Caleres Inc (CAL) 2018 Q1 法說會逐字稿

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  • Operator

  • Good afternoon, my name is Erica, and I will be your conference operator today.

  • At this time, I would like to welcome everyone to the First Quarter 2018 Earnings Conference Call.

  • (Operator Instructions)

  • Ms. Peggy Reilly Tharp, you may begin your conference.

  • Peggy Reilly Tharp - VP of IR

  • Thank you.

  • Good afternoon.

  • I'm Peggy Reilly Tharp, Vice President of Investor Relations for Caleres, and I'd like to thank you for joining our First Quarter 2018 Earnings call and Webcast.

  • A press release with detailed financial tables and slides are both available at caleres.com.

  • Please be aware, today's discussion contains forward-looking statements, which are subject to a number of risks and uncertainties.

  • Actual results may differ materially due to various risk factors, including but not limited to, the factors disclosed in the company's Form 10-K and other filings with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.

  • Please refer to today's press release or our SEC filings for more information on risk factors and other factors, which could impact forward-looking statements.

  • Copies of these reports are available online.

  • The company undertakes no obligation to update any information discussed in this call at any time.

  • Joining the call today are: Diane Sullivan, CEO, President and Chairman; Ken Hannah, Chief Financial Officer; and Rick Ausick, President, Famous Footwear.

  • Now I would like to turn the call over to Diane Sullivan.

  • Diane M. Sullivan - Chairman of the Board, CEO & President

  • Good afternoon, everyone, and thank you for joining us today to talk about our first quarter as we delivered adjusted earnings per share of $0.43, up 7.5% on a consolidated sales that were essentially flat.

  • At Famous, like most in the retail space, we battled unseasonably cold weather early in the quarter.

  • But as expected, spring arrives and so does the customer.

  • Here are a few stats to give you an idea of the magnitude of the positive shift we've seen since the warm weather has broken.

  • For February, comps were down 4%.

  • Then the trend improved slightly in March to flat, and for April, comps were up 1.1% in total with the last 2 weeks of the month up more than 13%.

  • Additionally, as you know, nearly 50% of our sales at Famous are in the Northeast and North-Central portions of the country.

  • The good news is this positive momentum continued across the country into our second quarter with year-to-date comp sales up 1% through yesterday.

  • This is just another great example of how the consumer shops on their calendar, not on a retail or earnings calendar, which is why we felt it was very important in the quarter to maintain a consistent promotional calendar.

  • We are pleased to how quickly the environment improved and our expectations for 2018 remain very much on track.

  • For the Brand Portfolio, sales were up 1.4% in the first quarter.

  • And the strong shipments we saw at the end of the fourth quarter are selling through at rates outpacing the market.

  • In fact, we posted significant market share gains in the first quarter.

  • We expect these terrific trends to result in replenishment orders in the second quarter, and we plan on leveraging our sourcing capabilities and existing speed-to-market programs to meet this demand.

  • For both the Brand Portfolio and for Famous Footwear, we have continued to see that shift to digital that's really driving demand.

  • For the Brand Portfolio, e-commerce-related sales were up 12%, with drop ship up 50% year-over-year.

  • At Famous, e-commerce-related sales represented 10% of total Famous sales.

  • We continue to capitalize on this shift to digital demand, and that's why our speed-to-consumer initiative is so important.

  • E-commerce is growing even faster than we expected.

  • And as we mentioned on last quarter's call, our strategic shift to in-house fulfillment for our Brand Portfolio will enable us to more efficiently process smaller order quantities on a more frequent basis.

  • In addition to this effort, we continue to prioritize other opportunities to advance e-commerce-related sales such as our new content management system, which we also discussed earlier this year with you.

  • As you can imagine, the flexibility it provides has empowered the team to create more digital experiences.

  • While we're still early in the process, the team has already launched a gender-focused sneaker shop versus one generic shop.

  • We've added brand landing pages for some of our midsized brands.

  • We've delivered 112% more content pages in the first quarter of this year.

  • And the new content pages are now converting at a rate 36% higher than last year.

  • And of course, this is all designed to create better consumer engagement and ultimately drive increased sales through improved connectivity with our consumer.

  • Finally, I'd like to talk a little bit about the continued diversification of our portfolio of brands.

  • Allen Edmonds had just a terrific first quarter.

  • The consumer-facing team is now based in St.

