Site Centers Corp (SITC) 2009 Q1 法說會逐字稿

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  • Operator

  • Good day, ladies and gentlemen. Welcome to the first quarter 2009 Developers Diversified Realty earnings conference call. My name is Tawanda, and I will be your coordinator for today. (Operator Instructions). As a reminder, this conference is being recorded for replay purposes. I would now like to turn the presentation over to Mr. Tom Morabito, Senior Director of Investor Relations. Please proceed, sir.

  • Tom Morabito - Senior Director, IR

  • Thanks, operator. Good morning, everyone. Thank you for joining us. With me on today's call are Chairman and CEO, Scott Wolstein, President and Chief Operating Officer, Dan Hurwitz, Chief Financial Officer, Bill Schafer, and Chief Investment Officer, David Oakes. Following our prepared remarks, we will then conduct the Q&A session.

  • Before we get started, I need to remind everyone that some of our statements today may be forward looking in nature. Although we believe that such statements are based upon reasonable assumptions, you should understand that those statements are subject to risks and uncertainties and actual results may differ materially from the forward looking statements. Additional information about such factors and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ may be found in our Earnings Release and in our filings with the SEC. Finally, please note that on today's call, we will be discussing non-GAAP financial measures, including FFO. Reconciliations to these non-GAAP financial measures to the most directly comparable GAAP measures can also be found in the Earnings Release. The release and our quarterly financial supplement are available on our website at ddr.com. With that I would now like to turn the call over to Scott.

  • Scott Wolstein - Chairman & CEO

  • Thank you, Tom. Good morning, everybody, and thank you for joining us today. To begin, I would like to briefly discuss first quarter operating results, which were quite solid despite the macroeconomic challenges and the large distortion by some significant tenant bankruptcies. FFO for the first quarter of 2009 was $1.08 per share, including gains on debt extinguishment and impairment-related charges which compares to last years first quarter restated FFO of $0.80 per share. Excluding $17.5 million of impairment-related charges and $72.6 million of debt gains, FFO was $0.66 per share for the first quarter of 2009. All told, the quarter came in as expected given the environment, and we will walk you through the details in a few minutes.

  • Next, I would like to update you on our progress regarding the strategic investment by the Otto family. Our shareholders overwhelmingly approved a transaction with more than 95% of votes in favor. We expect the first tranche of 15 million shares to be sold to the Otto family at $3.50 a share within the next few weeks, which will be concurrent with our closing on approximately $125 million of new secured debt financing. The new secured debt consists of two transactions. In both cases, full lender committee approval has been obtained. In addition, a $60 million, five-year loan provided by an affiliate of the Otto family replacing the $60 million bridge loan entered into last month with the Otto family will close along with the other debt and equity closings. Proceeds from the bridge loan and asset sales were used to purchase over $150 million of our bonds in March when discounts to par were extremely attractive. The second tranche of 15 million shares will be sold to the Otto family within six months of the first closing. We will also be granting warrants to the Otto family for 5 million additional shares, [at these] closing with an exercise price of $6 per share.

  • As we announced during our fourth quarter earnings call, our recent capital markets activities have addressed all of our debt maturities to at least the end of 2010. We are pleased with our progress to date and expect to have considerable additional activity to announce in the next few quarters to proactively address our 2011 and 2012 maturities. We are actively pursuing capital raising initiatives through a broad range of potential opportunities and markets at both the asset and corporate level.

  • First, we sold over $67 million of assets in the first quarter at a weighted average cap rate of 8%. Currently, we have over $175 million of assets under contract or subject to letter of intent. As a result, we are well on pace to complete our expected $200 million of asset sales in 2009. Second, in addition to the $125 million of new mortgage debt closing in early May, we will obtain significant additional new mortgage debt within the coming quarters. Some of that debt already has written proposals from lenders in various stages of negotiation. Third, in addition to the $112 million of equity from the Otto family, our continuous equity program remains in place, and we have the capacity to issue over $150 million worth of new shares, but we have not utilized this yet in 2009. While we realize the high cost of equity capital in the current environment, we will consider more equity-related transactions as we strive to ensure the utmost financial flexibility. Fourth, we expect to retain approximately $250 million of free cash flow in 2009 as we maintain our current dividend policy. Finally, we continue to have interest in repurchasing our unsecured notes at significant discounts to par. During the first quarter, we bought back over $160 million of our bonds, maturing in 2010, 2011, and 2012 at a weighted average price of 51%.

  • Through all of these items I just mentioned along with conservative financing assumptions that require equity injections into any asset with maturing mortgage debt, we have addressed all of our remaining 2009 and 2010 maturities and are focused on attacking the 2011 and 2012 maturities with vigor. David will expand more upon these activities later in the call, but first I will turn it over to Bill, who will take you through our first quarter operating results.

  • Bill Schafer - EVP, CFO

  • Thanks, Scott. I'll begin by discussing first quarter operating results. As Scott mentioned, our first quarter 2009 FFO was $1.08 per share. As indicated in our earnings release, after adjusting to exclude impairment-related charges and gains on debt repurchases, FFO was $0.66 per share. The impairment related charges of $17.5 million were primarily related to impairments and losses taken on both wholly owned and joint venture assets which were disposed of or are being marketed for sale. It is worth mentioning that although we incurred impairment-related charges of approximately $17.5 million, we also had gains on the sale of assets of over $12.3 million which were not included in FFO. The net gains on debt repurchase of $72.6 million, actually equates to over $80 million of gains based on the face amount of debt repurchased, which Scott mentioned earlier.

