Cheesecake Factory Inc (CAKE) 2024 Q3 法說會逐字稿

Ladies and gentlemen, thank you for standing by.

My name is Krista, and I will be your conference operator today.

At this time, I would like to welcome everyone to the Cheesecake Factory Incorporated third-quarter, 2024 earnings conference call.

(Operator Instructions)

Thank you.

I would now like to turn the conference over to Etienne Marcus, Vice President of Investor relations.

You may begin.

Good afternoon, and welcome to our third-quarter, fiscal 2024 earnings call.

On the call with me today are David Overton, our Chairman and Chief Executive Officer; David Gordon, our, President; and Matt Clark, our Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer.

Before we begin, let me quickly remind you that during this call items will be discussed that are not based on historical fact and are considered forward-looking statements within the meeting of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995.

Actual results could be materially different from those stated or implied in forward-looking statements as a result of the factors detailed in today's press release, which is available on our website at investors dot thecheesecakefactory.com. And in our filings with the securities and exchange commission, all forward-looking statements made on this call speak only as of today's date and the company undertakes no duty to update any forward-looking statements.

In addition, during this conference call, we will be presenting results on an adjusted basis which exclude impairment of assets and lease terminations and acquisition related expenses.

An explanation of our use of non-GAAP financial measures and reconciliations to the most directly comparable GAAP measures appear in our press release on our website as previously described.

David Overton will begin today's call with some opening remarks and David Gordon will provide an operational update.

Matt will then review our third-quarter financial results and provide commentary on our financial outlook.

Before opening the call to questions.

With that, I'll turn the call over to David Overton.

Thank you Etienne.

In the third-quarter, we once again delivered strong and dependable results with stable revenue, solid operational execution and substantial profitability growth.

To this point, Cheesecake Factory restaurant comparable sales and traffic again, meaningfully outperformed the industry underscoring the strength and consistency of consumer demand for our brand and our ability to capture market share, solid sales and exceptional operational execution in the quarter resulted in adjusted earnings per share growth of 49% from the prior year.

Over the past four quarters, we have delivered cumulative adjusted earnings per share growth of over 31% versus the prior four quarters.

Turning to development, we successfully opened four restaurants in the third-quarter including three FRC restaurants and one Flower Child location.

Subsequent to quarter end, we opened three restaurants in North Italia and a Blanco in Phoenix and our first Flower Child in Salt Lake City, with 17 restaurant openings.

So far this year, we're well positioned to meet our objective of opening as many as 22 new restaurants in 2024.

Looking ahead to 2025 we expect to further accelerate our unit growth with the opening of as many as 24 new restaurants across our portfolio of concepts.

Before handing it over to David, I'd like to briefly provide some perspective on our approach to value creation.

Our focus on delivering value to our shareholders means we're always evaluating opportunities for our concepts, in the restaurant industry scale and timing are key factors for their consideration in evaluating how to maximize the value creation potential of our company.

The results announced today demonstrate the power our larger platform provides reinforcing our confidence in our strategy to drive sustainable growth and value going forward-looking ahead.

We will continue to review and optimize our portfolio as we have in the past as we remain committed to achieving our goals and maximizing shareholder value over the long term.

With that, I will now turn the call over to David Gordon to provide an operational update.

Thank you, David.

Our excellent staffing position supported by strong staff engagement and industry leading staff and management retention has enabled our tenured operators to maintain their focus on the fundamentals of the restaurant industry, great food, great service, and great ambience, as well as on reinforcing the operational standards that the Cheesecake Factory has been built on.

And we are seeing these improvements in virtually every key facet of operations including record high guest satisfaction scores across all dine in and to go metrics, which we believe continues to contribute to both comparable sales and traffic.

Meaningfully exceeding the black box casual dining index by 310 basis points and 380 basis points respectively in the third-quarter.

Additional operational benefits include better than expected flow through labor productivity, overtime and wage management and lower food waste which are contributing to improved restaurant level margins.

Cheesecake Factory restaurant level margins for the quarter improved by 180 basis points from Q3 of 2023 and have averaged 16.4% over the past four quarters within our long term margin target of 16% to 18%.

