高德納諮詢公司 (IT) 2002 Q2 法說會逐字稿

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  • Cfo

  • Before I turned the call over to

  • Michael. I would like to quickly fiscal 2002, we reported revenue of 201.2 million, a decline of 12% over the second quarter of 2001 and proforma EBITDA, our guidance of 5 to 7 cents was based on normalized E.P.S., which does not include charges taken in this quarter, gains from the sale investments, and gains from the sale of the H.C.M.O. business. We delivered on

  • the high end of that range at 7 cents, 2 cents

  • above concensus compared to 4 cents of the

  • second quarter of 01. Including other charges,

  • reported net loss from continuing operations,

  • total 4.3 million or a loss of 5 cents per

  • diluted share compared to a lost of two cents a

  • year ago. For the first half of fiscal 2002 revenue, 450.5 million, a decline of 7% over the first after of 2001, and proforma EBITDA was 71.7 million. Normalized E.P.S., again,

  • including other charges total 24 cents per

  • diluted share versus 24 cents for the first

  • after of 2001. Reported net income from continuing operations and including other charges was 14.7 million or 16 cents per diluted share, compared to 19 cents for the first half of 2001. Just a reminder that all

  • of our financials reflect our adoption of last

  • quarter, we eliminates good landlord arm for

  • tags. Historical revenue and cost of product development has been restated to reflect our adoption of. P.S.1013 which requires

  • reclassification of reimbursable out of pocket

  • expenses and did not have a material impact. Finally, please note that throughout the call, we will refer to financial measures, including normalized E.P.S., pro forma EBITDA and net cash. Please refer to the. Now I'd like to

  • turn the call over to Michael.

  • CEO

  • Thank you. Julie. Good morning,

  • everyone. It's not been one year since we

  • first talked with you about a fundamental gift

  • in Gartner east strategy from one of high

  • investment to drive high growth to a strategy

  • of moderate investment with increasing levels

  • of profitability. Our view which we shared with you a year ago was that in a deteriorating economy, Gartner shareholders would best be served by a strategy that optimized EBITDA and earnings, rather than revenue growth. The

  • evidence of the past four quarters strongly

  • confirms the wisdom of this strategy.

  • strategy. On a going forward basis, we will

  • continue to do everything in our pour to

  • maximum shareholder value. When the economic environment permits us to grow revenues without sacrificing near term profit and cash flow, we will do so. But while the economy remains weak, which I believe will continue to be the case through 2002, our focus will remain firmly on profit, and cash. Two weeks ago I opened our spring symposium in Florence by cautioning our European clients not to believe the wide-spread reports about the blossoming recovery in the U.S. economy. When I.B.M. shocked Wall Street later that day with its announcement of an earnings shortfall, we were not surprised. Despite all the talk, there

  • were very few signs of real economic

  • improvement. The post 9/11 spending on defend

  • and homeland has juiced the public second for

  • but the private sector struggles. C.E.O.'s across the spectrum remain generally pessimistic about their ability to deliver earnings at a level that will satisfy investors. As a result, budgets that involve

  • any sort of discretionary spending will likely

  • remain very tight throughout the year. Three years ago, we initiated a broad series of investments. In gardener.com, in our regional infrastructure, in a seat based architecture and in the inside sales channel that have allowed us to enhance productivity and to improve margin. As the economy began to

  • deteriorate early this year, early last year,

  • we took further steps to reengineer our cost

  • structure tone sure our ability to deliver

  • increased profits, even in a prolonged economic

  • slow down. Through these productivity gains

  • and reductions in our cost structure that are

  • already initiated, we can clear see the ongoing

  • potential to extract increasing levels of

  • profitability well into 2003. At the same time, we continue to make moderate investments in important initiatives for growth in the long term. Gartner G.2, Gartner executive programs,

  • and the Gartner 500. So that when the economy

  • and the tech sector do actually rebound, we are

  • fully prepared to take advantage. Our second

  • quarter results show vividly both the

  • difficulty of the economy as well as our

  • sustained success in growing profits and mack

  • miezing shareholder value in this environment. While revenue was down from the prior year, EBITDA came in at 26.7 million, an increase of 23%. Q-2 normalized E.P.S. was 7 cents per share, compared to 4 cents per share during this period last year and to a concensus of 5 cents. Our cash balance now is $78.8 million, up $47.3 million or 151% year over year, and up 51.3 million, or 187% sequentially. Contribution margins increased in every business segment. While overall these are solid results, I don't want to pretend that we are happy or complacent about the revenue decline. We're not. But we believe that our

  • strategy is striking the right balance. In the current environment, chasing short term revenue growth through increasing our spending would foolishly compromise near term profitability.

  • This we will not do. We like revenue growth, but we like cash and profit more. At the same time, our focus on near term profitability is building important value for us improved margins and larger cash balances enhance our capacity to borrow and reduce our costs of capital. Thereby dramatically increasing our

  • financial flexibility, including, among other

  • things, our ability to continue to buy back

  • shares. Behind these strong results are a

  • number of very encouraging met tricks that

  • highlight the durability of our franchise and

  • the opportunity for us when times get better.

  • Let me highlight just a few of them. During

  • the second quarter, we actually saw small

  • increase in our overall research retention rate

  • to 74%. For clients who spend more than

  • $100,000 with us, the retention rate was

  • particularly strong, at 89%. These numbers

  • stand in stark Contras to industry averages.

