CDW Corp (CDW) 2016 Q2 法說會逐字稿

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  • Operator

  • Good day, ladies and gentlemen, and welcome to the CDW second-quarter earnings call. (Operator Instructions). I would now like to introduce your first speaker for today, Tom Richards, Chairman and Chief Executive Officer. You have the floor, sir.

  • Tom Richards - Chairman & CEO

  • Thanks, Andrew. Good morning, everyone, it's a pleasure to be with you. Joining me in the room today are Ann Ziegler, our Chief Financial Officer; Chris Leahey, our General Counsel; and Sari Macrie, our VP Investor Relations.

  • I will begin with a high level overview of our second-quarter performance and outlook. Then Ann will take you through a more detailed results review and share more on our capital priorities and medium-term targets. We will move quickly through our prepared remarks to ensure you have plenty of time for Q&A. But before we begin Sari will present the Company's Safe Harbor disclosure statement.

  • Sari Macrie - VP of IR

  • Thank you, Tom. Good morning, everyone. Our second-quarter earnings release was distributed this morning and is available on our website, investor.CDW.com along with supplemental slides that you can use to follow along with us during the call.

  • I would like to remind you that certain comments made in this presentation are considered forward-looking statements under the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Those statements are subject to risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially.

  • Additional information concerning these risks and uncertainties is contained in the Form 8-K we furnished to the SEC today and in the Company's other filings with the SEC. CDW assumes no obligation to update the information presented during this webcast.

  • Our presentation also includes certain non-GAAP financial measures including non-GAAP earnings per share. All non-GAAP measures have been reconciled to the most directly comparable GAAP measures in accordance with SEC rules. You will find reconciliation charts in the slides for today's webcast as well as in the press release and Form 8-K we furnished to the SEC today.

  • Please note that all references to growth rates or dollar amount increases in our remarks today are versus the comparable period in 2015 unless otherwise indicated. In addition, all references to growth rates for hardware, product, software and services today represent organic net sales only and do not include the results from CDW UK.

  • There were the same number of selling days in the second quarter of 2016 compared to the first quarter of 2015 and one additional day in the first half of 2016 versus the first half of 2015. All sales growth rates referenced during the call will be average daily sales unless otherwise indicated.

  • A replay of this webcast will be posted to our website by this time tomorrow. I also want to remind you that this conference call is the property of CDW and may not be recorded or rebroadcast without specific written permission from the Company. And with that let me turn the call back to Tom.

  • Tom Richards - Chairman & CEO

  • Thanks, Sari. We delivered solid top-line growth and excellent profitability in what continues to be a challenging market. Consolidated sales were $3.7 billion, up 10.6% above last year. Organic constant currency sales, which exclude the results from CDW UK, increased by 4.5%. Gross profit increased 14.2% to $610 million, adjusted EBITDA increased 12.2% to $301 million, and non-GAAP net income per share increased 15.8% to $0.93 per share.

  • This quarter's results demonstrate the power of our balanced portfolio channels as well as our breadth of product offerings, particularly our ability to bring innovative emerging technologies to our customers and the ongoing success of our three-part strategy. Let me walk through how each contributed to performance.

  • First our balanced portfolio of customer channels. This quarter was truly a tale of two cities with very different performance in the end markets we serve. We saw this divergence across segments with Corporate down roughly 1% and Public up over 11%.

  • We also saw this divergence within segments. In Corporate, Medium and Large was down 2% and Small Business increased 5%. MedLar results reflected the impact of the economic volatility over the past six months which caused many customers to put a longer tail projects on hold and those that are moving forward to move through longer decision cycles. Reflecting this, while transaction sales grew solution sales declined.

  • Small Business, which in general tends to have smaller less complex projects, delivered solid growth across both solution sales and transaction sales. Public was up 11% with excellent results across several end markets and double-digit growth across both transactions and solutions. Government increased to 17%, excellent results given last year's 20% plus growth.

  • Once again State and Local delivered strong double-digit results driven by success in new contracts as well as ongoing success delivering public safety solutions. Federal was up low-single-digits as we continue to benefit from strategic changes made to better align with government programs.

  • As expected, Education results improved, increasing 17%. K-12 delivered high teens growth driven by both E-Rate funding and digital testing client devices. Higher Ed increased nearly double-digits as they identified refresh opportunities and network opportunities. Healthcare was flat as we continue to see the impact of consolidation in the marketplace.

  • Canada showed continued momentum in local currency growing high-single-digits in Canadian dollars. Results in US dollars were muted by currency up low-single-digits. UK delivered $208 million for the quarter, above the high end of the 650 to 700 basis points contribution we talked about last quarter.

  • The team did a great job leveraging post Brexit announcement opportunities which helped partially overcome last year's excellent performance driven by customers buying in advance of the 2015 UK election.

  • The second driver of our performance was the breadth of our offerings and our investment in faster growing emerging technologies. With over 100,000 products and services from over 1,000 vendor partners we remain well-positioned to meet our customer's total needs across the spectrum of IT.

  • Staying relevant to our customers is critical to our value proposition. And one way we do that is by bringing on between 50 and 60 new partners each year. This constant refresh of our portfolio is one of the key ways we have consistently outperformed the overall market. And you clearly see the impact of this in our second-quarter product and solutions performance. The unique environments across the various end markets we serve also impacted that performance.

  • Organic hardware sales increased 4%. Customer demand for client devices was strong across virtually all of our end markets up high-single-digits. Customers added notebooks and mobile devices at a good clip and sales increased by low-double-digits. As expected, desktop sales were flat, Chromebooks resumed strong growth.