  • Turning now to operating results for the first quarter, same store NOI for the quarter was down 2.2%, which is on track with guidance we issued on last earnings call, in which we indicated a decrease of 3%-4%. Our Brazil portfolio performed exceptionally well with same store NOI increases of over 12%. Ancillary income was up over 9% from last year, and G&A expenses down approximately 7% from last year. The reduction in G&A is attributed to the termination of a supplemental equity award plan at the end of 2008, a lower headcount, and a reduction in general corporate expenses.

  • Next, I'd like to call your attention to two changes in the financial statements this quarter. First, our interest expense was increased by a non-cash $3.9 million charge due to the change in accounting for convertible debt instruments. This also required us to restate our 2008 results, which resulted in a non-cash $3.3 million increase to interest expense in 2008, or approximately $0.03 per share. FFO per share was reduced to $0.80 for the first quarter of 2008 as compared to the $0.83 reported last year. Second, minority interest is now referred to as non-controlling interest, and from a balance sheet perspective, $133.5 million is now included as part of shareholders' equity.

  • I'd like to take a moment to address upcoming non-recurring charges that we expect to occur later in 2009. In connection with the Otto transaction, and as reflected in the related proxy, a change in control with regard to our equity award plans has occurred. As a result, we will incur a $10.5 million, non-cash charge in the second quarter of this year and a $4.7 million non-cash charge in the second half of the year. No cash is being paid out to current employees as part of this change in control trigger under our equity award plan.

  • Moving on to capital markets, we recognize that covenant compliance continues to be an area of concern among the investment community. We are able to provide the following information. We are compliant with both bank facility and unsecured note covenants as of the first quarter. Our tightest ratios have been the consolidated indebtedness ratio and the unencumbered asset coverage ratio on our bank facility covenants. For each of these ratios, there has been trending improvement from the third quarter of 2008 to Q4 of 2008 and again through March 31, 2009. The consolidated indebtedness ratio reads as follows -- consolidated indebtedness must not exceed 60% of consolidated market value, provided that such percentage can be up to 65% for two quarters during the term of the facility. We have never exceeded 60% during the term of our facility, and our calculations indicate that we were below 58% on this ratio as of March 31. The unencumbered asset coverage ratio provides that the value of unencumbered assets must be greater than or equal to 1.6 times consolidated unsecured indebtedness. Our calculations indicate that we are above 1.65 times on this ratio as of March 31.

  • Our unencumbered asset pool was over $5.5 billion as of March 31. While this is lower than prior quarters, primarily due to increase in secured debt and asset sales, we have reduced our unsecured debt from $3.5 billion to $3.3 billion and improved this ratio. We could add roughly $700 million of secured debt without assuming any corresponding increase in consolidated market value before violating our secured indebtedness covenants. We expect the ratios to improve throughout 2009 as we continue to retain more capital, close the Otto transaction, and additional debt financings, and continue to sell assets.

  • Our cash on hand and revolver capacity was approximately $100 million at quarter-end. We realize that this is low but we made a strategic decision to take advantage of one of the few benefits that this economic environment provides, which is the ability to repurchase our near-term public debt at significant discounts. We have taken advantage of this opportunity through the dramatic slowdown of development spending, reduction of cash dividends, halt of acquisitions, the increasing volume of asset sales, and the issuance of new debt. Throughout 2009, you will see us continue to focus on buying notes at a discount, and at the same time, reducing our revolver balances.

  • Last week, we announced the results of our first quarter 2009 dividend election. We paid approximately $2.6 million in cash and $23.2 million in common shares, which resulted in 8.3 million additional common shares outstanding.

  • Finally, I'd like to give an update on our development disclosure. We have removed five projects out of the projects in progress in the supplement. Four of these were reclassified as land or construction projects on hold as we no longer expect near-term commencement of vertical construction. The other project, Midtown Miami, has been moved to operating assets as most of the capital budgeted for the project has been spent and most major anchors have opened. Development funding will be little if any in the near-term and we have slightly over $40 million budgeted for the rest of 2009 for the remaining centers that are shown in the projects in progress chart in the supplemental. I'll now turn the call over to Dan.

  • Dan Hurwitz - President & COO

  • Thank you, Bill, and good morning. I'd like to start by providing an update on what we're seeing in the leasing environment as retailers continue to face tremendous headwinds due to decreased consumer spending and deteriorating economic fundamentals. While we have already seen our share of retail bankruptcies, the industry as a whole expected to see more fallout during the first quarter of 2009, and while there are retailers currently facing severely deteriorating operating fundamentals, a significant portion of our core retailers continue to prove their resilience amid the challenging economic climate, as evidenced by the deal velocity we experienced during the first quarter. While many of the headlines addressing retailer help suggest that retailers are simply not expanding, our leasing team delivered a remarkably strong quarter. Both in terms of deal volume and square footage, indicating that retailers are, in fact, continuing to look for the right growth opportunities, but obviously, at a price. Specifically, we signed 124 new leases during the quarter, representing over 570,000 square feet of GLA at an average spread of negative 60 basis points. Additionally, there were 227 renewed deals executed during the quarter, representing well over 1.3 million square feet of GLA, at an average spread of 90 basis points. On a blended basis, there were 351 deals executed during the first quarter, representing nearly 2 million square feet of GLA at an average spread of 58 basis points. Compared to Q4, we executed 42 more leases and filled 34,000 more square feet of GLA.

