Group 1 Automotive Inc (GPI) 2024 Q1 法說會逐字稿

Good morning, ladies and gentlemen. Welcome to Group 1 Automotive's first quarter 2024 financial results conference call. Please be advised that this call is being recorded. I'd now like to turn the floor over to Mr. Pete DeLongchamps, Group 1's Senior Vice President of Manufacturer Relations, Financial Services and Public Affairs. Please go ahead, Mr. DeLongchamps.

Thank you, Jamie, and good morning, everyone, and welcome to today's call. The earnings release we issued this morning and the related slide presentation that include reconciliations related to the adjusted results we will refer to on this call for comparison purposes have been posted to Group 1's website.

Before we begin, I'd like to make some brief remarks about forward-looking statements and the use of non-GAAP financial measures. Except for historical information mentioned during the conference call, statements made by management of Group 1 Automotive are forward-looking statements that are made pursuant to the Safe Harbor provisions of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Forward-looking statements involve both known and unknown risks and uncertainties, which may cause the Company's actual results in future periods to differ materially from forecasted results. These risks include, but are not limited to, risks associated with pricing, volume, inventory supply due to increased customer demand and reduced manufacturing production levels due to some component shortages, conditions of markets, successful integration of our pending Inchcape acquisition and adverse developments of the global economy, and resulting impacts on demand for new and used vehicles and related services. Those and other risks are described in the Company's filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission. In addition, certain non-GAAP financial measures as defined under SEC rules may be discussed on this call. As required by applicable SEC rules, the Company provides reconciliations of any such non-GAAP financial measures to the most directly comparable GAAP measures on its website.

Participating on the call today, Daryl Kenningham, our President and Chief Executive Officer, and Daniel McHenry, Senior Vice President and Chief Financial Officer.

I'd now like to turn the call over to Daryl.

Good morning, everyone. Last week we announced our acquisition of Inchcape Retail, the largest dealership transaction in Group 1's history. We're thrilled to have successfully come to an agreement with Inchcape plc on this generational acquisition. There are several benefits to Group 1. One, we'd like to grow. The acquisition gives us access to markets where we previously had no presence. And it also adds scale to markets where we have existing presence. The brand mix at Inchcape is outstanding. Very little facility investment is required and we felt the valuation was exceptional. The Inchcape business is well run and our cultures align very well. We believe that combining Group 1 UK with Inchcape will benefit all of our UK stores and Inchcape is accretive from day one. And we will believe we will see an immediate EPS impact. Properly allocating our shareholders' capital is our highest priority.

When evaluating an acquisition, we run disciplined valuation models with realistic expectations, incorporating growth and investments. The return generated through that modeling is compared to the expected return of repurchasing our stock, paying down debt or using the capital for other uses. From our perspective, the valuation on the Inchcape transaction was excellent and provided an outstanding use of our shareholders' capital. In a four week period, during the first quarter of this year, we closed on three transactions that were similarly attractive in the US.

What's also important to note is that we've passed on a number of acquisitions that didn't meet our investment hurdles. Some of those were in great markets with great brands. However, we will not chase revenue just for the sake of growing, we will chase returns. In the first quarter, it's important to note, we also disposed of stores that did not meet our return expectations. As you've seen over the last two years, we've balanced acquisitions and dispositions with repurchasing our shares. We bought $3 billion of revenue, disposed of $945 million of revenue, and repurchased 23% of the company. Although we had some operating bumps in the fourth quarter in the UK, our teams reacted well. Our used car inventory is very healthy. Our grosses have returned and we've implemented significant expense reductions. Daniel McHenry will speak more specifically to those actions in a moment. We are a pure play dealership group. While we regularly evaluate other business opportunities, we believe the best use of capital to grow the Company is in new vehicle franchise dealerships. It may not be that way forever, but that is what we see in today's economic and competitive environment.

We also believe close partnerships with OEMs has never been more important. OEMs need great retail partners now more than ever. The great ones embed that and execute against them. They need our capital, professionalism, and execution to win in this ultra-competitive environment. We don't see that changing in the future. We actually said OEM relationship growing in importance, and we believe the Inchcape acquisition allows Group 1 an outstanding opportunity to demonstrate that.

Now I'll turn the call over to Daniel McHenry for an operating and financial overview. Daniel?

