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Moderator
Ladies and gentlemen,
thank you for standing by. Welcome to the Best Buy first
quarter earnings conference call for fiscal 2003. At this
time, participants are in a listen-only mode. Later, we
will conduct a question-and-answer session. If you have
a question, you will press 1 and 4 on your touchtone phone.
As a reminder, this call is being recorded for playback
and will be available by 12 p.m. eastern time today. If
you need assistance on the call, please press * zero and
an operator will assist you. I would like to turn the
call over to Mrs. Jennifer Driscoll, vice president of
investor relations.
Jennifer Driscoll - VP Investor Relations
Thank you for joining us
today. With me are Richard Schulze our Founder, Chairman
and C.E.O., who will provide an overview of our performance
and product category; Allen Lenzmeier, president and chief
operating officer, who will report on the stores; and Darren
Jackson, executive vice president and C.F.O. who will
provide our outlook for the second quarter. Kevin Laden,
president of our Canadian operations is on the call from
the road in Toronto. Also available are Kevin Freeland,
president of Musicland stores; Michael Lundon, executive
vice president of general merchandising; Susan Hoff,
senior vice president of (inaudible); and Bruce
Vankle, vp of performance and planning management.
As always, comments made by me or others representing
Best Buy may contain forward-looking statements, which
are subject to risks and uncertainties. Filings contain
information about factor that is could cause actual results
to differ from management's expectation. I would like
to remind (inaudible) listen-only mode. Also, in the and
(inaudible) replay instructions. Simply dial 973-341-3080
and then enter the personal identification number of
3328297. With that, I will turn it over to Mr. Schulze
who will begin our prepared remarks.
Richard Schulze - Founder Chairman and CEO
Good morning,
everyone. I am pleased to report the company's earnings
for the first quarter of fiscal 2003 rose 27 percent to
$70 million or 22 cents per diluted share, adjusted for
our three-for-two stock split. That compares favorably
with the earn accident guidance provided in early April
of 20 to 21 cents per diluted share.
Our revenues for first quarter as reported on June sixth, rose
24 percent, to 4.58 billion. Revenue increase included the
impact of new stores opened in the past 12 months, addition
of Future Shop revenues and a company comparable store
gain of 5.7 percent. We view this increase as quite healthy,
particularly in light of the current economic environment.
Many of you have asked about the progression of comparable
store sales as a barometer of consumer behavior. We saw
the strongest comp gains in March, which included an earlier
Easter, followed by somewhat less robust sales in April.
In May, however, sales picked up again, due in part to
a slightly more promotional environment.
As you can see, our margins held up well as a result of
our strength in both mixed and balance. We will talk about
the quarter's business highlights and then comment on our
product categories. Afterward, I will turn over to Al
for a discussion of results by each business segment.
Finally, Darren will give us the financial highlights, as well
as an elaboration on our outlook for the next quarter.
The business highlights of the quarter were as follows:
First, we continued to grow by opening more new stores.
In fact, we opened 12 Best Buy stores this past quarter,
as well as two Future Shop stores and three Magnolia
Hi-Fi stores in the San Francisco market. Our grand opening
schedule was heavier than usual, for the first quarter.
We also closed a net of 6 mall-based Sam Goody stores
that were not meeting our profitability targets. Secondly,
we increased comp store sales by 5.7 percent, well ahead
of our origin expectations. During the environment that
was of course, generally weak for most all of retail.
I attribute the increase to the incredible strong product
cycle we continue to enjoy. It is truly exciting to see
product innovations that extend so far beyond a single product
category. Many people, seeing some products for the first
time, literally stop and stare because of the difference
that is so visually compelling, particularly in the case
of digital television, DVD and flat-screen T.V.
Thirdly, as a result of new stores in a solid comparable
store sales, we believe we continue to gain an overall market
share, specifically we believe we achieved share gains in
computers, television, as well as many other digital products.
We remain North America's top retailer of consumer
electronics computers for the home, movies and music.
Fourth, we continue to increase the gross
margin rate on top of the large gains we made last
year, reflecting lower interest rates, which
reduce the overall costs that are associated with consumer
financing offers. I would like to talk briefly about our
product categories.
Consumer electronic sales remained our largest product
category in the first quarter and add comparable store sales
gains in the high single digits. Sales of video products
remain very strong, including double digit increases in
digital television, digital cameras, as well as DVD hardware.
Lower price points are driving the digital television
business, which now comprises approximately fully one-third
of our overall T.V. revenue at Best Buy stores. DVD
players continue very strong, as lower price points and
feature products continue to boost household penetration.
Advanced features continue to enable us to sell higher-priced
digital cameras, while lower priced models fuel the increasing
demand.
Sales of audio equipment were nearly flat on a comp store
basis and declined in home components, speakers and portable
products were mostly offset by continued growth in our home
theater in a box category. Our home office category grew
in the mix, reflecting comp store sales gains in the mid-
singles, as well as the inclusion of sales from the Future
Shop stores, which have a higher proportion of home office
sales, sales of notebook computer grew double digits,
reflecting second-time users requirement for portability.
Sales of desktop PCs improved, as well, reflecting aggressive
pricing in the category.
