歐尼克 (OKE) 2003 Q1 法說會逐字稿

完整原文

使用警語:中文譯文來源為 Google 翻譯,僅供參考,實際內容請以英文原文為主

  • Operator

  • Good day ladies and gentlemen and welcome to the ONEOK First Quarter Conference Call. At this time all participants are in a listen-only mode; later, we will conduct a question-and-answer session and instructions will follow at that time. As a reminder, this conference call is being recorded. I would now like to introduce your host for today’s conference, Mr. Weldon Watson, Vice President, Investor Relations. Mr. Watson, you may begin.

  • Weldon Watson - VP of IR

  • Good morning and welcome. As we begin this morning’s conference call; I will remind you that any statements that not include company expectations or predictions should be considered forward-looking statements and as such, are covered by the Safe Harbor Provision of the Securities Acts of 1933 and 1934. It is important to note that the actual results could differ materially from those projected in such forward-looking statements. For a discussion of factors that could cause actual results to differ, please refer to MBNA sections of ONEOK’s filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission. And now David Kyle, ONEOK’s Chairman, President, and CEO, will moderate this morning’s conference call. David.

  • David Kyle - Chairman and President and CEO

  • Thank you Weldon. Good morning everyone. I appreciate each of you joining us today to discuss our first quarter results. I am most pleased to be able to report that our strong and that we are well positioned for future opportunities. This has been a very busy quarter. You will recall, in January, we issued $13.8m new common shares and $16.1m equity units generating net proceeds of $618m. We used $300m of those proceeds to purchase some of the convertible preferred stock held by Westar Energy. The remaining shares held by Westar were converted into a newly created Series D Convertible Preferred, which has a fixed dividend. Fixing the dividend not only eliminated the earnings calculation problem created by the D-95 accounting rule, it also removed a significant difference and to increase our common dividend. As you know, this activity has reduced Westar’s equity interest in ONEOK from approximately 44% to 27.4% on a fully diluted basis. It also closed on the acquisition of Texas Gas Service during the quarter, our operations as required from [inaudible]. We are trying to develop the additional opportunity this property is giving. We have already received a small rate increase from the communities we serve and we see the potential of adding customers to our existing service territory. Also our Kansas Gas Service operations a $76m rate increase [inaudible] during the quarter and we are in a state [inaudible] beginning July 10 [inaudible] by the end of the third quarter.

  • I am sure you have already observed our earnings release has taken on a different look with additional detail provided. Based on feedback received, these changes are intended to make the information more clear. You have also noted [inaudible] yesterday’s first quarter earnings release. We show a break-out of our marketing trading revenues forces. In the past, there have been a number of questions about the sourcing of income for the segment; this reflects our business should be viewed and you should note this is how we have establish our budget through this segment. Clearly, we have had a strong first quarter in this segment driven by the opportunities created by the high gas price volatility during the quarter and our ability to capture the value utilizing a strong asset base and the option strategy as proposed. I should also point out that during the quarter natural gas liquid -- liquids [plus spread] would have indicated lower profits in our gathering and processing segment. Our ability to modify our operations in the [inaudible] in the cash flow increased successfully. All this activity during the first quarter has indicated that we will indeed continue to have another successful year in 2003. At this time, I would like to turn the call over to Jim Kneale, our Chief Financial Officer, to review the financial highlights and the report. Jim.

  • Jim Kneale - CFO

  • Thank you David. As our press release reflected, our first quarter earnings diluted per share from continuing operations were a $1.20 per share compared to 59 cents last year; the $1.20 includes the impact of D-95 accounting in January, which was the last month we are required to use D-95 because of the conversion of the Preferred shares held by Westar into the new Series D Preferred in February. We also reported several items below the line.

  • First, there are earnings of 2 cents per share from discontinued operations related to the January net revenues and expenses from the production property sold. Next, there is a gain of 34 cents per share from the production property sale in January; the gain is based on a pre-tax amount of $59m, which includes final closing adjustments and reserves established for retained liability. And last, a charge of $1.28 per share related to two changes in accounting principles implemented in the first quarter. The rescission of EITF 98-10 accounts for $1.26 of the charge and the implementation of FAS 143 accounting for asset retirement obligation is the other two standards. Operating income for the quarter was $232m, a 64% increase over last year. The increase is a result of higher volatility and prices for natural gas and the income from the January acquisition of the Texas Gas Service properties that David mentioned a few minutes ago.

  • We ended the quarter with $283m in cash and no short-term borrowings. Our debt as a percentage of capitalization was 51%, utilizing Moody's methodology for the equity units. I mentioned that because we are required to reflect the equity units in the balance sheet as debt. However, both Moody's and Standard & Poor's treat most if not all of the equity units as equity. David mentioned that we included 2003 guidance in our press release in a range -- the range we gave was $2.03 to $2.08 from continuing operations, and we also provided a breakdown of the segments. David also mentioned the breakout of marketing in the operating income by category and I want to expand on that just a little. Marketing and transportation services, which include physical by-sales using our transport capacity will generate revenues of a $107m. Storage arbitrage, which includes winter-summer spread, demand services, options strategies, and intra-day and day-to-day price volatility will provide a $108m. Retail sales to industrial customers will be about $18m; and power, crude, oil and other marketed commodities are $36m. And finally, operating expenses are estimated to be about $39m.

  • Looking at capital expenditures, we still project 2003 to be about $215m, even though the first quarter capital expenditures were below last year. And finally, we anticipate 2003 cash flow will exceed capital expenditures and dividends by about $105m. David, that concludes my remarks.

