United Natural Foods Inc (UNFI) 2018 Q1 法說會逐字稿

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  • Operator

  • Greetings, and welcome to the United Natural Foods, Inc. First Quarter 2018 Earnings Conference Call. (Operator Instructions) As a reminder, this conference is being recorded. I would now like to turn the conference over to your host, Katie Turner, for opening remarks.

  • Katie M. Turner - MD

  • Thank you. Good afternoon, and thank you for joining us on UNFI's First Quarter Fiscal 2018 Earnings Conference Call. By now, you should have received a copy of the earnings release issued this afternoon. This press release and webcast of today's call are available under the Investors section of the company's website at www.unfi.com.

  • On the call today are Steve Spinner, Chairman and CEO; Sean Griffin, Chief Operating Officer; and Mike Zechmeister, Chief Financial Officer.

  • Before we begin, we'd like to remind everyone that comments made by management during today's call may contain forward-looking statements. These forward-looking statements assess plans, expectations, estimates and projections that might involve significant risks and uncertainties. These risks are discussed in the company's earnings release and SEC filings. Actual results may differ materially from the results discussed in these forward-looking statements.

  • In addition, in today's earnings release and during the call, management will provide GAAP and non-GAAP financial measures. These non-GAAP financial measures include EBITDA, EBITDA margin, free cash flow and leverage. A complete reconciliation and explanation of these data changes and reconciliations to the most directly comparable GAAP measures is located on the Investors section of the company's website.

  • And I'd now like to turn the call over to Steve Spinner.

  • Steven L. Spinner - Chairman, CEO & President

  • Thank you, Katie. Good evening, everyone. Today, I'm excited to discuss our first quarter business highlights, and then Mike will review our financial results and annual guidance. Finally, Sean, Mike and I will take your questions once we finish our prepared remarks.

  • We're out of the gate in our first quarter of fiscal year 2018 with very strong top line growth, which we will expect to continue throughout our fiscal year. All of our significant customer channels saw growth -- broad-based growth, with our broadline business shipping over 100 million units and leading UNFI to record quarterly sales of $2.4 billion in the first quarter. We are very encouraged by what we see as increasing and broad-based demand for the capabilities and solutions UNFI provides to our very diverse customer base. We expect this business momentum to continue for the balance of the year as reflected in our increased sales and earnings guidance for fiscal 2018, which Mike will address shortly.

  • We believe we are uniquely positioned and in the nexus of robust industry activity and interest in better-for-you food products and services across brick-and-mortar retail, e-commerce, food service and international relationships. Wherever the demand is, we believe UNFI is the preferred solution.

  • As the aforementioned momentum came on quite quickly, our ability to respond and execute at a high service and low-cost manner was challenged during the quarter. Typically, our operational teams would plan and prepare several months in advance for the kind of ramp-up we saw in Q1. In this case, we adjusted in realtime. We did incur a higher-than-normal overtime and outside storage expenses, leading to overall lower productivity levels and higher expense ratios.

  • I would really like to salute UNFI's management and associate teams who worked tirelessly and around the clock, including dealing with 2 hurricanes, to minimize service disruptions to our customers. From selectors and loaders and drivers and buyers, our staff demonstrated how they could rise to meet the challenge.

  • As we move into our second quarter, we are continuing to see record sales and shipping unit volume and had made the appropriate staffing and facility adjustments. Additionally, associated with the unexpected demand, our inbound fill rates from our supplier partners was and continues to be a challenge. Suppliers' out-of-stocks in the first quarter fiscal year '18 versus the same quarter in the prior year were almost 250 basis points unfavorable, equating to approximately $25 million in additional lost sales. Our supply chain teams are working closely with suppliers to make sure we are aligned on the demand signals and improve service level going forward.

  • We also delivered solid product -- profit improvement versus the prior year period with an earnings diluted share of $0.60 for the first quarter, particularly in light of the inventory, operational and other expense associated with meeting our customer needs against unplanned demand.

  • As we continue throughout our fiscal 2018, we expect our growth to continue, driven by demand for better-for-you products, more competition at retail and enabling differentiated solutions. Consumers are shopping many different ways today. They want variety, specific attributes, exclusive brands and private label and in brick-and-mortar retail. We play a role in all and add valuable merchandising, data insights, category management to mutually pursue high-growth opportunities.

  • Under the leadership of Kirsten Hogan, our new VP of Wellness and E-commerce, we are focused on realizing the opportunities from our investments in technology and infrastructure necessary to fuel growth.

  • For the first quarter, e-commerce sales were up more than 30% and we see many opportunities ahead. We believe our distribution network and deep assortment of brands and products offer our customers an endless aisle of opportunity in our customer relationships.

  • I would like to reiterate our 2018 key strategic goals, all of which we focused on during the first quarter. And these goals are the pillars that support our "building out the store" strategy: first, to win new customers and expand our relationships with existing customers; second, expand deli, meat and cheese categories into our broadline distribution network; third, optimize our gross margin; fourth, to grow our e-commerce space; and finally, with our exceptionally strong balance sheet, maintain a robust M&A pipeline. We believe success in this strategy drives value for all our key constituents.

  • In summary, we've accomplished an incredible amount across our organization in a very short period of time. As our industry has and continues to evolve, our leadership team has consistently taken decisive steps to change with it so that UNFI remains well positioned to meet the needs of our customers as we grow together.

