康尼格拉食品 (CAG) 2016 Q1 法說會逐字稿

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  • Operator

  • Good morning, and welcome to today's ConAgra Foods first-quarter earnings conference call.

  • This program is being recorded.

  • My name is Jessica Morgan, and I will be your conference facilitator.

  • (Operator Instructions)

  • At this time, I'd like to introduce your host from ConAgra Foods for today's program.

  • Sean Connolly, Chief Executive Officer, John Gehring, Chief Financial Officer, and Chris Klinefelter, Vice President of Investor Relations.

  • Please go ahead, Mr. Klinefelter.

  • Chris Klinefelter - VP of IR

  • Good morning.

  • During today's remarks, we will make some forward-looking statements.

  • And while we're making those statements in good faith and are confident about our Company's direction, we do not have any guarantee about the results that we will achieve.

  • So if you would like to learn more about the risks and factors that could influence and impact our expected result, perhaps materially, I will refer you to the documents we filed with the SEC, which include cautionary language.

  • Also, we will be discussing some non-GAAP financial measures during the call today.

  • And the reconciliations of those measures to the most directly comparable measures for Regulation G compliance can be found in either the earnings press release, the Q&A, or on our website.

  • Now I will turn it over to Sean.

  • Sean Connolly - CEO

  • Thanks, Chris.

  • Good morning, everybody.

  • I'm glad to be with you on our second call together.

  • As you know, we've been digging deep since I joined ConAgra Foods earlier in the year.

  • And we are aggressively pursuing the right course of action to maximize value creation for our shareholders over time.

  • While we still have plenty of work in front of us, we are clearly on the move and making tangible progress.

  • When I last spoke to you on June 30, I made the point that our Company is all about long-term value creation.

  • You should consider that a permanent part of our mentality that will not change.

  • So as I?ve said before, we will always be open to any realistic actionable path that will create significant value for our shareholders.

  • At the same time, we have a base plan, which is in and of itself a very promising path to value creation.

  • As you heard on June 30, it is centered on focusing our portfolio, strengthening our fundamentals, and becoming much more efficient.

  • We are in the early days of implementing this base plan, and it involves bold actions on costs, talent, and individual businesses.

  • This is our primary focus right now.

  • So it shouldn't surprise you when we share news about the bold actions we are taking in this regard.

  • These actions are part of our commitment to running the Company well.

  • And represent a pragmatic and responsible approach, given the current industry environment and our desire to realize the full potential of our business.

  • I mention this to be declarative that our focus on stronger operations, which are required no matter what the future holds, does not conflict with the mentality of being open to other ways to create value.

  • It's as straightforward as that.

  • Now recall, our base plan has four pillars.

  • One, divesting private label, two, expanding margins, three, improving our consumer branded business and Lamb Weston, and four, maintaining our commitment to a balanced approach to capital allocation.

  • This morning, I will offer a few words on each of these pillars.

  • First, we are on track in terms of our divestiture of the private brands business.

  • We've had a lot of interest, and expect to have more to share on this front later in the fall.

  • Given the planned divestiture, we will not be providing detailed results for this segment, which has been reclassified as discontinued operations.

  • Second, we're making good progress around our margin improvement efforts through a more aggressive approach to SG&A, and improved supply chain and trade productivity.

  • On SG&A, we are well into mobilizing an intensive SG&A reduction effort that is aimed not only at offsetting stranded costs associated with the private brands divestiture but moving ConAgra into the top quartile of SG&A efficiency in our space over time.

  • As we discussed last quarter, absolutely everything is on the table here.

  • This will take time, as some of this work will require system and capability improvements that are not turnkey.

  • Nevertheless, if we find inefficiency, we will get it out as fast as possible.

  • We will have more specifics to share on this later in the fall as well.

  • Hand-in-hand, with our focus on efficiency, is an intense focus on driving profitable growth by capitalizing on the highest potential brands and categories in the Consumer Foods segment.

  • And growing the Lamb Weston business in our Commercial Foods segment.

  • Consistent with this effort, we are delighted that Darren Serrao has joined us as our Chief Growth Officer to guide our efforts in maximizing the value of our brands.

  • Darren and his team are hard at work on improving connectivity and boosting speed to market, ensuring that strong insights lead to relevant and timely products with the right marketing support.

  • As we undertake all of these efforts, we remain committed to maintaining an investment-grade credit rating, and a balanced capital allocation strategy.

  • Including investments in organic and inorganic growth, and returning capital to shareholders through our top-tier dividend and share repurchases, as well as continuing to pay down debt.

  • John will discuss capital allocation for fiscal year 2016 in more detail later on this call.

  • Now turning to the quarterly specifics.

  • As you saw in our release, we are off to a strong start for fiscal 2016, reporting comparable EPS of $0.45, up from $0.39 in the prior year.

  • We have a good foundation and positive momentum in both Consumer Foods and Commercial Foods.

  • In Consumer Foods, we reported net sales of approximately $1.7 billion, flat compared to the prior year, reflecting flat volume, a 2% improvement in price mix, and 2% negative impact from foreign exchange.

  • Operating profit was $248 million, up 22% on a comparable basis, with margins up more than 250 basis points.

  • Throughout fiscal 2016, we are focused on building on the foundation established during fiscal 2015.

  • Our plan is concentrated on strengthening our brands and providing resources behind the brands and channels that generate the best return.

  • By focusing on the strongest brands and channels, we're getting better price realization and trade efficiencies.

  • The outcome is a better price mix, and margin improvement.

  • The strong operating profit we delivered in the first quarter is direct evidence of our progress and reflects the improved price mix, and benefit of the more targeted approach to advertising and promotion investment.

  • I want to highlight a few brands that also demonstrate the progress we are already seeing in this segment.

  • We continue to invest and achieve strong operating results on Marie Callender's, Hunt's, ROTEL, Reddi-wip, Slim Jim, and PAM.

  • All are category-leading brands that are well-positioned with consumers and deliver strong margins.

  • We will continue to invest in brand building, A&P, renovation and innovation, and expand into growing customer channels.

