慧榮科技 (SIMO) 2013 Q2 法說會逐字稿

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  • Operator

  • Good day, ladies and gentlemen, and welcome to the second-quarter Silicon Motion Technology Corporation Q2 2013 earnings conference call.

  • My name is Edwin and I will be your conference moderator for today.

  • At this time all participants are in a listen-only mode.

  • Later we will conduct a question and answer session.

  • (Operator Instructions).

  • Before we begin today's conference I have been asked to read the following forward-looking statement.

  • This press release contains forward-looking statements within the meaning of Section 27A of the Securities Act of 1933, and Section 21E of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended.

  • Such forward-looking statements include, without limitation, statements regarding trends in the semiconductor industry and our future results of operations, financial conditions and business prospects.

  • Although such statements are based on our own information and information from other sources we believe to be reliable, you should not place undue reliance on them.

  • These statements involve risks and uncertainties and actual market trends and our results may differ materially from those expressed or implied in these forward-looking statements, for a variety of reasons.

  • Potential risks and uncertainties include, but are not limited to continued competitive pressure in the semiconductor industry and the effect of such pressure on prices, unpredictable changes in technology and consumer demand for multimedia consumer electronics, that state of and any change in our relationship with our major customers, and changes in political, economic, legal and social conditions in Taiwan.

  • For additional discussion of these risks and uncertainties and other factors, please see the documents we file, from time to time, with the Securities and Exchange Commission.

  • We assume no obligation to update any forward-looking statements, which apply only as of the date of this press release.

  • I would now like to hand our presentation over to our host, Mr. Jason Tsai, Director of IR and Strategy.

  • Please proceed, sir.

  • Jason Tsai - Director of IR and Strategy

  • Thank you, and good morning, everyone.

  • Welcome to the Silicon Motion second-quarter 2013 financial results conference call and webcast.

  • My name is Jason Tsai and with me here is Wallace Kou, our President and CEO, and Riyadh Lai, our Chief Financial Officer.

  • The agenda for today is as follows.

  • Wallace will start with a review of some of our recent business developments.

  • Riyadh will then discuss our second-quarter financial results and provide our outlook.

  • We'll conclude with Q&A.

  • Before we get started, I'd like to remind you of our Safe Harbor policy, which was read at the start of this call.

  • For a comprehensive overview of the risks involved in investing in our securities, please refer to our filings with the US SEC.

  • For more details on our financial results, please refer to our press release, which was filed on Form 6-K after the close of market yesterday.

  • The webcast will be available for replay on our website, www.siliconmotion.com, for a limited time.

  • To enhance investors' understanding of our ongoing economic performance, we will discuss non-GAAP information during this call.

  • We use non-GAAP financial measures internally to evaluate and manage our operations.

  • We have, therefore, chosen to provide this information to enable you to perform comparisons of our operating results in a manner similar to how we analyze our own operating results.

  • The reconciliation of GAAP to non-GAAP financial data can be found in our earnings release issued yesterday.

  • We ask that you review it in conjunction with this call.

  • With that I would now like to turn the call to Wallace.

  • Wallace Kou - President and CEO

  • Thank you, Jason.

  • Hello, everyone, and thank you for joining our earnings call.

  • In the second quarter our SSD+embedded products, specifically our eMMC controllers, grew significantly again.

  • This is ensuring strong growth of our new growth products, with revenue from this segment increasing by about 30% sequentially, and now accounting for nearly [30%] of our total corporate revenue.

  • We are pleased by the progress we are making as we transition our business from core products to new growth products, and believe the investment we are making today will significantly improve our long-term prospects.

  • Overall, our total revenue increased 2% sequentially and profitability increased significantly, driving earnings per ADS of $0.27 in the second quarter, up from $0.17 in the first quarter.

  • Riyadh will go into our financials later in the call.

  • As we have been communicating with you over the past few quarters, our long-term success is tied to our new growth products, specifically our SSD+embedded products.

  • I am pleased to report that this transition is progressing faster than expected.

  • SSD+embedded sales in the second quarter grew by over 50% sequentially, and have become our largest product group.

  • Our SSD+embedded revenue is already larger than the combined revenue of our card and USB flash drive controllers, and it accounts for a little over 50% of our overall mobile storage sales.

