Flex Ltd (FLEX) 2019 Q2 法說會逐字稿

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  • Operator

  • Good afternoon and welcome to the Flex Second Quarter Fiscal 2019 Earnings Conference Call.

  • Today's call is being recorded (Operator Instructions).

  • At this time, for opening remarks and introductions, I would now like to turn the call over to Mr. Kevin Kessel, Flex's Vice President of Investor Relations & Corporate Communications.

  • Sir, you may begin.

  • Kevin Kessel - VP of IR & Corporate Communications

  • Thank you, and thank you for joining us for Flex's Second Quarter Fiscal 2019 Conference Call.

  • We have published slides for today's discussion that can be found on the Investor Relations section of our website at flex.com.

  • Joining me on today's call is our CEO, Mike McNamara; our Chairman, Michael Capellas; and our CFO, Chris Collier.

  • Following the remarks, we will open up the call to questions with Chris as well as our 2 business presidents, Paul Humphries and Doug Britt.

  • Before we begin, let me remind everyone that today's call is being webcast and recorded and contains forward-looking statements, which are based on current expectations and assumptions that are subject to risks and uncertainties, and actual results could materially differ.

  • Such information is subject to change and we undertake no obligation to update these forward-looking statements.

  • For a discussion of the risks and uncertainties, see our most recent filings with the SEC, including our current annual and quarterly reports.

  • If this call references non-GAAP financial measures for the current period, they can be found in our appendix slides.

  • Otherwise, they are located on the Investor Relations section of our website, along with the required reconciliations.

  • Now I'd like to turn the call over to our Chief Executive Officer, Mike McNamara.

  • Mike?

  • Michael M. McNamara - CEO & Director

  • Thank you, Kevin.

  • Before we begin our call, I want to take a moment to reflect on my announcement today that I informed the board of my intention to retire at the end of this calendar year.

  • After 24 years at Flex and having had the privilege to serve 12 years as the CEO, I believe now is the time for me to step back and allow new leadership to continue improving on what we have built.

  • It has been an amazing journey, and as we have built Flex into an incredibly powerful company that I'm extremely proud of, I want to thank our employees and customers for their support throughout our journey.

  • Let me now turn it over to Michael Capellas, the Chairman of Flex's board, who would like to say a few words.

  • Michael D. Capellas - Non-Executive Chairman

  • Thank you, Mike.

  • On behalf of the entire board, the leadership team and our 200,000 employees around the world, I would like to thank Mike for his dedication and leadership over the past 24 years.

  • Since becoming CEO in 2006, he has built Flex into a global leader with $25 billion in revenues today.

  • We will miss Mike's incredible passion for the business and we wish him the very best in his retirement.

  • Mike will remain CEO of Flex through the end of the calendar year.

  • The board, with the assistance of Heidrick and Struggles, has already launched a formal CEO search and we will consider external as well as internal candidates.

  • Now I'll turn it over to Chris.

  • Christopher E. Collier - CFO

  • Thank you, Michael.

  • As you will have noticed, we delivered a solid quarter with results largely in line with our guidance.

  • While I will begin with a summary of our most recent operating results, it will be important to share our focus on how we plan to respond to the current CTG challenges which are causing the majority of the reduction to our previous fiscal 2019 guidance.

  • Outside of CTG, the remainder of Flex is very healthy and performing well, which we will also cover.

  • Now if we can turn to Slide 2 for our Q2 income statement summary.

  • Our second quarter sales were approximately $6.7 billion, up 7% versus a year ago and within the guidance range we provided.

  • Our Q2 adjusted operating income was $224 million, above the midpoint of our guidance range and grew 19% year-over-year.

  • Our adjusted net income was $153 million, resulting in an adjusted earnings per diluted share of $0.29, which was also above the midpoint of our guidance range of $0.26 to $0.30.

  • Second quarter GAAP net income of $87 million was lower than our adjusted net income due to several adjustments totaling $0.13, which resulted in a second quarter GAAP GPS of $0.16.

  • Now please turn to Slide 3 for our quarterly financial highlights.

  • While our gross profit grew 4% year-over-year to $433 million, we saw our gross margin decline 20 basis points to 6.5%.

  • The gross margin pressure reflects unfavorable mix shifts, most notably inside our CTG business.

  • Our second quarter adjusted SG&A expense totaled $210 million, down 8% year-over-year.

  • We remain confident in our ability to maintain cost discipline to drive productivity gains that will provide operating leverage as the business grows.

