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Operator
Welcome to the Advance Auto Parts
second quarter conference call. Just as a
reminder, participants are in a listen only mode.
Before we begin, Eric Margolin, the
company senior vice-president and general counsel,
will make a brief statement concerning forward
looking statements that will be made on this call.
You may go ahead, sir.
Eric Margolin - Senior VP, General Counsel and Secretary
Thank you. Good morning.
Certain statements that will be made during this
conference call will contain forward looking
statements that incorporate assumptions based on
information currently available to the company.
These statements discuss, among other things,
expected growth, store development and expansion
strategy, business strategies, future revenues and
future performance. These forward looking
statements are subject to risks, uncertainties,
and assumptions including but not limited to
competitive pressures, demand for the company's
products, the market for auto parts, the economy
in general, inflation, consumer debt levels, the
weather and other risk factors listed from time to
time in the company's filings with the Securities
and Exchange Commission. Due to changing
conditions, should any one or more of these risk
factors materialize or any of the underlying
assumptions prove incorrect, the actual results
may materially differ from anticipated results
described in these forward looking statements.
It gives me great pleasure to now turn the call
over to Larry Castellani, our chief
executive officer. Larry?
Larry Castellani - CEO
Thanks, Eric.
Good morning, and welcome to our second quarter
2002 conference call. With me in morning is Jim
Waite [phonetic], our chief financial officer,
David Reid, our executive vice president, chief
operating officer, and Jeff Gray, our senior
vice-president and controller.
Once again, our team members produced strong
results during the second quarter. Earnings per
share before integration expenses an extraordinary
item grew 57 percent to 77 cents on 49 cents
last year, and we achieved same store sales of 5
percent on top of 6.8 last year. Along with the
solid same store sales and earnings per share
growth, other achievements included continuing to
successfully integrate Discount Auto Parts, the
acquisition of 55 Track Auto Parts stores which
closed on July 26, 2002. We achieved a 220 basis
points increase on operating margins integration
expenses, and we also prepaid approximately
112 million in debt during the quarter and
189 million since the beginning of the year.
During the quarter we successfully achieved our
three key goals, which are to expand our operating
margins, use our free cash flow to reduce our
debt, and to successfully integrate Discount Auto
Parts. We will continue to focus on these goals
as we go forward. But before I elaborate on these
goals, as well as other initiatives I'd like to
hand the call over to Jim Waite who will review
our second quarter and year to date results.
Jim?
Jim Wade - President and CFO
Thank you, Larry.
Good morning. We are excited about the strong
performance that was produced by our team members
in the second quarter. During the second quarter
total sales rose 30.5 percent to 792.7 million
compared to last year's 607.5 million. We
experienced strong growth in our retail segment
where sales grew 32.1 percent to 774.9 million
compared to last year's 586.8 million. As you
recall, the retail segment includes both our DIY
and our commercial or DIFM sales. Sales from our
Western Auto wholesale dealer network continue
their expected contraction with a year over year
decline of 13.9 percent to 17.8 million. Same
store sales grew in the second quarter on top of
6.8 percent in the same quarter last year and
increase in customer count generated approximately
two-thirds in same store sales with the remainder
coming from increase in average ticket.
We are excited that more customers are choosing
Advance for their automotive needs and increasing
market share in operating where we're operating
store. As you may recall, same store sales in the
first four weeks of the quarter were flat due to
cool wet weather as well as tough comparisons. As
we expected the remainder of the quarter saw
strong comps approximately 7 percent generating an
overall increase it of 5 percent for the quarter.
Year to date same store sales growth of 6.5
percent compared to 6.2 percent for the first half
of last year. We remain comfortable with mid
single digits same store sales growth for the
remainder of 2002 and the start of the third
quarter confirms that expectation is achievable.
For the quarter DIY same store sales rose over 5
percent and commercial comps are approximately 4
percent.
For the same quarter last year DIY comps were
approximately 6 percent and commercial comps are
approximately 10 percent. Year to date DIY comps
were approximately 7 percent compared to about
four and a half percent last year and commercial
comps were about four and a half percent year to
date compared to almost 15 percent last year.
Last year's stronger commercial comps were
primarily the result of adding additional programs
as well as increasing the number of delivery
trucks in several stores during that period. In
2002 we've added 41 net new commercial programs as
planned, primarily in the Discount Auto
Parts stores. Currently we have a total of 1411
programs with 1240 Advance stores, including the
converted discount stores and 171 at the Discount
Auto Parts stores. Our focus in commercial
continues to remain primarily on increasing sales
and profits in existing programs. the sales at
our Discount Auto Parts stores are also solid
during the quarter producing same store sales gain
of 3.7 percent. This compares to 1.8 percent in
the same quarter of 2001. These sales gains in
the second quarter were achieved during the height
of the merchandise conversion process which will
be completed in September. Just as a reminder,
the Discount Auto Parts same store sales gains are
not included in our reported comps, since they've
been owned for less than a year. These stores
will be added to the comparable store sales base
after 13 completed accounting periods or during
the 13th period of this current fiscal year.
We'll continue to report these results separately
until that time so you'll be able to track their
progress as we go through the year. the stores in
overlapping markets will be closed stores due to
discount acquisition continues to experience same
store sales gains of over 20 percent. However, on
a total comping basis [inaudible] store sales by
less than 1 percent. During the second quarter we
opened 11 new stores and closed 23 stores
including nine related to the Discount Auto Parts
acquisition resulting in an ending store count of
2,367. Year to date we've opened 28 new stores
and closed 145 stores including 128 related to the
discount acquisition. There will only be a few
more closures related to the discount acquisitions
as we go forward. We plan to open approximately
110 stores this year in existing markets which
includes the recently announced Track Auto Parts
[inaudible] acquisition. We also have a strong
new store development pipeline as we move into
2003. We still an at this time anticipate opening
100 to 125 stores in 2003. the Track Auto Parts
acquisition is an exciting opportunity for us to
quickly penetrate the metro Washington, D.C.
market. On July 22nd, we with given bankruptcy
court approval to assume the leases on 255 stores,
48 of these stores are in the Washington DMA, 5
are in Baltimore, and two are in Richmond. The
acquisition closed on July 26th. The total
purchase consideration was the assumption of a
lease, $4 million for fixtures, and up to
12 million for inventory. As we have stated in
many of our other presentations, we believe we've
demonstrated our strong acquisition and
integration experience and this experience was the
key to our receiving bankruptcy court approval.
