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Cfo
Before I turned the call over to
Michael. I would like to quickly fiscal 2002, we reported revenue of 201.2 million, a decline of 12% over the second quarter of 2001 and proforma EBITDA, our guidance of 5 to 7 cents was based on normalized E.P.S., which does not include charges taken in this quarter, gains from the sale investments, and gains from the sale of the H.C.M.O. business. We delivered on
the high end of that range at 7 cents, 2 cents
above concensus compared to 4 cents of the
second quarter of 01. Including other charges,
reported net loss from continuing operations,
total 4.3 million or a loss of 5 cents per
diluted share compared to a lost of two cents a
year ago. For the first half of fiscal 2002 revenue, 450.5 million, a decline of 7% over the first after of 2001, and proforma EBITDA was 71.7 million. Normalized E.P.S., again,
including other charges total 24 cents per
diluted share versus 24 cents for the first
after of 2001. Reported net income from continuing operations and including other charges was 14.7 million or 16 cents per diluted share, compared to 19 cents for the first half of 2001. Just a reminder that all
of our financials reflect our adoption of last
quarter, we eliminates good landlord arm for
tags. Historical revenue and cost of product development has been restated to reflect our adoption of. P.S.1013 which requires
reclassification of reimbursable out of pocket
expenses and did not have a material impact. Finally, please note that throughout the call, we will refer to financial measures, including normalized E.P.S., pro forma EBITDA and net cash. Please refer to the. Now I'd like to
turn the call over to Michael.
CEO
Thank you. Julie. Good morning,
everyone. It's not been one year since we
first talked with you about a fundamental gift
in Gartner east strategy from one of high
investment to drive high growth to a strategy
of moderate investment with increasing levels
of profitability. Our view which we shared with you a year ago was that in a deteriorating economy, Gartner shareholders would best be served by a strategy that optimized EBITDA and earnings, rather than revenue growth. The
evidence of the past four quarters strongly
confirms the wisdom of this strategy.
strategy. On a going forward basis, we will
continue to do everything in our pour to
maximum shareholder value. When the economic environment permits us to grow revenues without sacrificing near term profit and cash flow, we will do so. But while the economy remains weak, which I believe will continue to be the case through 2002, our focus will remain firmly on profit, and cash. Two weeks ago I opened our spring symposium in Florence by cautioning our European clients not to believe the wide-spread reports about the blossoming recovery in the U.S. economy. When I.B.M. shocked Wall Street later that day with its announcement of an earnings shortfall, we were not surprised. Despite all the talk, there
were very few signs of real economic
improvement. The post 9/11 spending on defend
and homeland has juiced the public second for
but the private sector struggles. C.E.O.'s across the spectrum remain generally pessimistic about their ability to deliver earnings at a level that will satisfy investors. As a result, budgets that involve
any sort of discretionary spending will likely
remain very tight throughout the year. Three years ago, we initiated a broad series of investments. In gardener.com, in our regional infrastructure, in a seat based architecture and in the inside sales channel that have allowed us to enhance productivity and to improve margin. As the economy began to
deteriorate early this year, early last year,
we took further steps to reengineer our cost
structure tone sure our ability to deliver
increased profits, even in a prolonged economic
slow down. Through these productivity gains
and reductions in our cost structure that are
already initiated, we can clear see the ongoing
potential to extract increasing levels of
profitability well into 2003. At the same time, we continue to make moderate investments in important initiatives for growth in the long term. Gartner G.2, Gartner executive programs,
and the Gartner 500. So that when the economy
and the tech sector do actually rebound, we are
fully prepared to take advantage. Our second
quarter results show vividly both the
difficulty of the economy as well as our
sustained success in growing profits and mack
miezing shareholder value in this environment. While revenue was down from the prior year, EBITDA came in at 26.7 million, an increase of 23%. Q-2 normalized E.P.S. was 7 cents per share, compared to 4 cents per share during this period last year and to a concensus of 5 cents. Our cash balance now is $78.8 million, up $47.3 million or 151% year over year, and up 51.3 million, or 187% sequentially. Contribution margins increased in every business segment. While overall these are solid results, I don't want to pretend that we are happy or complacent about the revenue decline. We're not. But we believe that our
strategy is striking the right balance. In the current environment, chasing short term revenue growth through increasing our spending would foolishly compromise near term profitability.
This we will not do. We like revenue growth, but we like cash and profit more. At the same time, our focus on near term profitability is building important value for us improved margins and larger cash balances enhance our capacity to borrow and reduce our costs of capital. Thereby dramatically increasing our
financial flexibility, including, among other
things, our ability to continue to buy back
shares. Behind these strong results are a
number of very encouraging met tricks that
highlight the durability of our franchise and
the opportunity for us when times get better.
Let me highlight just a few of them. During
the second quarter, we actually saw small
increase in our overall research retention rate
to 74%. For clients who spend more than
$100,000 with us, the retention rate was
particularly strong, at 89%. These numbers
stand in stark Contras to industry averages.
