Hyatt Hotels Corp (H) 2013 Q2 法說會逐字稿

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  • Operator

  • Good day, ladies and gentlemen, and welcome to the second-quarter 2013 Hyatt Hotels Corporation earnings conference call.

  • My name is Tahisha and I'll be your operator for today.

  • At this time, all participants are in listen-only mode.

  • Later, we will conduct a question-and-answer session.

  • (Operator Instructions).

  • As a reminder, this conference is being recorded for replay purposes.

  • I would now like to turn the conference over to your host for today, Mr. Atish Shah, Senior Vice President of Investor Relations.

  • Please proceed.

  • Atish Shah - SVP IR

  • Thank you, Tahisha.

  • Good day, everyone, and thank you for joining us for Hyatt's second-quarter 2013 earnings call.

  • We want to thank everyone in the investment community for joining us today.

  • Here with me in Chicago is Mark Hoplamazian, Hyatt's President and Chief Executive Officer, and Gebhard Rainer, Hyatt's Chief Financial Officer.

  • Mark is going to start by making some brief remarks, and then we're going to read and respond to questions emailed to us this morning.

  • Finally, we will take live Q&A towards the end of the call.

  • Before we get started, let me remind everyone that certain statements made on this call are not historical facts and are considered forward-looking statements.

  • These statements are subject to numerous risks and uncertainties as described in our annual report on Form 10-K and other SEC filings, which could cause our actual results to differ materially from those expressed in or implied by our comments.

  • Forward-looking statements in the earnings release that we issued earlier this morning, along with the comments on this call, are made only as of today, July 31, 2013, and we undertake no obligation to publicly update any of these forward-looking statements as actual events unfold.

  • You can find a reconciliation of non-GAAP financial measures referred to in our remarks on our website at Hyatt.com under the press release section of our investor relations link and in this morning's earnings release.

  • An archive of this call will be available on our website for 90 days and a telephone replay of this call will be available for one week, per the information included in this morning's release.

  • Before we get started, I wanted to point out that our disclosure this morning contains a new schedule on capital expenditures and investment spending.

  • It's located on page 12 of the schedules.

  • Similar to the brand statistics that we started providing earlier this year, we'll be providing this detail each quarter so you can have a better handle on our aggregate investing activity, including CapEx and other investments, given that it is a big part of our value creation focus.

  • And with that, I'll turn it over to Mark to get started.

  • Mark Hoplamazian - President, CEO

  • Thank you, Atish.

  • Good morning and welcome to Hyatt's second-quarter 2013 earnings call.

  • I'd like to speak with you about two topics on today's call.

  • First, I'll discuss second-quarter results and share some thoughts on our outlook, and second, I'll talk about growth and transactions that we've recently announced.

  • Our second-quarter financial performance was strong on both a standalone basis and as compared to our strong second quarter in 2012.

  • We benefited from higher rates, improved food and beverage sales, and good flow-through, as well as earnings from recent acquisitions, renovated hotels, and newly opened managed and franchised hotels.

  • With occupancy at prior peak levels in a number of markets around the world, RevPAR growth was driven primarily by higher room rates.

  • Adjusted EBITDA increased over 17%, comparable US RevPAR increased over 6%, and comparable owned and leased margins increased 230 basis points.

  • At owned and leased hotels, occupancy rates increased less than 1% to nearly 80% overall, but average room rates were up over 6%.

  • Our owned and leased hotel results were strong due to specific market performance, as well as some renovation impact from last year.

  • In fact, five owned and leased hotels, four in the US and one outside the US, each grew EBITDA by over 50%.

  • These five hotels had an average RevPAR gain of over 18% and they contributed about 100 basis points of the 230 basis point margin improvement.

  • Food and beverage at our comparable owned and leased hotels was a driver of better quarterly performance as well.

  • Banquet revenue increased almost 12% in the quarter, in part due to a shift of mix of the groups that we are serving.

  • At US full-service hotels, transient revenue represented over 50% of room revenue in the second quarter.

  • Transient room revenue increased 7%, with about two-thirds of that increase due to higher rates and one-third due to higher demand.

  • Consistent with our comments last quarter, transient demand in the US was derived from sectors in the economy that are performing well, such as manufacturing, businesses serving the housing industry, and technology.

  • Group revenue increased, as well, by about 5%.

  • That increase was primarily due to the timing of Easter, partially offset by lower levels of government group business.

  • April was a good group month with revenues up about 20%, May was fair with revenues about flat, and June was weaker with revenues down in the range of 3%.

  • Our in the quarter for the quarter bookings were up about 1%.

  • In the quarter for the year bookings were up about 7% and pace for 2014 is roughly flat at this time.

  • Overall, the short term --- over the short term and consistent with what we stated last quarter, we expect group demand to continue to be positive, but not as strong as transient demand.

  • We are quite confident in group business over the long term, but do think there will be varying degrees of performance, depending on location, positioning of a particular hotel, and type of group demand for a specific market or hotel.

  • For example, over the next 18 months, we expect Atlanta and Washington, DC, to continue to be challenging markets, while we expect others, such as Chicago and Orlando, to be stronger.

  • Moving on to our management and franchise activities in the quarter, fees increased 20% during the quarter, primarily due to about $10 million of fees earned from recently converted hotels.

  • These hotels are great additions to our brands and serve to expand our presence in key markets.

  • Among the conversions were four hotels in France that I want to discuss in more detail.

  • As we noted in prior disclosures, over the first 12 months post conversion we expect to earn EUR5 million of base fees and EUR5 million to EUR10 million of incentive fees from these hotels.

  • The base fees are earned fairly evenly throughout the year.

  • There will be -- likely be sequential quarter-to-quarter volatility in incentive fees due to the structure of the agreements.

  • In fact, we expect to earn most of the incentive fees in the second and third quarters, during the high seasonal months for these hotels.

  • By way of reminder, the incentive fees from these hotels are subject to an annual performance guarantee.

  • Operating profits above the guarantee threshold are retained as incentive fees.

  • Because the annual guarantee is measured on a quarterly basis, we may be required to fund up to the guarantee level in a particular quarter, which could negatively impact incentive fees in such a quarter.