The Track stores will be systematically turned
over to us in groups of approximately 5 per week.
Once we've taken possession of each group
of stores we'll close them for about two weeks to
totally convert each store to Advance auto parts
including merchandise, systems, remodel and
signage. by the end of this year, all of
these stores will have been converted. the
Washington metro market is a very challenging
market to gain a foot^hold given the limited
amount in high price of real estate locations
available. Because of this issue Washington is
right now an under served market. Our public
competitors have only about 33 stores in the metro
market today. Not only is the market underserved,
but these 55 Track stores have had a history of
strong sales. In fact, they achieved in aggregate
higher average sales per store in the year 2000
than Advance's company averaged. These results
achieved before they declared bankruptcy in July
of last year. Now wrapping up stores our
new stores continue to open at a higher sales
level than in the past. Our new hurdle rates and
discipline store development program are driving
improvements in invested capital. Our gross
margin rose 170 basis points to 44 percent for the
second quarter compared to last year's 42.3
percent. Retail gross margin which excludes our
wholesale dealer network was 44.6 percent compared
to 43.2 percent last year. Gross margin improved
primarily due to purchasing synergies and
efficiencies realized as part of the discount
acquisition and positive shift in product mix.
Year could date our gross margins have risen 120
basis points to 43.7 percent from 42.5 percent
last year. We anticipate gross margins for the
remainder of 2002 to be in line with or slightly
higher than the second quarter.
SG and A before integration expenses declined 60 basis
points to 35.8 percent. We achieved leverage
primarily in our corporate overhead and occupancy
expenses for the quarter. Year to date SG and A
before integration expenses declined 110 basis
points to 36.8 percent from 37.9 percent
last year. Total integration expense for the
discount stores for 2002 was originally budgeted
for 40 million. During the second quarter we
converted 54 stores and the out of state markets
and continue to merchandise conversion in the
Florida market resulting in 7.6 million of
integration expenses. In the first quarter we
incurred 10.6 million total of 18.2 million year
to date. We remain comfortable no more than $40
million in integration expense will be incurred in
2002, and we anticipate that the total may be
slightly below the original estimate due to the
comps combined efforts of the Advance and Discount
team to effectively manage all cost as we go
through this integration process. Operating
margins for the second quarter before integration
expense rose 220 basis points to 8.2 percent due
to solid same store sales growth, increasing gross
margins and leveraging of our SG and A expenses. On
a year to date basis operating margins before
integration expense also rose 220 basis points to
6.9 percent from 4.7 percent last year. We
continue to work towards marrying the operating
margin gap to best in class comparison.
Operating income for the second quarter before
integration expense rose 78.3 percent to
64.9 million. Including integration expense,
operating income rose 57.4 percent to
57.2 million. On a year to date basis operating
income before integration expense rose 98.8
percent to 123.8 million. Including integration
expense operating income rose 69.6 percent to
105.6 million year to date. EBITDA is as adjusted
rose 63.1 percent before integration expense in
the second quarter to 86.8 million and increased
70.8 percent to 173.4 million year to date.
Interest expense rose to 19.1 million from the
second quarter from 13.4 million in the same
quarter last year as a result of the Discount Auto
Parts acquisition offset partially by a lower
average debt level than anticipated as well as
lower interest rates. The tax rate for the
quarter was 38.8 percent and we anticipate this
approximate tax rate for the remainder of
the year.
Since we completed our debt agreement at bond
offering in the fall of last year our financial
strength and overall creditworthiness continues to
grow. In June Standard and Poors raised our
corporate credit rating and Moody's raised our
outlook to positive. Because of our improved
financial position and strong free cash flow, we
repurchased approximately 37 million of our bond
and we refinanced our 305 million tranche B loan
with our more favorable 25 million tranche C loan.
Because of these transactions, we've lowered our
future interest expense and also recorded an after
tax extraordinary loss from the extinguishment of
debt of 7.6 million in the quarter. Approximately
57 percent of the 7.6 million is related to the
writeoff of unamortized deferred loan fees and
related financing fees on credit facilities.
About 43 percent is unamortized discounts and loan
fees as well as premiums paid to repurchase the
bonds. Net income before integration expense on
the extraordinary item rose approximately
100 percent in the quarter to 28.2 million. After
integration expense net income rose 66.8 percent
to 23.6 million. Including the debt
extinguishment charges net income rose
12.9 percent to 15.9 million. year to date net
income increased 164 percent to 4747 [47.6 million
before the extraordinary item and rose 102 percent
to 36.4 million including integration expenses.
After integration expenses and the extraordinary
item net income rose 55.8 percent to 28 million.
