CenterPoint Energy Inc (CNP) 2002 Q2 法說會逐字稿

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  • Operator

  • Good afternoon. My name is Anthony,

  • and I'll be your conference facilitator. At this

  • time, I would like to welcome everyone to the

  • Reliant Energy's second-quarter 2002 earnings

  • conference call. All lines have been placed on

  • mute to prevent any background noise.

  • After the speakers' remarks, there will be a

  • question and answer period. If you would like to

  • ask a question during this time, simply press

  • star, then the number 1 on your telephone keypad.

  • If you would like to withdraw your question,

  • please star, then the number 2 on your telephone

  • keypad. Thank you.

  • Ms. Paulsen, you may begin your conference.

  • Mary Ann Paulsen - Director of Investor Relations

  • Thank you, Anthony. I'm Mary

  • Ann Paulsen, director of investor relations for

  • regulated operations. Welcome to Reliant

  • Energy's second quarter 2002 conference call and

  • thank you also for joining us today.

  • As you may know Reliant Resources also released

  • earnings today and had a conference call this

  • morning. If you would like to listen to a replay

  • of the Reliant Resources conference call, please

  • go to the investor relations section of their

  • website, www.ReliantResources.com. On this

  • afternoon's call, we will focus on the primarily

  • regulated businesses of Reliant Energy, those

  • which will comprise CenterPoint Energy after

  • restructuring.

  • Leading the discussion, we have Steve Letbetter,

  • Reliant Energy's chairman, president, and CEO.

  • Also participating in the call will be David

  • McClanahan, currently vice chairman, president,

  • and chief operating officer of reliant's regulated

  • businesses, and central point's future president

  • and CEO. Also present are Steve Naeve, vice

  • chairman, and other members of management who may

  • assist in answering your questions following the

  • prepared remarks.

  • Before Steve begins, I would like to mention that

  • a replay of this call will be available until 6:00

  • p.m. central time through Friday, August 2nd. To

  • access the replay, please call 1-800-642-1687, and

  • enter the conference ID number 4836766. You can

  • also listen to an on-line replay of the call via

  • our website at www.ReliantEnergy.com under the

  • investor section.

  • I also need to remind you that any projections or

  • forward-looking statements made in this call are

  • subject to the cautionary statements on

  • forward-looking information in the company's SEC

  • filings. And with that, I would now like to turn

  • it over to Steve Letbetter.

  • Steve Letbetter - Chairman, President, and CEO

  • Thanks, Mary Ann, and welcome

  • to our second-quarter earnings call.

  • The purpose of our call today is to review our

  • second-quarter performance. However, before we

  • start, I feel obligated to comment on the obvious

  • fear affecting the recent performance of the

  • Reliant Energy and Reliant Resources stock and of

  • other companies in our industry.

  • While it is not appropriate for me to comment on

  • the businesses of other companies, I can tell you

  • that we have two solid companies, and each company

  • continues to execute its strategy with success.

  • The Reliant Resources business model, combining

  • strong retail - a strong retail business in Texas

  • with a diversified portfolio of power generation

  • assets is a valid business model that continues to

  • perform well, even in today's very weak market

  • conditions. And our regulated operations are

  • performing very well and continue to deliver solid

  • results.

  • I am shocked at the decline in our stock prices

  • this week, and know that we will gain back the

  • market's confidence as we demonstrate that our

  • businesses are strong and continue to perform.

  • Today we announced second-quarter earnings of

  • $236 million or 79 cents per diluted share. Solid

  • earnings from our retail operations, natural gas

  • LDCs, and electric transmission and distribution

  • segments were offset by very weak wholesale market

  • conditions, coupled with an increase in reserves

  • for potential refunds and plant cancellation and

  • closure costs in our wholesale segment.

  • As indicated, we discussed ROI results this

  • morning and David McClanahan will go through the

  • details on the regulated operations in a moment.

  • But before I turn it over to David, let me give

  • you a brief update on the spinoff of Reliant

  • Resources from Reliant Energy. We remain

  • committed to and focused on completing the formal

  • separation as soon as possible. I am pleased that

  • we are one step closer to making that happen. As

  • you know, on July the 8th, we announced that we

  • received authorization from the SEC to go forward

  • with the formation of CenterPoint Energy, our new

  • holding company, and the spinoff of Reliant

  • Resources. The only remaining regulatory action

  • is an extension of the IRS private letter ruling

  • previously issued in January of 2002. Once we

  • have had the extension in hand, we can complete

  • the restructuring of CenterPoint Energy, which

  • should facilitate its access to the capital

  • markets.

  • While there is no requirement that we make

  • progress in our bank negotiations prior to the

  • spinoff, we believe such a step would be prudent.

  • We would then present the spinoff for final

  • approval by our board of directors in the late

  • August or early September time frame. Once the

  • spinoff dividend is declared, the distribution

  • will actually be made about three weeks later.

  • During that interval, we expect to do road shows

  • for both companies to tell our story more fully to

  • the investment community.

  • It is important to reiterate our firm belief that

  • the spinoff remains the right strategic step for

  • both companies. Each is well positioned for

  • success in this market sector, and as separate

  • entities, Reliant Resources and CenterPoint Energy

  • will both have better access to capital than the

  • combined company.

  • We spoke of the strengths of Reliant Resources

  • this morning. I am also confident that

  • CenterPoint Energy will perform well as a

  • stand-alone entity, since CenterPoint will be one

  • of the largest U.S. energy delivery companies

  • serving 4.8 million metered customers. It also

  • has a diverse portfolio of strategically located

  • physical assets. It has a consistent reliable

  • earnings stream with strong cash flow from

  • operations and is committed to maximizing total

  • return while maintaining a competitive dividend.

  • Now, let me turn you over to the person who will

  • make sure that CenterPoint Energy succeeds, David

  • McClanahan, for details about the quarter.

