DICK'S Sporting Goods Inc (DKS) 2018 Q1 法說會逐字稿

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  • Operator

  • Good morning, everyone, and welcome to the DICK'S Sporting Goods First Quarter Conference Call. (Operator Instructions) Please also note today's event is being recorded.

  • At this time, I would like to turn the conference call over to Mr. Steve West, Vice President of Investor Relations. Sir, please go ahead.

  • Steve West

  • Good morning, everyone, and thank you for joining us to discuss our first quarter 2018 results. On today's call will be Ed Stack, our Chairman and Chief Executive Officer; Lauren Hobart, our President; and Lee Belitsky, our Chief Financial Officer.

  • A rebroadcast of today's call will be archived on the Investor Relations portion of our website, located at dicks.com, for approximately 30 days.

  • As a reminder, we will be making forward-looking statements, which are subject to various risks and uncertainties that could cause our actual results to differ materially from these statements. Any such statements should be considered in conjunction with cautionary statements in our earnings release and risk factor discussions in our filings with the SEC, including our last annual report on Form 10-K and cautionary statements made during this call. We assume no obligation to update any of these forward-looking statements or information. Please refer to our investor website at dicks.com to find the reconciliation of non-GAAP financial measures referenced in today's call.

  • Now for a couple of admin items. Please note we revised our earnings release schedule to more closely align with our SEC reporting calendar. Also, for the second and third quarters, the timing of our quarterly dividend announcement will be consistent with that new calendar, and we will announce any dividend in conjunction with our quarterly earnings release.

  • And finally, for your future scheduling purposes, we are tentatively planning to publish our second quarter 2018 earnings release before the market opens on August 29, 2018, with our subsequent earnings call at 10 a.m. Eastern Standard Time.

  • With that, I will now turn the call over to Ed.

  • Edward W. Stack - Chairman & CEO

  • Thank you, Steve, and good morning, everyone. Before moving to the business review, I'd like to first formally introduce Steve West as our new Head of Investor Relations. Additionally, I'd like to thank Nate Gilch for his outstanding work in IR over the past years. Nate's moving into a new leadership role within our finance organization supporting field operations.

  • This morning, we're pleased to report earnings per diluted share of $0.59 and are raising our full year earnings per diluted share guidance to a range of $2.92 to $3.12 from $2.80 to $3.

  • First quarter revenue grew 4.6% to approximately $1.9 billion. Adjusted for the calendar shift due to the 53rd week last year, our consolidated same-store sales declined 2.5%, and our eCommerce business increased 24%.

  • As a percent of total net sales, our online business increased to approximately 11% compared to approximately 9% in the same period last year. Merchandise margin rate increased across the majority of our business categories. This margin rate expansion is due to stronger innovation and newness from several of our key partners as well as a higher penetration of our private brands. Our refined assortment led to a healthier business with fewer promotions.

  • During the quarter, we started to see the benefits of many of our strategies and investments. First, our private brand business is a source of strength that continues to accelerate. This business continues to outpace our company average, delivering double-digit growth again this quarter.

  • Driving differentiation and exclusivity within our assortment is a top priority. We've expanded our CALIA collection to new categories and given it premium space in our stores. In the 3 short years since its launch, CALIA has grown to be our #3 private brand in our portfolio and the #2 brand in women's athletic apparel, behind only Nike.

  • This quarter, we also launched Tommy Armour golf clubs. These clubs were designed in partnership with the BMW Designworks and have received national recognition. We have significant momentum in our private brand business and believe it can reach $2 billion over a relatively short period of time.

  • Second, we are seeing the positive impacts of our merchandising strategy we launched last year. Over the course of last year, we enhanced relationships with strategic partners, eliminated nonessential vendors and removed complexity from our assortment and supply chain. As a result of these efforts, we have a more refined assortment, cleaner inventory, better in-stock positions and fewer promotions compared to the last few quarters.

  • Importantly, during this first quarter, our inventory levels declined 3.8% year-over-year compared to a 4.6% increase in sales. This reflects better execution and translates to better merchandising margin rates. We continue to work on optimizing our assortments and our vendor base.

  • Our technology investments are continuing to show positive results. We are now more than a year past the launch of our proprietary eCommerce platform, and our online customer experience has continued to improve. As we anniversary the launch of the website last year, we're very pleased with our 24% eComm growth this past quarter.

  • I'm extremely optimistic about the future of DICK'S Sporting Goods. While we're pleased with the progress made during the quarter, we remain focused on our goal to build the best omni-channel experience for all athletes. Lauren will outline, in more detail, our strategy against this goal.

  • But before I turn the call over to her, I'd like to thank our associates for their hard work and commitment to this company over the past year. We're driven by the sheer belief that sports makes people better and have the power to unify us.

  • I'd now like to turn the call over to Lauren.

  • Lauren R. Hobart - President & Director

  • Thanks, Ed, and good morning, everyone. Like Ed, I am very excited about the opportunities that we have in front of us to drive the competitive advantage and win with our customers, whom we call athletes.

  • As we strive to build the best omni-channel experience for all athletes, we've built a strategic framework for achieving this goal.

  • The first pillar of our strategy is the relentless improvement of our core execution to make our shopping experience the best in retail. We're working to make it frictionless for athletes to engage with us across all touch points of their journey regardless of when, where or how they want to visit with us.

  • There are 2 areas within the shopping path that are key priorities. First, we are making it easier for athletes to find the best products to meet their needs by increasing our in-stock positions and our depth, presenting our products in powerful and impactful ways and continuing to offer our best price guarantee. Second, we are making it more convenient for athletes to complete transactions. This includes focusing on speed of checkout, both in-stores and online.

