意法半導體 (STM) 2015 Q3 法說會逐字稿

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  • Operator

  • Ladies and gentlemen, good morning.

  • Welcome to the STMicroelectronics third-quarter 2015 earnings result conference call and live webcast.

  • (Operator Instructions).

  • I would like to remind you that all participants will be in listen-only mode and the conference is being recorded.

  • (Operator Instructions).

  • The conference must not be recorded for publication or broadcast.

  • At this time, it's my pleasure to hand over to Mr. Tait Sorensen, Group Vice President, Investor Relations.

  • Please go ahead, sir.

  • Tait Sorensen - Group VP, IR

  • Thank you for everyone for joining our third-quarter 2015 financial results conference call.

  • Hosting the call today is Carlo Bozotti, ST's President and Chief Executive Officer.

  • Joining Carlo on the call today are Jean-Marc Chery, Chief Operating Officer; Carlo Ferro, Chief Financial Officer; Georges Penalver, Chief Strategy Officer; and Carmelo Papa, Executive Vice President and General Manager of the Industrial Power and Discrete Group.

  • This call can be accessed through ST's website.

  • A replay will be available shortly after the conclusion of this call.

  • This call will included forward-looking statements that involve risk factors that could cause ST's results to differ materially from management's expectations and plans.

  • We encourage you to review the Safe Harbor Statement contained in the press release that was issued with the results this morning and also in ST's most recent regulatory filings for a full description of these risk factors.

  • Also, to ensure all participants have an opportunity to ask questions during the Q&A session, please limit yourself to one question and a brief follow-up.

  • And now I'd like to turn the call over to Carlo Bozotti, ST's President and CEO.

  • Carlo?

  • Carlo Bozotti - President and CEO

  • Thank you, Tait, and thank you for joining us on our third-quarter earnings conference call.

  • As usual, we will start with the financial and business review of the quarter and then of our two product segments in detail.

  • We will then share with you our view of the microenvironment as we see it today and our fourth-quarter outlook.

  • Also, we will update you on DPG.

  • So let's begin.

  • Our third-quarter results have brought sequential improvement in gross margin, operating margin, earnings per share and free cash flow.

  • On the other hand, on the top line we saw limited sequential growth.

  • Revenues totaled $1.76b, increasing 0.3% on a sequential basis.

  • Three of our five product groups delivered sequential revenue growth.

  • Our microcontroller group was the strongest performer, with sales growth of 6.1%.

  • Automotive product group sales increased 1.9%, and digital product group sales increased by $23m.

  • In total, however, sequential revenue results came in at the low end of our outlook range due to two principal factors.

  • First, as we moved through the quarter market conditions softened, affecting our industrial and power discrete and the automotive group in particular.

  • Second, due to a specific manufacturing issue with the sub-contractor, microphone sales were delayed.

  • And we are now gradually resuming shipments.

  • On a year-over-year basis, net revenues decreased 6.5% or 3.8% excluding negative currency effects and revenues from mobile legacy products.

  • Distribution channel sales represented 33% of total revenues in the third quarter.

  • The mixed distribution results by region highlight the different macro influences.

  • Our point of sales or sales to the final customers decreased slightly on a sequential basis and was flat compared to the year-ago period.

  • Sequentially, EMEA grew high-single-digit, Japan and Korea and the Americas were flat, while Greater China declined about 5%.

  • On a year-over-year basis, the Americas posted the strongest results, with double-digit growth, while Greater China was the weakest, declining 5%.

  • On a sequential basis, gross margin expanded 100 basis points to 34.8% in the third quarter.

  • The drivers were favorable currency effects, net of hedging, manufacturing efficiencies and lower unused capacity charges.

  • Expenses totaled $549m in the third quarter, well in line with our expectations.

  • The sequential decrease reflected the usual Q3 seasonality, favorable currency effects, net of hedging, and the savings from the 2014 EPS savings plan that was completed in July and whose effect is already largely visible in our Q3 2015 financial performance.

  • Moving to operating margin before impairment and restructuring charges, where in the third quarter we had a substantial sequential increase, up 390 basis points to 5.8%.

  • Both the SP&A and EPS segments contributed to this improvement.

  • However, both segments benefited from the usual favorable seasonality in operating expenses and lower unused capacity charges in the third quarter.

  • Income tax included a one-time income of $14m related to the settlement of a local tax assessment.

  • Our net income totaled $90m in the third quarter, more than doubling from the second quarter.

  • Also, our free cash flow increased to $85m in the third quarter and was $179m for the first nine months of this year, a solid progression on a year-over-year basis compared to the negative $11m recorded in the first nine months of 2014.

  • Now let's discuss our two product segments.

  • In SP&A, net revenues totaled $1.12b, representing a decrease of 3.6% on a sequential basis.

  • Despite this decrease, SP&A's operating margin improved to 9.2% from 6.6% in the second quarter, benefiting from favorable currency effects, net of hedging, lower operating expenses due to seasonality, as well as manufacturing efficiencies.

  • Moving to our product groups, let's start with industrial and power discrete.