  • We expect occupancy to remain around 90% for the next few quarters with rental spreads remaining modestly positive to negative, to slightly negative as we focus on improving occupancy and minimizing CapEx. Overall, we are very encouraged by the level of leasing activity we experienced for the quarter. While the resulting rent spreads were much less than we have historically achieved, the volume of deals was quite strong given the fact that we had not yet regained control of all of the space that was rejected during the bankruptcy process. In addition, our leasing expenses and terms of CapEx were just one third of what we would historically have spent on the number of leases executed for the quarter. As you can see from these results, in contrary to what some of the headlines may say, there are retailers still interested doing deals. Discount retailers are taking advantage of consumers trading down and are opportunistically growing as a result. Categories such as linens and consumer electronics are taking advantage of the unique opportunity to gain market share from their former competitors. The most active retailers include -- Bed Bath and Beyond and its various concepts, Best Buy, Forever 21, hhgregg, Hobby Lobby, Joanne Stores, Nordstrom Rack, Ross Dress for Less, regionally and specialty grocers such as Sprouts, WinCo, and [AlSuper]. Also very active is Staples and the TJX Companies, the parent of TJMaxx, Marshall's, AJ Wright, and HomeGoods. We have multiple executed lease or inactive lease or LOI negotiations with each of these retailers I just mentioned.

  • We continue to stay in front of these and other active tenants through portfolio reviews and face-to-face meetings to communicate strategic initiatives and enhance business relationships. To date, we have 33 formal portfolio reviews and numerous meetings either completed or planned for the near future, particularly at the upcoming Recon Conference. While some retailers are more bullish than others, we continue to hear from a large majority of retailers during these meetings that their reduced store openings are not a result of strained operating fundamentals but rather due to the lack of new growth opportunities.

  • On a similar note addressing overall retailer health, our industry has consistently focused on headline sales figures and earnings growth as a barometer for future growth plans. As many of you have heard me say before, the leading metric of same store sales is not a good measure of retailer health, particularly in this economic climate for a variety of reasons. First, retailers continue to improve supply chain efficiencies, lead by inventory management which is driving margin growth rather than sales volume. Second, as the economy continues to contract, retailers are comping their numbers from distressed quarters for which their inventory levels deviate greatly from current operating metrics. And lastly, retailers are beginning to face difficult year-over-year comparisons as a result of last year's tax rebate checks, which were mailed in the second quarter of 2008 calendar year.

  • Overall, while retail sales in some cases are in fact falling, many retailers may actually be experiencing margin growth, achieving plan, and enhancing the quality of their credit. Despite the fact that retailers are opening new stores, we are still feeling the effects of retailer bankruptcies that impacted our portfolio in 2008 and early 2009. As of the end of the first quarter, the leased rate for our shopping center portfolio stands at 90.7%. This figure includes the bankruptcies of Goody's, Linens and Things, Circuit City, and Steve and Barry's. With the inclusion of the now vacant Mervyn's stores, we stand at 88.4%, which is a historic low. However when reviewing our occupancy statistics, it's interesting to note that excluding the five major vacancies created by the bankruptcies I just described, which will be resolved over time, our portfolio remains at 94.8% leased. 44% of our total vacancy is related to those bankruptcies which highlights a tenant-specific issue and not a real estate issue.

  • In terms of addressing the big box vacancies in our portfolio, our anchor store redevelopment team is working diligently to backfill the space. As I have mentioned on previous calls, we formed this group during the third quarter of 2008 to proactively address the unprecedented number of junior anchor and anchor spaces that have been returned to us primarily due to the bankruptcies of many high profile retailers. We are working creatively to re-tenant these spaces with strong credit tenants, and through collaboration with our retail partners, we are finding ways to maximize the reuse of existing improvements and minimize capital expenditures.

  • Of the 50 Circuit City locations that were in our portfolio, we regained possession of 43 locations in early March. During the First Quarter, three of these units were leased to Bed Bath and Beyond, hhgregg, and Joanne Stores, and another three are in process. To date, we also have 25 active letters of intent on 16 locations representing 557,000 feet of former Circuit City spaces.

  • The 38 former Mervyn's spaces in our portfolio are garnering interest from retailers looking to take over quality real estate in the California market. Many of these locations are in markets with high barriers to entry, and we are seeing apparel change such as Kohl's and Forever 21 as well as grocers eager to expand their footprint and gain market share. As of January 1st, when we regained possession of the majority of the Mervyn's boxes, we sold five former locations to Kohl's, are inactive negotiations to sell two more locations to another retailer. We also leased locations to Forever 21 and Hobby Lobby. In total, these nine locations represent 23% of the total Mervyn's space. To date, we also have 25 active letters of intent out on 13 additional locations.