  • Louis, and our rebranding is set to launch in the third quarter.

  • That said, we always get asked a lot about what's next.

  • While we would be very excited to expand our overall business with the right brand and we're looking for partners that give us consumer exposure beyond our current portfolio, we have the culture and the infrastructure brands are looking for in order to achieve their long-term growth potential, and there are many opportunities out there to partner with and support these growing brands.

  • More to follow on that topic in the coming months.

  • But before I pass it over to Ken to give you an update on the financials, I'd like to take just a moment to thank the one and only Rick Ausick for his 20 years of service here at Caleres.

  • He joined us as Famous' Senior Vice President and Chief Merchandising Officer in 2002 and has been President to Famous since 2010.

  • In all seriousness, his leadership has been critical, not only to the outstanding performance at Famous Footwear but really has helped transform Caleres as well.

  • His reputation, credibility and character have helped to cement Famous Footwear as an outstanding partner for the brands we work with and the terrific, and capable team he had built will just be -- it'll just be one of the -- of his lasting legacies.

  • Now I know you've all heard Rick refer to his superior merchandising skills from time to time or quarter-to-quarter, and that's certainly true, and we will miss that.

  • But I know we are going to be in great hands with Molly Adams who joined us on Tuesday.

  • Molly spent the past decade at The Walt Disney Company where she was Executive Vice President of Global Merchandising and Product Development and is really an expert on the consumer.

  • We're excited to have her as part of the team, especially as we face continually changing and evolving consumer shopping patterns.

  • Molly's focus on the consumer experience, her energy and her curiosity will bring a fresh perspective as we continue to focus on consumer engagement, store productivity and omnichannel initiatives.

  • Molly will be with us next week at market New York, and we're looking forward to introducing her to everyone.

  • And as I turn the call over to Ken, I'd like to remind you that we are maintaining our guidance for the fiscal year and remain on track for 2018.

  • Ken?

  • Kenneth H. Hannah - Senior VP & CFO

  • Thank you, Diane, and good afternoon, everyone.

  • In the first quarter, we reported earnings per diluted share of $0.40.

  • Excluding $0.03 of previously announced Allen Edmonds integration charges related to the transition of the brand's consumer-facing activities to St.

  • Louis, adjusted earnings per share was $0.43 and up 7.5% over the first quarter of 2017.

  • Consolidated sales for the first quarter of $632.1 million were essentially flat versus last year.

  • At Famous Footwear, first quarter sales of $363.4 million were down 0.8% compared to last year's first quarter, as we operated 39 fewer doors year-over-year.

  • Same-store sales were also down 0.8%, driven by unseasonable weather across the majority of the U.S. and as you know, 2/3 of our sales at Famous Footwear are in what we consider to be cold or moderate climates.

  • However, trends improved across all of our climate zones as the quarter progressed.

  • By the end of April, only our cold climate zone was still down slightly, a trend which has been reversed as weather improved significantly in May.

  • We're pleased with the acceleration of Famous Footwear so far this quarter, and we remain on track year-to-date to reach the 2018 goals we laid out at the beginning of the year.

  • For our Brand Portfolio, first quarter sales of $268.7 million were up 1.4% versus the prior year.

  • And as Diane mentioned, we're building on great sell-through rates and market share gains.

  • Let's turn to gross profit, which came in at $274.9 million in the first quarter, up 1.5%.

  • Gross margin of 43.5% improved 59 basis points over the first quarter of 2017 on a reported basis.

  • As a reminder, first quarter 2017 gross profit included $3 million of Allen Edmonds inventory adjustment amortization costs.

  • Excluding that amount, first quarter 2018 gross margin increased 11 basis points year-over-year.

  • And at Famous Footwear, gross margin was down 30 basis points in the first quarter, driven in part by growth in our e-commerce-related sales and associated increases in shipping expenses.

  • For the first quarter, 10% of Famous Footwear sales were e-commerce-related.

  • For Brand Portfolio, first quarter gross margin was up 188 basis points as reported and up 74 basis points adjusted for last year's Allen Edmonds inventory amortization.

  • Our SG&A expense for the first quarter of 2018 was up 1.5% year-over-year.

  • As expected, SG&A expense included $2.2 million in duplicative distribution center costs in the quarter as we began the transition to our in-house fulfillment for our Brand Portfolio in an effort to meet rapidly increasing digital demand and consumer expectations.

