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Operator
Good morning. My name is Shamali, and I'll be your conference operator today. At this time, I would like to welcome everyone to the Park Aerospace Corp. third quarter fiscal year 2026 earnings release conference call and investor presentation. (Operator Instructions)
At this time, I will turn today's call over to Mr. Brian Shore, Chairman and Chief Executive Officer. Mr. Shore, you may begin your conference.
Brian Shore - Chairman of the Board, Chief Executive Officer
Thank you, operator. Welcome, everybody. Happy New Year. This is Brian and welcome to the Park Aerospace Corp Fiscal Year 2026 third quarter investor conference call. I have with me, as usual, Mark Esquivel, our President and CEO, correction, COO, I give you a promotion there, Mark, sorry.
And just so, a little housekeeping stuff, we announced, released our third quarter earnings release or published our third quarter earnings release right after it closed. You want to get a hold of that because in the release, there's a link information to access the presentation we're about to go through. Presentation is also posted on our website.
So, we have a lot to cover. I want to get started. We have our dilemma. We have a lot of new investors, a lot of veteran investors, so how much we cover the background stuff is always a little bit of an issue. We'll do the best we can. Also, I just want to mention that we did file an S-3 registration statement with the SEC after the close as well. So, we're going to get started with the presentation. We have a lot to cover. Obviously, at the end of our presentation, we'll be happy to take any questions you might have. So let's plow ahead.
Slide 2, forward-looking disclaimer. If you have any questions about this language, please let us know.
Let's go on to Slide 3, table of contents, fiscal year '26, the Q3 investor presentation. We're about to go through that and then the supplementary financial information in Appendix One. We're not going to review that or cover it, but if you have any questions about it, please let us know.
As has become our practice in recent quarters, we're featuring the James Webb Space Telescope, runaway supermassive black hole, 10 million times the mass of the sun, that sounds pretty big to me, being boosted from its galaxy at 100, sorry, 1,000 kilometers per second, which is about 2 million miles an hour. Thank you, James Webb Space Telescope. The James Webb was produced with 18 Park proprietary SigmaStruts. James Webb is now orbiting, I think it's called Lagrange orbit, about a million miles from Earth.
Okay. Let's go on to Slide 4, our quarterly results. Let's just focus on Q3, where we just announced the sales, $17,333,000, gross profit, $5,903,000, gross margin, 34.1%, adjusted EBITDA, $4,228,000, adjusted EBITDA margin, 24.4%. We're not going to go over the history, but we provide it to you for perspective to Park quarters. I mean, what do we say about Q3? About our Q3, the quarter we just announced during our October 9, 2025 Q2 investor call. Sales estimate was $16.5 to $17.5 million, so we came in within that range. Adjusted EBITDA estimate was $3.7 million to $4.1 million, so we came in a little bit above that range.
I just want to remind you that when we provide you with these estimates, we don't do what's called guidance that I guess everybody else does, almost everybody else does. When we tell you, we give you an estimate, we are telling you, Mark and I are telling you what we think will happen. We don't provide any fudge room so we can reduce what we think by 10%, so we can come in and beat the number and be heroes. We don't get involved in that kind of stuff. So I just want to always remind you when we talk about our estimates, what they mean, what they don't mean.
Okay, let's go on to Slide 5. Quarterly results continuing this. The Q3 considerations. All right. We always have to talk about the ArianeGroup Business Partner Agreement because it has an impact upon our quarters. It gets a little tedious, but I think we need to explain it. We entered into a business partner agreement with ArianeGroup. Theyâre a wonderful French company. Weâve known them for about 20 years. Theyâre, I think, a JV between Safran and Airbus, a large company. That was in January of 2022, under which Ariane appointed Park as its exclusive North American distributor for their Raycarb C2B fabric used to produce ablative composite materials for advanced missile programs.
So this is a lot of people consider it to be the Cadillac of this category of fabric thatâs used for ablatives, I call sometimes, for missile programs. So this is why we have to talk about it because letâs just go into it. We had zero sales of the fabric in Q3. OEMs buy the fabric or stockpile the fabric because theyâre trying to protect their very critical missile programs, but they have to buy it from us since weâre the exclusive distributor in North America. The OEMs, we buy the fabric from Ariane, our partner, and then we resell it or sell it, rather, to the OEMs for a small markup, all right? And we donât even deliver it to the OEMs. We store the product, the fabric in our factory as a favor to them, I guess, because ultimately, they donât need it. They're going to give us the releases at some point to go ahead and take that fabric and produce the prefabricated material with it.
Small markup. I probably shouldnât have put this print in here because itâs not going to explain it. Even smaller as I presented considering tariffs. This is because we pass through all the tariffs, and theyâre significant, but you pass them through on a dollar-for-dollar basis. They go into our sales line, but we donât provide a markup on the tariffs. That would be kind of ridiculous. That actually makes the markup even -- percentage even lower, if you follow what Iâm saying. We sold -- so we had zero sales of fabric in Q3, and we had a little bit more than $1 million of sales of the materials manufactured with C2B product in Q3.
So when we produce the prepreg, that actually results in very good margins. So when we have significant sales of material, not too significant fabric, thatâs actually a plus for our bottom line. But the opposite often happens, and weâll talk about that when we talk about our Q4 forecast. We have a lot of sales of fabric, not as much of materials that will drive down our margins. Itâs all good. Itâs all wonderful. Itâs ultimately everything that we -- all the fabric that we sell to the OEMs and they stockpile, we will end up producing. Thatâs the reason we keep it in our factory. But the timing kind of distorts our quarter sometimes. Thatâs what we have to talk about, unfortunately.
