Mueller Water Products Inc (MWA) 2021 Q2 法說會逐字稿

完整原文

使用警語:中文譯文來源為 Google 翻譯,僅供參考,實際內容請以英文原文為主

  • Operator

  • Welcome, and thank you for standing by. (Operator Instructions) Today's conference is being recorded. If you have any objections, you may disconnect at this time. I'll now turn the call over to Whit Kincaid.

  • Whit Kincaid - Senior Director of IR and Corporate Development

  • Good morning, everyone. Thank you for joining us on Mueller Water Product's second quarter 2021 conference call. We issued our press release reporting results of operations for the quarter ended March 31st, 2021, yesterday afternoon. A copy of the press release is available on our website, muellerwaterproducts.com.

  • Scott Hall, our President and CEO; and Martie Zakas, our CFO, will be discussing our second quarter results, market conditions and our updated outlook for fiscal 2021.

  • This morning's call is being recorded and webcast live on the internet. We have also posted slides on our website to accompany today's discussion and to address forward looking statements and our non-GAAP disclosure requirements.

  • At this time, please refer to slide 2. This slide identifies non-GAAP financial measures referenced in our press release, on our slides and on this call. It discloses the reasons why we believe that these measures provide useful information to investors. Reconciliations between non-GAAP and GAAP financial measures are included in the supplemental information within our press release and on our website.

  • Slide 3 addresses forward-looking statements made on this call. This slide includes cautionary information identifying important factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from those included in forward looking statements. Please review slides 2 and 3 in their entirety.

  • During this call, all references to a specific year or quarter, unless specified otherwise, refer to our fiscal year, which ends on September 30th. A replay of this morning's call will be available for 30 days at +1 800-839-1190. The archived webcast and corresponding slides will be available for at least 90 days in the investor relations section of our website. I'll now turn the call over to Scott.

  • John Scott Hall - President, CEO & Director

  • Thanks, Whit. Thank you for joining us today. I hope everyone listening to our call continues to stay safe and healthy, and you were able to be vaccinated, as we see the light at the end of the tunnel and emerge from the pandemic.

  • Before turning the call over to Martie to discuss our second quarter results, I'll provide a brief overview of the quarter.

  • We delivered a solid second field performance resulting from our team members focus on satisfying increasing demand, despite continuing and new challenges from COVID-19 and inflation, especially material costs. Consolidated net sales exceeded our expectations, as we reported a 3.8% increase in the quarter. Both infrastructure and technologies increased sales in the quarter. We increased net sales 1.5%, excluding the $6 million benefit from the elimination of Krausz Industries' one month reporting lag. Net sales sequentially improved 12.7% versus the first quarter and compares with a 10.1% increase in net sales in the second quarter of last year.

  • As a reminder, customers place orders ahead of our effective date for price increases. And as a result, shipments were particularly strong last year. We believe our end markets improved during the quarter as municipal spending continues to recover from the pandemic and residential construction continues to see strong demand for single family homes. Similar to last quarter, our project related businesses are still experiencing a slowdown resulting from the pandemic. I remain impressed with our team members as they continue to do an outstanding job serving our customers.

  • We experienced accelerating raw material inflation during the quarter, leading us to implement additional price increases during the quarter for the majority of our products, which will help margins as we move forward. Despite this near term inflation headwinds, higher sales and improved manufacturing performance in the quarter led to a 50 basis point improvement in gross margin, excluding the inventory write down associated with the recently announced restructuring plans. I will address these actions later in the call.

  • We generated $50.7 million in adjusted EBITDA in the quarter, with a 19.4% adjusted EBITDA margins. Benefits from favorable manufacturing performance and higher pricing partially offset accelerating inflation and the anticipated increases in SG&A expenses. I am very pleased with our cash generation this quarter, leading to a $72.4 million increase in free cash flow through the first 6 months of the year. Our teams remain focused on executing initiatives to deliver pricing actions, improve efficiencies, and improve working capital. We ended the quarter with nearly $230 million in cash, and our net debt leverage ratio remains at 1.1x versus 1.6x in the prior year.

  • Despite the ongoing operational challenges from the pandemic and accelerating inflation, we believe that end market demands will support further growth this year. Based on our strong first half performance as well as expectations for our end markets, sales backlog, pricing, and inflation for the rest of the year, we are raising our annual guidance for both consolidated net sales and adjusted EBITDA growth for 2021 for the second consecutive quarter. Later in the call, I will provide more color on some of our key strategies and markets and expectations for the rest of this year. With that, I'll turn the call over to Martie to review our second quarter results.

  • Marietta Edmunds Zakas - Executive VP & CFO

  • Thanks, Scott, and good morning, everyone. I hope you and your families and associates are safe and healthy. I will start with our second quarter 2021 consolidated GAAP and non-GAAP financial results, then review our segment performance, and finish with a discussion of our cashflow and liquidity.

