使用警語:中文譯文來源為 Google 翻譯,僅供參考,實際內容請以英文原文為主
Operator
Good afternoon. My name is Anthony,
and I'll be your conference facilitator. At this
time, I would like to welcome everyone to the
Reliant Energy's second-quarter 2002 earnings
conference call. All lines have been placed on
mute to prevent any background noise.
After the speakers' remarks, there will be a
question and answer period. If you would like to
ask a question during this time, simply press
star, then the number 1 on your telephone keypad.
If you would like to withdraw your question,
please star, then the number 2 on your telephone
keypad. Thank you.
Ms. Paulsen, you may begin your conference.
Mary Ann Paulsen - Director of Investor Relations
Thank you, Anthony. I'm Mary
Ann Paulsen, director of investor relations for
regulated operations. Welcome to Reliant
Energy's second quarter 2002 conference call and
thank you also for joining us today.
As you may know Reliant Resources also released
earnings today and had a conference call this
morning. If you would like to listen to a replay
of the Reliant Resources conference call, please
go to the investor relations section of their
website, www.ReliantResources.com. On this
afternoon's call, we will focus on the primarily
regulated businesses of Reliant Energy, those
which will comprise CenterPoint Energy after
restructuring.
Leading the discussion, we have Steve Letbetter,
Reliant Energy's chairman, president, and CEO.
Also participating in the call will be David
McClanahan, currently vice chairman, president,
and chief operating officer of reliant's regulated
businesses, and central point's future president
and CEO. Also present are Steve Naeve, vice
chairman, and other members of management who may
assist in answering your questions following the
prepared remarks.
Before Steve begins, I would like to mention that
a replay of this call will be available until 6:00
p.m. central time through Friday, August 2nd. To
access the replay, please call 1-800-642-1687, and
enter the conference ID number 4836766. You can
also listen to an on-line replay of the call via
our website at www.ReliantEnergy.com under the
investor section.
I also need to remind you that any projections or
forward-looking statements made in this call are
subject to the cautionary statements on
forward-looking information in the company's SEC
filings. And with that, I would now like to turn
it over to Steve Letbetter.
Steve Letbetter - Chairman, President, and CEO
Thanks, Mary Ann, and welcome
to our second-quarter earnings call.
The purpose of our call today is to review our
second-quarter performance. However, before we
start, I feel obligated to comment on the obvious
fear affecting the recent performance of the
Reliant Energy and Reliant Resources stock and of
other companies in our industry.
While it is not appropriate for me to comment on
the businesses of other companies, I can tell you
that we have two solid companies, and each company
continues to execute its strategy with success.
The Reliant Resources business model, combining
strong retail - a strong retail business in Texas
with a diversified portfolio of power generation
assets is a valid business model that continues to
perform well, even in today's very weak market
conditions. And our regulated operations are
performing very well and continue to deliver solid
results.
I am shocked at the decline in our stock prices
this week, and know that we will gain back the
market's confidence as we demonstrate that our
businesses are strong and continue to perform.
Today we announced second-quarter earnings of
$236 million or 79 cents per diluted share. Solid
earnings from our retail operations, natural gas
LDCs, and electric transmission and distribution
segments were offset by very weak wholesale market
conditions, coupled with an increase in reserves
for potential refunds and plant cancellation and
closure costs in our wholesale segment.
As indicated, we discussed ROI results this
morning and David McClanahan will go through the
details on the regulated operations in a moment.
But before I turn it over to David, let me give
you a brief update on the spinoff of Reliant
Resources from Reliant Energy. We remain
committed to and focused on completing the formal
separation as soon as possible. I am pleased that
we are one step closer to making that happen. As
you know, on July the 8th, we announced that we
received authorization from the SEC to go forward
with the formation of CenterPoint Energy, our new
holding company, and the spinoff of Reliant
Resources. The only remaining regulatory action
is an extension of the IRS private letter ruling
previously issued in January of 2002. Once we
have had the extension in hand, we can complete
the restructuring of CenterPoint Energy, which
should facilitate its access to the capital
markets.
While there is no requirement that we make
progress in our bank negotiations prior to the
spinoff, we believe such a step would be prudent.
We would then present the spinoff for final
approval by our board of directors in the late
August or early September time frame. Once the
spinoff dividend is declared, the distribution
will actually be made about three weeks later.
During that interval, we expect to do road shows
for both companies to tell our story more fully to
the investment community.
It is important to reiterate our firm belief that
the spinoff remains the right strategic step for
both companies. Each is well positioned for
success in this market sector, and as separate
entities, Reliant Resources and CenterPoint Energy
will both have better access to capital than the
combined company.
We spoke of the strengths of Reliant Resources
this morning. I am also confident that
CenterPoint Energy will perform well as a
stand-alone entity, since CenterPoint will be one
of the largest U.S. energy delivery companies
serving 4.8 million metered customers. It also
has a diverse portfolio of strategically located
physical assets. It has a consistent reliable
earnings stream with strong cash flow from
operations and is committed to maximizing total
return while maintaining a competitive dividend.
