Unitil Corp (UTL) 2019 Q1 法說會逐字稿

Good day, ladies and gentlemen, and welcome to the Quarter 1 2019 Unitil Earnings Conference Call. (Operator Instructions) As a reminder, this call may be recorded.

I would now like to introduce your host for today's conference, Todd Diggins. Please go ahead.

Good afternoon and thank you for joining us to discuss Unitil Corporation's First Quarter 2019 Financial Results. With me today are Tom Meissner, Chairman, President and Chief Executive Officer; Christine Vaughan, Senior Vice President, Chief Financial Officer and Treasurer; Larry Brock, Chief Accounting Officer and Controller; and Todd Black, Senior Vice President, External Affairs and Customer Relations.

We will discuss financial and other information about our first quarter results on this call. As we mentioned in the press release announcing the call, we have posted that information, including a presentation, to the Investors section of our website at www.unitil.com. We will refer to that information during this call.

Before we start, as you can see on Slide 2, the comments made today about future operating results or future events are forward-looking statements under the safe harbor provision of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Forward-looking statements inherently involve risks and uncertainties that could cause our actual results to differ materially from those predicted. Statements made on this call should be considered together with the cautionary statements and other information contained in our most recent annual report on Form 10-K and other documents we have filed or furnished to the Securities and Exchange Commission. Forward-looking statements speak only as of today, and we assume no duty to update them.

With that said, I will now turn the call over to Tom.

Great. Thank you, Todd, and thanks, everyone, for joining us.

I'm going to begin on Slide 4, where, today, we announced net income of $26.5 million for $1.78 per share for the first quarter of 2019. This is an increase of $10.9 million or $0.72 per share over the same quarter last year.

In March, we recognized a onetime gain of $9.8 million or $0.66 per share on the divestiture of our nonregulated energy brokering advisory business, Usource. Excluding the impact of this onetime gain, the company recorded earnings of $16.7 million or $1.12 per share, which is $0.06 ahead of last year. This increase was driven largely by customer growth and higher sales margins.

Moving now to Slide 5. I'd like to expand on the Usource transaction, which was completed on March 1. As I mentioned, the company recognized an after-tax gain of approximately $10 million on this divestiture in the first quarter. We continue to believe Usource is a solid business. However, after a strategic review, we determined that its needs going forward did not fully align with our business model and investor profile. We also felt that there are stronger growth opportunities in our regulated businesses. We plan to reinvest the proceeds of this transaction into our regulated subsidiaries to fund our strong growth prospects and increased capital expenditure program. This investment should be accretive by next year as the proceeds are invested in rate base. In the near term, the company's short-term borrowings are reduced by the net proceeds. Unitil is now operating as a fully rate-regulated business.

Moving on to Slide 6. To meet our customers' growing and ever-changing energy needs, the company has developed a robust capital spending plan. Our capital spending over the next 3 years is forecast to be about 20% higher than the prior 3 years. This increased investment will be used in part to fund gas expansion both within and contiguous to the company's service areas.

Turning to Slide 7. We continue to focus on superior customer and operational performance as we execute on our growth initiatives. We anticipate our strong customer growth will continue in both our gas and electric divisions as a result of the economic expansion in our service areas.

In our gas division, due to the low current penetration of 62%, thousands of conversions are possible given the price advantage of natural gas. Our Targeted Area Buildout programs in Maine continue to progress as we add customers in both Saco and Sanford. Construction of the initial phase of the Saco TAB was completed last year. However, we will continue to add new customers for years to come as residents and businesses now have the opportunity to convert to natural gas from other fuels.

The Sanford TAB is now in its second year of construction. We expect to add up to 2,000 customers over time once it is completed. In addition, we recently received approval to expand our franchise to 3 new towns in New Hampshire. The regulatory approval to expand into Epping, New Hampshire was received earlier this year. As the construction season progresses, we will be breaking ground in all 3 of these new franchise areas.

As we've discussed before, Massachusetts and New Hampshire are in the early stages of implementing grid modernization programs. This will provide the company an opportunity to invest in the electric system and will result in more reliable service and a better customer experience. Finally, on this slide, I'd like to point out that we continue to make progress on our gas infrastructure replacement programs. Currently, 93% of the company's gas infrastructure is fully modernized.

Turning to Slide 8, we briefly recap our past successes. Over the past decade, Unitil has produced average annual returns of 14.5%, outpacing both the broader markets and our utility peers. We believe this demonstrates our ability to develop and execute on our strategic plans. Based on customer surveys, 88% of our customers report being satisfied with their service from Unitil. We ranked #1 in overall customer satisfaction in New England, and we've achieved this level of service while adding over 10,000 customers in the past 5 years.