We are modestly optimistic for the desktop computers in
the coming quarters. The first quarter included the
successful launch of our new private label PCs called VPR
matrix. We will continue to use the platform to compliment
our brand name assortment. Sales of peripherals also
perform very well, particularly networking, hard drives,
memory and MP-3 players. Cellular sales were very strong and
the growing pre-paid sales have not taken away from our
traditional eight plan offers.
The third largest category is entertainment software.
It had comp store sales gains in mid-single digits. We
enjoyed strong sale of video hardware, software and a wide
variety of accessories, as well as increased sales in DVD
movies. The video gaming category benefited from significant
price reductions on Sony and Microsoft hardware, although
sales softened somewhat ahead of the anticipated price drops.
New releases, strong catalog movies and more affordable prices
contributed to strong sales of DVD movies. Sales of pre-
recorded music declined, partly due to digital downloading,
file sharing, lack of content, lack of recognized artists
and a reduction in radio play.
Computer software, particularly productivity software
performed very well, despite the comp store sales gains
in this category, entertainment software declined in the
company's overall mix because of the inclusion of Future
Shop sales, which have a lower proportion of entertainment
software. We had comp store sales declined in the mid-single
digits for appliances amid a competitive environment. In the
next three quarters, the focus at Best Buy's appliance
departments is going to be on improving the in-store
experience, having the right products in the right store at
the right time, and increasing closed ratio of appliance
shoppers. We continue to believe in the long-term future of
this business for Best Buy, as well as, of course, Future
Shop. Each day more homes are connected to broadband
and reengineering this business in the United States will
enable us to leverage our relationships with the higher
income, technology-oriented consumers that frequently visit
our stores.
Digital products which tend to carry higher margins, comp
prized 19 percent of total sales in the quarter, up from
15 percent in the first quarter of fiscal 2002. We continue
to anticipate the sales of digital products will grow to
25 percent of our overall sales by the fourth quarter of
this year. Some of you have expressed concern about the
promotional environment. In the past quarter, the environment
was hotter than it was expected, driven by lower prices
on mostly Chinese-produced goods and lower costs in some
other categories. Secondly, consumer electronics is now
the fashion component of the retail business and more and
more competitors are participating in this space.
Third, financing is being used as promotional lever. These
factors contribute to overall promotional environment that
is perhaps more challenging. However, these trends also
are allowing us to bring more value to the consumer, which
helps support strong comparable store sales gains as we
experienced in the first quarter. Remember, we have developed
four strong segments and achieved meaningful balance in
our overall mix. With that, I would like to turn the
conference call over to Al Lenzmeier, our president and chief
operating officer. Allen.
Allen Lenzmeier - President and COO
Thanks and
good morning, everyone. This quarter we began reporting
in two segments, domestic and international. I will address
the two of them in order during my portion of the call.
Our domestic segment now includes Best Buy, Magnolia
Hi-Fi and Musicland stores. The comparable store sales
gain of 6.6 percent was above planned at Best Buy, which
accounts for the largest percentage of the sales. Musicland
comp declined 1.2 percent and was in line with our
expectations. Magnolia Hi-Fi's comp decline of approximately
10 percent was below our expectations.
For the combined group, the comps of 5.7 percent was ahead
of our expectations. The profitability of these segments
was essentially on plan. The gross profit margin rate
rose by 20 basis points reflecting a higher proportion of
digital product sales and lower costs associated with consumer
financing offers. The selling, general and administrative
expense rate declined by 10 basis points, reflecting leverage
from strong comp store sales gains. The operating income
rate improved by 40 basis points.
Our international segment includes Future Shop stores in
Canada, but will expand to include our first Canadian Best
Buy stores in the first quarter in Toronto. We are pleased
to report this segment continues to report above-average
growth. Comps at Future Shop were above planned at 9.6
percent. Operating results were ahead of plan, as well,
including investments made to boost the future profitability
of Future Shop stores and to prepare for the launch of
Best Buy stores in Canada in Toronto.
The 50-basis point decline in gross profit rate was
due to higher levels of clearance markdowns and product
mix shift. As we expected, the SG and A rate rose by 140
basis points, as we increased use of outside consultants
to promote our process to profits initiative, similar to
the initiative we completed at Best Buy stores a few years
ago. We expect the benefit of these investments to begin
to accrue in the latter part of the year, as we demonstrated
at Best Buy stores. Another factor in the SG and A rate
was investments and systems and processes to prepare for
the launch of the Best Buy stores in Canada.
We previously have stated we would incur start-up costs
in the first and second quarters related to the launch.
Combined these initiatives result indeed 190-basis point
decline for international segments. We had expected a
loss from international segment of approximately one and
a half cents per diluted share, which is where we finished.
Recent milestones in domestic business include the following:
first, last week we opened our first downtown store in
Manhattan. Our new Chelsea location features 35,000 square
feet on two floors and illustrates the versatility of our
Hi-Fi format. We are optimistic about the store's potential
and the New York metropolitan area stores led the country
in comp store sales gains again in the first quarter.
