Acuity Brands Inc (AYI) 2013 Q3 法說會逐字稿

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  • Operator

  • Good morning and welcome to Acuity Brands 2013 third-quarter financial conference call.

  • After today's presentation there will be a formal question and answer session.

  • (Operator Instructions)

  • Today's conference is being recorded.

  • If you have any objections, you may disconnect at this time.

  • Now, I would like to introduce Mr. Dan Smith, Senior Vice President, Treasurer and Secretary.

  • Sir, you may begin.

  • Dan Smith - SVP, Treasurer, and Secretary

  • Thank you, and good morning.

  • With me today to discuss our third-quarter results are Vern Nagel, our Chairman, President, and Chief Executive Officer, and Ricky Reece, our Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer.

  • We are webcasting today's conference call at www.Acuitybrands.com.

  • I would like to remind everyone that during this call we may make projections or forward-looking statements regarding future events or future financial performance of the Company.

  • Such statements involve risk and uncertainties such that actual results may differ materially.

  • Please refer to our most recent 10-K and 10-Q SEC filings and today's Press Release, which identify important factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from those contained in our projections or forward-looking statements.

  • Now let me turn this call over to Vern Nagel.

  • Vern Nagel - Chairman, President, and CEO

  • Thank you, Dan.

  • Good morning everyone.

  • Ricky and I would like to make a few comments and then we will answer your questions.

  • First off, we are quite pleased with our results for the third quarter.

  • Our net sales grew 11% this quarter which was meaningfully higher compared with the estimated low-mid-single digit growth rates of the key markets we serve.

  • While there were three unusual items in our third-quarter numbers, noise if you will, and we will explain those in a moment, we feel we delivered very solid results while achieving success on numerous strategic priorities.

  • You'll recall from our previous calls and SEC filings we expected market demand to show signs of improvement in our second half.

  • While we believe this occurred there was still inconsistency in orders; however in spite of this variability Acuity again achieved meaningful sales volume growth.

  • In fact this was our 13th quarter in a row of sales volume growth.

  • We believe this is yet again positive evidence our strategies to provide our customers with differentiated value propositions and to diversify the end markets we serve are succeeding, allowing us to expand our leadership position in North America.

  • These strategies include the continued aggressive introduction of innovative, energy efficient lighting solutions, expansion in key channels and geographies, and improvements in customer service and Company-wide productivity.

  • I know many of you have already seen our results and Ricky will provide more detail later, but I would like to make a few comments on the key highlights for the quarter; however before doing so I would like to comment on the noise in our numbers.

  • First, as we noted in our last 10-Q, we became aware of a fraud perpetrated at a freight service provider to the Company earlier in this third quarter.

  • After significant investigation, we now estimate the cost to Acuity of this fraud and related expenses is $8.1 million.

  • We recorded the loss this quarter which is included in our selling, distribution, and administrative expense.

  • Unfortunately, Acuity was one of approximately 50 companies impacted by this fraud.

  • Second, we incurred $800,000 of incremental expenses this quarter for the last of the temporary inefficiencies associated with the Cochran plant closure.

  • We are pleased to have this behind us.

  • Lastly, we took a special charge of $7.2 million this quarter for additional streamlining actions that included the elimination of certain salaried positions and the consolidation of certain small manufacturing facilities.

  • We also had a special charge in the year-ago quarter as well.

  • Ricky will provide more details including projected savings on the current charge later in the call.

  • We find it helpful to add back these items as adjustments to provide an enhanced understanding of the Company's current financial performance and prospects for the future.

  • Now let us review our results for the third quarter.

  • Net sales for the quarter were almost $542 million, an increase of more than 11% compared with the year-ago period.

  • This level of growth was significant given general economic and industry conditions.

  • Reported operating profit was $50 million, however adjusted operating profit was $66.1 million compared with $59.2 million for the year-ago period, an increase of 12%, while adjusted operating profit margin was 12.2%, 10 basis points higher than in the year-ago period.

  • Adjusted EBITDA was a robust 14.6% of net sales.

  • Diluted earnings per share were $0.73.

  • Adjusted EPS for the current quarter was $0.97 compared with $0.82 in the year-ago period, an increase of more than 18%.

  • There are a number of key items to note regarding the results for the third quarter.

  • While net sales grew over 11% compared with a year ago, we estimate sales volume grew approximately 14% this quarter.

  • This level of sales volume growth was particularly noteworthy given the overall market conditions I mentioned earlier.

  • We estimate the impact of price changes and the mix of products sold reduced net sales by approximately 3%.

  • While it is not possible to precisely determine the separate impact of price and product mix changes, we believe the difference was primarily due to changes in channel mix as well as the mix of products sold, and to a lesser degree lower pricing in like-kind LED luminaires between periods, reflecting the decline in certain LED component cost.

  • The impact of acquisitions and foreign currency on net sales was not significant.

  • The growth in net sales was reasonably broad-based along many product lines, though certain specialty fixtures more closely associated with new construction lagged the overall average due to the tepid environment for new non-residential construction.

  • From a channel perspective we experienced strong growth in the commercial, industrial, and infrastructure channels, as well as continued growth for larger renovation projects.

  • The mix of products sold on these larger renovation projects tend to have a lower gross profit margin profile than our overall average margin.

  • We also continued to experience higher mix of sales of less featured value-oriented products sold through certain channels, primarily for renovation which also tend to have a lower than average margin profile.

  • In spite of strong top line growth this year, the change in both product and sales channel mix were the primary contributors to a consistent, adjusted gross profit margin this quarter compared with a year ago.