  • During the second quarter of this year, we generated consolidated net sales of $267.5 million, which increased $9.8 million, or 3.8%. The increase in net sales was driven by the $6 million benefit from eliminating the one month reporting lag, higher pricing, and increased volumes at Technologies. The benefit of eliminating Krausz' one month reporting lag this quarter reflects net sales with an infrastructure for the month of March. Note that March was a particularly strong month at Krausz, benefiting from the repair needs after the challenging winter weather in February. Overall, Krausz has performed very well since we acquired the business in December, 2018.

  • Gross profit this quarter was $88.4 million with a gross margin of 33%. Gross margin decreased 40 basis points versus the prior year. Excluding the $2.4 million inventory write-down associated with recently announced restructuring plans, gross margin increased 50 basis points. This increase was driven by benefits from favorable manufacturing performance, higher sales, and eliminating the one month reporting lag, which were partially offset by higher costs associated with inflation, and approximately $1.2 million of additional expenses related to the pandemic. Our total material costs increased approximately 10% year-over-year in the quarter, primarily driven by higher raw materials. Our price-cost relationship was negative this quarter, given the rapidly rising inflation, particularly for raw materials. We expect additional price increases will help offset anticipated inflation in the second half of the year. Scott will provide more commentary on inflation and pricing later on.

  • Selling, general, and administrative expenses at $54.2 million for the quarter increased $4.9 million versus the prior year. The increase was primarily due to higher personnel related costs and an additional month of results due to the elimination of the reporting lag, which were partially offset by reduced expenses related to travel, trade shows, and events as a result of the pandemic. SG&A as a percent of net sales was 20.3% in the second quarter, compared to 19.1% in the prior year.

  • Operating income of $33.4 million decreased in the second quarter, compared to $35.8 million in the prior year. Operating income this quarter includes the $2.4 million inventory write down mentioned earlier, a $1.4 million benefit from eliminating the one month reporting lag and $800,000 of strategic reorganization and other charges.

  • Turning now to our consolidated non-GAAP results. We generated $35.2 million of adjusted operating income compared to the prior year. Higher costs associated with inflation and higher SG&A expenses were partially offset by benefits from favorable manufacturing performance and higher sales. The estimated expense impact from the pandemic was a benefit of about $600,000 in the quarter.

  • We reported adjusted EBITDA at $50.7 million as compared with $51.8 million in the prior year quarter, with an adjusted EBITDA margin of 19.4%. For the last 12 months, adjusted EBITDA was $196.8 million, or 19.8% of net sales. For the quarter, our adjusted net income per share was $0.14 as compared with $0.15 in the prior year.

  • Turning now to segment performance starting with Infrastructure. Infrastructure net sales of $246.9 million increased $7 million, or 2.9% as compared with the prior year, primarily due to eliminating the one month reporting lag and higher pricing. Adjusted operating income of $52.9 million increased $2.2 million or 4.3% as compared with the prior year. The increase is primarily due to favorable manufacturing performance and higher pricing, partially offset by higher costs associated with inflation, primarily for raw materials.

  • The estimated expense impact from the COVID-19 pandemic was a net benefit of $500,000 in the quarter, as $1.5 million of lower SG&A expenses, attributed to reduced travel and trade show expense, were partially offset by $1 million of additional manufacturing expenses.

  • Adjusted EBITDA of $65.6 million increased $2.8 million, or 4.5%, leading to an adjusted EBITDA margin of 27.2% and a conversion margin of over 200% in the quarter, excluding the net sales associated with the one month reporting lag.

  • Moving on to Technologies. Technologies' net sales of $20.6 million increased $2.8 million or 15.7%, primarily due to increased volumes and higher pricing. Adjusted operating loss of $4.6 million was flat in the quarter, as higher sales were offset by unfavorable manufacturing performance, higher SG&A expenses, and higher costs associated with inflation.

  • The estimated expense impact from the pandemic was a net benefit of $100,000 in the quarter. This benefit resulted from $300,000 of estimated lower SG&A expenses, which were partially offset by additional manufacturing expenses in the quarter.

  • Technologies' adjusted EBITDA was essentially flat, with a loss of $2.6 million, as compared with a loss of $2.5 million in the prior year quarter.

  • Moving on to cashflow. Net cash provided by operating activities for the 6 month period improved $66.2 million to $63.2 million, primarily driven by improvements in working capital management. Additionally, cash used in operating activities in the first quarter of the prior year included the $22 million Walter Energy tax payment. We invested $31.1 million in capital expenditures during the 6 month period compared with $37.3 million in the prior year period. Free cashflow for the 6-month period improved $72.4 million to $32.1 million compared with negative free cash flow of $40.3 million in the prior year period. This is a $50.4 million improvement, excluding the Walter Energy tax payment in the prior year.

  • At March 31, 2021, we had total debt outstanding of $447.6 million and total cash of $228.2 million. We did not have any borrowings under our ABL agreement at quarter end, nor did we borrow any amounts under our ABL during the quarter. At the end of the second quarter, our net debt leverage ratio improved to 1.1x from 1.6x at the end of the prior year quarter. As a reminder, we currently have no debt maturities before June, 2026. Our 5.5% notes have no financial maintenance covenants. And our ABL agreement is not subject to any financial covenant unless we exceed the minimum availability thresholds. Based on March 31st, 2021, data, we had approximately $154.4 million of excess availability under the ABL agreement, which brings our total liquidity to $382.6 million. We continue to focus on maintaining a strong balance sheet with ample liquidity, which supports our capital allocation priorities. Scott, back to you.

