Energy Fuels Inc (UUUU) 2023 Q4 法說會逐字稿

Good morning. My name is Joelle, and I will be your conference operator today. At this time, I would like to welcome everyone to the Energy Fuels' fiscal-year 2023 conference call. (Operator Instructions)

Thank you. Mr. Chalmers, you may begin conference.

Thank you, Joelle, for that introduction, and good morning or afternoon, wherever you're joining this call from. I really appreciate you joining the conference call and webcast today for Energy Fuels 2023 annual results. We are very excited to discuss what has been an extraordinary 2023 and a very busy start to Q1 of '24. For those that cannot join the call today, we'll have replays of this presentation available for two weeks on our website either later today or tomorrow.

I don't believe I have ever been more excited to update you on both our 2023 results as well as a snapshot of where we are driving the company in 2024. I hope it is apparent, based on our actions, that Energy Fuels has emerged as the up-and-coming leader in US uranium and critical mineral production at a time when this has never been more important.

Many of you have heard me say we will always be aggressive but not reckless and I believe 2023 is a testament of how our company is striving to build a world-significant uranium critical mineral company in a way that is unique to Energy Fuels' assets and our expertise.

In short, we believe 2023 clearly demonstrates that we are company builders, not promoters. Our goal is to become a company that generates sustainable and significant high-margin cash flows from the production of advanced critical materials centered around uranium and other elements found in nature with uranium. 2023 represents a major step in that direction.

Just a few highlights from the press release and year-end financials, net income of nearly $100 million, $222 million of working capital, $37 million in sales of both uranium, vanadium, the rare earths and no debt. We have over $1 billion worth of assets. If you add -- or you can add another $45 million of liquidity if you look at our inventories at current market prices.

In short, the company is achieving record uranium-based profits and has never been stronger financially, with over $0.25 billion of liquidity based on today's commodity market prices. All this is happening while we have been restarting mining.

At three of our mines, we begin preparing two additional mines for future restarts. We have secured or in the process of securing future additional rare earth feeds of world significance, and we're advancing our Phase 1 separation capacity to be commissioned in April as well as our radioisotope initiatives. We are financing most of these through cash flows for growth and diversification milestones organically with limited shareholder dilution. I am aware of no other uranium-focused company that can say this.

Before I start the presentation, I want to remind you that you are controlling the presentation from your own device, and I'll try to remember to tell you when to advance with next slide. There will be time for questions and answers at the end of the presentation.

Dave Frydenlund, our Executive Vice President and Chief Legal Officer; Nate Bennett, our Interim CFO and Chief Accounting Officer; and Curtis Moore, our Senior Vice President of Corporate Development and Marketing, will be available to answer any questions I cannot answer.

So let's jump right into the presentation. Now most of you have seen the slide of White Mesa in Utah. This is a hub of our critical mineral strategy. We can recover uranium, rare earth, vanadium, potentially medical isotopes and has a long history of recycling. And this, again, like our results, is an extraordinary asset for the company.

Next slide. I may be making some forward-looking statements, and those are included on slide 2 of this presentation.

Next slide. So this is what's extraordinary about what we're doing is we are a uranium-focused company and we are creating these other opportunities all centered around our uranium production capability with rare earth vanadium recycling and the medical isotope. So again, I don't know of any other company outside of China that can say this and do this the way we're doing it.

Next slide. Everything we do is a high-value product line uranium. And I want to point out that Energy Fuels has been the leading US producer in the last five years, two-thirds of all uranium produced in the United States come from Energy Fuels. We're restarting the three uranium mines I mentioned in producing ore as we speak, at a run rate of between 1.1 million and 1.4 million pounds per annum by the end of this year. So we're mining ore right now at three operations, and we're getting other operations ready to advance as market conditions support. We have over 10 million pounds of licensed production capacity.

Rare earth used for the critical elements for the powerful electric magnets required for electric vehicles, wind and other high-tech appliances. In April, we will be and have the capacity to produce up to 1,000 metric tonnes per year of separated NdPr oxide, which is equivalent to the amount of elements required for the high-efficiency electric motors for up to 1 million electric vehicles.

Vanadium, again, a critical element, mainly used for high strength steel, but also got substantial attention for grid scale batteries. We have the only primary producer of vanadium recovery plant in North America, medical isotopes, which are critical for emerging cancer therapies and the ability to recover radium while we're processing uranium and rare earth is a very exciting place for us.

