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Operator
Good morning, good afternoon, or good evening.
Welcome to the East West Bancorp fourth-quarter 2013 earnings conference call.
All participants will be in listen-only mode.
(Operator Instructions)
After today's presentation, there will be an opportunity to ask questions.
(Operator Instructions)
Please note this event is being recorded.
I would now like to turn the conference over to Ms. Kelly Adams, the Senior Vice President.
Please go ahead.
- SVP
Good morning, and thank you for joining us to review the financial results of East West Bancorp for the fourth quarter and full year of 2013.
Here to review the results are Dominic Ng, Chairman and Chief Executive Officer; Julia Gouw, President and Chief Operating Officer; and Irene Oh, Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer.
We will then open the call to questions.
Second, we would like to caution you that during the course of the call, management may make projections or other forward-looking statements regarding events or future financial performance of the Company within the meaning of the Safe Harbor Provision of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995.
These forward-looking statements may differ materially from the actual results due to a number of risks and uncertainties.
For a more detailed description of factors that affect the Company's operating results, please refer to our filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission, including our annual report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2012.
Today's call is also being recorded and will be available in replay format at Eastwestbank.com.
I will now turn the call over to Dominic.
- Chairman and CEO
Thank you, Kelly.
Good morning, and thank you for joining us.
Yesterday afternoon, we were pleased to report financial results for the fourth quarter and for the full year.
2013 was another year of record earnings for East West, and we achieved many financial successes.
East West reported strong earnings of $75.8 million, or $0.55 per diluted share for the fourth quarter.
We increased full-year net income by 5%, or $13.4 million to a record $295 million from $281.7 million in 2012 and increased earnings per diluted share by $0.21, or 11% from $1.89 in 2012.
In 2013, we achieved the highest net income in the history of the bank, grew loan and deposits to record levels, and experienced strong improvements in credit qualities, while maintaining good operating efficiency.
Also in 2013, our stock price increased over 62%.
Our market capitalization was increased to over $4.8 billion as of the end of the year.
We also increased common dividends by 50% during the year and bought back 200 million of stock, returning a total of $283 million, or 96% of 2013 net earnings, to our common shareholders.
Additionally, we were pleased to announce yesterday a further increase to our annual common stock dividend to $0.72 for 2014, up 20% from last year.
During 2013, we grew total loans by 20%, or $3 billion, to a record $18.1 billion.
Our loan growth was broad-based and came from commercial industrial loans, commercial real estate, and residential loans.
Additionally, total deposits grew nicely at 11% or $2.1 billion year to date to a record $20.4 billion, achieved through healthy growth in low-cost commercial deposits.
In 2013, net income totaled $295 million, which is the fourth consecutive year of record net income for East West.
Once against, our annual return on equity and return on assets ratios were both above many of our peers, at 12.59% and 1.25% respectively.
This strong financial performance was accomplished through quality execution on all significant fronts, including loan and deposit growth, operating expense control, and maintaining strong credit quality.
During the fourth quarter, we announced the acquisition of MetroCorp Bancshares, Inc, and we closed the merger at the end of business last Friday.
MetroCorp is a strategic acquisition for East West and allows us entry into the new markets of Dallas and San Diego and a substantially increased presence in Houston.
As of December 31, 2013, MetroCorp had $1.6 billion of total assets, $1.2 billion of loans, and $1.3 billion of deposits.
The final consideration we paid for MetroCorp was 1.63 times tangible equity, or a total of $268 million.
This translates to $14.33 per share, with two-thirds of the consideration in East West stock and one-third in cash.
We welcome our new employees and customers to East West, and we look forward to offering our expanded services platform and branch network to MetroCorp customers.
East West has a long history of successful acquisitions and system conversions.
The integration plans are well under way for both Metro Bank and Metro United Bank, scheduled to be completed during the end of the second quarter this year.
Also in late December 2013, we opened a new branch in Las Vegas, our first in the state of Nevada.
Over the years, we have developed many commercial banking relationships in the Las Vegas region and are optimistic of our ability to generate profitable and sustainable commercial clients in Nevada as well.
As we started 2014, we are excited about our future opportunities East West has to grow our business and generate strong returns for our shareholders.
Although the business environment for the banking industry continue to be challenging, with the ongoing low interest rate environment and regulatory changes, we are confident that East West will continue to perform well.
In 2013, we had strong organic growth and also were able to complement our organic growth with a strategic and financially compelling acquisition.
Our strong organic growth stems from the -- our distinct positioning, as the bridge between the east and the west.
Globalization is increasing bilateral trade between the US and China, and we see more and more opportunities for East West to provide a unique value to our customers in this sector.
We have positioned ourselves to be the natural leader in providing across-border banking services to customers in the US and China.
We will continue to make investments in people and infrastructure to better serve our customers and strengthen our core capabilities.
Our strong financial results in 2013 reflect the opportunity East West has and our ability to execute successfully.
For these reasons, we believe that East West will be able to continue to deliver strong financial results in 2014 and beyond.
With that, I would now turn the call over to Julia to discuss in more detail, our key successes in the fourth quarter and also discuss our expectation for 2014.
- President and COO
Thank you very much, Dominic, and good morning to everyone.
I would like to spend a few minutes discussing the loan growth we experienced during the quarter, our net interest margin, and our expectations for the future.
Finally, I will review the guidance we provided in the earnings release yesterday for the first quarter and the full year of 2014.
