阿美特克 (AME) 2012 Q2 法說會逐字稿

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  • Operator

  • Ladies and gentlemen, thank you for standing by.

  • Welcome to the AMETEK second-quarter 2012 earnings conference call.

  • During the presentation, all participants will be in a listen-only mode.

  • Afterwards, we will conduct a question-and-answer session.

  • (Operator Instructions)

  • As a reminder, this conference is being recorded, Tuesday, July 24, 2012.

  • I would now like to turn the conference over to Mr. Kevin Coleman, Vice President of Investor Relations.

  • Please go ahead, sir.

  • - VP, IR

  • Great.

  • Thank you, Savannah.

  • Good morning, and welcome to AMETEK's second-quarter earnings conference call.

  • Joining me this morning are Frank Hermance, Chairman and Chief Executive Officer, and Bob Mandos, Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer.

  • AMETEK's second-quarter results were released earlier this morning.

  • These results are available electronically, on market systems, and on our website at the Investors section of ametek.com.

  • A tape of today's conference call may be accessed until August 7 by calling 800-633-8284 and entering the confirmation code number 21597870.

  • This conference call is also webcasted.

  • It can be accessed at ametek.com and at streetevents.com.

  • The conference call will be archived on both of these websites.

  • I will remind you that any statements made by AMETEK during the call that are not historical in nature are to be considered forward-looking statements.

  • As such, these statements are subject to change, based on various risk factors and uncertainties that may cause actual results to differ significantly from expectations.

  • A detailed discussion of the risks and uncertainties that may affect our future results is contained in AMETEK's filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission.

  • AMETEK disclaims any intention or obligation to update or revise any forward-looking statements.

  • I will also refer you to the Investor section of ametek.com for a reconciliation of any non-GAAP financial measures used during the conference call.

  • We will begin today with prepared remarks by Frank and Bob, and then we will take your questions.

  • With that, I will turn the meeting over to Frank.

  • - Chairman & CEO

  • Thank you, Kevin, and good morning, everyone.

  • In the quarter, we established records for orders, operating income, operating margins, net income, and diluted earnings per share.

  • Orders in the second quarter were a record at $916 million, up 15% from the prior year.

  • The book-to-bill ratio in the quarter was 1.11.

  • Sales in the second quarter were up 9% to $825.9 million.

  • Internal growth was flat, due to a weak international environment, while acquisitions added 10% and currency was a 1% headwinds.

  • Excluding the cost-driven motor business, which was impacted by weakness in Europe and the impact of a very difficult comparison in Asia, our internal growth was 3% in the quarter.

  • Operating income for the second quarter was superb -- it increased 18% to a record $185 million from $157 million last year, reflecting the impact from our operational excellence activities and our longer-cycle, higher-margin businesses.

  • Operating income margin in the quarter was a record at 22.4%, a 170-basis-point improvement over the second quarter of 2011.

  • Net income was up 21% to $113.7 million, and diluted earnings per share of $0.47 were up 21% over last year's second quarter and above the top end of our prior guidance of $0.45.

  • Both net income and diluted earnings per share were records.

  • Backlog at the end of the second quarter was over $1 billion, an all-time record high.

  • Working capital management was excellent.

  • Operating working capital was 17.7% of sales.

  • Turning our attention to the individual operating groups, the Electronic Instruments Group had a solid second quarter.

  • Sales were up 11% to $452.1 million on strength in our aerospace, oil and gas, and power instruments businesses, in addition to the contributions from the acquisitions of O'Brien, TMC, EM Test and Reichert Technologies.

  • Internal growth was 1%, while acquisitions added 12%, and currency reduced sales by 2%.

  • EIG's operating income increased 16% to $117.7 million, and operating margins were very strong at 26%, up 110 basis points over last year's second quarter.

  • The Electromechanical Group also had a good quarter.

  • Sales were up 6% to a record $373.8 million on strength in our differentiated businesses and the contributions from the acquisitions of Avicenna, Coining, and Dunkermotoren.

  • Internal growth was down 1%, acquisitions added 8%, and foreign currency reduced sales by 1%.

