Home Bancorp Inc (HBCP) 2025 Q3 法說會逐字稿

Good morning, ladies and gentlemen, and welcome to the Home Bancorp's third-quarter '25 earnings conference call.

(Operator Instructions)

Please note this call if it's being recorded.

I would now like to turn the conference over to Home Bancrop's Chairman, President and CEO John W. Bordelon, and Chief Financial Officer, David T. Kirkley.

Please go ahead, Mr. Kirkley.

Thank you, Constantine.

Good morning and welcome to Home Bank's third-quarter '25 earnings call.

Our earnings release and investor presentation are available on our website. I'd ask that everyone please refer to the disclaimer regarding forward-looking statements in our investor presentation in our SEC filings. Now I'll hand it over to John to make a few comments about the quarter, John.

Thanks, David. Good morning and thank you for joining our earnings call today. We appreciate your interest in Home Bank as we discuss our results, expectations for the future, and our approach to creating long-term shareholder value.

Yesterday afternoon, we reported third-quarter net income of $12.4 million or $1.59 per share, up $0.14 per share from the second-quarter and $0.41 from a year ago.

Net interest margin expanded for the sixth consecutive quarter to 4.10%, and our return on assets increased by 10 basis points to 1.41%. Home bank's efficiency ratio also improved in the third-quarter and is now back down below 60%.

We've been able to grow revenues significantly faster than expenses over the last couple of years, with revenues increasing twice as fast as expenses.

Loans decreased by $58 million in the third quarter as we saw payoffs and paydowns that were $52 million higher than average paydowns over the last six quarters.

This was driven by a number of long-term, Customers selling their businesses or property. I think it's worth mentioning that we're not losing them to other banks.

Eight customers alone that sold their businesses or property in the third-quarter made up $45 million of the decline.

In almost every case, Home Bank remains these customers' primary banking relationship, which bodes well for the future but challenges our near-term growth.

Customers are always waiting for lower rates before they move ahead with their projects that require financing. We have a lot of great conversations going on, but the media coverage over the last 10 months has convinced many that big rate cuts are coming, so people are choosing to remain on the sidelines until there is more clarity on rates.

So, while we are hopeful that we'd see 4% to 6% loan growth this year, we're now expecting more moderate growth of 1% to 2% in '25.

We've always maintained loan structure discipline and have prioritized risk adjusted returns overgrowth, and we don't intend to abandon our principles now.

On a high note, deposits increased 9% annualized in the third-quarter with good growth and relatively low-cost money market accounts.

Thanks to a concerted effort and a focus on building franchise value, we've increased deposits by 17% in the last nine quarters versus loans, which also grew a respectable 8%.

Most of this increase has been in core deposits and includes good growth in Texas, which we entered back in '22.

Our loan deposit ratio is now 91%, which positions us well for when loan growth picks up.

Non-performing loans have increased in '25, but our charge-offs remain very low. We don't expect for that to change due to low loan values, our conservative underwriting standards, and proactive credit management.

As a reminder, you can see on slide 16, our net charge-offs have averaged about 6 basis points over the last 6 plus years.

M&A activity nationwide has accelerated, and we continue to look for the right opportunity to leverage our acquisition experience.

We are confident in Home Bank's future and our ability to meet our high standards. Our senior leadership team has 981 years of cumulative experience for an average of 26.6 years, and we have a track record of outperformance in all economic climates.

With that, I will turn it back over to David, our Chief Financial Officer.

Thanks, John.

Slide 5 in our investor presentation has a summary of the last six quarters. Net income totalled $12.4 million, a 9% increase from the prior quarter, and a 31% increase from a year ago.

Net interest to income increased $754,000 quarter-over-quarter as NIM increased six basis points to 4.10%. Yield on loans increased 3 basis points quarter-over-quarter as a contractual rate on new loan originations was 7.35%, which continues to support an expanding NIM as lower yielding loans reprice.

Slides 14 and 17 provide additional details on cash flows from our loan and investment securities portfolio, and we think we can continue to increase asset yields even if there are rate cuts.