  • John Scott Hall - President, CEO & Director

  • Thanks Martie. I'll review some of our key strategies and markets and expectations for full year 2021. After that, we'll open the call up for questions.

  • As Martie mentioned, raw material inflation accelerated during the second quarter, impacting our gross margins. Due to the magnitude of the inflationary increases, especially raw materials, and the lag between pricing actions and realization, we experienced an unfavorable price-cost impact during the quarter. We have taken additional pricing actions beyond our initial price increases in December, which will help our price-cost position in the second half of this year. While the magnitude of the inflation will impact our conversion margins for the rest of the year, we do expect to get more price realization in our third and fourth quarters, which will carry over into 2022. Our teams remain focused on improving our conversion margins through both price realization and productivity initiatives, to help offset the expected continued inflation in the second half of the year. Similar to the 2017, 2018 inflation cycle, we expect to benefit from the multiple pricing actions after the cycle peaks. Our goal is to get price to more than cover inflationary pressures over the entire cycle, which we expect to continue into 2022.

  • At the end of March, we announced additional restructuring plans to close 2 facilities in Aurora, Illinois, and Surrey, British Columbia. Most of the activities from these plants will be consolidated into the new facility in Kimball, Tennessee. The Kimball facility, which focuses on specialty valves, includes operations from 3 previously announced plant closures. The facility is strategically located between our foundries in Chattanooga, Tennessee, and Albertville, Alabama. We have already begun to implement this restructuring and expect to substantially complete it by the third quarter of fiscal 2022. These actions, in addition to our previously announced multi-year investment to modernize our manufacturing facilities, will help accelerate product development, drive additional operational efficiencies, reduce duplicative expenses and aid us in advancing our environmental initiatives. As a reminder, the Kimball facility is one of the 3 transformational projects we have previously discussed, along with the new brass foundry in Decatur and the large casting foundry in Chattanooga.

  • Due to the pandemic's impact on the project related portion of our valve business, we have reevaluated the time line for the sales ramp up of existing and new products. The new restructuring initiative will help us to achieve our overall gross margin expectations upon completion of the 3 large projects, once they are at full run rate. In total, we continue to anticipate these 3 projects will contribute $30 million in cumulative gross profit benefiting from cost savings and increased sales after all are complete and at full run rate.

  • Similar to our first quarter, our end markets improved during the quarter as municipal spending continues to recover from the pandemic and residential construction continues to see strong demand for single family homes.

  • For the first half of the year, we increased consolidated net sales 6.1% excluding the one month reporting lag, which compares to a 10.2% net sales increase in the first half of last year. While our distributors increased inventory levels during the first half of this year, resulting from both anticipated demand and the timing of pricing actions, we believe that overall end market growth is in the mid-single-digit range. This growth has been driven by the residential construction end market, which was again very strong and the quarter. Single family housing starts increased 20% in the quarter, leading to over a million starts over the last 12 months.

  • While we believe that the residential construction end market will continue to experience strong growth this year, we do anticipate that the level of growth will start to moderate later this year as we lap the strong growth in the prior year and supply challenges push out new lot development.

  • Our view on the municipal end market is similar to last quarter, we are seeing some delays in the project portion of the market, which we expect to continue to varying degrees. While an infrastructure bill mentioning water investments is a positive for our industry, we believe that it will take some time for the final bill to be approved and a number of years for the federal dollars to reach the municipalities.

  • Additionally, since over 90% of water utility funding comes from state and local sources, we expect the pace of recovery for large CapEx projects to move more slowly than the repair and maintenance portion of utility spending, which remains relatively resilient. Over the long term, we believe that any federal infrastructure funding efforts will help municipalities address their aging distribution networks at a faster pace, and importantly, help to highlight the need for investment in our aging infrastructure.

  • Now moving on to our current expectations for 2021. As mentioned earlier, consolidated net sales growth in the second quarter exceeded our expectations. Demand remained strong throughout the second quarter and we finished the quarter with an all-time high backlog. For the remainder of 2021, we continue to expect that strong growth in the residential construction end market will more than offset any temporary delays in the project related portions of the municipal end market caused by the pandemic. Based on our expectations for our end markets, sales backlog, pricing and inflation for the rest of the year, we now anticipate that consolidated net sales growth for 2021 will be in the 8% to 10% range as compared to our previous guidance for net sales to increase between 4% and 6%. Our expectations for adjusted EBITDA growth for the year are now between 9% and 12% as compared to our previous guidance for adjusted EBITDA to increase between 5% and 8%. Finally, we continue to expect to generate healthy free cash flow for the rest of the year.

