Comerica Inc (CMA) 2002 Q2 法說會逐字稿

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  • Operator

  • Good morning. I will be

  • your conference facilitator today. At this time,

  • I would like to welcome everyone to the Comerica

  • second quarter earnings call. All lines have been

  • placed on mute to prevent background noise. After the

  • speaker's remarks there will be a question and answer

  • period. Simply press * and then the number 1 on

  • your telephone keypad to ask a question. To withdraw,

  • press the pound. Our host is Beth Acton. You may

  • begin your conference.

  • Judy Love - Senior VP of Finance

  • Good morning and welcome to the second quarter

  • conference call. I'm Judy Love, senior vice president

  • of finance. I am here with Beth Acton, who

  • will review second quarter earnings for you. I would

  • like to mention in addition to our press release, we

  • have included slides at our website. The slides provide

  • information we will cover during the conference call.

  • For those who have access to the website, you may

  • want to reference the slides during review.

  • Before we get started, I would like to remind you

  • this conference call contains forward-looking statements.

  • You should be mindful of the risks and uncertainties

  • that can cause future results to vary from expectations.

  • I refer you to the safe harbor statement,

  • which is incorporated in other calls. I will turn

  • over to Beth.

  • Beth Acton

  • Good morning.

  • This morning we reported second quarter net income

  • of $184 million for $1.03 per share. We included

  • pre-tax charge or 20 cents per share in response to

  • U.S. bank directive regarding Argentina. Excluding

  • this charge, net income for the quarter was 220 million

  • or $1.23 per share, increase on per share

  • basis of 3% over last quarter. The charge for Argentine

  • exposure was announced in May, up to $63 million,

  • based on risk at that time. Due to reduction in exposure

  • since that time, the charge is less than the maximum

  • amount originally anticipated.

  • Earnings assets were up 2% relative to the first

  • quarter. The decline of 21 basis points in the net

  • interest margin to 4.56% f 4.77% resulted in reduction

  • in net income to $531 million. The march was driven

  • by three items: increase this fully secured low rate

  • loans to title and escrow companies. Lower contributions

  • from interest rate risk management hedging equated

  • 6 basis points. (inaudible) accrual loans equating

  • to 4 basis points. Due to the recent high level of

  • home refinancing activity, deposits from title and

  • escrow companies have increased, resulting in higher levels

  • of earnings credit. Consistent with industry practice,

  • when earnings credits cannot be utilized through customer

  • service expenses, loans are provided to companies at

  • low rates, fully secured by deposits.

  • Offsetting the impact of loans was reduction of $7

  • million in customer service fees in noninterest expenses.

  • We expect the volume of title and escrow loans to

  • remain high throughout the remainder of 2002.

  • Noninterest income rose to $222 million, up 7% from

  • last quarter and 5% over second quarter last year,

  • resulting primarily from strong commercial lending

  • fees. Market-related fees, combination of brokerage

  • fees were flat from last quarter and down $9 million

  • versus second quarter of 2001. Preliminary assets

  • under management and capital management totaled $31.5

  • billion, versus 33 billion at March 31 and 36.8 billion

  • at June 30, 2001. Bank own life insurance income

  • reflects $9 million of death benefits in the quarter.

  • Securities losses of 9 million included the write-off

  • of the argentine securities. Increase in foreign

  • exchange fees of 4 million accounted for the largest

  • portion of the increase in other noninterest income

  • of 6 million.

  • Noninterest spences at $348 million were flat, compared

  • to first quarter and efficiency ratio continued to

  • improve to 46%. Average loan growth was modest from

  • the first to second quarter, about $800 million.

  • Increase in the California market reflects higher

  • loan to title and escrow companies. Growth in the

  • middle market, national dealer, small business and

  • private banking loans in the quarter were offset partially

  • by reduction in large corporate borrowing. Compared

  • with the second quarter of last year, small business

  • and private banking loans were up 14% and 12% respectively.

  • Large corporate loans declined 19% over the same

  • period.

