Euronet Worldwide Inc (EEFT) 2017 Q1 法說會逐字稿

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  • Operator

  • Greetings, and welcome to the Euronet Worldwide First Quarter 2017 Earnings Conference Call.

  • (Operator Instructions) As a reminder, this conference is being recorded.

  • It is my pleasure to introduce your host, Mr. Jeff Newman, Executive Vice President and General Counsel for Euronet Worldwide.

  • Thank you.

  • Mr. Newman, you may begin.

  • Jeffrey B. Newman - EVP, General Counsel and Secretary

  • Thank you, Amanda.

  • Good morning, and welcome everyone to Euronet's quarterly results conference call.

  • We'll present our results for the first quarter 2017 on this call.

  • We have Mike Brown, our Chairman and CEO; Rick Weller, our CFO; and Kevin Caponecchi, CEO of our epay division, on the call.

  • Before we begin, I need to call your attention to the forward-looking statements disclaimer on the first page of the PowerPoint presentation we'll be making today.

  • Statements made on this call that concern Euronet's or its management's intentions, expectations or predictions of future performance are forward-looking statements.

  • Euronet's actual results may vary materially from those anticipated in such forward-looking statements as a result of a number of factors that are listed on the first page of our presentation.

  • Euronet does not intend to update those forward-looking statements and undertakes no duty to any person to provide any such update under any circumstances.

  • Now I'll turn the call over to our CFO, Rick Weller.

  • Rick L. Weller - CFO, CAO and EVP

  • Thank you, Jeff, and good morning and thank you, all, to those of you that have joined us here today.

  • I will begin my comments on Slide 5. We began the year delivering revenue of $473.4 million, operating income of $41.3 million, adjusted operating income of $42.5 million and adjusted EBITDA of $67.8 million.

  • Adjusted operating income, adjusted EBITDA and adjusted earnings per share exclude approximately $1.2 million in costs incurred related to the proposed MoneyGram acquisition.

  • Now for the first quarter.

  • First quarter adjusted EPS was $0.73, a 6% increase year-over-year and in line with the guidance we provided in early February, and if not for the Indian cash demonetization impact, would have been in the double-digit range.

  • The $0.73 includes about $0.01 of headwind from share dilution on our convertible bond and we saw a nice -- as we saw a nice appreciation in our stock price over the last few months.

  • You may also notice the lower first quarter tax rate.

  • We had anticipated the lower rate in our guidance as we knew that we would see increased operating expenses from the elevated ATM deployment levels in the seasonally lowest first quarter.

  • While we factored into our guidance the slightly more favorable tax rate for the quarter compared to the full year, the rate was a bit more favorable than estimated, which served to offset the headwind in the -- from the additional convertible share dilution.

  • Next slide please.

  • Slide 6 shows our 3-year transaction trends by segment.

  • EFT transactions grew 27% from the expansion of our ATM and POS networks in Europe, the October 2016 acquisition of YourCash and the transaction growth in India.

  • As was the case in the fourth quarter, the transaction decline in India from fewer cash withdrawals, as a result of the demonetization, were more than offset by a higher volume of low-value transactions related to the low-margin agreements that have minimal impact on our operating results.

  • epay transactions declined 4%, with declines in the Middle East, North America, Turkey and the U.K, partially offset by growth in Germany and Poland.

  • Total Money Transfer transactions grew 11%.

  • Money transfers grew 12%, while nonmoney transfers grew 1%.

  • Money Transfer transactions came from double-digit growth across Ria's business and expansion of our digital international payments through HiFX and XE.

  • Now to Slide 7, which presents our results on an as-reported basis.

  • Year-over-year changes in the currency varied widely, with moderate 3% to 4% declines in the euro, Hungarian forint, and Polish zloty, a significant 14% decline in the British pound and increases of 5% to 7% in the Australian and New Zealand dollars.

  • To normalize the impacts of these currency fluctuations, we have presented our results adjusted for currency on the next slide.

  • Slide 8 now.

  • For the first quarter, EFT revenue and adjusted EBITDA grew 24% and 5%, respectively, while operating income declined 15%.

  • Revenue and adjusted EBITDA growth was the result of a 42% year-over-year increase in ATMs and a 27% increase in transactions, with growth from Europe, India and the acquisition of YourCash.

  • The decline in operating income was largely the result of the lingering effects of the demonetization in India.

  • Further impacting operating income were higher first quarter operating costs from newly deployed ATMs.

  • The impact of these 2 items was approximately $4 million, which, if excluded, would have resulted in EBITDA growth rates in line with those of revenue.

  • epay constant currency revenue declines were the result of certain mobile transaction declines, largely offset by increased sales in nonmobile products.

  • Similar to prior years, epay segment first quarter revenues declined year-over-year, largely as a result of declines in the mobile product, which is less seasonal throughout the year, while nonmobile products are more heavily weighted to the fourth quarter.

  • Accordingly, the declines in the first quarter are expected to be covered by growth in the nonmobile products as we move through to the fourth quarter.

  • Operating income and adjusted EBITDA declined at a faster rate than revenue due to favorable expense items in the prior year and increased advertising costs related to certain nonmobile customer campaigns and the product launches.

  • Double-digit Money Transfer revenue, operating income and adjusted EBITDA and transaction growth was driven by double-digit growth across all sectors of Ria's business and nice contributions from HiFX and XE.

  • Money Transfer EBITDA margins expanded about 60 basis points, reflecting the benefit of the higher-value transactions in our digital international payments business.

  • Now Slide 9, for a few comments on our balance sheet.

  • During the quarter, our balance sheet continued to improve.

