Truist Financial Corp (TFC) 2011 Q4 法說會逐字稿

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  • Operator

  • Greetings, ladies and gentlemen, and welcome to the BB&T Corporation first-quarter 2011 earnings conference call.

  • At this time all participants are in a listen-only mode.

  • A brief question-and-answer session will follow the formal presentation.

  • As a reminder, this conference is being recorded.

  • It is now my pleasure to introduce your host, Ms.

  • Tamera Gjesdal, Senior Vice President of Investor Relations for BB&T Corporation.

  • Thank you.

  • You may begin, Tamera.

  • Tamera Gjesdal - SVP IR

  • Thank you, Alicia.

  • Good morning, everyone, and thanks to all of our listeners for joining us today.

  • This call is being broadcast on the Internet from our website at BBT.com.

  • We have with us today Kelly King, Daryl Bible, and Clarke Starnes, who will review the results for the fourth quarter of 2011 as well as provide a look ahead.

  • We will be referencing a slide presentation during our remarks today.

  • A copy of the presentation as well as our earnings release and supplemental financial information are available on the BB&T website.

  • After Kelly, Daryl, and Clarke have made their remarks, we will pause to have Alicia come back on the line and explain how you may participate in the Q&A session.

  • Before we begin, let me remind you BB&T does not provide public earnings predictions or forecasts.

  • However, there may be statements made during the course of this call that express management's intentions, beliefs, or expectations.

  • BB&T's actual results may differ materially from those contemplated by these forward-looking statements.

  • Additional information concerning factors that could cause actual results to be materially different is contained in slide 2 of our presentation and in the Company's SEC filings.

  • Our presentation include certain non-GAAP disclosures.

  • Please refer to page 2 and the appendix of our presentation for the appropriate reconciliations to GAAP.

  • I will now turn the call over to Kelly.

  • Kelly King - Chairman, CEO

  • Thank you, Tamera.

  • Good morning, everybody, and thanks for joining us this morning.

  • I have to say overall for this quarter, relative to the economic and industry challenges, it was clearly, in my view, an outstanding performance here for our Company.

  • Just a few highlights and then we will just drill down on some of the numbers for you.

  • On the earnings front, net income was a strong $391 million, up 88% versus fourth quarter of '10.

  • EPS totaled $0.55, up 88% versus fourth quarter, and it was an annualized 23% increase from the $0.52 in the last quarter.

  • So we really think this was the strongest quarterly earnings in more than three years.

  • On the revenue side, looking at it from an FTE basis, net interest income was $1.5 billion, up 9.6% annualized over the linked quarter.

  • That was supported by a strong loan growth and larger security balances.

  • Net operating revenues totaled $2.3 billion, which was up an annualized 11.8% versus the third quarter.

  • So, a good, solid revenue performance.

  • Our loan growth we felt very good about.

  • It was strong and it was broad-based.

  • Average loan growth was 7.3% annualized versus the third quarter.

  • Average loan growth, if you exclude ADC and our covered and other acquired portfolios, was up 10.1% annualized versus the third, so stronger there.

  • And importantly, the pace of growth accelerated during the quarter.

  • That growth was really focused in C&I mortgage and direct retail, so it was fairly broad-based.

  • We did continue to have progress in our mix improvement in the deposit area.

  • I would point out we feel very comfortable now relative to our Basel III liquidity requirements.

  • Average non-interest-bearing deposits increased $1.8 billion or a very strong 31.3% annualized in the fourth versus the third.

  • And total deposits increased $6.9 billion or 23.7% annualized versus the third.

  • So strong deposit performance, as you have seen for the last several quarters.

  • In the credit area, we had overall continued strong improvement in the credit area.

  • As you will recall, we had mentioned that we had decided to execute a more aggressive foreclosure property strategy in the fourth quarter.

  • And so as a result, our NPAs decreased $519 million or 17.5%, which was better than the guidance that we had indicated.

  • Importantly, our foreclosed property area decreased by $408 million or 41.4%, so very strong performance there.

  • So let's drill down a little bit into some of the numbers.

  • If you go with me on to slide 4, we did have a few unusual items this quarter.

  • I am sorry about the noise, but we think it is all net positive.

  • So we had net securities gains of $103 million pretax, which was a positive $0.09 per share.

  • Due to the more aggressive disposition strategy that we took, we did have additional OREO valuation adjustments of $220 million, which was a negative hit to earnings of $0.19.

  • We did have some small merger-related charges related to BankAtlantic and some charges related to our expense optimization strategy project.

  • That was $16 million before tax, so that was about $0.01.

  • And then we did have some losses and writedowns to conclude our previously announced NPL disposition strategy.

  • You recall, we had moved earlier last year some NPLs into held-for-sale.

  • Glad to say that category is now down to zero after an $11 million pretax charge there, which was about a negative $0.01.

  • And then we did have a small amount in the Visa indemnification charge.

  • You recall in 2008 we, as many others, had to sell our Visa stock.

  • So we had an $11 million pretax charge there, which was about (technical difficulty).

  • So, giving you a little color with regard to loan growth, if you go to deck slide 5, I would say that overall our loan production and growth accelerated, and it was broad-based.

  • You will see that our C&I grew 11% fourth to third annualized.

  • Other CRE continued our strategically directed decline of 8.2%.

  • Sales Finance was 4.1%.

  • Revolving credit was strong at 9.4%.

  • Mortgage was 26%.

  • Now, other lending subsidiaries was down 1.1% fourth to third annualized; but remember we have a lot of seasonality there.

  • So insurance premium finance business was down, but the other subsidiaries were up nicely.

  • For example, equipment finance was up 21.9%.

  • Grandbridge Mortgage was up 23.7%.

  • Sheffield, which is our small equipment finance business, was up 23.6%.

  • So that was good as well.

  • Very pleased with our direct retail, which is up 11.2%.

  • I would point out that is largely first lien home equity lines and financing home improvements and that kind of thing.

  • So, if you look at our subtotal of loans, up 10.1% excluding the impact of the ADC and covered runoff, even if you include those it was up 7.3%, which was better than our 4% to 6% guidance.

  • So we felt pretty good about loan growth.

  • A little more detail on that.

  • The momentum kind of accelerated during the quarter, so end-of-period loans was up $2.8 billion, which was annualized 10.5%.

  • The pipeline remains robust.

  • I want to emphasize that we remain focused on high-quality, granular, diverse portfolios.

  • We have not changed our strategy in terms of how we pursue corporate loans or any other kinds of loans.

  • So, if you think about it, we have said -- two or three years we have talked about our corporate strategy, our wealth strategy, our Specialized Lending strategy; these strategies are really beginning to pay off.

  • So we have had the best loan growth in three years.

  • Looking forward, we would expect to end the first quarter, loan growth to be in the 5% to 7% range; and that is contingent on what happens with the economy.

  • But based on what we are seeing in the economy, which is kind of slow, positive growth, no double-dip, just kind of slow, positive 2%, 2.5% kind of real GDP growth, based on that we would expect that kind of loan growth.

  • So, if you look at the deposit area, it was yet down another strong deposit area.