  • In summary, our top priorities remain focused on keeping our employees safe, protecting our communities, delivering exceptional products and support to our customers and increasing cash flow. At the same time, we continue to execute our strategies to reinvest in our business, to drive efficiencies, advance our ESG goals, accelerate growth, and provide more technology-enabled products and services to increase the resiliency of the aging water infrastructure.

  • We have now spent a full year operating in the midst of the pandemic. Our team members have stepped up in their role as essential workers, meeting our customer's needs. They have adjusted to the new processes put in place to help ensure their safety and health. Our focus on working capital management and cash flow has yielded improvements, as we have increased our free cash flow in the last 12 months by about $98 million, excluding the Walter Energy tax payment. We are learning new ways of managing our business with more remote training and new product seminars for our customers. Importantly, we see the clear need for more digitally enabled products and services to allow for municipalities to manage their operations remotely, as they plan for accelerating talent challenges with the expected retirements due to an aging workforce.

  • We continue to successfully convert existing customers to our Sentryx software platform, which will provide more opportunities for us to expand our technology portfolio with existing customers. During the second quarter, we completed smart hybrid pilots with 2 large water utilities, and a third pilot is scheduled to be completed in early summer. Additionally, we're seeing smart hydrant order growth in our sales pipeline, as water utilities begin to allow sales teams back into their facilities for in-person meetings. I am confident that we are well-positioned to strengthen our leadership role in the water industry and benefit from the enhanced attention the water industry is receiving.

  • With a strong balance sheet and cash generation supporting our strategies, we are well positioned to benefit all of our stakeholders by becoming a world-class manufacturing company and innovative industry leader bringing technology to our water infrastructure products and services. With that operator, please open this call for questions.

  • Operator

  • We will now begin the question-and-answer session. (Operator Instructions)

  • Our first question comes from Brian Lee with Goldman Sachs.

  • Brian K. Lee - VP & Senior Clean Energy Analyst

  • I guess just jumping into the guidance real quickly, Scott and Martie, can you quantify a bit how much is price and then how much is volume if you think about the quantification of the increased growth outlook here for the year? And then what are the specific assumptions around price and then separately price-cost spread that are embedded in the outlook?

  • John Scott Hall - President, CEO & Director

  • Well, what's embedded versus what -- the guidance understands that there's a range of outcomes that could happen to do with later inflation. I don't think that the copper market or frankly, the scrap steel market are going to remain flat, Brian. So we have a range of cause and effect, if you will. What I will say about that is that we now have a backlog that is basically priced about 60% prior to the February-March price increase and we won't see the benefit of those price increases until about 45 days after they were effective. So we'll be through April's volume, still at previous pricing and as you know, we have a 60 to 90 day lag on average.

  • What we don't do is we don't announce price increases on the investor call. But what I will say is that the market has been rational in the past. I expect that if the continued pressure in copper resulting in higher brass, or if the continued pressure in scrap supply, pressure in pig iron, all of those raw materials continues, then I think that we should expect the market to react and that we'll have to recover those costs.

  • As to (inaudible) in the forecast specifically, we have a range of outcomes. I think if you were to say that no shocks in inflation are contemplated, but that some steady increases from here could be handled and we could still meet the guidance. That's basically how we think about it.

  • What I'm most concerned about though is, I can't remember where we are, I think we got as high as $4.60 in copper, but, you know, no $5 copper is contemplated. How's that?

  • Brian K. Lee - VP & Senior Clean Energy Analyst

  • Understood. Okay. Fair enough. Just a follow up question I had was around some of the commentary you made around conversion margin, Scott, that was helpful. But if we think about the bridge here, I think you're insinuating a 20% or so EBITDA conversion margin for 2021 based on the updated guidance. Is the historical 35% to 40% long-term targets still intact for that metric? And then is that something we could see exiting calendar 2021 given the pricing actions that are being contemplated and are going to be passed through here, moving through the year or is that more of a 2022 event?

  • John Scott Hall - President, CEO & Director

  • The only way we can answer that, Brian, is for you to look into the crystal ball and say, "What's going to happen with price costs through the last 6 months of the year?" To be clear, I believe in a stable market with stable commodity prices and stable material prices, no massive moves in the value of the US dollar as we've seen recently, that we are a 35% to 40% long-term flat conversion merging business. And we do that when, when you see flat and falling commodity prices. Through a period like this where price-cost is going to have this lag, depending on how long that lasts, I think you're accurate in the implied conversion margin. So that kind of 20% to 30% range as we play catch up and we purge the backlog at the pre price increase levels.

  • I think the other thing that we have to watch is where we are, especially with those project-based businesses. We can live with some delays. But I don't want those delays stretching out into 9, 12, 14 months while we're in an inflationary period. And we'll have to take actions and have subsequent negotiations on those where we can. I think you're right in the near term, it's probably in that 20% to 30% range, once we get back to stability in the price-cost world, I think we'd go back revert back to the 35% kind of number.

  • Operator

  • Our next question comes from Ryan Connors with Boenning & Scattergood.

