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Operator
Good day, and thank you for standing by. Welcome to Vital Farms' Fourth Quarter and Full Year 2025 Earnings Conference Call and Webcast. (Operator Instructions)
I would now like to hand it over to your host, Brian Shipman, Vice President of Investor Relations. Please go ahead.
Brian Shipman - Vice President of Investor Relations
Good morning, and welcome to Vital Farms Fourth Quarter and Full Year 2025 Earnings Conference Call and Webcast.
Joining me today are Russell Diez-Canseco, Vital Farms' Executive Chairperson, President, and Chief Executive Officer; and Thilo Wrede, the company's Chief Financial Officer.
By now, everyone should have access to the company's fourth quarter and full year 2025 earnings press release issued this morning. During today's call, management may make forward-looking statements within the meaning of the federal securities laws.
These statements are based on management's current expectations and beliefs and do involve risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially from those described in these forward-looking statements.
Please refer to today's press release, the company's annual report on Form 10-K for the fiscal year ended December 28, 2025, that was filed with the SEC today, as well as the company's other SEC filings for a detailed discussion of the risks that could cause actual results to differ materially from those expressed or implied in any forward-looking statements made today.
Please refer to today's press release and presentation, each available on the Investor Relations section of our website, for a reconciliation of non-GAAP measures referenced in today's call, including adjusted EBITDA and adjusted EBITDA margin to their most directly comparable GAAP measures.
While the company believes these non-GAAP financial measures provide useful information for investors, the presentation of this information is not intended to be considered in isolation or as a substitute for the financial information presented in accordance with GAAP.
After our prepared remarks, we'll open the line for questions. As a reminder, please limit yourself to one follow-up so that we can hear from as many participants as possible.
Now I'll turn the call over to Russell.
Russell Diez-Canseco - President, Chief Executive Officer, Director
Thank you, Brian, and good morning, everyone. Before we walk through our record 2025 results, I want to share an important leadership update.
After nearly 20 years of visionary leadership, our founder, Matt O'Hare, has decided to retire as Executive Chairperson and as a member of our Board of Directors.
Matt founded Vital Farms in 2007 with just 20 hands. Beyond building a brand, he pioneered an entirely new category in the grocery aisle based on the belief that we could scale the humane treatment of animals.
Equally important, he was determined to operate Vital Farms as a truly different company, one galvanized by a common purpose of improving the lives of people, animals, and the planet through food and with a focus on positive long-term outcomes for all stakeholders.
It is an honor for me to build on his legacy of vision and leadership over the last 20 years and continue our journey toward becoming America's most trusted food company.
Matt remains our strongest advocate and our single largest shareholder, and I'm thankful to continue to partner with him as an adviser to the rest of our Board and me.
Effective February 24, the Board appointed me to serve as Executive Chairperson and CEO. This unified leadership structure is the most effective way to maintain our strong momentum, drive our 2026 strategic initiatives, and continue progressing toward the targets we set at the Investor Day in December.
I'm also pleased to share that Denny Marie Post will continue to serve as our Lead Independent Director. Denny's extensive experience as a public company CEO and her deep commitment to our stakeholder model provide the oversight and strategic perspective that are vital to our governance structure.
Our Board remains committed to robust independent oversight, and we will continue to maintain high standards of corporate governance as we enter our next phase of growth. I'm grateful to be able to partner with Denny as we look to the future.
I want to start our update where I always do, which is by acknowledging our crew. In 2025, we meaningfully fortified our operational capabilities, and it was the resilience and commitment of our team that made that possible.
As I reflect on 2025, it's clear that Vital Farms has built greater organizational strength while also delivering strong financial results. We didn't just grow, we scaled while staying true to our mission. We're proud to have successfully completed our major 2025 initiatives.
We added a third production line at ECS, implemented a robust new ERP system, and transitioned to a new dedicated cold storage facility less than 1 mile from ECS.
We've also rebuilt our inventory and remediated the previous material weakness in our internal controls, which Thilo will discuss shortly. For the full year 2025, net revenue grew more than 25% to $759.4 million, which was the midpoint of the revised revenue outlook we shared at our Investor Day in December.
Adjusted EBITDA exceeded $100 million for the first time in company history, growing 31.6% to $114 million. Now, let me walk you through several of the milestones that I'm incredibly pleased our team accomplished last year, laying the foundation for our future growth.
First, on the operations side, we successfully rebuilt our egg inventory throughout the year and brought our third ECS production line online in October.
We can now dedicate the first 2 lines to longer production runs of our top 4 SKUs while using the third line for specialty SKUs with lower volumes. This change increases our efficiency, and we're excited to see productivity improve over time with all 3 lines up and running.
We're also building both lines at our Seymour facility concurrently to stay ahead of demand. We believe that by building concurrently, we will accomplish better construction economies as we build toward our $2 billion revenue target.
This reflects our confidence in future demand and our commitment to staying ahead of growth opportunities rather than chasing them.
Second, on the commercial side, this was a record revenue year. As I mentioned, delivering $759.4 million in revenue and $114 million in adjusted EBITDA is a significant accomplishment for us.
