Quaker Chemical Corp (KWR) 2013 Q1 法說會逐字稿

Greetings and welcome to the Quaker Chemical Corporation first quarter 2013 results conference call. A brief question-and-answer session will follow the formal presentation. (Operator instructions.) As a reminder, this conference is being recorded.

It is now my pleasure to introduce your host, Michael Barry, Chairman, Chief Executive Officer, and President for Quaker Chemical Corporation. Thank you, Mr. Barry. You may begin.

Good morning everyone. Joining me today are Margo Loebl, our CFO, and Robert Traub, our General Counsel. After my comments, Margo will provide the details around the financials and then we'll address any questions that you may have. We also have slides for our conference call. You can find them in the Investor Relations part of our website at www.quakerchem.com.

I'll start it off now with some remarks about the first quarter. Overall I am pleased to be able to report that we had a solid quarter and we did so in a challenging environment. Let me now try to give you a sense of what we experienced in the quarter, and I'll start with sales.

Our overall sales were relatively flat for the quarter but were negatively impacted 1% from foreign exchange rates. Our volumes were consistent year-over-year despite weak global markets. We believe our business strategies are largely responsible for these results as we are benefiting in two ways. One, we continue to make acquisitions, and two, we have grown our volume by executing our business strategies and taking share in the marketplace. So the combination of both the acquisitions and new organic growth is the reason we have continued to do well under very difficult circumstances.

Going around the regions, Europe is one of our most challenging regions. However, sales were actually up approximately 2%. This excludes the impact of our recent acquisition of NP Coil Dexter, which added an additional 5% growth in Europe. We are fortunate that we have been able to pick up share in the marketplace which has helped us to more than offset the inherent steel and industrial market declines in this region, which we estimate to be 10% or more.

In South America our sales were down 5%, but when adjusted for foreign exchange rates, our sales actually increased 8%. This increase is primarily due to price and mix effects rather than volume increases. The steel and automotive markets continue to be very challenging in Brazil. The Brazilian government has put initiatives in place to help drive growth, and we may see some positive impact from this as we progress in 2013.

In North America we saw a decline in sales of 5% as steel production this year is below steel production last year. For the full year, most external North America steel production estimates are projecting year-over-year increases.

In Asia Pacific we saw a 1% increase in demand -- increase as demand weakness in China and India was more than offset by increases in Southeast Asia. So overall we are seeing an uncertain demand environment in our end use markets throughout the globe.

Looking sequentially first quarter versus fourth quarter, our sales were up by 2% with North America being flat, Asia Pacific down, and Europe and South America up. Europe and South America being up and Asia Pacific being down are normal seasonality trends between the fourth quarter and the first quarter in our industries. North America is normally up due to seasonality but it was relatively flat as we saw signs of weakness in certain parts of our businesses.

On our gross margins, we saw them expand by 1.8 percentage points from the first quarter of 2012 as we continue our initiatives to get our margins to more acceptable levels. This gross margin improvement was very important for our overall profitability given the challenging external environment.

So all things considered, we are pleased with our first quarter performance. While overall demand was relatively weak, we continue to take share and expanded our margins to grow our profit.

Looking forward, we continue to expect sluggishness and a challenging global economic environment, especially in Europe. However, our external information indicates that the first quarter industrial demand in most parts of the world may be at a low point. This would be good news if it's true. Although the external information also suggests that we do not expect to see strong growth characteristics anytime soon.

Fortunately, we're currently in a period of relatively stable raw material prices rather than a steep rising raw material cost environment.

So in summary, our margins are getting to a more acceptable area, and it's up to us to generate our growth through market share gain and our numerous strategic initiatives, and we intend to do that. The bottom line is that I continue to be confident in our future. We have demonstrated in the past that we can manage through uncertainty and we expect 2013 to be another good year for Quaker.