Thank you, Daryl, and good morning, everyone. In the first quarter of 2024 Group 1 Automotive reported $130 million in adjusted net income and delivering a quarterly adjusted diluted EPS from continuing operation of $9.49. Current quarter total revenues of $4.5 billion were the highest first quarter revenues in company history, supported by all lines of business and parts and service revenue of $576.2 million were an all-time high. Starting with our US operations, new vehicle units sold outpaced the industry up 8% on a same-store basis and 14% on a reported basis.

During the first quarter, 17% of our new vehicle sales in the US were pre-sales, down from 24% in the prior quarter. These strong unit sales reflect the resiliency of demand on our emphasis on driving volume. GPUs performed above as expected and continue under slow glide path down as inventory's return. In used cars, GPUs increased $245 sequentially with units sales up 8%. Giving the speed and depth that the industry used car valuations declined in the US during the latter half of 2023, we are pleased with our ability to hold margins and increased volume. We believe this is testament to our process discipline with pricing on our use of technology.

Our F&I gross profit per unit of $2,340 only minimally declined on a same-store sequential quarter basis and increased 3% year-over-year. We expect some continued pressure on used vehicle finance penetration due to existing interest rates and higher lender requirements for some buyers. However, we expect continued improvement in new vehicle finance penetration due to increasing OEM incentives. After sales first quarter revenues and gross profits outperformed the prior year comparable quarter on a same-store basis, and we achieved a record U.S. parts and service revenues of approximately $500 million. We continue to believe that aftersales is a scenario for Group 1 to differentiate, and we will continue to invest in that part of our business.

Wrapping up the US, let's shift to SG&A. Adjusted SG&A as a percentage of gross profit increased 260 basis points year over year to 65.7%, but remains considerably from pre-COVID levels of around 70% as new vehicle margins continue to normalize.

Let's turn to the UK. The UK improved from fourth quarter of 2023. Our UK team delivered record quarterly revenues, driven by new vehicles and parts and service, which grew 10% and 9% respectively. We experienced declining new vehicle margins, a continuation at the initial onset of the quarter, of the difficult used market first experienced in the fourth quarter of 2023, and improved cost control as we work to remove costs throughout the quarter. While hotel losses were down 34% per units versus the sequential quarter, we experienced an even steeper improvement in February and March.

Used vehicle gross profit per unit improved $229 or 20% on a sequential quarter basis. We believe back haul demand remains resilient and new vehicles availability is still constrained, keeping new vehicle pricing and GPUs elevated. As of March 31, our new vehicle order bank was approximately 12,500 units. As a reminder, our UK business mix is predominantly luxury, and those consumers are more resilient during times of economic uncertainty.

Our UK operations began rebalancing of its used vehicle inventory during the fourth quarter of 2023 and continued into the first quarter of 2024. This continued rebalancing resulted in an $840 loss per vehicle sold through the wholesale channels in the first quarter, an improvement from the $1,300 loss per vehicle in the fourth quarter. We have improved our used vehicle agency and reduced our used vehicle inventory by 12 days from 58 days in December 31 to 46 days. UK adjusted SG&A as a percent of gross profit decreased by 772 basis points sequentially, reflecting the impact of our cost cutting efforts that began in the fourth quarter of 2023.

Cost cutting took place throughout the entirety of the first quarter 2024, resulting in an elevated adjusted SG&A, which was 1,020 basis points higher year over year. We also experienced the impact of the decline in gross margins across all lines of our business as compared to the prior year quarter.

Turning to our balance sheet and liquidity as of March 31, we had $42 million of cash on hand and another $180 million invested in our floorplan offset accounts assessable immediately bringing total cash liquidity to $222 million. We also had $241 million available to borrow on our acquisition line, bringing total immediate available liquidity to $463 million. In the first quarter of 2024, we generated $171 million of adjusted operating cash flow and $128 million of free cash flow after backing out $43 million of CapEx.

This capital was deployed through a combination of acquisitions, share repurchases, and dividends. In the first quarter of 2024, we spent $54 million, repurchasing approximately 203,000 shares at an average price of $264.41, resulting in a 1.5 reduction in share count over the quarter. Our share count as of today is signed to approximately $13.5 million. Our balance sheet, cash flow generation, and leverage position will continue to support flexible capital allocation approach, including serious consideration of share repurchases in addition to pursuing external growth opportunities.