  • Again, we're on track to earn EUR10 million to EUR15 million of total fees over the first 12 months of operations at these hotels.

  • Fee growth in greater China was impacted by lower RevPAR, due to austerity measures and some renovation impact, and increased supply in certain markets.

  • Excluding results from one major hotel under renovation this year, our second-quarter RevPAR decline for greater China was about the same as that in the first quarter.

  • For reference, we earn about 5% of our adjusted EBITDA from greater China.

  • We continue to have confidence in the long-term prospects in China, but anticipate that this year will continue to be challenging.

  • As we look forward, note that some of the factors that enhanced our performance in the second quarter are not expected to be sustained in the back half of 2013.

  • For example, the five hotels -- owned hotels that I noted earlier, which helped our results in the second quarter, are not expected to have the same impact during the remainder of the year.

  • Second, hotel transactions are expected to negatively impact our owned and leased EBITDA in the second half of this year.

  • Specifically, we benefited from acquisitions, such as the Hyatt Regency Mexico City and the Driskill, which mostly offset the impact of asset sales through our second quarter.

  • During the second half of 2013, however, we expect the earnings from recently sold hotels to have a negative impact on reported results, net of acquisitions, due to the timing of these transactions and seasonality.

  • Third, I mentioned the incentive fees for the converted hotels in France are a positive boost in the second and third quarters, but we do not expect that to be the case in the fourth quarter.

  • And finally, some markets in which we have key owned hotels, particularly Baku and London, are expected to have difficult comparisons in the third quarter.

  • In Baku, we continue to face challenges related to the significant increases in supply in this market.

  • In London, our results last year benefited from the Diamond Jubilee, the Summer Olympics, and the Farnborough Airshow.

  • In London, we've grown market share year to date, so these issues in the third quarter are by way of comparison to last year.

  • I will now turn to some of the transactions that we have recently announced.

  • Earlier this month, we announced that we will be entering the all-inclusive resort segment later this year in partnership with Playa Resorts.

  • We will first be focused on all-inclusive resort presence in Mexico and the Caribbean.

  • Our rationale for entering the segment is twofold.

  • First, consistent with our stated goals, we're focused on bringing more resorts into our system.

  • We know that having high quality resorts brings great value to our customer base, particularly Gold Passport members.

  • Our resort presence in Mexico and the Caribbean currently consists of two resorts, with five additional resorts in development.

  • Adding resort presence in this subregion is critical.

  • We believe now is a good time to expand our resort presence, given limited new supply and demographic evolution that should translate into higher levels of resort demand in the years ahead.

  • Second, we like the all-inclusive space.

  • We've seen this market expand over the last two decades, and during that time, we've also seen an increase in the number of brands and properties at the upper end of the rate scale, reflecting higher levels of quality in product and service offerings in this segment.

  • We estimate that almost half of the resort rooms in Mexico and the Caribbean are all-inclusive offerings.

  • Several of these resorts are what we would consider to be upper upscale or luxury offerings, given their price levels and guest profiles.

  • We also believe that there is a group opportunity for selected resorts.

  • The all-inclusive segment also has global popularity.

  • We have studied many markets in Europe and Latin America that currently have all-inclusive resorts and others in Asia and elsewhere that may be attractive for this business model.

  • As a growing number of leisure guests seek certainty of cost, simplicity, and convenience, an all-inclusive resort experience is a good offering for us to have in our portfolio over the long term.

  • Our partnership with Playa brings immediate scale to our entry into the segment.

  • We have six resorts planned under our brands in Mexico, Jamaica, and the Dominican Republic as they are converted over the next few years, following significant renovations.

  • Playa has been operating in the all-inclusive segment for many years and has a strong management team that is capable of delivering a great product and guest experience.

  • Additionally, over time, Playa's development platform is expected to provide future growth for us in this segment.

  • During the third quarter, we expect to acquire an approximate 20% equity stake in Playa for $100 million and purchase convertible preferred equity for $225 million.

  • As to earnings associated with this transaction, in 2014 we would expect to earn in the range of $18 million to $20 million of EBITDA that will be reflected as JV EBITDA, excluding franchise fees.

  • We expect these earnings to grow over time as the resorts ramp up post renovations and rebranding.

  • Our expected level of return on our investment is in the mid-teen percentage range and represents a strong risk-weighted return.

  • The minimum expected return on our convertible preferred equity investment is 10%, and we expect to achieve a higher return on our common equity investment.

  • In addition to these returns, we expect to earn franchise fees from the six resorts we plan to convert.

  • From a valuation perspective, the per-key valuation implied by the total Company value is approximately $250,000.

  • We think this is an attractive valuation for this portfolio of resorts that are well positioned and expected to realize improved relative performance, given significant planned renovations and, in the case of six of the resorts, Hyatt's brand affiliation.

  • The Playa team is currently in the market seeking $650 million in new debt for this venture.

  • The deal structure and the prospects for the portfolio give us confidence in the overall economics of this venture.

  • We continue to be active in implementing our stated strategy to recycle our asset base over time to free up capital for new investments.

  • During the second quarter, we sold two full-service hotels.

  • Our aggregate gross proceeds from the sales were approximately $165 million, and we reported a significant gain on the sale.

  • The pricing for these two assets was strong as we sold them at an approximate 3.5% cap rate on trailing 12-month NOI.

  • We executed new franchise agreements at both hotels, thereby maintaining brand presence of both properties.

  • We have four additional assets on the market and will provide an update on those if and when the sales close.

  • The sales process for those hotels remains on track.

  • We believe the market continues to be healthy for transactions and have not seen any significant changes in buyer interest or pricing.

  • As to the earnings impact from the sales, recall that we have stated that all six hotels earned a total of about $25 million EBITDA in 2012.

  • The two hotels that we sold represent about one-third of that amount, with the remaining four representing about two-thirds of the total.

  • Two other updates on our balance sheet.

  • Through three bond transactions, a redemption, a tender offer, and a new issuance, we effectively extended the maturity date and slightly lowered our ongoing interest expense on approximately $300 million of our debt.

  • Our balance sheet continues to be very strong.

  • And late last week, the Hyatt Regency Waikiki was sold.

  • As you might recall, we were the senior lender on the hotel, and as such, we received a full payoff of the $277 million first mortgage.