Finally, I'd like to mention that our average outage time per customer continues to show a declining trend as it has over the past 10 years. We continue to invest in programs that improve both day-to-day reliability and storm resiliency.

Now I will turn the call over to Christine, who will discuss our financial results for the quarter.

Thanks, Tom. Good afternoon, everyone. Turning to Slide 9. Natural gas margins were $43.5 million in the 3 months ending March 31, 2019, which is an increase of $3.6 million compared to the same period in 2018. Gas sales margins in the first quarter of 2019 were positively affected by higher natural gas distribution rates of $2.6 million and $1 million from higher therm sales, reflecting customer growth. Natural gas therm sales increased 2.1% in 3 months ending March 31, 2019, compared to the same period in 2018. The increase in gas therm sales in the company's service area was again driven by customer growth.

The company estimates that weather-normalized gas therm sales, excluding decoupled sales, were up 5% in the quarter 2019 compared to the same quarter in 2018. As of March 31, 2019, the number of natural gas customers served has increased by over 1,500 compared to the prior year.

Next, on Slide 10, I'll discuss electric units and sales margin. Electric sales margins were $23.1 million in the 3 months ended March 31, 2019, an increase of $0.8 million compared to the same period in 2018. Electric sales margins in the first quarter of 2019 were positively affected by higher electric distribution rates of $1.2 million partially offset by lower sales margin of $0.4 million, reflecting lower kilowatt hour sales. The total electric kilowatt hour sales decreased 4.3% compared to the first quarter of 2018, and this decrease in kilowatt hour sales really reflects shorter billing cycles in the first quarter of 2019 combined with lower average usage, including reduced usage by our industrial customers for production purposes, partially offset by customer growth.

As of March 31, 2019, the number of electric customers served has increased by about 550 over the last year.

Turning to Slide 11. Operation and maintenance expenses increased $1.2 million in the 3 months ending 2019 compared to the same period in 2018. There was a nonrecurring adjustment of $0.4 million in the first quarter of 2019 in connection with a New Hampshire rate case filed in 2017, where an adjustment was counted as a reduction to O&M. If you exclude this adjustment, O&M expenses increased $0.8 million. And this change in O&M expenses reflected higher labor costs of $0.4 million and higher utility operating costs of $0.4 million.

Depreciation and amortization expense increased $1.5 million in the 3 months ending March 31, 2019, compared to the same period in 2018. These increases reflect higher utility plant and service partially offset by lower amortization.

Taxes other than income taxes increased $0.6 million in the 3 months ending March 31, 2019, compared to the same period in 2018, primarily reflecting higher local property taxes on higher levels of utility plant assets in service. Other expense changed from an expense of $1.7 million in the first quarter of 2018 to income of $12.1 million in the first quarter of 2019, a net change of $13.8 million. And this change largely reflects a pretax gain on the divestiture of the nonregulated business subsidiary, Usource.

Interest expense increased $0.2 million in the 3 months of 2019 compared to the same period in 2018, primarily reflecting higher short-term interest rates on higher levels of short-term debt partially offset by lower interest on long-term debt.

And lastly, income taxes increased $3.4 million in the first 3 months of 2019 compared to the same period of 2018 primarily reflecting income taxes related to the company's divestiture of Usource.

Slide 12 provides the trailing 12-month actual earned returns -- return on equity in each of our regulatory jurisdictions. Unitil, on a consolidated basis, earned a total ROE of 12.2% in the last 12 months ending March 31, 2019, and this includes the onetime gain from the divestiture. If you exclude the onetime gain, Unitil is currently earning 9.4%, which is close to its authorized returns range from 9.5% to 9.8%, and these results are not weather normalized.

On Slide 13, we provided an update to our regulatory activity. On April 23, the company submitted a notice of intent to file a general rate case with the Maine Public Utilities Commission. Northern Utility, the company's gas subsidiary operating in Maine, expects to request an increase in annual base revenues of approximately $7 million. New base distribution rates are expected to become effective in the second quarter of 2020. The company has elected to file a general rate case in Maine due to substantial growth and corresponding investment in our Maine gas service areas, which has resulted in highest revenue deficiency of all our subsidiaries. As usual, the company will continue to evaluate the need to file general rate cases for all our subsidies going forward. I'd like to point out that Fitchburg's electric division is required by law to file a general rate case by 2020 at the latest.