  • We are real pleased about the progress we made in diversifying our mix and at the same time lowering our costs.

  • So if you look at our non-interest-bearing deposits, fourth to third, annualized it's 31.3%.

  • I'd tell you, DDA has just continue to flood into the banking industry, not just us but to everybody.

  • That is not necessarily a good sign.

  • That means people are still hoarding a lot of cash.

  • But still it is very strong and gives us a really good base as loans begin to grow going forward.

  • Interest checking is up 9.7%.

  • Money market and savings was up 24.6%.

  • CDs were up 28.3%, not quite as strong as last quarter but still very strong.

  • But you can expect to see that coming down some now that we feel that we have got our Basel III liquidity where we want it.

  • So our total deposits up 23.7%, which is obviously very, very strong.

  • Very pleased that our interest-bearing deposit costs decreased to 0.56%, compared to 0.65%.

  • We think we still have some momentum on the downside going forward with regard to that.

  • Growth in CDs picked up despite a 16 basis points decrease in costs in CDs.

  • So we brought the cost down, had good growth, and kept the maturity low with an average maturity of 13 months.

  • So we right now, looking forward on deposits, expect solid growth; but we would expect to see more moderate deposit growth as our CD portfolio would expand at a slower pace.

  • But we will continue to focus on reductions in aggregate cost.

  • So now with that, let me turn it to Clarke for some color on the credit side.

  • Clarke Starnes - Senior EVP, Chief Risk Officer

  • Thank you, Kelly, and good morning, everyone.

  • I'm very pleased to report another quarter of improved trends in our credit performance.

  • We are particularly pleased with the execution of our strategy to more aggressively reduce foreclosed property balances and the significant decline in total NPAs, which was driven in part by these efforts.

  • On slide 7 you can see a substantial reduction in NPAs at 17.5%.

  • This was significantly better, as Kelly said, than the 5% to 10% guidance we gave last quarter and represents the seventh consecutive quarter with lower NPAs.

  • It's also noteworthy that NPAs declined approximately $1.5 billion or 38% in 2011 to the lowest level in three years.

  • Our efforts to reduce commercial NPAs were also noteworthy for the quarter.

  • Including held-for-sale, commercial NPLs were down 8.1% on a linked-quarter basis; and we also experienced a lower level of commercial watchlist credits, non-accrual inflows, TDRs, early delinquencies, and OREO.

  • So a very, very good quarter on the commercial side.

  • While we did see some seasonal impact in our credit performance in the Residential Mortgage and Specialized Lending portfolios, the problem levels were well within our projections and should move back down in the first quarter, which is consistent with our historical experience.

  • Our focus on rapidly reducing NPAs remains a priority.

  • We previously discussed with you all that there are, we believe, about $700 million in annualized direct credits cost savings that we can realize as NPAs are reduced to more normal levels.

  • We currently expect to realize a considerable portion of that benefit in 2012.

  • We would ask you to remember the $700 million excludes expected declines in the provision expense.

  • For the first quarter, we expect NPAs to decline in the range of 5% to 10% assuming the economy holds up.

  • I would note this guidance excludes any special foreclosed property sales, which we think are very possible given our new more aggressive disposition strategy.

  • If you look with me on slide 8, we explained last quarter that we were moving to a more aggressive strategy to reduce foreclosed property balances.

  • These balances dropped a significant 41.4% as a result.

  • Our efforts were focused on minimizing inflows, which you can see we were successful at doing over the last two quarters.

  • Inflows were down 57% compared to the fourth quarter of last year.

  • This is very important because of the length of time it takes to move assets through the foreclosure process.

  • I am also very pleased that we have been able to reduce inflows without negatively impacting chargeoffs.

  • We're also focused on more rapidly selling existing foreclosed properties, with a good sales quarter in Q4 at $255 million.

  • In addition, we have approximately $100 million in the pipeline and are very confident we will have a strong sales result in first-quarter 2012.

  • In connection with our change to a shorter hold disposition strategy, we did record a significant $220 million liquidity mark, which was concentrated purposely in the most difficult land-related assets.

  • We are confident this will allow us to move these properties out more quickly and substantially reduce foreclosed property expenses in 2012.

  • I would note that our foreclosed property balances without consideration of the mark were down 19.1% in Q4.

  • Very strong results, I think.

  • As we said last quarter, this effort will substantially reduce our foreclosed property expense in 2012.

  • So we expect those expenses to trend downward throughout 2012 as the properties are liquidated and to average less than $100 million per quarter, which includes both writedowns and maintenance costs.

  • If you'll turn to slide 9 you will note that our chargeoffs in Q4, excluding covered loans, were 1.46%, about flat with last quarter and consistent with our previous guidance.

  • For the full year, net charge-offs were 1.59% excluding covered, down from 2.59% last year.

  • So I think a tremendous year in terms of lower loss experience while generating $1.5 million reduction in our NPAs, so I think it is really a strong accomplishment for our workout teams.

  • Looking forward, we expect total chargeoffs to be approximately 1.30% in Q1 excluding covered and to trend lower thereafter through the year.

  • Finally, if you will look at slide 10, due to our improved credit performance and the quality of recent originations, our provision expense was lower in Q4 versus Q3.

  • This also resulted in a reduction in our allowance.

  • If you exclude the allowance for covered assets and the reserve for unfunded commitments, it was about $135 million, which is pretty similar to reductions experienced over the last couple of quarters.

  • While our loan loss reserves did decrease this quarter, our coverage ratio of nonperforming loans remained strong at 113%.

  • And that is pretty consistent with Q3.

  • While we will remain conservative with respect to the allowance because of lingering issues in the economy and all the uncertainty, I would point out that recent credit vintages are performing very well and are creating some downward pressure in our allowance modeling.

  • So, continued improvement in credit quality is likely to allow for further reductions in provision expense.

  • In summary, we are very pleased with the solid pace of credit improvement this quarter.

  • Given the successful execution of our NPA reduction strategies, we are well positioned to benefit from lower levels of NPAs and credit-related costs in 2012.

  • With that, let me turn it over to Daryl for his comments.

  • Daryl Bible - Senior EVP, CFO

  • Thank you, Clarke, and good morning, everyone.

  • I am going to take the next few minutes to discuss net interest margin, the securities portfolio expansion, fee income, non-interest expense, capital, and our segment reporting.

  • Continuing on slide 11, net interest margin for Q4 came in strong at 4.02%.

  • It was down 7 basis points, in line with prior guidance.

  • The decrease resulted from the runoff of higher-yielding loans being replaced with lower yielding originations; a decrease in balances and yields on covered loans; and a greater proportion of investment securities in our earning assets.

  • The margin continues to benefit from lower funding costs, particularly interest-bearing deposits, which decreased 9 basis points to 56 basis points, and lower NPAs.

  • Net interest income increased 9.6% annualized or $35 million on a linked-quarter basis.

  • This was driven by increased balances in both loans and securities.

  • Net interest income related to assets from the Colonial transaction decreased $31 million.

  • Adjusting for the provision for covered loans and the increase in the FDIC loss share offset, net revenues decreased $15 million due to the impact of covered assets.

