Steelcase Inc (SCS) 2011 Q4 法說會逐字稿

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  • Operator

  • Good day, everyone, and welcome to Steelcase's fourth-quarter fiscal 2011 conference call. As a reminder, today's call is being recorded. For opening remarks and introductions, I would like to turn the conference call over to Mister Raj Mehan, Director of Investor Relations.

  • Raj Mehan - IR Director

  • Good day, everyone, and welcome to Steelcase's fourth-quarter fiscal 2011 conference call. As a reminder today's call is being recorded. For opening remarks and introductions -- sorry.

  • Here with me today are Jim Hackett, our President and Chief Executive Officer, Dave Sylvester, our Chief Financial Officer and Mark Mossing, Corporate Controller and Chief Accounting Officer.

  • Our fourth-quarter earnings release which crossed the wires yesterday is accessible on our website. This conference call is being webcast and presentation slides that accompany this webcast are available on ir.Steelcase.com and a replay of this call will also be posted to the site later today.

  • In addition to our prepared remarks, we will respond to questions from investors and analysts. Our discussion today will include references to non-GAAP financial measures. These measures are presented because management believes this information is used to monitor and evaluate our financial results and trends. We believe this information is also useful for investors.

  • Reconciliations to the most comparable GAAP measures are included in the earnings release and webcast slides.

  • At this time, we are incorporating by reference into this conference call and subsequent transcript the text of our Safe Harbor statement included in yesterday's release. Certain statements made in the release and during this conference call constitute forward-looking statements. There are risks associated with the use of this information for investment decision-making purposes. For more details on these risks, please refer to yesterday's release and Form 8-K, the Company's 10-K for the year ended February 26, 2010 and our other filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission. This webcast is a copyrighted production of Steelcase Inc.

  • With these formalities, I will turn the call over to our President and CEO, Jim Hackett.

  • Jim Hackett - President and CEO

  • Thank you, Raj, and good morning, everyone. I think it would be appropriate by acknowledging our sadness and concern that we feel for the nation of Japan, given the tragedy and the events of their recovery. Our colleagues and friends who live there are doing well, but as we all know it's been quite a challenge. We are optimistic about the country's recovery and, of course, doing whatever we can to help in that course.

  • When Steelcase took its first steps towards becoming a global company, and this was more than 30 years ago, Japan was one of our first international outposts. The core of our Asia-Pacific business has shifted to Hong Kong but we still have a strong team in Tokyo. And as I said, they are all doing well.

  • We continue to assess the impact on our revenue and supply chain there. But mostly our thoughts and prayers are with everyone who is trying to restore some sense of normality in Japan.

  • So let me turn now to our quarter and full-year results and, again, this quarter we've been working closely with customers to demonstrate the knowledge and insights and influencing how they think about work wherever it happens.

  • Now, quarter four was another solid quarter with organic growth of 24%, even though we're reporting our organic growth to 12% for the full year. A year ago we told you we had protected our strategic initiatives so that we would come out of the recession in a stronger position. And I am certain that we're seeing evidence that our strategies are gaining traction. I will talk about some of that evidence in a moment.

  • But first I want to call out a few of the headlines in what turned out to be a very active quarter for the Company. As we previewed at the end of the last quarter we completed the IDEO ownership transition, which generated $30 million of cash and resulted in a nice gain for our stakeholders.

  • But even better news, we have an ongoing relationship with IDEO and it is as strong as ever, and they're going to continue to collaborate with us on some key insight led activities.

  • We also sold a couple of properties during the quarter which generated nearly $30 million more and resulted in some additional gains. When Dave reviews these and some other pluses and minuses in the quarter, you're going to quickly note that we had a strong quarter, even though these items are now factored out.

  • I wasn't pleased with the small creep in the spending this quarter. That incremental growth and operating expenses is not indicative of a new run rate, so we remain committed to improve the fitness in our business as I have talked about before.

  • To that point, we made two very important announcements in January aimed at better serving the growing pool of global customers and continuing to make improvements in the industrial model. What we did is we brought together the customer-facing functions for the Steelcase brand in the Americas and our region that includes Europe, the Middle East, Africa or what we call EMEA. This includes product design, development, engineering, marketing and sales.

  • Jim Keane, who had been President of the Steelcase group and was in charge of the Steelcase brand in North America, will lead this new collected team. And he is building an organization that reflects the breadth of talent and ideas around the world. This will allow us to be more responsive to big companies that are doing business globally, and it will accelerate the development of our product development strategy that leverages global platforms when that is appropriate and helps us bring innovative solutions to market more quickly.

  • We also announced our intention to close three more plants in North America as part of our journey to continually improve the fitness of our industrial system, which means that we have to take steps like this even during a recovery. We also improve our ability to manage through future business cycles.

