Under Armour Inc (UA) 2014 Q3 法說會逐字稿

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  • Operator

  • Good day, ladies and gentlemen, and welcome to the Under Armour, Inc.

  • third-quarter earnings webcast and conference call.

  • (Operator Instructions)

  • As a reminder today's conference is being recorded.

  • I would now like to turn the conference over to Mr. Tom Shaw, Director of Investor Relations.

  • Sir, you may begin.

  • Tom Shaw - Director of IR

  • Thanks and good morning to everyone joining us for today's third-quarter conference call.

  • During the course of this call we'll be making projections or other forward-looking statements regarding future events or the future financial performance of the Company.

  • We will wish to caution that such statements are subject to risk and uncertainties that could cause actual events or results to differ materially.

  • These risks and uncertainties are described in our press release and in the risk factors section of our filings with the SEC.

  • The Company assumes no obligation to update forward-looking statements to reflect events or circumstances after the date on which the statement is made or to reflect the occurrence of unanticipated events.

  • Joining us on today's call will be Kevin Plank, Chairman and CEO, followed by Brad Dickerson, our Chief Financial Officer, who will discuss the Company's financial performance for the third quarter, provide an update to our 2014 outlook, and introduce our preliminary 2015 outlook.

  • After the prepared remarks Kevin and Brad will be available for a Q&A session that will end at approximately 9:30 AM.

  • Finally, a replay of this teleconference will be available at our website at approximately 11 AM Eastern Time today.

  • And with that, I'll turn it over to Kevin Plank.

  • Kevin Plank - Chairman & CEO

  • Thanks, Tom, and good morning, everyone.

  • On our last earnings call in July I spoke to the diversity of Under Armour: the diversity in having our revenues spread more evenly across product categories and geographies; the diversity in whom our brand is now reaching; and the diversity in how we reach both our existing and new consumers across the globe.

  • With revenues up 30%, Q3 marks our fourth consecutive quarter of total revenue growth of 30% or higher, and our 18th consecutive quarter with revenue growth in excess of 20%.

  • This consistent outperformance speaks to the continued strength of the athletic cycle that we have significantly helped drive over the past few years.

  • But more importantly, it illustrates the Under Armour brand's ability to thrive beyond our core North American apparel business and help feed our diversification.

  • The best evidence of that is in the performance of our footwear and international businesses over the first nine months of 2014.

  • We've detailed how we've continually invested in both of these growth drivers over the past few years, building the infrastructure needed to grow and adding talent to supplement the team.

  • So let me provide some detail that confirms the return on the investments we've made in these two key growth drivers.

  • Let's begin with footwear.

  • As we cited in our release earlier this morning, our footwear business grew 50% in Q3, while our international business was up 94%.

  • In terms of the contribution to the overall revenue growth, footwear and international have added nearly $200 million to our growth through the first nine months of this year and together accounted for 35% of our total growth year to date.

  • What's more encouraging than the actual numbers is the strength of the platforms we are building in these businesses that will lay the foundation for sustainable growth in 2015 and beyond.

  • Let me talk first about our growth globally and the investments we are making in all corners of the globe.

  • To reinforce our focus on building that global organization, I am dialing into this call today from our office in Hong Kong on one of five stops I'm making throughout Asia as part of our continued focus on bringing the Under Armour brand to that global audience.

  • Whether it's business to our newest retail doors in Chengdu, China, Tokyo, and Singapore, or conversations with potential partners about next-generation technology, visiting these markets reinforces the opportunity that we have to grow the Under Armour brand.

  • Ensuring we bring the right balance of Under Armour culture and international experience to our global leadership team has been a major focus for me over the past 24 months.

  • We've done a great job of using our own team to build and establish the Under Armour culture in any market we do business in, especially Europe and China.

  • We believe this process enables us to appropriately establish the Under Armour culture outside the US, then transition in a level of industry experience that will help accelerate our growth in these critical markets.

  • So first in Europe, where we began doing business back in 2006, our business faced challenges reaching scale.

  • So we placed Matt Shearer, who is our running our business in Canada, in market and he has help stabilize and get our brand and business headed in the right direction.

  • We are making great progress in key markets in Europe, and we will surpass $100 million in revenue for the first time this year.

  • With this stability in place, we were able to recently recruit industry vet Chris Bate, who brings significant on-the-ground expertise to our team in Europe, while Matt will continue to offer his leadership with the business back here North America.

  • And while the markets of China and Europe could not be more distinct, our strategy of balancing Under Armour culture and industry experience is consistent in these two geographies.

  • In China, Kevin Eskridge, who originally helped drive our successful outdoor business in the United States, has done a tremendous job overseeing the growth of our brand and retail presence in China.

  • Our plan is for 2015 to bring Kevin and his experience in running our China business back to Baltimore where he can then influence our global perspective.

  • As we transition homegrown talent like Kevin back to the US, we are bringing in Eric Haskell, who comes to UA with a strong sporting goods track record in Asia, especially China.

  • Seeing how well our brand is being presented in these fast-growing markets outside the US and knowing we are staying true to the culture of who we are as a brand, gives me great confidence that we are building the foundation for a much larger version of what you see from us today.

  • But to do so, we need to continually attract talent that brings experience and dimension to the organization.

  • What I've learned in building Under Armour is that there is no substitution for grade A people, and that bringing fresh yet experienced talent into the Under Armour brand is what will continue to drive our growth and goal of being the number one athletic brand in the world.

  • I mentioned our new leadership in Europe and China.

  • But beyond that, we've just added Kerry Chandler as our Chief Human Resources Officer, who brings 20-plus years of global experience from places like Christie's International, the NBA, and ESPN.

  • In her role Kerry will help us continue to attract and develop our top talent.

  • Additionally, at the board level Karen Katz, the CEO of Neiman Marcus Group, has joined our Board of Directors.

  • We look forward to Karen's perspective and experience as we continue to navigate our path in both global and omni-channel retail.

  • So I'm incredibly excited about the terrific new additions to our team, and very proud of the efforts that our current stable has made to help create what we've built to date.

  • So turning to footwear, we saw our third consecutive quarter of 30% plus revenue growth, and expect to finish the year with a business over $400 million.

  • We continue to gain traction in the large categories of running and basketball.

  • And much like where we stand in our international growth curve, we are just getting started in footwear.

  • With the great reaction to our Speedform launch earlier this year, we are broadening the platform significantly in 2015.