  • David Kyle - Chairman and President and CEO

  • Thanks Jim. To help answer questions today, I have with me John Gibson and Chris Skoog. John leads both the transportation and storage segments and at the other end, cost [inaudible] segment; and Chris leads our marketing efforts. I should note that sometimes it is very positive to be included in a list. I'm proud to say that we have been seeing for a long time that we do our marketing efforts very differently than others, and I think the fact that we are not included in the first 11 points to the fact and I give lot of credit for that. At this point we'll open the floor to questions.

  • Operator

  • Thank you. If you have a question at this time, please press the "1" key on your touch-tone telephone. If your question has been answered or you wish to remove yourself from the queue, please press the "#" key. Again, if you have a question, please press the "1" key. One moment for question please. And our first question is from John Olson of Sanders Morris Harris. Please go ahead.

  • John Olson - Analyst

  • Good morning everybody.

  • David Kyle - Chairman and President and CEO

  • Hi John.

  • John Olson - Analyst

  • The question -- first of all your financials -- quarterly financials continue to improve greatly and I'm delighted to see. Secondly, what were the Preferred dividends in the quarter and what -- and I'm trying to annualize that number as well.

  • Jim Kneale - CFO

  • John, it is Jim. In the first quarter, we had a preferred dividends were $12m and if I recall in our projection, total dividends are about $70m.

  • John Olson - Analyst

  • $70m and that's -- that includes common and the--?

  • Jim Kneale - CFO

  • Common and preferred and I -- with me I don't have the breakout of those two.

  • John Olson - Analyst

  • The [inaudible] were in the future Preferred dividends in the quarter as I would save my question I guess. Secondly, what is the attributed value that you would put in for the value of the equity securities units treating them as equity.

  • Jim Kneale - CFO

  • Its 75% of $402,500,000m and I thinks that’s about $301,000m.

  • John Olson - Analyst

  • $301m and okay. I got that.

  • Jim Kneale - CFO

  • Right.

  • John Olson - Analyst

  • Thank you very much.

  • Jim Kneale - CFO

  • You are welcome.

  • Operator

  • Thank you and our next question is from Kathleen Vuchetich of WH Reeves. Please go ahead.

  • Kathleen Vuchetich - Analyst

  • Good morning guys.

  • David Kyle - Chairman and President and CEO

  • Hi Kathleen.

  • Kathleen Vuchetich - Analyst

  • I love your new financial. We think they are wonderful, very easy to follow.

  • David Kyle - Chairman and President and CEO

  • Thanks for the feedback.

  • Kathleen Vuchetich - Analyst

  • No problem. Couple of quick questions. First of all how you guys are doing with storage re-injection and have you worked out any plans for the timing of re-injection?

  • David Kyle - Chairman and President and CEO

  • I didn’t get the last part of that.

  • Kathleen Vuchetich - Analyst

  • Have you worked out a plan for the re-injection cycle?

  • David Kyle - Chairman and President and CEO

  • Well let me turn that for Chris.

  • Christ Skoog - President of ONEOK Energy Marketing and Trading

  • Kathleen, as you know from the last phone call, we started the quarter at 66 BCF.

  • Kathleen Vuchetich - Analyst

  • Right.

  • Christ Skoog - President of ONEOK Energy Marketing and Trading

  • By the middle of March we were down to 5 BCF.

  • Kathleen Vuchetich - Analyst

  • Right.

  • Christ Skoog - President of ONEOK Energy Marketing and Trading

  • Because of the flexibility of our storage positions, we were able to inject 6 BCF during the last two weeks of March and we ended the quarter with about 11 BCF of gas on the ground.

  • Kathleen Vuchetich - Analyst

  • Okay.

  • Christ Skoog - President of ONEOK Energy Marketing and Trading

  • And we hit the ground rather heavily in April and we are projecting to put a bunch more in the ground in May.

  • Kathleen Vuchetich - Analyst

  • Okay.

  • Christ Skoog - President of ONEOK Energy Marketing and Trading

  • We will be pushing over 50% forward by the end of May.

  • Kathleen Vuchetich - Analyst

  • So you will be in good shape then if you get a season for electric generation?

  • Christ Skoog - President of ONEOK Energy Marketing and Trading

  • Yes that’s the idea of our storage flexibility. We have to hit the ground hard here in April and May, so, we are able to hit the flexibility of June, July, and August with the electric requirements.

  • Kathleen Vuchetich - Analyst

  • Super. How are you finding the new properties in Texas. Now, you have had them for a quarter, how is the cost-cutting look and do you think you are going to build to meet your target on the Texas property?

  • David Kyle - Chairman and President and CEO

  • Kathleen, in fact, as I said in the prepared remark, we have been pleasantly surprised by the properties in Texas. One of the things we have observed is that the previous owner had a different view on the extending the system and adding customers then I think we have. And so there has been a [sprint] up demand if you go for extensions to customers and adding new customers within existing areas. So, we see opportunities from that side and our main intention is the fact that we received a small rate increase.

  • Kathleen Vuchetich - Analyst

  • Right.

  • David Kyle - Chairman and President and CEO

  • One of the benefit after this property, this system down area is Texas has home rule and so we are able to much more quickly and much more efficiently match our expenditures for capital to rate increases that is necessary. And so, we have faith that this property will in fact improve going forward, we are not changing our [state] [inaudible] property as of yet, but we do expect that this [inaudible].

  • Kathleen Vuchetich - Analyst

  • Wonderful. And one final question, have you fought or thought with Westar about buying any more of their shares back?

  • David Kyle - Chairman and President and CEO

  • No we have not.

  • Kathleen Vuchetich - Analyst

  • Okay thanks.

  • Operator

  • Thank you. Our next question is from Mike Heim from A. G. Edwards, please go ahead.