Our total loan portfolio increased to a record $18.1 billion at December 31, 2013, an increase of $879.3 million, or 5%, from September 30, 2013, and an increase of $3 billion, or 20%, for the full year.
The loan growth for the fourth quarter was driven by strong diversified loan originations throughout the bank.
Increases in commercial loans continued to drive our total loan growth, with non-covered commercial and industrial loans, and commercial real estate loans up 10%, or $478.8 million, and 4%, or $172.5 million, respectively.
Single-family residential loan growth continued to be robust during the fourth quarter of 2013, increasing 6%, or $192 million quarter to date.
During the fourth quarter, we originated approximately 940 single-family residential loans, totalling $350 million, with an average loan size of $370,000 and an average loan-to value of 53%.
Although still very strong, residential loan originations are down in the fourth quarter as compared to the third quarter, in line with industry trends.
In the coming year, we do expect that the origination volumes will be lower than in 2013.
Although the growth in the non-covered portfolio will continue to be offset by the expected reduction in the covered portfolio, at this point, we project that we can grow total loan portfolio by 8% to 10% through the end of 2014.
Along with strong growth, we have continued to successfully acquire new commercial deposit relationships, resulting in healthy core deposit growth.
Total deposits increased $53.8 million during the quarter, to a record $20.4 billion due to the growth in core deposits to a record $14.6 billion.
The strong growth in our core deposits was fueled by an increase in non-interest-bearing demand deposits.
As of the end of the year, 29%, or 5.8 billion, of our total deposits were non-interest-bearing demand deposits, the highest ever in the history of the bank.
Next, I would like to spend a few moments discussing the net interest income and net interest margin for the fourth quarter and our expectation for 2014.
Net interest income, adjusted for the impact of covered loan activity, totaled $198.2 million for the fourth quarter of 2013, an increase of $5.9 million from $192.4 million in the prior quarter.
The core net interest margin, including the net impact of $66.8 million to the FDIC indemnification assets due to the covered loan activity and amortization of the FDIC indemnification assets, totaled 3.41% for the fourth quarter of 2013, down 3 basis points from the third quarter of 2013.
This small compression in the core net interest margin compared to the prior quarter was largely due to the decrease in the adjusted yield under covered loans from 7.7% in the third quarter to 7.18%.
Additionally, for the fourth quarter of 2013, the average cost of deposit increased slightly to 31 basis points, up 1 basis point from the third quarter.
Overall, we had a strong quarter and another record-setting year.
We increased net interest income slightly, lowered deposit costs, and maintained good expense control, while substantially increasing loans and deposits to record levels.
We feel confident that we are building lines of business and making operational improvements that will benefit us for many years to come.
Lastly, I would like to provide some additional color on our guidance for 2014.
As in the past, in our earnings release yesterday, we provided guidance for the first quarter and full year of 2014.
We estimate that fully diluted earnings per share for the full year of 2014 will range from $2.24 to $2.28, increase of $0.14 to $0.18, or 7% to 9% from $2.10 for 2013.
For the first quarter of 2014, we estimate fully diluted earnings per share will range from $0.49 to $0.51.
We currently estimate that the one-time merger-related charges resulting from the acquisition of MetroCorp will be approximately $7 million after-tax, or $0.05 per share.
The guidance for the first quarter of 2014 and full year includes the impact of these one-time charges.
Including the impact of the $0.05 of merger charges, we currently estimate that the MetroCorp acquisition will be approximately $0.02 accretive to 2014 earnings.
Additionally, as discussed by Dominic, we expect to complete the integration of both Metro Bank and Metro United Bank before the end of June of this year.
Since MetroCorp operated two different banks, we will have to undergo two separate conversions.
As such, we do expect higher operating costs until the integration of the two banks into East West is completed, and therefore, we anticipate the cost savings to occur in the second half of the year.
With that, I would now like to turn the call over to Irene to discuss the fourth-quarter and full-year 2013 financial results in more depth.
- EVP and CFO
Thank you very much, Julia, and good morning to everyone.
I would like to discuss our financial results for the fourth quarter and full year of 2013 in more detail, specifically credit quality, non-interest income, and non-interest expense.
Starting with credit quality, the total nonperforming assets, excluding covered assets, to total assets ratio has been under 1% for over four consecutive years, with nonperforming assets of $130.6 million, or 53 basis points of total assets at December 31, 2013.
Nonaccrual loans, excluding covered loans, totaled $111.7 million, or 62 basis points of total loans at December 31, 2013, a decrease from 72 basis points of total loans at December 31, 2012.
For the fourth quarter 2013, the Company recorded a provision for loan loss for non-covered loans of $6.3 million, as compared to a loan loss provision of $13.8 million for the fourth-quarter 2012.
For the full-year 2013, the provision for loan losses for non-covered loans was $18.3 million, a decrease of $41.8 million, or 70% as compared to the year ended 2012.
East West continues to maintain a strong allowance for non-covered loans of $241.9 million, or 1.54% of non-covered loans receivable at December 31, 2013.
Total net recoveries on non-covered loans totaled $1.3 million for the fourth quarter of 2013, compared to net charge-offs of $334,000 in the third quarter of 2013, and $9.6 million of charge-offs in the fourth quarter of 2012.
During the fourth quarter of 2013, the Company recorded a reversal of provision for loan losses of $820,000 on covered loans.
