安費諾 (APH) 2013 Q2 法說會逐字稿

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  • Operator

  • Hello and welcome to the second-quarter earnings conference call for Amphenol Corporation.

  • Following today's presentation there will be a formal question-and-answer session.

  • (Operator Instructions) Until then, all lines will remain in listen only-mode.

  • At the request of the Company today's conference is being recorded.

  • If anyone has any objections you may disconnect at this time.

  • I would now like to introduce today's conference host, Ms. Diana Reardon.

  • Ma'am, you may begin.

  • Diana Reardon - CFO

  • Thank you.

  • Good afternoon.

  • My name is Diana Reardon and I am Amphenol's CFO.

  • I am here together with Adam Norwitt, our CEO, and we would like to welcome you all to our second-quarter call.

  • Q2 results were released this morning.

  • I will provide some financial commentary on the quarter and Adam will give an overview of the business and current trends.

  • We will then have a question-and-answer session.

  • The Company closed the second quarter with sales of $1.136 billion and EPS of $0.95, meeting the high-end of our guidance and achieving a new EPS record.

  • Sales were up 7% in both US dollars and local currencies compared to Q2 of 2012.

  • From an organic standpoint, excluding both acquisitions and currency effects, sales in Q2 2013 were up 3% versus last year.

  • Sequentially, sales were up 5% both in US dollars and organically from Q1.

  • Breaking down sales into our two major components, our Cable business, which comprised 8% of our sales in the quarter, was up 19% from last year as a result of a 2012 acquisition.

  • The Interconnect business, which comprised 92% of our sales, was up 6% from last year as a result of both increased demand and prior-year acquisitions.

  • Adam will comment further on trends by market in a few minutes.

  • Operating income was $224 million in Q2.

  • Operating margin was 19.7%, up from 19.4% last year and from 19.2% last quarter, a very good conversion margin on incremental sales of over 24% from last year and over 30% from last quarter.

  • From a segment standpoint, in the Cable segment margins were 13.8% and comparable to prior-year levels.

  • In the Interconnect business, margins were 22%, up from 21.6% last year.

  • The year-over-year Interconnect operating margin improvement primarily reflects the positive impacts of higher volume and cost reduction actions.

  • We are very pleased with the Company's operating margin achievement of 19.7%.

  • We continue to believe that the Company's entrepreneurial operating structure and culture of cost control allows us to react in a fast and flexible manner; thereby, constantly adjusting the business to maximize profitability in what continues to be a very dynamic environment.

  • Through the deployment of these strategies, the management team has achieved industry-leading operating margins and remains fully committed to driving enhanced performance.

  • Interest expense for the quarter was $15.6 million compared to $15.1 million last year, reflecting higher average debt levels from the Company's stock buyback program.

  • Other income was $3 million, up from $2.6 million last year, primarily as a result of higher interest income on higher levels of cash and short-term cash investments.

  • The Company's effective tax rate was approximately 26.8% in the quarter, the same as last year.

  • For the full-year 2013, excluding the effect of one-time items, we currently expect a tax rate of approximately 26.3% compared to a full-year effective tax rate of 26.6% in the year 2012.

  • Net income in the quarter was approximately 14% of sales and earnings per share increased 10% to $0.95 from $0.86 last year, a strong performance.

  • Orders for the quarter were $1.177 billion resulting in a book-to-bill ratio in Q2 of approximately 1.04-to-1.

  • The Company continues to be an excellent generator of cash.

  • Cash flow from operations was a strong $180 million in Q2, or approximately 117% of net income, and the Company continues to target and achieve cash flow from operations in excess of net income.

  • The Company had strong working capital performance in the quarter.

  • Inventory declined 1% from March and was down five days to 81 days at the end of June.

  • Accounts receivable was $906 million at the end of June and days sales outstanding declined two days to 71 days.

  • Accounts payable stood at $447 million at the end of June, and from a days perspective, was also down two days from last quarter.

  • Cash flow from operations of $180 million, along with options exercised proceeds of $41 million and borrowings under the Company's revolving credit facility of $95 million, were used primarily for net capital expenditures of $36 million in the quarter; the purchase of 1.2 million shares of the Company's stock for $96 million; the acquisition of DC Electronics for $44 million; dividend payments of $17 million; and an increase in cash and cash investments of $121 million in the quarter.

  • At the end of June, the Company had approximately 7.5 million shares remaining under its stock repurchase program which expires in January of 2015.

  • At the end of June cash and short-term investments were $1.143 billion, the majority of which is held outside the US.

  • Debt at the end of June was $1.783 billion, leaving net debt at approximately $640 million at the end of the quarter.

  • Borrowings and availability under our revolving credit facility were $594 million and $406 million at the end of June, respectively.

  • The Company's leverage and interest coverage ratios remain very strong at 1.7 and 17 times, and EBITDA in the quarter was $273 million.

  • On July 1, the Company amended and extended its revolving credit facility increasing the size of the facility to $1.5 billion, extending the maturity date two years to July 2018, and lowering certain fees.

  • The Company's current availability under the amended facility is approximately $906 million.

  • In addition, in the end of the quarter the Company's Board of Directors has approved an increase in the quarterly dividend on the Company's common stock from $0.105 to $0.20 per share, increasing the yield to about 1%.

  • The increase is effective for payments beginning in October.

  • From a financial perspective, this was an excellent performance.

  • Before I turn the call over to Adam, I would like to make a few comments relative to the assumption included in our guidance.

  • The midpoint of our sales guidance has been revised down from $4.618 billion to $4.515 billion, a reduction of approximately $100 million or 2%.

