Udemy Inc (UDMY) 2024 Q3 法說會逐字稿

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  • Operator

  • Good day, and welcome to the Udemy's Third Quarter 2024 Conference Call. (Operator Instructions) Please note, this event is being recorded. I would now like to turn the conference over to Dennis Walsh Vice President of Investor Relations. Please go ahead.

  • Dennis Walsh - Vice President - Investor Relations

  • Thank you, David. Joining me today are Udemy's Chief Executive Officer, Greg Brown; and Chief Financial Officer, Sarah Blanchard. During this conference call, we will make forward-looking statements within the meaning of federal securities laws. These statements involve assumptions and are subject to known and unknown risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially from those discussed or anticipated. For a complete discussion of risks associated with these forward-looking statements, we encourage you to refer to our most recent Form 10-K and Form 10-Q filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission.

  • Our forward-looking statements are based upon information currently available to us. We caution you to not place undue reliance on forward-looking statements, and we do not undertake and expressly disclaim any duty or obligation to update or alter our forward-looking statements, except as required by applicable law. In addition, during this call, certain financial performance measures may be discussed that differ from comparable measures contained in our financial statements prepared in accordance with U.S. generally accepted accounting principles referred to by the SEC as non-GAAP financial measures.

  • We believe that these non-GAAP financial measures support management and investors in evaluating our performance and comparing period-to-period results of operations in a more meaningful and consistent manner. A reconciliation of these non-GAAP measures to the most comparable GAAP financial measures is included in our earnings press release. These reconciliations together with additional supplemental information are available on the Investor Relations section of our website.

  • Please note, we have provided a supplemental deck that can be found for download on the Quarterly Results section of our Investor Relations website. A replay of today's call will also be posted on the website.

  • With that, I will now turn the call over to Greg.

  • Gregory Brown - President, Chief Executive Officer, Director

  • Thank you, Dennis, and good afternoon to everyone on the call. We delivered a strong Q3 with revenue and adjusted EBITDA margin exceeding the high end of our guidance ranges. Revenue grew 6% year-over-year, including a 2-point headwind from FX and profitability reached a new record with adjusted EBITDA coming in significantly higher than anticipated. This was a direct result of our disciplined approach to driving operational efficiency throughout the business. We also achieved a new milestone of over $500 million in Udemy Business ARR.

  • I'm immensely proud of our entire Udemy team and thankful for their unwavering commitment to our business and delivering on our mission. We have a lot to be excited about as we look toward the future for Udemy and I'm eager to provide an update on some of the strategic actions we've taken as well as some of the other exciting developments, including the launch of our AI-powered skills mapping and AI assistant. As a reminder, on our last call, we announced the strategic decision to deliver a more balanced mix of growth and profitability, while reallocating resources towards our highest return opportunity, the large enterprise customer cohort within Udemy business. This transition is both timely and necessary as we look to deliver long-term sustainable value for all stakeholders, particularly in an environment that remains stable but subdued.

  • Over the past several years, we've successfully built a strong foundation for our enterprise business and our consumer marketplace. We've also expanded our global footprint to support nearly 17,000 Udemy business customers and 75 million learners across 180 countries, which represents one of the leading market positions globally. Given the solid foundation we have in place, now it's the right time to focus on operational efficiency. The opportunity in this category is massive and growing. So we're capitalizing on it to create a more resilient business model capable of delivering sustainable financial performance in any market environment.

  • Since our Q2 call in July, we moved quickly to optimize our cost structure to align with our more focused strategy. Ultimately, we were able to achieve over $50 million of cost savings against our initial target of $25 million. Our outperformance on these efficiency initiatives increases our confidence in our ability to deliver our target of adjusted EBITDA of $130 million to $150 million in 2026. As you can see from the Q3 results, these actions are already impacting Udemy's profitability. We are significantly increasing our flexibility to allow us to operate from a position of strength and enabling us to deliver value to our customers and shareholders.

  • We're confident that this approach will position us as a stronger, more competitive company well into the future. Turning specifically to Udemy Business. With our new Chief Revenue Officer, Rob [Rosenthal] in place, we're aggressively capitalizing on our category leadership and realigning our resources upmarket and into key verticals that we believe will drive the highest returns. With the world of work expected to undergo rapid transformation fueled by the widespread adoption of generative AI, Udemy is the company that will help organizations bridge the growing skills gap.

  • A cornerstone of our strategy is our decision to focus on large enterprise customers. which we define as organizations with over 1,000 or more employees and represents approximately 75% of our Udemy Business revenue. These companies have a more strategic approach to learning and development, move fast to adopt AI and other new technologies, and are increasingly turning to Udemy to support their skills development initiatives. By prioritizing large customers and deemphasizing the SMB segment, we're optimizing our resource allocation towards higher growth, higher-margin opportunities.

