CVS Health Corp (CVS) 2002 Q2 法說會逐字稿

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  • Operator

  • Good day, everyone, and welcome to

  • Longs Drug Stores second quarter earnings results

  • conference call. This call is being recorded.

  • At this time, for opening remarks and

  • introductions, I'd like to turn the call over to

  • Mr. Tim Maron. Please go ahead, sir.

  • Tim Maron

  • Thanks, Operator; and welcome,

  • everyone, to our second quarter conference call.

  • We'll hear first from chief executive officer,

  • Harold Somerset. Chief operating officer, Terry

  • Burnside, will follow with his operations review

  • before chief financial officer, Steve McCann

  • [phonetic], reviews our financial performance

  • and provides our expectations for the third and

  • fourth quarters and fiscal year. As usual, we'll

  • end the call by responding to your questions.

  • Let me remind you that we will be making forward

  • looking statements within the meaning of federal

  • security laws. We believe that our expectations

  • are reasonable and are based on reasonable

  • assumptions. However, risks and uncertainties

  • relating to future events could cause actual

  • results to differ materially from expectations.

  • For a full discussion of these risks and

  • uncertainties please refer to our recent SEC

  • filing. Longs does not intend, and assumes no

  • obligation to, update any forward looking

  • statements. If you need a copy of the release

  • that we distributed after the market closed today,

  • please call area code 925-210-6624.

  • Now let's begin with Harold Somerset.

  • Harold Somerset - CEO

  • Thanks, Dan, and good

  • afternoon, everyone. I'll begin by paraphrasing

  • what I said in our news release. We did what we

  • said we'd do in the second quarter. We were

  • within our projected ranges in total and same

  • store sales along with earnings per share.

  • Looking at it another way, we're beginning to see

  • tangible results from the strategies we're working

  • on to reshape our business. Our challenge now is

  • to continue our momentum despite an unsettled

  • economic environment. Terry and Steve will go

  • into the quarter's operational and financial

  • details shortly. I'm going to focus on some

  • second quarter highlights, our progress with our

  • strategic initiatives, and the appointment of two

  • more independent directors before sharing some of

  • my personal observations after six months as CEO.

  • It's important to note that we are also on

  • schedule with our priority initiatives,

  • particularly with our supply chain improvements

  • and our program to generate increased front end

  • sales. We are currently rolling out our

  • initiative to improve customer service. We are

  • into the foundation work for improving pharmacy

  • profitability and we're developing the programs to

  • improve our operational processes. Our board is

  • also moving as planned toward our goal of

  • establishing a stronger, almost entirely

  • independent board. Last week's appointment of

  • cost plus world market CEO Murry dash gives us our

  • third new independent director this year. Murry

  • is a highly respected retailing and distribution

  • executive. We look forward to having his

  • expertise to draw upon. Branding strategist Duane

  • nap joined our board in July. Duane is not only a

  • recognized strategist, he brings extensive

  • operational experience from his days as an

  • executive with well known and well branded

  • national chains. In February we added financial

  • expertise with the appointment of LeRoy T barns,

  • Jr., vice-president and treasurer of Pacific gas

  • and electric. Our board is also moving ahead in

  • its search for my successor as CEO and we'll of

  • course keep you informed at appropriate points.

  • Personally, I continue to expect my successor to

  • be in place by the end of this year. This being

  • the mid point of our fiscal year, it's a good time

  • to share some observations with you. First,

  • working closely with our senior executives on a

  • daily basis makes it clear to me we've put

  • together a first class group. This team

  • understands what we need to do to reach our goal.

  • We are working diligently to get there. We will

  • continue to develop that team going forward. We

  • also have outstanding people at the store level.

  • Longs is known nationally for that. They are the

  • people who will determine our eventual success

  • through their daily contacts with our customers.

  • Recognizing the value that our store and pharmacy

  • managers bring to the table, we're working hard to

  • enhance our two-way communications with them. Our

  • senior team, myself included, net with every store

  • and pharmacy manager in the Longs organization in

  • a series of meetings in June. [met with]. We're

  • where in the past we had a single annual large

  • manager group meeting, we believe bringing smaller

  • groups together would increase dialogue and help

  • gather ideas that could benefit our entire

  • organization. From the feedback we've received,

  • our store managers are developing a greater

  • understanding of where the company's going, how

  • it's going to get there, and the role they

  • individually and collectively play. Senior

  • management, at the same time, has greater direct

  • input on store issues and competitive

  • opportunities. That's win/win, and we'll be doing

  • a lot more of it as we continue to reshape the

  • company.