Now, let me turn you over to the person who will
make sure that CenterPoint Energy succeeds, David
McClanahan, for details about the quarter.
David McClanahan - Vice Chairman, President, and COO
Thank you, Steve. Good
afternoon, ladies and gentlemen. This afternoon,
I'll review our regulated businesses'
second-quarter operating results, but before I do,
I'd like to remind you of the changes to our
reporting segments that we made this year.
As we discussed in the first quarter, we now
report two new electric segments that resulted
from the restructuring and corresponding
unbundling of our Texas electric operations. They
are the electric transmission and distribution
segment and the electric generation segment.
The other two segments which we will continue to
report are our natural gas distribution businesses
and our pipeline and gathering operations.
Let me summarize for you again the changes to our
segment reporting. The unbundled transmission and
distribution business, which will remain
regulated, is now reported in the electric
transmission and distribution segment. In
addition, this segment captures the operation of
the prior integrated utility that occurred in
January of this year during the transition to a
competitive retail electric market in Texas.
Also included in the electric transmission and
distribution segment are all impacts from
generation-related regulatory assets recoverable
by the regulated utility, including the ECOM
true-up component of stranded costs.
ECOM stands for the excess cost over market and
refers to the stranded cost model developed by the
Texas public utility commission in connection with
industry restructuring.
As you know, stranded investment will not be
determined until 2004. For the next two years,
the Texas restructuring law provides that a
regulated utility may true up its stranded
investment and recover in 2004 the difference
between the auction price of power sold from the
previously regulated generation and the price of
power in the PUC's ECOM model. This amount is
recorded as a regulatory asset and the EBIT
impact, which is non-cash, is reflected in the
transmission and distribution segments.
The power generation operations in Texas, which
includes all the previously regulated generating
assets and will be called Texas Genco are now
reported in a second new segment called electric
generation. We expect Texas Genco to remain with
CenterPoint Energy until 2004, when stranded costs
will be determined. At that time, Reliant
Resources has the option to repurchase the stock
not then held by the public. I also would like to
remind you that in accordance with the new
accounting rules, we have discontinued the
amortization of goodwill and do not reflect an
expense in 2002. The second quarter of 2001
reflected goodwill amortization of $12 million.
Now, let me begin with our first segment, electric
transmission and distribution.
This segment reported EBIT of $277 million in the
second quarter, comprised of 107 million earned by
the transmission and distribution utility and
170 million recorded for ECOM true-up. The
transmission and distribution utility continues to
perform well and operate in accordance with our
plan. Since the opening of the retail market to
competition in January, the regulated utility now
recovers the cost of its service through an energy
delivery rate. Prior to this year, the energy
delivery service was a component of the bundled
utility rate, and, as a result, there is no
meaningful quarter-over-quarter comparison.
The design of the new energy delivery rate, which
is based on a 11 and a quarter percent return on
equity differs from the prior rate design. For
example, the winter/summer rate differential for
residential customers has been eliminated, and
large commercial and industrial customers rates no
longer have energy - an energy-based component.
This new design will tend to lessen some of the
pronounced seasonal variation of revenues. As a
result, revenues were somewhat higher this quarter
than would have been under the prior rate
structure.
I would also remind you that under the Texas
electric restructuring law, our regulated
transmission and distribution utility cannot buy
or sell electricity and, thus, is no longer
subject to commodity risk.
Looking at the operations of the transmission and
distribution utility, residential customer usage
increased 9% due to customer growth, a slightly
warmer spring, an increased demand from
non-weather-related factors such as price
elasticity. Also, despite a slowing economy,
total residential customers grew by 32,000 since
June of last year, which approximates a 2% annual
growth.
We currently have 1.75 million metered customers.
This increase in residential usage was offset by a
decline in deliveries to industrial customers,
primarily due to self-generation and to a lesser
extent the impact of a weak national economy.
On the expense side, we continue to realize
productivity improvements while maintaining
quality customer service and reliability. Our
overall operating expenses are in line with those
used in establishing our energy delivery rate.
As we discussed in the first quarter, Reliant
Energy HL and P continued to serve retail customers on
a regulated basis through the customer's first
meter reading in 2002. As a result, we recognized
$14 million of EBIT in the first quarter from
these nonrecurring transitional sales. This
quarter, we continued to incur transition expenses
of $7 million. We expect to incur additional
expenses the rest of the year, which we anticipate
will substantially offset the EBIT related to
these activities.
The ECOM true-up was $170 million in the second
quarter, reflecting the difference between auction
market prices and market prices used in the PUC's
ECOM model, and will be recovered as part of the
utility's stranded investment in 2004. As is
evident by the amount recorded, the prices
realized by Texas Genco were substantially less
than the prices in the Texas PUC's ECOM model.
The electric generation segment reported a loss
before interest and taxes of $26 million in the
second quarter compared to a loss of $52 million
in the first quarter of this year. Low natural
gas prices, along with ample generating capacity
in Texas resulted in low prices for our Texas
Genco products. As you know, Texas Genco's sells
substantially all of its available generating
capacity through auctions. Substantially all of
the capacity sales for the second quarter were
sold at auctions conducted last year. We
conducted an auction in July, just a few weeks
ago, to sell the remaining available capacity for
September through December of this year, and saw
no meaningful change in pricing.