As these loans are covered under loss-share agreements with the FDIC for any charge-offs the Company records income of 80% of the charge-off amount is non-interest income as a net increase in the FDIC receivable, resulting in a net impact to earnings of 20% of the charge-off amount.
Additionally, during the fourth quarter and full year of 2013, we recorded an expense of $8.9 million and $49 million, respectively, as a claw-back liability.
Under the loss-share agreements with the FDIC, if losses in the covered portfolio do not reach specific thresholds, the bank is required to pay the FDIC a calculated amount.
As of December 31, 2013, our total recorded liability to the FDIC for this claw-back liability for both the UCB and the WFIB acquisitions is approximately $75 million.
Moving on to non-interest income and expense, East West reported non-interest loss for the fourth quarter of 2013 of $36.6 million, a decrease from a non-interest loss of $41.4 million, and an increase from a non-interest loss of $18.5 million in the third quarter of 2013, and fourth quarter of 2012, respectively.
For the full year, the Company reported non-interest loss of $92.5 million, an increase in non-interest loss from $5.6 million in 2012.
Additional loss for the year is due to changes in the net reduction of the FDIC indemnification asset and FDIC receivable.
In total, fee income, including branch fees, letter of credit and foreign exchange income, loan fees and other operating income totaled $33.4 million in the fourth quarter of 2013, an increase from both the prior-quarter and prior-year periods.
During the fourth quarter, we recorded net gains of $4.1 million on the sale of $110 million of government-guaranteed student loans, a slight increase from the third quarter, and $3.9 million increase from the prior-year period.
Moving on to non-interest expense, total non-interest expense for the fourth quarter, excluding amounts to be reimbursed by the FDIC and prepayment penalties on FHLB advances increased $25.3 million, or 26% from the third quarter of 2013 and increased by $24.9 million, or 25% from the fourth quarter of 2012.
The increase in non-interest expense quarter over quarter was primarily due to an increase in compensation employee benefits of $5.2 million, an increase in legal expense of $3.8 million, and an increase in the amortization of investments in affordable housing partnerships and other investments of $8.5 million.
The increase in compensation and employee benefits compared to the third quarter of 2013 was largely due to an increase in employee headcount that is commensurate with the growth we've experienced and related increase in bonus accruals.
Legal expense increased $3.8 million, or 42%, compared to the third quarter due to increased legal costs and the resolution of outstanding litigation.
The increase in the amortization of investments in affordable housing partnerships and other investments of $8.5 million was primarily due to two investments we made during the fourth quarter, where the associated tax credit was primarily for the 2013 tax year.
During the quarter, amortization expense on these investments increased, but was more than offset by lower income tax and lower effective tax rate during the quarter.
Additionally, during the fourth quarter, we increased long-term debt to $226.9 million, up from $187.2 million as of September 30, 2013.
The increase in long-term debt during the fourth quarter resulted from an additional $50 million advance on a term loan entered into by the Company, partially offset by $10 million of higher cost junior subordinated debt that was called during the fourth quarter.
Finally, as stated in the earnings release yesterday, East West Board of Directors has declared first-quarter dividends on the common stock.
The common stock cash dividend of $0.18 is payable on April -- excuse me, February 18, 2014, to shareholders of record on February 3, 2014.
This represents an increase of $0.03 per share, or an increase of 20% from the prior quarterly dividend of $0.15 per share.
I'll now turn the call back to Dominic.
- Chairman and CEO
Thank you, Irene.
I would now open the call to questions.
Operator
Thank you.
We will now begin the question-and-answer session.
(Operator Instructions)
And our first question comes from Julianna Balicka of KBW.
Please go ahead.
- Analyst
Good morning.
This is actually David in for Julianna.
I had a question on the dividend increase.
So think about future dividend increases.
Do you have a target dividend payout ratio that you target to?
Or would that be -- could that be in line with EPS growth in the future?
- President and COO
Well, we have some guidelines.
We think that a dividend payout of 30% to 35% seems to be a good dividend payout.
And depending on the growth, we'll take a look whether we continue to accumulate capital or we need the difference to support our growth.
So, but we would like to see that if we increase our EPS every year, that we can continually increasing our dividend each year.
- Analyst
Okay.
And any thoughts on repurchases, now that MCBI has closed?
- Chairman and CEO
Well, at this point, I would say that because our capital ratio is at level that we are very comfortable with, and also we are looking at where we are in terms of our growth plan, we don't think that it will be the best use of our capital to do buyback at this point.
- Analyst
Okay.
Thank you.
And also a question on the loan growth guidance for 2014, the 8% to 10%.
Just want to confirm, that does not include any MCBIs, those based on the total loan from 12/31/2013, right?
- President and COO
Correct, yes.
- Chairman and CEO
Yes, because MCB -- the Metro Bank, we already picked up $1.1 billion of loans as of December 31.
So that is not included in the 8% to 10% growth.
The 8% to 10% will be strictly the East West organic growth on a net basis.
Okay.
That's all I had.
Thank you very much.
Operator
Thank you.
And our next question comes from Ebrahim Poonawala of the Bank of America Merrill Lynch.
Please go ahead.
- Analyst
Good morning, guys.
- President and COO
Good morning, Ebrahim.
- Analyst
Just had a quick follow-up question on loan growth.
One, in terms of, obviously, your guidance implies a slowdown relative to the growth we've seen for the last three quarters.