  • Nonperforming assets were down slightly $8 million

  • from last quarter to $659 million or 1.60% of loans

  • and other real estate. Five credits over $10 million

  • were added in the quarter. The largest new mpa is

  • 16 million in the automotive industry. The concentration

  • of nonperforming assets is Michigan and national businesses

  • 46%; California, 29%, international 21% and Texas

  • 4%. Looking at industry concentrations of nonperforming

  • loans, entertainment represented 11%, automotive processors

  • 8% and technology 6%. During the quarter, 3 nonperforming

  • totals totaling 60 million were sold at a loss of

  • 2 million. In aggregate nonperforming loans have

  • been charged down to 75% of the original contractual

  • value.

  • Net charge-offs for the quarter were 59 million, similar

  • to last quarter and represented 57 basis points of

  • loans. 54% of the charge-offs were Michigan and

  • national businesses, 45% in California and 1% f

  • the international portfolio. In terms of line business,

  • large corporate loans accounted for 34% of charge-offs,

  • middle market 28% and technology and life science

  • represented 22%.

  • The reserve for loan office increased 74 million to

  • $744 million and now totals 1.81% of loans, up from

  • 1.64% in the first quarter. Excluding 45 million

  • additional provision for argentine loan, the loan loss

  • reserve increased 29 million, representing 1.70% of

  • loans. 83%, 617 million, of the reserve is allocated

  • and 17% is unallocated, compared to 86% allocated

  • and 46% unallocated in the first quarter. Nonperforming

  • assets decreased 8 million to 659 million, despite

  • increase of 23 million related to Argentina. Nonperforming

  • assets are 160 basis points below other real estate.

  • We expect nonperforming assets to be in the range

  • of 150 to 180 basis points for the remainder of the

  • year. Net charge-offs were 59 million or 57 basis

  • points, virtually unchanged from the first quarter.

  • Charge-offs are expected to be

  • at high end of 50 to 60 basis point range.

  • Given the provision related to Argentina, I thought

  • I would update the portfolio. Our total exposure

  • is 150 million, down 26 million since our May announcement

  • and 104 million from year-end. The exposure consists

  • of 90 million of loans, 60 million of securities and

  • 9 million of unfunded commitments. Our largest single

  • exposure is 18 million. During the second quarter,

  • three argentine loans were classified as nonperforming,

  • bringing total Argentina nonperforming loans to 24

  • million. These loans are in the process of being

  • restructured. We do not expect material losses at

  • this time. In addition, there are 4 million of Argentina

  • securities in nonperforming assets.

  • Given the recent questions about the effect of the

  • situation in Argentina on neighboring countries, I

  • thought I would update our strategy and present exposure

  • in Brazil. Our strategy is to focus on trade finance

  • and foreign direct investments of well rated U.S.

  • and international companies, which should perform relatively

  • well in an environment of currency evaluation. 74%

  • of exposure is trade related and 55% of our exposure

  • is the banks. Our exposure to Brazil was 675 million,

  • net of 76 million supported by entities outside of

  • the country. 521 million of loans, 103 million of

  • unfunded commitments and 51 million of securities.

  • Our largest single exposure is 40 million. The

  • average maturity of the portfolio is 1.5 years. We

  • are planning to reduce exposure over time. There

  • is only one loan in the amount of 5 million that is

  • non-performing.

  • Moving to the funding side of balance sheet, average

  • deposits were up 500 million or 1% f last quarter

  • and up 4% over last year's second quarter. The mix

  • of deposits change relative to first quarter, as growth

  • in title and escrow replaced 500 million of wholesale

  • out of market deposits. Small business deposits grew

  • 200 million from last quarter and technology was up

  • 100 million.

  • We used excess capital to purchase 1.4 million shares

  • during the second quarter, bringing total shares purchased

  • to 3 million. Remaining authority for stock buyback

  • is approximately 6 million shares. We continually

  • assess capital position with targeted tier one ratio

  • of 7%. At June 30, the preliminary tier 1 common

  • capital ratio was 7.5 percent, the same level as the

  • first quarter.

  • I would like to update our current economic outlook.

  • The recession watch index continues to indicate expansion

  • over the next 6 to 12 months. Average annual GEP

  • growth in calendar year 2002 is likely to be 3%.