Beginning in September, we intend to hold auctions
to sell a substantial portion of the capacity
available for the year 2003.
During the two years of transition, while we own
and operate these generating facilities, we will
seek to optimally dispatch these units, as well as
reduce costs where we can, in order to mitigate
some of the pressures of the weak price
environment.
I'd like to now turn to our natural gas
distribution segment. Earnings before interest
and taxes for this group was $14 million, compared
to a loss of 41 million reported in the second
quarter of last year. The 2001 period included
goodwill amortization of $8 million. A
substantial part of the improvement this quarter
was a result of reduced bad debt expense. If you
recall, we experienced high bad debt expense in
the second and third quarters of 2001 due to a
combination of higher usage caused by the extreme
2000/2001 winter and high natural gas prices.
Both the customer's gas bills and bad debt
increased as a result.
Improved collections and lower gas prices this
year have contributed to the improvement in bad
debt expense.
Weather was a positive factor this quarter, as we
experienced cooler weather in some of our service
territories than the second quarter of last year.
Usage in the quarter increased 2% compared to the
same period last year, primarily from higher
residential and commercial demand resulting from
the cooler weather and a higher customer count.
Last year's second quarter was also adversely
impacted by changes in estimates of both un-billed
revenues and deferred gas costs.
In Arkansas, we filed a rate request of
$47 million in November of last year. This week,
we reached a settlement with the principal parties
to this case which, if approved, will result in an
increase in base rates of approximately
$32 million. The parties also agreed to a gas
main replacement surcharge which is expected to
provide an additional $2 million in 2003.
The settlement provides for a new residential rate
design which increases the monthly customer charge
from $5.20 to $9.75, thus helping to reduce the
amount of fixed costs reflected in the variable
component of the rates.
These new rates are expected to be effective at
the end of September of this year.
In May, we filed a rate change request for
13.7 million in Oklahoma where we serve
approximately 110,000 customers. We expect a
decision by the Oklahoma commission by the end of
this year.
Turning to our pipeline and gathering businesses,
we continue to produce consistent and stable
margins. We reported EBIT of $41 million for this
quarter compared to 34 million for the same period
last year. Goodwill amortization recorded in the
second quarter of 2001 was $4 million. We
continue to see growth opportunities in our
pipeline and pipeline services businesses,
especially around new merchant generating plants.
Now, let me discuss several issues that we will be
addressing over the second half of this year.
I know that you're all interested in our dividend,
so let me update you on that.
Management will recommend to our board early next
month that the third-quarter dividend be declared
at the level that CenterPoint will be paying going
forward. CenterPoint is fully committed to paying
a competitive dividend. We will be primarily a
regulated company, with consistent and stable cash
flows after spinning off Reliant Resources to
shareholders. We have provided guidance for 2002
earnings per share in the range of $1.17 to $1.22.
We will recommend a dividend payout based on our
earnings outlook and taking into account the
transition we're in. We believe that our payout
ratio and yield will be competitive with other
regulated utilities. The next dividend payment
date is scheduled to be September 10th, 2002.
As part of the stranded cost determination in
2004, the Texas electric restructuring law allows
for the quantification of stranded costs for our
Texas generation plants to be made using a partial
stock valuation method. In order to comply with
the legislation, either an initial public offering
or a distribution to our shareholders of
approximately 20% of Texas Genco's capital stock
must be completed before January 10th, 2003, so
that the stock will have traded for one year
before its use in determining stranded costs.
Given the weak present IPO market, we are now
considering and preparing for a distribution of
approximately 20% of Texas Genco to our
shareholders later this year.
As I'm sure you are all aware, on July 12th,
Reliant Energy received a 90-day extension on our
$4.7 billion credit facilities. The extension
takes us to October 10th, 2002. However, a
majority of the commitments represented by the
banks can vote to reduce the extension to 60 days.
During the 90-day extension period, we expect to
accomplish the following: Restructure into a
registered holding company; establish the
transmission and distribution utility and Texas
Genco as separate subsidiaries of the holding
company; access the capital markets to relieve the
pressure on our bank lines; and syndicate a new
credit facility.
We are currently engaged in discussions about both
capital market transactions and extending our bank
lines, and while preliminary, these discussions
have been very constructive.
On January 1st of this year, we implemented FASB
142, goodwill and other intangible assets, which
required discontinuing amortization of goodwill
and an evaluation for impairment.
During the second quarter, we completed the
evaluation of goodwill for our two reporting units
requiring such an evaluation, the natural gas
distribution segment and the pipeline and
gathering businesses.
The evaluation compared their fair value with
their carrying amounts, including goodwill. The
evaluation concluded that at January 1, 2002, the
fair value of these reporting units exceeded the
carrying amount, and no impairment is required to
be recognized.
In summary, we are pleased with the performance of
our regulated operations this quarter. The
businesses that will make up CenterPoint Energy
after full business separation contributed 29
cents per share to Reliant Energy's second-quarter
consolidated earnings per share, and have
contributed 78 cents per share for the first six
months.