  • Eight of the 38 former Linens and Things locations are currently at lease, which represents 21% of the space formerly occupied by Linens. We also have 11 active letters of intent in negotiation for seven locations representing an additional 243,000 square feet. We regain possession of 21 of the 38 former Goody's locations in the first quarter. To date, we have leased three units to retailers eager to expand into the South, such as Hobby Lobby, and have nine active letters of intent on seven locations accounting for an additional 263,000 square feet of space.

  • In total, within our anchor store redevelopment group portfolio, we have approximately 3.3 million square feet of letters of intent in active negotiations, 582,000 square feet in lease negotiations, and 700,000 square feet of executed leases or sales of single tenant boxes, which accounts for approximately 39% of our total big box vacancy. With the lack of new development opportunities, and challenging internal growth prospects, in a price deflationary environment, we are seeing more tenant interest in our vacant box portfolio than originally anticipated. We foresee no change in the current dormant status of new development projects, which should be a catalyst for future interest in these locations.

  • It's important to note the increase in credit quality of the retailers that are backfilling these spaces. The vast majority of the replacement tenants for the boxes are national retailers and are survivors in their respective categories. These best-in-class retailers have a strong sustainable credit profile and will enhance our leasing efforts on the balance of our shopping centers. So also important to note that while we continue to market our big box vacancies to long-term prospects, our new business development team has generated in excess of $1.4 million in revenue commitments from temporary tenants filling space in our anchor store redevelopment portfolio.

  • I'd like to take a minute to address the growing concern surrounding potential co-tenancy impact across the retail landscape. While a few co-tenancy issues at our center have been triggered as a result of recent bankruptcies, annual base rental revenue has been impacted by less than 1%, as a result of tenants paying alternative rent. A co-tenancy clause is not typically triggered by a single junior anchor such as Linens and Things or Circuit City leaving a center. Rather, it is typically tied to a series of named junior anchors or big box anchor tenants, and generally results in a retailer paying alternative rent, typically for a period of one year or until the co-tenancy is cured, in which case the tenant must revert back to minimum rent. An example of alternative rent would be 2%-5% of gross sales. If after one year of co-tenancy is not cured, the tenant has the option to vacate its space or return to its contractual rent. The latter is often chosen that is far less expensive than closing or relocating a profitable store. Even if the store is unprofitable, the tenant will usually attempt to renegotiate their rent in hopes of achieving profitability before deciding to terminate. This gives us the option of keeping the tenant at a reduced rate, if we feel it is in the best interest of the asset.

  • I'd now like to take a moment to address a common misconception within our industry as it relates to rent relief requests. Many retailers will tell you that they are asking for rent relief, and they are, in record numbers. To date, we've received 672 requests for rent relief, rent abatement, and rent deferrals. 525 of these requests have come from local tenants, while the remaining 147 have come from national tenants. We evaluate each request on a case-by-case basis, and ask that each retailer provide us with financial statements, sales history, tax returns, and a business plan stating their strategy to increase sales and reduce variable expenses going forward, such that we can make a prudent business decision. More often than not, we do not receive the items requested, and the rent relief request is denied or goes away on its own. There is a disconnect between tenants and landlords regarding the number of requests that are actually granted. Many retailers and their advisors will tell you they are successful in renegotiating their lease terms. However to date, we have granted only 20 rent relief requests, or less than 3% of the total requests received. The typical concession is for a period of one year, and it is generally in the form of a deferred payment. It is also important to note that many of the requests we process must be reviewed and decided upon by our joint venture partners.

  • In summary, we fully acknowledge the challenges we face from an operational and fundamental perspective. While our occupancy rate and same store NOI have been negatively affected by the difficult leasing environment and retailer bankruptcies, we see this as an opportunity to rebuild our portfolio of tenants and change the way we lease space. We are improving the credit quality of our tenants by leasing to the current best-in-class retailers, agreeing to significantly less co-tenancy requests, and limiting the expanse of exclusives in new lease agreements, in addition to creating more leasing synergies through careful planning for each asset. We are confident these strategies, coupled with our already solid and efficient operating platform, will result in sustainable rental revenue growth portfolio-wide. We do not underestimate the economic environment we are currently operating in. We monitor our tenant watch list on a daily basis and continue to carefully evaluate the decisions to make at the property level to ensure that we are in the best position for future growth. At this time, I'd like to turn the call over to David.

  • David Oakes - EVP, CIO

  • Thanks, Dan. As Scott and Bill mentioned earlier, we are making substantial progress on the initial steps of deleveraging our balance sheet and improving liquidity by aggressively addressing items that are under our control. These strategies include reducing the dividend payout for 2009, minimizing development spending to little, if any, in the near term, selling non-core assets, and repurchasing near-term debt maturities at significant discounts to par. Our top priorities currently include these initiatives -- the closing of the transaction with the Otto Family and raising new secured debt capital. We are also exploring numerous other capital raising activities to expand upon our current efforts, such as selling core assets into joint ventures and various corporate capital raising initiatives. Despite the challenging financing environment for buyers, asset sales are still occurring. And they are an important part of our strategy. We have sold several assets year-to-date for over $73 million. The sales occurred at a weighted average cap rate of 8%, and we have made considerable progress toward our expectation of $200 million of asset sales for this year. We are forecasting cap rates on this year's sales to be in the range of 7.5%-9.5%.