  • Michael Heim - Analyst

  • Thanks and also thank you for the segment break out on the forecast, that's very helpful. Of course whenever you give us more information, we are going to ask more questions. On the distribution, if I remember right, the Texas properties picked up about $60m or so in operating income and yet your forecast is only showing about a $20m pick up. Why is that and also could you talk about the weather conditions in Texas this quarter?

  • Jim Kneale - CFO

  • Yes Mike, this is Jim. First the guidance we gave when we made the acquisition was that the operating income for '03 would be about $40m and that’s for all the properties that we acquired. Now, the bulk was distribution properties, that’s a $40m number.

  • Michael Heim - Analyst

  • Okay.

  • Jim Kneale - CFO

  • Then if you look at '02, ONG had a recovery of their OCC settlement in their first quarter

  • Michael Heim - Analyst

  • Okay.

  • Jim Kneale - CFO

  • And I repeat this was about $13m.

  • Michael Heim - Analyst

  • Okay.

  • Jim Kneale - CFO

  • So, you kind of normalize those two items and I think that may be will help.

  • Michael Heim - Analyst

  • Okay, that does make sense.

  • Jim Kneale - CFO

  • It might have been in the second quarter, but we had that recovery last year, so then.

  • Michael Heim - Analyst

  • Okay, that makes sense. On the marketing operations, we’ve already picked up, you know, $50m or so, so it looks like we’re almost got flat expectations for the remaining three quarters, maybe a little bit below last -- for the last three quarters. I was more under the understanding given the change in accounting and the fact that we’ve had a lower summer-winter differential that would be a much bigger drop off in the summer months with marketing. Am I missing something there?

  • Jim Kneale - CFO

  • I’m not, I’m not clear on what you’re asking there Mike?

  • Michael Heim - Analyst

  • Oh, just looking at what we reported this quarter in marketing, the pickup looks like lost $50m or so, and the projections for the year makes it appear that marketing, and I know it’s kind of a wild card, but the marketing will report similar result for the remaining three quarters of the year. And I was under the impression that there was going to be a lot of movement in earnings into the first quarter and that would probably see a decline in marketing result in the summer quarters.

  • Jim Kneale - CFO

  • Yes, Mike, I got your question now.

  • Michael Heim - Analyst

  • Okay.

  • Jim Kneale - CFO

  • The easiest way to look at that is eventhough the winter-summer spread has collapsed like you mentioned for this year as compared to last year, volatility has more than doubled. And when you look at volatility, you take my -- remember we’ve got to talk through this -- the overall storage capacity and there is the data deliverability, and there’s a daily injection capability. When you focus on those two numbers and you go to the portfolio what I saw upfront or what I saw was interruptible. Catching that day-to-day volatility was big for us this first quarter.

  • Michael Heim - Analyst

  • Yes.

  • Jim Kneale - CFO

  • And going forward on the summer time, volatility for next winter and straddle values are worth double what they were last year at this time.

  • Michael Heim - Analyst

  • Okay.

  • Jim Kneale - CFO

  • So what we’re saying is even though the winter-summer spread’s come in from 80-90 cents down to 40 cents -- 30-40 cents, the volatility -- I shouldn’t say volatility really doubled, the value of volatility has doubled because last year we were going with the $2 commodity, this year we’re going with the $5 commodity. So when we take 40% of $2, you get 80 cents and if you take 40% of $5, you get $2.

  • Michael Heim - Analyst

  • I see.

  • Jim Kneale - CFO

  • So you get $1.20 spread differential in the day-to-day captionality (ph). And that, that’s you know heads right into the vision and the strategy that we’ve had for eight years.

  • Michael Heim - Analyst

  • Okay, I’m following, what you’re saying that makes sense. Finally, on the Kansas rate case, are there any milestones we should be looking for, when will be the time to give an indication of the schedule?

  • David Kyle - Chairman and President and CEO

  • Sometime between now and the hearing date, which is as I said again, July 10th. The commission said we will file their case.

  • Michael Heim - Analyst

  • Okay.

  • David Kyle - Chairman and President and CEO

  • You know, that will be a view and an indication of they view our case [inaudible], I mean I would make it, but you know it’s been several years since we’ve been before this commission in terms of this business unit. In fact, the last case positively before this commission in Kansas for these properties was before we earned the profits. And we’ve owned them for five years, over five years. So the additional break phase has been added during that time, has been significant and almost [inaudible] in terms of your question, that’s a milestone.

  • Michael Heim - Analyst

  • Okay, thank you.

  • David Kyle - Chairman and President and CEO

  • Thank you.

  • Operator

  • Thank you. Our next question is from Bob Sullivan of UBS Warburg. Please go ahead.

  • Bob Sullivan - Analyst

  • Hi, I was just wondering if you could give some guidance on your assumptions for commodity prices tickle in your processing business?

  • David Kyle - Chairman and President and CEO

  • John.

  • John Gibson - President of ONEOK Energy

  • When we look -- Bob when we look at forecasting process and spreads, [inaudible] spreads going forward, we look to the market, and what the market’s carrying for both natural gas and crude and then we go back and look at our correlations and that particular look forward changes almost weekly.

  • Bob Sullivan - Analyst

  • Okay, you’re going up the future.

  • John Gibson - President of ONEOK Energy

  • Yes, yes, we are.

  • Bob Sullivan - Analyst

  • Okay.

  • John Gibson - President of ONEOK Energy

  • Now, I will say that we also look at sometimes a relationship between the two commodities are such that nobody would be in the processing business. So when the correlations indicate that we apply some common wisdom and experience to what we think processing stores will be in the future.