  • Enterprise Storage grew mid-single-digits driven by emerging technology partners and more traditional infrastructure partners. Storage was slightly down in Corporate but up high teens in Public. Revenue from flash products grew more than 50% with all end markets increasing nicely. Netcomm sales were flat as strong growth in Public driven by K-12 and State and Local was offset by the slowdown in Corporate.

  • Service solutions performance, which includes both the box plus options tied to the server was mixed across our channels with net sales down overall. Servers were up double-digits in Small Business and down double-digits in MedLar. In Public, servers were also mixed with excellent increases in Government and declines in Healthcare.

  • Software sales increased 8% reflecting strong security and application suite growth. This quarter gross profit from software increased in line with sales as both traditional software and netted down software, which includes software assurance, cloud and agency sales, grew in the quarter.

  • We continue to expect the netting down impact on revenue and gross margin to be lumpy for some time. Services increased 15% driven by success in delivering security implementations and data center support.

  • The final driver of second-quarter performance was our ongoing success executing our three-part strategy, which is to: first, capture market share from existing and new customers; second, expand our solution suite; third, build out our service capabilities.

  • Capturing market share is a top priority for CDW and we take a very disciplined approach to achieving it through programs like category penetration and customer acquisition. And, as you can imagine, with our scale and customer base our partners are focused on it as well. In fact, this quarter roughly 50 partners invested in customer programs to drive joint share gains across all our end markets.

  • Our second strategy is to continuously expand our solutions capabilities. Over the past three years we have added nearly 400 North American solution specialists and service delivery coworkers. This investment helps build the capabilities required to capture strategic pockets of growth across the IT landscape and, importantly, helps ensure we remain relevant to customers.

  • Security is a great example of this. It is not coincidental that security was one of our fastest growing practice areas this quarter. Sales from security partners added since 2014 increased over 100% this quarter. Six of our top 10 security brands grew in excess of 20% with two growing triple-digits.

  • Cloud is another area where we have made substantial investments that are paying off. We identified cloud as a strategic imperative in 2010. Formalized cloud is a solutions practice in 2011. Over that time we have built a full suite of cloud offerings. Today we provide planning, subscription, migration, integration, managed services and aggregation services.

  • This quarter cloud represented 6% of our total gross profit, up 100 basis points since second quarter of 2015. And customer spend continues to grow at excellent rates, up just over 50% this quarter.

  • Another way we invest to capture above market growth is through our third strategic priority which is to continue to build our service capabilities. Service capabilities are an integral part of many high end solution sales and are critical to supporting our cloud and security strategy.

  • It has been just over a year since we opened our National Enterprise Command Center. Our ECC is a state-of-the-art network operations center that provides 24 by 7 capabilities. This enables us to deliver advanced services like managed cloud so our customers can take advantage of emerging technologies.

  • While still early we are gaining traction in managed cloud. A great example is the solution we provided for a financial service company with five offices across the country. A recent spin off, this business, with less than 500 coworkers, needed to tackle the time-consuming and complex task of delivering total IT services to a new organization.

  • They needed the full spectrum of technologies encompassing networking, security, wireless, infrastructure, unified communications and end-user hardware and software. We leveraged the combined CDW teams from software, field services, networking, security and managed services to deliver a complete turnkey solution for the customer. This integrated solution will generate nearly $5 million of total contract revenue including more than $50,000 per month in recurring revenue.

  • Our investments in solutions and services help capture incremental customer spend, but they also drive customer loyalty. A great example of this is a national nonprofit customer with regional and national offices that we have been working with for a few years. To raise money and support awareness they conduct hundreds of local fundraisers every year.

  • The customer first turned to us in 2014 for help in designing an infrastructure that would scale up during their busy times with capacity to store data securely while providing access to their local chapters. And they needed to manage multiple IT platforms across their chapters.

  • We initially designed a cloud a solution that started with security. From there we added data warehousing using infrastructure as a service. Next we delivered productivity applications and recently added identity as a service and their cloud strategy is not complete.

  • Next in line for implementation is storage, backup disaster recovery and cloud-based videoconferencing. Over the past three years in this customer spend has increased to more than $170,000 per year in net revenues. So as you can see, investments in solutions and services ensure we can meet the needs of our customers and drive customer loyalty.

  • Our UK investment is another way we are accomplishing this. As you will recall, we acquired Kelway in August of 2015 to address the request from US-based customers who are increasingly asking for our help with their international IT needs. To do that we needed the ability to deliver products and services locally, manage complex international tax requirements and bill in multiple currencies.

  • CDW UK helps us meet these challenges providing a seat at the table for deals that we would have otherwise lost. Deals that often have a small percentage of international revenues but represent significant US opportunity and help cement long-term relationships.

  • Since we fully acquired CDW UK in August of last year referrals have roughly resulted in $60 million of incremental revenues to total CDW. To further that success our integration efforts are laser focused on creating a seamless one company experience. That work is continuing.

  • So for us the outcome of the UK's decision to leave the European Union doesn't impact our strategy to gain share with US-based multinationals and meet the international needs of customers based in the UK. The impact of Brexit is less clear on CDW UK locally.

  • Obviously, it creates uncertainty in the UK marketplace. CDW UK derives roughly 80% of its sales from inside the United Kingdom. While it is really too early to tell how this will shake out, for now we expect UK IT market growth to be in the zero to 1% range and continue to hold the team accountable for outgrowing that by 200 to 300 basis points.

