勞氏公司 (LOW) 2002 Q1 法說會逐字稿

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  • Moderator

  • This is Premiere Conferencing, please

  • stand by. We are about to begin. Good morning, everyone

  • and welcome to the Lowe's Companies first quarter earnings

  • release conference call. This call is being recorded.

  • Statements made during this call my include forward-looking

  • statements within the meaning of Section 27-A of the Securities

  • and Exchange act. The company believes that such statements

  • are reasonable, it can give no assurance they will prove

  • to be correct. Possible risks and uncertainties are detailed

  • in the company's May 20th, 2002, earnings release and the

  • company's filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission.

  • Hosting today's conference will be Mr. Robert Tillman, president

  • and CEO, Larry Stone and Mr. Robert Niblock, executive

  • vice president and chief financial officer. Please note the

  • call will conclude at 9:40 EST. I will turn the

  • call over to Robert Tillman. Please go ahead.

  • Robert Tillman - President and CEO

  • Thank

  • you for joining us. Today after hearing from Robert Niblock,

  • chief financial officer and Larry Stone, we will review

  • the factors that drove our performance during the quarter.

  • The first - I would like to highlight a few items from

  • the first quarter results. Sales in the quarter total

  • $6.5 billion a 22.6 percent increase over last year. Comparable

  • store sales increased 7.5 for the quarter.

  • During the quarter, we experienced widespread sprints across

  • geographic regions and product categories. Our strong

  • results are also a sign that our initiatives like SOS, CBC

  • and installed sales are working to drive incramental sales

  • across our chain. During the quarter, we continued our

  • focus on metro markets and continue to be pleased with the

  • results our Metro market stores are [inaudible], particularly

  • in the northeast and western U.S.

  • For our expansion in the first quarter, more than 50 percent

  • of our stores are in Metro markets, which we define as

  • MSA's with 500,000 people. Our Metro market growth continues

  • this year with nearly 65 percent of our expansion occurring

  • in Metro markets. Highlighting of the items on the income

  • statement, we achieved a record [inaudible] of 29.7 percent,

  • which when combined with effective expense controls drove

  • pre-tax earnings to a Lowe's record 8.5 percent, quite

  • an accomplishment considering the difficulty many others

  • experienced during the first quarter. The results we delivered

  • for the past several quarters certainly adds to our conviction

  • we have a successful model, despite concerns about the economy,

  • the American consumer continues to spend and home improvement

  • customers remain willing to invest in their homes.

  • We approach the balance of the year with optimism, but

  • continue to keep a sharp eye on unemployment, housing trends

  • and the effect these have on the consumer. Our optimism

  • comes from the fact we know we are putting the right stores

  • and the right markets with the right assortments of product

  • and services, all supported with a marketing program driving

  • traffic.

  • We will continue to approach the year with some caution

  • and to the economic pilot climate becomes more clear. Our

  • caution hasn't slowed expansion plans. In the first quarter,

  • we opened 46 stores, including four relocations, while closing

  • 1 older and smaller store, bringing total store count to

  • 785. Square footage increased to 86 million square feet

  • and 19.7 percent increase over the first quarter of 2001.

  • We remain on plan to open 123 new stores this year. However,

  • we won't rest on the success of our first quarter. Our

  • business process improvement teams remain focused on eliminating

  • wastes and inefficiency. We will continue to diligently

  • control expenses, while at the same time ensuring service

  • levels in our stores remain high. We will continue to

  • leverage our distribution and support infrastructure as

  • we drive higher volumes through our big stores. Focus

  • on these initiatives will ensure a better shopping experience

  • and continue improving home improvement for customers.

  • With that, let me turn the call over to Larry Stone.

  • Larry Stone - EVP Store Operations

  • Thanks,

  • Bob. I would like to talk about sales trends, highlights

  • by Metro market stores, as well as details to the store

  • managers to drive increased sales and productivity out of

  • our store base. First, we were impressed with the quarter.