Recycling, and I've said this to most of you that have listened before, the fact that we've been able to recycle uranium and vanadium at the White Mesa Mill is why the mill has remained in good standing with the expertise for 40 years.

Financial strength. I hit the high points already. $222 million and working capital at the end of the year. That includes a lot of cash and marketable securities and significant uranium and vanadium inventories.

Next slide. So I'll talk about our financial highlights in a bit more detail here. Next slide. So again, I know I'm repeating myself a bit but $100 million of net income, $0.63 per share, driven by uranium. We sold 560,000 pounds in 2023 with a gross profit of $18 million.

In addition, we sold the Alta Mesa uranium property and associated PFN tools which were non-core for a gain of $120 million. So those strong earnings have been funding our growth of uranium and rare earth activities and sales as we ramp up our uranium production and developing our ability to bolt-on of commercial rare earth separation capabilities. Again, over $0.25 billion in liquidity at current commodity prices.

So when you look at our working capital -- and I think this is the envy of the sector because we are so strong with zero debt and have assets that can come on with limited capital. And you look at the -- and as I said, if you include for the value of our current inventories, it's north of that $250 million.

At year-end, we had nearly 700,000 pounds of finished uranium, 900,000 pounds of finished vanadium and about 11 tonnes of separated pure rare earth carbonate. In addition, we have over 400,000 pounds of uranium as raw materials, which is ready for processing. So we have 1.1 million pounds of uranium and finished good or ready for processing.

Next slide. So uranium highlights. Next slide. So look, I've already talked about we sold the 560,000 pounds at a 54% gross margin, it's a very nice margin. That comprised 300,000 pounds to the US government sales at $61 a pound. And we also sold 260,000 pounds under long-term contracts that weighted out at around $57 per pound.

We also brought the La Sal Complex, which includes the Pandora Mine and Beaver Mines and the Pinyon Plain Mine in Arizona back into production. And as I already said, between 1.1 million to 1.4 million pounds per year by the end of 2024. We're expecting to produce.

Now when we mine these mines, we bring the ore to the mill and it awaits for processing. But in 2024, we're projecting between 150,000 to 500,000 pounds of finished goods to be processed at the mill, and it all depends on as we commission the Phase 1 separation plant when we start producing, and we hope to do better than that, but that's the range that we're giving right now.

And as I mentioned earlier, we're getting two additional mines ready for potential production in 2024, '25, Nichols Ranch and Whirlwind. I talked about our uranium inventory of 1.1 million pounds, 700,000 pounds of that finished and the other is material ready for processing, which a lot of that will be processed this year.

Next slide. We're building up our ability to produce around 2 million pounds of annual production by 2025. And again, this is with limited capital, 2 million pounds, at the mines I mentioned, including the ones that we're getting ready. And this will also include some alternate feed production, which only Energy Fuels can do. And we're also planning on having an ore purchase agreement from third-party miners that are in full compliance also this year to secure feed from those that would like to actually monetize or that they have in mines that are owned by them.

In addition to starting up these mines, we are reinitiating exploration, drilling and delineation at Nichols Ranch, the ISR project and underground delineation drilling at our Pinyon Plain Mine in Arizona. On top of all that, we're advancing permits at our large Roca Honda Mine in New Mexico, Sheep Mountain in Wyoming and the Bullfrog Projects in Utah, and those have the potential to produce 4 million pounds -- an additional 4 million pounds of uranium per year in the coming years.

In 2024, we sold 200,000 pounds under contract at $75 per pound at a 51% margin and that was under contracts. And these contracts have floor and ceilings and escalate with prices as the prices go up. So they went up materially higher than last year. But in addition, because we have uranium inventory, we sold 100,000 pounds on two transactions that average $102.88 a pound at a gross margin of 64%.

So if you combine the contract sales in the spot sales, we've sold 300,000 pounds at an average price of about $84 a pound already in Q1 of this year. For the remainder of 2024, we're going to continue to monitor spot market sales opportunities.

We also have potentially a sale for another 100,000 pounds under contract but we're going to look at how we can take the inventory we have, the alternate feed we have and continue to take advantage of the spot sales combined with our contract portfolio, which only our contracts are about 25%, 30% of our production capacity at the 2 million pounds per year.

Next slide. Rare earth. A lot going on in the rare earth space. Next slide. So I want to emphasize too that the rare earth production does not diminish the company's uranium production capabilities. We produce a high-purity mixed rare earth carbonate this year and sold to Neo for about $3 million. We're completing Phase 1 separation this quarter. We plan to be commissioning that on April 1. We've been telling the market that was going to cost about $25 million.