  • In addition, we had a small equity stake in the hotel, which will result in a small gain to be recognized over time as we continue to manage the hotel under a long-term agreement.

  • The new owner is planning a major renovation of the hotel over the next few years.

  • Finally, I'd like to mention two developments with respect to our brand and marketing efforts.

  • First, we launched an innovative deal with MGM Resorts International whereby our Gold Passport members and MGM's M life members are able to earn and redeem points across our portfolio and at 12 MGM properties, representing over 40,000 rooms in Las Vegas.

  • We believe this relationship brings some great choices to both companies' customers.

  • While we launched this affiliation only five weeks ago, the activity levels are higher than expected and we believe that this relationship will enhance the value of our Gold Passport program.

  • Second, our Hyatt Place brand continues its strong performance.

  • We were delighted this past week to learn that Hyatt Place was recognized by J.D. Power as highest in guest satisfaction among upscale hotel chains in its 2013 study.

  • And with that, I'll turn it back to Atish for Q&A.

  • Atish Shah - SVP IR

  • Thanks, Mark.

  • That concludes our prepared remarks.

  • For a question-and-answer session, we'll do what we've been doing the last few quarters and read to you questions that have been submitted to us by email.

  • This morning, we'll start with the category of second-quarter RevPAR trends and renovations.

  • We had a few questions on this topic.

  • First question being, you posted solid results across your owned portfolio, 7% plus RevPAR growth.

  • How much of that strength was the result of continued tailwinds from renovations coming back online?

  • Gebhard Rainer - CFO

  • Our best estimate is approximately 50 to 100 basis points, but it's hard to measure since we see impact from renovations in market sectors as well.

  • As a general note, we have lapped major renovations on our owned and leased portfolio now.

  • San Francisco was really the last one to be completed, so looking at the markets with San Francisco, New York, Chicago, San Antonio, the markets are strong.

  • Atlanta remains weak, as Mark pointed out earlier, and as I said earlier, we have market factors that we have to take into consideration there as well.

  • Atish Shah - SVP IR

  • Okay, as it relates to second-quarter RevPAR, did the government headwind that the Company saw in the first quarter abate?

  • Gebhard Rainer - CFO

  • Government remains weak.

  • We stated that in the first quarter.

  • Room nights fell by about half, again consistent with the first quarter, but we stated in the first quarter as well government represents less than 5% of our overall mix, and partial reason for that mix change or that decrease in government business is a result of our active revenue management as well.

  • Atish Shah - SVP IR

  • The next question relates to renovation impact second quarter versus first quarter.

  • In terms of dollars, what was the renovation impact in second quarter versus first quarter?

  • Mark Hoplamazian - President, CEO

  • So, we had talked about renovation impact from managed properties being under renovation.

  • So therefore, it's really a management fee impact.

  • And in the first quarter, the renovation-only impact was in the range of $2 million to $3 million, and in the second quarter, it was probably in the range of about $1 million.

  • Atish Shah - SVP IR

  • The last question on this topic, monthly trends for transient group RevPAR across the quarter.

  • How much of the group shift out of last quarter was moved into this quarter?

  • And also, what was April, May, and June, the trend of each month within the quarter?

  • Gebhard Rainer - CFO

  • The group revenue was strong in April, up nearly 20%.

  • It was more or less flat in May and slightly down in June, as Mark pointed out in his prepared remarks, as well.

  • Transient revenue was up in the mid-single digits for April.

  • It was high single digits for May and June.

  • We had a 130 basis point shift in RevPAR on our US portfolio.

  • But despite the progression during the quarter and the Easter effect, we are still very pleased with RevPAR in general as it progresses.

  • Atish Shah - SVP IR

  • Next topic was some additional information on a couple of markets.

  • Can you provide updated views on both New York City and DC?

  • Mark Hoplamazian - President, CEO

  • Sure.

  • So on New York -- first of all, just by way of reminder, we have got two owned properties, the Grand Hyatt New York and the Andaz on Fifth Avenue.

  • We have the Andaz Wall Street, which is a managed property, and then we have three franchised properties -- the Hyatt 48 Lex; the Hyatt Union Square, which just opened; and the Hyatt Place on 36th Street.

  • We have two other hotels coming, the Hyatt Times Square, which will open later this year, and the Park Hyatt New York, which will open next year.

  • New York was strong for us.

  • We were up in the high single digits, mostly rate driven.

  • We outperformed our comp sets, and it was really driven, again, by strong transient demand.

  • New York, obviously, has a number of submarkets, but we're seeing good performance in each of the submarkets in which we're active.

  • And I think the additional supply coming online seems to be getting absorbed, and since a fair amount of the new supply coming online is ours, we're paying a lot of attention to how we're actually penetrating the market.

  • And in the case of -- I was touring these properties last week, as a matter of fact, and as I look at the penetration in -- the Hyatt channel penetration and Hyatt customer base penetration in the Hyatt Place and the Hyatt Union Square, which are the two most recently opened, we are bringing a significant measure of business through our channels.

  • So New York is quite strong and nothing but positive for us at this point.

  • In DC, DC is a different story in terms of its current performance.

  • It remains a bit challenging.

  • We had RevPAR up slightly in the quarter.

  • Government business, as we talked about, has been challenging and we've seen a decline in room nights, and part of that is revenue management and part of it is underlying demand.

  • Group remains somewhat weak at this point as the 2014 pace is down a bit.

  • In DC, we own the Park Hyatt Washington DC.

  • We manage the Grand Hyatt and the Hyatt Regency.

  • Both of those hotels have had some renovation impact this year.

  • It's turned out to be a very good time, I think, to renovate, given the overall market performance.

  • And we've got more than a dozen other hotels in the DC area, in greater DC.

  • Atish Shah - SVP IR

  • Next question has to do with Easter.

  • Can you quantify the Easter shift to EBITDA between the quarters?

  • Gebhard Rainer - CFO

  • The Easter shift on EBITDA between the quarters was approximately $2 million to $3 million and, as stated earlier, 130 basis points on RevPAR on the Americas portfolio.

  • Atish Shah - SVP IR

  • Next question is on margin.

  • Is owned hotel margin improvement that we saw in the second quarter sustainable in the second half?