  • Bob Sullivan - Analyst

  • Sure and the press release you indicated that you'd some success with reducing the keep-whole contracts. Is that resent or is that more from when you acquired the properties and what percent of your contracts on keep-whole versus fee based or center proceeds?

  • John Gibson - President of ONEOK Energy

  • Right, the results are not just associated with the associated with the acquisition these were actually results of three years of hard work.

  • Bob Sullivan - Analyst

  • I mean you sort of give an update allowing the line is the last quarter or is just since the acquisition you are making the statement.

  • John Gibson - President of ONEOK Energy

  • We are making the statements since the last quarter. Our current portfolio is about 50% fee based and 24% proceeds and 26% keep-whole and one other thing you'll notice is that our fee based percentage continuous to rise and what actually has occurred one of the positive things is that when the spread has become negative we have a number of contracts that we have inserted, conditioning language which basically converts the keep-whole contracts to fee based business. So that one of the reasons our fee based portion for the quarter is gone [inaudible] to this time a year ago.

  • Bob Sullivan - Analyst

  • Okay great. Is there any way to get a sense of how much of the trading margin that remains for in your forecast for the rest of the final three quarters is sort of locked in.

  • Christ Skoog - President of ONEOK Energy Marketing and Trading

  • Bob this is Chris. You can look at -- I don't have that number on top of my head to be honest to give you a good sense, the relationship between the Rockies and the mid continent and our transport position is continuing to grow even with the expansion of current [inaudible]. We are taking the gas to the east of the Rockies -- I would thought that they would bring the Rockies bases in rather tight we're not experiencing that right now we are seeing that starting to widen out here in the first couple of days in May which spread between Opal and Shian (ph) which are the two major training points out in the Rockies once the east of the side of Rockies, one is the west side of the Rockies.

  • Our capacity all coming east from Shian to the mid continent. We [inaudible] goes west to California, the spread between those two is widening out everybody thought you can get gas from the east side of the Rockies to the west of the Rockies and you can't get across the continent via Dubai. So it is very fast capacity constraint so that's widening out so in theory I would say I like to put percentage on it but just the money opportunities that we have when the spread between the Rockies and mid continent looks very strong for the remaining part of the year.

  • Bob Sullivan - Analyst

  • Okay

  • Christ Skoog - President of ONEOK Energy Marketing and Trading

  • And then our storage arbitrage daily in the options business. Our natural growth pattern from the fallout of some of many other marketing and trading companies, our strong origination that we are reporting out right now. We're getting several new term deals this summer with electric generators that we have never serviced in the past and we are naturally progressing our step forward areas and growth opportunities.

  • Bob Sullivan - Analyst

  • I guess what I was getting as sort of a --last quarter Skoog you talked about the recession of I think 98\10 and how much of earnings we are going to come back in because of that and it sort of being walked in -- how much of the earnings for this quarter were those?

  • John Gibson - President of ONEOK Energy

  • Bob I think the best way to focus on this is to -- we've provided in the material it looked as if the guidance that we've given in the seven segments is precedent this and we've talked about marketing transport we talked about storage, retail sales to investment customers and then what we call all other marketing commodity and we use this business and have this businesses of cash business. And this is what we see -- for this business for '03.

  • Bob Sullivan - Analyst

  • Okay is there any assumption further -- can this rate increase there or is that will that be on the top of any guidance?

  • John Gibson - President of ONEOK Energy

  • Bob I think in the forecast we put $5m of incremental margin and in the fourth quarter so pretty small number.

  • Bob Sullivan - Analyst

  • Okay great that's it thanks.

  • Operator

  • Thank you and our next question is from William Maze of Neuberger Berman. Please go ahead.

  • William Maze - Analyst

  • Yeah, hi guys.

  • John Gibson - President of ONEOK Energy

  • Hi Will.

  • William Maze - Analyst

  • Congratulations. Just a couple of quick questions for you, I guess, to elaborate on the last gentleman's question. I have not looked at it yet but if you just give us a rough sense on the timing of the realization or the recapture of the earnings from the EITF charge distributed throughout the year?

  • Christ Skoog - President of ONEOK Energy Marketing and Trading

  • Hey Will, this is Chris. If you go back to our press release, you know the -- we referred to roughly $145.2m coming in 2003.

  • William Maze - Analyst

  • Right.

  • Christ Skoog - President of ONEOK Energy Marketing and Trading

  • I would say in the first quarter, we have realized in the neighborhood of $65m of that.

  • William Maze - Analyst

  • Okay. And then it is sort of equally dispersed throughout the remainder of the year?

  • Christ Skoog - President of ONEOK Energy Marketing and Trading

  • No. That will be more heavily weighted probably towards the fourth quarter. We've rolled some storage from this first quarter this year to next winter.

  • William Maze - Analyst

  • Okay.

  • Christ Skoog - President of ONEOK Energy Marketing and Trading

  • And I talked about with -- when Kathleen asked the question, we ended up storage with 5 BCF of gas in the ground at the end of the quarter. Obviously, we probably won't pull that out of the ground right now since we're busy injecting, so that will get rolled into the fourth quarter numbers. So it'll be pretty much rate above with a little heavier weighting of balance in the fourth quarter.

  • William Maze - Analyst

  • Okay, great. Also I was wondering, Chris, what your outlook is for gas volatility and gas usage. I mean we're starting to read a bit about the environmental credits that of I think -- are up roughly 10 times, and it might imply that you could see more gas burned or power this summer. I'm wondering what your thoughts are on that?