  • And the events and the news from Japan as I mentioned and also in the Middle East remind us that we really can't anticipate all of the forces that might affect the business.

  • The good news is a lot of positives happened in the quarter as I have said. For example, we had a North American dealer conference last month and it was very encouraging to me to hear from some of our dealers who are following our strategic path. Many told me this was the best dealer conference they had been to in a decade. They're investing in new capabilities to go after adjacent markets like education and healthcare and are focusing on the fitness of their own businesses.

  • There is additional evidence that our strategy to diversifying strengthen the topline is working as well. Our Asian business was profitable in the quarter -- this is a big achievement -- and moved closer to profitability for the full year, which is even more amazing. As Asia-based companies grow, they're facing similar charges as are customers in other parts of the world.

  • In other words, there is a greater need for collaboration because of the way organizations are now distributed around the world. We believe this creates an opportunity for Steelcase to differentiate itself, based on our insights of how that can happen. We're also happy about short-term successes and we will continue to invest in the long term in this region and focus on China and India in that investment.

  • scape can be a game changer and the response from our customers has been excellent. Parallel product called SEASCAPE, it was slower to launch during the recession but it is now starting to take off as project activity ramps up and the impact of the technology that that product contemplated accelerates.

  • Some parts of the business that had been underperforming turned it around during the past year. I'm really happy about the brand Coalesse, and Frank Merlotti's business, which was encumbered by some plant consolidation issues during the recession but now can focus on building its brand identity and product strategy to serve the growing creative class.

  • And PolyVision, it had a very strong year, thanks in part to the innovative eno whiteboard as one element of our strategy that penetrate the important education market. And Steelcase's new nove chair -- n, o, v, e -- nove chair is another example of how we're using insights to drive product innovations for this education segment.

  • So in summary, it was a good quarter and you know what? It was a good year. During the downturn we stay focused on our longer term strategy and we remain invested and tough-minded in our growth initiatives. This conscious decision, which resulted in similar returns to shareholders at the bottom of the recession, feels pretty good right now.

  • I'm happy we go to see customers with new ideas and new products and improve the ability to serve them around the world, and you know that gives us confidence for the years to come.

  • So now, I will turn it over to Dave Sylvester, our Chief Financial Officer, to review the details of the quarter.

  • Dave Sylvester - CFO

  • Thank you, Jim. I will start with a few high-level comments about the fourth-quarter results and balance sheet, provide some additional commentary around our order patterns and outlook for the first quarter and then we will move to your questions.

  • Again, as Jim mentioned, we're pleased with the results of the fourth quarter. Revenue exceeded our expectations as order patterns remained very strong through December which drove revenue higher than we anticipated.

  • As it relates to earnings, our fourth-quarter results were consistent with the estimate we provided last quarter as incremental operating income from the better-than-expected topline was offset by an impairment charge related to an asset held for sale, as well as other operating costs which were modestly higher than we anticipated.

  • Compared to the fourth quarter last year, which marked the bottom of the recession for Steelcase, adjusted operating income improved by $39 million, largely due to operating leverage associated with the organic revenue growth in the quarter which totaled $120 million or 24%. We also realized benefits of previous restructuring activities specifically in the Coalesse business, the Asia-Pacific region and PolyVision.

  • But these benefits were offset by three things. First, we incurred approximately $5 million of higher commodity costs which were only reduced marginally by pricing benefits from the list price adjustments announced last fall. Second, the reinstatement of base salaries to 2009 levels increased our cost by approximately $3 million. And third, the impact of deconsolidating IDEO in the current quarter lowered operating income by a few million dollars.

  • On a sequential quarter basis, adjusted operating income decreased by $8 million. A portion was attributable to the deconsolidation of IDEO's quarterly results and the balance was driven by the seasonal decline in revenue of $16 million and initial impacts of recent increases in commodity costs.

  • As expected, we did experience lower bad debt charges in the current quarter compared to the third quarter. But this benefit was offset by costs associated with a North American dealer conference in the fourth quarter and higher operating expenses in the International segment.

  • Again, as we said in the release, the gain from the IDEO ownership transition of $9 million net of incremental variable compensation expense was offset by a $4 million impairment charge related to an asset held for sale and $4 million of incremental variable compensation expense associated with a gain on sale of a facility in Canada, which was recorded as a restructuring item. Thus the net effect of these items has a very small effect on the year-over-year and sequential comparisons.

  • Restructuring costs in the quarter were higher than expected as the separation dates requested by employees who voluntarily elected to participate in the program offered in January were earlier than anticipated. This simply results in a shorter period of time over which we will spread the related severance costs.