  • Consumer demand for the products we sell remain robust, and we have a strong pipeline of exciting opportunities ahead. We believe our sourcing capabilities, our recent acquisitions, our very strong balance sheet and demonstrated leadership within better-for-you distribution will support our long-term growth and enable us to achieve our strategic objectives.

  • With that overview, I'll now turn the call over to Mike.

  • Michael Paul Zechmeister - CFO

  • Thanks, Steve, and good evening, everybody. Net sales for the first quarter of fiscal 2018 increased 7.9% versus Q1 of last year or approximately $179 million to $2.46 billion. This was a company record for quarterly net sales, which resulted from broad-based growth across our significant channels.

  • As a reminder, our acquisition of Haddon House closed on May 13, 2016, approximately 2 weeks into Q4 of fiscal 2016. And the Gourmet Guru acquisition closed on August 10, 2016, less than 2 weeks into Q1 of fiscal '17. As a result of the acquisition timing of Haddon House and Gourmet Guru, they did not have a meaningful impact on the comparability of our results in Q1 of this fiscal year versus Q1 of last fiscal year.

  • In Q1 of this fiscal year, we experienced modest inflation of approximately 19 basis points, which was relatively consistent with our inflation from the last quarter. And this marks the sixth consecutive quarter of either modest deflation or 0% inflation, which continues to be a headwind to our net sales and (inaudible).

  • From a channel perspective, supernatural net sales were up approximately $106.6 million or 14.3% over last year's first quarter and represented 34.7% of total net sales compared to 32.8% in Q1 last year. As Steve mentioned, demand for our products ramped up quickly and resulted in a higher level of growth than we expected in Q1.

  • Supermarket channel net sales increased 4.7% in Q1 versus Q1 last year and landed at 28.6% of total company net sales. Independent channel net sales grew 6.6% in Q1 versus Q1 last year and represented 26.0% of total net sales in the quarter. Our foodservice net sales increased 1.2% over the first quarter last year, our e-commerce net sales increased 32.1% versus first quarter last year, representing our strongest quarter of year-over-year net sales growth since Q3 of fiscal 2016.

  • Gross margin for the quarter came in at 14.94%, a 38 basis point decrease over last year's first quarter. The decrease was primarily due to a shift in consumer -- in customer mix, where sales grew -- sales growth with our lower-margin customers outpaced growth with other customers, and that was partially offset by an increase in fuel surcharge.

  • Our operating expenses in the first quarter were 12.70% of net sales, a 28 basis point reduction compared to the first quarter of last fiscal year. The year-over-year decrease was primarily driven by leveraging fixed costs on our increased net sales. This decrease was partially offset by increased costs incurred to fulfill the unexpected demand for our products, including overtime labor, outside storage and transportation costs. We also experienced an increase in our health care costs in Q1 versus Q1 last year.

  • Fuel costs for Q1 of fiscal 2018 increased 1 basis point as a percent of distribution net sales compared to the first quarter of fiscal 2017 and represented 44 basis points of distribution net sales. Our diesel fuel cost per gallon increased approximately 7.2% compared to the first quarter of last year, which compares to the Department of Energy's national average price per gallon for diesel in Q1, which increased 13.5% or $0.33 a gallon compared to the first quarter of last year. Our lower diesel fuel cost per gallon compared to the national reported average was primarily due to unfavorable fuel locks in fiscal 2017, which expired in Q2 of that year.

  • Compared to the fourth quarter of fiscal 2017, our diesel fuel costs per gallon were up 11.4% or $0.26 a gallon. For the same period, the Department of Energy's national average price per gallon for diesel was up 8.0%.

  • Share-based compensation expense represented 30 basis points of net sales in Q1 compared to 29 basis points in the first quarter of last year. On a dollar basis, share-based compensation expense was up $0.6 million to $7.3 million compared to $6.7 million in Q1 last year.

  • Operating -- Q1 operating income was $55.1 million, an increase of $1.8 million from $53.3 million in Q1 last year. Interest expense in Q1 of $3.7 million was $0.9 million lower than Q1 of last year due to less debt year-over-year and partially offset by an 81 basis point increase in our floating rate exposure. At the end of Q1, we had fixed interest rates on approximately 79% of our debt, leaving approximately 21% of our debt with a floating rate exposure.

  • For the first quarter of fiscal 2018, the company reported net income of $30.5 million, an increase of approximately $1.3 million over Q1 of last year. Q1 earnings per diluted share was $0.60 compared to $0.58 in Q1 of last year.

  • During the first quarter of fiscal 2018, the company adopted Accounting Standards Update 2016-09, Improvement to Employee Share-Based Payment Accounting. This new accounting standard negatively impacted the company's effective tax rate in the quarter by $0.9 million or a slightly less than $0.02 headwind to our earnings per diluted share in the quarter. Recorded as a discrete item, the impact of this adoption on the rest of the year is expected to be minimal as the vast majority of our stock awards vest in Q1.

  • EBITDA for the first quarter was $77.5 million, an increase of 4.0% from $74.6 million in Q1 last year, and EBITDA margin was 3.16% of net sales, down 11 basis points from Q1 of last year.

