燃料電池能源 (FCEL) 2002 Q2 法說會逐字稿

完整原文

使用警語:中文譯文來源為 Google 翻譯,僅供參考,實際內容請以英文原文為主

  • Moderator

  • Welcome to the FuelCell second quarter

  • conference call. Jerry Leitman is your leader today, on

  • May 30, 2002 at 10:00 o'clock a.m. eastern time. This is

  • the on core replay for conference id. number 426-7497.

  • At this time I would like to welcome everyone to the

  • FuelCell second quarter conference call. All lines have

  • been placed on listen only mode to reduce background

  • noise. After the speakers' remarks there will be a

  • question and answer period.

  • If you would like to ask a question during this time

  • simply press star and the number one on your telephone

  • keyed pad. If you would like to withdraw your question,

  • press star then the number two on the telephone key pad.

  • Thank you. Mr. Leitman, you may begin your conference,

  • sir.

  • Steve Destar - Director of Investor Relations

  • Actually this is Steve [Destar],

  • director of investor relations at FuelCell Energy. On

  • behalf of the executive management team at FuelCell Energy

  • we are happy to have you join us on our conference call.

  • Delivering formal remarks today are Jerry Leitman,

  • president and CEO, Chris Bentley, COO, and Joe Mahler,

  • CFO. Before proceeding I need to fulfill our legal

  • obligation to read the following safe harbor statement.

  • This presentations forward-looking statements including

  • the company's plans and expectations regarding development

  • and commercialization of the FuelCell technology.

  • Directed to read the caution area statements on

  • forward-looking statement in its filings with the SEC

  • commission. I would like to turn the call over to Jerry

  • Leitman.

  • Jerry Leitman - President and CEO

  • Thanks, Steve. I would like Chris

  • Bentley to give you an update on the facility in

  • Torrington.

  • Chris Bentley - COO

  • Thanks, Jerry, the stock assembly

  • area is rapidly building in process inventory of

  • submegawatt stack modules, assembling and increasing rate

  • of production of all components and subassemblies. We are

  • pleased at excellent progress has been made on production

  • recovery in the tape casting area. We are producing

  • electrodes and major [inaudible] on a single tape casting

  • machine with good quality. We have consistently met our

  • planned objectives for both of these components as we

  • continue to increase production rates to an expected

  • annualized level of 20 to 25 megawatts this summer.

  • The second tape caster has been ordered and it is

  • scheduled for start up in the fourth calendar quarter of

  • this year.

  • Our procurement team made progress working with

  • engineering for the balance of planned equipment. Either

  • in the first 16 to 20-megawatt plants are delivered we are

  • completing a comprehensive engineering program that we

  • expect to further reduce the cost of follow on product.

  • Initial deliveries of megawatt class D.O.P. will be

  • arriving in Torrington this summer, in preparation for

  • testing of the 1 megawatt power plant late this summer

  • that will be shipped to King County later this year.

  • Manufacturing continues to ramp up in all production

  • areas, we are preparing for the next level of production

  • capability. All major equipment required to produce

  • 150 megawatts per year has been identified. For instance,

  • continuous cinerator furnace, well as well as, materials

  • handling equipment, et cetera. In order to achieve the

  • volume, additional testing facilities and module testing

  • facilities will be required. We continue to produce a

  • strategy that would place these facilities at regional

  • locations in order to enhance customer service and reduce

  • shipping costs.

  • I'll turn the call back to Jerry.

  • Jerry Leitman - President and CEO

  • Thanks, Chris. I would like Joe

  • Mahler to review the recent financial results.

  • Joe Mahler - CFO

  • Good morning, everyone. FuelCell

  • Energy reported a revenue increase of 32 percent in the

  • second quarter of 2002, compared to 8.6 million. In the

  • second quarter of '02, to - I'm sorry.

  • 8.6 million compared to 6.5 million in the same quarter of

  • the previous year. Net loss for the second quarter was

  • 8.9 million or 23 cents per basic and diluted share,

  • compared with net loss of 5.1 million or 16 cents per

  • diluted share during the same quarter of the previous

  • year. Revenues increased 32 percent to 15.6 million for

  • the six month ended April 30, 2002 from 11.8 million for

  • the same period of 2001. Net loss for the six months

  • ended April 30, 2002 was 14.9 million or 38 cents for

  • basic and diluted share, compared with the net loss of

  • 7.9 million or 25 cents for basic and diluted share, cash,

  • cash equivalent and the investments, being primarily U.S.

  • treasury, on hand as of April 30, 238 million.

  • Cash decreased by 15.5 million in the second quarter and

  • cash decreased 32.3 million in the six month period ended

  • April 30, 2002.

  • The loss were the primary items behind the cash use of the

  • three and six month period ended April 30, 2002. Revenue

  • increases in both the current quarter and the year to date

  • were due to contracts involving the King County waste

  • water, U.S. Navy marine diesel program and the DOE coal

  • mine methane project, as well as items shipped to MTU, our

  • European partner.

  • The net loss for both the quarter and year to date reflect

  • the increased head counsel, research and development

  • contract, continuing development of the field trial

  • program, design of the submegawatt and megawatt products

  • and increased selling and general administrative costs,

  • primarily sales and marketing and other sales related to

  • growth of our business. The result of the activity has

  • been to prepare for the commercial loss. We are incurring

  • losses now to position ourselves for the future. We have

  • added over 150 new employees during the past year

  • primarily in field services and manufacturing to bring the

  • total employee count to 320.

  • The strategy is to have the staff hired and trained to

  • follow the increase of the power plant units and work with

  • the distribution partners and customers as the units are

  • delivered to the field. Another initiative, develop our

  • balance to [balance of plan] and bonus suppliers. This

  • involves a number of first time costs as well as the

  • vendors and their suppliers for non-recurring engineering,

  • first article testing, vendor qualification, and

  • inspections and so forth. These first time costs are part

  • of the early commercial field trial units, leading to cost

  • effectiveness and reduction in the future. I will turn

  • the call back to Jerry.

  • Jerry Leitman - President and CEO

  • Thanks, Joe. We are making

  • significant progress to prepare ourselves for the

  • commercial launch. The key near term objectives are

  • getting early units in the field at customer sites,

  • increasing production capacity, qualifying suppliers and

  • subsuppliers, and building the organization to support our

  • distribution partners and the market demand.

  • Our distribution partner network was enhanced by the

  • alliance agreement with Caterpillar we announced on

  • April 30. The strong commitment we reached with them

  • included incentives for order delivery, expansion of the

  • dealer network, selling the DSC power plants, and product

  • development is further validation of the FuelCell

  • Technology. Our market development agreement with MWH as

  • a partner with Anaerobic Digester Gas Processing expertise

  • for municipal and industrial waste water facilities,

  • enabled us to penetrate this renewable biogas market. The

  • global distribution partner base includes equipment

  • manufacturers as MTU in Europe, [Marabini] in Asia and

  • Caterpillar in North America, as well as energy solutions

  • companies here in the U.S. PP and L EnergyPlus, Chevron

  • Energy Solutions, [CMS By-Ron] Energy Services, and MWH

  • Energy Solutions.

  • We may choose to add partners in the foreseeable future

  • especially for market secretaries. We are confident we

  • have a comprehensive group of established energy solutions

  • and power generation product companies to compete

  • effectively in the global distributed generation

  • marketplace. Consistent with this we are focusing on

  • day-to-day inter action and training of sales and service

  • staff of all of our distribution partners. During the

  • summer, more than 75 representatives from our distribution

  • partner companies will be visiting us here in Danbury for

  • in depth sales and training on DFC power plants. The

  • partners with us for awhile are demonstrating success with

  • the power plants. PP and L announced the siting of two

  • sub-megawatt units for two different Starwood Hotels in

  • New Jersey, and was named finalist by the Connecticut

  • clean energy funds for two more sub-megawatt units for

  • Pepperidge Farms bakery here in Connecticut.