  • Our efforts to improve core functionality on our new web platform combined with overall better execution resulted in improvements in margin rates, conversion and average order value in eCommerce during the quarter, contributing to the 24% online growth. As part of improving the athletes' overall experience, we continue to invest in our supply chain to improve the speed and reliability of our online delivery. We are also continuously testing ways to improve the online pickup experience. This includes the recent pilot of lockers near the entrance of select DICK'S Sporting Goods stores, which conveniently allow people to place an order online and pick it up at a store within 1 hour without waiting for assistance.

  • This is just one example of a new agile approach we are taking to innovation through which we are rapidly experimenting to optimize our omni-channel experience, learning quickly and moving to solutions. This improved shopping experience will also become a core part of our marketing efforts going forward.

  • In fact, today, we launched a new TV campaign, which emphasizes the benefits that we provide as an omni-channel retailer and highlights the many ways that athletes can shop with us. Marketing will continue to be a major priority as we raise awareness of our powerful omni-channel platform and deepen the emotional connection to our brands.

  • The second pillar of our strategy is to leverage the power of our expertise in sporting goods to guide and inform athletes. In addition to providing the most compelling assortment of brands and categories in the industry, the expertise that we share with our athletes differentiates us as the premier omni-channel sporting goods retailer.

  • One example of this is through our Pro Tips digital segment, which provides athletes with our advice on products and training as well as how-to guides. Another great example of this is our recent partnership with Nike to launch the new Epic React running shoe. Our significant access and depth in the product, our in-store and online presentation and our strong joint marketing efforts with Nike helped to make us a leader in this launch, which proved to be extremely successful.

  • We are also differentiating ourselves via our ScoreCard loyalty program, which is a tremendous asset. We have over 20 million active users in the program, accounting for more than 70% of our sales. So the program is incredibly robust.

  • This data from the program is the engine of our digital and direct marketing efforts, enabling us to engage in more meaningful and effective one-to-one personalized communications. We also continue to test new ways to better reward our most loyal ScoreCard members, including an expanded test of our ScoreCard goal program.

  • Our third strategic pillar is improving productivity in our business. We are highly disciplined in how we invest our time, resources and capital to ensure we focus only on work that contributes to the strategic and financial objectives of the company. We are focused on driving efficiencies in processes and identifying savings from non-value-added activities, allowing us to reinvest in growing areas of our business. This is a very exciting time for our company as we focus on driving excellence in our core business, creating differentiation in the marketplace and delivering continuous productivity improvements.

  • I will now turn the call over to Lee to speak more specifically about our financial results and outlook.

  • Lee J. Belitsky - Executive VP & CFO

  • Thank you, Lauren. Good morning, everyone. Let's begin with a brief review of our first quarter results.

  • Consolidated sales increased 4.6% to approximately $1.91 billion. This included a benefit from the calendar shift of approximately $32 million or $0.10 per diluted share. Adjusted for the calendar shift due to the 53rd week last year, consolidated same-store sales declined 2.5%. Transactions declined by 3.7%, which we believe was impacted by colder spring weather this year versus last, and average ticket increased by 1.2%.

  • We continue to believe reporting the comp to reflect the calendar shift is the most meaningful indicator of our performance. However, given the confusion we've seen with some other retailers who have reported recently, we felt it was important to be as transparent as possible and report the comp both ways. Based on an unshifted calendar, consolidated same-store sales declined 0.9% for the quarter.

  • Looking at our best-performing categories in the quarter, and these were all on a shifted basis, we saw a strength in our fitness business, fitness equipment and Team Sports businesses. License sales also comped positively, benefiting from the Eagle Super Bowl win. Additionally, we continue to drive double-digit comp sales growth in our private brands, which significantly outpaced the company average driven by strong sales growth from CALIA, Field & Stream and adidas Team Sports as well as our new brands.

  • Finally, our cold weather businesses such as outdoor apparel and boots increased sharply. These areas of strength, however, were offset by declines in our hunt and electronic businesses. As expected, our firearms policy changes impacted our hunt business, which saw an accelerated decline in an already challenged category.

  • Our electronics business, which was primarily fitness tracking, was down in the high double digits as we are essentially exiting that business. As we said on the fourth quarter call, we expect these businesses to remain under significant pressure throughout the remainder of the year, and the headwinds are incorporated in our full year outlook. However, we are benefiting from a margin rate perspective as these categories tend to be lower-margin businesses.

  • Moving on to margins. Gross profit for the quarter was $560.4 million or 29.3% of sales, a 35 basis point decline versus last year. Within gross margin, our merchandise margin rate increased 18 basis points driven by lower promotions and a favorable merchandise mix. This increase, however, was more than offset by higher shipping and fulfillment costs associated with the growth in our eCommerce business as well as occupancy expense deleverage.

  • SG&A expenses were $470.3 million for the quarter or 24.6% of net sales, deleveraging 56 basis points from the same period last year. This deleverage was primarily driven by higher brand-building marketing expenses related to the Olympics, higher incentive compensation accruals and investment in our growth initiatives to support our long-term strategy.

  • The effective tax rate was approximately 28%, which was favorable to our guidance of a 30% tax rate in the first quarter due to a onetime state tax settlement. This contributed approximately $0.01 to our first quarter earnings.

  • In total, we delivered first quarter earnings per diluted share of $0.59, and there were no non-GAAP items during the quarter.

  • Now looking to our balance sheet. We ended the first quarter with approximately $105 million of cash and cash equivalents and $280 million on our revolving credit facility.

  • Turning to our first quarter capital allocation. Net capital expenditures were $44 million. We also repurchased approximately 3.3 million shares for $107.9 million at an average price of $32.33.

  • Additionally, during the quarter, we paid approximately $24 million in quarterly dividends.

  • Moving to our fiscal 2018 outlook. We are maintaining our same-store sales guidance at flat to down low single digits. Additionally, as Ed mentioned, we are raising our full year earnings per diluted share outlook to a range of $2.92 to $3.12 from $2.80 to $3, primarily due to lower share count as well as higher margins and the lower tax rate in the first quarter.

