Pegasystems Inc (PEGA) 2012 Q3 法說會逐字稿

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  • Operator

  • Good day, ladies and gentlemen, and welcome to Pegasystems 2012 third quarter earnings conference call. At this time, all participants are in a listen-only mode. Later, we'll conduct a question-and-answer session and instructions will be given at that time. (Operator Instructions)

  • As a reminder, this conference call may be recorded. I would now like to introduce your host for today's conference, Mr. Craig Dynes, Pegasystems' Chief Financial Officer. Sir, you may begin.

  • Craig Dynes - SVP and CFO

  • Good evening and welcome to Pegasystems' 2012 Q3 earnings conference call. Alan Trefler, Pegasystems, Founder and CEO, has joined the call from Australia. Before I [would turn to] Alan, I'll start with our Safe Harbor statement and then provide my financial commentary.

  • Certain statements contained in this presentation, including statements related to future earnings, bookings, revenue and mix of license revenue may be construed as forward-looking statements, as defined by the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. The words anticipates, projects, expects, plans, intends, believes, estimates, targets, forecasts, and could and other similar expressions identify forward-looking statements, which speak only as of the date statement was made. Because such statements deal with future events, they are subject to various risks and uncertainties.

  • Actual results for fiscal year 2012 and beyond could differ materially from the Company's current expectations. Factors that could cause the Company's results to differ materially from those expressed in forward-looking statements are contained in the Company's press release announcing its Q3 2012 earnings and in the Company's filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission, including its report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2011, its report on Form 10-Q for the quarter ended September 30, 2012 and other recent filings with the SEC.

  • The Company undertakes no obligation to revise or update forward-looking statements as a result of new information since these statements may no longer be accurate or timely. Similar to our experience in Q3 of last year, Q3 bookings were suppressed by continued uncertainty about the economy. This is most evident in Europe where on a year-to-date basis, bookings were down almost 50% from the same period last year.

  • There seems to be a lot of hesitation to sign contracts of significant size. The pattern looks very similar to last year where larger deals were delayed until Q4 when the budget must be spent or lost once the year-end hits. In fact, similar to Q4 last year, we've already seen some larger-than-average-sized deals closed in this Q4 and we expect this trend to continue.

  • So again, like last year, economic uncertainty has pushed us into a very back-end loaded year for new license bookings. Since Q4 of last year, the mix of term versus perpetual licenses has moved towards term. I hesitate to ever call this a trend. In fact, when I make any prediction as to the future mix, I am usually proven wrong. However, I do expect the movement towards term license will likely continue in Q4.

  • A change in the mix has an immediate impact on revenue and earnings. Revenue from term licenses is generally recognized over five years, whereas perpetual licenses are usually recognized in the quarter that they were booked.

  • While bookings were down for the first nine months of 2012 as compared to 2011, our Q3 bookings were higher than Q3 of last year and our backlog has stayed very strong. Our off-balance sheet backlog of signed, non-cancelable licenses is up about $75 million from the end of Q3 last year. This increase is shown on page 23 of the Q which shows in detail that we are holding $195 million in license revenue backlog as compared to only $120.6 million at this time last year. The increase in term license bookings has dramatically increased the backlog and has a slow but strong cumulative impact on revenue, similar to a Software-as-a-Service model.

  • For example, as detailed on last year's 10-Q, last year at this time, we were holding $29.5 million of 2012 term license revenue in backlog, that's committed revenue for the next fiscal year. This year, at the end of Q3, we were holding $42.8 million of 2013 term license revenue, an increase of about 45%. So our movement to term license bookings is piling up and will have a strong impact on future license revenues in 2013 and beyond. Maintenance revenue was $32.3 million for the quarter, down from $34.5 million for Q2, due to the one-time $2 million revenue event in Q2. On a year-to-date basis, maintenance is up about 14% over last year.

  • Similar to Q2, professional service revenue on a year-to-date basis is only up about 2% or $2.5 million for 2012, compared to the first nine months of 2011. Partners and customers are increasingly becoming enabled and are therefore doing the vast majority of the implementation work. This is a very positive development, as it greatly expands the Pega ecosystem. An additional benefit is the increase in professional services margins. With our slower growth, we're spending less on recruiting, hiring and on-boarding new consultants. Not only we're spending less, but with fewer new staff being trained, we have fewer people on the bench. So utilization rates are much higher, which has driven the improvement in margin.