  • Total working capital at the end of Q1 was $1.0 billion, up 0.2% versus Q1 of last year compared to net sales growth of 7.9% over the same period. Our capital expenditures for the first quarter were approximately $5.3 million or 0.21% of net sales, a decrease from 0.40% of net sales in the first quarter of last year.

  • As a reminder, on October 6, we announced that our Board of Directors authorized a share repurchase program for up to $200 million of our common stock. In the first quarter, we repurchased approximately 162,000 shares for $6.4 million or an average cost per share of $39.79. This represents a significant discount to our closing share price today. Due to the timing of the shares that we repurchased during the first quarter, the impact on diluted EPS in the quarter was not meaningful.

  • We had a negative free cash flow of $77.3 million in the first quarter of fiscal 2018 compared to a negative free cash flow of $16.5 million in the first quarter of last year. Q1 is typically our lowest quarter of free cash flow, driven by our increase in inventory in preparation for holiday demand. The impact this year was exaggerated by the unexpected increase in demand.

  • Our balance sheet continues to be strong. At the end of the first quarter, our debt-to-EBITDA leverage, excluding operating leases, was 1.42x, which was down 57 basis points compared to the first quarter of last year. At the end of Q1, the company's debt to EBITDA leverage was a full turn lower than our long-term expectations.

  • Outstanding lender commitments under our credit facility were $883 million, excluding reserves, with available liquidity of approximately $585 million, including cash and cash equivalents. At the end of Q1, our available liquidity was approximately $149 million higher than Q1 last year.

  • Based on UNFI's performance to date and the outlook for the remainder of fiscal 2018, the company is increasing its net sales and EPS guidance, which was previously provided on September 13, 2017. For fiscal 2018 ending July 28, 2018, we now estimate net sales growth at 6.2% to 7.8% over fiscal 2017 net sales or in the range of approximately $9.84 billion to $10.00 billion compared to the previous estimate of $9.63 billion to $9.81 billion or growth of 3.5% to 5.8% over fiscal 2017 net sales.

  • We now estimate our earnings per diluted share for fiscal 2018 to be in the range of approximately $2.72 to $2.80, an increase of approximately 6.3% to 9.4% over fiscal 2017 earnings per diluted share of $2.56. This represents a $0.04 increase at the midpoint compared to the previous guidance of $2.67 to $2.77 per diluted share.

  • We are reducing our expectations for the fiscal 2018 tax rate to be in the range of 40.0% to 40.3% compared to previous guidance of 40.3% to 40.7%. This does not include any impact from tax reform under consideration in U.S. Congress. Capital expenditures as a percent of net sales remains unchanged at 0.6% to 0.7% of sales as well as our estimated range of free cash flow at $155 million to $185 million.

  • At this point, I'll turn the call over to the operator to begin the question-and-answer session. Operator?

  • Operator

  • (Operator Instructions) Our first question is from Rupesh Parikh, Oppenheimer & Co.

  • Rupesh Dhinoj Parikh - MD & Senior Analyst

  • So maybe to start out, I guess, looking at the overall environment, we've clearly seen trends pick up at really all the natural organic publicly traded players at this point. So just curious from your vantage point, what do you think is driving that pickup? And how are you thinking about the sustainability?

  • Steven L. Spinner - Chairman, CEO & President

  • Yes, I mean, that's really the question of the day, isn't it? And I think we spend a lot of time thinking about that. And we think the products are more desirable. We think that the retail price environment has become more competitive. And what that's doing, I think, is closing the gap, the price gap, between the healthy and better-for-you and conventional, which is bringing more traffic into the stores. We've had long periods of very limited inflation. And so UNFI is the clear beneficiary in the short term and, we believe, in the long term as evidenced by the revision to our guidance. So the other interesting comment is when you look at our growth overall, you kind of -- Mike talked about kind of the disclosure around supernatural. But if you look at our other top 24 customers, they also grew at 10%. And so we're seeing lift across most of our customer channels, which is great news for us. So I think that's our view of what's happening.

  • Rupesh Dhinoj Parikh - MD & Senior Analyst

  • And any -- and again, I'm not sure if you guys actually have the data, but any sense in terms of whether natural organic growth rates have increased across the industry?

  • Steven L. Spinner - Chairman, CEO & President

  • Yes, I mean, it's premature for that. We would probably get access to the data in probably the next quarter, 2 quarters or so because it takes a long time to aggregate it. But my guess is that we're going to see a nice pickup there.

  • Rupesh Dhinoj Parikh - MD & Senior Analyst

  • Okay, great. And then one more quick question. You commented on the increased SG&A expenses as just really the greater unexpected demand. Is there any way to quantify, I guess, quantify what those -- what the, I guess, expense lift was during the quarter or impact on EPS?

  • Steven L. Spinner - Chairman, CEO & President

  • We typically don't give that kind of disclosure. I mean, I can tell you anecdotally, when you get the kind of dramatic increase that we had in demand, we are so focused on service, in other words, making sure that our customers have access to the products that we kind of close our eyes to the fact that we're going to have to spend a lot of money in order to do it, whether it be moving product around the country, using less efficient lanes to move the freight. And whenever you get that kind of increase, it's just something that we have to do, and we certainly have that in this quarter.

