Intercorp Financial Services Inc (IFS) 2023 Q1 法說會逐字稿

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  • Operator

  • Good morning, and welcome to Intercorp Financial Services First Quarter 2023 Conference Call. (Operator Instructions) Please be advised that today's conference is being recorded.

  • (Operator Instructions)

  • It is now my pleasure to turn the call over to Rafael Borja of InspIR Group. Sir, you may begin.

  • Rafael Borja

  • Thank you, and good morning, everyone. On today's call, Intercorp Financial Services will discuss its first quarter 2023 earnings. We are very pleased to have with us Mr. Luis Felipe Castellanos, Chief Executive Officer of Intercorp Financial Services; Mrs. Michela Casassa, Chief Financial Officer of Intercorp Financial Services; Mr. Gonzalo Basadre, Chief Executive Officer of Interseguro; Mr. Juan Pablo Segura, Chief Financial Officer of Interseguro; Mr. Bruno Ferreccio, Chief Executive Officer of Inteligo; and Mr. Carlos Tori, Executive Vice President of Payments at Intercorp Financial Services.

  • They will be discussing the results that were distributed by the company yesterday. There is also a webcast video presentation to accompany the discussion during this call. If you didn't receive a copy of the presentation or the earnings report, they are now available on the company's website, ifs.com.pe, to download a copy. Otherwise, for any reason, if you need any assistance today, please call InspIR Group in New York at (212) 710-9686. I would like to remind you that today's call is for investors and analysts only. Therefore, questions from the media will not be taken.

  • Please be advised that forward-looking statements may be made during this conference call. These do not account for future economic circumstances, industry conditions, the company's future performance or financial results. As such, statements made are based on several assumptions and factors that could change causing actual results to materially differ from the current expectations. For a complete note on forward-looking statements, please refer to the earnings presentation and report issued yesterday.

  • It is now my pleasure to turn the call over to Mr. Luis Felipe Castellanos, Chief Executive Officer of Intercorp Financial Services, for his opening remarks. Mr. Castellanos, please go ahead, sir.

  • Luis Felipe Castellanos Lopez-Torres - CEO & GM

  • Thank you. Good morning, and welcome to our first quarter 2023 earnings call. Thank you all for joining us today. Let me start by giving you a brief overview of the macro situation in our country. As you may be aware, we continue to operate in a challenging environment with GDP growth expectations for the year at 2.5% according to the Ministry of Finance. Economic activity was affected during December '22 and January this year by certain episodes of social unrest and most recently by heavy rainfalls and flooring impact in Peru's coast. The possibility of an El Nino phenomenon later this year has not been ruled out.

  • On the other hand, the 12-month inflation rate is slowing down below the 8% mark, yet the sustained high inflation is still negatively impacting Peruvian businesses and consumers with pressure on margins and families purchasing power. Inflation expectations for 2023 remain above the Central Bank's target range. Internationally, market conditions continue to be volatile and inflation continues to be a source of concern for global central banks.

  • Moving to our business. We continue to experience higher interest rates in both soles and dollars, contributing to higher margins this year as we were expecting. However, cost of deposits have also increased sharply, slowing margin expansion. We have seen an increase in the cost of risk, mainly in the retail portfolio. We had anticipated cost of risk to increase. However, sustained inflation and the above-mentioned factors are putting additional pressure in our portfolio. The Banking Superintendency announced a new loan rescheduling program to provide relief for the debtholders. We have been very proactive in using this facility to help our customers. We're closely monitoring payment behavior and being cautious with our operations given the scenario that we are facing, and we have taken a conservative approach to loan loss provisions this quarter. We remain committed to helping Peruvians overcome these challenging times.

  • On a different note, we have started to report our insurance business under IFRS17 accounting this quarter. The first-time adoption impact equity by over PEN 640 million, and it will normalize in time. Our Wealth Management segment is slowly recovering its investment performance with the second consecutive positive quarter after a challenging 2022 due to market conditions. Finally, our payments ecosystem continues to show solid growth and is well positioned to take advantage of opportunities presented by interoperability as we go after additional growth.

  • In all, we are pleased to continue to see double-digit growth in IFS' recurring revenues and world-class efficiency levels. We remain optimistic about IFS' outlook going forward. Even though we are facing challenging conditions, we believe that once the dust settles, we will return to our path of sustainable profitability and growth. We continue to execute our strategy across our 4 business segments. We're confident that Peruvian people, our efficient operations, our digital capabilities and our ability to adapt to changes are our core pillars to achieve our objectives.

  • On a final note, as you are aware, in our last shareholders' meeting, a shares repurchase program was approved. We are in the process of finalizing details on the institution that will help us in this effort.

  • Now, let me pass it on to Michela to update you on the results of this quarter and to give you a detailed review of our operations. Thank you very much.