  • This reduction relates to a change in our expectation for demand in the wireless device market from a mid-single-digit growth in our prior guidance to a decline of just under 10% in our current guidance.

  • This is partially offset by a contribution from the recent acquisition of about $20 million.

  • Our previous guidance anticipated for the mobile device market a significant increase in demand in the second half of 2013 relating both to new product introductions and higher production forecasts for certain mobile computing platforms, some of which were introduced to the market in late 2012.

  • Current customer forecasts indicate lower demand levels than previously expected in the second half of 2013, resulting in minimal lift in demand in the second half over first-half levels.

  • In comparing demand to prior-year levels, we now see lower demand from new product launches as well as some impact of a further acceleration in the shift in mobile computing products towards Wi-Fi-only enabled devices.

  • Our guidance also reflects a reduction in our 2013 full-year effective tax rate from 26.8% to 26.3%.

  • This compares to a full-year tax rate in 2012 of 26.6%.

  • We anticipate the rate reduction will be effective in the third quarter and have, therefore, reflected the lower rate in our guidance.

  • The adjustment to sales and the adjustment to the tax rate result in a change in the midpoint for 2013 EPS guidance from $3.81 to $3.76 for 2013, a reduction of about 1.5%.

  • Adam will now provide an overview of the business and current trends.

  • Adam Norwitt - CEO

  • Thank you very much, Diana.

  • I would like to add my welcome to all of you on the phone today.

  • As Diana mentioned, I'm going to highlight some of our achievements in the second quarter and then discuss the trends and progress that we have had in our served markets.

  • Finally, I will make a few comments on our outlook for the third quarter and the full year.

  • And then we will have time at the end for questions and answers.

  • With respect to the second quarter, we achieved record earnings per share at the high end of our guidance with revenues increasing a strong 7% from prior year and 5% sequentially.

  • We are very pleased with these results, especially given the significant market uncertainties that are still present in the global economy.

  • Diana mentioned orders reached $1.177 billion, representing a book-to-bill of 1.04-to-1 and supporting our higher expected sales levels in the second half.

  • Profitability was also strong in the quarter as we generated higher-than-normal sequential conversion margins, leading to a further expansion of our industry-leading operating margins to 19.7%.

  • I continue to be very proud of our agile entrepreneurial organization as we continue to capitalize on the many opportunities that are created by the electronics revolution and continue, most importantly, to demonstrate the discipline and drive necessary to drive strong operating performance for the Company.

  • We are also very pleased that in the quarter we have made further progress in our acquisition program with the addition of DC Electronics at the end of June.

  • DC Electronics is a US-based manufacturer of harsh environment interconnect assemblies for the industrial market with annual sales of approximately $40 million.

  • This excellent acquisition builds upon our leading offering of high technology interconnect products to the many diverse segments of the industrial market, including in particular the heavy equipment, medical, and semiconductor test areas.

  • Very importantly, this acquisition is also consistent with our long-standing strategy to find and acquire complementary companies with strong management, leading technology, and excellent market presence.

  • And as we welcome this outstanding new team to Amphenol, we remain very confident and committed that our acquisition program will continue to create significant value for the Company in the future.

  • Turning to the trends and progress in our served markets, I just want to say first that our market diversity remains a significant asset for the Company.

  • And the Amphenol management team continues to devote tremendous efforts towards our ongoing market, customer application, and product diversification.

  • Turning to the individual markets, the military market represented 13% of our sales in the quarter.

  • Sales in this market were down slightly from both prior year and prior quarter as growth in airframe, communications, and ordinance-related applications was offset by an overall reduced demand environment in other segments of the military market.

  • We continue to see significant conservatism in the purchasing behavior of defense equipment makers, due largely to budgetary restrictions in many countries.

  • Nevertheless, there continues to be a very high level of design activity targeted at creating new electronic functionalities in military equipment combined with continued growth opportunities in developing geographies.

  • We expect demand in the military market to remain at or slightly below these levels in the third quarter.

  • Nevertheless, we believe our technology leadership and broad program participation positions us to benefit longterm from the expanding adoption of electronics in military hardware.

  • The commercial aviation market represented 6% of our sales in the quarter.

  • Sales in this market increased a very strong 23% from prior year and 4% sequentially on increased jetliner production, as well as due to our expanded content on new airplane platforms.

  • We continue to expand our participation in these next-generation airliners, which are requiring ever higher technology solutions to enhance fuel efficiency, drive better performance, and improve overall passenger experience.

  • In fact, we have a stronger position across this range of applications than ever before as our new Interconnect technologies are resolving a wide variety of challenges that are faced by customers designing and building these next-generation platforms.

  • While we would normally expect a seasonal moderation of demand in the third quarter, we actually expect sales to increase in the next quarter and we continue to have a very positive outlook for the commercial air market in 2013 and beyond.

  • The diversified industrial market represented 13% of our sales in the quarter.

  • Sales decreased approximately 6% from prior year as growth in factory automation, heavy equipment, medical, and rail mass transit was offset by reduced demand from customers in the energy-related segments.

  • Sales did increase 5% sequentially with growth in virtually all of our segments.

  • We believe that this second-quarter moderation of demand in the energy-related products represents only a pause in activity, and we continue to look forward to strong momentum in that important segment in which we have an expansive and truly leading position.

  • Overall, we expect the industrial market to strengthen in the third quarter from these levels, as we benefit from the new acquisition of DC Electronics and as we continue to make excellent progress broadening our technology offering while increasing our penetration of the many exciting growth areas of this industrial market.

  • The automotive market represented 12% of our sales in the quarter.