  • With regard to margin outlook we expect it to be approximately 3.90% plus or minus 5 basis points in Q1.

  • The primary drivers for the decline are continued low rate environment; continued runoff of the covered asset portfolio; and the decline in investment yields as a result of the full impact from the Q4 investment sales.

  • The margin will continue to benefit from a decrease in interest-bearing deposit costs, primarily in the CD portfolio.

  • We remain asset-sensitive and are positioned for rising rates.

  • Turning to slide 12, during Q4, we purchased $9.4 billion of securities consisting primarily of a mixture of Ginnie Mae securities as well as other agency MBS.

  • The purchase of these securities and significant growth in deposits resulted in a stronger Basel III liquidity position.

  • We continue to maintain a very low-risk investment portfolio, with approximately 99% guaranteed by government agencies.

  • Additionally, approximately 28% is variable rate.

  • The effective duration is 3.3 years.

  • We expect the portfolio to remain relatively stable in 2012.

  • Turning to slide 13, our fee income ratio decreased to 38.4% in Q4 from 39.3% in Q3.

  • The decrease was primarily due to lower check card fees from interchange rules; lower investment banking and brokerage fees and commissions, due to market conditions and lower volume; and higher revenues driven by net interest income.

  • Insurance income in Q4 increased to $254 million driven by stronger performance in P&C and our Q4 agency acquisitions.

  • Mortgage banking income was up in Q4 to $135 million compared to $123 million last quarter.

  • The increase was due to higher production volume and larger gains on sales.

  • The FDIC loss share income net improved $58 million due to the provision for covered loan offset and the cumulative impact of cash flow reassessments.

  • The balance at the end of the quarter for accretable yield decreased to $1.8 billion from $2.1 billion in Q3.

  • The increase in Other income includes the net increase of $26 million from lower write-downs on nonperforming loans held for sale; $13 million in higher income related to post-employment benefits offset in personnel costs; and $7 million in higher income on venture capital investments.

  • We expect the fee income ratio to be in the upper 30% range in Q1.

  • Looking on slide 14, our efficiency ratio improved to 53.5% compared to 54.6% in Q3.

  • Personnel expense increased $8 million or 4.7% annualized.

  • This relates to higher post-employment benefit expense.

  • FTEs were up 90 in Q4 due to insurance acquisitions and up a total of 420 for the full year.

  • When you adjust FTEs for these acquisitions, they would have been down 120 compared to Q3.

  • The increase in FTEs over last year is largely comprised of revenue producers in investment services, wealth management, mortgage lending, direct retail lending, and insurance.

  • Foreclosed property expense increased $178 million.

  • This is largely due to the increase in the valuation adjustment in connection with our more aggressive OREO disposition strategy.

  • As Clarke noted, these costs will come down significantly in 2012 as we sell OREO properties.

  • Occupancy and equipment expense was slightly higher due to real estate tax accrual adjustment.

  • Professional services decreased due to lower legal fees.

  • Other non-interest expenses decreased $9 million or 16.5% annualized.

  • The improvement includes a $16 million reduction related to the loss on sale of leverage leases in Q3, partially offset by an $11 million increase in the indemnification reserve in Q4 related to the 2008 sale of Visa stock.

  • Excluding foreclosed property expense, non-interest expense would have increased 1% versus 2010.

  • Looking to 2012 we expect noninterest expense to decline based on our outlook for lower credit-related costs and anticipated savings from our expense optimization strategy.

  • As a reminder, we expect Q1 personnel expenses to be elevated due to seasonally high comp and benefits and the pension expense.

  • Excluding a true-up from our state tax return and discrete items, the Q4 effective tax rate was in line with expectations at 20%.

  • Looking forward, as earnings continue to improve, our corporate tax rate will increase to 25% in 2012.

  • Turning to slide 15, our capital ratios declined slightly due to faster earning asset growth, but remained very strong.

  • Tier 1 Common is 9.7%.

  • Tier 1 Capital is 12.4%.

  • Leveraged capital remains strong at 9%.

  • Tangible common remains healthy at 6.9%, and total capital is 15.7%.

  • Our internal capital generation continues to provide significant financial flexibility for capital deployment in the following order -- organic growth, dividends, strategic opportunities, and share buybacks.

  • In terms of our CCAR submission, we feel good about our plan, which is consistent with these priorities.

  • Our current estimate for Tier 1 Common under Basel III remains at 8.8%, flat with Q3.

  • We believe this will meet our capital requirements once the US capital rules are published.

  • Turning to slide 16, we have added new disclosures on our segments.

  • Here are a few highlights.

  • Community Bank net income totaled $49 million, and excluding the OREO mark was $186 million.

  • The main drivers include loan growth, improved credit quality, deposit growth, and improved deposit mix.

  • Average retail loans grew $597 million or 7.8% compared to Q4 2010.

  • We also experienced solid growth in several payment categories.

  • Merchant Services was up 21%.

  • Treasury Services, Credit Card, and International services also experienced solid revenue growth in Q4.

  • Turning to slide 17.

  • Residential Mortgage net income totaled $36 million.

  • Linked-quarter revenue growth increased to do to $18.2 million of gains on loans' sales, increased revenue of higher production on $2.9 billion.

  • Additionally, like-quarter net income growth was driven by lower provision as credit quality in this segment continues to improve.

  • Mortgage repurchase activity remains at very low levels with a net increase of only $4 million in our repurchase reserve.

  • Turning to slide 18, Dealer Financial Services, which primarily originates in direct prime and nonprime auto loans through franchise dealers, had net income of $48 million in Q4 as well as strong loan demand across all segments.

  • Additionally, annual losses at Regional Acceptance are at historical lows, and our prime auto losses remain very low at 22 basis points.

  • On slide 19, Specialized Lending experienced strong quarter, with net income of $63 million and an increase in operating margin to 45%, up from 38% a year ago.

  • Sheffield Financial, our small-ticket equipment lending group, generated significant portfolio growth, up 37% through expanded financing relationships.

  • Grandbridge Real Estate Capital, our commercial bankings, had record loan production of $4.8 billion.

  • Moving on to slide 20.

  • Insurance Services generated $26 million in net income driven by organic growth from McGriff, Seibels & Williams and our recent acquisitions.

  • Our acquisitions of Precept, Liberty Benefits, and Atlantic Risk closed in the fourth quarter.

  • Precept and Liberty Benefits will help align our employment benefit strategy with the anticipated healthcare reforms.

  • For 2012, we anticipate strategic and modest organic growth.

  • Turning to slide 21, Financial Services generated $84 million in net income, primarily driven by Corporate Banking and Wealth Management.

  • They had loan growth of 50% and 34%, respectively, in Q4.

  • This segment's operating margin improved to 45% from 40% a year ago.

  • Finally, our Corporate Banking Energy team, established in early 2011, originated 28 new energy client relationships.

  • With that, let me turn it back over to Kelly for closing remarks and Q&A.

  • Kelly King - Chairman, CEO

  • Thank you, Daryl.

  • As you can see, overall it was a strong quarter for us.

  • We continue to invest to drive revenue and loan growth.

  • The underlying fundamentals I think in our loan and deposit business are exceptionally strong.