Second, in the first quarter, we successfully launched
the VPR matrix computer line. VPR matrix computers fill
gaps in our product line. In July, we will introduce
a unique new design created by Porsche or VPR matrix.
We tested a change to Best Buy's computer department
and it incorporates computer technicians directly in the
retail selling space. The change boosted sales in test
stores and profitability and will be rolled out to
approximately 120 Best Buy stores this year.
In addition, we successfully tested in-home pc networking
in two markets and are prepare tog start rolling that out
this summer. We feel these initiatives will further
strengthen our lead in the retail channel and support our
customers. Third, during the first quarter, Future Shop
opened a fully automated distribution store in Meskuse, Quebec
and Courtney, British Columbia. We are on track for eight
new Best Buy stores and nine new Future Shop stores
in Canada in the current fiscal year. Later this year,
we plan to test a 20,000 square foot form at of the Best
Buy store in several markets. This new store design is
expected to include all four of our product categories and
utilize aspects of the Hi-Fi design. We can reach markets
with the population of less than 120,000 and would provide
the company with yet another avenue for growth.
We believe this store size could give us a opportunity
to open up an additional 150 locations. At Musicland,
we continue to refine our product assortments. For example,
we are preparing to rename our small market On Cue stores
of Sam Goody and to remerchandise the stores with an expanded
assortment of DVD movies and video gaming. We will expand
our assortments in these two categories at approximately
250 of our mall-based Sam Goody stores. Our Suncoast
stores are enjoying strong store gains due to the popularity
of DVD movies.
Next, Darren Jackson will provide our outlook for the
second quarter.
Darren Jackson - Executive VP and CFO
Thanks. Good
morning, everyone. Now that we have covered the first
quarter results, I would like to give you our outlook for
the second quarter. Our assumptions for the second quarter
include total sales growth of 23 to 24 percent, including
the impact of new stores of comparable store gain of 4 to
5 percent and the addition of Future Shop sales. We
are projecting comp gain of 5 percent at Best Buy stores.
Essentially flat comps at Musicland and 8 percent gains
at Future Shop for the second quarter. We expect our
gross margin rate for the enterprise to decline by 30 basis
points, reflecting continued strength in the digital products
offset by mixed changes at Musicland stores, principally
the increase in DVD and video gaming. We also expect
to increase our penetration in the lower margin computer
business in the second quarter.
We anticipate the SG and A rate being essentially flat
with the prior year. That brings me to our international
guidance for the second quarter. This level of performance
would bring us to estimated EPS of 30 to 32 cents per diluted
share and average increase of 21 percent, which is in line
with projected growth rate for the year and higher than we
originally budgeted. This estimate includes approximately
4 cents per share of dilution, related to our investments
in remerchandising in Sam Goody stores, launching Best
Buy in Canada and (inaudible, background noise) initiatives
in Future Shop stores. This investment is equivalent to the 4
cents invested in the first quarter in the same initiatives.
Today, we will reiterate the full-year guidance, which
included growth of 17 to 20 percent and earnings growth
of 18 to 21 percent. We feel very confident about that
guidance in this current environment. With that, I will
return the call to Dick.
Thank you. As
you know, at the end of this month, I will step aside as
the C.E.O. of Best Buy to focus on my new role as Founder
and chairman of the board. Brad Anderson will be C.E.O.
As many of you know, and he will lead our future earnings
conference calls. This was a great deal of confidence
I turn over the helm to Brad, who has been my colleague
for three full decades. Together, we have built one of
the nation's top retailers and it is a gratifying scene
and scenario to me that I can place the future of this
company in the hands of a truly talented management team.
Now, I would like the operator to open up the floor to
questions from our investor audience.
Moderator
Thank you. To ask
a question, press 1, followed by 4 on your touchtone phone
at this time. Our first question is from Bill Julian
of Salomon Smith Barney.
Analyst
Thank you. Good morning.
With respect to the four cents of dilution, which you
are referring to in the second quarter here. As you probably
know, consensus estimates sit at 33 cents and you are guiding
to 30 or 32 cents. Are we to read into this there is nothing
new about guidance here and this 4 cents was always planned?
Have you changed the timing of cost? Can you give me
color on that?
Darren Jackson - Executive VP and CFO
That is Darren.
We have not changed the timing. Our practice has been
to guide during these conference calls on the next quarter.
We have never given guidance in terms of a point estimate
in the second quarter. So, from our vantage point, nothing
has really changed. If you go back to our last call, we
had said in the first two quarters of this year, historically
Future Shop is break even to losing a little money. We
talked on the last call about making investments, particularly
in the Sam Goody change. So, from our perspective, things
have not changed. That is why when you look at the full-year
number you see it inched up a little bit as a result of
our first quarter performance. It is a timing event versus
any change in guidance. I would say we feel every bit
as confident about the year today as we did when we started
the year.
Analyst
Okay. Perhaps you can give us
just a feeling for what is expected in the third and fourth
quarter. Consensus now sits at 32 cents for the third
quarter, which implies stronger growth, much stronger
than consensus implies in the fourth. Should we look at
the timing of profitability in the back half of the year
maybe shifting that from the third to the fourth quarter?