  • This would enable the federal reserve to begin monitoring

  • before year end creating a rising interest rate environment

  • through 2003. The fed funds rate is likely to reach

  • 4% by year end 2003. We continue to project light

  • vehicle sales for automatic sector to be 16.5 million

  • units, a strong year. Michigan's economy, adjusted

  • for inflation, expanded 7.4% in the first half, compared

  • to 2001. Real expansion will range between 4 and

  • 5% for the year. Texas leading economic index points

  • to considerable acceleration over the balance of 2002

  • and throughout 2003, following the nine-month contraction

  • that happened from July of 2001 through March of

  • 2002. Northern California economy continues to struggle.

  • In southern California, however, employment is strong

  • and media home prices are soaring. The current recoveries

  • continue to be slower than expected economic recovery,

  • a continued decline in the stock market and its impact

  • on consumer confidence, international stability, as

  • in the middle East or Latin America. Based on

  • projected economic scenario, which assumes accelerating

  • loan growth and improved market returns in the second

  • half of the year and subject to the risks outlined,

  • we expect earnings to be in the range of 470 to 485,

  • including the 20 cent Argentina charge this quarter.

  • Before I open up to questions, I will like to comment

  • a subject in the news. That is stock option accounting.

  • We are undertaking review of stock option accounting

  • and will share our position with you in the future.

  • With that, I will open it up to questions.

  • Operator

  • At this time, I would like

  • to remind everyone in order to ask a question, press

  • * 1 on your telephone keypad. Your first question

  • comes from the line of John McDonald, UBS Warburg.

  • Analyst

  • Good morning, Beth. Couple

  • of quick questions. Terms of loan growth, floor plan

  • ending (inaudible), can you give us color on that?

  • Also, in terms of lease finance, seems like you had

  • sizable increase charge-off there, especially relative

  • to the size of the portfolio, could you comment on

  • how you are feeling about that portfolio?

  • Beth Acton

  • On the dealer's

  • side of things we continue to make good progress with

  • large dealers across the nation and I think it just

  • continues to be a lot of the efforts we have put in

  • to date. So, there is a lot of focus on it. It

  • is very good business. We continue to be successful

  • there.

  • In the leasing side, we are watching, obviously all

  • of our portfolios carefully. On the leasing side,

  • I would say we are making sure that we are keeping

  • things under control there and there will be, as you

  • saw - if you look over the last several quarters,

  • some quarters had higher levels than others regarding

  • leasing. I think there is nothing fundamently we

  • are overly concerned about. We are monitoring the

  • rest of the portfolios. I don't see big issues.

  • Judy Love - Senior VP of Finance

  • This is Judy.

  • John, the largest portion of the lease off - and

  • you saw it a while back, relates to the tax and life

  • science portfolio and so that is in cleaning out of

  • items that were in there. It is not a part of the

  • other normal leasing portfolio. So, it is centered

  • there.

  • Analyst

  • Okay. In terms of noninterest

  • income, you had a good increase in the bank on life

  • science. Can you give us color on that?

  • Beth Acton

  • There were frankly

  • unexpected death proceeds basically from executives

  • that have had coverage. So, it was what I would

  • characterize as unusual. As I mentioned in the comments

  • that I made, we view it as incremental 9 million that

  • resulted there

  • Analyst

  • Okay.

  • Operator

  • Our next question is from

  • the line of Jennifer Thompson, Putnam Lovell.

  • Analyst

  • Good morning. Question, given

  • your guidance that you're basically reconfirming what

  • is your assumption for market growth? We have seen

  • pressure in the markets and it has been pressuring

  • markets on revenues?

  • Beth Acton

  • From our vantage

  • point we would obviously have assumption around stabilization

  • where we are presently, not with any big assumption

  • about growth. It is also very dependent and more

  • so on loan growth and improvement in the economic overall

  • demand by our customers and loan growth. I think

  • our outlook for longer growth in the second half is

  • perhaps not as strong as we had expected earlier in

  • the year.

  • So, in that sense, I think we would be probably on

  • the low end of the range I gave you.

  • Analyst

  • In terms of loan growth you

  • mean?

  • Beth Acton

  • I think our

  • expectations for loan growth compared to a quarter

  • ago, are not as strong as we thought a few months ago.

  • Analyst

  • Middle market seems to be especially

  • stronger than expected this quarter. Can you give

  • color on where you are seeing that, if anywhere specifically?