  • We are continuing to methodically and successfully accomplish our diversification and risk-mitigation strategies.

  • We are reconceptualizing our businesses to drive our revenue and expense optimization process.

  • And we believe we continue to provide the best value proposition in our markets.

  • So, if you think about the economy, the economy as we have said -- kind of a slow but positive kind of growth rate going forward, we are pretty optimistic about our performance in 2012.

  • I would point out that since our Company started in 1872, this is our 140th birthday.

  • And while we are very proud of our heritage, we believe that our best days are ahead.

  • We'd be glad now to answer your questions.

  • Tamera Gjesdal - SVP IR

  • Thank you, Kelly.

  • Before we move to the question-and-answer segment of the conference call, I will ask that we use the same process as we have in the past.

  • You will be limited to one primary and one follow-up question.

  • If you do have further questions, please reenter the queue.

  • And now I will ask Alicia to come back on the line and explain how to submit your questions.

  • Operator

  • (Operator Instructions) Craig Siegenthaler, Credit Suisse.

  • Craig Siegenthaler - Analyst

  • Thanks.

  • Good morning, everyone.

  • First, just on the loan growth guidance, if we assume zero% point-to-point loan growth in the first quarter, we're actually going to back into an average loan growth number higher than your guidance.

  • What I am trying to figure out is, is your guidance more on the conservative side?

  • Or are you expecting a deceleration in growth in the first quarter?

  • Kelly King - Chairman, CEO

  • Craig, I would say we are trying to be relatively conservative.

  • It is really hard -- to be frank, it is hard to figure out exactly where the loan market is.

  • There has been a lot of commentary so far this season about really strong, robust loan growth nationally, which would imply that the economy is really booming.

  • We do not see that.

  • We think the economy is kind of sluggish.

  • It is moving forward, but it is kind of sluggish, methodical kind of growth.

  • What we are seeing is clearly movement of market share to our Company.

  • As we talked about in the past we have some very unusual opportunities in the corporate banking space, in wealth strategy and our Specialized Lending businesses.

  • So we think that it our growth is going to be relatively strong.

  • But it is still kind of hard to figure exactly what is happening to the economy, so we are trying to be somewhat conservative.

  • Craig Siegenthaler - Analyst

  • Just a quick follow-up on OREO.

  • If I go back and look at what you said at the prior conferences in the fourth quarter, we knew OREO disposition activity was going to be high.

  • I didn't know the impact to the bottom line was going to be of this type of magnitude.

  • I am wondering, did losses on some of these properties materialize more towards the end of the fourth quarter?

  • Or what drove that?

  • Clarke Starnes - Senior EVP, Chief Risk Officer

  • Yes, Craig, this is Clarke.

  • What drove our thinking was not necessarily any change in our loss experience.

  • We told you guys all along we believed we were capital strong and had good earnings power and wanted to work with our clients and try to bridge as many as we can and as many of these assets to a better market.

  • So all along we have been on a very prescriptive, methodical process of revaluing these properties and marking them down to the appraised value on a consistent basis.

  • So nothing has changed there.

  • What has changed and what is reflected in the mark is a management decision to change our holding period assumption substantially.

  • So we are trying to move away from more of a longer hold view for us to a shorter hold view.

  • And then this mark reflects what we think is a good liquidity discount to entice a loan holder to take these assets over the next couple of quarters or so.

  • And the big economic benefit for us is that the run rate going forward in the foreclosed property expense is substantially better than the present value of this mark.

  • So we feel very good about the strategy and think that it will benefit us substantially in 2012.

  • Craig Siegenthaler - Analyst

  • All right.

  • Thank you, Clarke.

  • Operator

  • Brian Foran, Nomura.

  • Brian Foran - Analyst

  • Hi, good morning.

  • I guess on the credit, the one follow-up I had was, can you give the NPA inflows that you have given in prior quarters?

  • Then also on the OREO, when you talk about the 5% to 10% decline, not contemplating any additional special dispositions, just remind us what the baseline run rate of normal OREO sales would be without any special dispositions?

  • Clarke Starnes - Senior EVP, Chief Risk Officer

  • Brian, this is Clarke again.

  • Total inflows for the quarter were up marginally, primarily due to a little bit of seasonal influence in our Residential Mortgage and our non-prime auto side, which we would expect to see in the fourth quarter.

  • And that should come down in the first.

  • But what we are real pleased about is our commercial NPLs were actually down slightly for the quarter.

  • They have come down rapidly to a level that we think is much more manageable to reduce NPLs on an organic basis.

  • So even at the current rate of inflows on commercial we would expect another good quarter in Q1 in organic NPL reduction in our commercial book and our total book as well.

  • As far as the 5% to 10% NPA guidance excluding any special sales, that would assume a normal level of sales based on our previous strategy in about the $200 million range.

  • So we can do better than that.

  • We should do better.

  • Brian Foran - Analyst

  • Then on net interest income, I guess just putting everything together, if we have got loan growth in the high single digits, the margin coming down, and the securities book flat, I guess the two related questions I had was -- do you still think the margin ultimately will shake out in the 3.75% range as the accretable yield benefit steps down but the core margin expands via loan growth and funding cost reductions?

  • And just overall dollars of net interest income -- I mean, does everything just kind of shake out to flat next year, as these things offset?

  • Or where do you think net interest income will trend as you look forward?

  • Daryl Bible - Senior EVP, CFO

  • We believe -- I mean if you look at the forecast that we have pulled together, our net interest income for the year will be up due to the loan growth that we are seeing and achieving.

  • Also, with the continued drop in our deposit costs, which will continue to benefit.

  • If you actually look at our core margin this past quarter, you basically net out the repricing of the loans and you charge that against the benefit on the deposits, it really just came down due to the covered assets runoff and lower yields there.

  • So, as 2012 rolls out, we feel very comfortable net interest income will be up, but margins will be down.

  • As far as whether 3.70% or so is the right number really depends on how long interest rates stay down.

  • The longer they stay down, the more pressure that is.

  • But we feel very good about 2012 and having net interest income up even though margins will be dropping.

  • Brian Foran - Analyst

  • Just -- the up is relative to full-year '11 or relative to the fourth-quarter run rate?

  • Daryl Bible - Senior EVP, CFO

  • Full-year '11.

  • Brian Foran - Analyst

  • Relative to full-year '11; okay.

  • Thank you.

  • Operator

  • Todd Hagerman, Sterne, Agee.

  • Todd Hagerman - Analyst

  • Good morning, everybody.

  • Clarke, I just want to follow up on your comments and just make sure I understand clearly in terms of the OREO.

  • As you mentioned, those environmental-related costs coming down from the $700 million to assuming a $400 million mark with the $100 million run rate.

  • But I guess what I want clarification on is, if I look at the delinquency levels in the report, delinquencies are up quarter-on-quarter.

  • So I am just trying to think about how I reconcile, with delinquencies up, that the bucket or the pressure on OREO still seems to be there.

  • So I am just trying to figure out why necessarily why that number is coming down so meaningfully over the course of the year relative to what we have seen in the past several quarters.