Earnings per diluted share before integration
expense and the extraordinary item rose 57 percent
to 77 cents compared to 49 cents per diluted share
last year. Including integration expenses
earnings per share rose 30.6 percent to 64 cents
per share. After integration expense and the
extraordinary loss earnings per share were 44
cents declining 10.2 percent. year to date
earnings per share before integration expense and
the extraordinary item rose 111 percent to a
dollar 33. Including integration expense earnings
per share rose 61.9 percent to a dollar and two
cents. After integration expenses and the
extraordinary item earnings per share rose 25.4
percent to 79 cents. Overall the subject of
earnings per share I'd like to quickly address the
issue of accounting for stock options. In 2001
and 2002 the stock option grants approved by our
board of directors and stockholders have ranged
from 1.2 percent to 1.5 percent of shares
outstanding. If we expense all of our stock
option grants, earnings per share in fiscal 2002
would be reduce bid only approximately five cents
a share using the Black Scholl's [phonetic]
options pricing model. If we expense only our
2002 stock options grant earnings per share would
be reduced by 2 cents per share. We have followed
the disclosure requirements of the statement of
financial accounting standards number 123 in
accounting for stock options as we previously
disclosed in our 2001 financial statements. We
are fully prepared to change our methodology for
accounting for stock options once final rules are
issued. As always, we want to assure that our
stockholders have all the best information
available to them.
Let me now review the key components of our
balance sheet. Our cash position increased
$21 million from year-end to 39.5 million. From
the end of the first quarter the cash balance
declined 25.7 million as we brought down our cash
balances to prepaid debt. Our total capex for the
quarter was 20.2 million including 10.4 million of
integration capex. Capex year to date was
46.6 million including 17.2 million of integration
capex. We remain current with our previous
guidance for capex of no more than 1 $15 million
for the year of which approximately 40 million
relates to the integration of Discount Auto Parts.
Net inventory which is inventory less payables was
up 26.3 percent to 489.5 million compared to a
sale gain of 30.5 percent. Our accounts payable
to inventory ratio 154.4 percent. This compares
with favorably to 58.8 percent for the comparable
quarter last year. We continue to not anticipate
the accounts payable inventory ratio will be
approximately 48 percent at year-end compared to
43.7 percent at the end of 2001. the year-end
ratio is consistently lower than the second
quarter due to the seasonably weaker fourth
quarter. Inventory at quarter end was
1,074 million up 36.2 percent compared to this
quarter last year. Our inventory grew fast they
are than sales for the quarter and slightly more
than we would like through the merchandise
conversion process. However, we are confor thable
that our inventory growth rate will be less
than year over year sales growth [inaudible] once
the inventory has been complete. Net debt
decreased 238.1 million from year-end to
734.3 million at the end of the second quarter.
We generated 75.1 million in free cash flow during
the quarter and 144.7 million year to date. As in
every year the first half of our fiscal year is
the most seasonably strong for cash generation.
Towards the fourth quarter it will be a slight
cash net user. That being said we're raising our
free cash flow estimate to 100 to 110 million for
the year from 90 to 100 million previously. Our
return on invested capital rose 12 percent on a
trailing 12-month basis, increasing
from 10.6 percent in fiscal 2001. We continue to
focus on enhancing operating results, reducing our
debt levels and effectively managing our working
capital. Due to the strength of our results this
quarter as well as lower interest expense, we are
raising our earnings per share guidance for 2002
to a range of $2.53 to $2.60 before integration
expense and the extraordinary item, compared to
$1.31 in 2001. We haven't previously given
guidance for the third and fourth quarter of 2002
and we'd like to take that opportunity to do so as
well. For the third quarter we believe we can
achieve earnings per share of 82 cents to 86
cents, this would result in a comparable increase
of 55 percent to 62 percent compared to the actual
second quarter increase of 57 percent. For the
fourth quarter we expect to achieve earnings per
share of 38 to 42 cents per share. This increase
in guidance for the remainder of the year is
coming primarily from the full recognition of
interest savings from the refinancing and bond buy
back. As we have said before, we believe we can
achieve a 25 percent increase in earnings per
share in 2003. We'll provide additional details
on our 2003 expectations on our third quarter
conference call.
Now let me turn the call over to Dave Reid who
will update you on the Discount Auto Parts
integration as well as our commercial program.
David Reid - Executive VP, COO
Thanks, Jim.
As you've heard, the integration of the Discount
Auto Parts stores is progressing well. and as we
mentioned before, we have a two-pronged
integration process. One for those stores out of
the state of Florida, including Georgia, Alabama,
Mississippi, Louisiana, South Carolina and the
Pensacola market of Florida. And one for the
Florida stores are what we call the
in-state stores. By the end of the second quarter
we had converted 108 of 165 stores in the out of
state markets and it's important to note that the
entire out of state integration plan will be
completed by mid November of this year. In the in
state markets, we have completed approximately
75 percent of the merchandise conversion which we
are rolling out by category. This will be
completed by the end of the third quarter. Before
the end of August, we will begin the integration
of our store systems in the in state markets. the
POS conversion of POS systems conversion is
expected to be completed by year-end. Now let me
take just a few minutes to talk about our
commercial program.
During the quarter, as you've heard, we achieved a
same store sales increase of 4 percent and as the
quarter progressed our sales did accelerate. We
have added 41 net new programs year to date,
mostly as a result of the integration process of
discount. We have also realized programs in
various markets to ensure we are serving our
targeted customers well. We continue to focus on
expanding our customer base by building strong
relationships with our customers. Over the
past year we have refined our focus to emphasize
on the quality of our sales rather than just the
quantity, to maximize the profitability of each
commercial program. with that emphasis in mind,
we believe the future sales and profitability of
our commercial business will accelerate. Over the
next several months when we have the opportunity
to focus on growing the Discount Auto Parts
commercial business which represents only about 7
percent of their sales as compared to [inaudible]
only 15 percent at the Advance Auto Parts stores.
with our expanded hard parts selection and our
store systems, we believe the Discount Auto
Parts stores have tremendous opportunity to expand
customer penetration once our programs have been
fully rolled out in these stores.
Now let me turn the call back over to Larry.
Larry Castellani - CEO
Thanks, David.