  • Overall, in spite of the current economic climate, revenue is still up $16.5 million or 5% for the first nine months of the year. And with the revenue mix changing in favor of more license and maintenance as compared to professional services, gross profit is up $19.5 million as compared to last year.

  • Operating expenses for the quarter of $63.6 million were virtually identical from Q1. Q2 operating expenses were higher than both Q3 and Q1, primarily due to an increase in marketing events and programs, of which the lion's share was PegaWORLD. Given the back-end-loaded nature of the year, and the move to more term licenses, we will continue to tightly manage any growth in operating expenses with the objective of hitting our earnings targets. Even at lower growth rates, we will still increase the sales organization to provide additional capacity for growth beyond 2012. We increased the sales and marketing organization by 10 in Q3, of which eight were in sales.

  • We will also continue to grow our R&D capabilities. During Q2, we opened our first office in Bangalore, which is allowing us to replace contract R&D with employees, as we find that we're more effective with our own people. The contract replacement was the primary reason why R&D headcount increased by 114. So for the first nine months, GAAP net income was $1.4 million or $0.04 a share. In order to provide normalized run rate financial information and to allow comparisons to those building and publishing financial models, we've provided supplemental information in our press release to reconcile to a non-GAAP model.

  • Following the same format that was used when we provided guidance as part of our Q1 earnings release, there are three reconciling items. FAS 123R charges for stock-based compensation for Q3 were about $1.9 million or $0.05 per share on a post-tax basis. The amortization expense of the intangible assets created by purchase accounting for our Chordiant acquisition was also approximately $1.9 million or $0.05 per share on an after-tax basis.

  • And lastly, as we explained on our Q4 call, we built out a move to a new office in Q3. GAAP accounting rules make us accelerate depreciation straight line the new lease cost. This result can double our overlapping non-cash rent expense for both offices, while in reality, we have free rent for the new office until the old office license term ends next May. As we did in Q4, Q1 and Q2, we've added back overlapping non-cash lease expense as well as the one-time cost of moving the offices to present a more normalized or run rate model.

  • In Q3, we recorded $1.6 million or $0.04 per share on an after-tax basis for these non-recurring expenses associated with the [office space]. The supplemental GAAP to non-GAAP reconciliation shows a non-GAAP EPS of $0.13 per share for the third quarter, $0.45 for the year-to-date. We had a great quarter for cash collections and ended with $111.3 million in cash, an increase of about $8.4 million from the $102.9 million in cash at the end of Q2.

  • Our cash flow from operations is now a very strong $29 million at the end of Q3. Collections dropped accounts receivable from $92.5 million at the end of Q2 to $80.8 million at the end of Q3. The age of these receivables dropped from 54 days to 50 days. At the end of Q2, we noted that one customer represented 10% of our trade receivables. This receivable has now been collected in full, and there are no other 10% accounts.

  • Through the first three quarters, we've purchased 127,583 shares for $3.9 million in cash, at an average price of $30.64 per share. At quarter end, we had balance remaining of approximately $10 million available for future repurchases.

  • Overall, the year, through three quarters, it appears to be yearly similar to last year. But then, why shouldn't it be the same? Business conditions are virtually unchanged; customers delay executing new agreements, especially ones for large projects from quarter-to-quarter, due to their sense of uncertainty when it comes to the economy. This is especially true in Europe where several times a year, there is a debt or currency crisis.

  • While it is easy to delay from Q2 to the Q3, it is a different situation when it comes to Q4. This is usually the end of the fiscal year. Last year, customers were not able to delay from one budget year to another. So in Q4, we had a fantastic bookings quarter, driven by use it or lose it spending. Similar to last year, while customers are cautious and are delaying spending in this environment, we have not seen deals disappear or go to competitors. Our pipeline is very strong. And so we work hard for the remainder of the year.

  • Lastly, as I said in the press release, I'll be leaving Pega next year after filing the 2012 10-K. I've now been here for more than six years. There have been a lot of Qs, Ks and calls like these. It has been a great journey. Over the past five years, in the face of some of the worst economic conditions in recent history, we've more than tripled annual revenue.

