AMC 電影院 (AMC) 2003 Q1 法說會逐字稿

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  • Operator

  • Good morning. My name is Judy and I

  • will be your conference facilitator today. At

  • this time, I would like to welcome everyone to the

  • AMC Entertainment, Incorporated fiscal year 2003

  • first-quarter conference call hosted by Peter

  • Brown, chairman and chief executive officer of AMC

  • Entertainment, Incorporated.

  • Any forward-looking statements contained in this

  • call which reflect management's best judgment

  • based on factors currently known involve risks and

  • uncertainties. Actual results could differ

  • materially from those anticipated in the

  • forward-looking statements included herein as a

  • result of a number of factors including, among

  • others, the company's ability to enter into

  • various financing programs, the performance of

  • films licensed by the company, competition,

  • construction delays, the ability to open or close

  • theaters and screens as currently planned,

  • political, social, and economic conditions,

  • demographic changes, increases in demand for real

  • estate, changes in real estate, zoning and tax

  • laws, and unforeseen changes in operating

  • requirements.

  • All lines have been placed on mute to prevent any

  • background noise.

  • After the speakers' remarks, there will be a

  • question and answer period. Analysts who would

  • like to ask a question during this time should

  • press star, then the number 1 on your telephone

  • keypad, and questions will be taken in the order

  • they are received. To withdraw your question,

  • press the pound key.

  • Thank you. Mr. Brown, you may begin your

  • conference.

  • Peter Brown - Chairman and CEO

  • Okay. Thank you very much, Judy.

  • Good morning, everyone, and welcome to the fiscal

  • 2003 first-quarter earnings conference call for

  • AMC Entertainment, Inc.

  • As Judy said, I'm Peter Brown, chairman and chief

  • executive officer of AMC. Joining me on the phone

  • today are Craig Ramsey, our CFO, Phil Singleton,

  • our COO and Dick Walsh, chairman of our film

  • group.

  • Now, Craig and I will be doing the formal part of

  • the presentation today, and Phil and Dick will be

  • joining us for Q and A, so on that note, let's begin.

  • As was noted in the press release that went out

  • this morning, our revenues and adjusted EBITDA

  • were both fiscal first-quarter records. Now, the

  • strength of the box office, our industry-leading

  • portfolio of theaters and the continued successful

  • execution of our strategic plan all combined to

  • produce this quarter's outstanding record results.

  • Now, as we look at those results and we compare

  • them to last year, because we completed two

  • acquisitions essentially at the end of our fiscal

  • 2002, the acquisition of Gulf States and General

  • Cinema, we think that the most accurate way to

  • look at the company's performance on a

  • year-over-year basis is to treat last year as if

  • the two acquisitions had been completed at the

  • beginning of that fiscal year.

  • In other words, we compare fiscal 2003 to fiscal

  • 2002 on a pro forma basis.

  • At $462 million, our revenues were 19% higher than

  • pro forma revenues of 389 million in the same

  • period last year. Our adjusted EBITDA in the

  • quarter of $62 million represented a 58% increase

  • over pro forma adjusted EBITDA of $41 million in

  • last year's first fiscal quarter.

  • This marks the seventh consecutive quarter of

  • year-over-year increases in both revenues and

  • adjusted EBITDA. Our adjusted EBITDA margin

  • continued to improve on both a year-over-year and

  • sequential basis as well, and in addition to our

  • adjusted EBITDA, we pay close attention to a

  • measure that we call after-tax cash flow or ATCF,

  • for short.

  • Now, ATCF is the bottom-line cash that our

  • business earns. It's derived by taking our net

  • earnings and adding back non-cash charges such as

  • depreciation and amortization. We then deduct

  • from ATCF our net capital expenditures to get our

  • measure of free cash flow.

  • Our ATCF for the quarter was $40 million, which

  • represented a 127% increase over last year. Our

  • net capex in the quarter was $20 million. So we

  • generated, in essence, $20 million of free cash

  • flow in the quarter.

  • Now, the free cash flow that we're generating is

  • enabling us to continue to reduce our leverage,

  • and at the end of the quarter, our leverage ratio,

  • as measured by net debt to last 12 months adjusted

  • EBITDA was 2.3 times, down from 2.7 times what it

  • was at the end of the March quarter.

  • Our liquidity position improved since the March

  • quarter as well. At the end of June, our total

  • availability, which is defined as our cash on hand

  • together with the funds that we can borrow on our

  • revolving credit facility, stood at over

  • 600 million, up over $30 million from where we

  • were at the end of the March quarter.

  • Lastly, in terms of the quarter's highlights, the

  • acquisitions I - the acquisitions I mentioned a

  • few moments ago, Gulf States and General Cinema,

  • have now been fully integrated and are

  • contributing nicely to our cash flow picture, as

  • we'll now take a look at.

  • The General Cinema acquisition was closed on the

  • first day of our current fiscal year, and the Gulf

  • States transaction was completed at the end of our

  • last fiscal year.

  • Now, to refresh everyone's memory, General Cinema

  • added 621 screens at 66 locations, and Gulf States

  • added 68 screens at 5 locations to our circuit

  • portfolio.

  • Now, we pro forma'd the GC acquisition to

  • contribute who million dollars of adjusted EBITDA

  • in fiscal '03 and the Gulf States acquisition to

  • contribute 8 million. As you can see on this

  • slide, in the first fiscal quarter, GC contributed

  • $12 million of EBITDA which represents 30% of what

  • we had pro forma'd for the entire year, and Gulf

  • States contributed 3 million, which is 47% of what

  • we pro forma'd for the full year.