Just wanted to get a sense in terms of specific -- I know you mentioned, Julia, in your opening remarks, that originations are going to be lower 2014 versus last year.
But wanted to get a sense of what areas you see growth slowing in, and is there -- are you being conservative?
And because it seems like what we are hearing from other banks, especially on the commercial side, that things are picking up.
So loan growth could actually strengthen as we move into 2014.
So I would appreciate if you can give any color on that.
- Chairman and CEO
In terms of our projection, we looked at a few different scenario.
One is what the market condition.
The other one is East West balance sheet.
If we look at what we've done for the last two or three years, particular on the residential mortgage origination, we have done extraordinarily well, because the market allow us to be able to book a lot of very low loan to value, very nice yield type of residential mortgages.
But we got ourselves in the situation now that we actually have a pretty nice balance of residential mortgage.
If you look at the residential mortgage balance today, as a percentage, it's at the level that we looked at it, if we continue the same volume of growth, it's not going to be conducive to our principle of having a well-diversified portfolio with a different mix of different type of products.
Within the East West situation, we wanted to not have this repeat of 2013 of residential mortgage growth anyway.
Then you look at the market condition.
I think in general last year, because of the rate environment, many banks who originate home mortgages were all doing very, very well.
So we are no exception.
We just don't expect that the market will be as strong as it was in 2013.
So we expect the market to slow down.
We also -- within our own balance sheet diversification and risk oversight purpose, we also do not want to see that much growth.
And as a matter of fact, what we've done also is that we have also changed our product mix in the home mortgages area.
In 2013, we offer three-year fixed rate, five-year fixed rate.
And so this year we decided, in fact, it's not only this year, actually in the middle of fourth quarter, we decided that in order to curtail some of the growth, we'll only offer three years fixed rate.
Now, but that's also for interest rate reason, because if you looked at the likelihood of rate going up, maybe by 2015 or something like that, it's now much higher.
Because we've been having this almost zero interest rate environment for the last five years.
So we think that it's about time that rate will eventually go up.
So we decided that rather than three years ago when we offer five years fixed, that was a good move for residential mortgage, because we pick up nice yield, low LTV, and also we don't expect that there's going to be that much of a likelihood of rate going up.
But then moving forward in 2014 and 2015 and 2016, for us to offer five years fixed right now, we don't think that it's very smart for interest rate, as liability management, so to speak.
So in that regard, so we decided to go only a three-years fixed, and I think that will definitely reduce some of the volume.
So it's a combination of us offering products that may be likely to reduce the volume, and we already have a pretty full plate of residential mortgages and our expectation is the market will be slowing down.
So all the combination, we expect that the residential mortgage growth will not be as strong.
On the commercial real estate side, what we've seen is that for the last year particularly, a lot of smaller community banks finally came out of MOU and CND.
Many of them, their first marching order was to originate commercial real estate loans.
In order to be able to do more, and in order to get the yield that they wanted to get the earnings that they need, many of them are doing fixed rate, 5 years, 7 years, 10 years; sometimes even 15 years fixed rate.
Again, we at East West Bank, with our loan growth, with our earnings, with our very efficient operation, we don't think that we need to take the next potential ticking time bomb, which is interest rate risk.
And so instead of going out there and compete aggressively and also offer these long-term fixed rate loans, which we'll regret four to five years from now, we have been holding off and continue to originate mainly adjustable rate mortgages.
An if we do have a fixed rate, we do an interest rate swap with it.
So with that, we also don't expect that we will have a very aggressive high growth in the commercial real estate
So the areas that we expect high growth will continue to be on the C&I and also our international cross-border transaction, trade finance and areas like that.
That's the area we think that we can take on more.
These are long-term profitable, sustainable relationships.
And when we book it -- good C&I loan today, three years from now if the business continue to grow, we automatically grow with it.
We like that kind of business, and we can afford to take on more, and all of them are adjustable anyway.
So we're going to put most of our focus on C&I.
So what we look at is that with payoff and from the loss-share loans and so forth, net-net, even if we have a very high growth in the C&I portfolio, chances are it may come back down to about 10% net, on a net basis, without considering the Metro Bank side.
So that's what we come up with our projection.
- Analyst
Thank you very much.
And a second question, around -- I appreciate your comments, Dominic, around not really viewing buybacks as the best use of capital.
As you look in terms of capital deployment in 2014, you're hinting to Vegas in the fourth quarter.
Do you see additional M&A opportunities?
And would it be within footprint, or could you go into near markets as well?
- Chairman and CEO
Well, in terms of the M&A, we have always taken position is that, again, at East West, we have a pretty strong organic growth engine.
So we can do without M&A for years and still be able to grow faster than many of our peers.
So from an M&A perspective, we have always been under the principle that the deal has to be very attractive from a financial point of view.
And also the deal has to be very attractive from a strategic point of view.
So we have the capacity.
We have the human resources that can take on another acquisition any time, any day.
However, we will not do acquisition for acquisition sake.
And at this point, I would say that, and just like I said in the last few years, the likelihood of acquisition is relatively low.
But while sometimes while I'm saying there is highly unlikely that we will do an acquisition, suddenly we end up doing one.
But this all depends on in a very opportunistic way, we will always be looking out for good deals.
And if we find one, we'll jump into it.
But if we don't, we are going to continue to focus on what we do best, which is we are one of the best in terms of helping US-China business to do business together.
And then in between, we are providing banking services.