In closing, I want to thank all of our associates whose dedication and expertise helps to create value for our customers and differentiate Quaker in the marketplace. And now I will turn it over to Margaret Loebl, our CFO, so that she can provide you with more details behind our financials, and after that we will address any questions you may have.

Thank you, Mike. Good morning everyone. Turning to the financial portion of the call today, I will reiterate that Quaker continues to deliver strong results in the first quarter of 2013 despite a difficult market environment.

As you know, we announced net sales and earnings per diluted share of $176.2 million and $1.04 per share for the first quarter of 2013, respectively, compared to first quarter of 2012 net sales and earnings per diluted share of $177.6 million and $0.95 per share, respectively. Net income for the first quarter of 2013 was $13.6 million compared to net income of $12.4 million for the first quarter of 2012.

Please note that non-GAAP earnings per diluted share were $0.96 for the first quarter of 2013 compared to $0.91 for the first quarter of 2012. The adjustments to non-GAAP earnings per diluted share include in the first quarter of 2013 $0.11 per share related to equity income in a captive insurance company, Primex, and a $0.03 per share charge related to the devaluation of the Venezuelan Bolivar, and in the first quarter of 2012 $0.04 per share related to equity income in Primex.

Another key item to note is a $0.10 per share positive impact in the first quarter of 2013 related to the decrease in reserves for uncertain tax positions due to the expiration of applicable statutes of limitations for certain tax years.

Now let's take a deeper look at Quaker's performance in our reported financial results for the first quarter of 2013. Let's please turn to chart four. Product volumes, including acquisitions, were consistent in the first quarter of 2013 compared to the first quarter of 2012.

Turning to the financial snapshot in chart five, net sales for the first quarter of 2013 were $176.2 million, a decrease of less than 1% from $177.6 million in the first quarter of 2012. Foreign exchange rate translation decreased revenues by approximately $2.2 million or 1%, which was partially offset by a slight increase due to selling and price mix of less than 1%. As a comment, we were able to at least partially offset various market softness with market share gains and business from our recent acquisition.

Gross profit increased approximately $2.8 million or approximately 5% from the first quarter of 2012. Looking at chart six, the increase in gross profit on consistent sales was due to an improvement in gross margin to 35.5% compared to 33.7% for the first quarter of 2012 and 34.2% for the fourth quarter of 2012. The increase in gross margin is reflective of the Company's continuing initiative to restore its margins to more acceptable levels. As you may recall, we have informed investors in the past that we target 35% gross margin.

Selling, general, and administrative expenses increased approximately $2.1 million compared to the first quarter of 2012 primarily related to increases due to acquisitions, higher incentive compensation, and higher selling, inflationary, and other labor-related costs which were partially offset by a decrease in foreign exchange rate translation.

The decrease in interest expense was due to lower average borrowings and lower interest rates experienced in the first quarter of 2013 as compared to the first quarter of 2012. The Company's effective tax rate for the first quarters of 2013 and 2012 of 24.1% and 21.5%, respectively, reflects decreases in reserves for uncertain tax positions due to the expiration of applicable statutes of limitations for certain tax years of approximately $0.10 and $0.12 per diluted share respectively.

Also, contributing to the difference in the effective tax rate is that the tax rate in China was 15% in 2012 compared to 25% in the first quarter of 2013. While the Company's recertification of its Chinese subsidiary as a high-tech enterprise is pending, the Company will record tax expense at the statutory rate of 25%. The Company has experienced and expects to further experience volatility in its effective tax rates due to the varying timing of tax audits and the expiration of applicable statutes of limitations as they relate to uncertain tax positions among other factors.

The Company estimates that its full-year 2013 effective tax rate will be in the high 20% range as compared to the lower rate experienced in the first quarter of 2013. We expect the effective tax rate to be the highest for the current year in the second quarter of 2013 at a level over 30%.