  • Our rapid SSD+embedded growth has today been related to the success of our eMMC controllers but, over the next year, we plan to add meaningful sales of our SATA-III SSD controllers, FerriSSD embedded storage solutions and other embedded products to this product group.

  • Our eMMC controller has been very successful because we provide one of the best-performing, most power-efficient and cost-effective solutions available to flash makers today.

  • We have also been successful because Samsung and SK Hynix, our two flash partners using our eMMC controllers, have been aggressive in using our controller to win eMMC market share in China and global markets, promoting performance, focused eMMC and cost-oriented eMCP, with global and local Chinese OEMs for flagship and low-cost smartphones and tablets.

  • We currently provide our flash partners with two classes of eMMC controllers; higher-performing eMMC 4.5 controllers and more standard performing eMMC 4.41.

  • We have been selling eMMC 4.41 controllers since Q1 2012, and began sales of our new eMMC 4.5 this quarter.

  • EMMC 4.41 targeting mainstream high-volume smartphone and tablet, and eMMC 4.5, with two to three times the IOPS rate of eMMC 4.41, targeting premium global flagship devices.

  • Our new high-performing eMMC 4.5 controller has already secured 99 wins, including some highly-anticipated flagship Android and Windows 8.1 tablets, as well as flagship smartphones.

  • For example, the recently-released next-generation Google Nexus 7 tablets, are using the latest SK Hynix eMMC solution, running our new eMMC 4.5 controllers.

  • In addition to our current eMMC 4.41 and eMMC 4.5 product, we will shortly bring other value-added eMMC solutions to our flash partners.

  • In the fourth quarter of this year, we will begin sampling our eMMC 5.0 controller, which will have four to six times the IOPS rate of eMMC 4.41.

  • Separately, for eMMC 4.5 there we recently began commercial sales in design to manage 2-bit MLC NAND cache.

  • In the fourth quarter of the year we will begin sampling a new version of our eMMC 4.5 controller that has been specifically redesigned for managing TLC flash.

  • As you know, we have developed successful partnerships with both Samsung and SK Hynix, while supporting their eMMC solution with our controller technology.

  • I'm happy to announce that we have already begun eMMC product development with a third flash partner, and expect our eMMC controller for this new partner to enter mass production in the first half of 2014.

  • This new flash partner's emphasis is on leveraging our TLC expertise to deliver cost-effective TLC-based eMMC solutions.

  • Our expanding portfolio of eMMC controller products, as well as addition of a new eMMC flash partner, are part of our long-term goal of diversifying our SSD+embedded business, from a product as well as a customer basis.

  • Turning now to our SSD products, we began commercial sampling of our new SATA-III SSD controller this quarter and are pleased with initial progress and feedback that we have received so far from potential OEMs and module maker customers.

  • Initial customer (inaudible) reports of our SATA-III SSD controllers, which target full-size SSD, NAND cache drive and solid-state hybrid drive, suggest that our SSD controller is among the top-performing products in the market today, in terms of performance, reliability, latency and power consumption.

  • We believe we will begin to see initial revenue from our SATA-III SSD controller in the second half of the year, but the material revenue contribution should begin next year.

  • We look forward to talking more about this in the coming months, as our design wins move into mass production.

  • Our other SSD product is our FerriSSD embedded storage solution, which is targeted for its unique high-end reliability, industrial-grade applications.

  • In the first quarter we announced that our FerriSSD had secured design wins from two Tier 1 Japanese OEMs.

  • I'm now pleased to announce that in this quarter our FerriSSD has secured design wins from two other Tier 1 Japanese OEMs.

  • Applications for our FerriSSD embedded memory solution include point-of-sale terminal for a major convenience store chain, as well as commercial-class multifunction printers manufactured by leading industry OEMs.

  • Overall I am pleased with the progress that we have been making expanding the prospect of our SSD+embedded business.

  • We have been laying the strategic foundation for upcoming growth, by broadening our portfolio of next-generation controllers, increasing our base of OEM customers.

  • Let me now turn to our card and USB controller sales.

  • Our card and USB controller sales declined in the second quarter, as tight flash availability continued to negatively affect our module-maker customers while our business from our OEM customer for card and flash drive was less than expected.