Now turning to sales trends, Cheesecake Factory off premise sales remains stable at 21% of sales for the third quarter, which annualized equates to $2.5 million in off premise sales per restaurant.

Nearly double the average of our next closest pier North Italia third-quarter, comparable sales increased 2% from the prior year resulting in annualized AUVs of $7.4 million.

Importantly, restaurant level margin for the adjusted mature North Italia locations was 15%, a 250 basis points improvement from the prior year.

Flower Child average weekly sales were $85,200, up more than 6% from the third-quarter of 2023.

Other Fox Restaurant concepts annualized AUVs were $6.1 million.

And lastly, we continue to be very pleased with the performance of the Cheesecake rewards program.

Demand continues to surpass our internal expectations and we remain encouraged by the level of member activity and engagement that we are seeing with guest satisfaction scores for members over indexing, reinforcing our belief that we are on the right path.

As I said in the past.

And we'll continue to reiterate, we are developing the program very thoughtfully and deliberately with a long term perspective that said earlier results have demonstrated we are driving incremental visits from existing guests and attracting new guests.

And with that, let me turn the call over to Matt for our financial review.

Thank you, David.

Let me first provide a high level recap of our third-quarter results versus our expectations.

I outlined last quarter, total revenues of $865 million finished towards the higher end of the range.

We provided adjusted net income margin of 3.3% exceeded the high end of the guidance we provided and we returned $14.2 million to our shareholders in the form of dividends and stock repurchases.

Now turning to some more specific details around the quarter, third-quarter, total sales at the Cheesecake Factory restaurants were $647.8 million up 3% from the prior year.

Comparable sales increased 1.6% versus the prior year total sales for North Italia were $71.9 million up 15% from the prior year period.

Other FRC sales totalled $67 million up 14% from the prior year and sales per operating week for $116,500.

Flower child sales totalled $36.6 million up 14% from the prior year and sales per operating week were $85,200 and external bakery sales were $14.9 million.

Now moving to year over year expense variance commentary in the third-quarter, we continued to realize improvement across several key line items in the P&L, specifically cost of sales decreased 90 basis points primarily driven by higher menu pricing than commodity inflation.

Labor as a percent of sales decreased 40 basis points primarily supported by menu pricing leverage.

Relative to labor inflation and labor productivity improvements partially offset by higher health insurance costs mostly related to high cost claims in the quarter.

Other operating expenses increased 10 basis points.

G&A was in line with prior year and depreciation increased 10 basis points as a percent of sales, pre-opening costs were $7 million in the quarter compared to $6.7 million in the prior year period, we opened four restaurants during the third-quarter versus two restaurants in the third-quarter of 2023.

Know that last year, we experienced some higher preopening costs relative to the number of openings due to delays in opening dates.

And in the third-quarter, we recorded pre-tax net income of $2.5 million primarily related to lease terminations.

Third-quarter, GAAP diluted net income per share was $0.61 adjusted diluted, net income per share was $0.58.

Now asserting to our balance sheet and capital allocation.

The company ended the quarter with total available liquidity of approximately $289 million including a cash balance of about $52 million and approximately $237 million available on a revolving credit facility.

Total debt outstanding was unchanged at $475 million in principle, CapEx totalled approximately $54 million during the third quarter for new unit development and maintenance.

During the quarter, we completed approximately $1.1 million in share pre-purchases and returned $13.1 million to shareholders via our dividend.

Now let me shift to our outlook.

Well, we will not be providing specific comparable sales and earnings guidance.

We will provide our updated thoughts on our underlying assumptions for Q4 2024 and full year 2025.

The assumptions factor in everything we know as of today, which includes net restaurant counts, quarter to date trends.

What we think will happen in the weeks ahead and the effect of any impacts associated with holidays and assumes no material operating or consumer disruptions.

For Q4, we anticipate total revenues to be between $905 million and $915 million.

Next.

At this time, we expect effective commodity inflation of low single digits for Q4 as our broad market basket remains very stable.

We are modeling net total labor inflation of low to mid-single digits when factoring in the latest trends in wage rates and minimum wage increases as well as other components of labor.

G&A is estimated to be about $58 million.

Depreciation is estimated to be approximately $26 million.

Based on these assumptions.