  • EMG's operating income increased 14% to $78.8 million -- a record level.

  • And operating margins increased 140 basis points to a record 21.1%.

  • I would like to provide some perspective on the broader macroeconomic environment and what impact we are seeing on our business.

  • We did see weakening in our business during the second quarter -- in particular, in Europe and Asia.

  • Sales trends softened, as customers turned cautious and delayed or pushed out shipments.

  • Our process businesses, with approximately 70% of sales outside the US, have been impacted by the slowing, as well as our cost-driven motors business, given its sizable European exposure.

  • We now expect 2012 organic sales growth to be up low to mid-single digits, versus our previous guidance of mid-single digits.

  • As we have demonstrated in the past, we will tighten our belts and aggressively manage our costs through this period of softness, while continuing to make investments in strategic acquisitions, market expansion, and new product development initiatives.

  • In particular, our deal pipeline is strong, and we will remain active in acquiring businesses.

  • We have put in place a number of cost-containment actions across our businesses, which will benefit the second half of 2012.

  • These actions, the contributions from acquired businesses, and the continued strength in our aerospace and oil and gas businesses have allowed us to increase our guidance for the year.

  • Focusing now on our four growth strategies of operational excellence, global and market expansion, new product relevant, and acquisitions.

  • Operational excellence is the cornerstone strategy for the Company, and our continual focus on cost and asset management has been a key driver to both our competitive and financial success.

  • The results we announced today reflects the impact of our various operational excellence initiatives, as we were able to expand operating margins by 170 basis points to a record 22.4%.

  • At the beginning of the year, we targeted $60 million in cost savings from our various operational excellence initiatives, which include lean manufacturing, Six Sigma in our factories and back office operations, design for Six Sigma in our new product development efforts, movement of production to low-cost locales, and global sourcing and strategic procurement.

  • Approximately $40 million of these cost savings were targeted from global sourcing and strategic procurement initiatives.

  • Given the softening we are seeing, we have increased our cost savings for 2012 from $60 million to $75 million.

  • We are prepared to take further actions, if necessary.

  • Global and market expansion continues to be a driver for AMETEK's growth.

  • In the second quarter of 2012, international sales represented 50% of our total sales.

  • We continue to make investments in global and market-expansion initiatives.

  • The following are some examples of recent successes.

  • AMETEK power instruments was awarded an order for the supply of pressure transmitters for compressor surge applications in Russia.

  • In compressor surge applications, the speed of response from the transmitter is critical, and therefore highly valued by the customer.

  • Our pressure transmitter solution was ideally suited for this differentiated power application.

  • This order represents power instruments' initial win in the local Russian marketplace.

  • Our Singapore MRO aerospace business had a number of positive developments in the second quarter, including formally obtaining their Chinese CAAC Repair Station certification.

  • This Repair Station certification allows us to provide repair services in support of Chinese aircraft operators, repair stations, and logistics suppliers.

  • It also provides us broader access to the Asian aerospace repair market and further broadens the footprints of our global MRO operation.

  • In addition, our Singapore MRO business added a number of new repair capabilities, including helicopter, hydraulic servos, oxygen components, and aircraft brakes.

  • This expanded set of repair capabilities allows us to provide our customers a wider range of MRO services.

  • Lastly, it's worth noting that sales from our Singapore MRO business were up 42% in the second quarter of 2012, reflecting the tremendous work our global MRO team has done in establishing and growing their presence in this region.

  • New product development is a key to our long-term health and growth.

  • We have consistently invested in RD&E.

  • In 2012, we expect to spend $155 million, a 13% increase over 2011.

  • We are excited about some recent new product introductions.

  • Our Cameca business launched the IMS 7f-Auto -- the latest evolution of their highly successful, secondary ion mass spectrometer.

  • This product measures the elemental composition of materials.

  • The IMS 7f-Auto provides improved throughput for fully automated microanalysis, significantly increasing the productivity of the lab environment and accelerating results.

  • Product features ensure high-precision measurement, long-term stability, and ease-of-use, thus enhancing the overall tool productivity.

