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Operator
Good morning. My name is Tabitha, and I will be your conference operator today. At this time I would like to welcome everyone to the Park Electrochemical Corporation fourth-quarter fiscal year 2014 earnings release conference call. (Operator Instructions). Thank you. At this time I will turn today's call over to Mr. Brian Shore, President and Chief Executive Officer. Mr. Shore, please go ahead.
Brian Shore - Chairman, President, and CEO
Thank you, operator. This is Brian Shore with Matt Farabaugh, our CFO as usual. And welcome to our fourth-quarter conference call. Anyway, we will do our normal routine. We will start with some introductory remarks, then go to the Q&A. And Matt will get started with financial commentary.
Matt Farabaugh - VP and CFO
Okay. Thanks, Brian. Certain statements we may make during the course of this discussion which do not relate to historical financial information may be deemed to constitute forward-looking statements. Any forward-looking statements are subject to various factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from our expectations.
We have set forth in our most recent Annual Report on Form 10-K for the fiscal year ended March 3, 2013, various factors that could affect future results. Those factors are found in item 1A and after item 7 about Form 10-K. Any forward-looking statements we may make are subject to those factors.
I'd like to briefly review some of the items in our fourth-quarter and fiscal year 2014 P&L which are not specifically addressed in the earnings release. Please note that the fourth quarter ended March 2, 2014, was a 13-week period compared to the fourth quarter ended March 3, 2013, which was a 14-week period, and that the fiscal year ended March 2, 2014 was a 52-week period compared to the fiscal year ended March 3, 2013, which was a 53-week period.
During the fiscal year 2014 fourth-quarter, North American sales were 48% total sales; European sales were 7% of total sales; nation sales were 45% total sales compared to 49%, 9%, and 42%, respectively, for the fourth-quarter prior fiscal year; and 51%, 6%, and 43%, respectively, for the 2014 fiscal year third quarter.
Sales of Park's high performance non-FR4 printed circuit materials were 90% of total laminate and pre-preg material sales in the fourth quarter of the fiscal year 2014, 82% in the fourth quarter of the prior fiscal year, and 89% in the third quarter of fiscal year 2014.
Sales of Park's aerospace materials and parts were $8 million for the fourth quarter of the 2014 fiscal year compared to $7 million in the fourth quarter of the prior fiscal year and compared to $8.2 million in the third quarter of 2014 fiscal year. Sales of aerospace materials and parts were $30.4 million in 2014 fiscal year compared to $25.9 million in the prior year.
Investment income net of interest expense for the fourth quarter of the 2014 fiscal year was negative $45,000, compared to positive $113,000 in the fourth quarter the prior fiscal year, and negative $48,000 in the third quarter of the 2014 fiscal year. Net expenses in the third and fourth quarters of the 2014 fiscal year were primarily the result of the interest expense associated with the Company's borrowing under its credit facility agreement which was entered into during the fourth quarter of the 2013 fiscal year and amended and restated in the fourth quarter of the 2014 fiscal year.
Depreciation and amortization expense for the fourth quarter of the 2014 fiscal year was $782,000 compared to $1.1 million in the fourth quarter of the prior fiscal year and $1 million in the third quarter of the 2014 fiscal year.
Capital expenditures for the fourth quarter of the 2014 fiscal year were $344,000 compared to $257,000 in the fourth quarter of the prior fiscal year and $116,000 in the third quarter of the 2014 fiscal year.
Capital expenditures were $1.1 million in the 2014 fiscal year compared to $1.4 million in the prior year.
As reported in this morning's earnings release, the effective tax rate before special items was 11.3% in the fourth quarter of the 2014 fiscal year compared to 15.7% in the fourth quarter of the prior fiscal year and compared to 3.3% in the third quarter of 2014 fiscal year.
The US GAAP income tax provision in the fourth quarter of the 2014 fiscal year included non-cash charge of $63,958,000 for the accrual of US income tax on the undistributed earnings of the Company's subsidiary in Singapore. The low effective tax rate in the third quarter of 2014 fiscal year was due to higher portions of taxable income in jurisdictions with lower effective income tax rates and tax incentives associated with the Company's operations in Singapore.
