阿卡邁科技 (AKAM) 2012 Q1 法說會逐字稿

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  • Operator

  • Good day, ladies and gentlemen, and welcome to the first quarter 2012 Akamai Technologies earnings conference call.

  • My name is Derek and I will be your operator for today.

  • At this time, all participants are in a listen-only mode.

  • We will facilitate a question-and-answer session at the end of the conference.

  • (Operator instructions).

  • As a reminder, this conference is being recorded for replay purposes.

  • I would now like to turn the conference over to Ms.

  • Natalie Temple, Investor Relations.

  • Please proceed.

  • Natalie Temple - IR Manager

  • Good afternoon and thank you for joining Akamai's investor conference call to discuss our first quarter 2012 financial results.

  • Speaking today will be Paul Sagan, Akamai's President and Chief Executive Officer; and Jim Benson, Akamai's Chief Financial Officer.

  • Before we get started, please note that today's comments include forward-looking statements, including statements regarding revenue and earnings guidance.

  • These forward-looking statements are subject to risks and uncertainties and involve a number of factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from those expressed or implied by such statements.

  • Additional information concerning these factors is contained in Akamai's filings with the SEC, including our annual report on Form 10-K and quarterly reports on Form 10-Q.

  • The forward-looking statements included in this call represent the Company's view on April 25, 2012.

  • Akamai disclaims any obligation to update these statements to reflect future events or circumstances.

  • As a reminder, we will be referring to some non-GAAP financial metrics during today's call.

  • A detailed reconciliation of GAAP and non-GAAP metrics can be found under the news and events portion of the investor relations section of our website.

  • Now, let me turn the call over to Paul.

  • Paul Sagan - President and CEO

  • Thanks, Natalie, and thank you all for joining us today.

  • Quite simply, Q1 was a great quarter where we exceeded our expectations in almost every area, and I couldn't be more pleased with the results.

  • And that strong Q1 performance really built on our record revenue achievement in the fourth quarter.

  • We posted total revenue of $319 million in Q1, up 16% from the same period last year and organic growth on the top line accelerated year-over-year for the second straight quarter.

  • We generated normalized EPS of $0.41, up 8% from Q1 of last year.

  • We had another strong quarter of cash flow generation with $93 million of cash from operations in the quarter.

  • And we're pleased to announce that our Board has authorized another extension of our share repurchase program, this time for $150 million.

  • I will be back in a few minutes with some additional thoughts on our business, and I will have some comments about the planned transition we announced today to eventually name a successor to me as President and CEO.

  • But first, let me turn the call over to Jim for more about our very strong first-quarter results.

  • Jim?

  • Jim Benson - CFO, EVP

  • Thank you, Paul.

  • As I walk you through our very strong Q1 financial results in detail, I will provide you with the consolidated numbers that include roughly one month of the Cotendo acquisition, which closed in early March; and where appropriate, I will also provide you with Akamai's results from Q1 excluding Cotendo.

  • Revenue came in above our guidance range at $319 million, up 16% year-over-year with solid growth across the business.

  • Cotendo accounted for less than $2 million in revenue for the quarter.

  • Excluding the impact of Cotendo, revenue was up 15% year-over-year and down just 2% sequentially.

  • In media and entertainment we saw strong traffic growth year-over-year, building off of the acceleration we saw in Q4 and exceeding our expectations.

  • As a result, media and entertainment revenue grew by 14% over Q1 of last year and was down 2% sequentially.

  • Commerce was our fastest-growing vertical in Q1, increasing 21% over the first quarter of last year.

  • As expected, revenue declined 7% sequentially due to normal seasonality.

  • Revenue from our enterprise vertical grew 17% year-over-year and 3% sequentially as applications continued to shift to the cloud and we saw increased demand for optimization, performance and security solutions.

  • We also saw revenue growth accelerated again in the high-tech vertical, which grew 15% year-over-year and 3% sequentially.

  • This acceleration was due to the timing of several large software download releases and continued traction among software as a service or SaaS customers, who continued to migrate to our cloud infrastructure solutions.

  • Finally, public sector revenue grew 9% year-over-year and 7% sequentially.

  • Across all of our verticals, cloud infrastructure solutions made up 57% of our total revenue.

  • During the first quarter, international sales represented 28% of total revenue, consistent with the prior quarter.

  • International revenue grew 10% year-over-year and was flat sequentially in Q1.

  • Foreign exchange had a negative impact on revenue of about $1 million on both a year-over-year and a sequential basis.

  • Excluding the impact of currency, the international revenue grew 11% year-over-year and 1% sequentially.

  • All geographies outside of North America with the exception of Japan saw very strong growth.

  • Revenue from North America grew 18% year-over-year and was down 2% sequentially, driven by normal seasonality.

  • Resellers represented 21% of total revenue, up 1 point from the prior quarter.

  • Our cash gross margin for the quarter was 79%, flat with the prior quarter and down a point from the same period last year.

  • GAAP gross margin, which includes both depreciation and stock-based compensation, was 68% for the quarter, consistent with both Q4 and the first quarter of last year.

  • This is a little bit better than our GAAP gross margin guidance for the quarter, primarily due to lower depreciation expense from network buildout that moved from Q1 two Q2.

  • GAAP operating expenses were $145 million in the first quarter.

  • These GAAP numbers include depreciation, amortization of intangible assets, stock-based compensation and acquisition-related charges.

  • Excluding these charges, our operating expenses for the quarter were $111 million, up $2 million from Q4, slightly above our guidance range due exclusively to expenses associated with our acquisitions of Cotendo and Blaze.

  • Adjusted EBITDA for the quarter was $143 million.

  • That's up 10% from the same period last year and down 3% from Q4 levels.

  • Our adjusted EBITDA margin came in at 45%, down 2 points from the same period last year and 1 point from the prior quarter.

  • For the first quarter total depreciation and amortization was $46 million.

  • These charges include $36 million of network-related depreciation, $5 million of G&A depreciation and $5 million of amortization of intangible assets.

  • Net interest income for the quarter was about $2 million.