  • Michela Casassa Ramat - CFO

  • Thanks, Felipe. Good morning, and welcome, everyone, to IFS First Quarter 2023 Earnings Call. Today, we will review our financial highlights and key messages. Despite certain volatility in our financial results, our core operating trends are aligned with the strategy we're deploying as Luis Felipe has just mentioned, with a clear priority on digital growth with focus on profitability. Today's information includes new accounting standards, IFRS17 for the insurance business figures. In 2022, figures have been restated for comparison purposes at Interseguro and IFS level. The first adoption impact is around PEN 600 million at Interseguro and IFS equity.

  • I will start with a summary of financial highlights on Slides 3 to 9. On Slides 3 and 4, IFS first quarter recurring earnings are PEN 308 million with an ROE of 13.3% when normalizing an impairment effect from new reschedulings at Interbank. The quarterly and yearly decreases in earnings are mainly due to a higher cost of risk in the consumer portfolio, but also to a lower-than-expected results from investments in insurance and wealth management. Payments has performed nicely and continues with double-digit growth in most KPIs.

  • On banking, we have seen some signs of moderation in growth due to the macro scenario as we have continued our focus on low-risk clients within the consumer portfolio. NIM was up this quarter 10 basis points, reaching 5.5% despite the further increase in cost of funds as yield on loans improved 40% in the quarter. As discussed in our previous conference calls and in line with the change in portfolio mix and sustained inflation, cost of risk has increased, reaching 3.2% this quarter, impacted by 2 additional and unexpected events, which are the social protest and unusual heavy rains on some specific regions of Peru. Due to these events, we have helped our clients with some rescheduling of loans mainly on credit cards, in line with the Superintendency guidelines, which will start maturing in the coming months.

  • On insurance, the first figures reported under IFRS17 showed earnings below our expectations, mainly due to soft results from the investment portfolio. On Wealth Management, results continue to see recovery path, however, still below sustainable profitability.

  • Finally, on our payments business, on 1 side, Izipay continues with a solid growth in business, strong growth in number of merchants and transactional volumes and gaining share within our volumes in e-commerce in the year. Additionally, Plin and Tunki continue with strong growth of users and transactions as we will see in more detail further on in the presentation and which should help us to benefit from the interoperability that has just started and to advance with our payment ecosystem.

  • Among the key performance indicators for the quarter and the year on Slide #5, I would like to highlight the very good quarterly efficiency ratio, which stood at 33% at IFS going back and even better than prepandemic efficiency levels.

  • On Slide 6 and 7, good news in top line as total recurring revenues for IFS grew 21% year-over-year, thanks to the growth registered in banking of 21%, Wealth Management of 10%, insurance of 8% and payments of 7%. On a quarterly basis, growth of 2% is impacted by seasonality mainly coming from a strong fourth quarter.

  • On Slide 7, another positive is our fee income, which constitute a source of incremental and diversified revenues growing 11% year-over-year with important contributions from banking, which represents 63% of IFS fees, payments at 26% and Wealth Management at 12%. Moreover, banking fees continued to grow double digit on a yearly basis, thanks to double-digit growth of credit card fees and a negligible impact from lower account fees as we have not been charging Interbank fees to our retail clients for many years now, in line with our digital growth strategy.

  • On Slide 8, the efficiency ratio of IFS was 33% in the quarter and was 37% for banking. Both ratios are very good, mainly thanks to the operating leverage of the bank, which was very strong in the quarter with revenues growing 21% year-over-year in costs growing only 7%. This has helped the efficiency ratio of the bank to improve almost 500 basis points in the year.

  • On Slide 9, we have a solid capital position as evidenced by the ratios of Interbank, but also of Interseguro and Inteligo. First quarter capital ratios at Interbank are now fully Basel III compliant following the latest Superintendency implementation, which sees a gradual implementation in the minimum required limits for both total capital ratio and core equity Tier 1. Core equity Tier 1 ratio at Interbank is at 11.1% as of March and total capital ratio stands at 15.2%, both including already the effect of dividend distribution. There have also been some changes in Wealth Management, a capital requirements established by the Central Bank of Bahamas, which raised the minimum limit to 12%, and there have also been some additional deductions to capital that have resulted in the decrease of the capital ratio on a quarterly basis.

  • Now I will focus on 6 key messages we would like you to take home from this call on Slide #11. First, the macro outlook continues to be challenging, impacting banking profitability. Second, we have implemented IFRS17 with impacts in the insurance business disclosures and at IFS level. Third, Wealth Management results still impacted by investments that registered its second consecutive positive quarter in terms of earnings. Fourth, we continue to work on our 2-tier digital strategy, showing positive developments in our digital indicators to foster growth at IFS with sustainable profitability. Fifth, we continue to see a positive evolution in our payment business. And finally, we continue making progress in our sustainability efforts.

  • On Slide 12, we are showing the evolution of some of the key macro indicators. GDP growth continues to be low with a revised estimate of 2.5%. Interest rates have been stable in soles at 7.75% and the dollar rate has continued its upward trend up to 5.25%. The exchange rate is now down to PEN 3.76 per dollar at the end of March. It has continued to go down during the next month. Inflation continues high at 8% as of April, but showing a downward trend from the peak of 8.8% of June last year.