  • Sales in the automotive market increased a very strong 20% from prior year and 7% sequentially, as we participated strongly in the increase in production volumes of vehicles which are incorporating a wide variety of new electronics while also realizing further benefits from our unique new design wins.

  • We are excited to see the results of our continued expansion into new high technology automotive applications, which has been really the result of our several acquisitions completed over the last two years together with our long-term efforts at internal product development.

  • We see automakers continuing to incorporate electronics into new and expanding areas of performance management, fuel efficiency, and passenger infotainment -- all of which serve to create excellent growth opportunities for Amphenol.

  • We expect sales in the automotive market to remain essentially at these levels in the third quarter as our continued progress on new platforms offsets what would otherwise be traditional summertime seasonality.

  • And we look forward to continued long-term progress in this very exciting market.

  • The mobile devices market represented 17% of our sales.

  • Sales increased 4% from prior year as lower sales of products incorporated into mobile computing devices was offset by slightly higher sales onto new smartphones and some ultrabooks.

  • Sales declined slightly from Q1 levels as overall customer demand did not reach the levels that we had expected.

  • While our mobile device customers had previously anticipated a significant increase in demand in the second half of this year, current customer forecasts indicate lower-than-expected demand levels and, thus, a minimal increase in our sales for the second half compared to the first half.

  • Diana has already mentioned several of the near-term dynamics that we are seeing in this market.

  • While these factors are certainly having a significant impact on our 2013 growth, we continue to see good long-term future growth opportunities for Amphenol due to our very strong and diversified technology position in this important, and no doubt extremely dynamic, end-market.

  • The mobile networks market represented 11% of our sales in the quarter.

  • Sales in that market increased a very robust 12% from prior year and 9% sequentially, primarily due to stronger sales of our broad array of interconnect and antenna products for cell site installations.

  • We are very encouraged to have now realized three consecutive quarters of year-over-year growth in the mobile infrastructure market as operators in many geographies have increased their spending on LTE and other next-generation networks.

  • More importantly, our team has been very successful at expanding and upgrading our range of high technology products for the mobile networks market, with the result that we are now better positioned than ever before with a diverse set of wireless OEMs and operators around the globe.

  • Although we expect sales in the third quarter to moderate seasonally on a typical pause in buildout activities, we expect a further ramp-up of activities later in the year as operators continue to upgrade their networks and add more capacity.

  • Accordingly, we now expect to achieve growth in this market for the full year of 2013, something that we haven't seen for a couple of years.

  • The information technology and data communications market represented 20% of our sales in the quarter.

  • Sales increased 6% from prior year led by growth in our products incorporated into servers, but with strength as well in storage and related products.

  • Sequentially, our sales increased a greater-than-expected 15% as we gained further momentum with an array of our high technology new products.

  • Most notably, our leading-edge suite of high speed products.

  • As our customers are continuing to strive for new levels of equipment performance in order to handle a dramatic expanse of data traffic, our pipeline of new design opportunities with our next-generation high-speed products continues to strengthen.

  • We are working intensively with many customers to help them design their new systems that can handle the big data revolution together with the tremendous expansion of video traffic that they are facing, all while at the same time reducing power consumption of those devices.

  • We expect demand to remain at these higher levels in the third quarter and we continue to have a positive long-term outlook for the IT datacom market.

  • The broadband communications market represented 8% of our sales in the quarter.

  • Sales increased a very strong 24% from prior year as we benefited further from last year's acquisition of Holland Electronics.

  • Sales increased 7% from the prior quarter on increased demand from both domestic and international cable operators.

  • We continue to be very encouraged to see the emerging benefits of our product and customer diversification which, when combined with the Holland acquisition, have enabled us to grow our range of broadband customers while offering a more complete interconnect product offering.

  • Despite some enhanced price competition that we are seeing in bulk cable, we are seeing further opportunities to sell a more diversified portfolio of products to our cable television, satellite, and telco customers.

  • We expect a slight increase in sales in the third quarter and we look forward to continued positive momentum in the broadband market.

  • So in summary, with respect to the second quarter, I am extremely proud of the Amphenol organization as we continue to execute well in what is no doubt a very challenging and dynamic market environment.

  • Our superior performance is a direct reflection of the Company's distinct competitive advantages -- our leading technology, our growing and broad position with customers across a diverse range of marketplaces, our presence around the globe, a lean and very flexible cost structure, and most importantly, an agile entrepreneurial management team who react quickly to whatever changes arise in the marketplace.

  • Now turning to our outlook, as we have mentioned, there continued to be significant market uncertainties in the global economy, in particular within the mobile devices market, which both Diana and I highlighted earlier.

  • Accordingly, and based on constant exchange rates and normal seasonal patterns, we now expect for the third quarter and for the full-year 2013 the following results.

  • We expect sales in the range of $1.120 billion to $1.145 billion and $4.490 billion to $4.540 billion, respectively.

  • And we expect earnings per share in the range of $0.95 to $0.98 and $3.73 to $3.79, respectively.

  • For the full year this outlook represents sales and earnings per share growth of 5% to 6% and 7% to 9%, respectively.

  • While these expected full-year sales levels are certainly lower than our prior guidance, we are very pleased to have an outlook that reflects both a step up in sales in the second half as well as a strong continuation of our industry-leading profitability.

  • We continue to see tremendous opportunities for Amphenol as a result of the ongoing revolution in electronics.

  • And I remain extremely confident in the ability of our outstanding management team to continue to capitalize on these opportunities to grow our markets position and to expand our profitability, and, thereby, to drive continued superior performance for Amphenol.