Furthermore, our growth consistently outpaced the broader market. In 2025, we gained 25 basis points of volume share within all outlets of MULO+ according to Circana, making us the top share gainer in premium shell egg brands.
According to the same data source, year-to-date through February 15, we gained 35 basis points of volume share, again, positioning us as one of the top share gainers in premium shell egg brands. These share gains provide further evidence that we have created a strong and growing business built on improving the lives of people, animals, and the planet while at the same time delivering world-class financial results.
Third, our farm network expanded to more than 600 small farms committed to our pasture-ais standards, where hands roam freely on open pastures with year-round outdoor access. Adding approximately 175 farms in a single year is a testament to the trust we built in the agricultural community around our unwavering commitment to humane animal care.
Farmers want to be a part of what we're building because we offer a path to a sustainable livelihood while being stewards of the land and champions of animal welfare.
Fourth, we successfully completed our ERP implementation with 0 unplanned shipment interruptions, returning to and then exceeding pre-implementation production levels within a month.
And finally, our recent marketing campaigns have driven brand awareness to 34%, an increase of 8 percentage points in 2025, widening the gap between our closest competitors and us.
We are now working closely with our retail partners to convert that brand interest into actual purchases through an expanded shelf footprint and optimized promotional cadence.
As we move into 2026, we are seeing a dynamic consumer environment, and our focus is on driving high-quality household penetration, resulting in profitable velocity so that our brand maintains its premium position in the market as we march toward our 2030 targets.
While we've successfully transitioned from a state of supply allocation to unconstrained capacity, we're managing this pivot with discipline. We're not interested in buying market share through aggressive discounting just because the commodity market is in a glut.
Our current volume pace reflects a deliberate focus on high-quality shelf placements, ensuring that as we fill our expanded capacity, we're doing so with stakeholders that support our long-term goals and uphold our premium brand promise.
At our Investor Day in December, we shared our updated long-term target of $2 billion in net revenue by 2030 with an adjusted EBITDA margin between 15% and 17%. These goals are grounded in the operational capabilities we're building and the market opportunity we see ahead of us.
Our brand still represents only a fraction of the total shell egg market, giving us substantial runway for growth. We serve nearly 16 million households through approximately 24,000 retail locations, but there's so much more opportunity ahead.
The capacity investments we're making, the operational excellence we're demonstrating, and the brand strength we are building create a powerful combination for sustainable growth. The progress we made in 2025 represents meaningful steps toward that goal, and I'm genuinely excited about what lies ahead.
With that, I'll turn it over to Thilo to walk through the financials.
Thilo Wrede - Chief Financial Officer
Thanks, Russell, and hello, everyone. I would also like to share my personal gratitude to Matt. His vision was the catalyst for everything we've built, and I've enjoyed his partnership and constant push to improve in my almost 3 years at Vital Farms.
And Russell, congratulations to you on your new expanded leadership role. I'll now turn to a review of our fourth quarter and full year 2025 performance, and then I will walk through our outlook and cadence for 2026.
Net revenue for the full year 2025 was $759.4 million, up 25.3% year-over-year, and $213.6 million in the fourth quarter. This growth was driven by a balanced contribution from volume and price mix.
Benefits from our May price increase and ongoing shift to the organic portfolio were partially offset by increased promotional activity to drive consumer trial.
Gross profit rose to $285.7 million or 37.6% of net revenue. The modest margin contraction from 37.9% last year was primarily due to higher labor and overhead costs as we scaled our operations.
SG&A expenses were $159.4 million or 21% of net revenue. We demonstrated significant operating leverage here, reducing SG&A as a percentage of sales by over 110 basis points while still increasing marketing investment by $10.4 million.
This discipline, alongside improved shipping efficiencies, which helped offset higher linehaul rates, helped to deliver our record profit. Adjusted EBITDA surpassed $100 million for the first time in our history, reaching $114 million for the full year and $29.2 million for the fourth quarter.
Net income was $66.3 million or $1.44 per diluted share. And finally, CapEx for the year was $82 million, which aligns with the outlook we shared at our December Investor Day.
We ended 2025 with a strong balance sheet. Our cash, cash equivalents, and marketable securities on December 28, 2025, stood at $113.4 million, a decrease of $46.9 million from the end of 2024, reflecting the investments we are making to expand our production capacity. We have no debt outstanding.
Finally, before discussing our outlook, I want to highlight that we have successfully remediated our previously disclosed material weakness in our internal controls.
We're glad to have this important work behind us as we move into the next fiscal year. And just to remind everybody, the material weakness had not resulted in any restatement of our financials.
Now looking ahead to fiscal year 2026, we're introducing a new net revenue guidance range of $900 million to $920 million, representing more than 20% growth, mainly volume-driven at the midpoint of the range.
The revenue growth has us on track towards our 2030 target. While this is a more measured start than our December outlook, we are building a rock-solid foundation in 2026, with stable retail inventory rather than chasing short-term targets that could compromise the quality of our 21% long-term CAGR.