We would anticipate a justice net income margin to be about 4.8% to 4.9% based on the sales range we provided with regard to development.

As David Overton highlighted earlier, we plan to open as many as 22 new restaurants this year across our portfolio of concepts with as many as eight openings in the fourth-quarter.

This includes as many as three cheesecake factories, six North Italias, six to seven Flower Child and eight FRC restaurants.

And we continue to anticipate approximately $180 million to $200 million in cash CapEx to support this year's and some of next year's unit development as well as required maintenance on our restaurants and for clarity with approximately 20% to 25% of these expenses reflected in operating lease assets in the cash flow statement.

Turning to fiscal 2025, based on this year's performance and assuming no material operating or consumer disruptions, we anticipate total revenues for fiscal 2025 to be approximately $3.75 billion at the midpoint of our sensitivity modeling.

We currently estimate total inflation across our commodity basket labor and other operating expenses to be in the low to mid-single digit range and fairly consistent across the quarters.

We are estimating G&A to be about 10 basis points lower year over year as a percent of sales and depreciation to be about $106 million for the year.

And given our unit growth expectations, we are estimating pre-opening expenses to be approximately $30 million based on these assumptions, we would expect full year net income margin to be approximately 4.75% of the sales estimate provided for modeling purposes.

We are assuming a 10% to 11% tax rate and weighted average shares outstanding relatively flat to 2024.

With regard to development.

As David stated earlier, we plan to continue accelerating unit growth next year as such.

At this time, we expect to open as many as 24 new restaurants in 2025.

And we would anticipate approximately $190 million to $210 million in cash CapEx to support unit development as well as required maintenance on our restaurants.

This also includes our preliminary CapEx estimate for the initial phase of development for the third bakery facility.

Note that the total CapEx estimated range assumes a similar mix of new restaurant openings by concept as 2024.

In closing, we have delivered four consecutive quarters of strong results including stable sales, solid operational execution and significant profitability growth.

We are looking to build on this momentum to continue generating our historically consistent operational and financial results and to make further progress towards our goal of shareholder value creation.

With that said, we'll take your questions.

(Operator Instructions)

Jim Salera, Stephens.

Hey guys, thanks for taking our question.

I, I really wanted to drill down on maybe first of all the, the components of same store sales just given that you guys continue to post really solid results in a, you know, more strained environment.

So if you could just give like the breakdown for traffic mix pricing and, how that kind of comes together.

Sure, this is Matt.

Pricing in the quarter was 4.5%, mix was a negative 2.1%.

So continues to come down pretty much in line with what we've been expecting all year and then traffic was a negative 0.8%.

But really, that was I would say related to July, I think what everybody saw we were improving throughout the quarter flattish in in August and then positive traffic in September.

Okay, great.

And I guess, you know, building off that, what do you think is driving the traffic trends just given some of the softness that other full service peers are experiencing if you can just kind of touch on what you're seeing at your concepts relative to the broader industry.

Hey, Jim, this is David Gordon.

I think number one, the stability of our staff retention and management retention and the restaurants has led to great execution.

I think our teams are doing a terrific job.

We have all time high net promoter scores, whether that's dine in or in off premise.

So I think we're taking some market share just through execution.

Our food quality is as good as it's ever been.

Hospitality is strong as it's ever been.

I think we're seeing a little bit of incremental lift maybe from our rewards program, which has been good to see since we're still really in the first full year of executing that program.

So I think some of our strategic marketing through the program is paying off.

Probably those two things are the biggest attributes that has remained helping us see some consistent outperformance to the rest of the industry.

That's great.

Appreciate all the color, guys.

I'll hop back in the queue.

Jeff Bernstein, Barclays.

Hi, this is Anisha Datt on for Jeff Bernstein.

I wanted to ask about the consumer and if you've seen any change in behavior in recent months, whether that be by income cohort or any mix changes.

Thanks.

Yeah, this is Matt.

You know, I think based on the sales commentary, it's been very consistent.

I think across all of our concepts and certainly at the namesake Cheesecake Factory, really looking at day part or day of the week or attachment.

I think everything has been pretty much as expected and you know, slightly better in Q3 than in Q2, right?