  • Beth Acton

  • I think we continue

  • to find opportunities to pick up market share in this

  • environment. We are a lendor who are both positive

  • and sticking with our customers and continuing to pursue

  • business during these times. Also, if you look at

  • the middle market category, it includes the low rate

  • loans I mentioned earlier to title and escrow companies.

  • Those are housed in that number.

  • Analyst

  • Okay. Great. Thank you.

  • Operator

  • Our next question comes from

  • the line of Ross Demmerle, Hilliard Lyons.

  • Analyst

  • Good morning. The warning

  • in your press release regarding the charge-off for

  • Argentina or the incremental charge from really -

  • suggests that the bank regulators pushed you into that.

  • I am wondering if they hadn't done that whether or

  • not that charge may have been higher or lower? I

  • guess they are traditionally more conservative. I

  • might take the assumption is there could be recoveries

  • coming from that going forward. Secondly, I am wondering

  • if the regulators have had a chance to take a look

  • at your Brazilian exposure and whether or not there

  • could be a charge coming down the road from that based

  • on U.S. regulators taking a closer look at that?

  • Beth Acton

  • First, related

  • to Argentina, what we have said is that we reported

  • the charge in response to a U.S. bank regulatory

  • directive. We have not indicated anything further

  • than that. I think in terms - think about Argentina,

  • we did put - we have 28 million in nonperforming assets,

  • up from 5 million in the first quarter. We are in

  • the process of working with those companies and getting

  • them restructured. We don't have expectations of

  • any material loss at this time.

  • In terms of the Brazil situation, I - the Federal

  • regulators review is not something we comment on

  • publicly. I mentioned to the group, we are monitoring

  • that exposure closely. A lot of the exposure is trade

  • related, about three quarters of it. About 55% is

  • to banks. It has a short average life of one and

  • a half years. We feel comfortable we can monitor

  • it closely and continue to work it down over time.

  • Analyst

  • Okay. Thanks.

  • Operator

  • Our next question comes from

  • the line of Jeff Davis, Midwest Research.

  • Analyst

  • Good morning. Beth, I am

  • sorry, I didn't get the details. With regards to

  • clarification, on the guidance 470 to 485, what is

  • the loan growth assumption for the second half of the

  • year? Secondly, the margin assumption?

  • Beth Acton

  • Couple of comments.

  • On the loan growth, we do have expectation we will

  • see more growth than we have seen in the second quarter.

  • It is very difficult to predict what that is going

  • to be because of the economic recovery and how it's

  • impacting the business. We do have expectation inherent

  • in the guidance that there will be growth. It is

  • hard for me to tell you broadly. It is certainly

  • more than we saw in the second quarter. I think we

  • feel pretty good there is in the pipeline, there is

  • loan demand that will be coming on in the third quarter

  • and into the fourth. It will not be - I think our

  • expectation will not be as much as we thought perhaps

  • a quarter ago.

  • In terms of margin, if you look at the margin in the

  • second quarter, while it was down 21 basis points from

  • the first quarter, if you look at the second quarter

  • in the context of really the last 2 and a half years,

  • it looks pretty consistent with the kind of 450 to

  • 460 kind of interest margins, net interest margin.

  • The rate of 477 in the first quarter was higher than

  • that and looks more of a positive,.

  • Analyst

  • Right. I have a 13 delta

  • on the hedging impact. Is there anything in particular

  • going on in the swap book that caused that to shift?

  • I know we moved up a fair bit last quarter or 1Q

  • versus 4Q. Was there movement in the swap book?

  • Beth Acton

  • The effect related

  • to the swap book on the margin was 6 basis points.

  • Analyst

  • Okay. And then last question,

  • any preliminary results from the - that you could

  • share with us, reflected in the asset quality numbers

  • from the exam?

  • Beth Acton

  • We are presently

  • awaiting those results. I can't comment.

  • Analyst

  • Okay. Thank you.

  • Operator

  • Our next question is from

  • the line of Fred Cummings, McDonald Investments.

  • Analyst

  • Good morning Beth and Judged.

  • It is surprising that in light of your forecast for

  • stable nonperforming assets and relatively stable charge-offs,

  • you all continue to build the loan loss reserve

  • even ex the Argentina increase. What is the rational

  • behind that?