  • Today, this cohort of customers have the highest retention, win rates and upsell rates. Historically, we've been most successful generating high-quality pipeline from customers in this category. Resulting in the majority of bookings coming from this cohort. Importantly, we will still support the SMB market, but we'll be addressing new opportunities through more efficient channels such as self-service over time. Although reallocating resources to focus upmarket will create temporary headwinds to the SMB and consumer portions of our business, these actions will create a stronger company and will enable long-term profitable growth for Udemy.

  • As we navigate an era of unprecedented technological transformation, the importance of preparing organizations for the future has never been more clear. With rapid advancements in generative AI and other emerging technologies, we're witnessing a beginning of a seismic shift in how businesses operate.

  • In this context, enterprise learning and development has become a strategic necessity for future proofing workforces and ensuring long-term business success. Recent research underscores the urgency of this moment. A recent report from BCG found that only 6% of companies have trained more than 25% of their workforce on generative AI tools. Further, and astounding 46% of employees will require upscaling within the next 3 years, regardless of the impact of GenAI.

  • As the shelf life of skill shortens driven by digital transformation, our versatile and future-ready workforce is essential and the focus on upscaling helps businesses stay competitive. This reality presents a massive opportunity and a critical responsibility for organizations to invest in upscaling and rescaling their talent. As an example of Udemy helping a customer overcome this challenge, Old Mutual, a South African financial services company engaged Udemy business in 2021 to address their upscaling needs. Since the beginning of our relationship, Old Mutual has seen more than 18,000 employees adopt licenses and averaged approximately 47 hours of learning per user per year, which is nearly double the industry average. Of the course enrollments, nearly 60% relate to developing digital and data capability skills.

  • Organizations that prioritize skills are seeing tangible benefits such as improved retention, innovation and business growth. Lentils and Gen Z employees who now form a significant portion of the workforce, value autonomy, internal mobility and opportunities to learn new skills.

  • Organizations that can provide these opportunities through robust learning and development programs are best positioned to attract and retain top-tier talent. By investing and learning and development, companies not only enhanced their talent pool but also reduce turnover, improve employee engagement and build long-term resilience. A couple of great examples of organizations that are prioritizing skills development are Udemy customers, U.S. Steel and caliber. U.S.

  • Steel is a manufacturing company with a workforce of more than 20,000 employees and has been a Udemy customer since 2020. U.S. Steel provides access to Udemy business courses to all nonrepresented employees. As a way to foster a culture of continuous learning and to support internal mobility. This strategic approach to learning and development also ensures U.S.

  • Steel employees stay current on important business, technology and leadership skills.

  • In the past year, employees utilized 100% of licenses and 85% of employees who claim licenses were actively taking courses on the platform. Caliber, a U.K.-based data technology consultancy. Has been a Udemy customer for 2 years and has made Udemy Business its primary LND platform. Udemy plays a critical role in helping caliber insurance teams are certified in core technologies have the foundational skills required to serve clients and have the soft skills needed to deliver exceptional service. Since partnering with Udemy, Caliber employees adopted 93% of the assigned licenses and logged an astounding 300 learning hours per person.

  • One of our customers, emphasis, an Indian multinational technology company that offers business consulting, IT and outsourcing services, as partnered with Udemy on a CSR initiative that recognizes the importance of skills development and is extending access to Udemy Beyond its own workforce to the broader community. One of our largest deals in the quarter Infosys expanded its partnership with Udemy to 150,000 licenses as part of its Infosys Springboard initiative, a digital learning platform providing free access to educational resources, skill building courses and certifications. The program focuses on enhancing employability through digital literacy, technology and soft skills, empowering students, women and professionals in the community to become lifelong learners. We are honored to have been selected by Infosys as a partner to foster continuous learning and drive societal progress, equipping individuals with tools needed to thrive in the evolving digital economy.

  • This brings us to an exciting product update. By offering our enterprise customers access to innovative learning tools on our intelligent skills platform, such as our recently launched AI assistant, skills mapping and AI-powered learning pass. We're helping organizations build a workforce that is not only ready for today's challenges, but also capable of adapting to tomorrow's. This major product launch will provide significant value to our customers and has been met with much enthusiasm. Specifically, with the introduction of skills mapping and AI-powered learning Pass, we're helping leaders identify the critical skills needed for their organizations.

  • With this capability, we're enabling customers to create a skills framework or Skill Street that provides a clear logical structure for skills development and ultimately match skills to top-rated courses from the Udemy Business collection. With the use of AI, we can now bring personalization and guided learning to organizations at scale.

  • In addition, the AI system will help transform the experience for individuals, helping them more easily discover and engage with relevant learning content. The assistant will guide the learner and will provide course and lecture summaries to help learners understand key concepts and navigate to the most relevant content. This system will also help answer course and career related questions with step-by-step advice and simplified explanations of complex topics. Ultimately, early indications show that the assistant and the more personalized experience it creates will lead to more learner consumption and engagement on our platform.