  • Next spring we will see the launch of the Speedform Gemini, with charge cushioning at $130 retail, and Speedform Vent at $100 retail that features a super lightweight and breathable material in the upper that was originally developed for our apparel line.

  • We are taking the Speedform technology developed for a single shoe into a broader platform that will enable us to reach a broader range of consumers and gain share on the shoe wall as well.

  • In basketball, where we entered the business just four years ago, we are seeing double-digit sell-throughs, with the $130 ClutchFit Drive Stephen Curry wore during the FIBA Basketball World Cup.

  • Stephen will transition into his first signature shoe later this season, but you'll see us start to work the ClutchFit technology across our basketball assets, whether it's college programs like Notre Dame, St.

  • John's, or Maryland, and also over in China with the newest member of the Under Armour basketball team, Emmanuel Mudiay, who will be playing in the Chinese Basketball Association this season, and most likely the NBA starting the next.

  • I love talking about our successes in footwear, given the steep learning curve we know exists in the business.

  • We are successfully making that transition from a company learning how to make great shoes into a truly disruptive voice in the global footwear market.

  • We did it last year with the Highlight Cleat for football, and came back this season selling almost 50% more at a retail price $20 higher than last year.

  • With the mission of being number one in every footwear category where we compete, we know we have a lot of work ahead as we surpassed $400 million this year.

  • We ultimately believe footwear should be as big, if not bigger than our apparel business, and our momentum is helping attract the talent and develop the team that will help make that statement a reality.

  • So we talked in our last call about the growth potential we have in the women's category and the opportunity to reach a new consumer.

  • We focused our second brand holiday this year starting in late July on women's, and we realized within a day or two after the launch of the Misty Copeland commercial, that we had a game-changing campaign on our hands.

  • The I WILL WHAT I WANT campaign, initially with Misty and later on with Gisele Bundchen, immediately struck a chord with women, with the two commercials generating over 13 million views across YouTube and Under Armour sites.

  • It was difficult to turn on a TV or open a magazine in the United States without seeing the overwhelmingly positive coverage of the campaign.

  • The campaign also gained traction outside the US with Misty's appearance in Paris and Gisele driving interest in her home country of Brazil.

  • The campaign drove tremendous traffic to our eCommerce site, primarily women, 70% of which were new consumers to Under Armour.

  • These consumers engaged with our brand and more than 350,000 of them downloaded the brand new I WILL WHAT I WANT app, our first effort into bringing the MapMyFitness technology into our brand communications.

  • And while the reaction of the campaign was rewarding, more importantly it struck a chord with women, resonating with her beyond the field, the pitch, or the court.

  • The success of the I WILL WHAT I WANT campaign positions us extremely well as we continue to build out the product and distribution to expand our reach from the female athlete to the athletic female.

  • But even as we expand the reach of our brand to new consumers and geographies, we remain extremely focused on the continued development of our North American wholesale business.

  • Under Armour is a brand built in America, no question.

  • We will reach the $3 billion mark this year and still have more than 90% of our revenues coming from the United States.

  • Our core apparel business, the majority of which is sold through our wholesale partners, grew more than 20% for the 20th consecutive quarter.

  • That's five years of consistent growth.

  • So we clearly understand the value of protecting and growing that asset.

  • And to that end, we are focused on continuing that growth streak by being better partners with our wholesale accounts in 2015.

  • For Under Armour that has and always and will start with product.

  • Whether it's introducing our best base layer ever next spring, appropriately named Armour, or a more focused training assortment, or even expanding our lifestyle offerings, we will continue to bring innovation and relevance to these categories in exciting ways in 2015, as well as improve our speed to market.

  • Beyond these steps, we are also laser focused on improving our merchandising expertise, specifically as it relates to our wholesale partners.

  • We've seen the benefit of this effort within our own direct consumer and international channels.

  • And we will enable our North American wholesale partners, including Dick's Sporting Goods, Academy Sports, Sports Authority, Hibbett Sports, Cabela's, Foot Locker, and the Finish Line, as well as all of our key wholesale partners around the globe to present distinct points of view on Under Armour within all their doors.

  • It was almost a year ago that we announced our acquisition of MapMyFitness.

  • And the changes in the landscape in the connected fitness space have been significant, with new entrants, new platforms, and new technologies getting a lot of the press.

  • Since the acquisition we've focused our energy on two areas: building the user base by making our platform the most accessible and productive in the space, and better understanding what consumers want and need in this next generation of connected fitness.

  • On the first piece, we have grown our global connected fitness community from 20 million at the time of the acquisition, to more than 30 million users today.

  • That means we are averaging upwards of 30,000 people a day, with that number surging on peak days to over 50,000 joining the site.

  • And with the progress we've had adding a languages and product enhancement, our goal is to have over 100 million users in the next several years.

  • These numbers clearly illustrate the opportunity digital provides Under Armour to reach our consumer in a fitness focused environment.

  • What's truly compelling to us is what that platform provides in terms of helping our users proactively manage their own health and fitness.

  • We understand the opportunity is massive, and we will share our point of view on how UA plans to drive thought leadership to the entire connected fitness category starting in early 2015 at CES in Las Vegas.

  • So to wrap it up, I want to talk about UA reaching the $3 billion mark this year and what that means for us going forward.

  • Are we proud of the 30% CAGR, both top and bottom line, that we've delivered since going public nine years ago?

  • No question.

  • But milestones just leave us thinking about what's coming and how we need to organize to become an even bigger and stronger brand.

  • We believe that our brand is so much greater than the $3 billion we are projecting this year.

  • Our international business will still be less than 10% of our total revenues for 2014 and we foresee a day where it is at least half our business.

  • Footwear will be less than [15%] of the business in 2014, and we can envision it can be larger than our apparel business someday.

  • Our women's business, which is over $500 million today, is still less than half the size of our men's business, and we still believe it should be as big or bigger than our men's category.

  • The opportunity and appetite around the world for Under Armour is abundant as I'm seeing first-hand on this trip.

  • And we understand that great execution will be critical to our path of becoming the number one athletic brand in the world.

  • We will not stop investing in the talent, the infrastructure, the innovation, or the product that will enable us to achieve that goal.

  • We are very proud of our performance; however we are just getting started.

  • And with that, I'll turn it over to Brad.

  • Brad Dickerson - CFO

  • Thanks, Kevin.