  • IPD's net revenues totaled $437m, decreasing sequentially by 2.5%.

  • This was due to distribution softness which impacted discrete and power transistor products.

  • While in the short term IPD results reflect softer GDP trends, we continue to strengthen our portfolio and are improving margins.

  • Let me share some example of our progress and reasons for confidence in IPD.

  • In power conversion, we gained a number of design wins.

  • For example, for digital controllers in digital power supply applications from several Asian manufacturers and for high-voltage IGBTs for an induction heating applications with a leading manufacturer.

  • In industrial and home appliance automations, we announced 650-volt IGBTs that increase energy efficiency of HVAC motor drives, uninterruptable power supplies and solar power converters.

  • In portable applications, we secured sockets for AMOLED converters for Samsung Galaxy smartphones and earned a key win with a display power management solution for the tablet platform.

  • Also, we maintained a growth of protection products within the smartphones, laptops, tablets and Internet of Things applications of numerous industry leaders.

  • In our fourth focus area, energy management, we captured design wins for on-board chargers in electrical vehicles from leading manufactures with our silicon carbide, silicon MOSFET and silicon-controlled rectifier products.

  • We also launched industry first automotive high-side drivers with galvanic isolation, ideal for vehicles with stop-start technology.

  • Moving to analog, MEMS and sensors, net revenues were $233m in the third quarter.

  • Sales came in $40m lower than the second quarter due to weaker results in distribution and due to a manufacturing issue at a subcontractor, which affected our sales of microphones.

  • During the quarter, we continued to push our diversification strategy, both by expanding our portfolio with existing customers and by working with new customers.

  • In low-power connectivity, we started volume shipments of our next-generation Bluetooth low-energy solution for our automotive telematics services in China and for wearable devices from a leading activity monitoring company.

  • In MEMS micro-mirrors we shipped to multiple computer manufacturers after having being chosen at the beginning of the year by Intel.

  • Our automotive sensor business continued to make good progress, capturing a design win at a major automotive Tier 1, with a high-g accelerometer for airbag applications in China and expanding the airbag electronics kit offering with automotive central airbag crash sensors.

  • Within smartphones, we had large volume shipments of Fingertip, Pressure Sensors, the 6-axis ultra-low-power MEMS accelerometer and gyroscope for the latest flagship model of Samsung Galaxy smartphones.

  • We announced that the flagship OnePlus 2 smartphone in China is using an ST gyroscope for optimal image stabilizations.

  • And we entered with our low-noise gyroscope into a market-leading tablet.

  • And finally, in microphones, we expanded our presence with a top global brand, starting to ship high-end digital microphones for their new TV remote controller.

  • Turning to our automotive group, APG, net revenues in the quarter were $447m, increasing 1.9%.

  • The sequential growth was lower than we had anticipated and was due to a slowdown in consumer spending in China, which affected semiconductor sales more globally and automotive in particular.

  • On the other hand, our microcontrollers dedicated to automotive and our processors for ADAS systems recorded good performance.

  • At the same time, during the quarter we continued to leverage the strength of our broad-based portfolio to win strategic business.

  • For example, in the third quarter we made progress in radar-based ADAS applications, winning the next-generation platform at 24 gigahertz for a global leading.

  • In automotive microcontrollers, we continue to see growth as our design win pipeline is increasing and progressively entering production.

  • For example, we started shipments of a 32-bit power architecture technology microcontroller for the power conversion unit in a hybrid vehicle.

  • We also received an award from a major tier one, Chinese tier one for a chipset that includes smart power activators, analog signal processing and a 32-bit microcontroller.

  • In car infotainment, we began ramping production of our Accordo car-radio-processor family for OEM and aftermarket applications with leading Chinese and Japanese car infotainment makers.

  • We also received a major additional award with a leading Korean infotainment manufacturer for this family.

  • Moving now to our EPS product segment, revenues total $642m, increasing 7.8% on a sequential basis.

  • EPS operating margin was breakeven in the third quarter, which is a quarter seasonally characterized by lower expenses.

  • MMS posted record profitability, while DPG continued to post substantial losses.

  • That is why we remain steadfast in our goal to fix the losses of DPG and to move this group to a sustainable and improved level of performance over time.

  • Digital product group revenues totaled $230m, an increase of $22m -- $23m on a sequential basis, driven by imaging.

  • In our specialized imaging business, we continue to expand our Time-of-Flight photonic sensors business in Asia, with now more than 20 phone models available from several leading Asian smartphone manufacturer.

  • MMS performed very well, growing 6.1% sequentially and 9.1% year over year to $412m.

  • Additionally, it was another record-high billing quarter thanks to the STM32 microcontroller family.

  • In fact in our general-purpose microcontroller business we reached the milestone of more than 1b STM32 microcontrollers shipped since the first product launch.

  • During the third quarter we further expanded the developer support around our highly successful STM32 family, with a mass-market launch and associated release of the ultra-low-power STM32L4 ecosystem, including development tools, software, training and online support.

  • At the same time, we started to ramp the L4 for a wearable band at a major OEM.