  • Sales growth in our largest channel, commercial and industrial, was slightly above this quarter's overall percentage increase, primarily due to a continued focus on smaller and medium-sized projects for both new construction and renovation, as well as continued emphasis on selling higher value-added lighting solutions, especially LED luminaires, which grew again more than 2.5 times compared with the year-ago period.

  • Additionally we enjoyed growth in our residential products as demand for new housing and renovation of existing homes continued to rebound.

  • We continued to experience growth in most geographies and channels in North America, all of which is encouraging, though this was offset somewhat by the continued weakness in Europe.

  • Excluding LED luminaires, we believe the puts and takes for product pricing as well as material and component costs were again fairly benign this quarter.

  • Looking at overall market conditions for the third quarter, we believe spending in key segments of the US non-residential construction market was down slightly compared with the year ago, while residential construction was up more than 20%.

  • Further we believe the overall lighting market was up low-mid-single digits during the quarter, supported by growth in renovation as well as the residential market.

  • This is in stark contrast compared with the growth in our net sales in North America, which was up more than 11%.

  • Lastly, we believe our channel and product diversification as well as our strategies to better serve customers with new, more innovative lighting solutions, and the strength of our many salesforces have allowed us to achieve meaningful sales growth again this quarter.

  • Before I turn the call over to Ricky, I would like to comment on our profitability and the strategic accomplishments in the quarter.

  • Excluding the impact of the three items I noted earlier, adjusted operating profit margin for the third quarter was a solid 12.2%, up modestly compared with the year ago.

  • This is particularly noteworthy given that sales of LED luminaires now make up almost 20% of our total sales.

  • Further, as Ricky will discuss later in the call, adjusted gross profit margin was 41%, down 40 basis points compared with the prior year.

  • From a margin perspective we believe benefits from the higher sales volume were offset by the meaningful shift in product and sales channel mix as noted earlier.

  • The mix shift was primarily due to the positive influx of large renovation projects awarded to Acuity even though they tend to have a lower margin profile as compared with fixtures ship, for example, to projects with a high degree of specification influence within the C&I channel.

  • Also as noted earlier, we continue to experience a greater mix of less-featured value-oriented products sold through certain channels.

  • The impact of product and sales channel mix was partially offset by lower material and component cost, as well as productivity improvements associated with our streamlining efforts.

  • The slight decline in adjusted gross profit margin was more than offset by a similar improvement in adjusted selling, distribution, and administrative expenses, which were 28.8% of net sales in the quarter, compared with 29.3% in the year-ago period.

  • Total adjusted SD&A expenses were $155.8 million, up about 9% this quarter compared with the year-ago period, primarily to support the growth in sales volume this quarter.

  • On the strategic front we continued our rapid pace of introductions of new products, significantly expanding our industry leading portfolio of innovative energy efficient luminaires and lighting control solutions.

  • As I mentioned earlier our solid state lighting portfolio continues to expand rapidly, as are the sales of these luminaires.

  • Today almost 20% of our net sales are from LED luminaires, and we continue to fund the development of holistic lighting solutions for specific applications such as schools, healthcare facilities, commercial office buildings, and various outdoor applications to fully leverage our award-winning portfolio of lighting fixtures, controls, and components.

  • More impressively as I noted earlier, our adjusted operating profit margin continued to remain solid, while sales of LED-based solutions are a growing portion of our overall business.

  • Acuity is the clear leader in digital lighting solutions.

  • It is because we understand lighting and the sophisticated needs of our expansive customer base.

  • We are able to offer customers tailored solutions from our industry leading portfolio regardless of the light source, and we continue to add even more capabilities including the recent acquisition of eldoLED.

  • eldoLED is a leader in the design and manufacture of high-performance intelligent drivers for LED-based lighting systems.

  • The acquisition of eldoLED gives us and our OEM customers unique capabilities to provide unparalleled lighting solutions to the ultimate end-user, including complete dimability, color changing, and tunable white solutions, which eliminate the stroboscopic effects that are prevalent with many of the LED fixtures in the industry today.

  • As I've noted before, our organization has a long and distinguished history of leading and innovating during eras of technology disruption.

  • Today is clearly no different.

  • Acuity Brands is leading the evolution to intelligent lighting solutions with its broad and deep portfolio of indoor and outdoor solid state and traditional energy-efficient luminaires and lighting controls, and we are delivering profitable growth and strong financial returns for our shareholders while making these important investments.

  • I will talk more about our future growth strategies and our expectations for the construction market later in the call.

  • I would like to now turn the call over to Ricky before I make a few comments regarding our focus for the balance of 2013 and beyond.

  • Ricky?

  • Ricky Reece - EVP and CFO

  • Thank you, Vern, and good morning, everyone.

  • I will highlight a few items regarding our income statement, including the special charge, temporary production inefficiencies, and the fraud-related loss.

  • I then will discuss our cash flow and financial conditions before turning the call back to Vern.

  • Vern covered the primary drivers for our sales growth and our profitability, so I will not repeat these items, but I will provide a bit more color on certain aspects of our third-quarter results.

  • Let's first look at our special charge related to streamlining activities.

  • In the third quarter of fiscal 2013, we continued our efforts to streamline the organization through the planned closure of certain small production facilities, as well as the realignment of responsibilities, primarily within various selling, distribution, and administrative departments.

  • We recognized a pretax special charge related to our streamlining actions totaling $7.2 million, or $0.11 diluted EPS.