  • We experienced positive comps in 17 or 18 regions. The

  • only negative region experienced unseasonably cold and wet

  • weather during the quarter, which nipped sales. Our regional

  • sales balance shows consumers are willing to invest in their

  • home, despite the economic environment. We saw a balance

  • across product categories, with no one category driving

  • our performance. In fact, all 17 product categories experienced

  • positive comps in the first quarter.

  • We continue to be please wide above-average comps in appliances.

  • We achieved 12.1 percent share of the appliance market

  • at the end of the first calendar quarter, up from 9.3 percent

  • in the first quarter of 2001. This market share gain exceeded

  • all other competitors and supports our belief consumers

  • prefer offering of premium national brands with 250 SKU's

  • in stock in a bright, clean, shopable environment. We

  • are not resting on our success. Despite our strong market

  • share gains, we continue to invest in our stores. This

  • year, we will remerchandise the appliance areas of 170 of

  • our existing stores.

  • Those stores don't have the newest sets. To provide an

  • even better service to customers. The investment we are

  • making is representative of our continued investment in

  • the future and our dedication to provide customers with

  • the best home improvement stores in the industry. Our

  • outdoor power equipment category also performed well during

  • the quarter. Many of you have heard us describe our intentions

  • to offer well-known brands in this category to exclusive

  • agreements with [inaudible]. Those new brands help drive

  • double digit comps during the quarter and also served to

  • re-enforce our strategy. Lumber, millwork and hardware

  • delivered solid comp increases during the quarter, a sign

  • commercial business initiatives are providing continued

  • success. Our [inaudible] categories remain strong, also

  • delivering double digit comps in the quarter.

  • As Bob mentioned, we are still very pleased with results

  • we are seeing in the Metro markets around the country,

  • especially the strong store performance experienced in the

  • northeast and west. In the second quarter, we will add

  • to Metro store base by opening two stores in the Boston

  • area. We continue to add stores in the Metro markets

  • in California and our plans to store the greater New York

  • city area continue with a new store in Homedale New Jersey

  • and a second store in Long Island, expected to open in

  • the third quarter of the year. While the results we are

  • experiencing grate enthusiasm about expansion, we know that

  • the key to our continued success lies in the efficient and

  • proper alteration of our existing store base. We can't

  • and I won't allow our comp store base to lose sight of

  • the fact we must continue to improve execution in our existing

  • stores everyday.

  • It all hinges on our vision, which is for a customer's

  • first choice store in each and every market we serve. We

  • continue to be focused on the fundamentals of retailing.

  • We challenged our stores to improve on five measures this

  • year. Customer service, inventory strength, employee turnover,

  • inventory turnover and management involvement. Our first

  • quarter results show we are making progress. The first

  • step in building a strong retail foundation is to provide

  • exceptional customer service. We have made great strides

  • in the service we deliver in stores. Independent surveys

  • show we have reached [inaudible] from in the industry.

  • We must strive to be better. As good as is not good enough.

  • We know that we can drive higher volume by increasing

  • the average ticket. Our real focus is to drive more traffic

  • through the stores. This is accomplished by using staffing

  • plans that better match payroll and sales and improve stock

  • programs and clear direction of our cross-merchandising,

  • are just a few examples of new plans we have grown to improve

  • service.

  • This year we completely revamped our customer first program.

  • A program developed a few years ago to promote and measure

  • customer service in our stores. This year's enhancement

  • provide our teams more and better information to help them

  • stay focused on service. Our mystery shop program has

  • been revamped to dig deeper and better understand why we

  • are not achieving exceptional customer service. Through

  • our 800-CALL-LOWES[phonetic] numbers we get instant feedback from

  • customers. Our call-back report tells us where staffing

  • is needed. Our goal is to answer every service call in

  • 60 seconds or less. By using complaint index, we can determine

  • which stores are failing to solve issues at the local store

  • level.

