First Horizon Corp (FHN) 2017 Q3 法說會逐字稿

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  • Operator

  • Good day, and welcome to the First Horizon National Corp.

  • Third Quarter 2017 Earnings Conference Call.

  • (Operator Instructions)

  • Please note this event is being recorded.

  • I would now like to turn the conference over to Aarti Bowman, Investor Relations.

  • Please go ahead.

  • Aarti Bowman - SVP of IR

  • Thank you, Rachel.

  • Please note that the earnings release, financial supplement and slide presentation we'll use in this call are posted on the Investor Relations section of our website at www.firsthorizon.com.

  • In this call, we will mention forward-looking and non-GAAP information.

  • Actual results may differ from the forward-looking information for a number of reasons outlined in our earnings materials and our most recent annual and quarterly reports.

  • Our forward-looking statements reflect our views today, and we're not obligated to update them.

  • The non-GAAP information is identified as such in our earnings materials and in the slide presentation for this call and is reconciled to GAAP information in those materials.

  • Also, please remember that this webcast on our website is the only authorized record of this call.

  • This morning's speakers include our CEO, Bryan Jordan; our CFO, BJ Losch.

  • Additionally, our Chief Credit Officer, Susan Springfield, will be available with Bryan and BJ for questions.

  • I'll now turn it over to Bryan.

  • D. Bryan Jordan - Chairman, CEO & President

  • Thanks, Aarti.

  • Good morning, everyone.

  • Thank you for joining us.

  • I'm very pleased with the results in the third quarter.

  • We continued to see good momentum across our business.

  • We reported net income of $0.28 per share.

  • When you adjust for the unusual items, which BJ will describe in more detail lately (sic) [later], it gives you a core EPS of roughly $0.32 per share.

  • We saw very good loan and deposit trends across the business.

  • We feel very, very good about the credit quality of what we were able to put on the balance sheet.

  • And really, the mix of new relationships, new to bank relationships that we're able to build over the last several quarters culminated in loan closings in the third quarter.

  • Our credit quality continued to stay strong, and our net interest margin improved.

  • Fee income was relatively stable when you exclude for the extraordinary items, which BJ will discuss earlier.

  • Our fixed income business was relatively stable and modestly more profitable during the quarter.

  • Expense control was good.

  • Feel very good about the focus that the organization has on controlling expenses, which is especially important as we go into the final stages of merger integration planning and continuing to build that momentum and execution as we integrate the merger in the early part of 2018 with Capital Bank.

  • The economy from our perspective continues to look steady.

  • We see an environment very much like over the last several years, where you have sort of low single-digits economic growth.

  • Customers continue to be somewhat optimistic.

  • There's a bit more optimism about physical -- fiscal or tax reform and the ability to see that improved growth rates in the economy.

  • As we look out over the next several quarters, the loan pipelines continue to look pretty steady.

  • We do see a little bit of the seasonal impacts of some of our businesses are likely to impact mortgage warehouse lending and things like that in the fourth and first quarter due to home closings, so on and so forth.

  • But we're reasonably optimistic about the fourth quarter and the turn into 2018.

  • And as I mentioned earlier, we're excited about the pending merger that we have announced with Capital Bank and what opportunities that presents for us.

  • So with that, let me turn it over to BJ and ask him to walk you through the details of the quarter.

  • I'll come back with a couple of closing comments, and then we'll be happy to take your questions.

  • BJ?

  • William C. Losch - CFO & Executive VP

  • Great.

  • Thanks, Bryan.

  • Good morning, everybody.

  • I'll start on Slide 5.

  • Third quarter highlights included great loan growth, strong net interest income and good expense discipline.

  • And we also continue to see favorable trends in asset quality.

  • By the numbers, 3Q '17 net income available to common was $67 million (sic) [$267 million] with diluted EPS of $0.28.

  • As Bryan talked about, we had some notable items that impacted EPS by about $0.04.

  • So on an adjusted basis, EPS was closer to $0.32.

  • As you can see at the bottom of the slide, notable items included: first, a previously disclosed loss on an equity securities repurchase of $14 million; the previously disclosed tax favorabilities that we expected in the quarter of about $14 million; our normalized effective tax rate should be around 32%; acquisition expenses of $8 million; and expenses incurred related to legal matters of $8 million.

  • Turning to Slide 6. We've seen steady earnings results from our business segments over the past year with the regional bank continuing to drive the bulk of our earnings power and momentum.

  • I'll talk about that business in a little more depth in a few slides, but on fixed income, their contribution remains modest yet positive.

  • While we've seen declines in ADR due to lower flow from the agency and MBS desks, it's been somewhat offset by growth in our government guaranteed lending products from the Coastal acquisition.

  • This desk had a very good quarter.

  • The nonstrategic segment, while continuing to wind down, has given us a nice tailwind in the loan loss provision line as we've seen net recoveries and reserve releases for several quarters.

  • On Slide 7, you can see the profitability of the balance sheet improvement as net interest income, net interest margin and net interest spread were all up meaningfully on both a linked quarter and year-over-year basis.

  • The higher NII reflected an increase in commercial loan balances, primarily the benefit of higher term -- short-term rates on our asset-sensitive balance sheet and improving net interest spread.