  • Moving on to earnings, GAAP net income for the quarter was $43 million or $0.24 of earnings per diluted share.

  • As a reminder, or GAAP net income includes several non-cash or nonrecurring items, including $23 million of stock-based compensation including amortization of capitalized equity-based compensation, $5 million from amortization of acquired intangible assets and $4 million of acquisition-related costs.

  • We are including GAAP taxes in our normalized earnings, and the GAAP tax charge was $30 million, based on an estimated full-year GAAP tax rate of about 41%.

  • This tax rate is slightly higher for the year than the 38% to 39% we estimated at the start of the year, due primarily to the tax impact associated with the Cotendo and Blaze acquisitions.

  • Based on this full year tax rate, our normalized net income for the first quarter was $75 million.

  • That translates to $0.41 per diluted share on a normalized basis, up $0.03 from Q1 of last year and down $0.04 from Q4 levels.

  • This was above our guidance range coming into the quarter as the increased revenue growth and higher margins drove a strong bottom-line results.

  • Our weighted average diluted share count for the first quarter was 182 million shares.

  • Now let me review some balance sheet items.

  • Cash generation continued to be strong.

  • Cash from operations for the quarter was $93 million.

  • At the end of Q1 we had just under $1 billion in cash, cash equivalents and marketable securities on the balance sheet net of recent acquisitions.

  • Capital expenditures excluding equity compensation were $43 million, below our forecast at the beginning of the year due to the timing of investments that have shifted out of the first quarter.

  • This number includes both investments in the network as well as capitalized software development.

  • During the quarter, we spent about $8 million in share repurchases, buying back 223,000 shares at an average price of $35.45.

  • As Paul mentioned, our Board has authorized a $150 million extension of our share repurchase program beginning in May and extending over the following 12 months.

  • As with our existing program, we intend to fund it out of our strong cash generation with a primary goal of offsetting dilution from ongoing equity grants.

  • Finally, days sales outstanding for the quarter was 61 days.

  • Q1 was a great start to the year.

  • We saw an acceleration of traffic volumes for the second straight quarter in media, and as a result we've seen solid revenue growth in our media business.

  • We also continued to record healthy signings for our cloud infrastructure solutions as customers have moved more of their business transactions online and adopted cloud computing models.

  • Looking forward, we see significant opportunities across all of our verticals and we're making important investments to capture these opportunities.

  • Our recent acquisitions are great examples of how we have used the strength of our balance sheet to invest for future growth.

  • We expect these acquisitions to be roughly neutral to our earnings over the next four quarters, but near-term our expenses will slightly exceed revenues from the acquired companies until we absorb and scale these acquisitions within Akamai.

  • We will be integrating these acquisitions into our core businesses, and going forward we will not be reporting them separately.

  • Looking forward to Q2, we expect revenue in the range of $322 million to $330 million.

  • This guidance includes a full quarter of Cotendo revenue.

  • As a reminder, Cotendo's revenue run rate exiting Q1 was a little under $2 million per month.

  • The midpoint of our revenue guidance translates into 18% year-over-year revenue growth, accelerating again from Q1 levels.

  • At current spot rates, foreign exchange could be roughly neutral on a sequential basis and a $4 million negative impact on a year-to-year basis.

  • We expect gross margins to come down about 1 to 2 points sequentially, supporting the increase in traffic levels, and, given that some planned investments in the network moved into Q2.

  • We expect Q2 operating expenses to increase by about $11 million from the prior quarter as we absorb the Cotendo and Blaze acquisitions and as we continue to invest organically in go-to-market and R&D staffing.

  • As a result, we expect adjusted EBITDA margins to be about 41% to 42%.

  • This is below our long-term model due to investments we're making now that we expect will drive significant growth going forward.

  • At this level of revenue, we expect to see fully taxed normalized EPS of $0.36 to $0.38 for the quarter.

  • At the midpoint of this range, this represents 7% year-over-year growth.

  • This EPS guidance includes a tax charge of $22 million to $27 million, based on a full-year GAAP tax rate in the range of 40% to 41% and also reflects a fully diluted share count of 184 million shares.

  • On CapEx, we expect to spend around $65 million to $70 million in the quarter, excluding equity compensation.

  • This reflects our desire to stay ahead of the growth that we expect on the network and the impact of some investments that moved from Q1 to Q2.

  • For the full year.

  • we expect CapEx will be at the high end of our model of 13% to 16% of revenue.

  • Overall, we are extremely pleased with the performance of the business in Q1 and the momentum we have coming into Q2.

  • Now let me turn the call back over to Paul.

  • Paul?

  • Paul Sagan - President and CEO

  • Thanks, Jim.

  • This is an exciting time for our business around the globe.

  • Since the start of the year, I have literally been around the world visiting with clients, prospects and employees in at least 10 countries and 20 cities on Akamai business.

  • And everywhere I went, I was impressed by the energy of our teams, the opportunities in our various markets, the passion our customers have for their businesses and the trust they place in Akamai to help them achieve their goals.

  • From San Francisco to Singapore, the promise of cloud computing, mobility and online media and the threats to Web security were constant topics of conversation with customers and prospects alike.

  • They are counting on us to provide solutions to address their business challenges in these four critical areas.

  • We are meeting their needs with a commitment to innovation and rapid introduction of new services, including a plan to roll out new products and other significant enhancements in every part of our portfolio this year.

  • One area above all seems to open every discussion these days -- the myriad of security threats to online businesses.

  • CIOs are beginning to recognize that they need new defenses to protect their enterprises, and to address this pressing need we introduced Kona Site Defender in February.

  • This new service, deployed across the distributed Akamai Intelligent Platform, combines our technology for mitigating distributed denial of service attacks with our web application firewall capabilities to filter out other malicious activity.

  • We've heard time and again from our customers that their businesses need a security solution that doesn't degrade performance, even as it defends against an attack before it's in full swing.

  • Kona Site Defender was created with these customer requirements in mind; and, based on early market traction, it's clear that our approach has resonated with clients.