  • Stores we measured against established standards, as well

  • as against other stores. A detailed report will show how

  • each store stacks against other stores, where the store

  • can improve and how each store compares to our standards.

  • All stores receive a quarterly score and detailed action

  • plans will be developed for each store below the standard.

  • First quarter results show our efforts of paying dividends.

  • Average ticket was up and total customer traffic was up

  • 19 percent. The second challenge for our stores in 2002,

  • is controlled inventory stream. By controlling strength,

  • we improved our in-stock position, helped gross margin and

  • helped drive performance of our stores. We added increased

  • focus on technology, to control shrinkage in the stores.

  • We have worked closely with vendors to develop new ways

  • to track the product they supply and ensure merchandise

  • is not walking out of the doors of our stores. Electronic

  • article surveillance tags have been incorporated into many

  • products as part of the process, not just placed on the outside

  • of the packaging. This makes it difficult for shoplifters

  • in our EAS system by removing tags from the products. We

  • know that some thieves will continue to find ways [inaudible]

  • even the best electronic systems.

  • We have challenged our stores to provide the human component

  • to compliment our electronic system to control strength.

  • We will also have greeters at our entrance to help control

  • the thieves that come in empty-handed. We have issued

  • a tough refund policy for customers without a receipt.

  • We will not give cash back, only a merchandise credit card,

  • which can never be cashed out. We have been inputting a better

  • track record for repeat offenders. In some case, we will

  • not issue a new card. New job descriptions and new focus

  • of cashiers are helping.

  • More scan errors are being detected. I know issues with

  • scanning will be greatly reduced with the renewed focus

  • of head cashiers. All are small steps, together, they

  • can deliver large results. In the first quarter, shrink

  • was down 24 basis points to last year, an improvement that

  • drove our gross margin improvement for the fourth quarter.

  • The third challenge is to reduce employee turnover. In

  • our efforts, we challenged our store manages to become more

  • involved in the hiring process. I have told them to spend

  • at least 15 minutes with every potential new hire and not

  • just leave the hiring process to the coordinators in the

  • stores. Store managers are required to participate in

  • new employee orientation. By doing this, new employees

  • better understand standards and the opportunity they have

  • with Lowe's. To help us achieve our goals, we provide

  • our employees with a total compensation package that includes

  • competitive pay, employee discount, medical, dental and

  • life insurance programs, retirement plans and a discounted

  • stock purchase plan. This package has allowed employees,

  • even at entry levels, to see the opportunity and think about

  • their employment not as a job, but as a career. We are

  • finding in many markets people want to work for Lowe's.

  • So far this year, we have received 400,000 applications

  • in our stores, allowing us to become more selective.

  • We know our efforts are working, turnover of hourly employees

  • improved by 18 percentage points in the quarter, continuing

  • a 16-month improvement in turnover rates. Employee retention

  • measured as percentage of people that begin the year and

  • are working with us at the end of the year tells an impressive

  • story, improving seven percentage points in the first quarter.

  • Retention of part-time employees is up over 7 percentage

  • points in the quarter. The challenge we get is to help

  • drive productivity to inventory turnover. Inventory turnover

  • has remained flat. We have not totally leveraged our distribution

  • network and sometimes higher inventory are driven by over

  • zealous managers. Last year we turned inventory 3.3 times.

  • Our goal is to improve by 30 basis points per year. To

  • achieve our goal with initiatives directed toward this issue.

  • First, for the past nine months we worked on a functional

  • effort to improve internal supply chain. One initiative

  • we have adopted and currently implementing is moving safety

  • stock into the network. The network we have in place today,

  • we can maintain safety stocks of many items out of D.C.

  • and reduce inventory in our stores. Should a store have

  • a run on an SKU, we can replenish the store quickly from

  • D.C., most of the time in 48 hours or less. We are evaluating

  • every SKU to see if we will have the opportunity to reduce

  • inventory without sacrificing service levels or sales.