  • Now, as a frame of reference, looking back over

  • the last 18 years, AMC's June quarter EBITDA

  • contribution as a percentage of the full fiscal

  • year has averaged 20%. So you can see that these

  • acquisitions are contributing nicely, and our

  • ability to get them integrated quickly has been

  • key in being able to maximize their EBITDA

  • contribution.

  • AMC continues to differentiate itself in the

  • theatrical exhibition industry by the quality of

  • its assets. Now, though our size is large, in

  • fact with 3,505 screens at 250 theaters, we are

  • the second largest theater company in the world,

  • our focus has always been on quality, not

  • quantity.

  • Now, when you look at quality, one of the best

  • indicators is very simply whose theaters are doing

  • the most business in the marketplace at the unit

  • level. Week in, week out, box office revenues for

  • all North American theaters are tracked by a data

  • service called EDI, which is a division of A.C.

  • Nielson. We and everyone in our industry are able

  • to see, through EDI, the level of business at just

  • about every theater in the market is doing.

  • Again, as measured by the box office revenues that

  • those theaters produce.

  • Now, as we do with the AMC circuit, we watch the

  • EDI data on an LTM basis and we generate a list of

  • top 50 theaters in the market. As you can see

  • from this slide, AMC dominates this list, with

  • fully 50% of the top 50 theaters in North America

  • at the end of June. We have more top 10 theaters

  • than the next five circuits combined.

  • Now, another key measure of asset quality is

  • screens per theater. At 14.2 screens per theater,

  • AMC leads all of its industry peers. Now, this is

  • an important statistic because as we enter the

  • digital age of movie-going and theaters becomingly

  • become more diversified in their delivery of

  • content - for example, the broadcasting of

  • concerts - the ability to have shelf space -

  • that is to say, screens at the unit level - to be

  • able to do this while accommodating the demand for

  • the core feature film product will be an absolute

  • competitive advantage.

  • One of the keys to AMC's success over the past

  • several years has been our ability to continually

  • upgrade the quality of our theater circuit by

  • disposing of older, obsolete theaters, while at

  • the same time bringing on newer, higher-performing

  • theaters.

  • Since the end of fiscal 1995, and through the June

  • quarter, we've disposed of almost a thousand

  • screens while adding to our portfolio a little

  • over 2100 screens.

  • We expect this simultaneous addition and

  • disposition activity to continue in our current

  • fiscal year, as we add a little over a hundred

  • screens while disposing of almost a similar

  • amount, 91 screens, as shown in the red part of

  • the bar chart on this slide.

  • Now, the net effect that this will have on our

  • overall portfolio will be to increase the screen

  • per theater count to 14.7, thus continuing the

  • improvement of the quality of our circuit.

  • Now, we have some very exciting new theaters that

  • we'll be bringing on-line later this year, and I

  • look forward to updating everyone in future calls

  • about how these theaters are doing as we get them

  • open.

  • With the overall quality of theaters in our

  • portfolio, we're in the fortunate position of not

  • having to spend large amounts of capex dollars to

  • keep our circuit moderate and industry-leading.

  • As a result of this, our free cash flow position

  • is solidly positive and growing, as this slide

  • shows.

  • We're free cash flow positive in fiscal '02, and

  • on a pro forma LTM basis at the end of the June

  • quarter, our free cash flow was over $50 million

  • as you can see on this slide.

  • Free cash flow will allow us to lower our leverage

  • without sacrificing EBITDA growth, due to the fact

  • that our asset base is of such high quality. Now,

  • this isn't to say that we won't continue to add

  • new units or consider attractive acquisition

  • opportunities. The key on both of these fronts

  • will be, as it always has been for us, quality.

  • We will not get into an undisciplined size focus

  • scan. We will be continued to guide by the

  • principle that has served us so well over the past

  • few years and that principle simply being that

  • bigger isn't better, better is better.

  • So on that note, I'll turn the program over to

  • Craig Ramsey, our CFO, who will finish up the

  • formal part of the presentation today with a more

  • detailed look at the industry backdrop during the

  • quarter, and of course our numbers.

  • Craig Ramsey - CFO

  • Thank you, Peter. Before

  • discussing AMC's financial results for the first

  • quarter ended June 27th, let's first take a look

  • at some industry statistics for that quarter that

  • will serve as a good backdrop.

  • As we track the box office, admissions revenues

  • during the quarter were up 25% from 1.9 billion in

  • the first quarter of last year to 2.4 billion this

  • year.

  • Attendance accounted for 20% of this 25% increase,

  • as it increased from 339 million last year to

  • 407 million in the quarter for the current year.

  • Industry-wide average ticket prices increased from

  • $5.60 last year to about $5.86 this year, which

  • accounted for the balance of the box office

  • increase, or about 5%.

  • We always look at the top grossing film,

  • performance of film grossing over $100 million.

  • It was up in comparison to the same quarter last

  • year and as you can see on the slide, we had seven

  • films released during the quarter that are

  • expected to exceed the $100 million mark at the

  • box office, and in total, contributed about

  • 1,341,000,000 during the quarter. That compares

  • to 7 films during the same quarter last year that

  • contributed 1,166,000,000. Now, while the -

  • while the over 100 million films did produce more

  • box office compared to last year, the real

  • strength of the quarter in the box office during

  • the quarter came from the performance of films

  • under the $100 million mark. There were 37

  • wide-release pictures during the first quarter of

  • this year, compared to 32 last year, so the box

  • office enjoyed a very full release schedule.

  • Okay. Let's look at AMC's first quarter, and I'd

  • like you to note that in the press release and in

  • our slide presentation, we are comparing current

  • quarter results with prior-year actual and also

  • with pro forma, which, as Peter said, treats the

  • recent acquisitions of General Cinema and Gulf

  • States as if they had occurred at the beginning of

  • the year.