  • The pretax special charge consists almost entirely of severance and employee-related costs.

  • The production facilities we are closing manufacture less than 2% of our total production, and we expect to complete the closure and related transfer of production by the end of the calendar year.

  • We currently expect to incur production transfer expense and other cost of approximately $2 million over the next two fiscal quarters related to this streamlining action.

  • We estimate the total annualized pretax savings associated with this streamlining action to be approximately $15 million, and we expect to realize $2 million in our fourth fiscal quarter, and to be at the full annualized run rate by the end of the calendar year, assuming the production transfers occur according to current plans.

  • These savings should help fund important investments we are continuing to make, to expand our product and solution portfolio, and enhance our production, distribution, and customer service and support capabilities.

  • In addition to this special charge, we incurred $0.8 million, or $0.01 diluted EPS of higher pretax costs related to temporary manufacturing inefficiencies associated with the closing of the Cochran, Georgia facility, which we initiated last fiscal year.

  • We currently expect no further costs related to this streamlining effort and we are now at the total annualized saving rate of approximately $8 million from this streamlining action.

  • We also incurred a pretax loss of $8.1 million, or $0.12 diluted EPS, resulting from a fraud perpetrated at Trendset Inc, a freight payment and audit service firm formerly retained by the Company.

  • As we previously reported in our second-quarter 10-Q, on March 25, 2013, Trendset notified its customers that all freight payment services would immediately cease as a result of a fraud at Trendset.

  • We incurred this loss primarily because funds we disbursed at Trendset were not subsequently remitted to freight carriers that provided services on our behalf.

  • We are aggressively seeking recovery for this loss through multiple sources.

  • Numerous other Trendset customers are also pursuing claims against Trendset for their losses, and several with significant losses filed an involuntary petition commencing a bankruptcy proceeding against Trendset under Chapter 11 of the US bankruptcy code.

  • Based on information currently available we cannot estimate the amount or timing of any potential recovery, if any.

  • Based on GAAP any future recovery would be recorded when realized.

  • As Vern said earlier we find it useful to adjust our results for these three items to make them more comparable, and we have included in our earnings release a full reconciliation of our GAAP amounts to these adjusted results.

  • As Vern mentioned earlier our adjusted gross profit margin of 41% decreased 40 basis points compared with the year-ago period on a more than 11% increase in net sales, due largely to an unfavorable price mix partially offset by the favorable impact of increased net sales, lower material and component costs, productivity improvements, and realized benefits from the previously mentioned streamlining actions.

  • However, our adjusted operating profit margin increased 10 basis points to 12.2% compared with the adjusted operating margin in the year-ago period, as we were able to offset the unfavorable gross margin percentage comparison.

  • Our adjusted SD&A expense as a percent of net sales declined to 28.8% or 50 basis points below the same period last year, and the lowest it has been since fiscal year 2009, demonstrating we are seeing the benefits from the investments we have made in our business and the streamlining of our organization.

  • Let's next turn our attention to some of our results below the operating earnings line.

  • Miscellaneous income of $3 million in the third quarter of fiscal 2013 consists primarily of gains associated with asset sales of an empty facility and idle equipment.

  • The miscellaneous income is just slightly more than the miscellaneous income recognized in the third quarter of last year that was due primarily to the impact of changes in foreign currency exchange rates, primarily Mexican peso denominated items.

  • The effective tax rate for the third quarter was 29.9% compared with 35.8% in the third quarter of last year.

  • This lower effective tax rate was due primarily to the favorable impact of a reduction in certain income tax reserves.

  • We estimate the effective tax rate for the full fiscal year 2013 will be approximately 35% if the rates in our taxing jurisdictions remain generally consistent throughout the year.

  • Now let's look at the cash flow for the nine months ended May 31, 2013.

  • Cash flow generated from operations for the first nine months of fiscal year 2013 was $67.8 million compared with $102.8 million generated from operating activities in the prior-year period.

  • This decrease in cash flow from operating activities during the first nine months of fiscal year 2013 was due primarily to an increase in account receivables and a decrease in accrued incentive compensation compared with the same period last year.

  • The increase in accounts receivable is due to greater sales than last year's, while the days outstanding for receivables is flat at May 31, 2013 compared with the prior year.

  • Cash flow provided by operations in the third quarter of this year increased almost $3 million compared to the third quarter of fiscal year 2012.

  • Total operating working capital of 40 days at May 31, 2013 was flat compared with the prior year.

  • In the first nine months of fiscal year 2013, we spent $31.4 million on capital expenditures compared with only $18.8 million in the prior-year period, or an increase of $12.6 million.

  • This increase in expenditures is largely related to the capital associated with adding additional capacity in the plants receiving the production transfer from Cochran, expansion of manufacturing capabilities in certain other locations, and tooling associated with a large number of new products recently developed.

  • We currently expect to spend approximately $40 million in capital expenditures in the full fiscal year 2013.

  • This higher level of expected full-year fiscal spending as compared with the recent past is influenced by approximately $5 million related to facility improvements to accommodate the closure of the Cochran facility, and an additional $5 million related to the refurbishment of a furnace at the glass manufacturing facility which is required approximately every five years.

  • At May 31, 2013, we had a cash balance of $302 million and total debt of $354 million.

  • At the end of the third quarter of fiscal 2013, net debt to total capitalization was 5%.

  • At May 31, 2013, we had additional borrowing capacity of $244.3 million under our credit facility that does not mature until January 2017, so we continue to maintain a significant amount of financial flexibility.