  • We have done an extensive study on manufacturing case quantities

  • to determine what we need to decrease or increase the quantities

  • needed to meet customer demand. The merchant and logistics

  • teams have [inaudible] and to make sure just in time strategy

  • meets demands of our customers. Lastly, we challenged

  • our stores to get involved and manage the assets. We must

  • find the battles between lean inventories and sales, but

  • our managers are aware of the benefit scheme for managing

  • inventory. Our managers must ensure product is pulled

  • down during the recovery process. Inventory discrepancies

  • must be handled immediately to ensure automatic [inaudible]

  • process is supplying the store with the appropriate level

  • of inventory. If the first quarter, inventory increased

  • 16 basis points.

  • In the fifth challenge we have given our operations team

  • is to ensure every member of the management team that is

  • engaged and involved in helping effectively run our stores.

  • In 2001, we added five regions and 16 districts to our

  • operational structure. This new structure was put in place

  • to assure regional vice president and district managers

  • can provide the appropriate level of supervision, guidance

  • and time in the stores they are accountable for. Their

  • expanding regional structure will drive better corporate

  • initiatives and provide consistent and safe shopping environment

  • for customers.

  • As I mentioned earlier, these initiatives are fundamental

  • in retail, but to improve performance, we must improve our

  • execution of these and other initiatives everyday in every

  • store. By improvements, it will allow us to continue our

  • aggressive market expansion. The results we delivered

  • in first quarter are a step in the right direction. Our

  • customer service, measured by independent sources, continue

  • to improve. I will continue to push our stores to excel

  • in this critical area. Inventory strength has helped drive

  • gross margins for the past several quarters and the internal

  • controls should continue to drive improvements in shrink

  • results. The progress we have made in employee turnover

  • and retention has been significant. Not only does that

  • lead to reduced training costs, but better trained and more

  • tenured employees to provide great customer service. Inventory

  • turnover has turned in the quarter and we expect gains in

  • the next several quarters.

  • Finally, the management teams are engaged in successfully

  • introducing Lowe's to millions of new customers every week.

  • For the past 12 to 18 months, our business process improvement

  • team worked to take a deep look at many of our processes;

  • including representatives from operations, logistics,

  • merchandising and real estate, the teams look for ways to

  • improve the basis of activities with the goal of improving

  • efficiency of the whole company, not just one district.

  • While our continued expansion was the focus on the Metro

  • markets provide tremendous opportunity for Lowe's over

  • the next several years, we have the capability to drive

  • our existing store base and help identify and develop in

  • our VPI process. Store directives incorporate some of

  • what these teams have identified and the impact these directives

  • had on first quarter results, mark only the beginning of

  • what we expect to gain through this focus on efficiencies.

  • With that, I will turn over to Robert Niblock to describe

  • financial details in more detail. Robert.

  • Robert Niblock - CFO and EVP

  • Thanks

  • and good morning. As Bob indicated, sales were 6.5 billion

  • for the first quarter, representing a 22 percent

  • increase over last year's first quarter and ahead of our

  • guidance of 21 percent. Comp sales were 7.5 percent for

  • the quarter, which exceeded our four to six percent guidance.

  • Comp performance was relatively consistent throughout

  • the quarter. Inflation in lumber and building materials

  • resulted in a favorable impact on first quarter comps of

  • eight basis points. As Larry mentioned, we experienced

  • widespread strength in comps with all, but one region reporting

  • positive comps for the quarter. With regard to product

  • categories, the categories that performed above average

  • in the first quarter include millwork, outdoor power equipment,

  • appliances, paint, windows and walls, fashion plumbing,

  • fashion electrical, cabinets, flooring and home organization.

  • In addition, hardware and lumber performed at approximately

  • the overall corporate average. Gross margin for the first

  • quarter was 29.71 percent, improvement of 140 basis points

  • over last year's first quarter and significantly ahead of

  • our guidance of 20 to 30 basis points. The improvement

  • was attributed to a number of factors, including better

  • rates, product mix improvements and 24-basis point reduction

  • in inventory shrink that Larry discussed.

