使用警語:中文譯文來源為 Google 翻譯,僅供參考,實際內容請以英文原文為主
Operator
Welcome to Pioneer Natural Resources third quarter conference call.
Joining us today will be Scott Sheffield, Chairman and Chief Executive Officer; Tim Dove, President and Chief Operating Officer; Rich Dealy, Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer and Frank Hopkins, Senior Vice President of Investor Relations.
Pioneer has prepared power point slides to supplement their comments today. These slides can be accessed over the internet at www.pxd.com. Again, the internet site to access the slides related to today's call is www.pxd.com. At the website select Investors, then select Earnings and Webcast. This call is being recorded. A replay of the call will be archived on the internet site through November 26.
The Company comments today will include forward-looking statements made pursuant to the Safe Harbor Provisions of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. These statements and the business prospects of Pioneer are subject to a number of risks and uncertainties that may cause actual results in future periods to differ materially from the forward-looking statements. These risks and uncertainties are described in Pioneer's news release on page 2 of the slide presentation and in Pioneer's public filings made with the Securities and Exchange Commission.
At this time for opening remarks I would like to turn the call over to Pioneer's Senior Vice President of Investor Relations, Frank Hopkins. Please go ahead, sir.
Frank Hopkins - SVP, IR
Good day, everyone, and thank you for joining us. I want to first give a shout out to all of our friends on the East Coast and especially those in the New York City area. Please continue to be safe and we hope you are all able to recover quickly from the devastating storm that impacted your area earlier this week.
With that now let me briefly review the agenda for today's call. Scott will be the first speaker. He will provide the financial and operating highlights for the third quarter of 2012. He'll then follow-up by giving you an update of the Company's production growth outlook and capital program for this year. He will then provide a progress report on our joint venture negotiations for the horizontal Wolfcamp Shale and provide some color on our planned divestiture of our Barnett Shale properties.
After Scott concludes his remarks, Tim will discuss our drilling results and plans for the horizontal Wolfcamp Shale, the Spraberry vertical and the Eagle Ford Shale. He will also comment on the two horizontal wells we've drilled to test at Jo Mill interval and the Spraberry field and he'll update you on the upcoming winter drilling program in Alaska. Rich will then cover the third quarter financials in more detail and provide earnings guidance for the fourth quarter. And then after that, we'll turn the call over to the people on the call for questions.
With that, I'll turn the call over to Scott.
Scott Sheffield - Chairman, CEO
Thanks, Frank. Good morning, I do echo Frank's comments about the Hurricane Sandy.
Highlights on slide number 3, third quarter adjusted income of $104 million, or $0.82 per adjusted share. Our production 159,900 barrels a day equivalent over the range that we gave out for guidance for the third quarter. When you adjust it for the Barnett Shale, we're going into discontinued ops, we were 153,000 barrels a day equivalent. Above the end -- the top end of the range, of 155,000 to 159,000 barrels a day, production over the last year up 33,000 barrels of oil equivalent per day, or 28%. That also, the oil growth is up 52% over the last 12 months, from second quarter of 2012 oil growth is up 5%, production is up 10,000 barrels a day, or up 7%.
Again, strong growth primarily attributed to Spraberry vertical program of going deeper horizontal Wolfcamp Shale play in the Eagle Ford Shale programs. We're continuing to see tremendous performance from going to the strong --- the Atoka and the Mississippian and commingling with the Spraberry Wolfcamp zones and all of our deeper vertical drilling in the Spraberry field. And, again, continue to see strong Eagle Ford performance and achieving record production levels. We are narrowing our 2012 production growth guidance range from 25% to 29% to 27% to 28% based on year-to-date results. That is taking the Barnett Shale out for discontinued ops. When you add that back in we are at the high-end of that range of 28% to 29%.
Going to slide 4, our highlights, we continue to see tremendous success from our successful horizontal Wolfcamp Shale program and our southern 200,000 acres. We are meeting essentially our type curve of 575,000 barrels of oil equivalent. We are continuing to drill wells now in Midland County. We will be going to Martin County shortly which Tim will talk more about as we move up north. We'll talk more about our joint venture. We are pursuing a joint venture partner to accelerate our horizontal Wolfcamp Shale development in our southern 200,000 acres. The data room is still open today as we speak.
We are increasing our 2000 (sic) drilling budget by $100 million, primarily to accelerate the horizontal Wolfcamp Shale appraisal activity. We essentially have a -- started a fifth horizontal rig drilling the Midland and Martin County horizontal wells and we actually had a sixth rig for a period of about 30 to 45 days drilling two very successful Jo Mill wells which is in the Spraberry section in our Spraberry trend area field.
We had one well over 550 barrels of oil equivalent per day, it's still increasing, both wells are still increasing. And essentially the Jo Mill has been our main producing formation for the last 30 to 40 years, and essentially covers our entire 900,000 acres. We're very, very excited about those results. We announced our Barnett Shale divestiture, the data room is open, it allows us to reallocate capital.
In addition, the last two months, when oil ran up about 30 days ago, we have added several oil hedging positions from 2013 to 2015 and added more gas positions from 2014 and 2015, using primarily three-way collars. We expect to call our convertible senior notes 2038 -- that are due 2038, for redemption the first time we have that right, and early in 2013 on January 15, based on a September 30 closing stock price of $104.40.
Conversion of the notes would result in paying $480 million in cash and issuing 3.3 million shares. The $480 million cash we'll just borrow off our facility, the interest rate would go down from 2.875% to approximately 2%. In addition, our last VPP will be running out at the end of December, it expires the end of 2012, provides 3,500 barrels of oil a day increased production volumes without increasing op cost.
Slide 5, continued strong production growth continues in 2012, and again, our range going into the fourth quarter is 154,000 to 158,000 barrels a day with taking Barnett out. In addition, we're showing a 27% to 28% range, but when you add Barnett in, we are essentially at the high-end of 28% to 29%. Again, driven by the Spraberry vertical program, the horizontal Wolfcamp programs and the Eagle Ford Shale program during 2012. We also note we've gone up from 47% liquids in 2010 to 61% liquids in the third quarter.
Going to slide 6, on capital spending and cash flow, our capital program, as I mentioned already, we increased the drilling capital by $100 million from $2.4 billion to $2.5 billion, primarily by the fifth horizontal rig drilling in Midland and Martin County. And also we had a sixth rig for a period of a few weeks drilling the two Jo Mill wells, funded by all the items below, a combination of the cash flow equity proceeds, liquidated derivatives and inventory reduction, credit facility borrowings, to balance it in regard to cash flow and spending.
An update on the Wolfcamp Shale joint venture opportunity. As you recall we are offering anywhere from a third to 50% of Pioneer's work interest in the southern 200,000 acres. It's over 4,000 potential horizontal development locations, it does exclude down spacing. We are currently drilling on a 140-acre spacing. Most of these oil shale plays are going down to somewhere between 50 and 60 acres so that is additional upside. It's a 2 billion-barrel gross resource potential, liquids content about 90% and again our type curve is 575,000 barrels of oil equivalent for a 7000-foot lateral.
Tim will talk more about some recent activity on some longer laterals and a great IRR of 45% at $85 oil and $4.00 gas. We have had participants from all over the world come in to our data room. It's been open about two months. We will expect bids in the month of December and we expect to announce a successful JV opportunity during the first quarter of 2013. Going to slide 8, an update on the planned Barnett Shale divestiture. 120,000 net acres, two-thirds are located in the liquids-rich combo play, the Barnett Shale.