  • We expect to see a similar amount in the second quarter, and this is included in our 2018 guidance.

  • Our depreciation and amortization of $14.8 million was down 6.1% from the first quarter versus the same period a year ago.

  • Operating earnings were $22.9 million in the first quarter on a reported basis and $24.7 million adjusted.

  • We delivered operating margin of 3.6% on a reported basis and 3.9% adjusted.

  • As a reminder, a new accounting standard required a reclassification of $2.4 million of retirement plan income from first quarter 2017 SG&A expense to other income.

  • There's no impact to the first quarter 2017 net earnings or earnings per share due to the adoption of this standard.

  • Our net interest expense for the first quarter was $3.7 million, down more than 20% versus the first quarter of last year.

  • As a reminder, we were borrowed against our revolving credit facility for most of 2017 to finance our December 2016 acquisition of Allen Edmonds.

  • Our tax rate for the first quarter was 23.1% on a GAAP basis and 23.4% on an adjusted basis.

  • Capital expenditures were $9.4 million for the first quarter, down 24.3% year-over-year, reflecting a reduction in the number of new doors.

  • Now turning to our balance sheet.

  • We ended the first quarter with cash and equivalents of $96.5 million, up nearly $25 million versus last year.

  • As you recall, in the fourth quarter of last year, we paid down the remaining borrowings against our revolving credit facility, which had been used to finance the December 2016 acquisition of Allen Edmonds.

  • Our consolidated inventory position at quarter-end was $579.9 million.

  • Our Brand Portfolio overall inventory was down 5% year-over-year.

  • At Famous Footwear, inventory was up 6.8%.

  • However, on a 52-week basis, inventory was up less than $1 million.

  • We ended the first quarter with 1,013 Famous Footwear doors, and as previously mentioned, we operated 39 fewer doors versus the first quarter of last year.

  • For our Brand Portfolio, we opened 4 new doors in the quarter and closed 5, leaving us with 235 doors at quarter-end.

  • Before we begin questions and answering, I'd like to remind you that we are maintaining our fiscal 2018 guidance, which calls for adjusted earnings per diluted share to be up 11% to 16% over 2017, including an expected benefit of approximately $0.13 per share due to our lower effective tax rate and excluding approximately $0.07 to $0.08 of total Allen Edmonds transition cost, as previously announced.

  • Our guidance, as usual, includes a number of store openings and closings, and these details can be found on the earnings slides available at caleres.com.

  • As a reminder, 2017 included a 53rd week, which increased Brand Portfolio sales by $3.7 million and Famous Footwear sales by $19.7 million but have an immaterial impact on our 2017 earnings.

  • In addition, due to the related calendar shift, week 27 will move from the third quarter of last year to become week 26 in the second quarter of this year.

  • As a result, we expect our second quarter sales to be up mid-single digits, while the third quarter will be down mid-single digits.

  • We will also see 1 week of back-to-school shift into the second quarter from the third quarter versus the prior year, and you will see related impact to the gross margin on a year-over-year basis.

  • And with that, I'd like to turn the call back over to the operator for Q&A.

  • Operator

  • (Operator Instructions) Your first question comes from Laurent Vasilescu with Macquarie.

  • Laurent Andre Vasilescu - Consumer Analyst

  • And thank you, Rick, for your time over the years.

  • I think it was called out that the comps year-to-date is up 1%.

  • Just curious, does that imply comps are up mid-single digits for May?

  • Kenneth H. Hannah - Senior VP & CFO

  • That would be what it would imply.

  • Diane M. Sullivan - Chairman of the Board, CEO & President

  • Yes.

  • Laurent Andre Vasilescu - Consumer Analyst

  • Okay.

  • That's good to hear.

  • And I think, I believe last year's first quarter had some pretty significant swings in the comp by quarter.

  • Can you remind us what those were between the months?

  • Diane M. Sullivan - Chairman of the Board, CEO & President

  • Yes.

  • Kenneth H. Hannah - Senior VP & CFO

  • Asking about last year...

  • Diane M. Sullivan - Chairman of the Board, CEO & President

  • Last year, all in, in the quarter, I know it was down 0.6%.

  • And the swings, we are looking at around...

  • Laurent Andre Vasilescu - Consumer Analyst

  • Yes, I think it was like down high singles in the first month of the quarter, then up.

  • So you had really tough compares for the last month of the quarter.