Intense budget pressures are inevitably causing
some clients to reduce their spend with us, but
our consistently strong renewal rate makes it
clear we have successfully established many
meaningful, long-term relationships with
client, who need and highly value our advice,
even in tough times. We have every expectation
of growing these relationships when conditions
improve. Another highlight is the growth of
our consulting backlog, which is up for the
quarter 14% year over year, and 6%
sequentially. We're finding a specially strong
demand for our measurement services and our
strategic advisory services. During the
quarter, we booked 102 consulting deals worth
over $150,000 each. With ten of those projects
coming in at over $500,000 each. One
particularly noteworthy engagement is a
$2 million project for Exxon Mobil to benchmark
and assess its I.T. organization worldwide.
Our unique ability to deliver this sort of work
on a global basis was a key factor in securing
this engagement. We're also having
considerable success driving new research
business. Writing roughly $22 million in Q.1,
and another $22 million in Q2. With about half
of this coming from completely new research
clients. This is strong evidence that the
available market opportunity when times
improve. I can't even begin to tell you the
many challenges involved in forging a new
research relationship in this environment. Yet
we have been able to do so consistently in our
first two fiscal quarters. We don't know how
long this difficult economy will last, but
we're prepared for the day when things improve. Our commitment to maximizing shareholder value is leading up to apply the same rigorous analysis of and improvement to our sales processes that we have demonstrated with respect to our cost structure and operating expenses. The current downturn is Radcliffe
altered the landscape in our business to
Gartner's benefit. When the economy turns up, better sales processes will leverage the improved operating model that is already in place. This will be the next phase of
Gartner's evolution. In summary, we delivered
another strong quarter, all in the face of a
continuing weak economy and exceptional
upheaval in the tech sector. We're strongly
committed to maximizing shareholder value and
we will continue to demonstrate that
commitment.
Ceo-president
We have a focused and
talented manage pt team. We're successfully
growing profits and gaining market share. And we are exceptionally well positioned through solid client relationships, through growing cash balances, and through prudent investment and long-term growth initiatives to prosper and extend our market leading position when the economy begins to recover.
CEO
Thanks, Michael. Good morning
everyone. There are three topics I would like
to cover. First a review of second quarter
results and our estimates for future
performance, second, our strategy for
continuing increase profitability and third, a
review of our progress in improving shareholder
value. I'll start with our business results
for Q-2. We have 14 performance objectives, profitability, cash flow, financial flexibility, and long-term revenue growth. In
Q-2, we made solid progress on all four. Profitability is measured by sending gross margins, total company EBITDA and grows margins are up. Cash flow as measured by the net cash flow we generate is up. Borrowing capacity and cost of capital has increases and lon term revenue growth is measured by our market share, client and wallet retention rates ond our progress towards specific growth initiatives like executive programs, Gartner G.2 and Gartner 500 have all gained momentum. In Q-2, on consolidated revenue of $201 million, we generated 27 million in EBITDA and 7 cents of normalized E.P.S. In the context of our guidance and in comparison to last year, we delivered more profit on less revenue. While revenues declined 12 percent year over year, EBITDA increased 23% and normalized E.P.S. increased 75 percent. Of particular note is
the fact we delivered a 75% increase in
normalized E.P.S., even as fully diluted shares
outstanding increased by 24%. The dechain in revenues was across all business segments, but the most significant occurred as planned in events with an 8 million dlar decline year over year. We have risk adjusted our poat foal of
theme conferences, eliminating new, unproven
and low profit events, driving attendee and
exhibit volumes to reduce list of venues with
the goal of greater profitability on fewer
events. Not only is this event strategy working, we continue to anticipate full year revenue at the high end of our guidance. Our total company EBITDA improvement of 23% is the result of five specific initiative. The first
is a shift in our client mix to larger accounts
that are more profitable an retain services at
higher levels. This is evidence by a 4% increase in the average spend per client, now at $85,000, and by our overall client and wallet retention rates, which, when calculated across all products and services are currently 72% and 85% respectively. The second is a reduction in our cost of deliveries, through the elimination of low profit products and markets. Examples would include the
elimination of research topics with low
utilization. The elimination of certain consulting practices in low volume regions like Latin America and Asia pacific. The
elimination of low profit conferences and
events. In Q-2, gross margins defined as revenues minus cost of delivery increased 5 points year over year from 51% to 56%. The third is a reduction in our cost of sales, from through broader use of our inside sales organization. Our inside sales organization continues to cost 6 to 8 cents less on the sales dollar. The year over year reduction in sales and marketing costs in the quarter is approximately $3 million. Fourth is a reduction in our general and administrative costs. With the elimination of low priority
facilities and systems. In the last year, we
have exited space and systems with a total
future cost of over $55 million. Additionally, we are experiencing increased productivity, in each of our H.R., finance, and I.T. functions from investments we made over the last couple of years to build a mature, regional infrastructure. Collectively these initiatives
contributed to a reduction in general and
administrative costs of over $5 million in the
quarter. The fifth initiative is continued success in the limited investments we are making in select growth initiatives that are focused on building revenue momentum over the long term. These include executive programs,
Gartner G.2 and Gartner 500. Each of which is
meeting or exceeding early milestones. Executive programs continues to grow revenue and contract value in excess of 20%. Gartner G2 is currently $6 million in contract value and the Gartner 500 sales process is now staffed and live in some 300 accounts. Let me move on to cover a brief overview of each of our three primary business segments, starting with research. Research revenue at $122.7 million for the quarter declined 8% year over year on an 8% decline in research contract value. Research contract value ended the
quarter at $511.2 million. This is
attributable to two factors. Wallet retention
rates that are down from historical highs and
an extraordinary difficult environment in which
to book new business. While our client
retention has remained constant, our wallet
retention has declined. Clients are
maintaining their relationships, but with
slightly less dollars. Traditionally, our new
business far exceeded our cancelled business.