  • Our cash increased consistent with free cash flows generated from operations, our debt remained largely unchanged and our leverage improved.

  • Overall, this was a good start to 2017, where we positioned our business to continue to deliver our historically strong annual growth rates, driven by earnings achieved in our seasonally strongest second and third quarters.

  • In closing, I would point out that our guidance for the second quarter adjusted EPS of $1.09 fully reflects the impacts of rate adjustments agreed to for the extension of the Walmart agreement, together with some continued irregularity expected in the Indian cash supply situation.

  • With that, I'll turn it over to Mike.

  • Michael J. Brown - Founder, Chairman, CEO and President

  • Thank you, Rick.

  • We'll start on Slide #13 now.

  • During the quarter, we launched an independent ATM network in Slovakia.

  • This is now our 23rd country with an independent ATM network.

  • In Hungary, we launched a debit card issuing agreement with Loyal Bank for their new Money Plus cards product.

  • These cards add to the growing portfolio Loyal Bank is building to promote financial services across Europe.

  • We also launched the recycler outsourcing agreement with Broker Consult we told you about several quarters ago.

  • Broker Consult is a finance firm in the Czech Republic, and through our ATM recycling capabilities, they will now be able to offer their customers deposit and withdrawal capabilities at their branches.

  • In Poland, we continue to expand our ATM deposit network.

  • Raiffeisen and Allior Banks have extended their agreements to include participation in our deposit network.

  • Banks often utilize this service for their merchant clients who need to deposit funds outside of working hours.

  • However, Allior's agreement has been extended so that individuals can also deposit cash into our Euronet machines, making access to banking services more convenient than ever.

  • Slide 14.

  • By now, most of you have probably heard me talk about our ability to leverage our ATMs to offer new products and services.

  • In January, we were able to use our ATM and recycler technology to collect donations during the Great Orchestra of Christmas Charity event in Poland.

  • This is one of the largest charity events in Europe.

  • And in the picture here on the slide, you can see the Euronet zone in the middle of the event where customers could withdraw money from their account or deposit cash to make a donation.

  • What a great opportunity to showcase our product diversity and superior technical capability.

  • During the quarter, we also enabled JCB card acceptance on all Euronet POS terminals across Europe.

  • And we launched POS DCC with First Hawaiian Bank in the U.S. and Asia.

  • This launch represents the first distribution of our full merchant acquiring system outside of Europe and includes certification with all of the card schemes.

  • This solution is EMV compliant and presents additional opportunities for expansion in the U.S.

  • Please move to Slide 15.

  • You may recall that in the fourth quarter, we presented you with a graph of our expectations for cash supply situations in India.

  • Through the end of March, the cash situation improved, in line with our expectations.

  • And by the end of the quarter, we had sufficient cash to meet our needs.

  • Unfortunately, at the beginning of April, we experienced another crimp in the cash supply.

  • We don't fully understand the irregularity of the cash supply in the first weeks of April, but we suspect it is related to the cash supply limitations between the Central Bank and the commercial bank, together with merchants and customers continuing to accumulate cash as a buffer against future disruption.

  • You can see a couple of pictures here on this slide of either newspapers or other third parties complaining about the cash shortage at the first couple of weeks of April.

  • Fortunately though, last week, the cash supply returned to an adequate level to fully support our needs.

  • Given that there are obviously many factors still impacting cash availability, we are expecting continued irregularities in the cash supply until the situation normalizes and we witness several uninterrupted periods.

  • As a conservative estimate to cover these irregularities, we have factored in approximately $1 million of downward pressure into our second quarter guidance for India here.

  • Net-net, the situation in India is getting better, a whole heck of a lot better than it was in Q1.

  • And the ATMs that we installed in the first quarter were in good locations and are already making money, but the demonetization will continue to impact our results a little longer than we originally thought.

  • We finished the quarter with 35,145 ATMs live, a 42% increase over last year.

  • During the quarter, we added 570 high-value ATMs across India and Europe.

  • We reactivated 351 ATMs that were winterized, and added 251 ATMs under our low-margin agreements in India.

  • We still had approximately 1,100 European ATMs winterized at the end of March that will be reactivated in the second quarter.

  • The 570 ATMs we deployed were in line with our deployment schedule.

  • We're on target to deliver our goal of 3,000 new high-value ATMs for the full year.

  • Our EFT segment maintained their momentum in the first quarter, adding more ATMs in preparation for the second and third quarter.

  • I'm excited about the investments we have made in the last 2 quarters and expect them to result in another strong year for our EFT segment in 2017.

  • Now let's move on to Slide #18, and we'll talk about epay.

  • Nonmobile content now makes up more than 50% of our total gross profit from epay, and we continue to focus on expanding the presence of these products.

  • During the quarter, we launched distribution of Microsoft Office and Xbox subscriptions in Carrefour and distribution of our content portfolio in Cdiscount, a major online retailer in France.

  • We also added content to LIDL, a leading European grocery store chain.

  • In Italy, we added iTunes distribution.

  • And in Germany, we added Google Play to more than 3,200 LIDL stores across the country.

  • Finally, in India, we added digital distribution of Google Play into the top 3 mobile wallets in this market.

  • This is the first time that Google has distributed the PIN code directly to an end consumer via a text message.

  • We remain the only partner that Google has allowed to digitally deliver PINs in this method, and now, we've helped them with another first, launching digital PINs via text message.

  • Again, another example of our technical advantage.

  • Now let's move on to Slide #21 and we'll talk about Money Transfer.

  • Our network now reaches 321,000 locations in 146 countries, a 4% year-over-year increase.