  • In the current environment, larger asset sales are not occurring as frequently. So we are focusing on selling single tenant assets and small shopping centers with an average transaction size in the $5 million to $25 million range. Buyers include well-capitalized retailers buying back their stores, local buyers with access to capital, and those who are completing 1031 exchanges. We are seeing new buyers return to the market as cap rates have returned to their long-term average after years of historic lows. We currently have $137 million of assets under contract for sale and $41 million subject to letter of intent. While many deals at these stages will not be completed, we remain comfortable with our goal of $200 million of asset sales for the year. We are also working on several larger transactions, but are not counting on or budgeting those to occur.

  • Another important initiative is repurchasing our unsecured notes at a discount to par. Throughout the first quarter our strategy was to repurchase the notes selling at the most attractive pricing, and we did so by repurchasing over $160 million at 51% of par. We will continue to use free cash flow and new capital from sales and equity and debt financings to repay debt, and we will be focused on our near-term maturities that are trading at attractive levels.

  • Turning now to the Otto transaction, we expect closing on this transaction to occur in the next few weeks, which will be concurrent with the closing of $125 million of new secured debt financings. The new secured debt financing will be comprised of a $40 million, two-year loan on a stabilized shopping center. This loan will have a floating interest rate, a one-year extension option, and is prepayable at any time. The loan-to-value is approximately 50%. The second will be an $85 million, 10-year loan, on four assets located in Puerto Rico with a life insurance company. The rate was locked 7.6%, and the loan-to-value is approximately 50%. This deal is being done with a new life insurance company relationship for DDR, and we are pleased as they are very positive about the quality of our real estate and platform. We are already working on another financing with them that we hope to advance shortly.

  • We currently have applications in progress for an additional $30 million of five-year loans with two different groups. In addition, the $60 million five-year loan provided by the Otto Family will close in the next several weeks. This loan is currently in the form of a bridge loan, and the proceeds received in March were used to repurchase unsecured notes at significant discounts. The interest rate will decline from 10% on the bridge loan to 9% on the five-year term loan.

  • In regard to mortgage debt maturities, we recently extended three CMBS loans that matured in the first quarter for up to an additional year. We are extending May and June maturities as well at this time. Many of our CMBS maturities in the next few years are held by the same special servicer, which at this point has been a benefit to us as we have built a good relationship with this party, and have been able to come to arrangements that benefit both borrower and lender. As of March 31st, we have $103 million of debt maturing for the remainder of 2009 and $800 million maturing in 2010, excluding the $127 million of consolidated joint venture debt that relates to our partners' share for 2010. $479 million of this 2010 debt is public unsecured notes, $288 million is CMBS, $23 million is bank debt, and $8 million is held by life insurance companies. Using the cap rate of 8.5% on the $319 million of 2010 mortgage maturities results in a loan-to-value of roughly 48%. Our unconsolidated joint ventures of $300 million of debt maturing in 2009 and $1.1 billion maturing in 2010, of which our share is $69 million and $324 million respectively.

  • Finally, I'd like to take a moment to discuss some of our joint ventures. In December, MDT announced it is undergoing a strategic review. This strategic review is advancing and could result in asset sales or bringing in a new capital partner. Also, we have exercised our contractual redemption rights from the US LLC and expect to execute an asset swap with MDT that will simplify the ownership structure and enhance the flexibility for both DDR and MDT. The expected asset swap will eliminate $173 million of 2009 and $476 million of 2010 debt maturities from our unconsolidated maturity schedule. We lowered our ownership of MDT's common stock to just below 10% but remain the Trust's largest unit holder.

  • Regarding our joint venture with Coventry, we remain consistent with our previous statements that we will not fund our joint venture partners capital contributions or their share of debt maturities. This stance lead to Ward Parkway Center in Kansas City being foreclosed on in February in a friendly foreclosure. We continue to manage the center and are working with the lender to sell the asset under an arrangement where we would receive some proceeds from the sale above the amount of debt on the property.

  • In closing, I'd like to reiterate that our number one focus right now is reducing leverage and enhancing financial flexibility. We are working tirelessly to evaluate every option to do so, and we are acting immediately on those options that are within our control. We are confident in stating that we will be able to meet all of our near-term debt maturities with these initiatives, and look forward to emerging from this challenging part of the cycle as a stronger, more focused, and lower leveraged Company. I'll now turn the call back over to Scott.

  • Scott Wolstein - Chairman & CEO

  • Thanks, David. Before opening the floor to Q&A, I would like to reiterate our 2009 FFO guidance of $2.10 to $2.25 per share, excluding one-time items. And we expect that number to be significantly higher than that, including profits on debt repurchases. I would also like to take a moment to thank all of our colleagues here at DDR for their efforts and for maintaining their high degree of enthusiasm during this challenging time. With that, we would like to take your questions. Thank you.

  • Operator

  • Thank you. (Operator Instructions). Your first question comes from the line of Jay Habermann with Goldman Sachs. Please proceed.