  • NIM was up 12 basis points linked quarter due to lower cash levels and higher rates.

  • And the net interest spread improved 9 basis points from an increase in loan yields and continued active management of deposit costs.

  • Regional banking deposits were up 8% year-over-year, with noninterest-bearing DDA up 9% year-over-year and 2% linked quarter.

  • In the quarter, our overall consumer and commercial deposit beta was actually negative 3% from second quarter to third quarter.

  • To optimize our funding mix, we intentionally reduced balances on the higher-cost, market-indexed deposits in the quarter, but they remain a good variable funding alternative for us.

  • Turning to Slide 9. As we've mentioned several times, the regional bank posted strong results again, driven by continued balance sheet growth translating to NII growth, coupled with continued expense discipline.

  • Linked quarter, PPNR increased 8% and was up 12% on an adjusted basis, demonstrating positive operating leverage.

  • NII was up 4% from higher rates and loan growth from specialty areas.

  • Fee income was relatively stable, and we maintained our ongoing expense discipline, evidenced with an adjusted efficiency ratio of 53% in the bank, an improvement of almost 400 basis points linked quarter and over 500 basis points year-over-year.

  • Slide 9 highlights the bank's broad-based loan growth across markets and lines of business.

  • We compare favorably to industry loan growth with 9% year-over-year, driven by commercial lending, particularly in the specialty banking areas.

  • Average commercial loans were up 11% year-over-year and 5% linked quarter, with areas of particular growth in the quarter in loans to mortgage companies, asset-based lending, private client and our core commercial lending businesses.

  • As expected, our loans to mortgage companies increased linked quarter, reflecting the strong home purchase fees ending the third quarter, and the benefits of additional new customer relationships we've been building over the last 18 months.

  • Year-over-year declines were primarily driven by lower refi volume in today's higher rate environment.

  • We do expect the normal seasonal decline in balances in the fourth quarter and the first, as Bryan talked about, but the business remains very healthy.

  • As we saw last quarter as well, all our regional markets experienced growth on a linked quarter basis.

  • Our focus in our expansion markets in particular is paying off with both Middle Tennessee and our Mid-Atlantic market seeing strong growth.

  • Moving on to asset quality, on Slide 10.

  • Credit trends remain positive.

  • The allowance-to-loans ratio remained steady in the regional bank while decreasing in the nonstrategic portfolio, as expected, and our net charge-offs continue to remain at historically low levels.

  • On Slide 11, you can see some integration planning highlights related to the Capital Bank acquisition, which remains on track.

  • We've received shareholder approval from both sides.

  • We've developed target operating models for all lines of business, and we've identified and announced the top 3 tiers of leadership from both organizations that will lead our combined company.

  • We're also continuing our work to identify cost base and revenue opportunities as well as prepare to execute on a seamless integration and conversion next year.

  • As Bryan mentioned, we're pleased with the progress we're making through this integration and continue to anticipate the deal closing this quarter.

  • Wrapping up on Slides 12 and 13.

  • One of our major objectives over the last few quarters was to maintain business momentum as we prepared for our merger with Capital Bank, and we are very pleased with our organization's response to that challenge.

  • Our returns, profitability and growth are as strong as we've seen them in a decade.

  • The balance sheet, revenue growth, coupled with expense efficiency gains and strong asset quality continue to improve our ROA and our return on tangible common equity.

  • On an adjusted basis, our ROTCE was 13.5% and our ROA was almost 1.1%, within striking distance of our long-term bonefish targets.

  • This great organic momentum, combined with the addition of Capital Bank, should further accelerate our performance and the achievement of our bonefish targets while still affording us continued growth opportunities as well.

  • With that, I'll take it back over to Bryan.

  • D. Bryan Jordan - Chairman, CEO & President

  • Thanks, BJ.

  • Again, we are very, very optimistic about the outlook for our business and the integration with Capital Bank.

  • I'll reiterate or echo BJ's comments.

  • It is no small feat to plan the integration of the merger with Capital Bank, at the same time keep up the momentum that is evidenced in our balance sheet and our customer acquisition.

  • I'm very, very proud of our colleagues and what they have done over the course of the last several months to continue to build our business, both through the traditional customer organic-focused activities as well as to prepare for and plan the integration with Capital Bank.

  • So thank you for all that you were doing.

  • Rachel, with that, we will turn it over and take any questions.

  • Operator

  • (Operator Instructions) The first question comes from Steven Alexopoulos from JPMorgan.

  • Steven A. Alexopoulos - MD and Head of Mid-Cap and Small-Cap Banks

  • I want to start on the margin.

  • You guys obviously have really strong margin expansion in the quarter.

  • And looking at the Slide 7, some of those will continue into the fourth quarter.

  • Maybe for BJ.

  • How are you thinking about the margin in the fourth quarter, both with and without the Capital deal?

  • William C. Losch - CFO & Executive VP

  • So as we usually see in the fourth, we would expect a little bit of downward pressure on the margin primarily from the mortgage company seasonal declines.

  • So we would expect that as we usually see from third quarter to fourth quarter, you'd see declines in that business, fourth to first decline, and then it would start to build again second and third quarter.

  • So that'll primarily be the pressure on the margin itself in the fourth quarter.