During the fourth quarter of the 2014 fiscal year the Company had two customers -- TTM Technologies and WUS -- which accounted for more than 10% of total sales. The three remaining customers in the top five were Sanmina, Shennan Circuits, and Viasystems, in alphabetical order. The top five customers totaled approximately 42% of total sales, while top 10 customers totaled approximately 55% of total sales and the top 20 customers totaled approximately 70% total sales in the 2014 fiscal year fourth quarter.
During the 2014 fiscal year, the Company had one customer that was more than 10% of total sales; which was TTM. The four remaining customers rounding out the top five were ISUPETASYS, Sanmina, Viasystems, and WUS in alphabetical order. The top five customers totaled approximately 45% of total sales. Our top 10 customers totaled approximately 59% of total sales, and the top 20 customers totaled approximately 70% of total sales in 2014 fiscal year.
Brian Shore - Chairman, President, and CEO
Okay. Thanks a lot, Matt. It's Brian again. A little bit of a cold here so bear with me and my voice. Let's just go to the fourth quarter to be compared to the third quarter. I think it's pretty straightforward; you can look at the fourth-quarter. As we follow into the third quarter, the top line in the fourth quarter is a little lower. In the fourth quarter we had the Christmas/New Year's holiday and also Chinese new year. So that would kind of explain that. The pretax and operating profit bottom line a little bit better actually in the third quarter, but still within the range so I don't think worthy of getting into a deep analysis of small differences.
Sometimes the analysts ask us questions, so in case you do, in the fourth quarter the revenues were flat across the three months of the fourth quarter -- relatively flat -- that would be a December, January, February. That's all we are going to talk about in terms of introductory remarks in the fourth quarter.
But I think we should talk about the first quarter because we are in an unusual position. We actually have 10 weeks in the books for the first quarter. We have 13-week quarters. We've got 10 weeks in the books in terms of revenues and bookings. And I thought you should know that the run rate during -- over of those 10 weeks is $48.8 million. I just want to be clear what that means. That's not a forecast -- I just want to say again, it's not forecast.
We take our revenues for those first 10 weeks, we divide by 10, multiply it by 13. So this is kind of a mindless number. There's no opinion or perspective in it and there's no forecast. And who knows, maybe they will drop off a cliff in the last three weeks. I don't think so. But all we are talking about is the first 10 weeks -- those are facts. We're happy to report facts to you going forward. It's particularly more meaningful.
I know sometimes you get involved in these discussions that make me a little bit uncomfortable when we are doing the quarter based upon two or three weeks in the following quarter. We are trying to extrapolate, and I get nervous that -- who knows what it means. But with 10 weeks in the books and pretty clear indications to where we are going, I felt you should know that number.
We need to go back to fiscal year 2012 to see revenues of those kinds, but the other thing you should remember is that if you go find those quarters, the bottom line will probably the better. And why is that? Because you go back a few years we are involved with some things like aerospace start up, negative impact from aerospace start up. We also had our plants in Lynnwood, Waterbury, and China which are still operating, so a lot of duplicative costs that are eliminated.
So we couldn't have gone through all that difficulty with refocusing the Company -- all those kind of drags if you want to call it, P&L drags are behind us. That's why if you went back to one of those periods and looked at the bottom line you might expect the bottom line -- talking operating profit, pretax bottom line -- might even be better on a similar kind of revenue number. So, I just thought guess you should be aware of that.
And so that $48.8 million run rate -- it's not really related to aerospace so much. Aerospace continues to grow, but aerospace would probably be somewhere between $9 million in $10 million in the first quarter. Aerospace continues to grow, but the major impact was that -- a significant difference in top line is from electronics.
The bookings in Q1 -- sometimes we even talk about bookings -- not meaningful. Because we have such lumpy bookings, especially without a big jet company -- sometimes we book a lot all at once, so the bookings would be distorted high in the first quarter, so we are not going to talk about that.
I just want to say to the analysts, I hope we don't get too far ahead of this because sometimes we get in trouble trying to keep up with them, based upon information. But it's information I thought you ought to know -- again, we are talking facts here.
What's going on? Our opinion, anyway -- so there is something that is going on we think. It's not just -- we don't believe it there's a little temporary blip. It seems like there's some significant acceleration and infrastructure buildout especially in developing and emerging markets. This relates impart to 4G, China. A lot of this is in China, the buildout of 4G in China -- not call 4G. This helps or impacts our high-end digital product line but also our RF product line, which is our PTFE product line as well is what we call our Mercurywave product which actually has done quite well. That was introduced I think about three years ago and that is seeing some nice traction.