Letâs go on to Slide 6. Total missed shipments in Q3, approximately 740,000. That numberâs up quite a bit. It was caused principally by international freight supply chain and customer spec and engineering issues. So what was going on here? Industry challenges are reemerging as industry recovers and programs accelerate. This is actually a good thing, good news.
After the pandemic or when the pandemic started, it was a mess because the supply chain was so screwed up, and after a couple of years, we kind of got back to something what would be more acceptable, which is okay. But now that the industry is recovering and the programs are ramping quickly, now the supply chain and the industry is actually getting a little bit behind the power curve again. Thatâs whatâs going on there. So actually, itâs good news. That impact of tariffs and tariff-related costs and charges, maybe Mark can help us with this.
Go ahead, Mark.
Mark Esquivel - President, Chief Operating Officer
Yeah. This is a very eventful update again, which is, I think, a good thing. We have minimal impact on tariffs in our Q3, just as weâve had previously. I think we talked about it. We price our materials on a short-term basis, most of our business, so weâre able to pass them on if we do get them.
The second bullet, possible future impacts. Again, this has been quiet again for us the last few months, or it seems to stabilize as far as whatâs coming our way. That doesnât mean there could be changes to that. But as far as the near term, I probably think the bullet would be pretty similar to the first one going forward in the next few quarters. But you just never know, but thereâs minimal impact for Park at this point.
Brian Shore - Chairman of the Board, Chief Executive Officer
Okay. Thanks, Mark. Letâs go on to Slide 7. We keep moving here. This is a slide that our veteran investors are familiar with. Every quarter, we share with you our top five customers, and we do a little picture thatâs associated with each of these companies, the top five companies alphabetically.
The 737 MAX, weâve said in the past we donât have much content on that. Thatâs actually NORDAM. Thatâs a WeatherMASTER Radome that NORDAM produces for the 737 product line. So what else do we want to talk about here? I guess maybe -- oh, the Valkyrie. Yeah. So weâve talked about the Valkyrie quite a bit over the last few years. This is a Kratos program that weâre on. But the recent news is the Marine Corps just selected the Valkyrie for its collaborative combat aircraft program, Loyal Wingman, sometimes itâs called.
So thatâs a very good news for Kratos and also for Park. The PAC-3, that is an AAA item. And the Airbus A320neo. Thatâs obviously Middle River. Sikorsky and NORDAM, we already talked about which program is associated with NORDAM.
Letâs go on to Slide 8, our pie chart here. The comment is always that if you look at fiscal 2021, which is really the pandemic year, the pie chartâs quite different. The other year is kind of very similar year over year. People ask if the military piece of the pie chart will grow. And it might, but commercialâs growing too, so weâre not sure. My expectation would be that business aircraft as a percentage would maybe shrink over time.
Letâs go to Slide 9. Park Loves Niche Military Aerospace Programs. This is a slide that we include every quarter as well. And these are not necessarily the biggest military programs we're on. These are just things we want to share with you. As we mentioned in the last couple of quarters, we feel less comfortable giving many specifics about these programs, but these are all programs that Park is associated with.
Letâs see. The only thing that I would mention in terms of recent news is the Standard Missile 6, SM-6. The program -- the Navy just awarded Raytheon a contract to boost the SM-6 production. This is all public, so you can look it up yourself. I donât think we need to comment on any other programs here.
Letâs go on to -- Sorry, Iâm going to find slide 10. Slide 10. This is another slide that weâve included for probably, I donât know, a dozen presentations. So a lot of you are very familiar with it. No real change to it. GE Aerospace Jet Engine Programs, major program opportunity for Park. Firm Pricing LTA from '19 to '29 with Middle River Aerostructure Systems, MRAS, which is currently a sub of ST Engineering Aerospace, a Singapore aerospace company.
But when we got on these programs, they were a sub of GE Aviation, now GE Aerospace. Thatâs why these programs are all related to GE engines or CFM engines. We built a redundant factory for them in exchange for agreeing to give us the LTA through '29.
What programs are we talking about? If we look at the bottom left side of the page, the first five are all A320neo aircraft family programs. They all have the same engine, LEAP-1A engine, which is a CFM engine. The 747-8, that airplaneâs no longer being produced, but thereâs still spares that were involved with Comac C919. Comac is a Chinese aircraft company with LEAP-1C engines. The C919 is Comac's offering to compete with the 737 and the A320.
On the right-hand side of the page, the C909, thatâs also a Comac aircraft. Thatâs a regional jet. That also has a GE engine, of course, the Bombardier Global 7500 Passport 20 engine. The picture here is the 747-8, as you can see, engine nacelles. We like this picture because it just gives you a perspective on the size of these nacelles. Everything you see there is made with Park material. A lot of what you do not see inside the nacelles is made with Park material as well on that 747 program.
Letâs go on to Slide 11. More on GE Aerospace. Weâre continuing. Letâs skip the first item. Second item, tank case containment wrap. This is for the 777X, GE9X engines, for the 777X. That's produced with our AFP material and other composite materials.
And let's go on to the third item, MRAS/Park LTA, which we already mentioned, was amended to include three proprietary Park film adhesive formulation product forms. And the last item, Life of Program Agreement, which was requested by MRAS and STE. Remember, STE is the owner of MRAS now.