  • As discussed in the past, there has been an intense focus and having the four P's right.

  • Or as we call it, being perfect at retail.

  • Executing well on product, packaging, pricing, and promotions.

  • Along these lines, Chef Boyardee and Orville Redenbacher grew sales in the quarter.

  • In addition, PF Chang's was re-staged with improved packaging graphics, and a stronger product range last year and since the re-stage, the brand has posted strong double-digit growth.

  • We continue to make progress in transforming the Healthy Choice franchise as well.

  • Healthy Choice Cafe Steamers continues to perform well in a challenging segment.

  • And Simply Steamers, our newest Cafe Steamers product, contain nothing artificial, while offering 100% natural protein.

  • These new items are performing well, and importantly, they command a higher retail price.

  • Looking ahead in Q2, Banquet will be re-staged with a complete product overhaul.

  • That means increased food quantity and improved food quality, along with a much-needed modernization of packaging and higher retail pricing.

  • This focus on strengthening brand equities and expanding margins is providing the fuel to invest in those brands that have the fundamentals right, are consumer relevant, and have accretive margins, what we call being A&P ready.

  • As a result, marketing investments will increase for the balance of the year, again, in a highly disciplined way.

  • This is a virtuous cycle.

  • Over time, stronger brands lead to better pricing power and higher margins.

  • We have a lot more to do, but the results over the last six months are a good indication of the opportunity going forward.

  • We anticipate profit growth from the Consumer Foods segment for the full year as we continue to drive efficiencies, and prioritize the key brands and sales channels that have the best opportunity for success.

  • I'm confident that this focus will be the key that unlocks our branded Consumer Foods segment's ability to further improve its margin profile over time.

  • Now I'm going to turn to Commercial Foods.

  • Net sales were approximately $1.1 billion, up 3% compared to the prior-year quarter.

  • The Commercial Foods segment's operating profit was $139 million, up 13% on a comparable basis.

  • The segment's strong performance reflects higher volumes and net sales across all commercial foods businesses with profits benefiting primarily from Lamb Weston's sales growth, favorable mix, and operational efficiencies, helped by improved raw potato quality.

  • Lamb Weston delivered strong volume growth in North America, driven by organic growth with key customers across all channels.

  • While domestic growth outpaced international growth in the quarter, we expect international sales to return to normal levels in the back half of the fiscal year as we continue to recover from the impact of last year's West Coast port labor dispute.

  • We remain focused on accelerating the growth of Lamb Weston internationally.

  • The global QSR industry is aggressively expanding in emerging markets, with potatoes remaining a critical part of the menu.

  • At the same time, Lamb Weston's North America business is the market leader in North America with a strong foundation, and is positioned to continue to grow.

  • As I noted earlier, we will not be providing results for the Private Brand segment.

  • Which has been reclassified as discontinued operations, and thus, not a segment anymore.

  • At a high level, I will say that while we have taken the right steps to improve execution and begin restoring this business to better profits, Private Brands is still feeling the impact of category softness and higher input costs that we anticipated this quarter.

  • The underlying comparable profit performance, while still lower year-over-year in Q1, should improve sequentially throughout fiscal 2016.

  • At this point, I'll turn it over to John.

  • But before I do, I want to reiterate that we are still in the early days, but we are making excellent progress.

  • There is a great deal of change underway at ConAgra Foods, and our team is excited and we are energized.

  • We are operating with urgency, and we have embraced the mindset of taking whatever bold action is required to unlock shareholder value.

  • While some of these initiatives we discussed will be completed in fiscal year 2016, others will be a multi-year effort.

  • And we look forward to keeping you up to date as we continue to deliver on our plans.

  • With that, John, over to you.

  • John Gehring - CFO

  • Thank you, Sean, and good morning, everyone.

  • In my comments this morning, I will recap our fiscal first-quarter performance, including comparability matters, and then address cash flow, capital and balance sheet items.

  • I will also provide some brief comments regarding certain components of our fiscal 2016 outlook.

  • Before I comment on performance, I want to address a few key points related to the divestiture of our private label operations.

  • First, during the quarter, we met the necessary accounting requirements to reclassify the operations we are divesting as assets held for sale.

  • At the time we met these requirements, we were required to further assess the carrying value of the assets on a held for sale basis.

  • As a result, we recorded an additional impairment of approximately $1.95 billion.

  • The impairment does not reflect any offsetting benefit from the tax loss we expect to generate from the sale of our private label operations.

  • At this time, we have not met the necessary accounting requirements to recognize the tax benefit related to the capital loss.

  • However, we remain confident that the Company will be able to realize significant tax benefits in the future from utilizing this capital loss carry forward.

  • In addition, in accordance with GAAP, the Company is no longer recording depreciation or amortization expense on the assets held for sale.

  • Discontinued operations for the fiscal first quarter reflect about $0.01 of EPS benefit from the absence of depreciation and amortization.

  • The benefit in subsequent quarters will be more significant.

  • Next, while the businesses being divested are substantially the same as those previously reported in our Private Brand segment.

  • There are businesses that were previously part of our Private Brand segment that will be retained as part of our Consumer Foods segment.

  • The results of operations for these businesses, including any impairment charges in prior periods related to the associated assets, are reflected in the Consumer Foods segment for all periods presented.

  • There are also businesses that were previously reported in our Consumer Foods and Commercial Foods segments which will be included in the divestiture and have therefore been classified as discontinued operations.

  • As such, the results for these businesses are now reflected in discontinued operations for all periods presented, along with the other private label operations being divested.

  • Overall, the net impact of these changes is fairly small relative to the size of our Consumer and Commercial Food segments.

  • Now, I'll recap our performance for our fiscal first quarter.

  • Overall diluted EPS from continuing operations as reported was $0.38.

  • After adjusting for items impacting comparability, diluted comparable EPS, including the contribution from discontinued operations of about $0.04, was $0.45 this quarter versus our prior-year quarter's comparable earnings base of $0.39.

  • As Sean noted, both our Consumer Foods and Commercial Foods segments performed very well.

