阿默普萊斯金融 (AMP) 2015 Q1 法說會逐字稿

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  • Operator

  • Welcome to the first quarter 2015 earnings call. My name is Ellen and I will be your operator for today's call.

  • (Operator instructions)

  • Please note that this conference is being recorded. I will now turn the call over to Alicia Charity. Ms. Charity, you may begin.

  • - SVP & IR

  • Thank you and good morning. Welcome to Ameriprise Financial's first quarter earnings call. On the call with me today are Jim Cracchiolo, Chairman and CEO and Walter Berman, Chief Financial Officer. Following their remarks, we will be happy to take your questions.

  • During the call, you will hear reference to various non-GAAP financial measures which we believe provide insight into the Company's operations. Reconciliation of the non-GAAP numbers to the respective GAAP numbers can be found in today's materials available on our website. Some statements that we make on this call may be forward-looking reflecting management's expectations about future events and operating plans and performance. These forward-looking statements speak only as of today's date and involve a number of risks and uncertainties.

  • A sample list of factors and risks that could cause actual results to be materially different from forward-looking statements can be found in today's earnings release, our 2014 annual report to shareholders and our 2014 10-K report. We take no obligation to update publicly or revise these forward looking statements. And with that, I will turn it over to Jim.

  • - Chairman & CEO

  • Good morning, everyone and thank you for joining us for our first quarter earnings call. I'll begin by providing my perspective on the quarter and the progress we're making. Walter will follow me with a detailed review of the numbers.

  • Overall, Ameriprise had another good quarter and was situated well. However, higher equity market volatility, unfavorable foreign exchange and continued low interest rates did affect results as did a long-term care reserve increase. That said, our capital position, ability to generate good free cash flow and deploy capital all remain excellent. For the quarter, our operating earnings per share were up 7%. From a return on equity perspective, we continue to deliver. With a combination of solid business results and significant capital return, operating return on equity reached another high.

  • Excluding AOCI, we ended the quarter with operating return on equity of 23.1% and that is up 230 basis points in the past year. Assets in the management and administration grew 4% to $815 billion from client net inflows and market appreciation. And that includes the negative impact of more than $17 billion from foreign exchange. We remain committed to infective capital management and maintain our financial strength as we continue to invest in the business while delivering differentiated shareholder return.

  • In the first quarter, we returned $459 million in share repurchases and dividends. And yesterday, we announced a 16% increase to our regular quarterly dividend and we consistently increased our dividend by double digits over the years. As we stated, we expect to continue to return strongly to shareholders and have targeted a 90% to 100% range of earnings annually.

  • In advice and wealth management, we're positioned well and are building on our strengths. We continue to generate good growth. Operating earnings were $210 million, up 16%. In the first quarter, we did experience a little more market volatility. Overall, we're serving more clients and bringing in more client assets with 8% growth in retail assets and an increase of 13% in fee-based advisory asset under management.

  • And for the quarter, advisory net inflows were $2.8 billion. Advisor productivity also grew again by double digits, 11% year-over-year to a record $505,000 per advisor on a trailing 12 month basis. In terms of advisor recruiting, we continue to attract strong candidates and their increasingly higher producers. During the quarter, another 77 experienced advisors joined Ameriprise. These advisors relate well to our strong branded advice value proposition and leadership.

  • As we discussed with you, we're working to help advisors grow their practices. As you know, we serve both [nas] affluent and affluent clients. As we move forward in making a larger commitment to serving more affluent clients who want and need advice, we're confident in our ability to serve them and believe based on the value that we provide, that this will become an even larger percentage of our client base.

  • We also want to provide comprehensive advice to more Americans. We know from our research that a confident retirement approach and advice value proposition resonate even more strongly with affluent consumers. Our brand and reputation appeal to these consumers so this is a long-term effort to drive growth. In addition to the affluent market, we're also looking to serve more consumers that are still accumulating wealth and aren't as close to retirement.

  • In terms of investments for growth, advisors are benefiting from our online and paperless office capabilities that are both integrated and time-saving. They're using our digital and social media to create brand awareness for their practices, generate leads as well as to deepen relationships with current clients. Overall, were growing nicely in AWM. Both client and advisor satisfaction remain strong and we're focused on helping advisors expand their client base and grow productivity.

  • As we move to insurance and annuities, we're focused on driving advisor uptake of our solutions while we maintain the differentiated strength of our risk profile. These are high quality businesses that deliver important benefits to our clients and Ameriprise, especially as we expand our confident retirement approach to serve more consumers. Year-over-year operating earnings went down but there were items from the current and previous quarter that Walter will discuss.

  • In terms of the annuity business, variable annuity account balances were up slightly on market growth and $1.2 billion in new sales, down slightly from year ago and consistent with the industry. That said, we're seeing a pickup in sales of VAs without living benefits reflecting good wholesaling activity and a positive reaction to educating clients and advisors about the advantages these products can provide. Sales of VAs without living benefits represented about a third of total VA sales in the quarter, up from 25% a year ago.