We reported third quarter production of 7,000 barrels of oil equivalent per day. We're already up over 8,000 barrels of oil equivalent per day being 55% liquids, a combination of oil and NGLs, 181 wells on production, over 1,100 total locations to drill. We currently have one rig operating, continue to grow production with just one rig, and the reasons we are allocating the capital to Pioneer's higher-return core assets in South Texas and West Texas. Data room just opened this week. We expect bids in the month of December and expect again to announce a successful divestiture during first quarter of 2013.
Last slide, investment highlights on slide number 9. Pioneer now has just a total US asset base. We have one of the highest exposures from proved reserves, an estimated net resource potential of over 7 billion of barrels oil equivalent. Again, the 2012 drilling program and going forward focused on the Spraberry vertical deep program, the horizontal Wolfcamp Shale program and the Eagle Ford Shale program. The joint venture obviously will allow us to greatly accelerate going into 2013, 2014 and 2015, the horizontal Wolfcamp Shale program on the joint venture properties.
Again, the Barnett Shale divestiture will allow us to reallocate capital to our core assets in South and West Texas, tremendous strong production growth profile, vertical integration continuing to improving returns. Again, attractive -- some of the best hedge positions in the universe for 2012, 2013 and 2014 for the Company. And, again, a strong investment grade financial position allows us to move forward.
Now I'll turn it over to Tim to go over the operating results.
Tim Dove - President, COO
Thanks, Scott. First starting on slide 10, we'll give you an update regarding how the horizontal Wolfcamp drilling campaign is going. And suffice it to say we continue to focus our drilling in the oval area, the southern 200,000 acres shown on the map where we are focused on holding 50,000 acres that would otherwise expire by the end of 2013. Accordingly, we need to drill and have on production about 90 wells by then. We are well on track to get that done. We have already drilled 27 wells and have 17 of those on production. I'll show you some more data on those wells shortly.
Currently we are running four rigs in the southern area. A total of five rigs and I'll touch on the additional rig drilling to the north in a minute. We are going to be increasing the rig count to seven by the end of the year, and those rigs are already contracted. As to the northern activity, this is the first wells we'll be drilling in Midland County. You can see approximately where the drilling is occurring by virtue of the arrow on the map. Those -- we are just in the process of drilling two wells, they are about 750 feet apart, the first would be in the A zone, sorry, the first would be in the B zone and the second will be in the A zone.
The first of those has already been drilled and actually we are rigging up on the second well as we speak. When both of the wells are done they will both be fracked essentially back-to-back. And so I anticipate we'll have results regarding these wells during the February earnings call.
As Scott mentioned also, we'll be marching to the north at that point, probably drilling a couple wells in Martin County perhaps followed by some wells in Gaines County. The idea is to prove-up our substantial acreage position in the north and we believe these areas will be prospective in the horizontal Wolfcamp Shale.
We're still targeting a minimum of 7,000-foot laterals and we are testing longer laterals. In fact, we just recently drilled a 10,000-foot lateral in about 19 days. So where we have the leasehold you'll see us extending laterals significantly beyond 7,000 feet. We have also been successful in drilling what we refer to as development style wells. Those are wells that do not have any science. It would more akin to what we would be drilling as we develop the field and we have actually confirmed that we can drill those for about $7 million. A lot of the reason we can do it relatively cheaply is the fact we are using 85% Brady Brown sand, from Premiere Silica, our sand mine in Brady, Texas, and that is a tremendous cost savings for us.
I'll now turn to slide 11. We've got a lot of detail on this slide showing the recent drilling results in the Wolfcamp Shale horizontal play. I'm certainly not going to read all this data to you. But as I mentioned, we've drilled 27 wells in the southern 200,000 acres of which 17 are on production, 10 were added during the third quarter. All 17 are shown on the map. What we are showing on this map is data pertaining to 24-hour IP rates. That normally would not be what we would do, because we really believe that 30 day peak rates are much more indicative of the ultimate well performance.
However, the reason we are showing 24-hour IP rates here is the fact is several of these wells, in fact 10 recent wells, haven't been on production long enough to be able to establish a 30 day rate. So we thought the best thing to do at this point is to show 24-hour IPs because it is the only way to have an apples-to-apples comparison of the well results. If you look across-the-board, most of these wells are drilled in the B zone, specifically as you look to the northwest those are the Giddings wells, those were really phenomenally strong wells.
In the mix here we have a predominance of B wells, 15 of the 17 are B wells, but two are in the A interval. One of those was drilled in the center part of the map, a very strong well, 585 BOE per day. We also drilled one well to the north and east that was actually drilled into a fault. This was a well that was drilled prior to our acquisition of 3-D Seismic in the area, and as a result, it was drilled in a location we otherwise would not have drilled had we had the 3-D in advance.
However, having drilled it into a fault, really unable to get a substantial frac on this well and therefore the results are as expected, poorer than what you would normally look for out of the A zone. We are very positive on the A zone. In fact we have got two more wells that are -- actually been drilled and are waiting on a frac, that is going to commence very shortly, later this month. And those two A wells are shown actually in University 10 and they'll have about 7,500-foot laterals.
So, I can say definitively this drilling has gone exceedingly well. You can tell because if you look at slide 12, and compare the production from these wells, particularly 12 wells here, where we have adequate amount of historical production data, that the wells are doing very well in terms of lining up versus our type curve pertaining to the 575,000 BOE. And this is the oil portion of course. But the orange line shows these wells that have been on for quite a long time are tracking beautifully with that type curve.
Actually, if you look to the green line, these are the two Giddings Area wells that I mentioned on the prior slide. One of those wells, the Giddings 2041, has just reached its one year anniversary from first production a couple weeks ago. And it has produced 133,000 BOE. To give you a frame of reference, our typical Wolfberry vertical well would normally make 140,000 BOE in a 40 plus year period of production.
So this bodes well that we really are on the mark in terms of our type curve, the production is coming in very nicely on these wells on average. And we are very pleased to say that the horizontal Wolfcamp play continues to meet our longer term expectations.
On slide 13, this is just a depiction of our view that there will be upwards of five potential zones in the horizontal Wolfcamp play as we develop the drilling campaign from the A, all the way through the D, as shown on the log. You'll see us be drilling 5,000 to 10,000-foot wells in various of these zones as we go forward. We have as yet not even drilled a well into the Wolfcamp C, for instance. And the only Wolfcamp D well we've drilled was in Midland County well over a year ago.
As shown here the vast majority of the wells are in the B, currently 15 wells currently on production. The two A wells, I already mentioned having been drilled and ready to be completed shortly. We are also testing for the first time a lower B Wolfcamp well. These are just an example of us continuing to go down the learning curve in terms of all the intervals that we can access in the horizontal Wolfcamp play.
Importantly, we drilled a couple of very highly successful wells in the Jo Mill sand which is as you see on the log just above the lower Spraberry shale. We've drilled thousands of vertical wells of course over the years that drilled through and completed in the Jo Mills, so we have an immense amount of data.
These two wells were only drilled at roughly 2,500 feet laterals, but they have made excellent rates and as Scott mentioned, these rates are actually increasing but over 550 barrels a day on a BOE basis and another one over 300 BOE's per day.
