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Operator
Good day ladies and gentlemen, and welcome to the Second Quarter 2013 Mattel Earnings Conference Call.
At this time, all participants are in a listen-only mode.
Later, we'll conduct a question and answer session, and instructions will follow at that time.
(Operator Instructions)
As a reminder, this conference is being recorded.
I will now turn the call over to your host, Drew Vollero.
Please go ahead.
- SVP Corporate Strategy, Development & IR
Thank you Stephanie.
As you know, this morning we reported Mattel's 2013 second quarter financial results.
We've provided you with a slide presentation to help guide our discussion today.
The slide presentation and the information required by Regulation G regarding non-GAAP financial measures is available on the Investors and Media section of our corporate website, corporate.
Mattel.com.
In a few minutes, Bryan Stockton, Mattel's Chairman and CEO; Tim Kilpin, Mattel's Executive Vice President of Global Brands; and Kevin Farr, Mattel's CFO, will provide comments on the results, and then the call will be open for your questions.
Certain statements made during the call may include forward-looking statements relating to the future performance of our overall business, brands, and product lines.
These statements are based on currently available information, and are subject to a number of significant risks and uncertainties which could cause our actual results to differ materially from those projected in the forward-looking statements.
We describe some of these uncertainties in the Risk Factor section of our 2012 annual report on Form 10-K, and our 2013 quarterly reports on Form 10-Q, and in other filings we make with the SEC from time to time, as well as in other public statements.
Mattel does not update forward-looking statements, and expressly disclaims any obligation to do so.
Now, I'd like to turn the call over to Bryan.
- Chairman & CEO
Thank you Drew, and good day everyone.
Before we get into a discussion on our results for the quarter, I'd like to take a moment to talk about the industry and Mattel in general, as we exit the preseason and head into the second half of the year where we do about two-thirds of our business.
Overall, the global toy industry came out of the first half of 2013 in pretty good shape.
Industry trends looked consistent with recent history, with toy categories sales flat to slightly down in the US and Western Europe, and growing in Latin America, Eastern Europe, and Asia.
For Mattel specifically, important emerging growth markets such as China, Russia, and India, continue to prove to be fertile ground, as all grew by double digits in the second quarter.
According to NPD, when you include American Girl, Mattel gained total toy share in both the US and the Euro Five.
At the category level, according to NPD, dolls represent one of the fastest growing parts of the toy industry, growing 11% in the US and 4% in Europe through May.
As the number one player in the doll category, Mattel is well positioned with the top four brands globally, including Barbie, American Girl, Monster High, and Disney Princess.
As NPD data reflects, we continue to grow our overall doll share, as we successfully innovate and diversify our portfolio.
Now turning to Mattel.
As I mentioned earlier, we consider the first half of the year our preseason, and we tend not to read too much into the numbers.
That said, overall, our underlying performance is consistent with our long-term financial goals for sales, gross margin, and EPS growth.
While there are a number of puts and takes by brand and country, we finished the first half with revenues up 4%, gross margins up 150 basis points, and EPS up 7%.
Although ongoing strategic investments impacted the bottom line, we're already seeing strong returns from these investments in places like Russia, China, and American Girl stores.
We expect these returns to continue into the second half of the year.
We strengthened our position at retail, as our consistent focus on improving the supply chain generated another quarter of reduced retail inventories, and we improved our alignment of promotional spending to support our second half initiatives.
Now let's focus on results for the second quarter.
Five key themes remain consistent with our first quarter performance.
Our Powerhouse Girls portfolio sustained international growth, strong gross margins, and continued commitment to capital deployment, and strategic investments for future growth.
Let me touch on each briefly.
Our Girls portfolio continues to be the engine that's fueling our global growth.
The portfolio drives approximately 40% of Company revenues, and it grew, again, 6% in the second quarter.
In fact, this is the 15th consecutive quarter of growth for our Girls portfolio.
Monster High continues to exceed expectations around the world with double-digit growth, and American Girl continues its successful brand acceleration.
The diversity and strength of this portfolio allowed us to grow share in the doll category in both the US and Euro Five according to NPD, when you include American Girl results.
Second, Mattel continues to grow internationally.
We saw positive growth in Europe, Latin America, and Asia in the quarter, and for year-to-date.
In fact, we have consistently delivered revenue growth internationally in 9 of the past 10 quarters.
Third, our gross margins remain strong, matching last year's record margin at 51.3%, and are well positioned within our near-term outlook.
Fourth, capital deployment remains an important piece of the Mattel story.
In the second quarter, we paid $125 million in dividends, and deployed another $119 million on share repurchases.
And finally, we continued our commitment to strategic investments, and executing the right business decisions necessary for growth.
These incremental investments accounted for approximately one-third of the year over year increase in SG&A in the second quarter, as we invested in areas like new franchise development, American Girl retail stores, emerging market infrastructure, and IT systems.
As a part of our how to grow road map, we focused on building the right structure to support growth.
And as you know, in 2011, we created a new North American division to support better alignment with our customers.
In the second quarter, we continued to strengthen these customer alignment efforts, as we further consolidated US operations, bringing teams supporting the North America division together into our Southern California campus.
This alignment effort contributed to the quarter's $8 million severance charge.
All in all, as I look at the second quarter, there are many similarities with the first quarter.
I'm happy with our level of consistency in delivering overall sales growth, particularly with our growing Girls portfolio and robust international growth, and I'm happy with our strong gross margins.
That said, as I look to where we were inconsistent in the second quarter, I see two primary areas that impacted our performance.
The first area is our Polly Pocket brand.
As we've worked to maximize the momentum in our Girls portfolio, we made the decision to reallocate resources and execute a more focused approach to the Polly brand.
That said, Polly continues to perform well in several markets, and going forward we will have a more focused program to support momentum in those markets.
This resulted in a $14 million asset impairment charge in the quarter.
Second, Barbie experienced declines both in North America and International.
There are two key underlying factors that contributed to Barbie's second quarter results.
First, the shifting of North American promotional programs traditionally executed in the first half to the second half.
And second, increased competition from our own growing portfolio.
Let me comment on each.
As I'd mentioned before, we're committed to innovation in our Girls portfolio to generate incremental revenue and share of the global market.
And, as we've also discussed before, we've introduced new franchises that have fueled significant category growth for the industry.
The Barbie brand is likely being modestly impacted by their successes.
However, it's important to recognize that while we've grown our overall share of the doll category in both the US and Euro Five year-to-date per NPD data, Barbie has also continued to hold her own, with revenues greater than 2010 when we launched Monster High.
You can see why we still feel pretty good about Barbie's performance in the context of the portfolio that she leads.
For the year, Barbie's global POS and shipping are down mid single digits.
For the second quarter in North America, shipping is down more than POS.
This was largely driven by a business decision to ship promotional programs and related shipping to coincide with consumer demand in the all-important back half of the year.
This decision accounted for about 50% of the decline in North America for Barbie in the second quarter.
We expect to recapture that volume later in the year.
Now, let me turn my comments to the second half of 2013.
As always, we know we have to execute well to deliver another successful year, and we had three key priorities for the Fall.
First, we have to maximize the momentum of our growing Girls portfolio.
Second, we have to accelerate Fisher-Price POS globally.
And third, we need to deliver strong execution on our promising Fall lineup of products, content, and retail programs.
There's great news across the Girls portfolio.