  • Michael Paul Zechmeister - CFO

  • Yes, Rupesh, I would add to Steve's comments that when the demand picks up unexpectedly, that's when we get put in a position where we're going to spend a little more on overtime, outside storage and transportation and the like. But once we've got a sense for that over a longer period of time, then we certainly can handle that expense, and it doesn't present itself as a headwind. Now we would expect that certainly, by the back half of this year, we would be able to absorb this kind of demand flow without additional expense over our normal run rate.

  • Operator

  • Our next question is from John Heinbockel, Guggenheim Securities.

  • John Edward Heinbockel - Analyst

  • So Steve, just following up on that then. The -- I guess, you have not yet been able to work the overtime and outside storage costs back down to a more normal level. That will still take a few more months?

  • Steven L. Spinner - Chairman, CEO & President

  • Yes, absolutely. We'll probably see that continue until after the holidays.

  • Sean F. Griffin - COO

  • Yes, I would say early Q3.

  • John Edward Heinbockel - Analyst

  • Okay. And what is -- we all talked about the issue of capacity utilization, the fact that you had a low dip there. Are you seeing -- putting aside these one-time costs, are you seeing a benefit? And do you think you'll see a benefit as we get into the back half of the year from higher utilization? Or is that demand coming in the right places?

  • Sean F. Griffin - COO

  • John, this is Sean. First of all, as it relates to the capacity and utilization, we certainly have had discussions in FY '17 in this regard. So we did not obviously discuss plan for the revenue ramp-up from a timing perspective with the size of the ramp-up related to our present capacity model. So we're evaluating that here as we go. And we may make some changes to the model. We'll see. We'll see how that goes. But in terms of expense and leverage in the distribution centers, we do expect in the back half of the year to begin to see the type of leverage off of our DC expense ratios that we historically would get with an increase in the top line. So we feel good about where we can go from here.

  • Steven L. Spinner - Chairman, CEO & President

  • It's -- no, I was just -- yes, so important to note that we did not revise our CapEx for this year. We're still comfortable with that. And once we get through the back half of the year and we start looking at fiscal '19 and '20, we'll give consideration to where we need to do some additions or new construction. But we're comfortable with the CapEx guidance we provided for '18.

  • John Edward Heinbockel - Analyst

  • All right. And then lastly, where are we pipeline-wise on M&A and new customer wins? And did the -- do you think the whole Amazon-Whole Foods dynamic, did that kind of freeze things in terms of people making changes or no?

  • Steven L. Spinner - Chairman, CEO & President

  • No, not at all. Our pipeline for new customers is strong. Our pipeline for M&A is strong. And like I said previously, we swallowed 4 acquisitions within 18 months. It took a lot of work and heavy lifting. A lot of people within the company did a lot -- spent a lot of time integrating them, and we're really satisfied with where we ended. And so we're really ready to get back onto the M&A trail. We've got a balance sheet to support it. And so I look forward to both the customer and M&A pipeline delivering some nice results throughout fiscal '18.

  • Operator

  • Our next question is from Andrew Wolf of Loop Capital Markets.

  • Andrew Paul Wolf - MD

  • So on the vendor shortages, is there any commonality there like was it more from in grocery versus the specialty perishable side of things?

  • Sean F. Griffin - COO

  • Andy, this is Sean. I would say that actually, the demand was so sudden that it affected a great many categories. Keep in mind, it's generally specialty suppliers that we're talking about. So we expect that to moderate. We expect that suppliers and manufacturers will sort of get their legs under them to meet this demand towards the Q2, Q3 time frame.

  • Steven L. Spinner - Chairman, CEO & President

  • Yes. And important to note is, for instance, our business which we call specialty and natural (inaudible). And so in our case, majority of the buyers are doing less than [$30 million] (inaudible). So when you subject a smaller supplier to a great deal of increased demand, they don't have the ingredients, they don't have the co-packers to produce it. And the vast majority of our suppliers do a just heroic job in trying to get the inventory to us that we need. There were some suppliers that had significant out-of-stocks during the quarter -- during the holiday season, but they had the same issue that we did, and that is a lot of increased demand really quickly, they just couldn't produce it fast enough.

  • Andrew Paul Wolf - MD

  • Okay. But -- good. But there's enough ingredients out there that if the pipeline stays as strong as it is, eventually they should be able to meet demand or at least close the gap.

  • Steven L. Spinner - Chairman, CEO & President

  • Yes, without a doubt. We agree.

  • Andrew Paul Wolf - MD

  • Okay. Now on your sales beat, was that mainly from just more sales with existing customers? Or was there a reasonable cohort of new customer business that also helped out?

  • Steven L. Spinner - Chairman, CEO & President

  • It was a little bit of both. And I would say that we're on target as it relates to shipping to new customers that we previously discussed.

  • Andrew Paul Wolf - MD

  • Okay, great. And then just the last thing, just a quick kind of follow-up on the expense side, you called out the health care costs, I assume that's not related necessarily to the surge in demand in the other cost. But nevertheless, is that something that is manageable? Or is that just one of these -- it's the randomness of health care? Or is it a trend that you're going to have upped health care costs for the year?

  • Michael Paul Zechmeister - CFO

  • We instituted a really, really terrific wellness program across the company about 4, 5 years ago and made significant improvements to that plan every year to have a healthier workforce and an educated workforce about how to acquire health care. And so if you look at our health care costs over the last couple of years, they were really, really strong, and we're just -- in the quarter in particular, we just had a handful of claims that brought our health care costs way higher than we thought they were going to be. Whether it continues or not, I don't know. I'm hopeful that it doesn't. But in this particular quarter, they were significant.