  • Beth Acton

  • I think if you

  • step back from it and look at how the year has developed

  • and where we stand in the year, I would say we did

  • see progress obviously in the second quarter in terms

  • of MPAs. They are down, especially excluding Argentina,

  • they are down from a domestic standpoint, further

  • than that. Having said that, though, there is a lot

  • of uncertainty still in the market and we chose, as

  • we have with our capital position, to err on the side

  • of being conservative. We talked about the capital

  • side, we targeted lower tier 1 ratios than we are maintaining.

  • We think it is a positive to be a little more

  • conservative. We had the opportunity because of the

  • uncertainty around how progress was going and perhaps

  • not at the pace we would like to see, to err on the

  • side of conservatism and put additional provision.

  • Analyst

  • Okay. All right. And secondly,

  • with respect to the deposit growth slide, I am looking

  • at the Other category, it seems to be primarily the

  • retail piece of business. I don't know if you can

  • give us some sense for how you are doing with respect

  • to transaction account growth within the retail segment,

  • although small business might be included in retail

  • deposits. Can you give us some sense for what is

  • going on? What transaction account growth on the

  • retail side would demand interest bearing checking

  • now?

  • Beth Acton

  • I will make

  • two comments. I agree with your comment on small

  • business. It is an integral part of our strategy

  • on that front. On the retail side of the business,

  • I would say we are growing at low single digits.

  • Analyst

  • Okay. With the low single

  • digits linked, Beth or year over year?

  • Beth Acton

  • Year over year.

  • Analyst

  • Okay. Thank you.

  • Operator

  • Once again, I would like

  • to remind everyone in order to ask a question, please

  • press * 1 on your keypad. Your next question is

  • from the line of Roger Lister, Morgan Stanley Dean

  • Witter.

  • Analyst

  • Take a look at trends on nonperformance.

  • Can you give us a (inaudible) in terms of

  • what is going out and what is coming in and how you

  • are doing in terms of sort of the recovery levels and

  • what is going on with commercial real estate values?

  • Beth Acton

  • Let me take

  • the commercial real estate values to start with. Let

  • me comment on that because we have important position

  • in the commercial real estate area. We are obviously

  • keeping a close eye on the market. About close to

  • half of our total commercial mortgage and construction

  • portfolio is owner-occupied. It is very granular

  • portfolio, 81% have balances less than a million.

  • That is on the commercial mortgages and on the construction

  • portfolio. 42% have balances less than a million.

  • There is a lot of granularity. We do very little

  • spec lending and stay within Michigan, Texas and

  • California footprint.

  • If you look at the data on nonperforming on the commercial

  • real estate sector, as well as charge-offs, it has

  • been a positive story. If you look at nonperformers

  • over the last quarter to quarter and year over year,

  • they are essentially unchanged. And in terms

  • of charge-offs, there haven't been any. I think that

  • is a positive. Of the 50% of the construction loans

  • are residential related. There is not a concern about

  • issues related to office buildings and things going

  • on. I am sorry, the first part of the question was

  • -

  • Analyst

  • Sort of the issue that flows

  • through the MPLs, why you are getting new nonperformers,

  • you are working the ones out. That is perhaps another

  • way of asking the question of how the economy is going?

  • You are accumulating problems or are you able to

  • work out problems in general in terms of middle-market

  • size?

  • Beth Acton

  • We are seeing

  • signs of stabilization in credit quality, including

  • better credit migration trends. Obviously it is lower

  • MPAs. If you look at sheer numbers, we are seeing

  • it flat and coming down.

  • Analyst

  • And maybe I can - the slight

  • fall-off on this. When you look at nonperformers

  • to what extent you look at the financial health of

  • the borrower and how do you think about - do you have

  • a sense of the proportion of your nonperformers that

  • are still current and paying as agreed, versus those

  • who are not paying and the extent of the companies

  • still paying, but you are worried about their financial

  • health, you put them on nonaccrual?

  • Beth Acton

  • Yeah, I would

  • say a portion of nonperformers are currently paying

  • a small portion.

  • Analyst

  • So most of them are actually

  • nonpaying, is the answer?