Our outlook for our earnings per share for this
year has not changed. As you know, we provided
earnings per share guidance for CenterPoint on a
stand-alone basis of $1.17 to $1.22 per share.
While we are further along than we had
anticipated, we continue to believe that this
guidance is appropriate.
We benefitted in the first half of the year from
lower than expected interest expense due to the
delay in the sale of long-term debt. We do expect
to see an impact from higher interest expense in
the second half of the year. We also benefitted
from the new rate design change in the
transmission and distribution segment, which
lessens seasonal variations in revenues, but is
not expected to have an annual impact.
Other factors such as the timing of budgeted
operating expenses and a slow start to Houston's
typical summer heat could offset some of our
first-half performance, so we still believe our
earlier guidance is appropriate.
Finally, I'd like to highlight some of the key
components of our overall corporate strategy.
First and foremost, I'm committed to keeping
CenterPoint focused on our core businesses, and
operating those businesses with excellent and
highly reliable service at a reasonable price.
We have a strong portfolio of low-risk businesses,
with attractive and diverse service territories
and assets. Our near-term business focus is to
continue to improve the financial performance of
our existing businesses. We are making progress
on getting the level and design of our rates where
they need to be. In striving for operational
excellence, we are implementing operating
practices designed to improve productivity and
capture efficiency across all our business units.
For now, we're concentrating on growth
opportunities from our present businesses. Our
overall investment objectives are simple and
straightforward. Namely, we are committed to
maximizing total shareholder return through a
competitive dividend and reasonable growth. We
will accomplish this by managing our core
businesses to produce consistent and sustainable
earnings and cash flow, and we will concentrate on
strengthening our balance sheet and improving
financial flexibility.
Thank you for your interest in Reliant and
CenterPoint Energy, and now we will take your
questions.
Mary Ann Paulsen - Director of Investor Relations
Anthony, we'll take some
questions now. 00:50:40
Operator
At this time, I would like to remind
everyone in order to ask a question, please press
star, then the number 1, on your telephone keypad.
We'll pause for just a moment to compile the Q and A
roster.
Your first question comes from Steve Valentine of
Valentine capital.
Analyst
Yeah. Hi. I wanted to ask a couple
questions on the spinout.
What kind of potential obligations are there
remaining at REI to a spinout of RRI, given the
possibility of possible credit issues there going
forward? I mean, are there any Williams, Williams
communications type issues that you could have
there, if RRI should not get its bank lines
extended prior to a spinout?
David McClanahan - Vice Chairman, President, and COO
No, we don't have any
obligations of that nature, Steve.
Analyst
So you don't see any way that if RRI
was spun out and it ultimately was not
independently successful, that you would have
claims coming back to you from that?
David McClanahan - Vice Chairman, President, and COO
Not from any credit
implications. As you probably know, we have an
indemnity from RRI related to any litigation, and
that would be the only thing that could spring
back. But not anything related to credit.
Analyst
Okay. In the earlier call with RRI,
you had given a time line of talking to the banks
in late August/early September, which is the same
time that you've given us for the board vote on
the spin.
Can you elaborate on - if you want to know where
you stand with the banks, you know, how will you
know anything at that point in time, and isn't it
somewhat inconsistent to expect the board to go
ahead and approve a spin when you won't know until
say well into September where you stand with them
on RRI restructuring?
Steve Letbetter - Chairman, President, and CEO
Steve, I think there's a
miscommunication, if that's what you understood.
We're actually engaging in dialog with the banks
currently.
Analyst
But I understood from the previous
call that they were doing basically renewed due
diligence based on the changes in the markets that
have occurred since they last looked at the
company, and that was going to take a period of
time and that, I thought you had stated you were
going to be making a - sort of a proposal to them
in that same end of August/early September period,
at which time they would take three to five weeks
to conclude some sort of a restructuring talk.
Steve Letbetter - Chairman, President, and CEO
No. We're actually operating
in parallel.
Analyst
Okay. So you expect to basically
then be done with the RRI restructuring by the end
of August/early September?
Steve Letbetter - Chairman, President, and CEO
Well, we will at least be far
along in the discussions.
Analyst
Okay. I - you know, I guess the
bottom line is, I'm trying to understand, although
it's not contingent on restructuring, if there are
problems in that - in those talks with the banks
on the RRI financials, given your statement that
it would be prudent for you to know where you
stand, you know, what could get in the way? I
know you don't want anything to get in the way,
but it seems to me it's illogical that you would
go ahead, if that isn't satisfactorily resolved or
apparently imminently satisfactorily resolved to
spin it.
Steve Letbetter - Chairman, President, and CEO
I mean, you know, we - the
approach that we're taking and Rick went over the
reasons why we believe RRI is eminently
refinancible based upon its own merits. You know,
we're basically going along a path that will
accommodate all of this to occur.
Analyst
Okay. And then question on the
dividend letter of REI or CenterPoint's dividend
level. Can you give us a little more information
on what you see as a competitive payout or what,
you know, is a ballpark area that you're likely to
recommend.