  • We continue to see progress by [Marabini] with the Kirin

  • Brewery announcement earlier this year and today with the

  • announcement of the 250 kilowatt unit for the city of

  • [Fukaroka], with one being a municipal wastewater unit and

  • the other being industrial waste water. We continue to

  • establish a strong global position in this important

  • market segment. I might add that King County waste water

  • plant where we are installing a one megawatt power plant

  • processing 115 million gallons a day, generating in total

  • 8 megawatts of gas, while the waste water treatment plants

  • in [Fukaroka] process 119 million gallons a day. We see

  • potential at both sites.

  • FCE completed the commissioning process and are ramping up

  • a sub megawatt unit for combined heat and power plant at a

  • fuel cell energy park owned by RWE, Germany's largest

  • utility. Another heat and power plant unit is completing

  • testing and conditioning now and will be shipped in mid

  • June to Spain for Europe's largest ship building company.

  • The attractive operating characteristics of distributed

  • fuel cell power plant are gaining wider recognition

  • throughout the U.S. Three additional states, Michigan,

  • Ohio and Texas advanced initiatives to advance the

  • commercialization of fuel cell technology, adding to the

  • list that includes Connecticut, Massachusetts, New York,

  • New Jersey, and California. Partners are being considered

  • for incentives in many of these states already.

  • Incentive programs are gaining momentum overseas as well.

  • Germany's legislation for 5.11 cent per kilowatt hour

  • credit for grid connected heat and power celled power

  • plants up to 2 megawatts in size was approved and became

  • effective last month. In Japan there's continuing

  • government focus on subsidies, up to 50 percent for

  • projects involving municipal and industrial waste water

  • treatment facilities. As we mentioned before we need to

  • make the decision to Torrington plant by this summer if we

  • are to remain on track for 400-megawatt production goal in

  • 2,004. Recent sitings and placements of the units in the

  • field and a broad as well as the positive developments

  • with global government initiatives are the drivers we are

  • looking at carefully as we assess the decision to expand.

  • We will continue to work with our partners to Market our

  • power plants before making this decision. Our focus is

  • the strategically position ourselves tore the leader in

  • our markets. We are making good progress towards

  • achieving that objective. We have a world class

  • distribution partners. Production capacity that is

  • established and expandable. We are learning from the

  • current field trial units and expect to accelerate

  • delivery during the next six months. Finally we are

  • building a strong organization and we have a solid

  • financial base.

  • With that I would like to open the call to any questions

  • you may have. Operator?

  • Moderator

  • At this time I would like to remind

  • everyone if you would like to ask a question, press star.

  • Then the number one on your telephone key pad. We will

  • pause for just a moment to compile this Q and A roster.

  • Your first question comes from Christine Farkus of Merrill

  • Lynch.

  • Analyst

  • Thank you very much. A question for Joe.

  • Is there a way to quantify the impact of the tape caster

  • accident in the second quarter on a cent per share basis?

  • Joe Mahler - CFO

  • Christine, I haven't really done that.

  • There's quite a few factors or several factors that play

  • into what we are working on right now. We are really

  • working to get the units, the new designed units to come

  • into the field. I think those, the combination of the

  • tape caster and the redesign have delayed it. But, you

  • know, those are multiple factors. We are at the

  • development stage company, moving forward. It's really

  • tough to try to pin it on the tape caster by itself.

  • Analyst

  • Just as a follow-up then in terms of

  • inventory, a brief discussion at the beginning about how

  • this is, how you are building inventory, do you expect the

  • inventory to climb in Q3 and Q4 as you accelerate

  • delivery? Can you comment on the expected burn in the

  • first half versus the second half of the year?

  • Joe Mahler - CFO

  • In terms of the inventory level, we

  • clearly have built some stacks at this point in time. We

  • expected those stacks will move to product and will be

  • delivered.

  • At the same time, however, that we expected the business

  • to the company to continue to expand. We have a goal of

  • getting production rate up to 20, 25 megawatts in the

  • summertime. We are preparing for '03. I would not expect

  • to have inventory really decrease. The components of the

  • inventory I think would change perhaps, but we are looking

  • to build for the visibility we have in the marketplace, we

  • are looking to continue to build the business at this

  • point. What was the second question?

  • Analyst

  • Do you have comments on your expected

  • burn in the second half of the year versus the first half

  • of the year?

  • Joe Mahler - CFO

  • There's a couple pieces to that

  • question. And the question is, we build inventory, the

  • biggest part, one of the big parts of the burn in of the

  • first half was working capital. We expect to continue to

  • build working capital in the second half. One of the key

  • decisions will be the decision to move to 150 megawatts.

  • And depending on the timing of that, it will have an

  • impact on how much we spend.

  • I think originally we were talking, I think in the last

  • conference call between ten and $25 million for that

  • expansion. Depending on when you start to do that, that

  • will will impact our cash flow. Assuming we move forward,

  • I expect the burn will be higher in the second half

  • Analyst

  • Thanks a lot.

  • Moderator

  • Your next question comes from Paul

  • Freemont of Jeffries and Company.

  • Analyst

  • Thank you very much. Really a couple of

  • questions. One is can you give us any type of a sense at

  • this point as to what it costs per KW to manufacture a

  • single cycle unit? And to the extent that the subsidy

  • program is currently in place in Germany, why has that not

  • resulted in any material types of orders for your product

  • as part of your partnership with M T U?

  • Finally, can you give a percent of the track of

  • commercialization of the hybrid product? And how is that

  • unit performing and testing?

  • Jerry Leitman - President and CEO

  • Paul, this is Jerry. As far as the

  • dollars per kilowatt, we said that with commercial launch

  • at 50 megawatts a year, the dollars per kilowatt is in the

  • 2500 to $3,000 per KW range. That generates the cost of

  • electricity that we have shown before.

  • We still see that to be the case. And as Chris and Joe

  • both mentioned, we are doing a lot of one ups with

  • suppliers to to position ourselves to have the right group

  • of suppliers for volume commercial production

  • We are incurring a lot of those, first article testing and

  • the like today. You can't look at the field trials and

  • say these are the same cost level as commercial launch.

  • The second question on MTU, I am not sure that your

  • premise is right. MTU has not announced any newed orders.

  • In fact, I am going to see them in a few weeks, but we

  • know they are diligently pursuing. I think if you look at

  • the list of units they have in the backlog now, you've got

  • R W E, you have EI, Energy [Burtberg], the three largest

  • in Germany. There is a reason you have field trials.

  • Deutsch telecom is another one.

  • I think you'll see some traction from that German

  • legislation. But MTU tends to announce as they did last

  • time bunches of orders at one time rather than one to one.

  • As soon as they announce, we will announce likewise.

  • As far as the hybrid cycle, it is performing as well as

  • expected if not even better. What we need, and I think we

  • talked about this before, the 30 kilowatts Capstone unit

  • doesn't quite take the heat transfer we need. We still

  • have to bring in fresh air, which hurts the cycle.

  • Capstone is committed to send us a 60-kilowatt unit. We

  • are buying it. But they are having to specialty engineer

  • it. The delivery is sometime in August. As soon as they

  • do, we will install it on the machine and see even better

  • results.

  • We are very pleased with where we are to date on that

  • hybrid unit.

  • Does that answer your question, Paul?