  • We're thrilled to introduce these innovative products to our customers, but this is only the beginning. In August, we welcomed Udemy's founder, Eren Bali, back to the leadership team as our Chief Technology Officer. Eren is excited to return to an operating role where he will drive our product strategy forward. Together, we will deliver cutting-edge solutions that empower learners worldwide to achieve their core goals and better business outcomes for enterprises. With the major launches of our AI system and skills mapping behind us, now is a natural time to further streamline responsibilities on our leadership team, including consolidating the Chief Technology and Chief Product Officer roles.

  • We're expanding Eren's role, and he will now lead both product and engineering teams. Our focus on operational efficiency allows us to prioritize investments in innovative, high-impact products like the ones I just described that are tailored to meet customers' needs. We believe that by empowering enterprises and individuals with tools to meet their learning needs, we can unlock significant value for stakeholders.

  • And with that, I'll turn the call over to Sarah for a financial review.

  • Sarah Blanchard - Chief Financial Officer

  • Thank you, Greg. I'll cover the key financial highlights and our outlook today. You can find the complete set of financial tables in our news release, which is available on our Investor Relations website. Third quarter revenue increased 6% year-over-year to $195 million. With more than 60% of our total revenue coming from outside of the U.S., we had a negative impact from FX to our year-over-year growth rate of 2 percentage points.

  • Udemy Business revenue for the quarter was $126 million, an increase of 16% year-over-year, including a 2 percentage point headwind from changes in FX rates. As Greg mentioned, we ended the quarter with annual recurring revenue, or ARR, of $505 million, up 14% from a year ago, a significant milestone for the business.

  • Within that, ARR from large customers or those with 1,000 or more employees, increased 15% year-over-year, while SMB era grew 11% year-over-year. professional services, financial services, manufacturing, tech and retail are the strongest verticals contributing to ARR growth. We will continue focusing on driving further penetration in those sectors where we see a vast array of use cases and significant long-term opportunity to capture market share. Our consolidated net dollar retention rate, or NDRR, at quarter end was 99%. The rate was 104% for large customers.

  • We continue to see pressure on net dollar retention driven by upsells taking longer than historical norms in this environment. In the quarter, we added more than 250 net new Udemy Business customers, increasing our global customer base by 10% year-over-year to more than 16,800. Within that, our base of large customers increased by 11% to more than 5,000. Gross margin for our Udemy Business segment came in at 74% for the third quarter, up 600 basis points from the prior year, primarily due to the instructor revenue share change that went into effect on January 1 of this year.

  • Third quarter consumer revenue of $69 million was down 8% on a year-over-year basis, including a negative 3 percentage point impact from FX. The year-over-year decline was primarily driven by lower individual course purchases and was somewhat offset by growth from our personal plan subscriptions. During Q3, average monthly visitors grew 14% year-over-year to more than $39 million. Although the marketplace remains vibrant with strong traffic growth and more than 5,000 courses being added each month, we are taking steps to strengthen our consumer offering. We are building on our marketplace experience and investing in skills-based career development that meets the needs of today's learners.

  • Leveraging the depth and breadth of our marketplace, we now offer a comprehensive suite of 500 certification programs, and the number is continuing to grow.

  • These courses are designed to equip learners with everything they need to pass their certification exams and have attracted more than 6 million enrollments to date. As we move down the P&L, note that all financial metrics are non-GAAP, unless stated otherwise. Q3 total company gross margin was 64%, a 400 basis point improvement from Q3, 2023. The improvement was driven by instructor revenue share change as well as the continued revenue mix shift to Udemy business which accounted for approximately 65% of total revenue in the quarter, an increase of 600 basis points year-over-year.

  • As previously shared, we expect total company gross margins to increase to approximately 70% in 2026. Total operating expense was [$119 million] or 61% of revenue. OpEx for the quarter was approximately 1,200 basis points higher than Q3 of last year, primarily driven by higher personnel and marketing expenses. On the bottom line, we delivered net income of approximately $10 million or 5% of revenue. Adjusted EBITDA was approximately $12 million or 6% of revenue, representing nearly 200 basis point expansion year-over-year.

  • The better-than-expected adjusted EBITDA result was driven by our ongoing focus on operational efficiency and the cost savings actions we began implementing during the quarter. We expect these actions to result in restructuring charges of approximately [$18 million]. Which primarily consists of personnel expenses. Approximately $11 million was recognized during Q3. We expect to recognize another $6 million during Q4 and the final charge will be incurred during the first quarter of 2025.

  • Cash payments related to these expenses will be spread across the next several quarters, which brings us to our key cash flow and balance sheet items. We ended the quarter with $358 million of cash, cash equivalents, restricted cash and marketable securities. Free cash flow in the third quarter was negative $10 million, driven by collections timing in lower billings but was positive $32 million on a year-to-date basis. During Q3, we used $51 million in cash to buy back 6.3 million shares through a repurchase program and are nearing completion of the $150 million authorization. We will continue to discuss with our Board any plans for future capital return programs.

  • Turning to our guidance. We are raising our full year 2024 outlook. For revenue, we now expect to be in the range of $780 million to $783 million or nearly 7% growth at the midpoint including an expected negative 2 percentage point impact from FX. For modeling purposes, we expect Udemy Business revenue growth to be up approximately 17%, while consumer revenue is expected to be down approximately 6% year-over-year. On the bottom line, we are increasing our outlook by approximately $12 million from the midpoint of our prior range as we now expect to deliver full year adjusted EBITDA margin of approximately 4.5% of revenue.