  • David McClanahan - Vice Chairman, President, and COO

  • Thank you, Steve. Good

  • afternoon, ladies and gentlemen. This afternoon,

  • I'll review our regulated businesses'

  • second-quarter operating results, but before I do,

  • I'd like to remind you of the changes to our

  • reporting segments that we made this year.

  • As we discussed in the first quarter, we now

  • report two new electric segments that resulted

  • from the restructuring and corresponding

  • unbundling of our Texas electric operations. They

  • are the electric transmission and distribution

  • segment and the electric generation segment.

  • The other two segments which we will continue to

  • report are our natural gas distribution businesses

  • and our pipeline and gathering operations.

  • Let me summarize for you again the changes to our

  • segment reporting. The unbundled transmission and

  • distribution business, which will remain

  • regulated, is now reported in the electric

  • transmission and distribution segment. In

  • addition, this segment captures the operation of

  • the prior integrated utility that occurred in

  • January of this year during the transition to a

  • competitive retail electric market in Texas.

  • Also included in the electric transmission and

  • distribution segment are all impacts from

  • generation-related regulatory assets recoverable

  • by the regulated utility, including the ECOM

  • true-up component of stranded costs.

  • ECOM stands for the excess cost over market and

  • refers to the stranded cost model developed by the

  • Texas public utility commission in connection with

  • industry restructuring.

  • As you know, stranded investment will not be

  • determined until 2004. For the next two years,

  • the Texas restructuring law provides that a

  • regulated utility may true up its stranded

  • investment and recover in 2004 the difference

  • between the auction price of power sold from the

  • previously regulated generation and the price of

  • power in the PUC's ECOM model. This amount is

  • recorded as a regulatory asset and the EBIT

  • impact, which is non-cash, is reflected in the

  • transmission and distribution segments.

  • The power generation operations in Texas, which

  • includes all the previously regulated generating

  • assets and will be called Texas Genco are now

  • reported in a second new segment called electric

  • generation. We expect Texas Genco to remain with

  • CenterPoint Energy until 2004, when stranded costs

  • will be determined. At that time, Reliant

  • Resources has the option to repurchase the stock

  • not then held by the public. I also would like to

  • remind you that in accordance with the new

  • accounting rules, we have discontinued the

  • amortization of goodwill and do not reflect an

  • expense in 2002. The second quarter of 2001

  • reflected goodwill amortization of $12 million.

  • Now, let me begin with our first segment, electric

  • transmission and distribution.

  • This segment reported EBIT of $277 million in the

  • second quarter, comprised of 107 million earned by

  • the transmission and distribution utility and

  • 170 million recorded for ECOM true-up. The

  • transmission and distribution utility continues to

  • perform well and operate in accordance with our

  • plan. Since the opening of the retail market to

  • competition in January, the regulated utility now

  • recovers the cost of its service through an energy

  • delivery rate. Prior to this year, the energy

  • delivery service was a component of the bundled

  • utility rate, and, as a result, there is no

  • meaningful quarter-over-quarter comparison.

  • The design of the new energy delivery rate, which

  • is based on a 11 and a quarter percent return on

  • equity differs from the prior rate design. For

  • example, the winter/summer rate differential for

  • residential customers has been eliminated, and

  • large commercial and industrial customers rates no

  • longer have energy - an energy-based component.

  • This new design will tend to lessen some of the

  • pronounced seasonal variation of revenues. As a

  • result, revenues were somewhat higher this quarter

  • than would have been under the prior rate

  • structure.

  • I would also remind you that under the Texas

  • electric restructuring law, our regulated

  • transmission and distribution utility cannot buy

  • or sell electricity and, thus, is no longer

  • subject to commodity risk.

  • Looking at the operations of the transmission and

  • distribution utility, residential customer usage

  • increased 9% due to customer growth, a slightly

  • warmer spring, an increased demand from

  • non-weather-related factors such as price

  • elasticity. Also, despite a slowing economy,

  • total residential customers grew by 32,000 since

  • June of last year, which approximates a 2% annual

  • growth.

  • We currently have 1.75 million metered customers.

  • This increase in residential usage was offset by a

  • decline in deliveries to industrial customers,

  • primarily due to self-generation and to a lesser

  • extent the impact of a weak national economy.

  • On the expense side, we continue to realize

  • productivity improvements while maintaining

  • quality customer service and reliability. Our

  • overall operating expenses are in line with those

  • used in establishing our energy delivery rate.

  • As we discussed in the first quarter, Reliant

  • Energy HL and P continued to serve retail customers on

  • a regulated basis through the customer's first

  • meter reading in 2002. As a result, we recognized

  • $14 million of EBIT in the first quarter from

  • these nonrecurring transitional sales. This

  • quarter, we continued to incur transition expenses

  • of $7 million. We expect to incur additional

  • expenses the rest of the year, which we anticipate

  • will substantially offset the EBIT related to

  • these activities.

  • The ECOM true-up was $170 million in the second

  • quarter, reflecting the difference between auction

  • market prices and market prices used in the PUC's

  • ECOM model, and will be recovered as part of the

  • utility's stranded investment in 2004. As is

  • evident by the amount recorded, the prices

  • realized by Texas Genco were substantially less

  • than the prices in the Texas PUC's ECOM model.

  • The electric generation segment reported a loss

  • before interest and taxes of $26 million in the

  • second quarter compared to a loss of $52 million

  • in the first quarter of this year. Low natural

  • gas prices, along with ample generating capacity

  • in Texas resulted in low prices for our Texas

  • Genco products. As you know, Texas Genco's sells

  • substantially all of its available generating

  • capacity through auctions. Substantially all of

  • the capacity sales for the second quarter were

  • sold at auctions conducted last year. We

  • conducted an auction in July, just a few weeks

  • ago, to sell the remaining available capacity for

  • September through December of this year, and saw

  • no meaningful change in pricing.