  • The Company is really mature, looks a lot different than when I arrived six years ago. We've just moved into beautiful, new, modern offices and after we moved, I realized that I had accomplished many of my objectives and Pega was now a different company. And as crazy as it sounds, I started thinking about starting all over again with some late-stage [private] company.

  • So I feel extremely happy and satisfied with regard to all of our achievements over the last six years, and [I'm] confident that Pega will continue to do well in the future. It may seem hard to believe, but I've enjoyed my time talking with all the investors that I met, even some of the crazy speed dating investor conferences. I thank you all for giving me the time to listen to me talk about this great software company.

  • Lastly, I want to thank all of the Pega employees and especially Alan for all the laughs we've shared when we were supposed to be working through these issues. Thankfully, no one has thought us having too much fun on a day-to-day basis. So now, for the last time, I'd like to turn the call over to Pega's Founder and CEO, Alan Trefler.

  • Alan Trefler - Founder and CEO

  • Thanks, Craig. Let me start by thanking you again for six years of terrific accomplishments, helping us grow Pega over 300% during your tenure. I look forward to continuing to work together in coming months and we appreciate your commitment to a seamless transition. Thanks.

  • I am joining you from Melbourne, Australia, where I'm completing two weeks of exciting meetings with clients and prospects. I'm going to have to be crisp today, because I leave for a transpacific flight in about half an hour, but Craig is available the rest of the week for questions.

  • It's been a busy two weeks. First, I was in Japan at SIBOS, the largest commercial banking conference in the world, which we've attended every year since 1983. Leveraging the international nature of SIBOS, I talked to clients from North America, Europe, Japan, APAC, Russia and I traveled to Singapore, Hong Kong, Sydney and now, I've been in Melbourne meeting with clients and prospects in a variety of industries, wholesale banking, retail banking, insurance, communications and public sector.

  • I can tell you that the excitement and enthusiasm from these organizations about Pega Software is palpable. The clients' feedback is that the returns they're achieving from the use of Pega are staggering and that they've identified many new areas of their organizations where they're looking to implement our software. They tell me they're seeing faster time-to-market, increased customer retention, improved customer sales and dramatically higher operational productivity. I return from this trip as excited about Pega, the adoption of our software, and the growth potential as I've ever been.

  • At the same time, these organizations are all trying to manage through today's economic challenges and uncertainty. Much of this challenge translates to caution in decision making. As Craig mentioned, it also translates into a higher preference to term licenses than our historical average and into somewhat longer sales cycles.

  • We had a great set of customer wins in Q3 across all of our major industries and geographies, financial services, insurance, healthcare, communications, life sciences, manufacturing, energy and business process outsourcing.

  • In financial services, we continue our strong momentum in the credit card servicing market, with several key wins at retail banking operations. We also continued our momentum in the communications industry, with key wins around our Next-Best-Action marketing and [decision-making] offerings. We won these deals in North America, Western Europe, Eastern Europe and for the first time in Brazil.

  • We also won a significant business with process-centric customer service, leveraging dynamic case management across a number of industries. In banking, we won an important [complaints] case management solution versus a number of competitors. We're pushing a number of regulatory opportunities around Know Your Customer and that some of the regulations that are coming actually do offer the potential for improvement.

  • So, our mission is going forward and our mission is customer success to the use of Pega software. And I'll tell you, as we take a look at the go lives and customers reporting the success, we continue to be encouraged. Our customers know they can build applications and have a platform to start in one business unit and we use most of the solution in other business units, increasing quality and speed to market. They achieved huge returns from what we call [6R case] automation and it's great to see.

  • Consistent with our focus on customer success. We're very pleased with the continued growth of the partner trained ecosystem. We've increased it about 22%, 2012 year-to-date. We expect the number of private trained and certified staff to accelerate with the roll out of our newly created pegaacademy.com, self-study capability, which is being well received.