So we've got some work to do as a result of these successful wells. That is to pursue an analysis of the well results and what they mean in terms of where we go with the Jo Mill. We have taken core in this well and will tie it to petrophysics and plan two additional wells to follow-up. It does prove to us though that the area where the vertical wells were drilled, this is basically in northern Upton County, that these vertical wells in the area were not adequately draining the zone and that gives us significant running room for the future in terms of Jo Mill horizontals.
It is just another example indicating that the Permian Basin horizontal potential is really in the very early stages of understanding in terms of all the various zones for which horizontal drilling will be available. And in our case since we control the vast majority of the acreage, it really bodes well for the future of horizontal drilling in the area.
That said, as you turn to slide 14, you start looking at our production performance in the Permian Basin you can't forget the contributions from vertical deeper drilling. In fact, about two-thirds of our wells access resources below the Wolfcamp. And as shown and particularly related to the average IP rates of these wells that we can add anywhere between 120 -- have 120 BOE to 180 BOE per day wells, versus your typical Wolfcamp completed vertical which make typically 90 barrels a day on IP.
So we know we are adding a lot of reserves and a lot of potential to these wells and perhaps the deeper drilling can add in various areas up to 100,000 BOE above that 140,000 BOE Wolfcamp-related type curve. And vertical drilling is the key to performance.
If you look at slide 15, you can see it very clearly that the results are -- we see here are predominantly due to the impact of the deepening and the impact on our overall performance. In fact, we came in at about 69,000 BOE per day in the third quarter, and that allows us to tighten our range and actually move it to the top of the range, to 66,000 BOE to 67,000 BOE per day for the year. And you can see our fourth quarter range about 69,000 BOE to 71,000 BOE.
Just a little bit of detail on what happened during the quarter pertaining to the NGL situation. You may recall we built quite a large inventory of NGLs in the second quarter pertaining to Mont Belvieu fractionation limitations. So in the third quarter we did draw down about 1,800 barrels a day from that inventory. However, we did have a production loss due to the fact that we had these constraints, due to the ethane rejection.
We as a result of that have about 90,000 barrels still in inventory. However, that will be principally offset by the fact that we have line fill requirements for the new Lone Star NGL pipeline taking our Permian volumes down to Mont Belvieu in the fourth quarter.
The other effect we are seeing is as offset producers and ourselves continue to drill a significant number of wells, we are getting to the point where our Spraberry gas processing facilities are nearing their capacity as we get near the end of this year and that has an effect to us of actually not causing ethane rejection per se but reducing recoveries of ethane.
Essentially as the plants get more full, ethane recovery rates go down. In other words, you are just less efficient in the plants. So we are going to lose probably 1,000 BOE to 2,000 BOE per day, due to reduced ethane recoveries in the plants. That will be alleviated, of course, as the new driver facility is put in place at the end of the first quarter, early second quarter, another 100 million cubic feet a day capacity adding to the existing 260.
In addition to that there is another 100 million a day plant due to be put on production probably in end of next year or early in the following first quarter. We are running currently 25 vertical rigs.
Turning now to the Eagle Ford Shale, suffice it to say we set a new production record in the third quarter. As Scott already mentioned, on slide 16 we have a recap of the activity, we drilled 38 wells in the quarter and put 35 on production. As I mentioned last quarter, we are back-weighted a little bit this year. We had more wells being put on production in the second half than we do the first half and that is leading to outstanding production results.
We are on schedule and on pace to drill the 125 wells planned this year, only a very small handful of those targeting dry gas as expected. We continue to push the envelope in terms of the use of white sand as opposed to more expensive ceramics. In fact, the well results look very strong for the use of white sand and we think we'll continue to push that envelope.
We have actually been drilling dry gas wells with white sand as well to help reduce the cost of the wells. And if you look at the net cost savings, it is something like $700,000 to use white sand as opposed to ceramics. So we'll continue to push the technical envelope because of the significance of the cost savings.
We are essentially built out with our CGPs. We have a couple more to build next year but essentially with 11 on line we've got a great first mover advantage in terms of processing our volumes.
We have also improved efficiencies. If you turn to slide 17, the depiction here is showing the drilling cost per foot decreasing substantially, in fact 18% over the last five quarters or so, while at the same time the drilling feet per day is increasing --- has increased about 28% over the same time period. It goes to show as we continue to learn more and continue to push efficiencies that we'll be also hopefully controlling and/or reducing well costs.
Looking at slide 18, here is another reason to expect we can do so, in 2012 this year, the predominance of the wells is showing about 70%. We are drilling -- we were drilling primary wells or primary acreage to hold the acreage as we went through the process of drilling to preserve a leasehold that would otherwise expire. We are coming to a close on that as we get into 2013.
In fact, next year we'll be about 80% multi-well pad drilling as opposed to single well drilling up and down the space. So that is going to give us a tremendous cost savings of probably $600,000 to $700,000 per well going into 2013. That will be somewhat offset by the fact that we probably will be using bigger fracs as we improve efficiencies as well as increase lateral lengths going forward.
One more additional concept we are using in the field is choke management as shown on slide 19. I won't go into a lot of details here other than to say you should look at this slide and notice the green line. It is the smallest of the chokes being used and what these lines depict is cumulative production from the wells under different choke sizes.
What you can see is with a 12/64ths choke the cumulative production crosses over the lines of the larger chokes within about five or six months. That has the effect of I think increasing longer term EURs of the wells and does reduce production declines in the wells especially in the early time frame. Ultimately, what it is doing is sustaining higher wellhead pressure and enabling more stable flow within the well. So, this is actually proven I think and we'll continue to use choke management to make sure we are improving the EURs of these wells.
Ultimately, on slide 20 the proof is in the pudding on production and the results of all the efforts by our South Texas team has led to record production in the field, again about 29,000 BOE per day during the quarter. And here again it leaves us to move up to the top of the range the forecast for the year to about 27,000 BOE to 28,000 BOE per day and about 32,000 BOE to 35,000 BOE expected in the fourth quarter.
You can tell how well we are doing just by checking out the public data, particularly from IHS. If you can study that data across the whole trend, you can see that the Pioneer wells are exceeding expectations, and our strong well performance is one of the reasons this production growth is doing so well.
In fact, 50% of our wells are in the top quartile of all the wells in terms of EUR drilled in the Eagle Ford Shale. At the same time 80% of the wells are above the median EUR, the mean. This just goes to show that our wells are among the best, we think we are in one of the best areas in the Eagle Ford and that is the reason that these wells are performing so well.
And finally, the last side for me is slide 21, it's on Alaska. Production has done very well. Our N1 well, that was the Nuiqsut well, with the mechanically-diverted frac from last year, continues to produce well and is leading us to actually have pretty good production results this year from Alaska.
We continue with one rig on the Island, it's drilling Nuiqsut and Torok wells. We're going to follow up that successful mechanically-diverted frac Nuiqsut 1 well that was fraced last year with a total of four wells to be fraced this winter season. Three of those will be Nuiqsut wells, one will be Torok wells. To prove-up that style of frac actually is the way to go and it would lead to a lot of running room for our Alaska operations.