  • Clarke Starnes - Senior EVP, Chief Risk Officer

  • Fair question, Todd.

  • I think a couple of points.

  • One is our inflows are still well controlled and overall directionally coming down.

  • So the big risk in OREO is the commercial portfolio; and as I said, the delinquencies actually went down in the commercial book linked quarter.

  • The only increase we had in delinquency for the quarter was some seasonal impact in resi mortgage and Specialized Lending effectively.

  • So we don't see a delinquency pickup that would increase our inflows and put pressure on the OREO side there.

  • So, given all that we think with the rate of inflows, how we are managing those not to take title in the OREO, so our loss assumptions assume the impact of mitigation against new inflows in the OREOs, so we are not taking title as much.

  • So the combination of the normal sales and the controlled inflows we think will allow us to achieve that result.

  • Kelly King - Chairman, CEO

  • Todd, something else you've got to keep in mind.

  • We're in a new phase with regard to delinquencies.

  • Delinquencies are really low, just absolutely.

  • So while you may have a little seasonal variation from quarter-to-quarter, you don't think about a small change in delinquencies today the way you might have thought about it two years ago.

  • Because we're in a somewhat normal phase with regard to delinquencies, which doesn't have the same kind of correlation to OREO flows as it would have had two years ago.

  • Todd Hagerman - Analyst

  • Okay, no, that's very helpful.

  • Then I guess just maybe, Kelly, just an update in terms of your optimization strategy.

  • Just in terms of -- you didn't provide a lot of quantification last quarter.

  • I am just wondering if you're willing to give an update relative to your guidance in terms of the lower expenses for 2012 and how that fits in.

  • Kelly King - Chairman, CEO

  • Yes, Todd, so we are really engaged in that process now.

  • It is going extraordinarily well.

  • I think I mentioned before that we are using a process whereby all of our business leaders have been asked to take some time and develop a reconceptualization plan of their business -- basically a clean sheet of paper approach.

  • They have been asked to and have presented their findings to a subgroup of our executive team led by Daryl.

  • Most of the cases they presented great plans; in a few cases we sent them back to do a little bit more work.

  • But I would say the overall results that are coming in are very pleasing and will be executed on methodically as we go through this year and into next year.

  • You know, we have very intentionally not named it as some big deal and put some big number on it, Todd, because we feel very strongly -- and it has proven to be true -- that for our culture if you give our business leaders the opportunity to do their jobs, the challenge that, you know it is a tough environment, we need to control our expenses and that requires reconceptualization of the business, but not nail them with a top-down number, they will come back with even better numbers.

  • And that is exactly what is happening.

  • So, it is going extraordinarily well.

  • We are very pleased.

  • It will have positive impact as we think about our efficiencies ratio as we go forward, and that is what we are primarily focused on.

  • Todd Hagerman - Analyst

  • Terrific.

  • Thanks very much.

  • Operator

  • Ed Najarian, ISI Group.

  • Josh Rogers - Analyst

  • Hi, this is Josh on for Ed.

  • I just had a quick question.

  • You recognized over $100 million of securities gains in 4Q; yet your securities portfolio yield appears to have gone up across the board.

  • Am I correct in assuming that means that the weighted average life on the securities book went up?

  • And if so, by how much?

  • Daryl Bible - Senior EVP, CFO

  • So, if you remember the last earnings call we had we said that duration of the portfolio was 2.7 and now we're at 3.3.

  • So you are correct in that it is a little bit longer; but we feel very comfortable at the 3.3 range.

  • Josh Rogers - Analyst

  • Okay, thank you.

  • Operator

  • Greg Ketron, UBS.

  • Greg Ketron - Analyst

  • Good morning, everyone.

  • Question regarding loan growth, as you look at commercial loan growth up nearly $1 billion, maybe some color on the sources, whether it is corporate loans core commercial, syndications, and what you are seeing on the spread side.

  • Kelly King - Chairman, CEO

  • Greg, we are -- it is pretty broad-based.

  • You know, we've talked about in the past that really about three years ago we launched an aggressive new direction with regard to corporate lending.

  • Looking at corporate lending from a national perspective; focusing on the vertical industry specializations that we have; focusing on a relationship base; keeping it very granular.

  • And we have been executing on that with darn near perfection.

  • So a fair amount of it is corporate.

  • We are getting good growth in the commercial spaces.

  • We are getting pretty good pickup in our small business.

  • Now that is not dramatically material in terms of total, but it's really important long term in terms of the direction.

  • It is not what you call syndicated lending.

  • A lot of these companies I think today are buying large slices of big deals.

  • We are in deals where we are participating with other companies, so you can technically define it as syndication.

  • But the difference for us is, A, we are keeping our granular focus very disciplined.

  • We look at situations, I see them all the time and it really surprises me, where we might hold $35 million to $50 million in a large deal and similar-size peers would hold substantially more.

  • We are just not going to do that.

  • We just think diversification is an important lesson that everybody should have learned from the last recession, and we are staying focused on that.

  • So what we do is continue the relationship banking where we go kick the tires, talk to the CEO, talk to the CFO, understand the business, its feet on the ground, [into glass] office.

  • And it's been very successful.

  • But let me pause and see if Clarke would add any other color to that.

  • Clarke Starnes - Senior EVP, Chief Risk Officer

  • Absolutely.

  • Greg, as far as the spread question, what we are seeing -- like everybody else, is that spreads are clearly coming down.

  • Probably in the middle market side over the last year or so we have seen pressure maybe 50 to 75 basis points; but still our all-in marginal spreads right now on that type of business are still in the 200 to 240 range, which is pretty consistent with the marketplace.

  • Then as Kelly said, we benefit from a lot of smaller business and community bank size lending.

  • It gives us a total -- for example, C&I yield is nearly 4%, so a good mix there.

  • But as Kelly said, we have not changed our risk appetite at all around the middle market side.

  • 80% of the syndicated deals we participate in on our own facility sizes, they are 750 or less.

  • It is within industries that we have vertical specialty in.

  • A lot of the growth is coming in on our newer markets like Texas, expansion in Alabama and Florida, and in things like our new industry segment for energy.

  • So that would be become some of the highlights of where we are getting the C&I growth.

  • Greg Ketron - Analyst

  • Thanks.

  • Appreciate the color.

  • One last question.

  • On Residential Mortgage, you committed about $1.2 billion to the balance sheet in the fourth quarter.

  • If you could comment maybe on type of product and whether we could see this continued commitment on into 2012?

  • Clarke Starnes - Senior EVP, Chief Risk Officer

  • Greg, you're right.

  • We had -- as particularly the ADC and the CRE portfolios have been in conscious runoff over the last year or so, we have augmented the balance sheet with -- by retaining -- what is new for us is we have been retaining our 10- and 15-year product.

  • We have always portfolioed our ARMs and the jumbos and our affordable products, so that has not changed.

  • So right now, the mix of what is going on the balance sheet is about 20% ARMs, 20% jumbo, and about 40% conventional.

  • Daryl Bible - Senior EVP, CFO

  • 40% jumbo.

  • Clarke Starnes - Senior EVP, Chief Risk Officer

  • Sorry, 40% jumbo.