  • Andrew Paul Wolf - MD

  • Got you. And did any of these excess costs that you've -- I understand you don't necessarily want to quantify them precisely but, nevertheless, were any of them impacting the gross margin rate? Or did any of that flow through cost of goods sold? Or did it all impact operating expenses?

  • Michael Paul Zechmeister - CFO

  • Well, when we talked about the increased overtime, outside storage, transportation expense, medical expense, none of that was in gross margin. When you think about fuel costs, we have a geography difference that needs to be noted, which is when we have increased fuel costs, which we've had, we have a surcharge and the surcharge enhances gross margin. But then we pay for the extra fuel costs in our operating expense. And so we get increased margin but then -- gross margin, but then it comes back to us and nets out neutral at net income.

  • Steven L. Spinner - Chairman, CEO & President

  • One other comment I would make and then Andy we've probably got to take another call, but if you look back at our fiscal '17, we did a great job managing our gross margin. And when you can properly plan for inventory, you have a much greater capacity to manage the gross margin on the inbound associated with that inventory. When you're scrambling to catch up, and you're doing everything in your power to get inventory into the buildings, you're spending less time managing the gross margin than you should be. And so that's just something that we have to get back to once we get some stability in our overall growth rate.

  • Andrew Paul Wolf - MD

  • Yes, okay. That's what I was getting at, inbound freight. Well, it's a great problem to have.

  • Operator

  • Our next question comes from Chuck Cerankosky, Northcoast Research.

  • Charles Edward Cerankosky - MD, Equity Research Analyst & Principal

  • In looking at inflation's still flattish, any -- or flat with the previous quarter, are you saying the rate of inflation perhaps looking better for you? And I'm getting at opportunities for United to earn some inside margin.

  • Michael Paul Zechmeister - CFO

  • Yes, Chuck, we really enjoy inflation, and we haven't seen it now for 1.5 years. But there is a very modest trend within those 6 quarters that hit it a little bit higher now than it was. As you recall, we had some quarters of deflation in there, too. So it's gotten a little better. But our 10-year average inflation rate is a little over 2.5%, and that includes these past 6 quarters where we didn't have it. So not -- no guarantees of where it's going in the future but as -- if it were to head back to its historical average, that would certainly be a tailwind for us in net sales and EBITDA dollars.

  • Charles Edward Cerankosky - MD, Equity Research Analyst & Principal

  • But you're not seeing it yet?

  • Michael Paul Zechmeister - CFO

  • No.

  • Charles Edward Cerankosky - MD, Equity Research Analyst & Principal

  • And then back quickly on the vendors, so it's going to take them at least another quarter to sort of to catch up with the demand just because of their size?

  • Sean F. Griffin - COO

  • Yes, I mean, it's improving here early Q2, but we expect it's going to take another couple of periods, yes.

  • Charles Edward Cerankosky - MD, Equity Research Analyst & Principal

  • And then finally on the sales growth you saw in the quarter, how did that sort of pace over the 3 months of the quarter? Was it uniform or accelerating through the quarter?

  • Sean F. Griffin - COO

  • I mean, we started to see some acceleration at the back end of our -- end of the fourth quarter '17. We weren't exactly sure where the acceleration was coming from. We were very happy to see it. We really didn't know whether it was going to be sustained. But we've seen a continual ramp since then.

  • Operator

  • Our next question is from Shane Higgins, Deutsche Bank.

  • Shane Paul Higgins - Research Analyst

  • So you guys had -- it looks like e-commerce had a nice ramp-up during the quarter. Any color as to what was driving that and how that impacted your overall margins?

  • Steven L. Spinner - Chairman, CEO & President

  • We don't give any disclosure on the margin. I can tell you that e-commerce is a very big focus for us, both in terms of the technology that we use to deploy an e-commerce solution as well as the rate of sales growth in all -- I don't know about all, but most of our e-commerce providers, whether it be brick-and-mortar e-commerce or web-based e-commerce, we saw really, really strong growth across all of them. That's an area that's a very important strategic objective for us. We're doing a lot of work on the technology side. We're really focused on having an endless aisle for our retailers so we can go directly to them or to their consumers to offer really extensive lines of all the products that we curate so well.

  • Shane Paul Higgins - Research Analyst

  • And do you guys have the capacity to continue to handle that level of growth, that kind of 30%-plus year-over-year growth?

  • Steven L. Spinner - Chairman, CEO & President

  • Yes. I mean, fortunately, we've deployed e-commerce into, I guess, 4 of our DCs. 3 or 4?

  • Michael Paul Zechmeister - CFO

  • That's correct.

  • Steven L. Spinner - Chairman, CEO & President

  • 4 of our DCs now. And so I think we're pretty -- we're well poised to continue to see that kind of growth for some period of time and we now have that volume segregated into 4 different distribution centers as opposed to just in 1.

  • Shane Paul Higgins - Research Analyst

  • Okay, great. And then just last one from me on the hurricanes. Was that a net benefit? Or was that fairly neutral to sales and to earnings during the quarter?