  • In our Consumer Foods segment, net sales were approximately $1.7 billion for the quarter, about flat with the year-ago period, reflecting flat volume, a 2% improvement in price mix, and a 2% negative impact from foreign exchange.

  • Segment operating profit adjusted for items impacting comparability was $248 million, or up about 22% from the year-ago period.

  • And operating margin on a comparable basis expanded over 250 basis points versus the year-ago quarter.

  • Foreign exchange this quarter had a negative impact of $28 million on net sales, and about $11 million on operating profit for the segment.

  • Our Consumer Foods supply chain cost reduction programs continue to yield good results.

  • This quarter, cost savings were approximately $40 million, and inflation had a negligible impact on results this quarter.

  • On marketing, Consumer Foods' advertising and promotion expense for the quarter was $77 million, up about 7% from the prior-year quarter, reflecting our efforts to continue to strengthen and support our brands.

  • In our Commercial Foods segment, net sales were approximately $1.1 billion or up about 4% from the year-ago quarter.

  • Commercial Foods segment's operating profit was $139 million, or 13% above the year-ago quarter's operating profit adjusted for items impacting comparability.

  • Discontinued operations posted a loss of $3.23 per diluted share this quarter, reflecting the impairment charge related to the pending divestiture.

  • After adjusting for this charge and expenses related to restructuring, the private label operations earned $0.04 per diluted share this quarter.

  • Expected earnings from the private label operations were included in our earlier guidance.

  • Moving on to corporate expenses.

  • For the quarter, corporate expenses were approximately $85 million.

  • Adjusting for items impacting comparability, corporate expenses were $72 million versus $58 million in the year-ago quarter.

  • The increase versus last year's first quarter reflects higher incentives and office lease costs.

  • Equity method investment earnings were $37 million for the quarter, and $26 million in the year-ago period.

  • The year-over-year increase mostly reflects the inclusion of a full quarter's profits for the Ardent Mills joint venture.

  • The prior-year quarter only included two months of earnings from this joint venture.

  • Our comparability items this quarter included two items.

  • First, the expense related to the impairment of goodwill and other assets in the private label operations.

  • This is included within the results of discontinued operations.

  • And second, about $0.03 per diluted share of net expense from restructuring charges, $0.02 of which is in continuing operation and $0.01 of which is in discontinued operations.

  • On cash flow capital and balance sheet items, we ended the quarter with $114 million of cash on hand and $1 million of outstanding commercial paper borrowings.

  • Total operating cash flows for the fiscal first quarter were approximately $67 million, versus $234 million in the year-ago quarter.

  • The decrease is driven principally by timing matters related to payroll, incentives, and tax payments as well as higher working capital, driven in large part by higher receivables related to the increase in sales.

  • On capital expenditures, for the quarter we had capital expenditures of $108 million versus $90 million in the prior-year quarter.

  • Net interest expense was $80 million in the fiscal first quarter, versus $83 million in the year-ago quarter.

  • And dividends this fiscal quarter were $107 million, versus $105 million in the year-ago quarter.

  • On capital allocation, for fiscal 2016, we remain committed to an investment grade credit rating and a capital allocation strategy appropriately balanced between further debt reduction, a top-tier dividend, share repurchases, and additional growth investment.

  • The Company will assess opportunities to increase the dividend after it is further along with the development of its strategic plan.

  • We did not repay any long-term debt, or repurchase any shares this quarter.

  • We have approximately $132 million remaining on our existing share repurchase authorization.

  • And subsequent to year end, we did repay $250 million of long-term debt, principally through commercial paper borrowings.

  • Now I'd like to provide a few comments on the balance of fiscal 2016.

  • As we noted in the release, we will offer more details on fiscal 2016 EPS expectations after we are further along with the process of divesting the private label operations and have finalized our SG&A reduction targets.

  • We expect the Consumer Foods segment to post modest comparable operating profit growth for the full fiscal year despite higher marketing investment, one less week in the year, and headwinds from FX, higher incentives, and stranded costs.

  • We also expect the Commercial Foods segment to post modest operating profit growth, despite having one last week in the year and higher incentive costs.

  • With regard to the second quarter of fiscal 2016, we expect EPS adjusted for items impacting comparability to be approximately in line with the year-ago quarter.

  • Despite strong fundamentals and expectations for continued margin expansion, comparable operating profit for the Consumer Foods segment in the fiscal second quarter is expected to be negatively impacted by foreign exchange, higher incentives, and expected stranded costs related to the divestiture of the private label operations.

  • Also, marketing costs are planned to be higher, as we continue to increase our support of key brands to drive growth.

  • The Commercial Foods segment is expected to post an increase in profits year-over-year in the fiscal second quarter.

  • The second-quarter guidance includes contribution from the private label operations, which are now in discontinued operations.

  • And as previously mentioned, will reflect a benefit from the absence of depreciation and amortization expense.

  • In closing, while we're working through a great deal of change, we are very pleased with our start to the year.

  • And the progress we have made in improving our business fundamentals.

  • That concludes our formal remarks.

  • I want to thank you for your interest in ConAgra Foods.

  • Sean and I, along with Tom McGough and Tom Werner will be happy to take your questions.

  • I will now turn it over to the operator to begin the Q&A portion of our session.

  • Operator?

  • Operator

  • (Operator Instructions)

  • Andrew Lazar, Barclays Capital.

  • Andrew Lazar - Analyst

  • Good morning, everybody.

  • Just two questions from me if I could.

  • First, with respect to private brands.

  • The new impairment charge that you talked about this morning, I guess implies that the carrying value of that business is potentially below the $3 billion level that at least had been reported in several media stories recently.

  • Obviously, you don't control the media side of it more investor expectations.

  • But is there a reason that investors should think that the carrying value as it currently shows is not consistent with the potential sale price for any reason that we may be missing?

  • John Gehring - CFO

  • Andrew, this is John.

  • Let me comment on that.

  • In order to prepare financial statements, we have to make accounting estimates.

  • We have, in preparation of the financials, we've had to make an accounting estimate that I think is conservative.

  • The process is very fluid right now.

  • I would tell you that the process is on track from a timing standpoint.