  • There's really no change in fixed annuities given the current rate environment. In protection, we continue to work with our advisors on the benefits of insurance for our clients. Life and health cash sales were down a bit year-over-year, which we believe is also consistent with the industry. Our overall client retention and these solutions continue to be very good which helps enhance the long-term nature of the Ameriprise client and advisor relationship.

  • In auto and home, we've built a strong business with our affinity relationships and pleased to have renewed the Costco contract. They're an important client and we'll continue to offer their customers excellent value. We're focused on improving overall auto and home returns through changes in pricing, underwriting, and claims management to get back to historical performance levels. We're taking the right steps to strengthen the business and believe we can properly grow and serve more clients as we move forward.

  • With asset management, we're executing our strategy as we go to market more globally. Our assets on the management for this business are just over $0.5 trillion, up slightly from this time last year reflecting significant headwind of more than $17 billion from foreign exchange that I mentioned earlier. Financially, we generated good operating earnings of $191 million in the quarter and a competitive adjusted net pretax operating margin of nearly 40%.

  • In terms of where we're putting our time and attention, we're investing and aligning resources to leverage the strengths of both Columbia and Threadneedle. As you saw, we introduced our new global brand Columbia Threadneedle Investments a few weeks ago. The new brand represents the combined resources, capabilities, and reach of both firms. Moving to a global brand was a natural next step for the business as our teams have been working together for more than two years for the benefit of our clients.

  • In third-party institutional, we have further aligned the resources to run it globally. Our current pipeline is quite strong as we continue to build on the traction we gained in 2014. We're looking for our institutional business to be a growing and larger part of our overall asset management business as we move forward.

  • Though we had outflows in the quarter that were mainly driven by funding delays caused by market volatility, we expect a number of large mandates to fund over the next few quarters. Part of our future growth will come from the solutions space. We continue to invest in talent, product, and capabilities and are building on our large base of assets in the management and we see this as a good opportunity.

  • During the quarter, we began to gain traction in our failing new Columbia adaptive risk allocation fund. In regard to retail, we've made a number of changes in US intermediary distribution. We're beginning to see positive signs from our segmentation strategy and enhanced business intelligence efforts to improve wholesaler productivity and with better aligning product, marketing and sales core functions to gain share. We have seen some improvement. However, it's been obscured by the elevated outflows in the Acorn fund. Our investment team is taking steps to address the fund's performance but we expect continued outflow pressure here.

  • In the UK and Europe, retail flows are beginning to improve with the outlook of Europe becoming more favorable with their larger program of quantitative easing. And in Asia, we're generating good performance in funds we launched last year and now that we're nearing a one-year anniversary, we're starting to garner some interest. Our investment teams in the US and internationally have generated strong equity and fixed income performance across a broad range of products both domestically and internationally. So in asset management, we're continuing our efforts to drive flows and align resources to leverage the strength of Columbia Threadneedle.

  • Overall, with regard to Ameriprise, we're generating good performance in our asset light businesses and very strong cash flow. This gives us the ability to continue to invest in our business, as well as return to shareholders through continuation of our buyback program, as well as increases in our dividend. And with our strong capital base, we also have the ability to continue to look for small acquisitions that could add to our strategy and compliment the Company.

  • Before I close, I want to take a minute to comment on the DOL's fiduciary rule proposal. Like many other firms across the financial services industry serving the retirement market, we're carefully reviewing the proposal's hundreds of pages to understand its objectives and potential implications. There are a number of steps that need to take place before any changes would be made, including the 75-day comment period and subsequent review by the administration.

  • We have long advocated for the importance of access to financial advice for all Americans in providing clients choice in products and services they use to reach their goals. Our high client satisfaction and long-term relationships stem from this comprehensive personal approach. In fact, Ameriprise already operates as a fiduciary under the SEC standard for advice when we are acting in an investment advisory capacity. We have established policies and procedures to support our clients and advisors, including extensive and appropriate disclosures, which puts us in a good position.

  • We're at the starting point of the rulemaking process and any final rule would impact many firms serving more than 100 million Americans saving for retirement. Therefore, we must take into account both the intended and unintended consequences. The details do matter. We want to make sure that the creation of a new third standard would not be overly burdensome for clients and would work with the existing SEC and [finewar] standards.

  • We've dealt with regulatory changes before and we will work with our trade associations and other stakeholders throughout this process to advocate for our clients with the goal of most appropriately satisfying the DOL's objectives. In closing, as we execute our strategy for growth, I believe we can continue to navigate the markets, deliver a terrific experience for our clients and advisors, while generating good returns for our shareholders. With that, I'd like to hand things over to Walter for a detailed review of the numbers.

  • - CFO

  • Thank you, Jim. As Jim indicated, Ameriprise delivered another solid quarter financial results in the face of a fairly volatile market environment. Let me provide some additional context. Equity market volatility was elevated at the start of the year. Interest rates also moved a lot during the quarter. With the 10-year treasury rate starting the year at 2.17%, falling to 1.64% at the end of January and settling at 1.92% at the end of the quarter. And the strength of the dollar did impact AUM and earnings at Threadneedle. These environmental factors impacted revenue and earnings directly as well as influenced activity levels with retail and institutional clients.