  • Christ Skoog - President of ONEOK Energy Marketing and Trading

  • We've got -- you know it's all going to be weather driven. Let me just give you a -- my take on where we are right now. I believe fundamentally we're going to have a tough time getting back nationwide to 2.6 BCF of storage in the ground. And I say that in the sense that we're going to have to inject over 10 BCF a day for the remaining injection days including summer peaking, some of your electric generation modes, and I don’t think we can get there. I really don’t think that deliverability internationally is there to get the injections where we need to this summer.

  • So we're fairly bullish here in the short term, meaning day-to-day as this -- it's going to depend on weather in May and June here. But I could really sense and seeing a move up to the middle $6 range to promote demand destruction to deter industrial consuming the gas and getting it in the stores for next winter. So I think you can see a strong summer pricing here, I think you can see a lot of volatility with the weather. And then first part of the next winter, my belief if that a lot of people will be holding their stores in buying flowing gas, so we may see higher end prices towards the fourth quarter this year. And if weather doesn’t materialize, you could see a rather good fall off in the first quarter of 2004. If weather is here, $15 isn't unreasonable -- $20 isn't unreasonable. We saw it last this winter.

  • William Maze - Analyst

  • Is the -- straddle prices reflecting that outlook or do you think there is -- that it could be more increased value in the straddles?

  • Christ Skoog - President of ONEOK Energy Marketing and Trading

  • The value of the straddles has been increasing really since the 1st March. You know if you go back, lets just look at the last 3 weeks. We went from 485 in the May contract up to 580. We settled the May contract at 512. We're already trading the June contract at the 540 this morning, and that was just before I walked in the conference call here this morning. So just -- that’s in 3 weeks, you have a dollar move up, 80 move down, and now you're 40 cents back up again. We got down to as low as 501 on the expiration day of the contract of May. So I just think volatility is here to stay for a while. And the straddle and starting to reflect -- look at the [inaudible] March straddle about a month ago, they are in the 75 cent range. I think this morning they are in the mid 90 range.

  • William Maze - Analyst

  • Okay and then just following up on that I mean…

  • John Gibson - President of ONEOK Energy

  • Excuse me Will.

  • William Maze - Analyst

  • Yeah.

  • John Gibson - President of ONEOK Energy

  • You should know that corporately we have a oversized committee that places this information when it's viewed, and we apply that to our business strategy. And I guess what I want to do is to highlight what Chris has already said by saying that he had just indicated that we have already started filling storage pretty significantly, and it is based on that view that we take these business actions and are able to position ourselves to take advantage of these opportunities as well.

  • William Maze - Analyst

  • What -- if the flip side of that, if the volatility and that doesn't work out then what's the downside what's the risk. Is there -- have been able to quantify that?

  • John Gibson - President of ONEOK Energy

  • Can you repeat that?

  • William Maze - Analyst

  • You know you have you take your view and you put into your -- you know you take action on that view. Now if that view doesn't prove to be right, which I guess you are looking for high volatility, high pricing what not, if you have a -- the weather doesn't work out and what not is -- have you been able to quantify or qualify the -- perhaps the downside of that scenario, if you have low volatility low pricing?

  • John Gibson - President of ONEOK Energy

  • Yes we will -- the low side -- the downside for us is really the value of the straight winter-summer spread period. The up side always out in our option strategy, which we couple around. If the winter summer spread value which is based on April, May, June injection versus a January, February, March withdrawal period, you know 3 winter months against the 3 summer months, you can see that value. That value when we put gas in the ground, it is hedged.

  • So, we are locking in our downside at all times. Now what we do is we deploy an option strategy that allow us to up grade our spreads in what we have in that winter summer spread and that option value is exclusive from our futures position. Future position settled you know assuming our physical demand business. The options and the futures settled on the first the month -- up to the start of the month and then our physical demand business goes on to the 30 days during the month. So our downside is the winter-summer spread. The up side is unlimited with our options strategy.

  • William Maze - Analyst

  • Okay, I think that kind of answers of my next question, perhaps I might well elaborate, but just for my own identification I mean you see I think the street sees you know big games coming out of marketing and trading and what not and I think you know obviously after the history of that sector, you know [FERCs] were also worrying, if you can make that much perhaps, you can lose that much and I am wondering you know I think your last answer sort of address that, but you know is there anything you want to elaborate on that?

  • John Gibson - President of ONEOK Energy

  • I will follow up with couple of things here Will. We've been in this business for 8 years and we every quarter have made income. I believe there is 3 months in the last 95 months that we didn't cover our G&A in the shop. Our strategy of trading around of our physical assets and not taking flat price risk is critical to our success. It is tortoise and the hair story. We never grew like the rest of them grew in the late 90s early 2000 and I was told several times you and ONEOK are taking the wrong strategy in your marketing and training approach. You are not Enron, your not Williams, your are not [inaudible].

  • I am glad I am not them. Now to understand our vision for the last 8 years was to create a company that provides energy sources that give embedded options both physical and financials to our customers. That has been our vision for 8 years, that's been our focus. We trade around the storage strategy; we trade around this transport capacity. Physically that is our business. The last thing is this options strategy is our risk insurance policy, because we can deploy an options strategy buying [calls] at very select times during the year using our storage deliverability, injection capability, our transportation location differentials between the regions. It's all embedded around the physical side of a business and we don't have a flat price portfolio of trading multiple commodities. We trade one book in the shop, it's a physical and financial book and whether we won physically or we won financially, we are ready to win both. So we are a very disciplined company.

  • William Maze - Analyst

  • Okay. And then just lastly, just wondering you know you had a bit of a wind fall here you know in the first quarter. I am wondering what the -- what you are year marking those proceeds for? Is it going back into the [M&T] or is it pay down debt etcetera?