  • The performance of the IMS 7f-Auto is optimized for challenging applications, such as glass, metals, ceramics, silicon-based devices, and both bulk materials and thin films.

  • Also in the second quarter, AMETEK solid-state controls launched a new global uninterruptible power supply system called Digital Process Power [2].

  • This system provides clean, regulated power for critical AC loads, and was designed for global process control in industrial applications.

  • This new product opens up additional global market opportunities for our solid-state controls business, as it meets all global operating compliance standards.

  • It complements the vast UPS product family of solid-state controls, and represents over $10 million in annual sales opportunity.

  • From an overall perspective, revenue from products introduced over the last three years was 23% of sales in the second quarter, versus 21% in last year's second-quarter, reflecting the excellent work of our businesses in developing the right products to serve their customers.

  • Turning our attention to acquisitions, we had a very successful first half of 2012, with the acquisitions of O'Brien in the first quarter and Dunkermotoren in the second quarter.

  • We deployed nearly $500 million on these two acquisitions, and acquired approximately $280 million in revenue.

  • Acquisitions will continue to be a focus for us during 2012 and beyond, as we see this strategy as a key driver to the creation of shareholder value -- especially given the weakness in the global economy.

  • Our pipeline of deals remains robust, with an attractive mix of acquisition candidates with a variety of sizes and markets and geographic concentrations.

  • Our balance sheet is strong, our cash flow and financing facilities provide us with ample liquidity, and we have the financial and managerial capacity and disciplined approach to support this acquisitions focus.

  • Turning now to the outlook for 2012, we expect our longer-cycle aerospace, oil and gas, and power businesses to show continued strength throughout the balance of the year.

  • We anticipate 2012 revenue to be up low double digits on a percentage basis from 2011.

  • Organic growth is expected to be up low to mid-single digits on a percentage basis for all of AMETEK and for both operating groups.

  • Earnings for 2012 are now expected to be in the range of $1.83 to $1.85 per diluted share, up 16% to 17% over 2011.

  • This is an increase from our previous guidance of $1.80 to $1.83 per diluted share.

  • Third-quarter 2012 sales are expected to be up low double digits on a percentage basis from last year's third quarter.

  • We estimate our earnings to be approximately $0.45 to $0.46 per diluted share, up 13% to 15% over last year's third quarter.

  • Our record backlog, strong portfolio of businesses, proven operational excellence capabilities, and a successful focus on strategic acquisitions should enable us to perform well for the remainder of 2012.

  • So, in summary, our overall businesses performed well in the second quarter.

  • We are taking the necessary actions to ensure our cost structure is aligned with the slowing global economic environment.

  • We have a strong balance sheet and generate significant cash flow that provides us with plenty of liquidity to operate the business and pursue our acquisition strategy.

  • In addition to acquisitions, we continue to make sizable investments in new product development, as well as global and market expansion to position ourselves for future growth.

  • Before turning the call over to our new Chief Financial Officer, Bob Mandos, to cover the financial details, I wanted to take a moment and acknowledge and thank our long-term Chief Financial Officer, John Molinelli, who retired on July 1. John had a highly successful 43-year career at AMETEK, the last 18 of which were as our Chief Financial Officer.

  • On behalf of everyone at AMETEK, I want to thank John for his outstanding contributions to the Company over a long and distinguished career, and for the integral role he had in our Company's success.

  • We wish John all the best in his retirement.

  • It is now my pleasure to introduce Bob Mandos as our new Chief Financial Officer.

  • Bob has been with AMETEK for 31 years.

  • Prior to being named CFO, Bob served as Corporate Comptroller since 1996.

  • In this role, Bob was a key member of the Senior Management team and worked very closely with me, John Molinelli, and our group Presidents in developing and executing our growth strategies and in ensuring the veracity and quality of our financial, information, and financial reporting systems.

  • In addition, Bob led the successful expansion of our Corporate shared-service operation and led the financial due diligence process for our acquisition strategy.

  • Bob has done an outstanding job for AMETEK over a long period of time, and is uniquely qualified to take on the Chief Financial Officer role.