  • We continue to sign new correspondents, this quarter, signing 16 new agreements across 12 countries, including leading global corridors such as India and Mexico.

  • We are pleased to announce that we have also expanded our relationship with Walmart into several new areas.

  • First, as we told you a few weeks ago, we were excited to renew our relationship with Walmart to power the Walmart-2-Walmart Money Transfer service through April 2020.

  • Since its launch in April of 2014, the Walmart-2-Walmart Money Transfer service has been tremendously successful because of its convenience, its affordability, security and transparency.

  • Building on this success, Walmart and Ria have announced this morning a roll back in the consumer price of a Walmart-2-Walmart transfer, which will now provide savings of up to 90% versus the leading competitor prices.

  • We believe the new Walmart-2-Walmart pricing will further invigorate customer preference and adoption of the domestic Money Transfer product over competitor alternatives as well as other payment vehicles, such as checks, money orders, direct bank transfers, gift cards and other common methods of sending money.

  • Therefore, while the new pricing will certainly impact our revenues and margins in the short term, our strong belief is that we will expect to recover the lower margins through increased volume over the coming months and quarters as new and existing customers learn of the tremendous value, try it and fall in love with the convenience of the Walmart-2-Walmart product.

  • And as Rick mentioned earlier, the impacts of renewing this agreement have been fully factored into our second quarter guidance.

  • In addition to this exciting news, Walmart has also announced the new low pricing extends to Walmart's Bluebird cardholders who will also enjoy the new low pricing when transferring funds to a Walmart store from their Bluebird mobile app beginning in the May timeframe of this year.

  • As part of the new agreement, we opened services to Walmart to include payout at over 4,600 Walmart stores for transactions originating at Ria's send network overseas.

  • So if a family member is working abroad, for example, a military member working in Germany, they are now able to transfer funds from a Ria agent or store location in Germany to a Walmart location in the U.S. for pickup.

  • On the international front, we also signed an agreement with Walmart's U.K. affiliate, ASDA, to offer ASDA Money Transfer powered by Ria.

  • This new service will offer send and payout at over 600 ASDA stores in the U.K. The digital offering is live on the ASDA Money website, and the brick-and-mortar rollout will follow over the next 3 quarters.

  • With the exception of a competitor's product offered at a third party currency exchange kiosk in some of their stores, ASDA has never offered a Money Transfer product.

  • We expect the uptake to be moderate at the beginning, but we look forward to working with ASDA to grow this business and we believe it can become a centerpiece of ASDA's Money Financial Services product in the U.K.

  • Finally, we continue to make progress in Chile.

  • Our pilot locations in Walmart are performing nicely, and we hope to continue to expand the number of locations before the end of the year.

  • Outside of Walmart, we are excited to announce that we have officially launched riamoneytransfer.es in Spain.

  • This is our second digital remittance site, and we hope to add more countries in the coming months, reinforcing our commitment to our digital Money Transfer platforms.

  • And because I know you will ask, we don't have an update on MoneyGram.

  • As we said in our release, we are disappointed with the decision of the MoneyGram Board of Directors because we firmly believe our offer provided a more certain path to closing and was better for the company, better for consumers, better for shareholders and better for the long-term security interest of our country.

  • [I don't] have any new details to disclose today, but we'll follow up if any developments arise.

  • Now I would like to refocus on the achievements of the Money Transfer segment this quarter.

  • We have strong momentum in our remittance business, with double-digit growth across all metrics of this business.

  • Our digital international payments businesses, HiFX and XE, continued to expand and deliver on expectations.

  • Overall, this was an outstanding start to the year, with many exciting agreements that will help continue the momentum through 2017.

  • So finally, let's move on to Slide #22, and we'll wrap up the quarter.

  • So here's what we did.

  • We delivered adjusted EPS of $0.73, a 6% increase over Q1 2016.

  • EFT results reflect strong organic growth and the October 2016 acquisition of YourCash.

  • The growth was partially offset by the impact of demonetization in India and continued investment in our European ATM networks, which will result in strong earnings growth over the next 2 quarters.

  • epay benefited from increased sales of nonmobile content, Money Transfer expanded the Walmart relationship in multiple ways and delivered double-digit growth across all metrics of the business.

  • Our balance sheet, as usual, continues to strengthen.

  • And finally, we expect the Q2 adjusted EPS to be approximately $1.09, assuming consistent foreign exchange rates.

  • With that, we are happy to take questions.

  • Operator, will you please assist?

  • Operator

  • (Operator Instructions) Our first question comes from the line of Chris Shutler from William Blair.

  • Christopher Charles Shutler - Research Analyst

  • So first, can we just talk about epay for a second.

  • I just wanted to clarify, I guess, on the higher expenses, maybe you can just dive into that a little bit more?

  • I know you mentioned nonmobile customer campaigns, product launches, higher advertising costs, but just what drove the increase and should that expense trajectory normalize over the course of the year?

  • Rick L. Weller - CFO, CAO and EVP

  • Well, I think that it will be a little bit tempered as we go throughout the year because of some of the increased numbers here as we try to start the year with the launching of some new products and some -- building the momentum, especially earlier in the year because of the anticipated fourth quarter kind of numbers there.

  • It will taper off a little bit, but not dramatically.

  • It was even further pronounced by the fact that last year, we had a little bit of benefit on the side of some expense there where we recovered some advertising dollars from some of the brand partners there.

  • So it kind of made a little bit of difference in the math, but it won't make a material difference on a go-forward basis, Chris.

  • Christopher Charles Shutler - Research Analyst

  • Okay.