  • Jim Kneale - CFO

  • Will, this is Jim. I think we -- you know again if you -- I am not sure -- we had got a very good quarter and are happy with it. You know we project right now that over the year, we will generate about as I said $100m over dividends and capital expenditure and there is several things you know we are looking at, we have the potential to call some [data] at par and retire it. But at the same time with our strategy and all the growth and all the assets that are available. Part of it is keeping some funds around to help in that acquisition strategy. All of that said with the cash I have on hand and $5 gas prices [inaudible] 70 BCF at a $5 cost that will fund my working capital over the short-term. So, I have a lot of opportunities available to use that cash, over the long-term it's not efficient to have it invested at 1.5%-2%, and I think we will find a use for it, just at this current time we are trying to keep all of our options open.

  • William Maze - Analyst

  • Okay great, well thanks and for all this worth I am glad you are not Enron, or Dynergy (ph) if there is so. Good luck guys, thanks

  • John Gibson - President of ONEOK Energy

  • Thanks Will.

  • Operator

  • Thank you. Our next question is from Devon Gogeagan of Luminous Management. Please go ahead.

  • Devon Gogeagan - Analyst

  • Hi guys, thanks for the time today and congratulations. Just wanted to -- just sort of follow-up on the last question that was asked; I know a lot of people are concerned about sort of the volatility in the trading numbers. It sounds like a downside is fairly well hedged and in terms of non-trading growth, one of my scenarios that I was thinking about was, you guys have anywhere from $0.08 to $0.16 of growth for the [rate] case, and I was sort of trying to find out, how would you reinvest? Did the cash that you have -- seems like you could have maybe $250 of cash. Is the scenario possible where you sort of do 50:50, spend $500m to buy I guess some Iraqis reserves or a pipeline, get maybe an 8% some sort of return on invested capital leverage you know, then it is about 15%, or we -- it seems like you really had a quarter of a new [inaudible] earnings. Just what you guys are thinking about, am I thinking about it the right way?

  • John Gibson - President of ONEOK Energy

  • We -- in fact as Jim mentioned, we are looking at our cash forecast going forward. So that is part of our business approach, the demand you will have on cash. Now this company has had a history of growth through acquisitions, and we will do that always mindful of the impacts on credit. For us that is very important, it is a part of why we have been successful and we have the commitments internally to make sure that we maintain that credit rating. So all of that is going to be done with balance as the specific acquisitions or areas where we make growth is obviously due to the [inaudible]

  • Devon Gogeagan - Analyst

  • Sure, okay thanks and then second question for you guys. Just concerning that [ETMT] numbers that you gave out, 50%, 24% and 26%; does the 50% fee include the portion of key [inaudible] it that has I guess under the call trading fee contracts or is the 26% inclusive of those contracts that can be trading fee as well?

  • John Gibson - President of ONEOK Energy

  • The conditioning fee is included in the fee base as well as our gathering, and I should have mentioned earlier that we have also had some success in increasing out gathering rates into our plants.

  • Devon Gogeagan - Analyst

  • Okay, do you have the percentages of just pure fees, so that, I guess one of the ways to look to at it is you have sort of some swing contracts that are keys or percentage of total other conditioning fee contracts, if that makes sense? Because you can make margin with, if the facts spreads high and you have down subtraction, if it is negative?

  • John Gibson - President of ONEOK Energy

  • That's correct, that is right. Most of the increase that we have seen which really has been about in this particular quarter-on-quarter comparison is about 6% or 7%. I think it is probably fair to say that just of the top my head you can attribute most of that to the ability to convert contracts to conditional language, keep all contracts conditional language or fee based contract.

  • Devon Gogeagan - Analyst

  • Okay, that helps a lot and Thank you very much and again congratulations.

  • John Gibson - President of ONEOK Energy

  • Thank you.

  • Operator

  • Thank you, and our next question is from Brian Zimmerman (ph.) of Archimedes. Please go ahead.

  • John Gibson - President of ONEOK Energy

  • Good morning?

  • Operator

  • Mr. Zimmerman your line is open, go ahead. Perhaps he did not have a question and we will move on, one moment. Our next question is from Zach Schryber (ph) of Ducane Capital (ph). Please go ahead.

  • Rick Sheldon - Analyst

  • Good morning, it is actually Rick Sheldon (ph)

  • John Gibson - President of ONEOK Energy

  • Hi Rick.

  • Rick Sheldon - Analyst

  • I had just a question, a clarification question on the recession of the EITF 98-10, the $142m charge. Is that supposed to come back into earnings over the course of 2003, the entire amount?

  • Jim Kneale - CFO

  • Rick this is Jim. Good morning.

  • Rick Sheldon - Analyst

  • Good morning.

  • Jim Kneale - CFO

  • The answer is no, you know, I mean that -- it gets into again theoretical calculation, you know, the charge was calculated at December 31 and on prices unaffected that time and as we will require to do in our 10-K, we provided a schedule of the turnaround, if everything remains the same in terms of pricing and even in the way Chris operates his business and he spoke about the storage business, but if you look at that table that was in the 10-K and I don’t have the after-tax numbers; the before tax charge was $231m; a $145m would have turned around or come in, [inaudible] in ’03, $30m in '04, $25m in '05, but I think the takeaway to that is, you know, what really all we have done is done back to an accrual basis of earnings or a cash basis and you know, we looking ahead don’t believe that this change in and of itself will have a significant impact on the marketing business even in '04. We don’t think it’s causing anything this year that can’t be repeated next year assuming same price volatilities and you know same business operation.

  • Rick Sheldon - Analyst

  • Okay.

  • David Kyle - Chairman and President and CEO

  • David here Rick, that’s why we gave the detail in the release and the attachments, which showed marketing operations on statements that’s how we view the business, that’s how we budget the business, and we look at it from a cash standpoint.