  • Before we take your questions, as we said on the fourth quarter call due to the calendar shift following the 53-week year last year, we expect our sales and earnings to be positively impacted in quarters 1 and 2 and negatively impacted in quarters 3 and 4 for a net neutral impact on the year. We expect the impact on second quarter sales and earnings to be similar to what we saw in the first quarter. For the third quarter and fourth quarter, we expect the subsequent negative impacts to offset the gains in the first 2 quarters.

  • This concludes our prepared remarks. Thank you for your interest in DICK'S Sporting Goods. And operator, you may now open the line for questions.

  • Operator

  • (Operator Instructions) Our first question today comes from Michael Lasser from UBS.

  • Michael Lasser - MD and Equity Research Analyst of Consumer Hardlines

  • Has the margin performance, the merchandise margin performance in the first quarter made you rethink at all about the flow and the shape of the margin over the coming quarters, particularly in the back half of the year when you're going to anniversary significant margin declines? So should we expect that this type of performance and the trajectory now is sustainable?

  • Lee J. Belitsky - Executive VP & CFO

  • So, Michael, it's Lee. We're very pleased with the merchandise margins we were able to deliver in the first quarter, and we believe that we can sustain improved merchandise margins throughout the year.

  • Michael Lasser - MD and Equity Research Analyst of Consumer Hardlines

  • Sustain, improve. So you expect your merchandise margins to be up year-over-year, correct? And maybe even grow more substantially, given that the comparison will get easier from here. Is that fair?

  • Edward W. Stack - Chairman & CEO

  • Well, the -- so we do expect it to be up over last year. The comparisons -- in the fourth quarter, we are so dependent, as most of you know who have followed us, we're so dependent on the weather. So it depends on what happens in the cold weather category. And if we need to promote that because the winter's too warm, then it might be relatively even. If it's a normal winter similar to what we had last year, we would expect the margin rates to be up, but it is weather dependent.

  • Michael Lasser - MD and Equity Research Analyst of Consumer Hardlines

  • And speaking of the weather, my follow-up question, how much do you think the weather impacted your same-store sales in the first quarter? And how much of that do you think you'll get back in the second quarter specifically which is factored into our comp expectations second quarter?

  • Edward W. Stack - Chairman & CEO

  • Well, I think it impacted us a bit. We don't really know how much. But I wouldn't factor in a whole lot of a change in the -- that we're going to recoup an awful lot in the second quarter.

  • Operator

  • Our next question comes from Robbie Ohmes from Bank of America Merrill Lynch.

  • Robert Frederick Ohmes - MD

  • Actually, a couple of quick questions, Ed. The first, just I think you guys didn't call out branded athletic footwear and apparel as one of the key drivers for the quarter. Just curious how that did.

  • Edward W. Stack - Chairman & CEO

  • We were pleased with our footwear business and our apparel business.

  • Robert Frederick Ohmes - MD

  • And anything that stood out within that category?

  • Edward W. Stack - Chairman & CEO

  • Nothing really in particular that surprised us. The -- our private brands did very well. The adidas brand continues to do very well. I think we'll see some acceleration in Nike going forward, and we had a meeting with Under Armour yesterday. We're really pleased with the content and the direction we're going to be going with them going forward. So all in all, we're pretty pleased with what's going on there.

  • Robert Frederick Ohmes - MD

  • And just one quick follow-up. When we think about your comps going forward on a shifted basis or apples-to-apples, is it -- where are we in the hunting and electronics being a pressure? Does that start to roll off? And could -- with the other things going on, should we see you get back to positive comps maybe sooner rather than later?

  • Edward W. Stack - Chairman & CEO

  • Robbie, right now, we've guided -- we've maintained the guidance of low single digits to flat. The electronics business really will continue to be difficult through most of the fourth quarter. And the hunt business, we expect based on our firearm policy, it's going to continue to be challenged through the balance of the year. So we don't see a big change. We do see this change in margin rates, and we're really pleased, and that's why we -- that's one of the reasons why we raised our guidance for the year going forward.

  • Operator

  • Our next question comes from Simeon Gutman from Morgan Stanley.

  • Simeon Ari Gutman - Executive Director

  • My question is, the prior guidance had EBIT dollars down, I think, 20% for the year. First quarter looks like it was down 6% on a decently tough compare. And if we have the guidance right for the full year, the new guidance, it looks like it's around mid-teens - that's down mid-teens. And so I want to just clarify in the earlier question about the trajectory, does that mean, I guess, every quarter should be worse than the first quarter from here even though the compares get a little bit easier?

  • Lee J. Belitsky - Executive VP & CFO

  • Well, I think the guidance you're referring to was back in November when we said that earnings could be down as much as 20% for the year. And I think then, we kind of modified that a little bit in the year-end earnings call. We're pleased with the results coming out of the first quarter. There's a long year ahead of us still. So we are -- we baked in some improvement from the first quarter, but we're largely sticking with the back part of the year, the guidance that we issued for the full year back in March. At this point, we haven't -- we're not baking in additional improvements in the business running out through the rest of the year.

  • Simeon Ari Gutman - Executive Director

  • Okay. And then my follow-up, Ed mentioned that it sounds like the electronics and firearms, it probably don't dissipate as a headwind until next year on the comp line. But can you tell us how much benefit you're getting on the margin line? And just related to the response, Lee, just as far as the big investments and that 20% probably referred to, there was some contingency as well as real investments that you're making. Does that mean that the biggest part of your investment curve is abating?

  • Lee J. Belitsky - Executive VP & CFO

  • No. We're continuing to invest. We've got some significant -- we've got important margin pickup in the first quarter. Our expenses were very well controlled in the first quarter as well. That helped the earnings as well, and we expect to continue to invest in the business in a meaningful way throughout the year, both from a capital perspective, which should accelerate as we get later in the year and from an expense perspective.