  • Now, the majority of my comments will relate to

  • the comparison with pro forma results last year,

  • since I believe that's the most relevant basis for

  • comparison.

  • On a pro forma basis, total revenues increased

  • 73 million over the same quarter last year,

  • increasing from 389 million to 462 million. This

  • record-breaking performance was driven primarily

  • by increases in attendance, which were up 16% from

  • 45.7 million last year to 52.8 million during the

  • current quarter.

  • Increases in average ticket prices of

  • approximately 4% contributed to the balance of the

  • total revenue increase.

  • Adjusted EBITDA increased 21 million, or 50% over

  • pro forma results for the same quarter last year,

  • to a record-setting 62 million. The momentum of

  • the box office and our ability to leverage the

  • strong revenue performance, combined to produce

  • these results that exceeded analysts'

  • expectations.

  • Now, while not on the slide, it is important to

  • note that we continue to produce increasing

  • adjusted EBITDA margins which were up 280 - or

  • 268 basis points or 10.6 last year to 13.3% during

  • the current period. And the last three data

  • points on the slide relate to our free cash flow

  • results, and as you can see, the improvements that

  • have been made at this point.

  • We define our free cash flow as net loss plus

  • depreciation, amortization, and any other non-cash

  • items, and believe that it presents the best

  • picture of our operating performance from a cash

  • generation perspective. APC was - ATCF was up

  • 127% compared to pro forma last year. Net capex,

  • while up over prior-year pro forma and actual

  • amounts, is in line with our expectations, and it

  • is indicative of our reduced level of new build

  • activity.

  • Our free cash flow results, as we said earlier,

  • show substantial increases over last year.

  • Now, since the pro forma impacts of General Cinema

  • and Gulf States make it a little difficult to

  • gauge the full-year performance potential of our

  • circuit, we have presented a pro forma LTM

  • information. I think Peter's introductory

  • comments concerning the quarter apply equally as

  • well to this LTM period. That is, record revenues

  • and adjusted EBITDA, continued margin improvement,

  • and after-tax cash flow up, and also free cash

  • flow positive results.

  • I'd want you to note that the adjusted EBITDA

  • performance of 226 million is above the upper end

  • of the guidance range we provided on our last

  • conference call, and we'll discuss revised

  • guidance here in just a few minutes.

  • As we drill down to the key drivers and analytics

  • related to the first quarter, we see that all are

  • positive and confirm the strength of the

  • first-quarter results. Screen additions include

  • those that were added in the General Cinema

  • acquisition, as we discussed a minute ago. We had

  • one new built theater with 18 screens that came

  • on-line during the quarter.

  • The increase in attendance per screen reflects the

  • real growth in attendance that took place during

  • the quarter. While we don't show it, you would -

  • you'll be able to calculate on the press release

  • that our film exhibition costs did increase from

  • 53.8% on a pro forma basis last year in the first

  • quarter to 56.5%, and this reflects the terms

  • really on the two largest pictures during the

  • quarter, "Spiderman" and "star wars." This

  • percentage for the quarter is, however, lower than

  • the 58.3% that we experienced in the first quarter

  • of our fiscal 2000 year, which is when we had the

  • last "Star Wars" picture on screen.

  • Now, we have discussed before that we focus both

  • on percentages and on absolute dollars of

  • contribution, and in this case, we look at the

  • annualized amount of admission revenues that we

  • retain after paying our film costs. We refer to

  • it as film retention per screen.

  • And even with the higher percentages paid for

  • film - for films during the quarter, our

  • retention per screen increased by 12% on a pro

  • forma basis.

  • As noted on the slide, G and A expense includes two

  • one time items. First is a special compensation

  • item related to the forgiveness of loans to the

  • company's CEO and COO. Now, these loans were put

  • in place in AMC's second quarter of fiscal 1999,

  • and their purpose was to enable the executives to

  • purchase shares as part of a secondary offering

  • that the company was undertaking at that point in

  • time.

  • The forgiveness action was taken in this quarter

  • to recognize the extraordinary performance of the

  • company and its senior executives over the past

  • two years.

  • As most of you know, AMC was the only public

  • theater company to successfully preserve value for

  • its shareholders and all of its constituents in

  • a - in the capital structure during a period of

  • unprecedented industry distress which saw all of

  • AMC's public company peers file for bankruptcy.

  • As well as most of our major peer competitors who

  • were not public.

  • The company has performed and is continuing to

  • perform well, as evidenced by this quarter's

  • record results.

  • This exemplary performance has been recognized by

  • this onetime special award.

  • Now, this charge is in G and A expense but because of

  • its onetime special nature, it is excluded in our

  • definition of adjusted EBITDA.

  • Additionally, our after-tax cash flow excludes the

  • non-cash portion of this charge, which was

  • approximately $11.4 million, and this is all

  • detailed in Footnote 2 on the second page of the

  • financial summary to our press release.

  • Now, the second noteworthy item in G and A expense is

  • approximately $2 million of G and A incurred during

  • the quarter related to the closure of the General

  • Cinema corporate offices.

  • As Peter noted earlier, our acquisitions are fully

  • integrated and contributing to cash flow, and in

  • this case, the corporate offices have been closed

  • at this point in time.

  • Okay. Let's turn now and discuss liquidity and

  • capital resources. The financing transactions

  • that we completed last year raised about

  • $533 million of both debt and equity, and

  • substantially strengthened our balance sheet as

  • reflected in the column that's labeled the

  • March 28th, 2002 pro forma.

  • The strength of our first-quarter performance

  • enabled us to increase our liquidity and total

  • availability. Note the increase in our cash

  • balance and in our total availability, which

  • includes amounts that are available to borrow

  • under our unused revolving credit facility.