It is also an acknowledgment of the current macro environment and recent volatile scanner results we've observed so far in January and February. Even though we have already gained healthy volume share year-to-date, as Russell had mentioned earlier, volume growth so far is lagging our initial expectations.
After the previously discussed several weeks of slow shipments following our ERP implementation last year, during the lead-up to the peak holiday period, we are still recapturing shelf space.
At the same time, we're having fruitful conversations with our retail partners about expanding our shelf space over the course of the year, and retailers are excited about our improved supply this year and the role that we continue to play in the set.
In addition, the 2 severe winter storms over the last 4 weeks make retailer orders additionally challenging to calibrate against what we would consider normal demand.
We believe all these fluctuations are more reflective of short-term market disruptions, and we see continued healthy consumer demand, which is supported by our consumer survey data.
We continue to prioritize profitable velocity over simply chasing raw volume growth. Consequently, we are setting adjusted EBITDA guidance to be within a range of $105 million to $115 million this year.
This reflects a margin of 12.0% at the midpoint, which is within the range of our previous 2027 long-term targets and puts us strongly on the path to the new 2030 long-term targets we committed to at the Investor Day.
With the improved supply dynamics also talked about, I want to spend a moment on how to think about cadence for the year. In the first half of 2026, we anticipate some short-term noise in order patterns from recent winter weather events and as our retail partners normalize their inventory levels following our move out of supply allocation.
We view this as healthy stabilization that allows us to enter the back half of the year with a clean runway and high-quality shelf presence. With that, the first quarter of 2026 will likely reflect a more measured growth rate than previously assumed as the retail inventory channel normalizes.
From there, we expect growth to reflect the lapping of last year's quarterly performance. As we operate in a more stable supply environment, we anticipate normal promotional spending this year with a heavier concentration in the middle quarters.
We are intentionally utilizing the tailwinds from our May 2025 price increase to fund the return to a trial and conversion program. This is not defensive price matching. It is an offensive investment in household acquisition and reinvestment of price into penetration.
Consequently, our margins reflect the strategic promotional activity, our continued investment in ECS staffing, and the impact of the volatile Q1 ordering environment.
Finally, we expect CapEx of $140 million to $150 million in 2026. Our CapEx guidance reflects continued investment in long-term capacity and infrastructure, including progress at Vital Crossroads.
At the same time, we remain focused on disciplined capital deployment and free cash flow generation, consistent with our long-term owner-oriented mindset.
While we expect to fund our 2026 projects primarily through existing cash and operating cash flow, we're evaluating the most efficient capital structures for our expansion, including the potential use of our revolver or other ways to optimize our balance sheet.
To be clear on our capital allocation priorities, our primary commitment is the completion of Seymour. But that leaves us with untapped debt capacity, and our Board of Directors authorized a $100 million 2-year share repurchase program.
We're in the unique position of being able to fund our largest-ever growth cycle while simultaneously having the balance sheet flexibility to defend our intrinsic value if market dislocations occur.
Looking forward, we anticipate a meaningful pivot to strong, sustainable free cash flow generation in 2027 and beyond once the heavy spending on VXR is completed.
As mentioned before, we expect each CapEx dollar dedicated to our new facility to generate more than $5 of annual revenue capacity. As these assets come online, we expect to see significant cash flow accretion as we leverage the infrastructure we are building today.
Our long-term guidance remains unchanged. We are targeting $2 billion of net revenue by 2030 with a gross margin of 35% or better and an EBITDA margin of 15% to 17%. This is an exciting time at Vital Farms.
We have highly loyal consumers. We continue to expand and deepen our relationships within our network of more than 600 small farms, and we remain focused on driving greater retail penetration and raising brand awareness to deliver our eggs and butter to more and more households with each passing year.
Once again, we thank you for the time and interest in Vital Farms today and for the confidence that you have placed in us with your investment. Now, let me turn it back over to Russell.
Russell Diez-Canseco - President, Chief Executive Officer, Director
Thank you, Thilo. Before we open the call for questions, I want to circle back to where I started with gratitude to Matt for his vision and his leadership, to our crew who executed through our ERP transition and brought our third line in ECS online seamlessly.
To our farmers who expanded their capacity alongside us while maintaining the highest standards of animal welfare, and to our retail partners who continue to believe in our mission. Thank you.
This foundation of trust and collaboration is what gives us such confidence in the growth potential in the years ahead. The capacity investments we're making are about ensuring that when a consumer reaches for Vital Farms, we're there every time at full strength.
The organization's values are as strong as ever, and our crew continues to raise the standards for the Vital Farms brand and to drive the organization forward.
Looking ahead, we believe we remain structurally advantaged with significant long-term opportunity. Our brand still represents only a fraction of the total egg market, and we enter 2026 with unconstrained supply, giving us substantial runway for growth.
Consumer awareness of animal welfare and food sourcing continues to increase, and Vital Farms has established itself as the trusted leader in this space.
Once again, we thank you for your time and your interest in Vital Farms. And with that, we're happy to take your questions.