  • We wish Bob all the best in his new role.

  • And with that introduction, let me turn it over to Bob to cover some of the financial details.

  • - EVP & CFO

  • Thank you, Frank.

  • As Frank noted, we had a strong second quarter, with excellent financial performance and a high quality of earnings.

  • I will provide some further details.

  • Growth in selling expenses was in line with growth in sales.

  • General and administrative expenses were 1.4% of sales, below last year's second-quarter level of 1.8% of sales, driven by the accelerated stock vesting in last year's second-quarter and lower consulting spend this quarter.

  • The effective tax rate for the quarter was 30.8%, down from last year's second-quarter rate of 31.4%.

  • We anticipate a tax rate of between 30% and 31% for the full year of 2012.

  • As we have said before, actual quarterly tax rates can differ dramatically, either positively or negatively, from this full-year rate.

  • On the balance sheet, working capital -- defined as receivables plus inventory less payables -- was 17.7% of sales in the second quarter, essentially in line with last year's second-quarter, reflecting the continued efforts of our teams to reduce our investment here.

  • Strong working capital management will remain a key priority.

  • Capital spending was $12 million for the quarter.

  • Full-year 2012 capital expenditures are expected to be approximately $60 million.

  • Depreciation and amortization was $26 million for the quarter.

  • 2012 depreciation and amortization is expected to be approximately $108 million.

  • In the quarter, operating cash flow was $116 million and free cash flow was $104 million.

  • Operating cash flow in the first half of 2012 was $257 million, up 17% from the first half of 2011.

  • And free cash flow was $236 million from the first half of 2011 -- excuse me, 2012, representing 105% of net income.

  • For the full year, we anticipate free cash flow to be approximately 150% of net income.

  • Our strong cash flow was deployed to support our acquisition strategy, where we expended approximately $500 million in the first half of 2012.

  • Total debt was $1.51 billion at June 30, up $248 million from year-end.

  • Offsetting this debt is cash and cash equivalents of $164 million, resulting in a net debt-to-capital ratio at June 30 of 37%, up from 35% at the end of 2011.

  • At June 30, we had approximately $655 million of cash and existing credit facilities to fund our growth initiatives.

  • Our highest priority for capital deployment remains acquisitions.

  • In summary, we had a solid second quarter, establishing records for essentially all the key operating metrics.

  • We are well positioned for further growth, both organically and through acquisitions, with a strong balance sheet and cash flows.

  • - VP, IR

  • Great.

  • Thank you, Bob.

  • That concludes our prepared remarks.

  • We will now open it up for questions.

  • Operator

  • Thank you.

  • (Operator Instructions) Allison Poliniak-Cusic, Wells Fargo.

  • - Analyst

  • Frank, you talked about aerospace being strong for you.

  • But we are certainly hearing concerns about the aftermarket on the commercial side.

  • Could you give any color around that and what you are seeing there, specifically?

  • - Chairman & CEO

  • Yes.

  • Actually, our aftermarket business is doing quite well.

  • We had very strong performance in the second quarter, and we actually are expecting that to continue.

  • I know that some other companies had been talking about -- in particular, in Europe, their aftermarket business being weak, so I took an extra-special look at that.

  • And in fact, our business is good.

  • We are gaining share in that part of the world.

  • And as a result, even though the economy is a little bit weaker, it looks pretty good.

  • We are forecasting for this entire year, it's going to be up high-single digits, organically, for the year.

  • So, we feel pretty good about it.

  • - Analyst

  • Okay, great.

  • And then, obviously, margins have been spectacular.

  • You have been outpacing what you had guided to at the beginning of the year.

  • In addition, more cost [saves] coming out.

  • How should we be thinking about margins as we head to the back of the year here for you guys?

  • - Chairman & CEO

  • In the last conference call we had raised guidance up to 40 basis points for the full year, and we are conservatively now saying up 60 basis points.

  • So, the margins have just been spectacular in the Company, and our operating people are doing just a first-class job, in terms of managing their P&L.

  • So, we are very pleased with that and we are pleased that we are able to raise that guidance.