  • With low-single-digit market share there is plenty of UK-based opportunity. So our UK focus will be about finding opportunities for share gains to offset macroeconomic pressures in the UK. And with roughly 20% of sales from outside the UK, we are well-positioned to help customers with those needs as well.

  • And that leads me to our expectations for growth for the remainder of the year. We ended the quarter with 55 new customer facing coworkers. There is no change to the plan we shared with you on our first-quarter call. Of course, as we always do, we will monitor the market and adjust our plan as appropriate.

  • For MedLar we continue to expect improving results in the back half of the year as many of the more complex, large projects have closed and will ship during the second half. We look for Small Business to continue to execute well. Given the volatility we have seen over the last six months, we remain watchful for changes in customer buying behavior stemming from real or perceived worsening economic conditions, but feel-good about the back half of the year given where we sit today.

  • Education results should remain healthy, although not at the high teens rate of this quarter, with a final push to spend remaining 2015 E-Rate funds and new 2016 funds beginning to flow. We continue to look for Healthcare to be a low growth market in 2016 as the industry focuses on cost savings and budgets remain under pressure from lower reimbursements.

  • Government should continue to perform but at a lower clip as we lap last year's double-digit growth. Our Canadian expectations remain the same, grow at least 200 to 300 basis points above the local market which we continue to see in the 1% to 2% range. The team in Canada will remain focused on finding growth opportunities in a market that is fragile given ongoing pressures in the oil and gas arena and overall macro issues.

  • Finally, Dell continues to perform as expected and we continue to look for Dell to deliver roughly 150 basis points of incremental full-year growth. We continue to target organic top-line growth between 200 to 300 basis points above the market.

  • There is no change to our expectation that full-year US IT growth in 2016 will be in the 2% to 3% range. However, given the first half market performance and what we are seeing today in the market, we believe it will come in closer to the lower end of that range. As is our practice we will update our view on market growth as we move through the year. Now let me turn it over to Ann. Ann?

  • Ann Ziegler - SVP & CFO

  • Thanks, Tom. Good morning, everyone. As Tom indicated, our second-quarter financial results reflect the combined power of our balanced portfolio of channels, breadth of product offering and our strategic progress. They also reflect the progress we are making against our long-term financial strategy to drive strong cash flow, deliver double-digit earnings growth and return cash to our shareholders.

  • Turning to our P&L, if you have access to the slides posted online it will be helpful to follow along. I am on slide 8. Consolidated top-line growth was excellent this quarter with net sales of $3.7 billion, 10.6% higher than last year on a reported basis and on an average daily sales basis. Average daily sales were $57.3 million.

  • While Canada represents a relatively small portion of our total net sales at just over $130 million this quarter, Canadian dollar translation continues to impact organic net sales growth, shaving approximately 20 basis points off of organic growth which excludes CDW UK. This is 30 basis points less than the second quarter last year and 20 basis points less than last quarter.

  • On a constant currency basis organic net sales were 4.5% higher than last year. Organic sequential sales increased 17.6% on an average daily sales basis versus Q1 2016 which is slightly higher than our historical Q2 to Q1 sequential increase and slightly below last year's sequential growth.

  • Gross profit for the quarter increased 14.2% to $610.5 million. Gross margin in the second quarter was 16.7%, 60 basis points above last year. This increase reflected the combination of our mix into revenue recorded at 100% gross margin such as our net service contract revenue which includes SaaS, higher vendor partner funding and the inclusion of CDW UK which has a higher mix of services. As you know, mixing into net service contract revenue favorably impacts gross margin and gross profit growth, but tempers our revenue growth.

  • Turning to SG&A on slide 9. As expected, consolidated reported SG&A, including advertising expense, grew faster than sales coming in at 17.8% higher than last year. This reflects the impact of 390 incremental North American coworkers added since the end of Q2 last year, incremental CDW UK SG&A, and our continued investment in advertising which increased 11%.

  • Adjusted SG&A for the quarter, which excludes $9.7 million of non-cash equity compensation, $2.2 million of acquisition and integration expense, and $0.7 million of historical retention costs and other expenses, increased 16.7%. To make it easier to calculate our adjusted EBITDA, which is essentially our gross profit less adjusted SG&A expenses, we also adjust for depreciation and amortization.

  • Non-cash equity-based compensation expense increased $2.2 million year over year to $9.7 million primarily due to 2016 annual equity awards granted late in the first quarter of 2016 and equity awards granted in connection with our acquisition of CDW UK. Our adjusted EBITDA for the quarter was $300.6 million, up 12.2% delivering a margin of 8.2%, an increase of 10 basis points over last year.

  • Looking at the rest of the P&L on slide 10. Interest expense was $36.9 million, down slightly from Q1 and last year's Q2 due to a current period interest income benefit.

  • Turning to taxes, our effective tax rate was 37.3% compared to 37.1% in last year's Q2 which resulted in a tax expense of $70 million versus $63.9 million. On a GAAP basis we earned $117.5 million of net income.

  • Our non-GAAP net income, which better reflects our operating performance, was $155.6 million in the quarter, up 11.9% over last year.

  • As you can see on slide 11 non-GAAP net income reflects after-tax ad backs that fall into four general buckets: the ongoing amortization of purchased intangibles; non-cash equity compensation; acquisition and integration expenses; and other nonrecurring or infrequent income or expense. With Q2 weighted average diluted shares outstanding of 167 million, we delivered $0.93 of non-GAAP net income per share, up 15.8% over the prior year.

  • Turning to first-half results on slide 12, revenue was $6.8 billion, an increase of 11.7% on a reported basis and 10.9% on an average daily sales basis given one extra selling day in Q1 of this year. On a constant currency basis growth would have been roughly 30 basis points higher.