We'll start fracing those wells probably in February or so and it will take a couple of months to do that. And then as a result, we won't see any results on this until well into the second quarter. But the fact is I think we are going to have some good success here fracing these wells with lower 48 style completions.
We are also in the midst of planning and are ready essentially to drill a second Torok well from the shore. Recall last year we drilled quite an excellent well from the shore. It exceeded our expectations and we are drilling an offset to that well this winter and progressing a pending future development from the shore in a feed study that's ongoing.
We think as a result of the well we drilled last winter we have added about 50 million barrels of oil or so in terms of research potential to the Torok.
So it was a great quarter operation and I give credit to all our operations teams for their performance. And particularly, a couple teams we haven't even discussed, that being Raton and West Pan and Hugoton, those contribute also mightily to strong performance that enable us to beat our production forecast for the quarter.
With that I'm going to pass it over to Rich and he can discuss the third quarter financials and the fourth quarter outlook.
Richard Dealy - EVP and CFO
Thanks, Tim. I'm going to start on page 22. Net income attributable to common stockholders was $19 million or $0.15 per share. That did include unrealized mark-to-market derivative losses on an after tax basis of $146 million or $1.19, and included two unusual items -- significant items.
One, discontinued operations, as you guys are familiar, we did close our South Africa sales in the third quarter and so this reflects the effects of that during the quarter. We did have on a pre-tax basis about a $29 million gain on that sale, so the $32 million here on an after tax basis was included in earnings, or $0.26 per share.
Also as we talked about back in August, we did unwind some 2014 and 2015 gas derivatives and we also unwound some interest rate swaps. So we recognized a gain of $28 million after tax, or $0.23 related to that. So adjusting for the mark-to-market unusual items, we are on a clean basis at $104 million, or $0.82 per diluted share.
Looking at the box in the middle of the page, the guidance, as you recall, included Barnett Shale activity and so we wanted to put it on a comparative basis with actual results. The middle column there is our results including Barnett Shale but excluding the unrealized mark-to-market derivative losses and unusual items.
So Scott and Tim both talked about production did extremely well at 160,000 BOEs a day for the quarter. Production costs above guidance range, I'll talk more about that here in a minute. And then if you look at the rest of the items, for the most part they are in line with the expectations for the quarter, as we went into the quarter.
Turning to slide 23, on price realization, looking at the bar charts there you can see oil, we were up 1%, so essentially flat for the quarter. NGLs continue to have weakness so we are down 5% on the NGL front. And then on Gas, as you guys have seen the forward curve move up, we are up 30% relative to the second quarter up to $2.62 for realized prices.
At the bottom of the slide you can see the impact of the VPP's. As Scott mentioned that does go away after the end of this quarter. So looking forward to that being done and gone and adding the 3,500 BOEs a day back into production. And then you can see the impact of derivatives at the bottom as well.
Turning to slide 24, talking about production costs. Production costs for the quarter were up $1.54 per BOE, it's principally related to lease operating expenses in West Texas. As you guys know the activity level is high out there.
We have mainly four items that impacted us for the quarter, higher salt water disposal costs, I'll talk a little bit more about, higher electricity costs associated with the 30% increase in gas prices which is used for power generation out there, higher repair and maintenance costs for the quarter. And then as Tim talked about the -- on a per BOE basis losing the 4,000 BOEs per day of sales during the quarter impacted us on a per BOE basis.
On the salt water disposal cost, we did have two salt water disposals that were hit by lightning during the quarter that caused increment hauling which was at a cost, as well as incremental third party disposal costs. Those have both been fixed and those are behind us. But to further address the growth in the field we have added three new disposals out there during the month of October, and we drilled six more disposal wells. They are in various stages of completion but they should be up and running by the end of this quarter or early in 2013. So that should help bring these costs back to a more normal basis as we move into the first part of next year.
Turning to slide 25, guidance for the quarter, all this guidance does exclude Barnett as it's reflected in discontinued operations. Scott and Tim both talked about daily production for the fourth quarter being 154,000 BOEs to 158,000 BOEs per day. Production costs we have moved up the range just to reflect some of those costs will still roll into the fourth quarter before we see less salt water disposal costs going into the second half of the fourth quarter and in the first quarter. The rest of the items here are consistent with past guidance. I'm not going to go through each of those individually but they are there for your review.
And so with that why don't we open up the call for questions?
Operator
Thank you, sir. (Operator Instructions) For our first question we go to Dave Kistler with Simmons & Co.
Dave Kistler - Analyst
Morning, guys. Looking at the Jo Mills wells that you reported, can you give us any flavor for kind of costs and maybe what you guys are thinking about with respect to IRR's? And then lastly, you made comments about doesn't seem like that area is depleted from the vertical drilling. If you think about the 800,000 to 900,000 acres you referenced, do you feel confident that's something you can deploy across the whole portfolio?
Tim Dove - President, COO
First of all on your first question on costs. We have done some work to, of course we had a bunch of science on those first two wells as you might expect. We have done some work to look at normalizing the costs of the wells, excluding science, if we were to be in that 2500-foot range I think we would say they would be $4 million to $4.5 million. You start moving them out to 5,000, which I think will be the next wells we drill will be 5000-foot wells, they look like $5.5 million.
In terms of aerial extent, as I mentioned, the Jo Mill is ubiquitous across the play. We need to do a little bit more work of course from a petrophysical standpoint and what we really need to do is identify the sweet spots. And every shale play of course has sweet spots it's true, this play as well. Although this is a silty, sandy zone, it is surrounded by shales. So we just need to do some more petrophysics to exactly know where to go and where the sweet spots are going to be.
Suffice it to say, since the Jo Mill we have completed in several thousand wells, we have got the data, we just need to do the work on it to understand exactly where we are going to go with it. But it is a material well, set of wells, considering they came in well above our expectations for 2,500-foot laterals. So we are pretty excited about it.
Dave Kistler - Analyst
And just kind of thinking about that relative to the IRRs of the rest of your portfolio, it would seem like, based on those production numbers, that would be probably one of the more attractive things you are pursuing right now?
Tim Dove - President, COO
Yes, you would have to say that. Although I think at this point in time we'd say we don't have much data, we don't have much time under our belts on these wells. So we really don't have an EUR estimate and we certainly don't have an EUR estimate pertaining to the longer laterals in the Jo Mill. So on the surface of it with this kind of production, at least in the early stages, the economics look positive.
Dave Kistler - Analyst
Okay. Then maybe a clean-up question. With respect to the Barnett combo divestiture and your guidance, you take the production out of your forward forecast, but it doesn't look like CapEx is adjusted for that. When we think about the CapEx increase -- am I thinking about that correctly? That CapEx is still in there? And it represents maybe 1% of the $100 million?
Richard Dealy - EVP and CFO
Yes, the CapEx is still in there.
Dave Kistler - Analyst
Okay. What percent of the $100 million increase would maybe be captured by that?
Richard Dealy - EVP and CFO
Zero. That is all Wolfcamp. $100 million increase, strictly Wolfcamp primarily.
Dave Kistler - Analyst
And then just one last clean-up item. With respect to the $7 million well costs you talked about in the Wolfcamp. How does that increase when you start looking at 10,000-foot laterals?
Tim Dove - President, COO
The $7 million as is depicted on the slide is for a 7000-foot lateral. I think you get if you are at 10,000 feet right in the $8 million to $9 million range, something like that. We are drilling the wells very fast though as I've said, 19 days on a 10,000-foot lateral is pretty impressive. So I think it's a couple million more once you go out to 10,000 feet.