  • Already we are providing our new security solutions to more than 200 Akamai customers, including 17 members of the Fortune 100 and 34 of the world's top Internet retailers.

  • And we have also developed new services for customers that are deploying cloud applications.

  • Last month, we launched our TERRA office solutions to help our customers better optimize and accelerate business applications in new ways with greater flexibility and higher performance.

  • In addition, as part of our TERRA enterprise solution suite, we launched the Riverbed Steelhead Cloud Accelerator Service, powered by the Akamai Intelligent Platform.

  • Together, we are providing companies with a seamless way to add accelerated public cloud services to their private cloud infrastructures, effectively creating better performing applications that they used to host themselves but now want to access from third-party cloud providers.

  • That's not always easy over the Internet, and it's even more difficult in a mobile environment.

  • This is why we are also focused on improving the performance of mobile applications for customer serving this growing market.

  • Today, Akamai is already optimizing the delivery of more than 2 million page views from mobile sites every minute, and we are taking mobile optimization to the next level with our recently launched Aqua Mobile Accelerator.

  • Now, this solution brings together a variety of Akamai's capabilities such as smart data retransmission for oversubscribed mobile networks and the ability to identify mobile devices and automatically redirect users to sites optimized for them.

  • We believe Aqua Mobile Accelerator provides the fastest, most consistent mobile user experience, and already major online retailers and international hotel chains have signed up for this service.

  • These and other new products we have already announced or plan to announce throughout the year are the direct result of investments that we have made in cloud and mobile computing solutions and enhanced Web security.

  • We were also very pleased to see the accelerated traffic and revenue growth we experienced in media in the first quarter.

  • We still believe a significant inflection point for media traffic growth is driven by more premium content shifting online is still ahead of us, the Q1 volumes were encouraging and ahead of our expectations.

  • We're also noticing another trend with online video that's driving more traffic.

  • Big sporting events in Q1 like the NFL championship game and the NCAA men's basketball championships demonstrated how the growth of online media is tied to the growth of online social applications.

  • More and more, we're seeing that while users are watching events or programs on television, they're simultaneously enhancing their viewing experience by interacting with multimedia content, friends and other fans online.

  • And our customers depend on Akamai's ability to deliver high-quality video online and related real-time applications to capitalize on these new viewing trends.

  • Also, as consumers' demand for rich online media grows, our network partners are looking for smarter ways to manage the traffic that goes with that growing usage.

  • As some of you know, Akamai has been building and managing custom content delivery networks for many years and we've taken what we've learned to develop a new product line we call AURA network solutions.

  • Announced in Q1, these capabilities are designed to provide both fixed line and mobile network operators with better ways to monetize traffic on their network and reduce cost.

  • Of course, not all of our innovations will come from organic investment, and we are very pleased to have completed the two strategic acquisitions in the first quarter.

  • With Cotendo and Blaze, Akamai gained innovative technology, talented people and clients.

  • We've already begun incorporating their efforts into what we are developing to improve the performance of cloud-based applications, mobile computing, Web security and the delivery of rich media content over the Internet.

  • As I saw in my world tour in Q1, these are main topics on the minds of our customers around the globe, which makes me confident that Akamai has never been more relevant or better positioned to grow and continue to succeed.

  • Now, before we take your questions, a few comments from me on our second news release this afternoon -- our announcement that I intend to transition out of my current role as President and CEO by the end of next year.

  • I want to be very clear.

  • There is no back story to this announcement.

  • Simply, as I approach my 15th year helping to lead this great company, I believed it was appropriate to ask my fellow Board members to begin the CEO succession process for Akamai.

  • In a decade and a half (inaudible) and almost eight years as CEO, I've accomplished far more professionally than I ever imagined.

  • I have been honored to work with an incredible team to build one of the most successful tech companies of the Internet era and affirm with so much potential for the future.

  • At the same time, it seems to me that the best time to look for a great successor for the top job is when a company is doing well and growing rapidly, as Akamai has been.

  • Starting a search now means the Board and I can take the time we need to find the right person to elevate the Company to the next level and achieve the $5 billion revenue goal I set for us by the end of this decade.

  • Today's announcement allows us to run a transparent process to find the best candidate to help guide Akamai's future.

  • But let there be no question.

  • I intend to vigorously lead the Company until my successor has been named and a full transition is completed.

  • And we have a great management team here with an average tenure of over eight years each at Akamai.

  • This team is committed to remaining focused on executing against our strategic plans and making the CEO transition a complete success when the time comes.

  • In the meantime, we know we all have a lot of work to do and we're looking forward to updating you on our progress next quarter.

  • Now, Jim and I will take your questions.

  • Operator, the first question, please?

  • Operator

  • (Operator instructions) Mark Mahaney, Citi.

  • Mark Mahaney - Analyst

  • Hey, Paul.

  • Congratulations on Tom's success to date and with the transition going forwards.

  • Two quick questions, one on the media segment -- had two quarters in a row of acceleration.

  • I'll just ask the hard question, which is I would almost have thought there would have been greater acceleration, given the comp and given that you renegotiated or negotiated those media deals last year.

  • So any color on that?

  • And then in international markets where I think you singled out Japan as weak, was there anything interesting to note in terms of the other geographies?

  • And do you have any read into how long it might take Japan to get back to normalized growth?

  • Thank you.

  • Paul Sagan - President and CEO

  • Well, let me do them in reverse order on international since I did go around the world and stopped not everywhere, but quite a few places.

  • And I would say, we are seeing good trends for us, but that doesn't mean that the economies are fixed, and we all know the headlines certainly from Europe and places like Japan.

  • I think we benefit because IT budgets are large, and even if they don't grow as fast or even shrink, sometimes people are shifting their investments to the cloud and to the Internet.

  • And so they come to us for help for a better, faster, cheaper way to get their businesses moving online, and we benefit.

  • Certainly saw a great opportunity across Asia when I was there and some pockets of strength in Europe as well, despite some of the strong economic winds in the other direction.

  • As for Japan, I am not an economist, so I can't say what even, I think your word was regular growth is going forward.