So I think all in all the trends are stable, predictable and improving.

Drew North, Baird.

Great.

Thanks for taking the question.

It was just regarding your portfolio approach to the business and your comments related to evaluating opportunities to maximize shareholder value.

We've seen the media reports that one of your shareholders is pushing for you to possibly separate some of the growth brands from the core Cheesecake Factory business and appreciate your proactive comments on the call.

But I was wondering if you could expand on if you'd be willing to consider such a plan currently or in the future and maybe how that would work if it were a consideration.

Drew.

This is, Matt.

Thanks for the question.

You know, certainly we're happy that our investors like our concepts and think that they have a great potential.

So I think first and foremost, I think that's important to note.

I think the board regularly reviews the portfolio and other strategic options to maximize shareholder value.

So I don't think that's new.

Notwithstanding the recent media, that's something that happens on an ongoing basis.

You know, as David Overton noted in the prepared remarks, we think we're doing a great job incubating these concepts and that there could be a time or place for further strategic assessments for them, but there's probably a little bit more development work that needs to go on.

You're talking about concepts that have, you know, between 30 and 40 locations and $100 million to $300 million in sales.

And so this the ability of the Cheesecake Factory ecosystem to benefit those concepts at this point in time can't be underestimated.

So we'll see what the future holds, but we will be open to reviewing and drive shareholder value and believe that these concepts will continue to grow profitably and support our shareholders one way or another.

Thanks for that perspective.

And then one more, if I may on the 2025 outlook as it relates to unit development, where could we see the incremental openings as, we think about '24 versus as many as '22 this year?

And is there opportunity for a more balanced cadence of openings in 2025, relative to the back weighted openings we've seen in recent years?

Thanks Drew.

This is David.

Actually, this year has been more balanced than it had been in previous years.

So we're pretty enthused by that and we do have some openings in the first quarter of next year.

So we're hoping to continue to have a more balanced approach wherever we can.

And as far as the actual concept, it'd be very similar to this year as far as how many cheesecake factories, North, Flower Child and FRC, so similar cadence, similar amount of each one of the concepts to this year's numbers.

Thank you.

I'll hop back in the queue.

Katherine Griffin, Bank of America.

Hi.

Thank you.

My first question is on Flower Child.

Last quarter, you gave some color on the like directional comp performance of that business versus North Italian cheesecake.

So I was curious if you could give an update there and then maybe if you could contextualize the performance of Flower Child just given its geographics que.

I'm curious if that region is kind of outperforming the, you know, the South Southeast region.

And then also if you know, if Flower Child is taking share in its category kind of where you think it's taking share from?

Thank you.

Sure, Katherine.

This is, Matt.

Yeah, the Flower Child continue to be the strongest in our system running mid-single digits.

And we feel like with room to accelerate a little bit here into the fourth-quarter, the geography is pretty national, maybe it's the smile shape, you know, because we do go up into the DC area and then kind of down around and all the way into California.

And it's been pretty consistent across the board.

We've seen some really nice gains in all of our locations and, you know, positive traffic certainly.

And it would look like based on the data we've seen in black box that we are well ahead of the overall fast casual category.

And I think part of that is the breadth of the Flower Child offering.

It's, you know, we like to talk about it.

It's fast casual, but it's maybe a little bit higher and fast casual and kind of like cheesecake has a little bit of a moat given the breadth of the offering.

It balances really well.

It's slightly above 50% to go.

But it, you know, that means it's almost 50% on premise.

Certainly, that's very differentiated in fast casual space and probably a little bit more balanced on lunch and dinner.

So we think it's the execution is probably a big driver of that is well with all of the things we did to continue to incubate it.

But overall pleased with the trajectory of the concept.

I think I would just add Katherine with the two new markets that we entered into this year.

As David mentioned earlier in Salt Lake City in Utah just a couple weeks ago, have been outperforming our expectations and in the suburbs in Saint Louis earlier this year, also a brand new market are really outperforming.

So we're really happy as we moved into new markets as Well.

That's great.

Thank you.

And then I wanted to just ask another question on the, you know, portfolio approach.

The Cheesecake Factory has, can you remind me sort of what the benefits are of having these growth concepts?