  • SG and A leveraged 17 basis points in the quarter, below

  • our guidance of 20 to 30 basis points of leverage. The

  • shortfall is attributable to higher than planned incentive

  • compensation which deranged 24 basis points and was driven

  • by earnings which exceeded our plan for the quarter. Store

  • cost leverage 11 basis points and reflects the opening of

  • 42 new and 4 relocated stores in the quarter.

  • This compares to 32 new and 5 relocated stores last

  • year. The decrease in average store opening costs versus

  • last year, derived by providing opening costs in the financial

  • statements by the number of stores open in the quarter is

  • attributable to timing differences since we expense opening

  • cost as occurred. Excluding timing differences our average

  • store opening cost has not changed from last year's first

  • quarter. Depreciation at 2.24 percent of sales total $145

  • million and leveraged two basis points. At the understand

  • of the first quarter, we owned 73 percent of our stores,

  • versus 16 percent at the end of last year's first quarter.

  • For the quarter we achieved a record EBIT margin of 9.2

  • percent which represents an improvement over last year's

  • first quarter. Interest expense increased to 47 million

  • for the quarter, with leverage 5 basis points. For the

  • quarter, total expenses were 21.18 percent of sales and

  • leverage 35 basis points, which exceeded our guidance of

  • 20 to 30 basis points with leverage. As Bob mentioned,

  • for the for the, pre-tax earnings were 175 basis points

  • over the prior year. The tax rate for the quarter was

  • 37.4 percent versus 37.3 percent. The increase was driven

  • by above-planned earnings. We are anticipating an effective

  • tax REIT of 37.4 percent for the remainder of the year.

  • Diluted earnings per share of 44 cents increased 51.7

  • percent, versus last year's 29 cents and exceeded our guidance

  • of 35 to 36 cents.

  • Diluted shares outstanding total 798 million for the

  • quarter. The competition of diluted shares takes into

  • act the effective convertible debentures, which increased

  • first quarter weighted average shares by 16.5 million.

  • In computing first quarter earnings per share, the after

  • tax to net income for interest on convertible debentures

  • was [inaudible]. For each of the remaining quarters of

  • 2002, the after-tax is $2.6 million. For the second

  • quarter, we are projecting diluting shares of 800 million.

  • For the year, projected diluted shares outstanding of

  • 801 million. For the quarter, we saw increase in average

  • ticket to $58.08. Customer count increases 19 percent

  • during the quarter.

  • Now, highlighting a few items on the balance sheet. First

  • of all, our cash position improved to 1.5 billion at the

  • end of the quarter. In addition, inventory increased 11.3

  • percent, significantly less than 22.6 sales growth. Internal

  • invested capital measured using beginning debt and equity

  • and earnings decreased 28 basis points for the quarter and

  • 14.07 to 13.79 percent. The decrease is attributable to

  • our decision to prefund our 2002 financing needs. For

  • the entire fiscal year 2002, we expect investment capital

  • to increase 10 to 20 basis points. For 2003, we expect

  • return on investment capital to increase 60 basis points,

  • as we currently anticipate being able to fund our 2003 expansion

  • program with little to no external financing. Our strong

  • first quarter performance drove shareholders equity, determined

  • use of beginning equity and earnings to 19.83 percent, representing

  • increase of 244 basis points.

  • Cash flow from operations was $1.2 billion, representing

  • increase of 88 percent, compared to the first quarter of

  • last year. The increase was driven by increased earnings

  • and improved payables leverage. As we have discussed many

  • times before, our process of relocating our older is some

  • smaller stores is almost complete. As a result, for the

  • quarter, our big stores represented 97 percent of total

  • sales and generate 98 percent of operating profits. These

  • percentages will continue to grow. We replace smaller

  • stores with large format stores

  • I would like to discuss several items detailed in the outlook.