  • Intense budget pressures are inevitably causing

  • some clients to reduce their spend with us, but

  • our consistently strong renewal rate makes it

  • clear we have successfully established many

  • meaningful, long-term relationships with

  • client, who need and highly value our advice,

  • even in tough times. We have every expectation

  • of growing these relationships when conditions

  • improve. Another highlight is the growth of

  • our consulting backlog, which is up for the

  • quarter 14% year over year, and 6%

  • sequentially. We're finding a specially strong

  • demand for our measurement services and our

  • strategic advisory services. During the

  • quarter, we booked 102 consulting deals worth

  • over $150,000 each. With ten of those projects

  • coming in at over $500,000 each. One

  • particularly noteworthy engagement is a

  • $2 million project for Exxon Mobil to benchmark

  • and assess its I.T. organization worldwide.

  • Our unique ability to deliver this sort of work

  • on a global basis was a key factor in securing

  • this engagement. We're also having

  • considerable success driving new research

  • business. Writing roughly $22 million in Q.1,

  • and another $22 million in Q2. With about half

  • of this coming from completely new research

  • clients. This is strong evidence that the

  • available market opportunity when times

  • improve. I can't even begin to tell you the

  • many challenges involved in forging a new

  • research relationship in this environment. Yet

  • we have been able to do so consistently in our

  • first two fiscal quarters. We don't know how

  • long this difficult economy will last, but

  • we're prepared for the day when things improve. Our commitment to maximizing shareholder value is leading up to apply the same rigorous analysis of and improvement to our sales processes that we have demonstrated with respect to our cost structure and operating expenses. The current downturn is Radcliffe

  • altered the landscape in our business to

  • Gartner's benefit. When the economy turns up, better sales processes will leverage the improved operating model that is already in place. This will be the next phase of

  • Gartner's evolution. In summary, we delivered

  • another strong quarter, all in the face of a

  • continuing weak economy and exceptional

  • upheaval in the tech sector. We're strongly

  • committed to maximizing shareholder value and

  • we will continue to demonstrate that

  • commitment.

  • Ceo-president

  • We have a focused and

  • talented manage pt team. We're successfully

  • growing profits and gaining market share. And we are exceptionally well positioned through solid client relationships, through growing cash balances, and through prudent investment and long-term growth initiatives to prosper and extend our market leading position when the economy begins to recover.

  • CEO

  • Thanks, Michael. Good morning

  • everyone. There are three topics I would like

  • to cover. First a review of second quarter

  • results and our estimates for future

  • performance, second, our strategy for

  • continuing increase profitability and third, a

  • review of our progress in improving shareholder

  • value. I'll start with our business results

  • for Q-2. We have 14 performance objectives, profitability, cash flow, financial flexibility, and long-term revenue growth. In

  • Q-2, we made solid progress on all four. Profitability is measured by sending gross margins, total company EBITDA and grows margins are up. Cash flow as measured by the net cash flow we generate is up. Borrowing capacity and cost of capital has increases and lon term revenue growth is measured by our market share, client and wallet retention rates ond our progress towards specific growth initiatives like executive programs, Gartner G.2 and Gartner 500 have all gained momentum. In Q-2, on consolidated revenue of $201 million, we generated 27 million in EBITDA and 7 cents of normalized E.P.S. In the context of our guidance and in comparison to last year, we delivered more profit on less revenue. While revenues declined 12 percent year over year, EBITDA increased 23% and normalized E.P.S. increased 75 percent. Of particular note is

  • the fact we delivered a 75% increase in

  • normalized E.P.S., even as fully diluted shares

  • outstanding increased by 24%. The dechain in revenues was across all business segments, but the most significant occurred as planned in events with an 8 million dlar decline year over year. We have risk adjusted our poat foal of

  • theme conferences, eliminating new, unproven

  • and low profit events, driving attendee and

  • exhibit volumes to reduce list of venues with

  • the goal of greater profitability on fewer

  • events. Not only is this event strategy working, we continue to anticipate full year revenue at the high end of our guidance. Our total company EBITDA improvement of 23% is the result of five specific initiative. The first

  • is a shift in our client mix to larger accounts

  • that are more profitable an retain services at

  • higher levels. This is evidence by a 4% increase in the average spend per client, now at $85,000, and by our overall client and wallet retention rates, which, when calculated across all products and services are currently 72% and 85% respectively. The second is a reduction in our cost of deliveries, through the elimination of low profit products and markets. Examples would include the

  • elimination of research topics with low

  • utilization. The elimination of certain consulting practices in low volume regions like Latin America and Asia pacific. The

  • elimination of low profit conferences and

  • events. In Q-2, gross margins defined as revenues minus cost of delivery increased 5 points year over year from 51% to 56%. The third is a reduction in our cost of sales, from through broader use of our inside sales organization. Our inside sales organization continues to cost 6 to 8 cents less on the sales dollar. The year over year reduction in sales and marketing costs in the quarter is approximately $3 million. Fourth is a reduction in our general and administrative costs. With the elimination of low priority

  • facilities and systems. In the last year, we

  • have exited space and systems with a total

  • future cost of over $55 million. Additionally, we are experiencing increased productivity, in each of our H.R., finance, and I.T. functions from investments we made over the last couple of years to build a mature, regional infrastructure. Collectively these initiatives

  • contributed to a reduction in general and

  • administrative costs of over $5 million in the

  • quarter. The fifth initiative is continued success in the limited investments we are making in select growth initiatives that are focused on building revenue momentum over the long term. These include executive programs,

