GDS Holdings Limited (GDS) 2026 Q1 法說會逐字稿

Hello, ladies and gentlemen, thank you for standing by for GDS Holdings Limited's first quarter 2026 earnings conference call. (Operator Instructions) Today's conference call is being recorded.

I will now turn the call over to your host, Ms. Laura Chen, Head of Investor Relations for the company. Please go ahead, Laura.

Hello, everyone. Welcome to the first quarter 2026 earnings conference call of GDS Holdings Limited. The company's results were issued via wire services earlier today and are posted online. A summary presentation, which we will refer to during this conference call, can be viewed and downloaded from our IR website at investors.gds-services.com.

Leading today's call is Mr. William Huang, GDS Founder, Chairman and CEO, who will provide an overview of our business strategy and performance; Mr. Dan Newman, GDS CFO, will then review the financial and operating results.

Before we continue, please note that today's discussion will contain forward-looking statements made under the Safe Harbor provisions of the US Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Forward-looking statements involve inherent risks and uncertainties. As such, the company's results may be materially different from the views expressed today. Further information regarding these and other risks, uncertainties is included in the company's prospectus as filed with the US SEC. The company does not assume any obligation to update any forward-looking statements, except as required under applicable law.

Please also note that GDS' earnings press release and this conference call can include discussions of unaudited GAAP financial information as well as unaudited non-GAAP financial measures. GDS press release contains a reconciliation of the unaudited non-GAAP measures to the unaudited most directly comparable GAAP measures.

I will now turn the call over to GDS' Founder, Chairman and CEO, Mr. William Huang. Please go ahead, William.

Hello, everyone. This is William. Thank you for joining us on today's call. Over the past few quarters, we have seen a resurgence in data center demand driven by AI. We believe this is the beginning of a multiyear growth story, supported by increasing availability of the domestic chips. Customers are planning their future deployments at unprecedented scale with a high degree of conviction.

As market leaders, GDS is well prepared to address these opportunities to the fullest extent. We have the trust of all the key customers, a multi-gigawatt development pipeline in strategic locations and a very strong balance sheet.

After the end of 1Q '26, our total bookings stood at 1.8 gigawatts. In our three-year business plan, we target adding 500 megawatts to 800 megawatts of new bookings every year with the potential to do more. To deliver this capacity, we are prepared to commit RMB30 billion to RMB50 billion of new investment over the next three years. The economics of the data center business in China is solid. And this new investment will create significant value for our shareholders.

On the last earnings call, we announced a sales target for 2026 of at least 500 megawatts. In the year-to-date, we have already done over 340 megawatts of new bookings, and we are still being selective. We are well on track to reach or exceed our full year target. We have won significant new orders from all of our largest customers for deployment across the whole of our platform, including the new markets.

For the hyperscale business, customers are planning gigawatt scale deployments in single cluster. When they sign new sales agreements with us, they commit to a certain amount of capacity, which we disclosed as bookings and ask us to reserve the rest of the site for the subsequent phases.

In the year-to-date, total new bookings plus reservations comes to over 1 gigawatt. The reservation give us near certainty of winning follow-on orders within the next one or two years. In order to fulfill our customer requirements, we expanded our platform to new locations, which can accommodate the largest AI deployments. These new locations integrated well with our platform in established market, enabling us to serve diversified customer requirements.

Anticipating the demand trends, we increased our secured land bank to nearly 4 gigawatts. Typically, we are purchasing land from the government exclusively for our data center development. As we obtain customer commitments, we will be granted a power quota for this site. We synchronize the timing of construction with new bookings and fixed moving schedules.

Over the past 15 months, we initiated over 100,000 square meters or 400 megawatts of new construction, which is almost entirely pre-committed. Our backlog has increased to over 200,000 square meters or almost 600 megawatts most of which we will become billable within the next six to eight quarters.

As this occurs, our growth will start to accelerate. AI in China is a transformational opportunity. We are super motivated to support this development and will commit all the resource requirements to the expansion of our AI infrastructure platform.

I will now pass on to Dan for the financial and operating review.

Thank you, William. Our new business, the unit development cost averages around RMB20,000 per kilowatt or USD3 million per megawatt depending on specification, cooling technology and location. Pricing for new business is stable. And at current levels, we're able to generate an adjusted gross profit yield of 10% to 11% for stabilized assets.

As shown on slide 13, across the whole of our in-service portfolio, the adjusted gross profit yield is currently around 11%. We calculate this ratio based on adjusted gross profit, which includes the cash cost of operating assets divided by gross PP&E, which includes replacement CapEx already incurred. And for conservatism, we added back historic impairment charges.

The portfolio yield has been stable at around 11% for the past few years based on a portfolio with utilization rate of around 75%. As our new bookings are delivered, we expect the portfolio yield to remain in the 10% to 11% range, which in our view, is a reasonable return. Assuming a six-year investment cycle of development, ramp-up, stabilized operations and then asset monetization we expect to generate a return on equity of around 20% from the incremental investment. This underpins our confidence in growing the business.