  • Regarding the timing of remaining restructuring costs and related benefits, first, the French restructuring announced in April last year is now substantially complete. But we do continue to experience modest disruptions from the related product moves. Thus we expect the annualized benefits of approximately $8 million to phase in over the next few quarters.

  • Second, as it relates to the January announcement regarding our intention to close three additional facilities in North America, we recognized in the fourth quarter $10 million of the total restructuring cost estimate of approximately $45 million, and we currently estimate that the remaining restructuring costs will be incurred over the next four quarters.

  • Regarding the estimated annualized savings of approximately $35 million once these actions are completed, we believe these savings will begin to accrue starting in the second quarter of fiscal 2012, potentially reaching as much as $3 million to $4 million per quarter by the end of the fiscal year with the balance following in fiscal 2013.

  • While these estimates reflect our current thinking, we remain committed to minimal customer disruption and we are still somewhat early in our detailed plans to implement, thus the amounts could change and the timing of the related costs and benefits could shift potentially by a quarter or two. Below the operating income line we recognized a gain on the sale of a former manufacturing facility related to a business we sold several years ago and variable life COLI income also exceeded our expectations as the equity markets rallied again for most of the quarter.

  • However, these benefits were entirely offset by a higher-than-expected effective tax rate in the quarter. While the retroactive reinstatement of the US research credit did favorably impact income tax expense in the fourth quarter, we recorded a charge to reduce a previously recorded tax asset which more than offset the benefit of the research credit.

  • Moving to the balance sheet and cash flow, we generated $58 million of cash from the IDEO ownership transition and the asset disposals mentioned previously and we issued $250 million of 6.375% senior notes in the quarter. The notes are unsecured with a term of 10 years and reflect terms and conditions substantially similar to our existing notes, which we will repay at maturity in five months.

  • We expect cash and short-term investments to decrease in the first quarter as we fund accrued variable compensation and other seasonal disbursements, as well as fund a $9 million progress payment related to the placement of a corporate aircraft which we have highlighted on previous calls. For all of next year we estimate total capital expenditures to approximate $70 million, including $20 million of remaining installments related to the corporate aircraft replacement and approximately $10 million related to our campus consolidation in Western Michigan. We expect to sell the aircraft, which is being replaced sometime later this year.

  • Lastly we repurchased 924,000 shares for $10 million during the fourth quarter and yesterday the Board approved an increase in our quarterly dividend from $0.04 to $0.06 per share.

  • As it relates to orders I will start with North America where we experienced broad-based, year-over-year order growth in the fourth quarter of approximately 23%. Following significant acceleration of orders at the end of the third quarter in advance of a November price adjustment, December orders remained surprisingly strong, followed by mid-double-digit growth rates later in the quarter, which resulted in a quarter end backlog that was approximately 14% higher compared to one year ago. Project activity and day-to-day business or continuing purchases off existing contracts were both very strong in the quarter as were orders from marketing programs targeted towards small to midsize companies.

  • Within our product categories and across are geographical regions, fourth-quarter orders were up across the board and among vertical markets, growth rates were the strongest in the technical professional, federal government, financial services, education and healthcare sectors. Only a few verticals tracked lower than prior-year, including state and local government, as you might expect.

  • International orders in constant currency increased nearly 30% in the quarter compared to the prior year.

  • The strength was broad-based with the exception of France, which reflected modest order growth in the quarter compared to last year.

  • For the Coalesse Group, orders increased approximately 4% in the fourth quarter compared to the prior year. Designtex has now posted year-over-year order growth for two consecutive quarters while growth rates in the Coalesse brand have continued to bounce around a little bit, in part because of the timing of some large project wins in the prior year.

  • Turning to our first-quarter outlook, after taking into consideration the seasonal patterns that typically result in sequentially lower revenue in the first quarter, we expect to report revenue between $575 million and $600 million. This compares to $542 million in the first quarter of fiscal 2011 which included $35 million from IDEO, which is no longer consolidated.

  • In addition, currency assumptions included in our revenue estimate will have a positive effect on the year-over-year and sequential quarter comparisons by approximately $6 million each. After giving effect to these items, we estimate organic revenue growth in the first quarter will approximate 12% to 17% compared to the prior year. Sequentially, the first-quarter revenue estimate translates to a seasonal decline in organic revenue of approximately 5% to 9% which is a little bit higher than normal but understandable, given the strength of the fourth quarter.

  • With respect to commodity costs our earnings estimate contemplates approximately $7 million of sequential inflation compared to the fourth quarter as recent spikes in steel prices and other commodities around the world are now impacting our cost of sales. Compared to the prior year, commodity cost inflation in the first quarter is expected to approximate $10 million.

  • As a result of these cost pressures, we announced another price adjustment in North America earlier this month. The effective date is May 16 and the adjustment will be 4% almost entirely across the board. However, given the nature of project and annuity contract pricing, the impact will phase in over subsequent quarters.