As far as our other new products which are -- -20 and Meteorwave -- trying to make sure I get those right -- Meteorwave 1000, 2000. -20 starting to see some revenue traction. Meteorwave -- I'd still like to see that to a little bit better, but I must say, maybe it's the broken record part of the story but it does seem to be a lot of momentum building in the OEM community regarding our new products.
We should talk about that big jet company that we keep talking about. Unfortunately, I still have to call it a big jet company which we haven't got the approval yet to mention their name. A couple of updates from our last quarter conference call, third-quarter conference call -- so we entered into an amended purchase agreement with higher volumes. This is contemplated; it's not a surprise, but we just wanted to let you know that was done.
We've also recently received a global RFQ for significantly additional opportunities going out to 2018. At the same time we've been asked to give her a proposal out to 2021. And if it sounds confusing, it is a little bit. There are a lot of things moving around. A lot of moving parts. A lot of new opportunities.
I mentioned last time we are working with that jet company on several development projects. Let me stop there for a second because those are really important for us, because they represent major opportunities. But also -- it's funny because these development projects there's three or four of them -- are in areas that we had on our bucket list. These are things we wanted to do for years, but I think realistically unless we had a partner like this we probably would struggle to get these things done. With a partner, it's quite a bit different and the pace has accelerated and I feel good about it.
These products, although they are being developed in conjunction with this big company, in many cases would be able to be usable by Park for other opportunities.
Let's see -- I mentioned things moving around. So, it's really hard at this point to give you much update on the quantification of the opportunity; so we won't. As I said, we have RFQ for 2018 but we will request to give our proposal 2021, a new amended contract. But I guess if you want my bottom line, maybe you do, I would say that things continue to move in the right direction. It would be very positive in terms of the relationship with that big jet company.
And those are all my introductory comments. Pretty brief this time. So, operator, I think we are ready for questions.
Operator
Sean Hannan, Needham & Company.
Sean Hannan - Analyst
Yes. Thanks. Good morning. So you folks are having solid growth in the aerospace business. It looks like on the electronic side, that's roughly 79% of your revenues. That, on an adjusted basis, may have been down 9% year over year? I think optically it looks like it was down 15%. If we adjust, though, maybe it's down 9%.
But it sounds like your commentary right now for the May quarter, we are seeing a pretty material rebound here, Brian. Is there some additional color you can provide around that, particularly as we look back at the prior quarter or two? Was there a period in terms of maybe downstream where you have been impacted in terms of inventory adjustments? How would you otherwise characterize some of the demands other than the broad themes such as infrastructure build out? Thanks.
Brian Shore - Chairman, President, and CEO
Well, first of all, we've always commented that we had very little visibility with electronics. I don't think anybody really saw this coming, but just coincidentally it started right at the beginning of the first quarter, March. So we are talking March, April, May. March was significantly up, April a little bit more than that, and May continues at the April level.
It doesn't seem at all like it's a little temporary blip; it doesn't feel that way. But we always have to warn everybody with electronics that the visibility is less than optimal.
This is really mostly an Asian story, also. Not only, but mostly an Asian story. So, we are talking about lots more activity in Asia. And the difference here I think is that manufacturing has always been a very Asian -- not always, but for 15 years has been Asia-centric. But the end-markets seem to be more Asia now with Asian OEMs. The names are changing. Not only the Western OEMs, the Asian OEMs, you know, the Chinese versions of Cisco, if you will -- [Huawei], ETE.
So it's becoming a little bit of a different story and there something that seems to be going on. People ask, well is it an inventory buildup? I don't know, maybe. To me it doesn't exactly feel that way -- at least not the main driver of it. Maybe there's some component of it.
People -- not just people, we ask probably eight times a day to our customers and OEMs, what's going on? How long will this last? And you know, the answers are -- whatever they are worth because often they are wrong. But the indications are that this would last until the end of our second quarter, maybe. Who knows? Some people say longer. Some people say a lot longer. When I say people, I'm talking about OEMs and customers.