  • Let me spend a moment on our top priority,

  • execution. Our priority initiatives were

  • carefully planned and thoroughly reviewed before

  • being adopted as key steps in making Longs an even

  • stronger competitor. Are we there yet? No. Nor

  • will we get there overnight. What we will do is

  • continue to set appropriate expectations and then

  • work hard to meet them. Again, we're progressing

  • on schedule toward what we consider a huge

  • opportunity for all of our stakeholders,

  • investors, employees and customers alike. Before

  • concluding, let me say this we have established a

  • process we're following to ensure that we comply

  • with the new certification requirements of the SEC

  • and the Sarbanes Oxley Bill, because our reporting

  • calendar ends in January. Our deadline for filing

  • is September 16.

  • Thanks for your attention, and here's Terry

  • Burnside.

  • Terry Burnside - COO

  • Thanks, Harold.

  • Good afternoon, everyone. The last time we

  • talked, I said we'd made progress on same store

  • front end sales improvement. I noted that our

  • performance demonstrated our ability to develop

  • strategies that our stores can effectively

  • implement. We made more progress in the second

  • quarter as Harold noted and as Steve will describe

  • in detail shortly. We executed well against our

  • plans and time line. I'll also point out that

  • we're looking at opportunities to accelerate our

  • progress. Let's take a look at some of our key

  • accomplishments in the second quarter.

  • Our ad sales continue to increase. We're

  • executing well against our new marketing and

  • promotional strategies which are designed to

  • generate greater sales and bring more shoppers

  • into our stores. We conducted two major marketing

  • events designed to do exactly that, and we're very

  • happy with the results of each. Clearly, Longs is

  • becoming much more promotions driven. And while

  • that will have some impact on our front end

  • margin, it will also pay returns in the form of a

  • larger customer base and of course increase sales.

  • Supporting that expectation, kneel son data on

  • California retail drug in the second quarter

  • showed our front end sales up 4.3 percent while

  • our retail drug competitors were down about 3.5

  • percent. The kneel son data also shows our sales

  • out paced our California competition in an a

  • number of key categories. For example our

  • beverage sales showed a nice increase while other

  • California drug retailers experienced significant

  • declines in the category. We also achieved solid

  • sales gains in the dry grocery, liquor, health and

  • beauty aids categories. According to the kneel

  • son data, our retail drug competitors in

  • California experienced declines in those

  • categories. What is especially encouraging is

  • that the kneel son data shows us making progress

  • against the grocery sector with sales increases in

  • such categories as dry grocery, including candy

  • and snacks, and beverages which includes alcoholic

  • and nonalcoholic products.

  • Turning to our six-state region, we registered

  • similarly strong performances in most of the same

  • categories and we see that as further success for

  • our revamped add and promotions program [Ad]. We

  • continue to experience softness and photo

  • processing which we attribute to continued price

  • compression and what's become ag an ongoing

  • reduction in travel and vacationing especially

  • since September 11th. Let's spend a moment on our

  • core pharmacy business. Pharmacy sales increased

  • 7 percent over last year primarily due to a rise

  • in average script price, reflects increases in

  • products such as Claritin, Lipitor, Welbutrin

  • [phonetic] and Acefex [phonetic]. On the other

  • hand, gentleman North America alternatives for

  • Glycophage [phonetic], Prozac, Cestral [phonetic]

  • and Pritavil [phonetic] were available in the

  • second quarter sending the average script price in

  • the opposite direction. According to NBC Health,

  • overall script counts in the six state strayedding

  • area in which we did business were flat to

  • slightly down for the three months ending June

  • while Longs script counts were slightly positive.

  • We continue to benefit from the strong performance

  • of our automated fill center which past its first

  • anniversary in July. The number of scripts filled

  • per shift is consistently rising exceeding our

  • initial expectations. More positive news. The

  • center has filled more than 50,000 subpoena

  • scripts twice in recent weeks and that's well

  • ahead of our original expectations. The center's

  • volume for the full year is expected to

  • approximate the output of roughly 60 pharmacists

  • providing a partial solution to the ongoing

  • challenge from the pharmacist shortage. For those

  • of you following this nationwide situation, our

  • level of pharmacists openings remained in the mid

  • 70s in the second quarter.