  • Beginning in September, we intend to hold auctions

  • to sell a substantial portion of the capacity

  • available for the year 2003.

  • During the two years of transition, while we own

  • and operate these generating facilities, we will

  • seek to optimally dispatch these units, as well as

  • reduce costs where we can, in order to mitigate

  • some of the pressures of the weak price

  • environment.

  • I'd like to now turn to our natural gas

  • distribution segment. Earnings before interest

  • and taxes for this group was $14 million, compared

  • to a loss of 41 million reported in the second

  • quarter of last year. The 2001 period included

  • goodwill amortization of $8 million. A

  • substantial part of the improvement this quarter

  • was a result of reduced bad debt expense. If you

  • recall, we experienced high bad debt expense in

  • the second and third quarters of 2001 due to a

  • combination of higher usage caused by the extreme

  • 2000/2001 winter and high natural gas prices.

  • Both the customer's gas bills and bad debt

  • increased as a result.

  • Improved collections and lower gas prices this

  • year have contributed to the improvement in bad

  • debt expense.

  • Weather was a positive factor this quarter, as we

  • experienced cooler weather in some of our service

  • territories than the second quarter of last year.

  • Usage in the quarter increased 2% compared to the

  • same period last year, primarily from higher

  • residential and commercial demand resulting from

  • the cooler weather and a higher customer count.

  • Last year's second quarter was also adversely

  • impacted by changes in estimates of both un-billed

  • revenues and deferred gas costs.

  • In Arkansas, we filed a rate request of

  • $47 million in November of last year. This week,

  • we reached a settlement with the principal parties

  • to this case which, if approved, will result in an

  • increase in base rates of approximately

  • $32 million. The parties also agreed to a gas

  • main replacement surcharge which is expected to

  • provide an additional $2 million in 2003.

  • The settlement provides for a new residential rate

  • design which increases the monthly customer charge

  • from $5.20 to $9.75, thus helping to reduce the

  • amount of fixed costs reflected in the variable

  • component of the rates.

  • These new rates are expected to be effective at

  • the end of September of this year.

  • In May, we filed a rate change request for

  • 13.7 million in Oklahoma where we serve

  • approximately 110,000 customers. We expect a

  • decision by the Oklahoma commission by the end of

  • this year.

  • Turning to our pipeline and gathering businesses,

  • we continue to produce consistent and stable

  • margins. We reported EBIT of $41 million for this

  • quarter compared to 34 million for the same period

  • last year. Goodwill amortization recorded in the

  • second quarter of 2001 was $4 million. We

  • continue to see growth opportunities in our

  • pipeline and pipeline services businesses,

  • especially around new merchant generating plants.

  • Now, let me discuss several issues that we will be

  • addressing over the second half of this year.

  • I know that you're all interested in our dividend,

  • so let me update you on that.

  • Management will recommend to our board early next

  • month that the third-quarter dividend be declared

  • at the level that CenterPoint will be paying going

  • forward. CenterPoint is fully committed to paying

  • a competitive dividend. We will be primarily a

  • regulated company, with consistent and stable cash

  • flows after spinning off Reliant Resources to

  • shareholders. We have provided guidance for 2002

  • earnings per share in the range of $1.17 to $1.22.

  • We will recommend a dividend payout based on our

  • earnings outlook and taking into account the

  • transition we're in. We believe that our payout

  • ratio and yield will be competitive with other

  • regulated utilities. The next dividend payment

  • date is scheduled to be September 10th, 2002.

  • As part of the stranded cost determination in

  • 2004, the Texas electric restructuring law allows

  • for the quantification of stranded costs for our

  • Texas generation plants to be made using a partial

  • stock valuation method. In order to comply with

  • the legislation, either an initial public offering

  • or a distribution to our shareholders of

  • approximately 20% of Texas Genco's capital stock

  • must be completed before January 10th, 2003, so

  • that the stock will have traded for one year

  • before its use in determining stranded costs.

  • Given the weak present IPO market, we are now

  • considering and preparing for a distribution of

  • approximately 20% of Texas Genco to our

  • shareholders later this year.

  • As I'm sure you are all aware, on July 12th,

  • Reliant Energy received a 90-day extension on our

  • $4.7 billion credit facilities. The extension

  • takes us to October 10th, 2002. However, a

  • majority of the commitments represented by the

  • banks can vote to reduce the extension to 60 days.

  • During the 90-day extension period, we expect to

  • accomplish the following: Restructure into a

  • registered holding company; establish the

  • transmission and distribution utility and Texas

  • Genco as separate subsidiaries of the holding

  • company; access the capital markets to relieve the

  • pressure on our bank lines; and syndicate a new

  • credit facility.

  • We are currently engaged in discussions about both

  • capital market transactions and extending our bank

  • lines, and while preliminary, these discussions

  • have been very constructive.

  • On January 1st of this year, we implemented FASB

  • 142, goodwill and other intangible assets, which

  • required discontinuing amortization of goodwill

  • and an evaluation for impairment.

  • During the second quarter, we completed the

  • evaluation of goodwill for our two reporting units

  • requiring such an evaluation, the natural gas

  • distribution segment and the pipeline and

  • gathering businesses.

  • The evaluation compared their fair value with

  • their carrying amounts, including goodwill. The

  • evaluation concluded that at January 1, 2002, the

  • fair value of these reporting units exceeded the

  • carrying amount, and no impairment is required to

  • be recognized.

  • In summary, we are pleased with the performance of

  • our regulated operations this quarter. The

  • businesses that will make up CenterPoint Energy

  • after full business separation contributed 29

  • cents per share to Reliant Energy's second-quarter

  • consolidated earnings per share, and have

  • contributed 78 cents per share for the first six

  • months.