Dave Kistler - Analyst
Okay. Great. I'll let somebody else hop on. Thanks, guys.
Operator
For our next question we go to Cameron Horwitz with US Capital Advisors.
Cameron Horwitz - Analyst
Hi, guys. Good morning. You talked about last quarter on the Wolfcamp, the horizontal Wolfcamp flowing those wells up casing before putting on artificial lift. Did you do that with this last batch? And how are you kind of seeing -- are you seeing any kind of early indications there different in well performance?
Tim Dove - President, COO
Right now, we are actually focused on one particular style of completion. And that is the 200,000 to 250,000 barrels of water, 7 million pounds profit, 85% brown sand, flowing the wells up tubing, gas lifted. That is basically the style today.
Cameron Horwitz - Analyst
Okay. That is helpful. And then I know you briefly touched on it in the Jo Mill formation, but can you give us maybe just a quick compare contrast on the rock properties there versus what you see in the Wolfcamp?
Tim Dove - President, COO
Again, the Jo Mill is a sort of sandy, silty zone. It's more of a traditional reservoir pay zone as compared to a shale. We have done some micro-seismic on that well and it is very clear that the well is accessed by virtue of the frac probably some of the nearby shale zones. We have shale above and below the Jo Mill. We are doing a lot more science to understand that.
But I think we are actually accessing reserves in production, not just from the Jo Mill per se but also from some of the nearby shales. It is going to take us more time to really get our arms around that but clearly it is a significant resource. As Scott mentioned, the Jo Mill is one of the primary zones in vertical drilling over many, many years. It and the upper Spraberry have over 50% of the oil in place in the traditional way the wells used to be drilled. So it is a large resource.
And what I think we have proven as I mentioned is we really haven't been adequately draining it with 40-acre wells. Now compared to shales you have much better reservoir rock here. So you are landing the wells in the Jo Mill in the reservoir rock and perhaps, we're studying this more, actually accessing some of the shales with the frac.
Cameron Horwitz - Analyst
Okay. Thank you, guys, appreciate the color.
Operator
We go next to Leo Mariani with RBC.
Leo Mariani - Analyst
Hi, guys. Just a question here on sort of rig counts. You talked about going down to 25 rigs in the Spraberry vertical program. Is that kind of the spot we would expect it to stay -- into next year? I guess you guys talked about going to seven horizontal rigs in the Wolfcamp by the end of the year. Do you see that increasing further next year? Obviously, it sounds like you are getting ready to get a pretty decent cash infusion from the Barnett as well as the Wolfcamp JV. I'm just trying to get a sense of how you might deploy that money?
Scott Sheffield - Chairman, CEO
Yes, Leo. We are going to wait until we get our answers in December. Look at the current mall strip going into 2013 and forward and make a final decision on both the horizontal rig count. We would expect the horizontal rig count to be higher than a seven, obviously, with a very successful joint venture. On the horizontal side, we'll have to decide how many horizontal rigs to drill up in the Midland and Martin County where we own 100% of the acreage where we are drilling now based on those tests. And then we'll back into what the vertical program should be. So at this point in time, it could be 25, we don't know. We'll look at it. We'll announce our CapEx sometime during the first quarter, January or February of 2013.
Leo Mariani - Analyst
Got you. Okay. In terms of the Giddings wells that you guys talked about, looks like the production performance on those wells, extremely strong. Have you guys put out kind of an ER estimate for what you think the Giddings wells might be? Looks like they have kind of done sort of the two best wells in your portfolio there.
Tim Dove - President, COO
Well they are excellent wells. Realizing these wells are only 5,300 feet in terms of lateral length. You have to adjust for what eventually will be drilled in that area which will be more 7,000 foot plus. But at the 5,300 foot lateral length these wells look like they are probably 650,000 BOE to 675,000 BOE, roughly. Like I say, I expect to the extent we drill longer laterals, we will exceed that in that area.
Leo Mariani - Analyst
Got you. Okay. Kind of a question around the kind of senior convert notes that are coming due here, you guys talked about a cash payment and then some shares. I just wanted to make sure, so there is shares I think you said it was 3.3 million. Those are definitely going to be issued as part of redeeming those notes, is that correct?
Richard Dealy - EVP and CFO
Yes. How the convert works is we would pay the principal amount of the notes with cash which is the $480 million. And then depending on where our stock price trades around the redemption period, we would issue a number of shares at the [$104] level, it's about that 3.3 million shares.
Leo Mariani - Analyst
All right. Thanks, guys.
Operator
And we go next to Michael Hall with Robert W. Baird. We go next to Doug Leggate with Bank of America.
Doug Leggate - Analyst
Good morning, guys. I have a couple of quick ones, hopefully. If I could jump very quickly back to the Jo Mill, what are the implications in the 20-acre down spacing of a successful Jo Mill program? I'm just wondering if it is a tradeoff between one and the other. Maybe some costs on those wells would be appreciated.
Scott Sheffield - Chairman, CEO
Yes, Doug. Is that a Scottish accent there?
Doug Leggate - Analyst
I'm afraid so.
Scott Sheffield - Chairman, CEO
Okay. The, I think if the Jo Mill really plays out like it could in the horizontal Wolfcamp, then it is going to lead to more horizontal drilling and less vertical drilling over the next five to ten years. It depends on how massive the Jo Mill horizontal could be. So, the question is, we are eventually going to try a horizontal Atoka, going to try a horizontal Mississippian. And so the big challenge can you recover more oil long-term by drilling more horizontal wells? We don't know at this point in time.
But it is something that we are going to have to look at. And so we have to be careful of how many vertical locations we drill. We know we can drill them down to 20-acre spacing safely. They are probably only draining about 10-acre spacing. The new Railroad Commission rules allows us a lot of flexibility to drill a maximum of horizontal wells. But it does impact -- as we drill the current vertical well program pretty aggressively it could impact where we put our horizontals if the Jo Mill plays out. So it's just something we're going to have to watch and drill some more Jo Mill's like we planned on in 2013.
Doug Leggate - Analyst
What was the approximate cost you expect those horizontals to come in at?
Scott Sheffield - Chairman, CEO
Tim mentioned there should be around $5 million to $6 million basically depending on the horizontal length.
Doug Leggate - Analyst
My second question is really kind of a double-edged one. Forgive me for this one. I'm really interested in your discussion of your choke management in the Eagle Ford. You seem to have kind of thrown yourself into the middle of a debate there.
Because some of the I guess somewhat aggressive operators are running 34, I've seen as high 40/64ths on their chokes and the IP rates are pretty impressive. Now you guys are coming out and saying, well, we kind of prefer this approach. Could you maybe offer some thoughts around that? If you could layer into that what you are doing in the Wolfcamp by way of choke management? I will leave it at that. Thank you.
Tim Dove - President, COO
The difference that we are citing is the fact that we are not really focused on IP rates. Yes, we could flow these wells really hard. We could actually be substantially increasing our current production if we just got off the concept of choke management. We are really more focused on EUR, the long-term performance of the wells.