  • Okay. Let's update you on our key strategic

  • initiatives starting with our program to upgrade

  • our supply chain. We're still in the preparation

  • stage with this initiative doing the work

  • necessary to convert to the new retech system next

  • spring. This is a detailed time consuming

  • activity and we're on schedule. Our main land

  • distribution centers, meanwhile continue to add

  • merchandise categories and in fact added the

  • entire product line of a major outside distributor

  • during the quarter. Our D.C.'s also handled all

  • of our Halloween products from candy to costumes

  • during the quarterly. That's the first time an

  • entire promotion has been distributed through our

  • centers. In addition our new product allocation

  • process continues to pay benefits by insuring that

  • we gain a maximum return on our sales and

  • promotions by getting the right products to the

  • right stores and at the right time. Our price

  • optimization program has been implemented in about

  • half of our front end target categories. Let me

  • point out that our stores are executing well,

  • helping to accelerate our new programs. The

  • support we're getting from our store managers and

  • associates is invaluable and as Harold mentioned,

  • strong execution across our operations is vital to

  • our priority initiatives. We have just begun to

  • roll out our initiative to improve customer

  • service which we believe will further

  • differentiate us from our competitors.

  • In summary, we're taking care of business, doing

  • the things wee need to do to keep our company

  • moving in the right direction. We've got the

  • right strategies and are seeing early benefits of

  • the programs already underway. We'll continue to

  • focus on executing and I look forward to sharing

  • our progress with you.

  • Right now, though, I'll ask Steve McCann to step

  • in with his financial overview. Steve?

  • Steve McCann - CFO

  • Thanks, Terry, and good

  • afternoon, everyone. I'll begin with a financial

  • review of the second quarter before providing

  • guidance for the third quarter and the balance of

  • the year.

  • As Harold noted, we were within the range we

  • projected last quarter with total sales growth of

  • 5.7 percent and same store sales growth of 3.3

  • percent. Our front end same store sales growth of

  • 1.4 percent marks our second consecutive quarter

  • of increased growth. Reversing the negative trend

  • that we've been experiencing coming out of

  • last year. The improvement was primarily the

  • result of our promotional activities and

  • continuing enhancement of our advertising program,

  • both major components of our initiative designed

  • to improve front end sales. Pharmacy same store

  • sales rose 5.9 percent over a year ago and

  • pharmacy sales accounted for 44.4 percent total

  • sales. That compares to 44 percent a year ago.

  • Third-party sales, mean^while, made up 91.1

  • percent of pharmacy sales compared to 89.4 percent

  • last year. While our sales were within the

  • projected ranges for the quarter, we like many

  • retailers began to see some softening in sales in

  • July. RX America our pharmacy benefits management

  • subsidiary purchased in the third quarter of

  • last year continues to prove a solid acquisition.

  • The P V M had sales of $5.3 million this quarter

  • with pretax income of 2.4 million. Last year RX

  • America contributed around $700,000 in pretax

  • profit to Longs as a joint venture with Albert

  • son's. Our second quarter gross margin rate was

  • 26.3 percent compared to 25.9 percent a year ago

  • with the additional improvement in rate coming

  • from the inclusion of RX America and our

  • consolidated sales and gross margins. Our

  • consolidated margin rate last year, gross margin

  • rate last year excluding RX America would have had

  • us flat with last year. The increases in - we

  • did have increases in pharmacy margins within the

  • quarter, however, they were offset by a decrease

  • in our front end margins as we increased our

  • promotional activity to drive sales and increase

  • customer traffic. Second quarter net income was

  • 10.9 million or 29 cents a share compared to

  • 11.2 million or 30 cents a share a year ago.

  • From a financial standpoint our supply chain

  • initiative had no impact on that income in the

  • quarter which was a bit better than the projection

  • that we provided you last quarter. We expect this

  • initiative to have a slightly positive impact on

  • net earnings over the balance of the fiscal year.

  • Operating and administrative expenses were

  • 22.6 percent in the quarter compared to 22 percent

  • in the comparable period last year. The increased

  • partially reflects the fact that RX America

  • expenses are now included under our O and A

  • expenses whereas last year we were on the equity

  • method of accounting and we reported our share of

  • the profits. In addition our O and A expenses

  • this year also include the incremental expenses

  • we're incurring in connection with our supply

  • chain initiatives so those are added in. Lastly

  • as with our first quarter we're continuing to

  • invest in our infrastructure bringing in skills,

  • expertise and resources we need that will help

  • reshape our business going forward. Depreciation

  • and amortization expenses were $19.2 million this

  • quarter compared to 18.9 million a year ago. Note

  • that this year number excludes the amortization

  • of good will expense and certain other intangibles

  • which was 1.7 million a year ago. We stopped

  • expensing good will as of the beginning of

  • the year in accordance with the implementation of

  • SFAS-142. That interest expense for the quarter

  • was $3.1 million compared to 3.6 million a year

  • ago reflecting both a lower level of borrowings

  • and lower interest rates. This quarter's tax rate

  • was 38 percent compared to 39.7 percent a year

  • ago. The decrease was primarily due to a federal

  • tax law change that we implemented that aloud

  • us - that now allows us to deduct dividends paid

  • on shares in our ESOP plan. Let me spend a moment

  • on our results for the first half of the year

  • which includes a 5.7 percent increase in total

  • sales bringing us to 2.19 billion for the 26 week

  • period ended August 1st. First half same store

  • sales were 3.8 percent over last year. Pharmacy

  • same store sales were up 7.1 percent, and front

  • end same store sales were up 1.2 percent.