Like we can maybe speak just a flower child in the Cheesecake Factory portfolio sort of how these brands are better positioned as it relates to integrating supply chain and deploying things like reporting platforms and operational dashboards.

Just any, you know, color you can give there as far as how you're thinking about you know, the opportunities to leverage costs with the growth concept, part of the portfolio.

Thank you.

Sure, Katherine, this is Matt, I'll start off again and then David will add some additional color, but certainly you touched on one of the big areas.

I mean, I think just really the scale benefit overall is very important still at this stage, certainly being able to leverage G&A in the low 6% compared to most of the high growth concepts that are smaller are in the mid-teens for G&A, right?

So you just out of the gate that that is a benefit supply chain is certainly one of the larger areas and that's with commodities, but it's also with other types of purchasing, whether that could be insurance or construction related, there are benefits that go directly to the P&L that, you know, are very meaningful at this point as well.

And then I think from the people side, you know, there's a lot of best practices that the Cheesecake Factory has that we're able to deploy and, you know, you mentioned the dashboards for operations, etcetera.

So we feel like we're, we're doing exactly what we thought.

You know, when the board decided to make this acquisition, the thesis was that we could provide a great way to grow them and add your older value.

And we continue, I think, to do that very effectively.

Yeah, I guess I would, I just had a few items.

One would just be our 45 year history of running great high volume restaurants and just our operational expertise that we're able to add to any of those concepts in, in any way.

Part of that is our ability to have strong and operating performance dashboards to give more insight into each one of the concepts, whether that's an opportunity for more throughput or an opportunity to be more effective when it comes to productivity or food efficiencies, all areas that we have a lot of view into.

We also are able to leverage our DoorDash relationship, someone who comes to off premise sales.

The deal we have with DoorDash covers all of the different concepts.

So certainly, financially, if you think about Flower Child, as example, as Matt stated earlier with over 50% off premise sales and a portion of that coming through DoorDash.

That's a direct cost benefit to the to the total company and to those other concepts as well.

Thank you.

Appreciate it.

Jeff Farmer, Gordon Haskett.

Thank you.

You pointed over the last couple of quarters to a steady moderation of the mix headwinds that you've been seeing.

So I assume as you move forward, you do expect that to happen.

But can you give us some color on some of the factors that would contribute to that smaller mix headwind as you move forward?

Yeah, sure.

Jeff, this is Matt, I mean, really, it comes down to predominantly lapping around the party size math.

And so we started to see that really in 2023, where we've got more large parties back than in the sort of immediately post COVID times.

And as we talked about, you know, part of six or eight, the per capita spend is about 20% less than a party of two.

And so that, is just rebalancing and sort of, I'll call it dovetailing back to pre-pandemic levels.

And, and so that's why we feel like it's been predictable and measurable because we see it sort of, you know, approaching that baseline on a very linear path.

So we would expect Q4 to be, you know, called negative 1%.

And then for next year, our initial planning would be relatively flat for the year, you know, all being equal.

That's helpful.

And then just as a, as a quick follow up, anything you can offer on menu pricing over the next couple of quarters, are you guys are more sort of high level thinking about pricing as you move into 2025.

Well, our objective would be to take only the amount of pricing that we need to offset inflation.

We are seeing labor inflation become a little bit more manageable, I think in the industry as well.

So we're right now in the process of reviewing our commodities outlook and engaging with our, our suppliers on contracts for next year.

So that will give us a lot to inform pricing decisions.

But I was just, it would be coming down from this year's level, which has been, you know, between four and 4.5% and, you know, migrating back more towards our historical call three.

But it will really depend on those factors as we see them play out in the next couple of months.

Sorry, just one quick follow up to the Q4 expected pricing.

What's that number.

4.5%?

Same name exactly as Q3.

All right.

Thank you, Matt.

Jon Tower, Citi.

One quick model clean up and then I have an actual question.

Sorry, this is [Kenil Sheth] on for Jon.

What was commodity inflation in this past quarter?

It was 1% about 1%.

Good to hear from you Kenil.

And then you know, great to hear about your rewards engagement and that you think the program is, you know, doing what it's supposed to with both new and existing customers.