As shown on slide 13. During the first quarter, net additional area utilized was around 16,000 square meters. During the current quarter, this metric will be slightly lower. And then in the second half of the year, it will rebound to around 20,000 square meters per quarter. During the second half of next year, as we start to see the flow through from this year's higher level of new bookings, the move-in rate will step up noticeably.

MSR on slide 16 is a useful metric for financial forecasting purposes that must be seen together with unit development cost. This is why we think it's more relevant to look at the gross profit yield or cash on cash yield as a measure of the economics of our business.

Turning to slide 18. During the first quarter, we recorded 7.9% growth in revenue and 8% growth in adjusted EBITDA after excluding onetime items, which arose in the normal course of business. We find it useful to look at our growth rates on a pro forma basis, adding back the deconsolidated revenue and adjusted EBITDA of the assets, which we monetized in March and July of 2025. This shows pro forma revenue and adjusted EBITDA growing at 12% to 13% after excluding onetime items.

Turning to slides 19 and 20. In 1Q '26, our organic CapEx was RMB770 million. In addition, we received cash proceeds of RMB2.7 billion or USD385 million from the sale of a small part of our equity interest in day 1, which is recorded in investing cash flow. We also received cash proceeds of RMB2.1 billion or USD300 million from the issue of convertible preferred shares, which is recorded in finance and cash flow. As a result of the capital recycling and new issue, we are now sitting on over RMB19 billion or USD2.7 billion of cash and time deposits. This is an ideal situation to be in as we prepare for a new growth phase.

Turning to slide 23. Our net debt to last quarter annualized adjusted EBITDA has decreased from 6.8 times at the end of 2024 and to 4.7 times at the end of the first quarter of 2026. As we step up our investment, this ratio will increase to between 5 times to 6 times, which we consider an acceptable level. Finishing on slide 25, we maintain our full year guidance unchanged.

Now we'd like to open the call to questions. Operator?

(Operator Instructions)

Yang Liu, Morgan Stanley.

Thanks for the opportunity to ask a question. I would like to hear your comment on the pricing for the data center business. I think Dan previously mentioned that the overall pricing environment is stable -- but could you please break it down to different markets or locations because from time to time, we hear that in certain markets, it's a little bit undersupply.

And also in certain markets, there are some relative aggressive bidding from telcos, et cetera. Could you please comment on the pricing in different markets, please?

Yeah, Liu, I think -- this is William, I think in the last earnings call, we already say the new incremental demand, which is driven by the AI, right, the large-scale data center demand. In general, I mean, the price pretty stable, number one.

Number two, I think the -- of course, in the whole market, you cannot stop some bidder, right, and use some price tools try to win there. But it's not normal, right? It's not normal. And it's maybe -- in my view, in some regions, some deal is a onetime. It's not representing the whole market situation. Our [feed] is remain what we experienced last quarter is quite stable, yes.

Thank you.

Gokul Hariharan, JPMorgan.

Yeah, hi. My question is basically on the development cost, Dan, I think you mentioned roughly 20% -- sorry, RMB20 million or $3 million per kilowatt, if I remember right. That number sounds a lot lower than what it used to be a few years back when you updated those numbers, I think.

Could you talk a little bit about what is the what are the variables that have changed? Is it mostly the location that has really changed? Or are there any other factors that have really changed to kind of reduce that development cost over the last maybe maybe, I think, two to three years?

I would say that the unit development cost on a like-for-like basis, whether we're talking in established markets or new markets, has decreased by about 15% over the past three years. That would be the case, with the MEP, the mechanical electrical plant, which accounts to about 70% of the total development cost.

I'd also say that the planned concrete, steel and construction cost has been quite stable. If we measure it on a per square meter basis, the unit cost is fertile flat, but the power density has increased. So if we were to measure that part on a per kilowatt basis, it might appear to have come down as well. So that's why I think overall on a per kilowatt basis, the decrease is about 15% over three years.

Yeah. I try to add a couple of color. I mean number one, the scale is unprecedented, right? So scale also make a cost a bit lower, right? That's fair nature. I mean, this is the number one, even for the vendor perspective, scale that's larger scale gives a lot of the manufacturing product company, a lot of benefit, right? So they're willing to reduce the cost release price. This is the number one.

And number two, I think this is a lot of the AI data center, this is compared with the previous cloud the architecture-wise also changed a lot. So this is another reason to drive the cost, right? So that's two more reasons.

Okay. Thank you.

Sara Wang, UBS.

Thank you for the opportunity to ask a question. So I have 1 question regarding fourth quarter CapEx. So since the first quarter CapEx is RMB770 million, so it seems a little bit modest, given the strong orders we signed year-to-date and especially given the majority of the new orders should be new views. So may ask what's the reason behind this gap?

Sara, I would point you to our full year CapEx guidance, which remains unchanged. I mean the timing of incurring per quarter is not that significant, right? The first quarter is Chinese New Year. And it tends to be historically slightly below the level of the other three quarters. So I can't really -- no other more fundamental explanation than that.

Got you. Thank you.

Frank Louthan, Raymond James & Associates.