  • Gross profit during the first half of 2016 was $1.1 billion, up 14.5%. Gross profit margin was 16.7%, up 40 basis points. Adjusted EBITDA was $533 million, 11.4% above the first half of 2015. Net income was $195 million for the first half of 2016 and non-GAAP net income was $268 million versus $237 million in 2015, up 13.4%.

  • Turning to our balance sheet on slide 13, on June 30 we had $129.4 million of cash and cash equivalents and net debt of $3.1 billion, $269 million more than a year ago reflecting cash paid and debt consolidation as part of the acquisition of CDW UK in August 2015. Our cash plus revolver availability was $1 billion. Net debt to trailing 12 month adjusted EBITDA at the end of Q2 was 2.9 times, within our target range.

  • Our current weighted average interest rate on outstanding debt is 4.4%. Given today's uncertain interest rate environment I'd like to remind you that our $1.5 billion floating rate term loan facility has a 1% LIBOR floor and we have $1.4 billion notional amount of 2% interest rate caps in place which will expire in Q1 of 2017. Given the cap's approaching expiration we are currently evaluating extending or replacing them.

  • With roughly 95% of our outstanding debt and effectively fixed or hedged, rates would have to move significantly before they had a material impact on our interest cost.

  • As you can see on slide 14, we maintained strong rolling three-month working capital metrics during Q2. For the quarter our cash conversion cycle was 17 days, down 2 days versus last year's second quarter and below our target range which is an annual target. Year-over-year DPO increased 5 days and DSO increased 3 days.

  • Note that when we have a higher mix of sales being netted down we see increases in both DSO and DPO. This is because these sales are booked net on the P&L, but our receivables reflect the gross billings to the customer. At the same time payables are matched against zero cost of goods sold. So both measures increase. That is why we focus on our cash conversion cycle because that is the best measure of our working capital efficiency.

  • Cash taxes paid for the quarter were $126 million and cash interest was $28.8 million. Free cash flow for the quarter, which we calculate as operating cash flow plus the net change in our flooring agreement less capital expenditures, was a positive $8.6 million compared to a negative $8.2 million in Q2 of 2015.

  • For the first six months of the year free cash flow was $358.8 million, up more than $200 million from last year's first six months. As you recall, free cash flow in 2015 was $100 million lower than normal due to one-time items and timing which pulled forward roughly $100 million of free cash to Q4 2014.

  • This year's organic year-to-date performance is more consistent with our typical pattern where we see strong cash flow in the first quarter due to our sequential sales decline from Q4 and payment of Q1 cash taxes in Q2. In addition, 2016 results include the incremental impact of UK cash flow.

  • During the quarter we continued to execute against our capital allocation strategy and repurchased 2.5 million shares for $105 million at an average cost of $41.99 per share. Also during the quarter our sponsors completed two fund distributions and no longer hold private equity positions in the Company.

  • Our capital allocation strategy is comprised of the following four components which you see on slide 15.

  • First, increase dividends annually. To guide these increases, in November 2014 we set a target to achieve a dividend payout of 30% of free cash flow over five years. This quarter we will pay a dividend of $0.1075 per share on September 12 to shareholders of record as of August 25, up 59% from a year ago. Since the IPO our dividends had more than doubled.

  • Second, ensure we have the right capital structure in place. We have set a target to generally maintain net debt to adjusted EBITDA leverage in the range of 2.5 to 3 times. We ended Q2 at 2.9 times.

  • Third, supplement organic growth with tuck-in acquisitions. Our CDW UK investment is an excellent example of this. In the second quarter UK contributed roughly $0.05 per share, in line with our expectations.

  • And fourth, return excess cash after dividends and M&A to shareholders via share repurchases. At the end of June we had $786 million of our current authorization.

  • These capital allocation priority support our 2016 to 2018 medium-term targets which you see on slide 16. Similar to our 2013 to 2015 targets, we continue to target growth of 200 to 300 basis points faster than the US IT market. We also continue to target an adjusted EBITDA margin in the mid-7% range.

  • Reflecting the conclusion of our initial refinancing and absence of earnings amplification from lower interest expense, our 2016 through 2018 medium-term annual targets call for low-double-digit EPS growth. We intend to use share repurchases and accretive acquisitions to amplify operating results and help achieve this target.

  • Keep in mind that we hold ourselves accountable for achieving our medium-term targets on an annual, not on a quarterly basis.

  • Now let me provide you with a few additional comments for those modeling the rest of the year 2016 financials. I am on slide 17. Based on Q2 results and expectations for the rest of the year, we expect the balance of sales between first and second half to be generally consistent with our normal seasonality, roughly 48% to 52% weighted towards the back half of the year.

  • We will have one fewer selling day in Q4 2016 than we had in Q4 2015 and two fewer days sequentially this year Q3 to Q4. On an average daily sales basis we look for a sequential decline Q3 to Q4, in line with our historical average. CDW UK will add roughly 175 basis points of incremental growth to Q3. As you recall we did not acquire CDW UK until August of 2015.

  • Given the recent weakening in the pound we now expect currency to have a greater impact for the balance of the year, roughly 100 basis points in the second half. Canadian currency impact should mitigate while the British pound/US dollar will drive this second half impact. This assumes average translation rates of 1 Canadian dollar equal to 77 US cents and $1.25 to the pound.