  • Moving on to banking on Slide 13. We have strengthened the focus on low-risk clients in consumer finance and SMEs, as shown in the quarterly decrease of new loan disbursements in personal loans and SME loans. Credit and debit card purchases are flat on a quarterly basis but continue to grow 25% year-over-year. In the same way, balances have increased 6% in the quarter and 27% year-over-year. We continue to see important growth in turnover as both credit and debit cards continue in their path of increased penetration in the country, which is still low. This growth has allowed us to increase market share of around 50 basis points in the past 12 months for the combined turnover, thanks mainly to our Interbank benefit loyalty program, our increased focus on e-commerce and high-growth product categories and finally, to our upselling strategy.

  • Very positive is the fact that we continue to see double-digit growth in banking revenues on Slide 14. Thanks to double-digit growth in all revenue lines, net interest income grew 24% with a strong contribution from credit card and personal loans, but also from the repricing of commercial banking loans. Fee income grew 13%, mainly due to the growth of credit card fee income, but also to the sustained growth in fee income coming from cash management services in commercial banking.

  • Other income at the bank grew 15% year-over-year, mainly due to FX trading income. All in all, total core revenues grew 21% on a yearly basis. Continuous repricing efforts pushed yield on loans upwards 40 basis points in the quarter and 260 basis points in the year, reaching 10.9% and NIM 10 basis points in the quarter and 100 basis points in the year reaching 5.5%. Risk-adjusted NIM has decreased 50 basis points in the quarter, mainly due to the increase in cost of risk of consumer loans. We have continued to see rising cost of funds. It reached 3.6% in the quarter, up 40 basis points on a quarterly basis and 180 basis points on a yearly basis. We continue to have, though, the best loan-to-deposit ratio among peers at 99% as of March 2023 versus a system average of 104%.

  • On Slide 17, we have seen a pickup in cost of risk as previously mentioned by Luis Felipe up to 3.2%, mainly due to the impact from the retail portfolio, which has reached a cost of risk of 5.4%. During the first quarter, we have granted some credit card customers rescheduling programs in line with SBS guidelines for the social disruption El Nino phenomenon. Monthly volume of rescheduling increased from an average of 60 million in 2022 to 130 million to 160 million in the first 3 months of the year, representing around 6% of the credit card portfolio as of the end of March.

  • As of the end of April, only a small portion of these loans have matured, for which it is still early to understand the consumer payment behavior which we will closely monitor and manage during the next 4 to 6 months when most of these facilities mature. NPL coverage ratio continues to be very high at bank level at 178% and even more in retail banking at 252%, much higher than the 179% pre-COVID.

  • Now let's move to the second key message of this presentation related to the insurance business and the newly adoption of IFRS17, which mainly impacts annuities business. On Slide 19, the first quarter earnings of $31.3 million with a 40% ROE are the first results under IFRS17. This quarter, we have registered some negative impacts in our investment portfolio of an impairment of a fixed income investment plus the negative impact on real estate valuation from the depreciation of the dollar. Moreover, we have registered a positive translation result from the devaluation of dollar again as with the liabilities under IFRS, we have a higher position in liabilities in dollars.

  • On Slide 20, there has been a decrease in annuities due to a contraction of the market and increased competition, but our market share remained strong for annuities at 25%. Both Individual Life and Retail Insurance businesses continued to grow double-digit year-over-year or 28% and 17%, respectively.

  • On Slide 21, the quarterly return on the investment portfolio came at 6.6%, below the extraordinary high fourth quarter '22, but 25% above the previous year. On Wealth Management, the Wealth Management performance is still impacted by market conditions on the other income profit line. Good news is the asset under management evolution is positive this quarter with contribution from both our offshore Wealth Management platform as well as the local mutual fund business.

  • On Slide 26 to 28, positive news is in our digital indicators continue to show nice trends when compared to the previous year. Still, we believe there is a way to go in moving these indicators further. As of March '23, digital customers reached 71% of customers who interact with the bank during the last 30 days, up 6 points in the past year. And digital sales reached 60%, up 1% from last year. We continue to see an important number of new digital accounts being opened for both individuals and businesses. For example, as of the end of March, 96% of new businesses accounts were opened digitally. NPS for digital retail customers continues its path to become a top NPS in the next years, reaching 47 points this quarter, improving 2 points versus previous year.

  • On Slide 27, insurance digital indicators show positive developments as well with Vida cash life premiums and digital product reaching 35% of total life premiums. Wealth Management digital journey is also underway with 41% of digital transaction within the local business conducted on our digital platform.

  • On Slide 28, in line with our digital strategy, we continue to see an important growth in our customer base of the bank with a 17% increase year-over-year in retail, 29% in digital retail customers and 23% in commercial banking customers, reaching 5.5 million as of the end of March.