  • I apologize.

  • And then what is in the conventional side is primarily 10 and 15.

  • We are not holding any 30s.

  • Greg Ketron - Analyst

  • Okay, and you expect that kind of commitment could continue into 2012?

  • Clarke Starnes - Senior EVP, Chief Risk Officer

  • Kelly, you might want to speak to that.

  • I think you will see us probably reconsider that as our targets are to see that the ADC will continue to run off.

  • But we also would expect, however, that we begin to stabilize the other CRE, as we are focused and are interested on very high-quality income property lending.

  • As that portfolio stabilizes we would probably see us later in the year consider pulling back on what we are putting on the balance sheet on the resi side.

  • Greg Ketron - Analyst

  • Okay, great.

  • Thank you.

  • Operator

  • Gerard Cassidy, RBC Capital Markets.

  • Gerard Cassidy - Analyst

  • Thank you.

  • Good morning.

  • Clarke, can you share with us?

  • Over the years when you go back and look at BB&T's credit ratios, it was quite common to have a nonperforming asset ratio of about 1% and net charge-offs below 40 basis points.

  • I know the mix of the business now has changed.

  • What do you think normalization will be on the nonperforming asset ratio and net charge-offs in the future?

  • And when do you think you will get there?

  • Clarke Starnes - Senior EVP, Chief Risk Officer

  • Great question, Gerard, and we have talked a lot about that.

  • Kelly has mentioned on several calls the diversification plan and derisking strategy we've had over the last three years, away from so much C&D concentration, more C&I lending, more non-real-estate consumer.

  • So you have seen us consciously grow in those areas so that we could produce lower volatility in the future in our default risk.

  • But you may have higher expected losses than we had had historically.

  • So what we think about is we are trying to build a target portfolio mix that would hopefully achieve maybe a long-term loss rate in the 60 to 80 basis point range, but much less volatility during stress periods.

  • So I think that would give us a good risk-return trade-off.

  • And I think if we can do that, then our nonperforming asset target would actually be pretty similar to that 1% or under level that you spoke about.

  • Gerard Cassidy - Analyst

  • Would you -- is it fair to think because of the underwriting standards of the last three years, that the actual net charge-offs when these loans season could be below what you think is going to eventually be normal?

  • Clarke Starnes - Senior EVP, Chief Risk Officer

  • Absolutely.

  • I would suggest to you that the type of originations we have been successfully doing over the last couple of years are very, very conservative.

  • The consumer portfolios are all full doc-ed, low loan-to-value, high FICO strata.

  • And the commercial originations, as Kelly said, very, very strong, strong underwriting, very conservative exposure levels.

  • So I would agree with that.

  • Gerard Cassidy - Analyst

  • Then finally, on the C&I loan growth, you guys obviously had strong growth.

  • Was there any benefit or did you guys win any business that maybe normally would have went to the foreign banks?

  • We are hearing some of the other large regional banks talk about some success that they are having in the syndicated area.

  • And of the large C&I loan growth, how much was syndicated-type lending?

  • Kelly King - Chairman, CEO

  • Gerard, I will give you part of that, and Clarke can add some color.

  • There is no question that the European banks in general are going back home, and so you are seeing all of us participate in picking up that really, really good business.

  • And BB&T in particular is attractive for a lot of these clients that were counting on the foreigns for participation, because in many cases we didn't have any involvement at all.

  • So we are able to step into a meaningful position in some really, really fine clients.

  • That has been kind of across the board.

  • It's showing up in all industry segments.

  • Particularly showing up in energy, for example.

  • There are a lot of packages on the street.

  • We look at them and we will continue to look at them, but we are pretty conservative in terms of underwriting.

  • So the odds of us buying a lot of big packages is pretty low, to be honest.

  • So where we will benefit is from going directly to the companies where their line participation arrangement has been upset.

  • We will be in t there working out a direct relationship with them or with the lead bank, versus buying packages directly from the European institutions.

  • Clarke Starnes - Senior EVP, Chief Risk Officer

  • Gerard, our Shared Credit Portfolio grew very nicely in the fourth quarter, up probably close to 50% linked-quarter annualized even within those conservative standards we talked about.

  • Clearly we heard a lot from those clients around wanting to see a very stable partner in their bank group.

  • And I would give you a little bit of color.

  • We did just close the largest led syndication we have ever done, and it was related to a domestic company with a European parent that had funding issues in Europe.

  • So that was purpose of the credit.

  • So that is the kind of stuff I think you are seeing out there.

  • Gerard Cassidy - Analyst

  • Gentlemen, thank you.

  • Operator

  • John Pancari, Evercore Partners.

  • John Pancari - Analyst

  • Good morning.

  • Along the syndicated lines, can you just talk to us about where the yields are coming in on the syndicated portfolio on those new originations that you just mentioned?

  • Clarke Starnes - Senior EVP, Chief Risk Officer

  • Absolutely.

  • Just to give you some sense for our syndicated book, roughly you are talking about yields in about the 2.5% range; and fees are about 70 or so basis points.

  • So again still it's very attractive given the risk profile of these credits for us.

  • But it is down considerably from the peak spreads we saw a year or two ago.

  • John Pancari - Analyst

  • Okay, great.

  • Then in terms of line utilization and growth in commitments, can you talk to us about how they trended during the quarter?

  • Just trying to get a gauge of what you are seeing in terms of loan demand versus share gains from competitors?

  • Clarke Starnes - Senior EVP, Chief Risk Officer

  • Well, our total utilization in our entire commercial book was about flat at about 34%.

  • I would give you a little color though.

  • Interesting on the middle-market side or the shared credits, it was actually up at 36%.

  • So what we are seeing -- we are clearly moving market share.

  • Most of our production in these segments are new names for us, so that is a good thing.

  • But unfortunately it is not necessarily new borrowing activity for those clients or new project finance.

  • It's dividend recap and refis and that sort of thing.

  • But what we are benefiting from and seeing, and I think others are seeing, is more term loan pieces that are coming onto bank balance sheets versus going out to the bond market.

  • So that has raised -- that was the real reason for the increase in utilization in our corporate book.

  • John Pancari - Analyst

  • Okay.

  • Then lastly, could you talk a little bit more about capital deployment?

  • I know you gave your priorities, but can you talk to us about how you are thinking about each one of those priorities?

  • I mean, on the M&A front specifically we have heard a lot of the recent media reports around BankUnited looking to sell, and now that has changed.

  • And there was some speculation that you had some interest in that franchise.

  • So could you talk a little bit more about each of the priorities for us?

  • Thanks.

  • Kelly King - Chairman, CEO

  • Yes.

  • So we are very clear about our priorities, because we think it is consistent with what our shareholders look for.

  • Remember that our focus is on a group of shareholders that are long-term, stable shareholders.

  • We feel very strongly in our fiduciary responsibility to tell them what we're going to try to do and then do it.

  • So we have been very clear to them and to broad-based investor communities that we are really focused primarily on organic growth.

  • We have invested in organic opportunities over the last long number of years in places like Florida and Maryland and Texas.