  • Ryan Michael Connors - Director of Research and Senior Analyst of Water & Environment

  • Scott, my question, I wanted to keep on this theme of the pricing for a second in the pass-through, and I think about the different types of sales that you make. It's easy for me to understand how a builder in this environment puts in that infrastructure and has no problem embedding that into the cost of a million dollar house and that kind of sails right through. But then I think about the average municipal water utility, it kind of operates at breakeven -- a lot less wiggle room to accept price. Can you talk about the different dynamics you're seeing in those different markets and how you're faring in each of those and the outlook and risk in that context?

  • John Scott Hall - President, CEO & Director

  • Sure, great and thanks for the opportunity to delve into it a little bit, Ryan. Ryan is absolutely right, for everybody on the call, that we have multiple pricing structures. You have everything from supply agreements where prices are fixed for 12 months and then, you have renegotiation periods and you can renew after 12 months or they'll go back to bed. Then we have the spot market which is really where most of the contractor work is done. As the developer decides he's going to develop some lots, he'll get a bid, he'll probably have a 90 day window where the distributor will be holding prices to the contractor, which is why the distributors get a 30 day notice on when we're doing price increases for the spot market.

  • And then you have, let's call it the structure of the water utilities where there is channel power, they can enter into supply agreements and kind of force a fixed price for a period of time. But when there isn't channel power, so if the math, you think about Ryan knows this, that there's 50,000 water utilities out there, the distributors and ourselves certainly are not going to enter into supply agreements with the bottom 49,000 water utilities or probably 49,500. For the vast majority of the market, the contractor market and the water utility market operate in the spot market with supply agreements. And that's why you often hear us talk about price increase amounts and then we talk about yields. Because obviously we can't just unilaterally increase prices at a LADWP or New York City, we have to wait for the negotiating window to open. Yields generally are in that 40% to 60%, with 50% being the most likely outcome of announced price increase. Yields end up being, if you have a 3% price increase -- yields will tend to be in that 1.4% to 1.7% range, depending on what your mix of supply agreement to spot market is. Does that explain it?

  • Ryan Michael Connors - Director of Research and Senior Analyst of Water & Environment

  • It does. And it's safe to say that, again, to paraphrase that, there's more complexity and challenge in the municipal side than in say the developer side. Is that a fair statement?

  • John Scott Hall - President, CEO & Director

  • Absolutely. Because I think there's a lot of guessing as to what the volumes will be, from which part of the water utility side is buying spot, and which part is buying under a supply agreement.

  • Ryan Michael Connors - Director of Research and Senior Analyst of Water & Environment

  • Yes. Okay. That's very helpful. My other one -- go ahead.

  • John Scott Hall - President, CEO & Director

  • One thing I want to make clear though is that when we have distributors that enter into supply agreements and we are not part of the agreement, we do not honor the supply agreement. That's the distributor's risk at that point.

  • Ryan Michael Connors - Director of Research and Senior Analyst of Water & Environment

  • Got it. Okay. Interesting.

  • John Scott Hall - President, CEO & Director

  • Yes.

  • Ryan Michael Connors - Director of Research and Senior Analyst of Water & Environment

  • My other one is, it seems like small potatoes, but it was material enough that you called it out in the press release, and Martie talked about it in her remarks. Travel and trade show events, those expenses down, how do you see that new normal emerging there? Are the big industry events going to be as important as they used to be, and those expenses will ramp back up? Or are we going to be in more of a virtual world in terms of those events going forward, or those events are smaller? To what extent does that stuff creep back versus maybe a structural change there?

  • John Scott Hall - President, CEO & Director

  • I'm hopeful that they creep back, because frankly I think that the interaction of multiple water utilities with each other at these trade shows, at these conferences, talking about what is possible, especially as we tried to accelerate the digitization of the water utility industry, are critically important. I know you've been to a lot of them, GWI and others. And I think that the coming together of the minds to talk about what's possible, and how applications, and what different problems are, is invaluable. And frankly, the richness in the virtual world, while it's been very, very good, it's not the same as the in-person meetings.

  • I'm hopeful, especially as it relates to the digitization of the water industry, that the technology leadership events get back to in-person. But I think that the number of travel days for sales calls, or for some of the more routine things that we've learned how to effectively do, will be reduced. I think the snapback costs will be at a percentage of their historical level. I don't think we'll ever get back to exactly where we were, but a little bit lower. But I really do hope that the things like ACE, and WaterWorld, and things like that, do get back to in-person.

  • Operator

  • And this question comes from Deane Dray with RBC Capital Markets.

  • Deane Michael Dray - MD of Multi-Industry & Electrical Equipment & Analyst

  • I'd like to finish up the thought here on price-cost. And I, frankly, learned a lot in, Scott, your explanation about the mix. It's not until you're in a situation like this, where some of those nuances really do come through. I appreciate the explanation. And when you referenced the yield of the 40%, 50% on the price increase, and you said it really does depend on the mix, is there any consideration of elasticity of demand? Do you have customers going elsewhere, and is that part of the idea that you get a lower yield because of competition? Any context or color there would be helpful.