  • A second quarter sales increase of 21 to 22 percent incorporates

  • a comp assumption of 4-6 percent, which is expected to generate

  • diluted earnings of 53 to 54 cents, representing an increase

  • of 26 to 29 percent. As a result of our strong first quarter

  • earnings for fiscal 2002, we are now anticipating diluted

  • earnings per share of $1.66 to $1.69, which represents

  • an increase over last year of 28 to 30 percent. Gross

  • margin for the second quarter is expected to increase between

  • 50 to 60 basis points. For the entire fiscal year, we

  • are also anticipating a gross margin improvement of 50 to

  • 60 basis points. For the year, we are estimating a comp

  • sales increase of 5 percent. This guidance incorporates

  • a comp assumption of 4 percent for the second half of the

  • year as we cycle against tougher comp comparison.

  • We expect to open 23 stores in the second quarter and are

  • on track to open 123 in fiscal 2002. Regarding current

  • sales trends, our business outlook for the second quarter

  • anticipates 4-6 percent comps. For the first 16 days our

  • comps are at the upper end of the range. Before I turn

  • over to the operator for inquiry questions, in addition

  • to Bob, Larry and myself, Dale Pond, Bill Warden and Perry

  • are present. We are ready for questions.

  • Moderator

  • Thank you. Today's question and

  • answer session will be conducted electronically. To ask

  • a question press the * followed by 1 on the touchtone telephone.

  • That is * 1 on your touchtone telephone. We will take

  • as many questions as time permits. We will pause for a

  • moment to assemble the roster.

  • Moderator

  • Our first question will come from Bill Julian

  • of Salomon Smith Barney.

  • Analyst

  • Good morning. And, congratulations.

  • Your guidance for the gross margin for the back half of

  • the year looks like it is all of 20 basis points of expansion,

  • given what happened in the first half. Yet, when I look

  • at your comparison for the last two years, it is not like

  • they get that much more difficult. Talk about what is

  • driving the slow down.

  • Robert Niblock - CFO and EVP

  • Bill, this is Robert. We have

  • been consistently saying we expect 20 to 30 basis points

  • per year, that is what we charge the merchants with.

  • If you look over the back half of the year, you are looking

  • at increase in the 20 to 30 basis point range. I think

  • in the fourth quarter of last year we were up one hundred

  • basis points. We are cycling in tough numbers in the fourth

  • quarter and we just want to maintain the flexibility in

  • our business as we look out over the longer term to manage

  • the business the way we think is most prudent. Short-term,

  • we are taking out the guidance once we have seen the performance.

  • Longer term, I want to take up the guidance until we

  • think it is necessary or until we think it is prudent, that

  • is after the second quarter. We think we have a better

  • outlook on the back half of the year. I guess it is wrapped

  • up in our stance we have taken for the past several quarters,

  • which is being cautiously optimistic.

  • Analyst

  • Okay. Did you mention

  • what your level of inventory shrink is today?

  • Robert Niblock - CFO and EVP

  • We don't disclose that. 24 basis

  • points improvement as an explanation through the 140 basis

  • point increase in margin. The 24 base improvement exceeded our

  • planned improvement in inventory shrink.

  • Analyst

  • Any sense on whether you

  • are above or below industry average, can you give us that

  • much on shrink?

  • Robert Niblock - CFO and EVP

  • We believe below.

  • Moderator

  • Next, we will hear from Bud [inaudible]of Raymond

  • James.

  • Analyst

  • Hi. My congratulations, as well.

  • I am still perplexed about the guidance on gross margin

  • for the second quarter, up 50 to 60 basis points. It

  • looks like - I am not sure why it wouldn't be better

  • than that or stronger than that.

  • Robert Niblock - CFO and EVP

  • We are sitting here at the

  • beginning of the quarter. Certainly we will not guide

  • you to more than 50 to 60 basis points in the quarter.