  • There's a lot of interest in the business.

  • But while we have made a conservative accounting estimate, I don't think we're going to speculate any further on where we think the ultimate outcome of the transaction will be.

  • Andrew Lazar - Analyst

  • Got it.

  • That's helpful.

  • And we obviously recognize that you have indicated the sale is proceeding as planned and whatnot.

  • And I think you said there's a lot of interest.

  • Does there are need to be -- how do you think about the required structure of a potential sale in order for the sale to create value at a given price?

  • In other words, does there need to be an equity component to share in the upside from someone else improving the margin structure of the asset, that I think we'd all agree appears to be under earning?

  • Or how broadly or have you been you thinking about potentially different structures?

  • Sean Connolly - CEO

  • Andrew, I think I said on the last quarterly call, that we would look at -- we would be open to all -- every and all structure.

  • At the end of the day, what we are most concerned about is what holistic view leads us to a decision of maximizing value for our shareholders.

  • So we are not locked into one particular outcome or the other.

  • We will pursue the pathway that is maximum value.

  • Andrew Lazar - Analyst

  • Great.

  • And then one last thing if I could.

  • Sean, I know that back in I think it was fiscal 2013, ConAgra made a real concerted effort to raise reinvestment and marketing levels and such.

  • And I don't think saw much of an incremental return on that stepped-up spending.

  • Obviously, you're going to do things in a different way as you were talking about earlier.

  • But have you examined that time period at all?

  • And maybe you could provide some perspective on why you think the spending that you will do going forward can work differently than maybe it had previously?

  • Thanks.

  • Sean Connolly - CEO

  • Andrew, let me hand this off Tom McGough.

  • Because Tom has been leading this business for a bit now, and is quite a student of the days back in 2013.

  • And I think Tom is doing an excellent job segmenting this portfolio, so, Tom, why don't you add a little color here.

  • Tom McGough - President of Consumer Foods

  • Andrew, this is Tom McGough.

  • Just let me begin by saying that we really like our portfolio, and believe that there's a lot that we can do with this.

  • And ultimately, we believe investing in brands, to strengthen those brands, to earn a higher price over time.

  • As we look back at our investment in brands, we believe that investment is best done in three ways.

  • One, we segment our businesses with a sharp eye to those that when we invest, do we get a return?

  • Second, we only invest, as Sean alluded to, when brands are A&P ready.

  • That's meaning having the right fundamentals, a consumer-relevant proposition, marketing that has impact and accretive margins.

  • As you can see, we've made very good progress on increasing our margins, and we're beginning to reinvest.

  • As you look across the portfolio, there are businesses like Marie Callender, Reddi-wip, Hunt's, that have those fundamentals right.

  • We are increasing our investment primarily on those businesses.

  • And over time, particularly in this fiscal year, we will have a meaningful increase in our A&P spending based on those principles, and concentrating the resources on those brands.

  • Operator

  • David Driscoll, Citi Research.

  • David Driscoll - Analyst

  • Great, great thank you.

  • Good morning.

  • Sean Connolly - CEO

  • Hey, David.

  • David Driscoll - Analyst

  • Wanted to ask a little bit about the volumes in the quarter for Consumer.

  • Flat volumes was a pretty good result.

  • Our Nielsen data was indicating though something worse like around negative 4% or negative 5%.

  • Can you just talk about the differences here, and how you expect volumes in consumer to move forward?

  • Tom McGough - President of Consumer Foods

  • Sure, David.

  • This is Tom McGough again.

  • As you look at our overall performance, the scanner result is one component of our volume.

  • As you said, we had flat volume in net sales that was up 2% when you adjust for FX as we executed pricing.

  • As you look at our end market performance, I would segment it into three buckets.

  • The first is, we continue to drive very strong growth.

  • Particularly in brands that we have invested in, Marie Callender, Hunt's, Slim Jim, Reddi-wip, and PAM.

  • We've also focused a lot on winning where consumers are increasingly shopping.

  • Those are in non-measured channels like club, dollar, c-store, and we're outperforming in those channels.

  • The second area that we focused on is stabilizing businesses that have been challenged in the past.

  • We're seeing very good performance as we strengthen the fundamental on those businesses.

  • Brands like Chef Boyardee and Orville grew in the quarter.

  • How we've made a big investment in a brand like PF Chang's last year that's growing solidly.

  • And we will be launching a similar type of initiative on Banquet going forward.

  • And when you look at where we've had volume weakness, we have made strategic decisions not to chase non-investment grade volume.

  • And what that means is, that we are driving trade efficiencies to eliminate negative ROI merchandising programs.

  • We are proactively pruning our line of low performing lower margin items.

  • We believe we are making the right trade-off to enhance our margins, albeit, in the near-term, lower volume on some of these brands.

  • We're at the very early stages of building these new capabilities.

  • But I think when you look at our results holistically, margin growth, brand investment, pricing, we're making very good progress, and that demonstrates the potential that we have in our portfolio.

  • David Driscoll - Analyst

  • So are you trying to tell me that you expect that the volume growth improves in the Nielsen data because of all these factors?

  • And that this flat volume number that you report on shipments is maybe a leading indicator?

  • Is that fair?

  • Tom McGough - President of Consumer Foods

  • I think what you're going to see over time is a business that continues to strengthen.

  • Overall, we're in a very challenged environment, and our performance should be roughly in line with overall category trends.

  • But we are investing in our businesses, and we would expect our volume performance to strengthen over time.

  • David Driscoll - Analyst

  • Just one data item.

  • What's the D&A on private brands that will be eliminated for the full year?

  • Can you quantify that figure for us?

  • John Gehring - CFO

  • Yes, I believe that's about $175 million, in that range.

  • David Driscoll - Analyst

  • Okay, I will pass it along.

  • Thank you.

  • Operator

  • Ken Goldman, JPMorgan.

  • Ken Goldman - Analyst

  • Hello, two questions if I can.

  • You said the sale of private brands would result in a significant tax loss carry forward.

  • That make sense.

  • I'm just curious, can you use these -- and accounting is not my strength, so if this is obvious, just feel free to laugh.