  • From the Capital Bank side, though, it's going to be, we believe and as we've discussed before, a net positive because of where their margin is, their contractual margin is.

  • They have a little bit more fixed rate loan, and their margin is modestly higher than ours.

  • So the combination of both, we think, as well as the repositioning of our funding will actually help there as well.

  • So I expect the margin to be around this level, plus or minus a couple basis points going into the fourth quarter.

  • Steven A. Alexopoulos - MD and Head of Mid-Cap and Small-Cap Banks

  • Okay, and that's with the Capital deal, BJ?

  • William C. Losch - CFO & Executive VP

  • Yes, correct.

  • Steven A. Alexopoulos - MD and Head of Mid-Cap and Small-Cap Banks

  • Okay.

  • And then just talking about some of the deposit remixing.

  • Can you give color on the linked quarter decline in the consumer and commercial interest deposits?

  • William C. Losch - CFO & Executive VP

  • Sure.

  • So on the consumer side, we talked about in the first quarter that we had run a promo.

  • That promo, we talked about starting to tail off in the second but really in the third and largely moderated in the fourth.

  • That was the largest driver on the consumer side.

  • The commercial side, there's not much that's different.

  • I would point out, though, that our noninterest-bearing DDA is up very strongly, both on a linked quarter basis and year-over-year.

  • Linked quarter is up, I think, 2%.

  • Year-over-year is up 9%.

  • So there's not a lot of negative dynamics on that as well.

  • So we've seen continued healthy deposit growth, and we're expecting that to continue.

  • Steven A. Alexopoulos - MD and Head of Mid-Cap and Small-Cap Banks

  • If I could just ask one more on the Capital deal.

  • Do you guys have a sense as to the expected close in the fourth quarter?

  • Maybe just talk about progress thus far.

  • And maybe, Bryan, how you're feeling about revenue synergies here that we're getting close to closing the deal.

  • D. Bryan Jordan - Chairman, CEO & President

  • Yes, Steve.

  • Yes, I'll start in reverse order because the first 2 are a bit more of a mystery.

  • I feel better about the revenue synergies and actually the cost synergies as well as we've done the integration planning that BJ described and I touched on.

  • Now the teams have done an awful lot of work looking at business models and trying to understand opportunities for using the best products at both organizations, whether it be mortgage from the Capital Bank platform or treasury management, wealth management from the First Tennessee platform.

  • We think there's a tremendous amount of opportunity there.

  • And when -- while we can't do specific customer planning, it is our sense, as we've gone through these models and looked at the synergies in the way we both do business and the kinds of approach we have to the marketplace, we think there will be other revenue synergy opportunities for us in lending relationships and things of that nature.

  • So I get a better feeling every day that we progress down this path that there are real revenue synergies here.

  • We obviously didn't claim any credit for them in our model, and I think you'll start to see those flow not long after we get the transaction completed.

  • As we've said all along, we expect that we will close sometime in the fourth quarter.

  • We -- as BJ mentioned, we do have shareholder approval.

  • We're still waiting for approval from our primary regulators, the OCC and the Federal Reserve.

  • We still expect to get that at some point in the fourth quarter.

  • I wouldn't endeavor to try to pin a date on the calendar in particular, but I'm still fairly confident that we'll get it this quarter and that we'll hit the ground running in 2018.

  • Operator

  • The next question comes from Emlen Harmon of JMP Securities.

  • Emlen Briggs Harmon - MD and Senior Research Analyst of Regional Banks

  • I guess while we're talking about Capital being that -- being integrated somewhat shortly, I guess can -- a good point to talk about just, Bryan, your appetite for more M&A.

  • And where do you feel you need to be from a capital perspective before you would consider doing something else?

  • D. Bryan Jordan - Chairman, CEO & President

  • I assume your last question from a capital perspective meant the equity section as opposed to where we are in the integration.

  • Or is that an integration question?

  • Emlen Briggs Harmon - MD and Senior Research Analyst of Regional Banks

  • The lower-case C, the capital in terms of balance sheet, yes.

  • D. Bryan Jordan - Chairman, CEO & President

  • Yes, yes.

  • Yes.

  • I am -- first, I would describe appetite as very low for doing anything incremental.

  • As we've tried to emphasize over time, execution and doing things right one step at a time is very important to us, and so all of our energy is focused on that in the short run.

  • We have a lot of planning that is put -- been put in place.

  • And while it's too early to say we'll have it done by x date, I expect by the middle of next year we will have made very substantial progress in the integration.

  • And only when we think we've made the progress that's required to be successful in integrating, retaining customers, retaining employees, building a business model that works on what we've got on the table, then we'll start to think about other things.

  • So I don't expect that we're going to spend any time thinking about other things until sometime in the back half of 2018 at the very earliest and maybe not that early.

  • I think we will continue to see, as we did this quarter, very strong returns in the business.

  • We'll generate a tremendous amount of capital.

  • I don't think we'll have any different focus on how we deploy capital.

  • We'll look at sort of the 3 major levers.

  • Can we apply it in an organic growth fashion?

  • Do we have the ability to do something strategic and build the business like we have with Capital Bank?

  • Or can we repatriate capital to shareholders?

  • So I'm very comfortable with the way we're using the leverage in the balance sheet with the Capital transaction.