  • I would now like to spend some time discussing our third-quarter 2014 financial results, followed by our updated outlook for 2014 and our preliminary thoughts on 2015.

  • Our net revenues for the third quarter of 2014 increased 30% to $938 million.

  • Similar to last quarter, we saw tremendous traction during the third quarter in areas such as direct to consumer, international, and footwear.

  • Looking at the details for the third quarter, we grew the apparel category 26% to $705 million, compared to $561 million in the prior year's quarter.

  • This marks the 20th consecutive quarter of at least 20% year-over-year growth for our largest product category.

  • One of the keys to our apparel growth in recent quarters comes from our ability to develop platform innovations and expand the reach of these innovations across product categories.

  • This has driven sustained growth in our two large platforms launched in 2011, Charged Cotton and Storm.

  • And it is evident in ColdGear Infrared, which was launched just last year and has expanded within apparel to areas like golf and running.

  • Within apparel, our men's business was led by continued strength in golf and outdoor.

  • In women's we saw solid gains in studio, sports bras, and outdoor.

  • And in youth we experienced broad-based strength across both training and sports-specific categories.

  • Third quarter footwear net revenues increased 50% to $122 million from $81 million in the prior year, representing approximately 13% of net revenues for the period.

  • Expanded running silhouettes were the primary growth drivers we continued our focus on more balanced price points across our sporting goods distribution, while also beginning to broaden offerings across our Speedform platform, while off a small base we also experienced strong growth in our basketball business during the quarter led by the new ClutchFit Drive.

  • Our accessories net revenues during the third quarter increased 32% to $85 million from $64 million last year.

  • Growth during the quarter was primarily driven by headwear offerings and gloves.

  • Our direct to consumer net revenues increased 35% for the quarter, representing approximately 26% of net revenues.

  • Square footage in our North America factory house channel grew 18% year over year.

  • This growth reflects a total of 122 factory house stores at the end of the quarter, up 9% from the third quarter of 2013, as well as the upsizing of some existing locations.

  • On the full price side we remained at five brand house stores in North America.

  • We continue to see strong momentum in our eCommerce channel, where we are driving strong traffic gains through efforts such our I WILL WHAT I WANT women's campaign.

  • During the quarter we also updated our domestic UA.com platform to better optimize the mobile experience, while also launching new local sites in the UK, Germany, and France.

  • International net revenues increased 94% to $86 million in the third quarter and represented 9% of total net revenues.

  • In Europe our strong results throughout the year have been driven by a combination of higher brand awareness and a more focused in-country strategy around our three key markets of the UK, Germany, and France.

  • In Asia Pacific we continued to build both wholesale distributor relationships, including accelerated partner store openings throughout greater China and Southeast Asia.

  • Finally in Latin America our business benefited from the conversion of our Mexico distributor to an Under Armour subsidiary at the beginning of 2014, as well as our recent market entries into Brazil and Chile.

  • Moving on to margins, third quarter gross margins expanded approximately 120 basis points to 49.6%, compared with 48.4% in the prior year's quarter.

  • Three primary factors contributed to this performance during the quarter.

  • First, we lapped higher US import duties from the year-ago period, contributing approximately 90 basis points for the quarter.

  • Second, we experienced a favorable sales mix during the period, primarily driven by a more profitable product mix across our factory house channel, contributing approximately 70 basis points for the quarter.

  • Finally, liquidations negatively impacted gross margins by approximately 40 basis points driven by the shift in footwear liquidations into the third quarter that we highlighted on our last call.

  • Selling, general and administrative expenses as a percentage of net revenues deleveraged 230 basis points to 34% in the third quarter of 2014, from 31.7% in the prior year's period.

  • Specific details around our four SG&A buckets are as follows: first, marketing cost increased to 10.6% of net revenues for the quarter from 10.3% in the prior-year period, primarily driven by higher year-over-year sports marketing sponsorships across our international businesses.

  • Second, selling costs increased to 8.9% of net revenues for the quarter from 8.1% in the prior-year period, primarily driven by higher variable costs tied to the growth in our North America direct to consumer business, as well as increased investments to support our global retail store strategies.

  • Third, product innovation and supply-chain costs increased to 8.5% of net revenues for the quarter from 7.3% in the prior-year period, primarily driven by higher product innovation costs, including our connected fitness efforts as well as higher personnel costs in footwear and international.

  • Finally, corporate services held steady year-over-year at 6% of net revenues.

  • Operating income for the third quarter increased 21% to $146 million, compared with $121 million in the prior-year period.

  • Operating margin contracted 110 basis points during the quarter to 15.6%, compared to 16.7% in the prior-year period.

  • Interest and other expense for the third quarter increased to $5 million, compared with $1 million in the prior-year period primarily reflecting the negative impact of foreign currency.

  • Our third quarter tax rate of 36.9% was favorable at the 39.4% rate last year, primarily driven by lower year-over-year losses across international markets in aggregate.

  • Our third-quarter net income increased to 22% to $89 million compared to $73 million in the prior-year period.

  • Diluted earnings per share increased 21% to $0.41 compared to $0.34 in the prior-year period.

  • On the balance sheet total cash and cash equivalents for the quarter increased 34% to $249 million, compared with $186 million at September 30, 2013.

  • Long-term debt increased to $192 million from $54 million at September 30, 2013.

  • Inventory increased 28% year-over-year to $637 million, compared to $497 million at September 30, 2013, below our net revenue growth rate for the period.

  • Our investment and capital expenditures was approximately $26 million for the third quarter compared with $23 million in the prior-year period.

  • We continue to plan 2014 capital expenditures of approximately $150 million, primarily driven by incremental investments to support our direct to consumer and international businesses, further develop and expand our global office footprint, and increase capacity at our distribution centers.

  • Now moving onto our updated outlook for 2014, based on current visibility, we expect 2014 revenues of approximately $3.03 billion, representing growth of 30%, and 2014 operating income of approximately $348 million, representing growth of 31%.

  • Both expected growth rates are outpacing the long-term growth rates laid out at our investor day in June 2013.

  • The low operating results we continue to anticipate moderately higher interest expense in 2014, primarily reflecting the $150 million term loan close in May.

  • We expect a full-year effective tax rate of approximately 40% ahead of last year's 37.8% rate given investments to support our international expansion and the inclusion of a state tax credit in 2013.

  • Given these updated full-year parameters, there are several factors to consider for the fourth quarter.