Right now, it looks like it's going to come in between $16 million and $18 million, $7 million to $9 million under budget, which is rare to hear in today's inflationary environment. We're very proud of that and have the capacity to produce up to 1,000 tonnes per year of NdPr oxide subject to receipt of sufficient monazite, and we also expect to be producing around 25 to 35 tonnes of separated NdPr oxide.

While we're doing this, we're also advancing our Phase 2 and Phase 3 separation capabilities, and that is whatever we design it to be, but it will be between 3 times to 5 times the capacity of Phase 1 with a separate crack and leach facility and the ability to separate dysprosium and terbium and other heavies in Phase 3.

Next slide. So we've also been very active at securing low-cost monazite supply chains during 2023. We secured the Bahia Project in Brazil, which has the potential to produce between 3,000 to 10,000 tonnes per year of monazite to provide material to White Mesa for decades.

We're currently doing exploration and securing our mining permits. It's a very well-defined heavy mineral sand deposit, and we have a new Sonic drill rig that the guys are being trained on as we speak and potential for production in 2026.

In addition, recently we announced a non-binding MOU for a very significant deposit in Australia -- in Victoria, Australia, where we would have 49% ownership and have access, or secure 100% of the monazite, from that project. The project has the potential to supply between 7,000 to 14,000 tonnes of monazite per year for decades. We are looking at significant scale. It has all major licenses and permits in place, and is in advanced stages to go into construction. It's well-defined.

And as I said, we will secure the rights to all the monazite and potential production in 2026. So, I've been saying for a long time, we're securing our sources of rare earths, and will continue to do so in an opportunistic way.

And right now, with the price of uranium being so high and the price of monazite, or particularly the rare earth oxides, NdPr, dysprosium terbium, being lower, it's a great time to acquire these rare earth projects, because the prices are down, they've been beaten up. So that puts us in a unique opportunity to capitalize on the strength of our balance sheet, and the fact that we've been profitable. And we plan to do everything we can to continue to be profitable going forward.

Next slide, vanadium and medical isotope highlights. Next slide. Again, we have the only primary production facility for vanadium. It's probably number four on our list of our market strategy, but we have the ability to produce and refine substantial quantities of V2O5. We did sell a little bit of vanadium earlier in the year at a gross margin of 37%.

And I want to emphasize gross margins, 37% versus up to 60% when we're doing these spot sales. And we're still evaluating, when the price of vanadium comes up, how we can respond accordingly. We have about the 900,000 pounds of [finite] V2O5 and we plan to sell it as the price -- when the price goes up. Typically, over $10 a pound, we'll sell some more vanadium.

But we also have the ability, to recover 1 million to 3 million pounds of vanadium from our tailings. And when we're mining La Sal and Pandora, we're also mining uranium/vanadium ores. So we very much are in the vanadium business, but we will capitalize on the vanadium business, when the price of vanadium is higher.

Next slide, medical isotope highlights. We have an R&D license to recover radium-226. We're also looking at an R&D license to recover radium-228. And the company continues to advance this. We're completing engineering on a pilot facility to produce research and development quantities of radium-226 to be tested by end users.

Next slide. So we'll talk a bit about our recycling and our commitment to the community. Next slide. Community outreach, we continue to share our success with our neighboring communities. We have set up the San Juan County Clean Energy Foundation, where we initially made a contribution of $1 million into the foundation account, and have agreed to ongoing funding equal to 1% of annual revenues from the White Mesa Mill. We've made grants up to around $300,000 thus far.

A lot of this has gone to various initiatives with indigenous communities in the region, with American Indian Services, our Native Guide program with Canyonlands, putting a solar project on The Dinosaur Museum. We've spent and funded the Navajo Nation Chapters, a couple of chapters, fine arts in San Juan County, and high schools and whatnot.

So anyways, all these programs are focused on education, environment, health, wellness, economic advancement, and as I said, significant focus on Native American priorities. The mill's recycling programs continue to reduce carbon emissions and save the world's finite resources. And we're very proud of how this all fits together.

Next slide. So 2024 guidance and focus, I already mentioned that we're planning to produce 150,000 to 500,000 pounds of finished uranium production. Now remember, we still have substantial inventories of uranium and vanadium to sell. We're going to do everything we can to beat those guidance numbers, but that's our guidance numbers right now.