  • We continue to look for Dell to contribute roughly 150 basis points of incremental growth in 2016. We expect our gross margin percentage to be lighter for the balance of the year as our margin mix reverts back closer to the rates we had in Q3 and Q4 of 2015. This reflects both a higher percentage of product versus NSCR and the impact of federal government year-end on our margin in Q3 and Q4.

  • Turning to expenses, we look for reported and adjusted SG&A to increase low-double-digits in Q3 due to increased coworker count and related coworker expenses, investment in advertising and one-month incremental CDW UK expenses. For Q4 we expect SG&A to grow more in line with average daily sales growth as we lap last year's increase in coworkers and UK is in our base.

  • We expect our full-year adjusted EBITDA margin to come in at the high end or a tick above our medium-term annual target of the mid-7% range. We expect both depreciation and amortization and non-cash equity compensation to continue at similar rates to Q2 2016. Given the interest income benefit in Q2 we expect interest per quarter to run more in line with Q1 at roughly $38 million per quarter.

  • We continue to look for our 2016 effective tax rate to be in the 37% to 38% range. We will continue to buy back shares in the market to both offset dilution and contribute to earnings growth and currently expect repurchases for the balance of the year to be at levels somewhat below the first half.

  • Finally, a few notes for those of you modeling cash flows. We continue to look for capital expenditures to come in at roughly 0.5% of net sales on an annual basis. For free cash flow we expect to be at the high end or slightly above 2.5% to 3% of net sales.

  • We have made excellent progress in managing our working capital and you should look for us to maintain our cash conversion within our target range of the low to mid 20s for 2016. For the full year we expect a cash tax rate in the 37% range to be applied to pre-taxable income before acquisition-related intangibles amortization, which is approximately $47.5 million per quarter.

  • In addition, we continue to pay approximately $20 million in tax annually related to the cancellation of debt income we incurred in 2009.

  • That concludes the financial summary. Before we open for Q&A let me briefly address the SEC investigation we disclosed in 2015 relating to vendor partner program incentives. We have no further updates since our last conference call. We continue to cooperate fully with the SEC. And although we cannot predict the outcome, based on what we know to date we do not expect this matter to have a material impact on the Company.

  • With that, let's go ahead and open it up for questions. Can we please ask each of you to limit your questions to one question and one follow up? Operator, please provide the instructions for asking a question.

  • Operator

  • (Operator Instructions). Matt Cabral, Goldman Sachs.

  • Matt Cabral - Analyst

  • I wanted to dig a little bit deeper into the weakness that you saw in MedLar in the quarter. And in particular if there are any verticals or products that stood out to the downside? And then if you could just help us understand, Tom, I think you were talking about a bit of an inflection going into the back half of the year. Just what gives you the confidence that this is more of a near-term slowdown within that vertical?

  • Tom Richards - Chairman & CEO

  • Good morning, Matt. Thanks for your question. Yes, so let me just kind of comment because I think, as we said, the tale of two cities kind of gets to the very heart of the issue.

  • In MedLar we knew going into the beginning of the year that we didn't have many of those large deals. It's why we carefully signaled that we thought it would be a slow start to the year in the Corporate business. And that is kind of one of the reasons we have a little more confidence in the second half.

  • We have got line of sight to a number of significant large projects that were closed and will be implemented. But all of that kind of depends on kind of the underlying economy. If we are all hopeful that it above whatever it was, 1.2%, because that does drive business behavior over the long-term when it comes to an investment, if you think about it.

  • So we are all I guess would be hopeful. But the fact that we have line of sight to some of those larger deals that we have already closed just will be shipping is kind of the primary reason you have some confidence in improved performance.

  • The other side is if you look at the success of Small Business, it continues to kind of perform and that gives you some confidence that your overall Corporate business is going to return. And we have been through this and even in the five years I have been at CDW where you will go through a couple of cycles. Some of it is tied to refresh projects.

  • I will give you a linkage example. When we had the Windows 2003 server refresh project there was a great deal of concentration in server upgrades. A lot of that took place in our Corporate business. And you don't have that kind of exogenous driver right now going on, although you do have some other things coming down the line which I think kind of gives us, like I said, some of the confidence over the back half of the year.

  • Matt Cabral - Analyst

  • Thank you. And then as a follow-up and switching gears over to the government side of things. That's been a pretty big revenue driver for you guys. Can you just help us understand what has changed over the last 12 or 18 months or so that has really about you to attack that segment more effectively? And then how sustainable you think the growth trajectory is going forward?

  • Tom Richards - Chairman & CEO

  • Well, I think you heard me, Matt, on both cases. I think I used continue to be healthy and continue to perform to describe a couple of the public segments. As I articulated, I think there's two things that drive it and they are a little different.

  • In the Federal business a little over two years ago we took a step back and changed our approach to align around strategic programs. Now a lot of that was with the change of the acquisition strategy that existed in the Federal government which had been very geographic driven and then became more programmatic in how it was driven. Instead of concentrating just on bases you are concentrating on programs. And I think that has proved to be really effective for us and the Federal market.

  • In state and local it continues to be a function of our differentiation in a solutions area tied to public safety that drives growth, as well as a pretty aggressive acquisition strategy when it comes to new contracts. So I would say those are the primary drivers. And despite some pretty challenging comps for that gang we expect them to continue to perform as they have.

  • Matt Cabral - Analyst

  • Thank you.

  • Operator

  • Amit Daryanani, RBC Capital Markets.

  • Amit Daryanani - Analyst

  • Congrats on a nice quarter. Questions for me if I could. One on the Public side just to follow up. The strength you guys saw in the June quarter, could you just talk about your comfort that this wasn't any level of (inaudible) that perhaps happened from September into June? And if you could just update us on the E-Rate funding, how much is left? I think last we talked about CDW (multiple speakers).