  • We also reduced our net debt from 557 million on a

  • pro forma basis at the end of our fiscal year to

  • 526 million at the end of the quarter.

  • Our improved adjusted EBITDA performance also

  • enabled us to lower our leverage from 2.7 times to

  • 2.3 times. Leverage is further reduced to about

  • 2.1 times if we adjust for C IT capex and treat it

  • as a cash equivalent.

  • This last slide, I think, ties together really

  • everything that we've been here talking about

  • today, and it shows you the three metrics that we

  • managed the business on to create value for our

  • shareholders. Those three being adjusted EBITDA,

  • net debt, and our total share count.

  • Now, if we grow our adjusted EBITDA, and at the

  • same time lower our net debt and manage our share

  • count so that we're not diluting our equity base

  • at a rate faster than we are reducing our

  • leverage, then real fundamental long-term equity

  • value will be created for our shareholders. It's

  • really that simple.

  • As you can see from the slide, and based on the

  • company's outstanding performance in the first

  • quarter that we have talked about today, we

  • believe the fundamental value growth dials are

  • really lining up in the proper order.

  • At this point, we are estimating that our adjusted

  • EBITDA for the current fiscal year should come in

  • around - in a range of 220 to 230 million. This

  • is an increase in the range that we gave you

  • during our last quarterly earnings conference call

  • in mid-May, and it would represent 7 to 12%

  • increase - year-over-year increase over the pro

  • forma adjusted EBITDA that we calculated for

  • fiscal 2002.

  • Now, we did file a form 8-K that set forth those

  • pro forma calculations on a quarter-by-quarter

  • basis. We filed it on May 30th, for your

  • reference purposes.

  • We believe that this new range is a conservative

  • estimate, particularly since as you saw earlier

  • our pro forma LTM adjusted EBITDA at the end of

  • the June quarter stood at $226 million.

  • Now, equally important as the EBITDA growth in the

  • equity value creation equation is what is

  • happening to net debt. Things look to be lining

  • up pretty well here also. At the end of our last

  • fiscal year, again on a pro forma basis, our net

  • debt was 557 million. As we just discussed, due

  • to the strength of our operating results in the

  • first quarter, we were able to further de-lever

  • the company and reduce net debt to 526 million.

  • With free cash flow that the company is now

  • generating, we project our net debt balance at the

  • end of our fiscal 2003 year will be in a range of

  • 460 to 470 million, or down 15 to 17% on a

  • year-over-year basis.

  • It is important to note that our reduction of net

  • debt is not coming at the expense of equity

  • issuance that would dilute the equity value base.

  • Here, we watch our total share count to make

  • certain that is not happening. Now, we are

  • estimating that our total shares, which consists

  • of all classes of our common stock, our

  • convertible preferred on an as-converted basis,

  • and options assuming the treasury stock method,

  • and total restricted awards, will be about

  • 76.8 million at the end of our fiscal year. Which

  • is just up slightly over the fiscal year 2002

  • number, and that's primarily due to payment in

  • kind dividends on the convertible preferred stock

  • that was issued in April of 2001.

  • So to summarize what this shows - slide is

  • showing, our adjusted EBITDA is going up. Net

  • debt is going down. And total share count is

  • staying relative or basically flat.

  • That equates to the right direction for each of

  • these metrics, as we continue to manage to create

  • value for our shareholders.

  • So with that, I'd like to turn the program back

  • over to Judy, who will open the floor for our Q and A

  • session.

  • Operator

  • At this time, I would like to remind

  • the analysts that in order to ask a question,

  • please press star, then the number 1, on your

  • telephone keypad.

  • Your first question comes from Tim Wallace with

  • Banc of America Securities.

  • Analyst

  • Thank you very much. Can you hear me

  • okay?

  • Peter Brown - Chairman and CEO

  • Yeah. Tim, you're breaking up

  • just a little bit but -

  • Analyst

  • Okay. Yeah, I'm hearing a little

  • interference there. Can you hear me?

  • Peter Brown - Chairman and CEO

  • Yeah, we can hear you.

  • Analyst

  • Okay. Good. Just a couple of

  • questions. It may have been on one of your slides

  • and I don't have access to the slides right now,

  • but your average spend per customer, could you

  • update us on what that is?

  • Second, could you talk about your plans for

  • upgrading your - digitally upgrading your plants,

  • what your expectations are for the year.

  • And then if you could talk a little bit about -

  • advertising came in a bit stronger than I had

  • anticipated. If you could comment on what's

  • driving that and what we should expect for the -

  • for the next couple of years. Thanks.

  • Craig Ramsey - CFO

  • Okay. Yeah. The average spend

  • per customer, the concession per head, $2.39 for

  • the current year, and $2.30 for last year, so it's

  • up just about 4%.

  • Peter Brown - Chairman and CEO

  • Ticket -

  • Craig Ramsey - CFO

  • Did you want the ticket also,

  • Tim, or -

  • Analyst

  • Yeah.

  • Craig Ramsey - CFO

  • Okay. The total - let's just

  • go to the total revenue per head, which was $8.49

  • for the current quarter versus $8.18 last year.

  • Again, that's up about 4%.

  • Analyst

  • Okay. Great.

  • Craig Ramsey - CFO

  • The second question, on digital,

  • we are in the - in kind of a test roll-out phase

  • of a digital initiative with our on-screen

  • advertising company, National Cinema Network,

  • which would enable us to capture what we think are

  • some real up side opportunities in the ancillary

  • revenue area. We've - we've - we have some test

  • markets where we are fully digitally equipped in

  • our theaters. It's enabling us to expand the base

  • of customers, and so we're quite encouraged with

  • the results to date and expect to continue to roll

  • out over the next 12 months and look for good up

  • side potential. So that's where we are currently.