  • With that, operator, we would be very happy to take any questions that there may be.

  • Operator

  • Amit Daryanani, RBC Capital Markets.

  • Amit Daryanani - Analyst

  • Good afternoon, guys.

  • Just a question and a follow-up for me.

  • When I think about the reduction of the 2013 forecast it's about $120 million on an organic basis.

  • Just want to make sure, it's all -- the entire $120 million softness is coming from the wireless devices segment or is it more broad-based?

  • Maybe you could just talk about organic trends, excluding wireless devices.

  • Do you think that has gotten better over the last 90 days from your perspective or more of a steady-state?

  • Adam Norwitt - CEO

  • Amit, thank you very much for the question.

  • Indeed, that number that you quoted, the $120 million organically, is really all a credit to the wireless devices market.

  • We would normally see a very significant step up in the second half, and that is just not what we see today based on all of what Diana and I have said.

  • Relative to the organic trends in the other markets, we don't see any dramatic changes in those organic trends.

  • I think I mentioned relative to each of the markets what we are seeing going forward.

  • We feel that our position in all those markets is extremely strong and we see continued potential across all those markets.

  • Amit Daryanani - Analyst

  • Fair enough.

  • Then if I could maybe just follow up, in the devices market it sounds like your issues may be more tablet-centric when you talk about Wi-Fi devices versus 3G and 4G devices, I assume.

  • Is the issue more related to one customer or is it fairly broad-based across the multiple customers you guys have there?

  • And is there any program losses or anything that you walked away from that makes the back-half guidance come lower?

  • Adam Norwitt - CEO

  • Thank you very much for that question.

  • Let me just first reflect on our strategy, which is a very consistent strategy in that market.

  • We have always said, and I have always said, that that is a market where we will participate when there is value.

  • And we continue to operate that same way.

  • We have very high technology products and we operate in really the high technology part of that marketplace.

  • So as we have seen the shifts, which certainly are shifts that came a little bit faster than we expected towards these Wi-Fi-only devices, those no doubt is more a tablet-related phenomenon where we have participated in a wide range of tablets.

  • It is not a single customer phenomenon, far from it, but at the same time, we don't participate necessarily in the low end of the market.

  • When you look at the dynamics in that market, there has been more growth related to smaller form factor tablets, white box related tablets, these kind of no-name products where, by virtue of the price that those products are sold, naturally the content available in those products is less.

  • I think this dynamic also with Wi-Fi and 3G is a dynamic that is related also to the fact that Wi-Fi networks become more prevalent.

  • People are replacing their desktop computers sometimes with a tablet where they don't really need that 3G functionality.

  • That being said, there is always a demand and will be continually a demand for products that have that functionality that we can offer with our high technology products.

  • We see tremendous opportunities still for the future.

  • We believe we have good growth potential in that market for the future as we look forward to it.

  • It is a market that has always changed and we have seen always change in that market -- short lifecycles, new consumer preferences.

  • And what we are so proud of in that market is that we have an organization who is extremely nimble.

  • You look at that; you look at the margins that we have as a total company; you look at the confirmation that we have of those margins going forward, this is not a question where that change has kind of a cataclysmic impact on the performance of Amphenol.

  • Rather, our organization is out there hunting with all customers in the market where there is the value for us with our high-technology antenna products, our interconnect products, our mechanism products, whatever they may be.

  • And we continue to see good opportunities there.

  • The fact is this is something that is happening this year.

  • It is what it is in many respects, but we believe there is strong potential going forward in that marketplace.

  • Operator

  • Wamsi Mohan, Bank of America Merrill Lynch.

  • Wamsi Mohan - Analyst

  • Good afternoon.

  • Adam, we have seen organic growth rates moderate across the industry.

  • Arguably, you guys have done a better job than others, but are we hitting some level of technology maturation such that the organic growth rates over the next five years are going to be significantly different, maybe mid single-digit versus a double digit over the past decade?

  • Thanks.

  • Adam Norwitt - CEO

  • Wamsi, thank you very much for the question.

  • Look, let me just say this.

  • We continue to believe Amphenol has a strong, strong position in this market and we continue to target growth far in excess of the market.

  • We believe that we have done that and will continue to do that.

  • So global economy is continuing to be a very uncertain environment.

  • Do I believe that that is an environment that is going to perpetuate over the long term?

  • Personally, I don't but I am not an economist.

  • I'm not here to prognosticate about the next five years.

  • What I will tell you is that we continue to see a tremendous array of opportunities for electronics.

  • And to what extent does the overall economy drive spending patterns, whether with operators, with enterprises, with governments, whatever, that is a different question.

  • But relative to the expanse of electronics in all of the markets that we serve, we certainly do not believe that that kind of recent lower growth macro environment is one that should continue or would necessarily continue.

  • We see a lot of opportunities, Wamsi, for that.

  • The fact is when you have all the uncertainties in the world today -- discussions about Europe, discussions about America, whatever -- I think that has impacted a lot of the buying pattern, whether that is operators, whether that is enterprises, governments, and whatnot.

  • But I believe that there is still tremendous pent-up demand.

  • I mean, look only at the IT market, where data rates are expanding so dramatically -- you hear numbers 50%, 60% increase on the annual basis of the amount of data that is coursing through that network, while meanwhile IT budgets are up 1%, 2% and it is rare to find an IT hardware OEM that is growing.

  • And there are recent results that have confirmed that.

  • Well, we are growing in that market and we are growing in that market because we have new technologies that are allowing our customers to continue to make more with less.

  • Allow them to process more data through systems with the same cost; allow them to reduce their operating expenses because of lower power consumption.