  • Rick Sheldon - Analyst

  • Certainly. Can you just talk about what the majority of the type of business it was or what the type of contracts they were that were, I guess, being remarked?

  • Christ Skoog - President of ONEOK Energy Marketing and Trading

  • That were being remarked?

  • Rick Sheldon - Analyst

  • Yeah I mean when you remarking them on mark-to-market basis now going to accrual, I mean, what were they more of like this basis type contracts or?

  • Christ Skoog - President of ONEOK Energy Marketing and Trading

  • The biggest [considerate] was our storage activity.

  • Rick Sheldon - Analyst

  • Yeah.

  • Christ Skoog - President of ONEOK Energy Marketing and Trading

  • And that’s just the value the winter-summer spread which if you go back to the prior phone calls, we use to always have big first and fourth quarter losses in mark-to-market and big second and third quarter gains in mark-to-market because that’s the where we did our storage. We injected in second and third quarter, say if you recognize the cash stand and you would have a negative mark in the first and fourth quarter, when you realize the cash.

  • Rick Sheldon - Analyst

  • Okay.

  • Christ Skoog - President of ONEOK Energy Marketing and Trading

  • And now we are back to like Jim said a very simplified approach we put the gas on the ground in the summer time. So we shouldn’t have big second and third quarter earnings in the fourth quarter and first quarter ought to be bigger earnings.

  • Rick Sheldon - Analyst

  • When you sell it?

  • Christ Skoog - President of ONEOK Energy Marketing and Trading

  • Right.

  • Rick Sheldon - Analyst

  • Okay. Thank you very much.

  • Christ Skoog - President of ONEOK Energy Marketing and Trading

  • Thank you.

  • Operator

  • Thank you our next question is from Donato Eassey of Royalist Research. Please go ahead.

  • Peter Staples - Analyst

  • Good morning. Actually it’s Peter Staples with Royalist here. A couple of housekeeping questions. One you may have already got this and I missed it, what’s the fully diluted shares out that are using for this quarter and prior year’s quarter?

  • Jim Kneale - CFO

  • Peter this is Jim. You know, many explained to -- I can give you that but January is calculated under, you know, D-95. So you can’t do just easy math, but for this quarter fully diluted were 98,514,000.

  • Peter Staples - Analyst

  • Okay.

  • Jim Kneale - CFO

  • And last year it was a $100,276,000.

  • Peter Staples - Analyst

  • Okay. Great and I believe Mr. Olson had hit upon this but I think I missed it. What was your preferred stock dividend for the quarter?

  • Jim Kneale - CFO

  • For the quarter, it was $12,139,000.

  • Peter Staples - Analyst

  • Versus what last year?

  • Jim Kneale - CFO

  • $9,275,000.

  • Peter Staples - Analyst

  • Okay great thanks and congratulations on a good quarter.

  • Jim Kneale - CFO

  • And I might, if John Olson if you are still on, I have got the information you asked for the annual forecast, the preferred dividends we estimate will be $21m and the common dividends will be $50m.

  • Operator

  • Thank you and once again ladies and gentlemen, if you do have a question at this time, please press the “1” key; one moment for questions please. And our next question is from Michael Garvey [ph.] of Angelo Gordon. Please go ahead.

  • Michael Garvey - Analyst

  • Good morning.

  • David Kyle - Chairman and President and CEO

  • Good morning.

  • Michael Garvey - Analyst

  • Just a point of follow up in little more detail. On the guide sheet where you break down the marketing and trading, do you have any break down somewhere to that for the quarter? At least, how much was storage versus the other areas?

  • Christ Skoog - President of ONEOK Energy Marketing and Trading

  • Yes this is Chris for the quarter it should have been technical trading and transport side physical marketing in the transport positions was around $38m, our storage business was around $78m, our retail business was around $6.8m, and our other business segment was around $3.2m. And then we recognized our mark-to-market gain of those options that don’t relate to storage and transport activities of around $11.8m. So it shifts to you just like a $137m total and with $10m in G&A, which you run in rounded numbers here. So I don’t know that I will quiet add up to the 126.9 but it should be pretty close.

  • Michael Garvey - Analyst

  • Okay and then are in terms of have this fallout for the year. At least from a qualitative perspective any comment in terms of how our main storage is versus fourth quarter weighted on the other pieces any there kind of discussion as to how that falls out for the quarters?

  • Christ Skoog - President of ONEOK Energy Marketing and Trading

  • If you look at all of our segments the first and fourth quarter should be a little bit bigger just in the sense that we have lighter margins when gas price is more volatile. So the first and fourth quarter should be a little bit bigger our other business segments should be big in the second and third quarter as it relates to heavily weighted by our power business. So if you look at the like $107m in total in marketing and transport services, we are heavily weighted here in the first quarter, but the second and third quarter dipped back a little bit, but not as much, you know, come down about $5m each quarter, and then they jumped back up today as in the fourth quarter.

  • Michael Garvey - Analyst

  • Okay and there is any changes discussed given the rise in prices what impact that’s had on your working capital requirements and where those figures move through the year from the high and low end of the range?

  • Jim Kneale - CFO

  • Yes Mike this is Jim. We run some projections on that using $5 gas price for marketing and trading if are the utilities I believe have about 10 BCF of storage I think something in that little higher, but all in all you know we have kind of run through some projections with the cash on hand and we think we will have you know the working capital requirements would be around $500m, $550m. We got you know $300m cash on hand, but then, of course, there is lot of different price scenarios, but it’s still appears by our projection showed by the time we get to the end of the year where we may be back out of our short-term line again, by the end of December. So although it does build up because the cost of gas and inventory with our cash on hand and our $850m credit facility, you know, I don’t see as getting much over $300m [inaudible] drawn, I mean, issued in commercial paper under our facility right now anyway.