  • Pharmacy sales comprise 45.2 percent of drugstore

  • sales over the period compared to 44.3 percent

  • a year ago. Third-party pharmacy sales year to

  • date represent 90.9 percent of total pharmacy

  • sales compared to 89.3 percent a year ago. First

  • half net income before the cumulative effect of

  • adopting FAS-142 was $21.9 million or 57 cents a

  • share. Including the effect of SFAS-142, we had a

  • loss of $2.7 million or 7 cents a share loss. Now

  • let's turn to the balance sheet. Cash and other

  • current assets are up about $5.6 million

  • from a year ago. Primarily the result of adding

  • RX America receivables to our balance sheet.

  • Offset in part by a reduction in cash on hand. We

  • continue to manage our inventories effectively

  • with quarter end [inaudible] inventories per store

  • of about 1.4 million essentially flat with a year

  • ago. Inventory turns also are flat with last year

  • at about 1.4 times [inaudible]. Good will is down

  • last year compared to last year on the balance

  • sheet due to the adoption of FAS-142 in the first

  • quarter. Other noncurrent assets is are lower

  • than a year ago due to the elimination of our

  • investment in RX America following our purchase of

  • the Albert son's 50 percent ownership in the third

  • quarter of last year. Moving to current

  • liabilities, they are also down from last year,

  • again as we explained in the first quarter is

  • primarily the result of a timing difference.

  • Last year was a 53 week year and now our quarter

  • end dates this year are a week later. As a result

  • the calendar month end oriented payments that were

  • included in liabilities last year are already paid

  • this year, so they're out of liabilities and

  • they're out of debt. That debt which is short and

  • long term debt less cash on hand was 140 million

  • at quarter end compared to 147 million a year ago.

  • Debt, with debt being down about $9 million and

  • with cash as we previously mentioned being lower

  • [inaudible]. Turning to our cash flow statement,

  • net cash from operating activities declined this

  • quarter slightly as a result of higher inventories

  • due to new stores and the lower current

  • liabilities again due to timing changes we talked

  • about earlier. Capital expenditures were in the

  • expected range at about 45.$6 million compared to

  • 48.4 million a year ago. We continue to expect

  • net capex of about 120 million for the full year.

  • Turning to store growth, we've opened nine

  • new stores year to date. We relocated two stores

  • and we've closed three stores. We expect to add

  • 13 new stores while relocating one over the

  • balance of the fiscal year. That would take our

  • total count to 455 stores at the end of this

  • fiscal year compared to 436 stores at the end of

  • last year. Okay. Let's move on to projections

  • for the third and fourth quarter as well as the

  • full year. I'd like to point out that we'll be

  • comparing against softer third and fourth quarter

  • sales this year. Basically a reflection of the

  • aftermath of the 9-11 event. In addition, there

  • are six fewer shopping days between Thanksgiving

  • and Christmas this year. That's going to add

  • another did degree of uncertainty to our

  • projection, so just thought it might be worthwhile

  • pointing that out. For the third quarter we

  • anticipate total sales growth to be 6 to 8 percent

  • above last year with same store sales growth of 4

  • to 6 percent. Third quarter earnings per share

  • including the impact of our supply chain

  • initiative is projected at 11 to 16 cents compared

  • to 7 cents a year ago. For the fourth quarter

  • which will be a 13-week period this year compared

  • to a 14-week period a year ago we're projecting

  • total sales to be anywhere from 1 percent below

  • last year to 1 percent above last year. And for

  • those of you that are updating models, the extra

  • week last year was worth about $80 million

  • [inaudible] that we won't have this year. We're

  • projecting fourth quarter same store sales growth

  • of 4 to 6 percent on a 13 week to 13 week basis.

  • So we've adjusted the same store calculation to be

  • the same number of days as well [inaudible]

  • provide comparability. We're projecting earnings

  • per share of 56 to 61 cents compared to 58 cents

  • in the fourth quarter of a year ago. For the

  • fourth quarter we're projecting total sales growth

  • of 3 to 5 percent above last year, again

  • remembering that last year was a 53 week period

  • compared to the 52 weeks this year. Finally we're

  • maintaining our original projection of $1.25 to

  • $1.35 in earnings per share for the full year

  • excluding the impact of one-time [inaudible]

  • compared to $1.25 a share last year.