  • Unidentified Participant - Analyst

  • Hi, good morning. It's [Johan], here. I'm with Jay as well. Just to start with on the Otto deal, you've obviously mentioned expectations of closing Phase I over the next couple of weeks. Is there anything at all in your view that could possibly push the delev further beyond the expected timeline? Or potentially even result in it not going through at this point?

  • Scott Wolstein - Chairman & CEO

  • No. We've satisfied all of the conditions of closing except the closing of the two loans that we discussed. And we've satisfied all of the conditions in the MAC clause. So there are really, barring some 9-11 event or something that we can't even think about, there's nothing that would stand in the way of orderly closing of the transactions.

  • David Oakes - EVP, CIO

  • Every one of those conditions has been filed either in the proxy or in the 8-K, and you can see that we have met those conditions with the closing of the two loans in the next couple weeks.

  • Unidentified Participant - Analyst

  • Okay, thanks, and then I guess shifting to the secured side, any options there? How has the shift in tone from your discussions with life companies and banks been over the past couple of weeks. Obviously given that we've seen this window of capital open up slowly. What's the real focus today as you are trying to negotiate terms and new deals here?

  • David Oakes - EVP, CIO

  • We continue to have those dialogues with banks and life insurance companies on an extremely regular basis. I'd say after the fourth quarter's environment of shock about what was going on in the world, we've seen a stabilization. Certainly not a normalization or an end to the dislocation, but we continue to see a level of interest in extending new loans. Certainly not in the size of those loans that would have been extended two or three years ago, but continue to see an appetite for our stable product clearly at lower loan-to-values than existed in prior years. But an ability to get term debt, in size at approximately that 50% loan-to-value level. And so, we're showing that progress with the loans that will close in the very near-term, and we expect to have more capital raised on that front over the next several quarters.

  • Scott Wolstein - Chairman & CEO

  • And I might, echo that in addition to the progress on the debt side, there is a significant increase in activity and interest from the equity side on the private side that mirrors what you're seeing in public equity. Both from pension funds, opportunity funds, and individual investors. There's far more real dialogue going on about transactions and far more reverse inquiry coming to us than we saw in the fourth quarter. Thanks, and then just lastly, on the $2.10 to $2.25 guidance for the year, what's the same store NOI decline that year factoring into that?

  • David Oakes - EVP, CIO

  • Consistent with what we've guided to previously, it's a negative 3% to 4%, same store NOI.

  • Unidentified Participant - Analyst

  • Thank you so much.

  • Operator

  • Your next question comes from the line of Michael Mueller with JPMorgan. Please proceed.

  • Joe Dasio - Analyst

  • Good morning. It's [Joe Dasio] here with Mike. I know Scott, I know you mentioned that you see occupancy kind of trending around 90% so far this year. Where do you think the biggest risk to that number could be at this point?

  • Scott Wolstein - Chairman & CEO

  • The risk to which number, I'm sorry?

  • Joe Dasio - Analyst

  • To the 90% occupancy, which tenants or industries, I guess?

  • Scott Wolstein - Chairman & CEO

  • Well, we really had, you know, we have a watch list that we watch. I wouldn't want to name tenants specifically but there's certainly no secret as to who out there is in distress, who has hired advisors, and in some cases who has hired bankruptcy counsel. We actually did expect that we would see more bankruptcy activity in the first quarter than we saw, and preliminary indications are the things generally in the market are getting a little more positive for some of those retailers. Although we're not counting on it, because as we've talked about in the past on these calls, June and July are very high risk months for retailers where their capital expenditure for fall goods is very high, but their receipts from sales is typically pretty low. So the biggest risk to that occupancy is obviously, if some of those retailers who are currently hanging in there don't. And we really won't know that I don't think for the next probably 60 to 90 days.

  • Joe Dasio - Analyst

  • Okay, and then just a quick modeling question. How much NOI from bankrupt tenants actually hit the first quarter numbers and will have to come out going forward?

  • Bill Schafer - EVP, CFO

  • It was about -- from a base rent perspective, it was about $11.3 million.

  • David Oakes - EVP, CIO

  • The only meaningful deduct going forward that's been announced and that's shown up in operating stats but hasn't completely flowed through the entire first quarter was Circuit City, where they were a rent payer through the early portion of March. And so as you look to model out the remaining quarters, that's the one that would be a noticeable number that will show up in second quarter and beyond. Now some of those boxes will be released, but from a modeling perspective that was the one that showed up for a good portion of the quarter. Okay, thanks very much.

  • Operator

  • Your next question comes from the line of Michael Bilerman with Citigroup. Please proceed.

  • Michael Bilerman - Analyst

  • Good morning. Quentin [Velleley] is here with me as well. David, or Scott, I think both of you had mentioned, in some of the capital raising alternatives, some corporate capital transactions. Can you just go through how you're thinking about that? And what that relates to? And what rights Otto may have, and other equity-type transactions with other investors?