Separately, changes in foreign exchange rates negatively impacted the first quarter of 2013 net income by approximately $0.1 million or $0.01 per diluted share. As a general comment, the strong US dollar versus the euro and Brazilian real have in the recent past been negatively impacting Quaker's reported revenue and net income. These movements in exchange rates impact Quaker primarily from a translations perspective but also from a transactional perspective. While the impact has been noteworthy in the past, the impact of movement in the exchange rates as you can see was modest in this first quarter of 2013.

The increase in equity in net income of associated companies was primarily due to higher earnings related to the Company's equity interest in a captive insurance company, Primex, in the first quarter of 2013 compared to the first quarter of 2012 of $0.11 and $0.04 per diluted share, respectively. The Company's first quarter 2013 equity in net income of associated companies includes a non-cash out of -period adjustment of approximately $1 million, which primarily related to a re-insurance contract held by Primex. This increase was partially offset by a charge of approximately $0.03 per diluted share related to the devaluation of the Venezuelan Bolivar Fuerte during the first quarter of 2013.

In chart seven, adjusted EBITDA of $81.9 million on a trailing 12-month basis is up sequentially versus adjusted EBITDA of $80.9 million at year-end 2012 on a trailing 12-month basis.

Turning to chart eight, in the balance sheet the Company's liquidity continues to be strong. As of March 31, 2013, consolidated Quaker cash is up $4.6 million from year-end 2012. The Company's net cash/debt position was $5.7 million at the end of the first quarter of 2013 and its consolidated leverage ratio was less than one times EBITDA.

At the end of the first quarter of 2013, Quaker had $35.3 million of cash on hand versus $29.6 million of debt at the end of the first quarter 2013.

Looking at chart nine, net operating cash flow increased to $11.3 million for the first quarter of 2013 compared to $6.7 million in the first quarter of 2012, which was primarily driven by the improved working capital management of the Company's first dividend distribution from its captive insurance equity affiliate of $2 million.

In conclusion, I would like to thank all of the Quaker associates around the world for their commitment to our customers and contributions to the success of Quaker Chemical. This concludes my prepared remarks for today. Thank you, and I will now turn the call back to Mike.

Thank you, Margo. We would now like to address any questions from any of the participants on this conference.

Thank you. We will now be conducting a question-and-answer session. (Operator instructions.) Our first question is coming from Summit Roshan from KeyBanc Capital Markets. Please proceed with your question.

Good morning. I just wanted to revisit the gross profit/gross margin initiatives that you've taken over the past year or so. There's a pretty significant improvement year-over-year and sequentially, and I think it was a bit of a divergence from maybe what you were anticipating on your last call just given I think expectations for higher raw materials. Could you give us a little bit more color on where the improvement came from, whether it was raw material mix, internal efficiencies, or just the impact of pricing or mix during the quarter?

It's probably all of those, but the improvement itself is kind of a combination of items as you kind of mentioned. There's certainly -- you kind of always have to look at where you're starting from, and a year ago we were starting from a point where raw materials were in a rising environment and there's always a lag effect between getting our price increases back. So part of that certainly has been our price initiatives, and as raw materials have gone up over time to raise our prices. So that's certainly one component.

As you also mentioned that our raw materials, we have constant projects and look at ways to lower our raw material costs or be more efficient in the way we do things, so that's obviously another part of it. So it's really kind of a combination of things. And as we've said all along, we target to have around a 35% gross margin area, target in that range.

The second part of your question really was did something change from our view in the first quarter, and in the first quarter, our previous conference call at the beginning of March, we really -- during that time period we saw price increase -- raw materials going up, and they did go up in that February/March timeframe.

And we are still seeing -- we're seeing more of -- I would say more of a stabilization in our raw material costs now. We anticipated them to be up more so in the second quarter than they're probably going to be, and I think that had to do in that March and April timeframe the price of crude coming down. That was a big driver. Not that our raw materials are really coming down, but they're more stabilized. And when I say that is we have a whole host of raw materials. A lot of them -- a number of them are still going up, some are flat, and some might be declining.

But overall when you look at the mix, I'd say we're in a relatively stable environment right now.