  • John Scott Hall - President, CEO & Director

  • I think we've been fairly successful. It's drawing conclusions from past price increases, where we've been the only person out there with a price increase, and watch what happens with demand. And I feel like the stickiness of our products, with utilities, is really, really high. I think that you really have to be egregious in your treatment, either on price or delivery of a utility, before they throw up their hand and say, "Okay, we're going to start buying from one of your competitors." With that said, when we go in and we have a reasoned discussion about what's going on with costs, we have a reasoned discussion about what the drivers of price increases and inflation are, the market has been very rational.

  • I think that the recent events, the American dollar is -- there's 2 pieces here. One is real inflation, demand is actually growing, and we see shortages, and increase prices for scrap and other things. But the other thing is, a lot of these commodities are global commodities, and the value of the US dollar has declined. And as a result, in US dollars, there's been this double whammy. One, real price inflation and two, our dollar not going as far as it used to, causing stack on inflation.

  • I think that customers understand that. And yes, I think there is a fair deal of price elasticity, but we believe that most of our customers have bought into the value proposition. There will always be an element of the market, Deane, that does everything on price. I think the bigger risk, and where it's not as elastic, and the competitive situations are more keen, if you will, is on the project-based business, big public bids, big projects, with lots of scrutiny.

  • Deane Michael Dray - MD of Multi-Industry & Electrical Equipment & Analyst

  • Sure. That's really helpful. All right. Separate question, on that $30 million of gross margin benefit with the new plants, I get that there would be cost savings, just because of the efficiencies of the new operations. But you are assuming some higher sales: Are these new products, some of the larger castings that you can do yourself? I recall that might be an issue. But if you could flesh out, size what the new sales opportunity is with these plants.

  • John Scott Hall - President, CEO & Director

  • Yes, sure. I think the biggest driver of sales growth, when you think about the $30 million, is when we finish the new Decatur plant, it will be more capable than the plant that we built in 1918. It will actually have a lot more melt capacity, have a lot faster changeover for materials. It will have a lot of ability to expand the kinds and types of alloys that we melt. And as a result, we'll be able to enter new product areas as well. There is, of course, more capacity in Kimball than say, in Aurora. There is more capacity as a result of large casting foundry. But the bulk of the sales increase comes from the new capability associated with the brass foundry.

  • And I don't want everybody to get too focused on that. There is a piece that's sales, but if you think about the elimination of the Hammond, Indiana; Surrey, British Columbia; Aurora; Woodland, Washington. 5 plant managers go to 1, 5 controllers go to 1. Really, a lot of it is the reduction of the duplicative costs associated with running 5 relatively small facilities, as opposed to putting those 5 facilities into a single operating structure, which Kimball can handle. That's where the bulk of the $30 million comes from.

  • Deane Michael Dray - MD of Multi-Industry & Electrical Equipment & Analyst

  • That's helpful. Last question from me, it'll be for Martie, some context of the Krausz, that elimination of the 1 month lag. I don't know if it's shame on me for not knowing there was always a 1 month lag, but how did that happen? Because, you acquired it back in 2018. Are there other components or businesses that are on a different calendar?

  • Marietta Edmunds Zakas - Executive VP & CFO

  • Yes. No. Great. Thanks for the question Deane. You're exactly right. Going back to when we acquired Krausz in December 2018, we made the determination at that time, given the business, given that its headquarters and operations were in Israel, we made the determination from an accounting perspective to report it on a one month reporting lag. And very pleased at after 2 years of our ownership, that we were in a position to eliminate the lag at Krausz, and put it on the same reporting schedule as the rest of the company. The team's done a very good job just to get us up to that place.

  • Really what that means is, when we look at the quarter, second quarter of this year, we are reporting 4 months for Krausz, rather than the usual 3 that you would report. We've got the month of December, January, February, and March, that reported in the second quarter of this year. And that's why, from a transparency perspective, we wanted to make sure that we called out what the impact of that was. In essence, this is going forward, because if you will, we were short a month after acquiring it and we've added that month back, in essence this quarter. Anyway, call that out, and it'll be, if you will, on a regular basis going forward.

  • John Scott Hall - President, CEO & Director

  • And if I may Deane, Martie's team has done a great job. The business was a sole proprietorship, and not necessarily closing monthly, more of a quarterly close. Trying to close at the end of the month became something that we evaluated, and Martie rightly made the call to put it on the lag. And her team has done a tremendous job to put the systems in place that they can close within our 6-, 7-day timeframe at the end of every month.

  • Deane Michael Dray - MD of Multi-Industry & Electrical Equipment & Analyst

  • I had forgotten that, that was an Israeli company. I fully appreciate the accounting challenges in getting that done. If I can sneak one other one in, since we're on the topic. Are there other Krausz like deals out there? Because, it seems like fixing water main breaks is going to be a growth industry for a long, long time. And Krausz has been such a home run there, so hopefully there's some other adjacencies for you.