  • But can you use these potential tax losses against your ongoing business, or must they be used against a gain on sale elsewhere?

  • And if it's the latter, how long do you have to utilize that loss before it turns into a pumpkin?

  • John Gehring - CFO

  • It's a capital loss carry forward.

  • So we will use it to shield gains on proceeds from future transactions.

  • And I believe the loss carry forward period is five years.

  • Ken Goldman - Analyst

  • Okay.

  • John Gehring - CFO

  • We certainly know there's a lot of confidence that we have a time horizon to use it.

  • Ken Goldman - Analyst

  • Yes.

  • Thank you for that.

  • And, Sean, you said in your prepared remarks that the focus on stronger operations, quote, does not conflict with the mentality of being open to other ways to create value.

  • Can you talk a little bit about why you included that statement?

  • And the reason I'm asking is, the first question I get on ConAgra is almost always, do you think Sean is at least open to hearing about all options?

  • And this is nothing new here.

  • Your comment today is nothing incremental, but it reiterated what you've said in the past.

  • And I'm curious why you felt it was important to emphasize the point, if you will.

  • Sean Connolly - CEO

  • Number one, I think it's appropriate to be very consistent on this matter.

  • And number two, there are obviously differing views out there in terms of what is the right path forward for ConAgra.

  • We are absolutely well aware of those views.

  • We understand it.

  • We understand the different perspectives and the merits of different points of view.

  • At the end of the day, though, we have got a business to run.

  • We have got a business to improve.

  • That's our responsibility, and we're going to do that.

  • But at the same time, we want to make sure everybody knows that we are squarely focused on maximizing value.

  • And that means we're not rigid about value creation, we are holistic, we're flexible.

  • But we're also pragmatic and we deal with what?s real.

  • And what's real today is, we're focused on a base plan that we think has a tremendous amount of potential for our shareholders.

  • Ken Goldman - Analyst

  • That's helpful.

  • Thank you very much.

  • Operator

  • Jason English, Goldman Sachs.

  • Jason English - Analyst

  • Good morning, folks.

  • Sean Connolly - CEO

  • Morning, Jason.

  • Jason English - Analyst

  • I wanted to pick up on the last question.

  • The comment about future divestment to tap into the tax loss carry forward.

  • As you think about what shape those may be, are you thinking more pruning around the edges?

  • Or could we be potentially considering larger chunks of the portfolio moving out?

  • Sean Connolly - CEO

  • Well, Jason, I will take that.

  • We're not going to speculate on hypothetical deals.

  • Because there is nothing to report here.

  • Obviously, we, on an ongoing basis, always look at different ways to maximize value for our shareholders, and we will continue to do that.

  • If we have something to report, we will certainly do that.

  • But I think the key message is, if there is something that makes sense for our shareholders, we are absolutely going to consider it.

  • And our shareholders should expect us to be proactively conducting those analyses on an ongoing basis.

  • Jason English - Analyst

  • Got it.

  • Let me then refocus on the core on the Consumer Foods side.

  • We heard reference to a number of initiatives to improve the performance on a go forward.

  • One of them being straight spend efficiencies.

  • I think that's interesting.

  • Our own analysis suggests there could be substantial opportunity at ConAgra.

  • But as we think about the path forward, that same analysis would suggest you may have to sacrifice a fair amount of volume.

  • And we're big proponents of value over volume, I think you are too.

  • My question is, are you willing to?

  • Are you willing to sacrifice some volume and market share in an effort to get that trade spend in the right level to maximize the bottom line?

  • And then what sort of obstacles do you think you may have to overcome to achieve it?

  • Sean Connolly - CEO

  • Jason, Tom McGough just used a phrase, non-investment grade volume, a little bit ago.

  • And I've been using that phrase for a long time.

  • Not all volume in the food industry is created equal.

  • And certainly, the industry and ConAgra in particular has been over committed to things like 10 for 10's and deep discount-based volume in its past.

  • We've got an opportunity in front of us to meaningfully expand our margins, and there are going to be a variety of things that go into that.

  • Part of that is going to be being very clear eyed around maybe pieces of the business that we just haven?t gotten to improving over the years.

  • What is our plan on that?

  • Volume that is not investment-grade, do we really need it in the base?

  • So we're going to be very practical about this.

  • Because big picture, we're squarely focused on margin improvement in our Consumer segment as our first priority.

  • And clearly, we're developing new capabilities around pricing, trade, mix management, that we've lacked in the past.

  • Our productivity work is also mission-critical, as is our SG&A effort.

  • But, at the end of the day, we need stronger brands and better innovation.

  • The reason for that is so we can improve volumes over time, reduce elasticities of demand, and ultimately grow our market shares.

  • And all together, that is a proven combination for value creation.

  • If that means we have got to prune some non-investment grade volume in the early days, then we will do that.

  • And it's just part of running a business well.

  • Jason English - Analyst

  • I hear you.

  • Thanks a lot.

  • I will pass it on.

  • Operator

  • David Palmer, RBC Capital Markets.

  • Chris Klinefelter - VP of IR

  • Hello David?

  • We are not hearing you yet.

  • Operator

  • Mr. Palmer, your line is open.

  • Chris Klinefelter - VP of IR

  • Operator, we will move on, and if David comes back we'll -- please make room for him.

  • Operator

  • Jonathan Feeney, Athlos Research.

  • Jonathan Feeney - Analyst

  • Good morning, guys.

  • Thanks very much.

  • Sean Connolly - CEO

  • Hey, Jonathan.

  • Jonathan Feeney - Analyst

  • Couple things.

  • First, I know we have beaten this horse dead.

  • But it's an important detail, John, you talked about, and I wanted to ask.

  • Because I'm not that familiar with accounting as it relates to impairments either.

  • But as you do tests to impair long-lived assets, sorry, assets held for sale, whether long-lived or otherwise.

  • Does feedback from the process as the conversations that you?ve had, anything other than just net present value and cash flow estimates that an accountant would use if there were no sale conversations going on included in that impairment?

  • Is that part of the guideline of how you do that?