  • Simeon Ari Gutman - Executive Director

  • And just the margin lift that you're getting from those categories being a little bit less weight on the sales line?

  • Lee J. Belitsky - Executive VP & CFO

  • We haven't broken that out separately, but it is certainly helping our merchandise margin rates.

  • Edward W. Stack - Chairman & CEO

  • And we think that's something that will continue throughout the balance of the year.

  • Lee J. Belitsky - Executive VP & CFO

  • Yes.

  • Operator

  • Our next question comes from Christopher Horvers from JPMorgan. Our next question comes from Brian Nagel from Oppenheimer.

  • Brian William Nagel - MD & Senior Analyst

  • So a couple questions. First off, with regard to the gross margins, maybe a follow-up to a couple of the prior questions, but I think, Ed, you mentioned less promotional activity. So the question I have there is, was that more specific to DICK'S? Or are we seeing now less promotional activity within the sector? And along those lines, any comments on just the -- what had been described before as kind of a glut of inventory within the channel?

  • Edward W. Stack - Chairman & CEO

  • Well, Brian, a couple things. I think the majority of the inventory has been cleaned up, which we talked a little bit about in the last call. So that's been cleaned up. I think there's been less promotional activity out in the marketplace from some of our competitors as they've gotten their inventory more in line. Also, less from the brands on a direct basis with they've got their inventories in line, and it's been less promotional from us as we've been -- our team's done a really very good job of controlling the inventory as you could see. Our inventory was down, and our sales were up. So -- and we've done that. It's helped to drive the margins positive, and we expect that to continue through the balance of the year.

  • Brian William Nagel - MD & Senior Analyst

  • Got it. And then my follow-up question, different topic. Online, so online continues to grow nicely for you, climbing to a higher percent of your sales. As the business is getting bigger, how should we think about the underlying profitability of that sales channel now versus the legacy business?

  • Lauren R. Hobart - President & Director

  • It's Lauren here. The profitability of the eCommerce channel has improved significantly since we've taken it in-house and will continue to improve even further as we are able to leverage fixed expenses with growth. So we're very pleased with the profitability of the channel and expect to grow it significantly.

  • Operator

  • Our next question comes from Seth Sigman from Crédit Suisse.

  • Seth Ian Sigman - United States Hardline Retail Equity Research Analyst

  • Great. My first question is on gross margin. Obviously, the performance was better than expected. You talked about mix, you talked about less promotions. I'm trying to understand some of the other factors that may have contributed. So thinking about the accounting change around the gift card breakage. And then also, was there any benefit from the weak shift on gross margin as in theory, it gives you an opportunity to leverage some of the costs in there?

  • Lee J. Belitsky - Executive VP & CFO

  • So there was a small benefit from the weak shift on gross margin as well. The first week of February is generally a pretty heavy clearance period for us while -- which we lost from this quarter, and then we picked up a quarter in the beginning of May, which is pretty good margin quarter. So there's a little bit of a benefit. So -- and with respect to the change in revenue recognition, it really didn't impact the gross margin.

  • Seth Ian Sigman - United States Hardline Retail Equity Research Analyst

  • Got it. And then to clarify on the guidance as we think about the outlook, I think you previously talked about gross margin down slightly for the year. Are you basically now saying slightly positive?

  • Edward W. Stack - Chairman & CEO

  • We think it will be -- we think for the year, on the merchandise margin, we think it will be slightly positive.

  • Lee J. Belitsky - Executive VP & CFO

  • Yes. We still think that the gross margin overall, including rent expense and shipping and fulfillment costs, will be down somewhat for the year.

  • Seth Ian Sigman - United States Hardline Retail Equity Research Analyst

  • Okay. And then my follow-up question is around the apparel business. Can you just speak about comp performance in that business through the quarter? And specifically if you look at the private brand growth, I think you talked about up double digits. Obviously, nice to see that progress. We're just trying to figure out how incremental is this growth versus what's coming from share of shelf gains.

  • Edward W. Stack - Chairman & CEO

  • So we won't -- for competitive reasons, we won't kind of talk specifically what's going on from an apparel standpoint, but we're pleased with the trajectory of the majority of the brands that we're doing business with. We think that, that's going to continue to get better. And our private brand, as we said, comped double digits, and we expect it will continue to outpace the company.

  • Operator

  • Our next question comes from Steve Forbes from Guggenheim Securities.

  • Steven Paul Forbes - Analyst

  • And maybe a follow-up on the last one regarding private brands. How does the continued strength right in that -- in the private brands themselves impact how you think about future space allocation decisions across the product categories? And are you making significant changes today? I think you mentioned in the prepared remarks that CALIA is getting more premium space. So can you just provide some color and expand on that?

  • Edward W. Stack - Chairman & CEO

  • Well, CALIA did get some additional premium space as we continue to drive out -- drive these private brands. They will continue to get additional space as they outperform some of the other vendors that haven't performed nearly as well. We'll see that in our golf apparel business, the Walter Hagen brand and the Slazenger brand has continued to get additional space. CALIA's continued to get additional space. And so we will continue to allocate space, as needed, as these brands continue to grow.

  • Steven Paul Forbes - Analyst

  • And is there a rollout planned in place? Or is it kind of evolving here given the strength and to be determined on how fast you're going to roll it out over time here?

  • Edward W. Stack - Chairman & CEO

  • Well, there's a rollout plan, which we basically executed for this year. And as we get further into the year, we'll make plans of what we will want to do next year as we're continuing to drive this business. But the space allocation is pretty much set for this year.

  • Steven Paul Forbes - Analyst

  • And then just a follow-up regarding the premium footwear decks, right? I think we're now in year 2 of the initial rollouts. So can you just touch on how those initial stores right, looking back 24 months here, are maturing relative to expectations? How are they comping in footwear versus the chain average and just really how they're performing in general?