David McClanahan - Vice Chairman, President, and COO
Dave, in the past - and
this is consistent today, we've said that, you
know, we think the - a competitive dividend is in
the 50 to 75% dividend payout level, and we're
going to be at the lower end of that as we kick
off the new company and as we transition out of
this two-year window when we still have stranded
investment yet to - to be determined.
Analyst
So that's off of the 117/122 earnings
level correct.
David McClanahan - Vice Chairman, President, and COO
Yes.
Analyst
Okay. Thank you.
Analyst
Your next question comes from Jay ma
IDEA of forest investments.
Analyst
Yeah. Hi. Thanks. Just wanted to
ask, as far as the - as far as the bank
negotiations for the REI level why are you looking
to the capital markets? Is it - is it something
to do with that the bank negotiations of a
revolver of that size aren't practical or . . .
David McClanahan - Vice Chairman, President, and COO
Jay, let me - the bank
facilities we put in place in July of 2001, over a
year ago, were made up of two revolving credits
of - lines of about 2.9 billion and a bridge
facility of 1.8, and it was always anticipated we
would go to the capital markets and that that 1.8
wasn't a permanent piece of our bank lines.
Because the spin was delayed, we did not get to
the capital markets in the past year. We're still
committed to doing that. We personally believe
that, you know, we don't like to have that much
short-term bank debt either, and so we're - we're
going to look to the capital markets to just
reduce the amount of that bank facility.
Analyst
Okay. And then, you know, while I -
I agree with you that it's, you know - we're all
very confident that everything's going to work out
perfectly with the bank financings at the REI and
RRI level, I just wanted to ask that the same way
that you - you said it would be prudent to get
the RRI financing done before approaching the
board for - you know, for the spinoff. Is it
also prudent to get - are the banks saying that
it would be prudent at the REI level to get the
spinout done before they give you the revolver at
the REI level?
David McClanahan - Vice Chairman, President, and COO
I don't think that they've
said that you have to do the spinout. Obviously
there's - there's lots of interest in this
spinout, and when it happens, but there is nothing
tied directly to it. But the banks clearly want
to see the direction the company's taking. The 90
days gave us, we thought, an adequate amount of
time to get this decision made, and - and so we
don't think, though, that we're going to - it's
directly tied to that decision we make in late
August or early - early September.
Analyst
And are you looking at security or
covenants or anything like that as far as the REI
level bank financing?
David McClanahan - Vice Chairman, President, and COO
We haven't discussed any
type of security at this stage, no.
Analyst
Okay. And final question is: Let's
say the spinout just for the sake of argument were
not to happen or were to get, you know, delayed
for whatever reason. Are these two companies
separate companies from a credit perspective in
the sense that if RRI had some kind of problem and
it hadn't spun out yet, would that have any
implication on REI's credit?
David McClanahan - Vice Chairman, President, and COO
Well, they're clearly
separate credits. RRI's credit is completely
separate from REI's.
Analyst
Uh-huh.
David McClanahan - Vice Chairman, President, and COO
So - now, if you're asking
does RRI impact REI, the answer is yes, today. No
doubt about it.
Analyst
Uh-huh.
David McClanahan - Vice Chairman, President, and COO
But from a purely credit
standpoint, RRI is a stand-alone credit entity.
Analyst
How does it impact it today? Are
there - is there a lot of - as far as business
back and forth - loans back and forth, things
like that?
David McClanahan - Vice Chairman, President, and COO
No. We have no loans. We
have nothing of that nature. Reliant Resources is
a buyer of capacity. They have a very big retail
business, and we own generation, so they buy
generation from us through capacity auctions, but
those are commercial transactions held through
public auctions.
Analyst
Uh-huh.
David McClanahan - Vice Chairman, President, and COO
I think the - the - and
you can ask some of the people that follow this a
lot closer than I do, but there's concerns about
if you have a big large subsidiary, would Reliant
Energy put more money into Reliant Resources if
they needed it, and that's where I think the risk
comes in at the REI level.
Analyst
So you think that that is a risk at
the REI level?
David McClanahan - Vice Chairman, President, and COO
Well, I don't think it's a
risk. I think that's what's being perceived by
the markets.
Analyst
Okay.
David McClanahan - Vice Chairman, President, and COO
We're not intending to put
any more money into Reliant Resources, to my
knowledge.
Analyst
Okay. Thanks. I appreciate that.
Operator
Your next question comes from Paul
[DeBoss] of Value Line.
Analyst
Hi. What ROE was specified in the
settlement in Arkansas and are you planning to
have any other rate cases besides what's pending
in Oklahoma?
David McClanahan - Vice Chairman, President, and COO
The - the ROE was
slightly - I want to say it was 9.9 or 10%.
Right in that level in Arkansas. We had
requested, as I recall, 11 and a quarter, and the
staff recommended something like 9.4 to 10.4, and
they picked that kind of midpoint there at 9.9,
10.
The - we have - we are evaluating some
additional rate cases in our other service
territories, but there has been no decision yet to
file in any of those other jurisdictions.
Analyst
Do you know when you might come to
some sort of decision?