  • Our outlook for our earnings per share for this

  • year has not changed. As you know, we provided

  • earnings per share guidance for CenterPoint on a

  • stand-alone basis of $1.17 to $1.22 per share.

  • While we are further along than we had

  • anticipated, we continue to believe that this

  • guidance is appropriate.

  • We benefitted in the first half of the year from

  • lower than expected interest expense due to the

  • delay in the sale of long-term debt. We do expect

  • to see an impact from higher interest expense in

  • the second half of the year. We also benefitted

  • from the new rate design change in the

  • transmission and distribution segment, which

  • lessens seasonal variations in revenues, but is

  • not expected to have an annual impact.

  • Other factors such as the timing of budgeted

  • operating expenses and a slow start to Houston's

  • typical summer heat could offset some of our

  • first-half performance, so we still believe our

  • earlier guidance is appropriate.

  • Finally, I'd like to highlight some of the key

  • components of our overall corporate strategy.

  • First and foremost, I'm committed to keeping

  • CenterPoint focused on our core businesses, and

  • operating those businesses with excellent and

  • highly reliable service at a reasonable price.

  • We have a strong portfolio of low-risk businesses,

  • with attractive and diverse service territories

  • and assets. Our near-term business focus is to

  • continue to improve the financial performance of

  • our existing businesses. We are making progress

  • on getting the level and design of our rates where

  • they need to be. In striving for operational

  • excellence, we are implementing operating

  • practices designed to improve productivity and

  • capture efficiency across all our business units.

  • For now, we're concentrating on growth

  • opportunities from our present businesses. Our

  • overall investment objectives are simple and

  • straightforward. Namely, we are committed to

  • maximizing total shareholder return through a

  • competitive dividend and reasonable growth. We

  • will accomplish this by managing our core

  • businesses to produce consistent and sustainable

  • earnings and cash flow, and we will concentrate on

  • strengthening our balance sheet and improving

  • financial flexibility.

  • Thank you for your interest in Reliant and

  • CenterPoint Energy, and now we will take your

  • questions.

  • Mary Ann Paulsen - Director of Investor Relations

  • Anthony, we'll take some

  • questions now. 00:50:40

  • Operator

  • At this time, I would like to remind

  • everyone in order to ask a question, please press

  • star, then the number 1, on your telephone keypad.

  • We'll pause for just a moment to compile the Q and A

  • roster.

  • Your first question comes from Steve Valentine of

  • Valentine capital.

  • Analyst

  • Yeah. Hi. I wanted to ask a couple

  • questions on the spinout.

  • What kind of potential obligations are there

  • remaining at REI to a spinout of RRI, given the

  • possibility of possible credit issues there going

  • forward? I mean, are there any Williams, Williams

  • communications type issues that you could have

  • there, if RRI should not get its bank lines

  • extended prior to a spinout?

  • David McClanahan - Vice Chairman, President, and COO

  • No, we don't have any

  • obligations of that nature, Steve.

  • Analyst

  • So you don't see any way that if RRI

  • was spun out and it ultimately was not

  • independently successful, that you would have

  • claims coming back to you from that?

  • David McClanahan - Vice Chairman, President, and COO

  • Not from any credit

  • implications. As you probably know, we have an

  • indemnity from RRI related to any litigation, and

  • that would be the only thing that could spring

  • back. But not anything related to credit.

  • Analyst

  • Okay. In the earlier call with RRI,

  • you had given a time line of talking to the banks

  • in late August/early September, which is the same

  • time that you've given us for the board vote on

  • the spin.

  • Can you elaborate on - if you want to know where

  • you stand with the banks, you know, how will you

  • know anything at that point in time, and isn't it

  • somewhat inconsistent to expect the board to go

  • ahead and approve a spin when you won't know until

  • say well into September where you stand with them

  • on RRI restructuring?

  • Steve Letbetter - Chairman, President, and CEO

  • Steve, I think there's a

  • miscommunication, if that's what you understood.

  • We're actually engaging in dialog with the banks

  • currently.

  • Analyst

  • But I understood from the previous

  • call that they were doing basically renewed due

  • diligence based on the changes in the markets that

  • have occurred since they last looked at the

  • company, and that was going to take a period of

  • time and that, I thought you had stated you were

  • going to be making a - sort of a proposal to them

  • in that same end of August/early September period,

  • at which time they would take three to five weeks

  • to conclude some sort of a restructuring talk.

  • Steve Letbetter - Chairman, President, and CEO

  • No. We're actually operating

  • in parallel.

  • Analyst

  • Okay. So you expect to basically

  • then be done with the RRI restructuring by the end

  • of August/early September?

  • Steve Letbetter - Chairman, President, and CEO

  • Well, we will at least be far

  • along in the discussions.

  • Analyst

  • Okay. I - you know, I guess the

  • bottom line is, I'm trying to understand, although

  • it's not contingent on restructuring, if there are

  • problems in that - in those talks with the banks

  • on the RRI financials, given your statement that

  • it would be prudent for you to know where you

  • stand, you know, what could get in the way? I

  • know you don't want anything to get in the way,

  • but it seems to me it's illogical that you would

  • go ahead, if that isn't satisfactorily resolved or

  • apparently imminently satisfactorily resolved to

  • spin it.

  • Steve Letbetter - Chairman, President, and CEO

  • I mean, you know, we - the

  • approach that we're taking and Rick went over the

  • reasons why we believe RRI is eminently

  • refinancible based upon its own merits. You know,

  • we're basically going along a path that will

  • accommodate all of this to occur.

  • Analyst

  • Okay. And then question on the

  • dividend letter of REI or CenterPoint's dividend

  • level. Can you give us a little more information

  • on what you see as a competitive payout or what,

  • you know, is a ballpark area that you're likely to

  • recommend.