  • Do you think about what you might be able sell it for based on conversations you?ve had?

  • John Gehring - CFO

  • Yes.

  • And in fact, Jonathan, when you move into discontinued operations and assets held for sale, the requirements do change.

  • And so it has some impact on how you have to measure certain assets.

  • But clearly, trying to make an estimate of proceeds, as I referred to earlier, is a big input into how you ultimately arrive at that value than to go ahead and measure impairments.

  • It's a very different methodology.

  • Jonathan Feeney - Analyst

  • I got you.

  • Thank you very much.

  • And, Sean, could you give us more detail?

  • You talked about for the fiscal second quarter increased investment in marketing in what's presumably the core Consumer business.

  • And you also made mention of getting certain brands ready for more consumer marketing.

  • So I guess could you -- at a time when it seems like a lot of other companies are talking about -- are generally speaking reducing advertising spending.

  • Talking about changing to digital mix, changing -- lowering their costs.

  • What are your priorities for marketing investment, both in terms of the kind of spending you are going to be doing, digital versus traditional?

  • As well as maybe the brands you think that are ready to support this second quarter as you've guided this spending, versus things in the future?

  • Thanks.

  • Sean Connolly - CEO

  • Sure.

  • I think -- first of all, let's not confuse ConAgra's historical A&P spending with many of our peer companies.

  • We've been nowhere near the level they've been, where a lot of those companies have been probably our over their skis and over investing and have pulled back.

  • Historically, we've actually been the opposite case.

  • We've under invested.

  • But, I will say to Tom McGough's credit, Tom and his team were very clear eyed last year about identifying A&P spend that was probably poorly allocated, should never have seen the light of day, and they pulled it back.

  • That established a fairly low base for us in the year-ago period.

  • And obviously, that's not a position you want to be in on a perpetual basis.

  • Because you lose brand health, you lose the ability to take price, and ultimately, you'll lose margin.

  • So our plan all along has been to surgically begin to invest back to strengthen our brands.

  • So we can build in more pricing power, build that brand equity, and ultimately, drive the right kind of mix in margin accretive innovation.

  • That is our plan, and Q2 is a meaningful quarter for us in terms of getting back on the horse.

  • So we do have a series of new initiatives that are important to our franchises like Banquet and others that I mentioned before, that will experience launch costs, for lack of a better phrase, in quarter two.

  • These are absolutely the right investments to be making in the name of brand strength, higher price realization, and stronger margins.

  • And we will only pursue those kind of investments though when we've got a brand that we conclude is A&P ready with all the right conditions around it.

  • So that's part of our plan.

  • And it is all part of this rather multifaceted approach to margin expansion.

  • Jonathan Feeney - Analyst

  • Great.

  • Thanks for the detail.

  • Operator

  • Bryan Spillane, Bank of America Merrill Lynch.

  • Bryan Spillane - Analyst

  • Good morning.

  • I've got a follow-up question just on the capital loss.

  • I think if you just take what you're carrying on the balance sheet today as the value for the private brands businesses, and you add back all the write-downs.

  • You get to a capital loss I think of about $4 billion or so, which would imply a tax asset I guess that would be north of $1 billion.

  • So is that directionally the right way to think about it?

  • And I guess if that tax asset ends up being that large, can it be used all at once or would it have to be used -- can you only apply a certain amount of it per transaction or per event?

  • John Gehring - CFO

  • Yes, this is John.

  • I think directionally, your math logic is right.

  • I'm not also a tax expert, but I'm not aware of any limitations on how much you can use at a time.

  • I think it just depends on the size of the transaction and the various tax bases, et cetera.

  • So no limitations that I am aware of.

  • Bryan Spillane - Analyst

  • I guess then it would give you a lot more flexibility, if you were to start thinking about other parts of your portfolio in terms of how you might structure transactions.

  • Just because you don't have to think as much -- the effect of a capital gain doesn't factor into the equation as much.

  • Is that fair?

  • John Gehring - CFO

  • Correct.

  • Bryan Spillane - Analyst

  • Okay.

  • All right.

  • Thank you.

  • Operator

  • David Palmer.

  • David Palmer - Analyst

  • Thank you.

  • Can you hear me now?

  • Sean Connolly - CEO

  • Yes I can.

  • David Palmer - Analyst

  • Thank you.

  • You mentioned before that you are rationalizing promotion spend and perhaps doing so with better analytics.

  • Are there examples in the past or mistakes that were made in terms of how ConAgra promoted in the past that you have learned for and perhaps corrected?

  • Types of promotions perhaps.

  • And then you also mentioned that you are investing in your businesses and brands.

  • Could you give some examples of where you think the returns are going to be, what type of investments will be made that we'll see play out this fiscal year?

  • Thanks

  • Sean Connolly - CEO

  • David, this is Sean.

  • Let me take the first part on trade, and I'll turn it over to Tom on the other piece of it.

  • If you look at just marketing spend in total, companies tend to toggle one way or another.

  • They are either overly tilted toward trade, or they?re tilted below-the-line marketing spend.

  • We historically have been the former.

  • We're a Company that has been heavily reliant on trade historically.

  • Trade in our industry, I think all of you know, is highly inefficient.

  • It's gotten better over the years as systems and analytic tools have become better, but this ultimately comes down to a cultural shift.

  • If you are a company that is culturally built around moving boxes and reliant on trade as a catalyst for moving maximum volume, that seeps its way into your culture.

  • And it requires significant cultural change to change that muscle memory for a different approach.

  • We are clearly committed to a different approach.

  • We want to build brand strength.

  • We want to compete on dimensions other than price.

  • We want to get our margins up.

  • We want our brand health up.

  • But we're going to pursue all that in a surgical way.

  • So there's no one aspect of trade that is worth pointing out.

  • It's a habitual thing when you get overly reliant on trade and deep discount promotions, and it's a highly inefficient way to run the railroad.

  • So we will migrate to a more progressive approach here over time as we build that capability.

  • It is one of our top priorities.

  • We are making meaningful progress here in terms of the approach we take, the talent we've got managing it, et cetera.