  • - Analyst

  • Perfect.

  • Thanks so much.

  • Operator

  • Scott Graham, Jefferies & Co.

  • - Analyst

  • The question I just had for you, Frank, is your typical synopsis across both segments, really.

  • Just market -- how you typically do that.

  • - Chairman & CEO

  • Sure, Scott.

  • I would be glad to do that.

  • Let's start with aerospace.

  • Our overall aerospace continued to perform very well in the second quarter.

  • We had double-digit organic sales growth, essentially on broad-based strength across all parts of our aerospace business.

  • We expect to see continued solid growth for aerospace in 2012, as trend in order rates, OEM build rates, revenue passenger miles, and our program wins really support strong commercial third-party MRO, and also business in regional jet sales.

  • Surprisingly, our military business also performed well in the second quarter.

  • And that is two quarters now in a row, where it essentially has outperformed.

  • So, if we look for all of 2012, we are expecting our commercial and third-party MRO businesses to be up high-single digits.

  • We expect our business and regional jets to be up low-double digits, and our military business is now expected to be up low-single digits.

  • So, for overall aerospace, we should be up, organically, in that mid- to high-single digits, and we are obviously trending more towards the higher-single digits now.

  • Moving on to our process businesses.

  • Our process businesses performed well in the second quarter, with sales up low-double digits.

  • Our oil and gas business continued to show sizable strength, while our advanced measurement technology division was also very strong.

  • Overall growth benefited from the Reichert Technologies, TMC, and O'Brien acquisitions, while organic growth was flat in the quarter, due to weak international performance.

  • Business remained solid in the US for our process businesses.

  • And for all of 2012, we expect this business to grow low-double digits on a percentage basis overall, with low- to mid-single-digit organic growth.

  • In particular, we expect continued strong performance from our later-cycle oil and gas business.

  • Moving to the power industrial part of EIG, overall second-quarter sales were up high-single digits, driven by the contribution from the EM Test acquisition.

  • Our power instruments and industrial businesses showed particular strength, with core growth of high-single digits for power instruments and mid-teens for industrial.

  • Core growth of our programmable power division was negative, due to large sales last year to a major semiconductor company.

  • For all of 2012, we expect sales for power and industrial to be up low-double digits overall and mid-single digits organically, driven by the balanced growth that I mentioned across power and industrial.

  • So, if you sum up all of EIG, we expect 2012 sales to be up low-double digits on a percentage basis, with organic growth of low- to mid-single digits.

  • For EMG, I will start with the differentiated part of EMG -- this part of the Company performed well.

  • Overall sales were up low-double digits in Q2, while organic sales were up low-single digits.

  • Strong growth from our third-party MRO and military businesses, along with the contributions from Avicenna Technology, Coining, and Dunkermotoren -- those acquisitions really drove the overall growth.

  • For 2012, we expect this business to be up approximately high teens, overall, with organic growth of mid-single digits.

  • In the last part of the Company, our legacy business, cost-driven motors, sales were down organically mid teens in the second quarter, due to weakness in Europe.

  • About 50% of our cost-driven motors business is in Europe.

  • We believe the organic growth will improve in the second half of the cost-driven motor business; and therefore, for 2012, we expect sales to be down about mid-single digits over 2011.

  • So, if you sum these two parts of EMG, for all of the EMG, we expect overall sales to be up low-double digits and organic growth to be up low- to mid-single digits.

  • And for the company, as I mentioned in my opening remarks, we expect low-double digit sales growth on a percentage basis, with organic growth of low- to mid-single digits, which is down a bit from our guidance of mid-single digits, previously, in terms of organic growth for the Company -- reflecting, obviously, the weaker international marketplace.

  • And in essence, the first-half organic growth rate will about equal the second-half organic growth rate that is in our forecast.

  • So, Scott, I hope that helps a bit.

  • Operator

  • Christopher Glynn, Oppenheimer.

  • - Analyst

  • I had a question about the organic growth.

  • It looks like you are looking for a pickup versus the Q2 rates.

  • I'm just wondering how the comps play there.