Excluding floating rate loans repricing in the next three months, 41% of loans with a blended rate of 5.7% are expected to reprice or refinance over the next three years.

Over that same time period, half of our investment portfolio is projected to be paid off with a roll-off yield of 2.56%, which is well below current available yields of approximately 4%.

Slides 15 and 16 of our investor presentation provides some additional detail on credit.

We had $376,000 in net charge-offs in the quarter related to smaller C&I loans. Year-to-date, our net charge-offs totalled $743,000 which is a very low 4 basis points of total loans, and $58,000 less than a prior year.

Third-quarter non-performing assets increased $5.5 million to $30.9 million or 88 basis points to total assets.

The increase was primarily due to the downgrade of 5 relationships and partially offset by payout.

The largest was a $5.1 million relationship with two separate land development loans in Houston.

We feel between the loaner value on these properties and the guarantor strength that there will be no material losses on this relationship.

The second largest was a $1.2 million acquired CRE loan that was placed on non-accrual status in September. It was made current as of 930.

Once again, we believe we are well collateralized on this loan as well as other loans classified as non-accrual and or substandard.

We had a negative $229,000 provision expense during the quarter as a result of loan balance declines, which was partially offset by $376,000 of net charge-offs.

We feel very confident in reserves as our allowance for loan loss ratio was stable from the second quarter at 1.21%. The cost of interest-bearing liabilities decreased to basis points 2.69% as continued strong deposit growth allowed us to pay down more expensive short-term advances.

Interest-bearing deposit costs increased 5 basis points in Q3 due to changes in the deposit mix, but we will see decreases when we get some additional Fed rate cuts. The cost of CDs declined 1 basis point to 3.85% even as balances increased $15 million during the quarter.

We are keeping CD terms short with 77% of our CD portfolio maturing in the next 6 months and 97% within a year. So, we will have the opportunity to react quickly when rates decline.

Non-interest-bearing deposits, which represent 27% of total deposits, increased $5 million in Q3 and $69 million or 9.4% year-to-date.

Our overall cost of deposits in Q3 was an attractive 1.88%. This was an increase of 4 basis points quarter over quarter, but once again we were able to pay off FHLB advances and reduce our total cost of interest-bearing liabilities by 2 basis points.

Short-term advances from the FHLB declined $75 million quarter-to-date and $137 million a year-to-date.

Slide 22 of the presentation has some additional details on non-interest income and expenses.

Third-quarter, non-interest income was $3.7 million, which was in line with expectations. We expect non-interest income to be between $3.6 million and $3.8 million over the next several quarters.

Non-interest expenses increased by $124,000 to 22.5 million and was in line with expectations.

Non-interest expenses expected to be between $22.5 million and $23 million per quarter for the next two quarters.

Slide 23 and 24 summarize the impact our Capital Management Strategy had on Home Bank.

Since '19, we grew tangible book value per share adjusted for AOCI at a 9.5% annualized growth rate.

Over the same period, we also increased EPS at 11.2% annualized growth rate.

We increased our dividends per share by 36% and repurchased 17% of our shares outstanding, and we've done this while maintaining robust capital ratios.

This positions us to be successful in varying economic environments and to take advantage of any opportunities as they arise.

With that operator, please open the line for Q&A.

We will now begin the question-and-answer session.

(Operator Instructions)

Joseph Yanchunis, Raymond James.

Please go ahead.

Good morning.

Hey, good morning, Joe.

Hey, Joe.

So, I thought we could start with the NIM.

So, how should we think about the NIM trajectory, particularly as we think about the board curve and your increased asset sensitivity, and at what point do you think the NIM peaks?

All right, so the increased asset sensitivity is more so due to the cash on hand on our balance sheet. So, that's increasing the sensitivity of, cash free prices daily.

I would say as far as NIM, I think we have a great opportunity to keep NIM at least flat and grow a couple basis points quarter-over-quarter. We have highlighted that we have a lot of loans and investment securities repricing, and we still think we have a room to reprice upwards. And also, with Fed rate cuts we did lower some of our deposit rates and we think we, as the Fed continues to cut, we have the opportunity to lower deposit rates even further, and that has the ability to offset the reduction in loan yield due to Fed rate cuts as adjustable-rate loans reprice downward. So, I think we're really well positioned to continue to keep them at least flat to increase a couple basis points.