  • Gartner G.2 and Gartner 500. Each of which is

  • meeting or exceeding early milestones. Executive programs continues to grow revenue and contract value in excess of 20%. Gartner G2 is currently $6 million in contract value and the Gartner 500 sales process is now staffed and live in some 300 accounts. Let me move on to cover a brief overview of each of our three primary business segments, starting with research. Research revenue at $122.7 million for the quarter declined 8% year over year on an 8% decline in research contract value. Research contract value ended the

  • quarter at $511.2 million. This is

  • attributable to two factors. Wallet retention

  • rates that are down from historical highs and

  • an extraordinary difficult environment in which

  • to book new business. While our client

  • retention has remained constant, our wallet

  • retention has declined. Clients are

  • maintaining their relationships, but with

  • slightly less dollars. Traditionally, our new

  • business far exceeded our cancelled business.

  • As Michael mentioned earlier, it is extremely

  • difficult to get new clients to sign long-term

  • research contracts in the current environment.

  • That said, our client retention rate of 74% and

  • wallet retention rate of 80 percent remain

  • appreciably better than general industry

  • experience and, most importantly, up slightly

  • from Q.1. We attribute this to our scale, our global reach, our breath the -- breadth and depth of pricing and --. The retention and

  • wallet retention around 80% for a continued

  • down economy has been an important part of our

  • long return growth strategy. As the economy gains momentum and spending patterns build, our intimate relationship with clients and their technology based initiatives will naturally drive an up tick in revenue dollars. On

  • profitability, research delivered significant

  • improvement in its contribution margin, which

  • increased to 68%. 4 points better than last

  • year and 3 points better sequentially.

  • Excluding the investment we are making in

  • Gartner G.2 which net of related revenues was

  • $3.2 million in the 2nd quarter, the

  • contribution margin on core research was

  • 70 percent. We know an important question for

  • many of you is when will we see research start

  • to improve? It's not an easy one to answer.

  • Our view is that research will improve when the

  • improvement in the economy materializes into

  • the tech sector. There are a number of factors

  • that inform that view. The greatest dechain in

  • wallet retention has come from our largest tech

  • following vendor clients. While the overall

  • Gartner spend in this sector has remained

  • constant year over year, these clients have

  • reduced research spend for more exchange in the

  • form of consulting. We have a high degree of

  • confidence that this group, as the economy

  • improves and discretionary budgets liberalize

  • will be the fastest to reengage the historical

  • research spent. Client and wallet retention

  • rates have stabilized 74% and 80% levels

  • respectively over the last three quarters. The current decline in research contract value and revenue is not, I repeat, not a further decline from client who went through renewal in fiscal 2001. It is for multiyear contracts in their

  • second and third years being transacted on for

  • the first time in a down economy and coming in

  • at slightly reduced amounts. The average cost

  • per seat has now stabilized around 10,000 for

  • seat, for advisor research seats which have

  • accessed to reserb much and and list recovery

  • and 3,000 per seats which is accessed to

  • research only. The volume of seats has

  • consistently remained above -- (inaudible) and

  • the mix of advisor and reference sees has

  • consistently maintained a 30/70 split. Client

  • research and utilization have remained strong

  • year over year. In addition, client

  • satisfaction is up. Historically, seat strong

  • usage and satisfaction, we have also seen

  • increases in retention. We have continued to

  • generate above $20 million in new research

  • business per quarter over the last three

  • quarters. Research contract value from our

  • executive programs continues to grow above 20%,

  • and research contract value from Gartner G.2

  • continues to build with a total C.V. today of

  • $6 million, up 19% sequentially, in

  • representing 325 contracts. Based on these

  • factors, we continue to gain confidence in the

  • long-term prospects for research growth.

  • Fueled by improved retention rates and new

  • growth initiatives. In the meantime, we have

  • increased visibility, web an lit particulars

  • and client service managements into the topics

  • that are most important to our client. This allows for greater intelligence in reducing and allocating resources to ensure we maintain research margins regardless of revenue levels.

  • Clearly we have done this in the last four

  • quarters resulting in this quarter's 68%

  • contract retention margin. On to consulting. Consulting revenue of 65.9 million in the second quarter decline year over year on a 22 reduction in -- sequentially, consulting revenue increased 18%, driven primarily by a significant ram m in our bench marking and. Backlog increased to 127.5 million, up 14% year over year and up 6% sequentially providing a solid basis for continued sequential ramp in consulting revenue. The effort to build

  • backlog in this environment is substantial,

  • taking increasingly more time on the part of

  • our consultants and continuing to put pressure

  • on utilization but the effort and focus are

  • paying off. In Q-2 alone, we booked over

  • $70 million in new business. Our strategy for

  • driving profitable growth in consulting is

  • three pronged. First a focus on larger deals,

  • second, a focus on a limited set of practices

  • and markets in which we can achieve significant

  • penetration and third, optimization of head

  • count and costs. In Q-2, we made good progress

  • on the strategy. The average engagement side

  • increased 15% to $109,000, and the average

  • engagement duration increased seven months, a

  • two month improvement on the prior year. After

  • studying all practice areas and markets, we

  • identified these do not have the scale and

  • volume to achieve our target profitability

  • levels and eliminate events. This enabled us

  • to reduce our consulting head count by 60

  • people. As a result, our consulting revenues

  • are down year over year, but our profitability

  • is up sequentially. Consulting contribution

  • margin was 34% in the quarter, up 4 points year

  • over year and up 9 points sequentially. The

  • increase in contribution margin is a direct

  • result of risk adjusting our investment in this

  • business, prioritizing profitability over

  • growth. The actions we took in Q-2 to reduce resources in our less profitable practice areas, client segments and geographies. More