  • Gebhard Rainer - CFO

  • While we continue to focus on costs and on efficiencies, our mix shift has continued and this is really a contributing factor.

  • So margins in the second quarter were up 230 basis points, helped by the fact that, as Mark pointed out during the remarks, we significantly outperformed for a variety of factors and impacted margins, those [five fortel], by approximately 100 basis points.

  • Atish Shah - SVP IR

  • Okay, we have two questions related to our ASPAC region and China.

  • The first question, regarding ASPAC, how much of performance was driven by renovations versus government austerity measures versus supply and demand issues versus potentially a China macro slowdown?

  • Mark Hoplamazian - President, CEO

  • Okay (laughter).

  • Part of my answer is all of the above.

  • So let me break down ASPAC for just a second.

  • We had -- our comparable hotels in Asia-Pacific, excluding greater China, grew RevPAR by --- in the range of 5% in the second quarter.

  • A lot of that was driven by Japan.

  • And we had a RevPAR contraction in greater China, about one-third of which was due to renovations of some key hotels, and the remaining decline really is the result of the factors that were asked in the question.

  • It's quite difficult to actually segregate whether austerity -- how much austerity had an impact versus overall economic activity versus some other, I would say, very short-lived issues, like the bird flu issues and the like.

  • So the other thing I would point out quickly, however, is that the performance by submarket within China is quite varied.

  • So northern China has been the weakest year to date.

  • Eastern China is next in line and southern China is actually relatively positive.

  • It's somewhat positive in RevPAR.

  • So what you see is a contraction of business, and I think one of the reasons why northern China, which includes Beijing, is relatively more impacted, negatively impacted, is because of the austerity program.

  • And while we've seen RevPAR contract, I'm happy to report that we maintain comp set leadership in our hotels in Beijing.

  • So, I would say that while the overall story is somewhat challenging, our relative performance has been encouraging in terms of our maintenance of our number one position in our respective comp sets.

  • The environment is challenging at the moment, and I think that the banquet and entertainment factor at a number of our hotels which have very high-end outlets and we operate at the top end of the banquet market, those are the places that have really taken the primary hit on the austerity front.

  • So that's what I would say.

  • In terms of new supply, yes, there is new supply coming on and there's, I'd say, a lot of variability in terms of magnitude across the markets.

  • I would not say that that was a primary driver of results in the second quarter or year to date.

  • Atish Shah - SVP IR

  • And a second question on China, your peers have highlighted the softening economy, coupled with continued fallout from the political transition.

  • What they left out was the continued ramp-up in supply.

  • How concerned are you about the supply picture in China, which in some cities could be as high as 10% to 20%?

  • Mark Hoplamazian - President, CEO

  • Yes, so this is an interesting one.

  • I guess there are a couple of things I would point out.

  • First, ramping -- new openings and ramping has two separate impacts.

  • The first is as new supply comes into the market, it tends to have a negative impact on existing players.

  • If you happened to have had a number of openings in 2011, let's say, or 2012, and you're seeing a ramp up of your own properties, then that will tend to buoy your results for at least the short term.

  • So you have a ramp issue that can be beneficial as well.

  • We did not have a lot of openings in 2011 and 2012, so our opening schedule is now ramping a bit and we may see some of that going forward.

  • The second thing I would say is in terms of the underlying business and how we think about it, you really have to think about what's happening on the supply side relative to the demand over the coming decade, at least.

  • I would say more than that because these hotels take several years to get constructed and then opened, and then ramp time takes longer.

  • So the underwriting that we're looking at looks out much longer than the coming few quarters or the coming few years.

  • And we've been extremely diligent about maintaining quality in the pipeline, locations, the product that's being built, the owners that we are doing business with, and the like.

  • The other thing I would point out is that in terms of our activity base on the new development front, part of what we are seeing evolve is a growing commercial class of middle management folks.

  • And I think that will continue to provide good demand for our Hyatt Place and Hyatt House properties.

  • We don't have any opened yet, but our development activity for those two brands is quite high at the moment, and I think that they will serve a very important role in filling out additional distribution and presence in a number of submarkets.

  • Atish Shah - SVP IR

  • We have one question on our EAME/SWA region.

  • The EAME/southwest Asia region continued to do quite well.

  • Can you split out performance between Europe and the rest of the region?

  • Gebhard Rainer - CFO

  • Okay, let me maybe break it out into three areas -- Europe; the Middle East or GCC, which is a strong area for us; and then south Asia.

  • To lead into this, just by way of reminders, in Europe we are really represented in key gateway cities, which has helped us through the downtime in Europe right now.

  • So when we look at Europe, Europe is up in the range of about 3% from a RevPAR perspective.

  • The UK's a little bit behind that.

  • Again in Europe, we predominantly operate in the luxury segment, our owned properties in Europe, our own luxury segment.

  • The GCC for us was up in the range of about -- in the mid-teens and south Asia was in the high single digits, around 7%, 8%, which is actually a very notable point for us because it's an indication that reflects the stabilization of RevPAR in India, which is an important indicator and factor for us.

  • Atish Shah - SVP IR

  • Okay, we had some questions on use of cash, capital allocation, first one being on the share repurchases.

  • You bought back over 4 million shares in the quarter, reducing your flow by 3%.

  • Can you discuss your return of capital strategy?

  • How do you weigh the benefits of share repurchases, which potentially reduce flow, versus a dividend?

  • Mark Hoplamazian - President, CEO

  • Sure.

  • So a number of points to be made here.

  • The first is just a reiteration of what we've said in the past, which is our approach to this is to consider our cash resources, our debt capacity, and our asset base as a part of resources that we have available to us.

  • And we remain focused primarily on utilizing our capital to grow our business.

  • So our focus continues to remain on investing for our future and for growth.

  • And I think we've demonstrated that we're quite active on that front.

  • We do believe, given our cash flow characteristics and our overall capital base, that we can also return capital to shareholders, and we've elected to do that through share repurchases.

  • I would say that the share repurchase decision is quite appropriate for a growing company, which -- like ours, which -- and we'd like to maintain flexibility with regard to utilization of capital going forward.

  • That's really one of the primary considerations relative to a dividend.

  • And of course, our assessment as to the underlying attractiveness of the stock.