  • Thank you and I'll now turn the call back to Vern.

  • Vern Nagel - Chairman, President, and CEO

  • Thank you, Ricky.

  • As we look forward we continue to see significant long-term growth opportunities.

  • While we don't give earnings guidance I would like to add a few more observations to what we mentioned earlier regarding our expectations for the balance of 2013.

  • First is, as we have noted before, while we expect the economic environment to continue to be challenging, we anticipate that businesses and consumers in North America will accelerate their investments as uncertainties over US fiscal issues dissipate and the economy continues to improve.

  • Forecasts by independent organizations for industry growth continue to vary widely.

  • The consensus estimate for growth rates in key segments for the non-residential market for new construction in the US for 2013 is in the lower-mid-single digits, while sales for lighting fixtures are expected to be modestly higher, supported by renovation and retrofit activity in a growing residential market.

  • This suggests that expected growth in the broad lighting market in North America will be in the mid-single digit range for the balance of calendar 2013.

  • This is reasonably consistent with the outlook we provided in our recent SEC filings.

  • Also as we noted earlier there are other signs that continue to give us optimism regarding the future growth of our business.

  • Leading indicators such as architectural billing index, vacancy rates, office absorption, lending availability, and the rebound in residential construction continue to be favorable.

  • As you know, there is a lag in the new construction cycle between the design phase of projects and the ultimate purchase of lighting fixtures and controls.

  • Therefore, while we still see some volatility in demand among certain channels and geographies, our expectation for the balance of calendar 2013 is that overall demand in our end markets will continue to improve and be more consistent and broad based.

  • The favorable trend in our June order rate seems to support this level of improvement.

  • Second, the industry continues to experience some volatility with respect to input costs.

  • While some commodity costs have waned, others continue to rise.

  • As of now we expect material input costs to be relatively flat for the fourth quarter, except for certain LED components which should continue to decline.

  • Further, we expect employee related costs will continue to rise due to wage inflation and the negative impact of Obamacare on healthcare costs.

  • Of course we will continue to be vigilant in our pricing posture and efforts to drive productivity improvements to help offset rising costs.

  • Next, while our gross profit margin is influenced by volume as well as product and channel mix, we expect our gross profit margins to improve over time as volumes grow, particularly for larger new construction projects which should also benefit our mix, and as we continue to realize typical gains in manufacturing efficiencies.

  • Additionally, we continue to experience some isolated pricing pressures in certain markets and channels.

  • As we have said before, we will defend our market position vigorously from competitors should they attempt to use price as their only point of differentiation.

  • Lastly, we expect to continue to outperform the markets we serve.

  • Looking more specifically at our Company we are excited by the many opportunities to enhance our already strong platform.

  • As I noted in our last several conference calls, our strategies to drive profitable growth remain intact.

  • We continue to see opportunities in this environment, including benefits from growing portions of the market, further expansion in underpenetrated geographies and channels, and growth from the introduction of new lighting solutions.

  • As the industry leader in North America, we believe we are uniquely positioned with key suppliers around the globe to continue to bring greater and more differentiated value to our customers, incorporating advanced technologies, providing superior lighting quality and more sustainable energy solutions.

  • Our product and solutions portfolios continue to expand rapidly, including now seven strategic acquisitions over the last few years with the recent addition of the eldoLED team.

  • The acquisition of eldoLED while small today in terms of revenues is a meaningful addition of our growing portfolio of LED based lighting solutions, an area of significant focus and growth potential for Acuity.

  • Our strategy is straightforward, expand and leverage our industry-leading portfolio and solutions coupled with our extensive market presence, and our considerable financial strength to capitalize on market growth opportunities.

  • This all takes focus and resources.

  • We are funding these activities today because we see great future opportunity.

  • Through these investments we have significantly expanded our addressable market and our sales growth this quarter reflects what we believe are the early stages of this opportunity.

  • As I've said before, we believe the lighting and lighting-related industry will experience significant growth over the next decade, particularly as energy and environmental concerns come to the forefront.

  • We continue to believe the many markets we serve as part of the broader lighting industry could grow by more than 50% over the next few years, providing us with significant growth potential.

  • As the market leader we are positioned well to fully participate in this exciting industry.

  • Thank you, and with that we will entertain any questions that you have.

  • Operator

  • (Operator Instructions)

  • Our first question comes from Shawn Lockman from Piper Jaffray.

  • Shawn Lockman - Analyst

  • Hi good morning guys.

  • Thank you very much for taking my question.

  • Just wanted to see if you could give us a little bit more detail on the puts and takes on gross margins.

  • While I know that on a year over year basis they may have kind of ticked down, they sequentially improved and are obviously kind of moving in the right direction.

  • You expressed some confidence that those margins will continue to improve.

  • Can you talk a little bit about just a little more detail in terms of the factors that will influence the manufacturing efficiencies, pricing mix, those kinds of factors?

  • Vern Nagel - Chairman, President, and CEO

  • So as we think about our margin profile let me just provide a little bit more background information.

  • While it's impossible to precisely calculate this number, we believe that approximately 50% of our revenues today are involved in some form of renovation and retrofit, and as we think about that market dynamic, it has an influence on the margin profile that we enjoy.

  • Obviously when we sell products into large projects that have a broad portfolio of products going into that project tends to have a higher mix than renovation, where a renovation of certain retail spaces for example, may be more of a singular or few products that tend to be more competitive.