Operator
(Operator Instructions)
Scott Marks, Jefferies.
Scott Marks - Equity Research Analyst
Hey, good morning, all. Thanks so much for taking our questions. Obviously, just wanted to ask a little bit about expectations for the year relative to what was laid out at Investor Day.
Obviously, been some volatility with winter storms and some of the order patterns you mentioned. But maybe what was it that gave you the, I guess, confidence to change the outlook now as opposed to maybe waiting a little bit until later in the year to see if some of this volatility normalizes?
Russell Diez-Canseco - President, Chief Executive Officer, Director
Thanks, Scott. It's Russell. So I'll kick us off, and then we'll ask Thilo to chime in as well.
We've run this place with a lot of intentionality for a lot of years. And this isn't the first time that we've seen some volatility in the broader category, and we've seen some noise from things like winter storms.
We always want to make sure that we're setting ourselves up for success and that we're setting ourselves up to meet and exceed the expectations we set for ourselves and that you all have for us.
And I think this guide gives us the right amount of room and flexibility to, again, build on all the strengths we're coming into the year with while still acknowledging that there's a broader macro environment in which we're operating, and there's a lot of short-term noise in what all the various players are doing to make sure that they can sell all the eggs they're producing.
Thilo Wrede - Chief Financial Officer
Yes. Scott, I would just add to that. We called it out in the prepared remarks; it is a bit of a volatile environment right now.
We are clearly gaining share in the category. So we are outperforming the category. But it is a bit of a noisy environment right now. And I think we've built a track record of beating our initial expectations that we set at the beginning of the year, every year since IPO.
We figured rather than going into the year and clawing our way to the initial outlook that we gave. We just set expectations very clearly at the beginning. And then we keep our pattern of beating expectations that we set at the beginning of the year.
Scott Marks - Equity Research Analyst
Appreciate the color on that. Next one for me, just relating to the ERP. I think, as we think back to maybe ahead of ERP implementation, you had spoken about shipping some inventory ahead of the cutover.
And then I think Thilo made a comment in the prepared remarks today about regaining some shelf space that may have been lost during that period.
So, wondering if you can just kind of help us spur away what the actual impact from ERP was, whether it was shelf space or changes in order patterns or anything that can just help us get clarity around what the actual impact was and how we should think about the magnitude of recovery from that?
Russell Diez-Canseco - President, Chief Executive Officer, Director
Yes. So we've talked quite a bit about that short-term dislocation. And as we've come back into a very, I think, advantageous supply situation with rebuilt inventories, the conversations with retailers have been, frankly, terrific.
We've shifted from, hey, can you ship what you're talking about to how can we grow together? And so I'm looking forward to resetting cycles this year based on those early conversations. And we're really talking about making those long-term plans to grow together.
We are clearly a category leader. We're seen as playing that role for our retail partners. And I think we're well on our way to recovering and putting that process behind us.
Scott Marks - Equity Research Analyst
Thanks very much, I'll pass it on.
Operator
Thanks, Scott.
Brian Holland, D.A. Davidson.
Brian Holland - Senior Research Analyst
Thanks, good morning. I wanted to ask about some of the comments that you made around the challenging macro environment and squaring that with your core consumer and some of the behavioural metrics that you described.
Just squaring how or why you would be incrementally concerned over the next, whatever, several months or year about the impact of the macro on your core consumer, just given everything that you've said, and I think historically have been less concerned about competitive dynamics in the category, widening price gaps etc. So how do we square those two things?
Russell Diez-Canseco - President, Chief Executive Officer, Director
So first of all, we're not seeing evidence of a big change in the confidence or economic reality of our core consumers. That's not a primary source of concern or a change in how we view that.
That said, I think we've all seen and continue to see a category that's going through some disruption, as we've got plenty of players out there with maybe more eggs than they planned to produce or collectively plan to produce.
And we're seeing some more intense action on the shelf as other players, I think, look to move their inventory. While that doesn't mean that we're losing consumers or volume to them, it's certainly competing for attention with retailers and with consumers for ad space and for mind share.
And so in that situation, it doesn't prompt us to change our value equation. It doesn't prompt us to rethink our value proposition to consumers, but it might mean that we have to be a little more patient as we continue to add consumers over the course of the year and convert all that great awareness to trial because we don't want to frankly, waste a bunch of our time and money trying to compete in the short run for the attention of consumers who are looking for a hot price in an ad.
And so, we just have to, I think, set ourselves up to continue to take a really measured approach to adding high-quality households and high-quality new placements and let some of this other noise play itself out.
Brian Holland - Senior Research Analyst
And then playing this forward, outlook this year, I think, is a low 20% range on the top line. That's an algorithm that you would have to hold from here through 2030, I think, to hit that $2 billion of revenue, if I'm not mistaken.
The thought coming into this year was you'd be lapping capacity constraints in 1Q and a little less so in 2Q. 4Q, you would then have the ERP disruption. So "easier compares".
Now we've obviously introduced some volatility, as you referenced, whether that's weather or some other things in the category. So how do we think about the sources of confidence behind maintaining this level of growth, which really demands almost no deceleration from here through 2030?