On Slide 14, we summarize our constructive regulatory environment that is supportive of growth initiatives and investments to provide our customers with safe and reliable service. We have long-term rate plans or cost trackers established in nearly all our utility subsidiaries and are prepared to update and extend these programs through rate cases and other proceedings as appropriate.

In the gas and electric divisions, the company anticipates to be awarded $3.2 million and $1.2 million, respectively, in rate relief through accelerated cost recovery mechanisms. Combined, this is over $4 million of rate relief that will help reduce earnings attrition. As Tom mentioned earlier, Unitil has shown a strong level of financial and operating performance.

Moving to Slide 15, we highlight our investment thesis and why we believe we are well positioned to continue this success in the future.

Now this concludes our summary of our financial performance for the period. I will turn the call over to the operator, who will coordinate questions from the audience.

(Operator Instructions) And our first question comes from the line of Julien Dumoulin-Smith with Bank of America.

This is Alex Morgan calling in for Julien Dumoulin-Smith. Congratulations on the results.

Thanks, Alex.

I first wanted to just base touch on Massachusetts. I know you just mentioned that there is the law that requires a rate case to be filed by 2020. I was wondering if you have any color on the potential trajectory of earned ROEs, especially considering you're currently at the 5.1 percentage points?

Currently, the Maine utility, our Maine -- Northern Maine has the highest deficiency number. That's because of the stronger rate -- absolute number in rate base there. The earned ROEs in Massachusetts can be improved. Typically, we usually file the electric and the gas rate case together. We will make a decision on that shortly. But the gas division is the one that's contributing to the lower ROEs in that company.

Okay. And one other question from me. I was just wondering if we are potentially going to see any CapEx opportunities this year in terms of pulling forward some of the gas modernization efforts?

Alex, this is Tom. Realistically, I don't think we'll have another update to our capital plan until January.

And our next question comes from the line of Shelby Tucker with RBC Capital Markets.

Just following up on Alex' question, do you have breakdown for the ROEs between New Hampshire and Maine for Northern Utilities?

I don't think I have that with me.

Shelby, it doesn't sound like we have that handy right here.

Got it. Okay. And then the -- as it relates to the expansion opportunities, you mentioned that you've expanded 3 new franchises in New Hampshire. Could you maybe give us a bit more color as to how do you identify opportunities? And what might be the backlog opportunity?

Sure. In terms of those 3 towns, in each of those cases, there's anchor loads that are justifying the cost of the mains extensions into those areas. So in all 3 cases, we're extending mains this year to reach anchor loads to justify the projects. Longer term, I think our strategy is to franchise the Route 125 corridor in New Hampshire from Massachusetts up to Rochester, so it sort of bisects the western half of our territory, as we're expecting more commercial development to be expanding in that direction as the seacoast gets more and more expensive.

And I guess these anchor, I'll call it, anchor tenants, tend to be more larger industrial, big commercial or is it more of just a expansion of talent or residential in that area?

In one case, it's a large industrial customer. And in another town, it's a very large residential community. And in another town, it's actually an existing commercial corridor that has quite a few existing customers on propane.

Got it. Okay. And the last question I have is also following up on Alex' question about the Fitchburg and the timing on a filing. What criteria do you look at to determine whether you'd be willing to file prior to 2021?

Generally, we look at where the ROEs are, the particular regulatory environment and what's going on internally with the company.

Okay. Because on the ROE point of view, it seems that you're already there.

Correct. But Northern Utilities has a large common equity. NU has $200 million of equity, whereas Fitchburg only has $78 million. So Northern Utilities really is the big company in the overall consolidated company and it makes a big dent in the deficiency.

Shelby, just to clarify as well, we have to file by 2020, not 2021.

Oh, I'm sorry, I meant 2020.

And our next question comes from the line of Kelvin Jiang with Monarch Partners.

Congrats on the quarter. And this question is for Christine. I'm wondering what your top priorities are since joining Unitil, and what your thoughts are on hosting analyst days going forward.

Our priorities is to continue to invest in safe, reliable systems and continue to be responsible to shareholders going forward. We also intend to increase our contact with analysts over prior periods, and we had a couple of investor meetings scheduled. I'm not adverse to doing an Analyst Day next year. We can think about that going forward.

And I'm not showing any further questions in today's question-and-answer queue. So I'd like to turn the call back to Todd Diggins for any further remarks.

I'd like to thank everyone for joining us today, and I hope that you found the information helpful. Thanks.

Ladies and gentlemen, thank you for participating in today's conference. This does conclude today's program. You may all disconnect. Everyone, have a great day.