  • Edward W. Stack - Chairman & CEO

  • Well, we're not going to get that specific, but we're very pleased with the premium footwear decks as can be evidenced by we continue to build them in the majority of the new stores.

  • Operator

  • Our next question comes from Chris Horvers from JPMorgan.

  • Christopher Michael Horvers - Senior Analyst

  • I'll try and go at the weather question a different way. You did have some other headwinds and tailwinds in the quarter in terms of the Eagles and the -- the Little League bat rule. Would it be fair to say that those tailwinds offset the headwind from the late spring on the outdoor businesses?

  • Edward W. Stack - Chairman & CEO

  • Yes, pretty much. I would say that's fair.

  • Christopher Michael Horvers - Senior Analyst

  • Okay. And then can you comment on the overall levels of inventory in the athletic marketplace? I mean, clearly seasonal inventory should be pretty clean at least exiting winter. Has the market fully cleaned? And related to that, you mentioned an encouraging conversation with UA about the content pipeline. What's your current expectation on when you might see differentiated product in DICK'S stores? Do you think it could be in time for the holiday? Or do you still think that's next year?

  • Edward W. Stack - Chairman & CEO

  • Well, I think it depends on who we're talking about. We're not going to get that granular with brands, but there would be some differentiated key product that we'll have going into the back-to-school season and holiday. And some of it is not differentiated from the entire marketplace but differentiated into the majority of the marketplace or kind of differentiated for us and a few other retailers that will have the product. And then some other brands will be a bit more into next year. Our private brands, we continue to drive. We've got an outdoor brand that we'll be launching this year. From a private brand standpoint, CALIA continues to grow. We continue to feel good about the Field & Stream product that we're putting out from an apparel standpoint. So all in all, we're feeling pretty good about our business.

  • Christopher Michael Horvers - Senior Analyst

  • And then the last, just some quick numerical questions. Any sense on what the occupancy deleverage was and what the incentive compensation headwinds were for the quarter?

  • Lee J. Belitsky - Executive VP & CFO

  • We haven't disclosed those specific percentages at this point.

  • Operator

  • Our next question comes from Matt McClintock from Barclays.

  • Matthew J. McClintock - Senior Analyst

  • Ed, I was wondering if we could talk private label just following up on Steve's question. Thinking about what you're doing in the physical store to drive growth of the private label business like giving CALIA more premium space. And then trying to think about the penetration of private label in your store versus online. What I'm trying to figure out is it seems like you have a better ability to drive the private label business in the physical store by doing things like giving premium space. But what are you doing online to drive that business? And are the penetration rates similar?

  • Edward W. Stack - Chairman & CEO

  • So the penetration rates are a bit lower online than they are in the store right now. And we're looking at ways that we can help grow that from a marketing standpoint what we're doing online. And we do think that as we continue to grow this in-store, it will help the online business.

  • Lauren R. Hobart - President & Director

  • Yes, I would just add that some of our private brands actually have strong penetration online. Those that have big social followings, CALIA is one of them that it's a mixed bag, but they do penetrate well there as well.

  • Lee J. Belitsky - Executive VP & CFO

  • And generally, more of the opening price point programs have lower penetration online, and the areas where we're building brands are -- have higher penetration online.

  • Operator

  • Our next question comes from Mike Baker from Deutsche Bank.

  • Michael Allen Baker - Research Analyst

  • The first -- your guidance implies that the first quarter will be about 19% to 20% of your full year earnings. Yet it's really never been higher than like 18.5% I think is the highest, and it averages about 17%, including 1Q '13 when you have the same calendar shift, it was like less than 18%. Any reason why it should be a bigger percent of the year versus what it's been historically? Again, last calendar shift, it wasn't quite this high either.

  • Edward W. Stack - Chairman & CEO

  • I think to be honest with you, we didn't look at it that way. We're just taking a look at our quarterly results and what we feel it's going to be for the balance of the year, and we don't look at it that way. I couldn't even begin to answer it.

  • Michael Allen Baker - Research Analyst

  • All right. All right. Let me ask it this way, if I could. I guess I'm trying to understand, it seems like you did bump up your guidance by, I guess -- did you bump it up just by the beat in the first quarter? Or are you also flowing through some expectation perhaps from better merchandise margins?

  • Lee J. Belitsky - Executive VP & CFO

  • We have largely unchanged our internal expectations other than share count going forward.

  • Michael Allen Baker - Research Analyst

  • Okay. Understood. That's helpful. A couple more follow-ups. The $0.10 benefit from the extra week, again going back the last time you had this calendar shift. It seems largely similar to the impact in 1Q '13 when you adjusted the tax rate, et cetera. So, I guess, the question is, is that $0.10 about in line with your plan?

  • Lee J. Belitsky - Executive VP & CFO

  • Yes.

  • Michael Allen Baker - Research Analyst

  • From the extra week?

  • Lee J. Belitsky - Executive VP & CFO

  • Yes.

  • Michael Allen Baker - Research Analyst

  • Okay. One more clarification and maybe you're not willing to answer this, but in the press release, you did specifically call out a delayed start to the outdoor sports because of the weather. Yet earlier in the Q&A session here, you seemed to downplay that and say you're really not expecting much of a pickup. I'm just trying to reconcile those 2 ideas. If you did, in fact, see a delay as written in the press release, why wouldn't we expect a recouping of those sales?

  • Edward W. Stack - Chairman & CEO

  • Well, we don't know until there was -- Team Sports was late getting started. Some of the watersports, paddle sports work, we don't know the timing of that if they're going to come back to buy that or they're just going to use since it's kind of toward -- getting more toward the end of the season. They're not going to upgrade that equipment or make a change. We're not sure about that.

  • Michael Allen Baker - Research Analyst

  • So you haven't put any of that in the guidance, obviously, because your guidance is unchanged. Okay. Understood.

  • Edward W. Stack - Chairman & CEO

  • Correct, correct. Sure.