  • Tom Richards - Chairman & CEO

  • Yes.

  • Amit Daryanani - Analyst

  • (Multiple speakers) allocate $120 million, so just an update there would be great too.

  • Tom Richards - Chairman & CEO

  • Yes, so the E-Rate has been an important driver, as you know, in the K-12 part of Education. And now you kind of have to think about it in two funding cycles. We are still working through the 2015 funding cycle and we have got 60% to 70% of the authorized funds have actually been deployed, which means we still have 30% of 2015 and we are now in the middle of the 2016 cycle.

  • And I can tell you that we are very pleased with the number of times CDW has been named as the initial partner to deploy those funds. Although I think the one thing we learned going through the last E-Rate cycle is the timeline between getting approved, then getting the funds ready, then getting the funds deployed can stretch out.

  • In fact we had people -- we have customers who got approval in 2015 and they can deploy it all the way through the beginning of next year if they get an exception. So I guess on one hand that would be a good news item because that means there will be continued revenue to come from it. But we feel good about that. A lot of the E-Rate funding has driven the excellent network results that we saw in K-12.

  • Amit Daryanani - Analyst

  • Got it. That is really helpful. And then I guess (inaudible) follow up on the Dell relationship. You have had it for a few quarters now. As you think about this longer-term, do you think this $200 million or so incremental revenue you get in calendar 2016, is that the steady-state run rate? Or based on what you see in the field right now that could be an inflection higher over time in 2017 potentially?

  • Tom Richards - Chairman & CEO

  • Well, look, I would expect it to improve over time. I mean part of the reason we have been thoughtful about guiding you guys on our performance is because we know what it is like when you bring on new partners. And it takes time, it takes time to establish relationships in the field. Those are based on trust. It takes time to make sure there is operational readiness even for a company the size of Dell.

  • The infusion of the volume of business that CDW can drive can, if you will, technically jam up the system. So, we anticipated all of that. But I would see no reason over time that it shouldn't be a pretty meaningful partner here at CDW, much like some of the other large strategic partners we have.

  • Amit Daryanani - Analyst

  • Perfect, thank you, guys.

  • Operator

  • Matt Sheerin, Stifel.

  • Matt Sheerin - Analyst

  • A question regarding your cloud business. You talked about 6% of gross margin -- gross profit now derived from cloud. Could you talk about the economics of that business in terms of operating cost, SG&A to support that and working capital? And as that business continues to grow at a faster rate than the Company, what does that do to the economics of working capital returns, etc.?

  • Tom Richards - Chairman & CEO

  • Well, there was a lot in there, Matt. So let me try to go through it and get you to the finish line. So, the first thing is, it is a little different business, so let me just start with a working capital perspective, because we are obviously not buying products and putting them in warehouses. And so that is kind of a whole different model.

  • It is, as you might expect, an extremely profitable business for us. But it is like all of our solution areas, it is a different selling motion, it requires a different level of technical skills. And as I said, we are kind of thrilled, but we started this thing back in 2011. So it is not by surprise it is kind of the result of CDW's ability to invest heavily in solution areas that ends up generating the kind of performance.

  • In some cases, Matt, you get paid kind of an agency fee which is a percentage of the value of the contract. In other cases it is done a little differently, maybe more as a service billing.

  • And if you think about it, we provide cloud across -- there is kind of the SaaS based part of the model, that can have a different -- kind of more of an agency feel, there is the infrastructure as a service part of the model, which is kind of a cross between an agency and a monthly billing. There is the ag services part of the model and so all of those have a little different economics.

  • But I think at the end of the day you can think about it as having a similar cost structure to our software business, a similiar structure to our security business and the biggest investment for us is making sure we have the technical skills that can sit down and help a customer think through their options from a cloud computing perspective.

  • Matt Sheerin - Analyst

  • Okay, that is very helpful. I will leave it at that. Thanks a lot.

  • Operator

  • Mark Moskowitz, Barclays.

  • Mark Moskowitz - Analyst

  • Tom, I wondered if you could talk a little more about your commentary. I think you said you are expecting more at the low end of the 200 to 300 basis point for this year for US. Can you talk about the puts and takes regarding that commentary in terms of how we should think about where there can maybe be upside if there is and maybe where things could worse if they do get worse?

  • Tom Richards - Chairman & CEO

  • Well I think, Mark, we try to be pretty consistent on this. I think it starts with you have got an underlying economy that is I think growing slower than a lot of people had hoped. What is it, 0.8 in the first quarter, 1.2 in the second quarter. And while business continues to invest, I think, much like my investment here at CDW, it is with a touch of caution because you are trying to think about kind of what is going to happen in those next couple quarters.

  • And as we just think about what IT has done in the first half of this year and you think about the underlying GDP, it does tend to make you believe well, you started slower. And even if you have the acceleration we are hoping for, you are still going to probably come in at the low end of the 2% to 3% range. That is kind of the science behind it, Mark, truthfully.

  • Now, the accelerants, if you will, could be I think if we get some stability and you would begin to see GDP driven a little more by business investment than maybe just a strong consumer sentiment, all of that I think would suggest room for opportunity and accelerated performance.

  • Mark Moskowitz - Analyst

  • Okay, and then just a follow-up if I could. You talked about some Brexit opportunities. Could you talk a little more about that? And if there is any sort of situation here where because there could be some uncertainty in that region given CDW's position of strength, could you leverage any sort of maybe broader Euro zone weakness or malaise if there is one that manifests over the next year or so? Could that be an opportunity for CDW to be actually more acquisitive in the region beyond just the UK to build out your number?