Darren Jackson - Executive VP and CFO
The short
answer is for the year, we still plan on doing the two 10
to 2 17. Look at performance last year, we had a strong
fourth quarter. I would suggest to you that our third
quarter performance in all retail expected this and felt
this last year result of September 11th. When we look
to the back half of the year, the third quarter would be
a place that I think we have a little bit of opportunity.
In the fourth quarter, based on our initiatives and store
openings, we feel good about that. The third quarter,
in relation to where the consensus is seems to be in place
where we would look to outperform a little bit.
Analyst
Okay. Thank you very
much.
Moderator
Thank you. Our next question is
coming from Peter Caruso of Merrill Lynch.
Analyst
Thank you. Good morning.
First, Dick, good luck in your new role as Chairman
of Best Buy. I hope it is as success employ as your
C.E.O. role was. I would like to ask you first, your
perspective. You have been through many promotional cycles
in this business. This is not the first time we have such
a highly consolidated market share where Best Buy circuit,
Sears, (inaudible) dominant players and increasingly
have to eat each other's lunch to gain market share. Are
you committed to remaining the promotional leader no matter
what it entails in terms of gross margin over the next year
if the market continues to heat up? Who would you name
as one or two major competitors you have seen heat the
market up the most?
Richard Schulze - Founder Chairman and CEO
I suggest
you are correct that with the consolidation that has occurred
in the framework of the last five or six years in particular,
the balance of market share has shifted to a small, but
very powerful group of retailers. We have a strong franchise
with American consumers. We believe that we have emerged
through the process clearly as the branded choice, the
preferred retailer for the sale of three of the four
categories that are major components for our growing business.
I would say that it is incumbent on us to always maintain
a balance between the level of promotional activity or the
type of representation we will have to be in the game with
any and all players that would attempt to try to ratchet
market share. We have, however, learned that you don't
have to overload the assortment with that type of product.
In fact, you are better off by sharpening your offerings,
making sure they are competitive, turning them effectively
and strategizing for much of the shift that you have seen
has taken place in digital products. This is where we
feel we have a huge leg up over most of all our competitors,
certainly for sure, the discount channel in the purest form,
meaning wholesale clubs and mass retailers.
The other specialty retailers certainly have similar plans.
We just think that the next element of differentiation falls
to execution. So, the simple answer is we are definitely
going to be in the game, matching off on any and all pricing
from wherever it comes to ensure the fact that we are always
priced right for our consumers on literally any and all
products offered by the mass channel. But, you will see
a stave evolution, to higher better quality brand names
and technology offerings on our floor, as we continue to move
more toward that early adaptor techno file consumer. We
think the way we merchandise, display, interact, demonstrate,
train, and promote, that we will continue to get more share
of footsteps into our stores than any of our direct
competitors trying to emulate the same strategy. This got us
here and we are fortunate right now because of the market
share we occupy and the preference that our stores have shown
against any and all competitors that many more suppliers,
each and every year, are opting to introduce products on
our floor.
I feel confident we are well positioned a minimum two-and-
a-half to one over the next consumer preference and meaningful
share advantage over everybody. So, the one key obvious
factor that the rest of the world needs to be aware of,
the consolidation that has literally driven a high level
of that threshold level type product is now in the hands
of the Wal-Mart, Target, K-mart strategy and because of sheer
magnitude of the volume of retail stores in the marketplace,
they are just bound to do a tremendous amount of business
in those categories. It is why they have been so formidable.
But, we think that the complexity and the technology of
the new digital products will ensure the fact those consumers
will stay in our stores.
Analyst
Do you see anyone other than
Circuit City racking up the promotional environment?
Richard Schulze - Founder Chairman and CEO
I would
ask Michael who is here. Mike, have you seen anybody
other than Circuit? They have had aggressive activity
on the PC world in the last quarter. Has there been anybody
else doing anything?
Everybody is behaving as
they have in the past. I think one thing that is important
as we think about this is that we are just really in the
beginning of the digital cycle. I think a lot of us are
close to the product and live it everyday. When you go
out and talk to consumers and talk about satellite, radio,
digital T.V., we are just beginning. As Dick eluded
to, the parts of more complex. More and more parts are
working together. I think we have the opportunity to offer
a wide variety of products of digital cameras, for example,
are extremely popular. Take a look at our circular this
week. We have prices from 999 to 279. There are
a tremendous amount of offering to the consumer as they
embrace new digital technology. Even DVD, household
saturation is really just beginning.
Richard Schulze - Founder Chairman and CEO
The best
way to look at it with this promotionality in the most recent
quarter, our margins were up, which would suggest we have
a great mix and a strong balance and we know how to get
to the better quality more profitable products.
Analyst
Okay. Thank you and good
luck in the next quarter.
Richard Schulze - Founder Chairman and CEO
Thank you.
Next question.
Moderator
Thank you. Our next
question comes from Matt Fassler of Goldman
Sachs.
Analyst
Thanks a lot. Good morning. Dick
best wishes to you going forward. A couple of questions.
I want to focus on Canada and you spoke about bringing
the process to profits efforts to the Future Shop operation.