  • Our expectation is that we will experience this type of margin profile for a while until new construction starts to come back and becomes a more traditional percentage of our overall business.

  • We are very excited to continue to win these types of renovation projects.

  • I think it demonstrates our unique capability to really tailor lighting solutions, but because of the size and nature and the competitive nature of some of those types of projects it tends to have a lesser than average margin profile.

  • We look hard to offset those types of things through productivity improvements, through cost reductions in terms of design.

  • When we think about products that we're selling into certain channels that are again for renovation of homes, these are products that Acuity did not have a robust portfolio in the past when it was more conventional incandescent type lighting.

  • So we're very excited to be penetrating these channels, but they typically come with lower margin profile.

  • But I think the exciting news from an investors perspective is Acuity is realizing penetration into that renovation world and we've yet to really see the fulsomeness of the return of new construction, which is starting to happen.

  • Again as I mentioned earlier, leading indicators are flashing favorable signs, and I think that we're in the early stages of what will probably be a fairly long run in terms of new construction.

  • So it's our expectation that over time, as the mix of our business comes back to more historical norms, we will enjoy the benefit of improved gross margins as well as operating profit margins.

  • Shawn Lockman - Analyst

  • Great, thanks, that's very helpful.

  • I mean if I kind of move down the P&L here to OpEx, there's about 29% of revenues this quarter I believe.

  • Is this a good way to look at OpEx going forward or should we continue to see that shrink as a percentage of overall revenues?

  • I know you mentioned that there will be some ongoing inflation costs and so forth, but how should we think about that in terms of the changes you guys have made in terms of streamlining, and then also Obamacare and some other factors?

  • Vern Nagel - Chairman, President, and CEO

  • Yes, I would offer two comments there.

  • With the recent acquisitions of Adura and eldoLED, we have added more SDA expenses.

  • The revenues to offset those are coming, but right now, I would expect that our SDA expense with all the puts and takes of acquisition streamlining capabilities to probably now be in the $93 million to $95 million range.

  • As you'll recall I said that we were in the kind of $88 million to $92 million range, so roughly around an average of $90 million, we do expect that with these acquisitions that that will have ticked up.

  • Additionally our variable cost freight and Commissions is probably in the $11.3 million to $11.7 million range, again it depends on the mix percentage of sales.

  • So I would expect us to continue to drive revenue growth over that fixed investment base.

  • The acquisitions that we have made recently are very exciting for us.

  • It gives us a unique opportunity to provide capability not only for our portfolio but for OEM customers to advance their opportunities.

  • So Acuity will continue to sell more and more components to the industry because we see opportunities obviously to do that.

  • So yes, you should expect us to leverage that fixed investment base, but that fixed investment base has gone up because of these acquisitions recently.

  • Ricky Reece - EVP and CFO

  • Just to clarify that $93 million, $95 million, that's fixed portion of the SD&A cost per month.

  • Vern Nagel - Chairman, President, and CEO

  • Per quarter Ricky.

  • Ricky Reece - EVP and CFO

  • I mean per quarter correct.

  • Vern Nagel - Chairman, President, and CEO

  • Let's be very clear.

  • That is $93 million to $95 million of what we consider fixed, though there's some variability per quarter.

  • Ricky Reece - EVP and CFO

  • Right.

  • Shawn Lockman - Analyst

  • Okay, very good.

  • Thank you very much gentlemen.

  • Operator

  • Our next question comes from Matt McCall from BB&T Capital Markets.

  • Matt McCall - Analyst

  • Thank you good morning everybody.

  • So Vern, one word we didn't hear and we haven't heard as much is the control side and I know you don't break it out as a separate category now.

  • But I'm just curious about the trend there, what's the percent of penetration from a luminaire perspective, what's the attachment rate if you will?

  • And any color around is it progressing as expected and maybe what's the margin or growth benefit as you see more penetration controls moving forward?

  • Vern Nagel - Chairman, President, and CEO

  • Matt, that question's a fantastic question because it highlights for us the difficulty that we are having in trying to identify sales volume versus price mix versus channel and product mix.

  • The world is coming together as we had predicted if you will five years ago, and the integration of lighting controls into the luminaire and how we control that is occurring.

  • Our ability to sell integrated lighting solutions as part of the holistic package are continuing to grow.

  • Virtually all of our LED luminaires have some type of lighting control element as part of them, and so those LED luminaires now represent 20% of our revenues.

  • When we look at some of the discrete components that we would sell into the marketplace from a controls perspective we continue to see growth.

  • We actually see growth accelerating pretty significantly in our nLight program, the ability to again tie luminaires together in a holistic lighting solution that then further gets tied into energy and building management, so we are experiencing again solid growth there.

  • The issue on the margin side, we're very pleased by the way with our margins, for us to have delivered 41% gross margins, a 12.2% operating profit margin while seeing the LED side of our business continuing to grow I think is pretty robust.

  • There are reports out there that others have made that suggest that based on what Zumtobel is doing we should see a decline in our margins.

  • Be clear, we have yet to see the significant turnaround in new construction that I think is before us, and yet we continue to grow our top line meaningfully in that renovation area broadly defined small, medium, and large type renovation projects, which typically tend to have lower overall margins.

  • So all of this is working as we have planned and I think that we are again uniquely positioned to leverage our platform and portfolio.

  • Matt McCall - Analyst

  • And maybe as a follow-up, Vern, my second question, you talked a lot about mix whether it be project or some of the stock and flow or whether it be renovation versus new, and you talked about the mix impact from renovation.