  • Tom Richards - Chairman & CEO

  • Okay. All right, well I am glad you kept talking because I thought I had the answer until you got to the very end. So let me kind of go back and reconstruct, Mark, how we are thinking about it.

  • Mark Moskowitz - Analyst

  • Thank you.

  • Tom Richards - Chairman & CEO

  • So the first thing is the original thesis for the Kelway acquisition for us was serving those US multinational customers. And so, in many ways the Brexit decision doesn't impact that; it still will play that role and help us get to 80 or over 100 -- I think it is over 80-plus countries that they have the ability to get to. And so that is important to us.

  • I think when you move to the what I will call local aspect of it, clearly the lack of clarity is causing all kind of theories and scenarios to be built out about the UK economy. A couple of things when it comes to our ability to -- depending on how those negotiations turn out, our ability to kind of move in and about the EU.

  • First of all, one of our locations from CDW UK is in Ireland. So that gives us an EU presence kind of right off the bat. But as we move forward we have been I think pretty clear in thinking about expanding our hub and spoke model and looking at other places in the footprint. And to some degree we will be both trying to optimize kind of our current position and looking for what I will call additional or alternate distribution mechanisms going forward.

  • Mark Moskowitz - Analyst

  • Thank you.

  • Operator

  • Osten Bernardez, Cross Research.

  • Osten Bernardez - Analyst

  • So, just wanted to touch base on your commentary with respect to what you are seeing from the storage side of things. You noted seeing growth from traditional vendors. I am assuming you are capturing share, channel share from those vendors as they are becoming more dependent on you.

  • Can you highlight how sustainable that is or where do you see that playing -- how do you see that playing out from a traditional standpoint for the rest of the year over the next 12 months?

  • Tom Richards - Chairman & CEO

  • Yes, Osten, first of all thanks for your question. I think the storage picture is an interesting one because I think it represents a lot of what you are going to see in the data center technologies. And it does emphasize what I would argue is one of the real strengths of the CDW model in the solutions business which is our scale.

  • Because what it does is our scale attracts a lot of new entrants. And they are anxious to be a partner at CDW because of what we can do to help grow their business. That also gives us what I would call a diversity or breadth of solutions for customers and we have actually seen that play out.

  • If you look at our storage business, it has kind of been a steady mid-single-digit growth as we have had a lot of these new entrants kind of driving growth as the traditional OEM partners transform their product line. And I think what you saw this quarter is the result of some of the traditional providers, that transformation beginning to take place.

  • So as I think about going forward I would expect us to continue to get growth from both of those two and the -- as you have heard me talk about flash here I think it feels like for the last five or six quarters, it just continues to be kind of a growth momentum.

  • And I actually, sitting here, love the fact that we have got that kind of new infusion of anxious competitors and traditional people responding because it just drives competition and that is good for us and that drives solutions for customers in the marketplace.

  • So, I don't want to get into the business of predicting future quarters for different products because you can get surprised. But I do feel good about the vantage that scale gives us in the solutions business and storage is a good example.

  • Osten Bernardez - Analyst

  • And then lastly, real briefly, I appreciate the commentary on NetComm I believe you brokered out from an end market perspective. But I don't recall whether you provided NetComm directionally on a consolidated basis. If you did I apologize --.

  • Tom Richards - Chairman & CEO

  • No, no, that is okay. It was basically flat and it was the tale of two cities story. Just I think I went through that really pretty quickly in the script where we saw really strong growth in a number of the Public segments, if you will, and we saw a little bit of contraction inside of MedLar.

  • Osten Bernardez - Analyst

  • Okay, thank you.

  • Operator

  • Rich Kugele, Needham & Company.

  • Rich Kugele - Analyst

  • So, I just wanted to focus on one question. The vendor incentives, have you seen any changes in how the vendors themselves have been dealing with this kind of stutter step investment, especially in the MedLar side? I mean what are they doing to try and generate growth and are they trying to be more helpful than in previous years? Thanks.

  • Tom Richards - Chairman & CEO

  • I don't think there has been a stutter step in their investment. If I -- if you got that I don't want to suggest that. I think they have been pretty aggressive and a lot of the OEM partners tell us that even when they have had depressed revenue and CDW has had depressed revenue we still are taking share, although it is kind of a weird way to think about it.

  • And so, their investment continues to be significant and meaningful. And a lot of time, as I alluded to, just if you think about it, the last quarter we had over 50 partners funding programs and strategies and initiatives trying to drive share take, whether it comes in the form of new accounts and/or customer penetration.

  • So, they have been pretty consistent and, at least based on many of my one-on-one discussions with the CEOs of a lot of our partners, pretty pleased with CDW.

  • Rich Kugele - Analyst

  • That is helpful. And well done in the quarter. Thanks.

  • Tom Richards - Chairman & CEO

  • Thank you.

  • Operator

  • Brian Alexander, Raymond James.

  • Brian Alexander - Analyst

  • Thanks. Tom, just want to follow up. In terms of the Corporate sales being down 1%, I think this might be the first down quarters since the Great Recession. How much of this do you think was just market-related and temporary versus anything competitive or more structural? And do you think customer migrations to the public cloud are playing a role here at all?

  • Tom Richards - Chairman & CEO

  • No, I don't think -- let me answer the latter part. I don't think that is playing a role because -- not in the what I will call overall top-line performance. I mean clearly the incredible success we are having in our cloud business is one of the reasons you are seeing the impact on servers. But I think that is kind of multifaceted, Brian.