  • And I think so long as we can continue to have that focus, which we have across the Company on driving enabling technologies, we will be able to drive superior growth for the Company.

  • Wamsi Mohan - Analyst

  • Thanks, Adam.

  • As a quick follow-up, what percentage of revenues within mobile devices come from tablets versus ultrabooks?

  • Diana Reardon - CFO

  • I don't think we would give a specific percentage, Wamsi.

  • I think that from a tablet perspective it is certainly an important part of the market, as still our phones.

  • Those would be bigger probably than the ultrabooks would be, but that is probably about as much detail as we would like to give.

  • Operator

  • Jim Suva, Citigroup.

  • Jim Suva - Analyst

  • Thank you, and it is good to hear from you.

  • When we start thinking about -- you made a couple of changes here with you are now increasing our dividend, and I think it has been about a year-and-a-half since you did that.

  • Your cash level is at all-time high cash levels; you extended your line of credit.

  • Is Amphenol kind of thinking about potentially digesting some larger acquisitions, or --?

  • It seems like acquisitions to date have been a little bit slower than normal, but yet you are kind of increasing your dividend.

  • So I wonder if there is something to be inferred upon that signal as far as capital deployment.

  • Or how should we think about capital deployment for Amphenol?

  • Adam Norwitt - CEO

  • Jim, let me just say relative to the question on the acquisition program, we continue to have a very, very strong focus on this acquisition program.

  • We believe that there are opportunities, and whether those are large or small, we don't confine ourselves to those.

  • I think to say that the acquisition program has slowed down -- I mean we had five acquisitions last year.

  • It is true Q1 we did not.

  • We did announce a fine acquisition this quarter and we continue to have a very robust pipeline.

  • You should not read anything extra into that dividend increase except that we have always talked that we wanted to have our dividend roughly at a 1% level and this brings it right up to that level.

  • There is nothing more that should be read into that except that our traditional balanced approach to capital management and to return to shareholders is something that we continue to have a lot of conviction to.

  • It has no other read.

  • We continue to believe the Company has a strong growth potential.

  • We continue to believe that there are excellent acquisitions to be had and we continue to approach that in a very balanced fashion.

  • Jim Suva - Analyst

  • Okay.

  • As a quick follow-up regarding the size, Adam and Diana, of potential acquisitions, Amphenol is a much larger company than, say, five years ago and your shareholders are very appreciative of that.

  • Does that mean that the acquisition sizes you need to open up the eyes a little bit bigger acquisitions, or more frequent?

  • Traditionally it has been kind of been one-third organic acquisition growth and two thirds-organic growth.

  • I'm just wondering if any of that changes or how we should think of it.

  • Adam Norwitt - CEO

  • Again, I don't think, Jim, that this is a categorical change but obviously the mathematics of the fact that we are a $4.5 billion, roughly, company means that to add a third of our growth, which is still the number that we believe is an appropriate one for the Company, means you either have to buy more smaller deals or do bigger deals.

  • And I think I would expect over long term that there would be some combination of that.

  • Last year with the five acquisitions that was a very substantial addition to Amphenol on an inorganic basis of five excellent companies in five unique markets.

  • And really, not only supported our acquisition program, but supported our technology development and supported our diversification initiatives in the Company.

  • We continue to look at our acquisition program in that very same way.

  • We will be very aggressive in the hunt for acquisitions.

  • We will also be, as we always have been, very prudent in prices that we pay and in our kind of testing of are those companies that we want to acquire.

  • Ultimately, the criteria that we have for acquisitions has not changed.

  • We look for companies with excellent technology, with excellent people in whom we can really put confidence and which are complementary to the Company.

  • And that really has nothing to do with size.

  • We will acquire small companies and we will acquire big companies.

  • We continue to believe that the industry, the interconnect industry and all the related areas to that, creates still tremendous opportunities of those companies to arise.

  • We have great relationships with many, many, many companies around the world.

  • As we drive and incubate that pipeline, it will have good results for us in the future.

  • Obviously, the timing is something that we have never been able to control and is something that we will not be able to control.

  • But the fact that our Company has positioned itself as really in this industry the acquirer of choice puts us in a very strong and competitive position when there is competition for acquisitions.

  • We may not pay ultimately the highest price, but we are a very compelling home for companies when they are looking to have a significant change like a sale of the company.

  • Operator

  • Matt Sheerin, Stifel.

  • Matt Sheerin - Analyst

  • Thanks and good afternoon.

  • Just another question, Adam, if I can, on the wireless commentary.

  • I know that you have talked in the past about the opportunities in ultrabooks.

  • Is it your sense that that is kind of stalled here with the PC upgrade cycle and that is just being pushed out?

  • Then as a follow-up, on the Wi-Fi commentary is your content in those devices because I guess the more commoditization of those components in those products?

  • Is it just less and that is why that shift is hurting you?

  • Adam Norwitt - CEO

  • Sure.

  • Thanks very much, Matt, for the question.

  • We have not seen necessarily a big drop-off in the ultrabooks.

  • I think we continue to see new devices come out and new technologies be embedded in them, so I wouldn't say that there is necessarily a huge change in that.

  • Relative to the Wi-Fi comment, it's actually quite simple.

  • The comparison between a 3G or a multi-networked device and a Wi-Fi-only device is very simply that you have fewer content in particular with the antennas and the various interconnect that are related to the antennas.

  • And so you go from potentially having upwards of five signal paths on a device that has 3G LTE multi-frequency to a single signal path with a Wi-Fi.

  • And that is just very simple.

  • It is not necessarily that it is just commoditized.