  • With that as context, let's look at the results in the quarter. Operating net revenue was $2.9 billion, up 3% from last year. Operating EPS was $2.18 and included a few one-time items. We increased reserves on our long-term care block by $0.11 per share. Additionally, there were a variety of smaller items netting to a negative $0.02 per share that we detailed in the earnings release. Excluding these one-time items, operating EPS was $2.31, up 13% from last year. And operating return on equity reached a new record level of 23.1% which is above our target range of 19% to 23%.

  • Turning to slide 4. You'll see that our business mix shift continues to evolve. Advice and wealth management and asset management represents 64% of pretax operating earnings this quarter and as we grow, we expect the mix shift will continue and should reach 70%. We continue to expand margins in advice and wealth management reaching 17.1% this quarter. Margins in the employing channel over 10% in the quarter and were over 18% in the franchise channel. This demonstrates the strength of our model, the success of our strategies to grow this business and the opportunity we have to drive profitability even higher. Asset management margins were a solid 39.7% in the quarter on an adjusted basis reflecting continued good expense discipline.

  • Let's turn to the segments on slide 5. Advice and wealth management business is performing quite well across key growth and activity metrics and delivered solid financial results particularly, given the market conditions. Revenue is up 7% to $1.2 billion while good client flows and market appreciation partially offset by slower sales and a couple of product areas and the impact from volatile markets.

  • We kept G&A expenses flat year-over-year. This resulted in earnings of $210 million, up 16% and a record margin of 17.1%, up 130 basis points from last year. It should be noted in our sequential basis results were impacted by having two fewer fee days this quarter than the fourth quarter which equates to approximately $6 million of PTI. Overall, the business continues to deliver consistent, good results demonstrating the strength of our business model.

  • Turning to asset management on slide 6. Operating net revenue was flat at $807 million. [It's] the benefit of market appreciation was offset by the impact of higher fee outflows from the Acorn fund and Threadneedle's US equities desk as well as a $15 million unfavorable impact from foreign exchange. Expenses were down 1% to $616 million reflecting lower distribution expense and continued good G&A expense control even with the additional relocation expense associated with the move to a new office space in London. This resulted in pretax operating earnings in the quarter of $191 million, up 4% from last year.

  • Excluding the foreign exchange impact and the office relocation expense, pretax operating earnings would have been up 8%. It should be noted that on a sequential basis results were impacted by having two fewer fee days this quarter than the fourth quarter. Which equates to approximately $8 million of PTI in the second.

  • Turning to flows, our next slide. We had net outflows of $5.8 billion in the quarter. Retail net outflows were $3 billion with outflows concentrated in a number of areas we had previously discussed. Namely, $2.3 billion in the Acorn fund and approximately $600 million from the former parent affiliated distribution and a subadvisor. Excluding these items, we're seeing some positive trends sequentially.

  • Retail flows in the UK and Europe improved following a slow fourth-quarter and we also had a large flow into our Asian Pacific fund. We are increasing awareness and beginning to see traction with our new Columbia adaptive risk allocation fund and we're optimistic that momentum will continue. And, we continue to make progress to improve retail distribution in the United States. The Institutional business had $2.8 billion of net outflows in the quarter.

  • Let me provide some additional detail on the two reasons we saw a higher level of institutional outflows than in recent periods. First, we had approximately $1.8 billion of outflows from low basis points insurance mandates in the UK. This includes a normal level of Zurich outflows at $800 million. Additionally, it includes $950 million of outflows from Liverpool, Victoria associated with asset reallocation to funds we do not offer. However, we expect to recover some of those assets later in the year into a higher fee product so the net impact of these flows should be neutral on a revenue basis for the year.

  • Second, we had outflows in third party mainly driven by a slowdown in the funding of new mandates. We expected several large mandates to fund in the quarter that were pushed back to the second quarter. Additionally, we have redemptions in both high yield and short duration at the beginning of the year that we would expect to get back in the latter part of the year.

  • Turning to annuities on slide 8. Annuities pretax operating earnings were $172 million down 2% from last year. However, the prior-year results include a significant benefit from clients moving to a managed volatility funds and the mean reversion benefit was similar in both periods. Without these items, underlying annuities earnings were up 15%. Variable annuity pretax earnings grew 22% from a year ago to $132 million. Without the benefit of clients moving to managed volatility funds and mean reversions in both periods. This was driven by higher account values.

  • Fixed annuity pretax operating earnings decreased 10% to $28 million as account values declined. Lapse rates are in line with our expectations following the repricing of our five-year guaranteed block that are now coming out of surrendered charge period. Given the current interest environment, there are limited new sales and as a result this book is expected to gradually run off and earnings will decline.

  • Let's turn to the protection segment on slide 9. Protection pretax operating earnings were $51 million in the quarter. Impacted by $32 million claim reserve strengthening for long-term care. As we announced last quarter, we conducted a long-term care review of our claims reserve based upon additional information we received from Genworth. The firm that reinsures half of our long-term care book and administers all of our claims. As you know, this is a small closed block with no new sales since 2003.

  • We have not seen adverse claims experienced in the book and have been making appropriate premium increases since 2004. At the end of the quarter, we had $2.2 billion of statutory reserves, net of reinsurance, with about $400 million in claims reserved and the remainder in the active life reserves. Based on the information provided by Genworth, management's best estimate of the claim reserve resulted in a $32 million reserve increase.