  • In addition, our earnings estimate also includes approximately $4 million of incremental interest expense associated with the senior notes issued in February. This additional interest cost will continue through the second-quarter maturity of our 6.5% senior notes.

  • As a result of these factors, we expect to report first-quarter earnings with than a range of a net loss of $0.04 per share to breakeven, including net restructuring costs of approximately $12 million pretax or $0.06 per share after tax.

  • From there, we will turn it over for questions.

  • Operator

  • (Operator Instructions). Chad Bolen from Raymond James.

  • Chad Bolen - Analyst

  • Good morning, everyone. Let me first say congratulations on a very solid performance in the quarter.

  • Jim Hackett - President and CEO

  • Thank you.

  • Chad Bolen - Analyst

  • If I could start out I just want to make sure that I understand all the moving parts and I guess specifically in the North America segment. So on a reported basis, you had $11.9 million of operating income. X the restructuring, it was $11.8 million but that still includes the $4 million impairment charge, $3 million of variable comp expense associated with the Canadian gain, and then another $3 million of comp expense associated with the IDEO transition.

  • Jim Hackett - President and CEO

  • That's right.

  • Chad Bolen - Analyst

  • So if I want to normalize for all those items I would get to normalized operating income of about $21.8 million?

  • Jim Hackett - President and CEO

  • I think that is fair.

  • Chad Bolen - Analyst

  • Okay, good. I just wanted to make sure. And so with the $4 million of variable comp associated with the IDEO transition gain, so $3 million of that is in North America. The remaining $1 million is split between international and other. Is it about half and half? Can you tell me specifically what it was for each segment?

  • Dave Sylvester - CFO

  • I don't know off the top of my head but there would also be something in the corporate bucket. If you spread it across those three you're not going to be far off even if you just took a third, a third, a third.

  • Chad Bolen - Analyst

  • Okay, that's helpful. And Dave, I think in your commentary you said pricing was favorable on a year-over-year basis but by a lower amount than the commodity inflation piece. Could you quantify that for us specifically and I guess what pricing assumption is embedded in your Q1 guidance?

  • Dave Sylvester - CFO

  • Well, I won't be able to quantify it specifically. It is a pretty hard one to pin down and to predict but I will use the term modest. So we believe we had modest benefit in our results in the fourth quarter from the price adjustments that took effect in the fall. We certainly had a little bit of year-over-year discount erosion as well. So you could call that a push almost.

  • And then when you get into the first quarter we would expect the fall price adjustments to continue to provide a little bit more incremental benefit, and then a modest benefit from the announcement that would go into effect in May. But very little, simply because it doesn't go into effect until new orders in -- that go into May 16. So there isn't a lot. There is a little bit but not a lot.

  • Chad Bolen - Analyst

  • Okay and you said a modest erosion in the level of discounting. Could you just give us your sense of, I guess, the competitiveness of the pricing environment? Are we starting to see things get a little bit better from your perspective? What are you seeing?

  • Dave Sylvester - CFO

  • I would just say what we have said for the last several quarters, that certainly in the bottom of the recession, the level of competition has increased as companies compete for fewer large projects. But it hasn't -- I'm not aware of it moving in one direction over the other from there.

  • Chad Bolen - Analyst

  • Okay. I guess one last question. You guys had about $10 million of share repurchases in the quarter. That is the most I have seen in a few years -- and also raised the dividend -- and given kind of the strengthen the balance sheet, the improvements and profitability that we are seeing, just kind of refresh us on your thinking of uses of cash going forward?

  • Jim Hackett - President and CEO

  • It's the same script that the Company takes the position that a strong balance sheet is an important sign of its health. The second thing is that we think in priority of an investment versus business. And so we constantly are scanning for opportunities and if you look backwards over the last few years, many of the deals that kind of presented themselves were not accretive, we think, in the industry. And we -- so we were disciplined about the use of that. But we can be opportunistic and we have strategic ideas.

  • And then returning value to shareholders through dividends and share repurchases, that is the goal.

  • Chad Bolen - Analyst

  • Terrific. Thank you for taking my questions, guys, and congratulations again on the quarter.

  • Dave Sylvester - CFO

  • Thanks, Chad.

  • Jim Hackett - President and CEO

  • Thanks, Chad.

  • Operator

  • Matt McCall, BB&T Capital Markets.

  • Matt McCall - Analyst

  • Thank you. Good morning, everybody. You started out while you [were barely pulling towards it], you were not pleased with the small creep in spending. And I think Dave, when you went into some of the specifics you mentioned specifically two specifics there. But you mentioned international spending. You mentioned a dealer conference.

  • I guess the question is, Jim, if those were broken out how were you surprised by the creep? What was it surprising or what was it that was not -- that you were not pleased with?