  • That completes my review. I thank you for your

  • attention. And now I'll ask the Operator to begin

  • the question and answer session.

  • Operator

  • Thank you, sir.

  • Today's question and answer session will be

  • conducted electronically. If you'd like to signal

  • to ask a question, please press the star key

  • followed by the digit 1 on your touch-tone

  • telephone. Once again that is star 1 for a

  • question. We'll pause for just a moment to give

  • everyone a chance to signal.

  • [Pause.]

  • Our first question comes from Meredith Adler

  • [phonetic] with Lehman Brothers.

  • Analyst

  • Hi. I was wondering if you could talk

  • a little bit about what kind of receptivity you're

  • getting from your store level people, your store

  • managers and stuff to all the changes you're

  • making. Would you say that these people are on

  • board with what you're doing? That's my first

  • question.

  • Unknown Speaker

  • I'll speak first, Meredith.

  • This is her Harold Somerset then I'll let Terry

  • add his comments.. That's a really good question.

  • Obviously Longs has a very strong culture, I think

  • one of the unique things about this company that

  • I've found is that the employees love the company.

  • And they're willing to do a lot of things for the

  • company that other companies might not enjoy as

  • much as Longs does. That doesn't mean that our

  • managers don't have strongly held notions about

  • what's good and what's right and senior management

  • team does, too. That's why we spend a lot of time

  • working on communications. But kind of getting to

  • the bottom line of your question, I would say that

  • to the extent that we can make our - make where

  • we're going clear and have our store managers

  • understand what the purpose of the various

  • programs are and what the advantages are and are

  • going to be, and we are putting a great deal of

  • effort into that, they're on board. They really

  • are. I'm very - I get a lot of synergy out of

  • talking with our store people. There's a lot of

  • energy out there. Terry?

  • Unknown Speaker

  • Hi, Meredith. This is Terry.

  • Analyst

  • Hi, Terry.

  • Unknown Speaker

  • I'd have to say what we

  • started, in particular, those June store

  • manager - actually, store and pharmacy manager

  • store meetings are pretty rewarding. Jump talking

  • about what Harold said, we had many of both

  • groups, both store and pharmacy managers approach

  • us and kind of refer to it as a new day at Longs.

  • And we changed that format to allow for a great

  • deal of give and take as well as a stand and

  • deliver type of presentation where we didn't have

  • answers for some things we're working on, we told

  • them that. So we do have plans to continue the

  • communication, both in person and through other

  • vehicles such as E-mail. But I think the message

  • we received was twofold. One was bring it on,

  • we're ready, we're hungry, but do it well. And

  • we're focused on doing exactly that, execution.

  • Analyst

  • Okay. Another question I have is you

  • gave us data that you said you seem to be taking

  • back some share in the front end. The question I

  • would have is what do you think is happening in

  • pharmacy? I mean I've had conversation with some

  • of your competitors who believe that they say

  • their comps are stronger in the market, so they

  • would seem to be taking some share. How do you

  • think you're doing there?

  • Unknown Speaker

  • Well, as I mentioned, in the

  • text of the initial comment, our script count, how

  • we measure that is through N D.C., national data

  • corp. it's our syndicated data source to be able

  • to monitor our script count activity. What we saw

  • through June was that our script count was very

  • slightly positive, and it shows that our peer

  • group in the six states where we do business is

  • flat to slightly down. There's no question that

  • we've seen softening of script counts all year.

  • And while our count has been flat to slightly up

  • from that data we see our market share up.

  • Analyst

  • And would you say that's a fall out?

  • Do you think that your situation was worse

  • earlier, or is it pretty steady?

  • Unknown Speaker

  • I wouldn't call it a

  • turn^around. I would say it's steady.

  • Analyst

  • Okay. My final question is just, you

  • guys did say that it's a difficult environment.

  • Could you talk a little bit about what that means?

  • Are you seeing average ticket go down, are you

  • seeing people, you know, maybe avoiding what they

  • would think of as much more discretionary items,

  • the higher ticket items, and are you seeing heat

  • up in the competitive environment?

  • Unknown Speaker

  • It's Terry again. That's a

  • big question. There's lots of moving pieces.