  • Module makers were generally unable to procure the planned quantity of flash, and this affected their card and USB sales and their procurement of our controllers.

  • We expect to see a slight improvement in our card and USB sales in the second half of the year, as seasonally stronger demand helps drive higher controller sales, but this strength will be much more muted compared with -- to previous years.

  • On the demand side, the debundling of memory cards with smartphones that we have seen over the past year has limited the overall demand for cards.

  • We believe China is only major market where there is strong demand for bundled cards for use with low-cost smartphones, containing very little embedded memory capacity.

  • But unfortunately at this time flash makers remain uninterested in supplying low-priced, low-density flash for this market.

  • The part of the card market that is doing well is the high end, including UHS SD cards.

  • These ultra high speed memory cards are up to 20 times faster than standard SD cards, and are used in recording hi-definition video, previously only available in video camcorders, but now increasingly a standard feature in high-end smartphones, such as Samsung Galaxy S4.

  • For us, controller for UHS card are higher value add, higher ASP and higher-margin products.

  • We introduced our UHS-1 controller last year, and currently these controllers account for about 40% of total SD card sales.

  • We expect to begin sampling our even higher-performance UHS-2 controller in the fourth quarter of this year, well ahead of other emerging controller suppliers.

  • Now let me update you on the progress that we are making with our LTE transition.

  • As we have discussed, Samsung is in transition to next-generation LTE-Advanced baseband and we are developing our corresponding transceiver to support this new baseband.

  • We remain on track with our transceiver product development and expect to begin testing with Samsung new LTE-Advanced baseband in this coming quarter.

  • We believe Samsung remains committed to using their own LTE silicon solution, as part of their long-term strategy to differentiate their product and our transceiver remains the preferred pair to their baseband.

  • We look forward to updating you on our progress later this year.

  • Overall, I am pleased by the progress that we have made in managing the slowdown of our core product, and delivering rapid growth of our new growth products.

  • Our SSD+embedded solutions continue to outperform our expectations, and is (inaudible) our customer and product segments into our long-term prospects.

  • We are excited by the new market that we are now addressing with our SATA-III SSD controller and FerriSSD embedded storage solution, and look forward to updating you on the progress we are making in the coming months.

  • We continue to invest in our business and in our products, especially with our business transitioning to a new product in order to further extend our industry leadership in areas where we are strong.

  • I will now turn the call over to Riyadh, to discuss financial performance.

  • Riyadh Lai - CFO

  • Thank you, Wallace.

  • First, I will outline our financial results for the second quarter, and then I'll provide our third quarter and update our full-year 2013 guidance.

  • For the second quarter 2013, we delivered total revenue of $58.3m, a 2% increase compared to the prior quarter.

  • Let me recap the performance of our two key product lines.

  • First, mobile storage.

  • Mobile storage revenue increased 8% sequentially.

  • Mobile storage controller shipments increased -- decreased 3% sequentially -- decreased 3% sequentially, I'm sorry.

  • Mobile storage controller ASPs increased by 11% sequentially and 2% year on year, our fourth consecutive quarter of annual ASP increases (multiple speakers) -- our 14th consecutive quarter of ASP increases.

  • Our card controller revenue decreased by 21% sequentially and our USB controller revenue decreased by 17% sequentially.

  • OEM revenue again accounted for nearly 70% of our controller sales in the second quarter, a slight increase from the first quarter.

  • Moving to Mobile Communications, this product segment's revenue decreased 27% sequentially, due to the continuing transition of Samsung LTE smartphones.

  • Our corporate gross margin increased from 41% in the first quarter to 48.4% in the second quarter.

  • Our gross margins were better than originally forecasted due to better-than-expected SSD+embedded sales.

  • Our operating margin in the second quarter was 19.7%, an increase from the 13.7% in the first quarter.

  • In the second quarter our operating expenses increased from $15.6m in the first quarter to $16.8m in the second quarter, due to higher compensation expenses.

  • We ended the second quarter with 694 employees, two less than at the end of the previous quarter.

  • Earnings per ADS in the second quarter were $0.27, an increase from the $0.17 in the first quarter, as a result of higher revenue and gross margins.