  • I can say that on the IT side, those companies are -- many companies I met with there, particularly multinational, are serious about mining opportunities outside of Japan to look for growth because of just the characteristics of the economy there.

  • Online media there is pretty strong, and we think there's a lot of opportunity there.

  • Still, it just hasn't turned around as well as other economies did coming out of 2008-2009, and obviously the double whammy that there environmentally is the main reason behind that.

  • As for media volume, it's not relevant to the issues of a year ago.

  • It's really a question of how much is going online, and then we try to get our share of that.

  • And I think what we're seeing is more content and more usage moving online, and that's an extremely strong trend, and it was strong in the fall and it continued over the winter and accelerated some more, which is great.

  • I think that there is more coming long-term, but we will take what we are seeing now as a real positive.

  • Mark Mahaney - Analyst

  • Thank you, Paul.

  • Operator

  • David Hilal, FBR.

  • David Hilal - Analyst

  • Great, thank you.

  • Paul, could you please -- I wanted to talk about Riverbed and the Steelhead partnership.

  • Can you help quantify what you think the revenue opportunity is for Akamai this year?

  • And could you also remind us of what the go-to-market strategy is with Riverbed?

  • Thank you.

  • Paul Sagan - President and CEO

  • So the go-to-market strategy is primarily their selling motion, which is a channel-based model, because it's really an augment to someone who is using their solution behind the firewall and now wants to access private, going from private to public cloud capability, so say something like Office360 or Google Docs or something across the public Internet.

  • So we are using that selling motion, and the customer is adding this as a service on top of the capability they have and as a revenue share between the two of us.

  • So we're really supporting their channel.

  • And we had a very strong set of beta tests in the winter, announced general availability just in the last quarter, so it's too soon to quantify.

  • And we're certainly not going to put any public sales targets out there.

  • But again, remember we have a recurring revenue services model so it ramps up.

  • It's not a one-quarter phenomenon.

  • And so I would not describe it as a material opportunity this year, and we never did.

  • David Hilal - Analyst

  • Okay, and then maybe one follow-up -- high-tech was strong.

  • It sounded like there are some specific product downloads, which begs the question with Windows 8 later this year.

  • Is that another opportunity where maybe you have some strength in that sector?

  • Paul Sagan - President and CEO

  • Well, I think that has been a strong sector because we've seen the increase in some of the downloads, but also the overall shift to a SaaS model is driving a lot of business in that category.

  • I don't want to speculate on a single release for one company.

  • That would be theirs to speculate on in terms of volumes, and we are happy to serve, but we're not going to get ahead of anything they would want to say.

  • David Hilal - Analyst

  • Understand, thank you.

  • Operator

  • Michael Turits, Raymond James.

  • Michael Turits - Analyst

  • Hey, guys, how are you.

  • David Hilal - Analyst

  • Hi, Michael.

  • Michael Turits - Analyst

  • Very, very strong quarter, obviously.

  • One thing -- anything else, Paul, you can say about why you had -- why you now have a -- you see a trend in terms of that acceleration of volumes?

  • We weren't sure about how much of a trend that was.

  • Obviously, 2 points makes a trend.

  • But anymore you can elaborate on in terms of how strong you see that trend and why?

  • And then I have a question margins.

  • Paul Sagan - President and CEO

  • Well, I'll take the first one, then maybe Jim will take the second one.

  • I think that there was just more and more content going online and continuing some over-the-top growth, some supporting growth, a fair amount of live, a fair amount of VOD and just more and more rich media, higher and higher bandwidth and bit rates, also the combination of being able to deliver with the Akamai HD network any content to any device.

  • I think people are saying I can put this out there and it can go to the big screen, it can go to the PC, it can go to the smartphone, it can go to the tablet.

  • And it's creating new forms of demand and driving the nice increases in volumes that we've now seen for half a year.

  • Those don't seem to be one-time trends, so they are not single events.

  • So I take that as, really, a positive.

  • But, whether they continue to accelerate or just stay at this stronger clip, that's always a little hard to estimate.

  • And I'll turn it over to Jim, if you had a margin follow-up.

  • Michael Turits - Analyst

  • Sure.

  • I think you guys said 41% to 42% EBITDA margins.

  • You've got gross margins down for next quarter.

  • Can you see -- obviously, it's important to make these investments.

  • Anything you can tell us about how those should trend over the following several quarters in the back half of the year?

  • Because it would be great to see some leverage off that.

  • Any help you could give us there would be great.

  • Jim Benson - CFO, EVP

  • Okay, just to refresh folks on my comments, so certainly one of the drivers of the EBITDA going down Q1 to Q2 is the impact of absorbing both the Blaze and the Cotendo acquisition.

  • So that's a fairly large piece of the OpEx growth from Q1 to Q2.

  • On the gross margin side, we talked about the fact that there were some investments in the network that kind of pushed from Q1 to Q2, which is -- so that's a good news story on the traffic side.

  • So we're certainly seeing an encouraged with the traffic acceleration that we are seeing, and we always want to make sure we are building out in advance of that.

  • So that kind of is at least an explanation for why, in the short term, it goes down.

  • Your question about -- when can we expect to see them kind of go?

  • We do expect that we can get back into the long-term model range we provided of 45% to 47% EBITDA.

  • But I would say it's going to be probably several quarters before we get back to that range.

  • Paul Sagan - President and CEO

  • Yes, and I think we've seen this pattern as we've done acquisitions before, which is we get the synergies out of them.

  • And that's why, over the course of the year, they are neutral.

  • But obviously, upfront there's more costs and then you get to the synergies you want to see.

  • I don't want to slash them upfront and not get all of the quality.

  • It takes a little while to integrate the networks and get the savings that we've seen in the past from this kind of integration, and I expect us to see from this one as well.

  • Thanks, Michael.

  • Michael Turits - Analyst

  • Great, thanks.

  • And of course, Paul, congratulations on your long and fantastic tenure here.

  • Paul Sagan - President and CEO

  • Hey, that's nice of you to say.