And we've said agreement is under negotiation for a few quarters now, but this time it's on us because the MRAS team wanted to get together with us in December, and we said, look, we're really going to focus on this expansion, and this expansion is for their benefit. So, we said, can we delay the next meeting on the Life of Program a couple of months? And they said, fine. So, that went on us. We can't blame anybody except us. The fact that this is still an open item. As we said previously, we'd love to have the Life of Program, but we're okay either way.
Let's go on to Slide 12. Continuing with the update on the -- this is an update on GE Aerospace Jet Engine program. So letâs start with the A320neo aircraft family. Thatâs the big dog of all the GE Aerospace programs that weâre on. As of November 25, Airbus had already delivered 4,275 A320neo aircraft. And Airbus has a huge backlog of these aircraft, 7,900 as of, I guess, September. Thatâs a total of over, when you look at how many were delivered and whatâs in the backlog, a total of over 12,000 airplanes. Thatâs huge. And look at the delivery history here, the bottom half of the slide. We wonât go through the numbers.
You could kind of see what happened is that they were ramping up as the program was growing, and then hit the pandemic, and kind of hit a brick wall, and the ramp-up was slowed down a little bit. I think theyâre ramping up much more aggressively now. In December of 2025, they delivered 97 airplanes, which is a lot, but they plan to deliver even more. Youâre probably right about this, but the A320neo has issues with fuselage panels and also software that was caused by solar activities, which reduced the deliveries. Those issues have been resolved, but nevertheless, theyâre probably held back to deliveries in 2025.
Letâs go on to Slide 13. This is the key thing. Airbus is targeting a delivery rate of 75. Remember, we had 50, 51, 75 per month in 2027. That's obviously -- doing the math, a 50% increase over where we are now, which is a lot, considering it's a very large program. It's 50% of a lot.
On October 7, '25, the A320 aircraft family became the world's most delivered commercial jet that was surpassing the 737, and A320 aircraft family continues to rack up new orders. The game-changing A321XLR, we've spoken about this lots in the last few quarters. Maybe I won't go through each item, but if you have questions about it, please let us know. This is a pretty exciting, game-changing aircraft for Airbus. And this is part of the A320 Neo family. Just want you to understand that.
With the approved engines for the A320 Neo aircraft family, there are two of them. One is the CFM LEAP-1A engine. That's the program we're on. The other one is a Pratt GTF engine, PW1100G engine. We're not involved in the Pratt program, only the CFM program.
On Slide 14, we supply into the -- well, we just talked about the first item on the first bullet item, okay? Second bullet item. So basically, if you look at the market share of firm engine orders between the CFM LEAP-1A and the Pratt engine, and this is for the A320 program, of course, the CFM LEAP engine has a 64.5% market share, much more than half. And it has been that way for a while. The LEAP market share is much more than the Pratt market share, which is good for Park because weâre on the LEAP program and not the Pratt program. At that delivery rate of 75 airplanes per month, that 64.5% market share translates into a lot of engines per year, 1,161.
Just so you understand, this 64.5% is based upon all orders, all backlog for both engines. Weâre talking about thousands and thousands and thousands of airplanes. So itâs not a number thatâs easily distorted by kind of a small perspective, a short timeframe perspective.
Letâs keep going. The Pratt engine, unfortunately, continues to struggle with serious reliability issues. I just read an article this morning that these reliability issues are expected to continue. Now, for the LEAP engine, reliability has been a selling point. Reliability is a very, very key thing for an airline. Reliability relates to how much downtime an airplane has related to maintenance. So if these airplanes are down for maintenance or inspections for these engines, thatâs a real bad problem. If the airplanes are in the ground, theyâre not making money.
And airlines, their margins arenât that great. They cannot afford to have excess downtime. Thatâs why the reliability issues are a real serious problem. I donât know whatâs going to happen, but we might even speculate that because reliability continues to be a problem with Pratt and the CFM LEAP is doing well with reliability, that could drive the market share potentially even more to the LEAP side of the ledger. CFM has significantly ramped up production deliveries of LEAP engines, including LEAP-1A.
Thatâs really significant because we talked about supply chain restrictions, holding back the market, holding back deliveries. There were a lot of different things, but what was often mentioned most often were engines. So the fact that CFM is ramping up the LEAP engine is a good thing because that will help Airbus ramp up the A320neo program, which is, of course, what we want.
Slide 15. What are we doing here? As of September 30, '25, there were 7,900 firm LEAP-1A. See, that's what Iâm talking about. These are a lot of engine orders, firm LEAP-1A engine orders. So we were recently told that our customer was given an indication as to how many engine -- how many nacelles, basically. Thatâs where they produce nacelles. They need to plan to produce for this program. And we canât disclose that number, but it is significantly more than 7,900, significantly more.
The A320neo aircraft family program could end up being our largest program. Weâll see. But over the long -- over the course of the program, it could be. I donât know. Everybody has a different opinion about this, but Iâll give you my opinion, which is probably not worth much. But my opinion is that Airbus will be making these airplanes with these engines in 2040. Weâll see if Iâm wrong or right. C919 is a Chinese aircraft. Single aisle, we talked about that. It also has a LEAP-1C engine, LEAP-1C. And this is the single aisle to compete against the 737 and the A320.
Comac is expected to fall short of its 2025 delivery target. Not surprising. Itâs a Chinese company, so sometimes they have historically had some trouble kind of getting the programs up and going. Target shortfall, they say itâs caused by supply chain, whatever, international production issues, international trade production issues.