  • Analyst

  • I guess the only thing is, you're

  • currently in partnership with Caterpillar. You guys had

  • originally thought that the best application of a hybrid

  • might be somewhere in the 30-megawatt range. Wouldn't

  • testing with a solar turbine as opposed to a Capstone

  • turbine be required in order to see if that unit had a

  • market?

  • Jerry Leitman - President and CEO

  • You are very astute. Solar

  • turbinees, we think is the right turbine partner for our

  • large cycle units. But you don't do pilot testing with

  • 30-megawatt plants, Paul.

  • We can learn enough from the small scale 250-kilowatt with

  • a 60-kilowatt. With our D.O.E. contract - there's proof

  • of concept so we can approve - the solar turbinees

  • certainly work. The key issue is how do you get the heat

  • to run into the other and back? And so our plan is to

  • finish the proof of concept testing and then look at the

  • systems integration of a 40-megawatt plant. That's under

  • the figures 21 contract. Once we do that we will develop

  • a commercial strategy and launch it as a product line.

  • That's an '03 target as far as developing the strategy and

  • how we will launch.

  • Analyst

  • Thank you.

  • Moderator

  • Your next question comes from Jarrett

  • Carson of RBC Capital Markets.

  • Analyst

  • Good morning, guys. Backlog for a

  • moment. The announcement, I believe, from [Maribani] this

  • morning, is that already kind of built into the previous

  • kind of purchase agreement? And then if you could comment

  • on kind of where backlog is at this moment?

  • Jerry Leitman - President and CEO

  • Jarret, the [Maribani] bought nine

  • sub megawatt units. They announced the first, and then

  • this one today from [Fukaroka]. The backlog, Joe,

  • somewhere -

  • Joe Mahler - CFO

  • Just under twelve. That would be just

  • under twelve with - it's real in the same position. This

  • is deciding what is in the backlog. The backlog is about

  • twelve.

  • Analyst

  • So delivery, we would still anticipate a

  • bit more of a healthy ramp on product delivery starting

  • this quarter, Q3?

  • Jerry Leitman - President and CEO

  • Let me talk calendar quarters. Q3

  • calendar we'll see some deliveries starting and Q4

  • calendar we'll see quite a bit of deliveries.

  • We are, as you can anticipate with the delay we impacted

  • from the tape caster one to two quarters, that allowed us

  • to build up balance of plant inventory and the like.

  • As we start shipping, we will be shipping pretty often.

  • And then following that into '03 obviously

  • Analyst

  • Back to the California CPA. I believe

  • there was a release that the CPA had chosen its agents for

  • the revenue bonding. What can you give is there in terms

  • of what you are seeing or hearing in terms of moving that

  • forward and getting some monies available, loosened up

  • there?

  • Jerry Leitman - President and CEO

  • Cal power wants to do it. They

  • understand that both our technology and other new

  • technologies, their role as an aggregator is the way to

  • make this thing really move forward rapidly. New

  • technologies in the marketplace. From my viewpoint the

  • desire is very strong.

  • Whether or not they can get the financing, Jarret, there's

  • so many other influences there. It is a political year

  • also. So I just wouldn't be able to comment on whether or

  • not they will make the financing.

  • Analyst

  • Another question here on product

  • commercialization. I know we discussed before and I think

  • your phrase is close to, we are selling commercial units,

  • but we just need to tack on commercial terms and

  • conditions.

  • What is, what are the steps, the two or three things that

  • we have to get over here to have commercial products with

  • commercial terms and conditions available and maybe some

  • type of time frame around that?

  • Jerry Leitman - President and CEO

  • The time frame is, as we start

  • shipping these earlier units, Jarret, what we need to do

  • is get performance read outs in customer sites, as well as

  • testing here first and then customer sites, on the various

  • applications so we know how to put parameters around the

  • commercial terms and conditions.

  • Whether it's waste water plants or natural gas plants,

  • with co-gen, without co-gen and the like and build up the

  • experience base.

  • That doesn't stop us from taking commercial orders in '03.

  • We know enough about the products that we know what

  • commercial risks to take and what not to take. This is in

  • concert with our partners.

  • But as we get more experience with operating units around

  • the world, we can take, we can reduce our risk and take

  • stronger and stronger commercial terms

  • Analyst

  • Thank you. I'll hop back in the queue.

  • Moderator

  • Next question is Eric Prouty from Adams

  • and Harkness.

  • Analyst

  • Thank you. With the additional states

  • joining on promoting FuelCell technology, can you give a

  • little indication of what you feel the aggregate dollar

  • amounts, this would be not including the large amount of

  • money available to the California power authority. Could

  • you give us an idea of how much money is available out

  • there? I guess more specifically, if you have a number of

  • the dollar value of the RFPs that are out there currently

  • for specific FuelCell power plants that your product could

  • address? Thank you.

  • Jerry Leitman - President and CEO

  • RFPs we won't talk about. If they

  • are public, they are public. If they are not, we don't

  • talk about our proposal activity. We only talk about

  • awards.

  • It varies by state. Connecticut I think has about

  • $8 million in the state. They are trying to expand that

  • pot of money bigger. Massachusetts has, last I heard, 40

  • or 50 million. New Jersey, Joe, do you recall on New

  • Jersey what they had? About 20 million?

  • Joe Mahler - CFO

  • I think it was around 20.

  • Jerry Leitman - President and CEO

  • New York has a lot of [CERTA] money

  • that they have. Michigan, Ohio and Texas are talking big

  • time. Texas is looking at a California type approach, but

  • for a thousand megawatts of FuelCell power plants. They

  • would pay for them via tax or rate increase on the dirty

  • power plants, quote. The dirty power plants would pay for

  • the FuelCells. That legislation will go also into early

  • next year.

  • So it is a varied map. And we track it pretty heavy. I

  • don't have the numbers at the tips of my fingers.

  • Keep in mind our partners, all of them in Europe and Asia

  • and here, they go for the funds, they or their customers.

  • We look at it more from a, we promote it at the state

  • level. It's the partners and the customers that do the

  • applications and go for the funds.

  • Analyst

  • Thank you.

  • Moderator

  • Your next question comes from Lisa

  • Callahan of ThinkEquity Partners.

  • Analyst

  • Yes. Between now and until this summer,

  • what needs to be done to get the old tape caster to full

  • load? And will that be an announcement that will be made

  • in your next earnings call?

  • Jerry Leitman - President and CEO

  • I don't know whether we will

  • announce or not, but we will be answer questions. Chris,

  • you wants to address what you are doing now?

  • Chris Bentley - COO

  • Maybe you can go over the question

  • again for me, Lisa, I'm not quite sure I understood.

  • Analyst

  • As I understand it right now, the older

  • tape caster is are you positiving at partial loads, two

  • loads a Kay day, two shifts a day. What needs to be done

  • to get it to full load between now and this summer when

  • you say it will run in the 20-megawatt capacity range?

  • Chris Bentley - COO

  • I understand the question. We are

  • trying to be cautious with the way we ramp the equipment

  • up. We sort of planned and discussed in the last

  • conference call. And the progress we are making is really

  • very good.

  • It is simply a matter of extending the length of each of

  • the casts that we make on a daily basis. Currently we are

  • making two casts. Those two casts together cover roughly

  • eight or nine hours of the day. As we extend those casts

  • out we will be able to bring it up to 20 megawatts. We

  • don't have to change the processes or add any people. We

  • just need to keep doing what we are doing by adding a bit

  • of length to the cast each day

  • Analyst

  • That takes how long? You said something

  • about hours?

  • Chris Bentley - COO

  • We would expect -

  • Jerry Leitman - President and CEO

  • If the question is how many hours

  • does it take to cast 20 megawatts? Is that the question?

  • Analyst

  • Sure.