  • profitability. 22 million from 23 million

  • last year. That represents 1 million of

  • incremental profit with 5 million less in --

  • more selling time, with an eye to selling large

  • deals in a tough economy. The percentage of

  • timal cat alindicated to al in Q-2 increased by

  • 3 percent. Core consulting Utley saying at 52%

  • is flat year over year and sequentially. Billing rates remain lel at this, $283 per hour, with a healthy backlog, our reduction in billable S.T.E.s and consistent billing rate, we expect to continue to deliver growth in our consulting margins with a goal of 20 percent in the future. Down 8.3 million or 48% year over

  • year on fewer events. As indicated earlier,

  • this is a result of a planned strategy to risk

  • adjust the conference portfolio and improve

  • profitability. The contribution margin events

  • was up $157,000 and the contribution margin

  • percentage at 46% increased 23 points year over

  • year. Events deferred revenue of 54.3 million is down 5% year over year an up 20 million or up 8 percent esequentially: Raising our level of confidence in delivering full year revenues at 120 million, the high end of the guidance we set. Before we leave 2002 performance. Our charges of 17.2 million in the quarter consists of 5.8 million of a reduction in force, primarily in consulting, $10 million related to the cost of exiting various facilities around the world, and 1.4 million relating to a noncash charge to intangible assets for the discontinuance of certain databases. Collectively, these our charges will reduce operating expense by $11 million in 2000 and $15 million on a full year basis. Q-2, net cash, $51 million, an increase of $26 million over the prior year and $60 million sequentially. As a result, our net cash balance increased to 79 million at March 31, 2002, and an increase of 67 million year over year and 51 million sequentially. By the way, we generated 51 million of net cash after repurchase of 12.2 million of Gartner stock.

  • During the quarter, we repurchased 1 million

  • shares at an average price of $12.15. The

  • total number of shares we purchased awnd your

  • current 75 million-dollar repurchase program is

  • 3.4 million shares at a total cost of

  • $306 million. Increased profitability and reduction in investment activities relating primarily to capital expenditures. Capital

  • expenditures, under 5 million, representing

  • 70 percent reduction in spending over the prior

  • year. We continually to closely monitor the necessary it's and time of capital spending to ensure we stay on course to achieve our targeted year end net cash balance currently forecasted to be in excess of $120 million. As

  • we turned the corner on the first Mav of fiscal

  • 2002, there are a number of observations we

  • have to setting further guidance. Our

  • competitors remain in a weakened state has

  • measured by the revenues of public companies

  • and technology and research and veriry space,

  • Garth ners market share is 72%, up another two

  • points over last year's 7 point gain. In the current environment, we can optimize EBITDA and gain market share all at the same time. The

  • economy remains uncertain. Our practical

  • experience tells us that budgets are still

  • tight and budget holders skeptical. As a

  • result, we see no reason to overspend to

  • develop new business. Our clients and wallet

  • retention rates have stablized, but it is

  • increasingly challenging to predict new

  • business volumes. Pipe lines are relatively

  • strong, but conversion rate and conversion time

  • exhibit new patterns every quarter the as a

  • result, we see no reason to ramp up resources.

  • Ahead of book business. Our ability to leverage our revenue visibility and to predictable profitability gets increasingly better. We have continued to end at the high end of our profitability, despite challenge revenue environment. Over the next few

  • quarters, maintain an intense focus on profit. The net result is we are reconfirm and EBITDA and E.P.S. guidance at the beginning of the fiscal year. Our guidance for the full year is as follows: Total revenue is estimated to be in the range of 900 to $920 million. Research

  • is estimated to be in the range of 495 to

  • $502 million. Consulting is estimated in the

  • range of 268 to $276 million, events is

  • estimated to be in the range of 120 to

  • $122 million, and other is estimated in the

  • range of 17 to $20 million. EBITDA is estimated to be in the range of 145 million to 155 million, normalized E.P.S. is estimated to be approximately 47 to 52 cents on 133 million shares, depreciation estimated at $41 million, amortization estimated at $2 million, net interest expense estimated at $22 million, other expense estimated at $2 million an we estimate our tax rate to be at 35%. As I said earlier, we expect our net cash balance to be in excess of 125 -- $120 million. Our guidance for the third quarter is as follows: Total revenue was estimated to be in the range of 234 to 243 million. Research is estimated to be in

  • the range of 120 to 123 million, consulting

  • estimated in the range of 72 to 76 million,

  • events, estimated in the range -- at

  • $38 million, other, estimated in the rairng of

  • 4 to 6 million. EBITDA is estimated in the range of 37 to 42 million, our normalized E.P.S. is estimated in the range of 13 to 15 cents on 133 million shares. Depreciation is estimated at 10.5 million, amortization at half a million, net interest expense at 5.3 million. Other expense complies of F.X. lost at 5 million, our tax right 35% and our net cash bam estimated to exceed $103 million. We have been very focused over the last year on leveraging its revenue ability we have through research, contract value, deferred events revenue into pro dict able profitability. That focus has result you had in an EBITDA margin at 16%, nearly 3 points better than last year. The guidance we have laid out indicates that we are well on our way to achieving our longer term, targeted EBITDA margin of 20 percent. A

  • Funt amountal assumption in our guidance is

  • that we continue to improve profitability in a

  • continued down economy. Here is why. We have the ability to adjust resource levels in line with booking, research contract value, backlog, and deferred events revenue. Near 45% of our

  • business has a high percentage of its costs as

  • rare yabl. This would include consulting

  • events and software. In these businesses, we have a great opportunity to adjust cost levels based on sales pipe lines and booking volumes.