And so those are the kind of things that we will continue to make sure that we'll improve our platform, capacity, our product mix, and so forth.
And then I think that there's still going to be plenty of room for us to grow.
- Analyst
Thank you very much for taking my question.
- Chairman and CEO
Thank you.
Operator
Thank you.
And our next question comes from Dave Rochester of Deutsche Bank.
Please go ahead.
- Analyst
Hello, good afternoon.
This is actually Timur Braziler filling in for Dave.
First question is on NIM guidance for this year.
It's a pretty big drop from the fourth Q NIM of 3.41%, I was just wondering if you think the pressure is going to be more front-end loaded, or are you expecting a progression throughout the year?
- EVP and CFO
This is Irene.
I think it will be throughout the year.
The guidance that we did give out is for the entire year of 2014, not necessarily the first quarter.
But when we talk about the drivers for the NIM, I would say it's a couple of things.
One, certainly when we look at 2014, we do not expect the same amount of accretion income that we had even in 2013, which was also a lot less than 2012.
And in fact, when we look at the fourth quarter, as well, one thing that is positive is if you look at the impact of all of the accounting income related to loss share, SOP accounting, it nets to about zero.
That, as you may recall, was about a negative $2 million in the third quarter.
So we're at the point right now when the earnings really are core earnings, although it's still a little bit confusing, and there's a gross-up in the income statement.
But next year when we look at the drivers, certainly with our strategy to not take on too much interest rate risk on the loan portfolio and in the investment portfolio, and with the reduction in the accretable income, those are really the drivers.
- Analyst
Okay.
That's helpful.
So it's fair to say that year-to-year comparison in fourth quarter of 2014, we could likely see a NIM that's below the 340 -- below the guided range?
Is that correct?
- EVP and CFO
Yes.
- Analyst
Okay.
Okay, great.
And then how are you thinking about your core loan yields, ex the covered portfolio?
Should it be pretty stable from here going forward?
It seems like they have done pretty well this quarter and still have the resi product coming on around 5%.
It should help support it.
Is that fair?
- EVP and CFO
Oh, the yield will continue to drift down a little, but I want to clarify this quarter, we did have a little bit of interest recovery on the non-covered portfolio.
That probably added maybe 2 basis points to the margin.
So that's something that is a little bit not recurring.
Certainly, hopefully -- we hope actually that does recur in the future, but it's not necessarily something that we factor into our modeling.
But over the course of 2014, and really until short-term rates go up, you will see that continue drift downward in the yield of the non-covered loans.
- Analyst
Okay, great.
And regarding the jump in the securities yields, what are you guys seeing there?
Is that an extension of the duration a little bit?
And should we expect to see any more upside to the yields in the near term?
- EVP and CFO
There has been a slight extension in the duration.
- Analyst
Okay.
Okay, great.
And then a modeling question, when looking at the fee income line, excluding the loan sales, which I know can be a little bit lumpy, you had a bump-up in other income and some other line items.
Is there any way you can give some color on where you see that trending in 1Q?
- EVP and CFO
Yes.
I would say I would use a run rate of about $30 million.
- Analyst
Okay, $30 million.
Okay.
And then lastly, now that you've closed the MetroCorp deal, I was just wondering if you could frame what you're thinking about the potential opportunity to grow in Texas on the loan and deposit side?
And what portion of your 2014 guidance on the loan side factors in Texas growth?
- Chairman and CEO
Well, in terms of 2014, we've been basically doing a two-step approach.
The first thing first is that we wanted to make sure that we do a good job in system integration.
As you know, Metro Bank has two subsidiary bank, one in Texas, the other one in California.
So actually, they have two system, two separate system.
We need to do two separate system conversion.
So in that regard, we are scheduled to have the system conversion completed in May for one and then June for the other one.
So we get, we are going to get that out of the way.
In the meantime, East West offered many more different products than what currently Metro Bank offered.
So we wanted to spend some time to help train the Metro staff to learn and understand our products and follow through our policy, procedures, things like that.
And we are not going to try and rush too much, because, again, I think that we can afford to do the right thing, make sure they set up properly, and then we've got plenty of years.
We have the next decade or two to have them to grow the balance sheet and so forth.
But the first six months or so, we really wanted to have them to focus on system conversion.
There are going to be a few consolidation of the branches that we need to work with their staff, to make sure how we move the branch staff from one location to another, and learning our product.
It's going to take some time.
And then in any type of potential merger, there's always going to be a small degree of deposit and loans run off.
So we expect that probably the second half of the year, with new hires, that we are going -- we plan to bring in to help supplement the C&I growth in Texas and also with the existing Metro lenders and business development folks, we are going to start growing in the second half.
And some growth there, and then with also some runoff in the beginning of the year because of some consolidation, so forth.
Net-net, it all probably going to wash out to coming out even for the year.
And that's what we consistently projected, that with Metro in 2014, we are going to keep it like a zero growth.
And then go into 2015, then we have very ambitious plans for the Texas region to do a lot more.
And then also to have a business model that resemble the East West business model.
- Analyst
Okay, great.
Thank you very much for the color.
Operator
Thank you.
And our next question comes from Mr. Herman Chan of Wells Fargo Securities.
Please go ahead.
- Analyst
Thank you.
Another follow-up on the question on Metro Bank.
You mentioned 2015, you have expectations for strong growth there and transforming that franchise to mirror that of East West currently.