Looking at the back half of the year, we have new initiatives on every brand, including Barbie, American Girl, Disney Princess, and Monster High.
And as we've discussed, we have an entirely new franchise entering the market in the second half of the year with Ever After High.
We have a great calendar in the back half of the year for Barbie, where we expect to continue to grow viewership of our very successful Barbie Life in the Dreamhouse animated series, which is planned to have its own Nickelodeon TV special in the Fall, along with a new line of product.
The Fall will also see greater entertainment content for Barbie, with two second half DVD releases an increase compared to last year, and associated product lines.
Barbie continues to merge the latest trends with technology by focusing on innovation, customization, and creative play across the toy line.
Building on the success of last year's Barbie Photo Fashion Doll, we're very excited by the second half launch of Barbie's Train and Ride Horse, which features just your recognition software that reacts to Barbie's commands.
The new Barbie Digital Makeover product that transforms an iPad into a digital mirror for endless creative play with virtual makeup.
And, the new Barbie Digital Dress Doll, that features LED and touch screen technology, allowing the girls to design and customize Barbie's fashions.
In anticipation of the packed calendar and consumer demand, our key retailers have also granted an increase in shelf space for our top four retailers for Barbie in the Fall.
As we look to the rest of our Girls portfolio, 2013 is turning out to be a monster year, as we continue to deliver the unexpected and position Monster High as the top of mind brand with the older girl.
The second half of the year will be our biggest yet with more dolls, franchise activation, digital engagement, and our second major DVD tent pole event, 13 Wishes.
Disney Princess has an impressive calendar for the Fall as well.
There's strong retailer anticipation for Sofia the First, which is starting to ship now.
And Disney will also introduce another princess into their collection, with the late Fall launch of their theatrical release Frozen.
American Girl enters the back half of the year with tremendous momentum.
Girl of the Year Sage is tracking double digits ahead of last year's highly successful doll McKenna.
Clearly, a little marketing goes a long way in American Girl.
And we'll open our 16th store in Palo Alto, California on the heels of our very successful opening in Columbus, Ohio a few months ago.
And, of course, we have our new franchise Ever After High, which Tim will tell you about in a moment.
I hope you're starting to get a sense for why we're so focused on the importance of maximizing execution of our amazing Girls portfolio.
We have an impressive lineup for sure.
Shifting gears to Fisher-Price, we still see a big opportunity for us, particularly internationally.
The second quarter was marginally better than the first quarter, but not where we wanted it to be.
Clearly, this brand remains a work in progress.
As we've said before, this is the year we plan to grow Fisher-Price.
And to do so, we need to accelerate global POS.
To achieve this growth, we expect several pieces to come together in the second half of the year.
First, we'll have a full rollout of our new packaging, which will enable a consistent and impeccable look on the shelf.
Second, we'll have increased marketing programs that optimize our Joy of Learning campaign to not only connect with mom, but to more consistently convert mom.
Third, we'll have expanded retail executions.
For example, we've secured more shelf space with a major US retailer on key baby gear items than in prior years.
And fourth, we'll have a strong product line rooted in innovation.
As I've said many times, when we innovate, we grow.
And we have several new executions coming online in the Fall, including an extended Laugh and Learn line, our new co-branded and digital extension for Little People and Imaginex, and a new baby gear toddler feeding line.
In addition to the core business, Fisher-Price Friends, which accounts for about one-third of the Fisher-Price brand, looks to continue to fire on all cylinders with an impressive second half lineup.
Specifically, we have three incremental property launches for the Fall.
First, the Nickelodeon property Bubble Guppies is just beginning to ship.
Second, Mike the Knight, anchored in great traditional play pattern of swords, castles, and dragons is set to ship in the Fall.
And third, Thomas Wood, which launched in January, has shown solid early results with the majority of shipping still ahead of us.
We're also seeing great traction around execution of the Thomas & Friends Fall entertainment property, King of the Railway.
Lastly, we must execute against our strong pipeline of new properties coming this Fall.
Our products based on Warner Brothers Man of Steel, and Dreamwork animation's Turbo are meeting early expectations.
Disney's new property Planes looks very [toyetic], and we're excited by the opportunities that will take off with this line.
Our new Boys franchise Max Steel continues to get strong TV ratings around the world, and we are just beginning the global rollout, which will be supported with additional entertainment in the Fall.
And, of course, we're very excited about our new franchise in the fashion doll category, Ever After High, a powerful addition to our Girls portfolio that we believe reaches a segment of older girls untapped by Monster High.
This entirely new franchise introduces the next generation of fairly tale legends who are empowered to choose their own story book fate.
It will begin to roll out globally throughout the second half of this year.
Looking at the Company in aggregate, we ended our preseason consistent with our long-term financial goal for sales, gross margins, and EPS growth.
We continued to manage our business for the long-term, and not quarter to quarter.
We'll continue to invest and make the right business decisions to deliver more consistent growth, and superior results to our stockholders in 2013 and beyond.
And now I'd like to introduce Tim Kilpin, Executive Vice President Mattel Global Brands Team, to give you a little more insight into Ever After High.
Tim?
- EVP, Global Brands
Thank you Bryan.
Good morning.
As we go through this, I will call out the slide numbers from the presentation that was posted this morning, and we'll start on Slide 2.
As Bryan mentioned, we manage the portfolio of Girls brand.
And to do that, we recognize that girls play differently as they grow.
Their interests are different, the way they interact with content is different, and the types of activities they engage in are different.
So on slide 3, we have built a portfolio of brands that speaks to those differences.
Barbie speaks to the aspirational roles that we know girls like to play out, while Disney Princess allows girls to play out the magic of Disney's classic fairly tales.
We're very proud of the decade of partnership we've enjoyed with Disney as they've grown this to be a top girls global franchise.
And, we're incredibly pleased with how well Monster High has performed since we launched it in 2010, speaking to an older girl through a great story and a relevant message.
American Girl fits a critical and differentiated role in the portfolio, celebrating girls by delivering on friendship and imaginative play and story telling.
We take great care to ensure that the brands in our portfolio are complimentary in terms of positioning, play pattern, emotional benefit, and target age.
And as a result, we've grown the category and we've grown our share.
In Slide 4, what continues to drive us to look for new opportunities in this space?
Because we know that as girls grow, they're always looking forward to what's new and what's next.
As I said, we know that different girls are motivated by different themes and stories.
So our ongoing objective is pretty clear.
How do we continue to reach teen girls with relevant new themes?
Slide 5, we learned a lot from what worked on Monster High.
On slide 6, you can see we created a world of wonderful characters, we told great stories, we used multiple marketing platforms to get the message across, and we've built a broad range of merchandise to drive the franchise.
We created a deep engagement with Monster High fans, and it's their passion that continues to drive our sales today.
On Slide 7, you'll see we plan to continue to drive growth in Monster High.
In fact, two great new programs in 2013 like the Trip to Scare Us this Spring, and the upcoming 13 Wishes DVD and retail program this Fall.
Monster High is a $1 billion franchise in worldwide retail sales, and it is still growing all around the world.
In slide 8, its success continues to be anchored in that initial insight about feeling like a freak in high school.
Monster High resonates, because it speaks to that simple truth, about celebrating your differences and about self acceptance.
So slide 9, what would that insight be that could drive our next tween girls opportunity?
What could we apply that would be unique from and ultimately incremental to Monster High?