  • Diane M. Sullivan - Chairman of the Board, CEO & President

  • So actually, Laurent, we were down a little more than 7% in February of '17.

  • For March, we were down about 2%.

  • And for April, we were actually up 6.5%.

  • Laurent Andre Vasilescu - Consumer Analyst

  • Okay, tough compares.

  • Okay, great.

  • I didn't hear any comments about trends within Famous Footwear in terms of athletic or sandals.

  • Any comments on that for the first quarter?

  • Diane M. Sullivan - Chairman of the Board, CEO & President

  • Yes.

  • Go ahead, Rick.

  • It's your last call.

  • Peggy Reilly Tharp - VP of IR

  • He's really anxious to answer the questions today.

  • Richard Ausick

  • Not particularly.

  • Diane M. Sullivan - Chairman of the Board, CEO & President

  • Go ahead.

  • Richard Ausick

  • Obviously, the biggest impact was the lack of selling in sandals in this -- in the first quarter.

  • But obviously, we're weather-related impacted by that.

  • It also affects some of our athletic business in the sense that most of those shoes are mesh-based.

  • And when the weather gets bad, cold, snowy, whatever, that's not a category that people flock to.

  • So for that past and then the last, actually 5 weeks, 6 weeks, if we look into the last 2 weeks of April, I think Diane mentioned that as well, those categories came back to where we had expected them to be and are trending in the approximate range that we had hoped for, for the season.

  • So it's really just been a tale of when the customer was ready to buy, we had the products.

  • We didn't go out of our comfort zone on promotional activities because we thought there was opportunity to sell the shoes at good margins when the weather broke, and they have.

  • And so I think that -- and it has, and the slow shoes have sold.

  • So and overall, it's not anything special than you would think if it's the sports sandal category is very strong, the footbed category is very strong and our athletic athleisure business and athletic, that lifestyle business and athletic is very strong, particularly on the women's side.

  • Laurent Andre Vasilescu - Consumer Analyst

  • Okay, very helpful.

  • And then my last question, I think, Diane, you mentioned in your prepared remarks M&A still is a top priority.

  • Can you remind us some of the metrics that you're looking for, whether that's the revenue size, margin profile, category?

  • And how much leverage would the company be willing to take on?

  • Diane M. Sullivan - Chairman of the Board, CEO & President

  • Right.

  • I think, well first of all, we are mostly interested in brands that we feel have strong consumer demand and have a real point of view in the marketplace.

  • So that would be #1.

  • In terms of size and scale, Laurent, it's an interesting one because we see a lot of opportunity in some of the smaller brands that might be even in the $30 million to $50 million range, not unlike how we first found Sam Edelman and then grew that business because they have the infrastructure.

  • So we think there's a number of opportunities out there in the marketplace that we like with respect to that.

  • So they've got good economic model right now.

  • On our infrastructure, would even be more positive.

  • So we would obviously want it to be accretive to the total.

  • We would want it to make sure that we're diversifying into new categories and new consumer segments and really not overlap with where we currently are.

  • So that would be -- and anything and obviously, we don't want to throw any Hail Mary passes.

  • It's really about adding really smart, accretive brands that don't really stress our balance sheet in any significant way is really what we're after.

  • Operator

  • Your next question comes from Steve Marotta with CLK Associates (sic) [CL King & Associates].

  • Steven Louis Marotta - Senior VP of Equity Research & Senior Research Analyst

  • Rick, congratulations.

  • Molly, welcome aboard.

  • Diane M. Sullivan - Chairman of the Board, CEO & President

  • Thanks, Steve.

  • Steven Louis Marotta - Senior VP of Equity Research & Senior Research Analyst

  • Ken, you mentioned in your remarks regarding the second quarter being up mid-single digit and the third quarter being down mid-single digit from a sales standpoint.

  • Was -- is there anything else besides that shift in the week in the calendar that would be affecting that dynamic?

  • Kenneth H. Hannah - Senior VP & CFO

  • No.

  • In fact -- I mean, but for that shift out of Q3 into Q2, the only other thing that is happening in the second quarter like the first is we will continue to be ramping up our new distribution center, and so there will be another couple of million dollars of incremental distribution expense in the quarter.

  • Steven Louis Marotta - Senior VP of Equity Research & Senior Research Analyst

  • In the second quarter.

  • Kenneth H. Hannah - Senior VP & CFO

  • In the second quarter, yes.