  • Is there, have you provided any detail about the estimated margin impact from that mix from more renovation?

  • And if you have and I missed it I apologize, I was just curious but as that shift moves if we can kind of point to a margin improvement trend based on mix shift toward more construction.

  • Vern Nagel - Chairman, President, and CEO

  • Well, I think that as we pointed out, we believe as best as we can estimate that our sales volume was up 14% in the quarter over the year-ago period.

  • Price, product, and channel mix brought that down to a slightly above 11% overall growth, so that 3 points has a lot of stuff going on if you will.

  • And I think that that is probably a better reflection or a good reflection of the difference between the kinds of margins that we typically enjoy off of new construction where there's a heavy specification influence versus those items where they tend to be single-type products, high-volume, competitively-bid type items.

  • Again, we are quite pleased with the performance and the ability for us to penetrate this renovation market aggressively.

  • It really reflects the skill and capabilities of our lighting people to create unique solutions, but they just tend to be lower-margin businesses or projects.

  • The other thing I would say on the stock and flow side, again, we are entering portions of the market where Acuity traditionally did not have strength or really presence, and that is in renovation, retrofit type kits using LED-based luminaires for the residential market.

  • And we're enjoying quite good growth there and those products are good margins, but they are just not at our historical average simply because of the nature of the business and the competitive environment that's out there.

  • Matt McCall - Analyst

  • Okay, thank you, Vern.

  • Operator

  • Our next question comes from Glenn Wortman from Sidoti.

  • Glenn Wortman - Analyst

  • Yes, on the streamlining you just announced, what's the breakdown there on the savings between cost of goods sold and then SD&A?

  • Ricky Reece - EVP and CFO

  • About 75% to 80% would be in SD&A, and the rest would be in cost of goods sold.

  • Glenn Wortman - Analyst

  • Okay, and then just a little bit more of a medium-term question.

  • As your end markets continue to recover and hopefully non-res construction comes back, do you think double-digit top line growth would be sustainable say over the next three, four, five years?

  • Vern Nagel - Chairman, President, and CEO

  • Well, as we pointed out earlier, we believe that the markets that we serve have the opportunity to grow by 50% over the next three plus years.

  • And again, our feeling is how -- the way we have positioned the Company with both access to market, product portfolio, and again, unique capabilities through our acquisitions should allow us to outperform the markets that we serve.

  • So you can do your own modeling and have your own expectations about what that growth rate is going to look like.

  • It would be our expectation to outperform the markets we serve.

  • We are bullish about the future opportunity over the next decade in this industry, but more clearly over the next handful of years we see unique growth opportunities to really drive some strong financial performance.

  • Glenn Wortman - Analyst

  • Okay, thanks for taking my questions.

  • Operator

  • Our next question comes from Peter Lisnick from Robert W Baird.

  • Josh Chan - Analyst

  • Hi good morning, this is Josh Chan filling in for Pete.

  • The first question on price mix.

  • As LED prices sort of come down, I mean to what extent are you seeing kind of above normal price pressures in your conventional business?

  • Just because of the price decline in LED I was wondering if you're seeing that effect.

  • Ricky Reece - EVP and CFO

  • No, not actually, we aren't.

  • The good news is the value proposition for so many of the traditional fluorescent for example is still very strong, and we are continuing to see good opportunities there and have not.

  • In fact we believe in certain of our product lines as they go through their product life cycle that we could experience opportunities to really enjoy maintaining if not improving margins later on as we continue to reduce cost, continue to manage the product life cycle in those.

  • But to date, have not seen a decline product by product.

  • Again as Vern has been talking about mix and some of those have continued to be not as favorable because a lot of the renovation products we're selling today are still the traditional technologies, the fluorescent is the primary product in many of the renovation projects in large box retail space for example, but we've been able to see margins consistent with previous periods.

  • Josh Chan - Analyst

  • Okay, great.

  • And my second question is sticking with the price theme, how would you characterize the ability to perhaps realize price improvement as the construction cycle improves, as industry demand improves, how do you expect pricing to play out in that scenario?

  • Vern Nagel - Chairman, President, and CEO

  • Our expectation is that as we are able to provide more holistic lighting solutions where lighting controls are integrated into the luminaire, the luminaire becomes the point source of intelligence.

  • It's capable of doing much more.

  • It's now tied into a holistic lighting and energy management system that then gets tied into the overall building management system.

  • We believe we will be able to provide again unique capability there and we would expect for an expansion of our margins on those types of products.

  • We're in the very early phases of seeing how this is playing out and we do believe that we extract higher margins for significantly greater value-added holistic lighting solutions.

  • Today it's fascinating to me to watch our ability to leverage our access to market and sell products that are now different than what we would have sold say just a handful of years ago, LED based retrofit type luminaires.

  • It's a market where we really did not play in the past in terms of those retrofit opportunities, so this is really fascinating as we expand our access to market leveraging our sales capabilities.

  • So you're seeing this growth but not with the same variable contribution that you would have typically seen or expected from a dollar increase, because in the past that dollar increase in revenues came from project-type business that was generally driven around new construction.

  • When we start to see that come through as well, I think it's going to be an exciting time.

  • I don't expect that to happen by the way next quarter or the quarter after that, as I mentioned earlier.

  • The construction cycle takes awhile but we're now seeing higher quotations, quotations for much more comprehensive portfolios of product and lighting solutions, which I think should bode well for us as we think about our 2014 and beyond.

  • Josh Chan - Analyst

  • Great.