  • Another issue that has been discussed and asked about in the past, and we'll just address it clearly now, is the impact on float.

  • And I would just point out that our float today is higher than it was when we first came public.

  • So we are currently at a little over 44 million shares of Class A stock, and that compares to a bit under 44 million shares of Class A stock at the beginning of 2010.

  • And part of that has to do with the fact that Class A shares have been converted from Class b -- sorry, Class B shares have been converted to Class A shares over the past several years, to some degree, and we've also effectuated a portion of our share repurchase by way of buying Class B shares.

  • So, I think the impact on the float, when you look at it cumulatively over time, has not really been significant at all in a negative sense.

  • So that's how we've been thinking about it and continue to think about it.

  • Atish Shah - SVP IR

  • The second question was, does the Board have plans to re-up the repurchase authorization?

  • Mark Hoplamazian - President, CEO

  • You know, we will continue to evaluate it.

  • As I said before, we look at it in the context of our investment activity and we look at all the different alternatives that would be available to us.

  • So, yes, we'll continue to evaluate that as we move forward.

  • Atish Shah - SVP IR

  • Next question, what was the driving force behind increasing your CapEx budget to $500 million in 2013?

  • Mark Hoplamazian - President, CEO

  • So, I want to be clear about this.

  • We are disclosing two distinct things.

  • In fact, the new schedule you'll see in the earnings release addresses this.

  • Our actual capital expenditure guidance for the year is down from $275 million to $250 million.

  • A lot of that is timing, but that is our true capital expenditure budget.

  • The large owned hotel renovations are substantially complete, and so we'll see a rolling off of major renovation activity, both owned and managed properties, by the end of this year.

  • Our investment spending guidance, which is really new investments in new projects and new hotels, is now $500 million, which is an increase from our prior guidance because we've now included the $325 million planned investment in Playa, as well as the $85 million acquisition, which has already closed, of the Driskill Hotel in the first quarter.

  • Atish Shah - SVP IR

  • Great.

  • The next category was asset sales and dispositions.

  • The first question, have you observed any repricing of that asset, either that you are selling or you see in the marketplace, as a result of the shift in the 10-year treasury?

  • Mark Hoplamazian - President, CEO

  • We really had very strong interest in our properties from buyers across the spectrum and have not seen any material change in price expectations.

  • Atish Shah - SVP IR

  • For the two dispositions, why will they be operating under franchise agreements versus management?

  • Is this a broader trend?

  • Any updates related to the other four properties you are marketing?

  • Mark Hoplamazian - President, CEO

  • You know, the management and franchise decision is really market dependent and property dependent.

  • In one case, in the Fisherman's Wharf example, the market really is populated with a number of full-service hotels, all of which are franchised.

  • So I think that the incidence of franchising in that -- or franchise management in that location is clear.

  • The other thing that we take -- the other things that we take into account relate to the level of our food and beverage operations and activity, as well as group business, where our involvement, number of touchpoints, and integration on the national and group sales side is more significant.

  • In terms of the other four assets, we are seeing strong interest, as I mentioned, and we'll provide an update if and when we close.

  • Atish Shah - SVP IR

  • Related to that, what is your plan for future asset sales and what is your view on cap rate compression?

  • We've heard some several contacts that despite their concerns over higher interest rates, cap rates on hotels have actually fallen.

  • Mark Hoplamazian - President, CEO

  • So, on the assets for sale, that remain for sale, and ones that we would consider going forward, I'd just maybe take a step back and quickly review how we've been thinking about this, which is that we intended to be and we have been active through the cycle, so we've had transactions over the past four years, buying and selling properties.

  • If you look at the more recent past, we have sold 11 select-service hotels to Summit, really helping to establish a new and first-class institutional owner of select-service Hyatt-branded properties.

  • We've sold four JV properties over the past year, two in Seattle, one in Kyoto, and the Waikiki transaction that just closed, and then the two full-service hotels that we just sold in the second quarter.

  • And these were all the result of being actively engaged in dialogue with a lot of market participants and trying to be both responsive and proactive where we think that there are attractive opportunities for us to pursue.

  • So we will continue to focus on generating capital from our owned hotel base to fund new opportunities.

  • That's really been our consistent approach to our capital recycling program, and on the select-service front, we have been, and I'll reiterate it again, we continue to be very active to look for potential deals and, in some cases, involving more than one or two properties, so bigger portfolio deals.

  • Again, very much designed to broaden the base of quality owners that we've got, institutional owners, as well as prompt and allow us to pursue new avenues for development, especially in urban markets around the United States.

  • Atish Shah - SVP IR

  • Onto Playa, did the Playa acquisition transaction satisfy your goal to increase your resort presence?

  • Mark Hoplamazian - President, CEO

  • I'd say that the Playa deal certainly is a step in the direction of really significantly expanding our presence, and sooner than we could have otherwise in terms of, say, new development and construction.

  • And so, I think it does serve a very important role in our strategic desire to expand our resort base, but I think there's a lot more opportunity as we look forward.

  • And I would also point out that we've got new resort activity underway in a number of different markets.

  • The Andaz Wailea, which we expect to open in the third quarter.

  • The Andaz in Papagayo in Costa Rica.

  • We've got a new project in Thailand that will open later this year and we've got a newly constructed new opening in Sanya Sunny Bay in China.

  • So our focus on resort evolution and growth is a global one.

  • The fact that we will now be able to actually think about all-inclusive resorts in the different markets in which we are active, I think, will enhance our opportunity set and our growth over time.

  • Atish Shah - SVP IR

  • We had a few questions on some of the details of the Playa transaction, expected returns, outlook for cash flow, and income statement impact from the investment, timing of the preferred conversion, and if we were competing against others to make this investment.

  • Mark Hoplamazian - President, CEO

  • So, a couple things.

  • First, the transaction itself was really -- was not the result of an auction process as much as it was a relationship-driven dialogue with the principals at Playa.

  • And I think the manner in which the deal -- we ended up structuring the deal is reflective of very active dialogue and back and forth, which I think served everyone's purposes quite well.

  • In terms of the details of the deal, I really covered this already in my prepared remarks, and I think that the other point I would make is that the company in the market right now with a debt deal, so trying to go into more detail than I've already provided is probably not appropriate.