  • Stock-based compensation in the second quarter was $1.4m, lower than the $2.5m in the first quarter.

  • I will now move to our balance sheet and cash flow.

  • Inventory days increased slightly to 88 days in the second quarter from 87 days in the first quarter.

  • DSO decreased to 50 days in the second quarter, compared to 54 days in the first quarter.

  • Payable days decreased to 54 days in the second quarter, compared to 65 days in the first quarter.

  • In the second quarter, our cash balance decreased by $9.6m to $156.4m at period end.

  • The primary source of cash in the second quarter was $9.2m in net earnings.

  • A decrease in payable consumed $3.1m, our dividend payment consumed $5m and our share buyback consumed $10m.

  • We invested $6.6m for the purchase of additional office space and, to a lesser degree, the purchase of testing equipment, software and design tools.

  • In the second quarter, we repurchased 0.9m ADSs for a total cost of $10m, at a weighted average price of $11.24.

  • While we remain optimistic about our future and strongly believe that our stock is undervalued, our Board has asked us to temporarily halt our share buyback in Q3 because of reduced Q2 revenue and full-year projections, including cash flow.

  • This halt in our share buyback is temporary and our buyback could restart at the discretion of our Board.

  • Unlike our share buyback, which is opportunistic in nature, our dividend payout is not.

  • We aim to pay a dividend throughout the ups and downs of our business cycle.

  • Let me emphasize that we are maintaining our $0.15 per quarter dividend payout.

  • I will now move on to our guidance.

  • We expect to see continuing tightness in flash availability in the third quarter and second half of 2013, and this will limit our historical seasonal pattern of strong sequential growth in the third and fourth quarters.

  • We expect our SSD+embedded strength, specifically our eMMC products, to offset softness in our core products and so revenue growth will likely stay flat for the next two quarters.

  • Our guidance for the third quarter is as follows.

  • Total revenue, excluding LTE, is expected to be up 2% to 7% sequentially.

  • Including LTE, our revenue should be down from 2.5% to up 2.5% sequentially.

  • Gross margin is expected to be in the 47% to 49% range.

  • Operating expenses are expected to be in the range of $17.5m to $19.5m.

  • Stock-based compensation is expected to be in the range of $2.5m to $3.5m.

  • Our effective tax rate will increase to 25%.

  • Our updated guidance for full year 2013 is as follows.

  • Total revenue, excluding LTE, is expected to decline 5% to 10% year over year.

  • We now expect LTE revenue of $11m due to weaker-than-expected sales of legacy Galaxy S3 LTE smartphones in Korea.

  • Gross margins are expected to be in the range of 46% to 48%, excluding one-time items.

  • Operating expenses are expected to be in the range of $70m to $73m.

  • Stock-based compensation is expected to be in the range of $10m to $12m.

  • Our long-term model tax rate is now 20%.

  • We will now open the call for your questions.

  • Operator

  • Thank you.

  • Ladies and gentlemen, we will now begin the question and answer session.

  • (Operator Instructions).

  • Your first question comes from the line of Anthony Stoss from Craig-Hallum.

  • Please ask your question.

  • Anthony Stoss - Analyst

  • Hi, guys, a three-part question.

  • I'd love to hear your view on your current embedded customer base, if you think there's any risk to any of those customers taking technology in-house and developing themselves.

  • Also, Riyadh, on the gross margin front, any help you could give us where you see things heading into next year or full year.

  • And then lastly, also on 2014, where you see a range on LTE?

  • Thanks.

  • Wallace Kou - President and CEO

  • Thank you.

  • We remain, by far, the leading merchant eMMC controller provider in the market today.

  • And we do not see any meaningful merchant competition at this moment.

  • While we may be perceived to be competing with our NAND flash partner in general controller scene, we are more partners than we're competitors.

  • We help our flash partners to extend their R&D capability, product portfolio and market competitiveness.

  • Some of our strengths in the TLC flash management and the LDPC ECC engine algorithm are unique, and are complementary to our flash partners.

  • Also, since all our flash partners have limited R&D resources, we help them optimize their internal capability, for example, enabling them to focus their limited resources on SSDs relating to enterprise and data-center storage solutions, or the premium line of eMMC markets.