So I donât know. Letâs just go on to the next slide. I donât think we need to be -- well, letâs go on to the next slide. Weâre still on the C919. Comac is increasing manufacturing capacity to achieve production rates of 150 in '27, 200, in '29. Now, if you look at that juggernaut slide further down in the presentation, weâre assuming 150. Weâre assuming a top set of 150. But Comac is building capacity for 200 per year. Comac reportedly has over 1,200 orders for the C919.
Now, letâs look at the C909. This is a regional jet, again, produced by Comac with a GE engine, a different type of GE engine, of course. So according to the state-run Global Times, 175 C909s have been delivered. The C909 operating routes have expanded to 12 Asian countries, which is good because originally, these airplanes were thought to be China-only airplanes. Thatâs obviously not happening. I mean, Comac doesnât want it to happen anyway. C909 aircraft now carry over 30 million passengers. Thatâs a lot of passengers in these small airplanes. There were approximately 385 open orders.
So hereâs a good thing to talk about because this aircraft has been at rate for a couple of years. So it took Comac a while to get to rate, but theyâre at rate. They got there. Thatâs the key thing. So with the C919, maybe itâll take a little bit longer for them to get to rate. But my opinion, anyway, is theyâll get to rate and itâll be very good for Park. These are starting from basically zero.
So letâs go to Slide 17. The Bombardier Global 8000 variant, the Global 7500 variant. It was just certified and first delivery last month. The fastest civilian aircraft since the Concorde, 8,000 nautical mile range. This 777X with GE9X engines. The 777X test program has amassed a lot of hours, a lot of flights. Boeing reportedly has over 600 orders for the aircraft.
The certification test program is moving into phase three of the TIA, which is important. I mean, Iâm not going to go into what that means. Iâm not an expert anyway, but itâs an important step along the way to getting the aircraft certified with FAA.
Slide 18 is still on the 777X. Boeing now anticipates FAA certification entry into service and first delivery of 777X in '27. This airplaneâs delayed too, so we canât all just say, well, the Chinese are sometimes late with their aircraft. The Boeing CEO has indicated that 777X aircraft and the engines are performing quite well. Mentioned increased FAA scrutiny as a key factor in their certification delay. I think what heâs really getting at, I think he wants to be nice about it, is that the FAA is being a little stricter because of the issues with the MAX, the 737 MAX.
Why donât we go on to Slide 19? Hereâs some numbers. GE Aerospace programs. This is why we emphasize a lot because itâs a big deal for Park, the GE Aerospace jet engine programs. We wonât go into the sales history. You can see it here for your benefit. Q3 sales were $7.5 million. Our forecast for Q4, $7.75 million-$8.25 million, and for the year, $29 million-$29.5 million, just kind of adding down.
You can see that thereâs a recovery going on here in fiscal 2020, almost $29 million, and then it just kind of fell off a cliff during the pandemic. Thereâs been a real struggle to get back to that level, and itâs only now that weâre at that level this fiscal year. My feeling and sense is that this number is going to move up quite aggressively over the next two or three years.
Letâs go on to Slide 20. Okay. This is now talking about Park, not just GE. This is all Park. Parkâs financial performance history and forecast estimates. So in the top part of the page in yellow, fiscal year '26, Q3, well, we already gave you those numbers. And then we have estimates, forecast estimates. Remember what we said? This is not guidance. This is what Mark and I think is going to happen to the best of our ability. Sometimes itâs wrong. Sometimes itâs higher. Sometimes itâs lower, but weâre telling you what we think is going to happen.
Q4, $23.5 million-$24.5 million. EBITDA of $4.75 million to $5.25 million. Now, a lot of smart people are thinking, well, whatâs going on here? Q3 sales were $17.3 million. Q4 sales a lot more. Q3 EBITDA $4.2 million. So why isnât the forecast for Q4 EBITDA a lot more? We have a lot more sales. Well, you got to look at the footnote. Thereâs two asterisks. Forecasted to include approximately $7.2 million C2B fabric sales. So thatâs at small market, very, very light margins. And thatâs whatâs going on here. Thatâs what you need to understand. Thatâs why, with those kinds of sales, weâre not seeing much higher EBITDA numbers.
And then while weâre at it, letâs look at the total forecast for '26. This is just adding down, taking into account the Q4 forecast. $72.5 million-$73.5 million. And hereâs your EBITDA number. And again, look at the footnote, three asterisks. Forecasted to include approximately $9.8 million of C2B fabric sales, mostly in Q4, it looks like. All right?
Okay. Letâs go on to Slide 21. So this is just some history on the right-hand column. The '26 forecast estimate included. The estimate we just went over with you, so we wonât go over that again. I think whatâs interesting is look at the top line of sales. Starting in '17, '18, '19, '20, went up $10 million approximately per year from '17 to '20, and then it fell off a cliff. Because there you have the pandemic and the supply chain issues and the industry chaos that resulted for a long time.
And even last year in 2025, we still had barely gotten back to that fiscal '20 number. Now we start to see in fiscal '26, we start to see some acceleration getting out of that rut that the industry has been in for a long time, like five years. Itâs been a long five years, I would say. So it is what it is, but itâs been a long five years.
Letâs look at the notes down here. Supply chain limitations affecting your airplane industry. Thatâs what we just discussed when we looked at the sales numbers, ramping up the cost for the juggernaut, and again, reminding you, the fiscal 2025 sales include $7.5 million of C2B fabric, and the '26 sales include $9.8 million of C2B fabric. Very important to understand those things, okay? Until now, I should just go back and say the OEMs have been stockpiling lots and lots of C2B fabric, much more than what weâre producing in terms of how that would translate into producing, meaning producing prepreg with the C2B fabric.