  • Obviously we've changed our promotional focus to

  • become much more promotional and to drive bodies

  • across the threshold and there are some trade-offs

  • we see from that. In the marketplace generally,

  • I'd have to say my observations are that - and

  • we've seen this from some of our competitors in

  • that class of trade. Front end sales are just

  • soft. There does seem to be activity in the

  • market that suggests some strengthening in mass

  • merchants and other forms of discount type of

  • retailers and I'm talking front end goods now, not

  • pharmaceuticals. But it's a tough market with

  • difficult discretionary income I think being a bit

  • more limited. We continue to see areas where

  • unemployment and difficulty in Northern California

  • are certainly a factor. So from a competitive

  • standpoint, things haven't gotten any easier. So

  • the activity in the market would indicate to me -

  • and what you see promotionally as well is

  • everybody is trying to carve out that piece and

  • hold onto market share right now.

  • Analyst

  • Right. Okay. Thank you very much:

  • Operator

  • Next we'll take a question from Lisa

  • cart right from Salomon Smith Barney.

  • Analyst

  • Good afternoon. It's Elizabeth Lynn

  • calling on Lisa's behalf. I have a quick question

  • about the California state Medicaid program. It

  • looks, according to recent press, like California

  • is going to be the latest battle ground. I was

  • wondering if you could comment on the impact to

  • Longs if the state does follow through with

  • lowering its reimbursement rates to pharmacies.

  • Unknown Speaker

  • Elizabeth, it's Terry again.

  • On an individual store basis it can be impactful.

  • Certainly we do have stores that in fact dispense

  • far more medicate Medicaid prescriptions in

  • California as a higher percentage of their total

  • script - scripts dispensed. But on an overall

  • company basis, even with what we see happening and

  • what those reimbursements might look like, we

  • believe that impact will be fairly minimal to our

  • business or more specifically to the profitability

  • in pharmacy.

  • Analyst

  • Okay. Great. Thank you.

  • Operator

  • We'll go to jack Murphy from Credit

  • Suisse First Boston.

  • Analyst

  • Thanks. I wonder if you could give us

  • a sense of how things are looked since the end of

  • July last reported number and maybe talk a little

  • bit about what give you confidence to accelerate

  • off of your July numbers.

  • Unknown Speaker

  • Hi, jack, this is Steve.

  • Analyst

  • Hi.

  • Unknown Speaker

  • The third quarter is going to

  • be a pretty bizarre quarter, not only for us, but

  • I think it's going to be for everybody with the

  • 9-11 event happening there. In total we see the

  • third quarter as being, in terms of how we

  • projected it, as being more robust than the second

  • quarter and actually we've forecasted it up

  • slightly from the second quarter. To us that

  • makes perfect sense given the 9-11 event last year

  • and the impact that it had. Out of the box, I'd

  • really rather not talk about that. We [inaudible]

  • the monthly sales release and we'll probably just

  • continue with that process as opposed to giving

  • new updates. At this point we're still

  • comfortable with our quarter projections but we're

  • going to continue to watch it. And I think

  • from not only our standpoint but I think everybody

  • is going to have a little bit of heartburn going

  • through the quarter as you try to match up how you

  • projected the quarter to run out, given the

  • uncertainty of what impact the 9-11 event had

  • versus what we thought it had.

  • Analyst

  • So I guess, you know, [inaudible]

  • September is going to be a lot bigger than any of

  • the other months, I guess?

  • Unknown Speaker

  • That's certainly our

  • expectation.

  • Analyst

  • Concerning the idea about increased

  • promotional posture, what's your level of concern

  • that there could be an aggressive response

  • from competitors, I guess specifically I'm

  • thinking about wall gleans and how you kind of

  • figure that into your thinking when you lay^out

  • the guidance? [Wall green's]

  • Unknown Speaker

  • Jack, this is Terry again.

  • I'm certain that we've done things promotionally

  • that as competitors noticing what we're doing.

  • We're not foolish to think they haven't. We have

  • a distinct advantage I think in a bigger box from

  • the standpoint of display and presentation to just

  • do things that those folks can't do. The other

  • piece that goes hand in hand with this frankly is

  • the allocation piece in our supply chain. When

  • our marketing people can go to a supplier and say,

  • I'm going to guarantee you X number of cases and

  • we know where to put it to get sell through, and

  • we've got the space to do it. Other drug

  • competitors don't have that advantage. So we'd be

  • foolish to think we're not being noticed but we

  • think we have ways to deal with that because of

  • the box we offer that's differentiating and just

  • give us a very distinct advantage.

  • Unknown Speaker

  • We certainly can't predict

  • what our competitors will or won't do. We have

  • considered that, certainly, and we believe we have

  • appropriate plans to act and counteract that if it

  • does happen. We have thought about that relative

  • to the guidance we gave.

  • Analyst

  • Okay. And just a last question I

  • guess for Steve is, could you give us a little

  • more specifics on the pharmacy margins in the

  • sense of how much the growing generic piece

  • contributed to the pharmacy margins?