  • Atish Shah - SVP IR

  • And the last question on Playa was how much do you expect it to contribute in the second half of this year?

  • Mark Hoplamazian - President, CEO

  • I would say the second half of this year is probably quite modest.

  • First of all, the exact timing of the closing is not established yet.

  • Secondly, the actual ramp and evolution of the underlying resorts, given some significant renovations that are planned to begin this year, is really difficult to predict.

  • So I would say modest.

  • Atish Shah - SVP IR

  • We had one question on the topic of labor.

  • Can you review the resolution with Unite Here and how this will ultimately impact your margins going forward?

  • The questioner would like to understand the financial impact.

  • Mark Hoplamazian - President, CEO

  • Okay.

  • First of all, we enjoy really excellent rapport and engagement with our employees.

  • And frankly, the number one issue and maybe the key issue is that we're thrilled to be able to provide our associates with the increases in wages that they were due.

  • So that's really maybe the most important thing to denote.

  • In terms of the financial impact, there's really no catch-up booking, so to speak, because we've been accruing wages -- wage increases in line with what Unite Here agreed with other brands for the 2009 through 2013 period.

  • There's no unusual escalation prospectively.

  • The wages and benefit arrangements are in line with what Unite Here had agreed with other brands through 2018.

  • And the wage increases are, in general, in the range of what they've been over the past few years, so really no unusual or significant impact.

  • Atish Shah - SVP IR

  • Could you provide joint venture debt at the end of the quarter?

  • Gebhard Rainer - CFO

  • Yes, our JV debt at the end of the quarter was $607 million, but that does not reflect the Waikiki debt [to return yet].

  • Atish Shah - SVP IR

  • And the last question, can you provide some details on the gain on sale of artwork?

  • Mark Hoplamazian - President, CEO

  • Sure, we had a painting, a significant painting we ended up selling.

  • It was unusual in the sense that the artist's popularity had grown over time since we owned the painting, so a bit of a unique circumstance.

  • We're not sitting on a vault of other similar pieces of art.

  • And it turned out to be a very significant gain for the Company.

  • Atish Shah - SVP IR

  • Okay, that captures the questions we received in advance.

  • We'd now like to take your questions.

  • Tahisha, if we could please have the first question?

  • Atish Shah - SVP IR

  • (Operator Instructions).

  • Joseph Greff.

  • Okay, Joseph Greff just left the queue.

  • Steven Kent.

  • Steven Kent - Analyst

  • Mark, just on the (technical difficulty).

  • On the conference bookings, your comment on that.

  • I think it was actually at our conference you said bookings were up maybe 10%, I thought, for 2014, and now you're saying that they're more like they're going to be flat.

  • I just wanted to know what is going on there.

  • And then, just -- it might be minutia in the grand scheme of your income statement, but the French hotel incentive fees that you talked about for a little bit, are those --- why can't those be smoothed out more, Mark, because I think other hotel companies smooth those out so you don't get that seasonality?

  • Mark Hoplamazian - President, CEO

  • Okay, great.

  • Thanks, Steve.

  • First of all, with respect to the commentary on future bookings, the comment that we made at your conference related to 2014 and beyond.

  • So there was an increase in that range for bookings prospectively, but it would have included 2014, 2015, 2016, and so forth.

  • Overall demand, obviously, is pretty strong.

  • Transient is leading, but overall demand is still increasing and hence the occupancy progression.

  • There's been a hyperfocus on trying to disaggregate, unpack the specifics every quarter, and I think sometimes the quarter-to-quarter discrete analysis kind of masks what's evolving, so a couple of observations.

  • First, our total production for the quarter, second quarter, is up 6.5% over last year, which is pretty significant, so underlying -- and that's for all periods.

  • We already noted that the in the quarter for the year bookings were up 7% and a lot of the other growth related to 2015 and 2016, more than 2014.

  • So that's, I think, an underlying -- evidence of underlying demand being relatively higher.

  • Of course, rates are higher as well.

  • And so, I guess what I would say is that there's been a lot of attempt to sort of hyperscrutinize the details, but underlying all of it is a continued base of demand that is driving total production increases for us.

  • The other thing I would point out is that we noted in the quarter for the quarter bookings were up modestly, something like 1% for the quarter, but that's on top of a 33% increase in the quarter for the quarter bookings a year ago.

  • So we've got an evolution here where we saw shorting the booking curve, significant increases in the period for the period bookings over the course of the past year, and we're lapping those now.

  • So in some ways, you have to reference a few different dynamics and also look at this, I think, over a year or two to really understand trend.

  • So the key thing that I would just denote is we are still seeing increases in total production as we move forward here.

  • As to the French hotel accounting, I'll leave it to Gebhard to address.

  • Gebhard Rainer - CFO

  • Yes, maybe see if I can shed some more light on the French hotels there and the issues.

  • The reason here is really because we have quarterly guarantee thresholds and we have the seasonality by nature of the portfolio, of the hotels, from a GAAP accounting point of view we have these volatilities that are going to be reflected.

  • I think both sides are aware of this and recognize this, meaning both sides, meaning the owners and us as the management company.

  • And there are discussions as to how to address that.

  • But we have volatility in there, and we'll continue to talk about that and point it out so that you have a forewarning or understand how this is evolving.

  • We said, just by way of reminder, the second and the third quarter are really the strong quarters from a seasonality point of view.

  • So you see fairly sizable fee income coming through our statements.

  • The fourth and the first quarter are seasonally weak quarters.

  • That's where we have currently the potential of negative fee impact, if you look at the fourth quarter and the first quarter.

  • That's really driven by the accounting entries required from a GAAP perspective creates that volatility.

  • Atish Shah - SVP IR

  • (Multiple speakers).

  • Thanks, Steve.

  • We'll take the next question, please.

  • Operator

  • Joseph Greff.

  • Joseph Greff - Analyst

  • My question is sort of similar to the first one on that group pace for 2014 comment.

  • When you look at the segments within there over the last three months, what has gotten -- what segments have gotten worse?

  • And if there are any, what segments have gotten better?

  • Second question, and, Mark, I think you said this at the outset, that F&B was up year over year when you were highlighting the Q2.

  • Can you talk a little bit about that?