By virtue of the data that I showed from various wells for which we are comparing choke sizes, we think it is pretty definitive from an empirical standpoint that EURs is positively affected by basically choke management and I think higher choke sizes has the opposite effect. So you'll see us continue to do that. We're just really not really about IP rates. They really have very little meaning in terms of the ultimate recoveries of the wells. As to Wolfcamp, generally speaking we are bringing these wells on with I think 20/60 chokes and then we increase them through time. But it is really not a choke management process there, as much as it is just basically controlling the flow rates.
Doug Leggate - Analyst
Okay. Those three wells you showed in the presentation, were they all similarly completed in terms of frac stages and so on?
Tim Dove - President, COO
Yes. Essentially that's the way we would do this analysis. Make sure they are essentially completed the same and essentially the same lateral lengths.
Doug Leggate - Analyst
Great. I'll leave it there guys. Thanks very much.
Operator
We go next to Brian Singer with Goldman Sachs.
Brian Singer - Analyst
Thanks, good morning.
Scott Sheffield - Chairman, CEO
Brian, how are you doing?
Brian Singer - Analyst
I'm well. Thank you. In the Wolfcamp, the A well that you drilled. How close was the successful well drilled relative to an upper B well? Does the well say anything from the perspective of communication between zones? Could you talk to at what point you would test an A, on top of an upper B, or an upper B on top of a lower B to have confidence there is not communication between zones?
Tim Dove - President, COO
We haven't done the latter. We haven't actually drilled an A, on top of a B, as we eventually will if you start looking towards the future where you have stacked laterals. In the area we are drilling the two new A wells, we are basically drilling an A, and a B within 700 feet of each. So we'll have a better answer as to whether we see any interference as it relates to those new A and B wells in the north shortly. But it is going to take us of course as I mentioned a few weeks to get that data.
But we are just now in the process of developing the concepts of drilling closer, stacked laterals. We'll be able to give you a lot more data later. The fact is we have been spending a lot of money on science. We have a lot of micro seismic data from these wells and that will be the case going forward on these northern wells. We'll be doing micro seismic on those as well.
We'll know a lot about frac propagation and potential for any kind of interference issues. There is a theory out there that actually fracking the wells and having interference might be a positive actually. But we don't know that yet. The fact is we'll be gaining more data as we go through time.
Brian Singer - Analyst
Thanks. And in the Eagle Ford, how are you thinking about your activity level into next year based on the efficiency gains that you have gotten? And then the conversations you are having with your JV partner, and given that the carries are running out?
Tim Dove - President, COO
We are currently in the process of evaluating the budget for 2013. We haven't really determined exactly -- the number of rigs we are going to use. And as a result the number of wells really dictated by the number of rigs. The fact is, we are getting more efficient.
The whole premise of the plan for 2013 is really not based on the number of rigs per se, it is getting the number of wells drilled. I think it is very likely in 2013, we'll get by with less rigs to drill the same number of wells we otherwise had planned. Suffice it to say that is the subject of our negotiations and our discussions with our partner. Those won't be concluded until a little bit later this quarter.
Brian Singer - Analyst
You would expect your net CapEx then to rise, given that you've got less JV proceeds coming in next year versus this year with a flat well count?
Tim Dove - President, COO
Yes. The carry is essentially over here at the end of 2012. So to drill the same number of wells, again, we are focused more on wells than we are rigs. It is going to be a substantial higher net Pioneer costs. Those dollars are already being spent as we speak. But the vast majority of those are not our dollars. In 2013, we will be on more of a JV basis where we will have spending coming out of Pioneer account.
Brian Singer - Analyst
And then lastly, I know you don't want to put too many specifics on the 2013 program. Can you talk broadly when you think about where you want your level of spending versus cash flow next year and your expectations for JV proceeds? Do you anticipate any other asset sales of meaning beyond the JV and the Barnett combo sale? Or should we think about any equity as an option next year?
Richard Dealy - EVP and CFO
The answer to your last question is as I stated in the last call is, no. And the first part of the question is, the goal is to spend the cash flow with our budget and look at the proceeds that we anticipate to get from both the down payment, say 25% down on the JV, plus the Barnett shale. And I would anticipate that we would spend a portion of those cash proceeds over and above our cash flow for 2013.
Brian Singer - Analyst
Great. Thank you.
Operator
For our next question we go to Brian Lively with Tudor Pickering Holt.
Brian Lively - Analyst
Good morning. Can you guys put context around your expectations for the northern side of the Wolfcamp? Should we expect similar results to the Giddings Wells adjusted for lateral length? And, Scott, before you ask, yes, that is a south Louisiana accent.
Scott Sheffield - Chairman, CEO
Both Midland and Martin County look as good as the Giddings area. It is in the center part of the basin so all of our maps we expect and would hope would be as good as the Giddings area, both in Midland and Martin County as we drill these wells, both in the Wolfcamp A zone and the Wolfcamp B. And so, it would be similar depths which gives us higher reservoir pressure, which gives us higher recoveries. So that is what we expect, but we won't know until we start producing them. Give us a few weeks to months.
Brian Lively - Analyst
Sure that is understandable. And then moving back down to the south, with the various holes you punched around the southern acreage, can you guys just talk a little bit about the variability and whether or not it is like you've kind of proven up some core areas, tested the boundaries, et cetera.
Scott Sheffield - Chairman, CEO
The -- we haven't -- we just drilled -- I think Tim mentioned that we drilled what we called a couple of rocker B wells which are the further southeast wells in the joint venture area. They will be coming on soon, so that will be interesting tests. Most of our acreage is what we consider in the oily area, it's not in the gassy area toward more gassy where EOG and Approach are.
We are planning on some Wolfcamp D, lower Wolfcamp zones, Wolfcamp D. I think Tim mentioned, we'll have a lower what we call a B-3 or lower Wolfcamp from the upper standpoint it will be coming on. More A wells will be coming on. And we'll eventually be planning a C, in 2013. We want to get all four zones tested. Obviously, the better quality is in the Giddings. But we are still making very, very good wells in the center part of the joint venture and at the bottom of the acreage also.
Tim Dove - President, COO
Let me comment just briefly on one additional aspect of this. And that is it is a statistical play, so we are really looking at the mean of these wells as opposed to any individual one. But I can tell you if you look at the map on slide 11, you can see that some of the drilling to the very southwest actually has the least amount of production. Actually, that is exactly what we expected. What we are doing is drilling periphery of the acreage in the southwest. We've drilled actually as far as you can go on our acreage to the southwest. And as expected the well results aren't quite as good as when you go north of there.
What we have actually proven is our modeling and mapping is quite accurate in terms of the aerial extent of this play and the [prospectivity] on our acreage. So I consider that to be a positive that we are at a point where we can actually pretty much delineate the type of expectations from individual wells based on where they are being drilled. That bodes well for the future as we get out of this mode of just preserving leasehold and getting into development drilling where we can focus on the best areas first.
Brian Lively - Analyst
Yes. That's good context. Last for me, just in terms of the processing constraints that you outlined for the fourth quarter and the first quarter of next year. Are we to expect production from that, that area to continue to grow? Or do you think that is going to be limiting in terms of your ability to grow at least through the first quarter?
Tim Dove - President, COO
Well, we have clearly a lot of activity in the basin that's led to these facilities getting closer to capacity. I think the fact is we get in the winter period we do burn gas in the field for heating. And so, I anticipate if we have any kind of a decent winter we really not going to have a situation in which we have any kind of constraints that are all that significant. If we didn't have a very cold winter out in the West Texas area it might be more of an issue.