  • We do that on a very consistent and strategic basis so that we are constantly layering in organic growth opportunities, and that is why you want to deploy capital in that way.

  • That is obviously the most profitable way to enhance shareholder value.

  • Secondly, we have still about 50% of our shareholders are private individual shareholders, and they value dividends highly.

  • And frankly, most of our institutional shareholders are good, conservative, long-term holders and they value dividend very highly.

  • So dividends are very important.

  • In the long term, if you take a 100-year run on the stock market, dividends are a huge percentage of the total gain to clients.

  • So dividend and the permanence of dividends is very important.

  • In terms of strategic opportunities, clearly you want to be looking at how to invest capital strategically.

  • So we are very what I call aggressive in terms of looking at opportunities, but very conservative when we get down to doing the analysis.

  • We look at a lot of stuff.

  • We don't do much.

  • And that is because we are very conservative.

  • We are very disciplined.

  • We are very analytical.

  • So when we say we're going to focus on strategic opportunities, we're going to control asset quality, and we are going to do what is economically attractive to our shareholders, that's exactly what we mean.

  • It's exactly what we do.

  • And that is exactly what you have seen playing out in all of this stuff in the market.

  • So you can expect us to continue to behave in exactly the way we have said we have and have performed in the past.

  • John Pancari - Analyst

  • All right, thank you.

  • Operator

  • Erika Penala, Bank of America Merrill Lynch.

  • Erika Penala - Analyst

  • Good morning.

  • I just had one follow-up question to Gerard's question.

  • You mentioned that you think that normal losses would be in the 60 to 80 basis point range based on the mix of your loan book.

  • You guided us towards a 130 basis point chargeoff number for the first quarter.

  • I guess, could you give us a sense of -- and you also mentioned that there is still downward pressure implied by your allowance models.

  • Could you give us a sense of what benchmarks you look at, or what we should look at, in terms of how much more your allowance could come down as the rate of improvement is still directionally correct, but is slowing?

  • Clarke Starnes - Senior EVP, Chief Risk Officer

  • Fair question, Erika.

  • This is Clarke.

  • Again, what we thought about -- obviously we will fully comply with accounting and the regulatory methodology for reserve setting as it moves forward and changes.

  • But given the current guidance and construct and the way we think about it is if we were seeing our normalized losses moving down to the 60, 80 basis point range, then just from a management standpoint we are probably comfortable seeing the reserves in at least the 1.5 to 2 times that run rate of losses.

  • So obviously you can see where we are today and expect to see where we might bottom out, given where we want to go.

  • And again all that depends on how the portfolio in fact fully performs and the environmental factors.

  • But that is the way we think about it today.

  • Kelly King - Chairman, CEO

  • Erika, another point and for Gerard if he is still listening too, is when you think about the mix in our business, from historically more dependence on real estate and going forward much more dependence on a diversified and C&I portfolio, you have to think about more than just the interest rate and the charge-off rate or the net risk-adjusted yield.

  • You have to think about the total profitability from the relationship and coming from collateral benefits.

  • So for example, when you have a large real estate portfolio, you can basically look at your risk-adjusted yield and that is kind of it.

  • Because there are no other collateral benefits.

  • When you look at a C&I portfolio, you think about a risk-adjusted yield plus the other profitability coming from the collateral benefits.

  • So it's a more comprehensive analysis.

  • So while our historical charge-off rates, let's say let's call it 40 basis point range, is lower than our expected 60 to 80, the net overall profitability will be enhanced because of the collateral benefits that will come from that broader, more diversified portfolio.

  • Erika Penala - Analyst

  • Okay, got it.

  • One last question.

  • Daryl, where are you repricing your CDs to today?

  • Daryl Bible - Senior EVP, CFO

  • I would say right now, Erika, they are probably around 50 basis points, 40 to 50.

  • Erika Penala - Analyst

  • Okay, thank you.

  • Daryl Bible - Senior EVP, CFO

  • (multiple speakers) new claims put on it.

  • Operator

  • Bob Patten, Morgan Keegan.

  • Bob Patten - Analyst

  • Good morning, everybody.

  • Quick question on -- most of my questions have been asked, but just on capital.

  • Is there any discussion at the Board level or senior management around special dividends as this industry continues to generate excess capital?

  • Kelly King - Chairman, CEO

  • Bob, as you well know, we are all thinking about capital in the context of the evolving new framework around Basel, etc.

  • We also now, as you also know, have to think about it in terms of the CCAR.

  • So we have our own thoughts, and then we have to be guided by what our partners are from the regulator perspective.

  • Having said that, though, Bob, I think the industry is poised and BB&T is poised to generate substantial capital as we go forward.

  • If you start from the premise that we start from, which is that we are already well capitalized today, then looking forward we would think in terms of our capital deployment hierarchy.

  • To be honest with you, personally I like the notion of a special dividend.

  • It's the kind of thing that, when the time is right and the economics makes sense, it is a nice reward to your long-term shareholders, and particularly now that they have had several years of not getting their normalized cash flow.

  • So while I would stop way short of any kind of promise or even inference with regard to that, intellectually -- to your point -- it is appealing, and it could certainly play a part in the future.

  • Bob Patten - Analyst

  • Understand.

  • Thank you, Kelly.

  • Just one last question on the TruPS.

  • Any update there in terms of options, rates, and so forth?

  • Daryl Bible - Senior EVP, CFO

  • Bob, the only thing I can tell you is we submitted our capital plan.

  • We're waiting to hear from the regulators in the middle of March.

  • At that point I think you might see potential action plans we can take from that announcement.

  • Bob Patten - Analyst

  • Okay, thanks, Daryl.

  • Operator

  • Kevin Fitzsimmons, Sandler O'Neill.

  • Kevin Fitzsimmons - Analyst

  • Good morning, everyone.

  • Just a quick follow-up on the subject of M&A.

  • Kelly, can you give just an update on where we stand with BankAtlantic?

  • Is everything on track in terms of closing for that?

  • I know there were a few shareholder lawsuits and this news of the SEC lawsuit against them.

  • I would assume that you are completely protected from that kind of thing.

  • That is the holding company, not the bank.

  • But if you can just give us an update on that, thanks.

  • Kelly King - Chairman, CEO

  • Yes.

  • So we are aware of the SEC enforcement action.

  • It in no way involves BB&T, and we are certainly not going to comment about securities law actions related to other parties.

  • But as far as we are concerned, we are proceeding in terms of our pre-acquisition conversion activities.

  • We are proceeding in terms of regulatory applications.

  • And it is our wish and our expectation to perform according to our contract.

  • Kevin Fitzsimmons - Analyst

  • Okay, thank you.

  • Operator

  • Ken Usdin, Jefferies.

  • Ken Usdin - Analyst

  • Hey, good morning.

  • Two questions for you.

  • First of all, relative to the net interest margin, we know that it's going to be down in the first quarter and presumably for the year just based on the covered loan runoff.

  • Daryl, I was wondering.

  • Can you size the expectation of the magnitude of the two parts?

  • What of the NIM compression comes from lower covered loan income and then what is just related to core?

  • Daryl Bible - Senior EVP, CFO

  • Sure, I will try to summarize it for you, Ken.