But on the other hand, they could be wrong. We just have to always make sure we remember that. Forecasting is a very dangerous business in electronics. It's never been mastered as long as we have been in electronics and maybe it never will be. It certainly hasn't been yet.
So again, we are talking about infrastructure buildout. We are talking about our RF product line, that would be cell tower antennas for the infrastructure buildout, but we talk about our digital product line. We wouldn't really be talking about the base station or cell towers; you are talking about servers, hub routers, storage. That's the big infrastructure that drives the Internet and networks, that is needed for the Internet and networks, wireless.
And that, again, what is interesting is a lot of this stuff is being built in Asia but also being installed in Asia. That seems to be -- that's just interesting. It didn't happen overnight. It's not like there weren't any Chinese or Asian OEMs three months ago, but it seems like sometimes when things change in the industry -- I would just give you my observation; I could be wrong again. Like when there's some kind of wind change in terms of market going up or down, that's also when some structural changes might take place.
Remember in 2001 when the market collapsed for electronics -- 2001 and 2002 -- it wasn't just the market was down; the movement to Asia accelerated greatly at that point. The Asian -- there was already migration to Asia back in the 1990s. But in the early 2000s, after the market collapsed, it accelerated greatly. So I don't know if there is a corollary or anything like that but for whatever it's worth, those are my thoughts.
Sean Hannan - Analyst
Okay. That's helpful. And from a share perspective, I think that you have been fairly confident in the past that you had not been losing share, at least domestically. Want to see if we can get some updated views on that, perhaps is there even some evidence in terms of share gains or just perhaps even some momentum here to recapture if there was some share loss? Are there any thoughts you can have around that? And then I have a follow-up for Matt on the SG&A. Thanks.
Brian Shore - Chairman, President, and CEO
Okay. So I think we commented frequently that there really isn't very good market data for Asia. In the old days, the really old days when the market was very Western centric -- IPC, et cetera, had very good market data so we could calculate our share within 1%. Those days are gone so a lot of it is just based upon what we hear, anecdotal stuff.
So, I just want to comment -- certainly we have lost and are continuing to lose share [with that -- for our low end]. I think it's 10% now. At some point we won't lose anymore because it will be zero. But I don't think you are talking about that. You are talking high end. I don't feel that we have lost share in the West.
In Asia, though, with this difference, I think it might be a little bit of a share story for us, a positive share story. I don't know if it is equally shared because we got in early on some of these new programs that now are really coming into their -- hitting their pace. So maybe we were lucky in that regard. But other than that comment, and I am not sure this is seen everywhere throughout the world or throughout Asia, we couldn't give you any quantitative help on share information because it would just be wild guessing.
Sean Hannan - Analyst
Okay. Fair enough. And then perhaps for Matt, on the SG&A front, pretty low levels here that we report in the quarter and nice management from around that. Wanted to see if we could collaborate on the contributors to what that brought that SG&A down. If I recall correctly, there were some comments you had provided in some of the previous calls that you expected SG&A to start ticking up, and instead it was pretty good contraction this quarter. So I just wanted to get an understanding of the contributors here, as well as what wish as what we should expect for SG&A as we move through the fiscal year. Thanks.
Matt Farabaugh - VP and CFO
The contributors -- there's multiple I've items that are contributing to it. Some of it had to do with the level of travel and trade shows during the quarter. Some of it has to do with some of our sampling activity from prior year is down a little bit lower because it was actually at high levels then. But it is not entirely sustainable. I would say that you would probably see some of that tick back up, going forward.
Sean Hannan - Analyst
Okay. Is there a way to get a little bit more of a reference point here in terms of maybe if there is a specific quarter where we should look to for a more normalized spend level, or perhaps either as dollars or percent of sales? How should we think about that?
Brian Shore - Chairman, President, and CEO
I will just comment. I think the third-quarter number is probably better number. The second and third quarter numbers probably the numbers you want to be looking at rather than the fourth quarter. You can see like a $300,000, $400,000, $500,000 difference. Matt says when you get to that kind of the last $300,000, $400,000, $500,000, it's kind of hard to predict because there are little factors that can make a difference along those, kind of lines, $300,000, $400,000, $500,000. But I think we would recommend if you look back at Q3 and Q2 maybe.
Matt Farabaugh - VP and CFO
Yes. I think that is probably about right.