As Michael mentioned earlier, it is extremely
difficult to get new clients to sign long-term
research contracts in the current environment.
That said, our client retention rate of 74% and
wallet retention rate of 80 percent remain
appreciably better than general industry
experience and, most importantly, up slightly
from Q.1. We attribute this to our scale, our global reach, our breath the -- breadth and depth of pricing and --. The retention and
wallet retention around 80% for a continued
down economy has been an important part of our
long return growth strategy. As the economy gains momentum and spending patterns build, our intimate relationship with clients and their technology based initiatives will naturally drive an up tick in revenue dollars. On
profitability, research delivered significant
improvement in its contribution margin, which
increased to 68%. 4 points better than last
year and 3 points better sequentially.
Excluding the investment we are making in
Gartner G.2 which net of related revenues was
$3.2 million in the 2nd quarter, the
contribution margin on core research was
70 percent. We know an important question for
many of you is when will we see research start
to improve? It's not an easy one to answer.
Our view is that research will improve when the
improvement in the economy materializes into
the tech sector. There are a number of factors
that inform that view. The greatest dechain in
wallet retention has come from our largest tech
following vendor clients. While the overall
Gartner spend in this sector has remained
constant year over year, these clients have
reduced research spend for more exchange in the
form of consulting. We have a high degree of
confidence that this group, as the economy
improves and discretionary budgets liberalize
will be the fastest to reengage the historical
research spent. Client and wallet retention
rates have stabilized 74% and 80% levels
respectively over the last three quarters. The current decline in research contract value and revenue is not, I repeat, not a further decline from client who went through renewal in fiscal 2001. It is for multiyear contracts in their
second and third years being transacted on for
the first time in a down economy and coming in
at slightly reduced amounts. The average cost
per seat has now stabilized around 10,000 for
seat, for advisor research seats which have
accessed to reserb much and and list recovery
and 3,000 per seats which is accessed to
research only. The volume of seats has
consistently remained above -- (inaudible) and
the mix of advisor and reference sees has
consistently maintained a 30/70 split. Client
research and utilization have remained strong
year over year. In addition, client
satisfaction is up. Historically, seat strong
usage and satisfaction, we have also seen
increases in retention. We have continued to
generate above $20 million in new research
business per quarter over the last three
quarters. Research contract value from our
executive programs continues to grow above 20%,
and research contract value from Gartner G.2
continues to build with a total C.V. today of
$6 million, up 19% sequentially, in
representing 325 contracts. Based on these
factors, we continue to gain confidence in the
long-term prospects for research growth.
Fueled by improved retention rates and new
growth initiatives. In the meantime, we have
increased visibility, web an lit particulars
and client service managements into the topics
that are most important to our client. This allows for greater intelligence in reducing and allocating resources to ensure we maintain research margins regardless of revenue levels.