  • The most significant drivers were updates to the benefit utilization rates and claims termination rates partially offset by a benefit from a higher discount rate. As reviewing the analysis we received from Genworth, we decided to engage a third party to validate their analysis. This review may result in the fine-tuning of our reserve and we anticipate that it will be completed in the second quarter.

  • Excluding the long-term care reserve increase, the life and health business is performing in line with expectations. We're selling marginally higher claims than we have in recent quarters though still within expected ranges. The auto and home business had a modest operating loss of $4 million in the quarter. We're booking reserves for the 2015 accident year at a level consistent with the 2014 accident year loss ratio assumption we changed in the last quarter. The business was also impacted by $12 million of cat losses of which $4 million was related to the prior year.

  • As we discussed last quarter, we're phasing in changes to our pricing to risk models and in addition to modifications to underwriting, claims, and operations. We're seeing early signs of improvement specifically, at targeted slowdown in sales across all product lines. For the full-year, we expect marginal profitability for auto and home with a more meaningful improvement to earnings in 2016.

  • Let's turn to the balance sheet on slide 11. Our balance sheet remains strong with approximately $2.5 billion of excess capital and our risk-based capital ratio is estimated to be 630%. We continue to return over 100% of operating [errors] to shareholders with $459 million distributed through dividends and sale repurchase in the quarter. We remain committed to continue to raise our dividend and announced the 16% increase yesterday. This brings our dividend payout ratio to the high 20% range.

  • With that, we will take your questions.

  • Operator

  • (Operator instructions)

  • Erik Bass, Citigroup.

  • - Analyst

  • Hello, thank you. I guess we could start on the Department of Labor issue. Are there any specific buckets of revenues that you'd be focused on as sort of more potentially at risk as a result of the changes? Do you expect there could be any impact on sales of either alternative products or things like mutual funds or other products that you manufacture through the advice and wealth management channel?

  • - Chairman & CEO

  • Well, the Department of Labor, as you know, there's hundreds and hundreds of pages and there are a level of various exemptions, et cetera. So we, as the industry, are sifting through that to truly understand what they're looking to accomplish. And with that, how you can continue to work with your clients against the needs that they have. Explicitly, within from what we're being able to read so far, there are certain things excluded like things like REITs, et cetera, that they would not want sold in qualified accounts.

  • In our business, REITs as an example, makes up a very small percentage of what we do. And we have the ability as an example, since we work more holistically with the client, if that's a still need we could probably deal with it by offering it in the nonqualified section of their investment assets. There are certain things like that that they are saying at the outset are precluded. Many other products like mutual funds, et cetera, there are exemptions for as long as you have appropriate disclosures, et cetera as we are currently reading it.

  • It is still too early to really tell and I think us and many of our companies across all the industries in financial services that deal with retirement will be in some way affected by it. And what we want, and I think many of the companies in the industry and the associations want, is that we're able to continue to work with clients as their needs are requiring and appropriately do so.

  • - Analyst

  • Okay, thanks. That's helpful. I guess one follow-up or other question on long-term care. Just wondering why did you choose to only look at the assumptions and reserves for the disabled life reserve? Wouldn't changing assumptions on the disabled life reserve also affect the active life reserve which I think we've seen with other companies such as Genworth where there has been an impact of the changes and assumptions on both?

  • - CFO

  • Okay. Number one, the information on the claims reserve is supplied by -- [basic] information is supplied by Genworth. If you look at the active, there are many of our assumptions that go into it that including claims that we have been managing and evaluating for (inaudible) time so the morbidity of that has been factored in. And we also factor in terminations, factor in price increases over a longer term. So we feel that reserve is actually adequate. We have looked at it and looked in light of the situation and information we have gotten from Genworth. So we felt the only adjustment that was needed was in the claims reserve.

  • - Analyst

  • Got it. So you did sort of factor in, you made no changes to the active life reserves but you did contemplate the new data relative to the assumptions that you are making in it? Is that correct?

  • - CFO

  • That is correct. We have been factoring in the actual claims and looking over the full life of it and we have been doing that. So including the upper elements, like I said termination, price increases, other things that go into it. And we felt that that reserve is adequate.

  • - Analyst

  • Okay, thank you.

  • - CFO

  • You're welcome.

  • Operator

  • Nigel Dally, Morgan Stanley.

  • - Analyst

  • Thanks, good morning. Just a follow-up on the DOL and the fiduciary standards. In addition to the fee pressure and potential impact on propriety product sales, some of us are concerned about higher compliance costs. I just hope you can discuss whether that is also a factor?

  • - Chairman & CEO

  • Well again, as we have said, first of all, I think and relative in the industry, we're probably one of the best prepared to deal with fiduciary because we already act as fiduciary in much of our client activities today under the SEC standard. I think what I have mentioned in my opening remarks, was that this establishes a third standard. And so, with a the third standard of course, you are going to have additional compliance and figuring out how the third standard works appropriately with the first two standards. We're hoping that the regulators and the people who are oversighting this appropriately would take that into account and figure out how the regulations wouldn't be overly complex to deal with. And that would be appropriate and operate with each other in an appropriate fashion.