  • I think by the time we get to the place where we're willing to focus from a business model and an integration focus, I don't think the balance sheet will be an obstruction to us thinking strategically about how we deploy capital.

  • I don't know, BJ, if you want to add anything to that.

  • William C. Losch - CFO & Executive VP

  • Yes, I would just add on the small C capital.

  • Our bonefish targets have always been 8% to 9%.

  • We've reiterated them with the Capital Bank deal.

  • We'll pro forma on CET1.

  • We'll probably be there.

  • As the earnings power builds, we'll probably be increasing that over time.

  • And so we feel very comfortable with those levels from an operating perspective.

  • And candidly, we don't -- we had never thought that we needed to warehouse capital in anticipation of M&A activity.

  • As a matter of fact, the cash portion of the Capital Bank deal would tell you that, that causes a lot of questions from an investor perspective when you use cash in a deal.

  • So we're going to run our capital levels for safety and soundness first, and then optimization of our balance sheet and returns second.

  • And then if there, as Bryan said, down the road an opportunity to enter into some M&A, we'll look at it that way and come to shareholders for their votes.

  • Emlen Briggs Harmon - MD and Senior Research Analyst of Regional Banks

  • That's great.

  • And then just a quick one on the servicing portfolio purchase you guys announced earlier this week.

  • Just -- so where do you find the tailing in that business?

  • And just given you didn't give us some -- much on the financials, I'm going to say it's probably a pretty small impact.

  • But just any kind of color on the potential financial impact from that.

  • William C. Losch - CFO & Executive VP

  • Yes, this is BJ.

  • I think it was a business that some in our commercial real estate business knew very well.

  • They have a very solid reputation of -- on the commercial real estate servicing side, particularly with [like] companies.

  • We had run into them before and thought that they would be a nice value-added service and product capability for our commercial real estate business.

  • So overall, in the grand scheme of First Horizon, if -- you probably won't see much of an impact on it.

  • But in our commercial real estate business, it broadens our product and service capabilities to the clients that we want to deepen relationships with and allow us to do more business with a broader array of clients over time.

  • So we're pleased that we have the team in place, and we look forward to good things from it.

  • D. Bryan Jordan - Chairman, CEO & President

  • Emlen, this is Bryan.

  • I'll pick up on that.

  • As -- this is something we've worked on for a little while.

  • It goes back into 2016, I suppose.

  • We have a very strong discipline about mix in the balance sheet and particularly portfolio limits.

  • And as you've heard us talk about in the past, we have a tremendous ability to originate very good commercial real estate assets.

  • And this gives us a capability to originate strong customer-oriented activity and place it in the long-term permanent markets.

  • And it gives us greater flexibility to meet the needs of our customer, to do it in a way that is transparent or accommodative to the way that they do business and, at the same time, allows us to say yes more often.

  • So I'm excited about that capability it gives us to continue to manage the risk in our portfolio and say yes to customers more often.

  • Operator

  • The next question comes from Ken Zerbe with Morgan Stanley.

  • Kenneth Allen Zerbe - Executive Director

  • I guess, my first question.

  • Just in terms of the expenses, can you guys give us some sense of where you think core expenses might be as we head in the fourth quarter?

  • Because I know it jumps around quite a bit with some of the one timers.

  • But also, when you think about Capital, how much of their expense base can actually come out sort of on day 1, right, where it doesn't show up in your results versus like being taken out over the next few quarters?

  • D. Bryan Jordan - Chairman, CEO & President

  • Yes, I'm going to say how good BJ is at avoiding a trap on core expenses in the fourth quarter.

  • William C. Losch - CFO & Executive VP

  • Yes, right.

  • Yes, because it's going to be a lot of moving parts, as you would imagine, in the fourth quarter.

  • But our expenses, from a core perspective, have been trending very, very well.

  • And I think if you take out all the noise this quarter, I think we were probably in the $220 million to $225 million range from an expense run rate.

  • I think fourth quarter will largely look like that, maybe a couple million dollars higher but not a lot.

  • I think our people have done an excellent job of managing expenses.

  • So we expect that to continue.

  • That's been a mantra that we've been preaching for quite some time.

  • In terms of the day 1 impacts of Capital Bank, I'm not going to tell you that there's going to be a ton of those.

  • What we'll see, though, is that expense efficiencies will build towards midyear, which is our current assumption on when we'll do our large core systems conversion.

  • The one that'll be most visible is the branch conversions, the branch systems conversions, et cetera.

  • That's when you'll really see the bulk of the expenses able to be recognized and realized.

  • So we're still looking at capturing about half or so of the efficiencies that we think we'll ultimately get out of the Capital Bank deal in 2018.

  • And obviously, that will be back-end loaded post that large conversion with a full year run rate in 2019.

  • Kenneth Allen Zerbe - Executive Director

  • Got it, okay.

  • That's helpful.

  • And then just going back to the deposit growth or the sort of the run-off of interest-bearing deposits this quarter on an average basis.

  • I get that you reduced some of your excess liquidity, right.

  • And obviously, you don't need some of those higher-cost deposits or liabilities that offset that cash.

  • But on a core-core basis, like how much -- I think you did say you expect growth in core deposits.