  • And then on the revenue side, in epay, I thought the accounting-related issue you had about a year ago would have rolled and you would have been through that this quarter, so I'm a little surprised the revenue growth is still negative.

  • So maybe just talk about that.

  • Rick L. Weller - CFO, CAO and EVP

  • Well Chris, if you'd just kind of take a look back to the last 4 or 5 years or something like that, we've typically had a first quarter decrease in our revenues on a year-over-year basis, which is the kind of cumulative effect of the mobile declines that happened throughout the year and then the step down of the -- in the first quarter, which is even though mobile is less pronounced than the nonmobile product, it still has a lighter first quarter.

  • So you kind of just get the cumulative effect of all that going into the first quarter.

  • And then as we said, our nonmobile products are seasonally strongest in the first -- in the fourth quarter.

  • So there wasn't any kind of impact of, let's call it, accounting -- or it really wasn't accounting, it was because of a shift from transaction types, from being more commission-based to being revenue- or transaction-based.

  • But it was really kind of consistent with the prior trend.

  • And as we said, we -- we're anticipating that as we continue to build that nonmobile product that it will replace that by the time we get to the fourth quarter.

  • Christopher Charles Shutler - Research Analyst

  • Okay, great.

  • And then lastly, Mike, maybe just walk us through, high level, your thoughts on the -- each of the 3 segments and what you're thinking in terms of the type of constant currency revenue and op income growth that we could see this year?

  • Michael J. Brown - Founder, Chairman, CEO and President

  • Well, we don't.

  • We don't really delineate that.

  • I'll just tell you the things that are kind of interesting with all 3, and what's going to drive this year.

  • So we'll start with EFT, kind of our legacy business, 43-or-something percent of our EBITDA last year.

  • I mean that, as usual, is going to be driven by new ATM adds, okay.

  • There's really isn't same store sales growth, there's only new adds of ATMs.

  • And we continue to put these ATMs in great locations.

  • We have a larger staff this year, starting this year than we did last year to go out and find these good locations.

  • As you know, we put in over 3,000 ATMs last year, so that's why we set a bogey this year for at least 3,000 more.

  • And we're putting them now as we speak as fast as we can because the big quarters really start at Easter and then go all the way through the end of the second quarter.

  • So that's just going to be more of the same, great locations, we'll probably open up a couple of other markets -- little markets in Europe, too, with a little luck.

  • And so -- but mostly it's going deeper into our current markets because we've figured out how to make these things work.

  • When we go into a new market, we'll put in about 20 ATMs into that market and double check all the -- all our assumptions, make sure we're accurate.

  • We'll put it 100, 150 the next year, and then we'll really start to blow it out in the third year.

  • We're in that kind of blowout mode right now in a number of our countries in Europe, so we're excited about that.

  • We really know what to do, how to make them profitable and we'll put more in.

  • When it comes to -- and I don't really get into -- you know I don't like to talk about revenue growth because I've got 3 different econometric models and it doesn't really make that much sense.

  • All I care about at the end of the day is my earnings per share.

  • So -- and then when we get to epay, our next one, as Rick said and Kevin has said in prior calls, as we've now moved over 50% of our business to the nonmobile area, this has a -- these have higher margins, faster growth rate than the mobile area.

  • Mobile is more -- we'll say flattish through the year, with the exception of its decline because people talk every single month, whether it's the December quarter or not.

  • So -- but then, what we're finding ourselves is where we become more like some of our competitors who focus only on gift cards and nonmobile products.

  • And so that we're looking for a really big fourth quarter.

  • And you basically work all year to get as many agreements and new products in place as you can so that you can really blow it out in the fourth quarter.

  • So that's kind of -- that's our strategy for epay.

  • Money Transfer, it's interesting here.

  • We're really hitting several different things all at the same time.

  • We're really excited about this new Walmart agreement to start with.

  • I mean, you saw what happened when we announced the Walmart-2-Walmart product and the pricing that we had 3 years ago, when we are at $9.50, with some of our competitor pricings for the same kind of transfer, might be $50, $60, $70 to send the same amount of money.

  • And we just totally disrupted this industry.

  • We brought a ton of transactions our way and probably saved the American consumer around $300 million a year in excessive fees that were being charged by our 2 larger competitors.

  • And so now that we've dropped the price a bit more, and you can see that in Walmart's announcement that came out about half an hour ago, we're ready to go do it again.

  • That means keep offering consumers a better deal, attract more and more consumers.

  • We have the majority of our transactions are repeat customers, so people like our service.

  • We're still bringing tons of new people in every single month.

  • So this is really exciting for us, and I can imagine it's not very good news to our competitors as well.

  • And then also on the Walmart side, launching Walmart ASDA is great.

  • Here, we got 600 locations in the U.K., big market in the U.K. for Money Transfers.

  • They really haven't done it before, to the extent that they are planning on doing it with us now.

  • And so we hope to develop this over the coming quarters.

  • This is going to be a brand-new kind of growth engine.

  • This will be kind of a same-store sales growth kind of play for the next couple of years.

  • Chile is going well as well, so we've still got a handful of these locations, want to add more by the end of the year.

  • And then finally on the digital side, we've announced riamoneytransfer.es for Spain, España.

  • And so we basically have our digital Money Transfer service now live in Spain.

  • And in addition to that, our HiFX and XE work that we've been doing there has been working out very well for us.

  • And we hope that, that continues.

  • So we're kind of like, when you look at Money Transfer, that's a lot more of -- a lot of different things that we're doing and all of them seem to be playing really well for us.

  • So I'm kind of excited to watch how Money Transfer does through the year because we have so many endeavors, and they're all looking good so far.