  • The remaining 55% of our business is comprised

  • of research. Historically, we did not have

  • this ability until our clients were consuming.

  • That made it extremely difficult to adjust

  • resources. Today, with Gartner.com, and web an

  • lit particulars and client services we have a

  • greater understanding of why and our our

  • clients are engaging with our analysts an

  • engaging with our research. Today we can pro

  • actively respond, we can increasingly better

  • resource decisions. One proof point, in the last six months, we incurred $85 million in research expense, down $12 million, since last year. Client utilization, inquiry and

  • satisfaction have all improved. Before I turn

  • the call back to Michael, I would like to take

  • a moment and reflect on our progress if

  • improving shareholder value. It's best

  • articulated by reviewing the things we are

  • doing to improve shareholder value in the short

  • term, mid term and long term. In the short

  • term, we are focused on delivering value today. Historically, we have made significant investments to drive the top line.

  • Aggressively investing in the short run to

  • maintain and grow our market share. Over the

  • last year, a combination of changes, namely a

  • weakened competitive landscape and uncertain

  • economy, and the diluted impact of the reset

  • conversion price on our convertible bond

  • pointed to a strategy that prioritizes

  • profitability sooner than later. Value gets

  • built by if creasing profitability quarter by

  • quarter. Segment margins have to improve, sales in general, administrative costs need to achief increasing levels of sufficiently. Our

  • incremental productivity and tax rates through

  • effective tax planning should decline over

  • time. Over the last four quairtters we have improved gross margins, reduced S.G.A., effectively investments and reduced our tax rate. We have seen a significant improvement

  • in our shareholder value over the last 12

  • months, the last 6 months and the last quarter.

  • As evidenced by our guidance, we believe we

  • have a solid foundationtory deliver increased

  • profitability in the next two fiscal years as

  • we work through the residue of an uncertain

  • economy. We also need to be doing things today

  • to build shareholder value for the mid term.

  • For Gartner, delivering value in the mid term

  • is all about building financial flexibility. We are accomplishing this through a build up of our cash balances, increases in our borrowing capacity and improvements in our cost to capital all of which have made excellent progress over the last year. This flexibility

  • will give us the opportunity to continue to buy

  • back shares. Our ability to enhance

  • profitability in the short term and build

  • financial flexibility in the mid term provides

  • a foundation for focusing on a few key

  • initiatives that will drive profitable growth

  • in 2004 and beyond. There are four key

  • elements to profitable the first is staying

  • power reduced budgets and skepticism has caused

  • our client to retract. By default, they are

  • resetting long term partnerships. In the last

  • three quarters we have maintained overall

  • client retention rate above 70% and over all

  • wallet retention rates of 85%. In

  • organizations that spend annually an average of

  • 100,000 or more with us, we have maintained

  • client relationship rates above 85% and wallet

  • retention rates near 90 percent. Our staying

  • power measured by our retention rates is it

  • vital to our long-term growth strategy. As the

  • economy maintains mow men momentum and spending

  • increases, well get the lion's share of the

  • incremental operation. Executive programs.

  • Growing in excess of 20% per annum. Over the

  • last long, our ideal level of interaction and

  • the ideal context in which we want to interact

  • with clients. The result of growth in this product that is exponential to Gartner as thee clients spend over $170 million of Gartner, we believe that by the end of 2004, this business can be well over $100 million in contract value. The 3rd is Gartner G.2. Very simply,

  • Gartner G. 2 represents a significant long term

  • opportunity to take Gartner's reserb much and

  • advisory competence into a broader audience of

  • executives and senior managers. The key need for which we are building product, assisting these individuals with technology strategies that support their business strategies is undeniable. As we articulated earlier, to date

  • we have over 325 clients. By 2004, we believe

  • this business can be near $50 million. The 4th

  • is Gartner 500. Our objective, build larger

  • relationships with 500 regional and global

  • client organizations prying ample opportunity

  • for growth over the long term. Just as we built our inside sales organization into an efficient channel for selling and maintaining our small client accounts, so, too, will we build the Gartner 500 sales process into an efficient channel for our largest clients. In summary, we stand on some I had ground in delivering continued growth in shareholder value through increased profitability in the short term, through reduction in the long term and revenue base in the long term.

  • Ceo-president

  • I believe that today's

  • economy compels companies to follow a very

  • simple agenda. Focus on high value customers,

  • manage manage your cost and plant the seeds for

  • future growth. This is what I tell our clients

  • every day, and I hope that it's clear from what

  • I have said and what REGINA has said that this

  • is what we're doing at Gartner. Long term

  • value gets built by increasing profitability

  • quarter by quarter. We have accomplished that

  • in the first two quarters of our current fiscal

  • year and we see plenty of room in the two that

  • lie ahead. We are prudently setting the stage

  • for 203 and beyond.

  • Moderator

  • Ladies and gentlemen of the

  • jury, we will begin the question and answer

  • session. If you have a question, press star

  • followed by 1 on the push button phone. You

  • will hear a 3-ton prompt acknowledging your

  • selection m if you are using speaker equipment,

  • you will need to lift the hand set before

  • pressing the numbers. One moment please for

  • our first question.