Slide 10, we know that girls of this age want to be empowered, and that they want to make their own choices about their friends, their interests, their hobbies, their lives.
And that insight led us to our next Girls franchise, Ever After High.
And I'll explain in a minute how we're bringing that insight to life.
On Slide 12, you'll see our pop culture inspiration came from everything that's around us today about fairly tales.
Film, TV, and fashion, we began seeing new twists on the classic form.
These were not traditional younger girl approaches, but something more sophisticated.
On slide 13, we married that inspiration to what our insights told us was a really powerful universal truth.
The story of your life begins when you make it your own.
You're in power to choose your own destiny.
Slide 14, our target audience is an older girl.
She has outgrown traditional fairy tales, but likes humor, she likes a twist on the familiar, and she loves pretending to be a teenager in high school.
Slide 15, that led us to our story.
Now I won't take you through the whole thing, but I do want you to understand this much.
Ever After High is a boarding school where the children of fairy tale legends learn to relive their parent's destinies, whether they want to or not.
The endings are already written, everything's in stone.
Until one day Raven, daughter of the evil queen, rejected her legacy.
She didn't want to be evil.
Her rebellious act made anything possible.
So we've set up a world of royal and rebels.
Royals want their happy endings, just like it was planned.
Rebels want to rewrite their destiny.
So on slide 16, you'll see the central characters, Raven Queen, and Apple White.
They head up the Royals and Rebels.
They're not exactly rivals, but they do see the world differently.
And of course, they're roommates.
And on slide 17, the beauty of creating a world like this is its extendibility.
We learned from Monster High that girls didn't just want to own one or two characters, they wanted them all.
So far, we've created dolls for nearly 40 Monster High characters, and Ever After High will be no different.
Here are just some of the initial characters, like Cherise Hood, daughter of Red Riding Hood, and Blondie Lockes, daughter of Goldie Lockes.
Slide 18, we were really encouraged by our initial research, which told us that girls see these characters as different from Monster High.
In fact, girls who didn't like Monster High's theme and aesthetics really loved this concept.
Now slide 19, as we learned from Monster High and as we're now applying with Max Steel, Ever After High will be supported by a full franchise plan.
On Slide 20, you can see the Ever After High Facebook page and YouTube channel page.
We launched these about three weeks ago, and really haven't done anything yet to drive traffic to these locations.
We're just getting them up and running.
That said, we've already had over 1 million views of the content and product reviews.
Slide 21, as we've talked before about that two-way dialogue with fans on Monster High, we're already seeing that happen on Ever After High.
What you see on this current slide here is fan-generated artwork and videos that have already been posted online after only three weeks.
We've never seen anything like this with this kind of early engagement with the brand.
So slide 22, as we did with Monster High, we're starting out by telling a lot of stories to engage girls in the world.
For Ever After High, we're launching 110 minutes of animated content this Fall over a dozen webisodes throughout the season, and a TV special that will air around the world later this Fall.
So slide 23, you may recall as with Monster High, we kicked off with a book series that reached the New York Times Young Adult best seller list.
For Ever After High, we're excited to be launching this Fall with a series of books by Newberry award winning author Shannon Hail.
These books will be available both digitally, and in print.
Slide 24, also as part of the marketing launch, we will be premiering a live action music video later this Fall, with a unique twist that's a great fit with the franchise's theme.
There will be more to come on the video later, but in the meantime, you can go to our website to hear the theme song.
Slide 25, from a toy standpoint, we will launch with a focused range of fashion dolls this Fall.
Starting, of course, with our lead characters.
Slide 26, you'll see we've got a strong program of consumer products for this year, including apparel, accessories, jewelry, stationery, and electronics.
On Slide 27, in terms of how it's all coming together at retail, we're just now placing Ever After High as an exclusive retail program in the US, with Justice stores.
Justice will be the first to get not only fashion dolls, but back-to-school merchandise and accessories as well.
Later this Fall, we will make Ever After High available through all of our regular channels.
Slide 28, we'll also begin to roll out Ever After High globally this Fall.
Starting with 14 countries this year, and following with the rest of the world in 2014.
So Slide 29, we're going to have a lot more to share on Ever After High in the months ahead.
But in the meantime, you can see the original webisodes and start to immerse yourselves in the world by going to our website, our Facebook page, or our YouTube channel.
So on Slide 30, now you can see how Ever After High fits into the portfolio, and how it's differentiated.
We know that innovation and deep consumer engagement can grow the doll category, and we look forward to future franchise launches to continue to drive that growth.
Thank you, and now I will turn it over to Kevin Farr.
- CFO
Thank you Tim, and good day everyone.
As Bryan mentioned, we continue to focus on growing the business profitably.
And I believe our second quarter and first half results demonstrate our continuing commitment to effectively manage our global portfolio of brands, countries, and customers.
For the quarter, global revenues are up 1%, and we ended the first half with revenue up 4%.
Our second quarter gross margin equalled our strong margin last year of 51.3%.
And gross margin for the first half is up 150 basis points.
And while our ongoing strategic investments impacted the bottom line, operating profit was flat year-to-date, including a 9% impact from the Polly Pocket asset impairment charge.
Overall, our results are consistent with our expectations.
And with some of those strategic investments coming online in the second half, we're off to a good start to deliver another solid year for our shareholders.
Our results also demonstrate our continuing commitment to deploy capital back to our shareholders.
We paid a quarterly dividend of $0.36 per share, reflecting an annual dividend of $1.44, a 16% increase over last year.
And we repurchased about 2.7 million shares of our stock in the quarter.
Solid sales and gross margins give us the opportunity to reinvest in our business.
One of our key strategies to grow is to develop new franchises.
Franchises are great investments for Mattel, because we can research, refine, and roll out new brands quickly and efficiently, as we leverage our existing talent and infrastructure to launch them globally.
Relative to other industries, new franchises like Monster High, Max Steel, and Ever After High only take a few years to incubate and bring to market, and that represents small investments of $10 million to $20 million.
In the case of Monster High, the payback has been extraordinary, as we leveraged that concept into a global brand that exceeds $1 billion dollars at retail.
While not everything can be a Monster High, we're confident that hitting singles and doubles with our new franchises will drive strong returns.
Now, before I start reviewing the slide deck with you, I did want to highlight a couple of key items in the P&L.
As I said earlier, our gross margin for the quarter was 51.3%, which is consistent with our goal of delivering gross margins in the low to mid 50% range.
For the quarter, favorable mix, OE 3.0 savings, and our pricing actions were partially offset by increased input costs, the unfavorable impact foreign exchange, and higher royalties.
Unfortunately, there recently has been volatility in crude oil prices and foreign exchange.
That said, we manage a basket of costs, including input costs, where there's always puts and takes.
And we continue to focus on executing manufacturing efficiency programs to fully or partially offset these puts and takes.
And as we begin to enter our peak production, so far our overall basket of costs, including foreign exchange, has been fairly consistent with our cost assumptions.
In regard to SG&A, excluding the $14 million impact for the Polly impairment charge, our spending is on plan and consistent with the outlook we gave you on the first quarter call.
If you recall, we suggested that the first quarter year over year increase of $23 million was a good run rate to estimate our SG&A expenses in the near term.
Second quarter SG&A expense was up about $41 million, with about a third of the incremental expense due to the Polly impairment charge, another third of the incremental expenses due to our continued investment in strategic growth initiatives, and the final one-third due to higher employee-related costs, including merit increases, higher benefit expenses, and severance.