  • Michael Paul Zechmeister - CFO

  • Yes, we think of that as a net headwind to earnings. We definitely experienced some disruption and some expense associated with that disruption. We'll make a claim under insurance and get back some of that. But because of our deductible and other things, there were certainly some expense in the quarter, not a net benefit.

  • Shane Paul Higgins - Research Analyst

  • Okay. But it wasn't that material. I mean, you guys didn't call it out.

  • Michael Paul Zechmeister - CFO

  • Right.

  • Operator

  • Our next question is from Ben Bienvenu, Stephens Inc.

  • Benjamin Shelton Bienvenu - Research Analyst

  • You called out in the last quarter competitive pricing as a pressure on gross margin but not in this quarter. Would it be inaccurate to infer that competition has lessened sequentially? Any color you can offer there would be appreciated.

  • Michael Paul Zechmeister - CFO

  • Yes, Ben, we've called out competitive pricing pressure for quite a while, many quarters, I can't tell you how many exactly, but it's been quite a few. And so that came out this quarter. Your observation is accurate. And I think we were trying to point to the biggest drivers of our gross margin and our margin overall. And at this point, we just didn't feel like that made the list as one of the notable callouts.

  • Benjamin Shelton Bienvenu - Research Analyst

  • Fair enough. And the strong growth in supernatural is impressive. That was obviously a contributing factor to the mix shift and result in lower margin pressure from lower-margin customers. I would think it will be incorrect to assume that if this growth persists and the mix shift persists, this wouldn't preclude you from leveraging operating margins, would it? Or said another way, would you have leveraged the operating margins ex some of the ramp to fulfill the demand?

  • Steven L. Spinner - Chairman, CEO & President

  • Yes, I think you are going down the right path.

  • Benjamin Shelton Bienvenu - Research Analyst

  • Okay, great. And then just one last quick one, the $200 million share repurchase. You guys have a lot of free cash, not a lot of leverage. That's not a signal that M&A isn't particularly imminent, is it? Or is it more just, hey, you want to get this program in place, put capital to work now and then you could have the flexibility to turn that off when that deal heats up?

  • Michael Paul Zechmeister - CFO

  • Yes, Ben, we wanted to have share repurchase as a tool in our toolbox for capital structure management. To the extent that we have investments in capacity or an M&A that provide greater returns, and we do believe we've got a pipeline for those, then we prefer to use our balance sheet strength to return value to shareholders through investment. But to the extent that we didn't have that teed up, then we believe that opportunistic share repurchase at the right price is a way to help ourselves out. And so in the quarter, you saw we made some share repurchase at under $40 a share, and we feel pretty good about that today.

  • Operator

  • Our next question is from Chris Mandeville, Jefferies.

  • Christopher Mandeville - Equity Analyst

  • Mike, I apologize, my connection was quite poor earlier on the call. But just in terms of order of magnitude, what were the primary drivers to the gross margin erosion aside from just the actual mix shift of the lower-margin customer?

  • Michael Paul Zechmeister - CFO

  • Yes, that's it. We only called out one, and that was the customer mix shift. You heard Steve comment a little bit more about that. Certainly, you saw our disclosure in supernatural, a 14% growth there. But if you looked at our top 25 customers or our top 24 customers, excluding our #1 customer, that growth rate was 10% also. So you can surmise from that, that we had real good growth there. But from a margin standpoint, that was a headwind on gross margins.

  • Christopher Mandeville - Equity Analyst

  • Okay. And are there any color in terms of the benefit from the actual fuel margins and maybe anything regarding FX?

  • Michael Paul Zechmeister - CFO

  • Yes, we didn't call out those specifically. I can tell you that there -- the fuel was in the neighborhood of 8 to 10 basis points on the gross margin from a tailwind standpoint. But then we give that back in the operating expense. From an FX standpoint, you're talking about the same level roughly from translation and transaction.

  • Christopher Mandeville - Equity Analyst

  • Okay, very helpful. And then I apologize, but I'm still a little bit confused by the true surprise in the sales ramp at the back end of the quarter. Can you just give us a little bit more context around what caught you off-guard?

  • Steven L. Spinner - Chairman, CEO & President

  • Yes. I mean, obviously, we finished out our fiscal '17. We budgeted for fiscal '18 based upon what we knew in fiscal '17. And then towards the end of our fourth quarter, we started to see the sales starting to ramp up. We really weren't sure whether it was going to be a sustained ramp. And as we got into the first couple of weeks and months in fiscal '18, not only was it sustained but it continued to grow. And so as you might imagine, in a distribution center, if you budgeted, for example, a 5% volume growth and, in a very short period of time, that 5% budget turns into 15% actual, we're just not prepared with the inventory, with the labor, with the workforce, and so it puts a tremendous amount of stress on the organization in order to ensure that we have a high level of service. And so that's really what we're talking about.

  • Michael Paul Zechmeister - CFO

  • Yes. And just to add a couple more comments there. If you look at our core growth, so you look at the growth ex acquisition impact and ex inflation, we've seen our core growth increasing quarter by quarter for the last 4 or 5 quarters. And so we've enjoyed that increase. As we set the guidance for this year at 3.8% to 5.8%, we didn't -- in this year, we didn't have the impact of acquisitions as a tailwind. So we felt like that captured that core growth that we had seen previously. Now obviously, we delivered a 7.9% without inflation and without the benefit of acquisitions. So that's just kind of in numbers shows you the rapid increase from expectation that we saw just on core growth.