That was obviously very successful for you to say the
least, in the United States. Can you comment on where
that business is right now? What kind of changes you
think you need to make? What the timeframe is to get
that operation to targeted profit levels?
Richard Schulze - Founder Chairman and CEO
Maybe I
might ask Allen and Kevin, who is on the phone from Toronto,
to comment directly. Obviously Allen is spearheading
the process as we know it here. Kevin is on the firing
line in Canada. Maybe Allen, give Matt an overview and
ask Kevin to fill in the blanks.
Allen Lenzmeier - President and COO
Matt, that probably was
the process at Best Buy in terms of process to profits.
I will probably compress it to probably two-year process
with respect we are doing to Future Shop up in Canada.
We are starting off the areas that we are starting off are
advertising effectiveness, as well as assortment management
and we are working on that now. We think we can start
accruing benefits from that in the latter part of the year.
Kevin, expand on that a little bit or -
You are correct on the
fact we are basically taking on the two-year initiative
component of what Best Buy did for process to profit.
The biggest benefit actually comes in year two and then
our ability to execute beyond that is on the table for us
to continue. Certainly from the standpoint of what we
are doing now, we are working on advertising effectiveness,
number one. Number two is assortment management and number
three is inventory in-stock, which Best Buy does a phenomenal
job of advertisement as well as regular in-stock. The
opportunity of Future Shop in the Canadian marketplace
to improve that is substantial. We are in the low 80s
as far as in-stock on some regular promotional goods.
The ability to take that into the 90s like Best Buy has
an upside opportunity for us and the assortment of life cycle
management, which we believe will improve operating margin
substantially.
Analyst
Great. I could follow
up on the domestic business, gross margin domestically relied
the promotional intensity that you spoke about. We have
seen some of the 18-month and 24-month no interest financing
that has been rocked. At what point would this start to
weigh on grosses and how - obviously, no interest financing
is cheaper for you, is this something that has no cost at
this point? We shouldn't focus on historical paradox
for promotional extremes?
Richard Schulze - Founder Chairman and CEO
I think the financing
vehicle is probably one of many vehicles that we use,
Matt, in terms of the promotional strategy. Obviously,
with interest rates down, it probably in the past quarter,
anyway, we have used it more extensively. Again, it may
vary by month, depending on the promotional climate out
there in terms of the vehicle we use for financing and rebates
and pricing, whichever is the most effective vehicle, we
will use that vehicle.
Do you have sense this
is a lever likely to be used for protractive period of time?
That is what Matt wants to get his hands around. Is
there extended use of it?
Go back to what Al said.
This is a lever we use. We understand
what happens to levers frequently and it is just a technique
for us to go to market when appropriate.
Richard Schulze - Founder Chairman and CEO
Another
thing that is important for you to know like follow to Peter's
question. We are not going to withdraw from the use of
any of the levers we feel is important and appropriate to
make sure we are in the game on each and every sale. So,
we are not letting anybody slide in anywhere with anything
that we are not willing to respond to or ready to respond
to.
Analyst
Got you. Thank you very
much.
Moderator
Thank you. Our next
question is from Allen Rifkin of Lehman Brothers.
Analyst
My congratulations and
best of luck, dick in future endeavors. Taking your comments
with respect to Peter's question together with Darren's
comments on the gross margin drivers. Darren did not mention
in his comments that increased promotional would have a
detrimental affect on margins in the second quarter. Do
you think the near-term outlook with respect to promotional
activity may actually subside as compared to Q1?
Richard Schulze - Founder Chairman and CEO
The best
way to go at that is generally to suggest that it is only
when promotional activity does not carry with it appropriate
financial benefit or performance from those using it that
they go back to the toolbox to look for new and different
ways. That is why it was such an important question is
if disproportionate gains were made from extraordinary offers
and unresponsive, you can bet they will continue. The very
fact our margins continue to strengthen certainly has a
lot to do with the mix of product that we sell. It also
suggests we know how to get to the category of product.
This is, of course, digital offerings.
That is something we have that the purest discount channel
does not offer and the ability to connect it up and integrate
it with existing products, it continues to be a competitive
advantage for a store like ours. Our sense is that if others
need to stimulate the market, disproportionately in the face
of whatever their activity might be, it is incumbent
on us to make sure we are in step with what happens in the
market to make sure we hang on to customers and remain the
preferred store.
I think we have enough
tools in the tool kit to have the flexibility to move around
here and if it does get promotional, I think we have proven
in the past, we are pretty successful at if margins are
impacted, we are able to offset that with increased revenue
so the bottom line impact is pretty negligible. If
it is promotional, we are confident we can drive more revenue
to offset whatever margin dilution there may be.
Analyst
Okay. One follow-up,
if I may. Now that I have had a short period with the
impact of reductions in the hardware prices on the part
of Sony and Microsoft, what is your take on the net benefits
to the business with respect to tirades and traffic and
what-not? One more question, if I may. Do you care
to quantify the diluted effects of Musicland the same way
you did Future Shop in Q1?
Richard Schulze - Founder Chairman and CEO
Mike, take the first
part relative to pricing on the video gaming hardware
and (inaudible) respond to the second.