  • Steven Louis Marotta - Senior VP of Equity Research & Senior Research Analyst

  • Okay.

  • Which actually was my next question is, will it be a similar EPS cadence for those quarters that we should be sensitive to?

  • And I guess, you're saying, add a little bit from a costing standpoint because of that DC in the second quarter?

  • Kenneth H. Hannah - Senior VP & CFO

  • Yes, and I think we had tried to communicate when we had laid out our guidance, which if you recall, was up 11% to 16%.

  • So roughly the midpoint around 13% that we thought that, that was going to play out relatively consistent throughout the year unlike some of the prior years when we were adding businesses.

  • The only difference was in the first half, we were going to have this incremental expense.

  • And so when we looked at kind of how the numbers had come through initially for whatever reason, the consensus was not taking into consideration the incremental expense.

  • And as a matter of fact, the consensus was actually higher than the midpoint of our range that we had provided.

  • Steven Louis Marotta - Senior VP of Equity Research & Senior Research Analyst

  • Okay.

  • The last question I had was just related to the competitive universe and door closures at the department store level and at lower levels than that.

  • Do you feel that you're taking share -- you mentioned you feel like you're taking share at the Branded Portfolio.

  • Do you feel the same with Famous?

  • Had there been any changes in the competitive set materially since we've last spoke either from a -- an inventory stuffing standpoint or somebody being overly promotional?

  • Is there any sort of irrationality in -- within the marketplace?

  • Diane M. Sullivan - Chairman of the Board, CEO & President

  • Here's what I would say to that, Steve.

  • It's really more -- Famous has been holding its own for a number of years and gaining share.

  • In the first quarter, I would say, you look at NPD, and we'd say we were basically flat in the quarter in terms of our share growth.

  • But it was really the momentum we saw in the first quarter this year was really around our -- on our Brand Portfolio side.

  • And the good news about that is not only was it and some of our biggest brands, like Naturalizer and Sam and LifeStride, Franco and Scholl's, really, all of them together, and even our Allen Edmonds business, was fantastic in the quarter.

  • If you look at any of those data points, and we were showing in many cases, high single and double-digit sell-through rates and nice movement in terms of our overall retail performance and sell-through relative to the total landscape.

  • So fortunately, I was able to really see through April for this call, and it's quite remarkable.

  • I think the teams are doing a fantastic job on making sure we continue to deliver great product for the consumers.

  • And it just happens to be working out on some of our biggest brands, too, which is great.

  • Operator

  • And your next question comes from Rick Patel with Needham & Company.

  • Rakesh Babarbhai Patel - Senior Analyst

  • I just had a question on Buy Online and Pickup In-Store.

  • So that's strategy that -- or an initiative that you launched in mid-June of last year, so you're about to lap it.

  • Can you update us on what you've learned from year 1 of having that in place?

  • And as we think about year 2, what's the strategy for recruiting even more customers to participate?

  • Do you offer incentives or store events?

  • Just curious how you continue to drive interest there.

  • Richard Ausick

  • Yes.

  • It's Rick Ausick.

  • The -- it's been well received by the consumer.

  • Obviously, it's -- we did very little at the beginning to promote it.

  • We just kind of started it up and had it as an option as you checked out, didn't really talk about it.

  • And I think, from early on the first day to today, it has been pretty consistent 15% to 20%, depending on the moment in time in the calendar.

  • Obviously, right around the big gift-giving times, holiday or something when they're not going to get delivered -- they're not -- can't make the delivery windows to get it to somebody's house, so they'll come to the store and pick it up, and then it ramps up substantially then.

  • It's done a couple of things.

  • It's helped mitigate some of our shipping expenses because by them having -- them coming to the store and picking it up, that eliminates us from having to ship a package to somebody.

  • That's been a great benefit.

  • We do get benefit at some degree for people coming in and buying other items when they come to the store.

  • So there's that piece of it.

  • And it also just allows, I think, us to have an interaction with the customer and provide a quick and easy method for them to get their product that we didn't have before.

  • And I think that becomes one of those things in their mind that says, if I need something fast, where do I want to go?

  • We're located all around the country.

  • We're convenient in routes in the neighborhoods and suburbs and things like that.

  • People pass us all the time, going to places that they need to go, whether it's a grocery store or soccer practice or whatever.

  • It's an easy thing to do.