  • Our quarterly adjusted operating income came in at $224 million, up 19% from the prior year, reflecting margin expansion of 30 basis points for an adjusted operating margin of 3.3%.

  • Several elements contributed to the improved results, notably increased operating leverage in our CEC and IEI business, coupled with increased SG&A efficiency.

  • Please turn to Slide 4 to review revenue by business group.

  • The evolution of our portfolio is a cornerstone of our strategy.

  • All 4 business groups achieved year-over-year growth, and we ended Q2 with a well-balanced distribution across both industries and customers we serve, with our top 10 customers totaling 43% of our sales and we have no customers above 10% of sales.

  • While achieving year-over-year growth, our CTG business underperformed, as its revenues grew only 2% year-over-year to $1.8 billion, well below our expectation for 10% to 15% growth.

  • Clearly, CTG performance has materially impacted the company's results and we will be focused on rebalancing the mix by addressing 3 major components of the business: Nike, India and core CTG.

  • Regarding Nike, we have worked hard with Nike to make our footwear operation in Mexico technically and commercially successful.

  • In recent weeks, however, it became clear that we are unable to reach a commercially viable solution with Nike and have mutually agreed to wind down our Nike footwear manufacturing operation in Guadalajara by December 31, 2018.

  • We are finalizing the terms and details of the wind-down and we are striving to retain many of our affected employees and to repurpose our facility.

  • In connection with the closing of the operation, we recognized $30 million of exit costs, primarily related to our estimated impairment of fixed assets.

  • We may incur additional costs as we complete the wind-down.

  • In India, we have invested to capture a unique opportunity created by the newly implemented India tariffs that are driving heightened demand for in-country solutions, coupled with our strategy to operate with a diversified portfolio of leading global multinationals expanding in that market.

  • While we grew our India business in the September quarter, we are unable to bring on additional facility capacity fast enough to support all of the booked business.

  • We anticipate the capacity constraints in India to persist through the remainder of the year and these constraints were the cause of the vast majority of our revised downward guidance adjustment both for December quarter and the fiscal year.

  • In our core CTG business we have struggled to grow and profitably sustain customers across numerous spaces we've been focused, resulting in profit and revenue challenges in this business.

  • We are actively managing underperforming accounts and we are revamping our go-to-market strategy to be selective on partnering with well-funded leading multinational brands that control multiple categories of products and have regional demand requirements.

  • As we look to the December quarter, we expect CTG to be down 10% to 20% year-over-year, due to the reasons already outlined.

  • Going forward we will be focused on metering CTG's contribution level in our portfolio and we will be selective in the programs we pursue.

  • We will focus on delivering margin expansion versus revenue growth and getting back into our targeted margin range of 2% to 4%.

  • Our CEC business was a standout performer this quarter with a growth rate of 13% year-over-year compared to expectations of 5% to 10%, ending the quarter at $2.1 billion.

  • This growth was driven by momentum from our cloud and data center businesses, as well as the launch of network infrastructure to support 5G programs.

  • In addition, our design capabilities continue to improve and expand, which is leading to new customers and business opportunities, particularly in cloud data center solutions, which grew over 20% year-over-year.

  • For the December quarter, we expect our CEC business to grow 5% to 15% year-over-year, driven again by new wins in cloud data center solutions and 5G programs.

  • HRS grew 4% on a year-over-year basis, marking its 35th consecutive quarter of year-over-year growth.

  • Revenue of $1.2 billion was towards the high end of our expectations, as our medical business saw double-digit growth and helped offset automotive end market weakness, most notably in China.

  • In our December quarter, we expect HRS to be flat at the midpoint of our guidance of plus or minus 5% year-over-year growth, as medical continues to experience strength and we continue to see softness in the automotive market.

  • We remain very confident in the long-term growth trajectory of HRS, as evidenced by its record level of new business bookings.

  • We have secured $2 billion year-to-date versus $1.3 billion for the entire fiscal 2018.

  • And this is balanced across both medical and automotive.

  • IEI rose 8% year-over-year to $1.6 billion, in line with our expectation of 5% to 10% year-over-year growth.

  • Past bookings in industrial, home lifestyle ramped during the quarter, which helped offset softness in capital equipment and energy.

  • For the December quarter, we are expecting IEI revenue growth of 5% to 15% year-over-year, led by continued strength in industrial, home and lifestyle, offset by weakness in capital equipment and energy.

  • Turn to Slide 5 for our operating performance by business group.

  • We are pleased to have 3 of our 4 business groups in their target operating margin range this quarter.

  • Let me start this discussion with the business group that is not in the range, and that we're determined to fix and have plans to do so.