Our rent adjusted leverage ratio as defined by our US syndicated credit facility was 2.45 times at the end of March. Our strong balance sheet will continue to ally for meaningful and balanced capital deployment. Our quarterly floorplan interest of $20.5 million was an increase of $7.9 million from the prior year due to higher inventory holdings. We effectively manage our floorplan interest expense by holding excess cash in our floorplan offset accounts, reducing the balance exposed to interest as well as through our portfolio of interest rate swaps, which saved us $2 million of interest expense versus the comparable prior year quarter. Quarterly non floorplan interest expense of $29.3 million increased $9.6 million from the prior year quarter, primarily related to higher interest from increased borrowings on our acquisition line. The benefit in the prior year of the de-designated swaps, increased mortgage related borrowings and higher interest on existing borrowings. Our floorplan interest rate swaps, similar. Our mortgage swap portfolio saved us $0.4 million in the current quarter versus the comparable period.

As of March 31, approximately 56% of our $4.2 billion in floorplan and other debt was fixed. Therefore, the annual EPS impact is only about $1.05 for every hundred basis point increase in the secured overnight funding rates are so far, which is the benchmark rate reference in our floorplan and mortgage debt instruments.

Let's turn to capital allocation. We deploy our return-focused capital allocation strategy that balances opportunistic portfolio management and return of capital to our shareholders in the form of quarterly dividends and share buybacks.

During the quarter, we acquired expected annual revenues of $1 billion. We spent $54 million to repurchase 1.5% of our outstanding common shares unpaid dividends of $6 million. We continue to explore ways to consolidate our holdings in highly profitable, scalable dealerships, and dealership clusters. We believe the dealership business is the best use of our capital. I have demonstrated our ability to successfully integrate acquisitions very quickly. We continue to explore opportunities to capture immediate growth through acquisitions. We also believe divesting smaller underperforming stores and brands is a critical part of our strategy as well. We believe this approach is critical to our growth story, which leverages our scale and proven integration capabilities, optimizes our rooftop performance and grows the company in a meaningful and incremental manner. For additional detail regarding our financial condition, please refer to the schedules of additional information attached in the news release as well as our investor presentation posted on our website.

I will now turn the call over to the operator to begin our question-and-answer session. Operator?

Ladies and gentlemen, we will now begin the question and answer session. (Operator Instructions) John Murphy, Bank of America.

Good morning, everybody. Daryl, first question on the Inchcape in the acquisition. It sounds like it's an interesting acquisition. I'm just curious if in addition to sort of the benefit of acquiring a good company and growth, there could be sort of the knock-on benefit of helping solve some of the management issues that you had in the UK towards the end of last year. And just maybe if you can update us on sort of the turn and actions that have taken that business and where that stands? So it sounds like Inchcape might be a lot more just a good acquisition. It might help us a lot of the management issues.

Thank you, John. You know, we bought eight Inchcape stores a few years ago and the talent level at Inchcape is fabulous. The heads of business that run those stores for us today, all came from Inchcape. And we are excited about the talent level and the management depth at Inchcape. They really, really have some fabulous people. And so I can affirm that we are excited about that. And that is definitely an add-on benefit for us.

So on the specific actions that we took in the fourth quarter in the first quarter to get our own issues behind us and our own UK operation, we went through a cost cutting exercise on an SG&A basis that touch the variety of parts of the Company and including a head count. And we also reduced our demo fleets, loaner fleets, which are a huge expense for us as well. And so aside from the SG&A and the headcount issues and the loaner and demo, we also put a great deal more emphasis on our used car aging in turn, made some organizational changes around that to put some more focus on it. And we are pleased with the results we saw in the first quarter. We believe some of those actions will result in improved performance throughout the year.

And then if I could just sneak in one follow-up. You mentioned something about the partnerships with OEMs improving, I was just wondering if you can maybe talk about that a bit and maybe on the level of your what does it mean for acquisitions, what does it mean potentially for parts and service? And what could it mean for the used vehicle business? And I don't know if you could touch on those three and generally kind of what your what you mean by improved partnerships with OEMs?