  • Every quarter we have to run cash flow and assessments, and we also go through the impairment analysis, so it changes a little bit every quarter.

  • But if you really look at the net impact of the decline in net interest income versus the less loss on the fee income side, it is probably a net loss of revenue of approximately $100 million for the year.

  • So it is very manageable.

  • So, you have margin coming down more; but you have the fee income bouncing back some.

  • So I think that is very doable.

  • We feel very comfortable in '12 that both net interest income and fee income will show positive growth year-over-year.

  • Ken Usdin - Analyst

  • Okay.

  • So within that, some components just -- I want to make sure I understand that.

  • So the loss share giveback was down this quarter because of the provision, right?

  • Because there was that provision one also that you shared back as well.

  • So I would presume that if you don't have that type of excess provision for the covered loans that the -- what is the direction, I guess, just of the fee income component of it?

  • Should that get better or move back higher again from the 46 in this quarter?

  • Daryl Bible - Senior EVP, CFO

  • So this quarter, you are right in that we did have some more impairments, so there was an impairment that we took where you have the 80% offset.

  • That was worth $33 million adjustment in the fee income line item.

  • So if everything stayed flat for the first quarter you would probably see the loss -- or the income item on the FDIC loss share go up a little bit quarter over quarter on a linked basis.

  • It is hard to predict when you are going to have impairments, because you have to take it at the time it occurs.

  • But if you look overall, it's an 80% offset when it occurs, so it really doesn't have a large impact on your earnings, because you have the provision with the offset in the loss share.

  • But if you'd take away the provision piece, that net $100 million down is really what the impact is.

  • Ken Usdin - Analyst

  • So, the 2012 impact from -- you think is a $100 million decline from the covered loan side?

  • Daryl Bible - Senior EVP, CFO

  • Correct.

  • Ken Usdin - Analyst

  • For the full year?

  • Okay.

  • Then underneath that, how do you expect the core margin to be doing underneath that as you look further out for the year?

  • Daryl Bible - Senior EVP, CFO

  • We are going to stick with our guidance to the first quarter.

  • What I can tell you is that the margin in the fourth quarter, if you take away the covered asset piece, it was relatively flat.

  • We had really good stable margin.

  • So it really depends on the loan growth that we are achieving, and we feel good about continuing to reprice down our deposits.

  • So we think overall our normal operating core margin should be relatively stable.

  • Ken Usdin - Analyst

  • Okay, thanks for that.

  • My second question, bigger-picture question as a result -- I wanted to ask you guys about the Insurance business.

  • I saw in the line of business that you are talking about it being a growth year both organic and potentially through acquisitions.

  • So I was wondering if you could just walk us through.

  • Is it a better core growth year ahead than it was?

  • Maybe just frame up the business, and then separately how you are seeing the acquisition landscape in that business as well.

  • Thanks.

  • Kelly King - Chairman, CEO

  • Yes.

  • So on the organic side it, we think, is going to be a better year in two regards.

  • We continue to move market share in that business; you saw our Insurance revenues were up 2% and there is still a soft market out there.

  • So we are moving market share.

  • On the other hand, we are beginning to see for the first time in several years some firming up in the market, particularly in the wholesale side; and that always precedes firming up on the retail side.

  • Certainly the insurance companies that had an attrition or capital from some of their investment activities and catastrophes, so they're being more aggressive in terms of pricing.

  • We are beginning to see that show up.

  • So we think in terms of market share movement and pricing movement on the organic side that looks to be positive for the year.

  • Acquisitions are beginning to come back.

  • We really went through a year and a half or so where there wasn't much going on.

  • I think everybody was kind of shellshocked and kind of trying to figure out what was going on in the world.

  • You've noticed we have announced three acquisitions in the last few months.

  • A couple in the benefits area out in California; that is really important for us as we begin to develop the platform necessary to deal with healthcare reform etc.

  • And then a P&C business up in the Maryland area.

  • We think we will continue to see opportunities in property-casualty and in benefits as we go forward.

  • And we think our insurance acquisition activity will be what I would call normal for BB&T, which is a number of acquisitions during the course of the year.

  • Probably not huge.

  • Most of ours are kind of small.

  • There are not many big deals in the insurance business, although you always look at what is available.

  • We continue to have an interest in the life side of the business.

  • We have for several years been trying to strategically figure out how to grow the life business.

  • We sell life, but it's just a small part of our whole revenue stream.

  • So we are trying to figure out how to do the life business, which will at some point be a change for us when we figure out how to do it.

  • Ken Usdin - Analyst

  • Okay.

  • Thanks, guys.

  • Operator

  • Christopher Marinac, FIG Partners.

  • Christopher Marinac - Analyst

  • Thanks, good morning.

  • Kelly, just wanted to ask you from an acquisition standpoint, do the returns that you are seeing and as you sketch things out look greater, or sort of the same as you have done historically if you kind of look back at the last seven to eight years?

  • Is this environment going to be better returns than we historically have done at BB&T?

  • Kelly King - Chairman, CEO

  • In terms of acquisitions, the returns will be better than they have been the last several years, or you won't see us do any.

  • Because the last several years, as you know, we got out of the business because the returns were too low.

  • The last 12 months or so there hasn't been much activity while everybody has been trying to figure out what their new normalized earnings are going to be.

  • I think that we're heading into a period where people are beginning to get more realistic about what the new landscape is going to be.

  • In other words, more regulatory oversight, more regulatory cost, scale issues in terms of pressure on pricing, etc.

  • etc.

  • So I think you are going to begin to see companies think more strategically now that they are out of the jaws of the crisis.

  • My personal opinion is that will cause companies to be willing to look at combinations.

  • That having been said, today I would say there is still exuberance on the sellers' parts in terms of what's the prices that they can get.

  • And some more of that has got to be wrung out before you will see too much activity.

  • Christopher Marinac - Analyst

  • Great, Kelly.

  • Thank you for the feedback.

  • Operator

  • Michael Rose, Raymond James.

  • Michael Rose - Analyst

  • All my questions have been answered.

  • Thanks.

  • Operator

  • Lana Chan, BMO Capital Markets.

  • Lana Chan - Analyst

  • Hi, good morning.

  • I don't know if you have given this number, but on the REO can you tell us how much that has been marked down to at this point, relative to the original contractual value, including on some of the land components?

  • Clarke Starnes - Senior EVP, Chief Risk Officer

  • I will just say this.

  • We'd certainly prefer not to give a specific number because we certainly don't want to influence potential buyers.

  • But I would tell you that it has been substantially marked down from original UPB on the loan side as we brought it in; and then we have taken additional marks.

  • So I think it is a large -- I think you would find it is a very large number and ought to give us the ability to move this out pretty quickly.

  • Lana Chan - Analyst

  • Okay, thank you.

  • Tamera Gjesdal - SVP IR

  • Thanks, everyone.

  • Although we have a number of folks left in the queue, we are out of time for questions today.

  • If you have any further questions, though, please feel free to call Alan or myself in Investor Relations.

  • Thank you and have a great day, everyone.

  • Operator

  • That does conclude today's conference.

  • We thank you for your participation.