David McClanahan - Vice Chairman, President, and COO
I would say it's going to be
late this year or early next year. Most of the
other rates are not nearly as bad a need for a
rate increase as was Arkansas and Oklahoma. But
we think there are some other areas that we need
to look at real hard. There very well may be some
rate changes that are needed.
Analyst
All right. Thank you.
Operator
Your next question comes from Paul
[Razone] of McDonald Investments.
Analyst
Good afternoon. Just a couple
clarifications. When you say you want to tap the
capital markets, are we talking fixed income
markets?
David McClanahan - Vice Chairman, President, and COO
Yes.
Analyst
Exclusively?
David McClanahan - Vice Chairman, President, and COO
Yes.
Analyst
And not to harp on this, but, you
know, in the event that Reliant Resources couldn't
get a solvency letter or an extension of the PLR
from the IRS, is there any recourse to stop you
from perhaps just handing Mr. Naeve the keys and
bidding him farewell?
David McClanahan - Vice Chairman, President, and COO
If you don't get the IRS
extension? Well, I mean it's a fairly big risk
involved, because it might be a - you know, if
you distribute it without the IRS extension, is
that what you're asking, Paul?
Analyst
Or just, you know, just walk away
from RRI.
David McClanahan - Vice Chairman, President, and COO
Well, I hadn't ever thought
about just walking away from it. I -
Analyst
If there were some unforeseen
difficulty arising.
David McClanahan - Vice Chairman, President, and COO
Let me ask Mr. Letbetter,
see what he thinks.
Steve Letbetter - Chairman, President, and CEO
Paul, you know, I can't
speculate. You know, I can't - I can't
hypothesize really what you're talking about. I
mean we're looking at REI and the REI shareholder
and what's good for the interests of the REI
shareholder and the board would do what was in
their best interests.
Analyst
Okay. Thank you very much.
Operator
Your next question comes from Bill
Bonn of Ft. Washington investment advisors.
Analyst
Good afternoon. I wonder if you
could go over the stranded asset issue again on
what going to become CenterPoint. You're
recovering funds that will be used to retire
bonds?
David McClanahan - Vice Chairman, President, and COO
Right. In 2004, Bill, in
January 2004, we'll file our stranded investment
case and we'll - it will be based on the book
value of generating assets as of December 31,
2001, plus any qualified environmental
expenditures that have occurred since then, less
the market value of those assets, based on
reference to the partial stock valuation of Texas
Genco, and then you make that calculation and you
add to that your ECOM amounts that we're recording
today plus any over and under-recovery of fuel.
Analyst
And do you have a target
capitalization in mind that you're going to try to
work toward?
David McClanahan - Vice Chairman, President, and COO
We believe these businesses
can operate very comfortably at 55 to 60% debt to
total capital. And that's where we're targeting
in 2000 - into 2004 to be, once we get the
stranded costs proceedings behind us.
Analyst
Now, do you choose that because you
think that that results in a certain target bond
level, bond rating?
David McClanahan - Vice Chairman, President, and COO
Well, these are low-risk
businesses, very consistent cash flow, very
consistent earnings. In Texas, in our wire - our
transmission/distribution rate-setting, they've
used a 60% debt, 40% equity level in setting
rates, and it's all based around the risk of the
business.
Analyst
All right. Thanks very much.
Operator
Your next question comes from
Matthew Mark of Mark asset management.
Analyst
I had a question that I think it
would just be helpful to try to hear the answer
spelled out to.
Why does it make sense to tie the spinoff, at all,
to Reliant Resources making progress with its bank
group? If Reliant Energy doesn't have any
intention of putting more money into resources,
why should it matter how much progress resources
makes on its bank group? I mean, I could guess at
a couple answers but I just think it would be
helpful to try to spell that out for people.
Steve Letbetter - Chairman, President, and CEO
Well, first, it's not tied to
the bank renegotiation, but in the board's
deliberations around declaration of a dividend,
they need to consider all the factors that are in
the best interest of the Reliant Energy
shareholders. It would seem prudent for the board
to at least have information and indication of
implications, you know, for RRI also, as it -
it's going to be distributed to REI shareholders.
Analyst
Just to push back a little, what if
Reliant Resources bank negotiations don't go
according to plan? You know, what could the
Reliant Energy board do, short of putting more
money into resources? How could it help?
Steve Letbetter - Chairman, President, and CEO
I can't - I really can't
speculate for the board as to - you know, I'd
have to look at the conditions and what gave rise.
You know, we've indicated - you know, I think
Rick provided a very compelling outline of the
creditworthiness of Reliant Resources. We believe
that the path that we're down - going down will
end up satisfying, you know, both companies, both
sets of banks, and, you know, it will be a very
viable solution for all concerned.
Analyst
Thanks for tolerating the question.
Operator
Your next question comes from
Danielle sites of Salomon Smith Barney.
Analyst
Just a review. I was wondering your
$1.20 or so estimate, does that include a
potential increase in the debt cost you are likely
to incur when you roll over the - your loans?
David McClanahan - Vice Chairman, President, and COO
Yes, it takes into - it
takes that into account, Danielle.