  • Jim Hackett - President and CEO

  • What happens at the end of the year there is kind of a miscellaneous roundup and that is the thing that, as that happened, there were things that happened at the end of the year there that I had not expected. I think the more important part of that comment about the surprise is that the rigor and discipline the Company has put against growth in spending has become a practice here in our culture.

  • Think of it as this kind of consistent quest we're trying to keep the Company as competitive and as fit as possible. So we've really done a great job over the course of these two downturns in the last decade and as a matter of practice watching that.

  • So it was a way to remind everybody with a few choice communications that we haven't -- just because we've come out of the downturn doesn't mean that all of that discipline and rigor went out the window. We've got a good team that is highly responsive to that kind of direction. So, as we said in the report, we think we will have it under control.

  • Matt McCall - Analyst

  • Okay. And then in the release, the [wood] division was mentioned I think as a strong performer, and then in your comments you talked about PolyVision having a very strong year. I know one of the things we've talked about in the past that world and PolyVision were both, I think, were both losing money at the peak of the last cycle. And so as we stand today where do those businesses stand from a profitability perspective and talk about what the expectations would be through the cycle?

  • I know we're not talking margin targets yet. But how do we look at those businesses, relative to the losses they were reporting last cycle?

  • Jim Hackett - President and CEO

  • I am going to let Dave take the bulk of this just because I want to credit Dave, is the reason I want to speak first. The CFO has an important role in the business. I tell you what Dave did for me is over the last downturn he helped get focus on the businesses that needed this attention that were kind of margin robbers, so to speak. So we made a lot of progress as you noted.

  • And two quick insights is that the education market has become an important part of our business and has a lot of opportunity and this category is key to the applications that we are inventing now. So I will just leave it that if you are in our facilities here in Grand Rapids we have opened a new classroom of the future that we show educational customers and higher ed and there is a lot of interest in that.

  • The wood business [perennially] has been a challenge and the guy who is running that business has done a fantastic job. And in fact, got a promotion for turning it around and is running one of -- a newer business that we've -- that is a fledgling startup. And so both of those businesses are in good shape, relative to where they were.

  • But I will let Dave give you his opinion because he has put so much time against it.

  • Dave Sylvester - CFO

  • Yes, Matt, we've talked about wooden PolyVision in the past and then, over the last several quarters, I threw a couple of other businesses into the mix of the discussion as well. One was Asia-Pacific and the other one was the UK. You know, on Asia, it was obvious that it wasn't necessarily a business problem. It was about us investing aggressively for the long term. And therefore, because it was operating expense investment, it was -- ahead of revenue -- it was showing up as a loss.

  • And you heard Jim's comment on Asia-Pacific. They broke through and had a profitable quarter which was --. (multiple speakers).

  • Yes, close with the year, so that is a big deal but we are also -- Jim is quick to remind everybody that we're going to continue to invest for the long term so don't expect that to be largely accretive in the near term.

  • On the UK, that is been a business that was plagued by the fact that it was largely an important model from the eurozone and with the pound weakening against the euro that's been -- put our business model a little bit upside down. The team has done a fantastic job to moving in the right direction. And with the recovery, we think we will break through the breakeven line here in the near term but we haven't quite gotten there yet because the recovery hasn't quite shown up in the UK like it has in other parts of Western Europe.

  • But when I was talking about orders in international I said they were up nearly 30% every year with the exception of France which had modest growth. That included the UK. So we think we have pretty good prospects there.

  • And then on wooden PolyVision it was two or three quarters ago that we officially declared PolyVision out of the penalty box and they have remained out of the penalty box, largely due to them shedding the low-margin businesses and restructuring their business and launching a fantastic product in eno.

  • And on wood, they are in a similar spot to the UK not because of their business model is upside down from a currency perspective or anything like that. But more that it requires the recovery to continue to gain traction, and as it does, we believe they're going to consistently break through that breakeven line. But they were pretty darn close for the full year this past year.

  • Matt McCall - Analyst

  • Okay. And then one more. So backlog up 14%, the guidance for growth is 12% to 17%. There may be some year ago comp differences but is that the case? Or is it that you are expecting or experiencing stronger trends this -- through the first part of this quarter? Are you expecting some order pull ahead and advance the price increase? Help me understand the delta there that you can get the 17% growth?

  • Jim Hackett - President and CEO

  • Well, 17 is the top end, right? It gives a little bit of recognition that we've been surprised to the positive the last few quarters. We could see some pull ahead in advance of the price increase but the effective date is May 15. So I doubt any of that will really [shift] in the first quarter or anything of significance.

  • So it is more a recognition of we believe the recovery is sustaining itself and we could see a little bit of upside.