  • So I think all of those things are -- have been very beneficial.

  • As far as what we will do, we now promote it pretty aggressively.

  • We let people know that we have it, not want to say promote, tell people that we have the -- they have the capability, and I think that's where we've been.

  • We have -- we incented for about a week early on.

  • Just wanted to see if we needed to -- what happen if we gave people incentive to come in and use it, but we found we didn't have to.

  • It hasn't been something that we've had to repeat.

  • So right now, it's more about making sure that the customer finds it easily in our website, has a great experience when they come in the store.

  • We're working on ways to make that more effective and efficient when they come in.

  • So they have a specific place to go, and the product is there ready for them to go.

  • But we've had very little problem with that.

  • So far, it's been pretty terrific because the stores have executed that very, very nicely.

  • Rakesh Babarbhai Patel - Senior Analyst

  • That's great to hear.

  • I also have a question on Allen Edmonds.

  • So I think you mentioned last year that it was running about $20 million a quarter for expenses.

  • As you invest more in customer acquisition and improving manufacturing, what's the right expense profile to think about for that brand?

  • And any updated thoughts on the margin profile or the potential accretion you can attain from that?

  • Richard Ausick

  • Yes.

  • I mean, as we continue to invest there, we're seeing that come through in the productivity, so in the factory.

  • So that expense number over the course of the year has not really changed all that much.

  • I mean, where we're getting the productivity, we're reinvesting back in the consumer-facing activities.

  • So not a lot of change there.

  • As Diane mentioned, they had a great first quarter.

  • Their anniversary sale was very successful, and we're seeing nice accretion from that brand and expect that, that will continue.

  • Diane M. Sullivan - Chairman of the Board, CEO & President

  • Really excited, Rick's continued to be about Allen Edmonds as part of this portfolio.

  • It really opened up a new revenue stream and a new consumer that we were after and really think it's only the beginning.

  • We have a terrific leader there, Malcolm Robinson, and a terrific team that are really working hard to continue to make that brand great and launching some really interesting things in the back half of the year with collaborations with some very, very interesting brands that are also associated with the whole Made in America idea.

  • So we're very encouraged about our progress there.

  • People are doing a great job.

  • Rakesh Babarbhai Patel - Senior Analyst

  • And just the last one on e-commerce, if I may.

  • Obviously, it continues to be very strong.

  • Is there any way to parse out the benefit that you realized from having a content management system in place versus what you would have expected otherwise?

  • I'm just trying to think about the benefit of having this system in place in future quarters.

  • Diane M. Sullivan - Chairman of the Board, CEO & President

  • Yes.

  • You know why -- it's early yet, which is why I tried to give that stat around the conversion rate so far.

  • I think as we begin to really work it, it's been in for really less than a quarter.

  • And as our teams get more capable of telling stories and really addressing sort of the needs and the insights that we're getting from consumers about what to put in front of them, I think we'll see more and more of that.

  • So Famous has it in now.

  • We're just launching it in Naturalizer and in our Brand Portfolio.

  • So I think we'll be able to give you a little bit better feeling of what that's going to do to support us in the next quarter or 2, particularly after back-to-school, which is such a significant part of our business at Famous.

  • But -- so that's what I'd say about how that looks so far.

  • Operator

  • And your next question comes from Chris Svezia with Wedbush.

  • Christopher Svezia - MD

  • So I guess first, I wonder if maybe if you can give any color, Ken, what's the impact relative to a sort of a comping a little bit below plan for Famous?

  • What maybe earnings impact that might have had in Q1?

  • In other words, if you comp 1% to 2%, maybe what the earnings would have looked like.

  • If you can add a little color about that.

  • Kenneth H. Hannah - Senior VP & CFO

  • Yes.

  • So it's a great question.

  • And I think if you recall, as we were closing out the year, we had taken some action in Famous.

  • And so if you look on our summary of financial results by segment, you'll see that in a flat, actually almost down 1% first quarter, the profitability of Famous went from 5.5% to 6%.

  • So we get a lot of questions around what kind of comp do you need to leverage.

  • And I think we got ahead of that last year, took some actions and looking at the way that we were supporting the organization, and we were able to make some changes and allow us to deliver 0.5 point of incremental earnings on what was essentially a flat sales top line.

  • So we're certainly excited about the leverage we get when that business is up.

  • And as a result of those actions, it's actually delivering a little bit more as we move forward and grow the business.