  • They will continue to outsource to us more mainstream products, [prioritizing] for market segments and for special capabilities.

  • Riyadh Lai - CFO

  • Let me now go to your second question relating to gross margin.

  • Our migration to smaller process geometries for our product is -- has been progressing smoothly and we expect it to continue progressing smoothly.

  • As you may remember, our latest-generation UHS-1 and our eMMC 4.5 controllers are being manufactured on 55-nanometer process geometries and these should provide better profitability.

  • In general our gross margins, while they may fluctuate quarter to quarter, depending on the mix of some of our lower gross margin products, like our card and USB controllers, versus newer higher margin eMMC and SSD controllers.

  • So longer term we believe our -- as our new growth product revenue increases, we should see our overall gross margin improve.

  • And we still remain committed to our long-term gross margin target of 50%.

  • Wallace Kou - President and CEO

  • And in addition we do not believe that Samsung's commitment to their own platform has changed.

  • They are actually working on their next-generation LTE-Advance-capable baseband, and we are on track to pair our transceiver with that part later this year.

  • We believe (multiple speakers).

  • Jason Tsai - Director of IR and Strategy

  • Okay, thanks guys.

  • Operator

  • Thank you.

  • Your next question comes from the line of Mike Crawford from B. Riley & Company.

  • Please ask your question.

  • Mike Crawford - Analyst

  • Thank you.

  • Can you go into more detail on the SATA-III SSD controllers and what -- how bad the ASP for that product will compare to say an eMMC controller, and what the addressable market is for your controllers and the products they are designed into so far?

  • Wallace Kou - President and CEO

  • As I said, we began sampling our new SATA-III SSD controller this quarter and the initial feedback we have gotten has been very positive.

  • Our controller performance, whether IOPS, power consumption, latency and for long-term reliability, stay in the top 10% of what is really available in the market today.

  • We believe we will see some wins initial revenue in the second half of this year, but we do not believe material revenue contribution will happen until next year.

  • We are targeting [card] SSD, embedded SSD and NAND cache SSD as well as solid-state hybrid drive controller.

  • So, that's the market we focus on.

  • Mike Crawford - Analyst

  • And the ASP for that product compared to, say, a eMMC 4.5 controller, is this something that would be (multiple speakers)?

  • Wallace Kou - President and CEO

  • eMMC 4.5 controller ASP is around $0.50.

  • For our SD controller range it's about $5 to $10, depending on application.

  • Mike Crawford - Analyst

  • Okay, thank you.

  • And then this question is for Riyadh.

  • You said your long-term tax rate is now expected to be 20%.

  • Is that corresponding with what you expect to actually pay in cash taxes?

  • Riyadh Lai - CFO

  • These are our accrued tax rates, so let me explain.

  • First, we are increasing our effective tax rate for the upcoming quarter, and we are also increasing our long-term model tax rate.

  • For the upcoming quarter, we are basing higher effective tax rate, because of pre-tax losses made by certain of our operating entities which, when combined with pre-tax income and tax expenses of profitable entities, is resulting in a higher overall effective tax rate.

  • So this will be for the third quarter.

  • Now, moving to the longer-term model tax rate now, following a pretty detailed review of our -- the taxes of our various entities and how they are calculated, we determined that we should be increasing our long-term model tax rate from 15% to 20%.

  • And the key reason behind this is because certain of our R&D tax credits are no longer available to us, resulting in overall higher model range.

  • Mike Crawford - Analyst

  • Okay, thank you.

  • And the last question relates to the buyback.

  • The Company does have some $4.66 a depository share in cash of $156m.

  • And I assume that the office space purchase that you put in the CapEx was a one-time event in Q2, so that the CapEx going forward goes down more to a historic level of $1m, $1.5m a quarter, which would imply continued strong free cash flow, so I'm a little bit at a loss to see why the Board would temporarily suspend a buyback and what would it take to have them move forward again with what should be a successful program?

  • Riyadh Lai - CFO

  • Office space is a one-time purchase, and it's primarily related to the continuing investment of engineering teams, specifically building out a new team for eMMC programs, as we grow the future of that product segment.

  • To your question about our buyback, we remain optimistic of our own -- the future of our company, and we strongly believe that our stock is undervalued.