  • You did say NCN - you noted the NCN line was

  • improved. We have seen some strengthening in the

  • advertising market, and actually, NCN's revenues

  • are up pretty substantially over the same quarter

  • last year, up about 50%, and with a fairly

  • substantial improvement in their adjusted EBITDA

  • performance also.

  • Analyst

  • Okay. Thank you.

  • Craig Ramsey - CFO

  • You're welcome.

  • Operator

  • Your next question comes from Jill

  • crew Dick with Salomon Smith Barney.

  • Analyst

  • Hi. Thanks. Good morning.

  • What kind of box office expectations are you

  • building into your current EBITDA forecast for

  • this year, and any thoughts on the first-half box

  • office for 2000 - for calendar 2003?

  • Secondly, I was hoping you could give us a sense

  • of your - talk a little bit more about the

  • acquisition outlook. We are seeing some smaller

  • players picking up properties off the block, given

  • the strong box office. How do you see acquisition

  • prices changing in the current market, and what's

  • your outlook for the balance of the year of how

  • aggressively you guys are looking at acquisitions?

  • Thank you.

  • Peter Brown - Chairman and CEO

  • Thanks, Jill. We'll - I'll take

  • the second half, and Craig can talk about the

  • first half the first part of the question.

  • Really, on the acquisition front, Jill, as you

  • noted, I think most theatrical - one thing about

  • when theater properties are normally sold or not

  • sold is during the peak periods of the seasonality

  • of the business, which is typically, as you know,

  • the summertime and/or the holiday season between

  • Thanksgiving and the new year. So, again, as you

  • noted, there really is not a lot of activity as is

  • natural at this - for this - at this time of the

  • year for folks that are out there with theater

  • properties.

  • Our approach - and I alluded to it in my formal

  • part of the presentation - is, we have a typed

  • short list of those properties that we would find

  • attractive, both in terms of our asset quality

  • metric as well as our market quality metric, and

  • we are, as I said on prior calls, just constantly,

  • constantly working those. They are transactions

  • that you can't necessarily plan on happening

  • because they involve complex dynamics between

  • buyers and sellers, but we're constantly working

  • on them.

  • But I think that the key point that I'd like to

  • make in this call, and really in my formal

  • comments wanted to make loudly and clearly, is

  • that one thing that we won't do is we won't just

  • acquire to create size. Our focus is on quality,

  • quality, quality. Bigger isn't better, better is

  • better, is the principle that guides us, and with

  • that in mind, we're going to be very disciplined

  • about how we approach these. And I think you're

  • correct in your assessment that with the strong

  • box office, people would have a sense - a better

  • sense - or a more higher sense of the values of

  • these underlying properties, but as we also know,

  • box office is cyclical and at some future point in

  • time may not be as strong as it is right now. In

  • fact, will not be as strong as it is right now.

  • And that may be a better environment for us.

  • But we'll do fine in the meantime with what we've

  • got in our new build portfolio, and again, being

  • disciplined about our approach.

  • The first half of the question, Craig will take.

  • Craig Ramsey - CFO

  • Yeah. Jill, I think that the

  • first question was what do we - what do we model

  • in for the box office the rest of the year, and

  • we've - we really are kind of sticking with the

  • range that we gave in the first quarter, in the 6

  • to 8% range, which would - which would imply that

  • we have a fairly conservative view on the balance

  • of the year. And the January, February, March -

  • that fourth quarter for us - is still quite a bit

  • unknown at this point.

  • So 6 to 8%, we think, is a conservative position.

  • Analyst

  • What does that imply for the balance

  • of the year, in terms of box office for the

  • balance of the calendar year, in terms of box

  • office?

  • Craig Ramsey - CFO

  • We believe that we're going to

  • be very close, if not exceed, the second half of

  • last year, and that's a very encouraging note

  • because as you remember, the last two quarters of

  • our fiscal year last year were very strong and we

  • feel very confident we're going to be very

  • comparable to those.

  • Analyst

  • Great. Thank you.

  • Peter Brown - Chairman and CEO

  • You're welcome, Jill.

  • Operator

  • Your next question comes from

  • Lawrence Bernard with Morgan Stanley.

  • Analyst

  • Yes. Good morning. Just a couple of

  • questions. One, on the expense, special

  • compensation expense which you mentioned which I

  • think you've detailed fairly, I'm just trying to

  • get a sense. You mentioned that was a onetime

  • charge. Can you comment on what the - what the

  • original loan - the amounts of those loans?

  • Could you give any predictions of what kind of any

  • future expense might be, if any?

  • And the second question relates to concession

  • costs. They're up slightly, 13.5%, as a

  • percentage of concessions. Just want to see if

  • you see that going forward - going down on a

  • future basis, now that you're a bit bigger with

  • Gulf States and General Cinema.

  • Craig Ramsey - CFO

  • Okay. On the special

  • compensation, the loans, again, I'd reiterate

  • my - the point I made, were made in the second

  • quarter of 1999. The loan balance was 10-point -

  • the original loans were about 8.5 million in

  • total. That - the charge that was taken in this

  • quarter cleans up all of those loans, so in terms

  • of going forward, there's no additional cost

  • associated with any type of loan like that.

  • There will be no more, is the point.

  • With regard to your question on concession, if you

  • were to - if you look at the press release where

  • we go and present the pro forma, you'd find that

  • our concession cost is actually down as it relates

  • to last year same quarter pro forma. The

  • general - now, this is primarily driven by a

  • little higher concession cost of the General

  • Cinema circuit.