  • Now let's move to payments. On Slide 30, we are showing solid yearly growth in key business drivers. Merchants increased 67% year-over-year, reaching 1.2 million. Transactional volumes grew 24% year-over-year. Moreover, e-commerce transactions are gaining share within our transactional volumes reaching 16% as of the end of March. Revenues continued to grow nicely, 7% on a yearly basis, supported by the increase in the transactional volumes and merchants. EBITDA shows a slight contraction year-over-year, mainly due to an unusually high first quarter '22 caused by specific seasonal impacts and to a slight decrease in margins.

  • We have been working to accelerate the growth of our payment ecosystem by having all our assets work towards a common strategy. We are focusing on increasing transactional volumes, offering merchants additional service -- services continue to pilot low-risk loans to merchants and use Izipay as a distribution network for Interbank products as well as a source to increase float.

  • On Slide 31 and 32, Plin and Tunki, continue with their accelerated growth. Plin reached 11 million customers as of the end of April with Interbank participation still above 40%. And Tunki users reached 2.6 million. Number of merchants continue to increase as well or 59% year-over-year for Plin and 56% for Tunki. The number of transactions has continued its strong growth or 7% only the month of April for Plin and 6% for Tunki. Plin and Yape interoperability has just started. This is an important development for financial inclusion in the country, which the Central Bank has encouraged and which should help to bring more people into the financial system, reducing use of cash, which continues to be high in the country. We expect to benefit from more digital transactions, less cash, more data and increased float.

  • On Slide 34, moving to our ESG update. We have continued to enhance our sustainability strategy upon our focus areas. On our environmental front, Interbank has received a MINAM recognition for its carbon footprint measurement and along with Interseguro and Inteligo, awarded a certification on behalf of Greenhouse Gas Protocol for the measurement of their GHG emissions. Our latest developments on the social front include being all 4 subsidiaries in the top 10 positions of the Great Place to Work Peru 2023, as well as the development of further contents and learnings through our financial services education platform, Aprendemás.

  • Finally, on our governance front, we have been included for the second year in the S&P ESG Sustainability Index along with other 13 companies that carry out the best sustainable practices. Moreover, our recent published Interbank sustainability report for the year 2022 summarizes our performance on the environmental, social and governance fronts under the Global Reporting Initiative framework. To strengthen our sustainability culture, we have codesigned with Dalberg, our first IFS sustainability forum that involves the participation of our 4 subsidiaries to reinforce our sustainability commitment.

  • Now let me give you an update on our operating results for the first quarter 2023. Total capital ratio of 15.2% in core equity Tier 1 ratio of 11.1% with new Basel III implementation and after dividend distribution are above our guidance. ROE of 13.3% in the quarter has been impacted by cost of risk and investment results. Year-end ROE recovery will depend mostly on the recovery of those 2 factors. Loan growth of 15% is above our guidance, though we expect some moderation in the coming months. NIM for Interbank was 5.5% when excluding the impairment effect, in line with guidance.

  • Cost of risk for banking was 3.2% in the quarter, slightly above the higher end of the guidance. Following quarters might continue to be challenging, depending on the behavior of repayment of the rescheduling done this quarter and the overall behavior of the consumer portfolio. New guidance for efficiency ratio at IFS level is to be below 36%. This first quarter efficiency ratio at IFS was 33.3% and the efficiency ratio for Interbank was 37% this quarter better than guidance.

  • Now let me recap the 6 key messages of this presentation. First, the macro outlook continues to be challenging, impacting banking profitability. Second, we have implemented IFRS17 with impacts in the insurance business disclosures as well as IFS'. Third, Wealth Management results are still impacted by investments. Fourth, we continue to work on our 2-tier digital strategy showing positive developments in our digital indicators to foster growth at IFS with sustainable profitability. Fifth, we continue to see a very positive evolution in our payment business and ecosystem. And finally, we continue to make progress in our sustainability efforts.

  • Thank you very much. Now we welcome any questions you might have.

  • Operator

  • (Operator Instructions)

  • Our first question will come from Ernesto Gabilondo with Bank of America.

  • Ernesto María Gabilondo Márquez - Associate

  • Thank you. Felipe and Michela, and good morning, everybody. Thanks for the opportunity to ask questions. My first 1 will be on your NIM expectations. I remember your NIM has not benefited during this high interest rate environment. As you have mentioned in the past that IFS sensitivity to rates is neutral. So considering this, how should we think about IFS NIM evolution under an easing cycle?

  • Then my second question is on asset quality. As you pointed out, there was a higher cost of risk in the quarter. So should we expect now the high end of the cost risk guidance?

  • And then on my last question, you mentioned in the last slide, that you are keeping an ROE guidance at around 18% for the year, and this despite the earnings contraction of this first quarter. So can you elaborate on what would be the key drivers to support higher earnings growth and improved ROE over the next quarters?

  • Luis Felipe Castellanos Lopez-Torres - CEO & GM

  • Okay. Ernesto, thanks very much for your questions. Okay, let me go in order here. Michela's going to help me. But, our -- I think with -- the evidence shows that our NIM has expanded marginally during the increase of rates. We do expect during an easing cycle that we will be able to expand NIM and that will be very dependent on pricing discipline, but I'm going to -- after answering the other 2 questions, I'm going to pass it on to Michela, so she can give you a little bit more detail.