  • First on net revenues, we continue to take a more balanced approach in planning the business around weather expectations for the fourth quarter as compared to last year, especially in our direct to consumer business, which represented approximately 40% of our total business during the fourth quarter last year.

  • Our gross margin rate is expected to decline approximately 100 basis points year-over-year, given the higher mix impact of our international business, which is more weighted toward lower margin distributor businesses during the period, and also reflecting some currency headwinds given the strength in the US dollar.

  • As we have mentioned, our approach to planning our fourth-quarter business also factors into the gross margin outlook for the period.

  • In SG&A we continue to expect significant leverage during the fourth quarter, particularly in corporate services, given prior-year higher incentive compensation expenses and MapMyFitness deal-related costs.

  • As we have previously indicated we remain opportunistic in investing incremental dollars during the fourth quarter in the event of more favorable than planned net revenues or gross margin rate.

  • Finally, on the balance sheet we continue to expect inventory growth will remain relatively in line with net revenue growth during the fourth quarter.

  • Before we turn it over for Q&A, we would also like to provide you with our preliminary outlook or 2015.

  • Based on our current visibility we are planning 2015 net revenues and operating income to each grow approximately 22% in the range of our long-term growth rates established at our 2013 investor day.

  • Based on these numbers we wanted to outline several preliminary factors to consider for 2015.

  • First, similar to 2014, the net revenue growth rate for each of our international, direct to consumer, and footwear businesses is planned to outpace the growth rate of our overall business.

  • Second, within the operating income line we are planning for gross margin gains relatively consistent with 2014, balanced with SG&A investments to support both near and long-term global growth opportunities, including international, retail, and connected fitness.

  • Finally, we expect elevated capital expenditures during the year.

  • On top of a normalized capital expenditures growth rate we plan to invest approximately $90 million more in two key projects to support our future growth; a new Southeast distribution center in North America, and the expansion of our corporate headquarters in Baltimore.

  • We will provide further color on 2015 during our earnings call in January.

  • We would now like to open the call for your questions.

  • We ask that you limit your questions to two per person so we can get to as many of you as possible.

  • Operator?

  • Operator

  • Thank you.

  • (Operator Instructions)

  • And our first question comes from the line of Robbie Ohmes of Bank of America Merrill Lynch.

  • Your line is now open.

  • Robbie Ohmes - Analyst

  • Good morning, guys.

  • Brad Dickerson - CFO

  • Good morning.

  • Kevin Plank - Chairman & CEO

  • Hey, Robbie.

  • Robbie Ohmes - Analyst

  • Hey, Kevin.

  • Kevin, I actually just have one question.

  • I was hoping -- you guys touched I think even more than ever on international, and you mentioned being in Hong Kong and everything.

  • Could you just lay out for us which markets are the greatest focus for Under Armour right now, and, say, over the next three years?

  • Is it China that's the biggest opportunity?

  • Or is it still LatAm?

  • Or is Europe coming on stronger?

  • And could you move beyond those three key European markets you mentioned?

  • Maybe if you could just give us a big picture how we should be thinking about international for Under Armour over the next three years?

  • Kevin Plank - Chairman & CEO

  • Yes, great.

  • So let me take a minute and actually go a little bit deeper here.

  • And I think it's that important and obviously wanted to make the statement with -- I was actually trying to balance my travel schedule with this call, and then just thinking it's part of what we're doing as a company.

  • So we might as well just embrace the office that we've had for a number of years.

  • So I think there's three real components, the first of which is leadership.

  • Since bringing Charlie Maurath on the team he's really done a terrific job, I think, driving for Under Armour.

  • Number one, laying out our strategy with, most importantly, the ability to implement behind it.

  • But also just as importantly is building out our team.

  • As we mentioned in my script, I spoke about the addition of Chris Bate, who's now in full control and running our European business.

  • And again, with the trajectory there, that business is heading over $100 million, very important for us.

  • Our new Head of China, Erick Haskell who actually going to start for us probably around the second quarter of 2015, with the transition that will take place in China.

  • But again, bringing in an industry pro with over 20 years experience that can really hit the ground running for us and building off of the momentum that was built by Kevin, there, prior to his landing.

  • And then thirdly, the addition of a guy named Fernando Pina, who joins us again with 20-year experience in growing and building out a European fleet of stores as well within our industry.

  • So we're really bringing in, I think, the talent together.

  • And ending with Fernando, I think is a good way just to talk about the stores that we have coming up.

  • So let me give you some perspective.

  • We've got roughly -- by the end of 2014 we will have roughly 80 global brand house stores.

  • And you may be thinking about what it looks like in SoHo in New York City, with 14,000 square feet, but globally it's a bit of a different story.

  • Our stores can range anywhere from 1,000 to call it 6,000 square feet.

  • Of course, without ruling out larger flagship opportunities; with the culture of Under Armour, that would be profitable and make money, but things that can be more statement retail.

  • Where we are today is building out a philosophy.

  • Because the majority of those stores -- the 80 stores we'll have outside the United States -- the majority of them actually will be in greater China.

  • So to give you a little perspective on that, as we think about just my trip -- and let me just tell you where I've been through Asia so far.

  • Going into Tokyo and seeing really the flagship stores we have in Shibuya Station and Harajuku as well.

  • I just left -- we were in Chengdu and we built, we've got two stores there existing, and then we're opening up a third store, a 3,300 square-foot store at a new mall called Taikoo Li that surrounds the Daci Temple, a 1,500-year-old Buddhist temple.

  • And the store we have there, I think, is really the statement and really the prototype of what we expect to take our mentality looking around Asia and frankly around the world.

  • In Hong Kong earlier today we visited our new store in Causeway Bay, as well as looked at a few new locations.

  • Then tomorrow we're heading to Singapore to take a look at what we have happening there.

  • So the combination of the 80 stores that we have of our brand houses are -- the majority of them are partner-owned stores.

  • Some are through our licensed partner like Dome, about nine of those; and we've got about a dozen or so that are Under Armour brand-owned stores.

  • We've got stores existing today in Mexico City, Panama City.

  • The Philippines, I spoke about on the last call, and the energy there where we sold our first unit by opening our first store in the Philippines and that 700 people waiting in line.

  • And frankly, the trajectory that we're seeing in Singapore is right in line with that as well.

  • So the momentum for Under Armour is great.