  • Our CTG business earned $31 million in adjusted operating profit, essentially flat with the prior year, resulting in an adjusted operating margin of 1.7%, which remains below our targeted range.

  • Despite benefiting from lower Nike losses both sequentially and year-over-year, the business remains pressured as we transition customers and products inside the portfolio.

  • The capacity challenges in India are expected to persist for the balance of this year and our CTG core is anticipated to underperform, resulting in no CTG margin expansion.

  • As a result, we expect CTG will remain below its target margin range for the remainder of this fiscal year.

  • Now let's turn to discuss the business groups whose growth has met or exceeded our guidance expectations.

  • Our CEC business generated adjusted operating profit of $63 million, up 47% from the prior year, resulting in a benefit from better absorption from our cost structure with greater revenues, as well as an improved margin mix with greater concentration of cloud data center solutions and 5G-related programs.

  • Our IEI business generated adjusted operating profit of $66 million, up 29% year-over-year and achieving a 4.2% adjusted operating margin, back inside of the target range of 4% to 6%.

  • The return to its targeted operating margin range was driven by improved absorption benefits from greater revenues, primarily from the new programs ramping in home and lifestyle, offset by reduced demand in semiconductor, capital equipment and energy.

  • Consistently operating within the operating target margin range has been a top priority and we plan to remain within this range as we increase revenues from the multiple new programs ramping.

  • Our HRS business generated adjusted operating profit of $90 million, which was down a modest 3% year-over-year and reflects an operating margin of 7.4%.

  • Our medical portfolio of products and services are continuing to see a ramp of operating profits and margins, as programs scale and mature, which offset revenue and margin pressure in certain parts of our automotive offering as highlighted earlier.

  • We continue to successfully ramp many new customers and programs across our HRS business and remain focused on investments to expand our design and engineering capabilities, supporting our automotive business such as autonomous vehicle and vehicle connectivity, as well as multiple products in health care.

  • The HRS team remains intently focused on transferring its record levels of booked business into strong organic revenue growth in fiscal 2020 and beyond and expects to stay well within its target margin range of 6% to 9%.

  • Turning to Slide 6, let us review our cash flow generation and highlights.

  • We generated $120 million in cash flow from operations for the quarter.

  • Free cash flow was a negative $60 million for the quarter just ended, as the capital intensity of our business remained elevated, resulting in lower cash flow generation.

  • Our net working capital was up $126 million from the prior year, primarily due to higher levels of inventory which are offset by increased accounts payable.

  • Our inventory levels are now at near record levels, given challenges with constraints across multiple component categories.

  • These constraints which affect all of our business groups, impacted our business by straining revenue, elevating raw material inventory levels, and pressuring pricing.

  • We remain focused on driving activities to aggressively reduce our inventory levels over the next couple quarters and returning to historical inventory turn levels.

  • We continue to execute on our planned capacity and capability expansion as framed out at the start of the year.

  • Our capital expenditures totaled $180 million for the quarter, exceeding depreciation by $78 million.

  • We continue to invest in CapEx necessary to support our expanding IEI and HRS businesses, as well as building out capacity in India.

  • As we have previously discussed, we expect higher levels of investment in fiscal 2019 to establish the required capacity and capability for our booked business, with clear line of sight to this dissipating late in this year.

  • As we move forward into fiscal 2020, we see ourselves dramatically reducing our CapEx level back below $500 million, as our regional buildout in India will be largely complete and our HRS CapEx will reduce to historical levels, as our large expansion investments in HRS will be done.

  • We expect to generate positive operating cash flow and free cash flow in the back half of this fiscal year as our capital intensity lessens, both in terms of lower levels of net working capital and lower capital investments.

  • Returning value to shareholders through our share repurchase program remains a top priority for Flex.

  • We continue to fulfill our commitment to consistently return value to our shareholders.

  • And this quarter we repurchased roughly 4.4 million shares for approximately $60 million.

  • Turn to Slide 7 to review our balanced capital structure.

  • We continue to operate with a balanced capital structure, with no debt maturities until calendar year 2020 and have the flexibility to support our business over the long term.

  • Before we get into our guidance, let me provide you with a short update on how we see our business being impacted by tariffs and component shortages.

  • Regarding tariffs and trade actions, as we've expected the reality of their impact is beginning to hit the industry across a broad range of products.

  • We anticipate a redistribution of work with a reduced concentration in China and towards more regional distribution around the world, as many countries provide incentives to support their own manufacturing basis.