  • Scott Wolstein - Chairman & CEO

  • Well, Otto has no rights that relate to equity transactions with other investors other than the fact that when they close on their equity, they will have a couple Board seats and will have two of the votes out of 12 in terms of the capital raising actions of the Company. We certainly expect a variety of capital raising alternatives to be completed through the balance of the year, and we would expect that equity will be one of those. We have so many other things on our plate that are going to be positive before we get to that, we would like to see a little rebound in the share price to get some better execution. But we certainly look at that as one arrow in the quiver, if you will, to address our upcoming debt maturities.

  • Michael Bilerman - Analyst

  • So you're thinking as corporate, it's just selling additional equity effectively following down a subsequent recap-type transaction?

  • Scott Wolstein - Chairman & CEO

  • I'm sorry, could you say that again? You were breaking up a little bit.

  • Michael Bilerman - Analyst

  • Sorry about that. Just I want to make sure I'm clear. So when you're thinking about corporate, you're thinking raising additional common equity, not through your drip. But effectively coming out and doing a large -- whether it be a wall cross or just effectively large equity offering, probably after you do some of these others?

  • Scott Wolstein - Chairman & CEO

  • Yes, I mean, we aren't making an announcement of an equity raise on this call. But yet certainly that's something we have discussed with investment bankers and with investors, and it's certainly an option that we will certainly consider in the months ahead.

  • Michael Bilerman - Analyst

  • Can you talk a little bit about the negotiations with your line lenders? Obviously, I believe, you do have a one-year extension next year on your line. But just how that process is going in terms of potentially trying to recast that early, or trying to figure out some way to push that out further to take that maturity off the table.

  • Scott Wolstein - Chairman & CEO

  • Yes. Well first of all, the extension is automatic as long as we're in compliance with our loan covenants, and our projections indicate that head room on the covenants will continue to get better and better every quarter. So we don't look at it as a 2010 maturity. It's a 2011 maturity and a 2012 maturity. We have had discussions with our line banks, and what their guidance to us has been is deal with your other issues first, with the public debt. We'll be there for you, and they've indicated while there will be certainly different pricing if we were looking at a new line today and maybe less capacity. That certainly that the majority of the banks would stay in place, and we would still have a very ample credit facility going forward. As far as when is the right time to address that, certainly we've always done that a year out. And we probably will have very earnest discussions about the terms of extensions in 2010.

  • Michael Bilerman - Analyst

  • Just a question for Dan. You gave very good detail in terms of how some of the bankruptcies have affected occupancy, or at least your leased rate which is 88.4%. I assume that's a quarter-end number?

  • Dan Hurwitz - President & COO

  • That is.

  • Michael Bilerman - Analyst

  • And so relative to 92.2% at the end of the year, how much vacancy is there on top of the 88.4% in terms of star rent-paying anchors?

  • Dan Hurwitz - President & COO

  • We have about -- our anchor store redevelopment group has all the dark rent-paying anchors or the bankrupt boxes that we've received back. We have about 10.5 million feet of total in that group. 6.5 million feet is a result of bankruptcy, and about 4 million feet, our dark anchors that are either paying rent. Or we have effectuated termination agreements, and we're back into the releasing market.

  • Michael Bilerman - Analyst

  • So that's effectively like 250 basis points?

  • Dan Hurwitz - President & COO

  • Yes, that's about right.

  • Michael Bilerman - Analyst

  • And then do you have an economic occupancy, rather than a leased rate?

  • Dan Hurwitz - President & COO

  • Well, we could get that number for you, Michael. I don't have it off the top of my head, but -- .

  • Michael Bilerman - Analyst

  • I know traditionally you used to provide both occupancy and leased rate.

  • Dan Hurwitz - President & COO

  • And the reason why it's just been a little difficult lately is because the spread is widening, because of the bankruptcies. But if you'll recall in the past couple years, that spread narrowed very dramatically, and there was probably only a 50 basis point difference. Right now, we're running close to a 250 basis point difference. But it changes significantly by what happens with the bankruptcy boxes, and the timing of when we get them back.

  • Michael Bilerman - Analyst

  • So economic today, you may be around 85% or so. And taking into account there's some rent paying vacant boxes? Is that a fair way to sort of think about it?

  • Dan Hurwitz - President & COO

  • No. Including Mervyns, it's at 88%. It's at 88% -- is our economic occupancy.

  • Michael Bilerman - Analyst

  • I thought that was your leased rate?

  • Dan Hurwitz - President & COO

  • No. That's our economic occupancy. Is 88% and like I mentioned before, without the bankruptcies, it's at 94.8%.

  • Michael Bilerman - Analyst

  • Okay. Just one last question, on the committed mortgages, you talked about having in excess of $112.5 million. Does that include the $60 million secured loan from Otto, or it excludes that?

  • Scott Wolstein - Chairman & CEO

  • No, that's in addition to.

  • Michael Bilerman - Analyst

  • In addition to, so there's $112 million from outside, then plus another $60 million?

  • Scott Wolstein - Chairman & CEO

  • Well it's $125 million from outside, plus the $60 million.

  • Michael Bilerman - Analyst

  • Plus the $60 million, and then plus the rest?

  • Scott Wolstein - Chairman & CEO

  • That's correct. Okay, thank you.

  • Operator

  • (Operator Instructions). Your next question comes from the line of [Louis Concorde] with UBS. Please proceed.