  • The overperformance from Q3 and additional cost savings that we are already beginning to realize from the operational efficiency actions are the primary drivers.

  • With respect to the fourth quarter, we expect revenue to be between $193 million and $196 million or approximately 3% year-over-year growth at the midpoint. Assuming exchange rates remain constant, FX is expected to negatively impact Q4 revenue growth by 2 percentage points. On the bottom line, we're targeting an adjusted EBITDA margin of approximately 6% of revenue. Although we plan to provide our formal 2025 guidance on our Q4 call in February, today, we wanted to provide some additional context for how our results may unfold next year.

  • As Greg discussed, we are purposefully shifting our focus from aggressive growth to accelerating operational efficiencies to deliver profitability. In September, we completed a comprehensive review of our cost structure. And as a result, have identified over $50 million in annualized structural cost savings against our run rate. This represents an additional $25 million in savings from when we first outlined our plan on our Q2 earnings call. To break down the $50 million, approximately $40 million in cost savings are related to reducing organizational layers, relocating certain roles to lower-cost locations and optimizing our go-to-market structure.

  • We also identified an additional $10 million in cost savings related to other expenses, such as marketing spend, professional services, software and T&E. These actions allow you to meet to be a more noble organization and better serve our global customer base. In addition, we are optimizing our go-to-market strategy, focusing on regions and sectors that represent the most growth potential. Specifically large enterprises, where we see stronger pipeline growth, larger deal sizes and higher retention and upsell rates.

  • By over-delivering on our expense reduction initiative, we have the flexibility to reinvest some of these savings back into high-impact growth areas and are in the process of hiring for key roles in lower-cost geographies such as Mexico, India and Turkey. In 2025, we expect to deliver approximately $70 million in adjusted EBITDA, providing a clear path to achieving our 2026 target. As a reminder, beyond the structural cost and efficiency actions we have taken, we expect that 2025 adjusted EBITDA will also benefit from approximately 200 basis points of improvement to gross margin from our revenue mix shift towards Udemy Business and our previously announced changes to instructor revenue share. On the top line, as we shift resources to focus most on the large enterprise opportunity in Udemy Business, we wanted to highlight a few discrete headwinds to revenue growth during the 2025 transition year.

  • Specifically, for Udemy Business, the combination of a $20 million reduction in quota capacity at [SMB] and the continued softness in EMEA is creating a few points of headwind to our overall revenue growth projections for 2025. While we are experiencing these headwinds in the near term as we focus resources on market and transition teams to the new structure, we expect large customers to continue to outperform the other cohorts. To highlight our progress and the effectiveness of our shift in focus on market, going forward, we will provide additional insight into this cohort. On the consumer side, we expect that we will experience high single-digit revenue decline rates in the next year.

  • This represents approximately 3 points of headwind against our overall growth. Although we continue to be prudent with investments related to that segment, longer term, we are investing in building a career-based development experience for learners across the globe. Looking ahead, we expect the work we've done to restructure the organization will help us navigate near-term market conditions while setting the foundation for long-term success. Our goal is to deliver $130 million to $150 million in adjusted EBITDA by 2026 and continue expanding towards our target of 20% adjusted EBITDA margin in 2027.

  • In summary, the strategic shift we've made, combined with our ongoing operational efficiency efforts are allowing us to focus on what matters most. Capturing the massive opportunity in enterprise and individual skill development, particularly in the age of AI. We are confident that the work we are doing will further strengthen the foundation of our business and enhance our customer experience globally. As you can tell, we are as excited as ever about our future opportunity and Udemy's ability to lead this category while delivering sustainable long-term growth, increasing profitability and creating lasting value for all stakeholders. So with that, we'll open up the call for your questions.

  • Moderator?

  • Operator

  • (Operator Instructions) Jason Tilchen, Canaccord Genuity.

  • Jason Tilchen - Analyst

  • I'm curious if you could share a little more detail around how some of these new AI-enabled capabilities are changing the conversations the sales team is having with larger enterprises and when you may expect some of those conversations to lead to impact -- a more direct impact on growth going forward for the enterprise segment?

  • Gregory Brown - President, Chief Executive Officer, Director

  • Yes. Thanks for the question. So first, I'd say we're already seeing the impact on sales process, sales cycles and our ability to establish value associated with these AI capabilities from the standpoint that organizations for some time now have been looking for product capability like our skills mapping that enables them to assess skills, develop a hyper personalized learning experience based on the skills gap. And then assess again to certify and then -- and provide a badge or certificate associated with Skills acquisition, skills mapping brings that to life now. right?