  • In terms of risk, yes, I think it's safe to assume the higher end of the range given what we're seeing, basically, as you're aware, we had expected an increase in cost of risk for the year, given the normalization of the economic activity, post pandemic effect of less liquidity in the system, and we had also expected inflation and slow growth. However, I think that what we are witnessing is more sticky inflation that probably will last more than we had anticipated during the year, similar to what's happening in other parts of the world. Although we do expect that by the end of the year, inflation will start going down more importantly.

  • And second, the impact of the protests, especially in the south of Peru was important, we had -- not a significant amount, but our portfolio around between 10% and 12% of our portfolio is in the South. So it was impacted because of that. And then we had all the rains. We're very careful because it looks like El Nino phenomenon could happen this year. So all that has taken us to be very conservative on the provision front, and that's what you've seen this quarter.

  • Again, the risk models and the expected losses are still being calibrated because like similar to what happened throughout the region, the big liquidity injected into the system really make the risk models not to have a great predictability. So we're being very careful there. And as the situation normalizes and we are able to digest these impacts, we'd rather go on the conservative front, both on the provisions we have booked for this quarter. Probably this will continue in the next quarter and also thinking that the range probably will be more towards the upper part, as you mentioned, okay?

  • And then in terms of the ROE guideline, obviously, it is a challenge. And we felt it was too early in the year to really elaborate on changes on the ROE. We will work strongly in achieving the target, that's what we think is the sustainable ROE for IFS. What would need to happen? Obviously, we need to see if you know what's going on, like the operations are growing nicely, okay? And our efficiency levels are working very well, okay? So we've had this provisions impact and then market conditions affecting our investments, okay? We do expect investments to recover, especially hopefully, in the second part of the year, probably we'll see some more lagging results from investments next quarter.

  • But I think that the worst might be over, hopefully, and that will be a significant driver of our potential recovery. But we've had very good results in the same type of portfolio during the previous years. So structurally, nothing has changed other than hopefully the volatility will go away. So if that happens, we can build from there.

  • And then risk will be the other factor. We do expect growth to moderate. The efficiency, obviously, we're laser focused on being very efficient. We are still continue to invest in the important things for us, but we're very disciplined in terms of the way we are approaching expenses. So if that materializes, even though it's a challenge, the target ROE that we have anticipated will be there if those couple of factors turn positive as we hoped.

  • Now on the first question, again, maybe Michela, you can give us a little bit more detail on the NIM question.

  • Michela Casassa Ramat - CFO

  • Sure. Ernesto, I mean you're correct. When you asked us in the past, the sensibility of increases in rates, we always said that it was going to be neutral. But if you see what has happened with the NIM both at Interbank and at IFS level in the past year, it has actually improved 100 basis points in both numbers. So the NIM has moved from 4.5% in the first quarter of 2022 to 5.5% in this quarter, okay?

  • So what has been different, if you want, from the sensitivity, the theoretical sensitivity that we made? Well, first of all, was that we've had many increasing rates together. So basically, we've had more than 500 basis points increase in rates in soles and more than 400 basis points increase in rate -- in dollar rate. So basically, we've been very disciplined in trying to transfer these increasing rates to the yields. As you can see from the evolution of the yield on loans, that has moved from 8.3% in the first quarter last year to 10.9%. So here, we're talking about 260 basis points.

  • Of course, also the portfolio mix has helped, so more retail, more consumer and also the decrease of the Reactiva loan book. So NIM, when you look at the final results of what has really happened during the last year has improved 100 basis points.

  • Now, what we will expect forward? You have seen this quarter. On a quarterly basis, the improvement has moderated. It's just 10 basis points, and it is becoming a little bit harder not to continue to increase NIM for 2 factors: the increase in cost of funds, especially in soles. And the second 1 is that a big portion of the transfer to client has already taken place, okay? So I believe we will maybe still see some improvements in NIM but much more moderate.

  • And just to give an additional comment of the profitability. I mean, the drivers are, as you see, the drivers of the subsidiaries. So basically, what has happened this quarter is that still Wealth Management ROE is low and the banking ROE is low because of cost of risk. So if those 2 ROEs normalize for the factors that Felipe has mentioned, also with some additional investment results from Interseguro, that is what should drive ROE to the sustainable levels.

  • Ernesto María Gabilondo Márquez - Associate

  • Perfect. Just a follow-up on the NIM expectations. So considering that you have been increasing into retail and consumer and the loan mix has changed. So considering lower interest rate environment, so all of the variable funding costs will come down, and that could give you like another element for NIM expansion, not this year but maybe next year. Do you think that could be feasible?

  • Luis Felipe Castellanos Lopez-Torres - CEO & GM

  • Yes, that will be the case, especially in the retail book. In the commercial book, it's more spread based. So probably that will not be the case. But we do expect that we will be able to hold our current yields or existing yields at the moment in the retail book. Maybe mortgages will be more challenging, but definitely in consumer, we have a chance to keep that at the levels where we have been.