And then if I look forward as you kind of head into your sequentially stronger quarters, 2Q and 3Q, was there something in the first quarter maybe as you work through some lower cost inventory that helped out there or would it be fair to say that gross margins should expand sequentially as we head into the stronger quarters sequentially?

I wouldn't think it would expand. Again, we're targeting to have something in the 35% range, and I don't think there was anything necessarily from an inventory point of view that would drive something in the first quarter.

I think another phenomenon that happens in our business that's just really hard to quantify for you is we have these number of -- a significant piece of our business, maybe 20% to 25% of our business is on indexing, and there's kind of always a -- can be a lag effect in the indexing situation where we mark-to-market the different raw materials at any point in time, and that can have an impact on things.

So there's just a lot of effects in there, but if I was trying to -- again, just to steer you, 35% is our target on our gross margin, and we hope to be there for the long term in that area.

Great. And moving over to the acquisition front, your balance sheet continues to get a bit better here every quarter. Can you give us an update on the pipeline there, maybe what you're seeing in the markets, and if we should come to expect anything over the next few quarters?

Well, we're always actively looking at acquisitions, so we're doing that right now. I don't think anything is imminent at this stage, but we have a number of things happening and we're looking at different levels of acquisitions in different parts of the world, and it's really what will come to closure.

So our goal is to make acquisitions. As you mentioned, we have a strong balance sheet and we feel we want to do them, but we want to also want to do them in a smart way. We want to make money in the acquisitions, and so we're very in some way conservative or careful in making sure we spend our money wisely. But we are actively looking at a number of opportunities right now.

Great. And if I could sneak one last one in here and then I'll jump back in queue. Looking at your performance in Europe, it's certainly encouraging to see sales up 2% given the market there. Could you give us some color on sort of the initiatives that have been going on to take share? Why are the market share gains so strong and what would you expect from there going forward? Thank you.

Sure. I think we're kind of growing in maybe two or three different ways in gaining market share. Some is we made these acquisitions, five acquisitions over the past 2-1/2 to 3 years now, and those have brought -- four out of five brought different technologies to us that we can now leverage in our global infrastructure and sell in different places around the world, so that's part of our growth and part of how we're taking share.

Another part is we have special initiatives around different parts of our business. In our base steel businesses where we tend to get in with cold rolling oil and we want to sell our whole product lines into our steel customers, and we're making progress doing that. In our metalworking business we tend to focus on initiatives like engine and transmissions and tube and pipe, and we are continuing to get new pieces of business there. We're picking up new mines around the world.

And even from a competitive perspective, we're taking share because I think we're more and more being viewed as a market leader in these areas and people consider us very dedicated to this business, and over time we've just taken more share because of that.

So it's a whole host of little things, and as I kind of mentioned in the past, I tend to think of our -- it's not one big thing. I kind of use a baseball analogy where we're out there trying to hit a lot of singles in all different regions of the world, all different product lines, and in all different areas. And you hit enough of these singles that they score runs for you. Unfortunately in the short term here they've been just kind of keeping us relatively even, but longer term as we see our growth prospects in the inherent markets, steel markets, auto markets, pick up throughout the world, we should be able to get that growth plus all these other kind of market share growths that we're getting.

Okay. I'll jump back in queue.

Thank you. (Operator instructions.) Our next question is coming from Laurence Alexander from Jefferies. Please proceed with your question.

Good morning. Just a couple of questions. First, could you give -- was there any FX impact on -- that was relevant on the EBITDA or EPS level?

Let me follow on that, okay?

Okay. Secondly --

It was about $0.01 per share negative impact.

Okay. Perfect. Okay. Are there any niches that you're in that are growing significantly faster than GDP, and can you sort of maybe clarify or identify the largest ones?

Well we are over time, over the past few years as I think of our different businesses, we bought an aluminum business. We are getting new share in aluminum. We started from a low base so we're growing there. In our mining business we continue to pick up share and doing very well there. In our tube and pipe business we've historically over the past several years now really been enjoying double-digit growth in that area.