Yeah, it is there more color you can give on kind of how people are engaging with it.

And what I'm really trying to get at is kind of how important the access to reservations has been in terms of driving, you know, interest and uptake.

Sure, Kenil, this is David.

Certainly we see a high level of usage of reservations.

So that would tell us that people are enthusiastic about reservations being part of the program.

We definitely thus far are happy that the guests we're seeing are moderate and frequent guests.

And you know, that's really our goal of the program is to drive moderate and frequent one or two more visits a year.

And that the guest satisfaction scores of those guests are even higher than guests that are not members.

So, that tells us that they're enthusiastic about the program.

Overall, reservations appear to be working.

And I think some of the unpublished rewards that we've been using over the past few quarters are also and have also been meaningful.

And that's somewhere where we will continue to test and learn and try and be even more pinpointed with the offers that are out there to continue to drive incrementality with the right guest.

So that it remains margin neutral for us and could be a powerful tool to drive traffic in the long run.

Okay, great.

Thank you.

I'll pass it on.

Jim Sanderson, Northcoast Research.

Hey, thanks for the question.

Just wanted to get a little bit more feedback on.

I believe the closure of some cheesecake stores in the quarter.

And if you can affirm what the net unit growth account will be for the end of the year and then the same question for 2025.

Sure.

Jim, this is Matt just on the cheesecake locations.

One of them was actually a site condemnation.

I've never had that happen in my career before, but the entire facility.

So it was a center was condemned and so we had no choice but to close.

And the other one was a lease exit opportunity in a location that was underperforming and had some safety concerns.

So, a very unique for us to have that situation particularly twice in one quarter.

But at the end, do we have an estimated number of total net in.

Total would be about plus 20.

All concepts included.

And for 2025.

Well, we said as many as '24 with about the same mix as this year.

So, you know, roughly speaking, you could take this year and maybe there's one more cheesecake and one more flower child, you know, for modeling purposes.

Okay.

I just wanted to make sure there wasn't any expectation of incremental closures beyond what we've seen so far.

And what I said, just to make sure is we, we always qualify that there could always be one here or there for unforeseen reasons, right?

So I think it's, we'll, we'll keep people abreast of that.

But those are our plans at the moment.

Is there any increase in G&A spending expected with the acceleration in unit growth for 2025 or should that keep pace or kind of lag revenue growth?

Yeah.

Our objective would be to scale a little bit.

So even though we're opening a couple more units, we're targeting to have G&A as a percentage of sales decreased by attack.

Okay.

Understood.

And then last question for me just wanted any feedback you had on perhaps advanced bookings or retail activity, what your exposure is to shopping centers and how you're looking at the holiday season this quarter.

You know, we do a lot of private dining in some of our smaller concepts.

It seems to be going, consistent with historical patterns so far.

We haven't seen anything too different.

You know, our outlook is for a very consistent and predictable trend that, like, we've seen the last couple of quarters.

So, no, nothing new or different than what we've seen recently.

All right.

No concern with the shortened the shopping season between Black Friday and Christmas.

Yeah, I think it's much more of a retail consideration than a restaurant consideration.

At least that's what I've read.

It doesn't seem to be as much of an issue when we studied it in our past results.

Understood.

Thank you very much.

I'll pass it on.

(Operator Instructions)

Andy Barish, Jefferies.

Hey, guys, just taking the holiday stuff in a slightly different direction, the bakery business, any signs of, you know, kind of stabilization in some channels and maybe the holiday season bookings in that business looking a little bit better than, you know, than where things have been heading recently.

Andy, this is Matt, what I would say is we're moving forward in some new channels that I think have some good promise to backfill.

Of course.

And you know that segment, it does take a little bit longer.

But we did just close a pretty good long term agreement with a prominent grocery chain that is about 2000 locations and it's for a slightly smaller, lower priced product.

So we think that's part of, you know, what you need to do to compete in CPG today.

We were also seeing some green shoots internationally and have signed two master distribution agreements in the first half of this year.

But so I think, you know, we'll see some improvement and return to growth in 2025, but it's just a longer tail for that category.

Great, appreciate it.