  • In addition, we began production of the STM32F0 and F4 microcontrollers for several consumer drones for a major Asian OEM, and captured an F0 design win at a major Japanese consumer OEM.

  • In our secure microcontroller family, we qualified and certified our latest contact secure MCU for banking, ID, and pay-TV smartcards.

  • We supported a major pay-TV smartcard rollout for the China digital TV market, and we join Entrust Datacard's Card Validation program for the STPay EMV smart-card solutions.

  • Now let me conclude with our fourth-quarter outlook and update on DPG.

  • While market conditions were mixed entering the third quarter, we saw progressive deterioration as we moved through the quarter and during the months of October so far.

  • Lower consumer spending in China is impacting the dynamics of the distribution channel in the region and the industry more globally, as I said before, particularly in automotive.

  • We see this possibly continuing through the next couple of quarters.

  • As a result, we adjusted down our manufacturing plan for the fourth quarter.

  • We expect revenues to decrease sequentially by about 6% at the mid-point and our gross margin to decrease to about 33.5% at the mid-point.

  • We are estimating a negative impact of the fab under-loading of about 2% -- 2 percentage points, more than offsetting the underlying improvement in our gross margin, including favorable currency effects.

  • Finally, with respect to fixing the losses in our digital product group, we are making progress in narrowing the options and we have the objective to announce a final decision in early 2016.

  • Our goals are clear, fix DPG and continue to excel in the most promising areas where we see in the industry and where we are already winning, such as the smart driving experience and the Internet of Things.

  • We are investing and building our market presence in product areas where we can be leaders and where we see sustainable opportunities for profitable participation.

  • My colleagues and I would now be happy to take your questions.

  • Thank you.

  • Operator

  • (Operator Instructions).

  • Sandeep Deshpande, JPMorgan.

  • Sandeep Deshpande - Analyst

  • Hello.

  • Thanks for letting me on.

  • My question is regarding your guidance.

  • You're guiding to 6% sales decline in the fourth quarter.

  • Given the sales decline and the result on the gross margin decline associated with the under-loading of your facilities, you're likely to be going back into an operating loss into the fourth quarter.

  • Given how the semiconductor industry has evolved over the last few years, we've seen that most companies in periods when things are soft but not terrible, as they were in the major down-cycles, have been able to keep remaining profitable through the cycle.

  • How does ST intend to be able to remain profitable through the cycle and not go into these losses when there are small gyrations in the sales?

  • That's my first question.

  • And my second question is regarding the sales guidance itself.

  • You've indicated weakness in automobile.

  • Is there any -- do you think that ST's exposure is slightly different from the US peers because many of the US peers haven't guided as weak in terms of guidance as ST has.

  • Thanks.

  • Carlo Bozotti - President and CEO

  • Well, maybe I start from the second one.

  • I think it is probably not completely accurate, the fact that our US peer -- there are many of our major peers giving a fourth quarter minus 11%, minus 10%, minus 17%, minus 3%, minus 6%.

  • So there are several that have.

  • So I think we are broadly aligned also with our US peers.

  • I'm just reading the reports of many of our competitors.

  • Here we are ranging from minus 13% to -- so I think we are broadly aligned.

  • I do not see any material difference here.

  • I think it is certainly a significant decline.

  • 6% is a significant decline.

  • We also look at the Q3 market share number for the market that we serve.

  • That is about $140b market.

  • We are very close to the level of market share, basically aligned to the level of market share that we had in Q3 last year.

  • This is just looking at the WSTS figures.

  • Now if you come to the first part of your question, I believe that certainly we are not at the level we want to be.

  • I believe that our ambition in Q4 is certainly not to be in losses, but to provide some profit.

  • Unfortunately small and significantly lower than what we expected, but a small profit.

  • This is certainly a significant improvement if we look at our situation today with the situation that we had a couple of years ago, when in a market decline like this we would have certainly incurred a significant, let's say, loss.

  • So the visibility is for some a small level of profitability in Q4.

  • And I think if we look at the product portfolio, we see, despite the market decline, there are four product groups that are altogether highly profitable in Q4.

  • And we, as we said, we need to fix the problem of DPG, and this is -- that we have in the Company at the very moment.

  • And I can repeat what I just said.

  • We expect now to move on.

  • We have been working a lot on this program and we expect to come to a final conclusion and make an announcement in the first couple of months of 2016.

  • Sandeep Deshpande - Analyst

  • Thanks, Carlo.

  • Can I actually ask clarification?

  • So do you mean -- because when we look at your OpEx, if you take the gross margin guidance and your sales guidance it indicates a loss.

  • So are you saying that you're going to cut OpEx significantly in the fourth quarter to be profitable in the fourth quarter, because that would be different from my calculation?

  • Carlo Bozotti - President and CEO

  • Yes.

  • We certainly go in detail now, Sandeep, and Carlo will comment.

  • Carlo Ferro - CFO, EVP Finance, Legal, Infrastructure and Services

  • Yes.

  • Good morning, everyone, and goodnight if any from USA.

  • So I guess we should start from the question from operating expenses that could help you modelling on the fourth quarter.