  • But the Board is looking for improved fundamentals and our return to growth as some of the metrics for continuing the previously authorized share buyback program.

  • But let me also emphasize that we are aiming to pay the dividend that we've been committed to throughout the ups and downs of our business cycle.

  • And so we are maintaining our $0.15 per quarter dividend payout.

  • Mike Crawford - Analyst

  • Okay, thank you.

  • Operator

  • Thank you.

  • Your next question comes from the line of Rajvindra Gill from Needham & Company.

  • Please ask your question.

  • Rajvindra Gill - Analyst

  • Yes, thank you.

  • A question on the Samsung transition to the LTE-Advanced baseband, how do you characterize the cadence of their development; what kind of push that Samsung is making in developing more LTE-Advanced basebands in their portfolio next year?

  • So how do you see that from your vantage point, and how do you think Samsung's LTE-Advanced baseband compares to Qualcomm's LTE-Advanced carrier aggregation baseband?

  • Wallace Kou - President and CEO

  • Well, I can only say that we believe there's a still [powerful] sense of long-term strategy to utilizing more internal (inaudible) content, and to differentiate the product.

  • So Samsung did put a lot of resource to develop their LTE-Advanced baseband.

  • We are paired to tracking on the joint development and [tapping] the coming months.

  • And we believe, I think a year ago LTE-Advanced we are behind, but we cannot comment regarding who is better.

  • But we believe now we have more compelling product to come in the market for LTE-Advanced in the coming year.

  • Rajvindra Gill - Analyst

  • And so, if you look at -- your LTE business has dropped significantly in '13 versus '12 due to this transition.

  • So logically we would expect that business to be up pretty significantly next year, if there are no, as you say, changes in Samsung's strategy in terms of allocation of baseband development, internally versus externally.

  • Though if this was just simply an LTE carrier aggregation transition question, then one would expect that the LTE business should be up pretty significantly next year, perhaps closer to what you did in '12, around $40m to $50m.

  • Is that a fair assumption, or is that too premature at this point?

  • Riyadh Lai - CFO

  • Well, we are expecting great things from our LTE program.

  • At this moment we'd rather not provide that extent of view in terms of where our business could be heading in terms of LTE.

  • We are very optimistic; we think there are great things that can come from it.

  • But let me just caution that our new LTE-Advanced transceiver, as well as Samsung's new LTE-Advanced baseband, will only be coming out in the following months and we are only beginning testing and qualification.

  • So it's a little premature right now to take a stab at what sort of revenue we may be expecting next year.

  • Rajvindra Gill - Analyst

  • And this last question from me, Wallace, on the NAND supply environment.

  • As you know, listening to the commentary out of all the major flash vendors, the NAND supply environment is continuing to remain tight for the remaining of 2013 and also the expectation for NAND supply growth going into 2014 remains fairly tight if you look at what their expectations are for bid growth.

  • So it would assume that you could be facing perhaps prolonged issues in your module maker business, at least until first half of next year, where you don't have a lot of -- where the module makers don't have a lot of availability for NAND supply.

  • So I was just wondering, what's your viewpoint on that?

  • Clearly you are trying to offset it with the eMMC and SSD and you've done a very -- an excellent job doing that.

  • But just what's your view of the NAND supply environment yourself, this year and going into perhaps next year?

  • Thank you.

  • Wallace Kou - President and CEO

  • So in our view, in the first half of this year, the issue of the module maker space was an overall lack of availability of flash, because the supply is tight.

  • But in the second half of this year [they show evidence] of availability.

  • The pricing still remains high and -- because the NAND price and (inaudible) the module makers are raising their demand.

  • I think the NAND availability start to change from second half this year.

  • I think if the overall NAND market dynamic improved, I think, especially to our module maker customers and pricing coming down gradually, we could see some climb in USB sales in the second half of this year.

  • Yes, I think most of our OEM customers, they can procure their NAND very sufficiently, but module makers, they lack of a bargaining power with the NAND maker.

  • Currently we see the availability for NAND in the second half is improving slightly.

  • And our business, we are going to focus on more OEMs, instead of the module makers.

  • I think that's why our continued growth on eMMC, as well as for SSD and embedded SSD.

  • Rajvindra Gill - Analyst

  • Very good, thank you.