  • Operator

  • Our next question will come from Juan Recalde with Scotiabank.

  • Juan Ignacio Recalde - Associate

  • I have a question related to the impact on equity of the implementation of IFRS17. So the first one is can you confirm that the impact was around PEN 644 million?

  • And the second question related to this is if we can -- if we will see a reversion of this impact? And if yes, if you can give us some color of how can we see this reversing in the future?

  • Luis Felipe Castellanos Lopez-Torres - CEO & GM

  • Okay. Thank you. Yes, it was PEN 644 million impact on equity that goes to Interseguro obviously IFS. And the reversion will take time, but maybe I can pass it on to Gonzalo or Juan Pablo, so they can elaborate a little bit more on the dynamics of how will that work?

  • Gonzalo, you're on mute.

  • Juan Pablo Segura Vegas - VP of Legal, Administration & Finance

  • Maybe I can take the question if you want, Luis, a little bit.

  • Luis Felipe Castellanos Lopez-Torres - CEO & GM

  • Okay. Go ahead. Thank you, JP.

  • Juan Pablo Segura Vegas - VP of Legal, Administration & Finance

  • So yes, PEN 640-ish million liability will be released based on the duration of our contracts with the customers, right? So there are products that have durations of 8 years, other they have 12 years of duration. So we will see them released as the maturity of the contracts with the customers expire, right? So I would say overall Interseguro, the duration mix of products will be around 10 years.

  • Operator

  • Our next question will come from Yuri Fernandes with JPMorgan.

  • Yuri R. Fernandes - Analyst

  • I have a first question regarding your rescheduled loans this quarter. Looking to the presentation, there is an appendix. And it seems this is mostly related to your credit card loans. So my question is, what is the size of like your -- I guess, PEN 70 million was the financial -- the gross financial income impact, right, of this. So my question is what is the balance? And how should we see this balance of rescheduled loans evolving over time?

  • And I have a second question regarding deposits. You have like a good deposit behavior, you're gaining market share. I guess the industry is not growing a lot deposit base (inaudible) right? But you are growing loans a little bit faster than your deposit rates, and we are seeing a mix shift on your deposits, right? So my question is how to keep growing faster -- not fast, but like recovering] a little bit of growth on the loan side with this more challenging environment for banking deposits?

  • Luis Felipe Castellanos Lopez-Torres - CEO & GM

  • Okay. Thank you, Yuri. On your first question, I'm going to pass it on to Michela for the detail. I think the numbers you mentioned, right, but she has a little bit more color. On the second one, obviously, one of our challenges is to continue growing deposits, especially efficient deposits. So we have, obviously, our core strategy is to grow deposits with one additional challenge, especially and particularly for us, which is, as you know, we have reduced our branch footprint. So we're very pleased that despite that reduction, more than 100 financial stores in the last couple of years, we keep our market share in retail deposits. So that's a testament to the power of our digital solutions to gain deposits, okay?

  • And then obviously, we have a complete ecosystem strategy for our commercial clients, and we're deploying that, and it's also working nicely. We do expect loan growth to moderate, so that should -- is a bit. And obviously, we have other alternative sources of funding that will allow us to continue growing. Like, I don't think we will need to decelerate growth if growth -- no healthy growth is there because we cannot grow deposits because we have other sources of funding there. But medium and long term, our strategy is to continue deploying digital solutions both for our retail and commercial customers that should allow us to continue gaining market share.

  • Now let me get back to Michela, so she can work on the first part of your question.

  • Michela Casassa Ramat - CFO

  • Okay. Yuri, yes, you're right. Most of the reschedulings that we have made have been in the credit card portfolio. As of the end of March, the balance is around 6% of the credit card portfolio or less than 2% of the retail portfolio. So meaning like less than 1% of the total bank book. So these reschedulings have just started to mature. So we have seen a very small number of rescheduled loans maturing in April. We will see some more in May and June. And then a big portion of them will come up until August.

  • So basically, this is what we have done so far. There -- I mean, the level of April in terms of the new reschedulings have normalized. And of course, this evolution in the coming months will depend a little bit on what we can see after the management we're doing and the monitoring of the maturities that will come in the following months.

  • Yuri R. Fernandes - Analyst

  • No, that's clear, Michela. I have just a follow-up on rescheduling. Your cost of risk was higher, right? And I think you are postponing helping like clients to be able to pay the loans. And I think it makes sense, but shouldn't this be helping the cost of risk or no or when you have to reschedule you need to migrate this to a stage 2 and stage 3 and you need to build more provisions. So my question is, shouldn't this process of rescheduling some loans not helping our cost of risk? It was not the case this quarter. So that's why I was a little bit confused, right? Because (inaudible) healthy like maybe your cost of risk.

  • Michela Casassa Ramat - CFO

  • No, you're right in the local GAAP, Yuri. But as in IFRS, the loans moved to stage 2 when you see an increase -- a substantial increase of risk. These clients that have been rescheduled are already considered in the substantial increase of risk. So basically, this is why a big portion of this is already included in the cost of risk of this quarter because of the forward-looking vision of IFRS9 for provisions.