  • Jerry Leitman - President and CEO

  • It is roughly twice what we are

  • doing now. It would be about 16 hours of casting on a

  • daily basis.

  • Analyst

  • Okay. All right. Thanks. One last

  • question. Regards to the competitive environment, in

  • FuelCell how do you think is the most formidable

  • competitor and why, and can you comment on Mitsubishi

  • electric?

  • Joe Mahler - CFO

  • The biggest competitors are

  • traditional generation, the turbines. FuelCell

  • competition? The only company that is in our space is see

  • man's Westinghouse. We know them well. Used to be a

  • joint venture with them many years ago.

  • We think we have a lead of a year or two, based on what

  • they publish and present as far as when they are going to

  • have, what capacity when. So that's, you know, where we

  • see the competitive landscape.

  • Mitsubishi electric?

  • Analyst

  • Electric. They are doing molten carbon,

  • right?

  • Jerry Leitman - President and CEO

  • Mitsubishi electric some years ago

  • was a licensee of ours for motel en carbon and FuelCells.

  • They were what they call down selected from their R and D

  • funds from the government were cut way back and which

  • jumped on to [Maribani] as our partner in Japan as a

  • result of that.

  • IHI in Japan is the chief one now. We know them well and

  • [Maribani] knows them well. We are more years ahead of

  • them than even [Seamans] Westinghouse, both from cost and

  • performance and reliability standpoint.

  • Analyst

  • Ingersoll Rand and [Stephens] announced

  • recently they are running a FuelCell gas micro turbine,

  • 190 kilowatts. They announced that was the world's first

  • micro, you know, gas turbine FuelCell hybrid

  • Can you comment on that? And is it safe to say you have

  • done the same thing as a demonstration, if you will.

  • Jerry Leitman - President and CEO

  • I am not going to comment on what

  • their claim are. We saw the same claims. Anybody can

  • claim anything.

  • As far as the difference there, it is a dramatic

  • difference. Our FuelCell and turbine are de coupled. We

  • take the heat energy from the FuelCell and put it into the

  • turbine. The net result of that is the turbine can run at

  • its pressure ratio, whatever it wants to do and the

  • FuelCell can run unpressurized which is what we want to

  • do.

  • The traditional approach that [Seamsns] Westinghouse has

  • taken is the turbine pressurizes the FuelCell. We believe

  • that approach is more complex and more costly. For the

  • same degree of performance than the approach we're taking.

  • And that's as much as I can really say about that. We

  • were - other than that, we mentioned in the press

  • release, we gotp got a patent on that. Any high

  • temperature FuelCell set were you present a heat

  • transmitting to a turbine like this. Any high temperature

  • FuelCell. We are quite pleased with that.

  • Analyst

  • Thanks, Jerry.

  • Moderator

  • Your next question comes from David

  • Smith of Salomon Smith Barney.

  • Analyst

  • Good morning. I want to follow on to

  • Christine's question. She talked about the profit impact

  • of the tape caster. You didn't really have a, I guess a

  • definitive answer. Would sales be impacted by the tape

  • caster, impacted in this quarter?

  • Joe Mahler - CFO

  • I think absolutely. I did try to say

  • that. That the sales are clearly delayed. I mean the two

  • major things that we have been working on in the first and

  • second quarter are the redesign and getting those units

  • ready to go. And then the tape caster, you know, that

  • incident occurred in January. So it obviously pushed us

  • out, you know, one to two quarters.

  • Analyst

  • So it's really - I guess I'm wondering

  • about your planned deliveries. What has been the impact

  • of the tape caster on this quarter?

  • Jerry Leitman - President and CEO

  • I can't talk to the quarter, David,

  • but we said, what, Joe, five to 8 megawatts for the fiscal

  • year? We were talking 15 to 20 megawatts prior to the

  • tape caster incident, if not more. It has been that kind

  • of impact as far as shipments

  • Analyst

  • Okay. So obviously a portion, which is

  • left to be determined, but of that 20 megawatts or

  • 50 megawatts, it would have been in this quarter? And

  • ramping up during the year?

  • Jerry Leitman - President and CEO

  • I think the impact was more like

  • two quarters and while we don't like that impact on the

  • financials and the like, the main impact from our

  • standpoint and our partners was getting product out in the

  • field. The more applications, the more diverse units we

  • have in the field, the more the it stimulates market

  • interest. That was more our regret than anything.

  • Analyst

  • Okay. The second thing, can you comment

  • on the availability and reliability of the systems that

  • you put in the field? Leading up to the commercial

  • release of the next generation? Can you comment on what

  • kind of operating results you are getting out of the new

  • product?

  • Jerry Leitman - President and CEO

  • We haven't reported on any of our

  • field trials and really don't intend to. The competitive

  • data and confidential data.

  • Number two, afield trial by its nature, you don't turn it

  • on and see how long it can run on a stable condition. You

  • take it through its trials. You do various testing, test

  • techniques at the customer site and with the customer's

  • blessing. That data, we retain that as internal

  • proprietary data.

  • From our viewpoint, we are quite pleased. We already

  • mentioned on previous calls, the information we gained

  • from the units in Germany and the units we ran here in the

  • U.S. have led to some significant changes both in

  • primarily in cost but also in opera built of the units.

  • We are pleased with where we are right now.

  • Analyst

  • Is it system cost or reliability? What

  • are the main focuses?

  • Jerry Leitman - President and CEO

  • The main focus is work ability

  • right now, and ease of work ability to operators. That is

  • the main focus. That is what the marketplace demands.

  • The secondary priority is cost. But, you know, that's

  • secondary right now. Pretty soon cost becomes the big

  • driver. Reliability, performance, work ability of the

  • product is the main thrust right now.

  • Analyst

  • All right. Work ability, does that

  • encompass reliability and performance?

  • Jerry Leitman - President and CEO

  • It is reliability. It is ease of

  • performance. It is ease of service engineers. When we do

  • have to perform service. It's understanding inter

  • connections to the grid. It is all of that together. It

  • is not just part of seeing how long it runs at a certain

  • point. What is the grid trip? What is the best way to

  • inter connect and change out filters for the water system?

  • What is the best temperature to keep the control cabinets?

  • What is the best control algorithms. All of those you

  • learn with each site and each application

  • Analyst

  • That's what I'm looking for. One thing

  • on capacity. I might have heard it right, but you said

  • maybe in a different location. Did you say that?

  • Jerry Leitman - President and CEO

  • Yeah owe mow

  • Analyst

  • The capacity would be at a different

  • location?

  • Joe Mahler - CFO

  • Our strategy has been inconsistent

  • about that, David. We expect to continue to expand the

  • production of the basic FuelCell package in Torrington

  • through 400 megawatts. But as we expand our final

  • assembly testing, conditioning, module integration steps

  • and capacity, we would expect to do that at remote sites.

  • Satellite locations which ideally would be close to where

  • the customer's clusters are to improve service and reduce

  • transportation costs.

  • We don't see much volume leverage associated with the

  • final assembly and testing as we do, on the contrary, see

  • on the production of components. Basically that has been

  • our strategy for quite some time.

  • Analyst

  • Is that with the U.S. you are focused on

  • that?

  • Jerry Leitman - President and CEO

  • Right now we have two facilities.

  • One in Danbury for testing and conditioning and one in

  • Munich for final assembly and integration with the balance

  • of the plant. What Chris is saying is, Torrington as far

  • as automated cell production will be the site at least

  • through 400 megawatts.

  • But the assembly and test conditioning and testing should

  • be done remotely. We are doing in Germany now. Maybe in

  • California and Asia, et cetera. Rather than doing it all

  • here in Connecticut.

  • Analyst

  • Got you.