Clearly we have done this in the last four
quarters resulting in this quarter's 68%
contract retention margin. On to consulting. Consulting revenue of 65.9 million in the second quarter decline year over year on a 22 reduction in -- sequentially, consulting revenue increased 18%, driven primarily by a significant ram m in our bench marking and. Backlog increased to 127.5 million, up 14% year over year and up 6% sequentially providing a solid basis for continued sequential ramp in consulting revenue. The effort to build
backlog in this environment is substantial,
taking increasingly more time on the part of
our consultants and continuing to put pressure
on utilization but the effort and focus are
paying off. In Q-2 alone, we booked over
$70 million in new business. Our strategy for
driving profitable growth in consulting is
three pronged. First a focus on larger deals,
second, a focus on a limited set of practices
and markets in which we can achieve significant
penetration and third, optimization of head
count and costs. In Q-2, we made good progress
on the strategy. The average engagement side
increased 15% to $109,000, and the average
engagement duration increased seven months, a
two month improvement on the prior year. After
studying all practice areas and markets, we
identified these do not have the scale and
volume to achieve our target profitability
levels and eliminate events. This enabled us
to reduce our consulting head count by 60
people. As a result, our consulting revenues
are down year over year, but our profitability
is up sequentially. Consulting contribution
margin was 34% in the quarter, up 4 points year
over year and up 9 points sequentially. The
increase in contribution margin is a direct
result of risk adjusting our investment in this
business, prioritizing profitability over
growth. The actions we took in Q-2 to reduce resources in our less profitable practice areas, client segments and geographies. More
profitability. 22 million from 23 million
last year. That represents 1 million of
incremental profit with 5 million less in --
more selling time, with an eye to selling large
deals in a tough economy. The percentage of
timal cat alindicated to al in Q-2 increased by
3 percent. Core consulting Utley saying at 52%
is flat year over year and sequentially. Billing rates remain lel at this, $283 per hour, with a healthy backlog, our reduction in billable S.T.E.s and consistent billing rate, we expect to continue to deliver growth in our consulting margins with a goal of 20 percent in the future. Down 8.3 million or 48% year over
year on fewer events. As indicated earlier,
this is a result of a planned strategy to risk
adjust the conference portfolio and improve
profitability. The contribution margin events
was up $157,000 and the contribution margin
percentage at 46% increased 23 points year over
year. Events deferred revenue of 54.3 million is down 5% year over year an up 20 million or up 8 percent esequentially: Raising our level of confidence in delivering full year revenues at 120 million, the high end of the guidance we set. Before we leave 2002 performance. Our charges of 17.2 million in the quarter consists of 5.8 million of a reduction in force, primarily in consulting, $10 million related to the cost of exiting various facilities around the world, and 1.4 million relating to a noncash charge to intangible assets for the discontinuance of certain databases. Collectively, these our charges will reduce operating expense by $11 million in 2000 and $15 million on a full year basis. Q-2, net cash, $51 million, an increase of $26 million over the prior year and $60 million sequentially. As a result, our net cash balance increased to 79 million at March 31, 2002, and an increase of 67 million year over year and 51 million sequentially. By the way, we generated 51 million of net cash after repurchase of 12.2 million of Gartner stock.
During the quarter, we repurchased 1 million
shares at an average price of $12.15. The
total number of shares we purchased awnd your
current 75 million-dollar repurchase program is
3.4 million shares at a total cost of
$306 million. Increased profitability and reduction in investment activities relating primarily to capital expenditures. Capital
expenditures, under 5 million, representing
70 percent reduction in spending over the prior
year. We continually to closely monitor the necessary it's and time of capital spending to ensure we stay on course to achieve our targeted year end net cash balance currently forecasted to be in excess of $120 million. As
we turned the corner on the first Mav of fiscal
2002, there are a number of observations we
have to setting further guidance. Our
competitors remain in a weakened state has
measured by the revenues of public companies
and technology and research and veriry space,
Garth ners market share is 72%, up another two
points over last year's 7 point gain. In the current environment, we can optimize EBITDA and gain market share all at the same time. The
economy remains uncertain. Our practical
experience tells us that budgets are still
tight and budget holders skeptical. As a
result, we see no reason to overspend to
develop new business. Our clients and wallet
retention rates have stablized, but it is
increasingly challenging to predict new
business volumes. Pipe lines are relatively
strong, but conversion rate and conversion time
exhibit new patterns every quarter the as a
result, we see no reason to ramp up resources.
Ahead of book business. Our ability to leverage our revenue visibility and to predictable profitability gets increasingly better. We have continued to end at the high end of our profitability, despite challenge revenue environment. Over the next few
quarters, maintain an intense focus on profit. The net result is we are reconfirm and EBITDA and E.P.S. guidance at the beginning of the fiscal year. Our guidance for the full year is as follows: Total revenue is estimated to be in the range of 900 to $920 million. Research
is estimated to be in the range of 495 to
$502 million. Consulting is estimated in the
range of 268 to $276 million, events is
estimated to be in the range of 120 to
$122 million, and other is estimated in the
range of 17 to $20 million. EBITDA is estimated to be in the range of 145 million to 155 million, normalized E.P.S. is estimated to be approximately 47 to 52 cents on 133 million shares, depreciation estimated at $41 million, amortization estimated at $2 million, net interest expense estimated at $22 million, other expense estimated at $2 million an we estimate our tax rate to be at 35%. As I said earlier, we expect our net cash balance to be in excess of 125 -- $120 million. Our guidance for the third quarter is as follows: Total revenue was estimated to be in the range of 234 to 243 million. Research is estimated to be in
the range of 120 to 123 million, consulting
estimated in the range of 72 to 76 million,
events, estimated in the range -- at
$38 million, other, estimated in the rairng of
4 to 6 million. EBITDA is estimated in the range of 37 to 42 million, our normalized E.P.S. is estimated in the range of 13 to 15 cents on 133 million shares. Depreciation is estimated at 10.5 million, amortization at half a million, net interest expense at 5.3 million. Other expense complies of F.X. lost at 5 million, our tax right 35% and our net cash bam estimated to exceed $103 million. We have been very focused over the last year on leveraging its revenue ability we have through research, contract value, deferred events revenue into pro dict able profitability. That focus has result you had in an EBITDA margin at 16%, nearly 3 points better than last year. The guidance we have laid out indicates that we are well on our way to achieving our longer term, targeted EBITDA margin of 20 percent. A
Funt amountal assumption in our guidance is
that we continue to improve profitability in a
continued down economy. Here is why. We have the ability to adjust resource levels in line with booking, research contract value, backlog, and deferred events revenue. Near 45% of our
business has a high percentage of its costs as
rare yabl. This would include consulting
events and software. In these businesses, we have a great opportunity to adjust cost levels based on sales pipe lines and booking volumes.