  • But how much of that growth is coming from because you're running specials versus -- or maybe can you even comment just on the overall environment for deposit competition.

  • Like, is it really picking up in a big way?

  • And does that pose a risk to your deposit growth?

  • William C. Losch - CFO & Executive VP

  • Sure.

  • Sure, Ken.

  • So on your first question around how much of this is related to deposit promos, the answer would be none.

  • We had that first quarter promo that we talked about, but that has been burning off and we haven't had any meaningful promos from there.

  • So this growth is organic.

  • The second is, if you look at noninterest-bearing deposit growth, which is where we've seen particular strength, both consumer and commercial, that's just good old-fashioned relationship banking with clients.

  • And so we're pleased that we're seeing the noninterest bearing grow as much as we can.

  • That's a great value proposition for customers and for us.

  • You'll see the discipline that we've shown on managing our deposit betas.

  • Part of that is because we have #1 market share and that we can be smart and fair about what we pay but then also use that market share to make sure that we're being as prudent with our balance sheet as possible.

  • So I think our growth can continue.

  • We've seen good, healthy growth for several quarters now on the deposit side from an organic perspective.

  • We will use promos from time to time when we see opportunities, and we'll use them selectively.

  • But in terms of competition, on the consumer side, we really have not seen broad-based deposit pricing competition as of yet.

  • We certainly are prepared for it and would likely expect it if rates do move up another turn or 2, but we haven't really seen it from a broad-based perspective yet.

  • On the commercial side, we have seen deposit competition increasing.

  • We've had to look closely at earnings credit rates.

  • We had to look closely at what our posted board rates are for commercial clients.

  • I think others in the industry have seen that as well, and we expect that, that will continue.

  • If you go back to the beginning of this rate increase cycle, so for us, you go back to third quarter of '15, which would be before the first rate hike to today, I think our total all-in deposit beta is about 24%.

  • And as we've talked about through this cycle, we would expect that to be around 40%.

  • So we're well ahead of where we think we'll ultimately end up with another couple rate moves, which implies that we think that competition could still ramp up.

  • But we're prepared for it, and we feel good about where we're positioned.

  • Operator

  • The next question comes from Jennifer Demba of SunTrust.

  • Jennifer Haskew Demba - MD

  • BJ, this question is on expenses.

  • I'm just wondering over the next several quarters where you kind of see the puts and takes in terms of where you'll be focusing your investments and where you'll be looking for kind of net cost savings.

  • And is branch pruning still going on?

  • I noticed you -- they've been basically flat with that of last year.

  • William C. Losch - CFO & Executive VP

  • Sure.

  • So obviously, our Capital Bank acquisition and creating efficiencies from that combination is going to drive most of our cost save opportunity.

  • Branch consolidation is a big piece of that.

  • We've already announced about 26, 27 branches that would be consolidated through the combination.

  • And because of customer behavior, et cetera, we continue to expect that we'll see further branch consolidation opportunities over the next couple years.

  • So that'll certainly be helpful.

  • If we step back and look overall at where we see our cost save opportunity from the Capital Bank combination, it's about 65% related to personnel efficiencies and about 35%, 40% related to vendor technology-related saves.

  • So as we've talked about, we feel very good about the announced targets of 30% of the Capital Bank expense base ultimately coming out, and we believe very strongly that we'll exceed those targets.

  • Jennifer Haskew Demba - MD

  • Do you see pruning any more branches within the legacy footprint?

  • William C. Losch - CFO & Executive VP

  • We do over time.

  • Customer behavior and customer trends are warranting that.

  • That's why we're also investing fairly meaningfully in online and mobile banking capabilities.

  • We've got a strong call center.

  • So we're prepared for multichannel use and trends changing with our customers.

  • So that also means less physical branches needed, and we'll be smart about doing that over time as well.

  • Jennifer Haskew Demba - MD

  • And also, on artificial intelligence, in terms of using that to reduce personnel headcount, what is -- what's your perspective on that right now?

  • And how quickly will you guys be using that to reduce costs?

  • D. Bryan Jordan - Chairman, CEO & President

  • Jennifer, this is Bryan.

  • We have a great deal of focus on how we use technology in the business.

  • And fundamentally, we see technology changing the business very significantly over the next 5, 10, 15, 25 years.

  • And I think in many ways, the advances in technology are going to be led basically on 2 fronts: the significant amount of money that, for example, a JPMorgan or a Bank of America is spending on leading-edge technology; and the second being the FinTech community.

  • We see investments in artificial intelligence and labor-reducing technologies as potential benefit.

  • We're not ready to invest in those today.

  • We think they need to move further along the spectrum.

  • But we have a team of folks who focuses on that.

  • They spend a lot of time not only think about it but talking to our leadership team about how technology is developing and how it is being used in other businesses.

  • And with that, we'll implement those technologies at the appropriate time.

  • Fundamentally, we are very strong believers that our competitive advantage is created by our people and those bankers' ability to create unique and differentiated relationships with their customers.

  • And so we're a little bit reluctant to remove people and the interaction of people and customers -- our people and customers from the employees and -- until we see technology that is truly advanced.

  • So that's a long way of saying we are looking at it, we're studying it, but we're not ready to make a leap in the near term in terms of how we implement artificial intelligence to replace the strong interaction we have between our bankers and their customers.