For the full year, we continue to plan SG&A expenses to be higher than last year.
That said, we continue to see that the quality of our overall SG&A expenses continue to improve, as we shift spending to future drivers of growth.
With respect to the impairment charge for Polly, as Bryan said, given the strong growth in our overall Girls portfolio and Polly's recent performance, we've made the strategic decision to execute a more focused approach to Polly going forward.
Our plan is to reallocate resources to other core brands in our doll portfolio.
As a result, the reduction in expectations for future Polly Pocket revenues and profits triggered a $14 million non-cash impairment charge in the quarter.
Going forward, amortization expenses for the remaining assets are expected to be immaterial to Mattel's results.
Overall, I'm pleased with how we managed the first half.
But with that said, there's plenty of work to be done as we focus on executing in the all-important second half of the year.
Now, let's turn to the slide deck.
Starting on Page 4, you can see that our worldwide gross sales are up 1% for the quarter and 4% year to date.
Continued strength in our international region, which was up 4% in the quarter, offset performance in the North American region, which was down 2%.
Our girls portfolio led by Monster High and American Girl, along with strong results in Fisher-Price brands, helped drive the growth.
And we grew share in the US and Euro Five, and global shipping and POS remain in balance.
Turning to Page 5 of the presentation, you can see the brand perspective on sales.
Worldwide sales for Mattel Girls and Boys brands were up 1% for the quarter, and 6% year to date.
Growth in our Girls portfolio was driven by Monster High, which was partially offset by declines in Barbie.
As Brian mentioned, Barbie's sales were down for two reasons.
First, the shifting of North American promotional programs for the second half.
And second, some increased competition from the success of our own growing Girls portfolio.
Hot Wheels was down 1%, with growth internationally and strong results coming from our die-cast line.
Our entertainment properties including Warner Brothers Man of Steel, the initial shipments of Disney Planes and Dreamworks Turbo, helped offset a strong batman comparison to last year.
Max Steel is just starting to ship around the globe, but very early results in the home market of Latin America are encouraging.
Worldwide sales for Fisher-Price brands were down 3% for the quarter, and down 5% year-to-date.
The lower sales were primarily the result of declines in some of our Fisher-Price core brands, partially offset by strong performance of Fisher-Price Friends, including our new Thomas Wood line and the initial shipments of our Mike the Knight brand.
And American Girl added another great quarter with 14% growth in sales.
On Page 6, we highlight the performance of our North American region.
Overall, sales for the region were down 2% in the quarter and up 2% year-to-date.
For the quarter, strengths in our Girls portfolio driven by Monster High and American Girl, and our Fisher-Price Friends business was offset by softness in Barbie and Fisher-Price core.
Our international business as seen on Page 7, grew 4% this quarter, and 6% year-to-date.
For the quarter, all of our regions grew in both US dollars and local currency, and we continue to see strong results in our emerging markets in China, India, Russia, and Eastern Europe, as well as Mexico.
And Brazil grew for the quarter.
Now let's review the P&L, starting on page 8 of the slide presentation.
I've already talked to you about gross margin performance for the second quarter.
Year-to-date, the first half gross margin of 52.7% is up 150 basis points over last year, consistent with our goal of delivering gross margins in the low to mid 50% range over the near term.
With respect to SG&A expenses as seen on page 9, I've already covered the details of the driver increased expense in the second quarter.
For the quarter, SG&A expenses as a percentage of net sales was 33.5%, including 120 basis point increase related to the impairment charge.
Page 10 of the presentation summarized the Company performance of Company-wide cost savings initiatives, and our continuing efforts on our ongoing operational excellence 3.0 program.
For the quarter, we delivered incremental OE 3.0 gross savings of $9 million, and we're on track to deliver our full-year target of around $50 million in gross savings.
Turning to page 11, operating income in the first quarter was $95 million or 8.1% of net sales, down 320 basis points compared with last year's second quarter.
The decrease in operating income was driven by higher SG&A expenses, including the $14 million impairment charge, partially offset by slightly higher sales and flat gross margins.
Turning to page 12, earnings-per-share for the quarter were $0.21, a decrease of $0.07 compared to the prior year's second quarter.
The decrease in EPS was driven by lower operating income, an increase in share count, partially offset by lower nonoperating expenses, and a favorable tax rate driven by the benefit of discrete period tax items.
The impact of foreign exchange in the quarter was a negative $0.03 per share.
For the second quarter, our worldwide effective tax rate reflects discrete period tax benefits related to the reassessment of previously accrued taxes based on the current status of foreign and state audits and enacted law changes.
We currently expect our worldwide effective tax rate for the year to be 22%.
Slide 13 outlines the hit integration in amortization costs Mattel incurred in 2012 and the first half of 2013.
For the quarter, integration expenses were $1 million, flat compared to the second quarter of 2012.
For the full year, we expect these expenses to be about $10 million compared to $24 million in 2012.
We discuss cash flow on Page 14.
Year-to-date, cash flow use for operations was $286 million compared to $62 million last year.
The increase is primarily due to higher working capital usage, partially offset by higher net income.
Cash used for investing is significantly lower than last year, when we acquired Hit Entertainment for $685 million.
Capital expenditures are up slightly to $115 million.
We've repurchased 2.9 million shares of stock year to date at a total cost of $127 million.
And we continue to pay our quarterly dividend of $0.36 per share at a total cost year-to-date of $249 million.
As a result, our balance sheet remained strong.
Our cash on hand at the end of the period was $823 million, up $451 million from the prior year.
And our debt to total capital ratio was 36.7%, down from 38.1% in the prior year.
Today, we announced our third quarter dividend of $0.36 per share, a 16% increase to the prior year.
We also announced that we increased our share repurchase authorization by $500 million.
We remain committed to our capital deployment strategy, and expect to end the year with cash and debt levels consistent with our framework.
As you know, effective capital deployment is critical to achieving top third to top quartile total shareholder returns.
Starting this quarter, we also enhanced our level of disclosure in our 10-Q and 10-K filings for consolidated and segment revenues.
You will find schedules of the outlinings enhancements, including the quarterly schedules provided this morning.
We have also posted these schedules on our corporate website in the Investor section under the subheading Financial Information.
In summary, excluding the impairment charge, our underlying performance in the first half of the year is consistent with our long-term financial goals for sales and operating profits.
As we look ahead, we remain keenly focused on growing our business consistently, growing it profitably, and deploying the cash generated in value-enhancing ways to reward our shareholders.
This concludes my review of the financial results.
Now we'd like to open the call for questions.
Operator?
Operator
(Operator Instructions)
Sean McGowan with Needham & Company.
- Analyst
Thanks.
I have a couple of questions, if I can.
Bryan, remind us of what you've said in the past about the extent to which Barbie is affected by the success of some other girl's products.
My impression was that up until now, you've thought that it really wasn't affected.
Are you seeing something changing there?
- Chairman & CEO
Good day Sean.
Hello.
Not really.
What we've said in the past with Barbie is it's very difficult to estimate the impact of other brands on the Barbie brand, simply because the base year, which is 2010, Barbie revenues through the first half of this year, are still higher than that base year.
So it's very difficult to estimate, if you want to call it cannibalization, it's hard to do.
We've said it's highly likely that that's going on.
We've never said it's not going on.
It's just difficult to give an exact number.