  • Unknown Speaker

  • I can tell you that pharmacy

  • margins were up slightly and is primarily due to

  • that. You know, we do believe there was a pretty

  • big impact on the sales side because of that flip.

  • We think that was about 270 basis points on the

  • branded generic shift on the sale side. Pharmacy

  • margins like I said were slightly up [inaudible].

  • Analyst

  • Was there any other thing - other

  • large item that was a negative impact on pharmacy

  • margins?

  • Unknown Speaker

  • No, no. That was the primary

  • impact on the chain.

  • Analyst

  • Thanks.

  • Operator

  • Just as a reminder, it is star 1 to

  • ask a question. Next we'll go to Kenny Ohe

  • [phonetic] with SAB Capital.

  • Analyst

  • Just wanted to actually find out

  • within the quarter how much discrete supply chain

  • initiative expenses were, and how much the LIPO

  • [phonetic] charge was.

  • Unknown Speaker

  • Kenny, the LIPO charge was

  • 1.7 million, I think that compares to 1.4 million

  • a year ago. That was up 300,000. On the supply

  • chain piece, we've avoided handing out that level

  • of specifics at this point, but we can tell you

  • that the overall supply chain impact was basically

  • zero in terms of EPS on [inaudible] effect on net

  • income.

  • Analyst

  • I was actually asking about you guided

  • towards 14 million for the year and you broke out

  • what it was in the Q for the first quarter. I was

  • wondering would you break it out in the second

  • quarter Q or can you provide it now?

  • Unknown Speaker

  • We'll continue to report that

  • consistently.

  • Analyst

  • Okay.

  • Operator

  • Next we'll take a question

  • from Franklin Morton with aerial capital.

  • Analyst

  • Good afternoon, gentlemen.

  • Unknown Speaker

  • Good afternoon, Franklin.

  • Analyst

  • Can you give us some coloring on what

  • the targets are for the company when all of these

  • initiatives are completed, how long are they going

  • to take, and what should the end of the tunnel

  • here in terms of profitability growth, returns,

  • however it is you all measure it?

  • Unknown Speaker

  • Franklin, this is Steve. At

  • this point we're not ready to do that, frankly, to

  • tell you the truth. We're still rolling that up.

  • We've spent a lot of time in the first six months

  • of this year generating what we think all of those

  • projects are, and in fact, we're still kind of

  • penciling it out trying to understand what this

  • thing looks like on a quarter by quarter basis.

  • When we're ready, we will do that, though.

  • [pencilling]

  • Analyst

  • Could you give us what kind of sense a

  • time frame all these initiative in aggregate will

  • take? Is it a 12 months or four years or how

  • would you sort of handicap that?

  • Unknown Speaker

  • It's different for each one.

  • I mean, if you're talking about - we've laid out

  • a timetable for supply chains that takes us

  • through fiscal 2006, you know. The front end

  • sales improvement initiative is well underway now

  • and we're seeing benefits to that already.

  • Pharmacy margins or pharmacy profitability, that's

  • going to be probably about a two- year timetable,

  • customer service will be ongoing forever and ever,

  • and process improvement will hopefully be ongoing

  • forever and ever.

  • Analyst

  • Where do you think you'll be able to

  • provide us with some more specifics in this?

  • [When do you think] some^time by the end of

  • this year a reasonable expectation?

  • Unknown Speaker

  • I'll tell you what, we'll take

  • that as a target time and do our best to meet it.

  • Analyst

  • Okay.

  • Unknown Speaker

  • We really haven't discussed it

  • internally in terms of when we thought we would be

  • done rolling it up and when we'd be ready to take

  • it public. We'll take that down as an action.

  • Analyst

  • Okay. Thank you.

  • Operator

  • And we have a question from Dan

  • Johnson with UBS global assets.

  • Analyst

  • Thank you very much. Actually two,

  • one is just a background question. Could you give

  • us a little more color on the size of RX America

  • in terms of obviously you gave us revenue and

  • profitability, but just just to get a better

  • sizing in terms of the amount of scripts you put

  • through that business, and even if you had them on

  • a retail versus mail basis?

  • Unknown Speaker

  • First of all, RX America

  • doesn't have a mail facility, so that's - that

  • will provide some clarity.

  • Analyst

  • Okay.

  • Unknown Speaker

  • In terms of scripts for the

  • quarter, over three-and-a-half million. And what

  • else was there? Is.

  • Analyst

  • And just a sense as to what is the

  • growth of that - that script count was year

  • over year although I realize the ownership

  • structure was different this time last year.

  • Unknown Speaker

  • Yeah, in terms of its

  • growth year over year it's in the 4 percent range.