What are the sources of confidence behind that? And then maybe if I could just ask what flexibility you would have from a capacity standpoint and a build-out standpoint as it pertains to Seymour if the sales decelerated at a greater rate than what you're projecting?
Russell Diez-Canseco - President, Chief Executive Officer, Director
Sure. So again, the consumer value proposition is still very much there. And I start with all the work we did last year to make sure that we took supply chain and supply chain constraints off the table in terms of being a constraint to our continued growth.
So we've got the capacity at ECS. We've got our third line, which gives us the opportunity to lean in both to capacity expansion and efficiency because we can allocate space to the various lines more efficiently.
We're gaining volume share. And that's the thing I would point to as a continued proof point that what we're doing is working. And so as we head into 2026, the setup is we've got a massive gain in awareness, which is the leading indicator for us of trial and ultimately the loyalty, that's there in spades.
And we're very judiciously, as always, using our marketing and commercial resources to convert that awareness into trial. So the capacity is there. The brand awareness is there. The consumer sentiment is there.
And it's a question of, I think, operating and executing at a very high level. And the thing is, we are built for this environment. I believe we've got the best team in the business, the best brand in the business, the best supply chain in the business.
And this is a year in which our ability to execute at a high level will continue to drive our growth.
Thilo Wrede - Chief Financial Officer
Brian, I would add to that that, unlike in the last few years. Growth this year is going to be pretty much all volume growth.
Our volume growth is actually at this guidance is actually accelerating year-over-year. And I think that's an important piece to keep in mind. It's a bit more expensive growth because obviously, volume comes with costs associated with it. But it's high-quality growth. Right?
Brian Holland - Senior Research Analyst
Great, thanks. I'll leave it there.
Operator
Matthew Smith, Stifel.
Matthew Edward Smith - Senior Equity Analyst
Hi, good morning. Thanks for taking the question. A couple of questions on the EBITDA guidance range. So the midpoint suggests a couple of hundred basis points of margin contraction.
Within that, can you talk about gross margin versus the middle of the P&L investments? I believe the expectation for revenue growth, Thilo, that you just mentioned, is mostly volume-led.
So, would you expect price/mix to be positive for the year with carry and pricing funding the promotion normalization? Or is that part of the margin bridge as well?
Thilo Wrede - Chief Financial Officer
Yes. Price/mix, I think we said in the prepared remarks that we are reinvesting the price increase from last year back into promotions. I want to be very clear with that.
The promotional comparison, if you look at it year-over-year, is even compared to the last few years. We're actually planning for a different environment this time around than the last few years because in the last years, when you had avian flu, where we had our own supply constraints, in the last few years, there were times every year where promoting didn't make a whole lot of sense for us because we didn't have the supply to support it.
This year, it's a different story. So this is not a step-up in promotions to drive volume. It's really a return to where we should have been promoting for quite a while and weren't able to.
And as Russell said before, this is to convert the awareness that we have generated into trial and ultimately into household penetration, and to keep demonstrating to our retail partners that we are a good partner for them.
We want to move the category forward. So obviously, this has an impact on gross margin. We still expect operating expense leverage. And we expect positive price/mix benefit, but certainly not to the same degree as in previous years.
We keep benefiting from the shift towards organic, but it's not going to be the same price mix benefit that we had in prior years.
Matthew Edward Smith - Senior Equity Analyst
Thank you. And just as a follow-up for clarity around first-quarter expectations. There was some shipment noise both in the fourth quarter, and then you mentioned a couple of factors in the first quarter.
Within the first quarter, do you have a view on whether you expect your shipments to be in line with consumption? Just some clarity there would be helpful. Thank you, and I'll pass it on.
Thilo Wrede - Chief Financial Officer
Yes. I mean, in general, our shipments are roughly in line with consumption. There are always timing differences.
There are differences in how scanner data extrapolates the contribution from different channels. We've always talked about how we have some unmeasured channels, food service, and the wholesale channel in particular.
So, there's always going to be a bit of a difference between our reported shipments and what you see in consumption. But directionally, they usually align.
Operator
Robert Moskow, TD Cowen.
Robert Moskow - Research Analyst
This is Jacob Henry on for Rob. I think just one from me. I know you've talked before about building confidence with retailers before getting more shelf space. So on that topic, I'm just curious if you can provide an update on where you feel you stand in that process?
Like, do you have any visibility into any green shoots with retailers where maybe there are plans in place to get that third or fourth SKU, whatever it may be or is this more of a long-term conversation?
Russell Diez-Canseco - President, Chief Executive Officer, Director
Yes. So, without being specific, the conversations are going very well. We are operating at a very high level.
Our service levels have really recovered from a year of being much more constrained in supply, as we've talked about over the last 4 quarters. And so those are very fruitful retail conversations.
We're a powerful tool for a retail category manager to grow their category profitably with our partnership. And so these are welcome conversations. They're fruitful ones, and we're excited to share more as those resets occur.
Operator
Megan Clapp, Morgan Stanley.