  • Operator

  • The next question comes from Casey Haire with Jefferies.

  • Casey Haire - VP and Equity Analyst

  • Wanted to touch on the expenses again, specifically CCAR preparation.

  • If I understand correctly, you guys do not have that baked into your budget, I guess, for next year, and the CCAR line could get moved higher.

  • But if it doesn't, at what point would you start to prepare for that event?

  • And also, what sort of glide path, how long do you think you have before you cross $50 billion organically?

  • D. Bryan Jordan - Chairman, CEO & President

  • This is Bryan.

  • I've said -- because -- I've been a little surprised that, that question comes up a lot following the Capital Bank merger announcement.

  • And we think we've got couple of things that are -- that really need to be focused on.

  • One is, I think in terms of the infrastructure and the capability, we have a tremendous amount of that infrastructure and capability built to do the CCAR modeling.

  • And I know CCAR is a narrow part of being a systemically important financial institution.

  • You have liquidity coverage ratios and living wills, and so on and so forth.

  • So there are other costs.

  • But we think that the leap is manageable.

  • I think in terms of when we would organically cross that line, I think that can be managed whether it's 3 or 5 years.

  • It would -- somewhere in that range would be an organic estimate to it.

  • But that can be managed.

  • And then I think that as you suggested, that there's a greater probability today that, that threshold will be elevated and it will be elevated significantly in the near term.

  • There's a letter last week from a number of Democratic senators on the Senate Banking Committee suggesting we need to move forward on regulatory reform.

  • So those are encouraging signs.

  • And then the final point that I would make is that the regulatory agencies, the Federal Reserve, the OCC, are very thoughtfully, in my view, looking at how the CCAR and the systemically important regulations are applied and how they're applied to a $50.1 billion bank versus a multitrillion-dollar organization.

  • And so I think the combination of all of those things don't cause us to sit around and worry a whole lot about what the cost of CCAR may be 3, 5 years from now.

  • Operator

  • The next question comes from Ebrahim Poonawala with Bank of America.

  • Ebrahim Huseini Poonawala - Director

  • And so I want to follow up, BJ, on your comments on the margin with CBF.

  • Did you say it should stay more or less around these levels even post CBF?

  • William C. Losch - CFO & Executive VP

  • Yes, I think so.

  • So their margin.

  • If you take out all their purchase accounting accretion and such and you add ours, which would be much less modest on the combination, their current margin is slightly above ours, maybe 10 or 15 basis points above ours.

  • So it'll be an incremental help to where our levels are today.

  • So yes, that's why I say it'll be a little bit of a help with loans to mortgage companies in the near term being a little bit of a headwind in the fourth quarter.

  • Ebrahim Huseini Poonawala - Director

  • Understood.

  • And when we sort of think about incrementally, I mean, you have the rate sensitivity on the slide.

  • But is the 3 to 4 basis points margin for FHN standalone the right way to think about the -- when you put these -- both banks together?

  • Or should sensitivity go down, given sort of the balance sheet structure post the deal?

  • William C. Losch - CFO & Executive VP

  • Sure.

  • So our asset sensitivity will moderate post deal.

  • So round numbers, Capital Bank asset sensitivity being roughly half of where we are.

  • And so the combination of that will obviously moderate our asset sensitivity.

  • So we're okay with that.

  • As we've seen our short rates rise, at some point you've got to get a bias back towards something that's more towards the middle in terms of interest rate risk management.

  • So we're looking forward to being able to take that balance sheet, optimize funding and have good, healthy net interest margins combined going forward.

  • Ebrahim Huseini Poonawala - Director

  • Fair enough.

  • And can you remind us if there's any specific actions you mentioned in terms of any debt repositioning or optimization of balance sheet post deal that you may undertake right away in terms of restructuring anything on the asset or the liability side?

  • William C. Losch - CFO & Executive VP

  • I think we'll do what you would normally expect when you close a deal in terms of looking at the combined securities portfolio and trying to optimize that.

  • But in terms of anything beyond that, there won't be a kind of change right away.

  • Ebrahim Huseini Poonawala - Director

  • Understood.

  • And if I can ask a separate question just in terms of ABL loan growth.

  • I was wondering if you can just provide any color in terms of where that growth is coming out of.

  • Any particular verticals, either consumer finance or others, where you're seeing stronger growth?

  • And what your expectations are sort of going into next year.

  • D. Bryan Jordan - Chairman, CEO & President

  • Yes, since the credit quality story has been kind of quiet, I'm going to ask Susan to answer that.

  • Susan L. Springfield - Chief Credit Officer and EVP

  • So asset-based lending, as you know, has been an area of focus for us for 25-plus years we've been in that business, and it's performing well through many economic cycles.

  • And we do have seen some additional growth in consumer finance vertical and some other finance-type companies like factoring, but we've also seen growth in traditional ABL.

  • In addition to that color related to the verticals, and Bryan and BJ talked about this earlier, we're seeing good growth in terms of new to bank but also some good, solid growth as it relates to growing with some existing customers.

  • So really across lines of business, if you look at that for 2017, that's, on average, 30% to 35% of growth in commitments comes from expanded relationships with existing customers, and with the other coming from new to bank.