  • As we look at what we have in 2014, we look out to 2015 we see getting in our first 19 years in business to the first 80 stores, we'll add over 100 stores outside of North America in 2015.

  • That'll help us cover the 62 countries that we're currently doing business in today.

  • So we have great momentum, and frankly, what that means in a lot of instances, not unlike I used that Philippine example, but we're using this to help build our brand awareness with the store openings.

  • You know a lot of the global assets we have, like Tottenham, Colo-Colo, Cruz Azul, Toluca, the Welsh Rugby Union, et cetera.

  • And we'll continue to add assets at that level.

  • But we remain committed to our discipline of 11% of our marketing is at 11% number from our revenues.

  • However we are over-investing to the tune of 15% to 16% when we think about our international spend.

  • So we expect to -- we think it's enough money; we think it's the right model; we think we're doing it the right way.

  • This is obviously, this is not a one- or three- or five-year plan.

  • This is a 10- and 20-year plan that we have really on that trajectory to be the number one global brand in the world.

  • So I like our progress and I like where we are, and frankly being in the middle of one of these trips it gets me incredibly excited about the opportunity that is to come.

  • Robbie Ohmes - Analyst

  • Kevin, that sounds great.

  • A group of us are going to be visiting that Causeway Bay store in a few weeks.

  • So thanks a lot.

  • Kevin Plank - Chairman & CEO

  • Great.

  • Thank you, Robbie.

  • Operator

  • Thank you.

  • And our next question comes from the line of Eric Tracy of Janney Capital Markets.

  • Your line is now open.

  • Eric Tracy - Analyst

  • Thanks, guys.

  • Good morning and nice quarter.

  • Kevin, if I could for you just to follow-up on international, maybe a little bit switching gears to footwear.

  • It seems to be inflecting really nicely here; you finally got permission from both retailers and the consumer to grow that business.

  • Talk me through -- do you feel like you've got the supply chain, the infrastructure in place to really scale materially here?

  • Are there still significant investments that need to be made?

  • And then maybe talk a little bit more just about the pipeline refresh as we look into 2015.

  • You mentioned some of the Speedform, but maybe highlight some other things that we should be thinking about.

  • Kevin Plank - Chairman & CEO

  • Sure.

  • Well first of all, we're 10 years in making footwear.

  • We're eight years having sold footwear.

  • And when you look at -- I mean, just take that long road.

  • So, like everything, it begins with leadership.

  • So my original partner in the business, Kip Fulks, who's been driving footwear for us and doing an excellent job.

  • And as we say that, we've been adding talent literally across the organization.

  • One of the highlights we announced most recently was Fritz Taylor joining our organization, heading up running for us.

  • So we're continuing to build there and frankly we are.

  • The goal is not for Kip to be running footwear two years from now, and [wear reports in the org], but we are in the market and looking for that global head of footwear.

  • But the good news is that we've got great leadership in place today that's running and doing a great job for us.

  • That's an open call as we continue to look and let the world know that we are out looking for that next head.

  • Secondly, is from a product standpoint.

  • We began in 2006 with football cleats, and the one thing I like to remind people is that 2006 was football cleats, 2007 baseball, 2008 was training, 2009 running, and 2010 was basketball.

  • And it's taken us really eight years to get to the leadership position I believe that we're seeing in cleated, and we anticipate in time we'll reach that leadership position in every category we're doing business.

  • But as we sit here I mentioned the Highlight cleat, the $130 Highlight cleat.

  • That in 2013 was a $110 shoe for us; this year was $130 cleat.

  • And so now not only was it the number one football cleat from the market the season, but it was the number six shoe overall for back-to-school according to our good friend Matt Powell.

  • So we believe that when we have time and we're in market and you ask about supply chain -- and those are all the right things, because the lead times are so long, the supply chain is so long, it just takes time to be excellent.

  • And so we feel very confident that we've met that bar that we set for ourselves in cleated, and frankly we're marching that down in other categories.

  • Secondly I'll speak about running.

  • We've been in running, as I mentioned, just since 2009; and we're incredibly proud of the groundbreaking product that we brought in 2014.

  • And as we saw with the Highlight cleat, that we really brought out around Cam Newton, what we're bring with the $130 Speedform Gemini is a product that we think really has a chance to be a beautiful product for us, too; that this is the product of not an individual athlete but really a product for the true hard-core runner.

  • And the platform that we launch with Speedform is something that we think we can build on.

  • And so that $100 Speedform Vent that I mentioned in my script is something that is going to be really exciting, with colors.

  • And again, the upper is something that is taken right from the heritage of our apparel expertise.

  • And then coming back with the Speedform Gemini, which is actually the official shoe of my trip through Asia, and one of the most comfortable shoes I've ever put on my foot.

  • So we believe that running is something where we can win, but you know, frankly, we also look at it and say, as we add a new technology once a year, we think over the long haul we're really going to pay dividends for ourselves.

  • Basketball is another area.

  • Speaking of top athletes, Stephen Curry, who is our marquee as it relates to basketball, has been playing in the $130 ClutchFit Drive for us.

  • And the special exclusive product that we've made for Stephen as well as having a signature shoe coming out for him at the end of this year, are things that demonstrate for us that, with the right athlete, with the right product that we can absolutely win there.

  • And I think the market has been looking for someone else that can compete or contend, and I think the Under Armour brand is definitely the one that can do it.

  • Lastly from a product category standpoint is our youth business.

  • Our youth business is absolutely on fire.

  • Year to date, we're the number two youth shoe in all of sporting goods.

  • And, frankly, we're doubling down our investment.

  • We've done this really with limited resources and haven't really put as much effort behind it as the momentum and the success has really called for.

  • So what you're going to see is renewed investment and that's why -- what's exciting, I think, is seeing the 50% growth number that we achieved this quarter in footwear.

  • And frankly, just bringing up to my last question, the long-term investment we made in international at 94% growth.

  • When we make these long-term investments and we're behind them and we demonstrate that continuity of leadership and vision, I think the results really speak for themselves.

  • Thirdly, from a distribution standpoint in footwear, we've got terrific partners in sporting goods.

  • And frankly, you're going to see our partners continue to get more innovative with the way that they're trying to present our products, both from a cleated standpoint as well as running, as well as basketball, and, frankly, training.

  • We're going to be testing some new footwear concepts in some of our key partners, and there's more to come on that.

  • As well as we also look at the terrific partners that we have in the multi-channel.