  • So we now have automated what has been primarily a manual process for most organizations. So there's a lot of excitement about that from L&D leadership perspective within the companies we serve. At the same time, the AI learning assistant, having an assistant along for the ride for individuals and within organizations, so again, personalize that learning experience, but also to have the ability to ask questions and be engaged in that learning process throughout, which is what the AI system is -- all of it, really what we're seeing in early signals, both in the beta as well as live with customers increase not only adoption, but more importantly, active usage and engagement on the platform, and we expect that to persist.

  • We're really excited about the progress right now to date, and we're just getting going. Right now, we have about 1,000 -- a little over 1,000 enterprises that have lit up skills mapping and AI assistant, and we're ramping in. So early days, but early signals are very positive.

  • Operator

  • And the next question comes from Stephen Sheldon with William Blair.

  • Stephen Sheldon - Analyst

  • Just as we think about Udemy Business, I guess how would you characterize corporate L&D the spending environment there comparing this quarter to the first half of the year. Greg, I think you maybe noted that the environment is stable but subdued. So have you seen any early signs of a pickup? And if not, what do you think it will take for that to happen?

  • Gregory Brown - President, Chief Executive Officer, Director

  • Yes. Thanks for the question. Yes, I did mention that we are seeing continued scrutiny on budgets, within organizations. As companies rationalize not only their L&D spend, but they're rationalizing spend across the entire enterprise. I mean -- and we're doing the same thing.

  • We're no different. But this streamlining for us presents an opportunity. In that we talked for some time now about the opportunity for us to be a consolidator of L&D content, more importantly, strategy and to be the platform that organizations look to as they're thinking more strategically about developing a skills development capability. And I'll give you an example. One of the largest tech companies in the world, Fortune 100 tech company this last quarter made a decision to pivot and really start investing in being a strength with a more outcome-driven approach.

  • And as a result of that, we replaced our largest competitor, and this is a [40,000-seat] deal and the reason that they chose us in terms of the platform was the breadth and depth of the content, the breadth of our platform, not just on the technical skills development side, but the business skills development side, and process the adoption they saw in their organization of our platform vis-a-vis our primary competitor. And we're seeing these types of examples manifest on a continuous basis. That being said, we're in the midst of 2 major transformations right now.

  • One is the skills-based organization transformation, which I just alluded to. And the other one is AI. This transformation to organizations really on the front end of determining how they're going to leverage generative AI to transform how they operate internally as well as into the products and services that they deliver. And these transformations take time, and we're seeing that. So in terms of the market being subdued, although we're seeing positive signs and have more examples like the ones I just shared with you, this transformation that we're going through in both endeavors.

  • It is on the front end of the cycle, and it's going to take some time. So that's what we're seeing, and we expect that to continue for a bit. I don't know necessarily when (inaudible) to turn back up. But we know that there's strong demand from what we provide for learning and development organization to have a strategic need for platforms like ours.

  • Stephen Sheldon - Analyst

  • That's helpful. And just a quick follow-up. I appreciate some early color on 2025. I didn't hear anything about (inaudible) growth expectations. So if you did I missed that -- is there any way to frame potential what growth range could look like for UV as we think about 2025?

  • Sarah Blanchard - Chief Financial Officer

  • Yes. So -- we really right now we're in the midst of our 2025 planning, but we do have to help align expectations around a few discrete headwinds that we have during the transition year, some of which really pertain to the UV side of things. In going through this restructuring to align our business to the current conditions and really focus on the strong opportunity that we see in enterprise, we have reduced our SMB capacity by about $20 million. And we do continue to see weakness in EMEA. And so the combination of those is going to cause multiple points of overall headwinds and overall growth on the revenue side and more impact on the UB side.

  • And then just to round it out, on the consumer side, we are expecting high single-digit decline conservatively, which is another 3 points of overall revenue headwind.

  • So just taking those 2 into consideration, that gives you some insight into how we're thinking about next year, which is a transition year as we're executing against this restructuring and getting those resources focused up market. But despite those headwinds, we're excited about where we are. We've done a lot of work that sets up -- sets us up to deliver the bottom line that we shared as $70 million in 2025 and a clear path to our 2026 target of $130 million to $150 million. So again, we're in the midst of planning, but that's how we're thinking about 2025.

  • Operator

  • And the next question comes from Josh Baer with Morgan Stanley.

  • Josh Baer - Analyst

  • I was hoping you could actually talk about the integration with Workday seems pretty interesting. Just wondering if it's similar to the typical integration with a learning platform? Or are there other elements of the partnership and then just also wondering like to get all the advantages of that? Do you have to be a Workday customer and a Udemy customer? Just any details on that would be pretty interesting.

  • Gregory Brown - President, Chief Executive Officer, Director

  • Josh. Good question. So yes, we're excited about the partnership and relationship we have with Workday as well as the new integration we just announced. And really what this is about is -- it maps our Udemy business content to the Workday Skills Cloud, and it's got a couple of unique advantages, and that enables learners to display the skills that they've developed within the platform within their environment. It also allows and provides admins the ability to view those employee skills that have been developed and actually that are in flight of being developed.

  • And so what they're excited about and we're equally excited about is it really promotes internal mobility. And that's something they care a lot about. That's one of the primary value propositions that they have and we jointly have.