  • Operator

  • Our next question is from the line of Andrew Jeffrey from SunTrust.

  • Andrew William Jeffrey - Director

  • I'm wondering, Mike, if you can sort of recap for us your view of Euronet's competitive position in the Money Transfer space should Ant manage to close the MoneyGram acquisition.

  • We get a lot of questions about does that make MoneyGram a more viable competitor, does it change your strategy.

  • I wonder if you could just kind of walk through your thoughts on that?

  • Michael J. Brown - Founder, Chairman, CEO and President

  • Well, I mean, the reality is Ant Financial is more of a digital play, more in Europe.

  • They would like to have a footprint in the United States.

  • I really don't expect the competitive dynamics to change too much.

  • Their strength is in Asia.

  • As we know, MoneyGram is a nice -- would be a nice asset for us to own.

  • It's kind of just their -- it seems like their way to get a foothold into the United States.

  • I really don't expect the competitive dynamics to change much.

  • We'll kind of have to see what happens.

  • Rick L. Weller - CFO, CAO and EVP

  • I mean, the other thing I would point out is that where we've really been doing the toe-to-toe fighting in most all of our markets is with the smaller, more nimble, if you will, competitors.

  • Every market that we're in has got a half a dozen or more.

  • I mean, in some markets, there's up to 20 some competitors that we compete with.

  • And these are all the smaller, really scrappy kind of guys.

  • So we've been in that market, we've been in those kinds of strong competition environments the entirety of Ria's existence.

  • And so having another party that's in that process certainly adds to the -- let's call it, the mix, but it fundamentally is -- it doesn't change our mix of those 20-some guys that we're competing with in the market out there every day.

  • Michael J. Brown - Founder, Chairman, CEO and President

  • And let's not forget the market here and Rick alluded to it.

  • But if you add up ourselves and MoneyGram and Western Union, the 3 of us control less than 25% of the world's remittance.

  • So therefore, 75% is up for grabs.

  • And that's what we've been focusing on, that's how we've been -- how we've gotten stronger and stronger and bigger and bigger over the last years, is we really focus on the rest of those people.

  • Andrew William Jeffrey - Director

  • Right, okay.

  • That helps a lot.

  • And then with regard to the new Walmart deal and your terms with Walmart as well as the lower consumer pricing, could you talk about just sort of the timing?

  • It certainly seems like there's demand elasticity so that lower pricing should drive faster growth.

  • But over what period would you expect that?

  • And so in other words, would we see a meaningful slowdown in Money Transfer revenue in the second quarter and then a gradual recovery in the back half?

  • How -- what's the interplay between those dynamics?

  • Michael J. Brown - Founder, Chairman, CEO and President

  • I think we don't know that exactly.

  • But if you take a look at the last time through, we're expecting to do advertising to get this out, to accelerate the success of this.

  • So certainly, we're going to see a step down in Q2 compared to last year's Q2 and probably a bit in Q3.

  • But when you have pricing as good as what we're announcing, I think it's just going to drag more people into the stores or more people who are in the stores doing maybe their money transfers in a different way.

  • They'll start to use this method.

  • If you think about it, let's say you wanted to send money to your sister in the next state over and you've got a bank account and your sister may have a bank account as well, so you could write her a check, you could mail her a check, the check takes 2 days to get there, 5 days to clear.

  • And so kind of like 10 calendar days later, your sister's got the money in her hands.

  • Or now, for a very reasonable fee, you can go to Walmart, walk up to the counter, do it right there and within 15 seconds, it's available to your sister.

  • So very cheap pricing, immediate gratification, it's exactly what America loves.

  • Rick L. Weller - CFO, CAO and EVP

  • I would add to that too as well.

  • Mike said, we'd have a little bit of step down here.

  • I think it's kind of in terms of what point in time.

  • Because on a year-over-year basis, essentially the math on the rate change is largely replaced by the year-over-year growth.

  • As we've said before, we've continued to see very nice double-digit growth in this product here, along with all of our other Money Transfer products here.

  • And so from a year-over-year perspective, we don't expect this to see a dip in the process because we've essentially grown through it already.

  • And with a fair wind at our back, if there's even more demand coming from the customer attraction to simplicity, to ease and to a better price, we could possibly do better.

  • But I think, just simply on a year-over-year basis, we've largely grown through that and so -- and then secondly, the second quarter is our largest Money Transfer quarter because it's got Mother's Day in there too.

  • So I think all that kind of says this was actually a good quarter for this to take effect and hopefully coming out of the second quarter, we'll see more of that momentum increase as we go into third and fourth.

  • Andrew William Jeffrey - Director

  • Okay.

  • I appreciate that, Rick.

  • And then one more if I may.

  • Mike, just with regard to ATM deployments.

  • You're off to a good start.

  • How would you handicap the likelihood that you come in ahead of your 3,000 new ATM deployments this year?

  • Michael J. Brown - Founder, Chairman, CEO and President

  • Well, I can only tell you that I've given you a number for 5 years running and I beat it every time.

  • Operator

  • Our next question is on the line of Mike Grondahl from Northland Securities.

  • Michael John Grondahl - Head of Equity Research and Senior Research Analyst

  • Could you give a little bit more detail update on XE and kind of the integration and the testing and learning that you're doing there?

  • Michael J. Brown - Founder, Chairman, CEO and President

  • Oh, okay.

  • So XE is done -- first of all, on November 1, we took over from a contract with a competitor and we started immediately taking all the customers who were coming through the XE website and we are basically funneling them over to HiFX or to riamoneytransfer.com.

  • Most of them are the high-end people so mostly all going to HiFX.