The video games of today
are extensive features and solutions for customers. We
have seen not only just the international shopping consumer
demand, but continually increase consumer demand after the
price drops. What is driving, we see people buying more
software and accessories. This bows well for the upcoming
season. We are excited about it. It has injected life
into it. We have seen a lot of third-party software people
talking about it and bringing to market a new software
releases, which encourage people to buy more and more product.
As to the second question,
the way I would answer it is in my comments, I said we
expect a 4-cent diluted impact on Future Shop process to
profits launch in Canada,s well as investments to convert some
of the rural On Cue to Sam Goody and making remerchandising
adjustments in the second quarter collectively that is 4
cents. If you recall, I think Al quantified the Future
Shop impact as one and a half cents in this first quarter.
So, you are good with math. I think the difference between
the two is 2-and-a-half cents. I want to make sure I
characterize. That would be the investments to go with
it, including moving the lever mix to a fully assorted
DVD gaming offer.
Analyst
All right.
Richard Schulze - Founder Chairman and CEO
Next question,
please.
Moderator
Our next question from
Colin McGranahan of Sanford Bernstein.
Analyst
Good morning. Question
is inventory levels. The levels were overall just a little
bit higher than expected. It looks like sales exceeded
our expectations and exceeded your plan. Can you comment
on the quarter ending first quarter inventory levels and
how you feel about the inventory situation going forward
in the second quarter?
Richard Schulze - Founder Chairman and CEO
Absolutely.
That is a great question. So, average store inventories
grew a little over 10 percent in the first quarter. At
first glance, that might appear concerning. What you should
be aware of is right at the end of the first quarter, we
had done a system conversion to our new retech management
system. What we did in anticipation of that is to make
sure that we brought in some extra inventory in the event
and others have had challenges with ARP conversions in the
past. I am glad to report, as we sit here today, we don't
see those challenges. We put inventories in the store
in the event there were challenges.
So, we are comfortable that even though the inventory grows,
we will work through the inventory through the June-July
time period and be back on plan. Essentially, our trailing
turns are still at 7.4, which is where we wanted to be.
Analyst
Thank you. Secondly,
doing my math I think I came up with 2-and-a-half cents
that is 13 million from Musicland dilution in the second
quarter. Was that a similar amount in the first quarter
and overall for the year, you had said you would make a
$30 million investment in Musicland? Are you on
track there? If it was 2 and a half cents, that is 26
million so far first and second quarter, is the timing being
moved into the first half of the year?
Richard Schulze - Founder Chairman and CEO
The math is not
not far off. We have not changed our expectations to
the overall 40 million dollars of incremental year over
year investment in the business.
Richard Schulze - Founder Chairman and CEO
Sufficed to say, in
the Musicland and Future Shop initiative, there does exist
a miss-balance in the seasonality of the profitability
generated through both chains not dissimilar from Best
Buy in our earlier days before we were able to land our
process to profits initiative. Clearly, we are working
side by side with both management teams to put the kind
of competency and processes in place to balance out what
happens throughout the course of the year. Obviously, reduce
the losses that occur more traditionally in the first part of
the year and in large, the profitability that occurs in
the back half of the year. That is the nature of the
business.
We have found ways to get at that meaningfully and we think
given a bit of time, and obviously understanding from the
leadership of both groups, that we are clearly going to
land solidly on our feet there, as well.
Analyst
Great. Thank you very
much.
Richard Schulze - Founder Chairman and CEO
Next question,
please.
Moderator
Thank you. Our next
question comes from Susan Quilty from Morgan Stanley.
Analyst
If I could clarify the
last point. When you look at the full year guidance, you
are talking about 40 million in incremental investment on
Musicland. I know you said you expected the contribution
to be 40 million less this year. Is that all investment
(inaudible) at Musicland?
Darren Jackson - Executive VP and CFO
Yeah, the
short answer is it is the combination of the evolution of
the mix. When we quantified 40, we said we would lose
profitability as we intensify DVD and video game offer
in the Musicland business. We should be essentially cycled
on that at the end of the second quarter, maybe a little
bit as we go into the first half of the third quarter.
The second piece is going to include the investments that
are - we are going to make in remerchandising, continuing
to transform 250 Sam Goody mall locations and then the
On Cue locations, making the investments to convert those
from On Cue to Sam Goody rural locations.
Analyst
When you are giving 4 cent
dilution you talked about in the first and second quarter,
that is also including the mix-related shift in addition
to the remerchandising expenses and the actual start-up
expenses you talked about in Canada?
Darren Jackson - Executive VP and CFO
That is correct.
Analyst
If we look at the full
year and you are factoring in a total of 40 million dilutions
from Musicland, what would be the similar number for Future
Shop? From an investment perspective?
Darren Jackson - Executive VP and CFO
We have not
quantified that at this point. We have not shared that
publicly. As we get - move through the year in terms
of the Future Shop business, and finish scoping some of
the process to profit work, as well as the benefits that
go with it, we will finalize those estimates.
Analyst
Okay. Is it renal to
assume the recent trends would be not dramatically out of
line with those kinds of numbers going forward?
Darren Jackson - Executive VP and CFO
That is correct.