  • So we work closely with Workday for some time, and this is just the next step in the evolution of our partnership. And do you need to be both a Udemy customer and a Workday customer to take advantage of the impact that I just mentioned? The answer is yes.

  • Josh Baer - Analyst

  • Okay. Got it. And like how do you -- how should we think about like Workday's initiatives or any learning management system or HCM vendor and like their focus on skills and like developing their own skills cloud like versus Udemy's efforts to map everything out. And like which one does the customer tend to adopt or like looking to use from the platform -- like the learning platform or the content provider? And like how should we think about the different approaches there?

  • Gregory Brown - President, Chief Executive Officer, Director

  • Yes. That's a good question as well. So our strategy has been and will continue to be to integrate with all of the LMSs, the LXPs the technologies that our customers use to deliver learning and provide a learning experience for their employees, right? So that's -- that's, I think, something that is very unique and a little bit different. We integrate actually even with some folks that we view as competitors because they've got their own LXPs,right?

  • So that's, I guess, point one. And then as far as -- what was the second -- I lost the second part of the question?

  • Josh Baer - Analyst

  • Just wondering like the end customer, if they're going to really lean into the learning management system like the platforms, skills offerings? Or are they going to look to the content like content provider for (inaudible)?

  • Gregory Brown - President, Chief Executive Officer, Director

  • Good question. It really is on a case-by-case basis, if, for instance, and Workday in that example, if they've got the ability within their product, the skills cloud to map skills to learn it. We integrate and then the customer can choose -- we'll help them strategically because with all of our partners, we engage with our customers jointly, we'll provide insight into the optimal approach based on the outcomes they're trying to achieve. For other platforms that don't have the capability to match skills to (inaudible)

  • we just agree. There's a number of folks out there that we work closely with in market, and we'll continue to do so.

  • Operator

  • The next question comes from Ryan MacDonald with Needham & Company.

  • Ryan MacDonald - Analyst

  • Greg, maybe first for you. You talked about having the benefits of having a new CRO in and sort of getting that motion going. Recognizing that these budgets obviously don't turn on a dime. But can you talk about maybe some of the processes that -- or new processes you've been putting in place as you've sort of focused upmarket on these larger customers? And then how quickly might you'll see that kind of filter through into the pipeline conversion as we're going into next year?

  • Gregory Brown - President, Chief Executive Officer, Director

  • Yes, that's a good question. Thank you, Ron. So Rob has been intently focused on developing sales capability across our sales organization and customer success to be very, very capable and strong as selling into the key verticals that we've highlighted that we have not lead boeing things down in that we have a leadership position and whether it be financial services, professional services, consulting and so on and so forth. And really, what that includes is account planning capability, sales enablement and everything that goes along with developing a high-functioning hyper-focused, hyper capable sales organization selling not just to these enterprises, but specifically to the buyers that we sell into, the Chief Learning Officers, Chief People officers as well as the technical buyers that we've historically been very strong and capable of selling into.

  • So, it's up-leveling the support and resources we're providing our sales organization. And in some cases, it's also up-leveling the sales organization itself, right, making sure we have the right talent and the right roles for us to be successful as we move forward. So a concerted effort there, love what we're seeing in terms of the impact Rob's having and expect that to really start to have an impact next year into, I would say the numbers and what we're going to be delivering, but more to come on that.

  • Ryan MacDonald - Analyst

  • Appreciate it. And maybe as a follow-up for Sarah. I appreciate all the context for 2025 and how we're starting to frame that up. When you think about Udemy Business in particular, can you just explain maybe a little bit more detail the environment you're sort of expecting relative to this year as you're starting to build out that framework? And maybe on the point of sort of EMEA weakness.

  • Is that just a continued elongation of sales cycles? Or are we seeing instances of heightened levels of churn in that region?

  • Sarah Blanchard - Chief Financial Officer

  • Yes. Thanks for the question. So we are expecting next year from an environmental perspective to be very similar to this year. Elongated sales cycles -- you asked about churn. Our gross seller retention remains -- has remained stable.

  • I think we've lost about 1.5 points over the last 6 quarters. So -- but the upselling, we expect it to continue to be pressured and the sales cycles to be longer. When we're thinking about UV growth overall, next year, there is going to be an impact because we reduced some of our go-to-market team, particularly around SMB #1.

  • And number two, there is some amount of movement happening even upmarket. As we've taken some of our star reps from SMB and moving them up market. So that is going to impact the numbers. But from a long-term perspective, we do think UV is going to be a double-digit grower. So it's just taking time to work through this transition year.

  • And then AI -- sorry, organizations are going to have to AI enable their workforces over time. It is going to take time, but we're setting ourselves up to be the player that they partner with us. So a bit of a transition year for next year, both on the UV side and some impact on consumer, but really excited about the long-term opportunity there.

  • Operator

  • And the next question comes from Terry Tillman with Truist.