  • At the end, we had an excellent quarter on OpEx in Q3, with gross spending of $549m, net of operating expenses $511m.

  • These we said in July would not have been fully stable because of the vacation impact on the quarter.

  • However, entering the fourth quarter, we see some increase due to the calendar, due to the vacation and the seasonality.

  • We see some further benefit to come from currency.

  • We see operating expenses similarly or even slightly higher than the one that we have reported in the third quarter.

  • So at the end, the net operating expense, net of other income and expenses, are anticipated at the very low end of our range of $550m/$600m.

  • So below the level -- higher than the level of the third quarter, but below the level of the second quarter 2015.

  • And then you see on this basis that embedding on the model with the revenues and gross margin at mid-point, it remains a small operating profit.

  • It is smaller, but we definitely will be target it to remain with the positive side, at the mid-point of revenues obviously.

  • Tait Sorensen - Group VP, IR

  • Thank you, Sandeep.

  • Next question, Moira.

  • Operator

  • David Mulholland, UBS.

  • David Mulholland - Analyst

  • Hi.

  • Thanks for taking the question.

  • I think just firstly, there's been a lot of commentary and speculation in the press around M&A in the sector.

  • I wonder if you could just give us your comments on your appetite internally to potentially be a participant in that.

  • And secondly, just on DPG, could you give us some -- I know you've mentioned you'll come back in January/February, but could you possibly comment on what scope you're considering for that?

  • And secondly, what's taking the time in terms of being able to communicate that versus the commentary you'd given at Q2, that we might have had more information at this call today?

  • Carlo Bozotti - President and CEO

  • Yes.

  • No, I of course -- maybe I start on the second one.

  • When we met in July we said that we would give an interim update in the months of October.

  • We have been working on this program of course and we have narrowed our options and of course it would be absolutely not appropriate to describe the options that we have.

  • And we are determined to go through.

  • Clearly we need to have a solution that is giving a material advantage, but I can certainly not describe the options and the details of what we are doing.

  • If we go in -- if we are now moving back to the first part of your question on the M&A, I think today our priority is two.

  • One is from the level that we have, is growth, because we have now basically no more sales from the ST-Ericsson legacy products.

  • This is gone, it's over, so we are now at the bottom and Q4 is zero.

  • So we want to restart from this level and starting growing again.

  • Q4 is particularly weak because there is no more ST-Ericsson legacy products and of course there is the very difficult market.

  • So this is our first priority.

  • And the other one is what I just said, is the resolution of the problem of DPG.

  • So these are the two most important priorities.

  • And M&A is something of course that may be of interest for the Company of ST.

  • I think it's certainly not on the table today.

  • I also want to mention the fact that there were rumors and we do not currently plan to make any offer for [Fanshaw].

  • I want to mention this because there were several rumors on the market.

  • So we do not have any current plan at this time to make an offer for [Fanshaw].

  • David Mulholland - Analyst

  • That's great.

  • Thanks very much, Carlo.

  • Carlo Bozotti - President and CEO

  • Thank you.

  • Tait Sorensen - Group VP, IR

  • Thank you.

  • Moira, next question.

  • Operator

  • Jerome Ramel, Exane BNP Paribas.

  • Carlo Bozotti - President and CEO

  • Jerome, are you there?

  • Jerome Ramel - Analyst

  • Yes.

  • Can you hear me?

  • Carlo Bozotti - President and CEO

  • Yes.

  • Jerome Ramel - Analyst

  • Okay.

  • Yes.

  • So good morning.

  • Yes.

  • The first question is, you say that potentially the weakness of the market you are seeing could last for a couple of quarters.

  • Most of your peers say that they believe inventory correction should be cleaned up by the end of Q4.

  • So I just wanted to understand why you are maybe more cautious entering in 2016 than most of your peers.

  • And second question, on the microphone MEMS/analog, the revenues is down roughly $40m quarter on quarter.

  • If I look at the ASP for microphone, it's about $0.20, so even if you are mainly microphone for phone, I've got a hard time to reconcile the revenue drop on a quarterly basis just due to microphone.

  • Thank you.

  • Carlo Bozotti - President and CEO

  • Well, I will start from this one here.

  • I can certainly not comment on the ASP, but maybe you are -- yes, I think I should stop here of course.

  • Sales are always volume by ASP and I believe there is a degree of non-accuracy.

  • On the market, I hope that our competitors are right.

  • Of course, first of all, we all know what is the situation in China.

  • And recently, for instance, in the domestic product, recently, very, very recently, in the last week or so, we saw some resurrection of at least the local cars in China, which of course is something.

  • But when we give this kind of statement we normally report also the feeling of our customers and I can certainly say that if you look at all our distribution customers in Greater China and South Asia region, they are very, very prudent.

  • They are very, very prudent.

  • And I believe that in Q4 there is a major correction of inventory.

  • There is no doubt about that.

  • I think the visibility that we have and is coming, certainly from our customers, is that this may go on also during the course of Q1.

  • The other element is the impact of the Chinese market on the more global economy.