  • As one of the world's largest supply chain solutions provider in every major non-China region, we should be a long-term beneficiary of this shift.

  • Over the coming year, we expect a significant amount of product volume to be moved into Mexico, Southeast Asia, India and to a lesser extent the U.S. and Eastern Europe.

  • While there have not been significant actual movements of product so far, there has been an acceleration in the planning and re-architecting of supply chains across a broad range of product categories.

  • We're actively working with current and prospective customers to assess and analyze the impacts of tariffs having on their businesses and products, as well as their corresponding manufacturing strategy.

  • In the short term, there remains uncertainty to the actual implementation of global tariff programs, the effects on the market demand and what actions our customers will take in response.

  • Turning to component shortages now, as many of you already know, a couple passive components remain in short supply and are currently on allocation, which constrains revenue and elevates inventory and pricing.

  • As we forecasted, component shortages continue to be an issue and will likely peak this December quarter and then begin to dissipate as we move into the March quarter due to our ability to work with suppliers to secure additional supply.

  • This is reflected in our guidance.

  • Let us turn to Slide 8 for third quarter guidance.

  • Guidance for Q3 fiscal '19 is for revenue in the range of $6.6 billion to $7 billion.

  • Adjusted operating income is expected to be in the range of $220 million to $250 million.

  • Adjusted EPS guidance is for a range of $0.29 to $0.33 per share based on weighted average shares outstanding of 532 million.

  • GAAP EPS is expected to be in the range of $0.19 to $0.23 as a result of stock-based compensation expense and intangible amortization.

  • Our guidance assumes that Q3 operating losses related to Nike will be similar to Q2, as we undergo exit activities and that all of our business groups, except for CTG, will operate within their target margin ranges.

  • Please turn to Slide 9 for updated fiscal 2019 guidance.

  • Given the business dynamics we've highlighted today, we wanted to provide an update to our fiscal 2019 guidance we established at our May Investor Day.

  • It is notable that this guidance was before component shortages took hold, but also before we saw incremental reductions in our India ramp to the tune of nearly $1 billion, as well as smaller incremental pressures in both our automotive and industrial businesses.

  • Our CTG performance has impacted our guidance forecast and thus accounts for the majority of the fiscal 2019 reduction in guidance.

  • Our updated fiscal guidance is for revenue of $26 billion to $27 billion, adjusted operating income of $815 million to $885 million and adjusted EPS of $1.05 to $1.15.

  • The full year GAAP EPS is expected to be in the range of $0.75 to $0.85, primarily as a result of stock-based compensation expense and intangible amortization and other charges.

  • Please turn to Slide 10 for a business group recap.

  • To sum it up, we have covered a lot of ground on this call.

  • But there are 3 main points we want to leave you with.

  • First, our CTG business is underperforming.

  • We are focused on returning CTG to its margin range.

  • We took the first step with the decision to wind down our Nike Mexico facility.

  • We are actively working to focus the remaining CTG business on opportunities that fit our targeted margin profile of 2% to 4%.

  • Secondly, our CEC business is improving ahead of schedule.

  • This was a very strong quarter for CEC and the outlook remains encouraging.

  • Thirdly, our HRS and IEI businesses both are coming off record bookings and record revenue.

  • Both are operating in their long-term margin ranges and will continue to contribute to overall growth as we go forward.

  • With that, let me turn the call back over to Kevin.

  • Kevin Kessel - VP of IR & Corporate Communications

  • Thank you, Chris.

  • Operator, we're ready to poll for questions.

  • As a reminder, in addition to Chris, we also have our business group presidents here to answer questions; Doug Britt as well as Paul Humphries.

  • Operator

  • (Operator Instructions) The first question comes from Amit Daryanani of RBC Capital Markets.

  • Amit Jawaharlaz Daryanani - Analyst

  • I have 2 questions.

  • And first off, best of luck, Mike, in the future.

  • Maybe the first one, I just want to understand, what do you guys think went wrong with the Nike relationship.

  • Because there was a ton of confidence from both you and Nike up until a few months ago.

  • So what do you think went wrong and what are maybe a couple of things Flex has learned from the Nike dynamic that helps us prevent something like this happening again in the future?

  • Christopher E. Collier - CFO

  • Yes, I would say that we are disappointed where we sit right now.

  • We're limited in what we can say as we're in the midst of negotiating the terms of the disengaging with Nike.

  • What I can say is we actively built out our operation into a productive system that we are proud of.

  • Part of fixing it was developing the commercial agreement where Flex shareholders would have a sustainable return.

  • And we were unable to come to that agreement with our partner, thus this decision.