  • David McClanahan - Vice Chairman, President, and COO

  • Dave, in the past - and

  • this is consistent today, we've said that, you

  • know, we think the - a competitive dividend is in

  • the 50 to 75% dividend payout level, and we're

  • going to be at the lower end of that as we kick

  • off the new company and as we transition out of

  • this two-year window when we still have stranded

  • investment yet to - to be determined.

  • Analyst

  • So that's off of the 117/122 earnings

  • level correct.

  • David McClanahan - Vice Chairman, President, and COO

  • Yes.

  • Analyst

  • Okay. Thank you.

  • Analyst

  • Your next question comes from Jay ma

  • IDEA of forest investments.

  • Analyst

  • Yeah. Hi. Thanks. Just wanted to

  • ask, as far as the - as far as the bank

  • negotiations for the REI level why are you looking

  • to the capital markets? Is it - is it something

  • to do with that the bank negotiations of a

  • revolver of that size aren't practical or . . .

  • David McClanahan - Vice Chairman, President, and COO

  • Jay, let me - the bank

  • facilities we put in place in July of 2001, over a

  • year ago, were made up of two revolving credits

  • of - lines of about 2.9 billion and a bridge

  • facility of 1.8, and it was always anticipated we

  • would go to the capital markets and that that 1.8

  • wasn't a permanent piece of our bank lines.

  • Because the spin was delayed, we did not get to

  • the capital markets in the past year. We're still

  • committed to doing that. We personally believe

  • that, you know, we don't like to have that much

  • short-term bank debt either, and so we're - we're

  • going to look to the capital markets to just

  • reduce the amount of that bank facility.

  • Analyst

  • Okay. And then, you know, while I -

  • I agree with you that it's, you know - we're all

  • very confident that everything's going to work out

  • perfectly with the bank financings at the REI and

  • RRI level, I just wanted to ask that the same way

  • that you - you said it would be prudent to get

  • the RRI financing done before approaching the

  • board for - you know, for the spinoff. Is it

  • also prudent to get - are the banks saying that

  • it would be prudent at the REI level to get the

  • spinout done before they give you the revolver at

  • the REI level?

  • David McClanahan - Vice Chairman, President, and COO

  • I don't think that they've

  • said that you have to do the spinout. Obviously

  • there's - there's lots of interest in this

  • spinout, and when it happens, but there is nothing

  • tied directly to it. But the banks clearly want

  • to see the direction the company's taking. The 90

  • days gave us, we thought, an adequate amount of

  • time to get this decision made, and - and so we

  • don't think, though, that we're going to - it's

  • directly tied to that decision we make in late

  • August or early - early September.

  • Analyst

  • And are you looking at security or

  • covenants or anything like that as far as the REI

  • level bank financing?

  • David McClanahan - Vice Chairman, President, and COO

  • We haven't discussed any

  • type of security at this stage, no.

  • Analyst

  • Okay. And final question is: Let's

  • say the spinout just for the sake of argument were

  • not to happen or were to get, you know, delayed

  • for whatever reason. Are these two companies

  • separate companies from a credit perspective in

  • the sense that if RRI had some kind of problem and

  • it hadn't spun out yet, would that have any

  • implication on REI's credit?

  • David McClanahan - Vice Chairman, President, and COO

  • Well, they're clearly

  • separate credits. RRI's credit is completely

  • separate from REI's.

  • Analyst

  • Uh-huh.

  • David McClanahan - Vice Chairman, President, and COO

  • So - now, if you're asking

  • does RRI impact REI, the answer is yes, today. No

  • doubt about it.

  • Analyst

  • Uh-huh.

  • David McClanahan - Vice Chairman, President, and COO

  • But from a purely credit

  • standpoint, RRI is a stand-alone credit entity.

  • Analyst

  • How does it impact it today? Are

  • there - is there a lot of - as far as business

  • back and forth - loans back and forth, things

  • like that?

  • David McClanahan - Vice Chairman, President, and COO

  • No. We have no loans. We

  • have nothing of that nature. Reliant Resources is

  • a buyer of capacity. They have a very big retail

  • business, and we own generation, so they buy

  • generation from us through capacity auctions, but

  • those are commercial transactions held through

  • public auctions.

  • Analyst

  • Uh-huh.

  • David McClanahan - Vice Chairman, President, and COO

  • I think the - the - and

  • you can ask some of the people that follow this a

  • lot closer than I do, but there's concerns about

  • if you have a big large subsidiary, would Reliant

  • Energy put more money into Reliant Resources if

  • they needed it, and that's where I think the risk

  • comes in at the REI level.

  • Analyst

  • So you think that that is a risk at

  • the REI level?

  • David McClanahan - Vice Chairman, President, and COO

  • Well, I don't think it's a

  • risk. I think that's what's being perceived by

  • the markets.

  • Analyst

  • Okay.

  • David McClanahan - Vice Chairman, President, and COO

  • We're not intending to put

  • any more money into Reliant Resources, to my

  • knowledge.

  • Analyst

  • Okay. Thanks. I appreciate that.

  • Operator

  • Your next question comes from Paul

  • [DeBoss] of Value Line.

  • Analyst

  • Hi. What ROE was specified in the

  • settlement in Arkansas and are you planning to

  • have any other rate cases besides what's pending

  • in Oklahoma?

  • David McClanahan - Vice Chairman, President, and COO

  • The - the ROE was

  • slightly - I want to say it was 9.9 or 10%.

  • Right in that level in Arkansas. We had

  • requested, as I recall, 11 and a quarter, and the

  • staff recommended something like 9.4 to 10.4, and

  • they picked that kind of midpoint there at 9.9,

  • 10.

  • The - we have - we are evaluating some

  • additional rate cases in our other service

  • territories, but there has been no decision yet to

  • file in any of those other jurisdictions.

  • Analyst

  • Do you know when you might come to

  • some sort of decision?