  • And frankly, we're looking for a business as good as our relationships are with the likes of Foot Locker and Finish Line.

  • So 2015 is going to be a great come-out year for us in footwear.

  • We're excited get behind the Speedform platform in year two as we really start to hype up that product and really get it rolling, as well as doubling down on what we see in basketball, youth, cleated, and across the board.

  • So lastly if I just may make a side note to it, is just from a facilities standpoint.

  • We've got a new footwear building opening up in Baltimore in the spring of 2015, as well as expanding our office in Portland is something else we'll do.

  • So reiterating that fact that we believe that footwear has the ability to be as big or bigger than apparel is something that really, I think, underscores the message and the confidence and frankly, the opportunity that exists in our channels of distribution.

  • Eric Tracy - Analyst

  • Perfect.

  • I'll let someone else hop on.

  • Thanks and best of luck.

  • Kevin Plank - Chairman & CEO

  • Thanks very much.

  • Operator

  • Thank you.

  • And our next question comes from the line of Erinn Murphy of Piper Jaffray.

  • Your line is now open.

  • Erinn Murphy - Analyst

  • Great.

  • Thank you, good morning and congratulations.

  • Kevin Plank - Chairman & CEO

  • Thank you

  • Erinn Murphy - Analyst

  • I would love it if you could just speak a little bit more about the women's opportunity.

  • I mean you've obviously had some great campaigns this fall.

  • Any further detail, first, from a near-term perspective?

  • What was the women's apparel growth rate in the quarter?

  • And then, as we think about it longer term, how are you thinking really about the distribution matrix for women's?

  • Are there new wholesale opportunities you can kind of think about on the horizon that will really maybe perhaps over index to the more female shopper?

  • Thank you.

  • Kevin Plank - Chairman & CEO

  • Yet.

  • Thank you, Erinn, great question.

  • And obviously something top of mind with us coming off of the campaign we just went through.

  • So first and foremost it's really become the topic of the day is getting behind this huge athletic trend that's going on.

  • And frankly, we've been positioning ourselves here to lead that market momentum.

  • In fact we see ourselves as one of the ones really driving that momentum.

  • We've been making women's product since 2003 that we don't get a tremendous amount of credit for.

  • But it really is a testament to the team that we've built, putting a $500 million core business together that in the past had really spoke to -- we've been speaking on these calls about going from both that athletic women and women who are athletes, that they have evolving needs and are going to play a huge part in creating beautiful product, performance product for each and every one of them.

  • The Holiday, too, that we launched was something that I think really spoke and ignited an awareness and conversation with our whole I WILL WHAT I WANT campaign, to the point where we're not just making the calls anymore, but the calls are really coming in from us from a distribution standpoint for instance.

  • I'll speak more on that in just a moment.

  • It was obviously our one of our largest campaigns.

  • It was only one of three brand holidays we do for the year.

  • And committing that, frankly, in back-to-school /football season was something I think probably took a lot of people by surprise.

  • But I think it really underscored the commitment that we have and the belief that we have in our ability to be successful in this category.

  • As I mention always, it comes down to leadership, and Leanne Fremar continues to drive for us and be a creative force for Under Armour.

  • So we're -- incredibly important to stand behind Leanne.

  • And frankly, as I mention the word force is that the role that we're going to play is a long-term force in women's as a whole.

  • We've seen tremendous success basically coming off the campaign.

  • Misty Copeland, as I think everyone would agree, is an absolute inspiration to anybody who saw it, but more importantly, the reality behind that story that is Misty's life.

  • And then frankly dimensionalizing that by responding with adding Gisele to the roster is something which is really a bit of a pinch me moment I think also for the brand of just demonstrating the breadth that we have -- of telling that story and speaking to not only the traditional athlete, but someone who's committed to living an active and healthy life, and that speaks to so many people, again underscoring that message of not only the female athlete but moving toward the athletic female.

  • We've seen, again, coming off of the campaign tremendous success with the product that we featured, particularly through our direct-to-consumer channels.

  • But we also saw that in our own accounts.

  • I'd like to end the women's part of this discussion today really about distribution.

  • You know we mentioned the female athlete -- and frankly, we think that we have from a distribution standpoint covered incredibly well where she shops.

  • One thing I will say about our current distribution is that they are hyper-aware of this trend that's happening also.

  • And you can see in many of our sporting goods partners, our key sporting goods partners, that they are working to make enhancements within their own shop displays and layouts as well as to be more compelling and more appealing in a more intimate sort of shop experience than I think sporting goods is given credit.

  • So we're very proud from a distribution standpoint of the strides that our existing distribution is going to make.

  • But frankly, we're also looking for places where we can reach and we can speak and we can have a conversation with that female consumer in a way that is appropriate in where she's used to shopping.

  • So we're looking for appropriate doors where women shop today that, frankly, look a lot like our New York City brand house with a full display of the women's product line.

  • So I think we've been incredibly proud of what we've put up, but I think to underscore the one message that says is that we believe that our women's business has every right and ability to be as large as our men's business.

  • And so we've got a long way to go and we're going to keep working toward that.

  • Brad Dickerson - CFO

  • And Erinn, this is Brad, just to add onto the growth rate youth question you asked.

  • All the categories in apparel grew at a really healthy rate in the quarter.

  • So we don't really break out the different genders and so forth.

  • Obviously apparel grew 26% in the quarter, and again all men's, women's, and youth were very strong.

  • It's been pretty consistent over the last few quarters.

  • Youth kind of leads the way from a growth rate perspective, and that's been consistent here in Q3.

  • But men's and women's were also very strong.

  • Erinn Murphy - Analyst

  • Great.

  • Thank you guys, and I'll let someone else ask a question.

  • Appreciate it.

  • Kevin Plank - Chairman & CEO

  • Thanks, Erinn.

  • Operator

  • Thank you.

  • And our next question comes from the line of Omar Saad of ISI Group.

  • Your line is now open.

  • Omar Saad - Analyst

  • Great.

  • Thanks, good morning, guys.

  • Or good evening to you guys in Asia.

  • Wanted to ask a question about the apparel business.

  • Maybe there's a little bit slower growth than we expected, although still a great number.

  • And we heard you, Kevin, in your prepared remarks talk about -- sounded like some incremental focus on the wholesale channel next year.

  • Can you talk about, give us some more color around that?

  • What's going on in that business?