  • Michael Garvey - Analyst

  • Okay one final question. Chris with the storage levels where they are you commented, you guys are billing aggressively here -- you know what obviously, you can't mention these, but what type of [inaudible] are you seeing, you know, billing aggressively where do you see the big short balls and any kind of comment in terms of you know what you are seeing in terms of you know how we got so well and you know -- what areas are going challenges us most to get up to a decent level for next winter?

  • Christ Skoog - President of ONEOK Energy Marketing and Trading

  • I think if you look at the list breakup bound geographically nationwide, you know the east coast you can shut your eyes and they are going to put in rate [inaudible] over in next 180 days remaining in the storage season. They are just going to put it in the ground and go. That’s predominantly owned local distribution companies. So they have a very systematic approach of putting gas in the ground. When you come back into the producing region where we are heavily concentrated, it's very much driven by trading entities and local distribution companies, there is a good mix; I would say it is more weighted towards local distribution companies.

  • So, they will put their gas in the ground pretty ratably if they can, but the marketing and trading entities will accelerate injections in April and May to catch the summer cycle and then big injectors in September and October again depending on how much they pulled out of storage during June, July, and August. Now, when you go out West, they are more like -- even though it is predominantly LDC oriented, the electric generation though their big injectors in here this April, May, and June shoulder, they are big withdrawers in July, August, September and big injectors again back in October and, you know, November. So, did that -- [this is] where you want to go?

  • Michael Garvey - Analyst

  • Yes, it gives me a good handle. Thank you very much, I appreciate the additional details here.

  • Jim Kneale - CFO

  • Thanks, Mike.

  • Operator

  • Thank you. And next question is Derrick Cribs (ph) of Glenview Capital. Please go ahead.

  • Derrick Cribs - Analyst

  • Hey guys, how are you doing?

  • Jim Kneale - CFO

  • Hey, Derrick. How are you?

  • Derrick Cribs - Analyst

  • I love the new financial presentation. Thank you very much. My question has to do with the -- on the trading side that some of the companies you had mentioned earlier and we all know who they are; I know people are out there selling their parts of their trading book, their whole trading books, are there any opportunities there for you guys?

  • Christ Skoog - President of ONEOK Energy Marketing and Trading

  • Yes Derrick, this is Chris. We are evaluating different segments. But the vast majority of these books are these marketing and trading companies, they did their business different than the way we do ours. They were in their base flow business and which there is very little margin, 1 cent -- 2 cent margin transactions in large volumes. We have never been volume focused. We've always been margin focused. And if you look at our margins for the quarter, they were pretty strong, and that's the business we want. So, we are looking at these respective books and trying to find pieces and parts that may fit, but there is opportunity. I'll leave it at that, but we are really selective in what our business strategy is, going back to the vision that I mentioned earlier.

  • Derrick Cribs - Analyst

  • Okay. But you have looked at some of them?

  • Christ Skoog - President of ONEOK Energy Marketing and Trading

  • Yes.

  • Derrick Cribs - Analyst

  • Okay. Thanks a lot guys.

  • Christ Skoog - President of ONEOK Energy Marketing and Trading

  • Thanks.

  • Operator

  • And we have a follow-up from John Olson. Please go ahead.

  • John Olson - Analyst

  • Thank you for the -- that breakout, Jim. I wanted to go back to the -- if I may to how you accounted for the offerings which you did in late January, February of $618m. How much of that showed up ultimately in equity, and how showed up in long-term debt? And I guess what I'm leading towards is so what the credit rating guys are thinking about you'll lately?

  • Jim Kneale - CFO

  • Yes John, just the top side now as I don't have them with me. If you look on our balance sheet, $402,500,000 was the coupon or the face -- the gross value of the equity unit, and then less operating expenses, I think it is probably on the books for net about $397m, and that's reflected as debt on our balance sheet. On the equity section, you know, we had the gross proceeds went in the common stock less the operating expenses, and then the $300m we spent to buy Westar stock back was reflected as treasury. So, again, you saw through all of that. I think I haven't done the calculation.

  • If you just picked up our balance sheet, I think you would calculate we are about 59% debt. If you -- as I mentioned -- you use the -- we have talked to Moody's, and they are assigning 75% equity credit to the mandatory units. And under that calculation, we are about 51% debt, if I recall. Standard and Poor's adds -- they take the 3 year look on the equity units. They add debt and equity to the books and then look out 3 years and take the debt off when the equity units convert to cash. And so under there, if you look today where they see us, we're about 50%-50%. If you look 3 years out, we are more around 41% or 2% debt.

  • John Olson - Analyst

  • Okay, that helps a lot. Thank you.

  • Jim Kneale - CFO

  • Okay, welcome.

  • Operator

  • Thank you. And this concludes the question and answer session. Mr. Watson, please continue with any closing remarks.

  • Weldon Watson - VP of IR

  • Thank you very much. This concludes ONEOK's first quarter 2003 conference call. As a reminder, our acquired period for our second quarter 2003 earnings will start when we close books, which will be sometime in early July and extend until the release of our second quarter earnings. We will provide a date for that earning release and conference call later. This is Weldon Watson, and I will be available throughout the day for follow-up questions concerning today's conference call. You may call me at 918-588-7158. On behalf of ONEOK, thank you for joining us, and good day.

  • Operator

  • Ladies and gentlemen, this concludes today’s conference. Thank you for your participation. You may disconnect at this time. Thank you.