  • Caller

  • Caller

  • Credit suites, first Boston.

  • Mike, I hope you're wrong on this technology

  • stuff because I think we're all going to be out

  • of a job soon. Anyway, I wanted to just touch

  • on the existing clients, what you're seeing in

  • terms of some of the long-term contracts. Have

  • you seen anyone come back and try to

  • renegotiate rates on contracts that are maybe a

  • year or two in on a three-to 4-year contract?

  • Secondly, in terms of the long term growth in

  • research, what's your sense there, Michael, in

  • kind of a normalized economy? Thanks.

  • Ceo-president

  • It's a longer subject that I have -- I have an awful lot of evidence and an awful lot of empirical evidence from the we're we're doing that is true tech sector is going to remain tough for the rest of 2002, so hopefully we won't all be out of jobs because there's a great long-term business there. In

  • terms of long-term contracts, we have had our

  • share of clients push back and see if they

  • could renegotiate multiyear contracts. We've

  • held a very tough line on that. We believe

  • that when a company signs a contract, that's a

  • binding legal commitment. And we've been able

  • to hold the line quite nicely on that. It's

  • also important to note that as we have had

  • clients come up for renewals who decide that

  • they want to spend a little less money with us

  • but still maintain their relationship, we are

  • being very careful to provide them less service

  • for less money. As clients move down the the

  • scale of cost per seat, they have to pay more

  • per seat and the reason that's so important is

  • that's critical to maintaining the long-term

  • growth ability of the research business,

  • because as you give clients the same service

  • for less money, you'll never be able to grow

  • them, which, by the way, is something I think

  • many of our competitors are doing. So in terms

  • of the long-term growth of the research

  • business, as we have said before, we think that

  • long term the research business should be a 10%

  • grower.) Whether, it's I think in really good

  • times it could be above 10%. In tough times,

  • less than 10%. But our goal over the long

  • haul, I'm talking over the next three plus

  • years, is that that business should be a sort

  • of year in, year out, 10% grower.

  • Caller

  • Okay. Because it seems like

  • if C.V. continues to kind of decline here in

  • maybe mid to high single digit rates, when we

  • kind of stem that, there's obviously going to

  • be delay given the long term contracts in terms

  • of a resumption of growth there. Okay. In

  • terms of S.G.A. for Q.3, the level you were at

  • for Q-2, is that kind of what we should think

  • about or should it come down a little bit more?

  • CEO

  • The sales costs will go up slightly in line with the change in events.

  • You see that in Q.3 we've given guidance of

  • $38 million for events. In Q-2, it was 9.1.

  • For the flight rise relative to that -- there's

  • a slight rise relative to that, but generally

  • aside from that, you should see it continue to

  • come down. In large part, by the other charges

  • that we just announced. A good piece of that

  • is facility.

  • Caller

  • I guess two more questions and

  • I'll hand it over. In terms of on the billable

  • F.T. z for consulting if you have that number

  • and for both of you guys on the consulting

  • side, what type of, I guess, projects or which

  • of the practices there are the ones that are

  • kind of out performing in this environment?

  • Thanks.

  • CEO

  • Caller

  • CEO

  • 533.

  • Caller

  • Thank you.

  • Ceo-president

  • In terms of the nature

  • of the engagements that we're seeing and the

  • strength in that business, not surprisingly,

  • our measurement business continues to

  • benchmarking measurement business continues to

  • be very strong, which, as you know, is a good

  • business for us on a host of levels. It's less

  • customized if you will and therefore has good

  • margin associated with it. It also in times

  • like this, as we bill up businesses, we're

  • building more and more knowledge on that

  • database which is leverageble in all of our

  • business. We are continuing to see strength in

  • the business of sort of very short-term

  • engagements where people just want a day or two

  • of analyst time, as they're dealing with sort

  • of critical issues that they have to make very

  • quick decisions on and we're excited about that

  • because we're more an more seeing clients at a

  • high level turn to us more really strategic

  • decision making, which is terrific. And then

  • not surprisingly, all of the other sort of big

  • projects that people are still spending money

  • on, like C.R.M., like security or other areas

  • that we're continuing to see strengths.

  • Caller

  • Okay. Thanks very much, guys.

  • Moderator

  • Our next question comes

  • from Laura letterman. Please state your

  • company name.

  • Caller

  • Yes, Laura letterman from

  • William bird. I have a strange question for

  • you pikal. You mentioned that you expect

  • technology is likely to be weak this year. I'm

  • wondering about long term, whether the absolute

  • level of I.T. spending allocated budget, not

  • spent budget, is just so high that long-term

  • tech following budgets won't go up much, which

  • kind of mutes a recovery if you will. It's

  • kind of a long-term theory about companies are

  • spending too much on absolute levels in terms

  • of allocated budget so we won't get much of an

  • allocated budget increase long term. Thanks.

  • Ceo-president

  • Good question. One of

  • the things I hate doing sr being an analyst.

  • I've got a whole team of people that can answer

  • that question if greater detail. I'll give you

  • my high level view from our work and the time I

  • spend with C.E.O.s and C.I.O.s. I think

  • companies are getting increasingly smart about

  • getting a return on investment for their tech

  • spend, so I think we will see tech spend

  • increase because I think companies or going

  • thank you a process right now of putting more

  • business oriented rigor around their tech spend

  • an frankly around the people who control the

  • tech spend, C.I.O.s and other I.T. executives.