The remaining 55% of our business is comprised
of research. Historically, we did not have
this ability until our clients were consuming.
That made it extremely difficult to adjust
resources. Today, with Gartner.com, and web an
lit particulars and client services we have a
greater understanding of why and our our
clients are engaging with our analysts an
engaging with our research. Today we can pro
actively respond, we can increasingly better
resource decisions. One proof point, in the last six months, we incurred $85 million in research expense, down $12 million, since last year. Client utilization, inquiry and
satisfaction have all improved. Before I turn
the call back to Michael, I would like to take
a moment and reflect on our progress if
improving shareholder value. It's best
articulated by reviewing the things we are
doing to improve shareholder value in the short
term, mid term and long term. In the short
term, we are focused on delivering value today. Historically, we have made significant investments to drive the top line.
Aggressively investing in the short run to
maintain and grow our market share. Over the
last year, a combination of changes, namely a
weakened competitive landscape and uncertain
economy, and the diluted impact of the reset
conversion price on our convertible bond
pointed to a strategy that prioritizes
profitability sooner than later. Value gets
built by if creasing profitability quarter by
quarter. Segment margins have to improve, sales in general, administrative costs need to achief increasing levels of sufficiently. Our
incremental productivity and tax rates through
effective tax planning should decline over
time. Over the last four quairtters we have improved gross margins, reduced S.G.A., effectively investments and reduced our tax rate. We have seen a significant improvement
in our shareholder value over the last 12
months, the last 6 months and the last quarter.
As evidenced by our guidance, we believe we
have a solid foundationtory deliver increased
profitability in the next two fiscal years as
we work through the residue of an uncertain
economy. We also need to be doing things today
to build shareholder value for the mid term.
For Gartner, delivering value in the mid term
is all about building financial flexibility. We are accomplishing this through a build up of our cash balances, increases in our borrowing capacity and improvements in our cost to capital all of which have made excellent progress over the last year. This flexibility
will give us the opportunity to continue to buy
back shares. Our ability to enhance
profitability in the short term and build
financial flexibility in the mid term provides
a foundation for focusing on a few key
initiatives that will drive profitable growth
in 2004 and beyond. There are four key
elements to profitable the first is staying
power reduced budgets and skepticism has caused
our client to retract. By default, they are
resetting long term partnerships. In the last
three quarters we have maintained overall
client retention rate above 70% and over all
wallet retention rates of 85%. In
organizations that spend annually an average of
100,000 or more with us, we have maintained
client relationship rates above 85% and wallet
retention rates near 90 percent. Our staying
power measured by our retention rates is it
vital to our long-term growth strategy. As the
economy maintains mow men momentum and spending
increases, well get the lion's share of the
incremental operation. Executive programs.
Growing in excess of 20% per annum. Over the
last long, our ideal level of interaction and
the ideal context in which we want to interact
with clients. The result of growth in this product that is exponential to Gartner as thee clients spend over $170 million of Gartner, we believe that by the end of 2004, this business can be well over $100 million in contract value. The 3rd is Gartner G.2. Very simply,
Gartner G. 2 represents a significant long term
opportunity to take Gartner's reserb much and
advisory competence into a broader audience of
executives and senior managers. The key need for which we are building product, assisting these individuals with technology strategies that support their business strategies is undeniable. As we articulated earlier, to date
we have over 325 clients. By 2004, we believe
this business can be near $50 million. The 4th
is Gartner 500. Our objective, build larger
relationships with 500 regional and global
client organizations prying ample opportunity
for growth over the long term. Just as we built our inside sales organization into an efficient channel for selling and maintaining our small client accounts, so, too, will we build the Gartner 500 sales process into an efficient channel for our largest clients. In summary, we stand on some I had ground in delivering continued growth in shareholder value through increased profitability in the short term, through reduction in the long term and revenue base in the long term.
Ceo-president
I believe that today's
economy compels companies to follow a very
simple agenda. Focus on high value customers,
manage manage your cost and plant the seeds for
future growth. This is what I tell our clients
every day, and I hope that it's clear from what
I have said and what REGINA has said that this
is what we're doing at Gartner. Long term
value gets built by increasing profitability
quarter by quarter. We have accomplished that
in the first two quarters of our current fiscal
year and we see plenty of room in the two that
lie ahead. We are prudently setting the stage
for 203 and beyond.