Should we expect similar growth trajectory for Metro relative to the overall franchise of East West in 2015?
- Chairman and CEO
I didn't get your question.
Can you repeat the question--
- President and COO
The last sentence.
- Chairman and CEO
Yes, the last sentence.
I missed it.
- Analyst
Sure.
I want to know in 2015 if the Metro operation should be growing as quickly as the overall bank outside of Texas.
- Chairman and CEO
Oh, absolutely, absolutely.
Yes.
That's what we expect.
- President and COO
As a percentage compared to their base.
- Chairman and CEO
Because Texas is a -- it's a very strong market, and also when it comes to the US-China opportunities, obviously, if you look at the opportunities like California, New York, no doubt it is very, very strong.
However, you look at Texas, it may not have as much Chinese business investing in that region.
The reality is that there's also not that many banks out there competing against us.
So -- in this field.
So we think that for us, once we get all the merger conversion and all the administrative things taken care of, our staff in that region can really do some great work, in terms of helping the companies in Texas connecting with a potential equity investor from China or maybe exporting their goods to China and then also vice versa.
- Analyst
Got it.
In terms of the hiring process of adding new commercially focused relationship bankers, when do you expect that process to occur?
- Chairman and CEO
We, actually, we are going to start now.
In fact, we have already hired a person in Dallas, and we will continue to look into -- now, the only thing is that I -- we are not doing it like in a very intense, focused manner, because on one hand, our senior leaders in that region also have to put their priorities into system conversion.
But we are letting people know that we are interested to hire people who have C&I experience, people who have solid international background, people who have any particular industry expertise that is attractive to our strategic direction in the future.
And we're looking for all kinds of commercial banking talents that we can bring on.
Now, if we get lucky, maybe in the next few months, we end up bringing a great group of people, that's great.
But since we are not going through an intense (inaudible), we are putting our primary focus on system conversion.
And I would say that at this moment right now, I think that we are just going to continue on a part-time basis on the lookout for the next six months.
And then after all the system conversion is done, then we are going to get more intense in terms of finding the right people.
- Analyst
Understood.
And if I can squeeze one more in here, I want to revisit the expectations on residential loan growth in the year.
As the QM rules kick in now, does the new regulation have any impact on your expectations for a slowdown in resi mortgages?
- President and COO
There may be some obviously, we are following all the rules of the new non-QM.
But I think that given that we do not want to grow the portfolio a lot more to increase the percentage of concentration of single-family residential loans, that would be like one of the main drivers, where we also don't think that we will grow that portfolio significantly in 2014.
- Analyst
Understood.
Thank you very much.
- President and COO
Thank you, Herman.
Operator
Thank you.
And our next question comes from Joe Morford of RBC Capital Markets.
Please go ahead.
- Analyst
Thank you.
Good morning, everyone.
- President and COO
Good morning, Joe.
- Analyst
Just wanted to circle back on the strong commercial loan growth in the quarter, and wondered if you could talk a bit more about the drivers there.
How much generally came from, say, the international trade finance side versus some of the niche portfolios that you've been pursuing?
- Chairman and CEO
Yes, you are right.
You covered them all.
Mainly, I would say that international trade finance is the primary driver.
And then from some of the other niche, industry niches, like, for example, in our entertainment, that we actually also have some nice gain.
And then from the technology, life science area, we have a few good loans that we booked.
And I would say that pretty much across the board, some manufacturings small-, middle-market business.
But clearly, I would say that our primary international trade finance, and then with a good mix, very diverse coverage of these strategic industries that East West made a commitment to invest a few years ago, and we are getting results from all categories.
And that actually is the reason why we feel relatively confident that in 2014, we should have the ability to carry the momentum to continue to grow our C&I portfolio.
Because few years ago we made a very strong commitment to invest in these various industries, with the expertise that are relevant to our mission of being that bridge between the east and the west and being the bridge for US and China business.
And I think that to a certain degree, slowly, gradually it is paying off, and we hope that that momentum will continue and allow us to continue to even not only be able to bring additional new hires.
The fact is now we have more and more of our home-grown professionals that we brought in on the entry level, but a few years of more intense, on-the-job training, they also can step up on their own to also help increase the organic growth.
With all of that, I think that we are expecting this direction will help us to grow out our loan portfolio for the next 10 years.
- President and COO
Also, the last few years, while traditionally, most of our trade finance customers are importers, we have been very successful in growing our exporters customers, and many of them are very sizable companies.
We are very pleased with the progress in increasing our exporters customers in addition to the importers.
- Analyst
Okay.
Thank you for that.
Along those lines, too, can you just update us on the China portfolio.
What's the current size of that and any growth you may have seen this quarter?
- Chairman and CEO
China portfolio remains small.
I think that it's by design.
We do not want it to, as we stated before, we do not want to aggressively get into the domestic market.
We don't think that -- while China is growing nicely in terms of GDP, despite the fact it's slowing down, it still stayed at 7.7%, and that's substantially higher than most nations around the world.
But the reality is that the domestic market can be somewhat volatile.
And also, we are not at our capital -- our capital level is not at the size that we should get into China in a much deeper way from a domestic market point of view.
So day one, when we took over the United Commercial Bank through this FDIC acquisition, we have made a decision that our East West Bank's involvement with the US-China business would predominantly in this cross-border lending.
And on top of that, we will be advising companies from China in terms of investing in US, we will be helping US companies.
And in terms of our open the operations in China and so forth.