The remainder of the call I'd like to talk to you
about the strength of the after market, some of
our new marketing and merchandising initiatives,
and other updates. the after market continues to
show a plus growth. In fact, in 2001 the market
grew 3.6 percent to 103 billion from 98 billion in
2000. [inaudible] to highest levels at 9.3 years.
In 2000, there were over 123 million vehicles over
six years old. to sum up, there are more older
vehicles being driven more miles per year needing
more parts than ever before. In looking at the
after market, it's important to note that this
industry does well in good times and bad.
Consumer sentiment has no impact on whether or not
a person buys a starter or battery or replace one
that just broke. Americans have to keep their
vehicles work. They have to go to work, they have
to take their children to school. Most our
customers work on their vehicles out of economic
necessity. Because their average hourly wage is
less than $20 per hour and their take home average
hourly wage is usually less than $15, it's
extremely difficult for them to pay someone 40 to
$60 per hour to work on their car. Nevertheless,
needless to say, we value our customers and their
ability to roll up their sleeves and tackle a
repair job. That's the reason we offer them a
good value as well and advise them on how to
complete the repair project effectively. We
believe that the DIY after market will continue to
be strong given the ingenuity [inaudible] and
increasing number of vehicles coming into the high
repair cycle. As for the DIFM market, we believe
that we have great potential to expand our
penetration into that sector by continuing to
focus on serving our professional installer
customers better. to strengthen the after market
as well as our team's hard work, dedication and
focus, gives us increased confidence that we can
increase our operating margin and close the gap
compared to best in class. On a year date basis,
we picked up 220 basis points and given our strong
performance in the first two quarters, we
anticipate achieving operating margins for
the year of 7.0 to 7.1 percent. Beyond this year,
we have articulated that we see at least another
400 basis points of opportunity. That opportunity
exists in approximately 200 basis points of
further SG and A leverage, and approximately 200 basis
points of gross margin expansion. We believe the
gross margin expansion will come
from approximately 40 basis points of purchasing
efficiencies and savings, 60 basis points of
enhanced supply chain initiatives, and
approximately 100 basis points from a marketing
and merchandising initiatives which we are
continuing with our present roll out. This
includes our efforts in category management and
enhanced store buying reviews.
During the past few months, some of our
shareholders have asked us about insider sales.
Please note that none of the officers of our
company have sold any shares. Similarly, our
larger shareholders, Raymond Spalding and Sears,
have not sold any shares since the secondary
offering. Raymond Spalding and Sears have a long
track record of exiting their investments in an
organized way. It's our expectations that if the
[inaudible] decide to money ties some or all of
their investment in Advance, they will do so in an
organized way.
This year we filed our 10(q). We did this 13 days
in Advance of the due date so we could also file
our officers' certification on August 14th.
Although we were not required to file until August
27, we chose to file early in order to assure our
shareholders we stand behind our filings. We like
to assure our shareholders that we have in place
strong financial controls. We monitor and review
our results on a daily, weekly, and quarterly
basis. Our financial team is strong, led by Jim
Waite and Jeff Gray. All of us are proud of long
history of honesty and integrity with which our
team has bill the company and served our customers
and shareholders. During the second quarter we
launched our team member stock purchase program.
Each full-time employee has been with us at least
one month before the start of a calendar quarter
is eligible to participate in the plan. We've
experienced solid participation in the program and
we're pleased that our team members want to be
share holders in the company that they're helping
to build. All in all, the second quarter was a
strong quarter for Advance Auto Parts with strong
increases in revenue and operating income. We
will continue to focus on managing our operating
expenses, thereby leading to a continued growth in
margins as we go forward. Last and but not least
we are on track in integrating Discount Auto Parts
as you heard from David and by the end of the year
all we will have to do is rebrand the stores in
Florida. Mean while we will reap the benefits of
the advanced merchandise mix and leading edge
store system. We look forward to more progress in
the third quarter.
Thank you for your participation on this call this
morning. And now, Operator, we'd like to ask you
to please poll for questions. 00:42:27
Operator
At this time if you would like to ask
a question, please press star then the number 1 on
your telephone keypad. If you would like to
withdraw your question, press the pound key.
Your first question comes from Hollanderies kin
with Lehman Brothers.
Analyst
Congratulations, gentlemen, on an
outstanding quarter. a couple of questions.
Larry or Jim, can you maybe provide the inventory
levels, maybe on a per store basis where they
stand today versus last year as both
[inaudible] stores and the core Advance stores?
Unknown Speaker
Alan, I can address that. I
don't have the specific numbers in front of me,
but I can tell you, I think where we stand in
regard to that. At the Advance Auto Parts stores,
the inventory at the end of the second quarter
first over is basically in line with where it was
last year. There hasn't been any significant
change at all. In the discount stores, it's a
little higher than last year although not very
much as we're adding some SKU's as we
remerchandise the stores. Where we do have more
inventory this year than last year is in the
distribution center. When you look at our numbers
at the end of the second quarter compared to
last year, as I've said in my comments, we're -
we had inventory a little bit higher than our
sales increased, little bit higher than we'd like,
but it's in the distribution centers as we made
sure we went through the integration process that
we maintained a solid order bill and with it being
in the distribution center, that's the easiest
place going forward to liquidate that as we go
through the rest of the year. So we remain very
comfortable that as we do that, we'll show
inventory growth below the sales growth by the end
of the year.
Analyst
Okay. Just a couple more questions if
I may. You're now saying the integration expenses
will be no more than $40 million whereas only a
quarter ago you were saying it would approach the
40. Should we conclude from that that the
efficiency by which you're converting the stores
is actually increasing at the converted stores?