  • You have our cloud business growing, you have got our converged infrastructure kind of business on fire. And so, I think those are kind of related. I think the Corporate business was just more a function of, as I said, as you go into a year we didn't have the number of big deals, some of that was driven by just the ongoing success and the underlying kind of economic longer selling cycle, lots more discussions when it comes to, gee, do I want to execute this project.

  • So I don't -- look, I don't have any systemic worries. Now having said that I think the team would tell you, Richards is always worried and -- when it comes to future growth. So, I don't sense that there is anything there that would say they wouldn't kind of return to performance. And I think if you look at small business, Brian, they are both in the Corporate world and Small Business has continued to grow.

  • Brian Alexander - Analyst

  • Okay. And then, Ann, gross margins have been really strong, up for six straight quarters, up quite nicely actually. And I think you are talking about flat year-over-year gross margin trends in the second half.

  • So, can you just talk about what is changing specifically from a mix perspective that would cause gross margin improvement to moderate in the second half? Is it the large deals in MedLar that are coming back or is there anything competitively that we should think about?

  • Ann Ziegler - SVP & CFO

  • Yes. No, I think you need to remember that as we move through Q3 and Q4 we mix significantly into Federal government business. And that, as we have said for years, has a lower margin. So, that is going to have the impact. And as you see product sales accelerate, then the NSCR -- the mix impact -- the positive mix impact we are getting from mixing into NSCR will reverse or mitigate as we mix back into product. So it is a combination of those two things.

  • Brian Alexander - Analyst

  • Okay, thank you.

  • Operator

  • Sherri Scribner, Deutsche Bank.

  • Sherri Scribner - Analyst

  • Tom, I was just interested in exploring your comments about demand being more at the low end of the 2% to 3% range. I guess thinking about where the Street is modeling your revenue growth this year, it is somewhere around 9% growth based on consensus. So, you have got maybe 2% underlying growth, 2% to 3% growth on top of that based on your execution and then some benefit from Dell.

  • I guess the question is, are you signaling that that 9% maybe should be a little bit softer given the demand environment is a bit softer and we have also got some currency headwinds?

  • Tom Richards - Chairman & CEO

  • Well, that -- I think that last part, Sherri, is important. We probably have a little more currency headwind post Brexit than we anticipated the last time we talked. And so, that will be an important part of some of the pressure that happens.

  • I think the second thing is you have got to look at UK just as an entity and think about what happens post Brexit when it comes to pressuring that part of the business. I think those are two factors that kind of sit on top of the total growth rate.

  • I still expect us to perform -- outperform the market by 200 to 300 basis points. I still expect Dell to give us 150 basis points. All of those are true. But the two new wildcards is the currency issue and what I would call the UK local phenomenon, if I could say it that way.

  • Ann Ziegler - SVP & CFO

  • Sherri, it is Ann. In the build you did you need to remember to add the impact of UK from the wrap we had the first half of the year.

  • Sherri Scribner - Analyst

  • Right. Okay, great. Thank you.

  • Operator

  • Tien-tsin Huang, JPMorgan.

  • Tien-tsin Huang - Analyst

  • Hey, good morning, good quarter here. Just wanted to better understand the visibility in the second half outlook for the solution sales within MedLar. It sounds like there are some deals that you have signed. Is there pent up demand too given longer sales and decision cycles?

  • Tom Richards - Chairman & CEO

  • Well, I would say it is more just -- it is kind of that two factor is the way I think about it, Tien-tsin, is yes we has some visibility, more visibility into deals that have already been sold. By definition they tend to be more solutions oriented. Now it you do have some client and there that are meaningful.

  • But I think that the wildcard for me is the underlying economy and what happens as we kind of move forward through the rest of this year. Because I think that is going to influence business investment. And that influences the corporate side of the world. And we kind of think about it as we can only execute against what goes on in the macroeconomic environment and we will continue to do that.

  • But it is kind of like similar to the question Brian asked, do I think there is some systemic issue inside of that. I do not. This time last year a couple of those segments were at 18% growth rates. So, kind of it is just a function of the cycle.

  • Tien-tsin Huang - Analyst

  • Understood, got it, just a cycle. And then just maybe as a follow-up, maybe a stupid question here, but just election-year impact. Think about what might that have on government or maybe just budget flush in general. I mean I don't know if you could look back in the past or if it doesn't matter at all but I figure I would ask you anyway.

  • Tom Richards - Chairman & CEO

  • Yes, wow, okay. Now truthfully I would say I don't -- we are not sitting here anticipating some kind of spend it now or lose it before the new regime gets in. But, hey, stranger things have happened and if they decide they want to spend it I guarantee you CDW will be there to help them.

  • Tien-tsin Huang - Analyst

  • Got it. As always, thank you.

  • Operator

  • Thank you. That is all the time that we have for questions today. So I would like to turn the call back over to management for closing remarks.

  • Tom Richards - Chairman & CEO

  • Okay, thanks again to everybody, I appreciate you taking the time this morning and thank you for your interest in CDW. I do think it was a strong quarter for us, proud of the team's focus and execution and our ability to kind of reallocate resources and focus where we have meaningful opportunity continues to be an important part of this business model.

  • And for those of you that need help figuring out how to use IT, we can help you. And since it is Olympics season I guess my comment would be, go USA, go UK, go Canada. All right? Okay, thanks, everybody. See you.

  • Operator

  • Ladies and gentlemen, thank you again for your participation in today's conference. This now concludes the program and you may all disconnect at this time. Everyone have a great day.