  • You know, I think as we step back, Nike was extremely unique and differentiating and I think that it was an important feature that we went after and we are just being very thoughtful at this stage in terms of where we sit.

  • And since we can't get to a commercial agreement where our shareholders net a sustainable return, we decided to exit.

  • Amit Jawaharlaz Daryanani - Analyst

  • All right, I guess broadly when I think of the Flex portfolio in total, I mean you guys are doing -- you mentioned your CEC is doing better than you expected.

  • HRS and IEI are doing really well.

  • Could you just talk about why do you even want to keep investing in the CTG business as you go forward?

  • Because if I think about all the challenges you've had in the last 7-8 years, they tend to originate from this segment, right, be that Blackberry or PCs or now Nike.

  • So why even bother to keep investing in this versus maybe just run this as cash cow and invest in the other 3 businesses which I understand have lower growth potentially, but seem to be a lot more sustainable with less headache?

  • Christopher E. Collier - CFO

  • Yes, certainly we've seen a lot of volatility with that business.

  • There are benefits that we see with operating that within our portfolio.

  • However, that needs to be at a very metered level.

  • We get benefits in terms of technology adoption.

  • We scale across and leverage our overheads, as well as supply chain.

  • So we're going to be hyper-focused with regards to the contribution level in our portfolio that it plays.

  • And we're going to be very selective as we move forward with whom we partner in that space.

  • We are focused on margin and not revenue inside of this business.

  • But as we were highlighting, we've been making significant investments across the rest of the business that's performing very, very well.

  • We've amplified the level of investment we put to HRS and IEI and that remains a focal point.

  • So I think that well noted the volatility at CTG, and I think what you're going to see is a much more metered approach, very selective, very disciplined in terms of operating that within our portfolio with a focus on our business driving greater margins, driving better earnings leverage and having real strong, sustainable underlying product lifecycles.

  • Operator

  • Your next question comes from the line of Mark Delaney of Goldman Sachs.

  • Mark Trevor Delaney - Equity Analyst

  • First question, I was hoping with the updated guidance you can help us understand the full year losses that Nike is contributing to this year's numbers.

  • And I understand the goal is to end that relationship by the end of this fiscal year.

  • Do you anticipate having stranded costs that can maybe last beyond the end of this accounting year?

  • Do you anticipate losses from stranded costs that continue after the end of the year?

  • Christopher E. Collier - CFO

  • Certainly, Mark.

  • As we highlighted, we will be winding down that operation by the end of December.

  • That will cease -- we had guided the Q3 to include losses for Nike in the same range, stable with what we just absorbed in Q2.

  • And there will be no losses as we move forward.

  • We will cease that business.

  • So that's been contemplated in how we structured and guided our Q3.

  • And as we talked about earlier in the year, those losses had been abating as we moved through the cycle.

  • Mark Trevor Delaney - Equity Analyst

  • Okay, and then for a follow-up question on CTG more broadly; maybe you can just give us a better sense of the scope of that magnitude that you're considering within your CTG portfolio.

  • It seems like there's maybe business that Flex will be disengaging in and trying to get a sense for how much revenue that could potentially encompass.

  • Christopher E. Collier - CFO

  • Certainly.

  • I'll let Doug weigh in here on CTG.

  • Doug Britt - President of Integrated Solutions

  • So the overall CTG business, what we're looking at is we've been actively pruning the engagements with loss-making accounts over the last 6 months.

  • We are revamping our go-to-market to concentrate on the larger customers that have a broad portfolio of products.

  • And we're very disciplined on our commercial management to ensure that the business we bring in is achieving profitability levels within our guided range.

  • So we've been doing a lot of pruning in the business.

  • It's taking some time.

  • It's taking some effort.

  • We're confident that we'll reposition the portfolio and we'll get this business back on track.

  • Mark Trevor Delaney - Equity Analyst

  • Okay, and then maybe just to ask it a bit more simply, I mean there's a number of issues going on at CTG.

  • And it seems like some of these issues could take quarters or several quarters to resolve.

  • So is there a timing we can have in mind to when CTG is back within the target margin range?

  • Christopher E. Collier - CFO

  • Yes, clearly one of the things we identified here is that it will take over the remaining part of this year, we'll be underperforming.

  • And that it's really not going to happen in fiscal '19.

  • We do take time, as Doug was saying, we're very active right now in going through the portfolio and eliminating those customers that are not viable long-term, not strategic and do not provide a return and cash flow sufficient for the company.

  • We would expect significant improvement, as we move forward into 2020.