  • It's a big part of our margin expansion plans, and our brand health plans.

  • Tom, you want to cover the other piece?

  • Tom McGough - President of Consumer Foods

  • Sure.

  • Specifically when you look at our marketing investments, I'd bucket it in a couple areas.

  • First is, we're going to invest where we're doing really well.

  • Marie Callender is a business in our largest category, frozen single-serve meals, that has consistently grown.

  • And we're going to increase our investment to continue to drive that business.

  • Second, on tomatoes, that is a platform that we have a strong point of difference in how we process our tomatoes.

  • That's very consumer relevant.

  • We've advertised that consistently, we're amplifying our efforts in that area to drive home that message.

  • The third would be on brands like Reddi-wip, that have another clear point of difference.

  • A brand that is made with real cream, 15 calories.

  • Over last year, we actually have captured the number one spot in the combined refrigerated and frozen whipped topping area.

  • This is a business that continues to grow at a double-digit rate, and we're going to amplify our spending on brands like that.

  • At the same time, we've made progress on getting the fundamentals right on many businesses.

  • Healthy Choice Simply Steamers is a product with, as Sean said, nothing artificial, 100% natural protein.

  • It is really resonating with consumers, and we're going to invest to drive awareness on that.

  • So that's a flavor of the type investments that we're going to make.

  • We're going to be very disciplined in investing in those brands that are A&P ready, and have margins that can support that investment over time.

  • David Palmer - Analyst

  • Great.

  • That's helpful.

  • Thank you.

  • Operator

  • Eric Katzman, Deutsche Bank.

  • Eric Katzman - Analyst

  • Good morning, everybody.

  • Sean Connolly - CEO

  • Morning, Eric.

  • Eric Katzman - Analyst

  • I guess let me focus a little bit on the Consumer food long-term margin.

  • Sean, you've been in the industry for a long time.

  • You've observed ConAgra from afar.

  • There have been a number of CEOs who have come in that at least I have heard who have said the same thing.

  • The culture needs to change, the 10 for 10 on Banquet, et cetera.

  • A lot of cost reduction efforts that for whatever reason didn't end up helping margins on Consumer.

  • I think Consumer Foods' margins have basically been mid-teens forever.

  • And so I guess is it that you see parts of the portfolio and the relative market share position as enough to throw out a number and get you to high teens margins, while divesting some of the stuff that makes it too complex?

  • Or maybe just go into a little more detail as to why we should believe those EBIT margins have the potential to increase?

  • Sean Connolly - CEO

  • Sure, happy to tackle that, Eric.

  • First of all, with respect to my view and how it's different from others who have come here before.

  • I'm not going to comment on the past.

  • But what I will say that I mentioned last quarter is this.

  • Which is, when I was thinking about joining this Company, one of the things that was really important to me was having confidence that I was going to be backed by a Board of Directors that were willing to embrace bold change.

  • For those on the call that know me, know that I'm not afraid to get after bold change in order to get after opportunity.

  • Clearly, my Board -- I wouldn't be here if the Board wasn't really looking for change, and they've given me the latitude to do that.

  • So when we say everything's on the table, it's on the table.

  • And we will pursue bold change.

  • And with respect to our Consumer portfolio, I think some of the stuff that Tom has got going on right now is indicative of what this portfolio is capable of.

  • Now, it requires, because of the number of brands in the portfolio, rigorous segmentation around where do you want to place your bets.

  • But there are businesses that have historically not done much where there is built in latent opportunity that we need to unlock.

  • Now if you look at the Hunt's tomato example that Tom points out, Hunt's tomato for a long time didn't get a lot of attention, didn't get a lot of love.

  • The team acknowledged that Hunt's is the one tomato in the industry that is not peeled chemically, it's peeled naturally with steam.

  • And in today's environment where consumers are looking for real authentic food, that is a meaningful point of difference and it was sitting there for the taking all along.

  • And the team recognized the insight, they activated against the insight, and they're driving significant margin expansion and growth.

  • Similarly, if you look at a business like Reddi-wip.

  • For years, Reddi-wip was number two fiddle to another larger competitor in the whipped topping space that just happens to be artificial.

  • Well in today's day and age, when you are looking at consumers that want authentic products, a real cream product is right in the wheelhouse of what the consumer is looking for.

  • So the team recognized that opportunity, they activated against it.

  • They've got top-line growth, they've got margin expansion.

  • We've got these kinds of opportunities in many different places across the portfolio.

  • Sometimes it's a matter of recognizing the insight, sometimes there's some innovation that's needed.

  • There's some packaging improvements that's needed to bring us into the modern era.

  • But having worked in a lot of large cap food companies in my career, our portfolio, quite frankly, is not a whole lot different in terms of strength and potential than other portfolios.

  • For some reason, we have acted historically like it is.

  • And I reject that notion.

  • I think that there are spots in this portfolio where we can take the actions necessary to create value to drive margin structure.

  • And of course, the cost side of it's a big part of our play book as well, and as you can tell, we're after that quite aggressively.

  • Operator

  • Alexia Howard, Sanford Bernstein.

  • Alexia Howard - Analyst

  • Good morning, everyone.

  • Hello there.

  • Maybe just a quick follow up on the margins, and in particular the SG&A efficiency point that you made at the beginning of the prepared remarks.

  • You talked about wanting to get to the top quartile in terms of SG&A efficiency.

  • Can you quantify how much that would come down by, based on your benchmarking that you have done, and how quickly that might be achieved?

  • Thank you.

  • Sean Connolly - CEO

  • Alexia, we will do a pretty thorough deep dive for our investors on all our efficiency programs at a later date.

  • Not just SG&A, but trade, COGS, all of that.

  • But what I can say is that, let's look at our starting point.

  • First of all, when you are dealing with SG&A, it's important to strip out the A&P piece.

  • So you're looking at underlying infrastructure based SG&A.

  • We closed last year at about 10%.

  • And while that is significantly below many of our peers in the industry, which reflects the work that the Company has already done to get costs out, it is not as low as Kraft Heinz, as an example.

  • Which is everybody's new benchmark, at least the pro forma that they have signed up for.