  • David McClanahan - Vice Chairman, President, and COO

  • I would say it's going to be

  • late this year or early next year. Most of the

  • other rates are not nearly as bad a need for a

  • rate increase as was Arkansas and Oklahoma. But

  • we think there are some other areas that we need

  • to look at real hard. There very well may be some

  • rate changes that are needed.

  • Analyst

  • All right. Thank you.

  • Operator

  • Your next question comes from Paul

  • [Razone] of McDonald Investments.

  • Analyst

  • Good afternoon. Just a couple

  • clarifications. When you say you want to tap the

  • capital markets, are we talking fixed income

  • markets?

  • David McClanahan - Vice Chairman, President, and COO

  • Yes.

  • Analyst

  • Exclusively?

  • David McClanahan - Vice Chairman, President, and COO

  • Yes.

  • Analyst

  • And not to harp on this, but, you

  • know, in the event that Reliant Resources couldn't

  • get a solvency letter or an extension of the PLR

  • from the IRS, is there any recourse to stop you

  • from perhaps just handing Mr. Naeve the keys and

  • bidding him farewell?

  • David McClanahan - Vice Chairman, President, and COO

  • If you don't get the IRS

  • extension? Well, I mean it's a fairly big risk

  • involved, because it might be a - you know, if

  • you distribute it without the IRS extension, is

  • that what you're asking, Paul?

  • Analyst

  • Or just, you know, just walk away

  • from RRI.

  • David McClanahan - Vice Chairman, President, and COO

  • Well, I hadn't ever thought

  • about just walking away from it. I -

  • Analyst

  • If there were some unforeseen

  • difficulty arising.

  • David McClanahan - Vice Chairman, President, and COO

  • Let me ask Mr. Letbetter,

  • see what he thinks.

  • Steve Letbetter - Chairman, President, and CEO

  • Paul, you know, I can't

  • speculate. You know, I can't - I can't

  • hypothesize really what you're talking about. I

  • mean we're looking at REI and the REI shareholder

  • and what's good for the interests of the REI

  • shareholder and the board would do what was in

  • their best interests.

  • Analyst

  • Okay. Thank you very much.

  • Operator

  • Your next question comes from Bill

  • Bonn of Ft. Washington investment advisors.

  • Analyst

  • Good afternoon. I wonder if you

  • could go over the stranded asset issue again on

  • what going to become CenterPoint. You're

  • recovering funds that will be used to retire

  • bonds?

  • David McClanahan - Vice Chairman, President, and COO

  • Right. In 2004, Bill, in

  • January 2004, we'll file our stranded investment

  • case and we'll - it will be based on the book

  • value of generating assets as of December 31,

  • 2001, plus any qualified environmental

  • expenditures that have occurred since then, less

  • the market value of those assets, based on

  • reference to the partial stock valuation of Texas

  • Genco, and then you make that calculation and you

  • add to that your ECOM amounts that we're recording

  • today plus any over and under-recovery of fuel.

  • Analyst

  • And do you have a target

  • capitalization in mind that you're going to try to

  • work toward?

  • David McClanahan - Vice Chairman, President, and COO

  • We believe these businesses

  • can operate very comfortably at 55 to 60% debt to

  • total capital. And that's where we're targeting

  • in 2000 - into 2004 to be, once we get the

  • stranded costs proceedings behind us.

  • Analyst

  • Now, do you choose that because you

  • think that that results in a certain target bond

  • level, bond rating?

  • David McClanahan - Vice Chairman, President, and COO

  • Well, these are low-risk

  • businesses, very consistent cash flow, very

  • consistent earnings. In Texas, in our wire - our

  • transmission/distribution rate-setting, they've

  • used a 60% debt, 40% equity level in setting

  • rates, and it's all based around the risk of the

  • business.

  • Analyst

  • All right. Thanks very much.

  • Operator

  • Your next question comes from

  • Matthew Mark of Mark asset management.

  • Analyst

  • I had a question that I think it

  • would just be helpful to try to hear the answer

  • spelled out to.

  • Why does it make sense to tie the spinoff, at all,

  • to Reliant Resources making progress with its bank

  • group? If Reliant Energy doesn't have any

  • intention of putting more money into resources,

  • why should it matter how much progress resources

  • makes on its bank group? I mean, I could guess at

  • a couple answers but I just think it would be

  • helpful to try to spell that out for people.

  • Steve Letbetter - Chairman, President, and CEO

  • Well, first, it's not tied to

  • the bank renegotiation, but in the board's

  • deliberations around declaration of a dividend,

  • they need to consider all the factors that are in

  • the best interest of the Reliant Energy

  • shareholders. It would seem prudent for the board

  • to at least have information and indication of

  • implications, you know, for RRI also, as it -

  • it's going to be distributed to REI shareholders.

  • Analyst

  • Just to push back a little, what if

  • Reliant Resources bank negotiations don't go

  • according to plan? You know, what could the

  • Reliant Energy board do, short of putting more

  • money into resources? How could it help?

  • Steve Letbetter - Chairman, President, and CEO

  • I can't - I really can't

  • speculate for the board as to - you know, I'd

  • have to look at the conditions and what gave rise.

  • You know, we've indicated - you know, I think

  • Rick provided a very compelling outline of the

  • creditworthiness of Reliant Resources. We believe

  • that the path that we're down - going down will

  • end up satisfying, you know, both companies, both

  • sets of banks, and, you know, it will be a very

  • viable solution for all concerned.

  • Analyst

  • Thanks for tolerating the question.

  • Operator

  • Your next question comes from

  • Danielle sites of Salomon Smith Barney.

  • Analyst

  • Just a review. I was wondering your

  • $1.20 or so estimate, does that include a

  • potential increase in the debt cost you are likely

  • to incur when you roll over the - your loans?

  • David McClanahan - Vice Chairman, President, and COO

  • Yes, it takes into - it

  • takes that into account, Danielle.