  • And here the concern is the impact on, particularly on European car makers, and of course here ultimately the tier one in this business who are our customers.

  • We have seen a decline starting from the month of August in this area with also material cancellations related to the Chinese market, just reporting of course what we know from our customers.

  • And this is very much related to the import of luxury cars in China.

  • So there are areas that are better, certainly.

  • For instance, what we have seen in terms of point of sales of our distribution in both America and in Europe in Q3 was pretty good.

  • So, anyhow, what we wrote and what I wrote ultimately in my address before is basically reflecting the visibility that we have from our customers, it is just a short-term market correction impacting Q4, with a recovery already in Q1.

  • We will certainly be in the condition to participate to the recovery.

  • Jerome Ramel - Analyst

  • Thank you.

  • Tait Sorensen - Group VP, IR

  • Thank you, Jerome.

  • Next question, please.

  • Operator

  • Andrew Gardiner, Barclays.

  • Andrew Gardiner - Analyst

  • Good morning.

  • Thanks for taking my question.

  • I just had another one on the microphone side of things.

  • You alluded to the rough magnitude there in your last answer, but just can you give us a better sense as to how that has, how the problem with the manufacturing has been corrected, whether you think you're back to normal levels?

  • Was there any competitive issue there in terms of how your customers reacted to these -- customers reacted to the problem?

  • Just a bit more detail to give us an understanding of how things are going to improve there.

  • Also on the DPG side, you've also alluded to the fact that M&A is not really on the agenda for you guys at the moment.

  • So just any further -- so that doesn't seem to be having an impact in terms of delaying your decision.

  • I'm just wondering whether it's got anything to do with your current ownership structure or employee relations.

  • What is it that is taking a bit longer than you had anticipated earlier in the year?

  • Thank you.

  • Carlo Bozotti - President and CEO

  • Well, again, maybe on -- of course I cannot comment on specific customer.

  • I think on the microphone, we are working to resume production.

  • The production is in a different location and the impact was material.

  • And I'm not saying of course that the $40m impact is only the microphone.

  • What we wrote is that it is partly distribution business and partly the microphone.

  • So it's more of a 50/50 and the solution is to use a different source of the manufacturing for the wafers.

  • Now on DPG, we had anticipated that we would have given an update.

  • We have been working on a number of options.

  • And now the options have been narrowed and we'll come to a conclusion, we'll reach the conclusion during the course of the first quarter.

  • And we expect that, as we wrote, to announce early in the year, in the first couple of months of 2016.

  • Andrew Gardiner - Analyst

  • Okay.

  • Thank you very much.

  • Tait Sorensen - Group VP, IR

  • Thank you, Andrew.

  • Next question, please.

  • Operator

  • Adithya Metuku, Bank of America.

  • Adithya Metuku - Analyst

  • Yes, good morning, gents.

  • A few from me.

  • Firstly, can you give some color on how you expect the different divisions to trend into Q4 as a part of your overall guidance?

  • How do you see demand in autos, how do you see demand in MEMS and so on?

  • And secondly, there have been some articles in the press about your government shareholders wanting you to increase your R&D to compete better.

  • Now given your views on structuring the DPG business, why would you need to increase your R&D?

  • If you could provide some color on that and also give some color on how that could potentially impact the dividend, that would be great.

  • Thank you.

  • Carlo Ferro - CFO, EVP Finance, Legal, Infrastructure and Services

  • Okay.

  • Thank you for the question.

  • Carlo Ferro speaking.

  • I take your first question.

  • And at the end this quarter we have, how say, all the product groups but one moving all on the same direction.

  • And a good exception for us is microcontrollers.

  • Indeed, despite the overall situation and market context, microcontrollers plans some increase in sales sequentially.

  • For all the other groups at the end we see it is decline, which is frankly not so much different from one to the other.

  • Carlo Bozotti - President and CEO

  • And the other question was on the structuring R&D.

  • No, on the R&D, I think we have our model.

  • We have described our model.

  • I believe our R&D intensity is important.

  • We have in the Company a part that is of course digital and a part that is analog.

  • We have seven different digital families.

  • I can go through quickly.

  • Of course very important for digital family for us is the general purpose microcontrollers.

  • This is an area where we have invested, where we are increasing the effort.

  • The results are very good.

  • And I believe the effort here is to proliferate more in terms of microcontroller cost, in terms of peripherals and to reinforce our ecosystem that is already quite unique on the STM digital.

  • A second line that we have in digital products is the so-called secure microcontrollers.

  • Here a big effort is on everything that is contact-less, with the integration of other solutions and embedded flash.

  • This is an area where we see certainly an important opportunity to expand and where we have an important level of R&D effort.

  • A third digital line that we have is a more mature line, but very successful, and these are wireless (inaudible).

  • If we move on, we have a part that is on the so-called set-top box.

  • Here the intensity is very high, and there are products that are good and there are products that are in a market that is extremely competitive, but the intensity of R&D here is very important.

  • Then there is another line that is our ASIC offer.

  • This is I would say a more traditional effort of R&D intensity.

  • Imaging, as you know, we have already decided and we are out in our seasonal.