  • Changes going on there where you think the opportunities are?

  • Are there areas where you think you can improve in the wholesale apparel piece?

  • Thanks.

  • Kevin Plank - Chairman & CEO

  • Thanks Omar.

  • That's a good lead-in, but let me begin with, first of all we're not going to apologize 26% growth in our apparel revenues and marking our 20th consecutive quarter of 20% plus revenue growth in apparel.

  • So, like anything, there's ebbs and flows in any business, but I think we're incredibly proud of the number and what our team has put forth.

  • At the same time, though, I think it speaks to the overall environment that's happening out there, the trends that you're seeing, particularly in some of the specialty retail shops in general, where it's not an easy marketplace.

  • And while we're hesitant to quote or comment about the broader market, we absolutely consider ourselves expert in talking about what we're seeing.

  • So I mentioned in my last comment about this huge athletic trend and the fact that we are a driving force within that trend.

  • We're seeing a lot of good things down the market, but frankly, to your point there's plenty of places where we can do better.

  • Women's is a great place for us to start.

  • On the heels of that second brand holiday featuring Misty and then Gisele, we still have ample opportunities to be hyper-focused on delivering the best product to our wholesale partners and wherever she shops.

  • Today I think we're proud of that incredible marketing story we put out there, and I think it sets the bar for the level that our product team needs to deliver as well.

  • And we recognize we've got good competitors in this space, and this is not a one-horse race by any stretch.

  • So we've got to earn it each and every day.

  • And I think what you'll see from us is continuing to tell incredibly compelling marketing stories that resonate with women in a deep way, but also having product that supports that as well.

  • So you'll see, I think, renewed vigor and adjustments and modifications that we'll be making within our line and some of our key distribution channels now as well as some of the channels we'll be going toward.

  • But what that commercial did really, Omar, it really inspired us to make better product, and I think you'll see, that are more compelling, more timely, and things we're doing with that, like shortening lead times and being more proactive from a style standpoint are things that are very important to us.

  • If I went down the list of a few places where I think we can get better and moving even beyond apparel, but footwear for instance, we posted 50% growth but frankly, we look at that number and we say we think we can be much better.

  • We have tremendous opportunity not only within our, as I mentioned before, our key wholesale channels and partners, but even bigger opportunities with our mall partners like Finish Line and Foot Locker.

  • And when we look at things like the international growth numbers, 94% growth, it shows that our brand translates.

  • But we still have some pretty significant on-time delivery issues.

  • And so as good as a lot of the numbers are, we recognize that we can be better and there's more efficiency that can come.

  • But we do see merchandising, building out our merchandising function is a new initiative that we have in the Company as well.

  • And I think one thing that definitely is certain is that our strong short quarter shows that when we invest in initiatives or growth drivers, good things happen, i.e., footwear and international.

  • So we're going to end this year above the $3 billion mark.

  • And while we're incredibly proud of that accomplishment, I think it goes without saying that we are just getting started and see ample runway within not only our existing doors, but we also see the new opportunities for growth drivers for many, many years to come.

  • So work to come, but there's a lot of great innovation.

  • I think that's one thing that is certain, is that there is an effect that is happening out there with companies that innovate and companies that are trusted brands.

  • And companies that innovate that don't know how to communicate with the consumer are probably going to be lost.

  • And companies that communicate with the consumer but don't know how to innovate, they, too, will probably be lost.

  • So we see ourselves as really at the vortex of those two things and we'll continue to execute on that floor within all of our product categories.

  • Omar Saad - Analyst

  • Thanks.

  • Can I ask a quick follow-up on the DTC channel plans?

  • How the new brand houses are doing?

  • And plans maybe to open new stores over the next few quarters?

  • Kevin Plank - Chairman & CEO

  • I went through it in depth, I think, from a global basis, but we've made the announcement of our upcoming flagship in Chicago, and I think you'll see a couple more here in the United States.

  • But again, one thing I didn't mention is that the most recent store that we're actually opening this week is actually our own lab store in Baltimore.

  • Our sales meeting is coming up in 10 days and we're bringing in all of our partners from all over the globe.

  • And really, to have the ability to start standardizing our processes.

  • I mean that's one thing where -- continuity is a very important word in business and I think that we're finally really getting to the ability to find stride with the businesses that we build, and building that continuity, and building an expectation that there's a consistent message in the store, there's consistent merchandising in store.

  • We went through periods where we were launching our product for international markets six months, a year behind we were launching it here in the states.

  • So same thing with marketing.

  • So getting to being a truly global company is something very important.

  • And we talk about new retail stores that we do here.

  • Frankly, it really -- we're not looking to cannibalize any of the great partners we have here in the states.

  • But where we don't have great opportunities for distribution partners outside the US, it really allows us to galvanize our team here and articulate a point of view of how we expect to show up everywhere consistently around the globe.

  • So we'll continue to do that more and more and get better and better at it.

  • Omar Saad - Analyst

  • Thanks.

  • Very helpful, Kevin.

  • Kevin Plank - Chairman & CEO

  • Thanks a lot, Omar.

  • Operator

  • Thank you.

  • And our next question comes from the line of Michael Binetti of UBS.

  • Your line is now open.

  • Michael Binetti - Analyst

  • Hey, great.

  • First off, guys, congrats on the $3 billion revenue goal post.

  • That's a great achievement.

  • Kevin Plank - Chairman & CEO

  • Thank you.

  • Michael Binetti - Analyst

  • If I reflect back on the Analyst Day last year, you pointed to 12% operating margins over three years as a target with -- and laid out a lot of the investment opportunities ahead.

  • The guidance for 2015 implies the margins will be flat next year.

  • That seems to imply that the margins will begin to expand pretty rapidly after 2015.

  • Can we just talk for minute about your longer-term thinking on those targets, given the updates you helped us with today?

  • Brad Dickerson - CFO

  • Yes, Michael.

  • Our June 13 Investor Day guidance really was a dollar amount.

  • So we were looking at a $4 billion revenue guidance and a $480 million operating income guidance.

  • Obviously that implies a 12% operating margin, but I think the more important number was the operating income number.

  • And that's really the way we've been talking about our business over the last couple of years.

  • And obviously, as we're guiding [too] is that we're really focused on making the right investments to continue to sustain this great top-line growth late going forward.

  • And we're less focused on the operating margin percentages.

  • We are making sure that we're having a good healthy growth rate in operating income dollars.