What we believe is likely occurring in the second quarter is for the first time in Monster High history, we've been able to actually keep up with consumer demand.
The shelves are full for the first time.
We've worked very hard in operations to ramp up our production as quickly as we can.
Monster High continues to grow at extraordinary double-digit rates globally.
Engagement by girls continues to grow.
In fact, we've had a 12% increase in the unique visitors to our websites.
So there's a lot of momentum there.
And so what we believe we're seeing is maybe a little bit more impact, but we go back to if you look at Barbie's performance in the context of the overall portfolio, she's doing quite well relative to competition.
Her revenues are still stronger than 2010, and we think we have a very strong second half for Barbie.
So I think we're being consistent.
We may see a little bit more of an impact in the second quarter, but we're certainly not troubled.
- Analyst
Okay, thanks.
Could you comment generally about what you're seeing in point of sale for your products across the retail channels relative to your ship-in?
- Chairman & CEO
Sure.
We worked really hard to try to balance out POS and shipments and inventory.
And I would tell you that generally, as you look across the brands in countries, we're pretty well aligned.
POS is down sort of low single digit, and inventories are down sort of low single digit.
So we're feeling pretty good about where we are at the moment.
I think what's really important is because we've worked so hard on retail inventories, and frankly getting our own inventories staged for all these second half initiatives, we think we're in pretty good shape.
And the reason that's important, if you think about what's ahead of us in the second half from an entertainment standpoint, we have Planes, Sofia, Frozen, Turbo, The Man of Steel DVD.
We've got from our own IP, the new Thomas property in Thomas Wood, Ever After High, Monster High, Max Steel.
There's a lot of new stuff that we're trying to get ready for.
And so as you look at our inventories at Mattel, they're up slightly as we do a little building in anticipation of that.
- Analyst
Great, thanks.
And last question, then.
Was there meaningful revenue in the second quarter from Max Steel and Superman?
- Chairman & CEO
Well Superman, obviously we were pleased with the results of Superman in the first half.
There will be more action and activity on Superman for the DVD in the second half, but nothing of any consequence.
For Max Steel, we've begun shipping to some degree in Latin America, where as you recall that's a $100 million at retail base business.
We're encouraged by the shipment and POS response we're seeing.
The new content has been in Latin America for the year, so we're excited about what the potential for Max Steel, but I would tell you it's still early.
- CFO
Yes and I think, Sean, as I mentioned, when we looked at our shipping for the quarter, Warner that's Warner Brothers Man of Steel, initial shipments of Plane and Dreamworks Turbo helped offset a strong Batman comparison last year.
- Analyst
Okay.
So but Bryan's comments there, do you think you're basically done with Superman, or there could be more in the second half?
- Chairman & CEO
Well, there's going to be, I would say the typical kind of second half support for a DVD launch and that's important to Warner Brothers and it's important to us.
So we're going to make sure we support it fully.
- CFO
Yes.
And I think Superman overall as we look at it today, is pretty consistent with our expectations.
- Analyst
Okay.
A lot of turbo ads on the All-Star game last night.
So --
- CFO
See the movie tonight.
- Chairman & CEO
It opens tonight Sean.
I expect to see you there.
- CFO
And buy some toys.
- Analyst
Okay.
Thanks.
Operator
Steph Wissink with Piper Jaffray.
- Analyst
Hello, good day everyone.
Just a couple of questions for us.
The first one, Bryan if you could just share with us a little bit around your philosophy on the share repurchase program.
Should we think about that as really offsetting dilution or more of a dilution plus type of an event?
- Chairman & CEO
Sure Steph.
Well first, I want to welcome you to Mattel.
We're thrilled to have you on the team, so good morning and welcome.
As we think about share repurchase, we really think about it in terms of our overall capital deployment strategy.
And as we think about that capital deployment strategy, there's a number of things that we try to do.
And if I pick specifically in share repurchase, we really think about how do we want to invest?
We can buy another company, as we did with Hit.
We can reinvest in our own Company, as we tend to do on an ongoing basis.
I would tell you that our share repurchase strategy in general tends to be opportunistic.
We have a very disciplined approach in terms of how we think about how and when and why to buy the shares, and we like it a lot.
We think it served us well over the years.
And Kevin, you might want to add a little more color to that.
- CFO
Yes, I think we've got a capital investment framework that we've followed for the last decade and really from the perspective of our capital investment framework.
First, we try to invest in the business and this year we expect to invest about $220 million to $230 million in CapEx.
Next priority is to have a top quartile dividend.
And as I indicated today, we're going to pay a dividend of $0.36 per share.
It's up $0.16 versus last year, and we look at to be top quartile from the perspective of both dividend yields and payout ratios.
And next, we look at really share repurchases or M&A.
And we're very disciplined opportunistic about share repurchases, just like we are about M&A.
- Analyst
Okay.
That's really helpful.
Thanks.
Just one more for us.
Is guys you mentioned the investment spend in the second quarter.
Can you just give us some sense of where you think you are on that maybe investment spending horizon curve, and how we should think about the monetization of some of those activities in the second quarter and into the second quarter half?
Thank you.
- CFO
Yes, I'd be happy to.
Our approach to strategic growth investments is disciplined and case by case.
We manage strategic investments in the context of the annual basis, and we do that in delivering an operating profit growth of 6% to 8% for the full year, consistent with delivering top third to top quartile TSR.
And so far, we've had a really good batting average in our investments over the last couple years, as many of them are already paying off, including the three new American Girl stores we opened last year in St.
Louis, Houston, Miami, as well as the recently very successful opening of the new store in Columbus.
The developed and launched new franchises like Max Steel, Ever After High, and infrastructure and head count in emerging markets, including China, India, Russia and Eastern Europe.
And we're also making strategic IT investments in things like product lifecycle management.
The implementation of this system has gone live, and it's also was an important consideration as we raised our outlook on gross margins to low mid 50%s range from over the near term.
In the future, we'll share more of the details of our strategic growth investments are keenly focused on delivering more consistent growth.
That said, as we look at strategic investments made over the last couple of years, we made about $30 million last year.
In the first half, about a third of our $64 million increase in strategic investments, our strategic investments.
And as you look forward, I think the information that we provided you on the call about a run rate for future quarters of about 23% is still relevant, as you look at the balance of the year.
- Analyst
All right.
Outstanding.
Best of luck, guys.
- Chairman & CEO
Thank you.
Operator
Drew Crum with Stifel.
- Analyst
Good morning everyone.
So Bryan, just want to get your thoughts on Fisher-Price.
Are your expectations for it to still grow in 2013?
Do you need core to grow in order to grow Fisher-Price overall?
And what is the impact to gross margin?
I think going into the second quarter, you guys suggested that gross margin would moderate with Fisher -- I guess the gross margin would moderate as we made our way through the year, as Fisher-Price saw an uptick in growth.
I just wanted to get an update there.
- Chairman & CEO
Sure.
Let me start with Fisher-Price.
We have been working very hard, as you know, on trying to get that brand repositioned with moms, and specifically to connect with moms.
And done a lot of work on the brand positioning, and how to connect primarily through digital.
We've also spent a lot of time working on the execution of that at retail, both with new packaging that you're seeing rolling out, and with more, I'd say more robust retail positioning.
We're, I would say, slightly pleased that Fisher-Price seems to be making a bit of a turn in the second quarter.
We certainly are not declaring victory on Fisher-Price.