  • I know you mentioned group revenues were up 5% in the quarter.

  • If you can sort of give us some detail on F&B.

  • And then, third question, which is easy, you said joint venture debt at the end of the quarter was $607 million.

  • If we X out the Waikiki debt component, what is that net?

  • Thanks.

  • Mark Hoplamazian - President, CEO

  • Thanks, Joe.

  • On the group front, the mix shift we've seen, which we talked about actually last quarter and continued pretty much in the same vein, as well, which was away from government and other specialty groups and into primarily corporate, and that's actually one of the reasons why our F&B revenues, which were up --- banquet revenues, sorry, were up 12% in the quarter, was such an increase.

  • So if we look at banquet revenue per occupied group room or just total revenues, they are about the same increase, and that really had to do with primarily mix shift, and it was primarily government and some other specialty group decline, and almost all that ended up in corporate group.

  • So that, I think, addresses both the first two questions that you had.

  • My recollection on the JV debt booking is for us, it would be something in the range of close to a $30 million adjustment.

  • Is that correct?

  • Gebhard Rainer - CFO

  • That's right, yes.

  • Mark Hoplamazian - President, CEO

  • So it's about a $30 million adjustment down, by virtue of the fact that all of the debt on the hotel, the Hyatt Regency Waikiki, is now gone.

  • So we'd be at $575 million-ish.

  • Gebhard Rainer - CFO

  • Yes.

  • Atish Shah - SVP IR

  • We'll take our next question, please.

  • Operator

  • Joshua Attie.

  • Joshua Attie - Analyst

  • On the French incentive fees, just help us get the modeling right.

  • How much was recognized in the second quarter?

  • How much do you expect in the third quarter?

  • And then, how negative will it be in the fourth quarter and the first quarter?

  • Gebhard Rainer - CFO

  • Right, so if you look at the overall fees from the French hotels in the second quarter, we had roughly approximately EUR10 million in additional fees that came in through those hotels.

  • The third quarter should be about in the same area, slightly below that.

  • In the fourth quarter, we are expecting from an incentive fee impact perspective a negative impact of roughly half of that coming through.

  • So that's really for 2013 for this year as to where we expect ourselves to end up.

  • Mark Hoplamazian - President, CEO

  • I just want to reiterate that our overall outlook for the first 12 months remains intact.

  • Joshua Attie - Analyst

  • Okay, thanks, and on Playa, the $18 million to $20 million EBITDA contribution implies a 17 multiple on your $325 million investment.

  • And I guess just to help us put that into perspective, does that EBITDA number include the paid-in-kind return on your preferred investment?

  • Will the assets be stabilized next year?

  • And what do you expect for franchise fees on top of that EBITDA?

  • Mark Hoplamazian - President, CEO

  • So, a couple things.

  • First, that EBITDA estimate is strictly earnings -- equity earnings, in effect, that we include in our adjusted EBITDA measure.

  • It does not include any return on the convertible preferred investments.

  • And it excludes, of course, franchise fees.

  • Secondly, the evolution of the portfolio is going to be quite significant.

  • These are -- it's a solid portfolio with a good earnings base.

  • The issue is that -- or the fact is that a number of the hotels are going to go through significant renovations, and ours will as well.

  • So what we would see is an evolution over the next two to three years of significant renovation, some expansion, and then a ramp associated with that.

  • So I would say no, we're not talking about anything that looks like a stabilized year for the coming 12 to 18 months.

  • Joshua Attie - Analyst

  • What could the franchise fees be?

  • Mark Hoplamazian - President, CEO

  • We haven't really provided that as a period estimate at this point because the actual timing of both the closing and of renovation, and then post renovation ramp, is still underway.

  • We're still evaluating that.

  • Joshua Attie - Analyst

  • And I guess just to help us understand the risks associated with the returns you are targeting, can you tell us what the capital structure of the venture looks like?

  • How much debt and/or preferred is ahead of you in the capital stack?

  • And also, what's the leverage of the entity on a debt to EBITDA or debt to value basis?

  • And I know it's not stabilized.

  • You can give it, I guess, either current or what you think it would be stabilized.

  • Mark Hoplamazian - President, CEO

  • I'll address as much of that as I can.

  • As I mentioned before, they are in the market with a debt deal right now, so it's not really appropriate for me to go into chapter and verse on this.

  • But I mentioned already that they are in the market with a $650 million debt deal.

  • So that's first.

  • Second, if you look at our preferred investment and you include everything that's above it in the capital structure, our investment is roughly at $160,000 per-key valuation base, and that's how we've thought about sort of truncation of risk and return in the overall assessment of an underwriting.

  • And I mentioned earlier that our overall expectations for returns were in the mid-teens, 10% minimum return on our convertible preferred and the remainder comes from our common equity investment.

  • So we obviously expect to earn a good return on that.

  • So I think it's a -- our outlook is informed by the macro factors I mentioned earlier, plus the impact of renovation over the coming couple of years.

  • Joshua Attie - Analyst

  • Is there any other debt besides that $650 million?

  • Mark Hoplamazian - President, CEO

  • No, that's what's above us in the capital structure.

  • Joshua Attie - Analyst

  • Okay.

  • And just (multiple speakers)

  • Atish Shah - SVP IR

  • Last question, Josh.

  • Joshua Attie - Analyst

  • No, no, I'm all set.

  • Thanks.

  • Atish Shah - SVP IR

  • You're all set, okay.

  • We'll take our next question, please.

  • Operator

  • Bill Crow.

  • Bill Crow - Analyst

  • I want to go back to that group pace flat issue.

  • How has that trended over the last couple of months, is question number two -- or question number one.

  • Question number two is, do you think that's more representative of the industry as we look toward 2014 or because of your concentration in certain markets, whether it's DC or Atlanta that you highlighted as being weak, is it more representative of the Company for next year?

  • Mark Hoplamazian - President, CEO

  • So pace, you have to think about it in a truncated period.

  • So 2013 is relatively positive.

  • 2014 is down slightly and we mentioned earlier it's roughly flat at this point.

  • And it's up in 2015 at 2016.

  • So when you look at time periods, they are quite varied.