  • Operator

  • Our next question comes from Sam Poser from Susquehanna.

  • Samuel Marc Poser - Senior Analyst

  • I've got a couple of things. Number one, I mean, your eCommerce, I guess, how much of your overall business is being touched by digital right now? I mean, sort of what you regard as omni-channel versus the pure eCommerce business that you're reporting in your numbers?

  • Edward W. Stack - Chairman & CEO

  • I'm not sure I understand the question.

  • Lauren R. Hobart - President & Director

  • You mean are people researching and using the website for beyond just purchasing, how big? Is that the question?

  • Samuel Marc Poser - Senior Analyst

  • I mean, how much like, I mean, are you able to see like with the mobile apps, they're coming into the store, they're looking on the mobile app and then they're -- how much interaction are they -- are your consumers having with the digital part of the omni-channel experience?

  • Edward W. Stack - Chairman & CEO

  • We're not going to talk about specifically what that is, but it's very significant. I mean, most people's purchase decisions start online. And the app is very well used. Coming to our site, a very significant part of our business is done because of the app or the site.

  • Lauren R. Hobart - President & Director

  • Omni-channel.

  • Samuel Marc Poser - Senior Analyst

  • Two other things. Are you adding -- are you going to be adding any kind of geo-tracking that you can then talk to your loyalty customers like specifically when they're in the store, near a store saying you might like this while they're in the neighborhood kind of thing?

  • Lauren R. Hobart - President & Director

  • Yes. We do have some capabilities. We think that's an untapped opportunity that we can dive into more significantly as we develop the app further.

  • Samuel Marc Poser - Senior Analyst

  • And then lastly, Lee -- and lastly, Lee, just to clarify. The week-to-week comp compare was based on the same weeks this year versus the same weeks last year was down 0.9%. Is that correct?

  • Lee J. Belitsky - Executive VP & CFO

  • No.

  • Samuel Marc Poser - Senior Analyst

  • Or is it down -- the week ending -- the 13 weeks ending -- whatever, ending the last day of fiscal Q1 this year was down 2.8%.

  • Lee J. Belitsky - Executive VP & CFO

  • 2.5%.

  • Samuel Marc Poser - Senior Analyst

  • 2.5%, excuse me.

  • Lee J. Belitsky - Executive VP & CFO

  • Yes, shifted calendar, comparable weeks was down 2.5%. Unshifted was down 0.9%.

  • Operator

  • Our next question comes from Peter Benedict from Baird.

  • Peter Sloan Benedict - Senior Research Analyst

  • Could you maybe elaborate a little bit more on what you're doing in the area of supply chain to enhance speed and efficiency? Just curious a little more detail on what's going on there.

  • Lee J. Belitsky - Executive VP & CFO

  • Sure. Right now, we are building out our eCommerce facility in the Northeast, our eCommerce fulfillment facility in Upstate New York. That will be operational next year. That will get us closer to the customer from a centralized fulfillment perspective. Currently, we are fulfilling everything out of Louisville, Kentucky. All of our centralized fulfillments out of Louisville in addition to our store fulfillment. So we believe we can hit all of the Northeast within a day from our New York facility, and we believe that we've got better execution really from our centralized fulfillment center than we do from the stores. So that should improve that. We're also beginning work to look at a West Coast fulfillment center, a centralized fulfillment center that we'll be working on for next year as well. Once again, those customers, they're serviced on the central prospective out of Louisville, Kentucky as well. So we're looking at both of those facilities for launch next year.

  • Peter Sloan Benedict - Senior Research Analyst

  • That's helpful. The West Coast would launch as well next year?

  • Lee J. Belitsky - Executive VP & CFO

  • Yes.

  • Peter Sloan Benedict - Senior Research Analyst

  • Okay. And, Lee, when you launch those types of things, do you get kind of some initial margin headwind because of capacity and startup expenses, things like that? And then they start to leverage maybe a year out? Is that how the cadence works?

  • Lee J. Belitsky - Executive VP & CFO

  • That's -- we haven't modeled that, but that's typically what we see when we fill regional fulfillment centers. So it's probably a reasonable expectation for next year, but we haven't worked through all the math on those yet.

  • Peter Sloan Benedict - Senior Research Analyst

  • Right. Understood. The BOPUS locker test, just curious how broad that is and when we could see an expansion of that? Is that something we could see more broadly across your store base in time for the holiday?

  • Lauren R. Hobart - President & Director

  • So it's a very small test right now, just a few stores. And it's more of an operational test than anything else to make sure that we could do it. Our next part of this innovation cycle will be to actually see how important the locker is versus getting the inventory into the front of the store, so that we make a positive economic decision in terms of this investment. So I do not think you'll see a full rollout by holiday, but we will continue to make improvements with the BOPUS experience, and we are doing that in many stores.

  • Peter Sloan Benedict - Senior Research Analyst

  • Okay. And then just last question, a numbers one. On the other income expense line that tends to show income, but I guess, this quarter, it was an expense. So just curious if there's anything changing there and how we should think about that going forward.

  • Lee J. Belitsky - Executive VP & CFO

  • Yes, that primarily has to do with valuation of long-term compensation investments. And if the stock market goes down, that value will go down, has to flow through other income. And if the stock market goes up, that number will be a positive number. So...

  • Operator

  • Our next question comes from Omar Saad from Evercore ISI.

  • Omar Regis Saad - Senior MD, Head of Softlines, Luxury and Department Stores Team & Fundamental Research Analyst

  • I was hoping you guys could maybe give us an update on the price matching policy. What you're seeing. Are a lot of customers taking advantage of that? Or has it been more of a nonevent as you've incorporated that in your customer experience and value proposition?