But I think as you look at the second half, and I think we've been consistent with this, it's really a second half opportunity as the new packaging comes in, as consumers get more experience with the website, as we get our retail programs better executed, as we really get the digital and brand positioning to evolve from just connecting to converting with mom.
And there's an awful lot of new product innovation in the Fisher-Price core.
So to answer your question, yes, we need to have the core pick up in POS globally and that's important to us.
The other part of Fisher-Price that we also want to think about is the Fisher-Price Friends portfolio.
As you know, that's a really important part of Fisher-Price.
It's about a third of the overall Fisher-Price portfolio, so we spend a lot of time thinking about it.
And since we made the investment in Hit Entertainment, we spend even more time thinking about it.
As you'll recall now, about half of our portfolio is our own intellectual property.
So when we think about the exciting things happening with that, including I talked about Thomas Wood and the King of the Railway movie that's coming out, Bubble Guppies, Mike the Knight, continued strength at Jake and the Neverland Pirates.
We think we're going to see continued momentum on Friends, but we are expecting to see some improvements in Fisher-Price core.
So now, as that relates to gross margin, we've been pretty consistent that Fisher-Price gross margins are very attractive relative to competition and in from preschool.
Structurally, that market is a little bit lower than other segments like fashion dolls, for example.
So we may see some impact.
And Kevin, you may want to make a comment on that.
- CFO
Yes, I think our execution in the middle of the P&L remains solid.
And we're pleased to see our gross margin expand 150 basis points with a 52.7% in the first half of the year.
Our outlook hasn't changed for full year gross margins, and our goal is to deliver gross margins in the low to mid 50%s range over the near term.
- Analyst
Okay, very good.
Very helpful.
And then moving on to Ever After High, can you talk about your plans for placement at retail, and is there any risk that you cannibalize against some of your other properties?
Plans to grow the fashion doll category, or are you going to take share from competitors or yourself?
- Chairman & CEO
Well I'm going to ask Tim to comment on this in just a minute.
But I think one of the things that is really important is we've spent a lot of time over the past few years really thinking hard about how to manage this overall Girls portfolio.
And when you think of how we've been able to consistently grow this for 15 quarters, across a portfolio that includes Disney Princess, and Barbie at the younger age, a Monster High, American Girl at the older age.
And now with Ever After High, I think one of the most important things that Tim talked about in his presentation was really this white space that they discovered.
Because Ever After High is really about girl empowerment to rewrite your story the way that you want your life to come out.
That's a different girl.
It's a different positioning than Monster High, which is all about celebrating your differences.
So that's -- one of the things we've worked very hard across the portfolio is to make sure that each brand has a unique positioning and reason for being.
Tim, do you want to comment a little bit about the issue of how you think this will play out at retail?
- EVP, Global Brands
Yes, sure.
Couple of things.
First of all, as I mentioned earlier, we are in Justice stores now.
And one of the reasons we started there was because it was a great opportunity for us to showcase the franchise across multiple categories of product.
So toys and consumer products, you could really help tell the larger story in one place at one time.
But that said, we are rolling out to all of our regular channels throughout the course of the rest of this year, both here in the US and around some key countries internationally.
And we're very pleased about the retail support we've gotten.
Everybody recognizes, to Bryan's point, how this fits into the portfolio, how it's differentiated versus the rest of the portfolio, and its reason for being on the shelf.
And so we've got very good support, great promotional plans lined up with all of our major accounts.
- CFO
Again, I think our overarching strategy really is to innovate in the category and grow the category.
And as Bryan said earlier, we've got top four brands in the category, with Barbie, with American Girl, Monster High, and Disney's Princesses.
So from an outlook perspective, we want to continue to innovate, and yes we are competing against ourselves.
But we want to grow the category, and overall grow our sales.
- Analyst
Okay.
Thanks guys.
Operator
Michael Kelter with Goldman Sachs.
- Analyst
Thank you.
Good morning.
This is Ivan sitting in for Michael.
I was hoping to dig in a little bit deeper on gross margins.
It looked like they were flat in the quarter year-over-year this first quarter and a couple that they didn't expand.
We're just trying to understand, is there anything in the quarter that makes you think that this was just a temporary pause beyond just kind of the cadence of shipping, or is kind of flat the correct way to think about margins for the balance of the year?
As we look at the drivers that you've broken out, some of them are exogenous in terms of growing margins, maybe currency, et cetera.
But where do you see the lowest hanging fruit in order to be able to expand margins over the balance of the year?
Thank you.
- CFO
Yes.
I think just from stepping back a little bit, I think the second quarter gross margin of 51.3% was consistent with our expectations, and we don't manage our business to grow gross margins sequentially every quarter.
Rather, we manage gross margins on an annual basis to achieve gross margin within the low to mid 50%s range over the near term.
There was some impact of ForEx this year on gross margins.
And as we look to the future, really I think our performance is consistent with our goal of delivering gross margins in the low to mid 50%s range.
- Analyst
Great, thank you.
But just as a follow-up, I noticed the product mix seemed to be a little bit of a benefit to gross margins in 2Q.
Is there anything in the way that order books are forming up for the third and fourth quarter where you think you might be able to see another benefit from product mix, or is that something that you expect to be net neutral over the balance of the year?
- CFO
Yes, there's a lot of moving pieces, but I think product mix has been a tailwind for a while with the growth of our doll portfolio.
As Bryan said, it's grown for 15 consecutive quarters.
- Analyst
Thank you very much.
- CFO
You're welcome.
Operator
Gerrick Johnson with BMO Capital.
- Analyst
Good morning.
Bryan, can you talk about the Barbie promotions you were talking about earlier, what precisely shifted?
And then within Barbie, any comments on certain areas of Barbie that might be performing better, perhaps core dolls versus accessories, vice versa?
- Chairman & CEO
Sure.
Well, I think the first thing we have to realize is, a number of things are moving around at retail as retailer's strategies evolve.
You can imagine that, and this is frankly a global phenomena, as you look at what's going on with layaway, for example, things are shifting around as retailers try to figure out how they can differentiate themselves.
And so as a result, what we've tried to do is we've tried to better align our spending with both our second half initiatives and where retailers are headed.
So and I think one of the things that's really great about our North American division is they've worked very hard on the supply chain.
They're now working hard on how do we optimize our promotional spending with our retail partners.
And as a result, they decided along with our customers that we frankly should shift some spending out of the first half and into the second half, simply because there's so much activity across the portfolio.
And as I mentioned on Barbie, we've got some very strong products, Barbie Life in the Dreamhouse.
So I would say it was a joint decision between us and our customers to, as I would say, not only fish where the fish are but to fish when the fish are feeding.
And that's in the second half, and really around the layaway time period and the holiday spending.
So, I think you'd see that across our promotional spending, not just retail spending, but also our consumer spending, as we try to support these programs.
Now, as it relates to Barbie, really what continues to do well is our core fashion segments and accessories.
And we think that should carry through the Fall.
And we're very excited in the Fall about Barbie's new Dreamhouse, because it's really innovative.
It's got two elevators in it that we really love, and girls give us positive feedback.
So it's really the core fashion segment, and that's good for Barbie.
- Analyst
Okay.
And Max Steel, you said early returns in Latin America were promising.
I have seen it sneak out on the shelves here in the US.
Can you talk about how the early performance is here or elsewhere?