So letâs go on to Slide 22. Change of gears a little bit. Our buyback authorization and activity, an update. Okay, so we announced in May 2022, our Board authorized the purchase of 1.5 million shares of our common stock. Under this authorization, Park has purchased a total of 718,000 shares of its common stock at an average price of $12.94. So you have to say weâre some kind of geniuses, considering what stock price is now. I mean, I donât know what you think, but we probably should be invited on CNBC or maybe to talk and be a guest lecturer at Wharton School of Economics. Letâs keep going. We donât have to talk about -- well, except that we didnât buy any stock in Q2 or Q3. We havenât bought any stock so far in Q4.
Letâs go on to Slide 23. Trying to rush here a little bit. Sorry. Our balance sheet, cash, and very incredible cash dividend history. We have zero long-term debt, $63.6 million of cash at the end of Q3, 41 consecutive years of uninterrupted regular quarterly cash dividends, and now paid $608.6 million or $29.725 per share in cash dividends since the beginning of 2005. Weâre kind of sneaking up on that $30 per share number. Park founders always kind of like to include this photo with the cash dividend history because this is really the beginning of Park when we really had almost nothing. We started with basically nothing.
Letâs go on to Slide 24. Itâs a lot of money, a lot of dividends, I would say, for a company that started with basically nothing. Slide 24. Financial outlook for GE Aerospace Jet Engine Programs, the juggernaut. Weâve used that term for a while now. Timing, weâre not sure. The juggernaut is coming at us now with a capital NOW. Canât be stopped. Better be ready.
Letâs go on to slide 25. Iâm rushing a little bit. I just want to stop and say for a second, for some of you new shareholders, if you want a more detailed explanation of some of these things, please just call us. Weâre happy to go over these items in more detail. Weâre kind of rushing through them. We just want to get to some of the newer items toward the end of the presentation.
Slide 25. So weâre talking about engines per year assumptions, and there is a footnote explaining how we came up with those assumptions. Revenue per engine. Sorry, that information is provided to us by our customer, and the annual revenue per program, just multiplying across. And we end up with a total of $61.8 million at the outlook year.
So a couple of notes here. Our revenue per engine unit estimates are updated. Weâve been given updated information from our customer, and hereâs something we havenât really touched on. Why the engine units per year assumptions may be conservative. Letâs just try to explain this quickly, so A320neo, letâs look at that one. We have 1,080 engines weâre talking about per year. Thatâs based upon 75 airplanes per month, two engines per airplane, a 60% market share for LEAP. Just do the math. Thatâs 1,080. All right?
So thatâs based on how many LEAP -- how many A320 airplanes will be built with LEAP engines. Do you think that every engine and cell structure thatâs produced will end up on those engines? That would be a really ideal situation, but thereâs something called scrap and fallout and things get rejected sometimes. Weâre not taking that into account at all. Weâre not taking spares into account either. So thatâs why this assumption about engine units per year might be a little conservative. I just want to touch on that, okay?
Slide 26. We donât have to go over this. These are all footnotes related to how we computed the numbers and did the math on Slide 25. Letâs keep going. Okay. Now weâre going to change gears completely. War and peace, Parkâs new juggernaut. Actually, that term, the new juggernaut, came from one of our investors. We liked it, so we decided to stick with it.
Some of this is a review from last quarter. Some of itâs a little new. Unprecedented demand for missile systems. Missile system stockpiles have been seriously depleted by the wars in Europe and the Middle East. Thereâs an urgent need to replenish those depleted missile system stockpiles. According to Wall Street Journal reporting, the Pentagon is pushing defense OEMs to double or even quadruple missile system production on a breakneck schedule. Thatâs a direct quote, obviously.
The list of Pentagon targeted missile systems include the Patriot missile system, the LRASM, and the SM-6, Patriot probably being a particular priority. Park actively participates in all of those missile systems. Review of and update on the Patriot missile defense system. Thatâs the big one for us. Also, we focus on it because itâs public. Weâre not providing any confidential inside information. Everything weâre providing you is based upon public information. Thereâs just lots and lots of public information about the Patriot missile system. President Trump talks about it sometimes.
The large deployment of PAC-3 Patriot missile defense systems, largest, sorry, in history, occurred in response to Iranâs ballistic missile strikes on our Forward Air Base in Qatar. That was, I guess, a few months ago after we bombed Iran, bombed our nuclear sites.
On Slide 28. So what happened here is we moved the Patriot missile systems to Qatar in anticipation of this attack from South Korea and Japan. But I donât know if South Korea and Japan are so happy about that. The Department of War wants a very significant increase in Patriot missile stockpiles in Asia. So we just took a lot of them out of Asia. So obviously, weâve got a problem on our hands in terms of Patriot missile systems availability.
Israelâs and Ukraineâs supplies of Patriot missile systems have been seriously depleted as a result of those wars. Recent news from US defense OEMs, including RTX, Boeing, Lockheed, L3, indicating significant ramp-up of Patriot missile system production. Itâs apparent that US plans to do much more than just replenish the depleted stockpiles. On September 3, 2025, Lockheedâs Missile and Fire Control Division received its biggest contract in history, a $9.8 billion award from the US Army. Thatâs the branch that uses the Patriot systems for about 2,000, just a little less than 2,000 Patriot missiles. Itâs a lot.