But I think what it will be -- we can cram more gas into the system. The real issue is as we do so we get less efficient and we will have lesser ethane recovery. This is a marginal problem; we get recoveries in that plant typically at 65% or so. So they will be moving down perhaps to 55%, or 50% in the case of more capacity being eaten up by additional gas. But there's really just a marginal issue and it could actually be alleviated by a cold winter. We'll have to see how that goes.
Brian Lively - Analyst
Thank you.
Operator
Our next question we go to Charles Meade with Johnson Rice.
Charles Meade - Analyst
Good morning, gentlemen. Thanks for taking my question. Going back to the Jo mill, I think you guys touched on this a bit. It sounds like those wells may have been just recently completed because the oil rate is still on the way up. Do you have a view that you'd care to share on where you think that peak 24-hour IP is going to go?
Scott Sheffield - Chairman, CEO
Yes, we are moving lots of water, also, low water. Tim did mention, I think they did have smaller frac jobs in these. We are producing a lot of low water and so we are not pumping, well I guess they are not based on the current choke size. We just can't get the system unloaded so they continue to increase -- the total fluid continues to increase. So it is going to take a while, probably another several weeks, just to watch it. So they have only been on about two or three weeks.
Charles Meade - Analyst
Got it. Got it. That is the color. But you don't have a sense on -- whether those oil rates are going to go up by another 50% or anything like that?
Scott Sheffield - Chairman, CEO
Just a week ago the 550 well was down about 300. It's climbed up pretty good in the last just 7 to 10 days.
Charles Meade - Analyst
That is really impressive. What --- how many frac stages did you guys do on those wells?
Tim Dove - President, COO
Those are basically each 15 stages or so. We are puffing 2.5 million to 3 million pounds of propant and only about 40,000 barrels of water. So this is a lot smaller frac jobs by design in the early stages of these wells as we are trying to understand how the fracs propagate. But I think it could easily be the case as we get out to 5000-foot wells you're going to get into the 30, 35 stages. And we could actually get it to where these are drilled and completed similarly to the Wolfcamp wells that we are doing in the south, potentially.
Charles Meade - Analyst
That is all very tantalizing there. Do you have, I realize this may be getting a little too far ahead. I know Scott mentioned that you are going to try horizontals in some of those deeper zones, like the Strawn and the Atoka Mississippian. Do you have a kind of a next candidate for one of the traditional field pays that you are going to try with a horizontal, like maybe an upper Spraberry or something like that?
Scott Sheffield - Chairman, CEO
No. Right now we're just getting our handle in looking to science, doing more geological work. And then we'll plan a couple more longer dual mill wells next year will be the next step. Nothing planned right now in the upper.
Tim Dove - President, COO
I will tell you, Charles, as you look at the logs though in the Spraberry field area, there are quite a large number of targets that are actually shales that look nearly as good as the Wolfcamp within the Spraberry section itself. I wouldn't put it past us at some point to test those, it's just not in the current plan.
Charles Meade - Analyst
Got it. Then last question, I think this will be a quick one. As you have more ethane rejection going on, is it reasonable for us to expect the NGL price realization to move up a bit relative to benchmarks because the residual stream is more biased to the heavy end? Or is that not something that we should expect?
Scott Sheffield - Chairman, CEO
I think you are seeing a lot of drilling out here and we are producing more ethane every day with these wells. The amount of ethane, this isn't rejection per se, I was referring to its really recovery rate is really not that significant compared to the new ethane being brought on production. Whether it is in the Permian or the Eagle Ford or other fields, ethane production is definitely on the incline. So I don't necessarily link what is happening here at all to higher ethane prices, for sure.
Charles Meade - Analyst
Okay. That answered my question. Thanks, guys.
Operator
Our next question we go to Eli Kantor with Iberia Capital Partners.
Eli Kantor - Analyst
Hi. Good morning, guys. Was hoping to get a little bit more color on your Permian opportunity set. You talked about 24,000 in gross vertical locations in the past. When should we expect to hear a horizontal Wolfcamp count? And I want to make sure that I understand your commentary earlier correct in that you don't expect any kind of degradation in the vertical inventory as you shift towards horizontal development, is that correct?
Scott Sheffield - Chairman, CEO
Yes, on your first part of the question, if you look at our total proved resource potential slide, we show the horizontal Wolfcamp 3.5 billion barrels of oil equivalent, 8,000 locations. And that's only giving credit for about 400,000 acres of our total of 900,000 acres. And so depending on what the two wells do in Midland County, those two wells in Midland County that we are drilling and completing soon, if they prove up, then we'll be substantially increasing that along with the Martin County wells. The second part of your question was?
Tim Dove - President, COO
The effect of vertical wells on horizontals.
Scott Sheffield - Chairman, CEO
Yes, right now we are still carrying is it 25,000? 23,000 vertical locations. Right now, we are in, and that is high graded, substantially. Right now, we do not, I mentioned long-term.
We could look at potentially the more we add on horizontal reducing the vertical. But right now we feel like they are very, very economical. We just have to be able to lay out a vertical and horizontal drilling program. If it turns out we're drilling four to five in the horizontal Wolfcamp, and we're drilling in the Atoka, we're drilling in the Mississippian, we're drilling a horizontal in the Jo Mill. And so the more you develop these resources horizontal, it will lend to potentially reducing the vertical program over the next five to ten years.
Eli Kantor - Analyst
Okay, great. And in terms of your northern Wolfcamp delineation activity, how many results should we expect on the Q4 call? And are you going to be testing both the A and the B zones? Did I hear that correctly?
Tim Dove - President, COO
Yes. The first of wells have been drilled, it's an A zone well. I'm sorry, I got those mixed up last time too. The first is a B zone well. The second is an A zone well. Those are just in the process shortly here to be completed and we put on production. So we will clearly have data on those two for the fourth quarter call.
At which point they move to Martin County, start doing some drilling up there. But to the extent that you sort of roll the clock forward, we'll have very little to talk about in terms of production from those wells by the time we get to early February just because of the time required to get them on production and see some production results. Most likely it is going to be the two Midland County wells. Needless to say it will be questionable how much data we'll really have on the Martin County wells.
Eli Kantor - Analyst
Okay, great. In terms of your Oilfield services, and equipment that you have in the basin, again, as activity shifts from vertical development to horizontal development, how much of your Oilfield services needs can be met with the 15 rigs you have in-house that the frac fleets that you have in-house and how much will be fulfilled by third parties?
Tim Dove - President, COO
Right now, at our current rig count in the Permian Basin, we are using 100% Pioneer green. As long as we were to continue at the current rig count that would be the case. We could also accommodate the additional three or four horizontal rigs that I mentioned coming on with our existing equipment. If we were to get into a JV case that went to 15 or 20 rigs and a substantial northern campaign, you'd probably need more and we'd probably bring in some outside services at that point. But for right now, our internal equipment is sufficing.
Eli Kantor - Analyst
Got it. Last question for me is on the horizontal Spraberry activity in the Jo Mill. How big of a program do you expect to have in the fourth quarter and 2013?