Unknown Speaker
I think that's a valid
statement, Alan. I think what happens as we've
gone through integrations in the past, what always
happens is as we start the integrations and work
through the individual steps that had to be done,
the efficiency with which our team performs always
increases because of the prior experience as well
as the routine we get into as we convert stores.
So I think we're seeing that again, I think as we
go through the rest of the year we'll continue to
see that.
Analyst
Okay. and just one more if I may.
with respect to the [inaudible] program, how
many stores have now on that program versus
last year at this same time?
Unknown Speaker
We're almost at 700 stores as
our current number in total.
Analyst
Okay. Thank you very much.
Congratulations.
Unknown Speaker
Alan, thank you.
Operator
Your next question comes from Gary
Baulter [phonetic] with CFSB.
Analyst
Two questions, if we can. One is you
made a comment about you're comfortable with third
quarter comps, and given what we've seen which is
no rain and a lot of heat, could we infer
from that that you're comfortable the high end at
least at the current time, third quarter comps?
Unknown Speaker
Gary, I think that we'd like
to just stay with what we said before, mid single
digit comps as we anticipated.
Analyst
You don't want to add any color on it?
Unknown Speaker
No, I think we have to be
right up front and blunt about what we're going
through. We would like to be optimistic, but
wishful thinking is just not a good business plan
and with everything that's going on in the
economy, we think it's important to stay with the
guidance that we gave prior to.
Analyst
Two more things on that. One is what
do you see - let's assume the consumer slows down
as we're seeing - obviously we're not seeing from
your business, and during the streak that we're
seeing from other retailers. Historically what
has been the impact on your business from a
consumer slow down?
Unknown Speaker
Historically, and you look
back over a long trended period of time, you can
see where there has been some softening, but
nothing dramatic and I think it really goes back
to the core aspect of the business. And I said
earlier in my remarks, Gary, our customers just
don't consider a dead battery or a dead starter a
discretionary purchase. [inaudible] retail we're
not fashion, we're not jewelry, we're business
where our people work on their cars out of
necessity and it's next to their home or their
apartment in most cases it's I the single biggest
investment they have and it's something that they
just continue to make these catastrophic failure
purchases from our stores. We might see a little
bit of softening in the front room and some
discretionary purchases, but the primary part of
our business in hard parts does very, very well
and as a result you'll see our company, if you
look back at our comps and the long, over the last
five years or even prior to, take a look back in
the '70s and '80s when we still enjoyed very
strong high single digit comps during recessionary
periods.
Analyst
And then the last thing, could you
give us the average volume at the DAP stores that
are now remaining? Because I would assume you
closed them at lower volume stores.
Unknown Speaker
Yeah, Gary, I'll address that
again without a specific number. I can tell you,
yes, we have the stores that we close at discount
were the lowest volume stores primarily outside
the state of Florida where we closed the store and
move moved a lot of that business to the Advance
surviving stores in the same area. As far as the
remainder of the stores concerned, there are sales
per store would fill still be less than Advance's
average sales per store. That's where, as I said
before, we see a major opportunity to grow those
going forward?
Analyst
We should be thinking like a 1-1, 1-2
bid number?
Unknown Speaker
Toward the higher end of that
number.
Analyst
Okay. Thank you very much.
Unknown Speaker
Thanks, Gary.
Operator
Your next question comes from Peter
Caruso with Merrill Lynch.
Analyst
Good morning. You mentioned on the
call that the increase in customer transactions
accounted for about two-thirds of the comp. You
can you clarify with that the adjusted statement
for the Advance stores and if so can you give us
some feel on the increase in customer transactions
that you've seen so far at the Discount Auto Parts
chain.
Unknown Speaker
Yes. I'll be happy to do
that. The results that we're seeing from the
discount stores are not significantly different.
In both cases the larger part is coming
from customer count increases as well as customer
average increases. We talked about before in the
discount stores as we go forward, we see a
significant opportunity to increase the customer
average there. They have especially in Florida
some good customer counts, but their customer
average which which think is driven primarily by
not having as much parts mix as we're now adding
is lower than Advance and we would anticipate
going forward seeing that customer average grow
faster than the Advance customer average.
Analyst
Okay. Secondly, has the pricing
environment in commodities and front end
merchandise remained relatively stable? And if
you looked at your comp, are you getting comp from
the front end as well as from the sale of parts?
Unknown Speaker
It's with the good balance
across the board, Peter. And the only thing I
could add to that is just a continuation of
more - the same kind of pricing rationalization
we've seen earlier in the year appears to be
continuing through the back half of the year.
Analyst
Okay. and then lastly, the gross
margin that you booked in the quarter is not
sensitive to having taken any volume purchase
rebates that would require you to hit some sort of
same store sale level in the second half of
the year?
Unknown Speaker
No, it is not. And I will say
in the second quarter of this year the trade
discount related income that went into gross
margin was no hire eras percentage of sales than
last year's second quarter.
Analyst
Great. Thank you. Good luck for the
next quarter.
Unknown Speaker
Thank you.
Operator
Your next question comes from Rob
Schwartz with J.L. Advisors.
Analyst
Hi, congratulations on a great finish
of the quarter.
Unknown Speaker
Thank you, Rob.
Analyst
A couple of quick questions. First of
all, gross margin up 170 basis points; what
particularly is contributing to that? I know last
time we spoke about, you know, contracts with your
vendors and seeing improving terms there. and
while you expected most of the benefits in 2003,
is it fair to assume you're receiving some
benefits earlier than expected?
Unknown Speaker
Yes, we did roll with the
renegotiation of our contracts with the vendors.
Bear in mind that we did have contracts prior to
discount that did not lapse until we got further
into this year. So 2003 would really be our first
full year run rate with all the negotiated
programs with our suppliers. We saw very good
balance in margin improvement, front room and back
room, and again we spent an awful lot of time on
price checking and looking at every area of
opportunity. But bear in mind, Rob, we price our
goods and services to maximize contribution yield.