  • This is another, let's say, action that we took here is to exit from the commodity camera module, and in Q4 basically the sales are zero.

  • Here is very special products for imaging, with a lot of potential.

  • So this is an important area for us.

  • And finally we have a seventh activity in automobile, where we are making a lot of progress with our 32 bit microcontrollers, but also with all the products and various solutions for advanced safety applications, where we have certainly a leading role.

  • Out of these seven units that are all digital, there are three that are in DPG, where, as you know, we have big loss and our priority is to cure this.

  • Overall we are very committed to digital and overall we of course want to expand in many of these lines, but we need to cure the problem of DPG.

  • One comment on dividend because you mentioned the dividend.

  • I think, as you know, in May last year the Assembly General of ST has approved dividend distribution for 2015 and also for the first quarter 2016.

  • For next year we will have the same process.

  • There will be a proposal from the management of the Company and then the proposal will be to our Board.

  • And of course it is then for the Board to decide to accept or not to accept, to modify the proposal for the final resolution of our General Assembly.

  • Adithya Metuku - Analyst

  • Thanks.

  • Just a quick clarification on that.

  • So when you restructure the DPG group, despite all these investments you talked about into microcontrollers, into all the logic-based products, would you still expect your R&D to go down or is there any reason why that might stay at the same level, despite the restructuring in DPG in the set-top box business?

  • Carlo Bozotti - President and CEO

  • Certainly the R&D will go down.

  • There is no discussion, because I think the effort that we are doing overall on these seven areas is very, very important effort.

  • I believe that in some of these areas we are already successful, like in microcontrollers.

  • In some of these areas we are really turning.

  • What is happening in the automobile is unique.

  • With the trend towards the digitalization of the car, the car is becoming a technology hub and this is an area where we have a very, very important opportunity to grow, both in microcontrollers for automobile and advanced services.

  • There are other areas where the intensity is too high and of course we need to address the problem and resolve the problem.

  • And this is the priority of what we are doing when we talk about the DPG.

  • Adithya Metuku - Analyst

  • Okay.

  • Brilliant.

  • Thank you.

  • Carlo Bozotti - President and CEO

  • Thank you.

  • Tait Sorensen - Group VP, IR

  • Thank you, Additive.

  • Next question.

  • Adithya Metuku - Analyst

  • Thank you very much.

  • Operator

  • Gianmarco Bonacino, Equita.

  • Gianmarco Bonacino - Analyst

  • Yes, good morning.

  • A question about the OpEx.

  • Basically in the fourth quarter you will have a run rate for revenues just a little bit higher of $1.6b, which is far away from your target level of $2b.

  • And I was wondering if you may become a little bit more aggressive in managing your OpEx bill, excluding the digital?

  • For example, I read recently in the press that you put on hold about 2,000 workers in your factory in southern Italy.

  • And in general I would like to understand if, when looking at the beginning of 2016, you may start to manage down your OpEx, again excluding the decision that will be taken on digital.

  • Then one question on the product Group in the Q3.

  • Just if you can give us an idea of what was the impact of this manufacturing issue in terms of sales, million dollars for Q3?

  • And also in the DPG, there was an improvement quarter on quarter.

  • I think you mentioned the imaging proximity sensors.

  • If you can give us an idea of how big is this product with in the DPG.

  • Thank you.

  • Carlo Bozotti - President and CEO

  • Yes, I can take.

  • Of course there are several questions here.

  • I think before the sales are closer to $1.7b than $1.6b.

  • It's just a matter -- I think our guidance is $1.66b.

  • As I said, this is the first quarter where ST-Ericsson is zero.

  • It's the first quarter where our camera module that we decided to discontinue is zero.

  • And it's unfortunately also for corresponding to a moment where there is a very significant market correction.

  • But of course our ambition from this low level to start growing again, with no more wireless and no more camera modules, and to move on from this level.

  • There is absolutely no intention to reduce the R&D effort on what we have in SP&A and in microcontrollers.

  • I think we are at a level of R&D that we believe is appropriate for the families in these areas.

  • There is certainly a very important effort in microcontrollers.

  • Also because we are growing very, very fast in microcontrollers so we have the opportunity to be more aggressive with our R&D microcontrollers.

  • And you mentioned a few days of temporary stoppage of our manufacturing activity in the south of Italy.

  • I think this is a very, very short correction in the manufacturing and there is nothing structural.

  • I think we absolutely need what we have in terms of manufacturing footprint for our SP&A activity overall.

  • On the microphone, I think I had already commented; it's about 50/50.

  • So we had, as we wrote, a $40m decline on AMS and the problem of the microphone is about $20m.

  • I believe I answered to all your questions, right?

  • Gianmarco Bonacino - Analyst

  • Yes.

  • Just the last one on the DPG, if you can mention the imaging proximity sensor.

  • Carlo Bozotti - President and CEO

  • This is unfortunately I cannot give you too many details because it is a very important line for us and I would -- what I can say is that there is a good momentum.

  • It's a new area and I think it is a good opportunity for the future.