  • More often those are business people. So I

  • think there is a -- continues to be a great

  • long herm growth prospect for the tech industry

  • as a whole, this period aside. The other thing

  • I would tell you is our view is that we start

  • to see some substantial rebound in 2003 in tech

  • spend, in particular, delivered by something

  • which the tech spend doesn't focus on a whole

  • lot, which is replacement, but that is part of

  • the tech industry backing a more mature

  • industry and if you think about how much

  • equipment was purchased, software was

  • purchased, et cetera, in the late 1990 rs, that

  • had a designed useful life of call it three to

  • four years, companies are going to have to

  • spend for replacement just to keep the lights

  • on.

  • Caller

  • Okay. Another question, this one is for you, REGINA, if you look at the great cost savings you've done over the last year, can you give us a sense of how you get to that 20% operating margin long term? Where

  • else could you cut long term on a high level.

  • Where would the improvements come from?

  • CEO

  • I think a piece of the long term EBITDA margin at 20% is a resujs beyond 2003 to revenue amendments. We believe that we've got

  • -- we've still got runway into the second half,

  • and then into 2003 on many of the things that

  • we've laid out already that are just going to

  • have a full year impact next year that we're

  • redying these things at the half and next year

  • they will have a full year impact. As we said, with much greater visibility into the revenues, not only through our backlog, research contract value and deferred events revenue, but now through Gartner.com, as we see the volumes, we have a lot of runway to kind of take out the variable costs. So we're going to continue to

  • watch the consulting volumes and adjust

  • resource accordingly. We'll continue to watch

  • what we're being told an reallocate our reduced

  • resource accordingly. I think it's two areas,

  • getting leverage for the full year for the

  • actions taken already on infrastructure, as

  • well as cost of delivery and continuing to pay

  • very good attention to where the volumes are

  • and, you know, resource set accordingly.

  • Caller

  • Final question. If you look

  • to a normalized growth in consulting when the

  • economy gets better and tech spending hopefully

  • get better, what would a long term normalized

  • consulting growth be.

  • Ceo-president

  • We believe that a 15 to

  • 20% growth business in a good environment.

  • Caller

  • Thanks so much. I'll pass.

  • Moderator

  • Our next question comes

  • from Richard, please state your company name

  • followed by your question.

  • Caller

  • Hi. This is actual live

  • ASHISH. Two questions, could you update us on

  • your success in Ben traiting the fortune 500

  • lines, in two respects. One is on the research

  • side as well as on the consulting side? That's

  • the first one.

  • Ceo-president

  • Sure. As you know,

  • we've been building a program that we're

  • calling Bartner 500 and we'll take a 2nd to

  • describe what we're doing there. In

  • particular, to go out and change the nature of

  • our relationship with our largest clients,

  • primarily made up of Fortune 500 light

  • companies as well as our largest prospects,

  • because that prospect area is a place where

  • historically we haven't added a lot of those

  • new -- those prospects as foo clients over the

  • last several years. And I guess the way I

  • think about this is this. As you look over the last three years we built the inside sales function with a very focused mission of figuring out a way to have ar lower cost way, to serve our smallest clients, yet at the same time do that with higher client satisfaction and higher client renewal and that's worked exceptionally well and we will continue and you will continue to see us pof business out of our field based sales organization if to that inside sales channel that does such a good job there. At the same time, now we are in the process, which I think will also take several years, of reorienting our outside sales organization to become as well honed a machine as the inside sales machine is, but focused on our largest clients and prospects, so those are the 500 accounts that we've designated in the Gartner 500, but less porj going after the 400 plus Fortune 1000 companies that we don't have as clients today) so we're not going to report every quarter on exactly how many of those are clients and how many of them aren't. We will update people periodically on that, but that's a program and a set of investments that we're making in terms of our sales process and how we manage our relationships with our largest clients, that I really think will be sort of an important part of the sort of next generation of the evolution of our business.

  • Caller

  • In terms of sales, I think you mentioned about the S.G.A. line, selling costs, certificating the -- ex certificating the quarter after 55 million a quart tore or G. and A. at 55? If you can sort of update us on the

  • benefits you're seeing with it being down 8%,

  • you know, in a year an year basis, if you talk

  • about sort of the savings you see coming in on

  • the selling and G. and A. side because of the

  • restructuring or reorganization?

  • CEO

  • Absolutely. First, just to

  • clarify a point. The comment that I made in my

  • talk track on the 55 million was a comment

  • relevant to facilities that we have taken out

  • in the quarter, and to understand, some of

  • these facilities had 15 to 20 year leases a and

  • so that's the total cost, the total lifetime

  • cost for leases and depreciation and all of

  • that. That said, let's me talk a little bit

  • about S.G.A. I think you'll see that in the

  • half, at the half year mark, we've reduced our

  • S.G.A. by about 10.3 million. We expect that

  • to be 21 million or slightly higher for the

  • full year. The split between that is more or less the same between sales and marketing and G. and A. What actually reduces even greater savings at this point is that we're in an environment where we're being very conservative around our receivables, we've continued to have very good success in cash collections, and realization of stuff over fine 0, but we continue to build our bad debt reserves, and that's probably going to be 4 too $5 million higher for the full year, so you've got some relive great benefit, probably shared 50/50 by the sales and marketing, and the general administrative, that is a little bit dampened this year by the environment in which we're building the bad debt allowance to protect anything that we don't collect.