  • Marietta Edmunds Zakas - Executive VP & CFO

  • Yes, look, I absolutely agree. To spend a moment commenting on Krausz, if you'd go back to the strategic rationale that we laid out for Krausz, I think, I'm very pleased with the performance that we've seen over the last couple of years, from a manufacturing, from a customer, and importantly from expanding our product line. We saw it as a great opportunity. And I think, even despite pandemic and other things, we've been very pleased with the performance that we've seen out of Krausz. Krausz has grown nicely, probably on average of just about 10% on a compound growth rate. I would say comparable acquisitions for Krausz would be great going forward. It's the kind of thing that we would ideally like to continue to bring into our portfolio.

  • Deane Michael Dray - MD of Multi-Industry & Electrical Equipment & Analyst

  • And Scott, are there other Krausz's out there?

  • John Scott Hall - President, CEO & Director

  • Yes. I think that there are other people involved in repair. I think there's materials going on saying, "How do you splice in this kind of pipe if your infrastructure is this?" I think there's a lot of activity there. And as you know, I'm very bullish that the break frequency is going to continue to increase. There are many companies out there that are on our radar and certainly, that break-fix part of the business is certainly something we would invest in if we could find the right asset for the right price.

  • Operator

  • (Operator Instructions) Our next question comes from Joseph Giordano with Cowen.

  • Francisco Javier Amador - Associate

  • This is Francisco on for Joe. I wanted to ask about what you guys are seeing on the muni spending side. Maybe talk a little bit about where you see the budgets going both in terms of CapEx and Opex.

  • John Scott Hall - President, CEO & Director

  • Yes. I'd like to start by saying, I think that budgets are one thing, but anybody who's been listening to me for a while knows that I believe that what we'll call the planned budgets, are going to continue to get squeezed by -- at water municipalities. I think that there is a fixed amount of money, and as we've seen the break-fix part of the business, you saw it in Tulsa with the freeze, we saw it in Texas when they had the weather in February, that more and more of the budget is going to have to go to kind of fixing what breaks. Because the frequency of breaks continues to increase.

  • I think that the water utilities, if they want to increase, or do their planned CapEx, their emergency spending budgets are going to have to increase, or they're going to have to be willing to live with going over budget. I think that the federal stimulus could help them with some of their big CapEx, so that they can devote some more of their, let's call it operating budget, to break-fix. But I still think in front of us, the same thing I've been saying for the last 3 or 4 years, is that budgets by necessity will have to increase. I think we'll have some timing bumps over the next 5 to 10 year horizon. But water infrastructure, wastewater, wastewater infrastructure, stormwater and stormwater management, and retention of stormwater all are going to face 100, 150, 200 basis points better than GDP spending into the foreseeable future to fix the mess we've created. So I think you'll see a dip in the near term. But in the 5- and 10-year windows, budgets have to increase in all 3 of those.

  • Francisco Javier Amador - Associate

  • That's helpful. And as a follow-up, in terms of the technology segments, it's nice to see the increase in sales. Can you maybe talk about longer-term where you see it going, and when it turns to profitability?

  • John Scott Hall - President, CEO & Director

  • Yes, I've gotten out of the crystal ball game with that. I think that we've seen operational improvements at the plants. I think this quarter we saw sales growth. It didn't translate into EBITDA. I think a lot of that had to do with other market conditions where we spent money to retain and to gain customers. But not withstanding that, I expect the business to continue to improve its operating margins as a result of manufacturing and pricing actions in the meter business.

  • Take the meter business and put it to the sides in technologies, I expect the Echologics business, the smart hydrant business, the Hydro-Guard business, the sampling station business, I am looking for those businesses to start to fuel the growth of technologies. Because all of those new products, everything that we have introduced over the last 3 years in electronic enablement, adoption for those will be critical. And I expect them to be successful, and I expect them to start turning a profit and contributing to the technology segments in the years to come, '22 through '25.

  • And so will it be enough to get the whole segment profitable? We shall see, but I'm continuously encouraged by the progress the sales team is making with introducing these new products to our customers. And I think, reminder to everybody, all of our Echologics customers are now looking at acoustics on Sentryx. All of our customers that are on Sentryx, we have data analysis services that are being done in Toronto. And so we'd like to see more and more of that happen as we put more sensors in the market. And I believe that the long-term annuity, if you will, for the data services after that will continue to grow.

  • Operator

  • And our last question comes from Walter Liptak with Seaport.

  • Walter Scott Liptak - MD & Senior Industrials Analyst

  • I wanted to ask one about the factory relocations, and I wondered about some of the timing of the move and the cost related to that. How are we going to see that show up in the financials?

  • John Scott Hall - President, CEO & Director

  • Well, I think that most of the activities from the 2 facilities we just named, Aurora and Surrey, that are going into Kimball, they were not part of the original plan announced at the end of 2019 when we acquired the facility. But as you know, we're constantly evaluating our footprint and we will always communicate any actions we take to our employees first prior to sharing it with the public.

  • But the biggest change in the operating landscape has been the pandemic. And I think the pandemic's impact for the project related portion of the business reevaluated some of the time lines for the sales ramp up of existing products and some of the new products as well. And in order to stay on track with our financial targets, we elected to close those 2 facilities. Now how is it going to work financially? Let me say that both those projects' paybacks are just like the others, kind of sub 4 years, 3 years, in that range.