  • But it's not over yet, so you will get some more shots at me, Michael.

  • (laughter).

  • Operator, next question.

  • Operator

  • (Operator instructions) Jenn Swanson Lowe, Morgan Stanley.

  • Jenn Swanson Lowe - Analyst

  • Hi, I wanted to touch on the Cotendo acquisition a little bit.

  • I think when we've asked about in the past, you said wait until it closes before you talk about where it fits into the broader portfolio at Akamai.

  • And now it's closed.

  • Can you give us a little color there on how it fits in?

  • And then, since I'm limited to one question, I'll append my second question on it.

  • Paul Sagan - President and CEO

  • Yes.

  • Jenn Swanson Lowe - Analyst

  • For the $2 million contribution that you saw this quarter for about a month's revenue, is it reasonable to think about that $2 million as a monthly run rate for the business going forward?

  • I know we are not going to break it out separately, but is there any reason not to think about $2 million per month as a baseline revenue run rate for the Cotendo business?

  • Paul Sagan - President and CEO

  • Yes, I'd say it was just below that number.

  • The reason we're not going to break it out is we are migrating those customers onto our platform.

  • They will move to our services.

  • We will integrate the networks, and then there's no way to track it individually, and so that's really the way we've handled these acquisitions every time we've done one.

  • We've moved that group into our site division around site and performance.

  • We've integrated the employees into their very as functional areas, so network, engineering, sales, etc., giving everybody an assignment pretty close to day one.

  • If not on day one, every employee new where they stood.

  • We're integrating both their California and their Israel offices into the Company, very excited to have the new office for us in Israel.

  • It was a geography we didn't have a presence before, and it was a place we wanted one, especially for R&D.

  • And it now gives us the -- you know, I think the critical mass to have a foothold to do that.

  • We're going to take their -- the best of some of their engineering and product features and build them into our site capabilities so that they will be integrated into one set of services.

  • We won't say to customers, do you want that one or this one?

  • It will be off of one platform that will probably take, for some of the things, up to a year to finish.

  • It may even take a little bit longer to migrate all of the customers, but not to get most of the cost synergies that we need to the network migration.

  • Jenn Swanson Lowe - Analyst

  • Thank you.

  • Paul Sagan - President and CEO

  • Yes.

  • Operator?

  • Operator

  • Gray Powell, Wells Fargo.

  • Gray Powell - Analyst

  • Hi, thanks for taking the question.

  • If I just do some very rough math, it looks like the typical Cotendo customer is doing about $5000 in revenue per month.

  • And just given that the typical Akamai customer does closer to $25,000 to $30,000 per month, what kind of opportunity to do you see to upsell customers on additional products, and how should we think about a potential to ramp the Cotendo base?

  • Paul Sagan - President and CEO

  • So I think, using your math as just an example, this is the experience that we've had doing acquisitions in the past of finding a company with good technology and a good set of customers but with a small portfolio, and then going into that space and up-selling them to, we hope, our average over time.

  • That has been our experience.

  • That would be our goal here.

  • Whether we get them all there or not, we'll have to see.

  • But one opportunity is simply to go to them with a much broader portfolio and say how about this, this, this and this?

  • We can make your online business operate better in a one-stop shop, and that's exactly the model that we'll try to run this time and the plan that we have in place.

  • Gray Powell - Analyst

  • Got it.

  • Operator

  • Colby Synesael, Cowen and Company.

  • Colby Synesael - Analyst

  • Hey, guys, thanks for taking the question.

  • Just wanted to follow up on the second-quarter guidance.

  • You mentioned OpEx, I think, would be up about $11 million.

  • We've talked about having you at the margins of 41% to 42%, and a lot of that being driven by, I guess, Cotendo and Blaze.

  • Is there any of that sequential increase that's one-time as it relates to the integration that theoretically, then, by the time we get to the third quarter it will be gone and, as a result of that, we should be assuming a margin higher than the 41% to 42%, at least in the back half of the year?

  • I know you've talked about getting back to the long-term target of 45% to 47% over the next several quarters, but I'm curious if we are going to see around the 41%-42% for an extended period or if we should see an immediate impact or benefit starting as early as the third quarter.

  • Thanks.

  • Paul Sagan - President and CEO

  • Well, I think that we have this pattern even without acquisitions of very, very high EBITDA in Q4, lower in Q1 and Q2.

  • So you are seeing that just slightly exacerbated by the acquisitions coming at exactly the same time.

  • We are not backing off of our long-term model on -- you know, take any line across there and we think we will get back to them.

  • Jim Benson - CFO, EVP

  • Yes, and I guess I'll comment maybe more specifically on your question around maybe the out quarters.

  • So, certainly, we are absorbing these companies for a full quarter in Q2.

  • There isn't much in the way of one-time expenses that we are going to incur in Q2.

  • So really, to Paul's point, what drives the scale is once you integrate these companies, once we are able to then leverage their customer platforms, upsell within their customer set, you're going to see the revenue growth.

  • When revenue grows from that activity, you will start to see EBITDA scale.

  • So it's going to be several quarters before you see it get back to the range that we've talked about in our long-term model, but we have high confidence that we will be able to do that.

  • Operator

  • Mike Olson, Piper Jaffray.

  • Mike Olson - Analyst

  • Hey, good afternoon.

  • For the security initiatives, who do you feel you are competing most with?

  • Is it in-house technologies?

  • Is it offerings from existing traditional Internet security companies, or is it just the ability to convince customers of the ROI of your security tools?

  • And then the other question is just customer account at the end of Q1, if you could give that.

  • And did you say what cloud infrastructure was as a percent of overall revenue?

  • Thanks.

  • Paul Sagan - President and CEO

  • Yes, so Jim can recap the second question in a second.

  • On security, I think this is an expanding wallet.

  • Most CIOs say, I'm cutting my budget, except security, which is pretty much unlimited right now, if you've got an answer, because this has become a board room enterprise risk question.

  • It doesn't mean that people will just buy anything, but they are really concerned, and I think for a good reason, around security.

