO & Director

  • We really are focusing the initial capacity in those 2 areas. The RFSOI -- several different platforms of RFSOI and stitch field display. So that's the initial focus that we have there.

  • Operator

  • The next question is from Mark Lipacis of Jefferies.

  • Mark John Lipacis - MD & Senior Equity Research Analyst

  • I don't know, maybe for Oren, the CapEx that you're putting up and projected to put up, is there -- have you -- can you quantify for us how this will impact the depreciation line in the cash flow statement? And how -- and if you can't quantify, perhaps could you give us a framework to think about the normal depreciation schedule for this CapEx? And when it -- when you might start depreciating it?

  • Oren Shirazi - CFO & Senior VP of Finance

  • All right. Yes. We -- [as a rule] depreciate our CapEx equipment tools over 15 years, 1-5, the depreciation -- the CapEx for the Agrate factory, which I mentioned, will be $160 million next year an additional $240 million in '23, will not be starting to be depreciated before the beginning of 2023. So next year, you should see 0 from that in depreciation. Because until the tools will arrive, and then there should be installation and qualification, and it's part of our big chunk of tools that arrive at the same timing, so under the rule, only once we will qualify everything, we will start to depreciate.

  • Usually, it's 2 to 3 quarters or even 4, up to 4 quarters after the arrival of the tools. So it will not be next year. But you can start model it from 2023 in small amounts. I guess from the middle of 2023, from Q3 of 2023, it will be a higher amount as we start to ramp, also Russell indicated that we will see some revenues from Agrate in his forecast for growth for Q4 '23. So obviously, when there is revenue, there will be also cost and depreciation. So that's about the Agrate, this part.

  • The second part is the regular CapEx. So I updated about -- I mean, we already announced it in the past. I just gave an update that the $250 million that we already announced that we ordered this year will be paid in, you can call it, linear flows -- almost linear from the middle of '21 to the end of '22, so let's say, $40 million a quarter.

  • And that's when it's paid, usually depreciation starts one quarter after that. So additional $40 million. I mean if it's linear $250 million over 6 quarters, additional $40 million of CapEx coming into depreciation, but over 15 years, right? So it is like $6 million a quarter -- a year -- $6 million -- each such quarter is additional $6 million of layer. I don't think it will impact much. Because on the other hand, we also purchased CapEx in the past, maybe a lower amount than that, but still there will.

  • So whenever a new layer of depreciation starts to be amortized an old layer that finished its depreciation from 15 years ago, that was purchased 15 years ago, terminates. So the delta shouldn't be, I believe, material amount. But of course, you can model it very easily just add $40 million of new CapEx every quarter.

  • Operator

  • There are no further questions at this time. Mr. Ellwanger, would you like to make your concluding statement?

  • Russell C. Ellwanger - CEO & Director

  • Certainly. Thank you very much. Firstly, really, I'm excited about where we are, what's in front of us, the relationships we've developed with our customers, the markets that we're in, the figures of merits we've been able to achieve that benefit our customers in having differentiated products that -- as they designed to our flows in an exciting time and an exciting period for the company. The 15% net profit margin target that I've given for 2022, I think, is a good step for the company. And I look forward to achieving it and to updating as we move forward on the top line value growth that obviously is very accretive to the bottom line margins.

  • We've recently issued our first corporate sustainability or ESG report, reviewing the variety of our global activities, providing in-depth information about our sustainability policies, programs and goals. As a company, we've always had an overriding focus to have a positive impact on society and to minimize any negative impact on our planet and to do what we can to have a positive impact on the planet. We're very proud of our activities. We invite you to read our report. It's available on our website. We have a package that I referred to before the call -- or I'm sorry, as I was talking about utilizations that will publish now that the call is ending, that summarizes all of the numbers, highlights activities, utilizations in the company. Please, as per your interest, look at that. I think it's a complete package.

  • And lastly, we'll be participating at the 24th Annual Needham Growth Conference on January 10. And we look forward to meeting as many of you as possible during that event, albeit virtually, but still look forward to it very much.

  • With that, I thank you, and look forward to updating you as interesting things happen in the company and definitely upon the end of the quarter. So thank you very, very much.

  • Operator

  • Thank you. This concludes Tower Semiconductor Third Quarter 2021 Results Conference Call. Thank you for your participation. You may go ahead and disconnect.