  • So because of the regulations, we began immediately doing new KYC, know your customer certifications on all of those customers.

  • And so for the next couple of months, we were basically just KYC-ing everybody who is coming across and making that -- putting them in a position where they could make some transaction.

  • And we now are on a run rate pretty much where we were with our competitor, as far as number of transactions.

  • What we have realized though is that our user experience, although it mimicked our -- the -- kind of it smelled a lot and looked a lot like what the customers were used to.

  • We're pretty well convinced that, that user journey wasn't the most efficient one, so we're improving that as we speak and ways to market to that.

  • So I think this year is going to be a building year for improvement so that we could really see a pop.

  • Because I want to not just take over and pick up the $6 million or $8 million that I -- that we were losing in commissions to a competitor, but I'd like to exceed that.

  • And so the work we're going to do this year is to focus exactly there.

  • So I mean, so far everything is good but I think there's a lot more -- as we've dug into it, there's even more upside than we anticipated.

  • Michael John Grondahl - Head of Equity Research and Senior Research Analyst

  • Got it.

  • And then you mentioned the POS DCC deal with First Hawaiian Bank in Asia Pacific.

  • And then I think a Thailand bank.

  • Could you explain that a little bit more, what you're doing there?

  • You kind of said it was the first outside of Europe I think?

  • Michael J. Brown - Founder, Chairman, CEO and President

  • So in Europe, we've got, with the [PSC] licenses, we've got full acquiring capabilities in Europe kind of soup to nuts.

  • We can do DCC, we can do acquiring, we can do all the processing and everything.

  • We've not been able to do that yet in the U.S. because there wasn't a license and a mechanism available to do so.

  • We can now do full acquiring with First Hawaiian Bank, kind of soup to nuts, same kind of thing like we do in Europe but now we can do it and we're certified to do that in the U.S. with all these card types.

  • So we'll, of course, do it for First Hawaiian's assets there and their merchants that they have both in Asia and in the U.S. But the nice thing is now that we've got a working system, we can deploy this with other partners across the U.S., so kind of now the U.S. is in our sights to do more POS DCC acquiring.

  • Michael John Grondahl - Head of Equity Research and Senior Research Analyst

  • Got you.

  • And then just lastly, if the administration ends up proposing like a 10% repatriation tax, do you see that as a benefit for you guys with all that cash overseas?

  • Or how do you think about that?

  • Michael J. Brown - Founder, Chairman, CEO and President

  • No, I think this is a -- this might apply to other companies quite a bit more than us.

  • When you take a look at our biggest revenue-producing countries in the world, they are -- they would be Germany, India, France, Italy, those kind of countries.

  • And they all have very high tax rates.

  • So the differential between those tax rates and the U.S. tax rates are very small.

  • So the reason that the money has been kept overseas, with the exception of paying back loans and so forth, is because most -- we've got 3/4 of our business overseas and we always keep our eyes open for acquisitions overseas.

  • There's no reason to move profit even though the differential in tax might just be 1% or 2% to bring it back to the U.S. just so that we could then redeploy it back again in Europe and risk a foreign exchange spread going the wrong way 2 times.

  • So we really don't have a repatriation game like some people do who are in very low tax rate jurisdictions and kind of organized themselves around that.

  • We generate our earnings in those higher tax rate countries, most of our earnings in the higher tax rate countries and we pay taxes there.

  • Rick L. Weller - CFO, CAO and EVP

  • And further to that, as Mike mentioned, if you brought it back, we'd just turn around and then probably use it outside the United States.

  • And if you think of our last several acquisitions, you'll quickly recall that they were in jurisdictions like Malaysia.

  • Michael J. Brown - Founder, Chairman, CEO and President

  • U.K.

  • Rick L. Weller - CFO, CAO and EVP

  • The U.K., so those are currencies that are not USD, not United States.

  • So it really speaks more to where we do business as opposed to needing to bring back money to the U.S.

  • Michael J. Brown - Founder, Chairman, CEO and President

  • We've got a substantial business of course, in the U.S., doing a good 25% of our business.

  • But we started in Europe, and so we still have a very strong -- and then went international from there.

  • So we have a very strong international business.

  • So it's kind of crazy just to move money to look good.

  • We're certainly not -- we're not playing any kind of tax gaming here.

  • Operator

  • Our next question is from the line of Rayna Kumar of Evercore.

  • Rayna Kumar - Research Analyst

  • Just digging further into the Walmart renewal.

  • Do you still view Money Transfer revenue and EBITDA still growing double-digit?

  • Rick L. Weller - CFO, CAO and EVP

  • Yes.

  • Absolutely.

  • Rayna Kumar - Research Analyst

  • Excellent.

  • And could you just discuss the trends you saw in cross-border pricing in the quarter and your expectations for cross-border for the next 12 to 18 months?

  • Rick L. Weller - CFO, CAO and EVP

  • No significant difference in the pricing or the margins that we saw during the quarter.

  • And we're not aware of anything that would particularly change that particular dynamic.

  • I would reflect back over the last 10 years that we've owned Ria, we've -- over those years, the pricing has come in, which isn't any different than in the ATM business and in the epay business and what I would've said 10 years ago is that over a longer period of time, we would expect that the pricing continue to come in.

  • But we're fortunate to be in a business that has just fundamental secular growth and we're a more scrappier fighter kind of a guy out there and we're able to replace those and have consistently replaced those.

  • So we don't -- we haven't seen anything on the price front and we don't expect anything really different than the historical perspectives.

  • And we expect our growth to be, obviously, well better than what would happen on any kind of price front there.

  • Rayna Kumar - Research Analyst

  • Great, thank you.