  • And so conversations are really about if you believe in a security in-depth model, then we thought about locking down the desktop, we thought about locking down the data center.

  • And now you've got to lock down the network at large.

  • And what Akamai's ability to do cloud-based security does is lock down that broader world and really provide a new layer.

  • So I think it's really a new opportunity and a new conversation.

  • Jim Benson - CFO, EVP

  • Okay, and one of the things we've talked about in the past is that customer count is really not the most relevant statistic that we want to be talking about going forward.

  • So we've certainly inherited some very healthy customers from Cotendo, but that's just not something we are going to disclose on a quarterly basis.

  • Paul Sagan - President and CEO

  • And the percentage on cloud versus --

  • Jim Benson - CFO, EVP

  • The percentage of our business for cloud infrastructure solutions for the quarter was 57%.

  • Paul Sagan - President and CEO

  • Right, and the rest was content delivery.

  • Jim Benson - CFO, EVP

  • That's right.

  • Operator

  • Ed Maguire, CLSA.

  • Ed Maguire - Analyst

  • Hi, yes, good afternoon.

  • I was wondering if you could update us on any of your thoughts on the existing partnerships that Cotendo had had with Juniper, Citrix and AT&T, and how that might impact your plans, technology and investment going forward.

  • Thank you.

  • Paul Sagan - President and CEO

  • Well, we are excited about those because they are all companies with whom we've had relationships.

  • We will try to build on them.

  • You need to remember they were a relatively small company, so any of those partnerships, by and large, are still adding a small piece to a small business.

  • But we are exploring those now that the deal is closed.

  • Those were obviously not conversations we could have had as three-way conversations until very recently; it just wouldn't have been an appropriate way to go about it.

  • Now, we're being able to engage and we are optimistic that we can find real opportunities because we can bring a great deal more capacity, engineering, product and portfolio to those companies, whether they are interested in remarketing some of the things we do or co-developing new offers.

  • I think it will take some time to bear fruit, as it does with any new partnership.

  • And even for Cotendo, they were relatively new partnerships because this is a relatively young company.

  • But we are engaged in discussions with those and other partners, and we will sort them out appropriately.

  • Operator

  • Phil Winslow, Credit Suisse.

  • Dan Morrison - Analyst

  • Hi, this is actually Dan Morrison for Phil.

  • Paul Sagan - President and CEO

  • Hi, Dan.

  • Dan Morrison - Analyst

  • Hi.

  • Could you guys provide some color in terms of bandwidth and co-location costs, and then how those have been trending and what your expectations are going forward?

  • And then, could you also comment on how dilutive the two acquisitions are to your Q2 EPS guidance?

  • Jim Benson - CFO, EVP

  • So I'll cover -- so specifically on -- I think as we've talked about in the past, certainly on the bandwidth side, we continue to see bandwidth costs go down.

  • So that has continued to be the case.

  • Relative to bandwidth costs quarter to quarter, certainly if traffic is going to grow, you're going to see bandwidth costs grow.

  • On the co-lo front, really put we have talked about on the co-lo front is that, as you build out more on your network, the co-lo costs depend upon where you actually put the co-lo -- what actual networks you are having that deployment reside within.

  • And so, certainly, the cost depends upon -- and if you are an international network, you're probably going to have a little bit higher cost than not.

  • But in general, we've not seen a substantive change in bandwidth or co-lo costs, and I would say that --

  • Paul Sagan - President and CEO

  • Well, I would say that we see bandwidth continuing to go down at the same rate (multiple speakers) and co-lo --

  • Jim Benson - CFO, EVP

  • Well, bandwidth is going down.

  • Paul Sagan - President and CEO

  • And co-lo is staying stable.

  • Jim Benson - CFO, EVP

  • Co-lo is stable, and it depends upon the markets that we are in.

  • In some markets, actually colocation expenses go down.

  • Other markets, colocation expenses are going up.

  • Paul Sagan - President and CEO

  • And in terms of being dilutive in the quarter, roughly $0.01, I guess.

  • Jim Benson - CFO, EVP

  • Yes, roughly.

  • But certainly, as I said, the expectation is over the next four quarters that these acquisitions are neutral to EPS.

  • Operator

  • Sterling Auty, JPMorgan.

  • Sterling Auty - Analyst

  • Yes, thanks, guys.

  • I wonder if you could just talk a little bit about the competition for the media and entertainment space.

  • There's been lots of talk about the carriers' strategy there.

  • Did you see them at all in the quarter?

  • And what do you think is going to happen as the year unfolds?

  • Paul Sagan - President and CEO

  • Really saw no significant change at all, and I think the environment will stay pretty similar.

  • We believe we are the go-to place that customers look to for this kind of delivery because we are across so many networks in all geographies, and a single network solution is not what our customers need, to deliver high-quality, rich media or applications to any device to any user, anywhere.

  • And so I know there has been a lot of speculation, but it really hasn't had a market impact, and I don't think that's going to because I don't think it's the right answer for the way customers measure performance.

  • Operator

  • Richard Fetyko, Janney Capital Markets.

  • Richard Fetyko - Analyst

  • Hey, thanks.

  • Curious on your views of the volume-based business.

  • It really picked up in terms of year-over-year growth rates in the first quarter, and it bounces around in a pretty wide range over the course of time.

  • And I guess some of that depends on the timing of certain contract renewals.

  • So I was just wondering, long-term, what do you think that the net revenue growth in this business can be when you consider certain pricing declines and the volume trend?

  • Paul Sagan - President and CEO

  • Well, just to give you my perspective, it's not really a function of contract renewals that affects pricing more than demand in volume, which has continued to grow.

  • And most of the changes in the volume growth and how fast it has been growing has really had to do with the health of the media market, how fast content owners, producers, copyright holders had moved their businesses online and made more and more content available that people want to consume on the Internet, over-the-top or on a range of new devices.

  • And so it, frankly, it's more exogenous factors.

  • And I think what we are seeing is a somewhat healthier economy in a lot of parts of the world, certainly a healthier media landscape, especially for video, not so much for print, as we know.