  • What order patterns tend to do, if you look back over the last several years and I guess you excluded some of the recessionary periods, is they tend -- after the seasonal decline in January and February, they tend to rebuild into March and early April before falling off a little bit and then rebuilding in the summer. If we see that same pattern I think we could be in the middle or high end of the guidance and if we see something different, who knows?

  • Matt McCall - Analyst

  • Okay, so for the March and April period, that's what you're saying. March and April, you see that normal seasonal pattern. So the normal seasonal pattern assumption would get you to the 14% to 17% side of that maybe. Is that what you're saying?

  • Dave Sylvester - CFO

  • Yes, it would put us toward the middle or maybe toward the higher end of the range. The other thing to keep in mind is we did grow in the first quarter of last year. It was 1% organic growth but it was 1% organic growth. And I don't remember exactly what the industry did but I do recall some players in the industry posting organic declines in that same period.

  • Matt McCall - Analyst

  • Got it. Thank you all.

  • Operator

  • Andrew Light, Longbow Research.

  • Andrew Light - Analyst

  • Just wanted to add my congratulations on a good quarter there.

  • Dave Sylvester - CFO

  • Thank you, Andrew.

  • Andrew Light - Analyst

  • On the SG&A expense control goes without saying that is pretty impressive but, I guess, turning to gross margins, how did you feel about your gross margin performance in the quarter? And then also just kind of looking ahead, how should we think about gross margins looking into fiscal 2012?

  • Jim Hackett - President and CEO

  • I would say we feel really good about our gross margins. It's always a tough quarter because we go from being just swamped in the factories in the month of December to a much slower period in the months of January and February. So it's always a challenge, a significant challenge for our operations teams and they did a great job as usual with managing through that.

  • So we were happy with the fourth-quarter margins and I think, on a go-forward basis, what you should continue to expect from us is this pursuit of operating income contribution margin in the neighborhood of 30%. If we can hold our fixed cost, both in the factories and in operating expenses, relatively flat while revenue continues to grow we should be able to achieve close to that 30%. And if we see that, if we see growth and we are able to sustain a contribution margin, then the margin should improve.

  • Inflation is the big challenge and that is -- for a couple of quarters that is going to pinch us.

  • Andrew Light - Analyst

  • Okay, fair enough. I guess in looking at the mix of project versus day-to-day activity, I know you said that at least in North America project activity grew slightly stronger or slightly higher than the day-to-day business. How does that compare to what you were expecting for the quarter and then, just also looking at how do you expect that to sort of trend going forward?

  • Jim Hackett - President and CEO

  • I would say it was reasonably consistent with our expectations. Again we feel like we are in the recovery and what would continue to confirm that for us is the day-to-day business would stay at the level that it is at and that project activity would continue to come back online like it has been.

  • Andrew Light - Analyst

  • Okay. That is all for me. Thanks and good luck.

  • Jim Hackett - President and CEO

  • Thanks, Andrew.

  • Operator

  • Todd Schwartzman. Sidoti & Company.

  • Todd Schwartzman - Analyst

  • Good morning, gentlemen. First if, in fact, discounting has come in a little here, how did that play to the relative intensity of pricing and the government public versus private sectors?

  • Jim Hackett - President and CEO

  • Well, you know, the federal government is always the most competitive than it always has the lowest margins because of the favored nations pricing acquirement under GSA. But it remains highly competitive.

  • Dave Sylvester - CFO

  • You've got a new dynamic which is the state and local governments a year ago were -- stimulus package kind of kept them buoyant. Now as we can sit here in the Midwest and observe Ohio and Wisconsin and Michigan all deal with shortfalls and their budgets and mandates that they have to have balanced budgets, you will likely see some of the demand in that segment ease up a little bit versus where it was a year ago and stay more competitive.

  • Todd Schwartzman - Analyst

  • And in the quarter sequentially from Q3, what was the --? Was there any change in the relative degree of discounting?

  • Jim Hackett - President and CEO

  • Not that I'm aware of, Todd. I don't sit in on all the price and decision-making meetings but if there was a trend one way or the other of significance, I think we would hear about it.

  • Todd Schwartzman - Analyst

  • So this spread is pretty much constant from Q3 to Q4.

  • Dave Sylvester - CFO

  • I don't know that because I don't sit in all of the meetings but I haven't heard any significant noise. And when I step back and I do the roll forwards of operating income sequentially or year over year, there is just not a bar in that waterfall chart that stands out of significance associated with the pricing or discount erosion.

  • Todd Schwartzman - Analyst

  • And with respect to the SG&A leverage it looks like [I trusted] probably the best leverage in a little more than two years, if we were to strip out the IDEO expenses going away as well as maybe the accelerated severance, what were the other major factors that they would highlight for that improvement?