  • Thank you for your time and congrats on the quarter.

  • Operator

  • Our next question comes from Rich Kwas from Wells Fargo.

  • Rich Kwas - Analyst

  • Hi good morning, how are you?

  • Two questions.

  • The savings from these initiatives on the streamline activity, does that, it sounds like that flows through, that that's going to be reinvested into the business.

  • Did I catch that right from the earlier commentary?

  • Ricky Reece - EVP and CFO

  • A portion of it will.

  • Some of it will make up some of the investments we've been making if you look back at the guidance that was provided earlier in the call of the $93 million to $95 million a quarter in the more semi-fixed portion of SD&A.

  • We're factoring in some of the savings from this streamline activity to help fund some of that, so you're right.

  • That's not 100%, I wouldn't want everybody to model in that 100% of that $15 million or the 75% to 80% of that is SD&A that we're going to not need to reinvest some of that as we continue, but there will be some benefits from those activities.

  • Vern Nagel - Chairman, President, and CEO

  • And Ricky we would expect that typical wage inflation and typical healthcare costs will consume some of that.

  • So many of these moves are to help us redeploy assets into higher-return areas, but it's also to maintain and drive productivity offset just natural cost increases that are not always easy to pass along in the form of price increases of product.

  • So what we tend to do is really introduce new products that have features and benefits that allow us to extract higher margins to offset product life cycle management of older products.

  • And again, want to be very clear, it depends on where that product is going.

  • We see certain types of renovation as being somewhat lower-margin profile than our average due to just simply the nature of that business.

  • New construction tends to consume a much broader portfolio of product and a broader capability of lighting controls, the way we would sell it.

  • Rich Kwas - Analyst

  • So is it fair to say something less than 50% of this $15 million is what you would expect to flow through to the bottom line?

  • Is that a reasonable outlook?

  • I know it can move and depending on what happens with mix and what not, but is that a reasonable way to look at it?

  • Vern Nagel - Chairman, President, and CEO

  • Again, I think that we are comfortable in saying that our expectation on a go-forward basis, at least for the reasonable future after the acquisitions of Adura and eldoLED that that fixed SD&A portion is going to be in that $93 million to $95 million range.

  • Again, there's some variability there, and that for us takes into account the puts and takes of our streamlining efforts as well as potential cost increases for these other items that we noted.

  • Rich Kwas - Analyst

  • Okay.

  • And just as my follow-up, Vern, the comments in the release and in your comments on the call it just seems like you're a little more constructive on the environment out there, industry wide, in terms of activity.

  • That's kind of my read through from your comments and what's in the release.

  • Is that true?

  • I just want to make sure that I'm interpreting this correctly because it seems like versus prior quarters, where you've been a little more cautious and I'm not saying that you're not keeping an eye on things and cognizant of an environment that could continue to be somewhat choppy, but it seems like it's a little less so now versus prior quarters, is that the right interpretation?

  • Vern Nagel - Chairman, President, and CEO

  • Sure, a couple things on that.

  • We are not economists, so first and foremost.

  • We believe that the activities or the information that we receive from multiple sources suggest that the growth rate for the lighting space will kind of be mid-single digits for the balance of calendar 2013 and into calendar 2014.

  • When we look at other indicators that for us have a historical basis such as architectural billing index, employment, absorption, lending standards, all of those leading indicators for us right now are flashing green, so my cautious optimism around this is because when those types of leading indicators have turned green traditionally that means positive things happen.

  • We do believe that this economy, the GDP in North America, or excuse me in the US is starting to improve slowly, but all of the signs suggest positive opportunities over the next handful of years for new construction type growth.

  • You couple that with the renovation activities that are going on and you're seeing Acuity really learning how to fish in two ponds.

  • One is traditional strength of new construction, now renovation which we are aggressively going after and having success there.

  • So what I feel is that forget one quarter to the next, but if you look out over the next handful of years pretty robust opportunity for Acuity to leverage its what it does and does so well.

  • And yes, I do have a degree of optimism that over the next three to five years, we're going to see good growth in the markets that we serve, and it certainly is an improving condition compared with just two short years ago.

  • Rich Kwas - Analyst

  • Okay, great, thank you.

  • Operator

  • Our next question comes from Winnie Clark from UBS.

  • Winnie Clark - Analyst

  • Good morning.

  • My first question again your top line outperformance versus the industry was really impressive again this quarter.

  • Did you benefit to a similar degree in the quarter from the flow through of delayed spending?

  • And basically what I'm trying to understand is what level of outperformance is sustainable going forward?

  • Vern Nagel - Chairman, President, and CEO

  • Well I can't comment on your latter comment but I can say that we believe that this quarter reflects the ability of Acuity to penetrate and provide value to the renovation market as well as small and medium kinds of projects that are in new construction.

  • I believe in our first quarter, we had some carryover into the second quarter as people were waiting to see what was going to happen with taxation.

  • All of those issues that occurred back then, I believe there was delay then.

  • I don't believe that there is delay now.

  • I think that this is business as usual and it's Acuity outperforming the markets that it serves because it's taking share and because it's providing serious value-added solutions to customers reflecting our ability to tailor solutions that make sense for them.

  • Again, renovation, both large projects, medium projects, and small projects for us have now are probably 50% of our business, we guesstimate, but those larger projects tend to carry a lower average or a lower margin profile compared with our average.

  • Winnie Clark - Analyst

  • Should we think about margins going forward as maybe you're not going to see given the change of mix in the business at least in the near term the type of leverage that you have historically been able to demonstrate in your business based on these types of sales growth?