  • Christopher Svezia - MD

  • Okay.

  • Could you remind us what the comps are as you walk through the second quarter by month maybe, just sort of what you're up against?

  • That will be helpful.

  • Diane M. Sullivan - Chairman of the Board, CEO & President

  • Is it by month, Chris?

  • Kenneth H. Hannah - Senior VP & CFO

  • By month, the second quarter.

  • Christopher Svezia - MD

  • Yes.

  • Diane M. Sullivan - Chairman of the Board, CEO & President

  • Oh, sure.

  • Okay.

  • For 2Q, last year's May was up 0.7%, June was up 3.1% and July was up 4.2% for a total 2Q of 2.8%.

  • Christopher Svezia - MD

  • Okay.

  • And with regard to just the earnings for a moment, I know sort of first half was likely, in your initial thought, was going to be somewhat at or below that 13% growth threshold, I would guess.

  • As you think about Q2, and I know you said you're still going to have some expenses but you're also going to inherit a very profitable week for Famous, which is going to drive top line and some leverage.

  • Can you give maybe any additional color as we think specifically about second quarter earnings?

  • Could it be potentially the upper end of that 16% growth because you're going to get a little bit better leverage from that extra week?

  • Kenneth H. Hannah - Senior VP & CFO

  • Yes.

  • I mean, the extra week certainly, as you pull forward those sales, a number of -- especially in Famous, a lot of those expenses are relatively fixed.

  • And so you do get a little bit of a lift.

  • And so I think what we were trying to illustrate is absent all of that, just to remind everyone, that we did have some incremental distribution expense, and then you can to add in that incremental top line that's going to move from the first quarter of last year's third quarter to the last week of the second quarter.

  • Christopher Svezia - MD

  • Okay.

  • Just to be a little more specific, when you look at consensus at roughly $0.58, if you're like that, just so there's not some interpretation issue that we have in the first quarter you feel like The Street is still missing maybe a little bit because of the expense that's embedded potentially in the second quarter, just to be a little more clear?

  • Kenneth H. Hannah - Senior VP & CFO

  • That is correct.

  • Christopher Svezia - MD

  • Okay.

  • And then just on -- Diane, on the brands, just any additional color [asset-wise]?

  • Just what really stood out?

  • What so far -- I know sales were up a little over 1%.

  • So I'm just curious how some of the brand performance really stood out.

  • Just give us some color about that.

  • Diane M. Sullivan - Chairman of the Board, CEO & President

  • Yes, sure.

  • I'd be happy to.

  • It -- if you remember, our fourth quarter shipments in the -- on the Brand Portfolio were up about 6%.

  • And what we really are seeing in the first quarter is the real benefit of a lot of the work that we did, the shoes that we got out there, the speed to market, all the work that we've done to make sure we are trend-relevant.

  • And we basically, Chris, showed shipment gains at Naturalizer and Sam and Allen Edmonds and Scholl's and LifeStride and Franco, the biggest brands that we have in the portfolio.

  • But the most important thing is not just the shipments in the quarter.

  • It's back to what are our sell-through rates with our retail partners?

  • And you can clearly see with all of them that we are enjoying double-digit increases with our Naturalizer business right now.

  • You know we've been working hard at correcting that for quite a number of quarters.

  • And actually, a good 1.5 years.

  • We are now really showing some great progress on what Scholl's is doing and seeing nice double-digit increases there in sell-through rates in the first quarter.

  • LifeStride is -- was outstanding.

  • Franco got -- did very well in the quarter.

  • Sam is continuing to do really well.

  • His store comp was somewhere in the 3% range.

  • Allen Edmonds was up 10%.

  • Naturalizer was running at about a minus 1, not unlike Famous is now running positive year-to-date.

  • So back to not just the shipments, but back to the sell-through rates and the consumer acceptance of our products at retail is, I think, what we're very excited about, which is why we believe we -- we really believe the outlook is good.

  • The guidance we feel is solid.

  • And as always, we will continue to do everything we can to meet and beat all of our expectations.

  • Christopher Svezia - MD

  • Okay.

  • Sounds good.

  • And Rick, all the best to you.

  • Thank you for the help over the years and some interesting commentary.

  • And as you depart, I was just wondering if there is any one last thing you want to say on this conference call, any little cutesy tidbit that you want to give us?

  • Love to hear it.