  • So having said that, I think that is yet to be determined and I think that is part of the work that needs to be done. But having said that, as with any regulatory change of this extent there is going to be increased level of compliance and increased costs to get those things implemented and executed. So I would definitely say that there will be increased compliance costs. On the other side, I would say at least today, Ameriprise already operates with much of the compliance and supervision. We have the compliance resources already in place. But it will still increase the level since of what you are doing now is a bit more and different and applies in a more special fashion to this particular activity.

  • - Analyst

  • Okay, thanks. That's helpful. Second question, just on advice. You talked about the fewer days impacting results. I'm guessing that's purely an impact on revenues, does not impact margins, is that correct? Also, is it possible that [add] to be a weather impacted client activity and if so, should we expect some catch up of that business in the second quarter?

  • - CFO

  • You're right it does not impact margin but does impact PTI. And again, we do believe those two fewer days were aligned with the activity we have seen in the industry and we do believe that we're on track and we should recover as again, giving markets and things of that nature.

  • - Chairman & CEO

  • There was, to Walter's point, the two fewer fee days that did impact the PTI that he gave you the numbers on. What I would say is a level of volatility also a level of weather. It's hard to break that out and clarify it. But as you would imagine, January was also a very difficult weather month for many parts of the country that would have impacted advisors as well as how they serve their clients. We don't necessarily put that in. We just saw that activity did slow a bit in the first quarter not so much. We saw it come back stronger in February and March. January was the slowest of the months.

  • - Analyst

  • Okay, that's great. Thanks.

  • Operator

  • Yaron Kinar, Deutsche Bank

  • - Analyst

  • Good morning, everybody and thanks for taking my question. I have two questions. First, going back to the Department of Labor proposal. I think there has been speculation that it would also create maybe an increase in potential lawsuits down the road. I wanted to hear your thoughts on that and maybe how you can preempt some of that, revising that [detours] so early days?

  • - Chairman & CEO

  • Yes, again, it's hard to say exactly what it would derive in the end. As I said, it's very important to note both the intended and the unintended consequences of anything of this substantial. And let's remember, there 100 million Americans being served here by all types of companies. Whether they be distributors or manufacturers, who are all types. And remember, it covers every one of these. So if you are selling any product into a qualified account and so it is not just relevant for someone who has a financial advisor. It could be direct players. It could be product companies, et cetera.

  • I think one of the things that we, the industry and many of our other participants in the associations are looking at, is what are those activities and does it cause. So yes, you can have additional disclosure. The question is it's unclear if you have that disclosure, if you work and operate within the exemption rules, what that may result in. Of course, those are things are undetermined at this point in time. But again, it's like that with any regulatory change. We work through it, we figured it out what those things are appropriate and we ensure that we supervise against it. But we have to get clear on what that exactly is.

  • - Analyst

  • All right, and then turning back to long-term care. I think you mentioned on the call that in the script that against the assumption changes you also had an offset from an increase in the discount rate used? First, I guess it's a little counterintuitive just given the rate environment today. So I was wondering if you could give us a little more color on what led to that? But second, could you give us any sense of what's the proportion of the change or was there any way to quantify that?

  • - CFO

  • Sure. What we did is when we were reviewing this, we realized that we were using a rate, the discount rate was lower than our asset-earning rate. That is pretty much used in the industry. So we basically adjusted that a little lower than our asset-earning rate to be in line with the industry. And then on the proportions, you should figure on that basis it's about somewhere near around $15 million.

  • - Analyst

  • Okay.

  • - CFO

  • And then the same thing was applicable to the our GI because they're both accounting-wise their treated the same way. We took that one, that discount rate up. Obviously, it is less than the long-term care because of length of duration of investment.

  • - Analyst

  • And can you give us any sense of how much of a change in the discount rate that was? Was it 25 basis points? 50?

  • - CFO

  • It was approximately almost 200 basis points for the long-term care portion.

  • Operator

  • John Nadel, Piper Jaffray.

  • - Analyst

  • Hey, good morning, everybody. A question on advice and wealth management first is, I recognize there were two fewer fee days and that had some impact on revenues. But I think you did also mention some softness. Can you give us a sense for what kind of impact you feel like the softness -- I assume that softness was really more on the insurance sales side but maybe I'm wrong. Because your overall fee rate did come down quite a bit quarter over quarter even if I adjust for the number of days. So I just wanted to get a sense for that.

  • And then relatedly, you're doing a terrific job managing G&A to be flat year over year especially in light of investments and continued ongoing recruiting. I'm just wondering if you think we should expect that G&A can remain flat as we look forward on a year-over-year basis or if we ought to expect some increase there?

  • - CFO

  • It's Walter. You should expect the G&A to stay in that range. Certainly, we will gauge it depending on the environment but certainly, we have a focus on still providing to our clients. But we're very focused on maintaining the G&A so that is a reasonable range. It could deviate 1% or 2%. But certainly, were very conscious of the G&A management.

  • And on the slowdown, it is in insurance and it is in other products, nontraded REITs. But it is something that we believe in the latter part we will see a pickup. We do believe the volatility, like I said, it was industry lined and we anticipate that we will see improvement going forward.