  • Some of that is market specific and some of it is what I described last quarter, which is a more bimodal distribution of activity where you've got associations that are more proactive in booking into future years.

  • I happened to be in San Diego last week and I met with a meeting planner for a major association.

  • They were holding their annual meeting at our hotel, the Grand Hyatt in San Diego, and they book about 20 events every year.

  • And they are booked fully through 2016 for their major annual meeting, which, just to give you rough gauge, is about a 900-room peak room night piece of business with a ton of F&B and other activities.

  • It's just a pretty significant gathering.

  • But the other 19 or so bookings that they make are all within the year.

  • So even associations -- while I describe this bimodal activity base, even associations are looking at a lot of smaller bookings within the coming year kind of dynamics.

  • So that's why as I look at kind of how we're positioned right now relative to 2014, and given our mix of markets, I'm not sitting back and particularly concerned that we have some significant secular decline that we've got on our hands.

  • Bill Crow - Analyst

  • But is it trending down?

  • Is it trending up?

  • What are you (multiple speakers)

  • Mark Hoplamazian - President, CEO

  • It's down slightly.

  • I mean, the 2014 pace is down slightly from last quarter.

  • Bill Crow - Analyst

  • Okay, thank you.

  • Operator

  • Shaun Kelley.

  • Shaun Kelley - Analyst

  • I'm going to apologize in advance because I'm going to try and beat the group horse to death here.

  • But the question I have is you mentioned that just in terms of your RevPAR, I think group in June was down about 3%, if I caught that correctly.

  • That's somewhat consistent with what we keep seeing in the RevPAR data, and I'm just trying to square that with the idea that pace is actually up 7% in the second half.

  • Is the delta in the quarter for the quarter, and how are you thinking about what's going to come in at the last minute because that seems to be where the recognized softness is is just with last-minute stuff?

  • They're not coming across the board.

  • So how do you think about the second half from that in the quarter for the quarter perspective?

  • Mark Hoplamazian - President, CEO

  • So I guess the major difference right off the block --- right out of the blocks that you really need to maintain clarity around is in the quarter production, I mean, actual realized revenue for the quarter itself, that's the figure that you were referring to that in June, for example, was down a few percent and was up 5% for our total second quarter.

  • That's actually realized in the quarter.

  • The 7% figure we provided is production in the quarter for the year, and so as we look and say, what is in the quarter for the quarter production, either in revenue -- we mentioned it's up about 1% year over year, but what it really reflects is the fact that in the quarter for the quarter of bookings significantly increased over the first couple of quarters of last year.

  • And what we're saying is that that higher level has been maintained, so it's both true if you look at in dollars and you look at it in percentage terms, either way.

  • So I guess what I would say is the in the quarter for the booking activity base, which did increase over the course of last year, at least for the first two quarters, is level in dollars booked that we are seeing maintained now.

  • Shaun Kelley - Analyst

  • Okay, and I guess my follow-up would be just on the asset sales, and I think this came up a little bit in the prepared Q&A, but just trying to get a little bit better sense.

  • Obviously, low single-digit cap rates for these West Coast -- the two West Coast hotels you sold are very attractive.

  • They're pretty much at the low end of the types of things we're seeing for institutional quality assets.

  • Do you think that something in that range is possible for the remaining four that you have, or based on the geographies, is that probably a stretch?

  • Mark Hoplamazian - President, CEO

  • Look, for sure there will be variability depending on market, depending on asset type, depending on evolution of the individual market.

  • So I think trying to use Fisherman's Wharf as a proxy for anything other than Fishman's wharf is probably not a good idea, and I guess what I would say is stay tuned, and when we had something to announce, we'll definitely be proactive about doing that.

  • Shaun Kelley - Analyst

  • Thank you very much.

  • Atish Shah - SVP IR

  • Great.

  • We'll take our last question, please.

  • Operator

  • Harry Curtis.

  • Harry Curtis - Analyst

  • Once again, just one question on group.

  • We've focused on the numbers.

  • Let's just shift gears a little bit and focus on what you're hearing from your customers.

  • Why do you think that they're sitting on the fence?

  • Versus, really, the last couple of recoveries, this is remarkably slow.

  • Mark Hoplamazian - President, CEO

  • Yes, I guess it's consistent with what we've said in the past, which is, I think, it's some measure of confidence and some measure of cautiousness, I guess, waiting to see how things evolve further.

  • The thing I would also point out is that we're seeing -- we've experienced and we have and continue to see an increase in overall occupancies, and as occupancy levels continue to rise and space starts to be taken up, the ability to wait and still end up with dates and space requirements that make sense for the particular group will start to get constrained, I think.

  • And I think that will actually start to instigate a lengthening of the booking curve overall.

  • Overall, though, I mentioned it earlier, I think we have been -- I think rumors of the demise of group are exaggerated.

  • This has been a key element of demand for this industry for many decades and continues to be an important part of our business, and I think as we look forward and think about the long-term dynamics here, both on the association side and the corporate side, we feel that the long-term dynamics remain good.

  • So as I said earlier, if you look at total production in the quarter up 6.5% from last year, that's a pretty significant demonstration that there's underlying demand that's still supporting booking activity.

  • Atish Shah - SVP IR

  • Thanks very much, Harry.

  • (Multiple speakers).

  • Harry Curtis - Analyst

  • I'm sorry.

  • As a follow-up, I just wanted to ask which of the markets that have the group meeting and convention space that's available that you are beginning to see incremental demand kind of looking ahead into 2014.

  • Mark Hoplamazian - President, CEO

  • If you just look at -- over the next -- I mentioned in my comments.

  • If you look over the next 18 months, just through 2014, the convention calendars and the convention bookings market-wide in Chicago and Orlando look pretty good.

  • There are some other individual markets where we've had more calendar issues and some other underlying weakness, but those are the two markets I noted earlier.

  • Harry Curtis - Analyst

  • Okay, very good.

  • Thanks.

  • Atish Shah - SVP IR

  • Thanks, Tahisha.

  • And with that, I'd like to thank everyone for joining us this afternoon.

  • We look forward to talking to you soon.

  • Thanks very much and goodbye.

  • Operator

  • Ladies and gentlemen, that concludes today's conference.

  • Thank you for your participation.

  • You may now disconnect.

  • Have a great day.