Tim Dove - President, COO
Right now we are evaluating the two wells. We are doing a bunch of science work as I mentioned in terms of petrophysics and we have actually got cores being evaluated. So we have a plan to drill a couple wells early next year in the Jo Mill following up on these two, probably in a different area and probably with a longer lateral length. But to say more than that in terms of activity, we really aren't going to chart out significant activity changes until we understand from several wells what the productivity of these are going to be.
Eli Kantor - Analyst
Thanks, guys.
Operator
For our next question we go to Sven Del Pozzo with IHS.
Sven Del Pozzo - Analyst
Good morning. Yes, basically, just got real couple of short ones. Relative to what you were saying before about being able to save on completed well costs by not doing as much R&D work for your horizontal Wolfcamp. Could you just help me to understand in layman's terms what you can afford to not do in your development mode wells on a risk adjusted basis that would make you feel comfortable with going into development mode without spending that extra money for say cores and correlation of logs and the cores and so forth that you understand better than I do anyway?
Tim Dove - President, COO
I don't know about that. But I will tell you that as we now are in the process of finding out more and more about the different zones we are drilling, and that would include going into C drilling, into D bench drilling, upper and lower Bs. I think we are finding we have to do more science than less as we understand the productivity from those different zones. And that is certainly true as you go into Jo Mill, or you go into Atoka horizontal. You are doing science on all these wells and you have to, to be able to understand where we are going with regard to how these wells are going to get completed, how the fractures are propagated and so on.
But suffice it to say at a minimum we put $2 million extra into these wells. The way you compute that is about $700,000 additional drilling costs principally related to pilot hole drilling, about $500 million for coring typically and then about $400,000 for both micro seismic and the more sophisticated log suites. So when you are all said and done, it's a minimum of $2 million that we spend to make sure we learn what we need to about rock qualities and then understanding where to go with the development.
Sven Del Pozzo - Analyst
Okay. And when you say moving into development mode, maybe I'm thinking that within localized areas or once you discover those sweet spots of which we already have a couple. It wouldn't be going into development mode everywhere, it would just be on an area by area basis across your large acreage position where you might be drilling pilots at the beginning and then moving into a development mode in that localized area. Is that fair to say?
Tim Dove - President, COO
That is exactly the way to think about it. These science wells in various locations in the field, because recognizing these shale plays aren't ubiquitous in terms of the quality of the rock and/or the performance. And so we do micro seismic work, we do coring and so on to understand the rock qualities in specific areas. Once we understand that and we can tie it to the other data we have then we are sort of done in terms of science and we can get off into development drilling. So you are exactly right. We have to have science wells in roughly each of the different areas where we are drilling to get a handle on these properties.
Sven Del Pozzo - Analyst
Okay. And then just a more macro basis for the basin as a whole, the Midland basin. You are seeing some Cline shale positive wells coming central/eastern Glasscock County than even other operators even farther north? I guess right now, are you informed enough to say anything about whether the client is also going to work on your acreage or just overall? How come most of the industry operators have drilled most of these B laterals so far in the southern Midland basin and we've seen more Cline activity to the northeast of you and also directly north?
Scott Sheffield - Chairman, CEO
Yes. The -- our data shows that the most oil in place is in the A and the B zones. That is why we are focused on the A and B zones. The D is very perspective but it is probably about half the amount of oil in place as the A and the B.
So we are focused on the A and the B. We will eventually drill D wells. As you move east where you are discussing the people are completing D wells, the A and B goes down significantly, based on our data points. And so they only have the Wolfcamp D, to go after and they're making, it looks like, some pretty good wells. So we'll eventually drill some D wells. But right now the A and B have so much more oil in place and that's why we are focused on the A and the B.
Tim Dove - President, COO
You'll recall we drilled a D zone well, a Cline well, effectively in Midland County a couple of years ago now it seems like. And the well seemed to be disappointing, it made 250 barrels a day on a very small lateral, about 3,000-foot lateral. If you look back on that, we have somewhat proved up the D in Midland Counties by virtue of that well. Now we'd have to come back and drill longer laterals and prove it up from the current style of completions. But that is definitely encouraging.
Sven Del Pozzo - Analyst
Okay. Thanks a lot for the -- for your effort in answering my question. And just finally I can even send an e-mail for this one. But were there any sales proceeds in the third quarter that came through?
Richard Dealy - EVP and CFO
Yes, we had in our unusual items, we had the closure of the South Africa transaction and we closed on a small other piece of land in Alaska that we called in our unusual items.
Sven Del Pozzo - Analyst
Can you give me a rough estimate of what the net sales proceeds were from that?
Richard Dealy - EVP and CFO
Yes. The net cash for South Africa was around $16 million after the -- we had gotten the cash flow for the most part of the year and on the Alaska one it was around $10 million.
Sven Del Pozzo - Analyst
Okay. Thanks, everyone.
Operator
And we go next to Mario Barraza with Tuohy Brothers.
Mario Barraza - Analyst
Good morning, guys. All my questions have been answered. Thank you very much.
Operator
And we go next to Gordon Douthat with Wells Fargo.
Gordon Douthat - Analyst
Morning, guys. Just a couple questions for me. First, as you ramp up horizontal drilling, to what extent do you have 3-D seismic coverage across your acreage?
Tim Dove - President, COO
Well we are shooting 3-D as we speak in the south still. We'll probably have that done early next year and have most of the area covered. A lot of areas to the north we already have 3-D.
Gordon Douthat - Analyst
Okay. One last question for me. You kind of hinted at this early in one of your responses earlier but I just want to make sure. As you get down to 25 rigs in the Spraberry, the vertical rigs and looking at your location count in that play with 4,700 puds booked. How do you think about those puds with the five year rule, recognizing that you are also picking up some of the deeper zones now and you are drilling a lot bigger wells with the horizontal wells?
How do you think about all those factors as we look into reserves as we head into year end?
Scott Sheffield - Chairman, CEO
Yes, we'll just have to over the next five years, manage the ones. We are adding deeper rights in several key areas in the program. That allows us by adding those zones, if we do lose them we can re-book them at some point in time, if you add deep rights as we commingle with the deeper zones such as the Strawn and Atoka. So we're doing some of that. And if we lose any because of the five year rule, then we've just got to replace them with all the horizontal wells that we are drilling which has a much bigger impact.
Tim Dove - President, COO
The way I would look at that also is these reserves we're talking about here are essentially zero risks. And they are essentially proved technically. So the five year rule really has nothing do with how proved the wells will be. They are already proved technically. That is just another insight I think.
Gordon Douthat - Analyst
Okay, and then as far as the deep rights go, is it your intent to cover your -- to scoop up all those where you don't have them?
Scott Sheffield - Chairman, CEO
We have gone from -- the last three to five years, we have gone from 50% up to about 80%. So we'd like to try to get it higher and higher, for our entire position.
Gordon Douthat - Analyst
Okay. That is it for me. Thank you.
Operator
And, ladies and gentlemen, due to time constraints this will continue include our question-and-answer session. Mr. Sheffield, I will now turn the conference back over to you for any closing remarks.
Scott Sheffield - Chairman, CEO
Again, thanks for all the interest. We're looking forward to the next quarter. We hope everybody has a great holiday. And again, our hearts and prayers are for the ones up in the northeast, hope all goes well with you and your families. Again, thank you very much.
Operator
And, again, ladies and gentlemen, this will conclude today's conference. Thank you for your participation.