  • Caller

  • Last question, on research

  • productivity. I know you guys, two sort of key drivers or thought of, one was using sort of the technology platform to better direct research based on what clients are really using, as well as just sort of focusing your efforts more around areas not analyst interest but what you deem is the interest of customers.

  • Could you sort of update us on any met tricks

  • that -- that are showing you any benefits that

  • you've already begun to achieve on that end?

  • Ceo-president

  • Let me do two links, the overall metric is that we are -- we're clearly seeing productivity gains if research, even with the decline in revenue in that business as evidenced by its expense rate and margin rate. That's the sort of overall place

  • you will see it pop out in the metrics, but in

  • terms of from the perspective of enhancing the

  • client experience and also manage ng our

  • resources more tight live tied to the client

  • experience, I'd actually urge you to spend a

  • little bit of time at Gartner.com. One of the

  • things you would find is even from the subject

  • areas of our spot lights and as you drill down

  • more and more into -- (Inaudible) that's

  • produced, you're going to be find it much more

  • highly focused around key subject areas. That

  • information is coming to us directly from the

  • feedback from the website, Gartner.cm. So we are watching at this point and adjusting our research agenda as we learn more and more from our clients what's of greatest interest now. I

  • have to caveat that by saying doing a good job

  • in our business has two pieces to. One is

  • being able to deliver for clients who have a

  • very particular need around a particular

  • subject now, as an example, C.R.L. today, very

  • high need for lots of clients. At the same time, being really great in our I business, which we've done now for 22 years, is also knowing the subject areas that are going to be of interest to chients before they know it and before they start pounding away at your website on that subject, so being sure you constantly balance your research agenda between what clients need today and also making the investments in coverage areas that they're going to need tomorrow is very important.

  • You'll see that quite clearly highlighted if

  • you just look through the list of spotlight

  • subjects on Gartner.com.

  • Caller

  • Absolutely the last question.

  • Any update further on the potential conflict

  • between sort of your customers that are in the

  • consulting business versus your entry into the

  • consulting market? I know that was something

  • you sort focused on contending withz and I just

  • think, that world has gotten a lot cleaner and

  • clearer for us.

  • CEO

  • In the environment we're all dealing with

  • today, the independent nature of gardener, the

  • type of advice and counsel that we give that's

  • independent of any vendor relationships, has

  • become n an even more valuable asset. Obviously it's been the philosophical underpinning of our business, but when you sit down with clients and talk about the work we do, there's a burning desire from clients to have independent advice and counsel from people who are not going to do implementation work for them, who are not selling other technology vendor's products and services, so we're start to go see increase he had traction both in government, not surprisingly, but also in the private sector around that particular selling feature of who we are both from a research perspective and a selling perspective. All of

  • that said, we haven't seen any upset in any of

  • our relationships with any of the big

  • consulting, systems implementation or out

  • sourcing firms as we continue to grow our

  • business.

  • Caller

  • Thanks a lot.

  • Moderator

  • Our next question comes

  • from Steve wide Berg. Please sait your company

  • name.

  • Caller

  • Hi, pacific rest. Mike, I was

  • wondering if you could provide some thoughts on

  • the international trends that you're seeing in

  • your business, how it compares with the U.S.,

  • and then I have a couple of brief follow ups.

  • Ceo-president

  • Sure, Steve. First of

  • all, what I would say is generally we're

  • seeing, and this is a huge generalization, but

  • generally we're seeing the economic impact and

  • the tech sector impact being pretty consistent

  • around the world. There are sort of bright

  • spots and dim spots 0 obviously, but really, we

  • haven't seen one particular part of the world

  • sort of come out of this thing earlier, or

  • sink, you know, much deeper into it, so our

  • business at this point, I would say, is

  • operating globally on a pretty consistent basis

  • around the world m I don't know if you have

  • anything different to add to that.

  • CEO

  • I guess the only continuing I would say is if you kind of look at EBITDA margins, you know, they improved, you know, fairly significantly in some of the lower regions, but I just track what Michael said. It's something we're seeing consistently, the revenue challenge around the world, and one exception, Asia pack is growing at the half about 4%, so we do have positive signs there.

  • Caller

  • Great. Just two brief

  • questions. Along the executive programs. How

  • many clients are involved in that area of the

  • business and then along the giens of G.2, how

  • many of the 325 clients have been existing

  • Gartner clients? Thanks.

  • Ceo-president

  • On executive programs

  • today, we have about 1500C.I.O.s as members of

  • that program and about 70% of the G.2 clients

  • are -- come from existing client companies

  • where we're doing business already with that

  • organization. What we're trying to do with G.2, and we talked a little bit about this in the past, is we are trying to use and leverage our existing relationship to find the right business buyers for the G.2 product within the organization. We've had great successes in

  • flaiss -- if places with good long term Gartner

  • clients have introduced us into their business

  • folks as a valuable source to help them think

  • about how they're going to make their

  • businesses grow and be more successful using

  • tech nolg. technology.

  • Moderator

  • At this time there are no

  • additional questions. Please continue.

  • CEO

  • Thank you, everyone. We look forward to

  • seeing everyone on the road over the next

  • several months and appreciate everybody's

  • continued support an look forward to talking to

  • everybody, if not sooner, next quarter.

  • Thanks.

  • Moderator

  • Thank you. Ladies and gentlemen, this concludes the Gartner's second quarter 2002 earnings conference call.