  • Chris Bentley - COO

  • I might also add it is attractive

  • for some of the state initiatives if you are willing to

  • put a FuelCell plant in their home state. We obviously

  • are using that.

  • Analyst

  • The last thing, quickly. I am not

  • completely clear. I know you are talking about product

  • deliveries by year end. But the amount of inventory

  • that's building up, can you just comment on one last time

  • a little and just clarify for me? I think, we expect all

  • the inventory we see on the books now to be delivered by

  • calendar or fiscal year end? To me it seems like a pretty

  • large jump that we are seeing at this point.

  • Jerry Leitman - President and CEO

  • The inventory is moved up to about

  • $18 million. In the inventory we have some cell stacks

  • that are completed. We are building our inventory of

  • cells and then we have also built up quite a bit of raw

  • material.

  • So about half the inventory, you know, could be considered

  • raw material, which is your basic material, your nick em,

  • stainless steel, those things.

  • What we are ramping for, we are going to get to

  • 20.5-megawatt run rate. That's the kind of inventory we

  • have to build.

  • Then we will be adding D.O.P. to the inventory for a

  • shorter amount of time. The theory there is to try to

  • keep it on the balance sheet as short as possible.

  • Yes, we will be building inventory, but you will see some

  • movement in the inventory. You will see a bunch of units

  • starting to go out of here. You will see the

  • characteristic of the unit playing through. We will get

  • it finished and out the door and start the process all

  • over again.

  • Analyst

  • A lot of this is a backlog thing?

  • Chris Bentley - COO

  • Jerry Leitman - President and CEO

  • You know, there's no activity in

  • the quarter. We see the business is there and we are

  • continuing to build the business.

  • Chris Bentley - COO

  • You will see that inventory

  • currently on the books decreased, but I hope you see

  • inventory build. That means we are getting orders and

  • increasing the backlog. That's how we want to do it when

  • we launch into '03.

  • Analyst

  • This is targeted at what is in the

  • backlog now. If, your net net would work itself down, but

  • this is for building towards the remainder of the year?

  • Moderator

  • The next question comes from Neil

  • McAtee from Morgan Keegan.

  • Analyst

  • Hello, Jerry. I just was, it looked like

  • you're now moving ahead. The question I had was, and Joe

  • may be the one to answer this. Costs of research and

  • development contracts was up a lot more than the revenue.

  • And also the R and D expenses were up. Is some of the

  • expenses of getting the tape caster back, is that where

  • they would show up, number one? Number two, is the

  • increase in employees from 165 to 320 mainly run through

  • R and D? And - or is there some other reason that maybe the

  • costs of the R and D contracts are up more than say year over

  • year? It looked like you had a positive gross margin last

  • year. Maybe there's something in the April 30, 2001

  • number. You need to refresh my memory why that was

  • actually positive and the flip flop this year.

  • Joe Mahler - CFO

  • Let me walk you through what happens

  • in our financial statements. In the quarter we had a nice

  • increase in the government contracting line item. Let me

  • back off of that for one second and the view of the

  • quarter as I have it, most of the impact is timing.

  • Product mix really drives our financial statements. So as

  • the product mix comes in, this leads to the question, why

  • do you have a positive product margin on government

  • contracting last year and why is the margin showing now a

  • loss?

  • The difference is we are getting from the government the

  • 50 percent cost share contracts. In those contracts we

  • supply up to 50 percent of the contract. Those are good

  • contracts for us because we are getting terrific R and D.

  • These are, for example, King County, an EPA contract to

  • put the mega watt waste treatment unit in the field. It's

  • R and D, but it's putting a workable unit into the field.

  • We can get 50-cent dollars. If we go back to some prior

  • conference calls, we were estimates this year na part of

  • the government contract base would be the overall deal

  • D.O.E. contract, with clean coal, coal methane and Navy,

  • all have a cost sharing piece to that. The whole year, 20

  • to 25 of government contract revenue. We would incur a

  • loss of somewhere around, you know, somewhere between

  • three and eight, three to $10 million on contracting

  • because of the cost share contracts.

  • That's how our financial statements will work. In the

  • quarter it happens that a big part of the quarter was the

  • King County contract at a 50 percent cost share. That is

  • how the financial statements work.

  • On the R and D contract, the line down below, we are

  • spending R and D money and some value engineering with some

  • value engineering firms to help to engineer the packaging

  • of these units, which is one of our cost reduction goals

  • and the opportunity for us to do that was to do it now.

  • That's why you see that those costs are higher than last

  • year.

  • So just to summarize, really what you see in the quarter

  • is timing and you see product mix. And then your last

  • point is yes, we are, you know, we really are moving

  • forward. We are building this business. We are adding

  • people. We are over 300 people now. Yes, we need volume

  • out the door to absorb those costs. But you know, we see

  • that volume coming.

  • Analyst

  • Great. This sounds like the third

  • quarter is where some excitement can begin.

  • Jerry Leitman - President and CEO

  • We think every quarter is exciting.

  • Analyst

  • Thanks, Joe and Jerry.

  • Moderator

  • Next question comes from Bill Fogel of

  • Wachovia Securities.

  • Analyst

  • Good morning, guys. Could you give us

  • the total kilowatt shipped for the quarter?

  • Jerry Leitman - President and CEO

  • What was it, Joe?

  • Joe Mahler - CFO

  • I think in the quarter we actually

  • shipped sales to MTU, one plus - one plus.

  • Jerry Leitman - President and CEO

  • One to two stacks. I don't know

  • exactly where the quarter went. We shipped to MTU. Those

  • are the units I mentioned. The unit for the RWE energy

  • park and for [EASER] in Spain. We didn't ship any out the

  • door, any units from here, from FuelCell energy.

  • Analyst

  • Okay. Also in terms of potential

  • additional distribution partners, are you where you want

  • to be there? Should we expect some more distribution

  • partners announcements potentially over the next number of

  • quarters?

  • Jerry Leitman - President and CEO

  • I wouldn't think so, Bill. We are

  • not aggressively seeking. There are some specialty niches

  • that we may do. When you look at, you know, we have three

  • strong OEMs, MTU in Europe, [Marabini] in Asia and

  • Caterpillar here. We have four good solutions companies.

  • I won't say no, never, but if people knock on the door, if

  • they make sense, if it's a good market segment - frankly,

  • as I mentioned, we will have over 75 people here in our

  • Danbury offices starting in a couple of weeks for sales

  • and service training.

  • By the wait, that only represents about a fourth of the

  • Caterpillar electric power dealers. Just primarily in the

  • northeast and west coast.

  • We are going to have plenty to say grace over as far as

  • getting these partners up and trained.

  • One of the interesting things we have seen, it takes about

  • a year for these guys to get traction in the marketplace.

  • And that's why we want to take our current crop of

  • partners and train them so they can start getting

  • traction. After that, you know, in there is a specific

  • partner that has a specific strong market position, we

  • certainly would look at it. But we are not aggressively

  • seeking anything like that.

  • Analyst

  • Great. One last question. In terms of

  • the power electronics that you are looking to use for the

  • units, have you decided who the vendor is going to be for

  • those? If so, who that is or what stage of the process

  • are you in currently?

  • Jerry Leitman - President and CEO

  • No, bill, we haven't. That is

  • where a lot of the first time calls come through. We have

  • operated G.E., we have A.B.Bs coming in, [Sef-con] coming

  • in. These are sub megawatt, 1 megawatt, and 2-megawatt.

  • We have mag na tech we are going one with, going through a

  • test period with them on our unit here in Connecticut. We

  • talked to emmer son.

  • In the three to five, four to five is where we want to do

  • it. We want to test them and put them in the commercial

  • field trial units and put them out at customer sites to

  • get a handle on who is the one, two, or three best

  • suppliers of that.