  • Terry Tillman - Analyst

  • And Sarah, just kind of following up with a couple of prior questions. You talked about a couple of points of impact I think, to the business in '25. Was that for you? Because my simple math would be if it's 16% to 18% growth this year, then it's kind of like 14% to 16% growth next year, also understanding there's some headwinds. Is that the right way to think about UV initially?

  • And then I have a follow-up.

  • Sarah Blanchard - Chief Financial Officer

  • Yes. So the few points of headwind is across total growth, not just UV. So the UV impact is going to be larger.

  • Terry Tillman - Analyst

  • Okay. Okay. And then just a follow-up question on the CRO has been -- and maybe this is for Greg, but the CRO has been in the spot or the seat for 5 months. I think there was an earlier question or a couple of questions. And we're all curious in terms of what kind of impact they can have on the business.

  • But if you had to think about over the next 12 or so months, do you think dollar-wise, it would have more impact from you all just getting more out of your large customers? Or doing more with getting net new large customers?

  • Gregory Brown - President, Chief Executive Officer, Director

  • Yes. I think that's a fairly straightforward question from my standpoint, is getting more out of our existing customers. We talk in the past that we're less than 10% penetrated in our enterprise customers, enterprise being those customers over 1,000 employees, and we've got over 5,000 of them. So -- it really is about getting more efficient at selling through our existing customer base. And as I mentioned earlier, developing the capability to have strategic conversations with the Chief Heads of Learning and the Heads of people, with respect to how we can and should be the partner they're turning to, to develop that skills-based organization capability as they're making that transition to a skills-based approach.

  • And -- we see tremendous opportunity. Rob continues to signal back to us how encouraged he is based on the customer conversations he's having at the interest in us continuing to help them develop in the technical side of the house, but how massive the opportunity is on the business skill side.

  • And we're investing into that from a product capability as well. But nonetheless, that's where we're going to see the biggest the biggest impact is in our existing customer base, especially in those 5 verticals where we've already knocked down the lead Domino's. We already have a dominant position, and we're going to extend that.

  • Operator

  • The next question comes from Noah Herman with JPMorgan.

  • Noah Herman - Analyst

  • Can you just provide a little bit more color on the performance on a geographical basis. I think in your prepared remarks, you called out EMEA but then you also mentioned that you're making a few key hires in other regions as well. So it would be great to just get more color around what areas are performing well and where do you think there's room for improvement?

  • Sarah Blanchard - Chief Financial Officer

  • Yes. So as we did share the area that we are seeing the most kind of muted growth, if you will, is on the -- is in the EMEA region. We have higher growth coming from APAC and LATAM, and that's where we're building out some of the teams and hiring some of these key leaders to help us take advantage. There's massive opportunity across the globe. But because we're such a global business with 60% of our revenue outside of North America, different regions move differently.

  • And so what we're seeing right now is more strength from a growth perspective in APAC and LATAM.

  • Noah Herman - Analyst

  • Got it. And then maybe just quickly on the net dollar retention. Especially for the large customer cohort. Can you just maybe unpack a little bit of the dynamics going on there? I think there was a sequential decrease of 4 points, slight uptick versus last quarter.

  • Just anything you can maybe provide around seed growth, pricing? Any comments on that there would be helpful.

  • Sarah Blanchard - Chief Financial Officer

  • Yes. So we see continued lengthening or it's not worse, but the continued long sales cycles around upsells and smaller deal sizes out of the gate. And so what we're seeing is organizations are taking smaller bites at Apple at a time and taking longer. And what we're focused on is really supporting these customers, helping them implement and drive adoption, engagement and usage and drive those business outcomes. We know when we do that, we are able to increase retention, but it is just taking longer right now.

  • upskilling is such a critical need. It is accelerated by AI, but there is also the pressure of everybody really scrutinizing their budgets. And so it's the balance of that is what you're seeing in net dollar retention. But we remain focused on ensuring that our customers are getting value out of what we are delivering to them so that we can continue to drive growth in those accounts.

  • Operator

  • The next question comes from Yi Fu Lee with Cantor Fitzgerald.

  • Yi Fu Lee - Analyst

  • Congrats on the strong set of results in light of the tough macro environment. I guess a question for Greg or Sarah is following from the previous question on net retention rate, understood the macro environment is from me right now. But like considering the macro environment stays the same, what are the some of the drivers you could pull that can like -- I would say, start the bleeding and let me touch rate. And when do you think it will bottom? And then I have a quick follow-up as well.

  • Sarah Blanchard - Chief Financial Officer

  • Yes. So there's 2 things. The first, again, which I just spoke about is focusing on retention, delivering more value to our customers, such that we maintain a strong retention number and grow that over time. On the growth side, you heard Greg talking about we're really strong on the tech side. But what we've been building out is our capabilities around the business skills and the soft skills.

  • And so that's going to lead to more opportunity to expand over time. And so we're in a transition year. We've got some teams transitioning Q4, Q1, Q2. And as you focus upmarket, the sales cycles are longer, as you know, they're 9 to 12 months.