  • We need to maintain flexibility in the business. If we

  • decide we want to get aggressive on pushing through, discontinued

  • or nonproductive inventory, we will maintain flexibility

  • in the business. We will deliver 50 to 60 basis points.

  • Depending on how on the weather, that number could be

  • more. We feel comfortable with 50 to 60 basis points,

  • but will not guide you above that.

  • Analyst

  • Correct me if I am wrong.

  • Doesn't look like mixed [inaudible] change evident in

  • the numbers. If I look historically first to second quarter

  • gross margins, look at them quarter by quarter, year over

  • year, quarter over quarter, looks like relatively stable

  • margin performance in the last couple of years.

  • Robert Niblock - CFO and EVP

  • It is. In the second quarter of

  • the past three years we had 34 basis points and 45 basis points

  • improvement over the last three years, 50 to 60 is in line

  • with the numbers.

  • Analyst

  • I understand that. Then

  • that looks like where the first quarter came in significantly

  • better than that.

  • Robert Niblock - CFO and EVP

  • There are several things out there.

  • Inventory shrink and other drivers that we are just -

  • not knowing how you will sell through seasonal categories

  • and not knowing how we will be at the end of the spring

  • season, that inventory to sale through if it doesn't sell

  • through. We are optimistic and will not guide you above

  • that.

  • Analyst

  • Congratulations. Thank

  • you.

  • Moderator

  • Next David Chick of [inaudible].

  • Analyst

  • Hi, good morning. Could

  • you give us a little bit more update on the CBC initiative

  • in terms of progress during the quarter, anything you would

  • release on numbers?

  • Larry Stone - EVP Store Operations

  • The

  • CBC continues to perform. We had positive comps in CBC

  • for the quarter. We don't have any new, exciting initiatives

  • we have added. We continue to do the things we outlined

  • in the past, making sure we have the right people to take

  • care of our customers and inventory and certainly have the

  • the right folks on all the various key places in the stores,

  • whether the paint deck or CBC desk or millwork deck or whatever.

  • Very pleased with it, still driving positive comps and

  • still on plan based on how we projected 2002.

  • Analyst

  • Thanks.

  • Moderator

  • And again, * 1 to ask a question.

  • Next we will hear from Matt Savler[phonetic] of Goldman Sachs.

  • Analyst

  • Thanks a lot and good morning.

  • I want to get another derivative on the gross margin question.

  • Give us more detail on how mixed plays into the gross

  • margin improvement that you saw and whether you would expect

  • changes to sustain themselves through the second half of

  • the year? Your guidance on this?

  • Robert Niblock - CFO and EVP

  • 15 basis points in gross

  • margin in the quarter. We will anticipate mix continuing

  • to be a positive driver over the balance.

  • Analyst

  • Following up, if mix was

  • 15 base points and shrink was 25 that would suggest over

  • one hundred basis points was your original mark-up.

  • Robert Niblock - CFO and EVP

  • Also, margin REIT is driven

  • by better acquisition cost. It is also driven by what we

  • saw as rational pricing environment in the first quarter.

  • It didn't have to do a lot of discounting or anything

  • like that. A number of things we won't - we don't know

  • what the future holds, we won't count of that much of a

  • REIT improvement over the balance of the year.

  • Analyst

  • Were there initiatives

  • you had on a corporate basis in terms of acquisition costs

  • and were there any reasons to believe those would not be

  • sustained in the competitive environment? It is a wildcard.

  • Look at the areas under your control.

  • DALE POND, EVP Merchandising: We are continuing

  • the process of reviews. We are working with vendors in

  • terms of working with them in lowering the cost of goods.

  • So, that is certainly continuing the initiative. There

  • is mix within mix that has been favorable. Certainly a

  • lot of our reset that we put into play last year are starting

  • to deliver the kind of results we were hoping for within

  • the margin, as well. So, those are some of the issues

  • we have got. Logistics has been a big help in the cost

  • of business, as well. That is part of the way we have

  • lowered the cost through vendors.