- Chairman & CEO
Well, it's really way too early.
Latin America has 10 years of history with Max, and a lot of momentum with Max.
So it doesn't surprise us that we're seeing some positive impact there.
And the reason I say that is, as we developed this property, we've spent a lot of time with boys in Latin America, because that was really the core of the franchise.
And the story played well, not only in Latin America, but in North America, and Europe, and Asia.
So we're pleased with what we're seeing in Latin America.
It is way too early on shipments or POS.
But what we do know is that the TV ratings are very, very solid.
We like it.
Our TV partners like it.
And usually, if boys are watching it, they begin to pick up on the characters and the play patterns.
So we're feeling positive.
But way too early to make a call.
- Analyst
Okay, okay.
Great.
And one last one, if I could sneak it in there.
Kevin, can you talk about the tax rate?
And forgive me if I missed this, but why was that especially low this quarter?
- CFO
Yes.
It related to a reassessment of routine state and tax audits of previously accrued taxes.
And as a result of our reassessment of those audits, we had a discrete tax benefit that we recognized in the quarter.
That said, when you look at the full year rate, we expect the full year rate to be around 22%.
- Analyst
The full year rate to be around 22%, including the low 6.9% in this quarter?
- CFO
That's correct.
- Analyst
Okay, great.
Thank you.
Operator
Eric Handler with MKM Partners.
- Analyst
Yes, hello.
Thanks for taking my question.
Actually, two questions for you.
First, on Ever After High, you're going after girls, tweens, 9 to 13.
You said it's maybe you get a little cannibalization off your existing products, but typically the girls 9 to 13, what are they playing with?
What type of products are you competing with outside of your own girl dolls?
And then secondly, just a follow-up to a prior question.
You're looking -- if you look at sort of your OE 3.0 plan, you're looking at a $50 million run rate for the full year.
You've already done $14 million, so you're looking at $36 million in gross savings in the back half of the year.
The severance and investment has sort of negated those gross savings, so your net savings has been pretty diminimus for the first half of the year.
Will severance and investment subside so that you can actually get some leverage in the back half of the year off of those gross savings?
- Chairman & CEO
Great.
Well, Eric, good morning, and let me start.
I'm going to ask Tim to amplify what I talk about, then we'll ask Kevin to address the OE 3.0 question.
We're excited about Ever After High, again, because it's in a, what we believe, is a unique white space for this older girls segment that Monster High has not yet tapped.
And as we build these brands, and we saw this with Monster High and we're trying to replicate that with Max Steel and again with Ever After High, we're really creating a franchise.
It's not a doll.
It's not a play thing.
It's truly a franchise.
It's an attitude.
It's apparel.
It's a whole bunch of things.
So, we're going to be I think well positioned.
Tim, would you like to amplify on that?
- EVP, Global Brands
Yes, I think that is an important thing to understand, is that both with Monster High, as we've seen it, and that what we expect with Ever After High, that girls are interacting with this brand, not just with dolls, but with apparel, and accessories, and stationery, and publishing, and electronics.
That's been one of the strengths of Monster High, and we expect to replicate that, and put things publishing or not just ways for us to tell the story, but ways to monetize the brand as well.
- CFO
Yes, I think finally on OE 3.0.
Yes, we have made some investments in the first half of the year, and generally those investments have big paybacks quite quickly.
So when you look at it for the balance of the year, I think you will see with regard to the $36 million of gross savings, that those would flow through and that as you know, we use gross savings to more or less blend our strategic growth investments.
- Analyst
Okay.
And then just one thing for follow-up.
When you look -- with regards to the Ever After High franchise, when you look at Monster High and you look at the $1 billion dollars or plus of revenues that's generated each year, how much of that is toys?
How much is apparel?
How much is however you want to slice up the pie, how much -- how does that get divided up?
- Chairman & CEO
Well, it's such a solid franchise and it's like Barbie.
There's a substantial portion of that that is consumer products.
Toys is still the majority of what consumers are spending money on, but there is a substantial consumer products business.
And that's why we always focus on it's a franchise, it's not just a toy brand.
- Analyst
Okay.
Thank you.
Operator
Tim Conder with Wells Fargo Securities.
- Analyst
Thank you.
A couple questions here, gentlemen.
Bryan, you mentioned a couple times in your preamble that your share year-to-date had grown in the US and Euro Five when you include American Girl.
If you exclude American Girl, can you give us any color on your share?
Number one.
And then second question, Kevin, just to clarify, this has been asked I think a couple different ways, but the $23 million year-over-year increase in the operating and other expenses there that you gave in the first quarter call, this year if you back out the impairment, it was about $27 million.
And from the last question, again, the previous, it sounds like maybe the timing, whether that was severance or whatever as it's been a little front end loaded and that for the year, that quarterly $23 million year-over-year quarterly run rate is still pretty fair, just to confirm that or if you could just give some more color please.
- Chairman & CEO
Yes.
You want me to cover that first?
I think, yes, you have it right.
If you look at the quarter, the second quarter, and you take out the $14 million impairment charge, you get $27 million.
And severance was up about around $5 million in the quarter.
So that run rate was, in the second quarter is very consistent with the guidance we gave you in the first quarter.
And I think as you look forward to the balance of the year, I would still use that guidance in the third and fourth quarter against 2012 adjusted SG&A.
- Analyst
So are you saying--
- Chairman & CEO
As it relates to our market share, the way that we think about it is we always think about our category share including American Girl.
And it's really for two reasons.
Number one, it's a $600 million plus brand that is one of the top brands in the world and one of the top brands in the country.
So we always think about our category share with that in there.
Secondly, there's frankly a technical reason to do it.
Historically, NPD when they use their diary panel covered American Girl, and it was always a part of the share calculation.
Now that NPD is using POS data from retailers, American Girl is not included in their coverage.
So we have to make an adjustment to come up with a realistic estimate of our share.
And by the way, we always get confirmation with NPD that the statement that we're making is factually correct.
So we have to adjust it because it's such a big and important part of our portfolio.
- CFO
And Tim, did you have a follow-up question to my answer?
- Analyst
Yes.
Well thank you Kevin and Bryan for both of those.
But are you implying, Kevin, on the question for you that the severance will likely be lower than what we've seen in the first half of the year, that it will likely be lower in the second half of the year?
- CFO
Again, we look at OE 3.0 opportunities on a case by case basis too.
And, we would have the flexibility to, if we had another good idea, which would generate a quick payback, we would do it.
But I think a good part of these savings in OE 3.0 for this year is packaging.
And there's really no costs associated with optimizing our packaging.
- Analyst
Great, great.
Okay.
Thank you both, gentlemen.
Appreciate it.
- Chairman & CEO
Thanks Tim.
Operator
Felicia Hendrix with Barclays.
- Analyst
Hello, thank you.
And good morning.
Bryan, first question for you, you definitely seem optimistic about the second half.
Thank you for laying that road map out for us.
And then also, your view in the first half was that it was in line with expectations, but it was lower than ours and the street's.
So I'm just wondering, as we're now through half of the year, are you seeing anything different or anything that's changed at retail from where you were thinking about it from the beginning of the year?
Again, I understand that from a Company's perspective internally you're on plan, but I'm just wondering if you've seen anything change from the industry perspective?
- Chairman & CEO
Good morning Felicia.
No, we're working very closely with our customers globally.
I think everybody is still very excited about the Fall holiday season.