  • Richard Ausick

  • Probably, I'd pass on that, just [because] I still have to get my paycheck here for the last couple of weeks.

  • I don't want to disturb that.

  • But thanks for all the comments, Chris.

  • I appreciate it.

  • Operator

  • (Operator Instructions) Your next question comes from Sam Poser with Susquehanna.

  • Renato Basanta - Associate

  • This is actually Renato Basanta, on for Sam.

  • I guess, first, I was just hoping you could provide a little more color on bringing Molly onboard at Famous.

  • I know it's early.

  • But maybe some comments on what her agenda is, both in the near term and the longer term, maybe some details on how the team will leverage her background at Disney.

  • And then some color on the bench around her to sort of support her in a more Footwear-focused role.

  • Any color there will be helpful.

  • Diane M. Sullivan - Chairman of the Board, CEO & President

  • Yes.

  • Okay, sure.

  • I'd be happy to.

  • I think I made quite a few remarks, not only in the press release when we announced her coming and also in the commentary that I shared so far today.

  • But I think, first of all, she's an amazing leader, got a tremendous amount of energy.

  • She's worked for a world-class brand on world-class products and product development and in-store experiences.

  • And she -- way back when, 10 or 15 years ago, she also was in retail and was a buyer and has all of that kind of experience.

  • So we really expect her to have a really terrific perspective on new ways to think about how we look at consumer experiences and the customer.

  • So that's number one.

  • Number two, I really think about, when we look at recruiting talent in this company, we don't want that one -- that experience -- that one experienced 1,000 times.

  • We really want to make sure that we bring and have a talented executive leadership team here that has multiple levels of experience.

  • When you look at our ELT, it isn't all just in footwear.

  • In our logistics area, we had somebody out of UPS and Express Scripts and Anheuser-Busch.

  • Ken's experience is very different.

  • You take a look at Jay Schmidt's experience, any of our ELT members, and it really is -- it's the diversity of that experience together that helps you create the -- I guess, the best thinking about where the future is going to be.

  • And then with respect to the bench strength there at Famous Footwear, it's an amazing team of people that have been with us for many, many, many years.

  • And they are phenomenal.

  • They've done a great job.

  • Molly is coming into a business that's extraordinarily well run.

  • It's got a solid foundation.

  • And she has no agenda yet because her job is to listen and to learn and to understand and then to think about how we apply the best of what we need to apply for the future.

  • So I think you'll really enjoy meeting her.

  • I think everybody will.

  • And we're very excited about what we think she can bring to our organization, so.

  • Renato Basanta - Associate

  • Great.

  • Great.

  • That's very helpful.

  • Okay.

  • And then I just wanted to get a better sense for the progress you're making in processing smaller order quantities more frequently.

  • If you could just provide a little more detail around those initiatives.

  • What brands will be most impacted?

  • And how much of those benefits you're seeing, thus far, in the Brand Portfolio?

  • Kenneth H. Hannah - Senior VP & CFO

  • Yes.

  • I mean, I think all of our brands, as we go direct to the consumer and as we partner with our Carlos sub-partners, there's a need to be able to replenish smaller quantities.

  • So it really does go across all of the brands.

  • And so part of what we're doing is like the way we had automated our Lebanon, Tennessee facility and our Tejon Ranch, California facility, we brought in house what was our wholesale facility.

  • And we're transitioning the brands into that facility, and at the same time, we'll be automating it to be able to raise the overall capacity to meet the individual consumer and our customer demand.

  • So it really cuts across the entire -- it's a shift that many folks in the space are needing to address.

  • And fortunately, for us, we've automated those retail distribution centers, and this is nothing more than actually providing that same type of automation into our wholesale facility.

  • Operator

  • And there are no further questions at this time.

  • Diane M. Sullivan - Chairman of the Board, CEO & President

  • Thank you very much.

  • Appreciate everybody joining us.

  • And thanks again, Rick, for -- we'll have more opportunities to say thank you.

  • But just on a public call, I really want to acknowledge and recognize my appreciation for the great leadership you've shown here at Caleres.

  • Love you to death.

  • Richard Ausick

  • Thanks.

  • Diane M. Sullivan - Chairman of the Board, CEO & President

  • Talk to you later.

  • Bye, guys.

  • Richard Ausick

  • Thanks, everyone.

  • Operator

  • Thank you, and that concludes today's conference call.

  • You may now disconnect.