Slide 29. Hereâs some big stuff. Slide 29. All new. On January 6, 2025, what was that? About a week ago? Yeah, about a week ago. Lockheed announced it reached a seven-year agreement. This is all being driven by the Department of War, with the US Department of War to increase its Patriot PAC-3 missile segment enhancement, MSE Interceptor. These are basically Patriot missiles.
Production to a capacity from 600 to 2,000. 600 to 2,000. Did you see that number? Over the last two years, this is even more interesting in a way. Lockheed already increased its production of Patriot PAC-3 Interceptors by 60%. So do the math. If it was increased by 60% to get to 600, that means it was 375, two years ago. So weâre going from, Iâm just doing the math, 375 to 2,000. You get those numbers? Itâs kind of unheard of. Unheard of.
The new seven-year agreement framework is designed to encourage Lockheed and its suppliers to make the capital investments necessary. This is a theme again for the Department of War. They want the Defense Department to be making capital investments rather than paying dividends and buybacks and stuff like that, necessary to boost production capacity to levels needed to support the dramatically increased PAC-3 missile program requirements. Do we need encouragement? No. We donât need any encouragement. Weâre already building our factory. Weâll get to that in a minute. Weâre planning to build a factory to support this program.
Lockheed reportedly supplied PAC-3 missile supplies, sorry, missile systems to the US and 16 other countries. There are a lot of countries that want this system and arenât getting it right now. Breaking news. This is this morning. The US Department of War is investing $1 billion in L3Harris solid rocket business. Thatâs Aerojet, to boost critical solid rocket production for Patriot and other missile systems.
This is a separate -- a new separate publicly traded company will be created in connection with this investment. This is a big deal, and itâs a big deal for Park as well. But you see whatâs going on here? This is the Department of War driving all this stuff. Itâs a new world order, as we say later on in the presentation.
Letâs go to slide 30. The story continues. So what do we have to do with the Patriot missile system? Park supports for the Patriot missile system with specialty ablative materials produced with ArianeGroup. Thereâs an ArianeGroup name again. Their proprietary C2B fabric. This one probably should be in bold, but weâre trying to be modest about it. Park is sole source qualified for specialty ablative materials on the PAC-3 missile system program.
You just think about that and think about all we just talked about, what we discussed regarding this program. Park has recently been asked to increase our expected output, especially ablative materials for the program, by a significantly larger magnitude. So how are we going to do that? Weâll fully support this request with the additional manufacturing capacity provided by Parkâs major facilities expansion discussed below. We didnât need any incentive or encouragement. Weâre already there.
Okay, letâs keep going. Now weâre going to go back and talk about the ArianeGroup a little bit more, not from the perspective of how it affects our quarters from a kind of bigger picture perspective. We have agreements with ArianeGroup, that really wonderful French aerospace company, JV between Airbus and Safran, relating to their proprietary C2B fabric used by Park to produce ablative composite materials for the Patriot missile system and other missile systems.
Then we entered into a business partner agreement. Thatâs what they call it. They refer to us as their partner. Very nice. With ArianeGroup in January 2022, under which ArianeGroup appointed Park as its exclusive North American distributor of their C2B fabric. Now, that was a 50/50 deal. Park -- this advance is to be used by ArianeGroup to increase its C2B manufacturing capacity in Europe. So they kicked in the same amount. We went 50/50 on this investment to increase their capacity in Europe, and we already paid our first installment of that amount. Sorry.
ArianeGroup and Park are partnering on a study to investigate the economic and other considerations relating to potential establishment of a major C2B fabric manufacturing facility in the US. Park committed to contribute, again, itâs a 50/50 deal, EUR 350,000 to the study. We expect that amount to be expensed in our Q4. Originally, we said Q3. Itâs probably Q4, but thatâs another 50/50 deal. This is something weâre partnering on this study. At the bottom, Park is engaged in ongoing discussions with ArianeGroup relating to potentially significantly increasing C2B fabric manufacturing capacity in the US to support critical Department of War missile programs, including the Patriot missile system program.
Itâs very important that we highlight this because thereâs a significant need for much more C2B fabric capacity. So itâs very important that this additional capacity be installed to support these programs as they ramp up aggressively.
Letâs go on to Slide 32. So weâve referenced the Patriot missile systems. Iâm already explaining this a little bit above because theyâre very high profile, well-known, numerous other critical missile programs currently in production or in development, which Park is actively supporting. Unfortunately, many of these programs are too confidential or sensitive for us to identify at this time. But please understand that certain of these programs represent very significant revenue opportunities for Park over long periods of time.
So last thing on war and peace. How about the US defense industryâs new world order? We already talked about this a little bit. President Trump wants to increase the US defense budget to $1.5 trillion with a T in order to build our dream military. So this is a two-edged sword for the defense industry. Itâs being, what is it? Somebody give us and take us away. Hereâs the take us away. But according to President Trump, the defense industry needs to get its act together.
So buybacks, dividends. No, why donât you invest in defense programs? CEO, even CEO pay limits. So thereâs been a real issue with the aerospace industry generally, programs getting -- being not on time and not on budget. And I think that the Department of War doesnât really like that very much. Theyâre asking the defense industry to kind of get its act together. What do we think about the new world order? We think itâs great. Park thinks itâs great. We think itâs wonderful.