So some of the items that we price, we price for
traffic draw, some for margin enhancement and some
for what they do and representing add on sales.
Analyst
Great. Thanks. And secondly,
regarding your interest expense, can you briefly
just run through when you renegotiated it, your
credit agreement a month or two ago, can you
discuss the change in interest rates for that
tranche?
Unknown Speaker
Sure. As you recall, when we
put it together, the financing that we had in
place for the discount acwhich circumstances it
was last September, October of 2001 when the
conditions for financing were certainly as
favorable as they've become. and at the same time
our creditworthiness has improved substantially as
well. So the biggest single change that occurred
we were paying [inaudible] plus 300 basis points
with a floor of 4 percent on our tranche B loans.
We were able to renegotiate primarily with the
same lenders as we had before a new package that
gives us a live work plus 2 and I a half percent
with no floor. I think it was a substantial
change that was a reflection of both the market
that we were working in as well as our
creditworthiness that has changed since last year.
Analyst
That's great. That was on
approximately 300 million of debt?
Unknown Speaker
250.
Analyst
Great. Thanks, guys. Congratulations
again.
Unknown Speaker
Thank you.
Operator
Your next question comes from jack
bill owes with mid wood securities.
Analyst
Hi. I have a question on Discount
Auto Parts stores. You said you converted 108 out
of I guess 165. How many Discount Auto
Parts stores are there currently and how
many stores remain to be converted?
Unknown Speaker
There are a couple of
approximately 546 stores total of which we've
converted 108. and again as I've explained, we
primarily look at these groups of stores in and
out of state so the out of state group is a total
of 165 stores to be converted and the balance
would be in Florida. and we'll be moving into
Florida in the fourth quarter beginning to convert
physically the actual building.
Analyst
What's been the experience in terms of
sales gains for the Discount Auto Parts stores
that were converted first?
Unknown Speaker
Jack, this is Jim. For
the stores, as I've said in the notes, the stores
that are in the overlap markets that we converted,
we're saying sales of over 20 percent increases.
For the discount stores that we're converting to
Advance and all other markets, they're running -
that are within our plan or slightly ahead of our
plan as we had projected out for the year and I
think we're starting to meet our expectations
there.
Analyst
I think that the 3.7 percent comp that
was reported for the stores in the second quarter,
wasn't that negatively impacted by some rainy
weather in June in Florida?
Unknown Speaker
I think overall for the
quarter it probably basically balanced itself out.
There was a period of time in the - for really
two or three weeks if not more in Florida where
there was really a lot of rain that affected the
business. But when you look at the entire
quarter, I don't know that was an overall
significantly negative pack factor.
Analyst
Okay . I guess what I'm getting at I
would expect that Discount Auto Parts comp store
sales for the third quarter should be in the
middle comp - middle single digit range?
Unknown Speaker
Well, what we've said in our
previous guidance is we had budge fed and
anticipated low single digit comps in the
discount stores for the entire year of 2002 and
and I think what you'll see in the third quarter
is that there is some significant positives in
that the merchandise integration process is almost
done . I think clearly there will be some
positive effects from having that in place. At
the same time we're now in the system conversion
process in the stores we're changing the POS
system and the electronics parts catalog. So we
had to change the direction that we've given, but
we certainly feel very comfortable what we're
seeing in other stores as we are going through the
integration.
Analyst
Just one last question regarding Track
Auto. With the conversion for Track Auto stores,
what condition are they in compared to Discount
Auto Parts? And also are you paying rent on the
Track Auto stores prior to their opening?
Unknown Speaker
I'll answer both of those
questions. The first one, I'll answer your second
question first. We are not paying rent on
those stores until we take them. The way we have
set up the conversion plan is that track continues
to operate those stores until we take as I said
approximately five per week. When we take the
five, we'll take responsibility for them and start
paying the rent. But prior to that we don't have
any obligation for rent or any other expense of
operating the stores. As far as the condition is
concerned, first of all as I said they're good
solid real estate locations in a market that's
difficult to get real estate at a reasonable
price. So the base from which we can operate is
very good. As I also mentioned, the sales in the
past have been very solid and strong. They have
not been as good in the last year or so because
track has been in bankruptcy as a result the order
fill has not been where it needs to be and the in
stock position in the stores has not been what
we'd like to see. I think I would add to that as
well, having been in those markets over the last
several weeks, there's a lot of good people in
those stores. and with the proper inventory
levels and the Advance name and the Advance
branding and the benefits that comes with - I
think there's huge pore tension in that market.
Analyst
So the conversion of two weeks in
terms of converting it to Advance auto
parts stores will be similar tasks as you would
for Discount Auto Parts stores?
Unknown Speaker
Jack, when we take ownership
of those stores, unlike discount we're going to
close the store for two days - two weeks, I'm
sorry, and do a complete renovation at that time.
Unknown Speaker
Like a new store.
Unknown Speaker
Consider it taking the store
dark and us taking over a vacant building and
converting it look a new store.
Analyst
Okay. Thank you very much.
Unknown Speaker
Good enough. Thank you, jack.
Operator
Your next question comes from Renee
Shaw with Morgan Stanley.
Analyst
Hi, a couple questions. On the
inventory levels, do you expect, given you're
about 75 percent due to merchandise mix
inventories to grow slower than sales in the third
quarter or for the full year? And second can you
talk about the payable inventory ratio how high
you think that can get since that improved this
quarter? And just finally on new store openings,
could you talk about some of the target markets
that you're looking at? Thanks.
Unknown Speaker
Let me take the new stores.