I appreciate that.

And your updated '25 loan growth guide implies a pretty big step up in four key loan growth.

What levels of payoffs and pay downs are implied in this guide and how does the loan pipeline currently compare to recent history?

(multiple speakers)

Just for the jumping off point as we get into '26.

Sure, third-quarter was the beginning of the decline of new loan originations.

We see a little healthier portfolio coming fourth-quarter. Maybe not all of that gets closed in the fourth-quarter, but so it is a little healthier than what we had in third-quarter originations, so those numbers were down probably about.

That the exact amount, but probably about $30 something million in the quarter from prior quarters. So, we do think we'll see some pick up hopefully we can pick up all that $36 million and be more normalized in fourth-quarter, but I think definitely if we get a couple more rate cuts, first quarter should be very strong.

Alright.

Well thank you for taking my questions.

Thank you, Joe.

(Operator Instructions)

Fetti Strickland, Health Group. Please go ahead.

Hey, good morning, John, David.

I appreciate the commentary relief that, you don't expect losses on the credits that migrated [non-roval] this quarter. You gave some more colour on the call. So, it sounds like we shouldn't necessarily charge off from that, but I'm just curious, as you work through some of these credits, could we start to see the direction of non-performers reverse and maybe start to see those come down some?

Yeah, I think if you, as we look at it, there's no, I guess, similarity in what's starting to have problems. It's just someone offs here or there. We have one of our classifieds that called us this week and said they're going to be paying us off by the end of the month. So, we would hope, but the worst part about MPAs is sometimes it takes them a little bit longer to fix themselves. What we're happy about is we're not seeing a lot of them going into bankruptcy, which really takes, anywhere, a little bit faster in Texas, but slower in Louisiana, some cases up to a year to be able to move on that. So we're working through them. One of our problem assets that we had from a couple of years ago, we finally are getting out of bankruptcy and we'll be able to take those properties back and begin the process of selling them, So it's kind of a longer-term situation when you have the bankruptcies, but fortunately, most of ours are not in bankruptcy, so hopefully they can either sell or upgrade their business and be able to start paying this.

Appreciate that. It just shifting gears to deposits. Can you talk about the level of deposit competition you're seeing today versus maybe a quarter ago? And how are you thinking about, deposit data on the way down if we do get rate cuts?

So our deposit betas are going to be a little bit, I would say less than peers. We will continue to see our deposit betas increase from where they are over time, and I think they're going to be a little bit less than peers is because we didn't raise our deposit rates as much as some of our competitors didn't have an overall lower cost of funds to start off with, so that's going to give us less room to go down, but we still have room to adjust as yields come down.

As far as competition goes.

I would say there are a couple.

Count on one hand, banks that are kind of out of the norm of our peer grouping, they pop up here and there and I would say.

Mostly in the Texas market, one or two banks in Louisiana that have some outlying pricing, but overall, we're able to retain most customers we are able to offer competitive rates, and I don't feel like the pricing is as fierce as it has been in the past.

I feel like banks are some of our competitors in the market, they are very quick to lower their deposit costs and looking to lower their liability costs, and that bodes well for us given our NIM position and our desire to continue to increase our liquidity.

And also adding to that with a 91% loan to deposit ratio, it should be a little bit easier for us to lower our deposit cost.

When we were at 98%, we were very much kind of in the lead as far as the price of CDs and such, so I think a little bit of that pressure will be taken off.

Well, thanks, I'll step back on the cube.

This concludes our question-and-answer session. I would like to turn the conference back over to John for closing remarks. Sir, please go ahead.

Thank you. Once again, thank you all today for joining us. We look forward to speaking to you many days and weeks ahead.

Thank you for your interest in Home Bancorp. Have a great day.

The conference is now concluded.

Thank you for attending today's presentation. You may now disconnect.