Slide 33. Okay, letâs talk about our new plant. Sorry, itâs going on so long. Iâm rushing, as you probably can hear through this as quickly as I can. Parkâs new major new composite materials manufacturing plant. So now weâre going to give you a little bit more information about this new plant. Weâre planning to build a major new composite material manufacturing plant. New plant is being designed to be fully functioning and integrated, a fully functioning, sorry, and integrated composite material manufacturing plant. It will include the following manufacturing line: solution screening, hot melt film, hot melt tape, confidential manufacturing lines and support equipment.
The new plant will also include full production, lab facilities, office space, storage, and freezer and ancillary equipment necessary to support all plant manufacturing activities and operations. So itâs like a fully integrated plant with everything thatâs needed. The new plant is being designed to produce Parkâs, to produce and support Parkâs complete composite materials product line, including film adhesives and lightning strike materials.
Slide 34, but the plant is not being designed currently anyway to produce our composite parts, structures, and assemblies, okay? Plant size, itâs getting pretty big, 120,000 sq ft. This could change, but thatâs our current guesstimate on the plant size. When the plant is complete and operational, and get this, new plant will approximately double Parkâs current composite materials manufacturing capacity. So thatâs -- you can see why the plant is that big.
When will the new plant be completed? We have some internal discussion about that, maybe debate. Letâs just say for now, the second half of calendar 2027. When weâll be operational, what do we mean by operational? Not fully ramped up. That means weâre producing and selling some product, some product thatâs been qualified for production and sale. Maybe second half of, letâs say, calendar '28 would be a target for when the plant will be operational.
Estimated capital budget for new plant, approximately $50 million. Whatâs the timing of the capital spend on the plant? Again, this is plenty in flux. At this point, fiscal year '27, thatâs the coming fiscal year, probably 60% of that money. Fiscal year '28, maybe 30% of the money. Fiscal year '29, maybe 10% of the money. Thatâs how the money will be going out the door.
How will we fund the capital spend for the new plant? Well, with our cash, with our cash flow, and to some extent from the offering that we just announced, if that offering is successful. But is a new plant project dependent on the public offering discussed below? Absolutely not. Weâre doing this. Thereâs no question about it. Nothing has to be decided. Itâs going to be done. Weâre just finishing the planning. Itâs not dependent on anything. Itâs something weâre committed to doing for very good reasons for Park and for our investors.
Okay, letâs go on to Slide 35. Still on the new plant. Where will the new plant be located? We have a finalist location in Midwest, but weâre still waiting for approvals from local community, economic development. These things for us go much more slowly than we like. Why are we building this new plant? Thatâs obviously the $64,000 question, or maybe the $50 million question. Our juggernauts plural, both our juggernauts weâve talked about require it. Our long-term business and sales outlooks require it. Significant additional composite materials manufacturing capacity is required to support our juggernauts and long-term business and sales outlooks.
Weâre doing this to ensure we continue to have the manufacturing capacity needed for Park to be Park. Weâre doing this to ensure Park is able to continue to be the company of yes, the can-do company, the yes-we-can company. Weâre not looking to become a mill. Weâre not going to abandon how we got here. Why we have the great, in my opinion, success we have. Why we have more opportunities than we could ever handle.
So it would be really foolish for us to abandon how we got here and become a mill company where we just run our factory like a mill, and then somebody -- a customer wants something. Okay, we can help you out maybe a year from next month. Iâm not exaggerating. Thatâs really what happened in this industry. Thatâs not for us.
Letâs go on to Slide 36. What are our calling cards? Flexibility, responsiveness, and urgency. So weâre doing this to ensure Park is able to continue to do those things which got us here. It would be a very unfortunate mistake for us to abandon the things which got us here. A very bad mistake. So our new plant needs to be designed with being Park in mind, meaning being flexible, being responsive, having urgency, saying, yes, we can. You need something. Weâre going to move everything around. We just talked yesterday, maybe Friday, about whatever large customers, they want to move so many things around.
If it was any other supplier, weâd say, well, sorry. We donât ever say sorry. Sure, weâll move everything around. A lot. It requires us to juggle a lot. It requires production to juggle a lot. But thatâs what we do for a living, okay? And thatâs why we have the success that we have, in my opinion.
When our new manufacturing plant is complete and fully operational, what will Parkâs total composite materials manufacturing capacity be? Well, itâs a question that isnât so easy to answer. It depends on how do you define manufacturing capacity. Park being Park manufacturing capacity, that means run the business the way we want to run it so we have that maximum flexibility, responsiveness, and urgency. If we run a factory like a mill, I just plan it six days a week, 24 hours a day, we could do that, but then our flexibility is almost nil.
But Park being Park manufacturing capacity, maybe about $220 million. Park being Park manufacturing capacity, but pushing it to some extent, still being Park, but pushing it to some extent, about $260 million. These are preliminary estimate numbers weâve been asked by a number of investors. Please give us some help here. Please give us some perspective. On the manufacturing capacity, the maximum sustainable manufacturing capacity, this is what we donât want, would be about $315 million or $320 million. Thatâs not what we want, okay? So when you ask, and we havenât asked what the manufacturing capacity is, we have to say, well, it depends on what you mean by that.
Letâs go on to slide 37. And I just want to say these are numbers weâre working on. Weâre doing a massive amount of work, Mark and the guys on the expansion plan. So a lot of work has been done, but weâre not quite finished with everything. And even after weâre finished, things can move. Mix can change and things like that, which will affect capacity and sales.