Analyst
Okay. And it's - looking at 2003 -
I mean, since that increase in cost is not really
going to have much - is not going to be there a
long time, you know, too, is 2003 supposed to be
affected to a point where actually the earnings
are likely to be difficult to be sustained at that
level?
David McClanahan - Vice Chairman, President, and COO
I believe that with normal
weather -
Analyst
Uh-huh.
David McClanahan - Vice Chairman, President, and COO
- and with the rate
increases that we're able to accomplish, that
we'll see a good solid year in 2003.
Analyst
Uh-huh. Just do you have in mind how
much is the average cost on the - on the
revolvers that you have to refinance?
David McClanahan - Vice Chairman, President, and COO
In terms of long-term debt
costs?
Analyst
Yes, yes.
David McClanahan - Vice Chairman, President, and COO
You know, I'd hate to
speculate today. These markets are so difficult.
I think -
Analyst
I mean relative to the amount you are
paying now.
David McClanahan - Vice Chairman, President, and COO
Danielle, I'm sorry, I
didn't hear that question. Ask it again.
Analyst
Relative to today's - to the cost of
interest that you are paying currently.
David McClanahan - Vice Chairman, President, and COO
You know, I - I'd have to
get out the - our forecast, but I think that
today, you know, we have $4.2 billion outstanding
under our bank lines.
Analyst
Uh-huh.
David McClanahan - Vice Chairman, President, and COO
And we're paying, you know,
a bank rate. If you look at what you pay when you
go to the long-term capital markets and you get
longer-term maturities, it's going to be higher
than that.
Analyst
Uh-huh. Okay. Thanks.
Operator
Your next question comes from Steve
[Tarter] of [Barrow Handling]. Mr. [Tarter], your
line is open. We will proceed to the next
question.
And your next question is from [Sungo] [Wan] of
[Samcor] capital.
Analyst
Hello?
David McClanahan - Vice Chairman, President, and COO
Hello.
Analyst
Yes, hi. I just had a quick question
on the dividend payout just for clarification.
There seems to be a great deal of confusion out
there regarding your actual cash payout ratio.
You're guiding to $1.17 to $1.22 of earnings for
2002 just for CenterPoint, and I understand that
some part of that will be non-cash in the form of
true-up, so the actual cash payout ratio is
actually higher than about 50% you're forecasting,
so if you can comment on that, that will be great.
Thanks.
David McClanahan - Vice Chairman, President, and COO
[Sungo], you're accurate
that part of that $1.17 to $1.22 is non-cash
because it comes from ECOM true-up but we're going
to base our overall dividend policy on earnings as
we look out over time, and it is going to be based
on our earnings and not just the cash portion of
our earnings. So when I said 50 to 75% earlier in
the lower part of that, it is based on book
earnings and not cash earnings.
Analyst
So you have enough cushion in your
earnings to pay that notional 50% payout ratio?
David McClanahan - Vice Chairman, President, and COO
Yes.
Analyst
Great. Thank you.
Operator
Your next question comes from
Jonathan [Rojeski] of Goldman Sachs.
Analyst
Hi, everybody. How are you doing.
Unknown Speaker
MARY ANN PAULSEN:
David McClanahan - Vice Chairman, President, and COO
Good.
Steve Letbetter - Chairman, President, and CEO
Fine.
Analyst
Just to quickly run back through some
of these numbers, if I could. The refinancings
that you've got this extension on for the bank
facility and the bridge, you said, David, was 4.7,
4.2, which you've drawn on, is that correct?
David McClanahan - Vice Chairman, President, and COO
Correct.
Analyst
Okay. And so also I think that there
was a total of five or six hundred million dollars
of just regular senior note maturities that you
had for this year. Is that - do I recall that
properly?
David McClanahan - Vice Chairman, President, and COO
We've already experienced
some of those. The next - the next maturity is
in November, Jonathan.
Analyst
Uh-huh. Okay. And do you know what
that amount is.
David McClanahan - Vice Chairman, President, and COO
It's 300 million.
Analyst
Okay.
David McClanahan - Vice Chairman, President, and COO
I might also mention that we
have - those aren't the only lines of credit we
have. We have some at our gas businesses, too,
that are undrawn.
Analyst
Okay. Are those facilities things
that need to be renegotiated or extended in 2002
or 2003?
David McClanahan - Vice Chairman, President, and COO
One of the facilities is in
next year. We have a receivables facility that is
due to be renewed next month, and it's a secured
facility.
Analyst
Okay. And then I think next year,
the 1.2 or $1.3 billion of senior note maturities,
could you comment on that a little bit further?
David McClanahan - Vice Chairman, President, and COO
I must have missed your
question. What -
Analyst
Well, I mean I think it says also
that you have about 1.3 billion next year in
maturities, debt maturities, in the 10-K.
David McClanahan - Vice Chairman, President, and COO
Gosh -
Analyst
And I was just wondering, you know,
sort of from a - we've talked a little bit about
liquidity and refinancings and accessing the debt
markets and such, and I'm just wondering sort of
what your - you know, what your thoughts are on
that in terms of, you know, possibly just
refinancing that or if you're going to have to,
you know, take it out and just issue more debt is
what I would assume that you would try and do, but
I just wanted to sort of get your comments.