  • And finally, if you can just help us think of the impact from the 1,100 European ATMs that were winterized at the end of March, and that will be reactivated in the second quarter.

  • If you can just help us quantify the impact on revenue and earnings in the EFT segments?

  • Michael J. Brown - Founder, Chairman, CEO and President

  • Well, I guess, you could call that kind of like manna from heaven, okay?

  • And this is -- it's going to be -- I mean, here's the deal.

  • We -- the most -- the single most expensive component of running an ATM network is either rent or the cash delivery to it.

  • And so what we do basically when we're in those kind of warmer climates in Southern Europe, where there's lots of tourists during the summertime, we -- and there's virtually 0 people in the wintertime, kind of -- we put a tarp over that ATM, we close it down, we still have to pay rent, we still have to pay telecom, but we don't have to pay money delivery cost which is, like I said, probably the most expensive single component.

  • And so what we have now is we had all of those -- those 1,100, all through Q1, we're paying part of their expense, their monthly expense.

  • But now we're going to have revenues to offset and our expenses will go up some because we have to pay money delivery.

  • But that's what I'm saying, it's like for not very much more expense, we're going to get all the revenue.

  • So it's going to be a real pop and that's just what's happened every year.

  • The nice thing is we've done this so many years we kind of got this one down.

  • Rick L. Weller - CFO, CAO and EVP

  • Rayna, I'll probably not answer your question as directly as to how you get the math there to do that in terms of the quantification.

  • But just draw the attention back to last year.

  • If you look at our EFT segment, last year our revenue in the second quarter was 33% over the first quarter and our revenue in the third quarter was then yet another 32%, 33% over the second quarter.

  • Those 2 quarters, as we've said before, are seasonally stronger quarters and each of those quarters in the prior year reflected a de-winterization, if you will, of ATMs that came out of winterization in the first quarter and then began posting transactions in the second quarter.

  • So we think that, that similar kind of a trend will continue.

  • And if you take a look at even how the numbers have been estimated by the analysts and things like that, we think that, that -- it looks as if the market generally understands and follows that seasonality.

  • And this 1,100 coming out of winterization will only further contribute to giving us greater confidence is that those similar trends will be the case as we go into this second and third quarter this year.

  • Operator

  • Our next question is from the line of Alex Veytsman of Monness, Crespi and Hardt.

  • Alexander Veytsman - Research Analyst

  • Just a couple of modeling questions.

  • First of all, on epay, I believe transactions declined 4% this quarter.

  • Just wanted to see if you could provide some insights into kind of how we should be thinking about modeling it throughout the year?

  • I know there is a seasonal component but also would love to know if the geographic dynamics where you saw declines in Middle East, North America and then some offsets in various European markets.

  • If that kind of dynamics will continue throughout the year?

  • Rick L. Weller - CFO, CAO and EVP

  • I think that probably the best way to answer is little like Mike did earlier, Mike said he would expect to see that a little bit more in the flattish kind of zone there.

  • And really, kind of similar to last year is that we see a little bit more of that exceeding the expectations in the fourth quarter as we get the real benefit of those nonmobile products.

  • With respect to the differences on the countries by geography, really the -- probably the only one I would call out that was a little different there was the one in Turkey where we saw the benefit of some additional promotional effects that we benefited from in the prior year.

  • We would probably not expect to see a repeating of that.

  • So that's probably the only kind of thing I would expect to see going forward in the next quarter there.

  • And it's not unusual to see that we've got a little bit different mix of what the pluses and minuses were, especially in the mobile -- in the mobile business as we go throughout the year there.

  • Kevin, do you have anything to add?

  • Kevin J. Caponecchi - EVP and CEO of ePay, Software & EFT - Asia Pacific Division

  • The only other thing I would add, this is Kevin, is that as we've articulated previously, the margin on nonmobile is stronger than the margin on mobile.

  • So we can replace the margin loss from mobile with fewer nonmobile transactions.

  • And so you have to take that into account.

  • The decline, as Rick and Mike have already articulated, in 1Q was primarily driven by the continued decline of mobile.

  • And then as the quarter goes -- as the year goes towards the fourth quarter, which is our seasonally strongest quarter in epay, we can make up the margin loss with proportionally less transactions.

  • Rick L. Weller - CFO, CAO and EVP

  • And the only other thing I would just observe in the first quarter here on a constant currency basis, the revenues declined 1% year-over-year and transactions were down 4% as you observed.

  • And we mentioned in there that some of those declines were from the -- like, Middle East.

  • We saw a little bit stronger decline in those transactions.

  • But those are the lowest value transactions that we have in all of our business.

  • And so that really accounted for more the differential between the 4% transaction decline and the 1% revenue decline.

  • Alexander Veytsman - Research Analyst

  • Got it.

  • That's helpful.

  • And then really quickly, on the $1.2 million MoneyGram related charge you took for 1Q, do you anticipate any more bidding-related expenses in the second quarter?

  • Rick L. Weller - CFO, CAO and EVP

  • Yes.

  • We would expect some more.

  • As you know, that the final offer that we had made over the last week was in the month of, obviously, the month of April.

  • So there would be a continuation of some of that as we go into the second quarter.

  • Operator

  • And our next question comes from the line of Jason Deleeuw of Piper Jaffray.

  • Jason Scott Deleeuw - VP and Senior Research Analyst

  • Just want to understand kind of the headwinds to the second quarter guide.

  • It sounds like India is about $0.01 per share.

  • But is it fair to say that the Walmart pricing impact is a bigger, more magnitude impact in terms of a headwind for the second quarter guidance?