  • Now, we've - we've brought it down a few basis

  • points, and we expect to continue to do so in the

  • future as we - as we integrate - continue to

  • integrate their purchasing programs for concession

  • items into the AMC contracts.

  • So the primary impact was related to General

  • Cinema, and we do expect to be able to manage

  • those down going forward.

  • Analyst

  • Great. Thank you very much.

  • Operator

  • Your next question comes from

  • Christopher Dickson with UBS Warburg.

  • Analyst

  • Thank you very much. As you - talk

  • a moment, if you would, about the disposals of

  • some of the screens, and how many of your screens

  • right now are either running at break-even cash

  • flow or negative cash flow, and then I'd like to

  • follow up a little bit on the adjusted EBITDA.

  • As I see it, if we backed out the onetime charge,

  • your overall EBITDA is essentially flat year over

  • year against an extraordinary revenue base. Are

  • there any other contingent liabilities that may be

  • floating out there that may affect EBITDA as we go

  • forward, excluding, of course, the loan, which is

  • effectively written off.

  • Craig Ramsey - CFO

  • Okay. I'll try the first

  • question on dispositions. We have gone through

  • now and, I guess, updated our internal analysis of

  • our forward look on screen dispositions, and as

  • you know, Chris, I think as we've discussed with

  • you before, we do look out five years, and with

  • each of our theaters and try to anticipate changes

  • in the market, and really where those theaters are

  • going. So when I give you numbers here, we're

  • talking about a forward look of a number of years,

  • and we have about 350 screens that we would put in

  • this category of disposition. And we'd probably

  • see those rolling off in - you know, 90 to a

  • hundred screens over the next three years.

  • And actually, as a group, that - those screens

  • are performing at or very near break-even.

  • So, again, I - even with the general -

  • integration of General Cinema, we do have a

  • very - a very manageable inventory of screens,

  • again, because we've been aggressive in the past.

  • The question on adjusted EBITDA, after the other

  • charges, there are really no other charges

  • contemplated at this time. As I made - noted in

  • the earlier question about the loan cleanup, that

  • is all of - all of the loan cleanup activity, and

  • so there really aren't any others out there, if I

  • understood your question.

  • Analyst

  • Thank you very much.

  • Operator

  • Your next question comes from Bishop

  • Sheen with Wachovia Securities.

  • Analyst

  • Good morning, Peter and Craig and

  • Phil and Dick.

  • Nice quarter. It's nice to see you guys take

  • advantage of what clearly has been an up trend,

  • and I would concur with you, it's hard to imagine

  • the slope of this curve continuing.

  • A couple of questions because you've covered so

  • much.

  • You've got nearly 200 million of cash, or had it,

  • at the end of June. Has that cash position

  • changed dramatically in the last couple of weeks?

  • Craig Ramsey - CFO

  • Oh, not dramatically. We've

  • probably had some - some net inflow, but not a

  • substantial change.

  • Analyst

  • Okay. What are you doing with so

  • much cash? What do you plan carrying so much cash

  • around on your balance sheet?

  • Craig Ramsey - CFO

  • Well, I think it - it provides

  • us an opportunity to be opportunistic. We

  • continue to look at some acquisition

  • opportunities. I think Peter was very pointed

  • with his remark that we're going to continue to

  • exercise discipline in terms of what we pay for

  • any acquisitions.

  • It provides us to be - an opportunity to be

  • opportunistic to pay down debt under the right

  • circumstances or continue to de-lever the company.

  • Analyst

  • All right. But so this is your dry

  • powder if any expansion opportunities come up, but

  • the way you were generating free cash flow -

  • correct me if I'm wrong - that should more than

  • cover your scheduled debt maturities over the

  • next - well, over this fiscal year, over the next

  • four quarters or so, is that correct?

  • Craig Ramsey - CFO

  • Well, yeah, we would - we would

  • have not really any debt maturities over the next

  • year.

  • Analyst

  • Right.

  • Craig Ramsey - CFO

  • So we would be going into the

  • market to either buy back or retire sub-debt.

  • Analyst

  • Right. Okay. So that brings me to

  • the buyback. Do you have - in your new bank

  • agreement, and I'm - I can't remember in your

  • bonds if you have any restrictive covenants, given

  • your current financial status, that would prevent

  • you from buying in your stock?

  • Peter Brown - Chairman and CEO

  • Yeah, Bishop, we do. We have

  • covenant calculations on baskets, et cetera.

  • Analyst

  • Right.

  • Peter Brown - Chairman and CEO

  • I think what I - I know where

  • you're going with this question, and I think that

  • really the simple answer is, we - particularly in

  • this economic environment, and with a backdrop of

  • some of the other industries that are out there,

  • it's a great position in my view to be in, to have

  • the kind of liquidity we have. And what we will

  • do, as we have really been doing for the last 10

  • years, if you go back to '91 when Phil and I got

  • involved, is we will look at what the most

  • effective use of those cash resources will be to

  • create shareholder value, and I expect that that

  • will run your standard gamut of, you know,

  • building projects in the sense of investing the

  • money in the growth of the business, but also

  • looking at what we need to do with respect to our

  • capital structure, in terms of our debt

  • securities, as well as our equity securities.

  • We just don't have anything today that we're ready

  • to announce on any of those fronts, but I guess

  • the summary point I want to make and reiterate is

  • what we will not do is go out and be undisciplined

  • with the use of cash [inaudible] either on a new

  • build front or acquisition front. There is

  • nothing that can - that can, you know, destroy

  • value for all of our constituents in our capital

  • structure. As we have seen in our industry, with

  • those players that at times were larger than us,

  • than putting that money to work in the wrong way.