All of our new stores, as we've said before and
I'd just like to reiterate, all of our new stores
are in our existing [inaudible] in the states we
operate in now. It is not our intent in the
foreseeable future to be spring boarding into new
states or drastic new marketing areas. We have
plenty of room to fill in the marketing areas that
we're in right now. There's plenty room for us to
continue opening new stores in Florida [inaudible]
and we're starting construction on new stores in
Florida. So we've got plenty of room for the
foreseeable future to continue to open new stores
and dense up DMA's where we are poorly
represented. So for the time being in the
foreseeable future we will not be going into new
states. Jim?
Unknown Speaker
Renee, as far as the inventory
is concerned, we anticipate being back in line
with our sales growth by the end of the third
quarter. and as I've said in our remarks, we
still feel that by the end of the year we'll be
growing sales at a rate faster than our inventory.
As far as the payables to inventory ratio, also
mention in my remarks that at the end of the year
we should be at 48 percent accounts payable ratio
compared to 43.7 last year. and as I've said, the
our year-end set to fall at the end of December is
a [inaudible] weaker time frame for us our account
ratio is less than it is in the middle of the
summer but it will also at the same time be
significantly higher than it was at the end of
last year. Lastly, I think our single biggest
opportunity to increase the accounts payable to
inventory ratio going forward is to increase our
inventory terms which is going to come back to a
lot of the [inaudible] we are working on in term
of custom mix and category management and a number
of other things that we anticipate driving sales
faster than inventory growth as we go forward.
Analyst
Great. Thanks a lot.
Unknown Speaker
Thank you.
Operator
Your next question comes from Nafar
Nazeem [phonetic] with J.P. Morgan.
Analyst
Hi. It's actually Carla Casello
[phonetic] J.P. Morgan. I'm wondering about
competition for the commercial business. Are you
seeing any pick up work? We've heard of of a
number of players starting to increase their focus
on that business.
Unknown Speaker
I think that we recognize that
as well and I think that our plan as Jim and David
articulated to you, something we're very
comfortable with. We have plenty of room to
continue right sizing our programs taking
advantage of the close in location. Please bear
in mind when it does come to the commercial
program, the two things that really matter most is
availability and time. and we think that we can
really fine tune that expertise with the locations
that are close to our stores and continue to
refine our product mix so we have the right
product and getting it to the commercial account
and that hot shot half hour that they really
request and require. Balancing that with the
expense ratio to support that kind of program is
something we're working diligently to refine. As
Jim indicated, we're not rolling out hundreds of
programs or hundreds of trucks, but rather, as
David indicated, a reallocating the trucks,
drivers, and product mix to support those programs
so we can get good density and increase our rate
of return and profitability on a buy program
basis.
Analyst
So you're not seeing any increase in
price competition as players enter that market?
Unknown Speaker
We believe that the
rationalization in pricing that I indicated
earlier carries through to the commercial end of
the business as well.
Analyst
Okay. I'm also - if you have any
insight into the trend in DIY versus D I S M. I
would assume that that could be a risk if the -
we're seeing greater sales of new cars lately
instead of used cars and if that hurts the DIY
market, I'm curious.
Unknown Speaker
We don't think so. I think
the thing you have to realize is when somebody
buys a new car and they trade-in a used car, it
doesn't matter if that used car is two years old
or six years old, the car is not going to the
scrap yard. I think it's important to not only
look at new cars the way you do, but you should
also look at the scrappage rate. That's what's
important to us. More vehicles are out there
today than there ever was before and I think that
when you look at that continued growing rate,
according to the U.S. Department of Commerce and
the 123 and 124 million registered vehicles out
there today versus 1991 when there was a
considerably less number than that, the thing that
drives that is the scrappage rate versus new cars
coming out. So we just see more vehicles out
there. I indicated earlier the huge increase in
cars that are six years old and our customers'
willingness to maintain those cars on a going
forward basis. But clearly when somebody buys a
new car, the vehicle that they're trading in is
not going to the scrap heat, it's going into the
secondary market. Many people buy those vehicles
turn right around, put batteries in them, put
shocks on them, have to do the belts and hoses to
maintain them and oftentimes it's break time and
things like that. That's when they fall right
into being our core customer.
Analyst
Okay. Great. I one other question.
We've noticed it seems like increased auto parts
sections at Wal-Mart super centers and I'm
wondering if that's a new force of competition for
you or has that been an ongoing dynamic?
Unknown Speaker
26 percent of our SKU's not
our sales or tonnage, but about 26 percent of our
SKU's are sold in other classes of trade, we're
growing our market share against these other
classes of trade as well as the market share
growth we're making with our core competitors.
Analyst
Okay. Great. Thank you.
Unknown Speaker
Thank you very much.
Operator
Your next question comes
from Stephanie Rogers with B.N.P. Merriman
[phonetic].
Analyst
Hello, gentlemen. Thank you for the
best news I've had in a couple of weeks.
Unknown Speaker
Thank you for participating in
our call.
Analyst
Absolutely. I have a question about
the Track stores. Why did they file for
bankruptcy?
Unknown Speaker
You know, as we presented in
the past in our different group meetings, I think
that - I'd like to go back and focus on one
fundamental point and that's the fact that in this
industry, size matters. It's no different than
why and how we acquire the [inaudible] stores.
It's very difficult for a player of that size to
have the kind of economy of scale from a
purchasing standpoint, from a logistics
standpoint, the whole supply chain is very
expensive for them. They certainly don't have the
IT support to find the parts in the system. and
what they do have, they don't have the advertising
or the field team to support it as well. It's the
kind of leverage best in class the top three or
five retailers in this sector that can
disproportionately take advantage and leverage
that on a go forward basis and give the customer
better availability, better value, better service
and in the commercial end of the business which
track did not participate in, having the right
part in the right place and doing it quickly makes
all the difference in the world. So I don't think
there is any one thing that drove them into
bankruptcy. I think it's just the aspect of the
cost of doing business today and the efficiencies
that go with the size and scale that we're able to
accomplish that they couldn't.