  • Unidentified Company Representative

  • Felipe, we can't hear you. You're on mute.

  • Luis Felipe Castellanos Lopez-Torres - CEO & GM

  • I'm on mute.

  • Unidentified Company Representative

  • Now, I can hear you.

  • Luis Felipe Castellanos Lopez-Torres - CEO & GM

  • No. What I was telling Yuri is that it captures a big portion but not all of it. We'll have to continue monitoring. But the forward-looking, as Michela mentioned, does capture a portion of the increase in risk of these type of customers as opposed to, as you mentioned, also local GAAP.

  • Operator

  • (Operator Instructions)

  • Our next question will come from Carlos Gomez with HSBC.

  • Carlos Gomez-Lopez - Senior Analyst, Latin America Financials

  • (inaudible) so maybe you have already answered this. You have this extraordinary part of PEN 70 million and perhaps if you could give us a bit more sense as to why you take it now? And I think it's somewhat differentiated approach to the way other competitors are recording the impact of the disturbances at the beginning of the year. What made you take it? What -- and do you expect this to be a complete one-off? Or you might have to revisit this in the future? And the second, if you could tell us what your payout ratio should be in the long run.

  • Luis Felipe Castellanos Lopez-Torres - CEO & GM

  • Can you repeat the second part, is your payout ratio?

  • Carlos Gomez-Lopez - Senior Analyst, Latin America Financials

  • Yes, the payout -- dividend payout ratio in your long-term plan in 3, 5 years where would you expect your payout to be?

  • Luis Felipe Castellanos Lopez-Torres - CEO & GM

  • Okay. Great. The first part of the question, let me pass it on to Michela. She probably can help you more than I. The second part of the question. Our payout ratio continues to be the addition of the dividends of our subsidiaries and just to remind you, local GAAP, okay? So what we're doing in the bank like at Interbank, it's 45% to 50% payout ratio, in Interseguro around 50%; and Inteligo around 50% less as well. All those funds go up. We just keep a bit for our holding operation, which is the financial expenses and minor operating expenses and everything else goes up for dividends. So that's the way you should think about it and the way you should model it.

  • And then for the first part of your question, let me pass it on to Michela.

  • Michela Casassa Ramat - CFO

  • Carlos. So let me give you an explanation of the impact that we have. This is something similar to the impairment that we had during the second quarter of 2020. And we did the reschedulings on COVID. Of course, the magnitude of what we have done this time is much smaller, okay? But the impairment is high because what has changed is that as you need to do the difference between the NPV cash flows of the old loans versus the NPV of the cash flows of the new loans, what has changed this time is that, we are taking loans that were consumer loans with very high rates because the high rate environment that we are today.

  • So the conditions of these new loans have lower rates. So the differential in rates of these flows is much higher than it was from COVID. So this is why even if the volumes are very small, when you do this exercise of NPVs, you find this big impact this quarter. So basically, what happens is you have this negative this quarter. But as long as those loans mature and some of them are repaid, you will see some small positive impacts in the coming quarters. What we should expect going forward, if we do not do additional rescheduling is not in the magnitude, not volumes, but on the differential in rates that we did in the first quarter, we shouldn't have such a big impact going forward in the year. And I'm not sure whether this was clear.

  • Carlos Gomez-Lopez - Senior Analyst, Latin America Financials

  • It is clear. And it is because, as you said, the rates are higher now. But again, you do not recover anything when -- if rates go down, that should not be -- we should not expect a recovery on this...

  • Michela Casassa Ramat - CFO

  • No, no. The recovery will happen -- will take place when clients -- I mean, for the portion of clients that pay their debts.

  • Carlos Gomez-Lopez - Senior Analyst, Latin America Financials

  • And again, this was (inaudible) mostly because of the disturbances earlier in the year. We follow the news. We understand that everything is relatively normal right now. But is it, I mean, are these operationally normal in the entire country today? Or you still find difficulties in some parts?

  • Michela Casassa Ramat - CFO

  • No, no. Today, we are fully operational. I mean the disruption was -- I mean, for the process was more than January, beginning of February for the rains was a portion of March, but now everything is restored back to normal.

  • Operator

  • Thank you. At this time, we will take the webcast questions. I will now turn the call over to Rafael with InspIR Group.

  • Rafael Borja

  • Thank you, operator. We have a question from (inaudible). Can you explain with more details the main changes that impacted in a positive way the results in the insurance line due to the IFRS17?

  • Luis Felipe Castellanos Lopez-Torres - CEO & GM

  • Okay. Maybe Gonzalo or Juan Pablo can help me with that part of the positive impacts of IFRS17 for positive question? JP?