We're not hearing anything that is other than complimentary to the toy business.
We are working very hard to get the right shelf space, and the right merchandising in place.
So I think from a customer standpoint, we're feeling good.
And I think when you then take it up to a macro level, people still expect the toy industry to continue to grow.
We're seeing growth.
And outside of the US, for example, in Western Europe, and, so I think everybody's still positive about toys.
- CFO
Yes, I think the outlook for the industry really is unchanged with regard to it's expected to grow on a global basis about 4% to 6%.
And the US is about 30% of that business.
Global business.
- Analyst
Okay.
Thank you.
Helpful.
And, Kevin, just you've given some long-term benchmark goals and operating income up 6% to 8% is one of them.
So do you -- even though year-to-date your operating income is flat, do you still expect that to be up 6% to 8% for the year?
- CFO
Well, I'm not going to give guidance, bottom line guidance on operating income.
I can say, though, that the 6% to 8% is consistent with what we target, and we need to achieve that to deliver top third to top quartile TSR.
And I think as we look at the first half, we have been delivering that consistently.
- Analyst
Okay.
And while we use the term guidance, just wondering, have you guys discussed, and Bryan, this is for you.
I'm going to put you on the hot spot for a second.
Have you guys discussed internally at all about giving guidance?
This quarter, you missed street estimates by a lot.
We obviously were all wrong and misgauged kind of the second quarter, but it also creates a lot of volatility.
So I'm just wondering, have you guys talked about that?
Bryan, you're still relatively new to the role.
So just wondering if you're looking at that decision differently than you have, than the Company might have in the past?
- Chairman & CEO
It's a great question.
And the answer is no, we're not thinking about it differently.
And I'll explain why.
Number one, as we've said I think consistently from the Bob Eckert era to now the Bryan Stockton era, we don't manage this business quarter by quarter.
We really think about it in terms of a preseason and a the season.
That's why in my comments and Kevin's comments, when you look at the first half or really third of the year, it's half of the calendar, but a third of a business year, the revenue is up 4%.
The gross margins are up 150 basis points.
The EPS is up.
So we like where we are at the turn.
And we've all been in this business long enough, and you've covered us long enough to know and others that sometimes you get hiccups in some quarters that catch us all a little bit by surprise.
But overall, when we look at our performance for the year, and that's really what we focus on, delivering performance not only category growth performance, but TSR performance for our stockholders.
So we're going to continue to give, I'd say, strategic insights as to where we think we'd like to be, and leave it at that.
But if we start getting into the quarter by quarter guidance, it just is, we don't think, particularly helpful in keeping the discussions with you all really focused on the strategic issues that we're all trying to address.
- CFO
And again, I think as we look at our performance, we look at it more than just the year.
We look at it more over the long-term.
We think about that as over the next two to three years.
And I think if you look at our performance over the one-year period, the three-year period, the five-year period and ten-year period, we have been delivering top third to top quartile performance.
So I think we've been focused on the right things to generate long-term shareholder value.
- Analyst
Okay, thanks.
And Kevin, just quickly, why the share count increase?
Is that stock option exercise or something else?
- CFO
It does relate to stock option exercises, yes, over the last couple of years.
- Analyst
Okay, okay.
Great.
Thank you.
- Chairman & CEO
Thank you.
Operator
James Hardiman with Longbow Research.
- Analyst
Hello.
Good morning.
Thanks for taking my call.
Most of my questions have been answered.
I did have a couple clarifications.
I guess first, you mentioned that you materially under shipped Barbie during the first half, but that you want to recapture that in the second half.
Does that mean that wholesale is actually going to exceed retail in the second half of the year for Barbie?
I guess more broadly, how should I think about the overall relationship between wholesale versus retail trends in the first half, and whether or not that changes during the back half of the year?
- Chairman & CEO
Good morning, Jim.
Well I think our hope would be that we want to continue to grow all of our brands.
And the POS drives shipments, so we would hope to see POS improve and see the shipments improve.
So I'm not going to make a comment about how we think about the consumption of Barbie, but we like to keep our POS and our inventory and our shipments in balance, and we think we've got some strong programs for the second half to do that.
- SVP Corporate Strategy, Development & IR
I think we have time for one more question.
- Analyst
Yes, if I may, just on the calendar, there's a whole lot of brands that you guys are bringing to the table this year.
Sofia, Ever After High, Max Steel, Mike the Knight, Planes, Frozen, Bubble Guppies.
If I just think about all of these different brands that the toy properties in particular, which of those began to ship in 2Q?
I'm assuming that the vast majority of these will ship or at least begin to ship in the third quarter.
Are there any that are entirely a fourth quarter event?
Maybe chronologically, how should I think about when these begin, brands begin to ship and how they ramp?
- Chairman & CEO
Well, it's a difficult question to answer, because a lot of it depends on the timing of the launch of certain things.
I would tell you on internal things, with the exception of Ever After, we should begin to start seeing some shipments on things like Max Steel and more shipments on Thomas Wood and Mike the Knight sometime during the third quarter as retailers begin to get ready to set their [planagrams].
That's really what drives it is those planagrams set dates.
As I think about Ever After High, as Tim said, we're beginning the global rollout late in the fourth quarter, so we'll see something happen there.
But as we launch these brands, we have to be patient.
You have to get the brand seated with consumers, let them really engage with it, and then begin shipment.
So that's what we think about internally.
And as it relates to the other initiatives with our entertainment partners, it's really driven by the timing of our launches.
For example, Frozen launches -- it's not a global launch in the fourth quarter.
It's late here in the US.
It's going to be staggered throughout the rest of the world.
So it really depends on the date.
So I'm not going to give you specific guidance on quarter, but I would tell you that's kind of how we think about it.
And frankly, we're excited about it and our retail partners are excited about it.
And we've spent a lot of time planning in this first half to make sure that we execute well in the second half.
As I said, that was one of our three priorities, is one, we got to get the Girls portfolio momentum to continue to build.
Two, make sure that we continue to make progress on Fisher-Price.
And three, execute all those great programs that you just highlighted.
- SVP Corporate Strategy, Development & IR
Operator, we have time for one more quick question.
Operator
Mike Schwartz with SunTrust.
- Analyst
Hello, good morning guys.
I just want to touch real briefly on costs and input costs I guess for the second half of the year.
And I think, Kevin, you said the current cost basket, how you look at it, is really kind of in line with expectations going in the year.
And I guess just with the volatility and the rise in crude oil now that you're in the middle of production, are there any offsets that give you comfort that it's kind of in line with the prior expectations?
- CFO
Yes, I think our expectations is that due to the rise in oil and the volatility in foreign exchange, that costs are going to go up.
When we look at our overall basket of costs, as I said earlier, they're pretty consistent with our cost assumptions.
And, we continue day in and day out to work on incremental manufacturing efficiency programs to kind of offset those puts and takes that we always see in those basket of costs.
- Analyst
Okay.
So there's nothing like labor, transportation, freight that you can point to that's kind of offsetting.
It's just more kind of internal initiatives on the efficiency?
- CFO
That's correct.
In our OE 3.0 efforts on packaging, too.
- Analyst
Okay, great.
Thanks guys.
- CFO
You're welcome.
- SVP Corporate Strategy, Development & IR
Thank you.
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Thank you.
Operator
Thank you ladies and gentlemen.
That does conclude today's conference.
You may all disconnect, and have a wonderful day.