  • I'm also pleased that in Q3, analysts from the industry continue to recognize Pega's product and technology leadership. In particular, Pega was recognized by Gartner, one of the industry's prominent analyst firms in their latest Business Process Magic Quadrant. The market definition of BPM is continuing to advance and evolve, and Gartner's signaled this by naming the latest BPM Magic Quadrant as IBPM or Intelligent BPM. The quote from Gartner is that IBPM sets a new ball for the BPM market by evolving beyond process analysis put systems at guide and recommend the next most effective action or decision. So this is right up our alley, and it's not surprising that Pega, when you look at the picture, is positioned as the clear leader, a testament to our innovation and representative of our commitment to continue to innovate.

  • We're also named by Forrester Research as a leader in CRM suites for large organizations. As you know, Pega's sales strategy is to sell and market to large organizations, so this is particularly important and gratifying for us. The report ranked 17 vendors using an extensive vendor evaluation across a number of dimensions and Pega was ranked among the top for all three of the primary components of CRM.

  • As we've announced, we're also pleased that Larry Weber has joined the Board of Pega in the past quarter. Larry is the Chairman of the W2 Group and has many years as a thought leader in branding and positioning, working with many leading technology companies. We look forward to Larry's contributions to Pega's marketing strategy, growth and differentiation.

  • In Q3, we also announced our entry into Bangalore with a facility opening -- our second facility in India and it continues to be a terrific place for us to build and invest in growing our R&D, even as we continue to grow it in our other development sectors.

  • Now, with regard to our year-to-date bookings performance, while our Q3 2012 bookings were much stronger than the year ago that quarter in the very challenging Q3 of 2011. We've still not made up for the smaller average deal size in the first half of 2012. While we have signed a comparable number of deals here today. In 2012, we have yet to see a similar number of very large deals, sometimes referred to as whales.

  • We continue to see a lot of business, including possible whales, on the horizon. However, given the times and the inherent lumpiness of our business in even the best of times, it is difficult to know what whales will be landed and watch sales will continue to be split into smaller pieces. We are working to be pragmatic about the economics and uncertainty that our customers are operating in. Thus we've been very diligent in managing investment and expenses, taking care hiring and spending to balance the goals of product and market leadership with returns for our investors.

  • As I mentioned on the last call, earlier this year, we saw the continued challenge and began to drive reductions in discretionary spending and G&A hiring. But given the huge opportunity in front of us, we have maintained a strong investment profile in R&D throughout the year and are continuing to modestly build sales capacity.

  • Our experience in the Great Recession was that coming out of these recessions, you can have a huge payoff and we believe the same will be the case now. Indeed, we continue to see the development and strong increases in our pipeline. And I continue to strongly encourage the team to push forward, because we see the breadth of our opportunity.

  • As I mentioned when I started my discussion, I remain very excited about our customers' enthusiasm and the real business returns that they are seeing in the form of new business, improved customer retention, increased productivity and just a whole better way of engaging with their clients and running their operations. This continues to be an outstanding opportunity that we are pursuing with great enthusiasm.

  • And as we think about next year, we are modifying and adjusting our plans to figure out how we can take advantage of it and see what we can do to perhaps help mitigate some of the lumpiness of our business. We are excited about the future, working hard and I look forward to taking any questions. Operator, will you please open the lines for questions?

  • Operator

  • Thank you. (Operator Instructions) Nathan Schneiderman, ROTH Capital.

  • Nathan Schneiderman - Analyst

  • Hi, Alan and Craig, thanks for taking my questions. And Alan, good luck -- or Craig, I'm sorry, good luck to you in your new endeavor. Let me start off, Craig, you made a comment about closing some large deals already in Q4. Now, I wasn't sure if I heard right, if you'd said that you had closed record deals already or just large deals. So I was hoping you could drill into kind of the book of business already achieved?

  • Craig Dynes - SVP and CFO

  • My comment was that we have already closed some larger-than-average-size deals in Q4 and that's probably as much detail as I can give right now. Quarter is not over yet.

  • Nathan Schneiderman - Analyst

  • Okay. I wasn't sure if you said larger-than-ever or larger-than-average. So, average, great. And, Alan, last quarter, you guys laid out guidance of -- revised guidance of $475 million for the year, but I was wondering with this shortfall here and some mix shift towards term, do you feel that's an unrealistic target at this point or do you feel that it still looks pretty good?