  • Juan Pablo Segura Vegas - VP of Legal, Administration & Finance

  • Sure. I think Gonzalo is having mic trouble. So -- there are different impacts with the IFRS17 adoption. There are some favorable ones and some unfavorable ones. I wouldn't say that all of them were favorable in Q1 or the pro forma that we show for 2022, right? So the main changes that I can highlight is, one, you have a higher liability that we're constituting because all the maintenance expenses of a contract from now on to the future until the contract expired with the customers are now brought to net present value in the liability. And that's why the liabilities of the insurance balance sheet goes up.

  • The other big impact is concept called risk adjustment, which is around 4% to 5% of the total liabilities of an insurance company. So IFRS17 calls for additional liabilities for risks that are not specific to the industry, but risk that can come up during the time of the contract. That's around 4% to 5% of our liabilities. The other one is all the gains that we get from the new business. So when we underwrite a new insurance policy, we were recognizing the profit of that policy right away. Now you capitalize it, you can call it capitalize it within liabilities and then you accrue that profit for the duration of the contract, right? So that's the other one.

  • The other impact, big impact is the customer acquisition cost. With IFRS4, we recognize, as we recognize revenue also, we recognize all the customer acquisition cost right away. Now we also capitalize it, and we accrue it on the duration of the contract. And the last one will be something that is called the loss component. And this is for insurance contracts that when we underwrite them or any insurance company underwrite them, the benefit or the net present value of the benefit is negative. And that depends obviously on the WACC or the interest rate that we're using to calculate the net present value. When the policy underwritten is negative, and it's a loss, we have to recognize that immediately in the results of the quarter or of the month. So those are the big highlights of the new adoption of IFRS17.

  • Luis Felipe Castellanos Lopez-Torres - CEO & GM

  • Okay. Thank you, Juan Pablo. Just for everyone in the call, there is information about the effects of IFRS17 and even a reconciliation of the results of 2022 as if they had been under IFRS17 and the appendix of our earnings presentation. So probably there you will have important insights in terms of the effect, not only what we should expect going forward, but you can reconciliate what would have happened if that were in place during last year. So hopefully, that's helpful for everyone.

  • Rafael Borja

  • We have another question from ADP Ventures. You have shown impressive growth and penetration numbers for the digital and payments business. Can you please discuss other metrics you are tracking for the digital payments business that help you determine whether you are creating value, perhaps unit economics or revenue per user [virtue]?

  • Luis Felipe Castellanos Lopez-Torres - CEO & GM

  • Okay. Well, [Greg], thanks very much for your question. For this -- to answer this question, let me pass it on to Carlos Tori. So I guess everybody knows Carlos, he's been the VP of Retail Banking for many years and important part in pushing forward our digital strategy. And since the beginning of the year, he's been in charge of -- now responsible for our new payments pillar. So he will have good insights about the way you're looking at this. So Carlos, please?

  • Carlos Tori Grande - Executive VP of Retail Business & VP of Payments

  • Thank you, Luis Felipe, and thank you, Greg, for the question. First of all, the good thing or the great thing is there's still a lot of opportunities, depending on which source you use, 60% or 80% of the payments in Peru are still made in cash. So there's a lot of growth coming in the future. Thus, we are focusing on the whole funnel. We started trying to get as many users as possible, both on the user or payer side as well as the merchant side. So we start there, and then we try to keep them active and the more transactions each user has, both on the paying side and the receiving side, is the better. So we have a lot of focus on each of those numbers or KPIs.

  • Then we have to separate the payers, which are customers at the bank, which either use credit cards or debit cards but mostly Plin and then I'll talk about the merchants later. The customers that use Plin, we have seen have a much lower cost to serve. They are digital clients. We have higher float, higher engagement, higher NPAs. We have a higher growth and obviously, less use of ATMs. So that's a definite positive. We have been -- you probably heard that we've been very focused on lowering cost of acquisition as well, not only cost to serve. Most of our clients come through digital already. So cost of acquisition is very low. So that's one source of revenue or some sort of value.

  • And then when you look at the merchant side, we're also focusing on cost of acquisition, more clients, more use. It's easier to see the value there because you can see the positive EBITDA and net income on that business, all of the credit card and debit card payments have a fee, and we have a very active department of pricing and analysis, and we continue to be very active on everything we do with pricing there. And so using the results on that company.

  • Obviously, we continue to work on additional sources of income, either aggregated services, we've been working very closely to move the flows of the merchant companies to Interbank. So there's additional flow from that, and we've been highly successful doing that. So we're seeing some of the sceneries. So there's a lot of sources of value. We have, as you can imagine, many, many KPIs, but I would say the net income at Izipay and the EBITDA is probably the most specific one to follow. Very, very focused on activity ratios on our customers.

  • Luis Felipe Castellanos Lopez-Torres - CEO & GM

  • Thank you, Carlos. More questions?

  • Operator

  • There appears to be no further questions at this time. I would like to turn the floor to Mrs. Casassa for any closing remarks.

  • Michela Casassa Ramat - CFO

  • Okay. Thank you very much. Thanks again, everybody, for joining us in our call today, and we will see everyone back again during our second quarter earnings call. Thank you. Bye-bye.

  • Operator

  • This concludes today's conference call. You may now disconnect.