  • So I think that's a good mix.

  • And asset-based lending would be at about that mix as well.

  • Operator

  • The next question comes from Michael Rose with Raymond James.

  • Michael Edward Rose - MD, Equity Research

  • Just wanted to ask on the Capital Bank side.

  • They have a decent exposure down in the Keys and in Miami.

  • Should we expect any sort of adjustment to the loan mark and/or the purchase price from any sort of provisions or losses that would come out of the franchise that they have down there?

  • D. Bryan Jordan - Chairman, CEO & President

  • Michael, this is Bryan.

  • Yes, they do have a lot of exposure down there, and our first concern was people and their families.

  • I'm very pleased that it was very, very minimal impact.

  • I know for the 2 or 3 folks that were impacted, it's significant.

  • But we're very fortunate that people were safe and sound.

  • Physical structures, there were a couple where we lost -- or Capital Bank lost their air-conditioners and things like that.

  • But that largely won't be a problem.

  • And within days of Irma, they had branches -- substantially all of the branches back open.

  • So from a business interruption period perspective, it wasn't very significant.

  • We don't expect anything significant at all in terms of our pro forma.

  • The valuation in May and where we think we are today, I think that what we're experiencing both in what they're hearing from customers and what they've been able to ascertain and what we're able to ascertain, that the impact of Irma on credit portfolios, et cetera, was de minimis.

  • Michael Edward Rose - MD, Equity Research

  • Okay, that's helpful.

  • And then maybe stick with credit.

  • A lot of focus on the bigger banks on credit card trends.

  • It looks like you guys are kind of holding relatively stable.

  • Any sort of commentary or insight there?

  • Susan L. Springfield - Chief Credit Officer and EVP

  • Yes, the credit card, as you know, is a small business for us.

  • We've got less than $115 million in credit card out [things] today.

  • We actually showed a decline in 30-day delinquencies and charge-offs quarter-over-quarter.

  • Our credit card approach really is one of a relationship product where existing banking deposit customers, we offer credit card.

  • Honestly, we think it's an area where we can probably have some growth as it relates to doing maybe a better job marketing in the application process, streamlining that, and we're actually looking to do that.

  • So for us, in terms of -- it's very benign for us because it's a very small book today, and we actually saw, as I said earlier, improvement in both delinquency and charge-offs quarter-over-quarter.

  • Michael Edward Rose - MD, Equity Research

  • Okay, that's helpful.

  • Maybe just one more for me.

  • There's been 10 acquisitions announced in North Carolina.

  • Can you guys just speak to retention efforts and your ability to attract lenders from all the activity that's happened in North Carolina?

  • D. Bryan Jordan - Chairman, CEO & President

  • Yes, this is Bryan again.

  • We have done an awful lot of work, and our efforts in terms of merging the organization really started with the people and the culture of the organizations.

  • And you may have heard me say that we went into this transaction feeling very good about the culture of Capital Bank, the way they approach the business with Gene and Chris, Rick Manley and Ed Holden and Dave Briggs and others did in terms of building a culture in the organization.

  • We feel better about that today than we felt in May.

  • And we have spent a lot of time talking to people across the organization.

  • There is clearly a fair amount of disruption, but we think that our ability to continue with -- continuity for customer-facing activities is high.

  • We think our retention programs and our incentive and award programs for people will be very well received and very competitive.

  • So we think that not only will we do a good job of holding the existing team of outstanding bankers that have been assembled, we think we will be able to add to it once we get the acquisition closed.

  • So we're optimistic in that regard.

  • And we think that there is continued opportunity for us to focus on that middle market space and those very good and dynamic growth economies and continue to grow business with the kind of momentum and -- that Capital Bank has had and to improve on that over time by bringing enhanced product sets, services and features that will make us much more competitive in the marketplace.

  • So we're optimistic about the outlook in that regard.

  • Operator

  • The next question comes from Brian Zabora with Hovde Group.

  • Brian James Zabora - Director

  • Just a question on the fixed-income business and how much did Coastal impact the revenues this quarter.

  • I think you said that it was up.

  • I just want to try to get a sense of magnitude.

  • William C. Losch - CFO & Executive VP

  • Yes, so this is BJ.

  • As I mentioned, Coastal had a very good quarter, a particularly strong finish to the quarter.

  • So we now have 5 major desks with the government-guaranteed lending business.

  • The -- that business that we got from Coastal is now our second-largest desk.

  • So we had -- it had some very good average daily revenues, very good flows and good loan sales out of the portfolio.

  • So we're very pleased with how the business has ramped up.

  • From a legacy perspective, volatility is still very low.

  • It's just kind of running out ground balls and trying to hit singles and doubles where you can.

  • The business is very well managed.

  • We're pleased with their maintenance of profitability, and they're doing everything to maintain that.

  • And the good thing is we had very solid core EPS results this quarter with continued very modest help from FTN, which, at some point, will come back and really be a little bit more meaningful contributor to our EPS results.

  • So again, business is tough there, but the Coastal acquisition has certainly helped to round out and diversify the business.

  • D. Bryan Jordan - Chairman, CEO & President

  • Brian, this is Bryan.

  • I'll pick up on -- as well.