  • Dave Sylvester - CFO

  • Of us being able to hold fixed cost relatively flat?

  • Todd Schwartzman - Analyst

  • Yes.

  • Dave Sylvester - CFO

  • I mean, it really gives back to a strategy that Jim started pushing even before the downturn which was around shrink grow. We just stopped trying to add to SG&A and started focusing on how can we reprioritize our existing spending.

  • So then you go through the downturn and you take a bunch of cost out and you continue your shrink growth strategy. What we supplemented the strategy with in the downturn is we added share service centers in different parts of the world. So we now have a service center in Monterey, Michigan in addition to Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia -- I'm sorry Monterey, Mexico, Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia, and we have a long-standing relationship in Eastern Europe.

  • And what we look for the organization to do is that there is pressure to add back costs as they look to those lower cost shared service centers first as revenue is growing.

  • It's not going to be an easy task. It hasn't been an easy task because we have frankly a lot of good growth ideas that constantly surface in the business. And so there is always pressure to want to fund those and -- but we go into the next meeting is about okay what should we reprioritize and try to shrink in order to fund that new idea.

  • Todd Schwartzman - Analyst

  • And you had referenced that the quarterly OpEx is not indicative of the new run rate. What can you tell us about your perception of that new run rate?

  • Dave Sylvester - CFO

  • Just that they saw a little creep. If you get into the segment details from Q3 to Q4 and you factor out the variable compensation that we disclosed and I know a lot of you guys do some of this detailed analysis, you would say, Boy, that base level OpEx seemed to jump a little bit more than you would have expected especially in the EMEA or international part of our business.

  • And as Jim said, it was largely some miscellaneous items and some year-end things versus kind of a new run rate. So, it wasn't a big deal in the quarter but we know that you all are watching closely our contribution margin on incremental revenue. And we wanted you to know that we're watching it as closely if not more closely and continuing to push this shrink grow strategy.

  • Todd Schwartzman - Analyst

  • And on the customer visits what is going on there with respect to the A&D [fly-ins]? Is it still facing challenging prior year comps?

  • Dave Sylvester - CFO

  • There are three things going on with customer visits. They were down in the quarter, fourth quarter versus last year. And what is affecting the comps continues to be one more quarter of these fly-ins, A&D fly-ins that we were doing during the downturn.

  • So we had a number of those last year. We also as I mentioned in the comments last quarter, we had -- one of our aircraft was off-line at the end of November and that continued into the quarter as we were going through routine maintenance. And then frankly, the weather that we all experienced here in the Midwest and on the East Coast caused a number of cancellations and movements of customer visits into later quarters.

  • Todd Schwartzman - Analyst

  • And on the Asia-Pacific I do note that Hong Kong really is the biggest piece of that but just to get a sense of your exposure to Japan, maybe you could quantify your exposure there? Revenues, assets, facilities and so on?

  • Dave Sylvester - CFO

  • I'm not going to get into the specifics of quantifying Japan but what I will tell you is to Steelcase Inc., we don't expect the situation in Japan to have a material effect in the near term on our topline or bottom line.

  • What we are still sorting through is the consequence of what is going on in Japan to our global supply chains. There could be some domino effect that we are still trying to assess. Don't expect it but we are still nevertheless going through the due diligence to try to understand where there might be some potential cascading effect.

  • Todd Schwartzman - Analyst

  • Sounds good, thanks.

  • Operator

  • Mark Rupe, from Longbow Research.

  • Mark Rupe - Analyst

  • Congratulations on the quarter. I just wanted to follow up on some of Andy's questions earlier.

  • On some of the growth investments that you made over the last 18 months or so, you had the (inaudible) him a couple of years ago at NeoCon. I know it takes a while for some of the products to get into the system and then sold through the system. I'm just curious to see how that is going.

  • I'm assuming they're kind of full on right now and then, just as it relates to the upcoming show any kind of thoughts on some of the new product initiatives that you are [heading] at?

  • Jim Hackett - President and CEO

  • scape which were tight when that showroom was done have begun to yield the kind of growth curves and demand that we were looking for -- media:scape has taken off faster and the SEASCAPE was dependent on recovery of the recession and new projects started by corporations and that's starting to happen. (multiple speakers).

  • Mark Rupe - Analyst

  • Okay and then, I'm sorry, I got on the call late. But on the wood business I know that there has been obviously some cost savings actions there. And it was really came down to volume to get margin back up to where it -- kind of the corporate margin. Is that where it's at now or is there still some incremental leverage or above incremental leverage corporate incremental leverage still ahead of us on the wood side?

  • Jim Hackett - President and CEO

  • Demand will help there a lot so this is why managing through recessions has been always the best picture.