  • And so it's going to take some time to work through all of this. But our strategy of ensuring that we are creating the capabilities that are most important for enterprise customers and 4, especially within our key verticals. That is going to play itself out very well in the upcoming years.

  • Gregory Brown - President, Chief Executive Officer, Director

  • And I'll just add that. Look, I talked earlier about the AI products, AI assistant and skills mapping. Once we get our customer base, all 17,000 strong, enabled with these capabilities, we're already seeing as I mentioned earlier, strong signals of not only increased adoption, but active usage and engagement on the platform, right? And engagement will, without question, positively impact retention and provide more opportunity to upsell.

  • So really excited about these capabilities for that reason as well, right? And there's more coming, right, as we flow through the year. We're going to be developing more capabilities that are going to have a similar type impact. So look, we're encouraged, but we've got some work to do, and we'll continue to share those developments as they progress.

  • Yi Fu Lee - Analyst

  • Just for back, Aaron sorry, Greg said Sarah. And my follow-up question is about Eren Bali, the return of the CTO. I understand AI a hot topic right now. What are some of the other product road maps like you think he's going to look into beyond the AI hot topic right now?

  • Gregory Brown - President, Chief Executive Officer, Director

  • Yes. Thanks for the question. So first, I'll say, I couldn't be more excited to have Eren's back into the business. Eren's has been on the Board since he left his operating role years ago. And to have Eren come back with that founder, passion and and sense of commitment and optimism for what we can build and what he believes is going to be the next the next phase of growth and innovation from a product perspective.

  • It's just great to have Aaron in the building and in the company. With respect to our product road map, we're not prepared to go through a product road map capability specifically, but I can tell you by bringing the product development organizations together, it's going to enable us to move faster and more nimbly with respect to the innovation that we're going to bring to life and how we deliver that in a variety of form factors.

  • So -- and I know that's fairly general. Right now, it needs to be Eren's only been back in the business for a few weeks now. but we're moving fast and in upcoming announcements and calls, we'll be able to share more. But there's a lot of excitement in the business to have Eren back in the company.

  • Operator

  • The next question comes from Devin Au with KeyBanc.

  • Devin Au - Analyst

  • I wanted to focus on just the expansion piece within Udemy. Obviously, you've expanded your product portfolio quite a bit with -- now with capabilities. So I'm just kind of curious if you can provide more details on exactly what you have done or what you plan to do among your go-to-market to drive more expansion or product upsell moving forward?

  • Gregory Brown - President, Chief Executive Officer, Director

  • Yes, I mentioned a little bit earlier what Rob is focused on is enabling our organization now that we have a broader platform of capabilities to effectively engage with the senior leaders and organizations around the world and, let's just say, a more efficient high-impact way. And being able to share case studies. I'll give you another example. I mean, these are the types of stories and the types of case studies that really do change the conversation. We had this last quarter, we had a South African mining company, end up coming to our platform and choosing us for the breadth and depth of our content and what they saw in the first 6 months of deployment was a 10% increase in internal mobility, and they're able to immediately tie that to bottom line impact.

  • Right? It's being able to have those kind of conversations at the right level within organizations about how we can impact their ability to develop skills across the enterprise. Right?

  • Again, where historically, we've been primarily focused on the tech side of skills development. Now with the breadth of our platform, we can have a very different conversation than we had in the past, especially now that we have the AI capabilities obviously, online and rolling out. So it's -- again, it's about changing the narrative and changing the conversation and having it with the right level so we can actually start to see first-time deals sizes increase, right? We see those expansions expand to, as I mentioned earlier, that organization, 40,000 seats. [Versus] historically, our motion has been more land and then small expansions over a period of time.

  • We believe now that with the breadth of our platform, we can go to land or initially, we can close those big deals upfront for organizations that are looking to be strategic about skills development.

  • So we now have the platform not to be able to actually have that conversation in the first dialogue with an organization, whereas in the past, it wasn't quite there yet.

  • Devin Au - Analyst

  • Appreciate the additional color here, Greg. Just one quick follow-up. Looking at the sequential net add and Udemy customers. It seems like that has stepped down a bit this quarter. Could you just unpack that a little bit?

  • Is the step down there, mainly just driven by some of the strategic reallocation of resources from SMB to large enterprise? Or could that be macro driven? Any color there would be helpful.

  • Sarah Blanchard - Chief Financial Officer

  • Yes, it's a great question. And the majority of that was definitely the SMB impact where we pulled back on those resources. So we did expect to see a step down in the number of net adds from a logo perspective. And going forward, what you'll expect is that will moderate over time. As we are focused upmarket, and so we will have less net customer adds in total over time with less SMB sellers out there.

  • Operator

  • This concludes our question-and-answer session. I would like to turn the conference back over to Greg Brown for any closing remarks.

  • Gregory Brown - President, Chief Executive Officer, Director

  • Yes, I'd just like to thank you all for joining today, and we look forward to updating you all again on our Q4 call in February. Take care.

  • Operator

  • The conference has now concluded. Thank you for attending today's presentation. You may now disconnect.