  • Louis Concorde - Analyst

  • Hi, folks, could you get back to operating fundamentals for a moment. If you were to bifurcate or break down big box versus SSGLA from a vacancy standpoint, where are you losing? And can you provide a little bit more specific numbers? And as an ancillary question, do you think that, ultimately, you are going to see continued small store deterioration as a transitive effect as the big boxes go away?

  • Dan Hurwitz - President & COO

  • It's a great question. Right now, because of the influx of the bankruptcies that we had in the fourth quarter and a little bit of action in the first quarter, the bulk of our vacancy and the pressure on occupancy, if you will, is coming from the bankruptcy in the junior box to big box category. The actual small shops have held up particularly well. One of the things I mentioned is, what we require small shops to give us in the event they ask for rent relief, and very often, they don't do it. They come in. They'll ask for rent relief. We'll ask for tax returns, and then you never hear from them again. But the bulk of our occupancy that's hit us, like I mentioned before, 44% of our total occupancy -- vacancy in the portfolio is a result of really bankruptcies that have occurred over the last five months.

  • Scott Wolstein - Chairman & CEO

  • I think it's also very important to point out number one that the Mervyns bankruptcy. That's a big part of this vacancy number is only a 50% interest in terms of DDR's ownership. And secondly, DDR doesn't own any of the shopping centers where Mervyns is an anchor. So the Mervyns bankruptcies -- in the Mervyns vacancies have absolutely nothing to do with our core portfolio at al. And I think that it's really misleading to be talking in terms of 80% plus occupancy in our shopping centers because that's not accurate. The occupancy is over 90%, and then we have an investment in a Mervyns portfolio, along with MDT, that is currently largely vacant because of the recent bankruptcy. But it has no impact at all on our shopping centers, and I think it's really extremely misleading to talk about our shopping centers being at an 85%, 88%, or anything close to that occupancy. It's just not accurate.

  • Louis Concorde - Analyst

  • Thank you.

  • Operator

  • Your next question comes from the line of Jim Sullivan with Green Street Advisors. Please proceed.

  • Jim Sullivan - Analyst

  • Thanks, good morning. You touched on the change of control accounting. Can you shed a little bit more light on what's happening there? And then I think you specifically made a comment that there are no cash pay outs for current employees, but I know at least one former employee is receiving a cash payout. I'm a little bit perplexed as to why that's the case.

  • Scott Wolstein - Chairman & CEO

  • Yes. First let me address the first question, Jim. Many of our executives have change of control agreements in their double triggers, and the first of the two triggers was triggered by the -- would be triggered when we transfer 20% or more of the shares to the Otto Family. We ask all of the employees to wave the second trigger of the dual trigger provision, and all of the employees did that. So there is no cash payments going out to the current employees. You are correct that we have a former employee who has a severance agreement that was put in place at the time of his retirement. And he was not subject to the same issues as the rest of us, and he will receive some payments.

  • Jim Sullivan - Analyst

  • And for current employees it was their decision to forfeit what they would have been entitled to under changing control that triggered the accounting charges? Is that right?

  • Scott Wolstein - Chairman & CEO

  • Well, the way it works is they're entitled to nothing until the second trigger is triggered. The second trigger would be termination. So essentially, the first trigger will be triggered by the transfer of 20% ownership of the Company. And then, if any of those employees who had change of control agreements were terminated after that change of control, they would be entitled to significant severance benefits in excess of what would be normal without the change of control agreements. And all of the employees waived that so none of them will benefit in any way from the change of control that related to the Otto purchase.

  • Jim Sullivan - Analyst

  • Okay, and then another question relates to -- I think I heard you say that you were successful in extending a couple of CMBS loans for a period of one year. I'm curious what the special servicers are telling you in terms of what your expectation should be at the end of that one-year term. Can they continue extending those loans? Or is there a day of reckoning a year out? What are you hearing from them?

  • Francine Glandt - VP of Capital Markets

  • Hi, this is Francine Glandt. The indications that we've received for the parties that we've dealt with so far, are that they would be willing to consider another one-year extension at the time of the next maturity should the market conditions continue as they are today.

  • Scott Wolstein - Chairman & CEO

  • And, I would like to chime in here, too, Jim, that I was at the Real Estate Round Table meeting the other day, and we spent a few hours with Ben Bernanke. And he's pretty confident that we're going to see this TALF program for CMBS up and running within a few weeks and very hopeful that that's going to start to create a little bit of liquidity in the CMBS market. And we're in the queue with one of the major investment banks to do a significant TALF financing when that becomes available.

  • Jim Sullivan - Analyst

  • Thank you.

  • Operator

  • At this time, we have no further questions in the queue. I would now like to turn the call over to Mr. Scott Wolstein for the closing remarks.

  • Scott Wolstein - Chairman & CEO

  • Thank you. Once again, thanks everyone for joining us today, and for your continued interest in our Company. Despite the difficult environment, we believe that our first quarter 2009 operating results were solid. And we continue to diligently work on our various deleveraging initiatives. We look forward to seeing you at our Investor Day on July 1st and to updating you on our progress again next quarter. Thanks again.

  • Operator

  • Thank you for joining today's conference. That concludes the presentation. You may now disconnect, and have a great day.