  • Lauren R. Hobart - President & Director

  • So the best price guarantee has actually become a very big core part of our marketing communications. If you go into one of our stores now, you'll see it's all over the front doors. It's all over the store, and it provides people with a lot of assurance that they are getting the best price, so that they don't have to leave the store to go find a better price. The fact of the matter is it has been more of a marketing vehicle than anything that's been hurting our margin because we were doing a lot of price matching before without taking credit for it and without assuring the customer that, that would be the case. So we were creating some stress at the transaction level. That has been eliminated. It's a very positive customer experience. It has not been very dilutive to margin.

  • Omar Regis Saad - Senior MD, Head of Softlines, Luxury and Department Stores Team & Fundamental Research Analyst

  • That's helpful, and then just one quick follow-up. Maybe you could just expand a little bit more on the effects of the gun policy change. I know it'll be a bit of headwind for those kind of passionate firearm consumers, but has there been any kind of positive effects of your decision to take that policy?

  • Edward W. Stack - Chairman & CEO

  • Well, there has. There's been a number of people who have started shopping us. They said they're going to shop us more because of the policy. So, I guess, overall, I would say there's definitely been some benefit of people who have joined us, so to speak, because of the policy.

  • Operator

  • Our next question comes from Camilo Lyon from Canaccord Genuity.

  • Camilo R. Lyon - MD & Head of US Consumer Research

  • Ed, you're clearly doing very well with CALIA continuing to expand square footage to that brand. adidas seems to also be doing well. I was wondering if you could just give us an update on Second Skin? I think you said that you'd update that brand, do some reformatting and redesign for this year. And was also wondering if you feel that you need to associate that brand with an athlete or a social influencer like you did with CALIA to drive greater awareness.

  • Edward W. Stack - Chairman & CEO

  • Well, we're looking at all of those. Do we want to have an influencer? Who would that be? How would we go about doing that? But the Second Skin line is being reconceptualized and will be launched probably sometime toward the end of '19, beginning of '20 is where we stand on that. We made some mistakes on that, that we've talked about, and we don't want to make those mistakes again. So we're going to take our time and make sure we do it right the same way as we did with CALIA.

  • Camilo R. Lyon - MD & Head of US Consumer Research

  • Got it. And then I think you -- I just wanted to confirm. Your views on allocating square footage to the brands that are performing, typically, how frequently does that change? So I think you said that your floor set for CALIA and some of the private-label brands are increasing, those are set for this year. Does that come up for discussion again as to how you plan those planograms next year? And at what point do you start to feel like you have a better sense for increased or decreased space allocation to your private-label brands?

  • Edward W. Stack - Chairman & CEO

  • Well, we've done -- we've got CALIA where we want CALIA for this year. We can make these changes anytime that we see that there's an issue. There'll be -- you'll see some changes in the front end of our store in a number of stores as we try to be more seasonally relevant, if you will. We did a test last year putting outerwear in the front -- bringing it to the front of the store in the front couple of pads, which worked out very well. We're going to test that in a few more stores this year. So you will see some changes, but you won't see anything significant. We don't have anything significant planned other than what we have done so far this year and what we've got planned in the front of the store.

  • Camilo R. Lyon - MD & Head of US Consumer Research

  • Okay, great. And then just lastly, you did mention that -- you said this at quarter 2 -- that you have a private label brand coming in the outerwear space presumably for this fall, winter of '18 season.

  • Edward W. Stack - Chairman & CEO

  • Correct.

  • Camilo R. Lyon - MD & Head of US Consumer Research

  • From a merchandising perspective, are you thinking about having good, better, best solution in this private label being your good option? And if so, does that impact -- how should we think about the impact to the existing brands that have been in that category so would you exit some brands or pulling back on the allocation of that square footage to something your main brands have occupied that good level of category pricing?

  • Edward W. Stack - Chairman & CEO

  • Well, I think that -- how we look at this, some brands will be in the good and better level, some will be in the better and best level. I would put CALIA in the better and best level. This outdoor brand we're talking about is really going to be in the good level kind of more of the opening price point product and really isn't going to impact any major vendor. We think it's white space that we hadn't covered in the past that we plan to cover with this brand.

  • Operator

  • Our next question comes from Scot Ciccarelli from RBC.

  • Beth Reed Pricoli - Senior Associate

  • It's Beth Reed on for Scot. Just wondering if you can comment on the pace of the business throughout the quarter. I presume April was most challenged from a weather perspective but just wondering how it compared to earlier in the quarter, February and March.

  • Edward W. Stack - Chairman & CEO

  • Yes, we don't talk about that kind of how it happened with the quarter. We kind of -- we've laid out that what our comps were for the quarter on both shifted and unshifted basis and what our earnings were, but we won't get any more granular on a quarter-by-quarter basis.

  • Beth Reed Pricoli - Senior Associate

  • Okay. And then just one more. It seems like your store comps are still tracking in the negative low to mid-single digits range. In your guidance, have you baked in any improvement for here -- from here?

  • Edward W. Stack - Chairman & CEO

  • We've laid the guidance out exactly what we had done for the year.

  • Operator

  • Next question comes from Jim Duffy from Stifel.

  • James Vincent Duffy - MD

  • As I isolate some of the variables, you guys did see positive trend in ticket, inventories are clean, which I presume should help ticket going forward. Transaction was really the headwind in the quarter. As you look out any visibility to stabilization or a positive inflection in traffic or transactions?

  • Edward W. Stack - Chairman & CEO

  • Well, we've kind of laid it out kind of the way that it is right now. Part of the -- we've got some headwinds in the firearms business and in the electronic business. And as we said, we don't think that those are going to mitigate through the balance of this year. So they're going to be with us for the balance of this year. So we hope for some improvement, but we haven't baked anything in.

  • James Vincent Duffy - MD

  • Okay. And then I had a question for you on the licensed sports business. Any thoughts you have to share on the impact of the larger role of fanatics in some of the bigger leagues?

  • Edward W. Stack - Chairman & CEO

  • Well, it'll be interesting to see how this plays out. Our license businesses continue to be pretty good. We've been pleased with it, and we'll see how this whole thing plays out as we work through this through the balance of the year and into next year.