  • Alan Trefler - Founder and CEO

  • Well, look, we don't provide quarterly guidance and at this point, the year represents just one quarter. However, I think it's safe to say that obviously, Q3 was challenging and it's a long road in Q4 and we're working hard, but it's certainly going to be tougher than we might have expected earlier in the year.

  • Nathan Schneiderman - Analyst

  • Got it. And hey, final question for you. I was just curious when you are engaging with customers now and just kind of thinking about the pricing environment and how that's changed, any comments you can make there and specifically have you moved away from or do you have any intention to move away from project-specific pricing? Thanks very much.

  • Alan Trefler - Founder and CEO

  • Sure, we actually, I would say, have the majority of our deals that aren't project specific. It's probably close to 50-50. We now have a lot of customers that are using our software actually broadly for dozens and dozens of projects and that's something we encourage. The reality is that when the deals get smaller and frankly more consistent with what people think they might roll out in the next six months or nine months.

  • The pricing actually tends to be better from our point of view. It's the promise of very large deals that some companies use to try to really put pressure on software vendors in terms of price reductions. So, I think we're actually quite comfortable that we're not seeing particular price pressure than we are forced to respond to. We've always in many of our accounts competed against free, because there are lots of people who just give their stuff away in one form or another. And historically, we've done fine against that and I will tell you we're continuing to do fine against that.

  • Operator

  • Thank you. Steve Koenig, Wedbush Securities.

  • Steve Koenig - Analyst

  • Hi gentlemen, thanks for taking my question. I'll just make it one question since it sounds like you're travelling here, Alan. Craig, I want to wish you the best of luck as well in your next endeavor. And I guess what I'd like to ask here is, oftentimes, it's darkest before things turn up, economically speaking. But I'm wondering if we get into fiscal 2013, we find that the environment remains challenging for whatever reason, whether it's fiscal policy or whatnot. What would you all do in terms of your expenses? Would you expect to keep growing the sales staff modestly and keep growing R&D or what kind of contingencies would you anticipate?

  • Alan Trefler - Founder and CEO

  • Some of it, of course, is situational. And you need to look at those situations rationally and make whatever decisions looked like the right decisions at the time. But I think I'll just share a couple of things. One, we've been around for a long time and we've been successful and we've been able to grow, even grow much faster in those difficult times, as well as good times. And we are already tuning some of our messages much more about cost reduction, which is frankly traditional strength of us, sort of to complement where we had been going, which was I think consistent with a little more optimistic reading of the economy and people being a little more exuberant about trying to increase their top lines.

  • We find that when things are tense, you get more reliable business and sometimes more dramatic business by transforming the expense base as opposed to the revenue base. So when things start to turn up, you want to be in a good position to jump on the revenue bandwagon. And we are in the process of turning our messages, and I think we'll be in a good position next year, frankly, even if it's a tough year. We're going to look at Q4 and we're going to calibrate our expenditures, consistent with what we see happening in the market.

  • We do have a lot of latitude. We've hired a lot of people. We definitely have the opportunity to work on getting the effectiveness of our staff up, which comes with additional training and additional sort of inculcation into the mainstream. So I think we can continue to build productivity, whether we hire aggressively or not. We're going to keep a very close eye on the customers, which frankly is one reason I'm spending some time in the field to be able to gauge that personally.

  • Steve Koenig - Analyst

  • Right. Thanks, Alan. And regards to you, Craig.

  • Alan Trefler - Founder and CEO

  • Okay.

  • Operator

  • Thank you. Brian Murphy, Sidoti & Company.

  • Brian Murphy - Analyst

  • [Thanks for taking] my question. Alan, so you're referencing sort of macroeconomic weakness is maybe the reason why bookings are a little soft here. You guys have grown very strongly in the past through much worse economic conditions. Can you help us understand maybe what's different about this economic slowdown as it relates to your business? Is it that maybe your deal sizes are a lot bigger than they were three years or four years ago? Kind of could you help us -- give us some color there?

  • Alan Trefler - Founder and CEO

  • Well, a couple of things. One, while some companies have grown throughout the recession, a lot of companies fell back and then posted improvements as a result of relatively easy compares. We never fell back. We've been growing year-over-year through this. So that's not an excuse, but it's just a reality when you take a look at what's happened in some other businesses.