  • Christopher Mandeville - Equity Analyst

  • Okay. And then just on the sales increase or the outsized movement in the quarter itself with the lower-margin customer, was that simply a factor of them driving more volume with what you've historically been servicing them with? Or is that somewhat of a result of you may be expanding and providing them with a greater SKU set?

  • Steven L. Spinner - Chairman, CEO & President

  • It's -- I think, generally speaking, it's the former rather than later. It's just higher traffic into the stores. It's the effect of new customers coming onboard. It's expansion of existing contracts. Some category expansion inside. But I think generally speaking, it's just a general lift and improvement at the stores that we service. And they're expanding at a higher velocity than the rest of the customer base.

  • Sean F. Griffin - COO

  • And there's a lot of consumer excitement out there in the kind of products that we sell. And I think the attention in the space has really picked up, and that's translated into higher volumes.

  • Christopher Mandeville - Equity Analyst

  • Okay. And the last one from me here, just on the buyback itself of about $6 million in the quarter. Had it not been for the incremental demand on working capital, would that have been greater in the quarter? I'm just kind of curious as to why it was so small relative to the $200 million you have available.

  • Sean F. Griffin - COO

  • Well, if you look at it, the approval of the program didn't start until October so we didn't have the benefit of a full quarter to be out there. And then, yes -- I mean, that's probably the primary reason.

  • Operator

  • Our next question is from Vincent Sinisi, Morgan Stanley.

  • Vincent J. Sinisi - VP

  • So just wanted to just once again go back to the sales dynamics and kind of the balance with the margin here. So totally get it that the mix shift in the customers had the obviously nice effect on volume, reverse on the margin. But maybe is it fair to say that, as you mentioned, the competitive commentary coming out, is it kind of like status quo on the competitive front? And the top 24, 25 customers that had that 10% growth or greater, is it fair to say that the smaller ones had similar growth? I guess, kind of the heart of that question is, are you seeing a difference in growth rates between your larger versus smaller customers? Just trying to get a sense for kind of where the industry dynamics may have changed or not.

  • Steven L. Spinner - Chairman, CEO & President

  • Yes. I mean, I think that's a pretty good observation that the larger customers are growing faster than the smaller. But we still had over 6% growth in our independents, which was a really respectable quarter. But I think directionally, we certainly believe that the larger customers are growing faster.

  • Michael Paul Zechmeister - CFO

  • Yes. And I think that's a good point that Steve's making that the growth with our largest customers did not come at the expense of our other customers. And the fact that independents grew at 6.6%, that's a stronger growth rate than the quarter before. And it's a testament to the popularity of the products across all of our most significant channels.

  • Vincent J. Sinisi - VP

  • Okay, all right. And just a fast follow-up, just to make sure that we understand. When you had mentioned earlier on with some of the -- with the ramp in sales and the outside storage expenses, was that more of a case -- and maybe it varied by geography, but was it more of a case that the timing just didn't allow for it to normally come to the DCs as you would have planned if you had more kind of advanced planning? Or was it more of a case wherein in some areas you just did not have the capacity physically? How should we kind of think about that?

  • Sean F. Griffin - COO

  • Yes. Certainly, it's geography. Certain distribution centers had challenges versus others that continued to have some upside capacity. But the long and the short of it as we've sort of described a couple of times is that typically, to digest and execute against the volume ramp-up that we saw in Q1, we would have several months to prepare. And if that included adding expansion into a distribution center or a contiguous space in a distribution center, we certainly would have done that. In this instance, we were not afforded that planning and prep opportunity so we kind of did the best we could. And that irons out and levels out, and from an execution perspective, we'll gain better leverage as the year goes by.

  • Operator

  • Our next question is from Scott Mushkin, Wolfe Research.

  • Scott Andrew Mushkin - MD and Senior Retail & Staples Analyst

  • I'm on a cell, and I apologize for that, but one clarification. The top 24 clients and the independents, are none of the top 24 clients in that bucket, the independents bucket? I thought there were some. Maybe I'm mistaken there.

  • Steven L. Spinner - Chairman, CEO & President

  • If you're talking about true independents, singular customers, they are not reflected in the top 24, obviously. But in the top 24 are some...

  • Sean F. Griffin - COO

  • Significant customers that are aggregated as a single entity that are national in scope and have significant scale.

  • Steven L. Spinner - Chairman, CEO & President

  • Customers that we would consider are natural multiunit operators.

  • Sean F. Griffin - COO

  • Yes.

  • Scott Andrew Mushkin - MD and Senior Retail & Staples Analyst

  • But they're not in that independent bucket you guys give us?

  • Sean F. Griffin - COO

  • No, they're not. Is that true? That's not true. Yes, some of them are in the independent channel.

  • Scott Andrew Mushkin - MD and Senior Retail & Staples Analyst

  • Okay. I just want to make sure. I thought so, and I just wanted to make sure. The second question I had is kind of (inaudible) I mean, Amazon buys Whole Foods. Amazon -- Whole Foods, if they cut price, volumes goes through the roof. Have you been cutting price again? And there's been some out-of-stock issues there. And I don't think you're really at fault, I think it's just that the volume has gone through the roof. So if they continue to do that, I mean, how well are you guys prepared to deal with this? Are you -- I mean it's a great problem to have, but it's a problem we're seeing in more stores. And again, they're being very aggressive (inaudible) research. So how will you guys deal with it? And is it possible you might have to pulse forwards some of your CapEx spend or other things to deal with this? Because my expectation would be if they continue to operate this way, this challenge is likely to persist.