  • But that doesn't affect us as the video piece is more central.

  • And just a growth of both this combination of video and social combining to drive higher volumes and longer use cases rather than people watching short attention span theater, they're watching longer content and staying online longer at higher qualities, especially on tablets and bigger screens.

  • And that is driving the increase in volumes that we've seen in the last half year or so.

  • Operator

  • Tim Horan, Oppenheimer.

  • Tim Horan - Analyst

  • Good afternoon, thanks.

  • In the past, we've seen volume growth accelerate like this.

  • How long does it usually last?

  • I know it's tough to gauge, but you've seen a couple of these cycles.

  • And then do you think revenue growth for the core media business will be impacted by pricing of all, or if the volume growth kind of keeps going and what you are seeing here that we should continue to see this kind of revenue growth?

  • Thanks.

  • Paul Sagan - President and CEO

  • I think I won't take a stab at your first question, and I'll just remind you of probably what your stuff always says, which is past performance is no indicator or promise for the future.

  • Meaning there are different things that have driven the cycles in the past -- health of the economy, content coming online, broadband inflections -- way too complicated, I think, to generalize that to the future and make a prediction.

  • I think what we are seeing is better and better broadband, more people connected, these mobile devices and tablets driving new use cases that weren't there a year ago and content providers running to that as a new monetization opportunity and then coming to us for the answer to deliver it.

  • And really it has been in the Akamai AC network, our universal streaming capabilities because they give us a high-quality file, and we will then deliver it to the right device on the right network with the right bit rate and the right quality, with minimal re-buffering in real-time.

  • And that's what resonates with our customers.

  • And then they are concerned about their ability to monetize.

  • So clearly a healthier video ad market, healthier economy help, higher subscription take-up by end-users helps.

  • All of these things we're seeing, and they drive growth.

  • Right now those fundamentals are all in place, so I'm optimistic that they will continue to drive this market.

  • But I don't think you can look to years past and say, how do I use that to predict the length of an inflection point.

  • Operator

  • Ben Rose, Battle Road Research.

  • Ben Rose - Analyst

  • Yes.

  • Again, Paul, congratulations on your decision.

  • And a question for you on the volume part of the business, asked a little bit differently from a competitive pricing standpoint.

  • What kind of behavior are you seeing from the principal competitors there by way of discounting or any acts of desperation at this point?

  • Paul Sagan - President and CEO

  • We've seen a pretty stable environment for years.

  • I don't think acts of desperation is how I've ever described it, so maybe that's your characterization or someone else's.

  • No; I think that we see -- I've always been in a competitive environment for our services.

  • I assume we will continue to be in one.

  • Our goal is to continue to drive up volumes and take cost out of the business and help our customers do more online.

  • When they do, they are very happy and they keep signing up for more.

  • That's our goal.

  • We continue to drive quality up.

  • Flexibility and capability, especially around the Akamai HD network and our ability to do universal streaming of video to any device anywhere, anytime.

  • If we do that, I think we win in the market, and that has been our path.

  • And that's our strategy, and it seems to be working for us.

  • I think it will continue to.

  • Others will have to compete on their own terms, and we are happy to see them in the market.

  • Operator

  • Aaron Schwartz, Jefferies.

  • Aaron Schwartz - Analyst

  • Good afternoon.

  • I understand the impact; you talked about it on the gross margins with some things shifting from Q1 to Q2 and the acquisition, the dilution.

  • But if we look at a lot of the new products and the acquisitions, it seems like they are a little bit more on the cloud infrastructure side or software side.

  • So as you get through some of these nearer-term adjustments, would you expect gross margins to stabilize or start to move higher?

  • Paul Sagan - President and CEO

  • Sure.

  • To be very clear, we said we'll get back to our long-term model.

  • You're seeing partly the annual cycle of margins going down off of Q4 into the first half of the year; that's normal.

  • Then they are exacerbated by doing two acquisitions in Q1 and those expenses.

  • We absolutely believe we will get back to our target margins and hit our targets for the year.

  • You're just seeing a little bit of compression in Q2 because those things all come together at one time.

  • Operator

  • Jeff Van Rhee, Craig-Hallum.

  • Jeff Van Rhee - Analyst

  • A couple questions, Paul -- in terms of -- you've got a pretty wide range of new products here, so help us prioritize here.

  • What do you think has the largest revenue potential or likelihood of revenue contribution over the coming year?

  • And then second, on the tax rate, we've seen a couple upward revisions.

  • Can you give us a sense of some intermediate outlook on gives and takes there?

  • Paul Sagan - President and CEO

  • Sure.

  • I'll handle the first part.

  • Very excited about security, very excited about mobile acceleration, very excited about what we have coming in site performance and, frankly, very excited about media because as the volumes continue to grow, we think we have the best solution in the Akamai HD network to service our customers.

  • Again, remember all of them are services so they layer on and grow on top of each other, so they don't take off or stop in a week.

  • They build over time, and then we get the great benefit of the recurring revenue model, which we love.

  • So I'm excited about all four of those.

  • And now I think you are a little bit like saying which child do you like best.

  • I like all four of those.

  • I think they are great opportunities for us.

  • Jim covered the tax impact, but I'll have him reprise that if you missed it.

  • Jim Benson - CFO, EVP

  • Right, so we guided for the quarter for Q1, 38% to 39% for the tax rate.

  • We came in a little bit under 41%, and that was exclusively driven by -- you know, certainly, when we provided guidance we do not provide guidance including the impact of acquisitions.

  • And as a result of the Blaze and Cotendo acquisitions, there were some tax impacts.

  • I won't get into the tax accounting with you, but there were some tax impacts as a result of absorbing them into Akamai that have an impact on the tax rate.

  • As far as what's the tax rate going to be doing longer-term, I think you can expect -- one of the things we've talked about in the past is there's a lot of variables that affect the tax rate.

  • How much business you do international is probably the biggest driver.

  • So as we drive more and more of our business and our business mix internationally, you can expect that the tax rate will come down over time.

  • It's a matter of the rate and pace.