When it comes to Q1 '24 sales, I talked about the 200,000 pounds that, we sold under contract at around $75 a pound, and the 100,000 pounds that we sold at over $100 a pound for a weighting of around 300,000 pounds at $84, $85 per pound. We're going to look at uranium sales for the remainder of 2024 on an opportunistic basis. We have another potential sale of 100,000 pounds under contract this year.

We're going to continue to ramp up our production at our uranium mines that I already mentioned, the three mines that are currently in production, including, on top of that, alternate feed, and an ore purchase agreement. We're looking at preparing Nichols Ranch and Whirlwind to also go back into production to get us up to approximately 2 million pounds of uranium production per year.

And again, with limited capital, we're commissioning or will be commissioning soon, the Phase 1 separation circuit. And this is a world material size circuit, it is larger than Neo's Silmet Facility in Estonia. So we're very excited about that. And as I said, under budget, we're continuing with the engineering of Phase 1 and Phase 2, advancing the Bahia Project in Brazil, continue to evaluate and finalize our due diligence on the Donald Project in Australia. And on top of that, we're looking for other opportunities.

So to say that we've been busy last year, this year, is an understatement. I've never been busier, I've never been in a position where our company has been stronger. And we are going for it, people. We're going for it, but we're going for it in a responsible way, to build long-term value using our assets, our people, our expertise and our momentum in a way that nobody else can do like Energy Fuels.

Thank you very much. Happy to be open for any questions from the floor.

(Operator Instructions)

Mike Heim, Noble Capital Markets.

All right. Thank you. Good morning. Mark, let me -- a couple of questions, let me start with the rare elements. Some of the verbiage in the press release talks, about the 25 to 35 tonnes of NdPr oxide in the second quarter. And then says that you expect to begin processing uranium after that. Is the implication that you probably are not going to be doing more NdPr oxide after the second quarter?

Yes, Michael, that's correct. I mean, right now, we -- the only source of monazite we have is from Chemours. And so we have secured about 500 tons of material that's ready to be processed to allow us to commission Phase 1. And so yes, we plan to commission the Phase 1 plant and then switch it back, switch the mill back over to uranium production, and we plan to run as much uranium through the mill, particularly at a period where the price uranium is so high to maximize the revenue and profitability, while we're securing larger longer-term sources of monazites.

So again, right now, rare earth prices are quite a bit down from where they were a year or two ago, and we're going to maximize our profitability by pushing as much uranium through that mill in the meantime. But we'll continue to do this Phase 2, Phase 3 engineering. We'll continue to advance Bahia, potentially the Donald project in Australia, and other projects to be ready to bring in significant quantities at world scale, but we'll be pushing uranium through in the meantime.

Is there kind of a date in mind, when you have a go decision on Phase 2 while you're doing all this prepping?

Well, what we're doing is getting the engineering completed. We'll have to submit that, to the state of Utah. And so as -- from our perspective, we're doing all that work right now. The go decision is get the engineering done, be ready to submit it to the regulatory bodies and -- so we're not holding back on that at all.

Can you talk a little bit more about the under budget on Phase 1? And specifically, would that have any implications for the cost of the Phase 2 expansion?

Well, I think the key thing about Phase 1 and the fact that we're doing this work in Utah, a low cost of doing business area with very, very skilled people that understand solvent extraction, that, yes, we were able to do a lot of that work internally in a very efficient way. And it does -- I think it does bode well for Phase 2 and Phase 3.

I don't want to extrapolate out that far on those at this point in time, because Phase 1 is where we actually added additional solvent extraction capabilities in the existing SX building at the mill. So Phase 2, Phase 3 will be completely separate new facilities. So it will require complete new buildings and whatnot, where Phase 1 didn't require all that.

But again, I think it bodes well when you look at what we can do in a jurisdiction like Utah, Southern Utah, as compared to others in the other parts of the world, particularly in places like Australia, where people are seeing significant cost overruns on their projects.

And then one question on uranium, and I'll get back in queue. And I almost hate to ask this, because you've done so much. But given what's going on with uranium prices, if we were to try and expand even faster, what are the bottlenecks to getting production going even faster than what you're projecting?

Well, on our existing sort of stable with permitted projects, there really aren't any bottlenecks. We can get up to about 2 million pounds per year. When you start going greater than that, for us, it requires a combination of a couple of things. It requires larger capital expenditures and it also requires securing some of these additional permits on things like Roca Honda, Bullfrog and Sheep Mountain is partially permitted.