And then on the development side, nice to hear, you know, quantitatively the numbers going up qualitatively, how do you kind of see the pipeline in '25 and you know, the things that have been, you know, challenges in terms of permitting and utilities.

We're on the spectrum, are we in terms of returning to some, some level of new normalization there?

Hey, Andy, this is David.

I think that we're feeling pretty confident about next year, you know, finishing this year right on target.

We haven't had any hiccups here as we're coming into the fourth-quarter, [perman] has gotten easier on the equipment side.

We're very confident, we really feel great about the markets we're moving into next year, whether they're existing or new markets.

So it's, you know, full steam ahead for 2025 with a lot of confidence.

Good to hear.

Thank you.

Sharon Zackfia, William Blair.

Hey, thanks for taking the question.

I guess I wanted to kind of come back to the unit level margins, the Cheesecake Factory and, and North Italia.

I think if I got them right, they were [16.4] for the last four quarters for cake.

And I think the discussion around North Italia is [15] at maturity.

And, you know, I have been around long enough.

I remember when cake used to be in the high-teens and, and I know things that have kind of changed in a lot of ways.

But is there a path, you know, for take, getting back to the high-teens and can you kind of walk us through that?

Is it just a matter of more sales?

Is it that easy?

And then on North Italia is 15, a good number.

I just given the alcohol mix there.

Do you think that's something that can get closer to kind of a cake over time?

Yeah, Sharon, this is Matt.

So, first on North, our target there is similar to cheesecake.

We believe it should be a business that operates in, in the 16% to 18% range.

We have been, you know, more cautious over the past couple of years catching up on the pricing.

And so, you know, we've been pretty open about cake being behind.

But, North as well.

And so I think we're pretty confident in the initiatives that we have in place and that concept sales to be able to leverage that into the same level as cake and then sort of to that point, you know, we probably peaked, you know, in the high-teens or, or almost 20 there have been some accounting changes that, you know, basically put our range, what we say 16% to 18% now takes into consideration things like lease accounting, right?

So when we had to adopt that, I don't know if anybody remembers at this point, it was pre-COVID, but that was about 100 basis point swing between the depreciation and operating lines, right?

So we're just taking all of those things into consideration.

We do feel like we can still move it higher.

So past four quarters for cake is averaged [16.4] and the trajectory is still moving up, right?

So it is sales but it's also the operational effectiveness, the ability to have a best in class and best ever retention rates for our staff, right.

So the there are other factors, I think supply chain is another one that we continue to benefit on the increasing scale of our company.

And, leveraging that a little bit.

So we feel really good about the trajectory and it's still moving in the right direction.

Thanks for that.

And then on the reservations, I assume you guys aren't holding tables, right?

Is this just kind of giving people priority seating when they come in?

So you're not losing any kind of productivity on the tables.

Yes, certainly.

Productivity is always a goal.

We don't want to have any open tables for any length of time.

We do want a reservation to actually be met.

So we have very strong perimeters of parameters.

Excuse me, for the restaurants.

You know, nobody should be with more than five minutes if they do have a reservation.

But in no way, are we holding tables and they're very limited reservations that are actually available within each hour so that we even if somebody wasn't operating within our parameters, it wouldn't impact throughput in our ability to drive sales.

Brian Vaccaro, Raymond James.

Hi, thanks and good evening and, and sorry if you covered this earlier, I jumped on a little bit late but Matt the 2025 net margin guidance.

Can you just walk us through the puts and takes as you see it today as it relates to kind of what that looks like for cheesecake factories, segment margins and what your expectations at North Italia might be.

Yeah, I would say just to simplify it, I think, the general direction is for company level four wall to improve 25 basis points to 35 basis points.

I think we'll still see a little bit of leverage on the commodity side and a little tailwind on labor other effects.

As you know, we've been guiding to relatively flattish and then maybe a little, you know, 10th on G&A.

I think there's a little bit more room for north than cheesecake, obviously where they're positioned today.

But Cheesecake makes a bigger swing because of the size of it.

So a little bit less on cheesecake, a little bit more on North to get to those waiting.

Okay.

And then, the North Italia segment margins, did you say what the mature units were within that?

Well, we did, what was 15% for the third-quarter.

15%?

Okay, great.

Thank you.

I'll pass it along.

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