Sean Hannan - Analyst
Okay. So kind of in the 6.1 type of million spend-ish?
Brian Shore - Chairman, President, and CEO
It was 6 -- 6.1. Q2 was 6. Q3 was 6.1. Exactly. That's probably the better kind of range to be thinking about than the 5.5. But that's just doing the best we can to help you, because like we said, in any given quarter those little things, those $200,000 or $300,000 things either line up one way or another. They could drive the number up or down.
Sean Hannan - Analyst
Sure. Very helpful. Thank you.
Operator
(Operator Instructions) [Leonard Cooper], Private Investor.
Leonard Cooper - Private Investor
Hi, Brian. I'm looking at my notes from January 9, 2014, and I see three items. One is business aircraft. Did you mention that in your little discussion today?
Brian Shore - Chairman, President, and CEO
Well, we will take it one at a time, if you like. I think we talked about biz jets in the third quarter. Your memory is better than ours, but we usually go back with the transcript. That's how we know that. But we did mention that originally when we decided to focus in aerospace about seven or eight years ago, that biz jets was one of the real target areas and that we haven't walked away from biz jets, which are probably not the principal target area anymore, just because the market changed so much and the industry changed so much since we decided to focus on aerospace.
Leonard Cooper - Private Investor
Is there still a big inventory of used jets?
Brian Shore - Chairman, President, and CEO
I think there is. Yes. I think so. And the end the market isn't that great, either. So those are the two problems, is not enough buyers, especially for the middle to smaller size biz jets, and there are still some inventory -- quite a bit floating around. In 2008, there were a lot of people who owned these small to midsize biz jets that just had no business owning them, you know. They financed them on who knows what. And they all get dumped on the market and a lot of them haven't been absorbed yet. Or if they have been, at much lower prices.
So, the market hasn't been very strong to absorb the biz jets, and there is still some residual inventory left over. So it's been a little bit of a struggle.
Now when it comes to those larger airplanes like the Gulfstreams or maybe Bombardiers, that's a little bit of a different story I am told that maybe they are doing a bit better. There are always going to be some sheikhs and jillionaires that half the by the best Gulfstream -- whatever it's called -- 650. If their neighbor has a 550 -- that kind of stuff. There is always going to be a few of those people around. But the bread and butter for biz jets are not the sheikhs and multi-jillion mayors. It's small business people, middle size businesses. Especially in the Western markets, business hasn't been so good, and it is probably one of the last things people think about buying. So, I don't know. We haven't given up, but we will have to see how that works. What are the other two items?
Leonard Cooper - Private Investor
The Scorpion Textron flight program.
Brian Shore - Chairman, President, and CEO
Scorpion? That's going well. I think the last time they already finished the prototype, and I think they already had started test flight regime and are continually with it. We stay in touch with it. Our factory in Kansas is at an airport, so sometimes the airplane will fly in and out of Newton, Kansas airport to do its test flight so we kind of wave and look at the parts that we know were produced by us. I think at this point -- I don't know -- you probably got to ask Textron if you want to know more. But I think they publicly have stated that they are looking to do get some business for this aircraft.
Leonard Cooper - Private Investor
Last January I asked you a question and was really surprised at the answer. I said, is there enough engineering available in Park for all these projects? So I guess I'm asking, how is the staffing situation?
Brian Shore - Chairman, President, and CEO
I think the answer is probably no. And it still is, because we are just trying to catch up. We have brought on some engineers, but as we bring on one or two engineers, then there seems to be more to be done. So, I have the feeling we are always going to say we are not there. We are always trying to get there.
I think I commented on this a number of times on the last few calls, but the opportunities of aerospace are almost -- unlimited is kind of a funny word, but they are significant. They are certainly more than we could ever take advantage of and the limitation is not capital -- that's pretty obvious. The limitation is capability and a lot of that relates to engineering.
So, okay, let's say we brought on a few more people and we felt like we could digest this program or that program. But there are other programs. Would we say, we don't want those other programs? Well, probably not. But that might be a function of more engineering. It's not just engineering. There are other talents as well, of course. A lot of know-how involved that isn't engineering kind of know-how in that part of our business. But I don't know if you get the gist of what I'm saying is that no matter how much we do, we probably always will feel like we are not quite there, talent-wise.