  • We're just reassessing, as Doug highlighted.

  • We're assessing multiple product categories, eliminating some of the businesses that we've been entering into and just really honing in, and refining and streamlining our engagement around CTG.

  • Operator

  • Your next question comes from the line of Adam Tindle of Raymond James.

  • Adam Tyler Tindle - Research Analyst

  • Chris, I just wanted to start fiscal '19 EPS was taken down by $0.15 for the remaining 2 quarters.

  • Can you maybe just help us think about fiscal '20 EPS in light of this?

  • Would it be fair to annualize the reduction today and think about a $0.30 hit to the $1.55 you talked about at the analyst day or does the lack of Nike losses provide some offset?

  • Just any help with buckets would be helpful.

  • Christopher E. Collier - CFO

  • Yes, certainly.

  • Where we sit today, we just don't think it's appropriate to endorse getting back out really into 2020 with a lot of uncertainty in terms of the tariff environment.

  • But what I can tell you is when you think about how we were moving the portfolio to achieve at 2020, there's a large part of our business that is intact.

  • If you think about the IEI business and where it's growing and the record bookings it's coming off of, back inside the target margin range.

  • Its contribution will be healthy for next year.

  • HRS likewise, it's coming off of record bookings right now.

  • It will healthily stay within that margin range and we see its contributions nicely into next year.

  • Step into CEC, we're really pleased with where it has returned to growth.

  • And it's centered itself well within its margin range.

  • And again, we've been positioning ourselves with some nice underpinning customers and programs that give us a degree of confidence as we move into next year.

  • It just center points back into CTG, and so a lot of volatility there, a lot of uncertainty.

  • As we had bridged out that view last time, we had thought of that as contributing pretty meaningfully to our growth.

  • And obviously the Nike, we'll be eliminating that loss that we carried this year.

  • So that's a plus in terms of year-over-year.

  • The CTG is just going to get healthier as we move forward.

  • It's going to be a lot smaller than anticipated.

  • And I would say on balance, the rest of the moving parts that we had identified are largely intact.

  • So I think just step back and if you think about it, it's the CTG area that we're focused on.

  • It's going to take a little time.

  • It's going to be depressed from the levels we had anticipated.

  • But the rest of that business is growing and positioning itself as intended.

  • Adam Tyler Tindle - Research Analyst

  • Okay, and maybe just as a follow-up, if Mike could comment and best of luck in future endeavors.

  • But I'd imagine one of the questions that might come up tomorrow for us is Nike was supposed to embody the move of nontraditional customers to EMS and moving more towards strategic relationships with customers.

  • Can you just maybe reflect from an industry-level perspective how we can think about whether or not the thesis is still intact and why this development today is more of a one-off than a case study?

  • Christopher E. Collier - CFO

  • Yes, certainly.

  • I'll answer for Mike.

  • Michael M. McNamara - CEO & Director

  • Yes, go ahead, Chris.

  • Christopher E. Collier - CFO

  • Nike was something that was unique and it was positioned in a completely new industry that that we were trying to revolutionize.

  • We are entering into many different arrangements with many different customers and finding new ways to engage our platform and not to stray far from our platform, our capabilities and competencies and engage in meaningful ways to grow the business.

  • I would think that we've shown examples of those at our Investor Day, where we've done so.

  • And I would just probably turn this over to both Doug and Paul to maybe elaborate how we're playing differently within your spaces.

  • Doug Britt - President of Integrated Solutions

  • Yes, we've articulated in our Investor Day.

  • But the platform that we have, the overall global digitalization and digitization that's happening across industrial is accelerating.

  • We've got a solid pipeline.

  • And what's happening as this digitalization is moving forward, these customers are looking at how they modernize their supply chains and bring new supply chains and new markets with new technology.

  • That's why you see really the strength of our bookings and revenue and margin expansion over the last 5 years in the industrial business.

  • If you look at what's happening in the CEC business, there's some structural shifts that are occurring in CEC.

  • We have the beginning of the buildout of the 5G network and network connectivity infrastructure is being built out now.

  • We're benefiting from the bookings that we recorded back in Q4 that I articulated at our Investor Day.

  • We're also seeing the acceleration of cloud, opportunities across a bunch of new customers that we revamped our approach with.

  • That market is changing also the way that they're looking at sourcing decisions.

  • They're looking at more original plays.

  • They're looking at partners that can protect IP.

  • Data security is important.

  • And it puts us in a very strong position because we're very strong globally.

  • We're very strong regionally.

  • And it provides an opportunity for us to bring a unique business.