  • Dave Sylvester - CFO

  • That's exactly right. The variable margins in that business are quite good. Just we need volume to cover the fixed cost of the facility.

  • Mark Rupe - Analyst

  • Perfect. Thanks, guys. Great job.

  • Operator

  • Patrick Kirksey, Perimeter Capital.

  • Patrick Kirksey - Analyst

  • Hey guys, good morning, and thanks for taking my call. Given all the facility consolidations and plant closings that you're doing over the next year, what level or a revenue run rate on an annual basis do you think you could run, once all of that consolidation is complete before you would need to increase spending to expand your capacity and infrastructure?

  • Dave Sylvester - CFO

  • Significantly higher.

  • Patrick Kirksey - Analyst

  • So would it be fair to say that once all of this is said than done not that your guiding to this but you could handle $3.5 billion in annual revenues?

  • Dave Sylvester - CFO

  • It would depend on the product mix. I think it would probably be pretty close. There might be a factory here or there that could feel some stress.

  • But we are still not averaging two shifts in our operations. I imagine (technical difficulty). So there is definitely a lot of capacity availability in the system.

  • But if you get back to $3.5 billion and we started to feel -- and that wasn't evenly spread, it could potentially put a little pressure on the product line here or there. But would I see us having the need to add a factory? It's hard to imagine.

  • Patrick Kirksey - Analyst

  • Okay, great. Well, keep up the good work on the tight controls on operating expenses because I don't think we're going to get any relief on the commodity costs anytime soon.

  • Jim Hackett - President and CEO

  • That is -- we have a shared view of that, that is exactly right.

  • Patrick Kirksey - Analyst

  • Thanks, gentlemen.

  • Jim Hackett - President and CEO

  • Thanks, Patrick.

  • Operator

  • (Operator Instructions). Jeff Matthews, Ram Partners.

  • Jeff Matthews - Analyst

  • Thanks very much. I wondered if you could -- if you had already talked about it, I apologize. But I wondered how the healthcare initiative is going at this point?

  • Jim Hackett - President and CEO

  • It is going well. As I mentioned in my comments about the order patterns, in the quarter across vertical markets it was one that I highlighted as being one of the stronger ones along with IT or technical professional and federal government healthcare was up there as well.

  • Jeff Matthews - Analyst

  • Got it. Do you see the strength in the federal government being maintained?

  • Jim Hackett - President and CEO

  • Well, our federal government percentage of our revenue is relatively low. I think it was a mid-single digit percentage of our North America volume that we disclosed in the 10-K last year. That may have moved a little bit, but not -- certainly not into a double-digit kind of percentage.

  • And so our comps are not as difficult maybe as some of our competitors where the federal government is a larger percentage of their revenue. So I don't see for at least the next few quarters the comps of federal government being that difficult.

  • Beyond that, it will be interesting to see what type of spending the federal government has in general but for at least the next few quarters I don't see it as a big challenge for us. (multiple speakers).

  • Raj Mehan - IR Director

  • Steelcase Inc. revenue.

  • (technical difficulty)

  • Dave Sylvester - CFO

  • Raj, say that again.

  • Raj Mehan - IR Director

  • Sorry. Hey Jeff. Just a small correction that Dave said, it was the federal government represented mid-single digit of Steelcase Inc. revenue.

  • Jeff Matthews - Analyst

  • Okay, got it. And then finally, where hedge sort of shades of the 1990s in Silicon Valley with all the higher-end social media companies and companies taking office buildings out there, and I assume that is part of the strength you're seeing, number one. Number two, are you doing anything special about it? Or is -- do you have product lines that fit their needs? Thank you.

  • Jim Hackett - President and CEO

  • That's a great question and the answer is yes. we are doing something about it and, yes, we have products that fit their needs. We have a great presence in that market with a fantastic dealer.

  • Because of the IDEO connection, it's a place where we are there a lot and know a lot of the people that are in those businesses. But it's very competitive and challenging to get as much business as we can. But I think your observation that it's an exciting time there again is right on.

  • Jeff Matthews - Analyst

  • And you think you will get your fair share whatever that may be?

  • Dave Sylvester - CFO

  • I do.

  • Jeff Matthews - Analyst

  • Great. Thanks very much.

  • Operator

  • At this time, I'm showing no further questions. I would like to turn it over to Jim Hackett for any closing remarks.

  • Jim Hackett - President and CEO

  • It's just again a moment to reflect on people going through a lot of trials and tribulations, given the challenges in Japan. So thank you for allowing me to comment on that.

  • We are proud of the quarter as we discussed, and of course, we're now in the beginning of our new fiscal year and we look forward to report even better results. Thanks for your attention today.

  • Operator

  • Ladies and gentlemen, thank you for your participation in today's conference. This concludes the program. You may all disconnect. Everyone, have a great day.