  • Analyst

  • Okay. And it's - looking at 2003 -

  • I mean, since that increase in cost is not really

  • going to have much - is not going to be there a

  • long time, you know, too, is 2003 supposed to be

  • affected to a point where actually the earnings

  • are likely to be difficult to be sustained at that

  • level?

  • David McClanahan - Vice Chairman, President, and COO

  • I believe that with normal

  • weather -

  • Analyst

  • Uh-huh.

  • David McClanahan - Vice Chairman, President, and COO

  • - and with the rate

  • increases that we're able to accomplish, that

  • we'll see a good solid year in 2003.

  • Analyst

  • Uh-huh. Just do you have in mind how

  • much is the average cost on the - on the

  • revolvers that you have to refinance?

  • David McClanahan - Vice Chairman, President, and COO

  • In terms of long-term debt

  • costs?

  • Analyst

  • Yes, yes.

  • David McClanahan - Vice Chairman, President, and COO

  • You know, I'd hate to

  • speculate today. These markets are so difficult.

  • I think -

  • Analyst

  • I mean relative to the amount you are

  • paying now.

  • David McClanahan - Vice Chairman, President, and COO

  • Danielle, I'm sorry, I

  • didn't hear that question. Ask it again.

  • Analyst

  • Relative to today's - to the cost of

  • interest that you are paying currently.

  • David McClanahan - Vice Chairman, President, and COO

  • You know, I - I'd have to

  • get out the - our forecast, but I think that

  • today, you know, we have $4.2 billion outstanding

  • under our bank lines.

  • Analyst

  • Uh-huh.

  • David McClanahan - Vice Chairman, President, and COO

  • And we're paying, you know,

  • a bank rate. If you look at what you pay when you

  • go to the long-term capital markets and you get

  • longer-term maturities, it's going to be higher

  • than that.

  • Analyst

  • Uh-huh. Okay. Thanks.

  • Operator

  • Your next question comes from Steve

  • [Tarter] of [Barrow Handling]. Mr. [Tarter], your

  • line is open. We will proceed to the next

  • question.

  • And your next question is from [Sungo] [Wan] of

  • [Samcor] capital.

  • Analyst

  • Hello?

  • David McClanahan - Vice Chairman, President, and COO

  • Hello.

  • Analyst

  • Yes, hi. I just had a quick question

  • on the dividend payout just for clarification.

  • There seems to be a great deal of confusion out

  • there regarding your actual cash payout ratio.

  • You're guiding to $1.17 to $1.22 of earnings for

  • 2002 just for CenterPoint, and I understand that

  • some part of that will be non-cash in the form of

  • true-up, so the actual cash payout ratio is

  • actually higher than about 50% you're forecasting,

  • so if you can comment on that, that will be great.

  • Thanks.

  • David McClanahan - Vice Chairman, President, and COO

  • [Sungo], you're accurate

  • that part of that $1.17 to $1.22 is non-cash

  • because it comes from ECOM true-up but we're going

  • to base our overall dividend policy on earnings as

  • we look out over time, and it is going to be based

  • on our earnings and not just the cash portion of

  • our earnings. So when I said 50 to 75% earlier in

  • the lower part of that, it is based on book

  • earnings and not cash earnings.

  • Analyst

  • So you have enough cushion in your

  • earnings to pay that notional 50% payout ratio?

  • David McClanahan - Vice Chairman, President, and COO

  • Yes.

  • Analyst

  • Great. Thank you.

  • Operator

  • Your next question comes from

  • Jonathan [Rojeski] of Goldman Sachs.

  • Analyst

  • Hi, everybody. How are you doing.

  • Unknown Speaker

  • MARY ANN PAULSEN:

  • David McClanahan - Vice Chairman, President, and COO

  • Good.

  • Steve Letbetter - Chairman, President, and CEO

  • Fine.

  • Analyst

  • Just to quickly run back through some

  • of these numbers, if I could. The refinancings

  • that you've got this extension on for the bank

  • facility and the bridge, you said, David, was 4.7,

  • 4.2, which you've drawn on, is that correct?

  • David McClanahan - Vice Chairman, President, and COO

  • Correct.

  • Analyst

  • Okay. And so also I think that there

  • was a total of five or six hundred million dollars

  • of just regular senior note maturities that you

  • had for this year. Is that - do I recall that

  • properly?

  • David McClanahan - Vice Chairman, President, and COO

  • We've already experienced

  • some of those. The next - the next maturity is

  • in November, Jonathan.

  • Analyst

  • Uh-huh. Okay. And do you know what

  • that amount is.

  • David McClanahan - Vice Chairman, President, and COO

  • It's 300 million.

  • Analyst

  • Okay.

  • David McClanahan - Vice Chairman, President, and COO

  • I might also mention that we

  • have - those aren't the only lines of credit we

  • have. We have some at our gas businesses, too,

  • that are undrawn.

  • Analyst

  • Okay. Are those facilities things

  • that need to be renegotiated or extended in 2002

  • or 2003?

  • David McClanahan - Vice Chairman, President, and COO

  • One of the facilities is in

  • next year. We have a receivables facility that is

  • due to be renewed next month, and it's a secured

  • facility.

  • Analyst

  • Okay. And then I think next year,

  • the 1.2 or $1.3 billion of senior note maturities,

  • could you comment on that a little bit further?

  • David McClanahan - Vice Chairman, President, and COO

  • I must have missed your

  • question. What -

  • Analyst

  • Well, I mean I think it says also

  • that you have about 1.3 billion next year in

  • maturities, debt maturities, in the 10-K.

  • David McClanahan - Vice Chairman, President, and COO

  • Gosh -

  • Analyst

  • And I was just wondering, you know,

  • sort of from a - we've talked a little bit about

  • liquidity and refinancings and accessing the debt

  • markets and such, and I'm just wondering sort of

  • what your - you know, what your thoughts are on

  • that in terms of, you know, possibly just

  • refinancing that or if you're going to have to,

  • you know, take it out and just issue more debt is

  • what I would assume that you would try and do, but

  • I just wanted to sort of get your comments.