Well, I think a lot of the OEMs are taking what they do in a market like the UK, where they have fewer partners with bigger footprints. And I think they're bringing that thinking to the US. And I think they really value the right partner. And I think they really are trying to drive that this specifically in certain brands. And they do that through the way they work with us on acquisitions, the creativity that we apply and the opportunities that are provided. And I can tell you if you look at the three acquisitions we did in the US in February and early March, fabulous brands across a variety of OEMs in some great markets. And I think I can point to our great relationship with those OEMs that enabled that.

And I think they are continuing to look. They understand that there's -- our business is a 5% margin business and it takes capital and great execution at retail to make their brands successful. And I think they're recognizing that more everyday. So that's why I say that. And I think that applies not just that additional acquisitions, but in the way they execute across a lot of the tactical elements that you mentioned, like used cars and parts of service. They're looking for dealer groups that can innovate. And I think that helps in those areas.

Michael Ward, Freedom Capital.

Michael Ward, are you there?

I'm sorry. Good morning, everyone. Can you hear me okay? Daniel, could you shed some color on the acquisition costs in 1Q and maybe you even netted out with the sales? And then with the Inchcape acquisition, you have the acquisition and the real estate or is it one price or both?

So let's start with the Inchcape acquisition price. The price that was quoted in our press release included the real estate for Inchcape. So effectively, the GBP220 million that was quoted was for real estate and the balance between the price quoted and the GBP220 million was effectively the goodwill and all other net assets. For the deals that we've done in the US, we said that we don't quote the price that we pay for those deals. However, what I will say that all of those deals that fell within our return model, so we model on the basis of a discounted cash flow basis. And we have a targeted rate of return of approximately 12% on those acquisitions. And all of those acquisitions fell, but within those targets.

Okay. So netted out though with somewhere in that neighborhood of about GBP200 million then it sounds like between buying in some of the proceeds from the disposals?

It will be more than that, Mike, for --

For 1Q.

For 1Q, correct.

Okay. And just one last thing on Inchcape. I wonder if you could talk a little bit about some of the longer-term relationships and how that came about. You said you acquired eight other stores from them at some previous point. You have a history of having long relationships with some of the acquisitions you make. And I'm just wondering how this fits in and your confidence level that it's going to be like some of the others have been in pretty well like prime fitting pretty well to the Group 1 network.

Yes, we were when we bought some of Inchcape sports stores and Volkswagen stores and seven or eight years ago, and the integration was very good. Inchcape has been in the retail business in the UK for 50 years, and they're sophisticated operator. And we really benefited from some of the things they brought us on that acquisition and the OEM mix that we're getting with this acquisition, we own all of those OEMs today and we own all, but two of them in the UK today. The two, we don't own today in the UK are Porsche and Lexus. We own all of the others today and we've got what I believe are very productive positive relationships with those OEMs. And that's based primarily on performance and our willingness and ability to invest in their brand like in facilities, et cetera.

Yeah, those relationships for us go back quite a ways and bridge and often bridge both countries.

David Whiston, Morningstar.

Thank you. Good morning. Just a couple for me on, you guys continued to do pretty well there despite all the pressures in that space. Do you have any kind of national algorithm or is it just more of a data approach that's a bit less centralized?

We're getting more centralized, David. One with the technology we use and we switch technology about a year ago. We're going to have to go many and I think we're leveraging it better today. We also have made some changes in some of our aging policies, some of our intracompany transfer policies to be able to put vehicles where they will have the highest velocity at the most opportunistic profit on a faster basis. And I think we're seeing the results of all of that, and we're able to keep our year-over-year growth rates up. Even though we have less inventory, we have 26 days of inventory and we're still able to keep the velocity and the year-over-year improvements in place and the PRU is holding up well. So I think it's a variety of things that the team is doing. We're approaching it more on a standardized basis than we ever have. And we have more resources on it today than we ever have too.

And in the US market are you seeing any kind of a meaningful increase in leasing yet?

Actually, our leasing was out of second quarter, but it's up significantly from where it's been the last couple of years. So we've got the number in our deck.

We do it. David, it's Daniel here. New vehicle leasing, year on year. So quarter one, '24 versus quarter one '23. We saw 460 basis point increase. So leasing today is up to 18.6% of our new vehicle sales.

Rajat Gupta, JPMorgan.