Analyst
And the second question regarding that
region, are you going to have any price
flexibility in that area since it's so difficult
to get an inroad? Are you going to be able to
charge higher prices? Margins in those stores
will be better?
Unknown Speaker
We have different pricing
zones. It's something we have to look at on an
individual basis and we're looking at maximizing
our pricing zones on a value orientation and where
we can get the best contribution deal. I think
you also have to bear am mind there are higher
expenses associated with the D.C. market as well.
the rents are higher, the shrinks are higher, cost
of labor, cost of doing business overall is a
little bit heighter and we have to balance that
with our margins and our promotional activity, but
it's something I have to tell you we're very
excited about.
Analyst
Thank you very much.
Unknown Speaker
Thank you.
Operator
Your next question comes from Steve
Kartrat [phonetic] with Berman Capital.
Analyst
Hi. This is actually Christina Henry
with with Berman Capital. I had two questions.
The first one is while you achieve SG and A leverage
in this quarter, it was less than had been
achieved year to date. I was wondering why it was
such strong sales there would be less SG and A
leverage. [why with such strong sales]
Unknown Speaker
I think there are a couple
reasons for that. One is in the first quarter we
had almost an 8 percent comp, this quarter we had
a 5. So we are the type of business that has a
fair amount of fixed cost and when we do run even
higher comps than we did this quarter we have the
ability to leverage more. But secondly, we are
seeing leveraging in a lot of categories in our
P and L, and I think we anticipated Larry said in his
comments that we can leverage a lot more going
forward. We're not happy today where we are with
SG and A and it's a matter of attacking each
individual line and making sure we're growing
those lines at a rate that are reducing those
lines at a rate much less than our sales growth.
Unknown Speaker
You can rest assured that
we've identified that opportunity and it's a very
important part of our L TB. and as we go forward
implementing our long term plan and budgeting
process for '03 we see that as a significant
opportunity, as I indicated in my remarks.
Analyst
Uh-huh, okay. Thank you. And the
other question that I had was what would you
estimate to be the pretax flow through on comps
above the 2 to 3 percent range?
Unknown Speaker
I don't know that there's a
real simple answer to that question. I think,
clearly, looking at actual numbers, if you look at
the first quarter and second quarter where we ran
in the first quarter almost 8 percent comps, at
that level there is not much additional expense
incurred to generate the sales. If the sales are
being generated at the same margin level at the
expense line there is just not very much expense
associated with it. So when there is a
substantial flow through of 25 percent or more, it
depends on how the additional comp is getting -
is coming and what expenses or margin effect it
has to get there. But substantial ability to
leverage our business as we have higher comps.
Analyst
Thank you very much.
Operator
Your last question comes from Susan
Jensen with Lehman Brothers.
Analyst
Finally. Let me add my
congratulations to a great quarter as well.
Unknown Speaker
Thank you.
Analyst
Larry, going back to something you
said in your initial remarks, I'd just like to
follow-up a little bit on your longer term gross
margin increase of 200 basis points. Part of that
is going to come out or I guess the largest part
is going to come out of the marketing and
[inaudible] your category management. How are you
doing on that so far? I know you've made great
progress, but can you give us any specifics?
Unknown Speaker
I think it's safe to say that
since we wrote an entire marketing program
last year, started implemented at the end of
last year, it's based around category management.
There's certainly no rocket science to what we're
doing. It's nothing more than the best in class
marketing merchandising, performance measures,
[inaudible] one year foot contribution yield by
category and the like that are being rolled out.
Huh-uh know part of this is IT, part of it is
personnel development, part of it is the
implementation of the higher and turn^over rates
of return that we have for the different
categories. It's an ongoing process. Please know
that it's not something that we have a time line
that says we're finished. These line enhancements
and category review programs, big part of the
development of our people. Has an awful lot to do
with how we buy our product, promote our product.
We're moving along going through the stores.
We've done this through probably 30 percent of our
mix implemented at store level. We've got an
awful lot more to do and as we do it and go
through the rest of the store front room and back
room, when we come back and do what we did the
last part of last year and start it all over again
after annualize the dates of the roll outs of
those first categories.
Analyst
Great. Are there any particular
categories that you've had enormous success with
or any categories that conversely you've been
disappointed with as you [inaudible]?
Unknown Speaker
Some of each. We don't
disclose by particular category what we're doing
well in or not. We know that our core business
doesn't change from year to year. You know how
important batteries and hard parts are in this
business. And you also know some of the
fashionallable trends that we've introduced into
our front room [Fashionable]. We're doing very
well with a lot of these new categories.
Conversionly perhaps we over^did some of the
other. I think we had very keen eye on what's
working and what isn't working. We have to
balance that with Jim's remarks relative to the
inventory buildup that we had and on a go forward
basis we have to leverage our sales against better
inventory turn as well.
Analyst
Great. Thank you very much. and my
congratulations to you.
Unknown Speaker
Thank you for participating on
the call.
Operator
I would now like to turn the call
back over to management for closing remarks.
Unknown Speaker
Well, we're very proud of our
progress to date. We are pleased [inaudible] we
don't confuse effort with results. We've reached
a new plateau, but clearly looking at the top of
the mountain as best in class, we know where we
have to go. We know what we have to do to get
there. We have the deepest resolve to make it
become reality and we certainly appreciate your
support and participation with our company as we
go forward with it and I'd like to close just by
saying that we really believe we have - this
company has a long runway ahead of it and great
legs understand it and we're very excited about
our future. Thank you very much for participating
today.
Operator
Ladies and gentlemen, that concludes
our conference call for today. You may all
disconnect and thank you for participating.