  • - Analyst

  • And then Walter, just a quick follow-up on the G&A in terms of it remaining flat. Can we think about that as flat on a dollar basis with the first-quarter results? Or flat year over year?

  • - CFO

  • I would tend to say I would look more on the total-year basis. Quarterly, you get your seasonality coming through.

  • - Analyst

  • All right. That's helpful. And then just second question on the asset management side. Margins are really solid at around 40% adjusted. Without a significant change in the outlook for flows though, can we really expect that that margin can get a whole lot better from here?

  • - CFO

  • I think the margin is at a rate which is again, we're talking about a pretty high rate in the high 30s, almost 40%. Yes, we are feeling the impact like we've talked about, the US equity desk flying off from the UK and the Acorn. So there is some pressure but I think the margin will stay in that range.

  • - Analyst

  • And you mentioned a drag on PTI from FX, I just didn't catch the number in your prepared remarks. If you could just follow-up with?

  • - CFO

  • I didn't give it. But it's about $4 million or $5 million.

  • - Analyst

  • Okay. Perfect, thank you.

  • Operator

  • Alex Blostein, Goldman Sachs.

  • - Analyst

  • Wonderful. Hey, good morning everyone. A couple of questions starting with advice and wealth management business. It's really just a follow-up on the last point. When we look at the distribution line, clearly there is a lot of the market-based assets or revenue sources in there. So I was hoping you could help us isolate the decline quarter over quarter that came predominantly from the transactional part of the business, the pure commission stuff. It sounded like it is nontraded REITs maybe some annuities but I was wondering if you could help us to isolate that? Back in the outlook I was getting down 10% or 11% quarter over quarter. I was just wondering if you could provide more color there?

  • - Chairman & CEO

  • Sure. It was in the VA and nontraded REITs. And with the nontraded REITs, we believe it's a timing because there are new regulations out about disclosure which we are working through with advisors which we believe in the back half of the year we will pick up on that.

  • - Analyst

  • And I guess, given the increased scrutiny on nontraded REIT product in general, and I appreciate that it's still obviously very early in the Department of Labor conversation. But, what gives your confidence that the financial advisor industry just does not start pulling back from that product ahead of time given potential risks down the road?

  • - CFO

  • Okay, if you look at our track record in nontraded REITs and certainly, the diligence we put through it and the returns it has given to our clients, the nontraded REITs are an important part of retirement. While it has liquidity elements which are certainly fit into a retirement aspect to it. It gives a return characteristic that is quite good. And so again, we have to study it. There is, as Jim said, there are different elements where you can put it in but it is an important product and it's worked very well for our clients.

  • - Chairman & CEO

  • But Alex, to the point reference, I think again it's another product, a type of alternative product, et cetera, that should only be a small part of anyone's portfolio and that is the way we utilize, our advisors utilize it with their clients. It just complements some of the income streams that they are looking for. So again, it's only a few percent for us in our total activities. And, if that was to change and I don't think it would be that material to us and we would look for other products that would satisfy those similar objectives.

  • - Analyst

  • I agree with that point. I was just kind of curious from the industry perspective how financial advisors could react to this ahead of finalized regulation. Staying with the AWM segment and the Department of Labor. I was wondering if you guys could help us with a couple of numbers. It would be helpful I think to better understand what percentage of your revenues as a whole in AWM comes from a relationship that's already in a fiduciary standard? I know that you said it is a bulk of it but I was wondering if you had a number?

  • - CFO

  • I would say that we have a strong part of it. And probably a majority, a little over majority of where we do operate in a fiduciary standard with the assets that we have. We mentioned that there's $180 billion-some odd of assets on the management there. Those are all within a fiduciary. We also provide financial planning and advice and complement to that against the entire client's portfolio activities. And so, I think it's a reasonable portion of what we do already today and it's a growing portion as our advisors continue to look at more holistically how they help their clients satisfy their objectives.

  • So again, I think we're well situated for any continue in. And we would be very supportive if the SEC moved to one larger fiduciary standard that would be more appropriate in how firms like us and others should operate. The question is, when you get a combination of three different things going on, which we operate in two. Both the fiduciary standard under the SEC, the FINRA standards for brokers and commission-based activities. Now you're overlaying a third standard. And that is really the complication of how all of those three work together and what role each regulator plays and how they play it.

  • - Analyst

  • Got it. Understood. And then, switching gears to asset management business for a minute. Two questions there. One, on the numbers side, I was wondering if you could size the mandates that are yet to be funded in the second quarter. I'm sorry if I missed that but it sounded like you had some slippage there.

  • And then second question there just broadly, when Jim, your comments earlier about your business potentially shifting more towards institutional just given the successes you guys are having in institutional Columbia and continue to kind of struggles on the retail front. As that business continues to evolve and move towards institutional, how would the margins in that segment be impacted over time?

  • - Chairman & CEO

  • So let me answer the first one. I think what we saw, and again, I can't say it was something abnormal is we saw a number of institutions that we won mandates and we thought they would fund within the first quarter as we are predicting from the fourth quarter. But because of the level of volatility that was experienced, during the first quarter as you saw our interest rates back going down and then backing up and then back down again, people put a number of those things on hold so to speak. It did not say they were changing what that is. They just said that they were going to fund them a bit later.