  • I think that we have a lot of control on how we respond to the economic crisis. And as you point out, we've done this before. Perhaps we were just not as forceful as we should have been in terms of anticipating the depth of some, and particularly the European issues.

  • What we have found is, we have begun to recalibrate, and we're in the process of making some very significant changes to our marketing messages to facilitate this recalibration. As we recalibrate to explain the customer how much money we can save them. We're seeing a level of enthusiasm that frankly, we stopped getting fairly quickly around some of the more euphoric messages around business growth.

  • So the business growth message is still there. We're actually quite happy to be in that market. But we're going to pitch what we do as much around cost savings, which frankly is how we grew in the previous recessions. So we're taking steps. I actually, believe or not, entirely or even largely a victim of this market. I think there are execution things we can do and we must do that will improve our performance next year regardless of the economy.

  • Brian Murphy - Analyst

  • Okay. And if my calculations are right, the third quarter bookings were way up over sort of an easy comp last year, but year-to-date, bookings are still down about 14%. It sounds like that this year is even more back-end loaded than it was last year and you guys put up a pretty big bookings number in Q4. I mean could we be seeing that sort of scenario here? I mean, could we see sort of flattish bookings for 2012 or maybe even some growth over 2011?

  • Alan Trefler - Founder and CEO

  • Yes. No, we haven't (inaudible) imagination, given up on this being a growth year, though obviously more modest growth. And I think as Craig points out, we're seeing this hard to statistically be confident in, but we are definitely seeing what seems like sort of a visual shift to some additional terms. So you may see some things coming to backlog instead of revenue. But we're not pessimistic about the way the year is going to end.

  • Obviously, this year has been much tougher than we expected when we entered into it. Last year, we just blew the doors out of Q4. It feels like we might be able to do that as well. But as I said, we had actually a very, very strong beginning of the year, a miserable Q3 last year. And so on average, it's hard to gauge how it's going to turn out, but we're not pessimistic. We just have a lot of work to do.

  • Brian Murphy - Analyst

  • Okay. And Craig, a quick one for you on the service gross margin. I mean at least over the past three years, in the September quarter, it tends to come in pretty low, sort of single-digit service gross margin there. This year is obviously much stronger. Is there anything different happening with the [ProServe] organization?

  • Craig Dynes - SVP and CFO

  • Yes, there is. Partners and customers are becoming more enabled and they're leading in the vast majority of projects. And that's a good thing. I mean we want the ecosystem. We want them to be more confident and to grow with their capabilities. So as a result, we're not as focused on growth as we were in the past. So that means that we have fewer people, we have to hire and train and on board. So we save those expenses but more than just that, because we have fewer newbies on board that's sitting on the bench, our utilization rates are much higher and in that business, it's the utilization rate that drives the gross profit.

  • Alan Trefler - Founder and CEO

  • I would add, we talked I would say nine months or 12 months ago about moving the mission of services at Pega, from being kind of a full-service delivery model to much more of a consultative model with our customers and our partners. And so, the slowing of the rapid on-boarding of junior staff is very consistent with that strategy and we continue to believe is the absolute right strategy.

  • Craig Dynes - SVP and CFO

  • Yes. And that [reflects us] in the realization rates which are up as well. So if you provide [excellent] services, you get higher rates.

  • Brian Murphy - Analyst

  • I mean, is that sustainable in the high teens or 20% range?

  • Craig Dynes - SVP and CFO

  • We're not in the business to really -- we're not running a ProServe business, we're running a software business. It's nice that it's more profitable, but we really want to have customer success and if that involves investing in customers, we'll do that because customer success drives more license revenue.

  • Brian Murphy - Analyst

  • Understood. Thank you.

  • Operator

  • Thank you. Richard Davis, Canaccord Genuity.

  • Richard Davis - Analyst

  • Have you guys seen any changes in the competitive environment?