  • Operator

  • Thank you.

  • Your next question comes from the line of Bob Gujavarty from Deutsche Bank.

  • Please ask your question.

  • Bob Gujavarty - Analyst

  • Great.

  • Thanks for taking my question.

  • I think, if we look back over the last three months, I think there have been two significant developments.

  • I'm curious how they impact your business.

  • I think one is the move to lower-priced smartphones and tablets, and also -- and then the second one would potentially impact the LTE business, in that Broadcom has admitted their ability to meet Samsung's requirements has pushed out quite a bit into the second half '14.

  • So I'm just curious if you can just talk about those two big developments and how potentially they impact your business.

  • Wallace Kou - President and CEO

  • Yes.

  • First of all, I think for the smartphone, as we all know, because the embedded memory [has] increase, the card bundling is decreased.

  • So we do see our business, the impact of bundling with micro SD card.

  • But however we think that debundling rate in those has already happened, and we feel we can't stabilize.

  • But we also see there's a strong demand on China side.

  • They demand a bundling card, due to they have little embedded memory for the low cost smartphone.

  • However, at this moment, NAND maker they show less interest to supply the low cost, low density NAND wafer for the micro SD card.

  • That's why they impact our business.

  • But in the same time, we're growing our eMMC controller business.

  • So the smart -- low cost smartphone and all the smartphone tablets, white-label tablet in China, are helping their transition from [round end] to eMMC.

  • So we do see the other part is helping our business.

  • Regarding LTE, I think the -- in the beginning of the year, as I said, because the circulation of the LTE transceiver we do not have a carrier application function, do not meet the LTE-Advanced requirement.

  • It wasn't required a year ago when we discussed with Samsung Mobile and I cannot comment the detail.

  • That's why we did not win any new sockets from last quarter for Samsung Mobile LTE related smartphone.

  • However, I think we've put a -- we do put a good effort together with Samsung (inaudible).

  • And I believe the next generation product of our LTE-Advanced transceiver should have much more compelling features and we have two versions to deliver.

  • And with full receiver, single transmitter in single die and with very, very low power and also support (inaudible) tracking, all the features, we believe, I think we'll have a pretty good position to compete in 2014 for LTE-Advanced market.

  • Bob Gujavarty - Analyst

  • Maybe a question for Riyadh but you're operating at the high end of your gross margin, kind of, medium term targets, kind of 47% to 49%.

  • When I look at the back half of the year, what -- how should I think about gross margin?

  • What could potentially surprise you?

  • Is it really just product mix is what to be looking for?

  • Riyadh Lai - CFO

  • For the second half of the year, we're planning to increase the sale of our new growth products and in general, these new growth products have higher -- above corporate average gross margins.

  • So our overall gross margin is going to be the result of the blending of our new growth products, as well as our core business.

  • And so the more we sell of our new growth products the better our overall gross margin is going to be.

  • But at the same time, quarter by quarter, there's always some fluctuation in terms of the actual mix of core products versus new growth products.

  • And so that may affect temporarily some of our overall gross margin.

  • But overall, the direction that we're -- our business is taking us is more and more into the new growth products.

  • And so, we are remaining very focused on our target gross margin of 50%.

  • But near term it will be a bit lower than that.

  • Bob Gujavarty - Analyst

  • Okay.

  • Thank you.

  • Operator

  • Thank you.

  • Your next question comes from the line of Tom Sepenzis from Northland Capital.

  • Please ask your question.

  • Tom Sepenzis - Analyst

  • Hi.

  • Thank you for taking my question.

  • I just was hoping you could tell us a little bit about what you're seeing competitively.

  • I'm wondering, Phison reported record profits and revenue up above 17% on the quarter.

  • So I'm just curious if you think there's some market shift -- market share shift going on there?

  • Or if that's just something that might be customer based?

  • How are you viewing it?

  • Last year you were a good year ahead of at least on the embedded side, so any clarification you could provide there would be helpful.

  • Thank you.

  • Wallace Kou - President and CEO

  • I think, as I said, we remember we are leading merchant eMMC controller provider in the market today.

  • We do not see any meaningful merchant competition at this moment.