David McClanahan - Vice Chairman, President, and COO
Jonathan, I don't think
there's that much. There's a maturity that comes
up in April of next year.
Analyst
Yeah.
David McClanahan - Vice Chairman, President, and COO
Of $150 million. Some of
the other maturities may be referring not to
CenterPoint debt.
Analyst
Okay. Okay. Well, why don't I
follow up with you guys off-line. We can spend
some more time on that.
David McClanahan - Vice Chairman, President, and COO
Okay. We'll look at that
too. I don't think that's the case.
Analyst
Thanks.
Operator
Your next question comes from
medulla myrrh de-of SAC capital.
Analyst
Good afternoon.
Steve Letbetter - Chairman, President, and CEO
Had I, medulla.
Analyst
Let's see. I think I'd like to ask
Paul [inaudible] question another way. If for
some reason say the IRS were not timely or willing
for some reason to provide a - you know, a
tax-free nature and, you know, would you still
consider - would you still consider it in the
best interests of both sets of shareholders to
execute a distribution, you know, on a taxable
basis?
Steve Letbetter - Chairman, President, and CEO
Well, as it relates to the
IRS letter ruling, medulla, I mean we can't do it
without it, and so, you know, I mean it doesn't -
you know, the decision is made for you.
Analyst
Oh, okay. So you - so for instance
there -
Steve Letbetter - Chairman, President, and CEO
I'm sorry. It would end up
being a taxable event and we'd just have to look
at it and see what the implications were to the
shareholders at that point in time.
Analyst
Well, I'm wondering -
Steve Letbetter - Chairman, President, and CEO
I really can't get a
situation of answering for the board now in a
hypothetical sense. We've got to look at what's
there. I can tell you that, you know, we think it
makes the most sense for both companies to do the
actual spin. We're pursuing it with, you know,
deliberate speed and we're going to continue forth
and, you know, I - we'll present the
recommendation to the board and they'll exercise
their fiduciary responsibility in that
August/September time frame.
Analyst
Okay. My second question is kind of
wondering when you kind of look a little bit
towards '03 at CenterPoint, when you execute the
20% distribution of Texas Genco, what would you
currently be estimating or what would it be, say,
off of this year's Texas gen come - what would
20% end up being in terms of a - you know, a
subtraction going - in '03?
David McClanahan - Vice Chairman, President, and COO
You mean a subtraction of
the contribution or lack thereof to earnings?
Analyst
Correct.
David McClanahan - Vice Chairman, President, and COO
You know, I don't think
we've got into the granularity of estimating what
Texas Genco's earnings will be. The fact is, that
will be driven a lot by the auctions that we hold
in September/October of this year, because that's
when we sell the - the capacity for next year,
medulla.
Analyst
Okay. Thank you very much.
Operator
Your next question comes from Jeff
Goldman of first capital.
Analyst
Yes. When is the earliest time that
you could spin off or IPO the Texas Genco?
David McClanahan - Vice Chairman, President, and COO
From a practical standpoint,
I think it would be - the earliest would be
probably November.
Analyst
Okay. And who are the bankers you
are primarily engaging with on the refinancing
discussions?
David McClanahan - Vice Chairman, President, and COO
Well, I - let me -
there's - we're dealing with a number of bankers.
J. P. Morgan and Citibank were our agents on our
bank facility refinancing, and they continue to be
advisors to us at this time as well as others.
Analyst
Okay. And lastly, maybe going back
to a different kind of question, can you give me
some sense of the sensitivity to your earnings as
it relates to the cost of refinancing? I know you
mentioned that it is included in your - in your
earnings guidance, but, you know, we're having a
little trouble maybe gauging what the sensitivity
is to earnings as regards the refinancing costs.
David McClanahan - Vice Chairman, President, and COO
You know, I guess the -
it's really hard to say. It's costing us today a
hundred basis points in additional cost, and it
really depends on what the market is later on this
year as to what the long-term - long-term costs
will be.
It will clearly be higher than what we paid the
first six months, and we're hopeful that these
markets will settle down and we'll have a
receptive market for our bonds.
Analyst
Will you also be able to - you
mentioned on the RRI call that some of the
covenants are, let's say, loose on the facility on
the RRI side. Is it the same on the REI side,
that you could simply tighten it up to satisfy
some of the bankers?
David McClanahan - Vice Chairman, President, and COO
Well, I guess, you know, all
the bankers will look at covenants. There's no
doubt about it. We don't have any real onerous
covenants in our bank lines, but I'm sure that
those will be part of the negotiations as we go
forward.
Analyst
Thank you.
Operator
At this time, there are no further
questions.
Steve Letbetter - Chairman, President, and CEO
Okay.
Mary Ann Paulsen - Director of Investor Relations
Thank you very much. We
appreciate your interest and would like to thank
you for participating today and have a great day.
Operator
This concludes today's conference. 01:18:19 You may now disconnect.