  • Beth Acton

  • That is correct.

  • Analyst

  • Thank you.

  • Operator

  • Our next question comes from

  • the line of Henry Dickson, Lehman Brothers.

  • Analyst

  • Good morning, Beth. Couple

  • of follows. One is the (inaudible) program progressing?

  • Two, in the margin, it appears loan spreads narrowed

  • and I would like you to comment on that. And on the shared

  • national credit exam, most companies have been commenting

  • on at least how their end of it has been going. Generally

  • it has been with no surprise. So, just how you have

  • been affected would be of interest?

  • Beth Acton

  • Okay. The

  • first one on activity, we are making good progress

  • in putting in the - what I will call the infrastructure

  • to maximize the potential from Con activity. That

  • includes information systems to training to knowledge

  • about products to incentives and how people are incented

  • to work on things outside their areas to bring the

  • total relationship and value to the customer. So,

  • I think we are making good progress

  • on Connectivity. There is a lot of enthusiasm about

  • it here.

  • In terms of margin, I think there are a lot of different

  • factors that go into analyzing the margin. It is

  • very difficult to characterize all the different pieces.

  • I guess I would put it in the context I mentioned

  • earlier, the margin we have in the second quarter is

  • probably pretty representative of more normalized,

  • if you will, kinds of margins. I think it will be

  • impacted in the second half because we do have expectations,

  • one of loan growth and two of continuing high levels

  • of loans to low - low-rate loans to title and escrow

  • companies.

  • The last is on our side of the shared national credit

  • review was fine. Can't comment on obviously the balance

  • of it. It went fine. The review, we don't have

  • concerns.

  • Analyst

  • Okay. Just when do you think

  • we will start to see - or talking about the impact

  • of Connectivity in terms of results?

  • Beth Acton

  • I think we should

  • begin to talk about that next year. We will have,

  • as I said, the systems in place, the training, and

  • the incentive plans aligned with those. I think next

  • year.

  • Analyst

  • Thanks a lot.

  • Operator

  • Our next question comes from

  • the line of Jim Aga, Millennium Partners.

  • Analyst

  • Actually this can (inaudible).

  • Two questions for you. Can you briefly discuss

  • how comfortable you are with the current reserve levels

  • mandated by ikirk? I guess at the end of the first

  • quarter, you had 5 million in MPAs and you did not

  • expect that to get worse. Basically it is five times

  • larger, 25 million. What is to say you will not have

  • to take another 50 million dollar reserve as other

  • banks have recently had reserve down to zero?

  • Beth Acton

  • Couple of comments.

  • Related to Argentina, I think our expectation that

  • the nonperformers could rise further from here, perhaps

  • up to 40 or 50 million in total. If you put it in

  • context, if the balance of our Argentina exposure

  • became MPA, nonperforming asset, so the total amount

  • would be nonperforming. We would be adding the difference

  • between the 115 and 28, so 87 million to nonperforming,

  • for this example. If you add that to the current

  • nonperformers, we get to about 746 million dollar MPA.

  • That is about the same as our reserve, 744 million.

  • It would be up, even in the extreme, which we don't

  • think is our expectation. We would be 100% covered

  • by reserve. I think we feel overall, especially given

  • the addition to reserves in the second quarter, that

  • we feel comfortable.

  • We also have comfort, we believe we can work through

  • a lot of the issues we have in Argentina without suffering

  • a material loss. There will be a time value, but

  • in terms of ultimate loss, we think we are not as pessimistic

  • as it may sound.

  • Analyst

  • Does that put a floor on reserve

  • for MPAs? I mean, could they go under 1%?

  • Beth Acton

  • I think they

  • could. There are a lot of different factors that

  • would have to come together with the economic climate

  • and where we are in the cycle. There are a lot of

  • different cycles. Never say never.

  • Analyst

  • Okay. Secondly, if you had

  • to handicap current loan growth outlook, it has tempered

  • twice in the last two quarters. Can you give us color

  • as to why the outlook changed slightly?