  • Paul J. Humphries - President of High Reliability Solutions

  • Yes, from an HRS perspective, you've heard me talk in the past about the value of leveraging the competencies that exist across the rest of Flex to be able to target new markets in automotive.

  • You see that a key area of focus for us going forward is autonomous, where we've been able to leverage the expertise we have in our service delivery group to develop new solutions for some of the key OEMs in the autonomous space.

  • That complete expertise combined with our other mode of expertise is actually giving us a differentiating capability and we're seeing a lot of improvement as a result of that, a lot of growth as a result of that.

  • And if you think about medical, we're seeing a huge shift in medical towards connected devices and digital health platforms.

  • And again, leveraging the expertise of our platform, we've been able to build a strong capability in connected medical devices.

  • And that again is contributing to the growth that we're seeing, not only in this year but as we go out into 2020.

  • So I think the platform strategy, we've talked a lot about the value that that brings and I think we have actual solid examples where we're seeing significant growth as a result of being able to leverage that.

  • Christopher E. Collier - CFO

  • And just to recap, I think we are just going to continue to move into some of these nontraditional markets, such as industrial, such as automotive and medical; where we can benefit from the greater margins, the longer underlying product lifecycles.

  • And we just are not going to stray too far from our core.

  • Operator

  • Your next question comes from the line of Steven Fox of Cross Research.

  • Steven Bryant Fox - MD

  • First off, I was wondering if you could maybe elaborate on some of the constraints you're having in India.

  • Is it -- relative to 90 days ago, was it an execution issue of bringing up planned capacity or is this unplanned demand that you're having trouble meeting?

  • And then I had a follow-up.

  • Christopher E. Collier - CFO

  • Yes, certainly Steven.

  • Now what we have is we've been -- we have a significant amount of demand that we're undertaking.

  • And we've been having some challenges bringing up capacity, capacity being in terms of the facility necessary as well as other line capacity, given some challenges just in the infrastructure that exists over in India.

  • In particular, we had a facility that's just taken longer to come online than anticipated.

  • And that's going to take us a bit of time into the back end of this year to bring on that capacity to then be aligned with the demand that exists today.

  • So we're being very thoughtful in terms of the levels of investment that are going to go into that and how to support that capacity need.

  • It's going to be very measured.

  • Steven Bryant Fox - MD

  • Understood, and then just in terms of the IP that was developed around the Nike relationship; can you talk about whether you keep ownership of any of it or does that all go to Nike?

  • What happens with some of those assets?

  • Christopher E. Collier - CFO

  • Yes, Steve, we're just not going to be able to expand much on that.

  • We're pretty limited right now as we're in the midst of negotiating in terms of the disengagement with our partner.

  • So we just -- we aren't going to address that.

  • Steven Bryant Fox - MD

  • That's fair enough, Chris.

  • Maybe just put another way real quickly; how do you look at just sort of your broad base of technology skills?

  • Are there things now that you have to pare down based on some of the experiments you've gone through in the last couple years, or do you think that everything that you have is still applicable in one way or another?

  • And that's all I had.

  • Christopher E. Collier - CFO

  • Certainly, Steve.

  • So I mean there's a fair amount of good learning and benefits that we've captured in terms of automation and other activities in terms of manufacturing that are transferable into other areas of our business.

  • I think if you look across probably the portfolio, there's really no other area that we're stretching beyond our core or beyond our capability.

  • So I think that we are -- what you're hearing from us is a real measured approach, a refinement in terms of how we really think about one area being CTG.

  • But more broadly we are -- I think we have a good, deep set of expertise and skill sets that's building that's enabling us to win significant new parts of business.

  • So that's where our focus is going to be.

  • Operator

  • Your next question comes from the line of Paul Coster of JP Morgan.

  • Jeangul Chung - Analyst

  • This is Paul Chung on for Coster.

  • Thanks for taking my question.

  • So given the Nike lessons learned, how much tradeoff on kind of revenue growth should we expect as you look for more margin accretive deals?

  • Christopher E. Collier - CFO

  • So I'd like to just start by highlighting, if you think of the portfolio evolution that we've been under and even in terms of just this past quarter, the level of revenue expansion that we've seen in our nontraditional areas such as IEI and HRS and the capture rate that we have of over 60% of profits there; both of those being inside of target margin ranges, both with record level revenue, both with record level bookings; I think that you're seeing us building a very strong book of business and ability to compete and win significant business as we move forward.

  • And that's exactly where our focus is going to be.