Analyst
Okay. One last question,
if I have time. In the digital T.V. category, you talked
about it being a third of overall T.V. revenue and price
points being important. Can you give us a sense of where
the average retails are in the category and where they will
be at Christmas this year and then what you think the entry
level price could be at Christmas this year? That is
it for me.
Richard Schulze - Founder Chairman and CEO
Michael, can you give that end?
On the digital T.V. and
it may be hard to quantify the average price. We have
seen digital move down into smaller screen sizes and flat
T.V.s move into smaller sizes. We see changes in prices
and projection T.V.s. It is in the neighborhood of 10
to 15 percent if you compare year over year. We do see
many more offerings with many more features. We have a
phenomena of people walking into the store and looking at
the picture availability. They are excited about home
theater being in homes. We see an increase in average
selling price in the television area.
Richard Schulze - Founder Chairman and CEO
Any sense,
Mike, for the holiday season?
I think the holiday season
will be relatively stable. The new models are coming out
now. We are seeing price drops for new models coming out.
We think prices will stay about the same as where they
are now and where we are entering new products.
Analyst
Is average retail for digital
T.V.s are above $2000 or below that?
Below that, now.
Analyst
As much as screen-sized?
Screen size plays a lot
of it. They are up to $1700. The $2000 barrier
has been broken with a number of offerings from
multiple vendors.
Analyst
Thanks.
Moderator
Thank you. Our next
question is from Mark Rowan of Prudential Securities.
Analyst
Thanks and good morning.
Couple of questions. First, on performance service plans,
Darren, what percentage of revenues came from PSPs in this
quarter? Do you expect any change from a mixed shift or
anything that you are doing in-store as far as initiatives
going forward for the rest of the year? Second, on
expansion, if you could update us on your thinking on that,
how many stores as far as Future Shop? How many stores
Best Buy do you think you can grow to in Canada? You
are thinking on Europe, what would you be thinking being
doing there? Thank you.
Richard Schulze - Founder Chairman and CEO
We don't
give out those numbers. What I can tell anecdotally,
when products like digital cameras and digital televisions
have the growth rates we have been experiencing and given
the complex nature of those benefits products, there is
benefits in the PSP arena we are seeing in the numbers today.
So, the growth in the digital products certainly
is benefiting the PSP business.
Richard Schulze - Founder Chairman and CEO
It is also
effective add-on to include the fact that we have developed
the process and sharpened the focus so effectively in our
retail sop platforms that literally, new stores come onboard,
the new styles assembled to launch these stores, literally
get up to speed on the point of time in which we open.
So, the ratio relationship of our sale on many of these
accessory service warrants, extended service or connection-
type opportunities literally hit the ground at about the same
rate that of an up-and-running store. It is in the culture
and into our process. We, of course, draw immediate gain
and benefit from its impact.
As far as the international activity or Canadian activity.
The overall target for Best Buy over time is to open
somewhere between 65 and 75 Best Buy stores across the
country. At the same time, we would expect Future Shop
to grow probably another 15 to 20 stores in total. Some
of that will actually be the expansion of smaller stores
into a larger footprint. Others will be just newly introduced
stores in markets where they have not gained fully the kind
of saturation that is necessary. So, it probably is going
to lead us somewhere around 120 stores in Canada and 65
to 75 Best Buy stores in Canada.
With respect to the international marketplace beyond the
Canadian opportunity, we have really just begun to look
seriously at each of a wide variety of new market
opportunities. We are drawing down
information about the European marketplace.
We are exploring the same kind of information relative
to competition market potential in Asia, as well as South
America. This is the process we are just underway with.
We need to learn more about the consumer attitudes and
behaviors market by market, versus what we have known and
become accustomed to in North America.
We have made an initiative to appoint a special director,
who has joined our board, and actually lives in Europe
and knows a considerable amount about the business, the retail
business in general, not just consumer electronics, a wide
variety of countries. He is engaging in the development
of a lot of facts and information to help us and guide our
thinking about what this market opportunity may or may not
be. Our sense is we have so much work ahead of us here
in North America, not only the ability to land the Best
Buy strategy in Canada, as Allen pointed out, but to
continue to refine and enhance the Future Shop initiative
to get the operating margins more closely aligned to what goes
on at Best Buy. We have this entire magnolia strategy, which
is only appearing in some increased form in San Francisco
and ultimately we expect California. Allen mentioned
the new 20,000 foot prototype we are going to be launching
later this year for the expressed purpose to try to determine
how many additional smaller communities might we bring all
four of our offerings. We still have several hundred
Best Buy stores to be launched throughout the United
States.
So, we have a full plate right now of new stores to open,
new business to create and so, we are taking it a step at
a time. Our commitment to our employees, as well as to
our shareholders was to maximize the returns on the capital
we have deployed and the investments we have made. That
is what we have learned to do reasonably well and our intent
is to stay after that barometer in a meaningful way.
Analyst
Thanks. One other question,
if I could on the music business. It has been a tough
business for everybody and everyone has just kind of throwing
up their hands and saying it is digital downloading and
there is not a lot of good acts. What is your thinking
going forward on that? Do you have contingency plans
if the business does not pick up in the next 12 months,
would you devote more floor space to you? Are you already
doing that?