Megan Alexander Clapp - Analyst
Hi, good morning, thanks. Maybe just a follow-up on the first quarter on Matt's question, just to put a finer point on it. I think you said relatively in-line shipments for the scanner.
I think, Thilo, in your prepared remarks, you also said just a more measured start versus what you had previously expected. I think you had previously expected the first half would be stronger than the second half, just given some of the easier laps.
So, is it still fair to assume in 1Q, you would expect, and 2Q, for that matter, you would expect the revenue growth to be above the full year guide?
Thilo Wrede - Chief Financial Officer
I think at this point, 1Q, we're a bit more cautious on it than we were before. I think when we look at 2Q and 3Q, there is no change in how we think about them compared to how we thought about them, let's say, 2 months ago.
And then Q4, expectations for Q4 compared to what we had at the Investor Day back in December haven't changed. And so Q4, I think we have, if you want, relatively easy lapping because Q4 post the ERP implementation was a few weeks of slow shipping.
There's just easy lapping that we can catch up on. And so, with that, maybe the second half might be a bit stronger than the first half. That's how I would look at it right now.
Megan Alexander Clapp - Analyst
Okay, and then I guess just a follow-up there. Just trying to square why the first quarter is changing and the rest of the year is not, if shipments will be in line with scanner, because that would imply that demand is running a bit weaker than you had expected.
So, as we get into the remainder of the year, are you embedding some sort of recovery in the shelf space? Are you assuming that demand doesn't change in the rest of the year, or that the promotional environment from others that you're seeing gets better? Just trying to understand what changes as we get out of 1Q, understanding there has been a lot of volatility.
Russell Diez-Canseco - President, Chief Executive Officer, Director
Yes. I think there are 2 underlying or maybe spring-loaded drivers of that consistency in that growth.
One is the continued benefit of the consistency with which we're showing up on shelf, regaining that space, some of which is a conversation with the retailer and some of which is simply operational at the store level when you've now got the product back in your back door and you need to cut it back in or make sure you're giving it the space that was allocated to it.
And then having consumers see us back on the shelf. That's an important part of the process. And then the other part is that again, we're having very fruitful conversations with retailers about continuing to expand distribution, expand placements as part of our ongoing long-term strategy for growing with the best retailers in the country.
And so a lot of that has to do with kind of the consistent strategy of expanding those top 4 SKUs and demonstrating the performance that they deliver for our retail partners. We've got the product, and that makes for a great conversation. And that will unfold over the course of the year.
Megan Alexander Clapp - Analyst
Okay, thank you.
Operator
Jon Anderson. William Blair.
Jon Andersen - Research Analyst
Hey, good morning. Thanks for the questions. You mentioned in the prepared comments that brand awareness levels are up, I think, 80 basis points year-over-year, which is a significant leap.
I'm wondering if you could talk a little bit about what you see as the key drivers there and that kind of acceleration in brand awareness over the past 12 months.
I guess, peeling the onion a little bit, there's positive awareness and maybe more awareness that might come into beam for more mixed reasons. And I'm just wondering if you could talk a little bit about the equity of the brand and what you're seeing, and maybe some of the panel data in terms of loyalty and repeat at present, and if there are any levers or adjustments you think you need to make from a value proposition standpoint.
Then, if I could just follow up with a second one. You announced the $100 million share repurchase. I'm not sure if you've had a share repurchase authorization historically, but maybe you could talk about the reason for that now and how you might think about utilizing that going forward, the criteria? Thank you.
Russell Diez-Canseco - President, Chief Executive Officer, Director
Thanks, Jon. I'll take the part about brand equity and household awareness. I'll let Thilo talk about share repurchase.
A key message here and a key reason why I think we saw such a substantial increase in household awareness is that we're pretty consistent in our approach to how we go to market.
At a time when we were constrained on supply last year, we didn't go dark with our marketing because we think about marketing as a way to drive brand awareness over the long term, 12months, 18months, 24 months out, converting that to demand.
This business is designed and built around the consistency of expanding households, expanding trial, expanding production, and expanding farm count, all very much in line.
The net result of this is that we didn't go dark when we might have simply because we didn't have as many eggs as we would have liked to sell or as much production capacity as we might have liked.
That also means that we're not hitting the gas or wasting money on unproductive marketing efforts in a year when we've got more upside. We're very consistent in our marketing approach.
So it's really a playbook and an approach that we've owned over a lot of years to convert that awareness into trial and repeat, and that's what we're setting about to do this year.
Thilo Wrede - Chief Financial Officer
Yes. And then, Jon, on the share repurchases, we did not have a share repurchase authorization before. This is the first buyback program that the Board has authorized since the IPO.
I would say there are 2 factors at play here. One is, look, we're listening to shareholders. We are listening to the buy side, the sell side. And we've gotten a lot of questions over the last 12 months in particular, about how we use our balance sheet.
We have this unused debt capacity. As you know, we are debt-free. We have over $100 million in cash. And we are investing this cash in building out the Senor facility this year, but that still leaves a lot of balance sheet potential there that we've been holding as dry powder, and now is a good time for us to think about what we can do with that dry powder to create shareholder value.