And certainly with the new technologies that we've picked up recently in die casting and grease and the surface technologies. We have a number of initiatives in place that we expect to get good growth prospects out of. So I think that's all these -- a lot of the key ones that I see are related to the acquisitions that we made and should provide us good double-digit growth in those areas.

And then could you discuss a little bit the trends by region that you're seeing into the second quarter? I mean just what's been happening with [all the] trends in April and May?

I think things are progressing. I kind of said in my comments that we kind of get a feeling from the external things we read and what we pick up from our customers in the marketplace that first quarter was definitely a weak quarter. As I think about the different places around the world, like Europe, it was weak. I think people don't expect it to get too much better quickly, but I don't think we expect to see a continuing of this decline that we've been seeing quarter after quarter in Europe.

So it seems like we're hoping we bottomed out, and I get the same sense when I talk about -- in our Brazilian markets. In North America I think the same kind of sense, it should be relatively flat or maybe slightly up. And then that same sense in China and India there's more -- there's a lot of things going on, but in general over long periods of time I expect both of those markets to be good. But in the short term, they are kind of choppy right now.

So overall I would just say, Laurence, that we're hoping that the first quarter was one of our weakest ones. And there's always kind of different seasonality impacts in these different quarters, but if I look at the overriding trends I would hope that we don't see anything lower and we should see some moderate growth hopefully as we go forward here.

And then just a broader question. A range of sort of more specialty companies have flagged a more severe shift by their customers in terms of focusing on cost cutting and slowing down the number of innovation cycles that they're funding or looking at or implementing. Obviously your business is a little bit different in terms of the dynamics. Are you seeing any kind of pushback by your customers or a tilt in the types of requests that they're asking you to do that affects your mix going forward?

Our customers are still -- first of all our customers, a lot of them are steel companies, and certainly a number of them are not in a very strong profitable state right now maybe like they were a number of years ago, so there's always kind of pressure from that perspective.

But I think a lot of customers are continuing to rely on us and we have to service them and have people there to do that. We are always under pressure from our customers, but we've always been able to justify our value that we bring to them.

And then from a cost perspective, we always try to be cautious with our cost side of things, but at the same time we are investing in our business. We are adding people, especially in the emerging markets part of the world, and we're also adding people where we think they can add value, and especially driving these new technologies that we've purchased. For an example, as we buy one of these technologies, like grease or die casting and so forth, in the United States we need people in other places around the world to help execute that for us. And we continue to make investments to help drive these in these new areas.

Okay. Thank you.

Thank you. (Operator instructions.) Our next question is a followup from Summit Roshan from KeyBanc Capital Markets. Please proceed with your question.

Just wanted to get a reminder. What does your order visibility typically look like? Is it 30 days? 60 days? And where is that now maybe relative to three months ago and maybe compared to a year ago?

Our order -- our customers keep very little inventory of our product on site, so we're definitely under 30 days in general with our customers. So from an order perspective, in some ways it's real time. What they see we kind of get [impacted] relatively quickly.

The longer term view we have to kind of pick up from our discussions, just internal discussions with the customer, get a better understanding how their order books look and things like that.

Great. Thank you.

Thank you. (Operator instructions.) If there are no further questions at this time, I'd like to turn the floor back over to management for any further closing comments.

Okay. Thank you, Kevin. Okay. Given there are no other questions, we'll end our conference call now. And I want to thank all of you for your interest today. We are pleased with our results in the first quarter and we continue to be confident in the future of Quaker Chemical.

Our next conference call for the second quarter results will be in late July or early August, and if you have any questions in the meantime, please feel free to contact Margo Loebl or myself. Thanks again for your interest in Quaker Chemical.

Thank you. This does conclude today's teleconference. You may disconnect your lines at this time and have a wonderful day. We thank you for your participation today.