Moderator
Ladies and gentlemen of the
jury, we will begin the question and answer
session. If you have a question, press star
followed by 1 on the push button phone. You
will hear a 3-ton prompt acknowledging your
selection m if you are using speaker equipment,
you will need to lift the hand set before
pressing the numbers. One moment please for
our first question.
Caller
Caller
Credit suites, first Boston.
Mike, I hope you're wrong on this technology
stuff because I think we're all going to be out
of a job soon. Anyway, I wanted to just touch
on the existing clients, what you're seeing in
terms of some of the long-term contracts. Have
you seen anyone come back and try to
renegotiate rates on contracts that are maybe a
year or two in on a three-to 4-year contract?
Secondly, in terms of the long term growth in
research, what's your sense there, Michael, in
kind of a normalized economy? Thanks.
Ceo-president
It's a longer subject that I have -- I have an awful lot of evidence and an awful lot of empirical evidence from the we're we're doing that is true tech sector is going to remain tough for the rest of 2002, so hopefully we won't all be out of jobs because there's a great long-term business there. In
terms of long-term contracts, we have had our
share of clients push back and see if they
could renegotiate multiyear contracts. We've
held a very tough line on that. We believe
that when a company signs a contract, that's a
binding legal commitment. And we've been able
to hold the line quite nicely on that. It's
also important to note that as we have had
clients come up for renewals who decide that
they want to spend a little less money with us
but still maintain their relationship, we are
being very careful to provide them less service
for less money. As clients move down the the
scale of cost per seat, they have to pay more
per seat and the reason that's so important is
that's critical to maintaining the long-term
growth ability of the research business,
because as you give clients the same service
for less money, you'll never be able to grow
them, which, by the way, is something I think
many of our competitors are doing. So in terms
of the long-term growth of the research
business, as we have said before, we think that
long term the research business should be a 10%
grower.) Whether, it's I think in really good
times it could be above 10%. In tough times,
less than 10%. But our goal over the long
haul, I'm talking over the next three plus
years, is that that business should be a sort
of year in, year out, 10% grower.
Caller
Okay. Because it seems like
if C.V. continues to kind of decline here in
maybe mid to high single digit rates, when we
kind of stem that, there's obviously going to
be delay given the long term contracts in terms
of a resumption of growth there. Okay. In
terms of S.G.A. for Q.3, the level you were at
for Q-2, is that kind of what we should think
about or should it come down a little bit more?
CEO
The sales costs will go up slightly in line with the change in events.
You see that in Q.3 we've given guidance of
$38 million for events. In Q-2, it was 9.1.
For the flight rise relative to that -- there's
a slight rise relative to that, but generally
aside from that, you should see it continue to
come down. In large part, by the other charges
that we just announced. A good piece of that
is facility.
Caller
I guess two more questions and
I'll hand it over. In terms of on the billable
F.T. z for consulting if you have that number
and for both of you guys on the consulting
side, what type of, I guess, projects or which
of the practices there are the ones that are
kind of out performing in this environment?
Thanks.
CEO
Caller
CEO
533.
Caller
Thank you.
Ceo-president
In terms of the nature
of the engagements that we're seeing and the
strength in that business, not surprisingly,
our measurement business continues to
benchmarking measurement business continues to
be very strong, which, as you know, is a good
business for us on a host of levels. It's less
customized if you will and therefore has good
margin associated with it. It also in times
like this, as we bill up businesses, we're
building more and more knowledge on that
database which is leverageble in all of our
business. We are continuing to see strength in
the business of sort of very short-term
engagements where people just want a day or two
of analyst time, as they're dealing with sort
of critical issues that they have to make very
quick decisions on and we're excited about that
because we're more an more seeing clients at a
high level turn to us more really strategic
decision making, which is terrific. And then
not surprisingly, all of the other sort of big
projects that people are still spending money
on, like C.R.M., like security or other areas
that we're continuing to see strengths.
Caller
Okay. Thanks very much, guys.
Moderator
Our next question comes
from Laura letterman. Please state your
company name.
Caller
Yes, Laura letterman from
William bird. I have a strange question for
you pikal. You mentioned that you expect
technology is likely to be weak this year. I'm
wondering about long term, whether the absolute
level of I.T. spending allocated budget, not
spent budget, is just so high that long-term
tech following budgets won't go up much, which
kind of mutes a recovery if you will. It's
kind of a long-term theory about companies are
spending too much on absolute levels in terms
of allocated budget so we won't get much of an
allocated budget increase long term. Thanks.
Ceo-president
Good question. One of
the things I hate doing sr being an analyst.
I've got a whole team of people that can answer
that question if greater detail. I'll give you
my high level view from our work and the time I
spend with C.E.O.s and C.I.O.s. I think
companies are getting increasingly smart about
getting a return on investment for their tech
spend, so I think we will see tech spend
increase because I think companies or going
thank you a process right now of putting more
business oriented rigor around their tech spend
an frankly around the people who control the
tech spend, C.I.O.s and other I.T. executives.