  • Alan Trefler - Founder and CEO

  • Yes. I'll actually say that a number of the smaller competitors have dropped out of the market. Guys like Savion had just disappeared. A number of the customers who were experimenting with them are no longer interested. So I would say, for the pure plays, we are in much, much [stronger side]. Also tell you that for the stack vendors, we're seeing failure after failure of their systems. On this trip, I spoke to three major customers who are in the process of throwing out significant stack vendors. Their little freebee experiments just haven't worked out. So our referenceable customer base is extremely, extremely powerful and [the big blow is] there is no single stack vendor that, from what I can see, has any sustainable credibility in the space.

  • Richard Davis - Analyst

  • Thank you.

  • Operator

  • Thank you. Raghavan Sarathy, Dougherty & Company.

  • Raghavan Sarathy - Analyst

  • Hi, good afternoon. Thanks for taking my questions. I think, Craig, you mentioned that you closed larger-than-average-sized deals in the fourth quarter. Are these deals perpetual license deals or term license deals?

  • Craig Dynes - SVP and CFO

  • It's both.

  • Raghavan Sarathy - Analyst

  • Okay. [Does it make] you to perpetual or term?

  • Craig Dynes - SVP and CFO

  • It's too small of a population to really comment on. As I said, we have noticed that the needle has moved towards more term licenses and I believe that it'll stay that way in Q4.

  • Raghavan Sarathy - Analyst

  • Okay. And then, in terms of bookings, I think, Alan, you made the comment that the bookings from Europe were down 50%. I mean [yesterday, I can't really tell] which one it is, but can you talk about the environment here in North America?

  • Alan Trefler - Founder and CEO

  • Yes, I think the environment in North America is obviously better than it is in Europe, but people are keeping some of a watchful eye on Europe. So I would describe it as conservative but obviously we did have a good -- much better Q3 than we did a year ago. So [they are buying], but the conservativism reflects itself in the lack of whales which to be blunt long-term is okay. I mean that's one of the vehicles that will help reduce some of the volatility that we're going to be working to try to reduce in the system here.

  • Raghavan Sarathy - Analyst

  • And then, in terms of sort of your assumptions that you're still optimistic, you are expecting modest growth in bookings for the year. Are you assuming the situation in Europe would improve and as we look to North America, what are some of the assumptions in your sort of optimism?

  • Alan Trefler - Founder and CEO

  • So the optimism and -- or at least the positive feeling -- I [start] to feel optimistic, the mildly positive feeling, I would say, is based on frankly deal-by-deal analysis and having spent time with customers where we had meaningful business on the table. So I would describe it as less of a macroeconomic view than sort of a micro analysis which actually gives me greater comfort. The basic assumption is that we're not going to have a disaster. If we have a disaster, who knows what's going to happen, but we are not assuming that there is going to be some magical rejuvenation of either the European or the North American fiscal anxieties.

  • Raghavan Sarathy - Analyst

  • And so one final question. So when you looked at the verticals, also the composition of the bookings, existing versus new, what are you seeing? I mean is there certain vehicles that's maybe doing a little bit better than other ones? And also the deals that are closing, are they more skewed towards newer customers since they seem like smaller deals?

  • Alan Trefler - Founder and CEO

  • Yes. So I think in terms of the verticals, what we've seen is our financial services has been -- it's I think been good. Telco continues to be one this year that is strong and we're really glad that we've put some additional [rules] into that. I think healthcare has been a little sluggish, partially people were waiting to see who was going to win the election. With Obama winning the election, a lot of our products that are involved with on-boarding and increasing population [enrolls] of patients, we expect we'll get a boost, but my perception was for the last three months to six months, that's been a little bit of a limbo. So that would be what I would describe as the one I would expect would change the most based on at least the electoral results.

  • Raghavan Sarathy - Analyst

  • Okay, great. Thank you.

  • Operator

  • Thank you. Edward Hemmelgarn, Shaker Investments.

  • Edward Hemmelgarn - Analyst

  • Just had a couple of questions. One, did you talk at all about the pipeline? I think at the end of Q2, you said it was around 50% larger than it had been in -- at the same time in 2011. Where is it at right now?

  • Alan Trefler - Founder and CEO

  • So the pipeline continues to grow and I think continues to be of meaningful quality. It rose another several percent from quarter two to quarter three. And as I said, we've been spending a lot of time on the sort of microeconomics of looking at individual deals. And I would think -- I actually think the quality and the [intent to] the pipeline is quite good.