  • Rick L. Weller - CFO, CAO and EVP

  • Yes.

  • I think India was probably maybe a little stronger than $0.01 but you're in the ZIP Code, okay.

  • And clearly, the Walmart impact was bigger than that.

  • We haven't specifically talked about it.

  • But it -- as we said, it was factored into arriving at the second quarter numbers.

  • But it would be fair to say that the Walmart impact probably fell into the few $0.01 a share impact.

  • And I'll kind of stop at that point of quantification.

  • There's a fair bit of range around the word few though.

  • Jason Scott Deleeuw - VP and Senior Research Analyst

  • Okay, I appreciate that.

  • And then on -- when we just think about the Money Transfer segment margins, it sounds like -- so we're going to have lower pricing.

  • There will be some probably acceleration in transaction growth that will probably ramp as the year progresses.

  • And it also sounds like you're planning on increasing the marketing spend kind of out of the gate here.

  • So can we -- should we think about -- I know you're still assuming double-digit Money Transfer revenue and EBITDA growth for the year.

  • But could we see the margins dip lower kind of in the next quarter here just kind of early out of the gate as you ramp up the marketing?

  • Rick L. Weller - CFO, CAO and EVP

  • I think we could see it dip just marginally lower.

  • I don't expect it to be like 100 basis points.

  • But it could be in the, let's call it, 30 to 50 basis point range.

  • But then when I kind of take a look at the full year, I'm expecting that our Money Transfer business will continue to show a little bit of margin improvement on a year-over-year basis.

  • Because as we noted, we do expect to see some volume recovery coming out of the pricing change, which as Mike said again, we're seeing that customers are really coming into the category.

  • That this is replacing other modes or methods of payment.

  • And so it's not just competitive take but it's also -- as Mike said, to the other 75% of the market that's not represented by the brand names that you can think of, we're really getting into that other stream of transaction payments.

  • And then I'll also echo a point that Mike made as it relates to the XE business.

  • That business is coming in here.

  • We're expecting it together with HiFX to continue to grow and benefit our business and it will help us expand those margins too.

  • So in summary, a little bit of contraction in the second quarter, not much.

  • But then -- that more than replaced and I would expect to see a little bit of expansion on a year-over-year basis.

  • Michael J. Brown - Founder, Chairman, CEO and President

  • And maybe Jason, I'll give you a little -- one more point to give you an idea of how we can come -- can come up with this.

  • When you look at our Walmart-2-Walmart powered by Ria product that we've had out now for 3 years okay, so for the last 12 months before this pricing change, we've been growing that business strong double digits.

  • The growth that we've seen in that business without a pricing incentive would more than offset the new pricing and over a year -- would more than offset the pricing differential that we've now given to consumers.

  • So if you think about it, we were growing at x -- growing at double digits without a pricing incentive and now we have a bigger pricing incentive, plus more marketing.

  • That's why we're pretty bullish on the number of transactions that we think will come our way.

  • So it isn't just like there is a step down and everything stays flat, we were growing before the step down in pricing and then now you add these other 2 things to incent customers to come your way -- come our way which is more marketing to make people aware of the new pricing and maybe just aware of the product and they might not have been aware of it before.

  • Jason Scott Deleeuw - VP and Senior Research Analyst

  • And then just the last one, I guess depending on the outcome with MoneyGram, there could be a lot of dry powder that Euronet still will have.

  • So just kind of thinking what are your thoughts?

  • Maybe it's still too early because it's before we learn the outcome of MoneyGram but what are your thoughts on uses of dry powder because you will have considerable amount of cash and be underlevered.

  • So just kind of...

  • Michael J. Brown - Founder, Chairman, CEO and President

  • Yes.

  • I think nothing really has changed there since -- kind of my standard answer really is very appropriate.

  • And that's that we are always looking for acquisitions.

  • This was a big one, this would have taken all our powder and then some.

  • And if it doesn't go, then we've got a whole lot left, as you suggest.

  • So we'll look for acquisitions and we have a few and there's always -- if the market doesn't treat us well, there's always stock buybacks as well.

  • So those are the 2 places over the last 5 years we've used our money.

  • We'll continue to do that.

  • Rick L. Weller - CFO, CAO and EVP

  • And as Mike said, we at any given time, probably have 3 or 4 different candidates on the evaluation table to take a look at.

  • And it's just really a matter of whether or not they achieve our objectives and can be done for the valuation expectations that we have.

  • So it really then gets down to a volume of and a size of transaction that fits within our current strategy.

  • Michael J. Brown - Founder, Chairman, CEO and President

  • We've actually been evaluating several other acquisitions alongside the MoneyGram one during this entire time.

  • So we're not really serial thinkers.

  • You never know when the good ones going to pop up so you've got to kind of run parallel process and be looking at 2 or 3 all the time, all the time.

  • Rick L. Weller - CFO, CAO and EVP

  • And we're in markets around the world.

  • So we probably have the opportunity to see more opportunities out there than maybe someone else might just because we're in -- we operate in nearly 50 countries.

  • Jason Scott Deleeuw - VP and Senior Research Analyst

  • And do you look -- are you looking across all 3 businesses?

  • Michael J. Brown - Founder, Chairman, CEO and President

  • Always.

  • Yes.

  • Okay, I think that we've got to make that be our last call.

  • It's a little past the top of the hour.

  • I want to thank everybody for taking your time with us and I look forward to talking to you after a good second quarter in about 90 days.

  • Thank you very much.

  • Operator

  • Ladies and gentlemen, thank you for your participation in today's conference.

  • This does conclude the program.

  • You may now disconnect.

  • Everybody, have a great day.