  • So that's something we want to point out, is that the Investor Day guidance really was a dollar number, not necessarily a rate that a lot of people are implying.

  • So if we look forward, again, guidance was a flat operating margin.

  • It's a consistent theory, same story of we have to make sure that we balance the desire for us to continue to grow our top and bottom lines, but also balance that with the investments we need to sustain our growth.

  • So there's things like international, connected fitness, and retail that we're talking about continuing to invest more in, it's important for us to continue to sustain that growth through those investments.

  • We've also talked about, if results come in better than we planned either the fourth quarter of this year or in 2015, that we'll be opportunistic in areas of SG&A and look to invest more to either give us more confidence in our near-term growth or help us in longer-term growth potentially also.

  • So I would be less focused on the operating margin percentage than the growth rate.

  • Obviously, the growth rate and operating income is a much bigger percentage for us than the operating margin percentage, and that's what we're focused on.

  • Michael Binetti - Analyst

  • And if I could just ask one quick follow-up.

  • Brad, could you clarify that for 2015 you're thinking the gross margins -- will they be flat year over year or the gross margin improvement will be similar to 2014?

  • And then if you could just talk about some of the push and pull on that number for the next year?

  • We've heard some competitors talk about input costs and material costs lower.

  • You've got a number of pricing and mix initiatives, but a lot of noise around the business mix with the structures internationally.

  • Maybe just a few of the broad brush strokes that we can think about for the model next year?

  • Brad Dickerson - CFO

  • Sure.

  • So this is a little tough when you're at this time of year, because we're guiding to five quarters out, basically, right now.

  • We have some good visibility to the front half of the year.

  • We still have a lot of work to do in gaining visibility the back half of the year.

  • But in general we think is the full-year gross margin rate for 2015 will improve over 2014, similar to the improvement we're sitting in 2014 over 2013.

  • At a very high level, the puts and takes of gross margin, similar story.

  • I think that what you're hearing is that there's going to be definitely some favorability just in general margins overall through our supply chain efforts, through whatever help there might be out there in input costs.

  • But we'll also have some things working against us.

  • FX has been starting to work against us a little bit here as we move to the back half of the year and we expect that might work against us a little bit next year, too.

  • Although not a huge factor in working against us, it definitely is a factor relative to our size of our business overseas.

  • We also have the international business, which will continue to grow at a healthy rate next year.

  • And again, a lot of that being distributor-type businesses, comes at a little bit of a less gross margin than the wholesale business.

  • So that will have a little bit of a negative impact, too.

  • Those are probably the big broad-based strokes, but again that overall improvement in 2015 should look similar to the improvement you've see year-over-year in 2014.

  • Michael Binetti - Analyst

  • Thanks a lot.

  • Tom Shaw - Director of IR

  • Operator, we have time for one more question.

  • Operator

  • Thank you.

  • Our final question comes from the line of Sam Poser of Sterne Agee.

  • Your line is now open.

  • Sam Poser - Analyst

  • Good morning.

  • Thank you for taking my question.

  • I just have a couple questions about 2015.

  • Given what I would expect to be the continued growth in your international business -- accelerated growth there -- how do you view that 22% from -- as North America versus international?

  • And how should we think about the tax rate next year?

  • Brad Dickerson - CFO

  • Sam, on the growth rate, a couple things to consider here.

  • And again going back to my comment from Michael's question on, we're guiding out five quarters here.

  • So as we get further out in that guidance the visibility is still a little tougher.

  • But when you look at the growth rate of 22% next year, a couple things to take into consideration on the international piece: obviously we're still going to have a very healthy growth rate next year.

  • But comparing that growth rate to 2014's growth rate, you have to take into account the fact that we launched a lot of markets this year in 2014, some distributors in places like Hong Kong, Taiwan, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore, along with bringing our Mexico distributor in-house to a wholly-owned subsidiary.

  • And obviously also launching markets like Brazil and Chile.

  • So we'll be obviously comparing against those launches in 2015 versus 2014; but to your point, we are absolutely planning it to be a very healthy growth rate in international, just not quite the growth rate of 2014.

  • The other piece, I think, to take into consideration, I would say, is probably more the North America DTC business.

  • A little bit of the wholesale business, too, but more the DTC business.

  • And again, this goes back to the fact that a very important data point for us in Q4 2015, especially in our DTC business, is how we do in Q4 2014.

  • And we're not through the quarter yet this year.

  • So we talked about our approach to how we're planning 2014 fourth quarter relative to coming off of the weather, health last year, and the supply chain improvements last year also.

  • So when we look at that let's see how we get through the fourth quarter of this year, get to the January earnings call.

  • That will be a really big important data point that'll help us determine how we think Q4 2015 looks.

  • So I think those are the two areas that, if you ask what are probably the biggest questions around what's changing in your growth model in 2015, those would be the two areas I'd point to the most.

  • And they'd also probably be the two areas I'd point to relative to if things can work in our favor, could you see upside?

  • Those would be the areas that I would expect if we did see upside, we'd probably see them in those two areas, more or less.

  • Sam Poser - Analyst

  • Are you considering to stick with the 40% tax rate?

  • Or would be a little bit less just because the international business is going to grow, outpace the growth of the US business?

  • Brad Dickerson - CFO

  • Yes, you're right.

  • I think what you'll start to see as we move forward here is some of these international markets in places like Europe and in China we expect to be closer to breakeven as we get into 2015.

  • We'll still be having some losses in some of the newer markets like Latin America, but the benefit of starting to get towards profitability and achieve profitability in these markets will help our tax rate, absolutely so.

  • We're still, again, trying to roll up the numbers for next year, but the anticipation would be, because of that international business and improving on the bottom line the international business, that you would expect the tax rate to come down.

  • Don't have the exact number yet, but you should expect it to come down to 40%.

  • Sam Poser - Analyst

  • Thank you very much and continued success.

  • Brad Dickerson - CFO

  • Thanks.

  • Tom Shaw - Director of IR

  • All right, thanks everyone for joining us on our call today.

  • We look forward to reporting to you our fourth-quarter 2014 results, which tentatively have been scheduled for Thursday, January 29, at 8:30 AM Eastern Time.

  • Thanks again; goodbye.

  • Operator

  • Ladies and gentlemen, thank you for participating in today's conference.

  • This does conclude the program and you may all disconnect.

  • Have a great day, everyone.