  • Steven L. Spinner - Chairman, CEO & President

  • Yes, I mean, listen, we obviously wouldn't comment on any 1 customer or channel. We've had periods in our history where we see volume ramping either as a result of a new customer or inflation. And so we're used to having some lumpy growth in our history, and we know how to deal with it. And so regardless of the cause, our goal is to provide the finest level of service across our entire customer base. And we have the most built-out distribution network, we have the most sophisticated supply chain network throughout North America. We know how to buy the product. We know how to move it around the country, and we know how to deliver a very high level of service. And that's really our function. That's what we do. And when we get bumps like the one that we're in or challenges as a result of a hurricane, we get a little bit of a short-term pain in our neck. But we know how to deal with it. We've got an incredible workforce that is very focused on execution. And we'll work our way through it like we always do.

  • Scott Andrew Mushkin - MD and Senior Retail & Staples Analyst

  • Okay. And then my last question is regarding the tax cuts, the potential of the tax cuts. Did a Home Depot Analyst Day yesterday, and a question came up, what do you expect your vendors to do to get their cuts? And they're kind of saying, "Well, we expect them to reduce their pricing and share." And so can you maybe walk us through how you guys are thinking about the tax cuts vis-à-vis maybe some in your big retail partners and how that may play out? That would be wonderful.

  • Michael Paul Zechmeister - CFO

  • Yes, thanks, Scott. I can't speak for what the tax reform may do to customers or suppliers, but I'll tell you how we're thinking about it. And just as a disclaimer, until the contemplated tax reform is signed into law, we can't provide any assurances on the impact to UNFI. But that said, we're evaluating all aspects of the tax reform that have been made public, and we see the potential for significant reductions to our effective tax rate as a result. And that would certainly lead to a meaningful increase to net income, free cash flow and EPS. Now if you assume, for example, that the 20% corporate tax rate does happen, then we would expect to see $25 million to $35 million cash benefit and an additional booked tax benefit that would be $25 million or more as well. Now the timing of the impact is certainly subject to when the bill gets signed and when the various changes go into effect and what, if any, changes occur in the state tax rates where we do business as well. But overall, we see it as quite a bit of a positive. Again, I'm not able to comment on what might happen with suppliers or customers in terms of the impact that it has on them.

  • Operator

  • Our next question is from Chris Prykull, Goldman Sachs.

  • Christopher Prykull - Research Analyst

  • Just a few follow-ups on the sales growth. Are there specific categories that you saw large increases? And given the cadence that you described, is it fair to assume the strength has, a, continued into the second quarter and you're probably running above where you reported for the first quarter? And then just an accounting question, are any online sales done by your supernatural customer reflected in that line item? Or is that reflected in the e-commerce number you report?

  • Sean F. Griffin - COO

  • Well, so the last question is all of our e-commerce sales are reflected in e-commerce because our sales are calculated by the channel in which we handle the distribution, not the customer. Number two, I mean, on the category side, I would respond that we generally do not speak and communicate in terms of the category growth but the channel growth. But in looking at it, I would say it's broad-based.

  • Steven L. Spinner - Chairman, CEO & President

  • I think there was a third in there, Chris, I just don't remember what it is.

  • Christopher Prykull - Research Analyst

  • Yes, I was just trying to gather from the cadence of sales growth that you described sort of from 4Q to today, is it fair to assume that, that strength, I guess, has continued in the second quarter and probably you're running above what you just printed for the first quarter?

  • Steven L. Spinner - Chairman, CEO & President

  • Yes. So obviously, we don't give quarterly guidance. We just revised our guidance upward for the year, and so that's a number that we're comfortable disclosing.

  • Christopher Prykull - Research Analyst

  • Okay, makes sense. And then just one last one on the -- on CapEx. What does the scenario look like where your CapEx needs to go back up? And would it be closer to sort of that 1% of revenue number? Or would you have to go higher?

  • Michael Paul Zechmeister - CFO

  • Yes. Chris, what we've said is that our long-term guidance on CapEx is 1% of sales. Now what you've seen here over the past few years is certainly lighter than that, but that's because we haven't put on new warehouses or expansions onto existing warehouses. If you go back in our history and you look at the years where we opened the new warehouses, you see that, that CapEx as a percent of sales pops up. So as we contemplate capacity expansion, and again, we've affirmed our guidance for this year so we don't see that happening in this year, but as we go forward, if we have to put CapEx in, it's likely to go above that historical average.

  • Operator

  • Ladies and gentlemen, we have reached the end of the question-and-answer session, and I would like to turn the call back to Steve Spinner for closing remarks.

  • Steven L. Spinner - Chairman, CEO & President

  • Yes. Thanks, everybody, for joining us this evening. I know there's a couple of people that were in the queue that we didn't get to, we just ran out of time, and we're happy to have one-on-one conversations with you. Have a safe and healthy holiday season, and we'll talk to you next year.

  • Operator

  • This concludes today's conference. You may disconnect your lines at this time. Thank you for your participation.