Great. Good morning. Thanks for taking the question. First one was on services. Pretty good growth now in customer pay and warranty. But it looks like collision and wholesale parts were slow and especially collision was weak. And any sense of what drove that reversion? One of your peers reported yesterday also, which was quite weak in that category. I'm just curious like how should we think about that part of the service business recovering and also the wholesale parts. And just in the context of the overall service growth as well, how should we see things trending through the course of the year? I have a follow-up.

A couple of comments, Rajat. On collision, I can't assign a value to this, but what we do seem to be seeing are insurance companies totaling more vehicles because of the used car valuations that have been falling. So that is certainly impacting the collision business, which will have some effect that affect the wholesale parts business.

Also, we're trying to be smart about our wholesale parts business that can be a lot of revenue and not a lot of margin.

And so we're kind of in the process right now of at least reviewing to make sure that we we're generating positive returns on that. So that could be affecting some of that revenue on the wholesale parts business, but we were pleased with the CP performance, as you mentioned, and we added more technicians year over year, and that continues to be a focus for us.

Got it. Should we expect this kind of a year-over-year growth rate to continue for the remainder of the year? Or should we expect some kind of like improvement or is this a good level to assume for the remaining of the year on the overall parts and service segment?

I think we're kind of comfortable with where we are today as trying to estimate where we will be in the future.

Glenn Chin, Seaport Research Partners.

Good morning, folks. Just going back to the UK cost cuts, can you share with us how much of benefit was realized in the first quarter? And then can you remind us, I think you mentioned in the fourth quarter you expected annualized savings of was it $8 million to $10 million, if you can just confirm that?

Glenn, I think that for our annualized saving of $8 million to $10 million, the cost cuts took place throughout the quarter. It takes a little longer in the UK to generate some of these savings just with the employment law that's there. And but I would expect to see the full benefit of the cost cuts in quarter two.

But I'm trying to get to how much more incrementally we should expect. So how much was realized?

I would say 50% of it was realized in the first quarter, if you assume that the redundancies took place 50% for the quarter effectively.

Okay. Very good. That's helpful. Thanks. And then just a question on full-size pickups. There's some stories of rising inventory, some of the triple digit levels we saw ram cutting employees and production. Have you guys detected a change in the demand profile for full-size pickups?

I wouldn't -- I've seen some of that press too, Glenn. And when we kind of look across our mix, the GM brands were pretty good. The ram was down a tick and S-Series was down a tick. Toyota was up significantly and actually so we were, overall we were up a little bit in the large pickup sales year over year. So it's hard for me to square that with what I've seen in some of the press.

But Glenn, one thing I'll add to that is our Texas exposure makes a big difference for pickup sales.

And if you look at our truck day supply compared to the car itself, they're right together.

Rajat Gupta, JPMorgan.

Great, thanks. Thanks for getting me back in the queue. I just wanted to clarify on SG&A in the US in particular. If I look at like the gross profit versus the SG&A, we saw a slightly higher pick up on the SG&A dollars versus the gross profit. What was that, just seasonality or maybe some deleveraging because of the service business? Just curious what happened there and how should we think about that leverage profile now through the course of the year?

I guess, there's a couple of things there. It's Daniel. What we've always said is coming out of this. We would expect that SG&A as a percentage of gross would drop from 74% pre-pandemic to around 70% with kind of 400 basis points out of SG&A as a percent of gross going forward. Now clearly some of the grosses are dropping on new vehicles, and we continue to see about $100 a month reduction in that, and that affects SG&A as a percent of gross. There's a couple of other things that I would add. Clearly, we didn't get all of the cost side in the UK in the quarter and first full benefit that we will see going forward in quarter two. So we would expect on an ongoing basis SG&A as a percent of gross. All things being equal to continue to reduce in the UK.

Taking on some of these new acquisition stores, often there's slightly elevated costs that come as we take on some of those these new acquisition stores and particularly by-store halfway through a month, it's just a tougher SG&A as a percentage of growth as we bed those stores in. So I think you need to take some of that into account as well whenever you look at the change in SG&A as a percent of growth.

Understood. That makes sense. Thanks for clarifying.

Thank you, Rajat.

Ladies and gentlemen, with that being our final question for today, we will close out today's conference call and presentation. We do thank you for joining. You may now disconnect your lines.