Richard Schulze - Founder Chairman and CEO
We are going the other way.
This is a wonderful business. It is theater for our
strategy. I would like to maybe ask Kevin Freeland to take
a couple of minutes to tell you about the way Musicland has
worked through for improved traction in the mall operation.
I can tell you we are taking a tremendous amount of direction
from their lead in determining the importance of getting
our departments in our stores right. Even though there is
erosion in the business from certainly a couple of different
areas of opportunity, there is plenty of business to be
done at retail. We fully intend to capture an increasing
amount. Kevin, add color to what we are doing.
The combined companies
have been working over the last several months looking at
the music business, what we sell traditionally within our
stores, the businesses we are doing on-line, both physical
product and the paid down mode business on-line, as well
as looking at the broader music business, including other
channels of profitability, like live venues, concert venues,
and the like.
At this stage, the combined teams, the retail division
teams, see an opportunity that when there is a significant
change in the business, like what is going on in the music
business today, that puts an opportunity out for a growth
in our position. So, we, as a team, are committed to that
business. It reminds us quite a bit of where we were in
PCs a number of years back and by staying committed to
a business that at times look troubled. Best Buy emerged
as dominant leader in retail. So, we are at this point,
looking at what strengths we have, what new competencies we
need to build and we intend to hold our lead market share
position. We intend to grow it.
Analyst
Thank you.
Moderator
Thank you. Our next
question is coming from Dana Telsey of Bear Stearns.
Analyst
Good morning and congratulations.
Can you comment more on the private label computer area?
How big do you expect it to be? How many skews have
you added? Are there other categories where you would
add private label to? Comment on the appliance categories.
I was in the New York store this weekend, it was packed
and the sales were terrific.
Richard Schulze - Founder Chairman and CEO
Let me ask Mike London,
who rides over the top of merchandising efforts to give
you initial thoughts around the VPR matrix and appliance
business.
As far as VPR matrix goes,
it is a limited selection of SKUs. We use it to fill in
some spots where we think it is appropriate and we can offer
value. I think we have always said we expect it to compliment
branded name products and provides appropriate niches
we can fill. We are learning the process as we go along
and trying to understand it, it is complicated. We are
building competency around developing an understanding of
how you bring a product like this to market. We are excited
about our back to school offer. I think we have just been
in the business a short period of time. I think the VPR
matrix brand, as you see today, is limited to the PC area.
As far as the appliance business goes, we talk body our
results. I would tell you, we are working extremely hard
to satisfy our customers in the in-store experience and
converting customers as quickly as possible and making the
appropriate invests to do that.
Coming back from the kitchen and bath show last April,
having business in the business a number of years, there
is probably more new product at that show, than the last
10 shows together. We are excited about the future of
appliances as they become so-called smart. We think this
is a great opportunity for Best Buy and an area where
customers will look for us to be in a leadership position.
Analyst
Thank you.
Richard Schulze - Founder Chairman and CEO
Thank you. I think
we are running out of time here. With that, I would
like to thank each and every of you who has so faithfully
participated in our quarterly conference calls and attended
the various conferences that we participate in around the
country. I would like to leave you with some thoughts.
I honestly, truly and genuinely believe we are at the
top of our game in a wide variety of key areas.
Our commitment to our shareholders, as
well as our employees, is that we are going
to continue to leverage many of the core competencies we
have developed as a company over the last several decades,
not the least of which is the yield in our process to profits
initiatives. Of course, our standard operating process of
procedure that is take place at retail stores. We turn these
structural capital and we think one of the key differentiating
benefits we have really is our ability to create best in
class processes.
This is obviously what we are attempting to land solidly
in the new acquisitions we have made over the last year.
We are also really strategically more strongly linked
with our key suppliers in building partnerships of strategic
importance going forward. You are going to see and hear
about new exciting initiatives as the year rolls along, with
many suppliers who are helping us get to market quickly at the
right price and with the right offer. We are continuing
to invest in new development. A special team
of people are essentially dedicated to creating new solutions
that can be packaged and sold on the floor of our stores
with continuing improvement and profitability. Our strategic
planning teams solidly focus on providing for us stimulating
new ideas on how to think about our business over the next
five years and up to 10 years.
So, we are all about market share. We are about building
customer preference. We are about improving execution.
And, as I hand the mantel of responsibility as the C.E.O.
over to Brad, I have never been more confident in the
wonderful talents that a team has been assembled and the
passion that each and every member of this team has for
building us to another level of standard performance. Thanks
again for all of your support and all of your commitment
to what we are trying to do here. We feel good about it.
I am confident over time that you will also continue to
share in that same confidence.
Thank you very much.
Jennifer Driscoll - VP Investor Relations
Thank you for participating
in this morning's call. Again, this call will be available
for replay by dialing 973-341-3080 and entering the pin
of 3328297. You also can hear replace www.bestbuy.com by
clicking on investor relations and presentations. If you
have additional questions please call me, Jennifer Driscoll
at 952-947-2350. That concludes our call.
Moderator
Thank you. That concludes
today's teleconference. You may disconnect your line at
this time and have a great day.