  • But it is kind of improving the 30 million as we adjusted our, let's call it, jumping off point for sales for the others. Incrementally though, we are not changing our CapEx outlooks, as we have explained in the past. And so you'll see that we found the CapEx for these 2 closures basically by removing the CapEx those plants would have probably spent in the future anyway. And so I see it as being CapEx guidance neutral and basically gross margin improvement neutral.

  • Marietta Edmunds Zakas - Executive VP & CFO

  • And Walt, maybe just to expand on the other piece we've estimated that could be total expenses running around $14 million. I think as you saw, we called out this quarter, specifically $2.4 million. That was an inventory write down. That was part of our cost of sales within infrastructure. Additionally, we had some other expenses that we called out in our restructuring and other charges line.

  • And I would say going forward, as we said, we expect that to be complete by our third quarter of fiscal 2022. And as we look at the other costs going forward, which will be termination benefits and some decommissioning costs, moving costs, et cetera, I think, by and large, you will see those flow through other restructuring charges. But we'll generally try to ensure that you're understanding the financial statements going forward as well.

  • Walter Scott Liptak - MD & Senior Industrials Analyst

  • Okay. Are you building any inventory or trying to protect against any kind of disruptions related to these moves, or are they small enough where we shouldn't get any of that?

  • John Scott Hall - President, CEO & Director

  • No, I think it's fair to say there'll be in a midterm inventory build. Anybody who's done this knows that while you do your double-breasting and the new plant is coming up, running its [p paths]. The old plant is continuing to look after customers, that when you go to that final shutdown period, that inventory will be somewhat higher as you protect the new plant's processes to get up the learning curve. I think anybody who's gone through multiple plant consolidations -- sounds, like you have Walt -- probably know that we'll have a slight increase in inventory for a 90- or 120-day period as you live through the learning curve.

  • Walter Scott Liptak - MD & Senior Industrials Analyst

  • Okay. All right, great. And then, I enjoyed the discussion of the different pricing structures, too. And one of the questions I had though is with the distributors, what percentage of your sales flows through your distribution channel partners?

  • John Scott Hall - President, CEO & Director

  • I think the number to use there in general is around a kind of a 60-40 number. I think in our Q, we say exactly what our split is, but my recollection's in that 60-40 range.

  • Marietta Edmunds Zakas - Executive VP & CFO

  • Yes. In our Q, what we do is we call out our net sales to our largest distributors.

  • John Scott Hall - President, CEO & Director

  • But please understand on this pricing thing, just to be clarifying then, is there are some district distribution sales that are fixed price. We lock hands with a Core & Main or we lock hands with a Ferguson. For instance in the meter contract, we have an agreement with Newport News, with Ferguson, it's a 3-way agreement where the pricing structures are agreed to and what the negotiating windows are, what the max increases can be, those kinds of things. So not all distribution sales are spot sales, and I don't want anybody to get confused about that, sorry.

  • Well, thank you. Thank you, operator. Look, I'm really very happy with our second quarter results. As I guided it in the past, I expected this to be our toughest quarter due to the strong comp from the previous year, and frankly, due to the fact that a year ago on this call was the call where we took away guidance. And we had rolled back up some of our accruals because the uncertainty was tremendous.

  • And here we are a year later into the pandemic, I think the team at the plants has done a great job satisfying the strong demand. I think that the housing market has been a pleasant surprise. I think that the theses that we had as an investment that continue to focus on this break-fix part of muni has been rewarded. I think when you look around, water, people like ourselves, and certainly some of the pipe guys and others have done very, very well through the pandemic.

  • And when you consider that we're kind of first 2 quarters of this year, post pandemic, compared to the first 2 quarters of last year, which were virtually all pre pandemic, to post up 6% growth, I feel like the team has done a great job and it would be even higher if the backlog hadn't grown in the first half. And so I'm very bullish. That's why we basically take our guidance from 4 to 6 to 8 to 10. And I think that we've seen good resiliency among our customers, among our distribution partners. And I think that in general, we're starting to see a much more bullish environment as we go forward.

  • Reflecting on the past 12 months, I think we're clearly in a different frame of mind than we were last May, and I think we're approaching the next 12 months in a great position with a lot more confidence to get through the external challenges and continue to focus on executing our key strategies. I think the engineering team, going to remote work when you do the project reviews to see where they are in product development, you remain impressed with the resiliency of that team to continue to collaborate, to use all these new virtual tools and to keep schedules on track, to keep budgets on track. And so I'm encouraged by that.

  • And I think, just in finishing, with a strong balance sheet, our healthy cash generation, we're really well positioned to benefit all of our stakeholders on our path to becoming a world-class manufacturing company and an innovative industry leader, bringing technology to water and continuing down the path that we set 2 years ago. So I thank you for your continued interest in our company and I look forward to talking about next quarter with you in 90 days or so. With that, operator, we'll close the call.

  • Operator

  • Thank you. This does conclude today's conference. At this time, you may disconnect your lines.