  • All of this takes time and all of which means you incur a

  • lot of first time costs. We would have been better to

  • stay with G.E. But in order to have the best suppliers

  • and the best costs going forward, we have to sort through

  • and see who really the best guys are.

  • Analyst

  • Thanks, Jerry.

  • Moderator

  • Your next question comes from Cyrus

  • Lowe of J.P. Morgan.

  • Analyst

  • Good morning. Most of my questions have

  • already been answered. Can you talk about your

  • intellectual property and what the average remaining life

  • is on the patents?

  • Jerry Leitman - President and CEO

  • We said in the press release, it's

  • 39, Cyrus, in the U.S. and 90-something overseas. We have

  • somewhere between eight and nine years left. Some of the

  • much older ones have dropped off in the last year or so.

  • But we've got 39, of which 25 to 30 are really core, no

  • how ones. Then we have some others, as we are learning

  • new things and going forward, we are continuing to add

  • these. I won't say every quarter, but it's a major thrust

  • of us.

  • As you get operational, you start finding all kinds of

  • creative ideas that may not be core technology, but they

  • are pretty neat. It is a key thrust for us.

  • We don't believe, we looked at the portfolio in the last

  • three months. We don't believe that we have any real

  • exposure. We think we have the belt and suspenders pretty

  • well around our I P.

  • Analyst

  • Can you tell us about the relationship

  • with MWH and quantify the opportunities you see for this

  • relationship? When do you expect as to see new orders

  • coming through?

  • Jerry Leitman - President and CEO

  • They have to get trained. This

  • just happened. We are talking to them. We initially

  • talked to them on the west coast, that's where the

  • relationship started. They have multiple offices.

  • They are also big in power generation. But the key thrust

  • we are looking at is waste water treatment. I think you

  • will see that starting on the west coast. That's our

  • thrust. I don't want to say concretely.

  • They are one of the ones we need to get in and trained on

  • sales and service and from them to learn on their

  • knowledge on an aerobic digester gas. They are not

  • directly involved in King County, but when we crank that

  • unit up in late summer that is part of the training

  • process we want to go through with them.

  • Analyst

  • Okay. Great. Thank you.

  • Moderator

  • Your next question comes from Kelly

  • Nash of McDonald Investments.

  • Analyst

  • Hi, guys. Can you go through, other than

  • the King County, which other units are scheduled to be

  • delivered this calendar year?

  • Jerry Leitman - President and CEO

  • , I can give you off the top of

  • my head we are looking at the coast guard and one, at

  • least one of the hotel properties for P P and L.

  • We are looking at Kirin Brewery for [Marabini]. We are

  • looking at three or four more stacks for MTU. - Chris,

  • three to four? Three or four more. One or two more units

  • for L.A.. Help me guys if I'm missing anything.

  • Probably the University of Connecticut unit will go in,

  • the one that the governor announced.

  • It is - we are doing some juggling because we have two

  • things. One, we want to satisfy all of the partners'

  • commitments to their customers. Two, we want to get the

  • most interesting, the broadest geographical spread. The

  • ones that give us the best market impact going forward to

  • generate interest are the main thrust.

  • Analyst

  • Can you talk about some of the problems

  • that you are running - can you give us the length of the

  • negotiation process that takes place as you are looking to

  • install or add new units to the backlog?

  • Jerry Leitman - President and CEO

  • Part of it is getting these guys

  • trained because they tend to end up. We have a better

  • feel for where some of the market opportunities are than

  • they. So it is getting them trained to where they are.

  • Obstacles, inter connect standards are always an obstacle.

  • The local power gap doesn't want us around. That's true

  • around the world. Getting the gas company involved, that

  • has been successful in New Jersey, for example. Because

  • the gas company wants to be our partner, wants to sell gas

  • during the summertime.

  • Getting the multiplicity of co-gen operation options. The

  • FuelCell, particularly on natural gas or waste water gas

  • is standard to us now. But each cogeneration is different

  • whether you are generating esteem or direct firing to an

  • absorption chiller. Each of the co-gens is a different

  • scenario

  • Besides the inter connects, the local codes and standards.

  • The other issue is that, it's not surprising, I think to

  • anybody who looked at distributed generation. Many of the

  • customers don't want products. They want the energy. The

  • electricity and the heat from the co-gen. Therefore, it

  • is in effect a power sale agreement. Those are more

  • complex to develop than just selling a product across the

  • transom. Those are some of the issues, Kelly. I think

  • they are certainly not impossible. They have been proven

  • so far. From our standpoint we will have an order of

  • magnitude more salesmen, ten times the number of sales

  • membership on the street by the end of this summer than

  • the end of last summer. That will make a big difference

  • as far as impact in the marketplace.

  • Analyst

  • Finally, can you give us an idea of how

  • many employees you are likely to add over the next six

  • months, year or so?

  • Jerry Leitman - President and CEO

  • I think the paste,, going towards

  • '03, it will slow down. There are key areas that we are

  • hiring that we will continue to hire. It won't be bulk

  • process operators or a lot of field service or engineers.

  • A month ago we hired a very key guy for our spare parts

  • after market business. Now, you don't need a spare

  • markets spare markets guy until you go into a commercial

  • business. It will be that type of organizational add of

  • key people we need.

  • We looked at where the organization needs to be 30 years

  • from now as we get to 4 megawatts of capacity. We are

  • looking at the core spots within that and looking at how

  • do we add those. We have the people before we need them

  • instead of after we need them.

  • Analyst

  • So the ramp up of employees -

  • Jerry Leitman - President and CEO

  • Will slow down.

  • Analyst

  • Okay, thank you.

  • Moderator

  • Next question comes from Chris Kwan of

  • TD Securities.

  • Analyst

  • Hi, guys. A couple of accounting

  • questions first. You went into a little bit on inventory.

  • Do you have a breakdown of that 1829 between within and

  • finish goods?

  • Chris Bentley - COO

  • I haven't broken that down. In

  • effect, Chris, the - we've gotten stacks that are

  • completed in one context that would be finished goods.

  • It's just work in process to the completion of the total

  • unit.

  • We don't break it down into that type of detail. I say

  • half the inventory is raw material and half is either

  • finished stacks or finished or cell components or in

  • process cell components. That is where the majority of

  • the inventory would lie.

  • Analyst

  • And you have other current assets that

  • has been rising the last couple of quarters. What is in

  • there?

  • Chris Bentley - COO

  • Let me take a look. Bear with me

  • for a moment.

  • Analyst

  • It's that 5.4 million.

  • Joe Mahler - CFO

  • In effect what it is, it's cash that

  • we are controlled substancing to vendors, primarily for

  • balance of plant type items.

  • Jerry Leitman - President and CEO

  • Testing?

  • Joe Mahler - CFO

  • No, it's Dow payments.

  • Analyst

  • The investments, what is in there?

  • Joe Mahler - CFO

  • That's U.S. treasury with alonger term

  • than 90 days. There is really no marketable securities or

  • anything like that. It is longer term U.S. treasuries.

  • Pretty much we probably average less than a year of

  • maturity on that.

  • Analyst

  • Those investments could be considered

  • cash?

  • Joe Mahler - CFO

  • Absolutely. That's how we view it.

  • In the press release we tried to outline that these are

  • treasury. We view them as cash.

  • Analyst

  • A bigger picture. Between the three

  • primary distributors, MTU and Caterpillar, how would you

  • rank those guys, one, two, and three in terms of the near

  • term and longer term prospects for more significant

  • orders?