  • So we reject the notion that we are good enough.

  • We know we have got to do better, We know we have got to look at every single lever we can to get there.

  • And as a result, we have been intensively working on four pillars to make progress on SG&A.

  • We'll have more to talk about here at a later date in terms of what it adds up to.

  • But it comes down to zero basing, every single thing in our budgets has now been zero-based.

  • Spans and layers, outsourcing where it make sense to outsource, and somebody else can accomplish some of the back office stuff that we do more efficiently, and then procurement.

  • Those are four areas that we are after every single day with a professional program management approach, and we're making tremendous progress.

  • We look forward to sharing a bit more of a deep dive on that at a later point.

  • Operator

  • Rob Dickerson, Consumer Edge Research.

  • Rob Dickerson - Analyst

  • Thank you, good morning.

  • Sean, just a couple of quick questions strategically.

  • So there's a lot of the call that discussed around private label, the deferred tax asset, the new strategy on building the brands, therefore, you've improved brand strength and margin improvement, et cetera.

  • It leads to this overall profitability pick up when you couple it with cost savings, then you can spend back on a more focused basis such that you drive growth.

  • And a lot of that strategy, quite frankly, is very similar to what it sounds like what you did at Hillshire, and it worked very well.

  • But from your perspective, when you think about where you are now relative to the strategy you did at Hillshire.

  • Is it necessary, really a part of the strategy now, it's necessary to divest a number of the underperforming brands just because of the increased complexity of the portfolio such that the improved margin spend back et cetera strategy is much harder to tackle?

  • Because of the diversity of the portfolio relative to what you had at a company like Hillshire?

  • Thanks.

  • Sean Connolly - CEO

  • I think the way I will answer that is, I think it's always important to look at your portfolio segmentation and prioritize focus.

  • And I think our decision on the private brands business shows that we do believe there is benefit to having a more focused portfolio.

  • Then within the remaining business, we look at -- as we look at segmentation very generically.

  • There are businesses that you will invest to grow, there are businesses that play more of a role of profit contributors and good cash flow.

  • And you have got to be clear eyed around the businesses that are the, quote, chronically, de-buckets.

  • And unless you've got a plan for dealing with them, maybe somebody else values them more than you do.

  • I think that's something that good portfolio managers do.

  • Those tend to be smaller businesses, but you have got to look at it.

  • So part of really running a business for strong margin expansion is being real clear eyed on some of those businesses that are either never getting attention or they're chronic headaches.

  • And you have got to either have an answer for them, or you've got do something else with them.

  • And that will be part of our play book as we run the business going forward.

  • Operator

  • Rob Moskow, Credit Suisse [Verspoten].

  • Rob Moskow - Analyst

  • Thanks, Sean and Tom.

  • And I was wondering if you could give us a little insight into how you're structured within Consumer Foods right now?

  • Tom, who reports into you from an operating perspective?

  • There was a time, a glimpse in time, where there was a grocery division, frozen, snacks and store brands, and then enablers.

  • And then it was rolled back up.

  • And I don't think I have a good sense of how you're structured within Consumer.

  • And maybe that could help us understand a little bit about, within these divisions, we can start to figure out what are the priority brands within the divisions, and how they are going to be allocated resources.

  • Tom McGough - President of Consumer Foods

  • Sure, Robert.

  • We have consolidated our leadership into two business groups.

  • The frozen group and the grocery group, which is essentially our grocery shelf stable and snacks refrigerated portfolio.

  • That is the structure.

  • We run the portfolio, as Sean has said, with a eye to segmentation.

  • So one level below that is a segmentation about businesses that we are going to invest to grow, and those businesses that are going to drive margin and profit.

  • Operator

  • Chris Growe, Stifel.

  • Chris Growe - Analyst

  • Hello, good morning.

  • I just had a quick question for you.

  • I wanted to make sure I have the right basis for the private brands business that will be sold.

  • I think you talked about a mid $300 million EBITDA level.

  • Is that still a good estimate for EBITDA for the business you're selling?

  • And maybe along those lines, what the sales would be?

  • And can you speak to the recent trends volumes anything on that business?

  • Chris Klinefelter - VP of IR

  • Chris, this is Chris.

  • I believe there's a number you are referencing for the mid $300 millions, which was the number we offered in the fourth quarter for fiscal 2015.

  • John, did you have some other color you wanted to talk about?

  • John Gehring - CFO

  • No.

  • I think that's the range we've talked about.

  • And I think the trends -- I think Sean has talked about those trends.

  • Our first-quarter performance was as planned, below where we were a year ago, but consistent with what we had planned and where we are in the recovery process.

  • Operator

  • Pria Oregupta, Barclays.

  • Diana Chu - Analyst

  • Hello, good morning.

  • Thank you for taking the question.

  • This is Diana Chu on for Pria.

  • I was wondering, I guess the rating agencies are all looking for at least $3 billion of debt paydown with proceeds from private brands.

  • If this asset were to fall short, how quickly could you move on additional asset sales?

  • Thanks you.

  • Sean Connolly - CEO

  • Pria, or sorry, somebody's filling in for Pria.

  • We are not going to comment on hypotheticals in terms of other follow-on deals.

  • We don't have anything to report on that regard.

  • Obviously we continue to look at other ways to create value, but there's really nothing to report at all in that regard to beyond private brands.

  • John Gehring - CFO

  • The only thing I would add is as we've said all along, that we are focused on investment grade balance sheet and the credit rating.

  • And the debt repayment is going to continue to be a priority in our capital allocation.

  • Diana Chu - Analyst

  • I see.

  • All right.

  • Thank you so much.

  • Operator

  • There are no further questions, Mr. Klinefelter, I will hand the conference back to you.

  • Chris Klinefelter - VP of IR

  • Thank you.

  • Well just as a reminder, this conference is being recorded and will be archived on the web as detailed in our news release.

  • And as always, we are available for discussions.

  • Thank you very much for your interest in ConAgra Foods.

  • Operator

  • This concludes today's ConAgra's first-quarter earnings conference call.

  • Thank you again for attending, and have a good day.