More often those are business people. So I
think there is a -- continues to be a great
long herm growth prospect for the tech industry
as a whole, this period aside. The other thing
I would tell you is our view is that we start
to see some substantial rebound in 2003 in tech
spend, in particular, delivered by something
which the tech spend doesn't focus on a whole
lot, which is replacement, but that is part of
the tech industry backing a more mature
industry and if you think about how much
equipment was purchased, software was
purchased, et cetera, in the late 1990 rs, that
had a designed useful life of call it three to
four years, companies are going to have to
spend for replacement just to keep the lights
on.
Caller
Okay. Another question, this one is for you, REGINA, if you look at the great cost savings you've done over the last year, can you give us a sense of how you get to that 20% operating margin long term? Where
else could you cut long term on a high level.
Where would the improvements come from?
CEO
I think a piece of the long term EBITDA margin at 20% is a resujs beyond 2003 to revenue amendments. We believe that we've got
-- we've still got runway into the second half,
and then into 2003 on many of the things that
we've laid out already that are just going to
have a full year impact next year that we're
redying these things at the half and next year
they will have a full year impact. As we said, with much greater visibility into the revenues, not only through our backlog, research contract value and deferred events revenue, but now through Gartner.com, as we see the volumes, we have a lot of runway to kind of take out the variable costs. So we're going to continue to
watch the consulting volumes and adjust
resource accordingly. We'll continue to watch
what we're being told an reallocate our reduced
resource accordingly. I think it's two areas,
getting leverage for the full year for the
actions taken already on infrastructure, as
well as cost of delivery and continuing to pay
very good attention to where the volumes are
and, you know, resource set accordingly.
Caller
Final question. If you look
to a normalized growth in consulting when the
economy gets better and tech spending hopefully
get better, what would a long term normalized
consulting growth be.
Ceo-president
We believe that a 15 to
20% growth business in a good environment.
Caller
Thanks so much. I'll pass.
Moderator
Our next question comes
from Richard, please state your company name
followed by your question.
Caller
Hi. This is actual live
ASHISH. Two questions, could you update us on
your success in Ben traiting the fortune 500
lines, in two respects. One is on the research
side as well as on the consulting side? That's
the first one.
Ceo-president
Sure. As you know,
we've been building a program that we're
calling Bartner 500 and we'll take a 2nd to
describe what we're doing there. In
particular, to go out and change the nature of
our relationship with our largest clients,
primarily made up of Fortune 500 light
companies as well as our largest prospects,
because that prospect area is a place where
historically we haven't added a lot of those
new -- those prospects as foo clients over the
last several years. And I guess the way I
think about this is this. As you look over the last three years we built the inside sales function with a very focused mission of figuring out a way to have ar lower cost way, to serve our smallest clients, yet at the same time do that with higher client satisfaction and higher client renewal and that's worked exceptionally well and we will continue and you will continue to see us pof business out of our field based sales organization if to that inside sales channel that does such a good job there. At the same time, now we are in the process, which I think will also take several years, of reorienting our outside sales organization to become as well honed a machine as the inside sales machine is, but focused on our largest clients and prospects, so those are the 500 accounts that we've designated in the Gartner 500, but less porj going after the 400 plus Fortune 1000 companies that we don't have as clients today) so we're not going to report every quarter on exactly how many of those are clients and how many of them aren't. We will update people periodically on that, but that's a program and a set of investments that we're making in terms of our sales process and how we manage our relationships with our largest clients, that I really think will be sort of an important part of the sort of next generation of the evolution of our business.
Caller
In terms of sales, I think you mentioned about the S.G.A. line, selling costs, certificating the -- ex certificating the quarter after 55 million a quart tore or G. and A. at 55? If you can sort of update us on the
benefits you're seeing with it being down 8%,
you know, in a year an year basis, if you talk
about sort of the savings you see coming in on
the selling and G. and A. side because of the
restructuring or reorganization?
CEO
Absolutely. First, just to
clarify a point. The comment that I made in my
talk track on the 55 million was a comment
relevant to facilities that we have taken out
in the quarter, and to understand, some of
these facilities had 15 to 20 year leases a and
so that's the total cost, the total lifetime
cost for leases and depreciation and all of
that. That said, let's me talk a little bit
about S.G.A. I think you'll see that in the
half, at the half year mark, we've reduced our
S.G.A. by about 10.3 million. We expect that
to be 21 million or slightly higher for the
full year. The split between that is more or less the same between sales and marketing and G. and A. What actually reduces even greater savings at this point is that we're in an environment where we're being very conservative around our receivables, we've continued to have very good success in cash collections, and realization of stuff over fine 0, but we continue to build our bad debt reserves, and that's probably going to be 4 too $5 million higher for the full year, so you've got some relive great benefit, probably shared 50/50 by the sales and marketing, and the general administrative, that is a little bit dampened this year by the environment in which we're building the bad debt allowance to protect anything that we don't collect.