  • Jerry Leitman - President and CEO

  • I don't want to get in trouble with

  • the partners, but let me differentiate it this way. We

  • call these guys OEMs. We will eventually ship them

  • FuelCell or FuelCell modules. They will incorporate it

  • into a [Marabini] or MTU today or Caterpillar power plant,

  • as they develop the product.

  • So that is why we call them like an OEM. It will be their

  • power plant but with our FuelCell module as a prime mover.

  • The others, Chevron, MWH, P P and L don't make products.

  • They offer total solutions to customers.

  • We don't know in the de regulated distributed generation

  • world who will win out. Maybe both will. That's why we

  • want a mix of product type companies and energy solutions

  • type companies. I'm just not willing to bet. Obviously

  • Caterpillar is the largest in the world in distributed

  • generation. MTU is one of their competitors. [Marabini]

  • has a lot of partnership relationships in Japan and has

  • put in 20,000 megawatts of power plants. The energy

  • solutions companies in the U.S. have been all very

  • successful.

  • That's why I said consistently, we want six, eight, ten of

  • these guys. And then I know we will have some that exceed

  • expectations, some that don't immediate expectations but

  • in the mix we should come out okay.

  • Analyst

  • What I'm trying to get at is, especially

  • between the three of those, you have U.S., Japan and

  • germany. Which market do you see opening up?

  • Jerry Leitman - President and CEO

  • Germany, incentive is big. They had

  • good subsidies - you'll see some real traction. It just

  • became law. And there's a big green influence and a big

  • carbon tax issue in Europe.

  • Japan, big green influence, big carbon tax, Japan is

  • slower to adapt new technologies than North America and

  • Europe. When they adapt, they adapt very strongly.

  • U.S., much more free market, much more de regulation, less

  • environmental influence. So you know, I don't know which

  • one is going to win. Each has pros and cons. I wouldn't

  • be surprised to see all three major regions track about

  • the same way, but for different reasons.

  • Analyst

  • Okay, great. Thanks a lot.

  • Moderator

  • Your next question comes from Ali Agha

  • of CS.O.

  • Analyst

  • Hi, from Banc of America Securities.

  • Couple of questions. Could you remind us of your larger

  • sized units that are being produced right now, looking at

  • what is the percentage completion so far?

  • Chris Bentley - COO

  • The perjt exrietion completion

  • is - I don't have that in front of me right now, Ali.

  • It's - we had a big boost this quarter. We should have

  • impact next quarter on that. And then a little bit more

  • in the following quarter. I would say it's under 50 at

  • this point.

  • Analyst

  • Is that average for all of them or one

  • particular project?

  • Chris Bentley - COO

  • That's really King County?

  • Analyst

  • What about the Navy and the coal mine

  • methane?

  • Chris Bentley - COO

  • They are in various states of

  • completion at this point.

  • Analyst

  • Okay.

  • Chris Bentley - COO

  • We talked Ali for this year, year

  • to date we have 13, 14 million in - 13.1 in R and D

  • contracts. We are expecting to hit between 15 and 25 for

  • the rest of the year. You'll see activity on King County,

  • coal mine methane, Navy, DOE contract, vision 21 to a

  • smaller degree and perhaps some build up in clean coal for

  • the rest of the year.

  • Analyst

  • Remind me, the total value of those

  • government contracts is what?

  • Joe Mahler - CFO

  • Another good question that I don't

  • have. I would say that the total backlog, I would say

  • it's probably in excess of 50 million.

  • Analyst

  • But does that also include the sub

  • kilowatts in there? Is that just for the megawatts and

  • higher?

  • Joe Mahler - CFO

  • That includes everybody.

  • Analyst

  • Also for the sub megawatts, are those

  • also right now accounted for on a percentage completion?

  • Joe Mahler - CFO

  • Yes, they are.

  • Analyst

  • And with regard to the units that were,

  • that you planned to ship out, in Q3 and Q4, especially the

  • sub megawatt units, are some of those revenues already

  • showing up in the percentage of completion accounting?

  • Joe Mahler - CFO

  • Small amount is showing up. There is

  • some that is showing up in inventory, Ali. That inventory

  • will be transferred over to those units over the next

  • several quarters.

  • Analyst

  • Okay. Jerry, as you look at the market

  • environment right now and you talked a fair amount on the

  • three different continents, generally speaking is it fair

  • to say that the near term opportunities are primarily

  • coming from some kind of government supported or sponsor

  • or subsidized programs? Are you seeing any pure private

  • companies without any subsidies right now stepping up to

  • the plate?

  • Jerry Leitman - President and CEO

  • In general, no. If the money is

  • there, anybody is going to go for it. If the money wasn't

  • there, with the early adopters still buy? I think they

  • would. You are never going to find anybody not turning

  • down that money and it takes them some time to go through

  • the application process and the like.

  • Joe Mahler - CFO

  • The money is where we would focus

  • anyway, northeast, west coast, Germany, Japan. It is

  • there. Therefore, people are going after it.

  • Analyst

  • Okay. Is it fair to say, then, that the

  • conversation that you are having particularly in the U.S.

  • for potential customers, your distributors are having, you

  • find a change in mind set today from twelve months ago

  • when everyone was focused on California and blackouts, et

  • cetera?

  • You seeing a change in people's thinking as you talk to

  • them today?

  • Joe Mahler - CFO

  • The ones that we are focusing on, the

  • ones we are getting proposals to - not talking about an

  • industrial plant or anything, these guys are as a have I.

  • The four star hotel chains, these guys are savvy.

  • Kilowatts are going to be free. There won't be another

  • blackout. The whole power industry was manipulated in

  • Californi. Electricity is cheap. That is kind of a front

  • page of the newspaper assessment. But commercial and

  • industrial customers our partners are talking to don't

  • believe that.

  • Analyst

  • Okay. Final question. Jerry, as you

  • look at the decision to ramp up production and the

  • parameters that are out there, are you expecting or would

  • you look at the orders coming through the door that would,

  • you know, take you over the hump? Would it be more

  • comfort level in activity that is going on? What exactly

  • would be the key criteria for you to decide on capacity

  • expansion?

  • Jerry Leitman - President and CEO

  • Comfort level in the commitment and

  • capability of our distribution partners. Comfortable with

  • that right now. I will be more comfortable after we train

  • 75 or 80 of them.

  • That's more than anything, Ali - we will probably then

  • make that decision to CapEx, to spend the CapEx to go to

  • 150 megawatts. It's 20 to $25 million, of which that also

  • includes some potential regional testing on the assembly

  • facilities which we can keep here in Connecticut. Don't

  • have to make them regional.

  • I don't want to be behind the production machinery curve.

  • I want the CapEx in there so I have a plant with machinery

  • to do 150 megawatts because I believe it can happen. Then

  • we'll control the cash burn by raw material inventory, how

  • many people we hire, how many workers, and the like. It

  • would be a darn shame to have a huge market demand and be

  • sitting here without the machinery capacity to do it. It

  • takes a year. I mean, the replacement tape caster Chris

  • mentioned earlier, we are getting it in six months. That

  • is where we were saying hey, if you get it to us faster,

  • we'll pay more. Six months is what it takes.

  • We don't want to be behind the eight ball when it comes to

  • machinery. We would rather control our cash burn to

  • volume based on what we see the market doing.

  • Analyst

  • That would not necessarily mean orders

  • being signed?

  • Jerry Leitman - President and CEO

  • Comfortable, as I am now, we have

  • the right distribution partners and coming up on the

  • learning curve and getting feet to the street, we will

  • spend the money. I won't make the decision right now, but

  • during the summer we will make that decision.

  • Analyst

  • Thank you.

  • Moderator

  • Your next question comes from Marco

  • Pencak of Credi Suisse First Boston.