  • It sounded like you had a little bit of a lumpy comp in the second quarter.

  • And maybe by segment, same question.

  • - Chairman & CEO

  • Yes.

  • Definitely, we had a somewhat difficult comp in the second quarter.

  • It was predominantly in Asia on the comp.

  • We had very strong sales last year to multiple semiconductor customers, and also the Fukushima situation last year caused us to have high sales in the particular quarter.

  • Some of that will spill over into the third quarter, but we expect the third quarter to be essentially low-single digits, in terms of organic growth.

  • And we expect the fourth quarter to be mid-single digits.

  • There is an easier comparison in the fourth quarter.

  • So, that is why we feel the second-half organics will be about the same as the first-half organics.

  • - Analyst

  • Okay.

  • And then -- nice to see the pickup in the vitality index to 23%.

  • Some companies that -- a lower specification than you, cite a little bit higher rate there.

  • Maybe they define it differently, obviously.

  • But, just wondering, maybe you think you use a stricter budgeting process for returns?

  • - Chairman & CEO

  • Right.

  • It's a great question.

  • And when we first instituted this vitality index, we tried to come up with a common definition of what a new product is across the Company.

  • And it was extremely difficult to do, because we have such a variety of different businesses, some very short-cycle and some very long-cycle.

  • So, what we ended up doing is saying to each of our operating entities -- you decide on the definition, but you can't change it.

  • So, therefore, I would rely more on the relative change in our vitality index versus the absolute level of it.

  • We have kept this definition over the last I guess it's almost 10 years.

  • And when we started measuring it, it was at a 10% level.

  • This 23% level, I believe, is a record high.

  • I don't recall one -- Bob is shaking his head yes.

  • I don't recall one this high.

  • The key point is, it was up from 21% in last year's second quarter.

  • We are definitely getting a lot more productivity out of the engineering dollar that we are spending.

  • We feel we are spending the right amount, in terms of percent of sales.

  • We are really focused on the productivity of that dollar, which this vitality index is an indicator of.

  • - Analyst

  • Okay.

  • But it sounds like given the margin upside, you are not intent on liberalizing the budget?

  • - Chairman & CEO

  • Oh, you mean going with more in terms of new product development expense?

  • Is that what you mean?

  • - Analyst

  • Yes.

  • - Chairman & CEO

  • Yes, my guess is we will see that inch up as the year goes on.

  • We will see how the third quarter feels, and we probably will inch that up some.

  • - Analyst

  • Okay, thanks.

  • And just lastly, with the softer environment, are you seeing any impact on the pace of individual deal negotiations?

  • - Chairman & CEO

  • Yes.

  • This is the first time I can say -- or maybe I said it in the last conference call -- for a number of quarters prior to this, I had not been feeling that pricing was showing a downward trend.

  • And I am starting to feel that now.

  • I am feeling deals are more reasonable.

  • We did close the Dunkermotoren deal at eight times trailing in the second quarter; the O'Brien deal in the first quarter was nine times trailing.

  • So, I think there is some reaction to the slowing.

  • I probably don't have enough data points to fully quantify it, but it just feels a bit better now than what it has.

  • - Analyst

  • Okay.

  • Thanks a lot.

  • Operator

  • Jamie Sullivan, RBC Capital Markets.

  • - Analyst

  • Frank, maybe you can just kind of walk us through the geographies -- US, Europe, Asia, BRIC countries and what you observed in organic growth this quarter?

  • - Chairman & CEO

  • Sure, I would be glad to do that, Jamie.

  • It's an interesting picture.

  • The US was fine.

  • It was up in the 2% to 3% region.

  • The European organic growth was actually flat.

  • But there is a difference between the various parts of the business, where, on the EMG side of the business, Europe was -- the [Core Care] motor business, as I mentioned in my -- some of my opening remarks, was very, very weak.

  • And that drove the organic growth of EMG down.

  • For the Company in Asia, it was actually our weakest performance.

  • That was down 5% -- negative 5%.

  • But that was due to the factors that I mentioned, in terms of the very tough comparisons to last year.

  • I think those organic growths will show an improving trend through the second half.