  • The good news is, for Q1 we had tremendous growth in the US.

  • I think it's very strong.

  • Certainly, we had strong growth in international.

  • And our expectation is over time that the mix of business and international grows beyond the current levels.

  • Operator

  • Donna Jaegers, D.A.

  • Davidson.

  • Donna Jaegers - Analyst

  • Hi, thanks for taking the question and congratulations on a good quarter.

  • On Cotendo, can you tell us which vertical you are going to throw the revenues into?

  • Paul Sagan - President and CEO

  • It's all cloud infrastructure.

  • They had no video or media capability at all.

  • Donna Jaegers - Analyst

  • So all enterprise, then?

  • Jim Benson - CFO, EVP

  • No, Donna; they are actually in all of the verticals.

  • Paul Sagan - President and CEO

  • Oh, I'm sorry.

  • You meant verticals.

  • Jim Benson - CFO, EVP

  • Yes.

  • Paul Sagan - President and CEO

  • I thought you meant which of our two categories.

  • Yes.

  • Jim Benson - CFO, EVP

  • So, to Paul's point, they are all cloud infrastructure solutions, but the verticals that the sell into are pretty much all the verticals.

  • Paul Sagan - President and CEO

  • By industry.

  • Jim Benson - CFO, EVP

  • By industry.

  • Donna Jaegers - Analyst

  • All right, thanks.

  • Operator

  • Rob Sanderson, ABR Investment.

  • Rob Sanderson - Analyst

  • Yes, thanks, guys.

  • Can you walk through the trends on the traffic on the network, Q4 to Q1?

  • The drivers that we saw pick up in the fourth quarter -- I think you talked about social media, online gaming, additional video -- was it really strength across the board again in the first quarter, or were there categories that led that?

  • Paul Sagan - President and CEO

  • You know, the easy answer is yes, it was all of those again.

  • Rob Sanderson - Analyst

  • Thanks, guys.

  • Paul Sagan - President and CEO

  • Sure.

  • Operator

  • Chad Bartley, Pacific Crest.

  • Paul Sagan - President and CEO

  • Hi, Chad.

  • Chad Bartley - Analyst

  • Hi, thank you very much for taking the question.

  • I wanted to follow up on the cloud solutions business, and based on the percent of revenue and the metrics you've disclosed.

  • It seems like that grew about 14% in the quarter; that was down from about 20% in Q4.

  • So can you talk a little bit about the trend there and then the slowdown, despite the traction that you are seeing with some of the new services?

  • And then, as we look out, can you talk about when is a time frame that we could potentially see an acceleration in that from the new service?

  • Thanks.

  • Paul Sagan - President and CEO

  • Sure.

  • So I think the services we'll build on over the next couple years as they get up-take based on the response we are seeing -- I think what you have to remember is, Q4 is an amazing compare because of all the commerce stuff that goes into that quarter and the amazing growth that we usually see in Q4 which we saw driving the really strong Q4.

  • You are not going to see that kind of strength in commerce in Q1.

  • It was strong, but you go from the biggest selling quarter to the biggest sales and returns month in January, and then people forget to shop for a little while.

  • So I don't think you could do that compare Q4 to Q1 and draw too many conclusions.

  • We were pleased to see continued growth.

  • We were pleased to see very strong signings in the quarter in that category, and it gives us confidence that that will continue to be a strong and profitable area for us going forward.

  • Jim Benson - CFO, EVP

  • And my only other add to that -- you have to remember that the cloud infrastructure solutions tend to be a subscription-based model, not a kind of a traffic-based model.

  • And we've made a host of product announcements in Q1, and we expect to make more product announcements throughout the course of the year.

  • And a lot of them -- actually, they are going to be across the entire portfolio.

  • But you're going to see a lot of them in the cloud infrastructure solutions area.

  • So we certainly expect, over time, that the cloud infrastructure solutions mix will grow beyond current levels.

  • Paul Sagan - President and CEO

  • Operator, I think there's one more question, we have time to get it in, in the hour.

  • Operator

  • Sameet Sinha, B.

  • Riley & Co.

  • Sameet Sinha - Analyst

  • Yes, thank you very much.

  • So if you can help us think about these new products, most of them sound incremental.

  • But when you spoke about Cotendo, it seemed like you are -- you're basically importing their system into your existing platform.

  • Obviously, they had a competing product, you had a product.

  • How would you sell?

  • Would you sell the two separately, or do you think you are just going to take these to [their] technology, and improve and expand your platform, and the product remains the same?

  • Paul Sagan - President and CEO

  • No; they had some unique products.

  • I'm not going to make a product announcement on this call, but they had some unique things that we didn't sell.

  • We will be rolling those out as new features but on our platform.

  • We don't want to sell them in two separate product categories; they will all be on the Akamai Intelligent Platform, but they will be new products.

  • They will be branded Akamai; we will only sell under one corporate brand.

  • So some of their customers who had services that were similar will combine the best of the technology from both and hopefully have a better overall product.

  • All of our customers will get the benefit.

  • Where they had unique products, we will push them over and then be able to sell them into all of our customers where we weren't selling them before and we'll be able to take all of the products that we have that didn't match something that Cotendo had and try to move those into their customer base.

  • So it's both a combination of improving products by combining, where that makes sense, and bringing new products to their customers and vice versa.

  • Sameet Sinha - Analyst

  • Would that help you in increasing pricing of your product, or do you think it's just another value-added service that you will provide to your customers?

  • Paul Sagan - President and CEO

  • Well, we think it allows us, we hope, to take more wallet share from the IT spend that the customers have by selling them more products, and therefore, raising the average revenue we get overall from a customer be being able to sell them more things.

  • Thank you for calling, Sameet.

  • Thank you all.

  • I think we've gotten to the end of our questions and the end of our hour.

  • We appreciate your interest.

  • Thank you all and we will be back in another quarter with another report.

  • Have a great evening.

  • Bye-bye.

  • Operator

  • Ladies and gentlemen, that concludes today's conference.

  • We thank you for your participation.

  • You may now disconnect.

  • Have a great day.