  • Analyst

  • Yeah. Well said. Clearly you seem

  • balance sheet sensitive which seems to be the

  • prudent thing to be in this sector and certainly

  • in these times, and I've known you a long time,

  • Peter, and I certainly believe you.

  • The other thing is, is there any capital challenge

  • coming up that we should be thinking about in

  • terms of dispositions in terms of chunks of cash

  • needed to buy out leases, to close up screens? I

  • know you have an orderly plan for dispositions

  • over the next few years and you're always looking

  • at that, but I'm just trying to anticipate any

  • unanticipated capital challenges that go along

  • with the - with the rescreening of your asset

  • base.

  • Peter Brown - Chairman and CEO

  • No. The simple answer is no.

  • Analyst

  • Okay. All right. One last question.

  • I notice that you gave us in two different

  • pieces - if I didn't get the ticket price wrong,

  • ticket prices went from $5.60 year-ago quarter to

  • 5.86 average price?

  • Peter Brown - Chairman and CEO

  • Yeah.

  • Analyst

  • And that included the General Cinema?

  • In other words, is that apples to apples on a pro

  • forma or is that only the AMC chain?

  • Peter Brown - Chairman and CEO

  • No, that's pro forma.

  • Analyst

  • Pro forma.

  • Peter Brown - Chairman and CEO

  • That's pro forma.

  • Craig Ramsey - CFO

  • Yeah.

  • Analyst

  • Okay. Very good. So it looks like

  • total - and total spend went from 7.90 to 8.25

  • also pro forma?

  • Peter Brown - Chairman and CEO

  • That's correct.

  • Analyst

  • All right. Thank you, gentlemen.

  • Operator

  • Your next question comes from Andy

  • VanHouten with Deutsche Banc.

  • Analyst

  • Good morning. Craig, I appreciate

  • your patience and level of detail on the

  • compensation charge and I just had a few follow-up

  • questions on that.

  • In terms of the loans that were originally given

  • to the officers, those loans were used a hundred

  • percent to buy back stock or to buy stock in your

  • secondary offering, is that correct?

  • Craig Ramsey - CFO

  • That's right.

  • Analyst

  • Okay. And of course you already

  • answered whether there were any other loans

  • outstanding or whether the company would continue

  • to make loans on a go-forward basis, and you

  • replied no on that.

  • My other question is regarding the timing of the

  • issue. In terms of the thoughts behind the

  • compensation committee and the board of why did

  • they choose, for example, this particular quarter

  • to go ahead with the charge and make the

  • forgiveness of the loans.

  • Craig Ramsey - CFO

  • Well, I - I can't necessarily

  • speak for them, but I can give you my perspective.

  • You know, this is really recognition of what's

  • taken place over an extended period of time,

  • really back to 1999 and forward, and so the

  • timing, I think, is more related to when the -

  • you know, the company has emerged from that cycle,

  • that very difficult time. That - I think that's

  • the important timing consideration with regard

  • to - with regard to this forgiveness issue.

  • Analyst

  • Okay. And just so - I'm sorry. One

  • follow-up question. I'm sorry, Craig. I think in

  • the Q and A earlier, you had said that the original

  • loan was 8.5 million, and I wasn't sure sort of

  • how that corresponded with the - with the

  • $20 million charge. Is that including accrued

  • interest or what was sort of the difference

  • between that?

  • Craig Ramsey - CFO

  • Yeah, there's additional accrued

  • interest, and then there's about 8.7 million of

  • tax - payroll taxes associated with the

  • forgiveness.

  • And the other thing I'd want to make - point to

  • is, you know, there is a - the industry has

  • gotten more competitive. There's industry -

  • executive talent, particularly talent that can

  • demonstrate the ability to manage in difficult

  • times, comes at a premium, and I think there was

  • recognition of that also.

  • So I'd want that to - you know, to be on your

  • mind also as you think about it.

  • Analyst

  • No, no. Absolutely. I appreciate

  • your level of detail. Thank you very much.

  • Craig Ramsey - CFO

  • Okay.

  • Operator

  • Your next question comes from

  • Stewart Lindy with Lehman Brothers.

  • Analyst

  • My questions are answered. Thank you

  • very much.

  • Peter Brown - Chairman and CEO

  • You're welcome.

  • Operator

  • Your next question comes from

  • Matthew Harrigan with Jennco Partners.

  • Analyst

  • Good morning. Two questions. Most

  • of them were answered but two additional

  • questions.

  • One, you said you had 37, you know, wide releases

  • versus 32, you know, apart from the hundred

  • million plus pictures during the quarter.

  • How much of that is a function of the bulge in

  • production before anticipating a strike and is

  • there going to be a bit of a pricking of the

  • bubble as that situation normalizes, you know,

  • maybe sometimes in 2003, you'd have negative costs

  • in terms of the number of wide releases?

  • And then lastly, my usual question on the state of

  • the international business.

  • Craig Ramsey - CFO

  • I'll take the film question. I

  • think you're seeing the final stages of the

  • ramp-up prior to the strike. I think those

  • pictures have now come into the marketplace, and

  • your thought is a good one, what does that mean

  • going forward, and we're encouraged right now.

  • Right now, we're tracking approximately 48 titles

  • to open in our October-through-December period.

  • That is 7 more than opened last year, 41. And

  • then as we look forward - and it gets a little

  • murky, but already we see 39 titles slotted for

  • the January-to-March period, and that equals what

  • was out there one year ago.

  • So we see no dropoff in production, and in fact,

  • there's a frenzy of activity for next year to lock

  • up dates of some of the Big 10 pull pictures, and

  • for example May 2nd is already gone, "X-Men" will

  • be sitting there. May 16th, "Matrix Revisited."