  • I do believe that we expected a bit more of that to come in in the first quarter and will come in over the next future quarters we think because no one has changed what they're looking to do. It's just the timing of them doing it. So again, we still feel good. The pipeline is as strong as ever. Our win rates are good. So nothing has changed from what we were seeing in the 2014 period other than the timing is what I'm getting from our institutional business.

  • In regard to how we would like to grow that, very clearly we have a large institutional business today. It's not as though we're not looking to continue to grow the retail it's just that we think there are a level of activities as we now have a more global platform we're working with between Columbia and Threadneedle. We are increasing the number and level of activity that we do not just here in the states or in UK and Europe. But to the sovereigns, to Middle East, Asia. And we think over time, particularly as we add solutions then that could be a growing part of the business. With that, if you can grow that institutional business a bit more there are good margins if you can get continued scale in a number of those product mandates which we think we can.

  • So, I don't think that that would lower our margins. I think it actually would be complimentary for us and leverage a bit more of the infrastructure and investment teams we already have.

  • - Analyst

  • Sure, great. Thanks so much.

  • Operator

  • Ryan Krueger, KBW.

  • - Analyst

  • I had a follow-up on the institutional flows. You mentioned in the pipeline it's very strong. There was some delays in funding. I guess you had $800 million of third-party institutional outflows in the quarter. Based on what you are seeing now, would you expect those third-party flows to be positive in institutional for the balance of the year?

  • - Chairman & CEO

  • Yes, I think that as we look at the third party yes, we would. I think Walter mentioned that of the institutional outflows we experienced, $1.8 billion, one was almost $1 billion from LV, Liverpool, Victoria which is one of the large insurance mandates that we have. That was just a few basis points and it was appropriate for them as they did their reallocation from it.

  • But they already gave us a nod to some other product that we already have that they will be funding over the next few quarters that are much higher fee rate that would more than offset that loss. Zurich is the typical Zurich activities. Again, a few basis points. So, what we're looking at is for the third-party business to be in inflows this year consistent with what we were seeing as a trend line last year. And that's what we are still calling for at this point.

  • - CFO

  • Okay, that's helpful. Thanks. And then shifting to recruiting, it was pretty strong in the quarter. Can you just give an update on how the recruiting environment is these days? And also, what have been the mix of recruits into the employer versus franchisee channel in, I guess, in recent quarters?

  • - Chairman & CEO

  • So, recruiting continues to be very good for us. As we said, we added 77 new people. They were very good productivity in both channels. We're seeing higher levels of productivity from the people that we are recruiting and the pipeline continues to look good for us. We're getting probably of the mix, I think a bit more has gone now into the employee platform. We continue to do probably relative basis based on the production we're bringing in. I would just say, it's probably 50-50 but we're getting very strong production increases and very good ones into the employee channel.

  • - Analyst

  • Okay, great. Thank you.

  • Operator

  • Eric Berg, RBC.

  • - Analyst

  • Thanks very much and good morning to everyone. I'm still trying to clarify why it is that you are already under a fiduciary standard? And by my question I mean this. It's been my sense, that as a general statement, meaning there are going to be exceptions, FINRA-regulated registered reps or registered reps are regulated by FINRA and their broker dealer. In this case, Ameriprise is broker dealer. And that they're generally not subject to a fiduciary standard but rather the suitability standard. So, how does it come to pass that you're already under a fiduciary standard?

  • - Chairman & CEO

  • So you are correct in how we are regulated by FINRA on the rep business that we do as part of the broker-dealer and commission-based activities. But as a investment advisor, where we're managing clients money under an ADV under the SEC, we are an investment advisor and therefore, we're governed under the fiduciary rule to operate in the best interest of our clients rather than a suitability rule.

  • - Analyst

  • I have one more question after this of an unrelated nature. But just to build on your answer, when you say we, do you mean Ameriprise or its advisors? In particular, do you happen to know whether an advisor can be at once a registered rep and a registered investment advisor or must the advisor choose?

  • - Chairman & CEO

  • Okay. So our advisors operate under our investment advisory charter with the SEC. They are both, they can work in both standards because of how we have set up our compliance and based on the activities that they currently do. We supervise them appropriately and we ensure that for each one they operate with the correct supervision and compliance and meet those standards.

  • - Analyst

  • Okay. Separately, just a quick one on the Threadneedle. I think you said a couple of times in the course of this call that in contrast to Columbia, which has been enjoying, which enjoyed progress in the quarter, there was a little bit of stagnation or setback at Threadneedle in the United States. What is different about Threadneedle's operation here that would produce a different outcome for it than what we're seeing out of Columbia?

  • - CFO

  • Eric, it's Walter. I think maybe, let me clarify. When I said US, it was US equity. They manage a fund that was called US equity fund that basically, the team left and we had runoff. That was what I was referring to. They are the PMs for the US equity fund that they sell overseas.

  • - Analyst

  • And what happened? Was there a change? Was the point that there was a change?