And we're going to continue to stay in that circle.
And there's plenty of opportunity for us.
Now, because, because of our strategic decision, many of the loans that we booked that involve Chinese company and many of the business that we advised from US, investing in China and so forth, or have relationship in China or have a strong operation in China, are US companies.
And we ended up booking most of these loans and deposit in United States.
So we see that trend continue.
We'll continue to offer value proposition to our clients in US that have substantial business operation in China, but we are not doing banking relationship of taking their deposit or making loans to them in US dollar for in US, with the US collateral and so forth.
We have also many business in China that when they invest in US and we make a loan to them in US, and then they [plash] their deposits in China for us.
So through that, we will still be making some loans in China, and most of them probably may be US companies, or may be Chinese company have very strong, secure collateral, such as cash or maybe other forms of security that we feel very comfortable with.
So by doing that, we really are not taking much of the exposure, from credit point of view in China.
And so I expect that in 2014 and beyond, we'll continue to grow the Chinese portfolio slowly.
However, it will be very meaningful in terms of it will continue -- any additional growth that we make there, it will end up helping us to grow maybe two or three times more in US, and that's the strategy.
Similar direction that we are doing in Hong Kong, and so the Hong Kong portfolio also is growing.
So if you look at in 2013, both the portfolio in China and the portfolio in Hong Kong have grown, but not growing in the magnitude that will be what I call becomes a material number for the overall financial earnings perspective.
However, it's extremely material from a strategic point of view, helping us to gain and win business in US.
- Analyst
Okay.
That's very helpful.
Thank you, Dominic.
Operator
Thank you.
Our next question is from Jennifer Demba of SunTrust Robinson Humphrey.
Please go ahead.
- Analyst
Good afternoon.
A follow-up question on the Las Vegas branch.
I think Dominic, you said you already have commercial relationships in that market.
Was wondering if you could quantify that and frame what you think the opportunity is there for loan growth over the next few years.
- Chairman and CEO
Yes.
In fact, throughout the years, I would say that for the last 15 years or so, we have clients, long-term East West Bank clients, who also have expanded the business into the Nevada region.
In fact, many of them have commercial real estate investors or commercial real estate developers and so forth.
So, in addition of investing in real estates in California, they also looked at state like maybe Arizona and Nevada.
In fact, from our perspective, there are more people interested in Nevada instead of Arizona.
So as they continue to move beyond the California region, East West Bank followed them, and then we have made loans in Nevada and also in the past with our long-time existing customers.
And then some of these customers now also get into commercial business, other, the C&I type of business that really fit into our future growth direction.
So by following the existing customers, and through them they also introduce their friends in Las Vegas and so helping us grow.
So we actually for many years now, have clients in Las Vegas.
We just didn't have a branch there to take on their deposits.
So, we've been thinking about opening a branch in Vegas actually for the last two or three years.
We just have been so busy doing something else, we haven't really got around to it.
And finally, I think that we decided it's about time.
Now, the other thing that I also wanted to mention is that when we did a lot of, let's say commercial real estate loans with these sort of East West clients who happen to have business in Vegas, frankly most of the deposits, they are housed with us in California anyway.
So it wasn't that compelling of a reason for us to open a stand-alone branch in the state of Nevada back in, I would say, the old days.
It becomes more compelling today for a few different reasons.
One, we are getting bigger now, and we have branches in state of Washington and Massachusetts, New York, Georgia, and Texas.
We're much more comfortable to operate out of state.
So, it's not as inefficient compared to the old days when we are mainly in California, and say why do we want to go to Nevada and then create more cost and then have to manage by flying out there and things like that?
But now it becomes just another natural fit, simply because we are already out of state so much, doing so much business there.
We are very comfortable to manage risk that are out of state.
That's one.
Secondly, there's substantial more interest of business investor from China who are visiting Las Vegas.
Back then, everybody had to fly into Los Angeles before they can go and visit the gaming area in Las Vegas.
Now there are a lot of people flying direct to Las Vegas.
So we have more and more of our Chinese customers who frequently visit Las Vegas anyway.
So there's another opportunity we feel that having a branch there will help us to make it much more convenient for our customers also from China.
So that's the second reason.
And so third, we really feel that with our ability to grow C&I, that we will have the ability also to make inroads, even in the gaming industry.
And we have clients that continue to move from Los Angeles to the state of Nevada, and it's particularly with state tax in California now move up to 13.5%.
And there are quite a few of our customers that some are still talking, some already made a move to make their permanent residence in Las Vegas instead of Los Angeles.
We've seen more and more of our customers moving that direction because for those who have business that doesn't have to be specifically reside in California, many of them have make the decision that they would be better off to save 13.5% tax to go to the state of Nevada and to establish residency instead of being a California resident.
So when we see that trend going on, we need to step in and accommodate that.
And that's last, but not least reason that we think that we need to have presence in Nevada.
- Analyst
Thank you.
That's helpful.
Operator
Our next question comes from Lana Chan of BMO Capital Markets.
Please go ahead.
- Analyst
Hello, good afternoon.
On the MetroCorp deal, I think you said before the estimate is expected to be $0.02 accretive to earnings this year, which correct me if I'm wrong, I think that's a little bit less than what you originally estimated when you announced a deal.
Is that right?
And it was changed?
- President and COO
No, the $0.02 is after that $0.05 one-time charge off.
So the growth is $0.07.