  • David McClanahan - Vice Chairman, President, and COO

  • Jonathan, I don't think

  • there's that much. There's a maturity that comes

  • up in April of next year.

  • Analyst

  • Yeah.

  • David McClanahan - Vice Chairman, President, and COO

  • Of $150 million. Some of

  • the other maturities may be referring not to

  • CenterPoint debt.

  • Analyst

  • Okay. Okay. Well, why don't I

  • follow up with you guys off-line. We can spend

  • some more time on that.

  • David McClanahan - Vice Chairman, President, and COO

  • Okay. We'll look at that

  • too. I don't think that's the case.

  • Analyst

  • Thanks.

  • Operator

  • Your next question comes from

  • medulla myrrh de-of SAC capital.

  • Analyst

  • Good afternoon.

  • Steve Letbetter - Chairman, President, and CEO

  • Had I, medulla.

  • Analyst

  • Let's see. I think I'd like to ask

  • Paul [inaudible] question another way. If for

  • some reason say the IRS were not timely or willing

  • for some reason to provide a - you know, a

  • tax-free nature and, you know, would you still

  • consider - would you still consider it in the

  • best interests of both sets of shareholders to

  • execute a distribution, you know, on a taxable

  • basis?

  • Steve Letbetter - Chairman, President, and CEO

  • Well, as it relates to the

  • IRS letter ruling, medulla, I mean we can't do it

  • without it, and so, you know, I mean it doesn't -

  • you know, the decision is made for you.

  • Analyst

  • Oh, okay. So you - so for instance

  • there -

  • Steve Letbetter - Chairman, President, and CEO

  • I'm sorry. It would end up

  • being a taxable event and we'd just have to look

  • at it and see what the implications were to the

  • shareholders at that point in time.

  • Analyst

  • Well, I'm wondering -

  • Steve Letbetter - Chairman, President, and CEO

  • I really can't get a

  • situation of answering for the board now in a

  • hypothetical sense. We've got to look at what's

  • there. I can tell you that, you know, we think it

  • makes the most sense for both companies to do the

  • actual spin. We're pursuing it with, you know,

  • deliberate speed and we're going to continue forth

  • and, you know, I - we'll present the

  • recommendation to the board and they'll exercise

  • their fiduciary responsibility in that

  • August/September time frame.

  • Analyst

  • Okay. My second question is kind of

  • wondering when you kind of look a little bit

  • towards '03 at CenterPoint, when you execute the

  • 20% distribution of Texas Genco, what would you

  • currently be estimating or what would it be, say,

  • off of this year's Texas gen come - what would

  • 20% end up being in terms of a - you know, a

  • subtraction going - in '03?

  • David McClanahan - Vice Chairman, President, and COO

  • You mean a subtraction of

  • the contribution or lack thereof to earnings?

  • Analyst

  • Correct.

  • David McClanahan - Vice Chairman, President, and COO

  • You know, I don't think

  • we've got into the granularity of estimating what

  • Texas Genco's earnings will be. The fact is, that

  • will be driven a lot by the auctions that we hold

  • in September/October of this year, because that's

  • when we sell the - the capacity for next year,

  • medulla.

  • Analyst

  • Okay. Thank you very much.

  • Operator

  • Your next question comes from Jeff

  • Goldman of first capital.

  • Analyst

  • Yes. When is the earliest time that

  • you could spin off or IPO the Texas Genco?

  • David McClanahan - Vice Chairman, President, and COO

  • From a practical standpoint,

  • I think it would be - the earliest would be

  • probably November.

  • Analyst

  • Okay. And who are the bankers you

  • are primarily engaging with on the refinancing

  • discussions?

  • David McClanahan - Vice Chairman, President, and COO

  • Well, I - let me -

  • there's - we're dealing with a number of bankers.

  • J. P. Morgan and Citibank were our agents on our

  • bank facility refinancing, and they continue to be

  • advisors to us at this time as well as others.

  • Analyst

  • Okay. And lastly, maybe going back

  • to a different kind of question, can you give me

  • some sense of the sensitivity to your earnings as

  • it relates to the cost of refinancing? I know you

  • mentioned that it is included in your - in your

  • earnings guidance, but, you know, we're having a

  • little trouble maybe gauging what the sensitivity

  • is to earnings as regards the refinancing costs.

  • David McClanahan - Vice Chairman, President, and COO

  • You know, I guess the -

  • it's really hard to say. It's costing us today a

  • hundred basis points in additional cost, and it

  • really depends on what the market is later on this

  • year as to what the long-term - long-term costs

  • will be.

  • It will clearly be higher than what we paid the

  • first six months, and we're hopeful that these

  • markets will settle down and we'll have a

  • receptive market for our bonds.

  • Analyst

  • Will you also be able to - you

  • mentioned on the RRI call that some of the

  • covenants are, let's say, loose on the facility on

  • the RRI side. Is it the same on the REI side,

  • that you could simply tighten it up to satisfy

  • some of the bankers?

  • David McClanahan - Vice Chairman, President, and COO

  • Well, I guess, you know, all

  • the bankers will look at covenants. There's no

  • doubt about it. We don't have any real onerous

  • covenants in our bank lines, but I'm sure that

  • those will be part of the negotiations as we go

  • forward.

  • Analyst

  • Thank you.

  • Operator

  • At this time, there are no further

  • questions.

  • Steve Letbetter - Chairman, President, and CEO

  • Okay.

  • Mary Ann Paulsen - Director of Investor Relations

  • Thank you very much. We

  • appreciate your interest and would like to thank

  • you for participating today and have a great day.

  • Operator

  • This concludes today's conference. 01:18:19 You may now disconnect.