Caller
Last question, on research
productivity. I know you guys, two sort of key drivers or thought of, one was using sort of the technology platform to better direct research based on what clients are really using, as well as just sort of focusing your efforts more around areas not analyst interest but what you deem is the interest of customers.
Could you sort of update us on any met tricks
that -- that are showing you any benefits that
you've already begun to achieve on that end?
Ceo-president
Let me do two links, the overall metric is that we are -- we're clearly seeing productivity gains if research, even with the decline in revenue in that business as evidenced by its expense rate and margin rate. That's the sort of overall place
you will see it pop out in the metrics, but in
terms of from the perspective of enhancing the
client experience and also manage ng our
resources more tight live tied to the client
experience, I'd actually urge you to spend a
little bit of time at Gartner.com. One of the
things you would find is even from the subject
areas of our spot lights and as you drill down
more and more into -- (Inaudible) that's
produced, you're going to be find it much more
highly focused around key subject areas. That
information is coming to us directly from the
feedback from the website, Gartner.cm. So we are watching at this point and adjusting our research agenda as we learn more and more from our clients what's of greatest interest now. I
have to caveat that by saying doing a good job
in our business has two pieces to. One is
being able to deliver for clients who have a
very particular need around a particular
subject now, as an example, C.R.L. today, very
high need for lots of clients. At the same time, being really great in our I business, which we've done now for 22 years, is also knowing the subject areas that are going to be of interest to chients before they know it and before they start pounding away at your website on that subject, so being sure you constantly balance your research agenda between what clients need today and also making the investments in coverage areas that they're going to need tomorrow is very important.
You'll see that quite clearly highlighted if
you just look through the list of spotlight
subjects on Gartner.com.
Caller
Absolutely the last question.
Any update further on the potential conflict
between sort of your customers that are in the
consulting business versus your entry into the
consulting market? I know that was something
you sort focused on contending withz and I just
think, that world has gotten a lot cleaner and
clearer for us.
CEO
In the environment we're all dealing with
today, the independent nature of gardener, the
type of advice and counsel that we give that's
independent of any vendor relationships, has
become n an even more valuable asset. Obviously it's been the philosophical underpinning of our business, but when you sit down with clients and talk about the work we do, there's a burning desire from clients to have independent advice and counsel from people who are not going to do implementation work for them, who are not selling other technology vendor's products and services, so we're start to go see increase he had traction both in government, not surprisingly, but also in the private sector around that particular selling feature of who we are both from a research perspective and a selling perspective. All of
that said, we haven't seen any upset in any of
our relationships with any of the big
consulting, systems implementation or out
sourcing firms as we continue to grow our
business.
Caller
Thanks a lot.
Moderator
Our next question comes
from Steve wide Berg. Please sait your company
name.
Caller
Hi, pacific rest. Mike, I was
wondering if you could provide some thoughts on
the international trends that you're seeing in
your business, how it compares with the U.S.,
and then I have a couple of brief follow ups.
Ceo-president
Sure, Steve. First of
all, what I would say is generally we're
seeing, and this is a huge generalization, but
generally we're seeing the economic impact and
the tech sector impact being pretty consistent
around the world. There are sort of bright
spots and dim spots 0 obviously, but really, we
haven't seen one particular part of the world
sort of come out of this thing earlier, or
sink, you know, much deeper into it, so our
business at this point, I would say, is
operating globally on a pretty consistent basis
around the world m I don't know if you have
anything different to add to that.
CEO
I guess the only continuing I would say is if you kind of look at EBITDA margins, you know, they improved, you know, fairly significantly in some of the lower regions, but I just track what Michael said. It's something we're seeing consistently, the revenue challenge around the world, and one exception, Asia pack is growing at the half about 4%, so we do have positive signs there.
Caller
Great. Just two brief
questions. Along the executive programs. How
many clients are involved in that area of the
business and then along the giens of G.2, how
many of the 325 clients have been existing
Gartner clients? Thanks.
Ceo-president
On executive programs
today, we have about 1500C.I.O.s as members of
that program and about 70% of the G.2 clients
are -- come from existing client companies
where we're doing business already with that
organization. What we're trying to do with G.2, and we talked a little bit about this in the past, is we are trying to use and leverage our existing relationship to find the right business buyers for the G.2 product within the organization. We've had great successes in
flaiss -- if places with good long term Gartner
clients have introduced us into their business
folks as a valuable source to help them think
about how they're going to make their
businesses grow and be more successful using
tech nolg. technology.
Moderator
At this time there are no
additional questions. Please continue.
CEO
Thank you, everyone. We look forward to
seeing everyone on the road over the next
several months and appreciate everybody's
continued support an look forward to talking to
everybody, if not sooner, next quarter.
Thanks.
Moderator
Thank you. Ladies and gentlemen, this concludes the Gartner's second quarter 2002 earnings conference call.