  • Beth Acton

  • From a few months

  • ago to now? It is just the development of - I

  • think it is two things. One is that the business

  • recovery, while the GDP, the actual investment by

  • businesses has been slow to come back. I think it

  • will be. The second is there is a new element related

  • to the stock market, which has an impact on consumer

  • confidence and their spending habits and also in business

  • people's feeling, frankly, there is emotionalism around

  • capital investment. Both of those factors, not seeing

  • it materialize as much, and this extra, if you will,

  • overlay from the equity market effect is tempering

  • us a bit, to be cautiously optimistic, but cautious.

  • Analyst

  • Okay. Thank you.

  • Operator

  • Our next comes from the line

  • of Denis Laplante, Fox-Pitt Kelton.

  • Analyst

  • Good morning. On the Argentina

  • exposure, could you help us differentiate between the

  • performers that are nonperforming and not. Specifically,

  • are they getting multinational support and that is

  • what is being restructured?

  • Beth Acton

  • Uh, I would

  • say generally the ones that are nonperforming have

  • some multi-national support. I think if you look

  • at our portfolio in general in Argentina, about over

  • 80% of our exposure of the company that we do business

  • with have some foreign percentage of ownership. In

  • fact, about 50% of that exposure has foreign ownership

  • that extends beyond 50%. I think we have seen in

  • the pay down you saw from year-end, to the first quarter

  • to where we are now, we have seen evidence of multinational

  • parent stepping up and helping through the situation

  • and repaying and allowing exposures to come down.

  • So, we are seeing people come to the party.

  • Analyst

  • Of remaining 90 million in

  • loans, how much is to financial institutions down in

  • Argentina?

  • Beth Acton

  • A fair amount

  • of it.

  • Analyst

  • Over 50%?

  • Beth Acton

  • It is about.

  • It is about.

  • Analyst

  • About half of that?

  • 80, about half.

  • Analyst

  • Those financial institutions

  • basically I assume are indigenous nonforeign institutions

  • or including institutions that are multinational owned,

  • as well?

  • Beth Acton

  • If you actually

  • look at the banking situation in Argentina, many of

  • the banks that we do business with, almost all of them,

  • have some form of foreign ownership. It is a different

  • situation than Brazil, in the sense Brazil has a

  • strong indigenous strong baking system relative to

  • Argentina. In all of them, there is some form of

  • ownership outside the country.

  • Analyst

  • I assume, if we are grading

  • this, looking at the exposures, I assume that exposures

  • to financial institutions with foreign ownership with

  • strong parents is roughly half. That would be the

  • stuff you do not expect to go MPA. The remaining

  • could go and might get restructured and is part of

  • the reason? Is that fair in breaking this down?

  • Beth Acton

  • I think that

  • is fair. I think I mentioned earlier that we do

  • see a risk that MPAs could be higher, up to 50 million

  • dollar level. What the losses are is not clear at

  • this point. As I mentioned earlier, we are hopeful

  • through restructuring and other actions, that we will

  • not see material losses on the portfolio.

  • Analyst

  • On the nonperformers, are you still

  • getting payments on any of them?

  • Beth Acton

  • Yes.

  • Analyst

  • And that is being applied to

  • the principle?

  • Beth Acton

  • Correct.

  • Analyst

  • Good. Small technicalities

  • and you may have talked about this. On the tax rate,

  • it looked lower. Did you talk about that? Could

  • you explain it?

  • Beth Acton

  • I didn't talk

  • about it. It relates to the - we talked about incremental

  • 9 million of bank owned life insurance. That is

  • what is driving the tax rate lower. It is tax-free

  • proceeds.

  • Analyst

  • All tax-free proceeds. That

  • rate will go back up where it was?

  • Beth Acton

  • Correct.

  • Analyst

  • And related to the loan growth

  • discussions, having been in recently and talking to

  • Joe Buttigieg, talk being a pipeline, that was a

  • quarter ago. I am assuming the discussion about pipeline

  • you are talking about, you are looking for second half

  • growth in the core business. That part has not changed?

  • Beth Acton

  • That has not

  • changed. We have expectation of growth in the second

  • half in the core business.

  • Analyst

  • Thank you.

  • Operator

  • Once again, I would like

  • to remind everyone to ask a question please press *

  • 1 on your telephone keypad. The next question is

  • from the line of Ken Puglisi, Sandler O'Neill and

  • Partners.