So that is where this decision to create the share repurchase authorization that when there is an opportunity in the market to buy back our stock at attractive levels, we're able to step into that. That is really the reason behind it.
I would look at it as a sign that we're maturing as a company a bit. We're doing the things that we think are the right things for creating long-term shareholder value. And it's a sign that we're listening to the shareholder conversations that we're having.
Jon Andersen - Research Analyst
Makes sense. Thank you.
Operator
Benjamin Mayhew, BMO Capital Markets.
Benjamin Mayhew - Equity Analyst
Hi, thank you for taking the questions. So my first is related to the aggressive recovery in the industry egg supplies. So that seems to have coincided with more volatile order patterns.
So I'm just wondering, in the past, you have stated that you look forward to supplies recovering because that will give Vital the opportunity to outperform.
So I was just hoping if you could revisit this view and maybe reaffirm your conviction that this will play out if we were to assume the industry supplies will continue to recover.
Russell Diez-Canseco - President, Chief Executive Officer, Director
Yes. Our conviction is as strong as ever. And the #1 thing I'd point to is our continued gain in volume share. That's a great indicator of the health of our brand, the health of our supply chain, and the health of our consumer trust and consumer relationship.
So we are absolutely built for a time and a place where the brand is what's going to matter. We're being differentiated is what's going to matter, and where a strong, trusted relationship with the retailer is what's going to matter.
This is a year in which it's not simply enough to have eggs in a market that will take any egg available. And that's where I think our strengths will really come to bear.
Benjamin Mayhew - Equity Analyst
Great, thank you. And then my final question is a bit of a segue. Can you just talk about Amazon's move to add roughly 100 additional Whole Foods units and what the incremental opportunity might be for Vital?
Russell Diez-Canseco - President, Chief Executive Officer, Director
Thanks. I think, first of all, it's certainly exciting for us. Amazon and Whole Foods continue to be our largest retail partner.
I don't think it's a coincidence that some of our largest customers are also the ones that are seeing the most success and the most opportunity to expand their footprint. And we really look forward to continuing that partnership and to grow with them.
So there's an exciting opportunity to continue to grow with partners like Amazon and Whole Foods. And so that is all welcome, almost spring-loaded upside for sure.
Operator
Eric Des Lauriers, Craig-Hallum.
Eric Des Lauriers - Senior Research Analyst
Great, thanks for taking my question. Just wondering if you could provide a bit more color on what you're seeing year-to-date in the pasture-raised category overall.
Then in terms of the second half stabilization or perhaps even, I guess, Q2 stabilization, do you see category stabilization as a prerequisite to your order patterns stabilizing? Or is there something in the conversations you're having with retailers that gives you confidence in that second-half stabilization irrespective of what the category does?
Russell Diez-Canseco - President, Chief Executive Officer, Director
Yes. Thanks for that. So the pasture-raised, and I would say more broadly, the outdoor access category continues to be the strength in the egg category overall, gaining volume share, gaining dollar share against the backdrop of more muted volume growth for eggs overall.
Historically, egg consumption has grown with population growth in volumes. But that's been very different for specialty and branded products and offerings like ours, where we've driven a large share of overall category growth and much outsized relative to our share of the category.
And we're seeing that strength continue. It's pretty exciting because the ability of private label brands to trade up their purchases of more commodity-type eggs into outdoor access private label is also quite strong.
So, what we're seeing is evidence of a much broader conversation and a much broader set of households in this country that are becoming conscious of their food choices and are willing to vote with their dollars for something better.
So, it's a real validation of what we've been doing for a lot of years, and we see it as a sign of strength.
Operator
Ben Klieve, Benchmark Stonex.
Ben Klieve - Senior Research Analyst
All right, thanks for taking my questions. I'm wondering if you guys can help us understand the magnitude of the promotional increase that you have talked about on the call today. We certainly knew there was going to be an increase this year.
But I'm wondering, first of all, if the magnitude of the promotional increase this year is in line with what you had thought it would be historically. And then also the degree to which the EBITDA margin compression this year is in line with what your thoughts would have been around the Investor Day a couple of months ago.
Russell Diez-Canseco - President, Chief Executive Officer, Director
Sure. Thanks, Ben. I wouldn't characterize our promotional cadence or stance as stronger or deeper than we had originally projected.
This is very much a return to a more normal cadence of promotional spend, and that certainly hasn't changed. What's really different for us versus other players in the category is that we're not creating promotions to drive volume in the short run, which we see as maybe a way to rent volume share, but not actually to substantially move the business forward.
We're using promotions to drive trial and begin the process of converting a consumer to our brand. And that continues to be the way we think about it.
Our focus is on building this thing for the long haul and hitting that $2 billion goal that we set out for 2030, which we believe is still very much in our future. And so that hasn't changed.
It's very consistent with what we had planned when we spoke at Investor Day. I'll let Thilo talk a little bit about the evolution of EBITDA over time.