  • Analyst

  • Got you. Thank you so

  • much for the details.

  • Moderator

  • Aaron Rubenson[phonetic] of [inaudible].

  • Analyst

  • Thanks, guys. Great job.

  • Robert, your mentioned return capital [inaudible]. I

  • am curious what is embedded in that from a capex standpoint

  • and therefore, square footage?

  • Robert Niblock - CFO and EVP

  • I think we have given that

  • in '03 square footage would be between 17 percent in '03.

  • As far as capex on a cash capex basis, you are looking

  • at a couple of hundred million for '02. As I said, I

  • think previously we had started out, if you look maybe six

  • months ago, we talked in the neighborhood of needing 500

  • million of external funding [inaudible]. The max and depending

  • on how well performance goes, the back half of the year,

  • there is a good likelihood we may not need any external

  • financing for next year.

  • Analyst

  • Does that represent a change

  • in psychology internally or natural progression with decelerated

  • square footage growth rate?

  • Robert Niblock - CFO and EVP

  • It is a natural progression

  • of the growth rate, new stores performing very well, maturity

  • base of the old stores. One thing that is a key driver

  • is inventory turns, if you can imagine that generates a

  • significant amount of cash flow to fund the business.

  • Analyst

  • You don't have a ton of

  • discretionary cash on hand, but you will get there. You

  • do seem to have earnings cushion built in. Do you have

  • an area to invest in more so than you are now, what areas

  • would those be, pricing or people or corporate or what?

  • Robert Niblock - CFO and EVP

  • We will address those when

  • we get there. We are talking about the balance of this

  • year, we need the cash on the books to fund the expansion

  • plan. We think we will have four or 500 million carry-over

  • if we meet our plan for the rest of the year. That funds

  • the shortfall we otherwise would have next year.

  • Then, we will continue to invest in our logistics and regional

  • distribution and infrastructure in the future. You are

  • looking at real between 2004 and 2005, before you would

  • really be significantly on a cash flow basis beyond your

  • expansion plan. Up to 2005, we have 600 million of debt

  • maturities out there. We could use it. By that point

  • in time, we may have other things we are investing in.

  • We still have time to make that decision.

  • Analyst

  • Thanks.

  • Moderator

  • Thank you. Our final question will

  • come from Daniel of J.P. Morgan

  • Analyst

  • Thank you. Where did

  • the pick-up in accounts payable leverage back to historical

  • levels come from? I am wondering how you were able to

  • team it with such a large gross margin gain with the trade-off

  • between the two in vendor negotiations?

  • Robert Niblock - CFO and EVP

  • That is Robert. There is no real

  • change in vendor negotiations. At the end of the year,

  • there were timing issue that is drove us down lower than

  • where we had historically been. There was no real change

  • in vendor negotiations and inventory improving drives that

  • leverage up. Between inventory turn and getting back -

  • that helped us get back to that historical level. No real

  • change in negotiation with vendor terms in the fourth quarter.

  • Analyst

  • One final question. This

  • past year you increased the percentage of new store openings

  • in large Metro markets. Are Metro stores comping at

  • a higher rate than non-Metro stores that were open at the

  • same time?

  • Larry Stone - EVP Store Operations

  • If

  • there is no change in the landscape, they comp at a higher

  • rate. Most of the time in Metro markets, there is a change

  • in landscape, given a static environment, Metro stores

  • will comp higher than stores in a small to mid-sized market.

  • Analyst

  • Thank you.

  • Moderator

  • That will conclude our question and

  • answer session. We will turn the conference back over

  • to Mr. Tillman for closing remarks.

  • Robert Tillman - President and CEO

  • Thanks to you

  • for your continued interest in Lowe's. We look forward

  • to speaking with you again to report our second quarter

  • results in August. Goodbye and have a great day.

  • Moderator

  • That concludes today's teleconference, we thank

  • you for your participation.