  • June 20th, "The Hulk." July 2nd, "Terminator."

  • The other matrix will be back at Thanksgiving and

  • two pictures have already staked out Christmas

  • again, "Lord Of The Rings" and "Harry Potter." So

  • if anything, this activity continues to improve on

  • a very progressive basis.

  • Analyst

  • And then on the international side?

  • Peter Brown - Chairman and CEO

  • Yeah. Matt, this is Peter. I -

  • you asked that question and I typically give you

  • the same answer.

  • Analyst

  • Sorry.

  • Peter Brown - Chairman and CEO

  • No. That's fine. Which is, you

  • know, we continue to monitor our opportunities

  • with our international assets. Craig can fill us

  • in on - actually what we have on a year-over-year

  • basis on an LTM basis, we have the numbers. For

  • our international units, all total, they have

  • improved, but I guess I'll make a continued

  • strategic comment before I turn it over to him on

  • the numbers. And that is that, you know, we -

  • it's an interesting marketplace right now for

  • international assets, and I think as I've said on

  • prior calls, it's probably more of a, you know,

  • buyer's market than it is a seller's market right

  • now, because I think that those companies that are

  • in the business of international theatrical

  • exhibition, if they all had their druthers, would

  • probably not be in the business, and some of the

  • big assets that are out there are - are parts of

  • large media and entertainment conglomerates which,

  • of course, in some cases are not doing so well, in

  • terms of their performance.

  • So it's really more of a - I think everybody

  • continuing to try to look to figure out what the

  • best opportunity for everybody internationally is.

  • Craig, on the numbers?

  • Craig Ramsey - CFO

  • Yeah. On the numbers, Pete

  • noted that there's improvement. About a - a

  • little over a $2 million improvement in the EBITDA

  • contribution from our international circuit during

  • the quarter.

  • Analyst

  • Were you actually cash flow EBITDA

  • positive?

  • Craig Ramsey - CFO

  • No, it's still negative.

  • Analyst

  • Okay. Congratulations on the

  • quarter.

  • Peter Brown - Chairman and CEO

  • Thanks, Matt.

  • Operator

  • Again, I would like to remind the

  • analysts if you would like to ask a question at

  • this time, please press star and then the number 1

  • on your telephone keypad.

  • Your next question comes from John Maxwell with

  • BNP Paribus.

  • Analyst

  • The only remaining question I have is

  • net capital spending for the year, is that still

  • in the 75, 80 million range for this current

  • fiscal year?

  • Craig Ramsey - CFO

  • That would be gross. Actually,

  • the - the total gross number is about 88 million.

  • We are still planning to do a sale/leaseback

  • transaction that would generate proceeds of about

  • 44, which would give us net of 44.

  • Analyst

  • Okay. Great. Thank you very much.

  • Operator

  • Your next question comes from Steven

  • Rogerio with UBS Warburg.

  • Analyst

  • Two questions. One as it relates to

  • box office. You gave us a feel of that before,

  • when a question was asked. Could you just repeat

  • what you expect for box office growth in the

  • remainder of this year?

  • And also, what you are planning on doing for

  • ticket price increases?

  • Craig Ramsey - CFO

  • Well, I think the box office the

  • second half of the year is going to be very

  • comparable to last year, so it will either be

  • equal to or slightly up. For the industry.

  • Analyst

  • And for ticket prices?

  • Phil Singleton - COO

  • For ticket prices - this is

  • Phil Singleton. We'll seasonally take a look at

  • all of our markets, as we always do, at the

  • beginning of the holiday quarter and probably

  • selectively push up the needle a little bit.

  • Probably more so in the box office than the

  • concession area. And then we'll have a few key

  • locations that should come on-line the last half

  • of the year, too, that will be much higher ticket

  • prices. One in Chicago and one in the

  • San Francisco area.

  • Analyst

  • Okay. And last question as it

  • relates to the compensation charge, how deep did

  • that go within the organization? How many people

  • participated?

  • Craig Ramsey - CFO

  • Well, as I said, there were two.

  • Analyst

  • Thank you.

  • Operator

  • Your next question is a follow-up

  • from Bishop Sheen with Wachovia Securities.

  • Analyst

  • Peter, on the sale/leaseback,

  • anticipated for sometime Q3, sometime Q4 -

  • Peter Brown - Chairman and CEO

  • Actually probably in the next

  • quarter.

  • Analyst

  • In the next quarter. And would it

  • be - would the usual REIT - the REIT that you

  • have a close association with, or to a different

  • party?

  • Peter Brown - Chairman and CEO

  • No, it would be with

  • entertainment properties. We did - we did look

  • outside for rates, and the rate's very

  • competitive, and so it will be with entertainment

  • properties.

  • Analyst

  • With entertainment properties?

  • Peter Brown - Chairman and CEO

  • Yes.

  • Analyst

  • Okay. All right. Thank you.

  • Peter Brown - Chairman and CEO

  • You're welcome, Bishop.

  • Operator

  • There are no further questions at

  • this time.

  • Peter Brown - Chairman and CEO

  • Okay. Great. I'd like to thank

  • everyone for joining us this morning. I know it's

  • an interesting morning in the capital markets.

  • I'll just close by simply saying we hope y'all

  • have a great rest of the summer. Keep cool. Take

  • in a movie or two. And we look forward to

  • visiting with you again after the September

  • quarter.

  • Operator

  • Thank you for participating in

  • today's AMC Entertainment, Incorporated conference

  • call. This call will be available for replay

  • beginning at 1:00 p.m. eastern time today through

  • 11:59 p.m. eastern time on Monday, August 5th,

  • through the website www.AMCtheaters.com. You may

  • disconnect at this time.