  • Edward Hemmelgarn - Analyst

  • How does it compare with say last year at this time?

  • Alan Trefler - Founder and CEO

  • I would -- it's higher than it's ever been and I would guess it would be easier. Craig can actually go look that up, but I would guess it's order of magnitude 20% higher than it was.

  • Craig Dynes - SVP and CFO

  • I think it's an even higher in comparison.

  • Edward Hemmelgarn - Analyst

  • Okay, great. And then, can you talk a little bit about -- Alan, I mean, you discussed the enthusiasm that you're seeing from customers. It's a bit puzzling at times, I mean the struggle that you get just to close some of the things in a more I guess consistent fashion. I'm aware of that. I mean people wait until the end of the year, but I always thought that the plan had been more of a land and expand as where once you've got into a place, then there would just be more consistent levels of deals in companies and maybe you could (multiple speakers).

  • Alan Trefler - Founder and CEO

  • I think that's true. You need to understand that sometimes, the expense can be very good. Usually when we got a whale, it was as a result of having had some initial successes in them. We say, boy, we'd really like to blow this out. When -- you asked a good question which is, how is it possible to reconcile the enthusiasm on seeing with some of the slowness in execution relative to business cycle and there is actually very logical explanation for it.

  • We are talking to the SVP of Operations, we're talking to the people in service, we're talking to the senior executives in IT, but what's happened particularly in the last couple of years is most organizations have put in additional approval processes frankly just to slow stuff down and to create additional gates.

  • And so the enthusiasm is from the people who are going to be the buyers, but the sluggishness comes from sometimes things need to go through one or two extra rounds of analysis before they actually put pen to paper. And when they do, a lot of times, they're saying, well, even if the price is a little higher, we will chop it up into a couple of chunks. And that's especially true with customers who frankly have tried a competitor and having had such a good outcome. So, that's one of the things ultimately I think is going to be just fine for a business, but it doesn't bring in the whales that we have seen in previous years.

  • Edward Hemmelgarn - Analyst

  • Okay. And lastly, Craig, I wish you best of luck in here.

  • Craig Dynes - SVP and CFO

  • Thank you, Edward. We'll be -- maybe, we'll meet again.

  • Edward Hemmelgarn - Analyst

  • Yes, great.

  • Operator

  • Thank you. Mark Schappel, Benchmark Company.

  • Mark Schappel - Analyst

  • Hi, good evening. And Alan, wonder if you could just speak to your government business and how well that did in the quarter and in particular if you could just speak to any kind of mixed shift you saw with respect to your business, the Federal business versus the state and local business.

  • Alan Trefler - Founder and CEO

  • Yes, sure. I mean, the government business as I was talking about earlier continues to be happy and really quite encouraging. We went live this past quarter with a sale to the US Patent Office. We've got business with the USDA that we've recently signed up. Were into a couple of other agencies that I'm not at liberty to mention. So we're getting both extensions to existing business and new business. It once again is tending to come in in smaller pieces, but as I said, I think that it's just fine. We're developing momentum in referenceability.

  • Relative to state business, some of the states we are in like Texas have just started almost self-radiating. We have [more] Texas User Conference that was predominantly [driven] by state folks and we had over 200 people from [intelligent] agencies show up and many of them were talking to each other about how well they were doing. You can actually go on to our website. This is terrific self-produced video by the Texas Department of Transportation and those sorts of things are actually helping us very much in the state business. So building momentum, an increased number of deals particularly year-to-date, but also in the quarter. And all in all, very, very positive across a number of agencies.

  • Mark Schappel - Analyst

  • Great, Thank you. And Craig, I wish (multiple speakers).

  • Alan Trefler - Founder and CEO

  • With that, I am going to have to call this show and run for the ticket counter. But I'd like to thank everybody and once again, Craig will continue to be available and I'm always glad to talk to you folks too. Thank you and take care. And once again, thank you, Craig. Well, we're going to obviously continue to work together sort of many, many more months. Bye-bye.

  • Craig Dynes - SVP and CFO

  • All right. Thank you, all. And that sort of concludes our call.

  • Operator

  • Ladies and gentlemen, thank you for participating in today's conference. This concludes our program for today. You may all disconnect and have a wonderful day.