  • Gianmarco Bonacino - Analyst

  • Okay.

  • Thank you.

  • Tait Sorensen - Group VP, IR

  • Thank you, Gianmarco.

  • Next question, please.

  • Operator

  • Amit Harchandani, Citigroup.

  • Amit Harchandani - Analyst

  • Good morning, gentlemen.

  • Amit Harchandani from Citigroup.

  • Thanks for taking my question.

  • And apologies if you have touched upon this earlier, but in terms of your manufacturing set-up that you have currently in terms of your front-end and back-end facilities, I'm just trying to understand, is there any potential that you see to further enhance the efficiency of your operations.

  • I know there was the conversion that was carried out.

  • But is there anything else that you could do organically that we can look forward to in the next 12 months that would help to further make your cost base much more effective?

  • That's my first question and I have a follow up.

  • Thank you.

  • Carlo Ferro - CFO, EVP Finance, Legal, Infrastructure and Services

  • Hi, Amit.

  • Carlo Ferro taking your question.

  • At the end it's obvious that we are at a point of our top line whereby we have very little level of flexibility.

  • So the first fixing at the end, therefore our manufacturing is [upstanding] revenues, getting back a level of flexibility and a larger cushion in the allocation of the volume between the internal fab and the foundries, which today is at this point for us a very limited option.

  • And this is the reason why the revenue volatility fall so significantly into the annual capacity charges.

  • Of course short term we are taking the measures to reduce the activity in the silicon fabs and in the assembly plants.

  • And the calendar for the fourth quarter in this respect has been, as introduced by Carlo, significantly reduced, also with some implication on the form for reducing the activities and the presence of the operators in the fab in the course of the fourth quarter.

  • Then that here a great opportunity in term of progressive improvement of the wafer cost are two.

  • One is in 300 millimeter associated with the progressive, when demand will allow it, the progressive skilling-up of the fab since, as you know, volume and scale are very critical to the wafer costs in 300 millimeter.

  • And the second one in the cluster of the 6-inch and 8-inch fabs, particularly in the area of analogue mixed signals in power to continue our progressive plan of reducing production in 6-inch and increasing the production in 8-inch that has started and is progressively moved.

  • Also in this case the speed of execution is very much driven by the world demand on these technologies.

  • Amit Harchandani - Analyst

  • That's very helpful.

  • And as a follow-up, and again sorry to go back to digital and beat around it a bit too much, but you talked about narrowing of options, and you've given some color during the course of the call.

  • Are there any particular options that we can think of that you've already narrowed and taken out?

  • Not talking about what are on the table, but what is definitely not on the table, any comments around that?

  • Carlo Bozotti - President and CEO

  • No, I think it will be not prepared to go in details.

  • Of course we have been working on a number of options.

  • I think we have narrowed, therefore as a consequence there is more than one, but I need to stop here because I don't want to go into any details on this.

  • I think it would not be appropriate, even counter-productive.

  • And certainly is a priority.

  • Even, as we said before, even in a moment like this Q4, that is difficult for us, but difficult for, I would say, most of our competitors, I believe we have many, most of our product groups performing with good level of profitability, some of them with a very good level of profitability.

  • We need to cure this and I think this is a priority, but I do not believe it's appropriate today to describe the options, frankly.

  • Amit Harchandani - Analyst

  • Thank you, gentlemen.

  • Carlo Bozotti - President and CEO

  • Thank you.

  • Tait Sorensen - Group VP, IR

  • Thank you, Amit.

  • Next question?

  • Operator

  • Francois Meunier, Morgan Stanley.

  • Francois Meunier - Analyst

  • Yes, thanks.

  • Actually, all my questions have been answered, thank you very much.

  • Tait Sorensen - Group VP, IR

  • Thank you, Francois.

  • Next question, please.

  • Operator

  • Guenther Hollfelder, Helvea.

  • Guenther Hollfelder - Analyst

  • Yes.

  • Thank you.

  • Concerning the OpEx, is it fair to assume that in the first quarter of 2016 they will be lower than what we saw in Q3?

  • Is it correct, given the length of the quarter?

  • Carlo Bozotti - President and CEO

  • The first quarter -- you are talking 2016.

  • I think in the first quarter of 2016, you said that the quarter will be shorter?

  • Guenther Hollfelder - Analyst

  • No.

  • Yes, I understand that I think what we learned after the Q2 call that Q4 will be an additional week and that this has a negative impact then on OpEx.

  • But then in the first quarter we should go back into a normal range.

  • Is this correct?

  • Carlo Bozotti - President and CEO

  • Yes, I think next year is going to be more even, the split by quarter.

  • This year -- I think next year Q1 is going to be maybe 92 days.

  • So I think it's more even, as we said.

  • So this is -- of course there will be another step on the hedging.

  • On the positive, if the underlying currency, if the actual currency stays at the level it is, there will be another step in hedging.

  • And then of course there are the initiatives that we are discussing.

  • This is the initiative on DPG.

  • This is clear.

  • But in terms of seasonality, I think it's going to be more even next year.

  • Guenther Hollfelder - Analyst

  • Okay.