  • You can have high technology Wi-Fi antennas but you are going to have fewer of them, and I think it is pretty straightforward how that evolution has happened.

  • Matt Sheerin - Analyst

  • Okay, that is helpful.

  • Diana, just a quick question on the gross margin.

  • You had really strong gross margin in the quarter relative to the last few quarters.

  • Was that a combination of higher volumes and mix?

  • And did you also see benefits from the declining raw materials, like gold and copper?

  • Diana Reardon - CFO

  • Sure.

  • I think we felt very good about the profitability we achieved in Q2 both at the gross margin and at the operating income margin level.

  • I think that it is always hard to pinpoint, Matt, exactly each point that sort of adds up to the margin improvement we achieved.

  • Certainly higher volume and good operational execution are two very important factors.

  • But I would say that, particularly in certain parts of the business where we do have higher metal use, I would say that there probably is some impact coming from the fact that those commodities in particular are certainly at a better place than they were in the past.

  • By the same token, we have certain parts of the business where plastics is more important, particularly on the cable part of the business where we actually didn't see margin improvements because there we have got some cost trends that are going in the other direction.

  • But on balance I think we were able to achieve the strongest conversion margins we have seen in a number of quarters, and I think that there was some impact that we do see there from the better cost environment.

  • Operator

  • Amitabh Passi, UBS.

  • Amitabh Passi - Analyst

  • Thank you, I am from UBS.

  • Adam, just wanted to follow up on mobile devices.

  • You spoke quite a bit on tablets; just wondering can you just update us on the dynamics you are seeing in the smartphone market.

  • Is that a market that has simply become too competitive for you guys?

  • Just any update, because we are hearing of new product introductions later this year and going into next.

  • Adam Norwitt - CEO

  • Sure.

  • Thank you, Amitabh, for the question.

  • Mobile devices, as we have said in the past, we continue to have a strong mobile device business.

  • It has not been, for us, the contributor of the growth in the recent kind of year or two, but it doesn't mean we still don't have a strong business in that market.

  • We participate in that market, again, consistent with our overall strategy on mobile devices, in those areas where there is a value placed on the technology.

  • And I will tell you that we continue to see that.

  • In fact, as you mentioned, there are devices which -- there are so many devices being released by companies that were not even necessarily thought of in the past as the big marquee players.

  • You are seeing a real range of smartphones being developed and some of those have, in fact, some new technology requirements in them whether they are thinner, whether they are LTE, whatever, where there can be opportunities for us to participate and to realize the value that we have.

  • So I think that on that basis we will continue to devote resources to that market.

  • It is significant for us and we will continue to participate to the extent that there is real engineering technology value in the product.

  • Personally, I think there will be still a great deal, a great range of products where there is that premium put on technology.

  • Amitabh Passi - Analyst

  • Then maybe just as a follow-up, on the mobile infrastructure market you talked about strength in North America.

  • Are there any other geographies that you are starting to see show some incremental life?

  • We are also starting to hear some rumblings about a potential big build in China later this year.

  • Would love to get your updated thoughts.

  • Adam Norwitt - CEO

  • Sure.

  • Thank you very much.

  • Obviously, I mentioned in my earlier remarks that we are very pleased in the wireless infrastructure market to see the third consecutive quarter of growth, and actually this quarter double-digit growth that was both on a sequential as well as on a year-over-year basis.

  • I think that North America has clearly been a strength and you see that in the -- some of the earnings that were just released this morning from some of the OEMs in that segment.

  • Relative to where strength is going to come from, I believe that you can see in the later half of the year, and particularly towards the end of the year, towards the fourth quarter, some potential for a buildout or an acceleration of a buildout, in particular in China.

  • Again, I am never going to bet on the timing of a Chinese wireless buildout.

  • The Chinese operators tend to be very shrewd about how they time that.

  • We should all not forget that Q1 2009 was a very opportune time to buy base station equipment and that is when they chose to build the first phase of the 3G network.

  • So I wouldn't say that you can kind of take it to the bank that they are going to have this big buildout in the later part of the year, but on the contrary or by the same token, we have heard from customers that there is a lot of talk.

  • And there is a lot of talk that some of these operators in China may indeed be preparing for that, that there may be some significance to the build.

  • I think how that build is going to go, who the equipment manufacturers are going to participate, or what equipment manufacturers are going to participate at what allocation, that all remains to be seen.

  • But what is clear is that we have positioned ourselves very well.

  • I think some of the growth that we have seen here in the recent couple of quarters -- this is clearly not market-based growth, but rather it has been the result of efforts that we have been making over the last couple of years to both position ourselves on this new generation of base stations on the integrated equipment, but also, very importantly, to position ourselves with operators on the full suite of interconnect and antenna products that we can offer.

  • And so to the extent that that spending cycle accelerates or continues in the latter half of the year we would be hopeful to have a good participation in that.

  • Operator

  • Mark Delaney, Goldman Sachs.

  • Mark Delaney - Analyst

  • Great.

  • Thanks very much for taking the question.

  • Adam, I was hoping you could help me understand a little bit better your outlook for flattish revenue growth sequentially in the third quarter with the fact that your orders increased by about 5% quarter on quarter and the book-to-bill was 1.04.

  • Diana Reardon - CFO

  • Sure.

  • Maybe I can just give you some information on the orders in Q2 and then Adam can comment on the markets if he would like to do that.

  • I think that the business, just first thing, is that our book-to-bill and bookings in a prior quarter isn't necessarily indicative of sales in the next quarter, given the nature of how customers and markets place orders these days.