  • Riyadh Lai - CFO

  • We can't comment specifically about how their performance -- how they're delivering their performance, but from an eMMC perspective as Wallace had just stated, we do not see any meaningful competitor in the eMMC front from the merchant side.

  • Tom Sepenzis - Analyst

  • Okay.

  • So you expect that to continue to be strong as we go through the rest of this year and not really bump into anybody?

  • Riyadh Lai - CFO

  • Yes.

  • Wallace Kou - President and CEO

  • I think if you're looking -- for the past three years, eMMC performance prospects has been doubling every year, since 2011 from eMMC 4.1 to 4.5 to 5.0.

  • It will be very difficult for any new merchant control supplier to come to this market if they are not in the eMMC market already today.

  • So I think we have learned quite a lot from experience, supporting customers, our system knowledge and that takes quite a long time and development.

  • We believe the success of future eMMC business is on the joint partnership between NAND maker, controller maker and device OEM beginning from early stage product development.

  • Tom Sepenzis - Analyst

  • Great.

  • Thank you.

  • Riyadh, for the December quarter I know you're not giving direct guidance for that, but you did give guidance for the year.

  • And the current guidance suggests a further drop in the December quarter from a revenue perspective.

  • The last couple of years that's been driven by LTE, whereas the controller business typically does see a little bit of growth in the December quarter.

  • So I'm just curious as to what you're seeing that makes you so cautious for December?

  • It looks like revenue has got to be close to $50m in order to get to your guidance for the year.

  • Riyadh Lai - CFO

  • Tom, during our prepared remarks, I had mentioned that we're seeing the balancing of our new growth products growing very strongly with softness in our core products.

  • So overall through a combination of these two factors we're seeing a flattish growth for the rest of the year.

  • So this upcoming quarter, we're seeing -- we're expecting flattish revenue and then in the fourth quarter we're also expecting, at this point in time, expecting flattish revenue too, for Q4.

  • Tom Sepenzis - Analyst

  • Okay, great.

  • I just misread that.

  • Thanks so much.

  • I appreciate it.

  • Operator

  • Thank you.

  • (Operator Instructions).

  • Your next question comes from the line of Rajvindra Gill from Needham & Company.

  • Please ask your question.

  • Rajvindra Gill - Analyst

  • Yes.

  • Just a follow up, Riyadh.

  • In your full-year guidance you said revenue excluding LTE was to decrease 5% to 10%.

  • What is the revenue including LTE guidance for the year?

  • What would that be?

  • Riyadh Lai - CFO

  • Just a second.

  • Our total revenue excluding LTE is -- we're expecting that to decline 5% to 10% year over year.

  • So the LTE element is roughly $11m, which is lower than what we're -- we originally expected.

  • Originally, last quarter, we were saying that LTE was $15m, and this quarter, we're now expecting it to be lower, $11m, due to weakness from expected sales of legacy Galaxy S3 LTE smartphones in Korea.

  • Rajvindra Gill - Analyst

  • It will be, including the LTE revenue, the revenue for the year would be coming down closer to 15% to 20%.

  • Riyadh Lai - CFO

  • We've laid out what our total revenue is going to be, excluding LTE and that's expected to decline 5% to 10% year over year.

  • The amount that we're excluding, which relates to LTE is $11m.

  • Operator

  • Thank you.

  • (Operator Instructions).

  • As there are no further questions at this time, I would now like to hand the conference back to Mr. Wallace Kou for his closing remarks.

  • Thank you.

  • Wallace Kou - President and CEO

  • I would like to thank all of you for joining us today and your continued interest in Silicon Motion.

  • We will be at the following conferences this quarter.

  • In August we will be presenting at Pacific Crest Global Technology Leadership Forum in Vail; Jefferies Semiconductor & Hardware Summit in Chicago.

  • In September, we will be presenting at Citi 2013 Global Technology conference in New York, Brean Capital Global Technology conference in New York.

  • Deutsche Bank dbAccess Technology conference in Las Vegas, and the 14th Annual Credit Suisse Asian Technology Conference in Taiwan.

  • Details of these events are available on our website.

  • Thank you and goodbye for now.

  • Operator

  • Thank you.

  • Ladies and gentlemen, that does conclude our conference call today.

  • Thank you for participating, you may all disconnect.