  • James Vincent Duffy - MD

  • And then last one, Lee, quickly just shift impact on the eCommerce growth rate.

  • Lee J. Belitsky - Executive VP & CFO

  • No meaningful impact. It's about the same, shifted and unshifted.

  • Operator

  • Our next question comes from John Kernan from Cowen.

  • John David Kernan - MD and Senior Research Analyst

  • Just wanted to go to the SG&A line. I think SG&A dollars were up 7% in the first quarter. Just wondering how that should trend as the year goes on. And then my follow-up is just could you talk to the categories that drove the improvement in the eCommerce business? I think it was the best year-over-year growth you've reported in that business since 2016. So just expand a little bit on the big change in trend there from the fourth quarter.

  • Lee J. Belitsky - Executive VP & CFO

  • Well, with respect to SG&A, again we're not changing how we look at the rest of the year. So we're effectively maintaining our guidance, the balance of the year around sales margin and turn, sales margin and SG&A expense as well. So whatever you guys had baked into your models, you can kind of retain that. With respect to the eCommerce business, Lauren, do you want to take a...

  • Edward W. Stack - Chairman & CEO

  • The eCommerce business, for the most part, you would say within tolerance range kind of mirrors what's happened in the stores. And so what you've kind of see happening in the stores is what's happening from an online standpoint.

  • Lauren R. Hobart - President & Director

  • Yes. We've had very strong success with athletic footwear and apparel in the online business all year, and that was true in the quarter.

  • Lee J. Belitsky - Executive VP & CFO

  • I think we've obviously got better business online than we do in the stores at this point. I think it's really driven by better execution that we've had this year versus last year plus a number of metrics that we track. So we're really excited about that.

  • Operator

  • Our next question comes from Tom Nikic from Wells Fargo.

  • Tom Nikic - Senior Analyst

  • Just a couple of quick balance sheet items. I think you had more borrowed on the revolver than you sort of have anytime I can see at the end of Q1. I was just wondering what drove that? And then just secondly, I think you said earlier that inventories were down. Sales were up, and you kind of expect that to continue going forward. Is that basically -- are you sort of explicitly saying you expect inventory levels to be down year-over-year, the remainder of the year?

  • Edward W. Stack - Chairman & CEO

  • We didn't specifically say that. We said sales -- we've kind of guided from a sales standpoint. We think we can continue to keep inventory down, but we haven't said that. And then the cash piece is really a part of the buyback. We bought back a bunch of stock.

  • Lee J. Belitsky - Executive VP & CFO

  • We've been buying back shares, and I think there's just a couple of timing issues around the calendar shift on when we pay the rent. The rent got paid before the end of the quarter this year, the monthly rent last year hadn't got paid. So there just some timing things associated with the calendar shift.

  • Operator

  • And ladies and gentlemen, our last question today comes from Patrick McKeever from MKM Partners.

  • Patrick Gerard McKeever - MD, Sector Head & Senior Analyst

  • I know you didn't quantify the negative impact on firearm sales from the changes in selling -- in your sales policy that you made earlier this year and some of the changes in the assortment. But, I guess, since that announcement, we've also -- you've also had Mossberg discontinue, I guess, its relationship with you. And then there was the NSSF thing as well. So my question is, I mean, are those incrementally negative to what you're originally thinking about with firearms for the year? And then how -- have you had any additional follow-up from any of your other -- the manufacturers that you do business with in that area? And how are your relationships with some of the other firearms manufacturers?

  • Edward W. Stack - Chairman & CEO

  • Well, we don't have the best relationship with firearms manufacturers right now. And Mossberg did indicate that they weren't going to sell us on a direct basis. If we want, we can still buy that product from a distributor to have that in the assortment. If it -- products that they sell fit into our assortment, we're not sure we're going to do that, but we have the ability to do that. As far as the National Shooting Sports Federation expelling us, that -- we didn't have a whole lot to do with them. They primarily run the shot show. We would go to the shot show, so we don't go to the shot show now. It's really not that big of a deal.

  • Patrick Gerard McKeever - MD, Sector Head & Senior Analyst

  • Right. Okay. And then just looking at your hunting business, excluding firearms and also perhaps adjusting for some of the impact from weather, how is that trending? How would you expect that to look through the balance of the year?

  • Edward W. Stack - Chairman & CEO

  • Well, the hunt business is going to continue -- it's been a challenging business for the last several years, as you know. Based on what some of the manufacturers have reported, they've had a very difficult time over the last couple of years. Our hunt business is going to continue to be challenged because that same consumer, who's buying firearms is buying hunting boots and hunting apparel, and all of that is baked into our guidance. So we think that the whole category is going to continue to be challenged through the balance of the year. And like I said, it's all baked into the guidance.

  • Patrick Gerard McKeever - MD, Sector Head & Senior Analyst

  • And then just within the DICK'S stores, I mean, how committed are you to firearms and hunt longer term?

  • Edward W. Stack - Chairman & CEO

  • Well, that depends on a lot of things that have to be determined yet, and that is how the business plays out, how the manufacturers decide that they want to do business together. There's a number of things that are yet to be determined. The one thing that we do know is that it's going to continue to be challenged. But as we reallocate some marketing dollars, as we reallocate expenses to some other categories, we think it will continue to be margin-accretive to us.

  • Operator

  • And ladies and gentlemen, at this time, we'll conclude today's question-and-answer session. I'd like to turn the conference call back over to Mr. Ed Stack for any closing remarks.

  • Edward W. Stack - Chairman & CEO

  • I'd like to thank everyone for joining us on our earnings call, and we look forward to talk to everyone with our second quarter results. Thank you.

  • Operator

  • Ladies and gentlemen, with that, we'll conclude today's conference call. We do thank you for attending today's presentation. You may now disconnect your lines.