  • Analyst

  • And then the other question is, within

  • your guidance time period for the next few

  • quarters, I believe the potential for Claire tin

  • moving to over the counter happens or has the

  • potential to happen. Have you included that into

  • your guidance? And if not, what is your best

  • estimate as to the implications of that shift?

  • Thanks.

  • Unknown Speaker

  • At this point we have included

  • it in our guidance to the best that we understand

  • what impact it will be, sure.

  • Analyst

  • And what are you assuming for that

  • implication broadly?

  • Unknown Speaker

  • That's the level of detail

  • that I'm not sure would be helpful. It's a small,

  • small piece, December and January.

  • Analyst

  • For the fourth quarter it's two-thirds

  • of the fourth quarter?

  • Unknown Speaker

  • Roughly. I think it flipped

  • some^time in December [inaudible].

  • Analyst

  • Yeah, I think that's [inaudible].

  • Unknown Speaker

  • Month and a half, whatever.

  • Part of this is predicting what the consumers'

  • response will be.

  • Analyst

  • Right. I'm just trying to get a gauge

  • as to if you think this is completely immaterial

  • or not.

  • Unknown Speaker

  • I don't think - in terms of

  • how we've crafted the fourth quarter we haven't

  • factored in material impact for guidance in the

  • fourth quarter if that's what you're asking.

  • Analyst

  • No, I'm curious as to whether or not

  • you think that depending on the range of

  • reasonable outcomes as consumer response could

  • even have a material impact.

  • Unknown Speaker

  • This is Bruce. Obviously we

  • realize the impact on pharmacy sales and

  • [inaudible] O T C and Claire tin sales [inaudible]

  • are all dynamics that are in play. I mean the

  • plan that [inaudible] and I put together to try to

  • mitigate all those pieces to try to come tout

  • outcome we want to have, which is same profits and

  • sales. To the extent that we can do that, you

  • know, we'll be successful. We all realize that

  • more players will come into the marketplace once

  • it's just not available on prescription. So there

  • are too many [inaudible].

  • Analyst

  • Great. I'll check in with you three

  • months or three months from now, then. Thanks a

  • lot.

  • Operator

  • Next we'll go to Roj Yarisee

  • [phonetic] with Oz Capital [phonetic].

  • Analyst

  • Hi guys, I have a couple quick

  • questions. I was wondering on the script volume

  • versus price, how much was price [inaudible] year

  • over year?

  • Unknown Speaker

  • Price year over year has been

  • five and a half to 5.9 percent range.

  • Analyst

  • Okay. So that's significantly below

  • where it was in the first quarter?

  • Unknown Speaker

  • Yes.

  • Analyst

  • Okay. Great. And then I was just

  • wondering if you could give us some color on the

  • latest pharmacy comp number for the month of July

  • I was just surprised by how low it was. Four and

  • a half percent?

  • Unknown Speaker

  • I think we'll ask Bruce to

  • address that as well.

  • Unknown Speaker

  • Yes. We had a tail end off of

  • our prescription volume in the last two weeks of

  • July that tended to [inaudible]. But we also had

  • a move from what we reported in the month of June

  • into July as well, and that's the fifth week of

  • June was a holiday week and so it showed

  • significant sales in that particular week which

  • was offset by a very weak week, week 1 of July.

  • So we had a little bit of calendar ship playing

  • into the 9 plus [inaudible] that we had in the

  • previous month versus what we reported

  • [inaudible].

  • Analyst

  • I thought when you had a Holiday Inn a

  • month it tended to hurt because the pharmacy would

  • be closed [inaudible]. Is that not the case,

  • or - yeah, I'm referring specifically to the May

  • [inaudible] Memorial Day specifically with what

  • was given as a reason for the low comp in that

  • month.

  • Unknown Speaker

  • Right. What ended up

  • happening in the month of June is that you had the

  • benefit of Memorial Day as being [inaudible] our

  • first week in May with a very large week. It was

  • [inaudible] low twenties. Week nine was double

  • digits as well, that was the early pick up of

  • prescriptions would be 4th of July holiday. So

  • when we moved into the actual July month, a lot of

  • the sales were already out and counted

  • [inaudible].

  • Analyst

  • Okay. And that's the lead up to the

  • 4th of July, the days preceding it.

  • Unknown Speaker

  • That's correct.

  • Analyst

  • Okay. Thanks.

  • Operator

  • We have no more questions in queue at

  • this time, so I'll turn the conference back over

  • to Mr. Maron for any additional or closing

  • remarks.

  • Unknown Speaker

  • Ladies and gentlemen, thanks

  • for joining us today, and we look forward to

  • talking to you again.

  • Operator

  • This does conclude today's conference

  • call. You may now disconnect.