  • Vern Nagel - Chairman, President, and CEO

  • That's a very good question and I would say that this quarter is probably reflective given the current mix of our business of the type of margin profile that we would see going forward, so I think that is a shorter-term phenomena, don't have a time frame around that.

  • On a more medium-term phenomena as I said earlier, as new construction that becomes again a larger portion of our overall mix, I expect top line to grow.

  • I expect the mix of business to improve, allowing us to expand both our gross profit margin as well as our operating profit margin capability, and I would expect us to see leverage on our SDA fixed cost.

  • Winnie Clark - Analyst

  • Great, thanks and congratulations.

  • Operator

  • Our next question comes from Christopher Glynn from Oppenheimer.

  • Christopher Glynn - Analyst

  • Thanks, happy 4th.

  • So given the comments of the current mix profile sustainable for the near foreseeable future, would your expectation be to be able to hold gross margin flat next year?

  • Vern Nagel - Chairman, President, and CEO

  • Well we don't give guidance, Chris, so you know that, but our expectation is that if mix stays as it is, then the margin profile probably stays relatively consistent.

  • If one believes that new construction, and we do, will start to improve and we'll see more benefits around that, what we said earlier is that we would expect our margins to show improvement.

  • So right now and we want to be clear about this, this mix profile that we have today I think is yielding this type of margin profile.

  • If it stays like that we would expect it to stay like that for awhile.

  • Christopher Glynn - Analyst

  • Okay.

  • And then LED doubled year over year, clearly we've hit some price point triggers.

  • How do you think about keeping more of the LED component cost decreases?

  • Vern Nagel - Chairman, President, and CEO

  • Two things.

  • One, it more than doubled.

  • It didn't just double which is important, and we believe that the LED fixtures and luminaires that we sell today are actually, we would expect margin percentage improvement as we become closer and closer to parity with the cost of conventional lighting components.

  • So in other words the cost per lumen, as it becomes more and more parity with LED versus conventional, we would expect the margin profile to actually be higher because that luminaire now has a lot of intelligence embedded into it that can be paid for through significant energy savings as part of a holistic lighting system.

  • It's not just turning it on, turning it off.

  • It's how you can now manage it and tie it in electronically with software, with nLight into a more holistic integrated lighting solution.

  • So I would say, Chris, that our expectation is that as we sell more and more of those solutions, not just individual LED luminaires, we'll see the benefit of that.

  • And again, remember our growth in LED mirrors a lot of this renovation activity whereas LED-based luminaires going into renovation because they are easy to install, they are fantastic, they are not glare bombs like some of our competitors sell.

  • These are fantastic fixtures that are doing very well.

  • It's just that they are competitively priced.

  • Ricky Reece - EVP and CFO

  • Okay, just to add-on a little bit to Vern's comment because it does tie back Chris to your previous comments on gross margins going forward.

  • I think there are two components to these LED products margins going forward that could benefit us.

  • One is as Vern commented on is the possibility of being able to extract higher margins even when we get parity because of the value add that is there, and are we able to not have to pass on dollar for dollar the cost reductions.

  • But the second is even if we passed on dollar for dollar the cost reductions we see in the component cost as Vern mentioned, the margin percentage would benefit, because now you're making the same margin dollars over a smaller sales price.

  • So therefore, obviously the math would say the percentage is higher.

  • So as LED continues to grow even if we aren't able to keep for ourself some of the lower cost reductions and components and had to pass it all on, we would still see margin percentage benefits, and then we do believe we'll be able to retain some of that because of the value add, the longer life, the controllability, all of the value proposition that LED brings that would enable the industry hopefully to be able to extract a higher margin dollar as well.

  • So there's two dynamics there that should help going forward on LED luminaires as well as our overall margin as LED becomes a greater percentage of our sales.

  • The last thing I'd mention is we are expecting as we sell more LEDs to sell more controls.

  • It's a very controllable light source.

  • It's one that people do want to dim as Vern talked about with the eldoLED acquisition and some of the other activities, color changing, tunable white, all of these kind of features bring even greater opportunity and greater margin to sell that holistic solution and system instead of discrete devices.

  • So there's a lot of dynamics going on there trying to pick the time and the exact amplitude of each of them obviously is impossible, but a lot of things that we find encouraging relative to our gross margins as this plays out.

  • Christopher Glynn - Analyst

  • Okay, thanks both for all that color.

  • Just one final clarification.

  • When you say price parity for LED, I assume that's relative to the higher value that the LEDs can bring?

  • Vern Nagel - Chairman, President, and CEO

  • Price parity is really a cost parity between light sources, so the cost per lumen of conventional lighting versus the cost per lumen of an LED.

  • Once those components become parity, the cost, we believe that the LED luminaire will sell for a premium compared to its conventional counterpart because of the ability to add more value paid for typically through energy savings because of how it ties into a building management capability.

  • Christopher Glynn - Analyst

  • Perfect, thanks again.

  • Operator

  • I would now like to turn the call back over to Mr. Vernon Nagel for closing remarks.

  • Vern Nagel - Chairman, President, and CEO

  • Thank you for your time this morning.

  • We strongly believe we are focusing on the right objectives, deploying the proper strategies, and driving the organization to succeed in critical areas that will over the longer term deliver strong returns to our key stakeholders.

  • Our future is very bright, thank you for your support.

  • Operator

  • This concludes today's conference.

  • Thank you for participating.

  • You may disconnect at this time.