Slide 37. Parkâs long-term sales outlook for composite materials, including film adhesive materials and lightning strike protection materials. So we got to say again, what does this mean? Our number is approximately $200 million. $200 million, okay? But how is this outlook computed? Itâs really important to understand what this means because itâs not a forecast. Itâs an outlook. And this is how this outlook was computed. With line items that are known items. These are known sales, unknown programs, unknown customers. Thereâs no other category.
Thereâs all line items of known opportunities, known customers, known programs. Thatâs how itâs computed. Thatâs what that outlook includes. What does it not include? So do you think that in the next three or four years, will there be no other opportunities like six months from now or a year from now or tomorrow? Weâll get a call from an OEM about a program they want us to work on. My guess is itâll probably be tomorrow because weâre getting so many opportunities. Theyâre not including any of that, which we donât know what comes.
So itâs important you understand itâs not a forecast. Itâs just an outlook of how with the methodology that we use. What are the high and low risk of the outlook? So I think we feel pretty confident about the line items in the forecast. But itâs possible that weâll either be on those programs or weâll get in those programs. Those programs will be ours. But itâs possible those programs wonât pan out to the level that weâre being told by our customers.
Maybe they wonât be as strong. Maybe itâll take them longer to ramp up. I donât know. Itâs possible. So thereâs risk on the low side. What about the high side? The high side is all those things we just talked about, things we donât know yet that are definitely going to come. Thereâs no way -- we donât even use -- we havenât provided another category in our forecast or outlook, rather, the way we computed it. Just things we know about.
Whatâs the target year for the outlook? Well, thatâs another controversial question internally. I think weâre saying fiscal year '31. And Iâll tell you, I would say the end of fiscal year '31. Fiscal year '31 sounds like a long time from now, but it starts four years from now. That means for us to be able to be at that level, everything has to be ramped up. The plant would have to be fully built and the new plant and qualified. All the programs have to be qualified. And weâd have hired all the people, all the staffing, and weâre fully ramped up.
So to me, to do that in four years, thatâs a little aggressive. Thatâs why I think what we should think about to be a little more conservative is the end of fiscal '31, which is more like five years from now. Doesnât mean we want to be sales, but to be ramped up that level, probably I would think to be more conservative. We might want to think five years from now, rather than four years from now.
Thoughts about our ROI for Parkâs investment in the new plant, $50 million. Weâre not going to go through what the bottom line impact is now, but you think about it. We have this year, what is $72 million of sales. Weâre talking about $200 million of sales, $50 million investment. You could probably do the math a little bit on your own. We got some real smart investors. Weâre not going to go to that number now, but we think that the ROI would be extremely attractive that we wouldnât if -- we doubt any investor would ever have a problem with it.
Letâs go on to Slide 38. Parkâs newly announced public offering. Just touch on this quickly. Today, sorry, itâs going on so long. Today, we filed a Form S-3 registration statement and prospectus supplement with the SEC for a $50 million at-the-market public offering of Parkâs common stock. Whatâs the purpose of this offering and financing? Well, first of all, to replenish a portion of the $50 million that we plan to invest in our new composite plant, composite materials plant. Thatâs part of it.
But very importantly, to ensure that Park has the necessary funds to be in a position to take advantage of and exploit key opportunities currently being presented to Park and new key opportunities as they arise in the future. The availability of funds necessary to exploit key opportunities has been a key strategic advantage to Park. So youâre probably thinking, well, can you give me an example? Yeah, I can give you an example. We talked about GE Aerospace. How many hundreds of millions of dollars of business was represented?
Well, remember what happened? GE said to us, it was GE at the time, not SEE. Yeah, weâll give you the LTA through 2029. But Park, weâre concerned because youâre sole source qualified in these programs. We want you to build a redundant factory. And then if you commit to doing that, weâll give it the LTA. And we said, Sure, weâll do that. We didnât say, sure, but we got to go see if we can get the money or go to banks. And it would have been terrible because GE, if theyâre smart, would think, well, I donât know if Parkâs going to get the money. Letâs go talk to somebody else.
That never happened because we said right there on the spot, yep, weâll do it. And we had the money to do it. It was about $20 million at the time. I think we believe if we had to do that plan now, itâd probably be twice as much based on inflation. We are quite sure it is in Parkâs and our investorsâ very best interest for Park to be able to continue to exploit such opportunities as they arise in the future.
Just a little interesting information. I donât know, footnote? You know where our last public offering was? It was -- well, Martina found a tombstone in our office. It was March 6, 1996, 30 years ago. It was a $100 million convertible note offering that was converted to all equity, almost all equity. I think 96% of it was converted to equity. Underwriters were Needham, Robertson Stephens, and Lehman. We didn't have until last two.
Anyway, just a little interesting history. Sorry to go on for so long, everybody. But operator, we happy to take any questions at this time, to the extent there are any. Operator?
Operator
Thank you. Thank you. We will now be conducting a question-and-answer session. (Operator Instructions)
It looks like we have no questions at this time. Therefore, Iâll turn the floor back over to Mr. Brian Shore for closing remarks.
Brian Shore - Chairman of the Board, Chief Executive Officer
Thank you, Operator, and thank you, everybody, for listening. We apologize that the presentation went on so long, there's been a lot to cover. Please feel free to give us a call if you have any follow-up questions, some of the items I think we kind of skimmed over a little bit quickly. So feel free to give us a call, we'd be happy to help you out with any follow-up questions. Have a good day and once again, Happy New Year, all the best to you and your family in 2026. Goodbye.
Operator
Thank you. And this concludes today's conference and you may disconnect your line at this time. Thank you for your participation.