So our bottlenecks, as we can get to about that 2 million pounds, maybe a little higher with capital investment. But to go to 5 million pounds per year, we're going to need both significant capital investment, and additional permits from our -- for our company.

All right. Thank you, Mark.

Thank you.

Joseph Reagor, Roth MKM.

Hi, Mark and team. Thanks for taking the questions. So first thing, on that $16 million to $18 million guide for the total cost for the Phase 2, how much of that was spent as of year-end, so we can kind of have an idea of what's left for this year?

Let me ask Nate Bennett, our interim CFO, Chief Accounting Officer. Nate, do you -- can you give me a number of what was spent to year-end?

Yes, I can pipe in there. So we've spent $8.2 million through the end of 2023, and the rest of that will be spent in 2024.

Okay. Thanks. That's helpful. And then looking at the -- as you're doing the separation of it as well with us, what do you expect kind of the pricing to be on these, 25 to 55 tons that you're going to sell?

Well, because it's -- Joe, because they're talking very small quantities and everything, it really isn't even appropriate to say what the pricing is going to be on it right now. We -- one of the reasons that we're securing these other large projects is that we get both the revenue from the heavy mineral sands and absolutely low cost, in some cases, no cost for monazites.

So with Chemours, we've said this publicly, we've been working with them to kind of reconcile the fact they've been short on supplying this monazite. And so we're going through a couple exercises there on how we rectify that. It's not over yet. So I'm not prepared to tell you what it's going to cost for this run -- the small run.

But what it does demonstrate is it will demonstrate that we can do this commercially at the required purities, if everything goes as per our plans. And that in itself is extremely material. We will secure additional monazite. And that's all part of our strategy, is how we come up with a blended price that is very attractive in a world perspective.

Okay. Fair enough. And then I realize with the uranium production guidance that it's all dependent on when you get started with producing. But can you tell us what are the assumptions that,lead to like the 150,000 pounds versus the 500,000 pounds, like is there a certain month that you would need to start up -- by to get to 500,000 and then a certain month, you're assuming it's a way to start up to get the 150,000?

Yes. It's really timing. We're going to get this Phase 1 commissioned, as I mentioned, running this 500 tonnes through it. And when that is complete, we'll flip the mill over to uranium production. And depending on how much time is remaining in the year, we will put more uranium through if we're able to flip that sooner rather than later.

We have the alternate feed and the sources to basically get well in that range. And we're also planning to be delivering or currently delivering feed from our other mines like La Sal and soon, the other sites like Pinyon Plain. So there's a lot of moving parts of just making sure the timing is in order.

It's all coming together, and we're just being, what I believe, quite conservative given that range at this point in time. It's my personal goal and I make that -- it's a personal goal to do better than that, but we just have to see how the year kind of rolls out here.

Okay. And one final one. So you contracted near term to sell an additional 100,000 pounds this quarter at kind of spot prices. Yes, are you planning to do more of that in Q2, Q3, Q4? Or are you guys planning to just stick to the long-term contracts?

It is our goal to opportunistically sell uranium as we have it, taking into account what our contracted deliveries are looking out next year and following years and maximize the benefit of these higher prices in a way that others can't, because they don't have one, the inventory; two, the ability to produce this year.

So just watch this space. I don't want to make promises that I can't keep, but we are going to be looking at how to absolutely maximize our company position with these higher uranium prices.

Okay, sounds good. Thanks, Mark. I'll turn it over.

(Operator Instructions) There are no further questions at this time. Please proceed.

Yes, I'd just like to thank those of you that have joined the call. I hate to use the word extraordinary too many times, but we really are on a focused path for a long-term critical mineral hub, There really is no investment like Energy Fuels that can, on the back of uranium, adding on the ability to produce rare earths for a very significant -- world significant strategy is our objective.

Look at our balance sheet, look at the fact that we're producing uranium now. We've got very good margins on our uranium sales and cost. It is a very exciting time and I cannot tell you, as I said at the beginning of the call, how excited I am to present this story. And just watch this vehicle because we are focusing on building a company.

We are not promoters. If you want us to be promoters, we're not going to be promoters because we're building a company and we're doing it step by step. So thank you very much. And again, I look forward to further updates in due course during the year.

Ladies and gentlemen, this concludes your conference call for today. We thank you for participating and ask that you please disconnect your lines.