  • But actually, Asia was the worst -- which is, I think, the first time I can remember Asia having the worst organic growth rate in the Company in a long time.

  • There is definitely some softening going on there, but more so than that was a tough comparison.

  • - Analyst

  • Okay.

  • That is helpful.

  • How about the rest of the BRIC regions, how did those perform?

  • - Chairman & CEO

  • They performed okay.

  • China, obviously, is the largest part of our BRIC region.

  • Russia was strong.

  • Brazil was okay.

  • So, they were fine.

  • It was China is the driver here.

  • - Analyst

  • Okay.

  • Thanks.

  • And then I think you mentioned some international process softness, as well.

  • Is that speaking to the Asian observation there that you mentioned?

  • - Chairman & CEO

  • Yes, that is correct.

  • - Analyst

  • Okay.

  • All right.

  • And then, on -- maybe you could just talk a little bit in more detail on kind of what the initiatives are on the cost-containment side that are getting you that extra $15 million this year?

  • - Chairman & CEO

  • Sure, Jamie.

  • Basically, we have increased substantially the amount of savings we are going to get in the procurement activities that we have.

  • So, we are going to go up another, say, half of that $15 million is the result of sourcing activities.

  • The remaining half is a combination of some targeted reduction in forces and some belt-tightening across the Company.

  • So, we are reacting in a manner that is consistent with a slowing of the top line.

  • We are not feeling that we are going to have some major issue on the top line.

  • But we just decided -- and I think you know our culture quite well here, that we tend to react as soon as we see softening.

  • So, we decided to react and put these in place.

  • And we are going to watch the business.

  • If things soften more, then we will take some more significant actions to ensure the profitability of the Company.

  • - Analyst

  • Okay.

  • That is helpful.

  • Thanks very much.

  • Operator

  • Mark Douglass, Longbow Research.

  • - Analyst

  • Welcome aboard, Bob.

  • - EVP & CFO

  • Thank you.

  • - Analyst

  • And in honor of Mr. Lucas, what is the payables number?

  • - Chairman & CEO

  • $300 million.

  • - Analyst

  • $300 million.

  • Okay.

  • Thank you.

  • Frank, you were talking about the M&A environment and prices coming down.

  • But with that, are you also taking down what you are willing to pay for deals, as well?

  • Is there still a disconnect, or not?

  • - Chairman & CEO

  • No, I am feeling relatively comfortable with the multiples, where they are now.

  • And what we were doing when I felt some of the deals were a bit higher than we wanted to pay, is we were parsing the deals to acquire those companies, where we had more than the norm of cost synergies in those businesses.

  • We always keep the same return type of metrics, irrespective of what the pricing is.

  • The fact that they are lower now, a little bit, in terms of the sales price, we will probably get better returns on those deals.

  • - Analyst

  • Okay.

  • And then, you said the book-to-bill is 1.11?

  • - Chairman & CEO

  • Yes.

  • - Analyst

  • That is pretty strong.

  • How were those orders splitting, say, between 3Q and 4Q?

  • Is a lot of that baked into 4Q?

  • Some longer-cycle businesses?

  • - Chairman & CEO

  • Yes.

  • A good part of that increase was due to backlog that we acquired from Dunkermotoren because that was a fairly large deal.

  • Obviously, when you acquire the backlog, it goes into the order numbers.

  • So, there was a sizable piece due to that deal.

  • And that will ship in Q3 and in Q4, with stronger sales in Q4 than Q3.

  • - Analyst

  • Can you back out what was the organic book-to-bill?

  • - Chairman & CEO

  • It was roughly the same as sales.

  • It was roughly flat, for the same reasons we talked about.

  • - Analyst

  • Okay, great.

  • Thank you.

  • Operator

  • Matt Summerville, KeyBanc.

  • - Analyst

  • Frank, I was wondering if you could spend a couple additional moments talking about some of the other end markets outside of oil and gas and semiconductor in the process group of businesses, what you are seeing domestic, internationally.

  • You typically parse it into maybe four or five buckets.

  • Can you do that?