  • The vast majority of orders in the communications-related markets are more forecast sharing type arrangements and [helpful] types of thing.

  • But that being said, I think that the order level that we achieved in the second quarter certainly was strong.

  • It was up about 5%, I think, on a sequential basis, up about 12% on a year-over-year basis.

  • For us to have a 1.04-to-1 book-to-bill ratio in Q2 certainly is stronger than what we would typically experience from a seasonality perspective.

  • A lot of those orders and that strength related to some of the non-communications-related markets that are performing quite well on a year-over-year basis.

  • Markets like the automotive market, the commercial air market.

  • In addition to that we saw some good demand for certain value-added products and some of the installation markets that tend to have longer lead times.

  • So those order levels really relate more to shipments that customers would be expecting in the fourth quarter and really do support the step up that we see from a demand perspective when we look at our expectation for fourth-quarter sales.

  • So there is no question that it is a positive that we saw such strong demand in the quarter.

  • We are glad to see those markets performing at a high level from a bookings expectation.

  • That gives us good confidence in the step up in sales that we see in Q4.

  • But Q3 really from a sequential standpoint will have kind of the normal seasonal soft points in some of the markets like defense, industrial, automotive and so on.

  • And so we won't see that sequential uptick until we move into Q4.

  • I don't know, Adam, if you want to add anything to that.

  • Adam Norwitt - CEO

  • The only other thing I would add is that you should also look at that in the context that normally we would have in the second half, starting in the third quarter, some step up in the mobile devices market where there is not a relationship quarter to quarter in bookings.

  • It books when it ships and that doesn't necessarily have a book-to-bill relationship.

  • Where we would normally expect some step up related to that, and we don't have that, I think this positive book-to-bill, as Diana mentioned, is really a good reflection of those longer lead time segments that we have.

  • And it is very supportive of what is still a second-half step up in overall demand for the Company from sort of low- to mid-single digits based on our current guidance from first half to second half.

  • Mark Delaney - Analyst

  • That is very helpful, thank you.

  • Then, Diana, I understand you made some comments on the margin strength in the quarter.

  • When you look out for the rest of the year or longer term do you think there is more room for your margins to move higher?

  • Diana Reardon - CFO

  • Yes, I think that the guidance at this point reflects year-over-year conversion margin that is very, very close to our 25% goal.

  • And so I think that we -- during 2013 we expect to see margin expansion.

  • We achieved margin expansion in 2012.

  • So we still do see that potential to achieve the higher conversion margin in those quarters where we are seeing incremental sales growth.

  • So in Q3 I wouldn't necessarily expect to see margin expansion, but Q4 I would.

  • Operator

  • Shawn Harrison, Longbow Research.

  • Shawn Harrison - Analyst

  • Good afternoon.

  • Two questions.

  • Just first off on commodities being down so much, do you think you have realized the full benefit of deflation?

  • Or would you see more of a tailwind into the third and fourth quarters?

  • Second, as I was listening to the call obviously the mobile devices are down, but it seems as, if I was listening correctly, the infrastructure, your IT datacom, maybe your auto, and your aerospace forecast those customers actually picked up for the second half relative to maybe your earlier expectations.

  • If you could just provide some clarification on that aspect too.

  • Diana Reardon - CFO

  • Sure.

  • I think on the first question from a margin perspective -- I think when there was a question earlier asked about the strong margin performance in Q2 and I think that we said there are many things that certainly go into margin, both cost and price dynamics, volume, and so on.

  • But I think that we have probably seen some impact in our Q2 operating income performance from that better balance between cost and price.

  • I think it is always a little bit hard to predict exactly where all of those dynamics are going to go when you look out.

  • I think we have given good guidance on profitability.

  • I think the year-over-year conversion margin, as I said, is very close to our 25% goal and we will achieve margin expansion.

  • And that is what we see as we look at things today.

  • What the ultimate impact will be from commodity trends really depends very much on where demand goes, where pricing dynamics go, and so on.

  • So I don't think at this point we would be comfortable talking about further margin expansion than we already have in the guidance that we have given.

  • But I think as we have said to these questions in the past, you can be certainly sure that the management team will do the utmost to be able to keep and capture any such benefits that would present themselves as we look through the balance of that pricing and cost profile going forward.

  • Adam Norwitt - CEO

  • I think, Shawn, relative to your second point about these markets, do we feel incrementally more positive about a few of these markets?

  • You mentioned first aerospace and I would say that we do feel a little bit more incrementally positive about aerospace.

  • Normally we would expect the commercial air market to be down seasonally.

  • They tend to have shutdowns that tends to obviously have some European component to it.

  • At this point we would see that there would be actually a slight uptick in sales in the third quarter in the commercial aviation market.

  • We are just doing a great job in that market.

  • I mean in the second quarter up 23%.

  • We feel that they will have still strong double-digit year-over-year growth in the third quarter and for the full year.

  • It is, obviously, helped by the volumes.

  • And I think this last quarter, if you look at the order backlog and the orders for the major players in that commercial aviation market, they are booking orders at a tremendous rate right now.

  • But in addition to that we continued to gain presence on new platforms.

  • As these new planes are being designed and developed it is no secret to anybody that there are a lot of challenges that the airplane manufacturers are facing.

  • They are putting new materials into these planes.

  • They are try to get new features embedded into these planes, and a lot of the time they are really pushing the envelope in terms of embedding these new technologies into planes.

  • We have had, in some instances, customers come to us on the basis of a schedule that normally should have been something was designed in years ago and they come to us and say, hey, we have that new challenge.

  • Is that something that you can help us with?