  • Analyst

  • Could you comment on the outlook

  • for possible additional impairment charge on deferred

  • distribution cost? I was also wondering and may

  • have missed this, was there a gain or loss on the sale

  • of Opay and if so, how much was that?

  • Beth Acton

  • We have not

  • closed that. That will be third-quarter transaction.

  • There will be 11 million dollar estimated gain on

  • that.

  • Analyst

  • Thanks. And -

  • Beth Acton

  • I am sorry.

  • Thank you. Sorry. If the net asset value related

  • to the shares deteriorates more than 13% from the

  • second quarter, then impairment would be 3 and a half

  • million dollars. For every 5 percentage point decline

  • from there, potential increment of 1.4 million dollars.

  • Obviously the market has gone down a fair amount

  • since June 30. We are not anywhere close at this

  • point in triggering an impairment.

  • Analyst

  • Thank you very much.

  • Operator

  • Our next question comes from

  • the line of Michael Granger, KBW.

  • Analyst

  • Good morning. Couple of questions.

  • Could you talk about the balances on in terms of

  • averages for second quarter versus first quarter on the

  • title and escrow loans, as well as deposits? And

  • second question is when you talk about the hedging

  • coming down, is that the same as the wind down in the

  • average balance sheet that says business loans income?

  • If it is, and even if it isn't, why did the hedging

  • go down from quarter to quarter?

  • Beth Acton

  • The - yes,

  • a lot of the hedging related impacts are in that one

  • line item. There are also other hedges that we do

  • related to deposits and debt issuance that are all

  • been through it elsewhere in the income statement.

  • So, that is one comment I would make. That is

  • not the only place you will find it. Just, depending

  • on the swaps that are coming on and coming off during

  • the quarter, there can be timing, calendarization issues

  • and I think that is what we are talking about in the

  • [S-BGTD] quarter.

  • Analyst

  • Okay. I guess I am not clear

  • on that.

  • Beth Acton

  • Depending on

  • if you compare second quarter with first quarter and

  • look at hedges rolling off. There is hedge income

  • related to it and hedging being put on because of the

  • balance sheet in the next 12 months, what that pace

  • was in the second quarter was different from the pace

  • in the first quarter. Mean, there were more hedges

  • that rolled off in the second quarter, relative to

  • the first quarter.

  • the hedge income was less.

  • Analyst

  • Okay. The balances on the

  • title escrow?

  • Beth Acton

  • You asked for

  • both loans and deposits if you look at the quarter.

  • In the - this is loans for the title and escrow

  • business. There were about half billion dollars of

  • loans. These are average loans.

  • Analyst

  • Which quarter?

  • Beth Acton

  • First quarter.

  • More like a billion 1 in the second quarter. Up

  • 600 million on average. These are average numbers.

  • On the deposit side, in the first quarter from title

  • escrow - this is all deposits 5.1 billion in the first

  • quarter and 5.6 billion in the second.

  • Analyst

  • Okay. Can you just give us

  • a sense of the average yield on the loans?

  • Beth Acton

  • That can vary

  • by customer. I will leave it they are low rates.

  • Analyst

  • Okay. Thank you.

  • Operator

  • Your final question comes

  • from the line of Denis Laplante, Fox-Pitt Kelton.

  • Analyst

  • Yes. One follow-up, related

  • to other income. That number was up, was there nonrecurring?

  • Beth Acton

  • In the other

  • noninterest? Other noninterest income, no.

  • Analyst

  • Went from 46 to 54?

  • Beth Acton

  • Right. A big

  • portion is foreign related. Not trading but customer-

  • initiatated business. We earn margin on that business.

  • It is not us taking position and trading it. It

  • is driven by efforts by foreign exchange activity working

  • with the lending officers to do - it is connectivity

  • to do more business with customers in foreign exchange.

  • Analyst

  • Thank you.

  • Operator

  • This concludes the question-

  • and-answer session. I would like to turn back over

  • to Ms. Beth Acton.

  • Beth Acton

  • I want to thank

  • you all for listening today and for all your questions

  • and look forward to meeting those I haven't met yet.

  • Thank you very much.

  • Operator

  • Thank you for participating 00:59:07 in today's conference call. You may now disconnect.