  • Analyst

  • Good morning. You have been talking

  • about inventory an the evaluation. Would you tell us how

  • many megawatts of stacks are actually in inventory today?

  • Joe Mahler - CFO

  • No, I don't think I'm going to, I

  • think it's related to the bag log. About half of the

  • inventories is related to cell manufacturing and to stacks

  • and it is being built up. You know, when we start

  • delivering these units, they will come out actually and

  • should be starting to come out one after the other that.'s

  • what we are preparing for.

  • Jerry Leitman - President and CEO

  • We won't break out the pricing

  • publicly between cell stacks and balance of the plant,

  • marco.

  • Analyst

  • I'm not trying to do that. Here is the

  • fundamental question. Your backlog has been potentially

  • flat for three or four quarters in a row now. You are

  • talking about expanding your near term, you know,

  • production run rate to 20, 25 megawatts. Looking to make

  • a decision on the 150-megawatt expansion.

  • Basically your backlog hasn't gone anywhere. You are

  • looking at the market. I know there's a lot of

  • encouraging signs. I'm just trying to get a sense of when

  • that all starts to come to, you know, a decision point.

  • I guess my question really to you, Jerry, is, you know,

  • the fact that you have not had the order intake to support

  • the kind of growth plan that you are talking about and

  • looking to, I mean, is it really that, you know, number

  • one you haven't yet had, you know, the sales force in the

  • field to be able to support that? And now that you made

  • those distribution agreements you are getting to that

  • stage? Is it that your field trials have not yet

  • proceeded sufficiently far that the end customer, the

  • ultimate customers are not yet prepared to place that?

  • In fact, are you sharing any of that data with them? I'm

  • trying to put myself into the shoes of a prospective

  • purchaser and saying what is it I need to see to make that

  • commitment to one of your distribution partners and give

  • you the order?

  • Can you help me put that together?

  • Jerry Leitman - President and CEO

  • What you don't see, marko is the

  • proposal activity. That is what drives me. But go back

  • to your basic premise. One is, the more field trials, the

  • more units you put out in the field, the different

  • application and the more you stimulate interest. I can't

  • tell you how many Kirin Brewery plants in the world and

  • San Miguel and what the feeling is towards what they want

  • to could once we show them the unit in Japan. That gives

  • me some comfort level.

  • The second point is of not having the actual feet on the

  • street, if you will a year ago compared to what we will

  • have this year. I have probably more than 50 just

  • Caterpillar people coming in. Ten, twelve, 14 dealers.

  • When you start doing that and you look at - these guys

  • will want to quote a certain price, which is okay. But

  • they want to quote a certain delivery. If you say no,

  • delivery is two years, the order is over. Okay?

  • Analyst

  • Sure.

  • Jerry Leitman - President and CEO

  • You say I can deliver a sub

  • megawatt plant in six months, you've got them. In nine or

  • twelve months, you've got them. That's a chicken and the

  • egg thing. Once the distribution organization thing gets

  • traction, once we get more units out in the field for show

  • and tell, then I think you will see this thing take off.

  • I don't want to be behind the manufacturing and production

  • line. What I would rather not spend any capital until we

  • get the order backlog? Of course I would. On the other

  • side of the coin, that says to expand from a machinery

  • standpoint it will take twelve months. That will kill me

  • in the marketplace.

  • Analyst

  • Let me ask you, because I can appreciate

  • it was a bigger sales force you are going to, you know,

  • hopefully generate more proposals but you said, you know,

  • what is giving the confidence today, which I obviously

  • don't see. The market doesn't see specifically is what

  • happens from the proposal standpoint. A lot of that

  • proposal activity would have been generated from the, you

  • know, sales force that was in place before you sort of

  • ramped it up or partially from them.

  • Let me ask you, of the proposals that are out there, you

  • know, what is it that you need to happen for those to get

  • closed? Or what needs to happen for that proposal that is

  • being discussed? What needs to happen for the actual

  • sales cycle to, you know, to shorten on those ones? I'm

  • talking about what additional ones might come. I'm

  • getting a sense, you've seen something, it's given you

  • confidence. What is it you need to see that converts you

  • from the possibility to it's in my hands?

  • Jerry Leitman - President and CEO

  • One of two things. One would be

  • and easy one. A big aggregate tore like California power

  • an other states that we are talking about where they are

  • talking about a lot of megawatts at one time. A big

  • aggregate tore would be the easy way.

  • The other way is an aggregation of multiple orders from

  • our distribution partners. Let me correct you and maybe

  • the audience.

  • We signed the market development agreement with Chevron,

  • C.M.S. [By-Ron] and right before the power bids. We had

  • to do that. We since signed an alliance agreement with

  • Caterpillar. These guys have been in the marketplace

  • since January. They are not trained well. It's hit and

  • miss. But they haven't not been doing activity. Part of

  • what you do with a new technology like this, there's a lot

  • of qualification process. You have a customer, potential

  • customer, very interested. You have to go through what is

  • he paying for power now? What you can do to lay it out,

  • price it out and price it through them. If you want to do

  • it with a big chain like star wood, you have to negotiate

  • master agreements and the like. All of that takes a

  • certain amount of selling cycle far beyond the traditional

  • cycle. That is what we see behind us. And you know, we

  • could get order tomorrow or they could take 90 days or 120

  • days. What we are doing is positioning that. And as we

  • see that internally, that is what triggers us to do the

  • expansion.

  • Analyst

  • Okay. A final point is, I appreciate you

  • can't and certainly shouldn't give specifics given the

  • uncertainty, but is there any metric that you can share

  • with us to help frame what you've just described?

  • Jerry Leitman - President and CEO

  • I can't, marko. I don't know what

  • metric there is. Just watch for the orders. We'll

  • announce them as they come in. Watch for progress and

  • shipping units. Watch for the decision to expand or not.

  • The manufacturing facility.

  • Those are the key metrics that we go by externally.

  • Analyst

  • Great. Thanks.

  • Jerry Leitman - President and CEO

  • We have been more than appear hour.

  • I will take one more call, operator, please

  • Moderator

  • Final question comes from Gary

  • Holdsworth of Wedbush Morgan.

  • Analyst

  • First for Joe, the second tape caster,

  • how much incremental CapEx would na require? Is that

  • still in your budget or thinking that you shared with us

  • for like calendar 2002?

  • Joe Mahler - CFO

  • Yes. I think that the majority of the

  • tape caster will be covered by insurance minus a small

  • deductible. I believe that we have added some additional

  • capital to that, to enhance that operation with some new

  • things that we learned in the review of the tape casting

  • operations. That is probably in the rake of half a

  • million to $750,000 additional. That we think we will not

  • only improve the process but could add yield, et cetera.

  • Analyst

  • Are you comfortable with around

  • 20 million for calendar 2003?

  • Joe Mahler - CFO

  • More of a function, Gary, of when we

  • give the facility the go ahead on the 150-megawatt

  • expansion. Most of the capital dollars in the budget are

  • directed to that effort.

  • Analyst

  • A clarification. So we know, on the

  • Pepperidge Farms, two sub megawatt unit. You are, it's

  • not in your backlog yet, right?

  • Jerry Leitman - President and CEO

  • PP and L has seven units, sub megawatt

  • units in backlog. They announced coast guard and two

  • units at the Sheraton hotels in New Jersey. So this would

  • be part of the remaining four units that we have in

  • backlog that are orders with them, payments and the like.

  • Analyst

  • Great. Thanks.

  • Jerry Leitman - President and CEO

  • Very good. I want to thank

  • everyone. Sorry we ran a little long. Look forward to

  • talking to you again next quarter. Thanks a lot. By by.

  • Moderator

  • Thank you for participating in today's

  • conference call. You may now disconnect.