  • And so our engineering team is extremely busy still working with those companies as they seek to embed all these new technologies into the plane.

  • I think that combined with the volumes is something that makes us feel incrementally more positive about the commercial aviation market.

  • You mentioned also wireless infrastructure and I think I spoke about that earlier.

  • I would say that, yes, we feel a little bit more incrementally positive on that market.

  • I commented already on the fact that we would hope to see some uptick, especially later in the fourth quarter.

  • And then automotive market is another one where we just feel very good about the strength.

  • I think we will see some sort of seasonal flat to slightly down performance.

  • In other years you could have in the automotive market a seasonal decline in the mid-single digits in the third quarter.

  • We would be hopeful that maybe it would be a little bit less than that here because of our increasing position and because the volumes in that market are doing very well.

  • So I think those markets in particular we would feel a little bit incrementally more positive about.

  • Shawn Harrison - Analyst

  • Thank you, Adam.

  • Operator

  • Mike Wood, Macquarie.

  • Mike Wood - Analyst

  • Thanks.

  • Can you talk about your visibility on the upcoming product introductions in mobile devices and smart computing, and how this impacts that mix that you were talking about between lower end and the value-added products that Amphenol provides?

  • Adam Norwitt - CEO

  • Sure, Mike.

  • Thanks very much for the question.

  • Obviously, I'm not going to talk about specific programs.

  • We have very strong NDAs in place with all of our customers on that.

  • But what we have seen is there were certain new products -- and this was not confined to one customer, I mean there were several customers -- where there were new product launches end of last year, early this year which didn't really realize the volume potential that the customers had originally expected and that they had expected really throughout the year.

  • Relative to the new programs, we certainly are participating in a lot of new programs.

  • I think if you look in particular at the tablet market there is a lot of growth in overall units in the tablet market.

  • But where that growth is tends to be in the smaller tablets and tends to be at the lower end of the market where you are talking about ASPs of $180, $200 instead of $500, $600.

  • As the overall products that are being released and driving growth have lower value to them, there is sometimes an inherent value opportunity to us that is less.

  • So at the same time, we also are participating in high technology releases that are happening during the course of the third and the fourth quarter.

  • But net-net in that market that change that we have talked about earlier in the call, combined with the new programs that we are on not necessarily having the volumes that we originally expected of them, that results in the guidance that we have given here.

  • Mike Wood - Analyst

  • Okay.

  • Also on the factory automation strength you had called out, can you talk about any specific regions or pockets of strength there?

  • A lot of the factory automation industrial companies haven't been reporting growth there.

  • Adam Norwitt - CEO

  • Factory automation is an important part of our diversified industrial business.

  • I think where we have seen the strength is not necessarily confined to one or another region.

  • There is a lot of automation happening, of course, in China where you see labor costs going up and companies like us, of course, reacting by putting in place semi and full automation in certain cases.

  • But you see also automation being related to the auto industry.

  • We have a tremendous array of products that go into very heavy-duty factory automation that is used in auto plant upgrades, new model upgrades.

  • And we've certainly seen some strength there.

  • Then the general European, which is really a German factory automation world, we have also seen some strength in that area as well.

  • So I think it is very broad.

  • I wouldn't draw a specific regional conclusion about it.

  • The only thing that I would say specific to Amphenol is that we continue to expand our product offering here.

  • And so I wouldn't necessarily say that we are a clear read-through to the whole factory automation world.

  • We have a position that is a growing position where we are really expanding the range of technologies, both interconnect components as well as value-add assemblies, whereby we can have a stronger position in that market going forward.

  • Operator

  • Steven Fox, Cross Research.

  • Steven Fox - Analyst

  • Thanks.

  • I will keep it brief.

  • Just to summarize some of the puts and takes on the wireless market, can you talk about how much is related just to sort of how the product mix has shifted away from you versus end demand, which is the greater factor?

  • And is there anything, Adam, that you guys are doing in terms of changing your strategy into that marketplace to maybe capture more of the TAM?

  • Or is it sort of you just have to find your right niches going forward?

  • Thanks.

  • Adam Norwitt - CEO

  • Thank you very much, Steve.

  • Look, I think it is very clear that what has driven this change in our guidance, as I have explained during the call, is a real change in the nature of some of the products that we are working on, whereby there is this kind of, I would almost call it a one-time shift, in the content opportunity on certain of those devices.

  • We think that that is not necessarily a shift that is going to continue and continue and continue.

  • It seems to be something that is kind of a more than expected, more dramatic than expected one-time shift there.

  • Relative to end demand, as I mentioned, the tablet market overall is growing.

  • The opportunity in certain of these products, that has created that change in the demand.

  • Our strategy does not change.

  • We are not going to chase after low margin products.

  • We are not going to chase after products where there is not the opportunity for us to inject technology.

  • We believe that there is still an outstanding opportunity going forward for us to find places in the market, broad places in the market, not just niches but broad places in the market, where our technology can serve ultimately the purpose of helping our customers sell more of their products.

  • And when you can do that, ultimately, you can make the value that we want to make as a company and the margins and, ultimately, you can have growth in the business.

  • And we still have a strong conviction that that opportunity is still ahead of us.

  • Steven Fox - Analyst

  • Great.

  • Thank you very much.

  • Adam Norwitt - CEO

  • Thank you, Steve.

  • Appreciate it.

  • If there are no further questions at this time, once again we appreciate all of your interest in the Company and your attention.

  • I hope that you all have an excellent summer.

  • Thank you very much.

  • Diana Reardon - CFO

  • Thank you.

  • Operator

  • Thank you for attending today's conference and have a nice day.