Great, thank you. Of the roughly RMB3 billion that you discussed in capital you're spending, how much of that will you be funding yourself versus maybe with some JV investors or with capital recycling from some of your other assets.

Frank, it's Dan. Let me just go over these numbers again and make sure everyone is clear. So William was talking about having a sales plan of 500 megawatts to 800 megawatts over the next three years. That's our current view. And if you apply the logic of what I said is RMB20,000 per kilowatt or USD3 million per megawatt, that's how you end up with total CapEx over three years of between RMB30 billion to RMB50 billion.

So if we take the midpoint of that, say, RMB40 billion. Historically, we have financed our investment quite conservatively with around 60% project debt to total development cost. So we would be able to obtain and draw down on about RMB40 billion, which is RMB24 billion of new debt. So that would leave RMB14 billion, which is less than USD2 billion that we have to finance.

So we have several different sources for that. We have our operating cash flow, which is last year was nearly RMB3 billion. We have our ongoing asset monetization program, which we tried to build up step by step. And we also have $2.7 billion of cash on balance sheet. And I think we are strong position to finance that level of investment and other options may arise as you point out, development partnerships and so on.

Great. Thank you very much.

Ellie Jiang, Macquarie.

Great. Thank you, Madam, for taking my question. I just wanted to get a sense on the new bookings trajectory. The year-to-date 340 megawatts new bookings seems to be very encouraging. Considering the current token consumption and how AI agents are significantly boosting that compute demand. How would you kind of evaluate that upside surprises on the current scale?

Potential to upsize --

Yeah. We -- number one, I think we are 500 megawatts, we are very confident for this number with a new booking, definitely. That's the base case. We are looking at a more high number booking. But it's too early to say what kind of level we can reach. We will -- because we are still very -- we remain very disciplined to selective order in terms of the moving part price and the customer types. So this is -- in general, I think it's -- we are very confident we can do more. But even though we still want to do high-quality order.

Got it. And if I may, just a quick follow-up. Would it be possible for you guys to consider kind of doing some of the new cloud business models as well? Because it does seem like some of the that the peers are trying to accumulate more resources on the compute side. So that was being received as approach to boost the MSR or revenue in general. Is that something that we're considering as well?

Yeah. I think the [neo cloud] actually is not something new in China already. Historically, there are a lot of big platform GPU service provider. -- customer already, right? If we already serve them indirectly, right? So this is the moment. But number two, I think we are -- from a long-term perspective, we also build -- start to build some relationship with them.

So far, we were having to do any business with them. and we will see because in terms of -- maybe we can -- as I said, we will maintain our very disciplined in terms of the financial return and the risk everything, right? So if some of the neo cloud high-quality nuclear, we're willing to do something with them, start to build some relationship.

Thank you very much.

Timothy Zhao, Goldman Sachs.

Great. Thank you guys, for taking my question. Regarding the pace of the growth additional utilized just wondering after the first quarter, can you share your latest outlook for the rest of this year in terms of the volume pace and what are the moving factors that may affect the rate ramp for the year. Thank you.

Timothy, I couldn't hear you clearly, but yes, what I've told you, you're asking about the moving pay, right? I did address that in the prepared remarks. As it was 16,000 square meters in the first quarter. It will be a lower number in the second quarter, and then it will rebound I'd say, to around 20,000 square meters in the third quarter of this year and the fourth quarter of this year.

And next year, we will see a significant step up, but it will be in the second half of 2027 in the third and fourth quarter of 2027. But if we look at 2026 and 2027 as a whole, I think the move in this year will be somewhat over 70,000 square meters. And then next year's number is going to be very substantially larger than that, maybe double something of that order of.

Understood. Can I ask a follow-up if I may just wondering, I think in this assumption, I think better. So how much of that is contributed from late versus the imported chips. I just wondering if you can share more color.

(inaudible) Okay. Okay. Yes. I think I'm not sure I answer your question. I mean import chips will affect our movie, right? Is that your question?

Yes.

Okay. Frankly, this year's forecast is not based on any input chips. So all based on the domestic chip supply chain. So it will not impact our current estimation. So as the import coming, maybe some upside? Who knows?

Okay. Got it. Thank you.

Daley Li, Bank of America Securities.

Thanks for taking my question. My question is about our land and power resources. We have secured quite strong resources in 1Q. And are we planning to expand our resources in the following quarters, and we have the plan in future and what kind of area we would focus on now. Thank you.

I think that last quarter, we already answered the question. We will continue to deduct the new market and establish the market as well because in China, what is happening is the training and influence demands all happening in the same time.

So I think we are because everybody know GDS is a platform player, not just a project player, right? So we try to fulfill all the kind of AI demand, whatever it's training or in the future or, let's say, influence. So we try to catch up the well positioned to catch up a different pace of the AI demand.

Thank you.

Thank you. Due to time limit of today's call, I would now turn the call back over to the company for any closing remarks.

Thank you once again for joining us today and see you next time. Bye.

This concludes today's conference call. You may now disconnect your lines. Thank you.