  • Jeangul Chung - Analyst

  • Okay, and then just on the CEC segment, you had a nice spike there.

  • So with scale, do you expect kind of operating margins to trend to the higher end of the CEC range, maybe in fiscal year '20?

  • Christopher E. Collier - CFO

  • I'll just give my view here and I'll let Doug extend.

  • But we're very pleased with the trajectory that CEC is on right now.

  • It's returning to growth.

  • It's now moved its way back into its margin profile.

  • It's benefiting from a good mix of business, as we've shifted to a greater percentage inside of the cloud data center as well as 5G developments.

  • And we're benefiting greatly from capacity utilization, given the greater volumes we're running through that business.

  • So we have our stated range for our purpose.

  • I think we're pleased with entering into that range and we would anticipate staying well within that range as we move forward.

  • Do you want to extend?

  • Doug Britt - President of Integrated Solutions

  • Yes, this Doug.

  • Our investments in design and engineering have been yielding.

  • We've been evolving deeper relationships with our customers by adding more value.

  • And there's such a disruption occurring in this market and we're in a very good position to benefit from this disruption based on all the different locations we operate and the supply chain we drive globally.

  • So it's great to see the team work so hard to get this business growing again.

  • So I'd like to congratulate the team for the great quarter.

  • Operator

  • We have time for one more question and that is from Matt Sheerin of Stifel.

  • Matthew John Sheerin - MD & Senior Equity Research Analyst

  • Just I have another question regarding the CTG revenue shortfall.

  • At midpoint, you're looking at down 15% year-over-year.

  • So that's roughly $350 million or so.

  • What percentage of that is due to the issues in India and unable to ramp into your previously projections, versus de-selecting revenue, versus expectations that you had for Nike revenue in the quarter?

  • Christopher E. Collier - CFO

  • Yes, so hey Matt, this is Chris.

  • There's no impact in terms of that from a Nike-- no meaningful impact from Nike.

  • As we were highlighting, the majority is from delayed ramp inside of the India, but as well significant repurposing and revisitation and refinement inside of the core CTG, as Doug alluded to, as we're thinking through that business and how we refocus efforts.

  • That core has actually had more of an erosion on a year-over-year basis that's implicating that type of a guide.

  • Matthew John Sheerin - MD & Senior Equity Research Analyst

  • And looking to -- I know you don't have a ton of visibility into your March quarter.

  • But should we assume that it's going to be down year-over-year at a similar rate if you kind of flow through the seasonality in that business?

  • Christopher E. Collier - CFO

  • Yes, I would say that we anticipate having several of these sustained aspects continue.

  • Our fiscal '19 guide already reflects CTG continuing to have pressure.

  • I would say that we will be rebalancing that portfolio and as I also highlighted, we will be under pressure in terms of the margin as we go through that transformation.

  • Matthew John Sheerin - MD & Senior Equity Research Analyst

  • Okay, and then relative to the capacity that you have now in Guadalajara, due to Nike, I believe that was a million-square-foot facility.

  • So if you think about it in terms of deploying your traditional put in circuit board assembly equipment, et cetera; what kind of revenue capacity would we be looking at?

  • Because that would be an opportunity, as you said, your customer shifting out of China to places like Mexico.

  • So what should we think about the opportunity to fill that capacity?

  • Christopher E. Collier - CFO

  • Yes, certainly.

  • As we highlighted in the prepared remarks, we're working hard and striving to retain most of the affected employees as well as to repurpose the factory capacity in Mexico.

  • We're active in negotiations with Nike.

  • I think the other point to note is that we highlighted the tariff environment is providing a lot of discussion with current and prospective customers around relocating business away from China into other regions and that regional distribution is going to be heavily seen inside of Mexico.

  • We have the largest footprint and the capability set to offer customers inside of Mexico.

  • And I would anticipate our ability to partner in an effective way will be seen.

  • Matthew John Sheerin - MD & Senior Equity Research Analyst

  • Okay, and just a quick follow-up, you just mentioned that you used the term negotiate with Nike.

  • Does that mean there could be some settlement in terms of some of the costs that you've incurred or their share of some of those costs?

  • Christopher E. Collier - CFO

  • Yes, Matt, really we're going to be limited in what we can say with regards to that.

  • We're really in the midst of negotiating the terms of the disengagement with them.

  • And we'll leave it that.

  • Operator

  • I would now like to turn the call back over to Mr. Kessel for closing remarks.

  • Kevin Kessel - VP of IR & Corporate Communications

  • A

  • Operator

  • This concludes today's conference call.

  • You may now disconnect.