Thilo Wrede - Chief Financial Officer
Yes. Ben, just to put what Russell just said differently, the way we are thinking about promotional spending this year is that it won't be different from how we have spent on promotions in the past in specific quarters.
The reason why I put it that way is, as I said before, over the last few years, I don't think there has been a single year where we ran promotions for the full year because there were always some outside events, AI, our own supply constraints that prevented us from running promotions for the full year.
This is going to be a year where we are currently planning to run promotions for the full year. And so the level of promotions for the full year will mirror what we've done in individual quarters in the past. But unlike in prior years, where we've only hit it in 4 specific quarters, we'll hit it for the full year.
That will have an impact on gross margin and on EBITDA margin, and you see that in the guidance. But that impact is not different from how we thought about it at the Investor Day.
Ben Klieve - Senior Research Analyst
Okay, very good. Thanks for taking my question. I'll get back in queue
Operator
John Baumgartner, Mizuho Securities.
John Baumgartner - Senior Research Analyst
Good morning. Thanks for the question. I'd like to ask about the composition of vital buyers. I think at Investor Day, the buy rate for low incomes was up something like 50% over the past 3 years, and that speaks to the breadth of appeal.
But I'm curious about the extent that might now be a drag in '26, given the financial stress in that cohort. As you model this year, are there any specific pressure points you're building in either from low incomes or others, maybe not so much from trade down, but more just limiting the rate of building additional households this year?
Russell Diez-Canseco - President, Chief Executive Officer, Director
Yes. I think that the process of adding additional households doesn't change. The kinds of households that we do attract may change with the benefit of hindsight, and we'll see how that plays out.
But we've got no reason to think that our ability to attract and retain new households this year is off algorithm or outside of our normal growth formula.
John Baumgartner - Senior Research Analyst
Okay, and then I apologize if I missed it, but if we think about -- aside from the promotion this year, how do we think about other marketing reinvestment, whether above the line in the middle of the P&L?
Any thoughts on marketing, either magnitude or shifts in delivery versus history?
Russell Diez-Canseco - President, Chief Executive Officer, Director
I think in terms of magnitude, as we've consistently discussed, we have a very measured approach to marketing.
We continue to explore opportunities to find profitable ways to invest as we expand into the 5% to 6% range on marketing. I don't know that changes a lot this year. And I think that we've always used some portion of that budget on baseline or more tried and true vehicles.
And then we've always got somewhere we're experimenting and trying new things. Historically, we focused almost entirely on the top of the funnel and adding households growing that awareness.
We now have the benefit of a lot of awareness built. And so we'll have the opportunity to try some things, perhaps we haven't focused on as much in the past, around driving repeat and loyalty. And we'll look forward to seeing how those play out as the year goes on.
Thilo Wrede - Chief Financial Officer
And that we plan to keep increasing our marketing spend in total dollars. We continue to build the brand.
To Russell's point, we've built a lot of brand awareness. There's a lot more that we want to do there. But this year is also a year where we want to convert a lot of that brand awareness into trial. So, if marketing can play a role there, I think that's a push that we need to go after as well.
John Baumgartner - Senior Research Analyst
Perfect. Thank you.
Operator
Gerald Pascarelli, Needham & Company.
Gerald Pascarelli - Senior Equity Research Analyst
Great. Thanks very much, for taking the question. I just have one, and I wanted to go back to one of Brian's previous questions, just on the confidence of the long-term targets, but specifically related to EBITDA.
So, at a 12% expected margin this year, you're 400 basis points below the midpoint of your 2030 targets. I understand that pricing is muted right now, like given some of the compression we're seeing with private label.
But if the market remains volatile and gets increasingly competitive, and then you essentially need to invest more behind your brand, I'm curious if you could just lay out the levers you have to drive operating leverage to achieve those targets. So if you could bridge that for us.
And I guess, specifically, does your target embed a certain range of rate increases in a more normalized environment? Any color there would be great. Thank you.
So Gerald, let me start with the 12% implied margin. When we gave long-term targets back in 2023 at our Investor Day back then, we had said that by 2027, we want to get to a 12% to 14% EBITDA margin range.
We were above that last year. We'll be in that range this year. So yes, it's a decline year-over-year margin, but I would say we're still very much on track to where we thought we were a few years ago.
And we continue to be on track to the target that we set 2 months ago for 2030. I think as we continue to grow, we continue to get the benefits of scale, especially in operating expenses.
We talked about, and you can see that in our numbers, how our SG&A scaled last year, and will continue to scale this year. This year, because the growth is so much more volume-driven than prior years, there is an impact on gross margin, which flows through.
But overall, in operating expenses, every year, we're getting scale benefits just from the growth that we are generating on the top line and not having to grow operating expenses to the same degree.
Thilo Wrede - Chief Financial Officer
Perfect thanks.
Operator
There are no further questions at this time. I turn the call back over to Brian Shipman.
Brian Shipman - Vice President of Investor Relations
Great. Thank you for your time and interest today. Please feel free to contact us with any follow-up questions. Have a great day.
Operator
This concludes today's conference call. You may now disconnect.