Leonard Cooper - Private Investor
I understand that. A prominent word in the news these days is Russia. Does that affect Park directly?
Brian Shore - Chairman, President, and CEO
In a negative way. Not really. We wish we had done more in Russia, but we haven't really gotten very far. And we don't have any raw material supply issues that are really important, related to Russia.
Leonard Cooper - Private Investor
Is 3-D printing impacting Park?
Brian Shore - Chairman, President, and CEO
I don't think quite yet. I can't tell you absolutely not, but it would impact it only in terms of need for more Internet infrastructure. I don't know much about 3-D printing but my guess is there is an enormous amount of data involved in 3-D printing, so that data has to be stored somewhere. It has to be transferred somewhere. It has to go through servers and routers probably. So that would be my answer on 3-D printing.
Leonard Cooper - Private Investor
Okay. Well thank you very much, Park, and Brian.
Brian Shore - Chairman, President, and CEO
Okay. Nice talking to you.
Operator
Brad Evans, Heartland.
Brad Evans - Analyst
Good morning, Brian.
Brian Shore - Chairman, President, and CEO
Hi, Brad. How are you doing?
Brad Evans - Analyst
I'm doing well. Thanks. Thanks for taking the question. On the printed circuit material side, it sounds like the -- at least starting with your first quarter here, it sounds like what you've -- I guess as you have interpreted the demand pull that you are feeling, one part of it is perhaps a cyclical recovery in your end-markets and the other piece of it is a greater penetration of some of the new products -- the -20, the 20 SI, and Meteorwave family. So those new technologies are now being -- we are starting to see some of the fruits of your labor in terms of qualification of the new products?
Brian Shore - Chairman, President, and CEO
Right. Some of the products are more impactful than others in terms of actual revenue. Meteorwave -- I'm sorry. I always get these two mixed up. Mercurywave, I think, has been the most impactful of the new products. That's an RF product. That would be used as a replacement for PTFE, for base station antennas. But I agree with your statement, generally.
Brad Evans - Analyst
You mentioned the strength could last for a period of time. Could you characterize -- that must imply your visibility is improving. Could you amplify on that a little bit?
Brian Shore - Chairman, President, and CEO
You know, it's funny is people like talking more when things will be a little bit better. But it doesn't mean they are more correct. So there's the risk, and I always have to be cautious because having been in the industry for a while there's a lot of surprises. But it feels like it's not just like an inventory adjustment or something like that or an inventory recovery. It feels like it's partly cyclical, but think there's -- for quarter after quarter we keep talking about, when this is going to happen? When is the infrastructure going to start to get -- get to be built out? It seems like, boy, they are really holding off a long, long time. So, maybe there some kind of pent-up need as a result, but it seems like there's something going on and there's also regional impact, as I mentioned. It seems like it's much more Asia-centric than Western centric, not just in manufacturing but also end markets.
Brad Evans - Analyst
Okay. Well, it's encouraging to hear. Just shifting gears for second to the aerospace side of the business. I know it's very delicate right now in terms of being able to talk explicitly about customers or programs. But as time marches forward here, can you just talk a little bit about how you view the opportunity set of the projects you are working on today? How does that translate into your confidence level of having a meaningful impact on Park's financial statements over the next two, three, or four years? Is that confidence factor growing or diminishing?
Brian Shore - Chairman, President, and CEO
No. I think it is growing. That doesn't mean on a day-to-day basis there aren't some ups and downs, some good things, some disappointments. But I think it's pretty clearly growing. We've been talking about it for a while, but there hasn't been any change in that perspective -- at least as far as I'm concerned. Every month that goes by we see more opportunities. Some are real, put in front of us in terms of global RFQs and some haven't materialized into an actionable RFQ yet but they are things that we are being very actively worked on and discussed.
But I wouldn't discuss just casually, either. I mean things we are talking about are quite serious and real. And then the other question that I guess we have to ask ourselves, Brad, is, we are just talking about one company here. That's a big time, big situation, big opportunity, but what we are trying to do -- and this goes back to Len's question on resources -- we are also trying to also find a way to leverage ourselves into other opportunities, similar opportunities, maybe not the same exact size but significant opportunities. We are trying to discipline ourselves to have resources to be able to do that and not get so totally consumed, which is one large OEM.