  • - CFO

  • Last year, the team left and we've been building back teams and so we had basically redemptions which we talked about.

  • - Analyst

  • Okay. So this is the ongoing effect or the residual effect of what happened last year?

  • - Chairman & CEO

  • Well, what Walter's mentioned is last year we had those assets. Part of that team left. And therefore, we suffered a level of redemptions in the first few quarters of last year. That has completely slowed. We have part of that PM built back for a person who are there and part of the team and we've added more resources. So that is working well now. What Walter was talking about is the year-over-year effect from the redemptions that occurred a year ago.

  • - Analyst

  • Thank you.

  • Operator

  • Suneet Kamath, UBS.

  • - Analyst

  • Thanks, good morning. I wanted to go back to the DOL one more time if I could. Just based on your reading of the proposals, is there anything in there that suggests distribution of proprietary product? Whether it is mutual funds or annuities or even life insurance through your channel could be at risk?

  • - CFO

  • Again, we are sifting through the 700 pages. But from our early read on this, there are exemptions as consistent with any other product sell including for products that have revenue sharing, et cetera, that you can meet those exemptions and they're allowed. We fully today, just in clarity, and this is part of the importance of what we already do, is to meet the various the standards of both FINRA and the SEC today. We sell our product like every other product on the platform and let's say, our mutual funds. Compensation's exactly the same. There is no different incentives. There is no different fee arrangements in what we charge in the various loads and unloads et cetera.

  • So we feel very comfortable that Columbia product, as an example, can continue to be sold as would our annuities. The only question on the annuity front, as one had raised, is can they be allowed in nonqualified and in qualified accounts. We think again, I think if you are thinking about things with living benefits and those guarantees, they are very important for the client to get a short income in the future. So again, those might be very much allowed with the exemptions as appropriately done.

  • So we don't have a concern about the proprietary and different than any other products sold on the platforms. And remember, Ameriprise, even though we have a large advisor base, whether they be direct players, all those platform and they have their own product on them or even any one of the other houses, all have the similar mix of products. Some of them are proprietary. Some of them are networked in. But again, everyone would have to meet similar to those standards. We feel very comfortable because we fully disclosed everything today as we should. And there is no variation in how we market or sell them.

  • - Analyst

  • Okay. Just following up on the annuity point. You have been highlighting your shift in terms of new sales away from living-benefit products. It seems to me if we're moving towards an environment where the benefit of the annuities comes into greater focus, do you anticipate a reversal of that where going forward, more of your sales will actually come from living-benefit products?

  • - CFO

  • Well, I would say again, we have a nice mix that we would like to your point, and very, very clearly, would like to grow the portion that's nonliving benefit. We think there is very good value for that including with the benefits from a tax perspective for a client and also the type of product in there to generate income that is tax beneficial. And so we would probably again just gear more of that as we do today to the nonqualified portion of the clients accounts.

  • One of the things that I think we continue to look at is we don't just serve qualified separate from nonqualified. We look at holistically how we help a client achieve their retirement, their income level that they need, the allocation of their various assets that is tax preferred versus not. Those are all real value clients get from working with advisors. It's like, if you remove an advisor is like removing any other professional you may work with. You can still treat yourself for medicine or a doctor or even your tax attorney or your lawyer. But it's not advisable.

  • Part of helping clients is not just that they can get a product that is low cost, the issue is how do you use that product, when do you put it in, when do you maintain it. The biggest issues with loss of assets is the individual behavior around managing those assets. They get frightened at the wrong time, they invest at the wrong time, they don't look at it in the right probably more objective fashion because there's still a lot of behavior motion involved.

  • So we think again, we understand what the DOL's looking to achieve. We hope and to support that to be in the best interest of clients. We just want to make sure that clients can be served as best as they can. We think our holistic way of doing that would continue to be very beneficial. I think the industry is going to have as they go through this, as you'll find, each industry participant will be affected in some way and we will have to deal with it.

  • - Analyst

  • That's helpful. Maybe the last numbers question. Just bigger picture. You've talked about your progress towards the 70% earnings contribution from asset management and advice and wealth management. Just wondering, if we kind of look forward a little bit longer, ultimately where do see the mix in terms of segments settling out?

  • - Chairman & CEO

  • I think what Walter mentioned is a very fair thing. Again, we look out for the next periods or two. And he's saying we'll get from the 64% to the 70%. I actually believe that over time again, as we continue to grow these businesses that we are investing in, it will be much higher than 70% over time. Not because the insurance and annuities aren't good businesses. But again, they're only a part of the solution set that we own in market as part of our client base.

  • Asset management we're looking to grow more fully external to our own channel as well as in our channel. So there is a growth beyond that if we are successful. And then the advice and wealth management business as an example, we look at holistically managing more client assets with more advisors. And so it's just natural that it will be part of that solution set but it is not going to be the majority of that solution set.

  • - Analyst

  • Right. So maybe 80-20?

  • - Chairman & CEO

  • Yes, I think that would be reasonable to assume as we look out.

  • - Analyst

  • Terrific, thank you very much.

  • Operator

  • Thank you, ladies and gentlemen. This concludes today's conference. Thank you for participating. You may now disconnect.