  • And on the car market, especially in China, I thought that round July we saw the sharpest declines in the market for, yes, the Chinese market, also for European brands in China.

  • And in August and especially in September the situation improved, also for the Europeans, including the German premium cars, which saw quite a recovery then in September.

  • Now in October we have tax incentives kicking-in in China.

  • You mentioned I think that you saw some first positive signs from local Chinese manufacturers.

  • So could you add a little bit concerning the situation in the automotive market?

  • Carlo Bozotti - President and CEO

  • We see a correction in the second half of this year.

  • The correction that we see is coming from our customers, both big customers, major customers, and the smaller customers.

  • I think what we saw on the semiconductor front at least, we saw a correction starting in the month of August.

  • Not yet in July, but starting in the month of August.

  • Of course in our automotive business we need also to consider that a very significant chunk -- a significant chunk of what we sell in automotive is in euro snd we report in US dollars, so the translation of course is an advantage in terms of expenses, but certainly disadvantage in terms of top line evolution during the last several months.

  • Moving on, I think in the automobile, first of all, we are pleased to see that in China we start seeing some positive trends, but this is more for the local manufacturers.

  • Our plan in automobile is that starting from Q1 next year, after the correction in Q4 that we started to see in August this year, starting from Q1 next year we shall see a recovery.

  • This is what we have in the auto market.

  • So on this one we are, in terms of timing we are more positive than the distribution business, for instance, in Greater China where our customers are telling us it is more a six-month phase of weakness.

  • Guenther Hollfelder - Analyst

  • Okay.

  • Great.

  • Maybe a last one, if you'll allow, on CapEx.

  • Could you comment on 2015 and maybe already on 2016, what do you plan?

  • Carlo Bozotti - President and CEO

  • Yes, certainly.

  • I think Carlo will take this.

  • Carlo Ferro - CFO, EVP Finance, Legal, Infrastructure and Services

  • Yes, Gunter.

  • Good morning.

  • We said that at the end our execution of the capital spending plan is always modular to the evolution of demand.

  • And you could expect with visibility on overall demand on the second half of 2015, and in particular in the fourth quarter, we have significantly slowed down the plan.

  • So at this point I would anticipate CapEx in 2015 at or south of $500m.

  • Guenther Hollfelder - Analyst

  • Okay.

  • Thank you.

  • Carlo Ferro - CFO, EVP Finance, Legal, Infrastructure and Services

  • You're welcome.

  • Tait Sorensen - Group VP, IR

  • Thank you, Guenther.

  • Next question, please.

  • Operator

  • (Operator Instructions) Robert Sanders, Deutsche Bank.

  • Robert Sanders - Analyst

  • Yes, hi.

  • Can you hear me?

  • Carlo Bozotti - President and CEO

  • Yes.

  • Robert Sanders - Analyst

  • Yes.

  • So I just had a question may be that you haven't -- maybe you answered but I didn't quite hear it.

  • Did you actually tell us what the loss in DPG was in Q3 and what it could be in Q4?

  • Carlo Ferro - CFO, EVP Finance, Legal, Infrastructure and Services

  • Maybe I will take it.

  • So we report the third quarter.

  • The, I'd say, a result of a product group is not usual on the package of communication.

  • I'll agree to make an exception on the actual as opposed to ?- two exceptions, on the actual and the going-forward.

  • So at the end on the overall result of EPS in the quarter, that has been a breakeven.

  • MMS has contributed with about 19% operating margin.

  • And DPG overall with a loss of $74m, out of which the largest part associated with the set-top box addition.

  • Robert Sanders - Analyst

  • Okay.

  • Thank you.

  • And just on the dividend for 2016, clearly that'll come up for vote at the annual general meeting, I assume in May.

  • Is that something that we should just continue to model out into 2016 or it'll just be a decision you'll take in May?

  • Thanks.

  • Carlo Ferro - CFO, EVP Finance, Legal, Infrastructure and Services

  • Normally the calendar of preparation an annual general meeting, which is held normally end of May, is to prepare the proxy resolution by our Supervisory Board towards mid of March normally.

  • So this is the normal calendar, so I would position in the course of the month of March the proposal by the Board to the annual general meeting.

  • Robert Sanders - Analyst

  • Okay.

  • That's great.

  • Thank you very much.

  • Carlo Bozotti - President and CEO

  • You're welcome.

  • Tait Sorensen - Group VP, IR

  • Thank you, Rob.

  • Next question, Moira, if we have one.

  • Operator

  • That was the last question, sir.

  • Tait Sorensen - Group VP, IR

  • Okay.

  • I think then, given it's a busy day for everyone, we appreciate --

  • Carlo Bozotti - President and CEO

  • Thank you.

  • Tait Sorensen - Group VP, IR

  • Your participation and we'll speak to you soon.

  • Thank you.

  • Carlo Bozotti - President and CEO

  • Thank you.

  • Operator

  • Ladies and gentlemen, the conference is now over.

  • Thank you for choosing Chorus Call and thank you for participating in the conference.

  • You may now disconnect your lines.

  • Goodbye.