- Analyst
Okay.
And then, if I look at the non-interest expenses, which came in higher than expected this quarter, couple of reasons for that, obviously, but with the guidance for 2014, could you help us frame what the trajectory would be?
What's a good base to use for the first quarter, because it seems like there's a couple of puts and takes there on the expense side?
- President and COO
You're talking about the NII for the Q1?
- Analyst
Non-interest expense.
- President and COO
Oh, the expense.
About $100 million?
- EVP and CFO
Around, yes.
- President and COO
It would be a little more than that, right, because of the --?
- EVP and CFO
Specifics of it, if you like, I can go over it with you maybe after the call.
But I would say with the different line items where there was an increase from the prior quarter, certainly the amortization of affordable housing tax, that's something that should go back to more normalized run rate.
We have some more tax credit investments that we purchased, so maybe a little bit higher than what we had in the third quarter, but certainly nowhere near the $14 million or so in the fourth quarter.
Additionally, from a comp line item, I think there were really two areas.
One, we have hired additional staff, so payroll is higher.
And then also, we made a little bit of a refinement to our bonus accrual.
So if you look at the increase in comp, it was about 50/50 for those two categories.
On the legal side, I would say legal expense was elevated during the quarter.
There were some settlements and resolution of litigation, additionally also ongoing costs for the litigation as well.
If you look at the run rate in the fourth quarter, I would say about $7 million or so relates to litigation that will no longer occur, so that's something that you can use for your modeling.
- Analyst
Okay.
Thank you, Irene.
Operator
And our next question comes from John Pancari of Evercore.
Please go ahead.
- Analyst
Good morning.
- EVP and CFO
Good morning.
- Analyst
So that -- back to that answer you just gave on the compensation, so the payroll piece, the 50% of it that's attributable to the higher payroll, then that should remain in the run rate, but the incentive comp true-up, the other half of the increase, should come out next quarter, correct?
- EVP and CFO
That seems reasonable.
- Analyst
Okay.
And then on the outlook for the reserve, can you update us on what your thoughts for a good assumption for the long-term loan-loss reserve level given your growth expectations?
I believe you may have implied in the past that 150 basis points would be a good trajectory, but wanted to see if that's still where your thinking is.
- President and COO
I think so.
Roughly 1.5%, but it will change based upon the mix of the loans.
But I would say for long-term right now, we think 1.5 is a good number.
- Analyst
Okay, all right, and then lastly -- actually, back to the expense piece, the increase of the other expenses, was that at all related to the tax credits, or was that all purely in the amortization line?
- EVP and CFO
Could you repeat that one more time?
The past credits?
- Analyst
What was the driver of the increase in the other expenses?
- EVP and CFO
Oh, the other expenses increased a little bit in the fourth quarter.
We had increased our charitable contribution.
- Analyst
Okay.
All right.
That's also an area that could see a decline going into first quarter?
- EVP and CFO
That could be.
- Analyst
Okay.
All right.
That's it for me.
Thank you.
Operator
And our next question comes from Aaron Deer of Sandler O'Neill & Partners.
Please go ahead.
- President and COO
Aaron?
- Analyst
I'm sorry.
I'm on multiple calls here.
If you've answered this question already, forgive me.
The commercial real estate non-accruals ticked up again this quarter.
I was wondering if you could talk about what's behind that trend, if there's a specific borrower or property type?
- EVP and CFO
We have a couple of loans where the loans have gone more than 90 days past due.
When we look at them, given our historic low LTB, we don't think necessarily there will be any credit loss content from that, and there were no charge-offs.
But certainly from time to time, that does happen.
- President and COO
It's the borrowers having their own problems, but we feel that the value is there, that it will not result in any charge-off or losses.
- Analyst
I think that's it.
Good luck with the integration.
- President and COO
Thank you, Aaron.
Operator
And our next question comes from Matthew Clark of Credit Suisse.
Please go ahead.
- Analyst
Hello, good morning, guys.
Just want to clarify the core-fee question.
I think -- I'm not sure if your answer was for other income on an annual basis or if it was for the core fees, ex the change in indemnification asset.
I think you had mentioned $30 million.
Could you clarify that?
- President and COO
It's a core fee per quarter is $30 million, when you model.
- EVP and CFO
Essentially we break out the fee income.
So in the fourth quarter, that was $33.4 million.
That's what we're comparing that against, the $30 million.
- Analyst
Okay.
Does that $30 million incorporate MCBI?
- EVP and CFO
It does not, actually.
- Analyst
Okay.
Then on the expenses--
- EVP and CFO
But I would say MCBI, their fee income is pretty low, so I don't think that's going to be a big difference one way or another, quite candidly.
- Analyst
Yes.
And on expenses, the guidance of $430 million to $440 million includes the $7 million of merger charges, but also I would assume it would include Metro, too.
Just want to make sure.
- President and COO
Yes.
- Analyst
Okay.
Got it.
Thank you.
- EVP and CFO
Thank you.
Operator
(Operator Instructions)
At this time, I see no other questions in the queue.
Therefore, this concludes our question-and-answer session.
I would like to turn the conference back over to Mr. Dominic Ng for any closing remarks.
Mr. Ng?
- Chairman and CEO
Well, thank you all for joining us on the call today.
I look forward to speaking with you again in April.
Bye-bye.
Operator
The conference has now concluded.
Thank you for attending today's presentation.
You may now disconnect.
Thank you.