  • - Chairman & CEO

  • Are you talking about the process businesses in particular?

  • - Analyst

  • Yes.

  • The process piece, only, really.

  • - Chairman & CEO

  • Okay.

  • If you look at the breakdown of that business, about one-third is in oil and gas.

  • About 25% is in instrumentation related to metals.

  • About 20% is in research and development kinds of applications.

  • And then, the remaining, whatever it is, 22%, is just in a varied number of industries.

  • Obviously, one-third that was oil and gas remained very, very strong in the quarter.

  • If you look at the number of worldwide rigs, it's around 3,500, which is near an all-time high.

  • We are impervious to whether it's oil or gas rigs, as long as people are drilling.

  • So, we think that segment is going to continue to do fine.

  • Part of the business that is linked to metals has a very large portion of their business in international.

  • And as a result, it was weaker.

  • It went in the opposite direction from an organic viewpoint to the oil and gas business.

  • And the research environment was mixed.

  • We had some parts that were very strong, some parts that weren't.

  • But the key driver to the process business is the fact that 70% of those businesses are outside the US, and that is where we are seeing the weakness.

  • And that is also where we had the tough comparison.

  • - Analyst

  • Frank, as you progress through the quarter, did your organic book-to-bill change much from month from month?

  • I'm trying to get a feel for where your rate entering the quarter would have been, versus exiting.

  • - Chairman & CEO

  • Actually, it's going to be a little contrary to what you probably expect the answer to this question to be, in that it actually increased during the quarter.

  • It was the lowest in the first month, and it was about -- it went up for the second two months, and was about the same in the second and the third month in the quarter.

  • - Analyst

  • Thanks, Frank.

  • Operator

  • (Operator Instructions) Richard Eastman, Robert W. Baird.

  • - Analyst

  • Frank, just to do the quick math on the core orders growth rate -- it looks like it was maybe up 3% or 4%.

  • Is that the right math?

  • - Chairman & CEO

  • It was a little weaker than that.

  • - Analyst

  • A little bit weaker?

  • Okay.

  • (multiple speakers)

  • - Chairman & CEO

  • Yes.

  • - Analyst

  • When you look at that book-to-bill, just in general, excluding Dunkermotoren does your backlog also favor the fourth quarter?

  • Is that how we -- (multiple speakers)

  • - Chairman & CEO

  • Yes, I mean it --

  • - Analyst

  • -- get kind of that mid-single digit [core]?

  • - Chairman & CEO

  • It definitely favors the fourth quarter.

  • In particular, or fourth quarter in aerospace is always our strongest quarter.

  • And as you know, the backlog in aerospace has the longest cycle to it.

  • So, there is definitely a preponderance, or a larger percentage of that backlog, that will ship in the fourth quarter.

  • And as I said before -- in fairness, on the organic side, the fourth quarter also had some lower comps on -- in particular, the [Core Care] motor business.

  • - Analyst

  • Okay.

  • Also, is price, just generally speaking, holding up?

  • I know when we entered this year, we felt that we could be fairly aggressive on price, given our growth assumptions or our outlook at that time.

  • Is price at least holding up?

  • Or is there -- any of the businesses starting to require you to price a little more aggressively for the volumes?

  • - Chairman & CEO

  • Pricing is okay.

  • You know, it was up in that one- to two-point region.

  • So, price is still okay.

  • We are not seeing any substantial change in the pricing environment.

  • That could change over the next couple of quarters.

  • But for right now, it looks okay.

  • - Analyst

  • Okay.

  • Very good.

  • Thank you.

  • Operator

  • And there are no further questions at this time.

  • Please continue with your presentation or closing remarks.

  • - VP, IR

  • Great.

  • Thanks, everyone, for joining our conference call.

  • As a reminder, a replay of this call may be accessed on the Internet at ametek.com and at streetevents.com.

  • As always, if there are any further questions, please feel free to call me at 610-889-5247.

  • Thank you so much.

  • Operator

  • Ladies and gentlemen, that does conclude the conference call for today.

  • We thank you for your participation, and ask that you please disconnect your lines.