  • And it's -- don't lose perspective that Coastal's headquartered in Houston, and they lost basically a week with the tragedy of Harvey during the quarter, and Chris LaPorte and the team did a fantastic job managing through that.

  • And we have a number of bankers there as well, and we are very fortunate our people were largely didn't have long-term damage.

  • And we think given the distractions of what happened there and the results we saw in the third quarter with Coastal, we're very, very excited about what that platform brings to our organization and the capabilities that, that gives us over the next several years.

  • So we see that business or the government-guaranteed loan business to be a growing business, and we think our relevance will increase over time.

  • Operator

  • The next question comes from Tyler Stafford with Stephens Inc.

  • Tyler Stafford - MD

  • Just one question for me on mortgage warehouse.

  • Can you tell us what the average yields on the loans to mortgage companies were in the third quarter?

  • And then just can you talk about what you've seen in terms of pricing, new pricing, on new mortgage warehouse lines and what impacts from the new entrants have had on -- into that space have had on pricing?

  • William C. Losch - CFO & Executive VP

  • Yes, so this is BJ.

  • I think our current portfolio yield is around 4.75% or so in the portfolio.

  • And so they're still one of our higher -- highest-yielding portfolios.

  • In terms of what we're putting on, it's a little bit nuanced.

  • There is price competition in the business.

  • So to attract business sometimes or to get additional business from existing clients, we will make some price concessions.

  • But overall, we're still seeing LIBOR plus 250, 300 on the business.

  • And so we're still very bullish on it.

  • Tyler Stafford - MD

  • Okay.

  • And last quarter, you talked about lower dwell times, and that's obviously impacting the volume decel last quarter.

  • Can you talk about any trends you're seeing in dwell times this quarter?

  • Susan L. Springfield - Chief Credit Officer and EVP

  • Overall -- this is Susan.

  • Overall dwell times year-over-year have gone down about 2 days on average.

  • So that does affect the volume.

  • But as BJ mentioned, it actually also helps the yield a little bit because the fees associated with that business, and you add -- factor in the lower dwell time, we're getting a little bit higher yield overall.

  • We continued -- as I mentioned earlier about asset-based lending, the mortgage warehouse team, I think, has done a great job adding new customers but also increasing some business with existing customers, as we've seen, to make sure that we're continuing to get good volumes.

  • Obviously, it's a seasonal business, and we'll continue to see seasonal fluctuation.

  • Operator

  • The last question comes from Christopher Marinac with FIG Partners.

  • Christopher William Marinac - Director of Research

  • Just wanted to follow up on, Susan, as it relates to the delinquencies in C&I.

  • Is that something that is just noise in this time of year?

  • Or have there been any other trends there?

  • I just want to follow up on that point.

  • Susan L. Springfield - Chief Credit Officer and EVP

  • Okay, that's -- Chris, that's really driven by 2 C&I credits.

  • And one of them is a purchase credit impaired one from the GE acquisition.

  • And because of the accounting treatment, we can't put it in the nonperforming, so -- because it's nonperforming, it's actually showing up in the delinquent.

  • That's about half of the -- almost half of the number there.

  • And then we also had a credit downgraded during the third quarter, an agent bank and First Tennessee together are working with that client on renewals.

  • So there, it's agreement-type thing.

  • So that one was also contributing.

  • But if you took those 2 larger C&I out, we would have trends roughly like you've seen over the last few quarters.

  • So I don't see anything systemic at all.

  • Christopher William Marinac - Director of Research

  • Okay, great.

  • That's very helpful.

  • And BJ, just one for you.

  • As we think about what the Fed may do a couple of quarters out, how does that change deposits and pricing and betas?

  • And are you still thinking the same -- along the same lines as before?

  • William C. Losch - CFO & Executive VP

  • Yes, we think so, Chris.

  • Like I said earlier, since the beginning of the Fed's increase in short-term rates back in the 4Q '15, we've seen total deposit betas around 24%.

  • And we've said that "through the cycle", meaning when they start to when they kind of end, we thought it would be in aggregate around 40%.

  • So we're still below where we thought we'd ultimately be, which means that we have an expectation that deposit competition could certainly increase.

  • Now we hope that, that doesn't occur, but we're prepared for it, and I think we've done a pretty good job to date of managing our deposit costs through the rising rate environment so far.

  • Operator

  • This concludes our question-and-answer session.

  • I would like to turn the conference back over to Bryan Jordan, President and CEO, for any closing remarks.

  • D. Bryan Jordan - Chairman, CEO & President

  • Thank you, Rachel.

  • I was reminded earlier of a phrase that we used to use, and I don't think we used it in this call this morning and we used to use it a good bit.

  • Because we did -- we've tried to control what we can control, and we are very, very focused on managing the returns in the business and on our execution.

  • Now very proud of the work that our folks are doing to manage the business.

  • We're optimistic about it.

  • We see the tremendous opportunity with Capital Bank, and so we're excited about where our business is headed over the next several quarters.

  • Thank you for joining our call.

  • We appreciate your interest.

  • Please let us know if you have any further questions or need any additional information.

  • I hope everyone has a great weekend.

  • Thank you.

  • Operator

  • The conference has now concluded.

  • Thank you for attending today's presentation.

  • You may now disconnect.