But I would say that continues to be positive. I don't think we mentioned this, but I will -- the big jet company, we actually had our first production shipment the last week of February. All the prior shipments were -- it's called NPI for qualification or multiple programs. We still have some NPI shipments but now our scale is much more tilted towards production shipments. We have other programs haven't legged in yet. There is one major program [that way getting cut over]. Other programs still slated to leg in.
And when I mentioned things are moving around, it's kind of confusing to us to who are trying to short it out, because some are being moved up, some are moved back in terms of cut overs, so we are trying to get our bearings. But that's really a function of short term -- three months here, two months there. Long term, I would say, Brad, the feeling is still positive and increasingly positive.
Brad Evans - Analyst
Encouraging. I guess we all understand the limitations on engineering resources and human capital. So, you obviously have to manage through that. From a physical plant perspective, are capacity constraints near or on the horizon there is well where you might have to make a decision to expand the roof line in Newton?
Brian Shore - Chairman, President, and CEO
Yes. The answer is yes. It's really a function, again, of our discussions with this jet company because right now we are okay, but based upon what they want us to do, we are definitely not okay. But we are working through that. We have had many detailed discussions. There was a clear understanding about what kind of runway is required under how much lead time between the day we say go until the day we are actually shipping product that's qualified and everything else. So we are trying to work together on our timelines.
I think I also mentioned before that there is capacity, but also redundancy concerns on the part of this company as well as on the part of the big aircraft manufacturers because the idea of being sole-sourced with one factory is quite concerning when you think about the lead times to qualify somebody else. So it's understandable.
So there's two drivers, two capital-type projects. One is just capacity, like you mentioned. That's, again, mostly a function of our discussions with this big company. The other one is redundancy that is required in order to make these companies comfortable enough to put all their eggs in one basket.
Brad Evans - Analyst
Thanks for the additional color. Good luck, and we will be in touch. Thank you, Brian.
Brian Shore - Chairman, President, and CEO
We still haven't gone forward with the capital plan because we were ready to do it, but we just need to get some more information nailed down asked to what is needed, not only in terms of the quantities but also what types of products. And it's all the same kind of product, generally speaking. But there are different types of machines that are required for different subcategories, let's call them, of each product.
Brad Evans - Analyst
Okay. Thank you very much, Brian. (multiple speakers)
Brian Shore - Chairman, President, and CEO
The ball is in their court, basically.
Brad Evans - Analyst
Appreciate it.
Operator
Morris Ajzenman, Griffin Securities.
Morris Ajzenman - Analyst
Hi, guys. My question was touched on by the previous investor's question there. But let me dig a little further anyhow. 10 weeks obviously doesn't make a long-term trend but nonetheless could change in the previous, [more new trends]. But when you reach out to your OEMs that I guess can give you much better feedback on what their business recovery, do they give you any opinion that this appears to be a macro-led recovery coupled with [new] volumes per share or do you get any different sort of feedback from them in that perspective, from the OEMs?
Brian Shore - Chairman, President, and CEO
All of your answers to the question have been based upon those discussions. I would also say that 10 weeks is kind of a long time for kind of a blip or distraction, but nobody is telling us that. We are speaking -- I think I said, daily -- to key OEMs, key customers, a lot in Asia. And nobody has told us, well this is just an inventory adjustment. We are just kind of catching up here; it's only going to last another few weeks. Nobody is telling us that. But we've been a long around long enough to be careful when we talk to you because we know that the industry has been faked out in the past.
Morris Ajzenman - Analyst
Thank you.
Operator
At this time there are no questions.
Brian Shore - Chairman, President, and CEO
No more questions? Operator, there are no more questions?
Operator
There are no more questions at this time.
Brian Shore - Chairman, President, and CEO
Okay. Good. Okay. Thank you very much, operator. All right, so this is Brian again. Thank you, everybody for joining our fourth-quarter call. We will have our first quarter call probably toward the end of June, so then we can give you an update on the rest of the first quarter. And we will talk further at that time. Matt and I are in the office. If you have any follow-up questions, feel free to give us a call. Thank you and have a great day. Goodbye.
Operator
Thank you. Ladies and gentlemen, that does conclude the conference today. You may now disconnect.